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As scientists and astronomers peer more closely and with
ever more fidelity at nearby stars, they are discovering
exoplanets, worlds outside our own solar system. Stars with
planets were once thought to be a rarity. They're turning
out to be the norm and not the exception. With some
confidence, scientists now calculate there could be as many
as 40 billion Earth-like planets in our Milky Way galaxy alone.
The first exoplanets were detected in 1992, orbiting a
pulsar, the remnants of a massive exploded star that was now
a fast-spinning neutron star. With data collected from
the Arecibo antennae in Puerto Rico, Aleksandr Volshan
discovered three terrestrial planets orbiting the pulsar PSR
B1257 plus 12. Other pulsars have been detected with dust
clouds and disks orbiting them. This suggests that these
three planets are second generation. The original planets
were destroyed by the stellar explosion, and the subsequent
debris disk enabled these new planets to form. It was
another three years before the first planet orbiting a G
-class star similar to our sun was identified, a gas giant
like Jupiter orbiting 51 Pegasi every four days. Five years
later, another main sequence star was found to have multiple
planets. Exoplanets were not easy to detect. They are tiny,
their light smothered by the light of their star, and they
are so far away.
There are three main methods for planetary detection. The
hardest is direct visual observation via telescope, both on
the ground and in orbit. Some 59 planets have been discovered this way.
More indirect methods are employed, one of which is
the radial velocity method. As a planet orbits, its
gravitational pull causes the parent star to move back and
forth. This tiny radial motion shifts the observed spectrum
of the star by a correspondingly small amount because of the
Doppler shift. With supersensitive spectrographs, the shifts
can be measured and used to infer details of a planet's mass and orbit.
The 3.6-meter telescope at La Silla, Chile has such a
spectrographic instrument called HART and is the leading
exoplanet hunter.
This is Talbotis, one of the first planets discovered
utilizing this method. 51 light-years from Earth, this
planet is massive, some four times the mass of Jupiter. So
far, over 600 planets have been detected by this method.
Another observational tool, and the most successful to date,
is the transit method. A planet that passes in front of its
parent star relative to us produces a slight dimming
of the star's light, which can be detected by sensitive
instruments. Some 1,200 have been located this way.
Until now, it was expected that exoplanets would orbit in
more or less the same plane and in the same direction as the
star's rotation. However, new results unexpectedly show that
many exoplanets actually orbit at a large angle to their
star's spin axis. In the case shown here, Wasp 8b, the orbit
is completely reversed. There are other tools and techniques
in the planet-hunting toolbox, including microlensing,
oculation and TTV or transit timing variation. Often, more
than one technique is used to verify findings.
In fact, revisiting a planet after some time for
verification can lead to surprising results, as in HD
189733b, a hot Jupiter-type planet. On revisiting it, Hubble
discovered the atmosphere was being stripped from it by a
violent stellar flare.
With the Hubble Space Telescope dividing its valuable time
between many varied tasks and objectives, a dedicated planet
hunter called Koro was launched.
The mission was led by the French space agency CNES, with
contributions from ESA, Austria, Belgium, Germany, Spain and
Brazil. Launched in 2006, the mission lasted seven years.
It located two planets around the star Koro 7, one of which
was the first found to display a density similar to Earth's.
In all, it located 32 planets and a hundred others are awaiting confirmation.
The NASA Spitzer Infrared Space Telescope was launched to
study protoplanetary and debris disks around stars and the
curious brown dwarfs, often referred to as failed stars.
Spitzer's infrared capability quickly led to numerous
planetary discoveries and infrared mapping of other known
planets, like hot Jupiter HD 149026b. Some 256 light-years
away in the constellation Hercules, a planet dubbed a hot
Jupiter, it is a sweltering 2,040 degrees Celsius, the
hottest planet yet detected, and also the darkest,
reflecting no sunlight back into space. It speeds around its
star every 2.9 days.
A world just two-thirds the size of Earth, one of the
smallest on record, and only 33 light-years away around the
star GJ 436, planet UCF-1.01 might be the nearest world to
our solar system that is smaller than Earth. The planet, a
rocky world, orbits so close to the star that the surface is
probably molten. As with HD 189733b in the constellation of
Alpacula, it appears to be tidally locked to its star,
showing only one face as it orbits. Spitzer was able to
distinguish the various temperatures of its clouds from 650
to 1700 degrees Celsius. Thermal imaging of these hot giants
has provided more details of these distant worlds. In
2009, the game changed with the launch of the Kepler Space
Observatory.
As part of NASA's Discovery Program, the Kepler Space
Telescope was launched to survey and monitor a fixed field
of stars of the nearby Milky Way trailing behind Earth. It
observed around 165,000 stars, watching for any changes in
their brightness. It has located over 1,100 planetary candidates.
Now these are candidates, but most of them, I'm convinced,
will be confirmed in the coming months and years. That's
more than all the people have found so far in history. A
veritable menagerie of planet types is emerging like Kepler
-16b orbiting two stars,
ice worlds and water worlds like Gliese 1214b.
The Kepler team announced today 1,094 new planet candidates,
bringing the total roster up to 2,326. Of those, 207 are
Earth-size, and we now have 48 that are in the habitable
zone, 10 of which are smaller than two Earth radii. So these
are planets that could potentially be rocky. So it's an
exciting milestone because we are really honing in on truly
Earth-sized habitable planets.
The combined surface and space-based system observations
have led scientists to believe that planets around stars are
the rule rather than the exception, and the average
number of planets per star is greater than one.
Kepler has discovered at least 86 stars with multiple
planetary systems. Kepler-11, for example, has six confirmed
planets orbiting a sun-like star. The Kepler-11 planetary
system is amazing. It's amazingly compact. It's amazingly
flat. There's an amazingly large number of big planets
orbiting close to their star. We didn't know such systems
could even exist. There are certainly far fewer than one
percent of stars have systems like Kepler-11. But whether
it's one in a thousand, one in ten thousand, or one in a
million, that we don't know because we only know one of
them.
The growing number of confirmed planets is
opening up new insights into planet formation.
We're learning so much more about the orbits of planets,
the masses of planets, the sizes of planets, and we're just
beginning. Kepler is still returning data, and we're going
to learn a fantastic amount about the diversity of planets
out there around stars within our galaxy. Around each
star is a circumstellar region called the habitable zone.
Sometimes referred to as the Goldilocks zone, this is a
region neither too cold nor too hot, where a planet could,
under the right conditions, support liquid water
at its surface and in turn could support life.
The first Earth-sized planet in a habitable zone was
discovered around a red dwarf. Named Kepler-186f, it is just
ten percent larger than Earth. Kepler-186f is the first
validated Earth-sized planet in the habitable zone of its
star. It's the outermost of five planets to orbit a star
that is smaller and cooler than the sun. This planet orbits
its star every 130 days, and so this places it in the
habitable zone, where it's in a region where it could have
liquid water on its surface. The star Kepler-186 is 500
light years from Earth in the constellation Cygnus. This
planet Kepler-186f orbits a star that's cooler and dimmer
than the sun. So while we may have found a planet that's the
same size as Earth and receives a similar amount of energy
to what Earth receives, it orbits a very different star. So
perhaps instead of an Earth twin, we've discovered an Earth
cousin. Believed to be a rocky world, its mass and density
are yet to be determined. This is one of the big milestones
that we've been looking for in our attempts to find out if
there are places just like home and if there's life out
there. One of the big steps is to say, is there somewhere
that looks, to all intents and purposes, like Earth? Well,
we don't know just yet, but we know that there are places
that at least look similar.
To date, over 48 Earth-like planets have been located within habitable zones.
Gliese 581 has four known planets. The outer D planet is
thought to be an icy planet that has migrated closer to the
star and would thus be covered by a large and deep ocean.
Kepler 62f is likely to have a rocky composition and is only
40% larger than Earth, making it the exoplanet closest to
the size of our planet known in the habitable zone of
another star. Kepler 62e orbits on the inner edge of the
habitable zone and is roughly 60% larger than Earth. Other
recent discoveries include Kepler 438b, 442b and 440b, a
super-Earth.
The super-Earth exoplanet GJ 1214b orbits its faint red
parent star. This is the first super-Earth exoplanet to have
had its atmosphere analyzed. It has a mass about six
times that of the Earth and appears to be surrounded by an
atmosphere of steam or thick clouds or haze.
Based on observations, scientists believe that of the Sun
-like stars, some 22% have an Earth-sized planet orbiting in
the habitable zone. Assuming 200 billion stars in the Milky
Way, that would be 11 billion potentially habitable Earths,
rising to 40 billion worlds if brown dwarfs are included.
Are any of these worlds close to Earth? In fact, yes. The
closest star to our own is the well-known Alpha Centauri
group, with the bright stars Alpha and Beta Centauri, plus
the faint red star Proxima Centauri, the closest star to
Earth.
Alpha Centauri b is known to be orbited by an Earth-mass
planet, making it the closest exoplanet to our solar system,
a meteor. It is located near 4.37 light-years away, almost within our reach.
Now in its fourth observing campaign, the Kepler spacecraft
continues targeting 16,000 stars for exoplanets. It's
estimated that the onboard fuel supply should last until at
least December 2017. So far, Kepler has found an astounding
1,013 confirmed exoplanets around 440 star systems.
The terrestrial telescopes continue to do the heavy lifting
when it comes to verifying possible planet candidates. The
Harpsk spectrographic instrument Atlassia Chile is being
joined by the Next Generation Transit Survey, or NGTS. It
will search for transiting exoplanets with a focus on
discovering Neptune-sized and smaller planets. NGTS is
designed to operate in a robotic mode. It will continuously
monitor the brightness of hundreds of thousands of
comparatively bright stars in the southern skies.
ESO's Very Large Telescope at Cerro Paranal in Chile,
composed of four individual telescopes, will be improved
with the new Next Generation of Adaptive Optic System called
Sphere. Other improved technologies include the Gemini
Planet Imager at nearby Cerro Pacion, now in operation, and
the SUBARU coronagraphic extreme technology currently being
installed and tested.
New, bigger and more powerful telescopes are in the pipeline as well.
The 30-meter telescope, planned for Manuakea, Hawaii, will
have 492 small hexagon mirrors arranged together to form the
primary mirror 30 meters across.
The GMT, or Giant Magellan Telescope, will be built at the
Las Campañas Observatory in Chile. It will consist of seven
8.4-meter mirrors arranged together to make up the primary mirror.
Work on the mirrors is well underway.
The European Extremely Large Telescope in the Atacama Desert
is due for completion in 2024. It will have a 39-meter
diameter mirror made up of 798 hexagonal mirrors and will be
the largest ever built. It will enable scientists to study
the atmosphere of exoplanets more closely.
Space-based telescopes are advancing as well. The Next
Generation Infrared Telescope, James Webb, is nearing
completion as it goes through rigorous testing.
A scheduled launch in October 2018 will put the 6.5-meter
telescope in orbit as a replacement for the Hubble and
Spitzer telescopes.
Like unto the California Gold Rush, there are planets out
there to be found, and the race is on. TESS, the Transiting
Exoplanet Survey Satellite, is scheduled to launch in 2017.
TESS will scan the entire sky searching for exoplanets using
four state-of-the-art cameras. It will be able to determine
the chemical compositions of exoplanet atmospheres.
Also planned for a 2017 launch is KEOPS. Its function is
to characterize transiting exoplanets orbiting bright host
stars. The satellite is a small package, roughly 1.5
meters square, with a life expectancy of five years.
The European Space Agency has commenced a new program called
Cosmic Vision, set to run from 2015 to 2025, with PLATO, an
exoplanet hunter, expected to be launched in 2024. Other
projects underway include PEGAS, under development in
France, EXCEED, the Exoplanetary Circumstaller Environments
and Disk Explorer, NASA, and FINESSE, the Fast Infrared
Exoplanet Spectroscopy Survey Explorer, due to launch 2019.
The Wide Field Infrared Survey Telescope, WFIRST, is another
NASA observatory designed to perform wide-field imaging for
the planet-hunting community. It will be fitted with a
coronagraph instrument for direct imaging of exoplanets and
debris disks.
Another NASA New Worlds mission is the STARSHADE project,
scheduled for a 2019 launch. It will physically block the
star's light with a parasol to allow direct observation of exoplanets.
NASA is already thinking about a future James Webb
replacement. Called the Advanced Technology Large Aperture
Space Telescope, or ATLAST, it will be 2,000 times more
light-sensitive than Hubble. If all goes according to plan,
ATLAST could be launched between 2025 and 2035.
With these new tools and technologies, it is only a matter
of time before we are able to detect Earth-like worlds
capable of supporting life.
Perhaps one day, even a planet emitting radio or other
signals, indicative of a sufficiently advanced intelligent
civilization. Finally answering that great question, are we alone?
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