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In this series, we have explored
the Earth's frozen frontiers.
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We have celebrated the astonishing
variety of animals that are found there.
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And revealed the extraordinary ways
by which they managed to survive.
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At a time when our ice
caps are melting faster than
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ever before. We will meet the
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scientists and people who
are dedicating their lives to
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protecting our frozen planet.
And striving to turn things
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around while there is still
time to do so. It won't be easy,
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but it's doable. It's crucial
that we try to understand what
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the impact will be, not
just for the wildlife and
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the people that live there,
but for you and for me.
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We start our journey in the high Arctic
and the vast frozen expanse of Greenland.
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This huge island is
blanketed by the largest
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store of ice in the
Northern Hemisphere.
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But now, it's shrinking.
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Professor Alan Hubbard is
a glaciologist, and he's spent
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over 30 years studying the
movement of ice along Greenland's
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coastline. It is quite a
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beast of a glacier. It's
just growling constantly.
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Thundering in the background.
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Oh, there we go, bit of activity.
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Carving icebergs is a natural
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process, but what we've seen
in the last 20 years is there's
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been much more melt and much more
ice carving off, producing huge icebergs.
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So it's quite an intimidating
place to be hanging out.
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One thing in particular
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has caused this increase
in melting and carving.
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We put this weather station
here in 2010. ["Pomp and
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Circumstance"] And the hottest
temperature was two days ago,
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at 22.37 degrees centigrade.
That is very, very hot for Greenland.
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As the ice falls into the ocean,
it raises sea levels globally.
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These are now rising by an average
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of four millimeters a year. A
quarter of that comes from the
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Greenland ice sheet. And scientists fear
that this figure could increase rapidly.
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To investigate, Alan has
traveled 70 miles inland to the top
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of the ice sheet, where the
glaciers start their lives as
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compacted snow more than a mile thick.
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Here, the effects of a warming
climate are only too clear.
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There are thousands of
these beautiful azure blue lakes
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littered across the surface
of the ice sheet. The surface
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has always melted in the
summer, but not on this scale.
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And
Alan wants to know what effect
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the increase in meltwater is
having on the ice sheet as a
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whole. The sheer quantity of water
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shifting through this system is crazy.
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Powerful torrents of meltwater
are boring shafts, known as
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moulins, into the ice sheet.
This is nuts. This is a moulin
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actively being formed, a moulin in genesis.
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As we speak, that water
is finding the path of least
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resistance, sculpting this
shaft that's going deep into the
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ice.
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And here it is, just
toppling over a waterfall
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edge and dropping
into the ice sheet.
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But where is all this meltwater
going, and what impact is it
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having on the structure of
the ice sheet? To find out, Alan
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decides to climb inside a
dried-up moulin. I think I must be
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15, 20 meters down here. I'm
going to go down a bit further.
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It's a very narrow shaft here.
It's always been assumed that
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the meltwater drains straight
down and out of the bottom of
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the ice sheet. But what Alan
discovers is very different.
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I can hear a big amount of
water moving in this system. And
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the water is starting to
spread sideways, laterally, so
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the drainage system is
obviously complex, it's interlinked.
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These observations suggest
that the meltwater is branching
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out in every direction, causing
this once-rigid structure to
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destabilize.
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It's a bit rotten.
Everything's rotting here.
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The implications of this are frightening.
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Alan believes that as the
ice sheet begins to thaw,
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it's sliding towards the
ocean at a much faster rate.
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And he's now confirmed that,
using time-lapse, photography.
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The ice, the front, can be
moving in excess of 20 meters a
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day, which is fast. That is a
huge quantity of ice straight
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into the ocean. Some of
Greenland's glaciers are moving
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three times faster today than
they were 30 years ago. As the
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climate's warming, the rate
at which this ice sheet flows is
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absolutely critical. So whereas
at the moment we're thinking
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this thing is going to take
thousands of years of melt and
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disintegrate, if it does
move faster and accelerate, it
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means centuries.
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That is a really contentious
and very important question,
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because this ice sheet has
enough water in it to raise
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global sea level by over seven meters,
and that's a total disaster for humanity.
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Calculations predict that
nearly half a billion people
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living in coastal communities
around the world will be
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displaced by flooding by the
end of the century. But if the
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Greenland ice sheet slips
into the ocean more rapidly, this
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could all happen far sooner.
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Greenland isn't the only
large body of ice in the Arctic. In
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winter, the ocean here freezes
over, creating a cover of ice
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larger than the entire United States.
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This sea ice has
always got smaller in
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summer, but today it's
rapidly disappearing.
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Hotter temperatures are melting
it at an unprecedented rate,
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with worrying consequences
for the wildlife that depends on it.
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For half seals, the sea ice is an excellent
place for giving birth out of the water.
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It provides the defenseless
newborn pups with a safe space
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for their first six weeks until
they're big enough to swim
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proficiently.
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But with the sea ice
disappearing increasingly fast,
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will they be able to adapt?
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In Canada's Gulf of St. Lawrence, a group
of seal biologists are trying to find out.
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But the fragile sea ice is a
challenging place in which to work.
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Go a little further out. To
support a two-ton helicopter,
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the ice must be at least 30
centimeters thick, and the only
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way to find out if that's so is with a
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seal. The team are trying to
discover where the seals go
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when they become independent.
So this is a juvenile harp
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seal, which is exactly what
we've been out on the ice trying
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to find a little ago. They're
absolutely beautiful. We'll be
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putting a satellite transmitter
on the top of this animal's
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head so that every time the
animal comes to the surface we
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can get a location estimate
for where he is at sea. It
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won't harm them in any way,
and in return the amount of
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information we get from them is invaluable.
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It'll be really interesting to
see where these animals go
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as the ice starts to break up
over the coming months. The
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results from the study so
far do not look encouraging.
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Despite migrating huge
distances, when the time comes to
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have pups of their own,
harp seals almost always
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return to the area where
they themselves were born.
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But as the sea ice shrinks, so
does its suitability as a nursery.
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The problem really comes
about if the only ice available in
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the traditional areas is
very thin. They'll still use that
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ice and then you get increased mortality.
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In short, the pups risk
drowning if the ice isn't thick
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enough. And the bigger
question is, will the ice continue to
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exist at all?
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In my lifetime, we've lost about two-thirds
of the summer sea ice in the Arctic.
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And it's likely that in the next
30 years we're going to end
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up with an ice-free Arctic in
the summer. I think one of the
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issues with climate change
is that it's really difficult
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to see. But in the case of
harp seals, it's really quite
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simple.
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If we lose the sea ice in the
Arctic, we lose the harp seals.
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For harp seals, their future,
it has to be said, appears
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uncertain. But what about
the most famous face of climate
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change, the polar bear?
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Can this keenly intelligent animal
adapt to a rapidly changing world?
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As the summer sea
ice melts away, many
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polar bears are forced
to head for dry land.
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Some swim up to 400 miles to get there.
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This is Wrangell, a remote
island in Arctic Russia.
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Wrangell is a unique
place. Bears are part of this
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landscape. It's not suitable
for all of people. If I'm a
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ranger, I like this life.
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Without the sea ice, the hungry
bears cannot hunt seals and
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feed on their calorie-rich
flesh, but find other sources of
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food, including human food supplies.
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This is an invention against polar bears.
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I need to be prepared
against their invasions.
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Each summer, Gennady
is joined by polar bear
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expert Dr. Erik Reger.
We need to cross that ridge.
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Erik wants to find out just how
many bears are ending up here.
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In 20 years of studying
polar bears, I've never been
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anywhere like Wrangell
Island. The density of bears is
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unlike anything I've ever seen
before. This past two years,
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we've seen about 500
bears. My sense is that's just a
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fraction of how many are here.
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But with so many hungry animals in one
place, is there enough food to go round?
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Gennady, if you can keep an
eye out for us, please, like up
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on the hill or just wherever
you got a good view. All right,
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thank you.
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This is a hairtrap, so bears
like anything that smells
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strong, and so this has a
little bit of spoiled cheese,
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milk, and fish in it. So the
goal here is to get a polar
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bear to come in and put its
hand or its head inside this
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box, and when that happens,
these little wire brushes will
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pull out a few pieces of hair
that we can use for scientific
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analyses. You can learn a lot
about polar bears just from a
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piece of their hair. We can
figure out which individual it
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is, or you can get
information on what
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they're eating. There
we go, hair collected.
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Eric's molecular studies of
the polar bear's hair show that
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the bears on Wrangel appear
to be finding enough food. But
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with more and more bears coming here, will
there still be enough food to go round?
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One of the main things we
expect to happen with sea ice loss
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is changes in the movements
and the distribution of polar
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bears. So polar bears are
going to appear in places they
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never were before, and
they're going to disappear from
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places that they were.
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Some coastal towns in Siberia have
been overrun with up to 50 bears at a time.
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They're desperate to eat
whatever they can. And in the city
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of Norilsk, one female was
found an incredible 250 miles
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away from the coast.
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Lost and starving, she
was eventually rescued.
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But many are not so lucky.
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They are intelligent animals,
but there's simply no food on
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land that could compare to
the seals that the bears eat on
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the sea ice.
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A future without polar bears
would be very sad, but the sea
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ice is not just essential
for animals. It's a lifeline for
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many of the four million people
who call the Arctic their home.
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People here call themselves Inuit.
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Alekasiak Perry lives in
Kanak on Greenland's west
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coast, the most northern
Inuit town in the world.
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For centuries, life here has
depended on the sea ice.
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The dogs are the safest
way to travel on the sea ice.
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Without the dogs, our ancestors
would have never survived.
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00:23:05,230 --> 00:23:09,262
Not only are dog sleds a
way to reach neighbouring
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communities, which can be
over 100 miles away, but in a land
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where no crops can grow,
traveling over the sea ice is a
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vital route to food, fur and
livelihood. We rely on the sea
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ice to hunt the seals, to make a living.
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The way of hunting is who we
are and where we come from.
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But the dwindling of the
sea ice is making this way of
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life not only difficult, but
increasingly dangerous.
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This year, the sea ice
has a lot of waterfalls, and
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it's breaking off quite fast.
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We trust our dogs.
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Somehow we know when
they are on the thin ice.
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So based up, we cannot travel.
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Today, they must turn back.
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It has become difficult to
be a hunter. The sea ice has
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00:25:11,111 --> 00:25:20,030
become too dangerous to
make enough money to live. For
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Canach's 650 residents,
the loss of sea ice is the loss
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of an entire way of life,
and it is creating an uncertain
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00:25:31,490 --> 00:25:39,150
future. When the sea ice is
gone, it will affect everything.
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If the world is changing,
then we must change with
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it. But with us, the change
has been going very fast.
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And there's a reason for this
accelerating rate of change.
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In the last 30 years, over
14 trillion tons of ice have
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been lost from the Arctic,
creating a vicious cycle of ever
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-increasing temperatures.
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00:26:27,470 --> 00:26:33,850
Normally, large areas of snow
and ice would act as a mirror,
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reflecting up to 85% of the
sun's rays back into space. But
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as the ice melts, the
great white mirror is being
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00:26:43,589 --> 00:26:46,890
replaced by the darkness
of the ice-free ocean.
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00:26:50,810 --> 00:26:55,659
The dark ocean absorbs the
sun's rays, so causing even more
230
00:26:55,671 --> 00:27:00,370
ice to melt. Creating a
feedback loop that contributes to
231
00:27:00,370 --> 00:27:01,150
further warming.
232
00:27:05,290 --> 00:27:08,951
Because of this, the
Arctic is now warming more
233
00:27:08,963 --> 00:27:12,330
than twice as fast as
the Earth as a whole.
234
00:27:16,330 --> 00:27:21,238
That has far-reaching
consequences not just for the Arctic
235
00:27:21,250 --> 00:27:26,170
Ocean, but for the vast frozen
lands that surround it. The
236
00:27:26,170 --> 00:27:26,970
tundra.
237
00:27:31,070 --> 00:27:37,130
In summer, the open tundra provides
refuge for great concentrations of life.
238
00:27:46,210 --> 00:27:51,194
But today, its thick surface
soil, that has been deeply
239
00:27:51,206 --> 00:27:56,470
frozen for thousands of years,
is thawing. And the pooling
240
00:27:56,470 --> 00:27:59,410
water is creating millions of new lakes.
241
00:28:04,730 --> 00:28:10,650
Here in Alaska, we've seen a 40%
increase in the lake area since the 80s.
242
00:28:13,750 --> 00:28:18,497
Professor Katie Walter-Antony
has worked across Alaska and
243
00:28:18,509 --> 00:28:23,430
Siberia, studying their lakes.
She is interested not so much
244
00:28:23,430 --> 00:28:27,637
in the lakes themselves, but
in what is seeping out of them.
245
00:28:27,649 --> 00:28:31,730
We are seeing a bright spot
in the satellite image that we
246
00:28:31,730 --> 00:28:33,450
suspect is gas bubbling.
247
00:28:38,230 --> 00:28:43,294
To identify the gas in these
bubbles, Katie must collect
248
00:28:43,306 --> 00:28:48,650
some of it. I'm surrounded
by tiny bubbles that are rising.
249
00:28:50,530 --> 00:28:53,370
Methane appears to be the dominant gas.
250
00:28:56,370 --> 00:29:00,606
Methane is produced by the
decaying remains of prehistoric
251
00:29:00,618 --> 00:29:04,650
plants and animals. As the
frozen soil beneath the lake
252
00:29:04,650 --> 00:29:09,184
starts to thaw, it releases
stores of this potent greenhouse
253
00:29:09,196 --> 00:29:13,370
gas, which is up to 30 times
more effective than carbon
254
00:29:13,370 --> 00:29:18,540
dioxide when it comes to
trapping heat in the atmosphere and
255
00:29:18,552 --> 00:29:23,650
accelerating global warming.
45 parts per million for these
256
00:29:23,650 --> 00:29:29,412
tiny bubbles rising higher and
higher. Now it's going above
257
00:29:29,424 --> 00:29:34,910
70. This is a huge amount of
methane. It could be a mega
258
00:29:34,910 --> 00:29:35,410
-seap.
259
00:29:39,550 --> 00:29:42,174
We are discovering more and
more of these methane mega
260
00:29:42,186 --> 00:29:45,110
-seaps. It's streaming out and
entering into the atmosphere.
261
00:29:52,670 --> 00:29:55,630
Methane can be seen escaping from lakes,
262
00:29:59,410 --> 00:30:03,327
but it also rises from the
land wherever the frozen
263
00:30:03,339 --> 00:30:06,890
soil, known as the
permafrost, begins to thaw.
264
00:30:13,710 --> 00:30:20,828
And the arctic tundra is
thawing and collapsing at an
265
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:28,630
unprecedented rate. It's
concerning because permafrost, or
266
00:30:28,630 --> 00:30:34,033
frozen ground, occupies
about a quarter of the northern
267
00:30:34,045 --> 00:30:39,750
hemisphere land surface. As
permafrost thaws, even a small
268
00:30:39,750 --> 00:30:41,890
fraction of that trapped methane escapes.
269
00:30:44,530 --> 00:30:49,970
It will accelerate climate
warming, and you cannot reverse it.
270
00:30:56,310 --> 00:31:00,826
It's clear that in the Arctic,
changes to permafrost on
271
00:31:00,838 --> 00:31:05,690
the land and floating ice on
the sea will have far-reaching
272
00:31:05,690 --> 00:31:10,306
consequences to the planet
as a whole. And there is
273
00:31:10,318 --> 00:31:15,390
nowhere better to see the
extent of these global changes
274
00:31:18,430 --> 00:31:20,050
than from space.
275
00:31:23,490 --> 00:31:28,258
All of my life I've thought
about how this would feel to
276
00:31:28,270 --> 00:31:33,050
gaze back on the planet with
my own eyes. NASA scientist
277
00:31:33,050 --> 00:31:37,945
Jessica Mir has spent six
months in orbit. From the space
278
00:31:37,957 --> 00:31:42,610
station, you have the planet
spinning beneath you, and
279
00:31:42,610 --> 00:31:47,696
you're passing over it at
17,500 miles per hour. We are
280
00:31:47,708 --> 00:31:53,170
going around the entire planet
every 90 minutes. So you can
281
00:31:53,170 --> 00:31:57,866
begin to see larger scale
phenomena in ways that you just
282
00:31:57,878 --> 00:32:02,830
can't experience on the ground.
And we can see the change in
283
00:32:02,830 --> 00:32:07,066
these systems over time. We
cannot deny that we are having
284
00:32:07,078 --> 00:32:11,110
an incredible effect on the
fate of our planet. And the
285
00:32:11,110 --> 00:32:15,737
effect that we have as
humans on our planet, right there
286
00:32:15,749 --> 00:32:20,470
actually, I'm looking down
at several fires. I'm not sure
287
00:32:20,470 --> 00:32:24,230
where those are. Let's take a quick peek.
288
00:32:28,570 --> 00:32:33,410
So right now we're flying over Europe and I
can see some fires over in that direction.
289
00:32:35,890 --> 00:32:39,068
And that is of course
something that we have to
290
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:42,470
contend more and more
with as our climate changes.
291
00:32:45,470 --> 00:32:49,016
As the Arctic warms, wildfires
are not only getting more
292
00:32:49,028 --> 00:32:52,710
intense, but they're breaking
out in parts of the Northern
293
00:32:52,710 --> 00:32:55,590
Hemisphere where they
have never occurred before.
294
00:33:07,930 --> 00:33:11,988
Some scientists believe that
unusually warm air rising in
295
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:16,070
the Arctic is disturbing
high-altitude wind currents like
296
00:33:16,070 --> 00:33:20,905
the polar jet stream. Once
disturbed, the jet stream
297
00:33:20,917 --> 00:33:26,130
produces hotter and drier
conditions much further south.
298
00:33:29,090 --> 00:33:32,748
All of these factors that
contribute to wildfires, the
299
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:36,630
temperature, the soil moisture,
the presence of trees and
300
00:33:36,630 --> 00:33:42,630
shrubs and other fuel, have either strong
direct or indirect ties to climate change.
301
00:33:45,410 --> 00:33:49,830
A warming Arctic may not only be
responsible for the outbreak of wildfires,
302
00:33:53,650 --> 00:33:56,714
but it may also be
leading to extreme weather
303
00:33:56,726 --> 00:34:00,470
conditions across the whole
of the Northern Hemisphere.
304
00:34:03,630 --> 00:34:07,678
I've always cared so much
about the environment and known
305
00:34:07,690 --> 00:34:11,890
that we all need to do our
part in protecting it. But after
306
00:34:11,890 --> 00:34:15,579
seeing this view with my own
eyes, after seeing all of those
307
00:34:15,591 --> 00:34:19,110
ecosystems from up here, it
really makes it resonate even
308
00:34:19,110 --> 00:34:19,990
more loudly.
309
00:34:30,090 --> 00:34:34,494
Outside the Arctic, there's
another frozen realm that
310
00:34:34,506 --> 00:34:39,250
stretches across the world's
continents, a high mountain.
311
00:34:56,250 --> 00:35:00,130
Home to an extraordinary array of species.
312
00:35:23,770 --> 00:35:26,430
But here, too, there's a problem.
313
00:35:31,950 --> 00:35:36,348
Across the world, mountain
glaciers, which have existed for
314
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:40,550
tens of thousands of years,
are shrinking and vanishing.
315
00:35:50,830 --> 00:35:55,212
By the end of this century,
some ranges may have no ice
316
00:35:55,224 --> 00:36:00,010
remaining at all. And this
will affect not just animals, but
317
00:36:00,010 --> 00:36:01,330
people, too.
318
00:36:07,230 --> 00:36:11,272
Ice lost from the mountain
glaciers, from the great ranges
319
00:36:11,284 --> 00:36:15,270
of the world, have a huge
consequence for the populations
320
00:36:15,270 --> 00:36:20,370
downstream. And that
consequence is their water supply.
321
00:36:24,090 --> 00:36:28,012
Glaciers in the Himalayas
are the source of ten of the
322
00:36:28,024 --> 00:36:32,030
largest rivers in Asia, which
together provide reliable
323
00:36:32,030 --> 00:36:35,490
fresh water for around a
billion people downstream.
324
00:36:37,930 --> 00:36:41,710
If the glaciers disappear, so,
too, will the water they supply.
325
00:36:44,710 --> 00:36:50,203
We know that these glaciers
are losing about half a metre of
326
00:36:50,215 --> 00:36:55,630
ice a year. What we don't
know is how much ice is left. So,
327
00:36:55,650 --> 00:36:59,278
if we know how many metres
of ice are left, we can work out
328
00:36:59,290 --> 00:37:02,930
how long they'll last. How
long this water supply will keep
329
00:37:02,930 --> 00:37:07,452
going. Dr Hamish Pritchard
is part of a team of scientists
330
00:37:07,464 --> 00:37:11,690
who have devised a new
instrument to measure ice. They
331
00:37:11,690 --> 00:37:15,888
measure one of the largest
Himalayan glaciers. What we're
332
00:37:15,900 --> 00:37:20,110
putting together here is a
long frame structure, and it's
333
00:37:20,110 --> 00:37:25,253
designed to hang underneath
a helicopter. We're going to put
334
00:37:25,265 --> 00:37:30,250
a radar on it, and the radar
will send out radio waves and
335
00:37:30,250 --> 00:37:34,368
then bounce back off the
bottom of the glacier, and we'll be
336
00:37:34,380 --> 00:37:38,510
able to measure how thick the
ice is. Once his team know how
337
00:37:38,510 --> 00:37:42,770
thick the ice is, they can start
to work out how long it will last.
338
00:37:46,670 --> 00:37:48,959
Yeah, today was the moment
we were just waiting for it to
339
00:37:48,971 --> 00:37:51,390
get lifted up for the first
time. We're hoping it's going to
340
00:37:51,390 --> 00:37:56,030
be nice, steady, stable, nice, easy
lift off, but we're about to find out.
341
00:38:01,710 --> 00:38:02,530
Line is clear.
342
00:38:11,810 --> 00:38:13,410
There's a lot of lifting.
343
00:38:19,850 --> 00:38:24,583
Okay, Mike, we must north
of me, north of H.E.V. to the
344
00:38:24,595 --> 00:38:29,510
Khunjung area. Hi, Dr Hamish
here. How's it flying? Yeah,
345
00:38:29,570 --> 00:38:32,368
with the wind picks up, it's
a little more squirrely, but no
346
00:38:32,380 --> 00:38:35,190
problems otherwise. Yeah, it
might want to go up a bit more.
347
00:38:35,190 --> 00:38:39,013
We're going a little bit
of height there. Yeah, no
348
00:38:39,025 --> 00:38:43,010
problem. Yeah, we'll fly
up the net towards Everest.
349
00:38:54,630 --> 00:38:57,752
After hours of scanning,
the projection for
350
00:38:57,764 --> 00:39:00,970
this particular glacier
is finally revealed.
351
00:39:05,330 --> 00:39:08,272
Yeah, that's pretty nice
and clear. I can see exactly
352
00:39:08,284 --> 00:39:10,910
how thick that ice is.
That's about 150 meters.
353
00:39:13,910 --> 00:39:17,894
So at the current rate of
melting, this section would last
354
00:39:17,906 --> 00:39:21,970
maybe two to three hundred
years. But we know that the melt
355
00:39:21,970 --> 00:39:22,910
rates are increasing.
356
00:39:26,710 --> 00:39:29,247
And this is one of the biggest
glaciers, so there are many,
357
00:39:29,259 --> 00:39:31,850
many glaciers which are much
smaller than this. Much thinner
358
00:39:31,850 --> 00:39:36,550
ice. And they're going to be
disappearing much, much earlier than that.
359
00:39:41,790 --> 00:39:46,465
Water is already scarce in
parts of Asia. And as glacial
360
00:39:46,477 --> 00:39:51,410
water supplies dry up, there
will be even less to go round.
361
00:39:54,370 --> 00:39:57,050
So what happens if
these glaciers disappear?
362
00:39:59,670 --> 00:40:04,857
Is that in dry summers, the
rivers dry up. Tensions rise,
363
00:40:04,869 --> 00:40:09,710
especially between nations
as they share water across
364
00:40:09,710 --> 00:40:10,450
borders.
365
00:40:14,690 --> 00:40:19,550
So one of the big risks of losing this
ice is that it raises the risk of conflict.
366
00:40:22,490 --> 00:40:27,063
And that's a frightening
prospect. If I have a one-year-old
367
00:40:27,075 --> 00:40:31,430
son, children born at the
same time as him will see this
368
00:40:31,430 --> 00:40:31,870
happen.
369
00:40:36,150 --> 00:40:39,810
We need to act now to
turn those trajectories round.
370
00:40:48,570 --> 00:40:53,308
There's no doubt that large
tracts of our frozen wilderness
371
00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:58,070
are undergoing dramatic
changes. But what about the largest
372
00:40:58,070 --> 00:41:01,570
body of ice of all? Antarctica.
373
00:41:05,510 --> 00:41:09,298
We have already seen how
even here, animals live in the ice.
374
00:41:09,310 --> 00:41:13,110
The living around the fringes
are starting to be affected by
375
00:41:13,110 --> 00:41:17,000
climate change, including
chinstrap penguins.
376
00:41:25,750 --> 00:41:31,930
But for another penguin, the Adelie, the
consequences are even more extreme.
377
00:41:39,810 --> 00:41:45,010
I arrived here for the first time in 1974.
378
00:41:50,650 --> 00:41:54,730
This part of the world was just
379
00:41:54,742 --> 00:42:01,210
incomprehensibly wild.
It was filled with life.
380
00:42:05,450 --> 00:42:08,910
Antarctica absolutely captured me.
381
00:42:13,470 --> 00:42:17,618
Professor Bill Frazer
has dedicated his entire
382
00:42:17,630 --> 00:42:21,790
45-year career to
studying the Adelie penguin.
383
00:42:24,470 --> 00:42:30,258
What really fascinated me
was the incredible hardiness of
384
00:42:30,270 --> 00:42:36,370
these penguins. Feisty,
determined, beautiful little animal.
385
00:42:42,310 --> 00:42:45,350
But this environment is changing.
386
00:42:48,450 --> 00:42:53,021
In the last 45 years, the
tremendous warming that has
387
00:42:53,033 --> 00:42:58,210
occurred has had an incredible
impact. The changes have been
388
00:42:58,210 --> 00:43:02,410
very rapid, more rapid
than anyone anticipated.
389
00:43:10,930 --> 00:43:15,269
Bill has witnessed firsthand
how these changes have affected
390
00:43:15,281 --> 00:43:19,490
one of the largest colonies
of Adelies on the western side
391
00:43:19,490 --> 00:43:25,321
of the Antarctic Peninsula.
Four decades ago, this area
392
00:43:25,333 --> 00:43:31,490
contained 20,000 adults.
Currently, we only have somewhere
393
00:43:31,490 --> 00:43:35,492
in the order of 400,000 adults.
We have 100 breeding pairs.
394
00:43:35,504 --> 00:43:39,250
One of the issues that
Adelies are clearly experiencing
395
00:43:39,250 --> 00:43:42,770
right now is just the increase in rainfall.
396
00:43:45,490 --> 00:43:51,800
Adelies are a creature of the
high Antarctic. They evolve in
397
00:43:51,812 --> 00:43:58,030
a dry, cold polar system. They
simply cannot tolerate being
398
00:43:58,030 --> 00:43:59,490
continuously wet.
399
00:44:04,230 --> 00:44:06,070
The chicks are soaking.
400
00:44:09,430 --> 00:44:12,752
The rain is penetrating
their down, breaking
401
00:44:12,764 --> 00:44:15,950
down their ability to
insulate themselves.
402
00:44:18,490 --> 00:44:21,453
That's why you see they're
shivering, because they're just
403
00:44:21,465 --> 00:44:24,390
trying to maintain their body
temperature and they can't.
404
00:44:27,890 --> 00:44:28,450
Sad.
405
00:44:41,950 --> 00:44:47,290
This tiny chick at this point
has zero chances of surviving.
406
00:44:50,470 --> 00:44:52,870
They can't even react to
the presence of a predator.
407
00:45:04,710 --> 00:45:10,430
We are standing, looking
at climate change, actually
408
00:45:10,442 --> 00:45:15,850
killing off these Adelie
penguins, one at a time.
409
00:45:34,450 --> 00:45:38,380
Before he leaves Antarctica
for the last time, Bill is
410
00:45:38,392 --> 00:45:42,190
visiting an island that was
once an Adelie paradise.
411
00:45:46,130 --> 00:45:50,251
When we used to walk
onto this island, you could
412
00:45:50,263 --> 00:45:54,650
immediately hear the
Adelies. They were everywhere.
413
00:45:57,570 --> 00:46:03,248
In 1974, the populations here
were somewhere in the order of
414
00:46:03,260 --> 00:46:08,950
a thousand breeding pairs.
All that remains are these little
415
00:46:08,950 --> 00:46:14,268
pebbles scattered throughout
the area, stones that were used
416
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:19,610
in former nest sites. The
pebbles are still visible, they're
417
00:46:19,610 --> 00:46:25,703
very abundant, but the
birds are gone. This is where
418
00:46:25,715 --> 00:46:32,050
we recorded the first
island-wide extinction of Adelie
419
00:46:32,050 --> 00:46:32,810
penguins.
420
00:46:35,130 --> 00:46:41,390
And now the silence that
exists here is pretty overbearing.
421
00:47:02,630 --> 00:47:11,270
There's no words that can really
describe what I'm feeling at the moment.
422
00:47:18,210 --> 00:47:22,629
We're working with canaries
in the coal mine. The Adelie
423
00:47:22,641 --> 00:47:27,150
penguins are, without a
doubt, indicator species that are
424
00:47:27,150 --> 00:47:31,785
telling us that the globe is
changing, the globe is getting
425
00:47:31,797 --> 00:47:36,290
warmer, it's happening, and
we need to do something about
426
00:47:36,290 --> 00:47:37,090
it.
427
00:47:44,610 --> 00:47:49,179
The disappearance of Adelie
penguins along the Antarctic
428
00:47:49,191 --> 00:47:53,370
Peninsula is just one
example of how record warming
429
00:47:53,370 --> 00:47:56,170
temperatures are affecting life here.
430
00:47:59,790 --> 00:48:04,434
But warming temperatures
are also affecting the very
431
00:48:04,446 --> 00:48:09,630
coastline itself. With serious
implications for global sea
432
00:48:09,630 --> 00:48:10,510
levels...
433
00:48:15,090 --> 00:48:19,123
Across the glaciological
community, we've identified that
434
00:48:19,135 --> 00:48:23,390
sea level rise from Antarctica
is the most pressing question
435
00:48:23,390 --> 00:48:28,050
for the next 50 to 100 years.
And we as a collaborative
436
00:48:28,062 --> 00:48:32,650
group have come together
to try and understand it, and
437
00:48:32,650 --> 00:48:37,271
governments have come
together to try and understand it
438
00:48:37,283 --> 00:48:42,330
because it's important. Professor
Sridhar Anandakrishnan has
439
00:48:42,330 --> 00:48:47,008
been working in the polar
regions for over three decades.
440
00:48:47,020 --> 00:48:51,710
He's part of a team of
scientists undertaking the largest
441
00:48:51,710 --> 00:48:56,442
Antarctic expedition for
more than 70 years. Their
442
00:48:56,454 --> 00:49:01,850
destination is a remote part
of western Antarctica called
443
00:49:01,850 --> 00:49:04,070
the Thwaites Ice Shelf.
444
00:49:07,950 --> 00:49:13,130
Without getting out on the ice, you
can't measure things underneath the ice.
445
00:49:17,430 --> 00:49:21,678
Those kinds of things can't
be done from space. They can't
446
00:49:21,690 --> 00:49:25,950
be done by drones or aircraft
flying over it. You actually
447
00:49:25,950 --> 00:49:29,170
have to go and put your
instruments on the ice.
448
00:49:35,190 --> 00:49:41,324
The interior of Antarctica
is covered in a giant sheet of
449
00:49:41,336 --> 00:49:47,270
ice, which for millennia has
been slowly flowing to the
450
00:49:47,270 --> 00:49:47,670
coast.
451
00:49:52,370 --> 00:49:57,271
But because it's so cold
here, rather than carve into the
452
00:49:57,283 --> 00:50:02,450
sea, the ice continues to flow
out into the ocean, forming a
453
00:50:02,450 --> 00:50:05,150
floating platform known as an ice shelf.
454
00:50:10,610 --> 00:50:15,740
As an ice shelf grows, it begins
to act as a dam, preventing
455
00:50:15,752 --> 00:50:20,810
more of the ice sheet behind
it from slipping into the sea.
456
00:50:23,690 --> 00:50:29,470
And the Thwaites Ice Shelf holds
back a body of ice the size of Florida.
457
00:50:32,350 --> 00:50:36,831
But scientists are concerned
that the ice shelf itself is
458
00:50:36,843 --> 00:50:41,490
now at risk of melting. We're
going down through 600 meters
459
00:50:41,490 --> 00:50:47,390
of ice. Once we drill the hole, I'm
going to put the explosive charge down.
460
00:50:51,570 --> 00:50:54,930
Small seismic surveys...
Okay, firing the hole.
461
00:50:57,630 --> 00:51:01,398
...help establish exactly
where to sink their robotic
462
00:51:01,410 --> 00:51:05,190
underwater probe, which
the team hope will record the
463
00:51:05,190 --> 00:51:09,906
temperature of the seawater
directly beneath the ice shelf.
464
00:51:09,918 --> 00:51:14,410
Okay, Andy, ready to
descend. Try to go a little slower.
465
00:51:15,130 --> 00:51:19,230
Okay. Coming up on 75
meters. 75 meters now.
466
00:51:28,530 --> 00:51:34,250
425 meters. We've arrived
at the ice-ocean interface.
467
00:51:37,490 --> 00:51:42,406
Early results are not encouraging.
Have we noticed a huge
468
00:51:42,418 --> 00:51:47,430
change in the temperature?
Uh, yeah. It is warm water. Can
469
00:51:47,430 --> 00:51:52,469
you see it melt? Like, what's
going on there? Because of
470
00:51:52,481 --> 00:51:57,710
climate change, warmer seas
directly beneath the ice shelf
471
00:51:57,710 --> 00:52:04,657
are melting it from below.
So it's no longer a question of
472
00:52:04,669 --> 00:52:11,510
if this giant dam will disappear,
but when. When the vast
473
00:52:11,510 --> 00:52:15,698
ice sheet behind it spills
into the ocean, it could have
474
00:52:15,710 --> 00:52:19,910
catastrophic consequences
for global sea levels over the
475
00:52:19,910 --> 00:52:20,890
coming centuries.
476
00:52:24,930 --> 00:52:28,225
The amount of water
that Antarctica contains
477
00:52:28,237 --> 00:52:31,250
that could go into
the ocean is so huge.
478
00:52:35,270 --> 00:52:39,639
This is a global problem.
The oceans are all connected
479
00:52:39,651 --> 00:52:44,510
together, so as soon as a
glacier puts water into the ocean,
480
00:52:45,650 --> 00:52:47,550
it rises all over the world.
481
00:52:50,890 --> 00:52:56,025
If sea levels rise as
predicted, by the year 2050, 150
482
00:52:56,037 --> 00:53:01,090
million people could be
displaced from coastal areas.
483
00:53:05,590 --> 00:53:10,876
And by 2070, cities including
Miami, New York, Shanghai
484
00:53:10,888 --> 00:53:15,430
and Mumbai will be at
risk of serious flooding.
485
00:53:19,090 --> 00:53:24,408
How much water will Antarctica
contribute to sea level rise?
486
00:53:24,420 --> 00:53:29,750
The biggest wild cardinal of
that is how we as humans affect
487
00:53:29,750 --> 00:53:30,750
climate.
488
00:53:56,130 --> 00:54:01,028
Recently, at COP26, 120
nations came together in
489
00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:06,050
an effort to limit global
warming to 1.5 degrees.
490
00:54:08,790 --> 00:54:11,883
While a 1.5 degree rise
will still bring significant
491
00:54:11,895 --> 00:54:15,410
changes with it, to some
extent, it will be a challenge. To
492
00:54:15,410 --> 00:54:18,374
understand any chance of
saving what remains of our
493
00:54:18,386 --> 00:54:21,590
frozen planet and saving
ourselves from the devastating
494
00:54:21,590 --> 00:54:26,982
consequences of its loss, we
must stick to this commitment
495
00:54:26,994 --> 00:54:32,490
and honor it no matter how
challenging it might be. We know
496
00:54:32,490 --> 00:54:37,898
that climate change is happening.
We know the main driver of
497
00:54:37,910 --> 00:54:43,330
climate change is human
activities, it's human emissions. As
498
00:54:43,330 --> 00:54:46,396
a whole human species, we
are not recognizing the impact
499
00:54:46,408 --> 00:54:49,270
that we're having and the
fact that we do need to do
500
00:54:49,270 --> 00:54:54,234
something. But the important
thing is that I believe all
501
00:54:54,246 --> 00:54:59,310
these processes are reversible.
If everybody can make the
502
00:54:59,310 --> 00:55:02,567
effort of doing just one
thing, reducing their carbon
503
00:55:02,579 --> 00:55:06,150
footprint. Consume less, think
about what we need, what we
504
00:55:06,150 --> 00:55:11,039
really want. Think more sensibly
about the journeys we take,
505
00:55:11,051 --> 00:55:15,630
about the food we eat, how
that's produced. Figure out a
506
00:55:15,630 --> 00:55:17,790
lifestyle that is sustainable.
507
00:55:21,590 --> 00:55:27,895
And we're right at the point
where we can generate all the
508
00:55:27,907 --> 00:55:34,010
power that we need from
renewable sources like solar and
509
00:55:34,010 --> 00:55:39,951
wind. To do that, you need
to really transform society as
510
00:55:39,963 --> 00:55:45,710
a whole. We can speak to
our representatives to try and
511
00:55:45,710 --> 00:55:51,620
reconsider energy policies.
If enough of us are educated
512
00:55:51,632 --> 00:55:57,970
about the effects of carbon in
the atmosphere, even the most
513
00:55:57,970 --> 00:56:02,702
poorly educated politician
will respond to what their
514
00:56:02,714 --> 00:56:07,810
citizenry wants. The awareness
and the concern is greater
515
00:56:07,810 --> 00:56:13,303
now than it ever has been.
So that gives us some hope. It
516
00:56:13,315 --> 00:56:18,630
won't be easy, but it's
doable. If you can do something
517
00:56:18,630 --> 00:56:23,218
about it, then do it.
Instead of just thinking about
518
00:56:23,230 --> 00:56:27,570
it, if you can do something
about it, then do it.
519
00:56:34,490 --> 00:56:47,530
We can do it. It's within our power
to do it. We can do it. We must do it.
520
00:56:53,890 --> 00:56:57,250
Then there will be a future for the planet.
521
00:57:31,190 --> 00:57:41,830
We can do it. We can
522
00:57:41,830 --> 00:57:42,010
do it.
48206
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