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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:05,840 Most people see this and think culture. 2 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,240 They see a charming eco-friendly 3 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:11,040 tradition. 4 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:13,439 But look closer. This isn't just people 5 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:16,000 liking to pedal. What you were watching 6 00:01:13,439 --> 00:01:18,799 is a highfrequency, low friction 7 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:20,159 economic machine. Ultimately, private 8 00:01:18,799 --> 00:01:22,320 car ownership is going to become 9 00:01:20,159 --> 00:01:23,680 obsolete. Cities are building for 10 00:01:22,320 --> 00:01:25,119 pedestrians. They're building for 11 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:28,320 cycling. They're building for 12 00:01:25,119 --> 00:01:31,040 livability, not for cars. 13 00:01:28,320 --> 00:01:34,920 The bike economy, the multi-billion 14 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,920 dollar system of Amsterdam. 15 00:01:36,159 --> 00:01:42,960 In Amsterdam, the bicycle isn't a toy. 16 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:45,759 It is a critical urban infrastructure. 17 00:01:42,960 --> 00:01:50,280 If this system failed today, the city's 18 00:01:45,759 --> 00:01:50,280 economy would collapse tomorrow. 19 00:01:50,399 --> 00:01:55,520 For decades, the world has viewed 20 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:58,719 Amsterdam through a romantic lens. But 21 00:01:55,520 --> 00:02:01,280 cities don't run on vibes. They run on 22 00:01:58,719 --> 00:02:03,200 systems. And when a system moves 23 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:06,159 hundreds of thousands of people every 24 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:09,440 single day, it stops being a choice and 25 00:02:06,159 --> 00:02:12,239 starts demanding three things: space, 26 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:14,480 rules, and capital. 27 00:02:12,239 --> 00:02:16,640 Research shows that the cycling system 28 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:20,480 contributes benefits equivalent to 29 00:02:16,640 --> 00:02:23,680 roughly 3% of the Netherlands GDP. This 30 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:26,000 isn't just green energy. It's hard cash 31 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:28,640 saved in public health, reduced 32 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:31,440 absenteeism at work, and most 33 00:02:28,640 --> 00:02:34,080 importantly, unlocked productivity. 34 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:36,800 Every person on a bike is a person who 35 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:40,000 isn't taking up 12 square m of public 36 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:42,319 space with a car. That freed up space 37 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:45,840 allows for high value real estate, 38 00:02:42,319 --> 00:02:50,840 commerce, and tourism. In economics, we 39 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:50,840 call this optimization of land use. 40 00:02:52,319 --> 00:02:59,200 But success created a crisis. By the 41 00:02:55,680 --> 00:03:01,280 2010s, Amsterdam had a clutter problem. 42 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:04,720 Thousands of bikes were choking the 43 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:06,720 streets. The solution? One of the most 44 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:09,840 expensive and daring engineering 45 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:13,120 projects in the city. They built a 46 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:15,280 cathedral for 7,000 bicycles 47 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:17,920 under the water. 48 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:19,920 It cost millions. From a traditional 49 00:03:17,920 --> 00:03:23,360 linear perspective, spending that much 50 00:03:19,920 --> 00:03:25,920 on free parking seems insane. But from a 51 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:28,239 circular economy perspective, a model 52 00:03:25,920 --> 00:03:31,680 where Amsterdam is a global leader with 53 00:03:28,239 --> 00:03:34,400 30.6% circularity rate, it was a 54 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:36,560 mandatory investment. As we see in the 55 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:39,120 latest urban governance reports, 56 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:41,760 planning isn't an option here. It's the 57 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:44,400 only way to exist. 58 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:47,440 In this documentary, we are going beyond 59 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:50,560 the postcard. We will travel back to 60 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:53,760 1965 to see why the first sharing 61 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:56,480 economy experiment failed. We will use 62 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:59,519 scientific GPS data to track the shadow 63 00:03:56,480 --> 00:04:02,959 economy of the 80,000 bikes stolen every 64 00:03:59,519 --> 00:04:05,040 year. And we will explore how Amsterdam 65 00:04:02,959 --> 00:04:08,560 is using the bicycle to become the 66 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:12,000 world's first 100% circular city by 67 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:14,159 2050. This is the story of how a humble 68 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:16,880 machine with two wheels became the 69 00:04:14,159 --> 00:04:19,880 backbone of a multi-billion dollar urban 70 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,880 miracle. 71 00:04:22,639 --> 00:04:28,720 To understand why Amsterdam spends €85 72 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:31,199 million on underwater parking today, we 73 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:34,479 have to go back to a time when the city 74 00:04:31,199 --> 00:04:37,479 almost lost its soul to the car, the 75 00:04:34,479 --> 00:04:37,479 1960s. 76 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:48,000 As postwar prosperity grew, Amsterdam 77 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:50,160 was being choked by motor vehicles. 78 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:52,240 In response, a counterculture group 79 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:54,720 called the Provos launched what would 80 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:58,240 become the first bike sharing program in 81 00:04:54,720 --> 00:05:00,639 history, the Vita Fieten Plan, or the 82 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:03,199 White Bike Plan. 83 00:05:00,639 --> 00:05:04,720 Their proposal was radical and purely 84 00:05:03,199 --> 00:05:07,759 idealistic. 85 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:10,240 paints 20,000 bicycles white, leave them 86 00:05:07,759 --> 00:05:14,160 unlocked across the city, and let anyone 87 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:17,360 use them for free. No keys, no coins, no 88 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:20,320 owners. They viewed mobility as a public 89 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:23,680 good, as essential and free as the air 90 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:27,600 we breathe. On paper, it was a circular 91 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:30,639 economy. Avant laletra. In practice, it 92 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:33,680 was a disaster. Within days, the system 93 00:05:30,639 --> 00:05:35,440 collapsed. Why? Because the provos 94 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:41,080 ignored a fundamental principle of 95 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:41,080 economics, the tragedy of the commons. 96 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,960 for 97 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:21,360 without ownership or registration. 98 00:06:18,639 --> 00:06:24,319 Public property quickly became nobody's 99 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:26,720 property. In an unregulated system with 100 00:06:24,319 --> 00:06:29,440 zero entry cost, the incentive to 101 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:32,240 maintain the asset disappears. Without 102 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:35,039 locks or registration, public property 103 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:37,039 quickly became nobody's property. The 104 00:06:35,039 --> 00:06:39,840 police confiscated the bikes because 105 00:06:37,039 --> 00:06:42,479 they invited theft and the citizens 106 00:06:39,840 --> 00:06:44,479 driven by individual rationalism either 107 00:06:42,479 --> 00:06:47,199 took them home or threw them into the 108 00:06:44,479 --> 00:06:49,919 canals. 109 00:06:47,199 --> 00:06:52,000 The lesson was harsh. You cannot have a 110 00:06:49,919 --> 00:06:54,319 massive urban transit system based 111 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:57,960 solely on romanticism. 112 00:06:54,319 --> 00:06:57,960 You need governance. 113 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:05,759 However, the white bikes planted a seed. 114 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:07,440 It shifted the economic debate. The city 115 00:07:05,759 --> 00:07:09,680 realized that if they didn't want to 116 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:12,319 spend billions on highways like Los 117 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:15,039 Angeles or London, they had to invest in 118 00:07:12,319 --> 00:07:17,440 a different kind of capital. Transition 119 00:07:15,039 --> 00:07:20,479 requires not just technology, but a 120 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:22,560 change in urban metabolism. 121 00:07:20,479 --> 00:07:24,800 The failure of the white bikes taught 122 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:26,960 Amsterdam that the bicycle had to be 123 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:30,080 integrated into the formal economy of 124 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:33,759 the city, not as a rebel symbol, but as 125 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:35,759 a regulated, taxed, and planned asset. 126 00:07:33,759 --> 00:07:38,560 Today, the free spirit of the white 127 00:07:35,759 --> 00:07:41,759 bikes only survives in one place, the 128 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:43,919 Hoga Veluve National Park. But in the 129 00:07:41,759 --> 00:07:46,720 city, the white bike has been replaced 130 00:07:43,919 --> 00:07:49,199 by a sophisticated capital incentive 131 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:51,520 model. We no longer trust in the 132 00:07:49,199 --> 00:07:54,560 goodness of the user. We trust in 133 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:56,960 incentives. We move the tragedy of the 134 00:07:54,560 --> 00:08:00,160 commons to a system of managed common 135 00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:03,280 pool resources. In economics, success 136 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:06,160 can be as disruptive as failure. By the 137 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:08,720 late 2010s, Amsterdam was a victim of 138 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:11,199 its own efficiency. With nearly 1 139 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:14,000 million bicycles in the city, the urban 140 00:08:11,199 --> 00:08:16,879 surface had reached a breaking point. 141 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:20,080 Every bridge, railing, and sidewalk was 142 00:08:16,879 --> 00:08:22,639 occupied by idle metal. 143 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:25,759 This wasn't just an aesthetic grievance. 144 00:08:22,639 --> 00:08:28,080 It was an economic bottleneck. Thousands 145 00:08:25,759 --> 00:08:31,120 of parked bikes were clogging the city's 146 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:34,159 arteries, slowing down 200,000 daily 147 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:36,240 commuters at Central Station. In one of 148 00:08:34,159 --> 00:08:38,880 the world's most expensive real estate 149 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:41,200 markets, free surface parking is a 150 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:43,760 luxury that a functional city cannot 151 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:47,120 afford. The opportunity cost of that 152 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:50,480 space was becoming too high. To solve 153 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:53,440 this, Amsterdam launched the entre, a 154 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:56,240 massive urban reconfiguration project. 155 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:59,440 The crown jewel, the open haven 156 00:08:56,240 --> 00:09:02,959 underwater parking. Consider that 157 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:06,320 figure. Spending €60 million just to 158 00:09:02,959 --> 00:09:08,720 store 7,000 bicycles underwater. 159 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:11,839 To a traditional accountant, this looks 160 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:14,480 like a massive sunk cost. But to an 161 00:09:11,839 --> 00:09:18,240 urban economist, it's a master stroke of 162 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:20,560 asset management. By moving 7,000 bikes 163 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:23,360 beneath the water, the city performed 164 00:09:20,560 --> 00:09:25,360 open heart surgery on its central hub. 165 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:28,640 They reclaimed the surface, restoring 166 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:30,959 the landscape to its 1900's aesthetic. 167 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:34,240 This isn't just about beauty. It's about 168 00:09:30,959 --> 00:09:36,480 maximizing pedestrian flow. A station 169 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:39,120 that breathes and flows is a station 170 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:42,160 that generates higher economic value for 171 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:45,200 the surrounding businesses. However, an 172 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:47,040 85 million euro asset must be managed 173 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:50,000 like a high performance logistics 174 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:52,720 center. You cannot allow zombie bikes to 175 00:09:50,000 --> 00:09:54,720 occupy these slots indefinitely. 176 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:58,320 This is where the incentive structure 177 00:09:54,720 --> 00:10:01,680 comes into play. The primary goal isn't 178 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:04,240 profit, it's turnover. By offering the 179 00:10:01,680 --> 00:10:07,600 first 24 hours for free, the city 180 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:10,080 subsidizes the daily workforce. But by 181 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:12,160 charging a daily fee thereafter, they 182 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:15,040 penalize long-term storage and 183 00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:17,920 abandonment. Using advanced optical 184 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:21,120 sensors, the city monitors idle infantry 185 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:23,760 in real time, ensuring that these 7,000 186 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:27,959 slots remain a liquid asset for those 187 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:27,959 who keep the economy moving. 188 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:33,240 Finally, we must consider the cost of 189 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:33,240 friction. 190 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,600 Transport, 191 00:11:03,680 --> 00:11:06,760 the last 192 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:13,519 In transport economics, every second 193 00:11:10,959 --> 00:11:15,760 lost in a transfer is a loss in human 194 00:11:13,519 --> 00:11:17,839 capital and productivity. 195 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:19,839 This underwater facility connects 196 00:11:17,839 --> 00:11:22,959 directly to the metro and train 197 00:11:19,839 --> 00:11:25,279 platforms. A commuter can transition 198 00:11:22,959 --> 00:11:27,680 from their bicycle to their train seat 199 00:11:25,279 --> 00:11:30,480 in less than 2 minutes, shielded from 200 00:11:27,680 --> 00:11:32,480 the elements. This level of intermodel 201 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:34,959 synergy is exactly what makes 202 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:37,440 Amsterdam's circular economy, currently 203 00:11:34,959 --> 00:11:40,399 at a record 30.6% 204 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:45,000 circularity rate, a functional reality 205 00:11:40,399 --> 00:11:45,000 rather than just a policy goal. 206 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:12,320 But this transition to a highly 207 00:12:09,519 --> 00:12:14,560 regulated system created its own set of 208 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:17,440 problems. Because when you turn a 209 00:12:14,560 --> 00:12:20,000 bicycle into a valuable economic asset, 210 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:23,440 you create something else. A black 211 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:26,320 market. In Amsterdam, data doesn't tell 212 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:29,120 the whole story. While police record 213 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:32,000 11,000 thefts a year, the reality is 214 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:34,880 closer to 80,000. 215 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:37,440 Most citizens don't report it. Cost of 216 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:39,760 time is higher than the bike's value. 217 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:41,920 This creates a massive shadow market 218 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:45,120 operating entirely outside the official 219 00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:48,160 GDP. Forget the myth of international 220 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:51,920 bike smuggling rings. 221 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:54,079 A 2023 study tracking 100 bikes proved 222 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:57,200 that stolen assets rarely leave the 223 00:12:54,079 --> 00:12:59,920 city. Instead, they feed a shadow 224 00:12:57,200 --> 00:13:02,000 circular economy. Your stolen bike is 225 00:12:59,920 --> 00:13:04,560 sold to a street dealer and then bought 226 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:09,360 by your neighbor. It's a localized, 227 00:13:04,560 --> 00:13:11,519 untaxed, and illegal closed loop. 228 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:14,079 High theft risk creates a market 229 00:13:11,519 --> 00:13:16,480 distortion. If you expect your bike to 230 00:13:14,079 --> 00:13:20,240 be stolen within months, you don't buy 231 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:22,560 quality, you buy junk. This beta bike 232 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:25,200 equilibrium keeps the city's transport 233 00:13:22,560 --> 00:13:27,200 fleet low quality and forces owners to 234 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:29,200 spend more on locks than the bikes 235 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:32,000 themselves. 236 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:34,320 These aren't victimless crimes. They are 237 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:38,240 negative externalities that drain city 238 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:41,200 resources. Amsterdam's answer, the Fiat 239 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:43,600 depot. Since the city couldn't stop the 240 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:46,720 theft, it decided to manage the orphaned 241 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:49,360 assets. Because in a circular city, even 242 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:50,959 a stolen bike is a resource that must be 243 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:53,959 managed to maintain the urban 244 00:13:50,959 --> 00:13:53,959 metabolism. 245 00:13:54,399 --> 00:13:58,639 In a city with more bicycles than 246 00:13:56,480 --> 00:14:00,399 people, orphaned assets are an 247 00:13:58,639 --> 00:14:02,320 inevitability. 248 00:14:00,399 --> 00:14:05,279 Every year, thousands of bikes are 249 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:07,920 simply left behind. In economic terms, 250 00:14:05,279 --> 00:14:10,639 this is dead capital. They occupy 251 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:12,560 valuable public space, provide zero 252 00:14:10,639 --> 00:14:14,160 utility, and degrade the urban 253 00:14:12,560 --> 00:14:16,079 landscape. 254 00:14:14,160 --> 00:14:18,480 According to official Amsterdam 255 00:14:16,079 --> 00:14:20,959 regulations, the city must intervene 256 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:23,199 when private property interferes with 257 00:14:20,959 --> 00:14:25,760 public efficiency. 258 00:14:23,199 --> 00:14:28,639 Whether is an improperly parked bike 259 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:30,800 blocking an emergency exit or a wreck 260 00:14:28,639 --> 00:14:32,959 that is no longer functional, the 261 00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:36,800 municipality acts as the ultimate 262 00:14:32,959 --> 00:14:39,600 enforcer of spatial order. 263 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:43,360 All seized bicycles are transported to a 264 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:45,680 central facility, the FID depot. This is 265 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:48,800 a logistical powerhouse that manages the 266 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:51,440 city's lost capital. This isn't just a 267 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:55,120 pound. It's a sorting facility for the 268 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:57,120 city's metal metabolism, the retrieval. 269 00:14:55,120 --> 00:15:01,279 Owners have around 6 weeks to claim 270 00:14:57,120 --> 00:15:03,199 their bike for a fee, approximately €25. 271 00:15:01,279 --> 00:15:05,600 This fee doesn't cover the full 272 00:15:03,199 --> 00:15:08,800 operational cost, but it serves as a 273 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:11,199 user pays tax to discourage abandonment. 274 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:13,680 If your bicycle was removed from a city 275 00:15:11,199 --> 00:15:15,680 parking facility, you will also pay 276 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:20,160 €33.75 277 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:23,440 parking cost. The sorting only about 25% 278 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:26,399 of bikes are ever reclaimed. The rest 279 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:28,399 they are classified as waste or asset. 280 00:15:26,399 --> 00:15:33,040 Here is where the circular economy 281 00:15:28,399 --> 00:15:35,920 strategy 2020 to 2025 becomes tangible. 282 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:40,160 Amsterdam aims to reduce the use of new 283 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:42,399 raw materials by 50% by 2030. 284 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:44,240 The Fiat's depot doesn't just scrap 285 00:15:42,399 --> 00:15:47,120 everything. 286 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:49,279 Refurbishment. Bikes in decent condition 287 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:52,160 are sold to social enterprises or 288 00:15:49,279 --> 00:15:54,800 secondhand shops. They are recirculated 289 00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:56,880 into the economy at a low price point, 290 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:59,440 providing affordable mobility for 291 00:15:56,880 --> 00:16:01,040 lowincome residents. 292 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:03,360 Education. 293 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:06,079 Many are used in vocational training 294 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:08,720 programs, turning junk, into a teaching 295 00:16:06,079 --> 00:16:11,680 tool for future mechanics. Raw 296 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:14,560 materials, the unsalvageable ones, are 297 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:17,839 sold as highquality scrap metal, feeding 298 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:19,759 back into the industrial cycle. 299 00:16:17,839 --> 00:16:23,199 What we see here is a complete life 300 00:16:19,759 --> 00:16:24,959 cycle management of a transport mode. 301 00:16:23,199 --> 00:16:26,959 The biggest challenge for circular 302 00:16:24,959 --> 00:16:29,680 cities is the lack of effective 303 00:16:26,959 --> 00:16:31,839 governance mechanisms. Amsterdam 304 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:34,399 succeeds because it treats the bicycle 305 00:16:31,839 --> 00:16:36,720 as a public utility. From the 306 00:16:34,399 --> 00:16:39,279 multi-million euro investment under the 307 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:41,120 water to the scrap metal in the harbor, 308 00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:45,880 the city manages the entire 309 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:45,880 cradletograve cycle of the bicycle. 310 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:52,320 Amsterdam is no longer just building 311 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:55,839 bike lanes. It is building a new 312 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:59,199 economic DNA. The city has set a target 313 00:16:55,839 --> 00:17:04,519 that many economists call impossible to 314 00:16:59,199 --> 00:17:04,519 be 100% circular by 2050. 315 00:17:05,439 --> 00:17:10,959 This means that by midentury, every gram 316 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:13,520 of steel in a bicycle and every stone in 317 00:17:10,959 --> 00:17:14,880 a bridge must stay within the economic 318 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:17,679 loop. 319 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:20,880 The take, make, waste model will be 320 00:17:17,679 --> 00:17:23,679 extinct. For Amsterdam, the bicycle is 321 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:26,640 the alpha product, the test case for how 322 00:17:23,679 --> 00:17:29,919 a city can move, consume, and recycle 323 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:33,120 without depleting the planet's capital. 324 00:17:29,919 --> 00:17:35,360 To reach 100% circularity, the concept 325 00:17:33,120 --> 00:17:38,640 of private ownership is being challenged 326 00:17:35,360 --> 00:17:41,360 by a more efficient model, product as a 327 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:43,360 service. You don't buy the bike, you 328 00:17:41,360 --> 00:17:45,280 rent the mobility. 329 00:17:43,360 --> 00:17:46,880 So we talk a lot about ownership as a 330 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:49,919 service, but it's this idea of, you 331 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:52,240 know, something as a service. So in our 332 00:17:49,919 --> 00:17:54,240 case, bike as a service, it's all of the 333 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:55,919 benefits of ownership, but none of the 334 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,919 drawbacks. So none of having to deal 335 00:17:55,919 --> 00:17:59,520 with the maintenance or or any of the 336 00:17:57,919 --> 00:18:00,559 things that come with actually owning 337 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,799 something. 338 00:18:00,559 --> 00:18:05,760 >> Economically, this aligns the incentives 339 00:18:02,799 --> 00:18:08,559 of the producer and the consumer. If the 340 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:11,280 bike breaks, it's the company's problem, 341 00:18:08,559 --> 00:18:13,039 not yours. by centralizing all of that 342 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,559 maintenance. Obviously, we cut cost 343 00:18:13,039 --> 00:18:16,720 significantly. We cut waste 344 00:18:14,559 --> 00:18:19,280 significantly. Um, but for the 345 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:20,799 individual user, um, they have nothing 346 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:22,080 to worry about. You know, as a 347 00:18:20,799 --> 00:18:23,520 subscriber, you get all of your 348 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:25,280 maintenance. So, we come and do 349 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:27,440 preventative maintenance. So, first of 350 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:29,360 all, that obviously reduced the cost um 351 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:31,600 overall, not so much to the end user, 352 00:18:29,360 --> 00:18:33,039 but the cost of the business. Um, that 353 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:35,760 prevents breakdowns and things like 354 00:18:33,039 --> 00:18:39,039 that. But in the end, if you think about 355 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:40,400 um the cost of time, the cost of effort, 356 00:18:39,039 --> 00:18:42,160 um maybe you don't even know how to 357 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,760 maintain your own bike, um having a 358 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,919 service that does all of that for you is 359 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:48,559 just a a matter of convenience. 360 00:18:45,919 --> 00:18:51,520 >> This forces manufacturers to design for 361 00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:54,480 durability and modularity, the core 362 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:56,799 pillars of this circular economy. When 363 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:58,799 the city manages the flow and private 364 00:18:56,799 --> 00:19:01,760 companies manage the maintenance, the 365 00:18:58,799 --> 00:19:03,760 shadow economy of theft we saw in act 366 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:05,679 three begins to shrink. 367 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:07,200 >> So if you subscribe to a bike from 368 00:19:05,679 --> 00:19:08,880 Clover and your bike gets stolen, first 369 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:10,880 of all, we actually probably will notice 370 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:13,280 that it got stolen maybe even before you 371 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:15,520 did because we have GPS on all the 372 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:17,760 bikes. Um, but if it does get stolen, 373 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:19,200 you use our WhatsApp chat. You basically 374 00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:21,840 send us a message and we come and bring 375 00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:24,320 you a new bike immediately. Why steal a 376 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:26,880 bike that is tracked, branded, and has 377 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:29,280 no resale value in a subscription-based 378 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:31,039 market? 379 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:33,600 So, what is the final return on 380 00:19:31,039 --> 00:19:37,280 investment? Let's look at the triple 381 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:39,760 bottom line. Public health. By avoiding 382 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:42,400 11,000 deaths annually through active 383 00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:46,000 transport, the Dutch economy saves 19 384 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:49,200 billion in health care costs. 385 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:51,840 urban density. By utilizing underwater 386 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:54,160 parking and vertical depots, Amsterdam 387 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:56,480 maintains a population density that 388 00:19:54,160 --> 00:20:00,240 would be impossible with cars, keeping 389 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:02,880 real estate productivity at peak levels. 390 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:05,440 Resource independence by reclaiming 391 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:08,160 metal from the Fiat's depot. The city 392 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:10,880 insulates itself from global commodity 393 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:14,000 price shocks. This is a sustainable 394 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:16,240 urban metabolism. The city isn't just a 395 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:18,799 place where people live. It's a living 396 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:21,200 organism that processes resources with 397 00:20:18,799 --> 00:20:23,440 maximum efficiency. 398 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:25,840 Amsterdam's success has sent a clear 399 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:28,080 message to the rest of the continent. 400 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:30,960 Spatial efficiency is the only way 401 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:33,360 forward for the modern metropolis. 402 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:35,360 Across Europe, the bicycle has moved 403 00:20:33,360 --> 00:20:37,520 from being a leisure tool to a 404 00:20:35,360 --> 00:20:39,760 cornerstone of urban recovery and 405 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:42,400 economic resilience. 406 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:45,440 In Paris, a city once defined by its 407 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:48,080 congestion, the plano is investing 408 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:51,520 hundreds of millions to become 100% 409 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:53,840 cyclable. In Barcelona, the super blocks 410 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:58,159 are reclaiming entire intersections from 411 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:59,840 cars to create humanentric lungs. 412 00:20:58,159 --> 00:21:03,440 These aren't just environmental 413 00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:05,840 projects, they are market corrections. 414 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:08,320 The cities are betting that a quieter, 415 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:10,720 cleaner, and more agile urban center 416 00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:13,600 will attract more talent, more tourism, 417 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:16,240 and higher property values. 418 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:18,720 From the cycle superighways of London to 419 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:21,760 the industrial hubs of Germany, the 420 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:25,120 economic logic is consistent. Replacing 421 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:27,520 a 1 and 1/2 ton vehicle with a 15 kg 422 00:21:25,120 --> 00:21:29,440 machine reduces the cost of maintenance 423 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:32,320 for the city and increases the 424 00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:34,480 productivity of the citizen. 425 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:36,720 But while northern capitals have the 426 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:39,520 advantage of decades of infrastructure, 427 00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:41,520 the real test is happening in the south. 428 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:43,760 In the Mediterranean, where the street 429 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:46,080 is a social space and the sun is a 430 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:48,720 constant resource, a new leader is 431 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:51,200 emerging. A city that has used the 432 00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:55,080 Amsterdam blueprint to transform itself 433 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:55,080 at record speed. 434 00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:10,039 forgo. 435 00:22:58,159 --> 00:23:04,280 If Amsterdam is the blueprint, Valencia 436 00:23:00,799 --> 00:23:04,280 is the laboratory. 437 00:23:05,360 --> 00:23:08,360 Okay. 438 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,600 Not the fact 439 00:23:47,919 --> 00:23:52,159 In less than a decade, this 440 00:23:49,679 --> 00:23:54,559 Mediterranean city has transitioned from 441 00:23:52,159 --> 00:23:58,760 a car ccentric capital to a global 442 00:23:54,559 --> 00:23:58,760 reference in urban metabolism. 443 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:26,000 Valencia's transformation wasn't a 444 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:28,080 matter of vibes or romanticism. It was a 445 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,679 calculated investment in spatial 446 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:31,919 efficiency. 447 00:24:29,679 --> 00:24:33,520 >> I think attracting top global talent 448 00:24:31,919 --> 00:24:35,360 means that you need to have a vibrant, 449 00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:37,360 livable city. And I think most young 450 00:24:35,360 --> 00:24:39,520 people um particularly who are coming 451 00:24:37,360 --> 00:24:41,600 into the workforce now are looking for 452 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:44,080 ways to get around a city that doesn't 453 00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:46,720 rely on public transit. They don't want 454 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:48,640 to own a car um because car ownership is 455 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,880 a total burden. Having to find parking, 456 00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:52,400 insurance, cost of the car, all of that. 457 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,640 So having this accessible 458 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:56,559 infrastructure, cycling infrastructure 459 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:58,480 specifically, and in a city like 460 00:24:56,559 --> 00:25:00,480 Valencia that, you know, already has a 461 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:02,880 lot of reasons to attract top talent, 462 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,720 just makes it that much better. Um, 463 00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:06,400 cycling is a preferred way to get around 464 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:08,400 in Valencia, we're number seven in the 465 00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:10,400 world for cycling to work, for example. 466 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:12,640 So adding a layer of an easy 467 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:14,880 subscription ebike service to that just 468 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:16,799 again attracts even more um top talent 469 00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:19,840 to the city. 470 00:25:16,799 --> 00:25:21,919 By implementing the Anilo Crista, the 471 00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:24,720 city has reclaimed high value public 472 00:25:21,919 --> 00:25:27,039 space to boost local commerce and reduce 473 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:29,200 the toxic liability of the car. 474 00:25:27,039 --> 00:25:30,960 >> It's important to remember that um often 475 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,720 times with cars, although they can fit 476 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:34,640 multiple people, most of the time it's 477 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:36,400 one person per one car. So when we're 478 00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:38,320 asking about, you know, 10 bikes versus 479 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:40,559 one car, we're essentially saying 10 480 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:42,320 people versus one person. So we have a 481 00:25:40,559 --> 00:25:43,840 10x multiplier on essentially everything 482 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:45,200 that's happening on that street. Whether 483 00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:47,039 that be visits to businesses, whether 484 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,480 that be transactions and purchases, 485 00:25:47,039 --> 00:25:50,400 everything gets that 10x multiplier and 486 00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:52,880 increases revenue for the whole street. 487 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:55,200 >> In economics, this is the optimization 488 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:57,440 of land use. The same principle that 489 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,320 drove Amsterdam to build under its 490 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,080 canals. 491 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:02,880 >> If I'm cycling and I pass by, for 492 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:04,240 example, a bakery, I go I smell that 493 00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,520 bakery and I go, "Oh, you know what? 494 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,279 Maybe I'm going to stop in, try 495 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,799 something, one of those products." Um, 496 00:26:07,279 --> 00:26:10,080 you know, essentially become a patron of 497 00:26:08,799 --> 00:26:11,600 that business. Whereas if I'm passing by 498 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:14,159 in a car, there's no chance of that 499 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,840 happening. And the other benefit is um 500 00:26:14,159 --> 00:26:17,679 car parking also has this sort of 501 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:19,440 psychological effect on the streets and 502 00:26:17,679 --> 00:26:21,039 the people that live there. Car parking 503 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:23,120 makes the space feel a lot more closed 504 00:26:21,039 --> 00:26:24,559 in and a lot more cramped than bike 505 00:26:23,120 --> 00:26:25,760 parking, which keeps the space very nice 506 00:26:24,559 --> 00:26:27,760 and open. 507 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:30,559 >> Emerging businesses are shifting the 508 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:32,799 market from ownership to usership. 509 00:26:30,559 --> 00:26:34,400 >> You know, our customers, they depend on 510 00:26:32,799 --> 00:26:36,880 their bikes as a reliable way to get 511 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:39,279 around. And so we use an ownership as a 512 00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:41,600 service model. So instead of owning the 513 00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:43,440 asset yourself, um you subscribe to it 514 00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:45,120 from us. And we think that's what 515 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,960 customers need in terms of reliable 516 00:26:45,120 --> 00:26:49,600 day-to-day transportation. If you look 517 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:52,240 at something like Lime or Valon BC, they 518 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:54,640 will have that idle asset problem. Um 519 00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:56,480 and certainly ownership obviously the 520 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:58,880 same thing. But with us, you know, 521 00:26:56,480 --> 00:27:00,799 handling maintenance, battery swapping, 522 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:03,039 theft protection, insurance, all of 523 00:27:00,799 --> 00:27:04,880 that. Um and yet still having access to 524 00:27:03,039 --> 00:27:07,279 the bike anytime you want. It's your 525 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:09,679 bike. Subscription models like Swap 526 00:27:07,279 --> 00:27:12,559 Fiats, which already dominate the Dutch 527 00:27:09,679 --> 00:27:15,039 market, are landing in Valencia. These 528 00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:17,120 companies treat the bike as a service, 529 00:27:15,039 --> 00:27:18,400 covering all maintenance and repairs for 530 00:27:17,120 --> 00:27:20,080 a monthly fee. 531 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,240 >> Ownership isn't necessarily a bad 532 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:23,919 investment, but I think um most 533 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,360 consumers are moving away from owning 534 00:27:23,919 --> 00:27:27,120 things. You know, people are leasing 535 00:27:25,360 --> 00:27:29,840 their cars, people are, you know, more 536 00:27:27,120 --> 00:27:31,600 and more renting their homes. Um so for 537 00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:33,840 us, a subscription model made sense. 538 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:36,080 That and affordability. This eliminates 539 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:39,039 the fear of theft and long-term 540 00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:41,360 depreciation, turning the bicycle into a 541 00:27:39,039 --> 00:27:44,559 predictable low- friction utility for 542 00:27:41,360 --> 00:27:47,520 the modern worker. The impact extends to 543 00:27:44,559 --> 00:27:49,520 logistics. In Valencia's historic 544 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:51,919 center, where large trucks are 545 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:54,399 increasingly restricted, last mile 546 00:27:51,919 --> 00:27:56,880 delivery by cargo bike is becoming the 547 00:27:54,399 --> 00:27:59,279 gold standard for efficiency. We are 548 00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:01,760 witnessing the birth of micro hubs, 549 00:27:59,279 --> 00:28:04,080 small urban distribution centers that 550 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:07,360 allow for zero emission high-speed 551 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:09,039 delivery in highdensity zones. From the 552 00:28:07,360 --> 00:28:11,440 massive underwater investments in 553 00:28:09,039 --> 00:28:14,000 Amsterdam to the emerging subscription 554 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:17,039 models in Valencia, the message is 555 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:19,919 clear. The bicycle is no longer just a 556 00:28:17,039 --> 00:28:22,480 hobby. It is a financial instrument and 557 00:28:19,919 --> 00:28:23,600 a spatial optimizer. 558 00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:26,080 You know, when we were speaking to 559 00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:28,399 consumers about how we could get them to 560 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:30,240 switch from a car to an ebike, it was 561 00:28:28,399 --> 00:28:32,480 all about convenience. So, it was about 562 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:34,480 this idea that, you know, with a car, 563 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:36,240 you can go point A to point B whenever 564 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:38,320 you want. You're not relying on public 565 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,399 transit or any of those things. But if 566 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:42,080 you need gas, you go to a gas station, 567 00:28:40,399 --> 00:28:44,399 it takes 5 minutes, and you're back on 568 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:46,240 your way. People perceived ebikes as 569 00:28:44,399 --> 00:28:47,760 inconvenient because, oh, what if I 570 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,840 forget to charge the battery? Then it's 571 00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:52,080 just kind of a very heavy paper weight. 572 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:53,679 Um, but if we eliminate that need for 573 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:56,159 charging and people can just come and 574 00:28:53,679 --> 00:28:58,240 collect a charge battery anytime, um, it 575 00:28:56,159 --> 00:29:00,960 helps break that barrier to entry for 576 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:03,039 getting out of a car. By integrating 577 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:05,520 these new business models with public 578 00:29:03,039 --> 00:29:08,559 planning, Valencia is securing its place 579 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:11,200 in the 21st century economy. Proving 580 00:29:08,559 --> 00:29:14,720 that a dense functional city isn't just 581 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:16,559 a choice, it's a competitive necessity. 582 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:18,559 >> Ultimately, private car ownership is 583 00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:20,080 going to become obsolete. Cities are 584 00:29:18,559 --> 00:29:21,760 building for pedestrians. They're 585 00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:24,320 building for cycling. They're building 586 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:26,320 for livability, not for cars. 587 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:28,480 >> Throughout this documentary, we have 588 00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:31,520 seen the gears of a massive economic 589 00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:34,480 machine. But there is a final myth we 590 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:36,880 must dismantle. The idea that cities 591 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:39,360 like Amsterdam or Valencia look like 592 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:41,840 this because their citizens are simply 593 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:45,600 different. History tells a different 594 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:47,520 story. In the 1970s, Amsterdam was on 595 00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:50,480 the verge of becoming another car 596 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:53,200 ccentric congested metropolis. The 597 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:56,080 transition we see today wasn't a natural 598 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:58,799 evolution of culture. It was a hostile 599 00:29:56,080 --> 00:30:01,679 takeover of urban space by a policy and 600 00:29:58,799 --> 00:30:04,399 planning. When a city reaches a certain 601 00:30:01,679 --> 00:30:07,279 density, freedom of choice in transport 602 00:30:04,399 --> 00:30:10,799 becomes a mathematical impossibility. 603 00:30:07,279 --> 00:30:12,799 If everyone chooses a car, no one moves. 604 00:30:10,799 --> 00:30:15,520 In this high stakes environment, 605 00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:18,000 planning is not an option. It is the 606 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:21,039 only way to survive. What is the 607 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:23,919 ultimate harvest of this planning? It is 608 00:30:21,039 --> 00:30:26,240 the 3% GDP boost we mentioned at the 609 00:30:23,919 --> 00:30:27,760 start. But it's also found in the 610 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:30,960 margins, 611 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:32,880 the fiscal savings by avoiding the need 612 00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:35,279 for multi-billion euro highway 613 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:38,320 expansions and massive health care costs 614 00:30:35,279 --> 00:30:41,360 related to sedentary lifestyles. 615 00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:43,600 The resilience factor by creating a 616 00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:46,399 circular metropolis that can process its 617 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:48,399 own waste at the Kruu depot and turn it 618 00:30:46,399 --> 00:30:51,600 back into capital. 619 00:30:48,399 --> 00:30:53,679 The talent magnet in the global war for 620 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:56,960 talent. Highly skilled workers choose 621 00:30:53,679 --> 00:30:59,279 cities based on livability. Amsterdam's 622 00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:01,919 bicycle infrastructure is its most 623 00:30:59,279 --> 00:31:03,760 effective recruitment tool. We started 624 00:31:01,919 --> 00:31:06,960 this journey looking at a simple 625 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:09,520 machine, two wheels and a frame. But as 626 00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:12,480 we've seen, the bicycle in Amsterdam is 627 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:15,200 much more than a transport mode. It is a 628 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:18,080 financial instrument. It is a spatial 629 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:21,039 optimizer. It is the invisible engine 630 00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:25,039 that allows a medieval city to function 631 00:31:21,039 --> 00:31:28,000 as a 21st century economic powerhouse. 632 00:31:25,039 --> 00:31:30,399 The €85 million spent on underwater 633 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:33,440 tunnels, the complex logistics of the 634 00:31:30,399 --> 00:31:36,640 Kruquest Depo, or the new Mediterranean 635 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:39,919 bike lanes are not costs. They are 636 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:42,480 investments in resilience. 637 00:31:39,919 --> 00:31:44,720 In a world of rising energy prices and 638 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:47,679 shrinking urban space, the Amsterdam 639 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:49,919 model offers a glimpse into the future. 640 00:31:47,679 --> 00:31:52,640 It proves that the most sophisticated 641 00:31:49,919 --> 00:31:55,360 technology isn't always a new gadget. 642 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:58,640 Sometimes it's the perfect integration 643 00:31:55,360 --> 00:32:01,640 of an old idea into a new circular 644 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,640 world. 645 00:33:06,159 --> 00:33:09,159 Imagine 646 00:33:17,519 --> 00:33:21,279 for a moment, what if your Bitcoin 647 00:33:19,519 --> 00:33:23,360 holdings could purchase more than just 648 00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:25,840 everyday items like coffee or the latest 649 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:27,760 gadgets? What if that digital currency 650 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:30,159 sitting in your wallet could actually 651 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:33,960 buy you a house or perhaps even an 652 00:33:30,159 --> 00:33:33,960 entire commercial building? 653 00:33:44,559 --> 00:33:48,640 Welcome to the fascinating and rapidly 654 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:50,399 evolving world of crypto real estate 655 00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:55,000 where digital assets are being 656 00:33:50,399 --> 00:33:55,000 transformed into tangible property. 657 00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:02,080 Today, we're taking a deep dive into the 658 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:04,080 revolutionary intersection of 659 00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:06,640 cryptocurrency and property ownership, 660 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:08,879 examining in detail how Bitcoin is 661 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:10,800 successfully transforming what were once 662 00:34:08,879 --> 00:34:13,040 purely digital coins into tangible 663 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:14,560 physical real estate investments. 664 00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:16,560 Whether you're an experienced crypto 665 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:18,480 investor looking to diversify your 666 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:20,159 portfolio or simply someone who's 667 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:22,320 curious about emerging trends in 668 00:34:20,159 --> 00:34:24,240 property markets, this is an in-depth 669 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:25,839 look at how the landscape and future of 670 00:34:24,240 --> 00:34:28,000 real estate transactions is 671 00:34:25,839 --> 00:34:30,560 fundamentally evolving and changing 672 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:32,560 before our eyes. 673 00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:34,480 The financial world is in constant 674 00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:36,560 transformation, but in this decade, 675 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:39,919 digitalization has accelerated that 676 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:42,800 change faster than anyone imagined. 677 00:34:39,919 --> 00:34:44,960 Today, money, investments, and assets 678 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:47,679 flow through codes silent, transparent, 679 00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:50,480 and borderless. Cryptocurrencies led by 680 00:34:47,679 --> 00:34:52,480 Bitcoin mark the beginning of a new era. 681 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:54,240 They shook the foundations of the global 682 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:57,040 financial system, sparking both 683 00:34:54,240 --> 00:34:59,760 excitement and skepticism. Yet, behind 684 00:34:57,040 --> 00:35:03,960 that phenomenon emerged something even 685 00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:03,960 deeper. Tokenization. 686 00:35:06,079 --> 00:35:09,079 Contraos 687 00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:28,440 real world assets. 688 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,800 Foreign 689 00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:04,800 tokenization brings. So it's the most 690 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:06,480 suitable, most modern ledger technology 691 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,119 uh ideal for modernizing capital 692 00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:10,320 markets. 693 00:36:07,119 --> 00:36:12,320 >> The idea is simple, the impact enormous. 694 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:14,960 Each token represents a fraction of an 695 00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:16,960 asset, a share, a bond, a property, or 696 00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:19,040 even a work of art, all recorded on a 697 00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:22,040 blockchain, a global tamper proof 698 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:22,040 ledger. 699 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,599 Smart contracts. 700 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,520 bureau. 701 00:36:56,800 --> 00:37:00,800 >> We believe the next step going forward 702 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:04,800 will be the tokenization of financial 703 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:07,680 assets and that means every stock, every 704 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:09,920 bond will have its own basically QIP. 705 00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:12,640 It'll be on one general ledger. In other 706 00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:15,280 words, a token isn't just an asset. It's 707 00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:17,599 a digital entry in a new kind of ledger 708 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:19,920 that is rewriting how capital markets 709 00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:22,240 keep their books. Investment in 710 00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:23,839 tokenized real estates represents one of 711 00:37:22,240 --> 00:37:26,800 the most recent advancements in the 712 00:37:23,839 --> 00:37:29,040 property industry. Tokenization enables 713 00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:33,960 houses and apartments to be divided and 714 00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:33,960 sold and numerous smaller units. 715 00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,480 Foreom 716 00:38:10,079 --> 00:38:13,079 Small 717 00:38:20,720 --> 00:38:24,720 programs act like a bridge between a 718 00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:26,480 property and online trading platform. 719 00:38:24,720 --> 00:38:28,000 Hence, tokens create a digital 720 00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:32,359 representation of a property 721 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:32,359 facilitating its digital transfer. 722 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:37,599 The process of purchasing a property is 723 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:40,000 still associated with significant 724 00:38:37,599 --> 00:38:42,480 bureaucracy, lengthy procedures, and 725 00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:45,760 subsequent high costs. 726 00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:48,160 So what exactly is crypto real estate? 727 00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:50,480 At its core, the term refers to any real 728 00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:53,280 estate transaction where cryptocurrency 729 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:55,760 plays a major role either as a direct 730 00:38:53,280 --> 00:39:00,040 form of payment, a converted asset, or 731 00:38:55,760 --> 00:39:00,040 collateral for purchasing property. 732 00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:06,200 real estate, 733 00:39:07,599 --> 00:39:10,599 Bitcoins. 734 00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:31,800 Crypto reference loans. 735 00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:56,320 But the concept goes even deeper than 736 00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:58,320 that. Crypto real estate includes buying 737 00:39:56,320 --> 00:40:00,400 a home directly with Bitcoin or other 738 00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:03,520 cryptocurrencies, using stable coins 739 00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:06,480 like USDT or USDC for a more stable 740 00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:08,400 purchase, converting crypto into fiat at 741 00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:09,839 closing, taking out loans backed by 742 00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:11,520 cryptocurrency to purchase real 743 00:40:09,839 --> 00:40:13,520 property, tokenized real estate where 744 00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:15,200 ownership is fractionalized into digital 745 00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:16,800 token, blockchain based property 746 00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:19,800 records, and smart contract driven 747 00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:19,800 transactions. 748 00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,320 Stable coins. 749 00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:52,040 Stable coins. 750 00:41:00,720 --> 00:41:06,200 EMT. E A R T 751 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:18,520 U USDT 752 00:41:22,319 --> 00:41:25,319 USDC 753 00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:40,760 US 754 00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:48,520 stable coinry. 755 00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:03,480 Fore 756 00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:31,920 for example. 757 00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:45,119 It's an evolution in how value moves 758 00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:47,280 around the world. And for the first 759 00:42:45,119 --> 00:42:51,720 time, digital wealth is becoming a 760 00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:51,720 direct pathway to physical ownership. 761 00:42:53,359 --> 00:42:57,119 To understand how we arrived at this 762 00:42:55,359 --> 00:42:59,599 moment, we need to step back and look at 763 00:42:57,119 --> 00:43:01,680 the timeline. Bitcoin launched in 2009 764 00:42:59,599 --> 00:43:03,599 as a peer-to-peer digital alternative to 765 00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:05,440 money. In its early years, the idea of 766 00:43:03,599 --> 00:43:07,760 using Bitcoin to buy real estate was 767 00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:10,000 laughable. But Bitcoin grew, first 768 00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:12,560 crossing $1, then a 100, then a 769 00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:15,119 thousand, then tens of thousands. A new 770 00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:17,200 wave of wealth was created. Suddenly, 771 00:43:15,119 --> 00:43:19,280 early adopters who once bought pizza 772 00:43:17,200 --> 00:43:22,319 with Bitcoin now had enough digital 773 00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:24,640 value to buy entire homes, and sellers 774 00:43:22,319 --> 00:43:26,720 began paying attention. The first public 775 00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:29,520 record of a property purchased fully in 776 00:43:26,720 --> 00:43:31,359 Bitcoin. and dates back to 2017. From 777 00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:34,079 there, the trend spread to luxury 778 00:43:31,359 --> 00:43:36,400 markets. Miami, Los Angeles, New York, 779 00:43:34,079 --> 00:43:38,400 Dubai, and London. Developers began 780 00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:40,560 marketing properties specifically to 781 00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:43,359 crypto buyers. Brokers started 782 00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:45,920 specializing in crypto transactions. 783 00:43:43,359 --> 00:43:47,760 Escrow companies adapted. 784 00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:51,040 Even governments began studying 785 00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:53,599 blockchainbased property registries. 786 00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:56,160 Buying real estate with Bitcoin isn't 787 00:43:53,599 --> 00:43:58,079 science fiction. Some sellers now accept 788 00:43:56,160 --> 00:44:00,079 crypto directly, while others work 789 00:43:58,079 --> 00:44:03,280 through brokers who convert Bitcoin into 790 00:44:00,079 --> 00:44:05,359 local currency. The process is faster, 791 00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:07,680 borderless, and sometimes even tax 792 00:44:05,359 --> 00:44:10,079 efficient if you know the rules. Things 793 00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:13,520 that sounded impossible in 2010 became 794 00:44:10,079 --> 00:44:15,760 normal by 2020. And now in the 2020s, 795 00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:18,160 cryptocurrency is becoming a serious 796 00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:20,079 player in global real estate. The crypto 797 00:44:18,160 --> 00:44:22,319 boom has created a new class of 798 00:44:20,079 --> 00:44:24,880 investors. High- netw worth individuals 799 00:44:22,319 --> 00:44:27,520 want to diversify and real estate is a 800 00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:30,400 safe tangible asset. From luxury homes 801 00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:32,720 in Miami to condos in Dubai, Bitcoin 802 00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:34,720 buyers are making their mark. Let's look 803 00:44:32,720 --> 00:44:36,480 at a few real world examples to 804 00:44:34,720 --> 00:44:40,160 understand how crypto real estate works 805 00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:42,640 in practice. Case study one. In 2021, a 806 00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:45,119 luxury penthouse at Arte by Antonio 807 00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:48,640 Satario in Surfside, Florida made 808 00:44:45,119 --> 00:44:50,480 history. The property sold for $22.5 809 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:52,800 million, paid entirely in 810 00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:54,960 cryptocurrency. The largest publicly 811 00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:57,520 known real estate transaction completed 812 00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:59,040 using digital assets at the time. A 813 00:44:57,520 --> 00:45:01,359 developer's decision to accept 814 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:03,359 cryptocurrency had paid off. The sale 815 00:45:01,359 --> 00:45:05,040 came just weeks after the developer 816 00:45:03,359 --> 00:45:06,880 announced it would begin accepting 817 00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:08,480 cryptocurrency payments through a 818 00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:10,560 partnership with blockchain platform 819 00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:12,480 Solid Block. According to Forbes, the 820 00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:15,119 deal demonstrated that crypto was no 821 00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:17,280 longer just a speculative asset. It had 822 00:45:15,119 --> 00:45:20,240 become a viable method for purchasing 823 00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:22,800 high-end real estate. Case study 2. In 824 00:45:20,240 --> 00:45:24,800 Dubai, one of the earliest large-scale 825 00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:27,599 experiments with crypto real estate 826 00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:30,480 unfolded at Aston Plaza and residences 827 00:45:27,599 --> 00:45:32,400 located in Dubai Science Park. Marketed 828 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:34,640 as one of the first major developments 829 00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:36,400 in the region to accept Bitcoin. The 830 00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:38,720 project offered apartments priced 831 00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:40,800 directly in cryptocurrency. 832 00:45:38,720 --> 00:45:43,520 Buyers were able to commit funds using 833 00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:45,359 Bitcoin, capturing global attention. But 834 00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:48,319 the story also revealed the risks of 835 00:45:45,359 --> 00:45:51,760 innovation. Originally advertised as a 836 00:45:48,319 --> 00:45:53,920 $325 million development. The project 837 00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:56,319 later stalled and its completion became 838 00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:59,200 uncertain. While crypto payments were 839 00:45:56,319 --> 00:46:01,359 accepted, it remains unclear whether all 840 00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:03,760 buyers ultimately received finished 841 00:46:01,359 --> 00:46:06,240 properties. The case highlighted both 842 00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:09,119 the promise and the pitfalls of early 843 00:46:06,240 --> 00:46:12,160 crypto adoption real estate. Case study 844 00:46:09,119 --> 00:46:14,000 three. In 2025, Spain recorded one of 845 00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:16,640 its first officially reported property 846 00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:19,599 sales completed with Bitcoin. A property 847 00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:21,599 in Madrid valued at approximately 1.5 848 00:46:19,599 --> 00:46:23,760 million of euros was purchased by an 849 00:46:21,599 --> 00:46:25,680 international buyer using Bitcoin. The 850 00:46:23,760 --> 00:46:28,319 transaction followed standard real 851 00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:30,720 estate procedures including escrow, 852 00:46:28,319 --> 00:46:33,040 legal compliance, and the conversion of 853 00:46:30,720 --> 00:46:35,040 crypto into euros for the seller. It 854 00:46:33,040 --> 00:46:37,040 marked a significant milestone showing 855 00:46:35,040 --> 00:46:39,280 that cryptocurrency could integrate into 856 00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:41,839 traditional real estate systems even in 857 00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:44,480 highly regulated European markets. Case 858 00:46:41,839 --> 00:46:47,040 study 4. In the United States, crypto 859 00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:49,599 adoption hasn't been limited to coastal 860 00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:52,000 tech hubs. An agent with Safabi 861 00:46:49,599 --> 00:46:54,880 International Realy in Delaware reported 862 00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:57,680 selling a luxury property for $175 863 00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:59,760 million paid in Bitcoin. Believed to be 864 00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:01,440 one of the state's first major real 865 00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:03,680 estate transactions involving 866 00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:05,760 cryptocurrency, the sale was widely 867 00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:07,680 publicized as a local milestone, 868 00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:09,680 signaling that crypto real estate was 869 00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:14,359 beginning to reach beyond niche markets 870 00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:14,359 and into everyday property transactions. 871 00:47:15,119 --> 00:47:18,599 Genius Act. 872 00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:34,599 different stable coins. 873 00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:16,040 Maximum. 874 00:48:29,599 --> 00:48:32,599 for 875 00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:01,040 technology. 876 00:49:06,000 --> 00:49:10,559 Taken together, these cases tell a 877 00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:12,800 larger story, one of experimentation, 878 00:49:10,559 --> 00:49:15,119 success, setbacks, and growing 879 00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:17,359 legitimacy. Crypto real estate is no 880 00:49:15,119 --> 00:49:19,599 longer hypothetical. It's happening 881 00:49:17,359 --> 00:49:23,359 transaction by transaction across the 882 00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:25,040 globe. But it's not all smooth sailing. 883 00:49:23,359 --> 00:49:27,599 Crypto's value can be volatile. 884 00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:30,079 Regulations vary by country, and tax 885 00:49:27,599 --> 00:49:32,400 implications can be tricky. First, 886 00:49:30,079 --> 00:49:34,559 volatility. Bitcoin and other 887 00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:36,400 cryptocurrencies can move dramatically, 888 00:49:34,559 --> 00:49:38,240 sometimes losing or gaining a third of 889 00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:40,559 their value in weeks. For buyers who 890 00:49:38,240 --> 00:49:44,000 convert at closing, rapid swings can 891 00:49:40,559 --> 00:49:47,119 erase gains or spike costs in hours. 892 00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:49,200 Second, transaction mechanics and title. 893 00:49:47,119 --> 00:49:51,280 Even when a seller accepts crypto, most 894 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:52,720 governments and land registries require 895 00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:55,119 deeds to be issued in the local 896 00:49:52,720 --> 00:49:57,280 currency. That usually means an 897 00:49:55,119 --> 00:49:59,200 intermediary converts crypto to fiat 898 00:49:57,280 --> 00:50:01,440 before the legal title is registered, 899 00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:03,119 adding counterparty risk and an extra 900 00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:06,000 step that can delay and complicate 901 00:50:03,119 --> 00:50:07,760 settlements. Third, taxes. In many 902 00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:09,839 jurisdictions, authorities treat crypto 903 00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:11,760 as property, not currency, which makes 904 00:50:09,839 --> 00:50:14,079 nearly every transfer a taxable event. 905 00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:16,160 That includes sales, exchanges, and 906 00:50:14,079 --> 00:50:18,400 sometimes even payments for goods or 907 00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:20,640 services. Buyers and sellers must track 908 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:22,800 cost basis gains and report the 909 00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:25,359 transactions accurately or face audits 910 00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:27,280 and penalties. Fourth, lending and 911 00:50:25,359 --> 00:50:28,880 counterparty risk. Cryptoback lending 912 00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:30,720 exploded in the previous market cycle, 913 00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:32,960 but it ended with high-profile collapses 914 00:50:30,720 --> 00:50:34,800 and bankruptcies. When platforms fail, 915 00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:36,720 borrowers and depositors can lose access 916 00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:38,400 to funds. Collateral can be liquidated 917 00:50:36,720 --> 00:50:40,160 at a loss and promise liquidity 918 00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:42,079 disappears, a danger for anyone relying 919 00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:44,240 on thirdparty services to bridge crypto 920 00:50:42,079 --> 00:50:45,599 and property purchases. 921 00:50:44,240 --> 00:50:48,079 Fifth, compliance and 922 00:50:45,599 --> 00:50:49,760 anti-moneylaundering rules. Regulators 923 00:50:48,079 --> 00:50:51,599 and global bodies have tightened rules 924 00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:53,839 around virtual assets to prevent elicit 925 00:50:51,599 --> 00:50:56,240 flows. Real estate transactions are high 926 00:50:53,839 --> 00:50:57,920 on that list, meaning additional KYC, 927 00:50:56,240 --> 00:51:00,000 source of fund checks, and reporting 928 00:50:57,920 --> 00:51:01,920 requirements. Failure to meet these 929 00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:04,160 standards can stall a sale, trigger 930 00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:07,280 investigations, or expose participants 931 00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:09,599 to legal liability. Sixth, operational 932 00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:11,359 and technical risk. Crypto transactions 933 00:51:09,599 --> 00:51:12,960 are irreversible. A single wrong 934 00:51:11,359 --> 00:51:14,640 character in a wallet address or a 935 00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:16,319 fishing attack on an email with wiring 936 00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:17,760 instructions can send millions to the 937 00:51:16,319 --> 00:51:20,160 wrong place and there's no bank to 938 00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:22,559 reverse the transfer. Seven, technology 939 00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:24,559 risk, smart contracts, tokenization, and 940 00:51:22,559 --> 00:51:26,640 new platforms bring innovation, but also 941 00:51:24,559 --> 00:51:28,720 software bugs and design flaws. A poorly 942 00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:31,040 written smart contract or an unodudited 943 00:51:28,720 --> 00:51:33,200 tokenization platform can freeze assets, 944 00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:35,920 misallocate ownership shares, or enable 945 00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:37,680 exploits. Finally, market and 946 00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:39,200 reputational risk. Developers and 947 00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:40,800 brokers who accept crypto can attract 948 00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:42,720 new buyers, but they also take on 949 00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:44,400 greater scrutiny, regulatory compliance 950 00:51:42,720 --> 00:51:46,000 burdens, and the risk that projects 951 00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:48,240 promoted with crypto funding may 952 00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:51,040 underdel, stall, or become entangled in 953 00:51:48,240 --> 00:51:53,359 legal disputes. In short, crypto can 954 00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:56,000 speed and globalize property deals. But 955 00:51:53,359 --> 00:51:58,559 it also layers on volatility, regulatory 956 00:51:56,000 --> 00:52:00,640 complexity, and new failure modes. For 957 00:51:58,559 --> 00:52:02,960 buyers, sellers, and advisers, the 958 00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:04,800 lesson is clear. proceed with rigorous 959 00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:07,359 legal counsel, hardened custody 960 00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:09,440 practices, and transparent compliance. 961 00:52:07,359 --> 00:52:12,440 The opportunity is real, but so are the 962 00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:12,440 pitfalls. 963 00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:36,160 Still, the opportunities are huge. A new 964 00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:38,559 generation of buyers is turning digital 965 00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:41,440 value into physical assets. For many, 966 00:52:38,559 --> 00:52:43,760 Bitcoin isn't just a currency. It's a 967 00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:44,960 gateway to ownership. 968 00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:47,280 One of the biggest shifts is 969 00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:49,359 tokenization. Instead of buying an 970 00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:51,280 entire building, investors can now 971 00:52:49,359 --> 00:52:53,920 purchase fractional ownership through 972 00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:55,520 blockchainbased tokens. This lowers the 973 00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:57,599 barrier to entry, allowing smaller 974 00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:59,359 investors to access real estate markets 975 00:52:57,599 --> 00:53:03,079 that were once reserved for institutions 976 00:52:59,359 --> 00:53:03,079 and the ultra wealthy. 977 00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:13,079 The 978 00:53:10,079 --> 00:53:13,079 initial 979 00:53:19,599 --> 00:53:21,760 fraction 980 00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,760 for 981 00:53:47,599 --> 00:53:52,480 Tokenization also brings liquidity to an 982 00:53:50,480 --> 00:53:54,880 industry that has traditionally been 983 00:53:52,480 --> 00:53:57,280 slow and illquid. Real estate 984 00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:59,440 transactions can take months. Tokenized 985 00:53:57,280 --> 00:54:02,160 shares can potentially be transferred in 986 00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:04,480 minutes. Crypto is also reshaping 987 00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:06,559 crossber real estate. International 988 00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:09,359 buyers often face currency controls, 989 00:54:06,559 --> 00:54:11,440 wire delays, and banking restrictions. 990 00:54:09,359 --> 00:54:13,280 Cryptocurrency allows capital to move 991 00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:15,040 globally with fewer friction points, 992 00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:17,119 opening markets to buyers who were 993 00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:18,800 previously locked out. As a result, 994 00:54:17,119 --> 00:54:20,400 cities that embrace crypto-friendly 995 00:54:18,800 --> 00:54:22,240 regulations are attracting global 996 00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:23,760 capital faster. Developers are 997 00:54:22,240 --> 00:54:25,680 responding by marketing properties 998 00:54:23,760 --> 00:54:28,160 directly to crypto holders, not as a 999 00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:30,079 novelty, but as a strategy. Governments 1000 00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:32,079 are also exploring blockchain for land 1001 00:54:30,079 --> 00:54:34,079 registries and property records. 1002 00:54:32,079 --> 00:54:36,079 Immutable ledgers can reduce disputes, 1003 00:54:34,079 --> 00:54:38,400 prevent title fraud, and provide 1004 00:54:36,079 --> 00:54:39,920 permanent verifiable ownership history, 1005 00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:42,240 especially in regions where property 1006 00:54:39,920 --> 00:54:44,000 rights are difficult to enforce. This 1007 00:54:42,240 --> 00:54:45,920 isn't a complete replacement of 1008 00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:48,240 traditional real estate. It's a 1009 00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:50,640 transformation. Crypto doesn't eliminate 1010 00:54:48,240 --> 00:54:52,400 the fundamentals. Location, demand, and 1011 00:54:50,640 --> 00:54:54,240 due diligence still matter, but it 1012 00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:56,400 changes how value moves, how quickly 1013 00:54:54,240 --> 00:54:58,400 deals happen, and who gets access. So, 1014 00:54:56,400 --> 00:55:00,559 what does all of this mean for you as an 1015 00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:02,319 investor or future home buyer? It means 1016 00:55:00,559 --> 00:55:04,240 new opportunities are emerging. 1017 00:55:02,319 --> 00:55:06,480 Opportunities to leverage your crypto 1018 00:55:04,240 --> 00:55:09,119 holdings. Opportunities to participate 1019 00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:11,520 in international markets more easily. 1020 00:55:09,119 --> 00:55:15,079 Opportunities to acquire property faster 1021 00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:15,079 and more efficiently. 1022 00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:23,720 real estate. 1023 00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:31,960 Constessure 1024 00:55:52,319 --> 00:55:54,720 consequenc 1025 00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:08,440 Real estate 1026 00:56:14,240 --> 00:56:17,240 system. 1027 00:56:20,079 --> 00:56:23,079 Contra 1028 00:56:45,359 --> 00:56:48,520 real estate. 1029 00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:59,839 But like any emerging space, education 1030 00:56:57,520 --> 00:57:02,400 is key. Working with crypto-friendly 1031 00:56:59,839 --> 00:57:04,480 agents, attorneys, and escrow companies 1032 00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:06,559 is essential. 1033 00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:08,319 Understanding your local regulations is 1034 00:57:06,559 --> 00:57:10,000 crucial, and ensuring the security of 1035 00:57:08,319 --> 00:57:13,000 your crypto wallet is absolutely 1036 00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:13,000 non-negotiable. 1037 00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:19,960 for 1038 00:57:24,640 --> 00:57:28,040 sophistic. for 1039 00:58:02,960 --> 00:58:05,119 Moment. 1040 00:58:05,839 --> 00:58:08,839 Tomando 1041 00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:28,160 fundament. 1042 00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:37,640 Absolute 1043 00:58:40,000 --> 00:58:43,000 maximas. 1044 00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:21,280 The cryptocurrency market has entered 1045 00:59:18,799 --> 00:59:24,559 the opening days of 2026 with renewed 1046 00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:26,799 momentum. After a volatile end to 2025, 1047 00:59:24,559 --> 00:59:28,480 prices across major digital assets have 1048 00:59:26,799 --> 00:59:30,079 moved sharply higher, drawing attention 1049 00:59:28,480 --> 00:59:32,400 from both retail traders and 1050 00:59:30,079 --> 00:59:34,640 institutional investors. In early 1051 00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:37,040 January, the total cryptocurrency market 1052 00:59:34,640 --> 00:59:39,440 capitalization climbed to around $3.2 1053 00:59:37,040 --> 00:59:41,440 trillion, according to aggregated data 1054 00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:43,119 from major market trackers. This 1055 00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:45,760 represents a meaningful rebound from 1056 00:59:43,119 --> 00:59:47,440 late 2025 levels, with the market adding 1057 00:59:45,760 --> 00:59:49,359 hundreds of billions of dollars in value 1058 00:59:47,440 --> 00:59:51,280 over a relatively short period. While 1059 00:59:49,359 --> 00:59:52,799 exact figures vary, the direction is 1060 00:59:51,280 --> 00:59:54,400 clear. Capital has returned to the 1061 00:59:52,799 --> 00:59:56,240 crypto market at the start of the year. 1062 00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:58,720 At the center of this move is Bitcoin, 1063 00:59:56,240 --> 01:00:01,119 which rallied toward the $93,000 level 1064 00:59:58,720 --> 01:00:03,040 in the first week of January. As the 1065 01:00:01,119 --> 01:00:05,280 largest and most influential digital 1066 01:00:03,040 --> 01:00:06,880 asset, Bitcoin continues to act as the 1067 01:00:05,280 --> 01:00:08,319 market's primary anchor, and its 1068 01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:10,400 strength has helped lift sentiment 1069 01:00:08,319 --> 01:00:12,720 across the broader ecosystem. 1070 01:00:10,400 --> 01:00:15,119 Historically, strong Bitcoin performance 1071 01:00:12,720 --> 01:00:16,559 has often preceded periods of increased 1072 01:00:15,119 --> 01:00:19,359 activity in alternative 1073 01:00:16,559 --> 01:00:21,280 cryptocurrencies, and early 2026 appears 1074 01:00:19,359 --> 01:00:22,960 to be following a similar pattern. 1075 01:00:21,280 --> 01:00:24,559 Another key factor has been renewed 1076 01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:26,319 institutional participation, 1077 01:00:24,559 --> 01:00:28,880 particularly through spot Bitcoin and 1078 01:00:26,319 --> 01:00:31,280 Ethereum exchange traded funds. Reports 1079 01:00:28,880 --> 01:00:33,040 from early January indicate notable ETF 1080 01:00:31,280 --> 01:00:34,799 inflows, suggesting that traditional 1081 01:00:33,040 --> 01:00:36,880 investors are once again increasing 1082 01:00:34,799 --> 01:00:38,640 exposure to digital assets. The current 1083 01:00:36,880 --> 01:00:40,480 momentum appears to be driven by a 1084 01:00:38,640 --> 01:00:43,440 combination of factors, including 1085 01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:46,240 Bitcoin's price recovery, increased ETF 1086 01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:47,760 inflows, improved global risk sentiment, 1087 01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:50,160 expectations of more supportive 1088 01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:52,640 regulatory and macroeconomic conditions. 1089 01:00:50,160 --> 01:00:54,480 As 2026 begins, the cryptocurrency 1090 01:00:52,640 --> 01:00:56,640 market finds itself at a familiar 1091 01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:58,400 crossroads. Renewed optimism balanced 1092 01:00:56,640 --> 01:01:00,000 against persistent uncertainty. Whether 1093 01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:01,839 this earlier strength marks the 1094 01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:03,520 beginning of a sustained trend or simply 1095 01:01:01,839 --> 01:01:05,520 another chapter in crypto's cyclical 1096 01:01:03,520 --> 01:01:08,559 nature is a question that only time will 1097 01:01:05,520 --> 01:01:11,280 answer. For now, the message from the 1098 01:01:08,559 --> 01:01:13,280 market is clear. Crypto is once again 1099 01:01:11,280 --> 01:01:14,960 commanding attention. If you approach 1100 01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:17,040 crypto real estate with knowledge and 1101 01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:19,920 preparation, the rewards can be 1102 01:01:17,040 --> 01:01:22,720 extraordinary. Bitcoin the bricks isn't 1103 01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:25,040 just a catchy phrase. It's the future of 1104 01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:27,359 real estate investment. If you want to 1105 01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:29,920 stay ahead of the curve, now's the time 1106 01:01:27,359 --> 01:01:32,920 to learn how crypto can open doors. 1107 01:01:29,920 --> 01:01:32,920 Literally. 1108 01:01:43,520 --> 01:01:46,520 Explorer 1109 01:01:56,240 --> 01:01:59,240 Transparence. 1110 01:02:29,839 --> 01:02:33,760 From digital coins to physical assets, 1111 01:02:32,079 --> 01:02:35,760 from online wallets to real world 1112 01:02:33,760 --> 01:02:37,839 property lines, cryptocurrency is 1113 01:02:35,760 --> 01:02:40,400 reshaping how we buy, sell, and think 1114 01:02:37,839 --> 01:02:42,720 about real estate. We are witnessing the 1115 01:02:40,400 --> 01:02:44,400 merging of two worlds. The oldest asset 1116 01:02:42,720 --> 01:02:46,640 on earth and one of the newest 1117 01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:49,440 technological inventions of our time. 1118 01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:51,920 And as the future unfolds, only one 1119 01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:55,240 question remain. Will Bitcoin buy your 1120 01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:55,240 next home? 1121 01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:23,920 September 2008. 1122 01:04:21,359 --> 01:04:26,559 The global financial system is on the 1123 01:04:23,920 --> 01:04:29,520 verge of a total blackout. Layman 1124 01:04:26,559 --> 01:04:33,280 Brothers has vanished. Meil Lynch is 1125 01:04:29,520 --> 01:04:35,280 gone. AIG is hemorrhaging billions every 1126 01:04:33,280 --> 01:04:37,599 hour. 1127 01:04:35,280 --> 01:04:39,520 In Washington, the halls of the Treasury 1128 01:04:37,599 --> 01:04:42,799 are filled with the smartest minds in 1129 01:04:39,520 --> 01:04:45,680 the country. But they have a problem. 1130 01:04:42,799 --> 01:04:48,640 They are staring at a black box of toxic 1131 01:04:45,680 --> 01:04:51,680 debt worth trillions and no tools to 1132 01:04:48,640 --> 01:04:54,720 open it. There is only one person who 1133 01:04:51,680 --> 01:04:57,200 has the map. one person who spent the 1134 01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:59,440 last 20 years building a digital 1135 01:04:57,200 --> 01:05:02,160 unblinking eye that can see through the 1136 01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:04,640 wreckage. The government didn't call the 1137 01:05:02,160 --> 01:05:07,359 big banks to save the world. They needed 1138 01:05:04,640 --> 01:05:09,280 someone to handle the toxic waste. And 1139 01:05:07,359 --> 01:05:11,359 there was only one man that could lead 1140 01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:15,799 through that darkness. 1141 01:05:11,359 --> 01:05:15,799 They called Larry Frink. 1142 01:05:17,200 --> 01:05:22,920 Larry Frink, the man behind Black Rock. 1143 01:05:23,599 --> 01:05:30,079 Today, he manages more money than the 1144 01:05:25,760 --> 01:05:32,319 GDP of almost every nation on Earth, $14 1145 01:05:30,079 --> 01:05:34,319 trillion. 1146 01:05:32,319 --> 01:05:36,720 But before he was the shadow sovereign 1147 01:05:34,319 --> 01:05:38,319 of Wall Street, he was a man who lost 1148 01:05:36,720 --> 01:05:42,400 everything. 1149 01:05:38,319 --> 01:05:44,559 Who is Larry Frink? Lawrence D.Fin, also 1150 01:05:42,400 --> 01:05:47,200 known as Larry Frink, is one of the 1151 01:05:44,559 --> 01:05:50,559 co-founders of Black Rockck. He is also 1152 01:05:47,200 --> 01:05:52,559 the chairman and CEO of the company, the 1153 01:05:50,559 --> 01:05:55,839 largest money management firm in the 1154 01:05:52,559 --> 01:05:57,520 world. It's the first time in history a 1155 01:05:55,839 --> 01:06:00,160 company manages to reach such a 1156 01:05:57,520 --> 01:06:03,200 milestone and gives a clear picture of 1157 01:06:00,160 --> 01:06:05,839 how Black Rockck operates. not just a 1158 01:06:03,200 --> 01:06:08,240 traditional investment bank, but as a 1159 01:06:05,839 --> 01:06:10,960 central pillar of the global financial 1160 01:06:08,240 --> 01:06:13,119 infrastructure where its sheer scale 1161 01:06:10,960 --> 01:06:15,039 allows it to influence economies and 1162 01:06:13,119 --> 01:06:19,359 industries at a level previously 1163 01:06:15,039 --> 01:06:22,319 reserved only for nation states. 1164 01:06:19,359 --> 01:06:25,200 Founded in 1988 as an investment firm 1165 01:06:22,319 --> 01:06:29,280 that prioritized risk management with 1166 01:06:25,200 --> 01:06:32,559 11.5 to$14 trillion under management, 1167 01:06:29,280 --> 01:06:34,799 Blackrop's influence is staggering. 1168 01:06:32,559 --> 01:06:38,880 Black Rockck is a top three shareholder 1169 01:06:34,799 --> 01:06:42,079 in nearly every company in the S&P 500 1170 01:06:38,880 --> 01:06:45,039 from Apple to Exxon, from Microsoft to 1171 01:06:42,079 --> 01:06:48,799 Nestle. They don't just invest in the 1172 01:06:45,039 --> 01:06:51,680 market, they are the market. 1173 01:06:48,799 --> 01:06:54,240 But its reach is personal. It holds the 1174 01:06:51,680 --> 01:06:57,359 retirement dreams of over 35 million 1175 01:06:54,240 --> 01:07:00,000 Americans. This is the story of how a 1176 01:06:57,359 --> 01:07:03,520 kid from a California shoe store became 1177 01:07:00,000 --> 01:07:07,039 the custodian of the world's wealth. But 1178 01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:09,599 who is Larry Frink? Lawrence Douglas 1179 01:07:07,039 --> 01:07:12,079 Frink entered the world on November the 1180 01:07:09,599 --> 01:07:14,880 2nd, 1952. 1181 01:07:12,079 --> 01:07:16,799 Born in Los Angeles, California, he was 1182 01:07:14,880 --> 01:07:18,799 raised in a Jewish family in the heart 1183 01:07:16,799 --> 01:07:23,200 of San Fernando Valley, the 1184 01:07:18,799 --> 01:07:25,520 quintessential American suburb of Vanoi. 1185 01:07:23,200 --> 01:07:28,480 His home was a balance of academic 1186 01:07:25,520 --> 01:07:30,559 discipline and retail grit. His mother, 1187 01:07:28,480 --> 01:07:32,400 Leela, was an English professor who 1188 01:07:30,559 --> 01:07:34,000 valued the power of language and 1189 01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,920 education. 1190 01:07:34,000 --> 01:07:38,240 And long before he pulled the strings of 1191 01:07:35,920 --> 01:07:40,400 the global economy, Larry Frink was 1192 01:07:38,240 --> 01:07:43,280 learning the value of money on a much 1193 01:07:40,400 --> 01:07:46,079 smaller scale. His father's shoe store 1194 01:07:43,280 --> 01:07:48,960 in Vanoise, where he spent evenings 1195 01:07:46,079 --> 01:07:51,280 helping and learning the business. As 1196 01:07:48,960 --> 01:07:53,520 one of three children, Larry grew up in 1197 01:07:51,280 --> 01:07:56,559 a household where hard work wasn't just 1198 01:07:53,520 --> 01:07:58,640 encouraged, it was the baseline. 1199 01:07:56,559 --> 01:08:00,640 While he often joked he wasn't the 1200 01:07:58,640 --> 01:08:02,880 smartest in the room, it was this 1201 01:08:00,640 --> 01:08:05,599 specific combination of his mother's 1202 01:08:02,880 --> 01:08:07,599 intellectual curiosity and his father's 1203 01:08:05,599 --> 01:08:10,240 mainstream business sense that would 1204 01:08:07,599 --> 01:08:13,359 eventually form the DNA of a global 1205 01:08:10,240 --> 01:08:15,280 financial giant. While the future titans 1206 01:08:13,359 --> 01:08:17,600 of Wall Street were rubbing elbows in 1207 01:08:15,280 --> 01:08:21,920 the marble halls of Harvard or Yale, 1208 01:08:17,600 --> 01:08:24,000 Think was a brewin. In 1970, Larry 1209 01:08:21,920 --> 01:08:26,480 arrived at UCLA. 1210 01:08:24,000 --> 01:08:29,359 For a young man from Vanoise, this 1211 01:08:26,480 --> 01:08:32,719 wasn't just a local university. It was a 1212 01:08:29,359 --> 01:08:34,880 world of ideas. But it was in his final 1213 01:08:32,719 --> 01:08:37,120 years that the trajectory of his life 1214 01:08:34,880 --> 01:08:39,600 shifted. He immersed himself in 1215 01:08:37,120 --> 01:08:41,600 political science, learning how power 1216 01:08:39,600 --> 01:08:43,759 moves through nations. 1217 01:08:41,600 --> 01:08:46,799 But he soon realized that in the modern 1218 01:08:43,759 --> 01:08:48,480 world, power follows the money. This led 1219 01:08:46,799 --> 01:08:51,440 him to the Anderson School of 1220 01:08:48,480 --> 01:08:53,440 Management, specializing in real estate. 1221 01:08:51,440 --> 01:08:55,520 It was here that he began to see the 1222 01:08:53,440 --> 01:08:57,440 world through the lens of assets and 1223 01:08:55,520 --> 01:08:59,440 yields. 1224 01:08:57,440 --> 01:09:01,839 This public education gave him a 1225 01:08:59,440 --> 01:09:03,679 different edge. While his peers at 1226 01:09:01,839 --> 01:09:05,920 private East Coast schools were being 1227 01:09:03,679 --> 01:09:08,799 groomed for traditional corporate roles, 1228 01:09:05,920 --> 01:09:10,640 Larry was developing the outsers's eye, 1229 01:09:08,799 --> 01:09:12,960 perspective that allowed him to see 1230 01:09:10,640 --> 01:09:17,159 opportunities in the messy, unpolished 1231 01:09:12,960 --> 01:09:17,159 corners of the bond market. 1232 01:09:17,679 --> 01:09:22,640 He graduated in 1976, 1233 01:09:20,480 --> 01:09:24,719 not with a silver spoon, but with a 1234 01:09:22,640 --> 01:09:27,040 California bred ambition to take on the 1235 01:09:24,719 --> 01:09:29,679 giants of Manhattan. 1236 01:09:27,040 --> 01:09:32,159 He was a brewin headed for Wall Street 1237 01:09:29,679 --> 01:09:35,400 and the financial world had no idea what 1238 01:09:32,159 --> 01:09:35,400 was coming. 1239 01:09:37,520 --> 01:09:42,000 The year is 1976. 1240 01:09:40,159 --> 01:09:44,159 New York City is a grit cover 1241 01:09:42,000 --> 01:09:46,880 battlefield and Larry Frink has just 1242 01:09:44,159 --> 01:09:49,199 been handed the keys to the kingdom. 1243 01:09:46,880 --> 01:09:51,440 Goldman Sachs, the most prestigious name 1244 01:09:49,199 --> 01:09:54,719 in finance back then, has practically 1245 01:09:51,440 --> 01:09:57,760 hired him. He had passed the technical 1246 01:09:54,719 --> 01:09:59,600 tests. kid charmed the partners. All 1247 01:09:57,760 --> 01:10:02,159 that remained was a rubber stamp 1248 01:09:59,600 --> 01:10:05,520 interview with human resources. 1249 01:10:02,159 --> 01:10:08,159 But Larry, Larry wasn't just confident, 1250 01:10:05,520 --> 01:10:10,000 he was impatient. When the recruiter 1251 01:10:08,159 --> 01:10:12,480 asked for his thoughts on the firm, 1252 01:10:10,000 --> 01:10:15,120 Larry didn't give a thank you, he gave a 1253 01:10:12,480 --> 01:10:17,679 consultation. He pointed out the flaws 1254 01:10:15,120 --> 01:10:20,800 in their system. At Goldman, they wanted 1255 01:10:17,679 --> 01:10:24,040 a soldier. Larry was already acting like 1256 01:10:20,800 --> 01:10:24,040 a general. 1257 01:10:25,520 --> 01:10:30,880 In that room, the rigid Goldman way 1258 01:10:27,920 --> 01:10:33,040 clashed with the unfiltered Frink way. 1259 01:10:30,880 --> 01:10:36,400 Before he could even hail a camp back to 1260 01:10:33,040 --> 01:10:38,719 his hotel, the offer was dead. The most 1261 01:10:36,400 --> 01:10:41,040 coveted job in Wall Street history had 1262 01:10:38,719 --> 01:10:42,960 vanished. All because Larry Frink 1263 01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:46,320 couldn't stop himself from trying to fix 1264 01:10:42,960 --> 01:10:49,280 a system he hadn't even joined yet. It 1265 01:10:46,320 --> 01:10:51,760 was a crushing blow. But in the shadow 1266 01:10:49,280 --> 01:10:54,000 of that rejection, a door opened at a 1267 01:10:51,760 --> 01:10:56,480 scrappy second tier firm called First 1268 01:10:54,000 --> 01:10:59,840 Boston. It was a place with less 1269 01:10:56,480 --> 01:11:02,159 prestige but more white space. At 1270 01:10:59,840 --> 01:11:05,199 Goldman, he would have been a cog in a 1271 01:11:02,159 --> 01:11:08,080 perfect machine. At First Boston, he was 1272 01:11:05,199 --> 01:11:10,159 the architect. He was given a desk, a 1273 01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:12,400 telephone, and the freedom to build 1274 01:11:10,159 --> 01:11:15,280 something entirely new, the 1275 01:11:12,400 --> 01:11:18,000 mortgagebacked security. He didn't know 1276 01:11:15,280 --> 01:11:20,640 it yet, but that recruiters know was the 1277 01:11:18,000 --> 01:11:25,640 foundation upon which the 14 trillion 1278 01:11:20,640 --> 01:11:25,640 empire of Black Rockck would be built. 1279 01:11:30,640 --> 01:11:36,960 It's 1976 when Larry Frink arrives at 1280 01:11:33,920 --> 01:11:38,960 First Boston. At the time, the firm was 1281 01:11:36,960 --> 01:11:41,679 the scrappy underdog of investment 1282 01:11:38,960 --> 01:11:45,360 banking. It wasn't as stiff as Morgan 1283 01:11:41,679 --> 01:11:47,440 Stanley or as elitist as Goldman. It was 1284 01:11:45,360 --> 01:11:50,640 the perfect laboratory for a man who 1285 01:11:47,440 --> 01:11:53,679 didn't fit the mold. Larry was assigned 1286 01:11:50,640 --> 01:11:55,600 to the bond department. Back then, bonds 1287 01:11:53,679 --> 01:11:58,000 were considered the boring corner of 1288 01:11:55,600 --> 01:12:01,600 finance. It was where you went to 1289 01:11:58,000 --> 01:12:04,560 retire. Stocks were sexy. Bonds were for 1290 01:12:01,600 --> 01:12:07,199 grandmothers. But Larry saw something 1291 01:12:04,560 --> 01:12:09,440 everyone else missed. 1292 01:12:07,199 --> 01:12:12,159 He looked at the American dream. the 1293 01:12:09,440 --> 01:12:15,199 suburban house, the white picket fence, 1294 01:12:12,159 --> 01:12:18,080 the 30-year mortgage, and he saw a math 1295 01:12:15,199 --> 01:12:20,560 problem. He realized that if you took 1296 01:12:18,080 --> 01:12:22,400 thousands of individual home mortgages, 1297 01:12:20,560 --> 01:12:24,880 bundled them together like a deck of 1298 01:12:22,400 --> 01:12:28,960 cards, and sold slices of that deck to 1299 01:12:24,880 --> 01:12:31,760 investors, you created a money machine. 1300 01:12:28,960 --> 01:12:33,280 This was the birth of the securitization 1301 01:12:31,760 --> 01:12:35,679 market. 1302 01:12:33,280 --> 01:12:38,320 What Larry Frink helped create was more 1303 01:12:35,679 --> 01:12:41,960 than a financial product. It was a 1304 01:12:38,320 --> 01:12:41,960 structural shift. 1305 01:12:42,320 --> 01:12:47,280 Securitization didn't just bundle 1306 01:12:44,480 --> 01:12:50,480 mortgages. It separated risk from 1307 01:12:47,280 --> 01:12:52,480 reality. For the first time, financial 1308 01:12:50,480 --> 01:12:55,440 value could travel faster than the 1309 01:12:52,480 --> 01:12:57,920 underlying economy that supported it. A 1310 01:12:55,440 --> 01:13:00,080 house in California became a line in a 1311 01:12:57,920 --> 01:13:03,760 spreadsheet in New York, which became a 1312 01:13:00,080 --> 01:13:05,679 yield sold to an investor in Tokyo. Risk 1313 01:13:03,760 --> 01:13:08,719 no longer lived where decisions were 1314 01:13:05,679 --> 01:13:11,040 made. It was abstracted, sliced, 1315 01:13:08,719 --> 01:13:14,000 repackaged, and distributed across the 1316 01:13:11,040 --> 01:13:16,239 system. This was the moment when finance 1317 01:13:14,000 --> 01:13:19,600 stopped reflecting the real economy and 1318 01:13:16,239 --> 01:13:21,920 began building a parallel one. A system 1319 01:13:19,600 --> 01:13:23,679 that could grow without limits as long 1320 01:13:21,920 --> 01:13:27,920 as everyone believed the models were 1321 01:13:23,679 --> 01:13:30,480 right. And for a while, they were. 1322 01:13:27,920 --> 01:13:33,120 By the early 80s, Larry was the golden 1323 01:13:30,480 --> 01:13:35,520 boy. He wasn't just hitting targets, he 1324 01:13:33,120 --> 01:13:37,679 was shattering them. In one year, his 1325 01:13:35,520 --> 01:13:39,760 department was responsible for nearly 1326 01:13:37,679 --> 01:13:42,880 onethird of First Boston's total 1327 01:13:39,760 --> 01:13:45,120 profits. At age 31, he became the 1328 01:13:42,880 --> 01:13:48,080 youngest managing director the firm had 1329 01:13:45,120 --> 01:13:50,560 ever seen. He was earning millions. He 1330 01:13:48,080 --> 01:13:53,440 was the successor, the prodigy, the man 1331 01:13:50,560 --> 01:13:56,080 who could do no wrong. He had moved to 1332 01:13:53,440 --> 01:13:58,480 his family to a sprawling estate. He was 1333 01:13:56,080 --> 01:14:03,080 flying private. He had conquered the 1334 01:13:58,480 --> 01:14:03,080 gritco battlefield of Manhattan. 1335 01:14:03,600 --> 01:14:08,080 But in the world of high finance, the 1336 01:14:05,840 --> 01:14:11,080 higher you fly, the thinner the air 1337 01:14:08,080 --> 01:14:11,080 becomes. 1338 01:14:12,560 --> 01:14:16,880 Larry was making hundreds of millions 1339 01:14:14,560 --> 01:14:19,679 for the bank. But there was a ghost in 1340 01:14:16,880 --> 01:14:23,600 the machine, a variable he hadn't 1341 01:14:19,679 --> 01:14:25,920 accounted for. The year was 1986. 1342 01:14:23,600 --> 01:14:28,719 Larry had made a massive bet on interest 1343 01:14:25,920 --> 01:14:32,239 rates. He believed they would stay 1344 01:14:28,719 --> 01:14:34,239 stable. He was so sure of his math, so 1345 01:14:32,239 --> 01:14:36,239 confident in his track record that he 1346 01:14:34,239 --> 01:14:38,560 didn't realize the ground was shifting 1347 01:14:36,239 --> 01:14:40,560 beneath his feet. 1348 01:14:38,560 --> 01:14:42,800 In just 3 months, the Golden Boy 1349 01:14:40,560 --> 01:14:46,560 department went from profit to a 1350 01:14:42,800 --> 01:14:49,760 catastrophic $100 million loss. In the 1351 01:14:46,560 --> 01:14:52,560 80s, 100 million wasn't just a loss, it 1352 01:14:49,760 --> 01:14:54,640 was a national scandal. Overnight, the 1353 01:14:52,560 --> 01:14:57,520 man who was supposed to run the bank was 1354 01:14:54,640 --> 01:14:59,440 a pariah. The phones stopped ringing. 1355 01:14:57,520 --> 01:15:02,080 The friends on the trading floor looked 1356 01:14:59,440 --> 01:15:04,320 away when he walked by. He had been the 1357 01:15:02,080 --> 01:15:07,120 smartest man in the room until he 1358 01:15:04,320 --> 01:15:09,280 wasn't. He would later describe this 1359 01:15:07,120 --> 01:15:12,480 moment as the most painful experience of 1360 01:15:09,280 --> 01:15:15,120 my life. But as he sat in the ruins of 1361 01:15:12,480 --> 01:15:17,520 his reputation, Larry Frink wasn't just 1362 01:15:15,120 --> 01:15:19,679 mourning his career. He was obsessed 1363 01:15:17,520 --> 01:15:22,719 with one question. 1364 01:15:19,679 --> 01:15:25,280 How did I not see the risk? 1365 01:15:22,719 --> 01:15:27,920 That obsession, the fear of the unknown 1366 01:15:25,280 --> 01:15:31,239 variable would become the cornerstone of 1367 01:15:27,920 --> 01:15:31,239 Black Rockck. 1368 01:15:34,400 --> 01:15:40,560 By 1983, Larry wasn't just selling 1369 01:15:37,199 --> 01:15:45,000 bonds, he was a pioneer of the CMO, 1370 01:15:40,560 --> 01:15:45,000 collateralized mortgage obligation. 1371 01:15:45,280 --> 01:15:50,159 Think of it like a waterfall. Larry took 1372 01:15:48,000 --> 01:15:53,120 thousands of mortgages and sliced them 1373 01:15:50,159 --> 01:15:56,239 into tranches. Some investors took the 1374 01:15:53,120 --> 01:15:59,360 top slice, low risk, low reward. Others 1375 01:15:56,239 --> 01:16:01,199 took the bottom, high risk, high yield. 1376 01:15:59,360 --> 01:16:05,040 It was a masterpiece of financial 1377 01:16:01,199 --> 01:16:07,840 engineering. It made the illquid liquid. 1378 01:16:05,040 --> 01:16:10,080 It made First Boston the center of the 1379 01:16:07,840 --> 01:16:12,320 universe. 1380 01:16:10,080 --> 01:16:15,199 But there was a flaw, a tiny 1381 01:16:12,320 --> 01:16:17,199 mathematical ghost in his models. 1382 01:16:15,199 --> 01:16:19,520 Larry's team had predicted that interest 1383 01:16:17,199 --> 01:16:22,000 rates would rise, and they hedged their 1384 01:16:19,520 --> 01:16:25,040 bets accordingly. But in the second 1385 01:16:22,000 --> 01:16:27,360 quarter of 1986, rates did something the 1386 01:16:25,040 --> 01:16:28,960 models said was impossible. They 1387 01:16:27,360 --> 01:16:30,719 plummeted 1388 01:16:28,960 --> 01:16:33,040 because they didn't have a system to 1389 01:16:30,719 --> 01:16:35,840 track their real-time exposure. Larry 1390 01:16:33,040 --> 01:16:38,880 was flying blind. He was the pilot of a 1391 01:16:35,840 --> 01:16:41,120 Boeing 747 trying to land in a storm 1392 01:16:38,880 --> 01:16:43,520 using nothing but a compass and a 1393 01:16:41,120 --> 01:16:45,600 prayer. By the time he realized the 1394 01:16:43,520 --> 01:16:49,679 engines were on fire, the plane had 1395 01:16:45,600 --> 01:16:53,000 already hit the mountain. $100 million. 1396 01:16:49,679 --> 01:16:53,000 All gone. 1397 01:16:55,199 --> 01:17:00,560 He wasn't just fired, he was erased. 1398 01:16:58,400 --> 01:17:03,520 After the dust settled, Larry found 1399 01:17:00,560 --> 01:17:06,560 himself in a peculiar kind of exile. He 1400 01:17:03,520 --> 01:17:09,280 wasn't just unemployed, he was haunted. 1401 01:17:06,560 --> 01:17:11,600 He realized that the $100 million loss 1402 01:17:09,280 --> 01:17:15,199 wasn't a failure of talent, it was a 1403 01:17:11,600 --> 01:17:17,920 failure of vision. What happened in 1986 1404 01:17:15,199 --> 01:17:20,960 wasn't a personal miscalculation. 1405 01:17:17,920 --> 01:17:23,360 It was a systemic blindness. 1406 01:17:20,960 --> 01:17:26,159 At the time, every major financial 1407 01:17:23,360 --> 01:17:29,199 institution operated the same way. 1408 01:17:26,159 --> 01:17:31,920 Positions were fragmented. Exposure was 1409 01:17:29,199 --> 01:17:35,040 estimated, not measured. Risk was 1410 01:17:31,920 --> 01:17:37,280 inferred after the fact. Banks knew what 1411 01:17:35,040 --> 01:17:40,320 they bought yesterday, but not what it 1412 01:17:37,280 --> 01:17:42,960 was worth right now. The system rewarded 1413 01:17:40,320 --> 01:17:45,520 speed, volume, and confidence. not 1414 01:17:42,960 --> 01:17:48,159 understanding. And as long as markets 1415 01:17:45,520 --> 01:17:50,560 moved slowly, the illusion held. But 1416 01:17:48,159 --> 01:17:53,520 once volatility entered the market, no 1417 01:17:50,560 --> 01:17:56,560 one truly knew where the danger was or 1418 01:17:53,520 --> 01:17:59,199 how large it had become. Larry didn't 1419 01:17:56,560 --> 01:18:01,199 just lose money. He realized the entire 1420 01:17:59,199 --> 01:18:04,159 financial system was flying without 1421 01:18:01,199 --> 01:18:07,199 instruments. Wall Street was essentially 1422 01:18:04,159 --> 01:18:11,199 a collection of blind giants. Every 1423 01:18:07,199 --> 01:18:13,280 major firm, Goldman, Layman, Meil Lynch, 1424 01:18:11,199 --> 01:18:17,679 was standing just one inch away from 1425 01:18:13,280 --> 01:18:19,600 total collapse at any given second. Why? 1426 01:18:17,679 --> 01:18:22,560 Because they didn't actually know what 1427 01:18:19,600 --> 01:18:25,360 they owned. This was information 1428 01:18:22,560 --> 01:18:27,760 blindness. 1429 01:18:25,360 --> 01:18:30,159 In the 1980s, you knew what you bought 1430 01:18:27,760 --> 01:18:33,360 yesterday, but you had no idea what it 1431 01:18:30,159 --> 01:18:35,920 was worth right now. A sudden shift in 1432 01:18:33,360 --> 01:18:38,239 interest rates or a political coup 1433 01:18:35,920 --> 01:18:40,080 across the ocean could vaporize a 1434 01:18:38,239 --> 01:18:42,960 billion dollars before the morning 1435 01:18:40,080 --> 01:18:46,320 coffee was poured. 1436 01:18:42,960 --> 01:18:48,960 Larry understood a terrifying truth. The 1437 01:18:46,320 --> 01:18:52,239 entire global financial system was built 1438 01:18:48,960 --> 01:18:54,080 on a foundation of guesswork. 1439 01:18:52,239 --> 01:18:57,520 It hit him with the force of an 1440 01:18:54,080 --> 01:18:59,360 epiphany. If he could build a brain, a 1441 01:18:57,520 --> 01:19:01,840 machine that could see the risk that 1442 01:18:59,360 --> 01:19:04,560 humans were too slow to calculate, he 1443 01:19:01,840 --> 01:19:06,400 wouldn't just be a banker. He would be 1444 01:19:04,560 --> 01:19:09,280 the only man in the world with a 1445 01:19:06,400 --> 01:19:11,360 flashlight in a dark room. This 1446 01:19:09,280 --> 01:19:14,080 realization changed his entire 1447 01:19:11,360 --> 01:19:16,159 philosophy of investing. He stopped 1448 01:19:14,080 --> 01:19:18,719 looking for the big score and started 1449 01:19:16,159 --> 01:19:21,120 looking for the safe passage. He didn't 1450 01:19:18,719 --> 01:19:24,719 want to beat the market anymore. He 1451 01:19:21,120 --> 01:19:27,120 wanted to measure it. 1452 01:19:24,719 --> 01:19:30,159 He would later tell his partners, "We 1453 01:19:27,120 --> 01:19:32,800 are never going to be blind again." 1454 01:19:30,159 --> 01:19:35,760 That vow, born from the humiliation of 1455 01:19:32,800 --> 01:19:38,880 1986, became the blueprint for a new 1456 01:19:35,760 --> 01:19:41,520 kind of firm. A firm that didn't rely on 1457 01:19:38,880 --> 01:19:46,199 the ego of a star trader, but on the 1458 01:19:41,520 --> 01:19:46,199 cold, unblinking eye of technology. 1459 01:19:51,040 --> 01:19:56,960 Larry Frink was a man with a vision, but 1460 01:19:53,760 --> 01:19:58,880 he was also a man with a tainted resume. 1461 01:19:56,960 --> 01:20:01,600 To the rest of Wall Street, he was the 1462 01:19:58,880 --> 01:20:03,679 guy who lost a h 100red million. But to 1463 01:20:01,600 --> 01:20:06,320 a small circle of insiders at First 1464 01:20:03,679 --> 01:20:09,760 Boston, he was the only one who truly 1465 01:20:06,320 --> 01:20:12,560 understood why it happened. He began 1466 01:20:09,760 --> 01:20:15,120 making calls. He wasn't offering high 1467 01:20:12,560 --> 01:20:17,920 salaries or flashy offices. He was 1468 01:20:15,120 --> 01:20:20,080 offering a chance to build a holy grail, 1469 01:20:17,920 --> 01:20:22,320 a financial firm where technology 1470 01:20:20,080 --> 01:20:25,440 governed the ego, not the other way 1471 01:20:22,320 --> 01:20:27,600 round. And he eventually found the right 1472 01:20:25,440 --> 01:20:30,600 people to help him build that holy 1473 01:20:27,600 --> 01:20:30,600 grail. 1474 01:20:31,199 --> 01:20:37,440 Rob Capito, the enforcer, a powerhouse 1475 01:20:35,360 --> 01:20:40,080 trader who knew the plumbing of the bomb 1476 01:20:37,440 --> 01:20:42,080 market better than anyone else. He 1477 01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:45,679 provided the muscle Larry needed to 1478 01:20:42,080 --> 01:20:48,800 execute the vision. Ben Golib, the 1479 01:20:45,679 --> 01:20:51,520 Oracle, a PhD with a mind like a 1480 01:20:48,800 --> 01:20:54,239 supercomput. While other bankers were 1481 01:20:51,520 --> 01:20:56,719 focused on lunch reservations, Golib was 1482 01:20:54,239 --> 01:20:59,440 thinking about value at risk and Monte 1483 01:20:56,719 --> 01:21:02,960 Carlo simulations. 1484 01:20:59,440 --> 01:21:05,360 Susan Wagner, the mastermind, 1485 01:21:02,960 --> 01:21:07,040 brilliant, calculating, and capable of 1486 01:21:05,360 --> 01:21:09,280 seeing structural flaws in a 1487 01:21:07,040 --> 01:21:11,600 multi-billion dollar merger before a 1488 01:21:09,280 --> 01:21:14,159 single paper was signed. Along with 1489 01:21:11,600 --> 01:21:16,480 Barbara Novik, Ralph Schlostein, Hugh 1490 01:21:14,159 --> 01:21:19,600 Freighter, and Keith Anderson, they 1491 01:21:16,480 --> 01:21:21,360 became the original eight. Frink wasn't 1492 01:21:19,600 --> 01:21:24,719 looking for bankers who would run after 1493 01:21:21,360 --> 01:21:27,840 the money. He wanted architects, people 1494 01:21:24,719 --> 01:21:29,760 who were tired of being blind. 1495 01:21:27,840 --> 01:21:32,480 When he found them, they met in living 1496 01:21:29,760 --> 01:21:34,320 rooms and coffee shops. They had the 1497 01:21:32,480 --> 01:21:37,360 blueprints for a system they called 1498 01:21:34,320 --> 01:21:40,080 Aladdin, an acronym for asset, 1499 01:21:37,360 --> 01:21:43,040 liability, debt, and derivative 1500 01:21:40,080 --> 01:21:45,600 investment network. It was designed to 1501 01:21:43,040 --> 01:21:48,960 be the unblinking eye Larry had dreamed 1502 01:21:45,600 --> 01:21:52,080 of in his exile. But a brain without a 1503 01:21:48,960 --> 01:21:54,320 body is just a dream. To build Aladdin, 1504 01:21:52,080 --> 01:21:57,040 they needed hardware. They needed 1505 01:21:54,320 --> 01:21:59,040 offices. And most importantly, they 1506 01:21:57,040 --> 01:22:02,400 needed the one thing Larry's reputation 1507 01:21:59,040 --> 01:22:04,480 had cost him. Capital. Aladdin was not 1508 01:22:02,400 --> 01:22:07,280 designed to beat the market. It was 1509 01:22:04,480 --> 01:22:09,520 designed to understand it. But its real 1510 01:22:07,280 --> 01:22:13,840 power emerged when others started using 1511 01:22:09,520 --> 01:22:16,880 it. Banks, insurance companies, pension 1512 01:22:13,840 --> 01:22:19,040 funds, sovereign institutions. As 1513 01:22:16,880 --> 01:22:22,560 Aladdin spread, something subtle 1514 01:22:19,040 --> 01:22:24,719 happened. Risk stopped being subjective. 1515 01:22:22,560 --> 01:22:26,880 It became standardized. 1516 01:22:24,719 --> 01:22:29,199 When Aladdin flagged an asset as 1517 01:22:26,880 --> 01:22:32,199 dangerous, entire markets adjusted 1518 01:22:29,199 --> 01:22:32,199 accordingly. 1519 01:22:32,400 --> 01:22:37,679 Not because Larry Frink said so, but 1520 01:22:34,800 --> 01:22:39,600 because the system trusted the model. At 1521 01:22:37,679 --> 01:22:42,000 that point, Black Rockck was no longer 1522 01:22:39,600 --> 01:22:45,040 just managing money. It was helping 1523 01:22:42,000 --> 01:22:47,440 define how risk itself was understood. 1524 01:22:45,040 --> 01:22:51,159 And whoever defines risk defines the 1525 01:22:47,440 --> 01:22:51,159 boundaries of decisionmaking. 1526 01:22:59,600 --> 01:23:05,040 Enter Steven Schwartzman. In 1988, 1527 01:23:02,960 --> 01:23:08,159 Schwartzman was the rising king of 1528 01:23:05,040 --> 01:23:11,840 private equity. His firm Blackstone was 1529 01:23:08,159 --> 01:23:14,480 aggressive, wealthy, and hungry. 1530 01:23:11,840 --> 01:23:17,600 The meeting was tense. Schwartzman knew 1531 01:23:14,480 --> 01:23:21,120 Larry's history. He knew about the 1986 1532 01:23:17,600 --> 01:23:24,880 disaster. But Larry didn't hide from it. 1533 01:23:21,120 --> 01:23:26,880 He used it as his primary selling point. 1534 01:23:24,880 --> 01:23:29,199 Because Larry had seen the end of the 1535 01:23:26,880 --> 01:23:31,760 world already, he knew exactly how the 1536 01:23:29,199 --> 01:23:33,600 lights went out. And because of that, he 1537 01:23:31,760 --> 01:23:35,679 was the only one who knew how to keep 1538 01:23:33,600 --> 01:23:38,400 them on. 1539 01:23:35,679 --> 01:23:40,400 Larry's pitch was revolutionary. He 1540 01:23:38,400 --> 01:23:43,600 didn't want to start a hedge fund. He 1541 01:23:40,400 --> 01:23:45,360 wanted to create a fiduciary company, a 1542 01:23:43,600 --> 01:23:47,600 firm that managed other people's money 1543 01:23:45,360 --> 01:23:50,880 with the same technological rigor 1544 01:23:47,600 --> 01:23:53,280 usually reserved for NASA. He asked for 1545 01:23:50,880 --> 01:23:56,000 a $5 million credit line and a 1546 01:23:53,280 --> 01:23:59,040 partnership. In exchange, Schwartzman 1547 01:23:56,000 --> 01:24:01,199 would own 50% of the new venture. He 1548 01:23:59,040 --> 01:24:03,679 knew he was buying cheap because he was 1549 01:24:01,199 --> 01:24:06,159 buying on a distressed asset, Frink's 1550 01:24:03,679 --> 01:24:08,080 damaged reputation. 1551 01:24:06,159 --> 01:24:10,159 But he did so betting on the idea that 1552 01:24:08,080 --> 01:24:14,719 the experience had turned Larry Frink 1553 01:24:10,159 --> 01:24:18,080 into some sort of financial genius. 1554 01:24:14,719 --> 01:24:20,719 The deal was done. On a Friday in March 1555 01:24:18,080 --> 01:24:22,480 1988, the team moved into a single 1556 01:24:20,719 --> 01:24:24,080 cramped room within Blackstone's 1557 01:24:22,480 --> 01:24:26,719 offices. 1558 01:24:24,080 --> 01:24:28,800 They were five computers, a few folding 1559 01:24:26,719 --> 01:24:31,520 chairs, and a mountain of cables on the 1560 01:24:28,800 --> 01:24:33,840 floor. They were under the Blackstone 1561 01:24:31,520 --> 01:24:36,320 umbrella, but Larry knew that this was 1562 01:24:33,840 --> 01:24:39,760 just a temporary shelter. He didn't just 1563 01:24:36,320 --> 01:24:42,480 want a department, he wanted an empire. 1564 01:24:39,760 --> 01:24:44,639 He had the money, he had the team. And 1565 01:24:42,480 --> 01:24:46,719 in the corner of that small room, the 1566 01:24:44,639 --> 01:24:49,520 first lines of code for Aladdin were 1567 01:24:46,719 --> 01:24:52,400 being written. 1568 01:24:49,520 --> 01:24:54,400 The information blindness was over. The 1569 01:24:52,400 --> 01:24:58,920 era of Black Rock, though it didn't have 1570 01:24:54,400 --> 01:24:58,920 that name yet, had begun. 1571 01:25:03,040 --> 01:25:08,159 The first office of Blackstone Financial 1572 01:25:05,280 --> 01:25:11,120 Management wasn't a glass tower. It was 1573 01:25:08,159 --> 01:25:13,360 a glorified closet. Because of the heat 1574 01:25:11,120 --> 01:25:15,120 generated by the early Sun Micro 1575 01:25:13,360 --> 01:25:16,880 Systemystems workstations, the 1576 01:25:15,120 --> 01:25:21,440 temperature in the room rarely dropped 1577 01:25:16,880 --> 01:25:23,199 below 80° 27° C. 1578 01:25:21,440 --> 01:25:25,679 While the rest of the Blackstone group 1579 01:25:23,199 --> 01:25:28,159 was out at expensive lunches closing 1580 01:25:25,679 --> 01:25:32,480 leveraged buyouts, Larry's original 1581 01:25:28,159 --> 01:25:34,800 eight were building a digital fortress. 1582 01:25:32,480 --> 01:25:37,199 They were the weirdos in the basement. 1583 01:25:34,800 --> 01:25:40,719 It was here that the name Aladdin became 1584 01:25:37,199 --> 01:25:43,520 a living thing. Every day, Ben Golab and 1585 01:25:40,719 --> 01:25:46,560 his team fed it data. Interest rates, 1586 01:25:43,520 --> 01:25:48,320 housing prices, historical crashes. They 1587 01:25:46,560 --> 01:25:53,719 were teaching the machine to be afraid 1588 01:25:48,320 --> 01:25:53,719 of everything Larry hadn't seen in 1986. 1589 01:25:57,360 --> 01:26:02,560 By 1992, the department inside 1590 01:26:00,080 --> 01:26:05,360 Blackstone was no longer a startup. It 1591 01:26:02,560 --> 01:26:08,639 was a powerhouse. Larry's team was 1592 01:26:05,360 --> 01:26:10,320 managing $17 billion. 1593 01:26:08,639 --> 01:26:12,639 They weren't just a side project 1594 01:26:10,320 --> 01:26:15,600 anymore. They were a significant engine 1595 01:26:12,639 --> 01:26:18,000 of Blackstone's growth. But with success 1596 01:26:15,600 --> 01:26:20,239 came a toxic byproduct, 1597 01:26:18,000 --> 01:26:22,880 identity confusion. 1598 01:26:20,239 --> 01:26:24,480 Clients were getting confused. They 1599 01:26:22,880 --> 01:26:27,040 would call Blackstone looking for 1600 01:26:24,480 --> 01:26:29,440 Larry's bond expertise or call Larry 1601 01:26:27,040 --> 01:26:32,000 looking for Schwarzman's buyouts. But 1602 01:26:29,440 --> 01:26:34,639 the friction went deeper than a name. It 1603 01:26:32,000 --> 01:26:37,120 was a war of philosophies. Schwartzman 1604 01:26:34,639 --> 01:26:40,400 was a dealmaker. He wanted to own 1605 01:26:37,120 --> 01:26:43,920 companies. Think was a fiduciary. He 1606 01:26:40,400 --> 01:26:46,080 wanted to manage risk for others. 1607 01:26:43,920 --> 01:26:48,400 The tension was similar to having two 1608 01:26:46,080 --> 01:26:50,800 predators in a cage too small to fit 1609 01:26:48,400 --> 01:26:53,840 both. The breaking point came over 1610 01:26:50,800 --> 01:26:56,159 equity. Larry wanted to use stock to 1611 01:26:53,840 --> 01:26:59,280 attract and keep the original eight and 1612 01:26:56,159 --> 01:27:01,440 new talent. Schwarzman holding 50% of 1613 01:26:59,280 --> 01:27:04,000 the firm didn't want to dilute his 1614 01:27:01,440 --> 01:27:06,159 state. The partnership that saved 1615 01:27:04,000 --> 01:27:12,159 Larry's career was now suffocating his 1616 01:27:06,159 --> 01:27:14,239 vision. In 1994, they reached a deal. 1617 01:27:12,159 --> 01:27:18,080 Schwarzman agreed to sell Blackstone 1618 01:27:14,239 --> 01:27:20,159 steak for $240 million. At the time, it 1619 01:27:18,080 --> 01:27:22,400 seemed like a win for Schwarzman, a 1620 01:27:20,159 --> 01:27:25,199 massive return on his $5 million 1621 01:27:22,400 --> 01:27:27,600 investment. It wasn't just about money. 1622 01:27:25,199 --> 01:27:29,840 It was about the spotlight. Schwarzman 1623 01:27:27,600 --> 01:27:32,400 was the king of Wall Street, but his 1624 01:27:29,840 --> 01:27:34,960 subtenant, Larry Frink, was the one the 1625 01:27:32,400 --> 01:27:38,480 New York Times wanted to interview. But 1626 01:27:34,960 --> 01:27:40,560 for Larry, it was the price of freedom. 1627 01:27:38,480 --> 01:27:42,800 Schwartzman would later call selling 1628 01:27:40,560 --> 01:27:45,600 Black Rock the worst mistake of my 1629 01:27:42,800 --> 01:27:48,159 career. For Larry, the divorce was the 1630 01:27:45,600 --> 01:27:50,639 moment the training wheels came off. He 1631 01:27:48,159 --> 01:27:53,679 was no longer under anyone's umbrella. 1632 01:27:50,639 --> 01:27:55,280 He was the CEO of an independent firm. 1633 01:27:53,679 --> 01:27:57,199 Now he just had to prove he could 1634 01:27:55,280 --> 01:28:00,199 survive the coming storm of the late 1635 01:27:57,199 --> 01:28:00,199 '9s. 1636 01:28:08,000 --> 01:28:13,840 It is 2008. The financial world was 1637 01:28:11,280 --> 01:28:16,080 experiencing a heart attack. The 1638 01:28:13,840 --> 01:28:18,400 financial smoothies that mortgage back 1639 01:28:16,080 --> 01:28:20,639 securities Larry had helped create 30 1640 01:28:18,400 --> 01:28:23,440 years earlier had turned into a global 1641 01:28:20,639 --> 01:28:25,760 poison. Banks didn't know what they 1642 01:28:23,440 --> 01:28:28,320 owned. And more importantly, they didn't 1643 01:28:25,760 --> 01:28:30,480 know what their neighbors owned. Trust 1644 01:28:28,320 --> 01:28:32,480 had evaporated. 1645 01:28:30,480 --> 01:28:34,159 When the US government realized the 1646 01:28:32,480 --> 01:28:36,320 economy was on the brink of a total 1647 01:28:34,159 --> 01:28:40,159 blackout, they didn't call Goldman 1648 01:28:36,320 --> 01:28:42,560 Sachs. They didn't call JP Morgan. While 1649 01:28:40,159 --> 01:28:44,560 the CEOs of Layman and Merrill were 1650 01:28:42,560 --> 01:28:46,639 begging for government checks, Larry 1651 01:28:44,560 --> 01:28:48,880 Frink was the one the government called 1652 01:28:46,639 --> 01:28:51,120 to write the checks. 1653 01:28:48,880 --> 01:28:53,600 He was the only titan left standing with 1654 01:28:51,120 --> 01:28:55,679 a clean balance sheet. 1655 01:28:53,600 --> 01:28:57,840 The United States government didn't just 1656 01:28:55,679 --> 01:28:59,679 seek advice, it delegated 1657 01:28:57,840 --> 01:29:01,600 responsibility. 1658 01:28:59,679 --> 01:29:04,480 Black Rockck was tasked with valuing 1659 01:29:01,600 --> 01:29:06,719 assets no one understood, managing risks 1660 01:29:04,480 --> 01:29:08,719 no one could measure and stabilizing 1661 01:29:06,719 --> 01:29:11,199 markets that were collapsing in real 1662 01:29:08,719 --> 01:29:13,600 time. 1663 01:29:11,199 --> 01:29:16,719 This wasn't a bailout. It was an 1664 01:29:13,600 --> 01:29:18,480 outsourcing of core sovereign functions. 1665 01:29:16,719 --> 01:29:20,480 For the first time, a private firm 1666 01:29:18,480 --> 01:29:23,520 played a central role in maintaining 1667 01:29:20,480 --> 01:29:25,440 global financial stability. Not through 1668 01:29:23,520 --> 01:29:27,840 political authority, but through 1669 01:29:25,440 --> 01:29:30,400 technical capability. 1670 01:29:27,840 --> 01:29:33,280 From that moment on, power was no longer 1671 01:29:30,400 --> 01:29:35,280 just about laws and institutions. It was 1672 01:29:33,280 --> 01:29:37,520 about who had the tools to see the 1673 01:29:35,280 --> 01:29:39,920 system clearly. 1674 01:29:37,520 --> 01:29:42,719 Blackrock was hired to manage the toxic 1675 01:29:39,920 --> 01:29:45,040 waste of the crisis. They became the 1676 01:29:42,719 --> 01:29:48,000 official cleaner for the US government, 1677 01:29:45,040 --> 01:29:51,000 managing $130 billion of troubled 1678 01:29:48,000 --> 01:29:51,000 assets. 1679 01:29:51,120 --> 01:29:55,840 Suddenly, Larry Frink was the most 1680 01:29:53,520 --> 01:29:57,520 powerful man in the room, acting as an 1681 01:29:55,840 --> 01:29:59,040 adviser to the president and the 1682 01:29:57,520 --> 01:30:01,440 treasury. 1683 01:29:59,040 --> 01:30:04,239 But while he was saving the system, he 1684 01:30:01,440 --> 01:30:06,480 saw a once-ina-lifetime opportunity to 1685 01:30:04,239 --> 01:30:09,040 dominate it. In the middle of the 1686 01:30:06,480 --> 01:30:11,840 carnage, Barclay's bank in the UK was 1687 01:30:09,040 --> 01:30:14,080 desperate for cash. They needed to sell 1688 01:30:11,840 --> 01:30:16,159 their crown jewel, a division called 1689 01:30:14,080 --> 01:30:18,560 Barclay's Global Investors, which 1690 01:30:16,159 --> 01:30:20,320 included a revolutionary product called 1691 01:30:18,560 --> 01:30:22,159 Eyesshares. 1692 01:30:20,320 --> 01:30:24,960 Eyesshares represented passive 1693 01:30:22,159 --> 01:30:28,000 investing. ETFs that track the whole 1694 01:30:24,960 --> 01:30:29,920 market rather than trying to beat it. It 1695 01:30:28,000 --> 01:30:32,639 was the ultimate expression of Larry's 1696 01:30:29,920 --> 01:30:35,280 philosophy. Stop betting on stars and 1697 01:30:32,639 --> 01:30:39,600 start owning the system. It was a 1698 01:30:35,280 --> 01:30:42,000 massive $13.5 billion gamble. 1699 01:30:39,600 --> 01:30:44,719 If the markets continue to fall, deal 1700 01:30:42,000 --> 01:30:46,960 could sink Black Rockck. But Larry knew 1701 01:30:44,719 --> 01:30:49,040 something the others didn't. He had 1702 01:30:46,960 --> 01:30:51,280 looked into the eye of Aladdin, and 1703 01:30:49,040 --> 01:30:54,080 Aladdin told him that the bottom was 1704 01:30:51,280 --> 01:30:57,040 near. With the acquisition of Eyesshares 1705 01:30:54,080 --> 01:30:59,679 in 2009, Black Rockck doubled its size 1706 01:30:57,040 --> 01:31:02,400 overnight. They weren't just a bond shop 1707 01:30:59,679 --> 01:31:05,360 anymore. They were now the largest money 1708 01:31:02,400 --> 01:31:08,080 manager on the planet. They had gone 1709 01:31:05,360 --> 01:31:10,159 into the crisis as a respected firm. 1710 01:31:08,080 --> 01:31:13,960 They came out of it as the shadow 1711 01:31:10,159 --> 01:31:13,960 government of finance. 1712 01:31:18,639 --> 01:31:24,000 By 2012, Larry Frink had built the 1713 01:31:21,280 --> 01:31:26,560 machine. He had the assets, the data, 1714 01:31:24,000 --> 01:31:29,840 and the influence. But he realized that 1715 01:31:26,560 --> 01:31:31,760 being king of Wall Street wasn't enough. 1716 01:31:29,840 --> 01:31:35,040 He wanted to change the way the world 1717 01:31:31,760 --> 01:31:36,800 did business. Every January, a ritual 1718 01:31:35,040 --> 01:31:39,920 began that would send tremors through 1719 01:31:36,800 --> 01:31:42,320 boardrooms from Detroit to Frankfurt. 1720 01:31:39,920 --> 01:31:44,800 Larry started writing letters. They 1721 01:31:42,320 --> 01:31:48,679 weren't just annual reports. They were 1722 01:31:44,800 --> 01:31:48,679 the Black Rockck Manifestos. 1723 01:31:49,360 --> 01:31:55,280 In 2018, he dropped a bomb. He told the 1724 01:31:53,120 --> 01:31:57,440 world's CEOs that if they wanted Black 1725 01:31:55,280 --> 01:32:00,560 Rockck's money, they had to prove they 1726 01:31:57,440 --> 01:32:03,360 served a social purpose. He wasn't just 1727 01:32:00,560 --> 01:32:07,280 asking for profits. He was asking for a 1728 01:32:03,360 --> 01:32:10,239 soul. He was mainstreaming ESG, 1729 01:32:07,280 --> 01:32:13,360 environmental, social, and governance. 1730 01:32:10,239 --> 01:32:16,400 And he was doing it with a $10 trillion 1731 01:32:13,360 --> 01:32:20,000 hammer. But Larry's new gospel didn't 1732 01:32:16,400 --> 01:32:21,920 sit well with everyone. By 2021, the 1733 01:32:20,000 --> 01:32:25,520 golden boy was finding himself in the 1734 01:32:21,920 --> 01:32:28,719 middle of a two-front war. 1735 01:32:25,520 --> 01:32:32,560 The ESG debate was never cultural. It 1736 01:32:28,719 --> 01:32:34,480 was economic. At its core, ESG was about 1737 01:32:32,560 --> 01:32:37,040 risk management, anticipating 1738 01:32:34,480 --> 01:32:39,280 regulation, climate disruption, and 1739 01:32:37,040 --> 01:32:41,440 social instability. 1740 01:32:39,280 --> 01:32:44,320 For Black Rockck, ignoring those factors 1741 01:32:41,440 --> 01:32:46,800 wasn't neutral. It was dangerous. But 1742 01:32:44,320 --> 01:32:49,520 when capital begins to price the future, 1743 01:32:46,800 --> 01:32:52,400 it also begins to shape it. That's why 1744 01:32:49,520 --> 01:32:55,280 the backlash was so intense. 1745 01:32:52,400 --> 01:32:57,199 To the left, Larry was a hypocrite. They 1746 01:32:55,280 --> 01:32:59,360 called him a greenwasher because Black 1747 01:32:57,199 --> 01:33:01,920 Rockck still held billions in oil and 1748 01:32:59,360 --> 01:33:04,000 gas stocks. To the right, he was a 1749 01:33:01,920 --> 01:33:05,920 globalist villain who was using other 1750 01:33:04,000 --> 01:33:08,800 people's money to push a radical 1751 01:33:05,920 --> 01:33:10,880 environmental agenda. The backlash 1752 01:33:08,800 --> 01:33:13,880 turned into a full-scale political 1753 01:33:10,880 --> 01:33:13,880 assault. 1754 01:33:13,920 --> 01:33:18,639 State treasurers in Florida, Texas, and 1755 01:33:16,400 --> 01:33:21,360 Mississippi began pulling billions out 1756 01:33:18,639 --> 01:33:24,000 of Black Rockck. They accused Larry of 1757 01:33:21,360 --> 01:33:26,159 boycotting energy and violating his duty 1758 01:33:24,000 --> 01:33:28,000 to investors. 1759 01:33:26,159 --> 01:33:30,719 For the first time, the man who had 1760 01:33:28,000 --> 01:33:36,040 mastered risk found himself in a risk he 1761 01:33:30,719 --> 01:33:36,040 couldn't calculate, the culture war. 1762 01:33:37,520 --> 01:33:42,480 He told a crowd in Aspen that he was 1763 01:33:39,760 --> 01:33:44,639 ashamed to be a part of the debate. He 1764 01:33:42,480 --> 01:33:47,600 even stopped using the term ESG 1765 01:33:44,639 --> 01:33:49,440 altogether, calling it weaponized. 1766 01:33:47,600 --> 01:33:52,239 He had tried to become the conscience of 1767 01:33:49,440 --> 01:33:55,040 capitalism. Instead, it became its most 1768 01:33:52,239 --> 01:33:57,120 controversial target. But even as the 1769 01:33:55,040 --> 01:34:02,000 politicians shouted and the protesters 1770 01:33:57,120 --> 01:34:03,760 marched, the assets kept growing. 1771 01:34:02,000 --> 01:34:05,840 Because in the end, whether you loved 1772 01:34:03,760 --> 01:34:09,800 him or hated him, you couldn't escape 1773 01:34:05,840 --> 01:34:09,800 the machine he built. 1774 01:34:17,679 --> 01:34:22,320 January 2026, 1775 01:34:20,000 --> 01:34:24,000 the number flashes on a terminal in 1776 01:34:22,320 --> 01:34:28,000 Black Rockck's Hudson Yards 1777 01:34:24,000 --> 01:34:31,120 headquarters. $14 trillion. 1778 01:34:28,000 --> 01:34:32,719 It is a number so vast it defies human 1779 01:34:31,120 --> 01:34:35,199 comprehension. 1780 01:34:32,719 --> 01:34:37,760 If Larry thinks assets under management 1781 01:34:35,199 --> 01:34:39,760 were a country's GDP, it would be the 1782 01:34:37,760 --> 01:34:42,239 third largest economy on Earth, 1783 01:34:39,760 --> 01:34:43,760 surpassed only by the United States and 1784 01:34:42,239 --> 01:34:46,000 China. 1785 01:34:43,760 --> 01:34:48,880 But as Larry looks out from his office, 1786 01:34:46,000 --> 01:34:50,719 he isn't looking at stock tickers. He is 1787 01:34:48,880 --> 01:34:53,719 looking at the very bones of 1788 01:34:50,719 --> 01:34:53,719 civilization. 1789 01:34:55,280 --> 01:35:01,679 In 2024, Larry made his final most 1790 01:34:58,719 --> 01:35:04,239 aggressive pivot. He realized that the 1791 01:35:01,679 --> 01:35:07,040 next decade won't be one with bits on a 1792 01:35:04,239 --> 01:35:10,239 screen, but with atoms in the ground. 1793 01:35:07,040 --> 01:35:12,719 With the 122.5 billion acquisition of 1794 01:35:10,239 --> 01:35:14,960 global infrastructure partners, Larry 1795 01:35:12,719 --> 01:35:18,480 signaled the end of the old Wall Street 1796 01:35:14,960 --> 01:35:20,880 era. Larry saw the AI revolution coming. 1797 01:35:18,480 --> 01:35:23,040 But he didn't buy the chip makers. He 1798 01:35:20,880 --> 01:35:26,040 bought the power plants that feed the 1799 01:35:23,040 --> 01:35:26,040 chips. 1800 01:35:28,880 --> 01:35:35,960 But every empire faces the same 1801 01:35:30,960 --> 01:35:35,960 inevitable question. Succession. 1802 01:35:37,360 --> 01:35:41,600 For years, Wall Street has whispered 1803 01:35:39,440 --> 01:35:44,880 about who could possibly replace the man 1804 01:35:41,600 --> 01:35:47,199 who is Black Rockck. Names like Rob 1805 01:35:44,880 --> 01:35:49,600 Capito, Mark Weirman, and Jennifer 1806 01:35:47,199 --> 01:35:52,639 Johnson swirl in the press. But the 1807 01:35:49,600 --> 01:35:55,360 truth is more complex. Larry hasn't just 1808 01:35:52,639 --> 01:35:57,679 built a company. He's built an organism. 1809 01:35:55,360 --> 01:36:00,480 A system where Aladdin, now a very 1810 01:35:57,679 --> 01:36:03,600 sophisticated AI entity, handles the 1811 01:36:00,480 --> 01:36:06,400 risk while a legion of 20,000 employees, 1812 01:36:03,600 --> 01:36:08,800 executes the vision. Aladdin is no 1813 01:36:06,400 --> 01:36:10,800 longer just a calculator. It is a 1814 01:36:08,800 --> 01:36:13,520 predictive engine that runs millions of 1815 01:36:10,800 --> 01:36:15,440 simulations every second, anticipating 1816 01:36:13,520 --> 01:36:19,199 everything from a war in the Middle East 1817 01:36:15,440 --> 01:36:21,679 to a crop failure in Brazil. 1818 01:36:19,199 --> 01:36:24,800 Some call him the king of the world. 1819 01:36:21,679 --> 01:36:27,040 Others call him the shadow architect. 1820 01:36:24,800 --> 01:36:29,120 But if you ask Larry, he'll tell you 1821 01:36:27,040 --> 01:36:31,679 he's still that kid from the Vanoise 1822 01:36:29,120 --> 01:36:35,480 shoe store just trying to make sure that 1823 01:36:31,679 --> 01:36:35,480 the maths add up. 1824 01:36:35,760 --> 01:36:40,080 He took the greatest humiliation of his 1825 01:36:37,840 --> 01:36:42,159 life and turned it into a shield for the 1826 01:36:40,080 --> 01:36:44,159 global economy. 1827 01:36:42,159 --> 01:36:46,880 He taught the world that profit without 1828 01:36:44,159 --> 01:36:52,000 a plan is just a gamble and that in the 1829 01:36:46,880 --> 01:36:54,000 dark the man with a flashlight is king. 1830 01:36:52,000 --> 01:36:56,960 There is one financial question the 1831 01:36:54,000 --> 01:36:59,600 system cannot answer. What happens when 1832 01:36:56,960 --> 01:37:02,000 everyone measures risk the same way? 1833 01:36:59,600 --> 01:37:04,400 When models converge. When assumptions 1834 01:37:02,000 --> 01:37:06,080 align. When diversity of judgment 1835 01:37:04,400 --> 01:37:08,400 disappears. 1836 01:37:06,080 --> 01:37:11,280 A system optimized for stability can 1837 01:37:08,400 --> 01:37:13,280 become fragile. Not because it is wrong, 1838 01:37:11,280 --> 01:37:14,880 but because it leaves no room for the 1839 01:37:13,280 --> 01:37:17,119 unexpected. 1840 01:37:14,880 --> 01:37:19,520 When the supervisor becomes invisible 1841 01:37:17,119 --> 01:37:22,639 and the rules are embedded in code, 1842 01:37:19,520 --> 01:37:25,920 accountability becomes harder to locate. 1843 01:37:22,639 --> 01:37:27,840 The system works until it doesn't. And 1844 01:37:25,920 --> 01:37:30,400 that's why Blackprop isn't just a 1845 01:37:27,840 --> 01:37:33,040 shareholder in your company. They are 1846 01:37:30,400 --> 01:37:35,840 the landlord of your power plant, the 1847 01:37:33,040 --> 01:37:38,239 owner of your airport, the architect of 1848 01:37:35,840 --> 01:37:40,239 your retirement. It is a level of 1849 01:37:38,239 --> 01:37:43,040 centralized influence the world has 1850 01:37:40,239 --> 01:37:46,239 never seen in a private individual. 1851 01:37:43,040 --> 01:37:48,400 Lawrence DFink didn't just build a bank. 1852 01:37:46,239 --> 01:37:50,000 He built the unblinking eye of 1853 01:37:48,400 --> 01:37:52,239 capitalism. 1854 01:37:50,000 --> 01:37:54,480 And as the world moves into the era of 1855 01:37:52,239 --> 01:37:57,360 AI, climate shift, and global 1856 01:37:54,480 --> 01:38:00,639 restructuring, one thing is certain. 1857 01:37:57,360 --> 01:38:05,239 Black Rock will be there watching, 1858 01:38:00,639 --> 01:38:05,239 calculating, and growing. 1859 01:39:25,199 --> 01:39:30,159 It's just a small plastic brick. 1860 01:39:28,639 --> 01:39:35,360 Lightweight, 1861 01:39:30,159 --> 01:39:39,600 simple, unchanged since 1958. 1862 01:39:35,360 --> 01:39:41,679 And yet, it has built entire universes. 1863 01:39:39,600 --> 01:39:44,159 Lego constructions truly take us back to 1864 01:39:41,679 --> 01:39:46,000 childhood. 1865 01:39:44,159 --> 01:39:48,480 But they stay with us throughout our 1866 01:39:46,000 --> 01:39:50,880 entire lives. From bedrooms to 1867 01:39:48,480 --> 01:39:55,119 boardrooms, from playgrounds to 1868 01:39:50,880 --> 01:39:57,600 Hollywood, Lego has shaped generations. 1869 01:39:55,119 --> 01:39:59,440 >> When I design something from scratch, I 1870 01:39:57,600 --> 01:40:01,840 start with an idea that occurs to me at 1871 01:39:59,440 --> 01:40:03,600 any time of day. 1872 01:40:01,840 --> 01:40:05,040 >> I try to build it with Lego and see what 1873 01:40:03,600 --> 01:40:07,679 I come up with. 1874 01:40:05,040 --> 01:40:12,480 >> In a global toy market worth more than 1875 01:40:07,679 --> 01:40:15,040 $120 billion, Lego stands alone. A 1876 01:40:12,480 --> 01:40:18,719 single company controlling nearly one in 1877 01:40:15,040 --> 01:40:20,960 every $10 spent on toys worldwide. 1878 01:40:18,719 --> 01:40:22,560 >> Lego holds a leading position worldwide, 1879 01:40:20,960 --> 01:40:24,159 recognized above all for its 1880 01:40:22,560 --> 01:40:26,400 playability. 1881 01:40:24,159 --> 01:40:30,480 >> What if the most beloved toy in the 1882 01:40:26,400 --> 01:40:32,800 world almost didn't exist? 1883 01:40:30,480 --> 01:40:35,520 Discover the incredible journey of a 1884 01:40:32,800 --> 01:40:37,520 small, struggling carpentry shop, the 1885 01:40:35,520 --> 01:40:39,360 dared to dream bigger than anyone 1886 01:40:37,520 --> 01:40:41,920 thought possible. H. 1887 01:40:39,360 --> 01:40:44,960 >> This is the untold story of the 1888 01:40:41,920 --> 01:40:48,000 visionary who built Lego, 1889 01:40:44,960 --> 01:40:51,280 transforming simple wooden bricks into a 1890 01:40:48,000 --> 01:40:54,159 multi-billion dollar empire and forever 1891 01:40:51,280 --> 01:40:56,400 changing how we play. 1892 01:40:54,159 --> 01:40:59,679 But none of this began with billiondoll 1893 01:40:56,400 --> 01:41:03,520 charts or cinematic universes. 1894 01:40:59,679 --> 01:41:06,800 It began with a carpenter with a vision. 1895 01:41:03,520 --> 01:41:09,920 In a tiny Danish village, one man had a 1896 01:41:06,800 --> 01:41:12,920 dream. Building toys out of scraps of 1897 01:41:09,920 --> 01:41:12,920 wood. 1898 01:41:19,199 --> 01:41:26,000 Ole Christensen was born in 1891 in 1899 01:41:23,040 --> 01:41:29,920 western Denmark, a place defined by 1900 01:41:26,000 --> 01:41:32,639 silence, soil, and hard work. 1901 01:41:29,920 --> 01:41:35,440 He grew up poor like most children in 1902 01:41:32,639 --> 01:41:38,400 the Jutland countryside, but he learned 1903 01:41:35,440 --> 01:41:42,400 the value of craftsmanship early. When 1904 01:41:38,400 --> 01:41:45,119 you made something, it had to last. 1905 01:41:42,400 --> 01:41:47,360 He apprenticed as a carpenter. It was 1906 01:41:45,119 --> 01:41:50,960 not a really glamorous work, but 1907 01:41:47,360 --> 01:41:54,239 meticulous, honest, a craft that matched 1908 01:41:50,960 --> 01:41:56,639 Ola's character and manners. 1909 01:41:54,239 --> 01:42:00,080 Ola traveled through Denmark, Germany, 1910 01:41:56,639 --> 01:42:03,600 and Norway. Everywhere he went, he left 1911 01:42:00,080 --> 01:42:05,600 a reputation. Precise, patient, 1912 01:42:03,600 --> 01:42:09,199 relentless. 1913 01:42:05,600 --> 01:42:11,280 In 1916, Ole returned home and bought a 1914 01:42:09,199 --> 01:42:15,600 workshop in a place that barely existed 1915 01:42:11,280 --> 01:42:18,080 on the map. Bund. No shops, no train 1916 01:42:15,600 --> 01:42:20,159 station, just a handful of families 1917 01:42:18,080 --> 01:42:21,920 trying to survive the Danish winds. 1918 01:42:20,159 --> 01:42:25,040 >> Don't worry, I'm fine. I'm fine. 1919 01:42:21,920 --> 01:42:29,760 >> But 8 years later, disaster struck. 1920 01:42:25,040 --> 01:42:30,960 >> Oh. Oh. Oh no. In 1924, a fire tore 1921 01:42:29,760 --> 01:42:33,840 through his workshop. 1922 01:42:30,960 --> 01:42:38,639 >> Oh god, no. Please, no. Oh my god. 1923 01:42:33,840 --> 01:42:43,040 >> Everything burned. Tools, wood, orders, 1924 01:42:38,639 --> 01:42:47,199 and a lifetime of savings. All gone. 1925 01:42:43,040 --> 01:42:49,840 But O didn't quit. He rebuilt and 1926 01:42:47,199 --> 01:42:52,400 rebuilt bigger than before. Not because 1927 01:42:49,840 --> 01:42:56,320 it was safe, but because he refused to 1928 01:42:52,400 --> 01:42:59,199 let Band disappear into the wind. 1929 01:42:56,320 --> 01:43:01,760 Then came the Great Depression. Houses 1930 01:42:59,199 --> 01:43:05,760 weren't being built. Doors weren't being 1931 01:43:01,760 --> 01:43:08,400 ordered. Bills weren't being paid. 1932 01:43:05,760 --> 01:43:11,440 Olair had workers depending on him. 1933 01:43:08,400 --> 01:43:14,320 Families depending on him. So, he did 1934 01:43:11,440 --> 01:43:18,159 something unexpected. He began crafting 1935 01:43:14,320 --> 01:43:21,760 small wooden toys. They were simple, 1936 01:43:18,159 --> 01:43:24,800 durable, and beautiful. 1937 01:43:21,760 --> 01:43:28,480 Locals mocked him. a grown man making 1938 01:43:24,800 --> 01:43:31,520 toys for children. You'll never survive. 1939 01:43:28,480 --> 01:43:33,760 But Honor believed that play and fun was 1940 01:43:31,520 --> 01:43:36,960 a serious business. 1941 01:43:33,760 --> 01:43:40,560 In 1934, he held a contest to name the 1942 01:43:36,960 --> 01:43:42,080 new toy company. He chose a short word, 1943 01:43:40,560 --> 01:43:44,480 Lego. 1944 01:43:42,080 --> 01:43:48,000 It was not only a simple idea, but a 1945 01:43:44,480 --> 01:43:50,719 philosophy and a promise. 1946 01:43:48,000 --> 01:43:53,360 He hung a sign in the workshop. Only the 1947 01:43:50,719 --> 01:43:58,520 best is good enough. It wasn't 1948 01:43:53,360 --> 01:43:58,520 marketing. It was his identity. 1949 01:44:00,400 --> 01:44:06,480 >> Oh god, not again. 1950 01:44:01,840 --> 01:44:09,280 >> In 1942, Ola faced another fire. This 1951 01:44:06,480 --> 01:44:12,320 time it was bigger, more devastating. 1952 01:44:09,280 --> 01:44:15,760 Every blueprint, every toy, every dream 1953 01:44:12,320 --> 01:44:18,639 he had turned into smoke. 1954 01:44:15,760 --> 01:44:22,239 But he had built himself the hardship. 1955 01:44:18,639 --> 01:44:25,600 And once more he rebuilt the factory 1956 01:44:22,239 --> 01:44:29,760 stronger than the two previous ones. In 1957 01:44:25,600 --> 01:44:32,960 1947, at the worst economic moment, Ola 1958 01:44:29,760 --> 01:44:34,880 made the riskiest choice of his life. He 1959 01:44:32,960 --> 01:44:38,080 spent more than twice the company's 1960 01:44:34,880 --> 01:44:40,480 annual profits on a strange new machine. 1961 01:44:38,080 --> 01:44:42,320 One that worked not with wood, but with 1962 01:44:40,480 --> 01:44:45,040 plastic. 1963 01:44:42,320 --> 01:44:47,440 Retailers hated plastic. Parents 1964 01:44:45,040 --> 01:44:51,199 distrusted it. But Ola saw something 1965 01:44:47,440 --> 01:44:53,679 they didn't. Precision, repeatability, 1966 01:44:51,199 --> 01:44:55,920 and possibilities. Endless 1967 01:44:53,679 --> 01:44:59,199 possibilities. 1968 01:44:55,920 --> 01:45:01,360 Only 2 years later, in 1949, 1969 01:44:59,199 --> 01:45:04,639 LEGO released the first plastic bricks 1970 01:45:01,360 --> 01:45:07,440 of its history. They didn't click. They 1971 01:45:04,639 --> 01:45:10,440 weren't perfect, but they were the 1972 01:45:07,440 --> 01:45:10,440 beginning. 1973 01:45:14,719 --> 01:45:19,119 The idea was good, but Ol and his team 1974 01:45:17,360 --> 01:45:21,440 faced setbacks while designing the 1975 01:45:19,119 --> 01:45:24,639 bricks that had cemented Lego's identity 1976 01:45:21,440 --> 01:45:27,840 through the years. The plastic bricks 1977 01:45:24,639 --> 01:45:29,840 didn't grip. This was a major problem 1978 01:45:27,840 --> 01:45:32,639 for a building set because buildings 1979 01:45:29,840 --> 01:45:36,000 collapsed. Towers fell in front of their 1980 01:45:32,639 --> 01:45:40,480 eyes. Apparently, Lego wasn't created to 1981 01:45:36,000 --> 01:45:42,719 build. And then in 1958, 1982 01:45:40,480 --> 01:45:45,040 everything changed. 1983 01:45:42,719 --> 01:45:47,040 >> Unlike 20 years ago, LEGO Today allows 1984 01:45:45,040 --> 01:45:49,360 us to build many more things because 1985 01:45:47,040 --> 01:45:52,679 they have released more realistic colors 1986 01:45:49,360 --> 01:45:52,679 and shapes. 1987 01:45:53,119 --> 01:45:57,840 In the past, the pieces were mostly 1988 01:45:55,199 --> 01:45:59,920 square. Today, there is a much wider 1989 01:45:57,840 --> 01:46:02,080 variety of shapes, including more 1990 01:45:59,920 --> 01:46:04,880 rounded elements, which allow us to 1991 01:46:02,080 --> 01:46:06,639 create more ergonomic forms, ones that 1992 01:46:04,880 --> 01:46:08,880 more closely resemble the kinds of 1993 01:46:06,639 --> 01:46:11,119 buildings and structures we see in 1994 01:46:08,880 --> 01:46:14,080 everyday life. 1995 01:46:11,119 --> 01:46:17,280 >> Engineers at LEGO perfected a simple but 1996 01:46:14,080 --> 01:46:19,360 ingenious solution. Hollow tubes inside 1997 01:46:17,280 --> 01:46:21,600 the brick. 1998 01:46:19,360 --> 01:46:24,159 Paired with the studs on top, the 1999 01:46:21,600 --> 01:46:28,080 geometry created what LEGO calls clutch 2000 01:46:24,159 --> 01:46:30,320 power. Not too tight, not too loose, 2001 01:46:28,080 --> 01:46:32,159 just perfect. 2002 01:46:30,320 --> 01:46:34,800 This was not just an adjustment or 2003 01:46:32,159 --> 01:46:38,000 improvement. It was the birth of what we 2004 01:46:34,800 --> 01:46:40,560 know today as a Lego brick. The brick 2005 01:46:38,000 --> 01:46:42,560 that today can still be used with the 2006 01:46:40,560 --> 01:46:44,639 modern ones. 2007 01:46:42,560 --> 01:46:48,159 The brick that was the foundation of a 2008 01:46:44,639 --> 01:46:51,679 company that still makes history today. 2009 01:46:48,159 --> 01:46:53,679 That same year, Lego filed the patent. 2010 01:46:51,679 --> 01:46:56,080 They had something worth protecting and 2011 01:46:53,679 --> 01:46:59,119 Olly knew that sooner or later it would 2012 01:46:56,080 --> 01:47:02,719 be replicated. 2013 01:46:59,119 --> 01:47:06,480 It was January the 28th, 1958 when the 2014 01:47:02,719 --> 01:47:09,119 patent was filed. Later that year, Ole 2015 01:47:06,480 --> 01:47:12,320 Christensen passed away. 2016 01:47:09,119 --> 01:47:16,199 And sadly, he never lived to see how far 2017 01:47:12,320 --> 01:47:16,199 his brick would travel. 2018 01:47:23,679 --> 01:47:29,199 After his father died, Godfred Kirk 2019 01:47:26,239 --> 01:47:31,440 Christensen stepped in. He wasn't 2020 01:47:29,199 --> 01:47:34,400 inheriting the company. He was 2021 01:47:31,440 --> 01:47:36,960 inheriting a philosophy, one he had been 2022 01:47:34,400 --> 01:47:39,600 raised with. His father wasn't around 2023 01:47:36,960 --> 01:47:41,600 anymore, but the original spirit of Lego 2024 01:47:39,600 --> 01:47:43,600 lived on in the second Christensen 2025 01:47:41,600 --> 01:47:46,000 generation. 2026 01:47:43,600 --> 01:47:48,159 But he also had something to add. 2027 01:47:46,000 --> 01:47:51,520 Godfred believed Lego should be more 2028 01:47:48,159 --> 01:47:53,840 than toys. It should be a system. A 2029 01:47:51,520 --> 01:47:57,679 system where every piece connected with 2030 01:47:53,840 --> 01:47:59,760 every other piece across every set. 2031 01:47:57,679 --> 01:48:02,880 This created a language of creativity 2032 01:47:59,760 --> 01:48:06,080 and possibilities and a single idea 2033 01:48:02,880 --> 01:48:08,719 changed everything. Suddenly, LEGO 2034 01:48:06,080 --> 01:48:11,199 wasn't a collection of toys, but an 2035 01:48:08,719 --> 01:48:13,760 entire universe. 2036 01:48:11,199 --> 01:48:15,679 The company began to grow far beyond its 2037 01:48:13,760 --> 01:48:19,440 original frontiers. 2038 01:48:15,679 --> 01:48:24,239 During the 1960s and 70s, Lego expanded 2039 01:48:19,440 --> 01:48:27,040 across Europe, Germany, Sweden, the UK. 2040 01:48:24,239 --> 01:48:30,400 Villand, once a small village, became a 2041 01:48:27,040 --> 01:48:33,119 global hub of play. Lego then built its 2042 01:48:30,400 --> 01:48:34,080 own airport, factories, and distribution 2043 01:48:33,119 --> 01:48:36,000 centers. 2044 01:48:34,080 --> 01:48:38,320 >> In the world of construction toys, we 2045 01:48:36,000 --> 01:48:40,800 know that Lego isn't the only brand 2046 01:48:38,320 --> 01:48:45,280 around. 2047 01:48:40,800 --> 01:48:47,920 What Lego provides is a quality product. 2048 01:48:45,280 --> 01:48:50,800 Maybe one part is wrong for every 10,000 2049 01:48:47,920 --> 01:48:53,520 or 100,000 items. And if you are missing 2050 01:48:50,800 --> 01:48:55,679 an item from a box or if it is faulty, 2051 01:48:53,520 --> 01:48:57,119 the company's after sales service will 2052 01:48:55,679 --> 01:49:00,600 not question the fact that you are 2053 01:48:57,119 --> 01:49:00,600 missing a part. 2054 01:49:01,360 --> 01:49:07,600 And then the magic happened. 2055 01:49:04,960 --> 01:49:11,920 LEGO introduced something no toy company 2056 01:49:07,600 --> 01:49:15,679 had done at scale. Fully themed worlds. 2057 01:49:11,920 --> 01:49:17,040 space, town, castles. 2058 01:49:15,679 --> 01:49:19,440 Children weren't just building 2059 01:49:17,040 --> 01:49:21,360 structures anymore. They were building 2060 01:49:19,440 --> 01:49:24,880 stories. 2061 01:49:21,360 --> 01:49:26,800 In 1978, LEGO released its most iconic 2062 01:49:24,880 --> 01:49:28,400 invention since the brick, the 2063 01:49:26,800 --> 01:49:31,440 minifigure. 2064 01:49:28,400 --> 01:49:35,199 It had a simple face, hands shaped like 2065 01:49:31,440 --> 01:49:37,920 a sea, and feet made to stand on studs. 2066 01:49:35,199 --> 01:49:40,960 A tiny character that let kids project 2067 01:49:37,920 --> 01:49:44,000 themselves into entire universes. 2068 01:49:40,960 --> 01:49:48,000 stories now had heroes and Lego had a 2069 01:49:44,000 --> 01:49:50,000 heartbeat. In the late 1970s, Lego was 2070 01:49:48,000 --> 01:49:54,080 already run by the third Christensen 2071 01:49:50,000 --> 01:49:56,239 generation. Ole's grandson killed began 2072 01:49:54,080 --> 01:49:58,800 shaping the company into the global 2073 01:49:56,239 --> 01:50:01,199 powerhouse we know today. 2074 01:49:58,800 --> 01:50:04,480 He did so by creating more sophisticated 2075 01:50:01,199 --> 01:50:06,960 lines, bringing in new universes. 2076 01:50:04,480 --> 01:50:09,119 Technic brought mechanics, pirates 2077 01:50:06,960 --> 01:50:10,560 brought adventure, and trains brought 2078 01:50:09,119 --> 01:50:13,520 motion. 2079 01:50:10,560 --> 01:50:16,480 By the late 20th century, the global toy 2080 01:50:13,520 --> 01:50:19,520 market was becoming massive. Tens of 2081 01:50:16,480 --> 01:50:21,920 billions of dollars a year worth. The 2082 01:50:19,520 --> 01:50:24,880 United States spent more on toys than 2083 01:50:21,920 --> 01:50:27,679 any country on Earth. And China produced 2084 01:50:24,880 --> 01:50:29,360 most of them, nearly 34 of the world's 2085 01:50:27,679 --> 01:50:32,320 total. 2086 01:50:29,360 --> 01:50:38,199 In this booming landscape, Lego wasn't 2087 01:50:32,320 --> 01:50:38,199 just another toy. It was the toy. 2088 01:50:42,800 --> 01:50:48,639 By the late 1990s, LEGO was flying high. 2089 01:50:46,639 --> 01:50:50,880 It had become one of the most admired 2090 01:50:48,639 --> 01:50:53,040 companies in Europe. A creative 2091 01:50:50,880 --> 01:50:55,440 powerhouse built on the philosophy of 2092 01:50:53,040 --> 01:50:57,520 imagination and creation. We're not 2093 01:50:55,440 --> 01:50:59,199 focused only on childhood, but on 2094 01:50:57,520 --> 01:51:01,520 something that has quite literally built 2095 01:50:59,199 --> 01:51:03,679 us, pun intended, shaping our 2096 01:51:01,520 --> 01:51:06,400 personalities through Lego from an early 2097 01:51:03,679 --> 01:51:10,719 age. Those memories became a foundation 2098 01:51:06,400 --> 01:51:12,639 we've kept building on over time. 2099 01:51:10,719 --> 01:51:14,560 That's why exhibitions like this bring 2100 01:51:12,639 --> 01:51:17,520 us straight back to childhood. The 2101 01:51:14,560 --> 01:51:19,600 audience here is very diverse, but once 2102 01:51:17,520 --> 01:51:22,880 people walk in, they all become the boy 2103 01:51:19,600 --> 01:51:26,320 or girl they once were. But it's not all 2104 01:51:22,880 --> 01:51:29,040 gold that glitters. Under the surface, 2105 01:51:26,320 --> 01:51:31,840 something dangerous was creeping in. The 2106 01:51:29,040 --> 01:51:33,360 toy market was changing fast. Children 2107 01:51:31,840 --> 01:51:35,119 were spending more and more time with 2108 01:51:33,360 --> 01:51:36,639 video games and early computer 2109 01:51:35,119 --> 01:51:38,960 entertainment. 2110 01:51:36,639 --> 01:51:41,119 Sony's PlayStation, Nintendo, and 2111 01:51:38,960 --> 01:51:44,400 Hasbro's electronic toys were capturing 2112 01:51:41,119 --> 01:51:48,880 attention. And LEGO, determined not to 2113 01:51:44,400 --> 01:51:51,360 fall behind, expanded too far too fast. 2114 01:51:48,880 --> 01:51:53,520 Throughout the 1990s, Lego began 2115 01:51:51,360 --> 01:51:56,320 introducing thousands of completely new 2116 01:51:53,520 --> 01:51:59,280 pieces, specialized parts that not only 2117 01:51:56,320 --> 01:52:03,119 worked in one set. A single year could 2118 01:51:59,280 --> 01:52:05,280 bring more than 350 new designs, each of 2119 01:52:03,119 --> 01:52:07,119 them costing tens of thousands of 2120 01:52:05,280 --> 01:52:09,920 dollars in steel, machining, and 2121 01:52:07,119 --> 01:52:11,840 precision engineering. 2122 01:52:09,920 --> 01:52:14,080 In 2002, 2123 01:52:11,840 --> 01:52:17,040 Lego had more than 12,000 active 2124 01:52:14,080 --> 01:52:19,520 elements. The system of play, once 2125 01:52:17,040 --> 01:52:22,800 simple and universal, was becoming 2126 01:52:19,520 --> 01:52:25,840 chaotic and difficult to follow. LEGO 2127 01:52:22,800 --> 01:52:27,920 also tried becoming a lifestyle brand. 2128 01:52:25,840 --> 01:52:31,119 New ventures appeared everywhere, 2129 01:52:27,920 --> 01:52:33,280 clothing lines, theme parks, homegoods, 2130 01:52:31,119 --> 01:52:35,040 cartoon series, even watches and 2131 01:52:33,280 --> 01:52:36,960 sneakers. 2132 01:52:35,040 --> 01:52:39,599 But these projects drained resources 2133 01:52:36,960 --> 01:52:41,280 without reinforcing the core product, 2134 01:52:39,599 --> 01:52:45,920 the brick. 2135 01:52:41,280 --> 01:52:47,440 And between 1999 and 2003, LEGO sales 2136 01:52:45,920 --> 01:52:49,599 collapsed. 2137 01:52:47,440 --> 01:52:52,320 During these years, the company went 2138 01:52:49,599 --> 01:52:55,520 from doubledigit growth to struggling. 2139 01:52:52,320 --> 01:52:58,880 And by 2003, the company was losing the 2140 01:52:55,520 --> 01:53:01,760 equivalent of $1 million a day. In a 2141 01:52:58,880 --> 01:53:05,599 global toy market, still worth more than 2142 01:53:01,760 --> 01:53:07,920 $70 billion US at the time, Lego, once 2143 01:53:05,599 --> 01:53:10,400 the king of the toy box, was only a few 2144 01:53:07,920 --> 01:53:13,520 steps away from bankruptcy. 2145 01:53:10,400 --> 01:53:17,760 Times were dark, but a spark of genius 2146 01:53:13,520 --> 01:53:20,159 appeared. In 1999, LEGO signed its first 2147 01:53:17,760 --> 01:53:22,000 ever licensing deal with no other than 2148 01:53:20,159 --> 01:53:25,040 Lucasfilm. 2149 01:53:22,000 --> 01:53:28,320 The timing was perfect. Star Wars 2150 01:53:25,040 --> 01:53:31,040 Episode 1 was about to hit theaters. 2151 01:53:28,320 --> 01:53:34,080 Hype was global and the first Lego Star 2152 01:53:31,040 --> 01:53:37,280 Wars sets were instant hits, not just 2153 01:53:34,080 --> 01:53:39,360 with children, with adults. Collectors 2154 01:53:37,280 --> 01:53:41,440 lined up to buy the X-wing, the 2155 01:53:39,360 --> 01:53:44,800 Snowspeeder, or the first Millennium 2156 01:53:41,440 --> 01:53:47,599 Falcon. For the first time in LEGO's 2157 01:53:44,800 --> 01:53:50,400 history, adults, including those in 2158 01:53:47,599 --> 01:53:51,280 their 30s and 40s, were buying sets for 2159 01:53:50,400 --> 01:53:53,280 themselves. 2160 01:53:51,280 --> 01:53:56,000 >> The adult fan of Lego community is 2161 01:53:53,280 --> 01:53:58,080 getting bigger. This is because Lego is 2162 01:53:56,000 --> 01:54:00,639 not the same as it was 20 or 30 years 2163 01:53:58,080 --> 01:54:02,880 ago. 2164 01:54:00,639 --> 01:54:04,719 Before, Lego was only seen as a toy to 2165 01:54:02,880 --> 01:54:07,719 play with when it was cold and you were 2166 01:54:04,719 --> 01:54:07,719 indoors. 2167 01:54:08,080 --> 01:54:12,960 Today, Lego is much more than a toy. 2168 01:54:10,560 --> 01:54:15,280 It's used to create logos to design 2169 01:54:12,960 --> 01:54:18,239 dynamic group activities. And it also 2170 01:54:15,280 --> 01:54:20,480 represents a shift in how we see it. 2171 01:54:18,239 --> 01:54:22,880 years ago, if you said you played with 2172 01:54:20,480 --> 01:54:25,280 Lego or built Lego, you almost had to 2173 01:54:22,880 --> 01:54:27,119 explain yourself that you were at home 2174 01:54:25,280 --> 01:54:29,920 playing with little figures making up 2175 01:54:27,119 --> 01:54:31,760 battles. What we do today is different. 2176 01:54:29,920 --> 01:54:35,520 We come together as a community of 2177 01:54:31,760 --> 01:54:37,360 adults and LEGO has recognized that. 2178 01:54:35,520 --> 01:54:39,679 That's why more and more products are 2179 01:54:37,360 --> 01:54:42,320 now designed specifically for adults, 2180 01:54:39,679 --> 01:54:45,320 more complex to build, and also more 2181 01:54:42,320 --> 01:54:45,320 expensive. 2182 01:54:46,480 --> 01:54:52,239 This kid demographic would later become 2183 01:54:49,119 --> 01:54:55,040 one of LEGO's most profitable segments. 2184 01:54:52,239 --> 01:54:58,320 More licenses followed. Harry Potter, 2185 01:54:55,040 --> 01:55:00,239 Spider-Man, Batman, Indiana Jones, and 2186 01:54:58,320 --> 01:55:01,920 later the newest Marvel Cinematic 2187 01:55:00,239 --> 01:55:03,520 Universe. 2188 01:55:01,920 --> 01:55:06,960 Even though LEGO learned that 2189 01:55:03,520 --> 01:55:10,239 storytelling sells, in 2004, losses were 2190 01:55:06,960 --> 01:55:12,719 mounting and survival was uncertain. 2191 01:55:10,239 --> 01:55:14,239 And then the company made a radical 2192 01:55:12,719 --> 01:55:16,639 decision. 2193 01:55:14,239 --> 01:55:19,040 For the first time in its history, the 2194 01:55:16,639 --> 01:55:22,960 company appointed a CEO from outside the 2195 01:55:19,040 --> 01:55:26,560 Christensen family, Jurgen Vic Nutsto, a 2196 01:55:22,960 --> 01:55:30,480 35-year-old former McKenzie consultant. 2197 01:55:26,560 --> 01:55:34,159 He was calm, precise, analytical, 2198 01:55:30,480 --> 01:55:38,000 and brutally honest. His diagnosis was 2199 01:55:34,159 --> 01:55:39,760 simple. Lego had forgotten what made it 2200 01:55:38,000 --> 01:55:42,080 Lego. 2201 01:55:39,760 --> 01:55:45,360 Kutto cut the number of unique elements 2202 01:55:42,080 --> 01:55:48,000 by nearly 50%. He sold off the theme 2203 01:55:45,360 --> 01:55:50,800 parks. He shut down unprofitable 2204 01:55:48,000 --> 01:55:53,840 production facilities. He centralized 2205 01:55:50,800 --> 01:55:55,520 supply chains, standardized materials, 2206 01:55:53,840 --> 01:55:58,639 and brought back discipline to the 2207 01:55:55,520 --> 01:56:03,400 system. But more important, he put the 2208 01:55:58,639 --> 01:56:03,400 brick back at the center of the company. 2209 01:56:05,040 --> 01:56:09,920 This turnaround didn't happen in 2210 01:56:06,880 --> 01:56:13,280 isolation. The global toy industry was 2211 01:56:09,920 --> 01:56:15,840 undergoing a seismic change. China was 2212 01:56:13,280 --> 01:56:18,320 producing nearly 75% of the world's 2213 01:56:15,840 --> 01:56:21,440 toys, being the largest manufacturing 2214 01:56:18,320 --> 01:56:23,599 consolidation in toy history. 2215 01:56:21,440 --> 01:56:26,159 Meanwhile, the United States had become 2216 01:56:23,599 --> 01:56:28,400 the single largest consumer, responsible 2217 01:56:26,159 --> 01:56:31,400 for nearly onethird of the global toy 2218 01:56:28,400 --> 01:56:31,400 spending. 2219 01:56:31,599 --> 01:56:39,040 By 2005, the toy market was worth close 2220 01:56:35,199 --> 01:56:42,159 to $80 billion US. But it was brutally 2221 01:56:39,040 --> 01:56:44,880 competitive as well. Seasonality was 2222 01:56:42,159 --> 01:56:47,520 extreme. Nearly half of the annual toy 2223 01:56:44,880 --> 01:56:50,080 sales occurred in just 3 months from 2224 01:56:47,520 --> 01:56:53,199 October to December. 2225 01:56:50,080 --> 01:56:55,280 Companies lived or died by Christmas. 2226 01:56:53,199 --> 01:56:58,159 Mattel was battling declining Barbie 2227 01:56:55,280 --> 01:56:59,520 sales. Hasbro was betting its future on 2228 01:56:58,159 --> 01:57:01,119 Transformers and board game 2229 01:56:59,520 --> 01:57:02,960 reinventions. 2230 01:57:01,119 --> 01:57:05,920 Electronics were eating market share 2231 01:57:02,960 --> 01:57:10,320 across every age group. In this 2232 01:57:05,920 --> 01:57:16,280 scenario, LEGO rebuilt and refocused and 2233 01:57:10,320 --> 01:57:16,280 then began rising above all of them. 2234 01:57:19,440 --> 01:57:27,119 Between 2008 and 2015, LEGO entered a 2235 01:57:23,679 --> 01:57:30,000 new era, a renaissance driven by design, 2236 01:57:27,119 --> 01:57:32,159 storytelling, digital engagement, and 2237 01:57:30,000 --> 01:57:34,000 adult passion. 2238 01:57:32,159 --> 01:57:36,960 The company launched the ultimate 2239 01:57:34,000 --> 01:57:40,400 collector series, producing the largest, 2240 01:57:36,960 --> 01:57:42,639 most detailed models in toy history. 2241 01:57:40,400 --> 01:57:45,920 Lego architecture brought landmarks to 2242 01:57:42,639 --> 01:57:48,480 coffee tables. Modular buildings turned 2243 01:57:45,920 --> 01:57:50,639 living rooms into miniature cities, and 2244 01:57:48,480 --> 01:57:53,679 adults were no longer hiding their Lego 2245 01:57:50,639 --> 01:57:56,159 hobby, but embracing it. My story with 2246 01:57:53,679 --> 01:57:58,400 Lego began in the early '9s when I was a 2247 01:57:56,159 --> 01:58:00,480 small child. 2248 01:57:58,400 --> 01:58:02,400 I started playing, but then I stopped 2249 01:58:00,480 --> 01:58:04,080 for a while. 2250 01:58:02,400 --> 01:58:06,400 This is what most of us want to do when 2251 01:58:04,080 --> 01:58:10,760 we are teenagers to do other hobbies and 2252 01:58:06,400 --> 01:58:10,760 spend less time playing with Lego. 2253 01:58:11,360 --> 01:58:16,639 After that, when I was in my early 20s, 2254 01:58:13,280 --> 01:58:18,800 I started collecting Lego. I met people 2255 01:58:16,639 --> 01:58:21,360 from the Valencian community and founded 2256 01:58:18,800 --> 01:58:23,280 Valrech. 2257 01:58:21,360 --> 01:58:25,840 That eventually led me to a television 2258 01:58:23,280 --> 01:58:28,000 show where I took part and won. From 2259 01:58:25,840 --> 01:58:31,480 there, companies began approaching me to 2260 01:58:28,000 --> 01:58:31,480 develop projects. 2261 01:58:32,880 --> 01:58:36,480 At first, this hadn't even occurred to 2262 01:58:34,719 --> 01:58:38,880 me, 2263 01:58:36,480 --> 01:58:41,119 but I started to see a growing demand, 2264 01:58:38,880 --> 01:58:43,360 whether it was building a corporate kit, 2265 01:58:41,119 --> 01:58:46,639 like a transport company's truck, or 2266 01:58:43,360 --> 01:58:48,400 even a company's logistics headquarters. 2267 01:58:46,639 --> 01:58:50,400 This market opened up a professional 2268 01:58:48,400 --> 01:58:52,320 path for me. 2269 01:58:50,400 --> 01:58:55,840 It supports me financially, but more 2270 01:58:52,320 --> 01:58:57,760 importantly, it's deeply rewarding. 2271 01:58:55,840 --> 01:58:59,440 Many of these projects challenge me to 2272 01:58:57,760 --> 01:59:00,880 build things I would never choose on my 2273 01:58:59,440 --> 01:59:03,679 own. 2274 01:59:00,880 --> 01:59:05,520 But once a challenge is set, build this. 2275 01:59:03,679 --> 01:59:08,320 My mind immediately starts collecting 2276 01:59:05,520 --> 01:59:10,320 ideas, figuring out how to shape them 2277 01:59:08,320 --> 01:59:14,199 and bring the project to life in the 2278 01:59:10,320 --> 01:59:14,199 best possible way. 2279 01:59:20,719 --> 01:59:25,840 fan events, engineering cups, a global 2280 01:59:23,920 --> 01:59:29,599 movement emerged. 2281 01:59:25,840 --> 01:59:31,440 By 2014, adults accounted for nearly 1/3 2282 01:59:29,599 --> 01:59:34,000 of LEGO sales. 2283 01:59:31,440 --> 01:59:36,239 >> To anyone who thinks Lego is only for 2284 01:59:34,000 --> 01:59:37,760 children, I'd say come and see the 2285 01:59:36,239 --> 01:59:39,599 exhibition. 2286 01:59:37,760 --> 01:59:42,400 See what we're capable of creating with 2287 01:59:39,599 --> 01:59:46,400 Lego pieces and how imagination develops 2288 01:59:42,400 --> 01:59:48,560 in both children and adults. 2289 01:59:46,400 --> 01:59:51,440 Children work within certain limits and 2290 01:59:48,560 --> 01:59:54,080 see things differently, but adults with 2291 01:59:51,440 --> 01:59:56,719 a wider range of colors, shapes, and 2292 01:59:54,080 --> 01:59:59,920 ways to use the pieces can explore just 2293 01:59:56,719 --> 02:00:01,920 how much is possible. 2294 01:59:59,920 --> 02:00:04,719 >> It was a radical shift in the economics 2295 02:00:01,920 --> 02:00:06,639 of play. And then came the cultural 2296 02:00:04,719 --> 02:00:09,679 explosion. 2297 02:00:06,639 --> 02:00:12,800 In 2014, The Lego Movie shattered 2298 02:00:09,679 --> 02:00:16,159 expectations, earning nearly $500 2299 02:00:12,800 --> 02:00:19,040 million US at the box office. 2300 02:00:16,159 --> 02:00:22,639 What started as a toy was now pop 2301 02:00:19,040 --> 02:00:24,800 culture. By the mid 2010s, 2302 02:00:22,639 --> 02:00:27,679 Lego was the world's most valuable toy 2303 02:00:24,800 --> 02:00:30,400 company, even surpassing Mattel, Hasbro, 2304 02:00:27,679 --> 02:00:32,960 and every other competitor. 2305 02:00:30,400 --> 02:00:36,400 The brick that started it all was no 2306 02:00:32,960 --> 02:00:39,400 longer just a product. It was a global 2307 02:00:36,400 --> 02:00:39,400 icon. 2308 02:00:41,360 --> 02:00:45,599 The LEGO Group stands today as one of 2309 02:00:43,599 --> 02:00:47,599 the most efficient, profitable, and 2310 02:00:45,599 --> 02:00:50,159 culturally influential toy companies on 2311 02:00:47,599 --> 02:00:52,400 Earth. Its factories run with near 2312 02:00:50,159 --> 02:00:54,560 perfect precision. 2313 02:00:52,400 --> 02:00:57,760 Its design teams develop thousands of 2314 02:00:54,560 --> 02:00:59,760 prototypes each year. Its supply chain 2315 02:00:57,760 --> 02:01:02,560 delivers billions of bricks that must 2316 02:00:59,760 --> 02:01:04,400 all fit together flawlessly across 2317 02:01:02,560 --> 02:01:07,119 decades. 2318 02:01:04,400 --> 02:01:11,199 In a global toy market worth roughly 2319 02:01:07,119 --> 02:01:15,440 $120 billion a year, Lego commands 2320 02:01:11,199 --> 02:01:18,320 nearly 9% of all worldwide toy sales. No 2321 02:01:15,440 --> 02:01:21,199 other toy brand, not Barbie, not Marvel 2322 02:01:18,320 --> 02:01:23,360 figures, not Nintendo merchandise, 2323 02:01:21,199 --> 02:01:27,040 maintains such consistency across 2324 02:01:23,360 --> 02:01:29,040 continents, genders, and generations. 2325 02:01:27,040 --> 02:01:32,239 And unlike most toy companies that 2326 02:01:29,040 --> 02:01:33,599 outsource manufacturing, LEGO controls a 2327 02:01:32,239 --> 02:01:36,719 significant portion of its own 2328 02:01:33,599 --> 02:01:39,280 production with major hubs in Denmark, 2329 02:01:36,719 --> 02:01:41,280 Hungary, Mexico, China, and the Czech 2330 02:01:39,280 --> 02:01:44,080 Republic. 2331 02:01:41,280 --> 02:01:46,639 This vertical integration reduces risk, 2332 02:01:44,080 --> 02:01:48,480 stabilizes quality, and protects one of 2333 02:01:46,639 --> 02:01:51,840 the most important values in the 2334 02:01:48,480 --> 02:01:54,080 company's DNA, precision. 2335 02:01:51,840 --> 02:01:56,480 Every Lego brick must be manufactured 2336 02:01:54,080 --> 02:01:59,520 with tolerances thinner than a strand of 2337 02:01:56,480 --> 02:02:03,040 hair. If the clutch is too tight, the 2338 02:01:59,520 --> 02:02:06,159 model breaks. If it's too loose, towers 2339 02:02:03,040 --> 02:02:09,679 collapse. Across billions of pieces, 2340 02:02:06,159 --> 02:02:13,040 perfection is not an ambition. It is an 2341 02:02:09,679 --> 02:02:15,119 engineering reality for LEGO. 2342 02:02:13,040 --> 02:02:17,280 This level of detail gives the company 2343 02:02:15,119 --> 02:02:20,000 one of the highest brand trust ratings 2344 02:02:17,280 --> 02:02:21,199 in the world. Parents know the bricks 2345 02:02:20,000 --> 02:02:23,679 will last. 2346 02:02:21,199 --> 02:02:25,920 Adults know the sets will impress. 2347 02:02:23,679 --> 02:02:27,599 Collectors know the investment will hold 2348 02:02:25,920 --> 02:02:29,840 value. 2349 02:02:27,599 --> 02:02:32,639 The modern toy market is a machine of 2350 02:02:29,840 --> 02:02:34,400 impulse, tradition, celebration, and 2351 02:02:32,639 --> 02:02:36,239 nostalgia. 2352 02:02:34,400 --> 02:02:39,760 In 2025, 2353 02:02:36,239 --> 02:02:42,800 global spending on toys approaches 120 2354 02:02:39,760 --> 02:02:45,520 billion, nearly double what it was two 2355 02:02:42,800 --> 02:02:48,080 decades earlier. The United States 2356 02:02:45,520 --> 02:02:49,840 remains the world's largest consumer, 2357 02:02:48,080 --> 02:02:52,719 accounting for roughly onethird of 2358 02:02:49,840 --> 02:02:55,440 global sales. A typical American 2359 02:02:52,719 --> 02:02:59,440 household with children may spend $300 2360 02:02:55,440 --> 02:03:01,440 to $400 per child per year on toys. This 2361 02:02:59,440 --> 02:03:03,360 is more than five times the global 2362 02:03:01,440 --> 02:03:05,760 average. 2363 02:03:03,360 --> 02:03:08,080 Europe forms the second largest block 2364 02:03:05,760 --> 02:03:10,960 with strong purchasing power in Germany, 2365 02:03:08,080 --> 02:03:13,360 the United Kingdom, and France. 2366 02:03:10,960 --> 02:03:15,840 Asia-Pacific is rapidly growing, 2367 02:03:13,360 --> 02:03:18,719 especially in China, South Korea, and 2368 02:03:15,840 --> 02:03:21,360 Japan, driven by rising middle classes 2369 02:03:18,719 --> 02:03:23,760 and urban lifestyles. 2370 02:03:21,360 --> 02:03:27,119 But the most important shift of the last 2371 02:03:23,760 --> 02:03:30,119 decade is not geographic, it is 2372 02:03:27,119 --> 02:03:30,119 demographic. 2373 02:03:34,239 --> 02:03:39,599 Adults. Once considered irrelevant to 2374 02:03:36,960 --> 02:03:43,040 the toy industry and now one of the most 2375 02:03:39,599 --> 02:03:45,599 powerful forces, this growing segment, 2376 02:03:43,040 --> 02:03:49,040 commonly called the kid market, now 2377 02:03:45,599 --> 02:03:51,520 represents between 25 and 30% of all toy 2378 02:03:49,040 --> 02:03:54,080 purchases worldwide. 2379 02:03:51,520 --> 02:03:57,199 Adults buy toys for nostalgia, for 2380 02:03:54,080 --> 02:04:00,159 stress relief, for display, for 2381 02:03:57,199 --> 02:04:02,639 identity. Lego is the undisputed 2382 02:04:00,159 --> 02:04:07,800 champion of this movement. Unlike other 2383 02:04:02,639 --> 02:04:07,800 hobbies, Lego gives me a sense of calm. 2384 02:04:08,880 --> 02:04:13,520 It lets me take ideas from my mind, 2385 02:04:11,280 --> 02:04:16,880 bring them to life, think them through, 2386 02:04:13,520 --> 02:04:19,679 and simply enjoy the process. Right now, 2387 02:04:16,880 --> 02:04:22,239 I'm trying to instill that in my son to 2388 02:04:19,679 --> 02:04:24,159 enjoy himself to learn to see colors and 2389 02:04:22,239 --> 02:04:27,599 shapes and to understand that with 2390 02:04:24,159 --> 02:04:30,880 imagination, anything is possible. 2391 02:04:27,599 --> 02:04:33,440 Its premium sets, Technic Hypercars, 2392 02:04:30,880 --> 02:04:36,159 Star Wars Ultimate Collector Series, 2393 02:04:33,440 --> 02:04:38,480 iconic landmarks, regularly exceed 2394 02:04:36,159 --> 02:04:40,800 prices of $30,500, 2395 02:04:38,480 --> 02:04:43,520 even $800. 2396 02:04:40,800 --> 02:04:45,360 They sell out within hours. They hold 2397 02:04:43,520 --> 02:04:48,239 aftermarket values like fine 2398 02:04:45,360 --> 02:04:50,480 collectibles. This adult segment has 2399 02:04:48,239 --> 02:04:53,520 reshaped the entire financial landscape 2400 02:04:50,480 --> 02:04:56,639 of the company. It provides stability 2401 02:04:53,520 --> 02:04:59,840 when children's trends shift. It creates 2402 02:04:56,639 --> 02:05:02,000 recurring revenue from loyal fans and it 2403 02:04:59,840 --> 02:05:04,880 strengthens LEGO's position as a 2404 02:05:02,000 --> 02:05:07,920 crossgenerational brand, something few 2405 02:05:04,880 --> 02:05:10,159 toy companies have ever achieved. 2406 02:05:07,920 --> 02:05:13,119 Seasonality still dictates much of the 2407 02:05:10,159 --> 02:05:15,440 global toy market. Every year, nearly 2408 02:05:13,119 --> 02:05:18,800 half of all toy sales occur between 2409 02:05:15,440 --> 02:05:21,679 October and December. Companies live or 2410 02:05:18,800 --> 02:05:24,960 die by holiday forecasting, inventory 2411 02:05:21,679 --> 02:05:27,679 strategy, and shipment timing. But LEGO 2412 02:05:24,960 --> 02:05:30,560 has become the exception. Adult 2413 02:05:27,679 --> 02:05:32,880 collectors buy year round. Digital 2414 02:05:30,560 --> 02:05:36,000 experiences drive sales outside the 2415 02:05:32,880 --> 02:05:39,280 holiday season. Licensed launches create 2416 02:05:36,000 --> 02:05:42,000 anticipation even in slow quarters. 2417 02:05:39,280 --> 02:05:44,000 LEGO has effectively freed itself or at 2418 02:05:42,000 --> 02:05:46,080 least partially from the seasonal 2419 02:05:44,000 --> 02:05:49,520 dependency that has defined the toy 2420 02:05:46,080 --> 02:05:53,360 industry for over a century. The brick 2421 02:05:49,520 --> 02:05:55,840 is physical, tangible, mechanical. But 2422 02:05:53,360 --> 02:05:59,599 Lego's success in the 21st century 2423 02:05:55,840 --> 02:06:03,280 extends into digital worlds. Star Wars, 2424 02:05:59,599 --> 02:06:05,280 Batman, Marvel. These games defined an 2425 02:06:03,280 --> 02:06:08,320 entire generation of familyfriendly 2426 02:06:05,280 --> 02:06:11,040 titles. They sold tens of millions of 2427 02:06:08,320 --> 02:06:14,000 copies. They introduced humor, 2428 02:06:11,040 --> 02:06:17,040 storytelling, and simplicity to a medium 2429 02:06:14,000 --> 02:06:19,119 often dominated by complexity. 2430 02:06:17,040 --> 02:06:22,080 For many children born after the year 2431 02:06:19,119 --> 02:06:26,000 2000, Lego was not discovered in a toy 2432 02:06:22,080 --> 02:06:28,800 box, but on a screen. The cinematic leap 2433 02:06:26,000 --> 02:06:31,679 came in 2014 when the Lego movie 2434 02:06:28,800 --> 02:06:34,400 premiered to global acclaim. It turned 2435 02:06:31,679 --> 02:06:37,040 nearly half a billion dollars. Most 2436 02:06:34,400 --> 02:06:40,400 importantly, it reframed Lego as a 2437 02:06:37,040 --> 02:06:42,719 cultural idea, not a product. The film 2438 02:06:40,400 --> 02:06:46,000 taught a global audience that creativity 2439 02:06:42,719 --> 02:06:48,079 matters, that imperfection is beautiful, 2440 02:06:46,000 --> 02:06:51,840 that building and rebuilding are not 2441 02:06:48,079 --> 02:06:54,960 failures, they are the process of play. 2442 02:06:51,840 --> 02:06:57,199 Lego Batman expanded the concept. Lego 2443 02:06:54,960 --> 02:07:00,480 Ninjago created an entirely new 2444 02:06:57,199 --> 02:07:02,560 generation of fans and Lego Masters on 2445 02:07:00,480 --> 02:07:04,719 television turned building into a 2446 02:07:02,560 --> 02:07:07,520 competitive art form. 2447 02:07:04,719 --> 02:07:10,800 The brand had moved beyond toys, beyond 2448 02:07:07,520 --> 02:07:13,440 stories, beyond bricks. It had become 2449 02:07:10,800 --> 02:07:16,440 part of a cultural grammar of the 21st 2450 02:07:13,440 --> 02:07:16,440 century. 2451 02:07:20,079 --> 02:07:24,480 Long before STEM became a global 2452 02:07:22,159 --> 02:07:27,679 movement, Lego was already teaching 2453 02:07:24,480 --> 02:07:31,119 children how to think like engineers. In 2454 02:07:27,679 --> 02:07:33,520 the 1990s, Lego Mindstorms introduced 2455 02:07:31,119 --> 02:07:38,000 programmable robotics to students around 2456 02:07:33,520 --> 02:07:40,480 the world. Later sets, we do Spike Prime 2457 02:07:38,000 --> 02:07:44,239 Boost brought coding, sensors, and 2458 02:07:40,480 --> 02:07:46,639 motors into classrooms and homes. Today, 2459 02:07:44,239 --> 02:07:48,880 LEGO Education works with governments, 2460 02:07:46,639 --> 02:07:50,639 schools, and universities to bring 2461 02:07:48,880 --> 02:07:54,000 hands-on learning to millions of 2462 02:07:50,639 --> 02:07:56,639 students. The philosophy is simple. 2463 02:07:54,000 --> 02:07:58,960 Children learn best through play. This 2464 02:07:56,639 --> 02:08:02,239 approach shapes future engineers, 2465 02:07:58,960 --> 02:08:03,920 designers, and problem solvers. It helps 2466 02:08:02,239 --> 02:08:07,119 children experiment in ways that 2467 02:08:03,920 --> 02:08:09,599 textbooks cannot. And it continues Ole 2468 02:08:07,119 --> 02:08:11,760 Kirk's belief that play is not a 2469 02:08:09,599 --> 02:08:14,480 distraction from learning, but the 2470 02:08:11,760 --> 02:08:16,480 foundation of it. 2471 02:08:14,480 --> 02:08:17,280 In a world increasingly focused on 2472 02:08:16,480 --> 02:08:19,280 sustainability, 2473 02:08:17,280 --> 02:08:21,280 >> from my experience, what makes Lego 2474 02:08:19,280 --> 02:08:24,079 different from other construction toys 2475 02:08:21,280 --> 02:08:26,400 is its growing commitment to inclusion. 2476 02:08:24,079 --> 02:08:27,760 In recent years, LEGO has actively 2477 02:08:26,400 --> 02:08:30,000 embraced people with different 2478 02:08:27,760 --> 02:08:31,920 abilities. For example, by including 2479 02:08:30,000 --> 02:08:34,639 figures in wheelchairs and releasing 2480 02:08:31,920 --> 02:08:36,480 sets in Braille. These are things most 2481 02:08:34,639 --> 02:08:38,560 other brands simply don't offer, but 2482 02:08:36,480 --> 02:08:40,800 LEGO does. 2483 02:08:38,560 --> 02:08:42,719 In addition, LEGO is strongly committed 2484 02:08:40,800 --> 02:08:44,320 to the environment. 2485 02:08:42,719 --> 02:08:46,560 They're producing more and more pieces 2486 02:08:44,320 --> 02:08:48,480 using recycled plastic and replacing 2487 02:08:46,560 --> 02:08:51,280 plastic packaging with paper to reduce 2488 02:08:48,480 --> 02:08:53,920 waste, something other brands simply 2489 02:08:51,280 --> 02:08:56,960 don't do. 2490 02:08:53,920 --> 02:08:59,440 Lego faces a unique challenge. Its 2491 02:08:56,960 --> 02:09:01,920 bricks are made to last forever. A 2492 02:08:59,440 --> 02:09:05,679 blessing for creativity, but a concern 2493 02:09:01,920 --> 02:09:07,679 in an era of plastic waste. In response, 2494 02:09:05,679 --> 02:09:09,599 LEGO has invested hundreds of millions 2495 02:09:07,679 --> 02:09:11,760 of dollars into developing more 2496 02:09:09,599 --> 02:09:14,400 sustainable materials. 2497 02:09:11,760 --> 02:09:17,679 Plant-based polyethylene is already used 2498 02:09:14,400 --> 02:09:20,639 for leaves and trees. Recycled PT 2499 02:09:17,679 --> 02:09:23,199 prototypes continue to advance. 2500 02:09:20,639 --> 02:09:26,639 Recycled PET prototypes continue to 2501 02:09:23,199 --> 02:09:30,320 advance. New polymer engineering aims to 2502 02:09:26,639 --> 02:09:32,880 create bricks as durable as ABS without 2503 02:09:30,320 --> 02:09:36,159 the environmental cost. 2504 02:09:32,880 --> 02:09:38,239 This transition is not simple. A Lego 2505 02:09:36,159 --> 02:09:41,040 brick must interlock with perfect 2506 02:09:38,239 --> 02:09:43,040 precision. A fraction of a millimeter 2507 02:09:41,040 --> 02:09:44,880 can make the difference between wonder 2508 02:09:43,040 --> 02:09:47,599 and frustration. 2509 02:09:44,880 --> 02:09:50,000 But the mission is clear. A toy that 2510 02:09:47,599 --> 02:09:53,199 lasts forever should also protect the 2511 02:09:50,000 --> 02:09:56,880 world it is played in. Play is not a 2512 02:09:53,199 --> 02:09:58,400 luxury. Play is exploration. Play is 2513 02:09:56,880 --> 02:10:00,719 curiosity. 2514 02:09:58,400 --> 02:10:02,560 Play is the earliest form of human 2515 02:10:00,719 --> 02:10:04,639 creativity. 2516 02:10:02,560 --> 02:10:07,199 From wooden ducks in a small Danish 2517 02:10:04,639 --> 02:10:09,280 workshop to interlocking bricks that 2518 02:10:07,199 --> 02:10:12,639 span generations 2519 02:10:09,280 --> 02:10:15,520 to movies, video games, robotics, and 2520 02:10:12,639 --> 02:10:18,159 global fan communities. LEGO has 2521 02:10:15,520 --> 02:10:22,000 remained loyal to a simple truth. When 2522 02:10:18,159 --> 02:10:25,679 we build, we grow. When we imagine, we 2523 02:10:22,000 --> 02:10:28,679 expand. When we play, we become more 2524 02:10:25,679 --> 02:10:28,679 human. 2525 02:10:32,560 --> 02:10:38,320 More than a century ago, a carpenter 2526 02:10:35,360 --> 02:10:41,119 rebuilt his workshop after a fire. He 2527 02:10:38,320 --> 02:10:44,000 rebuilt it again after another. 2528 02:10:41,119 --> 02:10:46,400 Not because it was easy, but because he 2529 02:10:44,000 --> 02:10:49,840 believed in the power of making things 2530 02:10:46,400 --> 02:10:51,840 and in the power of play. Today, 2531 02:10:49,840 --> 02:10:55,440 billions of creations have risen from 2532 02:10:51,840 --> 02:10:57,280 that belief. Cities, castles, 2533 02:10:55,440 --> 02:10:59,280 spaceships, 2534 02:10:57,280 --> 02:11:02,480 dreams that exist nowhere else but in 2535 02:10:59,280 --> 02:11:05,520 the minds of the people who build them. 2536 02:11:02,480 --> 02:11:08,400 Lego is not perfect. It has faced 2537 02:11:05,520 --> 02:11:12,560 crises, challenges, and impossible 2538 02:11:08,400 --> 02:11:14,719 decisions. But it endures through war, 2539 02:11:12,560 --> 02:11:17,520 through technological revolutions, 2540 02:11:14,719 --> 02:11:20,639 through economic storms. Because 2541 02:11:17,520 --> 02:11:22,560 imagination always endures. 2542 02:11:20,639 --> 02:11:26,960 And as long as there are hands reaching 2543 02:11:22,560 --> 02:11:29,599 for bricks, as long as there are minds, 2544 02:11:26,960 --> 02:11:31,440 the legacy of Ole Kirk Christensen will 2545 02:11:29,599 --> 02:11:37,079 continue. 2546 02:11:31,440 --> 02:11:37,079 Every dream starts with a single piece. 2547 02:13:03,280 --> 02:13:11,040 Jensen Huang the software moat 2548 02:13:07,599 --> 02:13:14,320 June 18th 2024 2549 02:13:11,040 --> 02:13:16,800 for a brief historic moment the world 2550 02:13:14,320 --> 02:13:20,159 had a new king 2551 02:13:16,800 --> 02:13:23,360 Jensen Hang the co-founder and CEO O of 2552 02:13:20,159 --> 02:13:26,639 Nvidia stood at the peak of a $3.4 2553 02:13:23,360 --> 02:13:28,960 trillion mountain. 2554 02:13:26,639 --> 02:13:32,000 Analysts whispered that he wasn't just 2555 02:13:28,960 --> 02:13:35,599 leading a company. He was leading the 2556 02:13:32,000 --> 02:13:38,480 first entity destined for a $4 trillion 2557 02:13:35,599 --> 02:13:40,480 valuation. 2558 02:13:38,480 --> 02:13:43,920 But to understand the man in the leather 2559 02:13:40,480 --> 02:13:47,760 jacket, you cannot look at the triumph. 2560 02:13:43,920 --> 02:13:52,000 You must look at the fear. Behind the 2561 02:13:47,760 --> 02:13:55,520 250% revenue jumps and the soldout age 2562 02:13:52,000 --> 02:13:58,000 100 backlogs lies a leader obsessed with 2563 02:13:55,520 --> 02:13:59,679 the cyclical trap. 2564 02:13:58,000 --> 02:14:01,280 In the 60-year history of 2565 02:13:59,679 --> 02:14:04,079 semiconductors, 2566 02:14:01,280 --> 02:14:08,159 giants like Texas Instruments, Intel, 2567 02:14:04,079 --> 02:14:11,199 and Samsung have all held the crown only 2568 02:14:08,159 --> 02:14:13,679 to see it slip away. 2569 02:14:11,199 --> 02:14:18,960 Jensen's mission is simple. 2570 02:14:13,679 --> 02:14:22,079 Break the cycle before it breaks him. 2571 02:14:18,960 --> 02:14:24,719 Flashback to September 1996. 2572 02:14:22,079 --> 02:14:27,119 The golden era of the internet is 2573 02:14:24,719 --> 02:14:31,119 dawning for everyone else but for 2574 02:14:27,119 --> 02:14:34,159 Nvidia. It is a death nail. 2575 02:14:31,119 --> 02:14:37,119 Their first chip, the NV1, is a 2576 02:14:34,159 --> 02:14:39,599 technical ghost rejected by Microsoft's 2577 02:14:37,119 --> 02:14:42,159 DirectX. 2578 02:14:39,599 --> 02:14:44,960 Jensen stands before a dwindling team 2579 02:14:42,159 --> 02:14:47,599 and delivers the most famous mantra in 2580 02:14:44,960 --> 02:14:51,520 Silicon Valley history. 2581 02:14:47,599 --> 02:14:55,119 We have exactly 30 days of oxygen left. 2582 02:14:51,520 --> 02:14:57,440 We are 30 days from bankruptcy. 2583 02:14:55,119 --> 02:14:59,840 How does a man go from cleaning toilets 2584 02:14:57,440 --> 02:15:01,840 in a Kentucky reform school to 2585 02:14:59,840 --> 02:15:04,880 controlling the foundational layer of 2586 02:15:01,840 --> 02:15:07,840 the global AI economy? 2587 02:15:04,880 --> 02:15:11,119 From a red leather booth at a Denny's to 2588 02:15:07,840 --> 02:15:13,440 a legal showdown in the US Supreme Court 2589 02:15:11,119 --> 02:15:15,199 over the very intellectual honesty of 2590 02:15:13,440 --> 02:15:17,840 his empire. 2591 02:15:15,199 --> 02:15:19,360 This is not just a story of silicon and 2592 02:15:17,840 --> 02:15:21,520 software. 2593 02:15:19,360 --> 02:15:23,760 This is the chronicle of the man who 2594 02:15:21,520 --> 02:15:25,360 decided to manufacture intelligence 2595 02:15:23,760 --> 02:15:28,960 itself. 2596 02:15:25,360 --> 02:15:32,400 This is Jensen Hang, the architect of 2597 02:15:28,960 --> 02:15:37,639 the digital brain. 2598 02:15:32,400 --> 02:15:37,639 Chapter 1. Forged in the chaos. 2599 02:15:37,760 --> 02:15:43,840 Nvidia was not born from abundance. Its 2600 02:15:41,280 --> 02:15:45,920 DNA was forged in the raw fires of 2601 02:15:43,840 --> 02:15:48,800 survival. 2602 02:15:45,920 --> 02:15:51,440 Jen's son Huang arrived in the United 2603 02:15:48,800 --> 02:15:54,880 States as a young migrant. But his 2604 02:15:51,440 --> 02:15:57,280 destination wasn't an elite prep school. 2605 02:15:54,880 --> 02:15:59,840 Due to a clerical misunderstanding by 2606 02:15:57,280 --> 02:16:03,040 his parents, he was sent to Onida 2607 02:15:59,840 --> 02:16:06,000 Baptist Institute in rural Kentucky, a 2608 02:16:03,040 --> 02:16:08,560 place that at the time functioned more 2609 02:16:06,000 --> 02:16:11,119 as a reform school for troubled youths 2610 02:16:08,560 --> 02:16:14,239 than a traditional academy. 2611 02:16:11,119 --> 02:16:16,320 At 9 years old, the future CEO of one of 2612 02:16:14,239 --> 02:16:18,800 the world's most valuable companies 2613 02:16:16,320 --> 02:16:22,239 wasn't coding. He was cleaning the 2614 02:16:18,800 --> 02:16:24,320 toilets of 150 teenagers every single 2615 02:16:22,239 --> 02:16:26,800 afternoon. 2616 02:16:24,320 --> 02:16:28,480 In his personal transcripts, Jensen 2617 02:16:26,800 --> 02:16:32,000 reflects on this with a chilling 2618 02:16:28,480 --> 02:16:34,399 stoicism. I didn't complain. I just 2619 02:16:32,000 --> 02:16:36,319 learned to work hard. 2620 02:16:34,399 --> 02:16:38,960 Bad boy learned the first law of 2621 02:16:36,319 --> 02:16:42,559 accelerated computing decades before it 2622 02:16:38,960 --> 02:16:45,120 existed. For a system to be efficient, 2623 02:16:42,559 --> 02:16:48,319 it must be able to process chaos under 2624 02:16:45,120 --> 02:16:51,359 extreme pressure. 2625 02:16:48,319 --> 02:16:53,760 By 15, Jensen was the most efficient 2626 02:16:51,359 --> 02:16:56,960 dishwasher and waiter at a Denny's in 2627 02:16:53,760 --> 02:16:59,359 Portland. I was incredibly shy, he 2628 02:16:56,960 --> 02:17:02,399 admits. But the chaos of the kitchen 2629 02:16:59,359 --> 02:17:04,880 forced me out of my shell. 2630 02:17:02,399 --> 02:17:08,479 It is no coincidence that Nvidia was 2631 02:17:04,880 --> 02:17:11,200 founded in 1993 inside a booth at that 2632 02:17:08,479 --> 02:17:13,439 very same restaurant chain. 2633 02:17:11,200 --> 02:17:16,240 While the world saw the dawn of the PC 2634 02:17:13,439 --> 02:17:19,840 as an office tool for spreadsheets, 2635 02:17:16,240 --> 02:17:23,760 Jensen, Chris Mahovski, and Curtis PM 2636 02:17:19,840 --> 02:17:28,080 saw a fatal weakness. 2637 02:17:23,760 --> 02:17:31,200 In 1993, Intel's generalpurpose CPU was 2638 02:17:28,080 --> 02:17:34,240 hitting a physical wall. If the future 2639 02:17:31,200 --> 02:17:36,240 of computing was visual and immersive, 2640 02:17:34,240 --> 02:17:38,240 the traditional serial architecture 2641 02:17:36,240 --> 02:17:40,000 would become the bottleneck of human 2642 02:17:38,240 --> 02:17:43,439 progress. 2643 02:17:40,000 --> 02:17:46,559 With only $40,000 in startup capital, 2644 02:17:43,439 --> 02:17:49,040 they founded Nvidia to chase a ghost, 2645 02:17:46,559 --> 02:17:50,960 accelerated computing, 2646 02:17:49,040 --> 02:17:54,000 they bet on a market the rest of the 2647 02:17:50,960 --> 02:17:57,760 industry dismissed as a niche for toys, 2648 02:17:54,000 --> 02:17:59,519 video games. Before Jensen, video games 2649 02:17:57,760 --> 02:18:01,200 were the ultimate technological 2650 02:17:59,519 --> 02:18:03,200 flywheel. 2651 02:18:01,200 --> 02:18:06,080 He knew that if you could master the 2652 02:18:03,200 --> 02:18:08,240 massive realtime rendering of pixels, 2653 02:18:06,080 --> 02:18:10,319 you could eventually simulate reality 2654 02:18:08,240 --> 02:18:12,800 itself. 2655 02:18:10,319 --> 02:18:15,120 But before they could reach that glory, 2656 02:18:12,800 --> 02:18:19,719 they had to survive their first massive 2657 02:18:15,120 --> 02:18:19,719 technical abyss, the NV1. 2658 02:18:27,040 --> 02:18:34,240 By 1995, Nvidia's first massive bet, the 2659 02:18:31,280 --> 02:18:36,880 NV1 chip, was ready to conquer the 2660 02:18:34,240 --> 02:18:39,920 market. But Jensen Huang had made a 2661 02:18:36,880 --> 02:18:41,519 catastrophic technical gamble. 2662 02:18:39,920 --> 02:18:44,800 At a time when the industry was 2663 02:18:41,519 --> 02:18:47,200 undecided, he bet on quadratic texture 2664 02:18:44,800 --> 02:18:50,479 mapping, a method that used curved 2665 02:18:47,200 --> 02:18:52,960 surfaces to create 3D images. 2666 02:18:50,479 --> 02:18:56,319 It was mathematically intelligent, but 2667 02:18:52,960 --> 02:18:58,319 it was a lonely path. The industry 2668 02:18:56,319 --> 02:19:01,840 hammer dropped when Microsoft released 2669 02:18:58,319 --> 02:19:04,800 its first DirectX API. Microsoft chose 2670 02:19:01,840 --> 02:19:07,519 triangles, not quads, as the universal 2671 02:19:04,800 --> 02:19:09,359 language for PC gaming. 2672 02:19:07,519 --> 02:19:12,800 This decision rendered Nvidia's 2673 02:19:09,359 --> 02:19:16,000 technology instantly obsolete. 2674 02:19:12,800 --> 02:19:18,880 The NV1 wasn't just a failure, it was a 2675 02:19:16,000 --> 02:19:21,280 dead end. The compound, as Jensen 2676 02:19:18,880 --> 02:19:25,960 famously put it, they were staring at 2677 02:19:21,280 --> 02:19:25,960 exactly 30 days of oxygen. 2678 02:19:26,479 --> 02:19:31,679 Nvidia's only lifeline was a strategic 2679 02:19:29,120 --> 02:19:33,519 contract with the Japanese giant Sega to 2680 02:19:31,679 --> 02:19:36,319 build the graphics engine for the Sega 2681 02:19:33,519 --> 02:19:39,280 Saturn. But Jensen was trapped in a 2682 02:19:36,319 --> 02:19:41,439 moral and business dilemma. 2683 02:19:39,280 --> 02:19:44,000 He knew that if they continued building 2684 02:19:41,439 --> 02:19:47,040 the chip for Sega using Nvidia's flawed 2685 02:19:44,000 --> 02:19:49,840 quad technology, Sega would lose the 2686 02:19:47,040 --> 02:19:53,120 console war to Sony's PlayStation and 2687 02:19:49,840 --> 02:19:56,080 Nvidia would eventually perish anyway. 2688 02:19:53,120 --> 02:19:57,840 In an act of intellectual honesty, or as 2689 02:19:56,080 --> 02:20:01,840 many at the time called corporate 2690 02:19:57,840 --> 02:20:05,439 suicide, Jensen flew to Japan. He sat 2691 02:20:01,840 --> 02:20:09,359 across from Shy Chiro Majiri, the CEO of 2692 02:20:05,439 --> 02:20:12,160 Sega, and told him the brutal truth. Our 2693 02:20:09,359 --> 02:20:14,640 technology is on the wrong path. If we 2694 02:20:12,160 --> 02:20:17,359 finish this project, you will produce an 2695 02:20:14,640 --> 02:20:20,160 inferior product. 2696 02:20:17,359 --> 02:20:22,640 Jensen asked for the impossible. He 2697 02:20:20,160 --> 02:20:25,120 asked Sega to terminate the contract, 2698 02:20:22,640 --> 02:20:28,080 but to pay the remaining $5 million 2699 02:20:25,120 --> 02:20:30,560 anyway. If you don't pay us, Jensen 2700 02:20:28,080 --> 02:20:32,479 pleaded. Nvidia will cease to exist 2701 02:20:30,560 --> 02:20:34,880 tomorrow. 2702 02:20:32,479 --> 02:20:38,399 To the astonishment of the tech world, 2703 02:20:34,880 --> 02:20:40,960 Idlim son agreed. He didn't pay for a 2704 02:20:38,399 --> 02:20:43,359 working chip. He paid for Jensen's 2705 02:20:40,960 --> 02:20:46,319 integrity. 2706 02:20:43,359 --> 02:20:48,800 That $5 million was the most expensive 2707 02:20:46,319 --> 02:20:51,600 oxygen in history. 2708 02:20:48,800 --> 02:20:54,000 To make it last, Jensen had to fire half 2709 02:20:51,600 --> 02:20:55,920 of his workforce. These weren't just 2710 02:20:54,000 --> 02:20:58,720 employees. They were friends who had 2711 02:20:55,920 --> 02:21:00,720 shared the Denny's dream. This trauma 2712 02:20:58,720 --> 02:21:03,920 institutionalized a permanent state of 2713 02:21:00,720 --> 02:21:06,800 emergency at Nvidia. 2714 02:21:03,920 --> 02:21:10,720 With the remaining team, Jensen funneled 2715 02:21:06,800 --> 02:21:13,600 every cent into the Reval 128. They 2716 02:21:10,720 --> 02:21:16,080 abandoned quads and embraced Microsoft's 2717 02:21:13,600 --> 02:21:21,600 triangles with a vengeance. When it 2718 02:21:16,080 --> 02:21:24,960 launched in 1997, the Revo 128 was 400% 2719 02:21:21,600 --> 02:21:28,080 faster than anything else on the market. 2720 02:21:24,960 --> 02:21:31,040 It was a dive catch of epic proportions. 2721 02:21:28,080 --> 02:21:34,000 Nvidia was no longer just a survivor. It 2722 02:21:31,040 --> 02:21:36,800 had become a hunter. 2723 02:21:34,000 --> 02:21:40,240 But as Jensen looked at the horizon, he 2724 02:21:36,800 --> 02:21:44,520 saw 70 rivals waiting to kill him. The 2725 02:21:40,240 --> 02:21:44,520 war was only beginning. 2726 02:21:49,600 --> 02:21:55,439 The success of the Reb 128 was a dive 2727 02:21:52,960 --> 02:21:59,600 catch, but it placed Nvidia in the 2728 02:21:55,439 --> 02:22:01,840 middle of a slaughter house. By 1997, 2729 02:21:59,600 --> 02:22:05,280 there were over 70 companies fighting 2730 02:22:01,840 --> 02:22:07,280 for the soul of the 3D graphics market. 2731 02:22:05,280 --> 02:22:10,479 It was a commodity war where price 2732 02:22:07,280 --> 02:22:12,720 cutting was the only weapon for most. 2733 02:22:10,479 --> 02:22:14,960 Jensen Hang realized that if Nvidia 2734 02:22:12,720 --> 02:22:18,560 played by the industry's rules, they 2735 02:22:14,960 --> 02:22:21,840 would eventually be ground into dust. 2736 02:22:18,560 --> 02:22:23,840 He decided to break the laws of time. 2737 02:22:21,840 --> 02:22:27,200 The industry standard for developing a 2738 02:22:23,840 --> 02:22:30,399 new chip was 18 to 24 months. Following 2739 02:22:27,200 --> 02:22:32,640 the steady beat of Moore's law, Jensen 2740 02:22:30,399 --> 02:22:35,760 gathered his engineers and imposed a 2741 02:22:32,640 --> 02:22:38,399 suicidal mandate. Nvidia would release a 2742 02:22:35,760 --> 02:22:42,160 brand new groundbreaking architecture 2743 02:22:38,399 --> 02:22:44,080 every 6 months. 2744 02:22:42,160 --> 02:22:45,680 It was a strategy of relentless 2745 02:22:44,080 --> 02:22:49,120 execution. 2746 02:22:45,680 --> 02:22:52,240 By the time a competitor like 3dfx or S3 2747 02:22:49,120 --> 02:22:55,280 could react to one Nvidia chip, Jensen 2748 02:22:52,240 --> 02:22:57,520 had already launched two more. This 2749 02:22:55,280 --> 02:22:59,760 forced the competition into a permanent 2750 02:22:57,520 --> 02:23:02,720 state of obsolescence. 2751 02:22:59,760 --> 02:23:05,120 To achieve this, Nvidia had to reinvent 2752 02:23:02,720 --> 02:23:07,680 its internal engineering, running 2753 02:23:05,120 --> 02:23:09,760 multiple design teams in parallel. A 2754 02:23:07,680 --> 02:23:11,680 massive financial risk that pushed the 2755 02:23:09,760 --> 02:23:16,160 company to the edge of its operational 2756 02:23:11,680 --> 02:23:22,319 capacity. In 1999, the war reached its 2757 02:23:16,160 --> 02:23:24,960 climax. Nvidia released the GeForce 256. 2758 02:23:22,319 --> 02:23:27,040 Jensen didn't just market it as a faster 2759 02:23:24,960 --> 02:23:31,040 card. He coined a term that would 2760 02:23:27,040 --> 02:23:34,000 redefine computing history, the GPU, 2761 02:23:31,040 --> 02:23:37,120 graphics processing unit. This wasn't 2762 02:23:34,000 --> 02:23:38,720 just branding. Technically, the GeForce 2763 02:23:37,120 --> 02:23:40,640 256 2764 02:23:38,720 --> 02:23:42,720 moved the transform and lighting 2765 02:23:40,640 --> 02:23:46,000 calculations, the most heavy 2766 02:23:42,720 --> 02:23:48,960 mathematical lifting of 3D off the CPU 2767 02:23:46,000 --> 02:23:51,520 and onto the chip itself. It was the 2768 02:23:48,960 --> 02:23:54,000 birth of a new era. 2769 02:23:51,520 --> 02:23:55,920 This performance leap was so massive 2770 02:23:54,000 --> 02:23:57,920 that Nvidia secured the prestigious 2771 02:23:55,920 --> 02:24:01,840 contract for the original Microsoft 2772 02:23:57,920 --> 02:24:04,319 Xbox, receiving a crucial $200 million 2773 02:24:01,840 --> 02:24:07,439 advance. 2774 02:24:04,319 --> 02:24:10,080 The six-month cycle worked. By the early 2775 02:24:07,439 --> 02:24:14,399 2000s, the 70 competitors had been 2776 02:24:10,080 --> 02:24:17,280 reduced to just two, Nvidia and ATI. 2777 02:24:14,399 --> 02:24:19,600 In a final act of dominance, Nvidia 2778 02:24:17,280 --> 02:24:24,080 acquired the assets of its former idol 2779 02:24:19,600 --> 02:24:27,359 and arch rival 3dfx in 2000. 2780 02:24:24,080 --> 02:24:30,880 Jensen had cleared the board. He was the 2781 02:24:27,359 --> 02:24:33,520 undisputed king of gaming. But at the 2782 02:24:30,880 --> 02:24:35,200 very moment of his greatest triumph, he 2783 02:24:33,520 --> 02:24:38,000 began to look at the higherformance 2784 02:24:35,200 --> 02:24:40,399 computing market. He realized that the 2785 02:24:38,000 --> 02:24:43,280 GPU's massive parallel math could do 2786 02:24:40,399 --> 02:24:46,319 more than just draw pixels. It could 2787 02:24:43,280 --> 02:24:49,760 solve the world's most complex problems. 2788 02:24:46,319 --> 02:24:54,120 The seeds of CUDA and the $10 billion 2789 02:24:49,760 --> 02:24:54,120 gamble were being planted. 2790 02:24:59,439 --> 02:25:06,240 By 2006, Nvidia was the undisputed king 2791 02:25:03,120 --> 02:25:08,800 of the gaming world. But Jensen Huang 2792 02:25:06,240 --> 02:25:11,040 was restless. He realized that the same 2793 02:25:08,800 --> 02:25:13,680 parallel processing power that rendered 2794 02:25:11,040 --> 02:25:15,600 pixels for World of Warcraft could be 2795 02:25:13,680 --> 02:25:18,080 used to solve the world's most complex 2796 02:25:15,600 --> 02:25:21,760 mathematical problems. 2797 02:25:18,080 --> 02:25:24,399 He launched CUDA, compute unified device 2798 02:25:21,760 --> 02:25:27,920 architecture. It was a declaration of 2799 02:25:24,399 --> 02:25:30,720 war against the CPUcentric world. 2800 02:25:27,920 --> 02:25:33,600 The goal was simple yet insane. 2801 02:25:30,720 --> 02:25:36,399 Transform every NVIDIA GPU into a 2802 02:25:33,600 --> 02:25:38,479 generalpurpose supercomput. 2803 02:25:36,399 --> 02:25:42,319 But this decision came with a staggering 2804 02:25:38,479 --> 02:25:44,800 cost. Jensen mandated that every single 2805 02:25:42,319 --> 02:25:46,960 GPU Nvidia manufactured from the 2806 02:25:44,800 --> 02:25:49,600 high-end workstation cards to the 2807 02:25:46,960 --> 02:25:52,000 cheapest laptop chips must include the 2808 02:25:49,600 --> 02:25:54,479 extra transistors and hardware logic to 2809 02:25:52,000 --> 02:25:58,080 support CUDA. 2810 02:25:54,479 --> 02:26:00,640 Wall Street was horrified. 2811 02:25:58,080 --> 02:26:04,160 For nearly a decade, Nvidia spent 2812 02:26:00,640 --> 02:26:07,439 billions, estimated at over $10 billion 2813 02:26:04,160 --> 02:26:10,240 in cumulative R&D on a software platform 2814 02:26:07,439 --> 02:26:12,240 that almost no one was using. 2815 02:26:10,240 --> 02:26:14,640 Profit margins, which once sat 2816 02:26:12,240 --> 02:26:17,200 comfortably high, were sacrificed at the 2817 02:26:14,640 --> 02:26:20,160 altar of this vision. 2818 02:26:17,200 --> 02:26:23,680 Analysts mocked the strategy, calling it 2819 02:26:20,160 --> 02:26:26,479 the bridge to nowhere. During the 2008 2820 02:26:23,680 --> 02:26:29,120 financial crisis, Nvidia's market cap 2821 02:26:26,479 --> 02:26:32,240 plummeted and the company was once again 2822 02:26:29,120 --> 02:26:33,920 staring into the abyss. 2823 02:26:32,240 --> 02:26:36,720 But Jensen wasn't just building 2824 02:26:33,920 --> 02:26:39,840 hardware. He was building a software 2825 02:26:36,720 --> 02:26:42,399 moat. He sent Nvidia engineers to 2826 02:26:39,840 --> 02:26:44,560 universities around the world, helping 2827 02:26:42,399 --> 02:26:46,640 professors teach parallel programming 2828 02:26:44,560 --> 02:26:49,200 using CUDA. 2829 02:26:46,640 --> 02:26:51,920 He was seeding the ground. While 2830 02:26:49,200 --> 02:26:54,880 competitors like Intel and AMD focused 2831 02:26:51,920 --> 02:26:57,439 on making faster chips, Jensen was 2832 02:26:54,880 --> 02:26:59,760 building an entire language. 2833 02:26:57,439 --> 02:27:02,319 By the time a developer learned CUDA, 2834 02:26:59,760 --> 02:27:04,399 they were locked in. Switching to a 2835 02:27:02,319 --> 02:27:06,800 competitor wouldn't just mean buying a 2836 02:27:04,399 --> 02:27:10,160 new chip. It would mean rewriting 2837 02:27:06,800 --> 02:27:13,280 millions of lines of code. 2838 02:27:10,160 --> 02:27:15,920 Year after year, Jensen defended CUDA in 2839 02:27:13,280 --> 02:27:18,080 boardrooms and earning calls. He 2840 02:27:15,920 --> 02:27:20,399 practiced what he calls long-term 2841 02:27:18,080 --> 02:27:23,200 commitment to a vision, even when the 2842 02:27:20,399 --> 02:27:25,600 data didn't yet support it. He was 2843 02:27:23,200 --> 02:27:27,120 waiting for a killer app for accelerated 2844 02:27:25,600 --> 02:27:29,439 computing. 2845 02:27:27,120 --> 02:27:32,000 He didn't know what it would be. But he 2846 02:27:29,439 --> 02:27:34,399 knew that as data grew exponentially, 2847 02:27:32,000 --> 02:27:36,399 the serial processing of the CPU would 2848 02:27:34,399 --> 02:27:38,880 eventually fail. 2849 02:27:36,399 --> 02:27:40,640 The silence of the Cuda winter was about 2850 02:27:38,880 --> 02:27:43,680 to be broken. 2851 02:27:40,640 --> 02:27:46,880 In a lab at the University of Toronto, a 2852 02:27:43,680 --> 02:27:49,359 PhD student named Alex Kresvki was about 2853 02:27:46,880 --> 02:27:52,399 to feed a neural network called Alexet 2854 02:27:49,359 --> 02:27:54,800 into those Nvidia GPUs. 2855 02:27:52,399 --> 02:27:57,920 The big bang of artificial intelligence 2856 02:27:54,800 --> 02:28:00,319 was seconds away, and Jensen Hang was 2857 02:27:57,920 --> 02:28:04,760 the only person on Earth who had already 2858 02:28:00,319 --> 02:28:04,760 built the engine to power it. 2859 02:28:10,240 --> 02:28:14,160 The year was 2012. 2860 02:28:12,560 --> 02:28:17,120 While the world saw just another 2861 02:28:14,160 --> 02:28:19,280 academic competition, Jensen Huang saw 2862 02:28:17,120 --> 02:28:20,880 the spark that would ignite a global 2863 02:28:19,280 --> 02:28:24,160 revolution. 2864 02:28:20,880 --> 02:28:27,520 A neural network called AlexNet, powered 2865 02:28:24,160 --> 02:28:30,720 by Nvidia GPUs, crushed the competition 2866 02:28:27,520 --> 02:28:33,359 in image recognition. It was the big 2867 02:28:30,720 --> 02:28:36,080 bang of deep learning. 2868 02:28:33,359 --> 02:28:39,280 Jensen didn't just celebrate, he pivoted 2869 02:28:36,080 --> 02:28:42,399 the entire company. He realized that the 2870 02:28:39,280 --> 02:28:46,640 $10 billion gamble on CUDA had finally 2871 02:28:42,399 --> 02:28:48,880 found its soul, artificial intelligence. 2872 02:28:46,640 --> 02:28:51,120 This pivot transformed Nvidia from a 2873 02:28:48,880 --> 02:28:53,280 graphics card company into the 2874 02:28:51,120 --> 02:28:56,319 foundational engine of the world's most 2875 02:28:53,280 --> 02:28:58,080 powerful data centers. 2876 02:28:56,319 --> 02:29:01,280 Jensen's vision was no longer about 2877 02:28:58,080 --> 02:29:02,800 drawing pixels. It was about generative 2878 02:29:01,280 --> 02:29:05,600 AI. 2879 02:29:02,800 --> 02:29:08,800 By the time Chat GPT launched in late 2880 02:29:05,600 --> 02:29:11,280 2022, Nvidia didn't just have a head 2881 02:29:08,800 --> 02:29:14,600 start. They were the only ones at the 2882 02:29:11,280 --> 02:29:14,600 starting line. 2883 02:29:14,640 --> 02:29:19,439 Jensen acted with a speed that terrified 2884 02:29:16,880 --> 02:29:22,479 his competitors. He didn't just wait for 2885 02:29:19,439 --> 02:29:26,399 orders. He re-engineered Nvidia's entire 2886 02:29:22,479 --> 02:29:29,760 road map. In 2016, he personally 2887 02:29:26,399 --> 02:29:32,560 delivered the first Nvidia DGX1, 2888 02:29:29,760 --> 02:29:35,359 the world's first AI supercomput in a 2889 02:29:32,560 --> 02:29:39,359 box to a then small nonprofit called 2890 02:29:35,359 --> 02:29:42,920 Open AAI. He was very clear, this will 2891 02:29:39,359 --> 02:29:42,920 change the world. 2892 02:29:43,680 --> 02:29:47,040 Technically, this period was about 2893 02:29:45,439 --> 02:29:49,439 specialization. 2894 02:29:47,040 --> 02:29:52,319 Nvidia began adding tensor cores to its 2895 02:29:49,439 --> 02:29:54,000 chips. These weren't for graphics. They 2896 02:29:52,319 --> 02:29:55,920 were designed specifically for the deep 2897 02:29:54,000 --> 02:29:57,680 learning math that powers neural 2898 02:29:55,920 --> 02:29:59,600 networks. 2899 02:29:57,680 --> 02:30:02,160 Nvidia was no longer just making a 2900 02:29:59,600 --> 02:30:04,319 faster graphics card. It was building a 2901 02:30:02,160 --> 02:30:08,319 specialized brain. 2902 02:30:04,319 --> 02:30:10,640 By 2017, the momentum was unstoppable. 2903 02:30:08,319 --> 02:30:12,800 Every major tech giant was building AI 2904 02:30:10,640 --> 02:30:15,040 labs and they all had one thing in 2905 02:30:12,800 --> 02:30:16,720 common. They were built on Nvidia's 2906 02:30:15,040 --> 02:30:18,960 stack. 2907 02:30:16,720 --> 02:30:21,600 This was the era when the software mode 2908 02:30:18,960 --> 02:30:23,040 became a fortress. Thousands of 2909 02:30:21,600 --> 02:30:26,319 researchers were now writing their 2910 02:30:23,040 --> 02:30:28,160 doctoral thesis on CUDA. 2911 02:30:26,319 --> 02:30:30,640 If a competitor wanted to challenge 2912 02:30:28,160 --> 02:30:33,200 Nvidia, they wouldn't just need a better 2913 02:30:30,640 --> 02:30:35,760 chip. They would have to convince the 2914 02:30:33,200 --> 02:30:38,640 world's brightest minds to forget 2915 02:30:35,760 --> 02:30:41,359 everything they had learned. 2916 02:30:38,640 --> 02:30:44,560 But as the AI revolution took hold, an 2917 02:30:41,359 --> 02:30:47,040 unexpected shadow emerged. A new craze 2918 02:30:44,560 --> 02:30:49,600 called Bitcoin and Ethereum began to 2919 02:30:47,040 --> 02:30:52,720 consume Nvidia's supply. 2920 02:30:49,600 --> 02:30:56,399 to the world. Nvidia looked invincible, 2921 02:30:52,720 --> 02:30:58,080 but internally Jensen was wary. Jensen 2922 02:30:56,399 --> 02:30:59,600 knew that every bubble eventually 2923 02:30:58,080 --> 02:31:02,000 bursts. 2924 02:30:59,600 --> 02:31:04,319 This period of explosive accidental 2925 02:31:02,000 --> 02:31:07,439 growth from crypto miners was creating a 2926 02:31:04,319 --> 02:31:09,680 shadow over the company's true mission, 2927 02:31:07,439 --> 02:31:12,479 setting the stage for a highstakes legal 2928 02:31:09,680 --> 02:31:14,479 battle over corporate transparency and a 2929 02:31:12,479 --> 02:31:18,439 financial storm that would test the very 2930 02:31:14,479 --> 02:31:18,439 foundations of his leadership. 2931 02:31:22,160 --> 02:31:28,080 In 2018, Nvidia was riding a wave that 2932 02:31:25,520 --> 02:31:31,200 looked like a miracle, but felt like a 2933 02:31:28,080 --> 02:31:33,359 mirage. The explosion of cryptocurrency 2934 02:31:31,200 --> 02:31:36,000 mining had created an insatiable hunger 2935 02:31:33,359 --> 02:31:38,640 for GeForce cards. 2936 02:31:36,000 --> 02:31:41,600 To the outside world, Nvidia's revenue 2937 02:31:38,640 --> 02:31:43,760 was reaching historic heights. However, 2938 02:31:41,600 --> 02:31:46,720 beneath the surface, a dangerous 2939 02:31:43,760 --> 02:31:48,720 ambiguity was growing. Jensen Huang 2940 02:31:46,720 --> 02:31:51,439 insisted that the growth was driven by a 2941 02:31:48,720 --> 02:31:55,359 gaming renaissance, but the reality was 2942 02:31:51,439 --> 02:31:57,439 more volatile. The mirage evaporated in 2943 02:31:55,359 --> 02:32:00,240 late 2018. 2944 02:31:57,439 --> 02:32:03,760 The crypto winter arrived and the demand 2945 02:32:00,240 --> 02:32:05,600 for mining chips vanished overnight. 2946 02:32:03,760 --> 02:32:08,000 Nvidia was left with a massive surplus 2947 02:32:05,600 --> 02:32:10,640 of inventory and the market's reaction 2948 02:32:08,000 --> 02:32:14,880 was brutal. The company's stock price 2949 02:32:10,640 --> 02:32:17,439 plummeted by 28% in a single day. 2950 02:32:14,880 --> 02:32:21,439 The invincible architect of AI was 2951 02:32:17,439 --> 02:32:23,200 suddenly facing a crisis of credibility. 2952 02:32:21,439 --> 02:32:24,880 This financial collapse ignited a 2953 02:32:23,200 --> 02:32:26,800 highstakes legal battle that would 2954 02:32:24,880 --> 02:32:28,800 eventually reach the steps of the US 2955 02:32:26,800 --> 02:32:31,120 Supreme Court. 2956 02:32:28,800 --> 02:32:33,600 A group of institutional investors filed 2957 02:32:31,120 --> 02:32:36,080 a class action lawsuit alleging that 2958 02:32:33,600 --> 02:32:38,960 Jensen Hang had deliberately misled the 2959 02:32:36,080 --> 02:32:43,680 market. The core of the case rested on a 2960 02:32:38,960 --> 02:32:45,680 single devastating word, ci. The intent 2961 02:32:43,680 --> 02:32:48,160 to deceive. 2962 02:32:45,680 --> 02:32:50,160 The accusation was sharp. Investors 2963 02:32:48,160 --> 02:32:52,399 claimed that internal Nvidia reports 2964 02:32:50,160 --> 02:32:54,880 clearly showed over a billion dollars in 2965 02:32:52,399 --> 02:32:57,600 revenue attributed to gamers was 2966 02:32:54,880 --> 02:32:59,920 actually coming from crypto miners. 2967 02:32:57,600 --> 02:33:02,160 Jensen fought back, defending his 2968 02:32:59,920 --> 02:33:04,240 intellectual honesty and arguing that 2969 02:33:02,160 --> 02:33:07,280 the expert opinions used against him 2970 02:33:04,240 --> 02:33:09,680 were nothing more than speculation. 2971 02:33:07,280 --> 02:33:12,000 This battle known as petition number 2972 02:33:09,680 --> 02:33:14,080 23-970 2973 02:33:12,000 --> 02:33:16,800 became a landmark moment for Silicon 2974 02:33:14,080 --> 02:33:18,800 Valley, questioning how much a CEO must 2975 02:33:16,800 --> 02:33:20,640 disclose when their technology 2976 02:33:18,800 --> 02:33:23,840 accidentally conquers a market they 2977 02:33:20,640 --> 02:33:26,240 didn't intend to lead. 2978 02:33:23,840 --> 02:33:28,080 While lawyers argued in Washington, 2979 02:33:26,240 --> 02:33:30,880 Jensen was already looking past the 2980 02:33:28,080 --> 02:33:33,280 wreckage. He didn't let the legal storm 2981 02:33:30,880 --> 02:33:35,680 or the inventory crisis slowed down his 2982 02:33:33,280 --> 02:33:38,319 ultimate plan. He doubled down on the 2983 02:33:35,680 --> 02:33:40,960 data center, acquiring Melanox for $7 2984 02:33:38,319 --> 02:33:42,720 billion to control the highways between 2985 02:33:40,960 --> 02:33:44,720 his chips. 2986 02:33:42,720 --> 02:33:47,200 He was preparing for a world where AI 2987 02:33:44,720 --> 02:33:49,280 wouldn't just be a research project, but 2988 02:33:47,200 --> 02:33:50,960 the operating system of the entire 2989 02:33:49,280 --> 02:33:53,680 planet. 2990 02:33:50,960 --> 02:33:56,160 The storm of 2018 had been a warning. 2991 02:33:53,680 --> 02:33:59,880 The era of generative AI was about to 2992 02:33:56,160 --> 02:33:59,880 provide the answer. 2993 02:34:03,760 --> 02:34:08,560 By 2022, 2994 02:34:05,680 --> 02:34:10,800 the world had changed. The launch of 2995 02:34:08,560 --> 02:34:13,680 Chat GPT signaled the arrival of the 2996 02:34:10,800 --> 02:34:16,960 generative AI era, and Nvidia was the 2997 02:34:13,680 --> 02:34:19,200 only company prepared to power it. 2998 02:34:16,960 --> 02:34:22,240 But as Jensen Hang stood on the brink of 2999 02:34:19,200 --> 02:34:25,359 total market dominance, a new wall was 3000 02:34:22,240 --> 02:34:27,200 built, not by a competitor, but by the 3001 02:34:25,359 --> 02:34:28,960 US government. 3002 02:34:27,200 --> 02:34:31,760 Washington imposed strict export 3003 02:34:28,960 --> 02:34:35,840 controls on high-end AI chips. For 3004 02:34:31,760 --> 02:34:37,760 Nvidia, the stakes were astronomical. 3005 02:34:35,840 --> 02:34:40,720 According to the geographical revenue 3006 02:34:37,760 --> 02:34:44,000 data, China accounted for approximately 3007 02:34:40,720 --> 02:34:45,840 20% to 25% of the company's total 3008 02:34:44,000 --> 02:34:48,240 business. 3009 02:34:45,840 --> 02:34:50,720 Overnight, Jensen had to navigate a 3010 02:34:48,240 --> 02:34:52,479 geopolitical minefield, redesigning 3011 02:34:50,720 --> 02:34:54,640 chips specifically to comply with 3012 02:34:52,479 --> 02:34:56,560 regulations while trying to keep his 3013 02:34:54,640 --> 02:34:58,720 most important market from slipping 3014 02:34:56,560 --> 02:35:01,040 away. 3015 02:34:58,720 --> 02:35:03,040 Jensen's answer to the geopolitical and 3016 02:35:01,040 --> 02:35:06,960 technical pressure was the Blackwall 3017 02:35:03,040 --> 02:35:10,080 architecture. If the H100 was a spark, 3018 02:35:06,960 --> 02:35:13,520 Blackwell was a sun. Packing an 3019 02:35:10,080 --> 02:35:15,439 incredible 208 billion transistors, it 3020 02:35:13,520 --> 02:35:19,200 delivered up to 30 times the performance 3021 02:35:15,439 --> 02:35:21,120 of its predecessor for certain AI tasks. 3022 02:35:19,200 --> 02:35:23,920 But Blackwell represented a deeper 3023 02:35:21,120 --> 02:35:26,800 strategic shift. Nvidia was no longer 3024 02:35:23,920 --> 02:35:29,760 just a chipmaker. 3025 02:35:26,800 --> 02:35:31,280 Jensen was now building entire AI 3026 02:35:29,760 --> 02:35:33,439 factories. 3027 02:35:31,280 --> 02:35:35,920 By integrating Melanox networking 3028 02:35:33,439 --> 02:35:37,920 technology, he controlled the highways 3029 02:35:35,920 --> 02:35:39,920 that allowed thousands of chips to talk 3030 02:35:37,920 --> 02:35:42,479 to each other as if they were a single 3031 02:35:39,920 --> 02:35:44,800 giant brain. 3032 02:35:42,479 --> 02:35:46,640 This system on a cluster approach meant 3033 02:35:44,800 --> 02:35:49,120 that even if a competitor produced a 3034 02:35:46,640 --> 02:35:50,800 faster individual chip, they couldn't 3035 02:35:49,120 --> 02:35:53,840 compete with the sheer efficiency of the 3036 02:35:50,800 --> 02:35:56,479 Nvidia ecosystem. 3037 02:35:53,840 --> 02:35:59,680 The financial results were staggering. 3038 02:35:56,479 --> 02:36:04,000 By early 2024, Nvidia's data center 3039 02:35:59,680 --> 02:36:08,319 revenue had surged to over 47 billion, a 3040 02:36:04,000 --> 02:36:11,200 217% increase in a single year. The 3041 02:36:08,319 --> 02:36:13,760 company was operating with 78.4% 3042 02:36:11,200 --> 02:36:16,240 gross margins, profit levels usually 3043 02:36:13,760 --> 02:36:18,720 reserved for software giants, not 3044 02:36:16,240 --> 02:36:22,479 hardware manufacturers. 3045 02:36:18,720 --> 02:36:25,760 On June 18th, 2024, Nvidia became the 3046 02:36:22,479 --> 02:36:28,640 most valuable company on the planet. 3047 02:36:25,760 --> 02:36:31,840 Yet, even as he stood at the summit, 3048 02:36:28,640 --> 02:36:34,640 Jensen refused to relax. He looked the 3049 02:36:31,840 --> 02:36:37,359 60-year history of semiconductors, the 3050 02:36:34,640 --> 02:36:40,000 rise and fall of Intel, the cycles of 3051 02:36:37,359 --> 02:36:42,160 Samsung and TI, and he knew that being 3052 02:36:40,000 --> 02:36:45,600 on top was the most dangerous place to 3053 02:36:42,160 --> 02:36:48,880 be. His next challenge wouldn't just be 3054 02:36:45,600 --> 02:36:52,520 about chips. It would be about giving AI 3055 02:36:48,880 --> 02:36:52,520 a physical body. 3056 02:36:56,319 --> 02:37:01,520 In 2024, Jensen Hang had already 3057 02:36:59,280 --> 02:37:03,840 conquered the digital world, but his 3058 02:37:01,520 --> 02:37:06,560 eyes were fixed on a new frontier, the 3059 02:37:03,840 --> 02:37:09,359 physical one. He declared that the next 3060 02:37:06,560 --> 02:37:11,200 wave of AI would be physical AI. 3061 02:37:09,359 --> 02:37:14,240 Intelligence that doesn't just process 3062 02:37:11,200 --> 02:37:16,080 text or images, but understands the laws 3063 02:37:14,240 --> 02:37:18,399 of physics. 3064 02:37:16,080 --> 02:37:21,439 Everything that moves from autonomous 3065 02:37:18,399 --> 02:37:24,560 cars to humanoid robots would eventually 3066 02:37:21,439 --> 02:37:26,960 be powered by an Nvidia brain. 3067 02:37:24,560 --> 02:37:30,640 This identifies it as the third pillar 3068 02:37:26,960 --> 02:37:33,680 of Nvidia's future. To win this race, 3069 02:37:30,640 --> 02:37:35,760 Jensen isn't just building chips. He is 3070 02:37:33,680 --> 02:37:37,920 building the omniverse. 3071 02:37:35,760 --> 02:37:40,000 This is a digital world where robots are 3072 02:37:37,920 --> 02:37:42,880 trained millions of times in a virtual 3073 02:37:40,000 --> 02:37:45,040 simulation before they ever step into a 3074 02:37:42,880 --> 02:37:47,760 real factory. 3075 02:37:45,040 --> 02:37:49,840 By the time a robot starts its job, it 3076 02:37:47,760 --> 02:37:53,040 has already lived a thousand lifetimes 3077 02:37:49,840 --> 02:37:55,680 of experience. Jensen's strategy is a 3078 02:37:53,040 --> 02:37:57,920 total vertical integration. He is 3079 02:37:55,680 --> 02:37:59,920 transforming Nvidia into a provider of 3080 02:37:57,920 --> 02:38:02,160 AI factories. 3081 02:37:59,920 --> 02:38:04,560 He believes that in the future, every 3082 02:38:02,160 --> 02:38:06,800 company will have two factories, one 3083 02:38:04,560 --> 02:38:09,920 that produces physical goods and a 3084 02:38:06,800 --> 02:38:12,080 digital one that produces intelligence. 3085 02:38:09,920 --> 02:38:14,080 With the Melanox networking, high-speed 3086 02:38:12,080 --> 02:38:16,640 highways, and the CUDA software 3087 02:38:14,080 --> 02:38:18,479 fortress, Jensen has ensured that the 3088 02:38:16,640 --> 02:38:21,840 entire infrastructure of this new 3089 02:38:18,479 --> 02:38:24,640 industrial revolution runs on Nvidia. 3090 02:38:21,840 --> 02:38:26,640 When asked about his legacy, Jensen 3091 02:38:24,640 --> 02:38:29,439 doesn't talk about stock prices or 3092 02:38:26,640 --> 02:38:31,840 trillions of dollars. He talks about 3093 02:38:29,439 --> 02:38:33,439 material sciences and scientific 3094 02:38:31,840 --> 02:38:35,520 discovery. 3095 02:38:33,439 --> 02:38:38,160 He believes AI will give humans 3096 02:38:35,520 --> 02:38:40,960 superpowers, helping us solve climate 3097 02:38:38,160 --> 02:38:43,120 change, cure diseases, and handle the 3098 02:38:40,960 --> 02:38:46,080 dangerous and mundane tasks so we can 3099 02:38:43,120 --> 02:38:49,080 focus on what truly makes us human, 3100 02:38:46,080 --> 02:38:49,080 curiosity. 3101 02:38:51,680 --> 02:38:56,080 By 2025, 3102 02:38:53,680 --> 02:38:57,840 the world had entered a state of compute 3103 02:38:56,080 --> 02:39:00,960 geopolitics. 3104 02:38:57,840 --> 02:39:03,600 Nvidia was no longer just a company. It 3105 02:39:00,960 --> 02:39:06,720 had become a strategic resource similar 3106 02:39:03,600 --> 02:39:10,319 to oil or grain. The launch of the 3107 02:39:06,720 --> 02:39:13,120 Blackwell B200 hadn't just met demand. 3108 02:39:10,319 --> 02:39:16,640 It had ignited a global scramble. 3109 02:39:13,120 --> 02:39:19,520 Nations like Japan, France, and the UAE 3110 02:39:16,640 --> 02:39:21,120 began building sovereign AI clouds. 3111 02:39:19,520 --> 02:39:23,439 Realizing that depending on a few 3112 02:39:21,120 --> 02:39:26,399 Silicon Valley giants for intelligence 3113 02:39:23,439 --> 02:39:29,760 was a national security risk. 3114 02:39:26,399 --> 02:39:33,520 But as 2025 progressed, a new whisper 3115 02:39:29,760 --> 02:39:36,479 began to haunt the industry. The wall. 3116 02:39:33,520 --> 02:39:39,280 For years, AI progress relied on scaling 3117 02:39:36,479 --> 02:39:41,600 laws. The idea that more data and more 3118 02:39:39,280 --> 02:39:45,520 GPUs would inevitably lead to more 3119 02:39:41,600 --> 02:39:48,240 intelligence. However, in 2026, the 3120 02:39:45,520 --> 02:39:50,800 returns are starting to diminish. Data 3121 02:39:48,240 --> 02:39:52,800 centers are becoming so massive, they 3122 02:39:50,800 --> 02:39:55,280 require their own dedicated nuclear 3123 02:39:52,800 --> 02:39:58,800 power plants. and the lowhanging fruit 3124 02:39:55,280 --> 02:40:01,040 of internet data has been exhausted. 3125 02:39:58,800 --> 02:40:03,680 Jensen's response to the wall is 3126 02:40:01,040 --> 02:40:05,760 typically defiant. He pivoted the 3127 02:40:03,680 --> 02:40:09,680 industry towards synthetic data and 3128 02:40:05,760 --> 02:40:12,160 reasoning models. In 2026, Nvidia's 3129 02:40:09,680 --> 02:40:16,560 focus has shifted from simply training 3130 02:40:12,160 --> 02:40:18,880 AI to inference at scale. The goal is no 3131 02:40:16,560 --> 02:40:21,280 longer just to build a model that knows 3132 02:40:18,880 --> 02:40:23,439 everything, but to build a system that 3133 02:40:21,280 --> 02:40:25,840 thinks through a problem for days, if 3134 02:40:23,439 --> 02:40:29,600 necessary, using massive clusters of 3135 02:40:25,840 --> 02:40:32,880 GPUs to reach a breakthrough. 3136 02:40:29,600 --> 02:40:36,080 The competition in 2026 has never been 3137 02:40:32,880 --> 02:40:38,560 fiercer. Nvidia's biggest customers, 3138 02:40:36,080 --> 02:40:40,720 Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, have 3139 02:40:38,560 --> 02:40:42,640 become its most dangerous rivals, 3140 02:40:40,720 --> 02:40:47,120 pouring billions into their own custom 3141 02:40:42,640 --> 02:40:50,000 AI chips to escape the NVIDIA tax. Yet, 3142 02:40:47,120 --> 02:40:52,399 the software mode remains unreached. 3143 02:40:50,000 --> 02:40:54,720 While others build chips, Jensen is 3144 02:40:52,399 --> 02:40:57,200 building the entire ecosystem, the 3145 02:40:54,720 --> 02:40:58,720 networking, the libraries, and the 3146 02:40:57,200 --> 02:41:01,600 pre-trained models that make a 3147 02:40:58,720 --> 02:41:04,880 competitor's hardware feel like a relic 3148 02:41:01,600 --> 02:41:07,680 before it even leaves the factory. 3149 02:41:04,880 --> 02:41:09,280 In this era, Jensen Hong has become one 3150 02:41:07,680 --> 02:41:12,160 of the world's most influential 3151 02:41:09,280 --> 02:41:14,399 diplomat. He navigates a world where the 3152 02:41:12,160 --> 02:41:16,319 power grid is the new bottleneck and 3153 02:41:14,399 --> 02:41:18,160 where a single shipment of chips can 3154 02:41:16,319 --> 02:41:19,840 determine the economic future of a 3155 02:41:18,160 --> 02:41:22,640 country. 3156 02:41:19,840 --> 02:41:25,840 The trillion dollar question of 2026 is 3157 02:41:22,640 --> 02:41:27,920 no longer if AI will change the world, 3158 02:41:25,840 --> 02:41:31,160 but who will own the infrastructure of 3159 02:41:27,920 --> 02:41:31,160 that change. 3160 02:41:34,479 --> 02:41:39,040 The story of Nvidia is often told as a 3161 02:41:36,960 --> 02:41:41,920 series of lucky breaks or inevitable 3162 02:41:39,040 --> 02:41:44,960 triumphs. But as we look at the empire 3163 02:41:41,920 --> 02:41:47,359 Jensen Huang has built, the reality is 3164 02:41:44,960 --> 02:41:49,359 far more deliberate and far more 3165 02:41:47,359 --> 02:41:52,319 precarious. 3166 02:41:49,359 --> 02:41:54,080 In 2026, the company stands at the 3167 02:41:52,319 --> 02:41:56,319 center of the greatest industrial shift 3168 02:41:54,080 --> 02:41:59,200 in human history. 3169 02:41:56,319 --> 02:42:01,760 Yet for Jensen, the valuation of three, 3170 02:41:59,200 --> 02:42:04,720 four, or 5 trillion is a lagging 3171 02:42:01,760 --> 02:42:06,399 indicator. The true metric is the 3172 02:42:04,720 --> 02:42:08,319 oxygen. 3173 02:42:06,399 --> 02:42:10,240 Throughout his journey, from the dish 3174 02:42:08,319 --> 02:42:12,880 pits of Denny's to the halls of the 3175 02:42:10,240 --> 02:42:16,240 Supreme Court, Jensen has maintained a 3176 02:42:12,880 --> 02:42:18,800 philosophy of intellectual honesty. 3177 02:42:16,240 --> 02:42:21,600 He admits when the technology is wrong. 3178 02:42:18,800 --> 02:42:23,600 He pivots when the market shifts. And he 3179 02:42:21,600 --> 02:42:26,080 invests billions when the world calls 3180 02:42:23,600 --> 02:42:27,840 him a fool. He has turned a 3181 02:42:26,080 --> 02:42:30,479 semiconductor company into a 3182 02:42:27,840 --> 02:42:33,600 geopolitical superpower, a software 3183 02:42:30,479 --> 02:42:35,920 fortress, and the primary architect of a 3184 02:42:33,600 --> 02:42:37,920 new form of life. 3185 02:42:35,920 --> 02:42:40,479 Critics ask if Nvidia is a bubble 3186 02:42:37,920 --> 02:42:43,359 waiting to burst, or if the scaling laws 3187 02:42:40,479 --> 02:42:45,200 of AI will eventually hit a dead end. 3188 02:42:43,359 --> 02:42:47,760 But Jensen doesn't operate on the 3189 02:42:45,200 --> 02:42:50,080 timeline of a stock market cycle. He 3190 02:42:47,760 --> 02:42:51,760 operates on the timeline of human 3191 02:42:50,080 --> 02:42:54,479 evolution. 3192 02:42:51,760 --> 02:42:56,000 He isn't just selling chips. He is 3193 02:42:54,479 --> 02:42:58,640 selling the marginal cost of 3194 02:42:56,000 --> 02:43:01,359 intelligence, making the most valuable 3195 02:42:58,640 --> 02:43:04,240 resource in the universe so abundant 3196 02:43:01,359 --> 02:43:06,800 that it changes the very definition of 3197 02:43:04,240 --> 02:43:08,960 what is possible. 3198 02:43:06,800 --> 02:43:10,880 Jensen often says that he wakes up every 3199 02:43:08,960 --> 02:43:12,399 morning with the same feeling he had in 3200 02:43:10,880 --> 02:43:14,319 1993. 3201 02:43:12,399 --> 02:43:16,160 the feeling that the company is going 3202 02:43:14,319 --> 02:43:18,560 out of business. 3203 02:43:16,160 --> 02:43:20,720 It is this productive paranoia that 3204 02:43:18,560 --> 02:43:23,840 prevents the cyclical trap that claim 3205 02:43:20,720 --> 02:43:26,640 the giants of the past. He doesn't want 3206 02:43:23,840 --> 02:43:29,359 to be the king of a legacy. He wants to 3207 02:43:26,640 --> 02:43:33,600 be the architect of a future that hasn't 3208 02:43:29,359 --> 02:43:37,040 even been imagined yet. 3209 02:43:33,600 --> 02:43:39,600 Run, don't walk. Either you are running 3210 02:43:37,040 --> 02:43:43,200 for food or you are running from being 3211 02:43:39,600 --> 02:43:48,439 food. In the era of the digital brain, 3212 02:43:43,200 --> 02:43:48,439 the race has only just begun. 3213 02:45:14,800 --> 02:45:19,600 At the edge of the world, in a country 3214 02:45:16,960 --> 02:45:22,080 with more sheep than people, one of the 3215 02:45:19,600 --> 02:45:25,279 most powerful men in Silicon Valley 3216 02:45:22,080 --> 02:45:29,359 built an escape hatch. Not a vacation 3217 02:45:25,279 --> 02:45:32,160 home, not a tax shelter, a contingency 3218 02:45:29,359 --> 02:45:35,840 plan. 3219 02:45:32,160 --> 02:45:38,000 In 2011, a billionaire quietly secured 3220 02:45:35,840 --> 02:45:40,960 citizenship in New Zealand after 3221 02:45:38,000 --> 02:45:45,200 spending just days in the country. A 3222 02:45:40,960 --> 02:45:47,040 legal backdoor, a geopolitical lifeboat 3223 02:45:45,200 --> 02:45:50,080 deep in the rugged terrain of New 3224 02:45:47,040 --> 02:45:54,000 Zealand's South Island, Peter Teal owns 3225 02:45:50,080 --> 02:45:57,600 a vast private estate, remote, secluded, 3226 02:45:54,000 --> 02:46:00,080 and far from the centers of power. 3227 02:45:57,600 --> 02:46:02,800 While most billionaires buy yachts or 3228 02:46:00,080 --> 02:46:07,200 private islands feel secured something 3229 02:46:02,800 --> 02:46:09,680 more strategic, New Zealand citizenship 3230 02:46:07,200 --> 02:46:12,880 and a vast estate in one of the most 3231 02:46:09,680 --> 02:46:15,200 remote democracies on Earth. The 3232 02:46:12,880 --> 02:46:17,279 purchase price for this geopolitical 3233 02:46:15,200 --> 02:46:20,640 insurance policy. 3234 02:46:17,279 --> 02:46:23,359 In 2011, Theel obtained New Zealand 3235 02:46:20,640 --> 02:46:25,680 citizenship after spending just 12 days 3236 02:46:23,359 --> 02:46:28,720 in the country over the previous 2 3237 02:46:25,680 --> 02:46:32,359 years. a process that normally requires 3238 02:46:28,720 --> 02:46:32,359 years of residency. 3239 02:46:32,479 --> 02:46:37,680 The investment that secured this 3240 02:46:34,319 --> 02:46:40,319 exceptional pathway, approximately $7 3241 02:46:37,680 --> 02:46:42,720 million in local assets and business 3242 02:46:40,319 --> 02:46:47,439 investments. 3243 02:46:42,720 --> 02:46:51,760 The centerpiece, a 477 acre estate near 3244 02:46:47,439 --> 02:46:56,720 Lake Wanaka, purchased for 13.5 million 3245 02:46:51,760 --> 02:46:59,120 New Zealand, about $10 million. 3246 02:46:56,720 --> 02:47:03,680 When New Zealand media exposed the deal 3247 02:46:59,120 --> 02:47:05,359 in 2017, it sparked a national scandal. 3248 02:47:03,680 --> 02:47:06,960 >> Hi Benedict, nice to talk to you again. 3249 02:47:05,359 --> 02:47:08,880 So when we last spoke, you told us that 3250 02:47:06,960 --> 02:47:11,520 Peter Teal was granted citizenship after 3251 02:47:08,880 --> 02:47:14,720 having only visited New Zealand four 3252 02:47:11,520 --> 02:47:16,880 times for an unknown number of days 3253 02:47:14,720 --> 02:47:18,960 because the documents had that 3254 02:47:16,880 --> 02:47:21,200 information redacted. Right. 3255 02:47:18,960 --> 02:47:24,000 >> Politicians called it citizenship for 3256 02:47:21,200 --> 02:47:25,920 sale. Opposition leaders demanded 3257 02:47:24,000 --> 02:47:28,160 investigations, 3258 02:47:25,920 --> 02:47:31,359 but Theel had already achieved his 3259 02:47:28,160 --> 02:47:33,200 objective, a legal escape hatch in the 3260 02:47:31,359 --> 02:47:34,880 world's most politically stable 3261 02:47:33,200 --> 02:47:37,680 democracy, 3262 02:47:34,880 --> 02:47:41,439 a geopolitical insurance policy that 3263 02:47:37,680 --> 02:47:43,760 money can buy. 3264 02:47:41,439 --> 02:47:46,080 Why would a man who helped build the 3265 02:47:43,760 --> 02:47:49,680 digital future prepare for the collapse 3266 02:47:46,080 --> 02:47:52,960 of the physical one? What does he see 3267 02:47:49,680 --> 02:47:56,960 that others don't? Yes, it's the uh 1 3268 02:47:52,960 --> 02:47:59,680 Thessalonians 5:3, the uh the the slogan 3269 02:47:56,960 --> 02:48:02,160 of the Antichrist is peace and safety. 3270 02:47:59,680 --> 02:48:04,160 And so, which is nothing wrong with 3271 02:48:02,160 --> 02:48:06,160 peace and safety, but uh you have to 3272 02:48:04,160 --> 02:48:08,399 sort of imagine that it resonates very 3273 02:48:06,160 --> 02:48:10,240 differently in a world where the stakes 3274 02:48:08,399 --> 02:48:11,600 are so absolute, where the stakes are so 3275 02:48:10,240 --> 02:48:16,000 extreme, where the you know the 3276 02:48:11,600 --> 02:48:18,240 alternative to peace and safety is, you 3277 02:48:16,000 --> 02:48:20,000 know, Armageddon and the destruction of 3278 02:48:18,240 --> 02:48:22,399 all things. 3279 02:48:20,000 --> 02:48:25,920 He is one of the most polarizing figures 3280 02:48:22,399 --> 02:48:28,880 in Silicon Valley. To some, a visionary 3281 02:48:25,920 --> 02:48:31,520 genius who saw the future early. To 3282 02:48:28,880 --> 02:48:33,680 others, the shadow financier of 3283 02:48:31,520 --> 02:48:36,640 movements and candidates who challenged 3284 02:48:33,680 --> 02:48:40,479 liberal democratic norms. 3285 02:48:36,640 --> 02:48:42,960 This is not fear. This is strategy. 3286 02:48:40,479 --> 02:48:46,720 For decades, Peter Theal has made the 3287 02:48:42,960 --> 02:48:49,680 same bet over and over again. Bet 3288 02:48:46,720 --> 02:48:54,319 against consensus. bet against the 3289 02:48:49,680 --> 02:48:56,880 crowd, bet against the system itself. 3290 02:48:54,319 --> 02:48:59,439 To understand why he built a fortress at 3291 02:48:56,880 --> 02:49:02,800 the end of the earth, we have to go back 3292 02:48:59,439 --> 02:49:05,120 to a childhood of constant displacement. 3293 02:49:02,800 --> 02:49:07,520 To a chessboard where consensus meant 3294 02:49:05,120 --> 02:49:10,319 nothing, to a company that tried to 3295 02:49:07,520 --> 02:49:13,880 replace money and another that learned 3296 02:49:10,319 --> 02:49:13,880 to see everything. 3297 02:49:14,080 --> 02:49:19,520 But the estate is more than a luxury 3298 02:49:16,640 --> 02:49:22,800 retreat. It is a fortress designed for 3299 02:49:19,520 --> 02:49:25,439 civilizational uncertainty. 3300 02:49:22,800 --> 02:49:28,000 Off-grid power systems, advanced 3301 02:49:25,439 --> 02:49:30,880 security infrastructure, multiple 3302 02:49:28,000 --> 02:49:33,279 evacuation routes through the mountains. 3303 02:49:30,880 --> 02:49:35,200 Not built for comfort, built for 3304 02:49:33,279 --> 02:49:37,840 continuity. 3305 02:49:35,200 --> 02:49:39,840 While the world debates progress, Peter 3306 02:49:37,840 --> 02:49:41,520 Theel is preparing for a different 3307 02:49:39,840 --> 02:49:44,319 possibility. 3308 02:49:41,520 --> 02:49:47,720 Not how to build the future, how to 3309 02:49:44,319 --> 02:49:47,720 survive it. 3310 02:49:49,040 --> 02:49:55,680 The architect of dissident 3311 02:49:52,640 --> 02:50:00,160 total estimated value of the contingency 3312 02:49:55,680 --> 02:50:03,520 infrastructure 20 to $30 million. 3313 02:50:00,160 --> 02:50:05,840 Not for lifestyle, not for prestige, but 3314 02:50:03,520 --> 02:50:08,080 for the day the system he helped build 3315 02:50:05,840 --> 02:50:10,160 no longer holds. 3316 02:50:08,080 --> 02:50:12,960 He didn't build this because he panics 3317 02:50:10,160 --> 02:50:15,520 easily. He built it because he has 3318 02:50:12,960 --> 02:50:18,080 always believed that the crowd is wrong 3319 02:50:15,520 --> 02:50:21,520 and the future belongs to those willing 3320 02:50:18,080 --> 02:50:24,800 to stand apart from it. Every fortress 3321 02:50:21,520 --> 02:50:27,120 begins as an idea and Peter Theel has 3322 02:50:24,800 --> 02:50:31,000 been building intellectual fortresses 3323 02:50:27,120 --> 02:50:31,000 since he was a child. 3324 02:50:35,040 --> 02:50:40,319 Before he was a billionaire, before he 3325 02:50:37,600 --> 02:50:41,920 funded political outsiders, before he 3326 02:50:40,319 --> 02:50:44,880 built machines that could see 3327 02:50:41,920 --> 02:50:46,800 everything, he was a boy who never 3328 02:50:44,880 --> 02:50:49,600 stayed in one place long enough to 3329 02:50:46,800 --> 02:50:51,520 believe the world made sense. 3330 02:50:49,600 --> 02:50:54,960 So he searched for a world where the 3331 02:50:51,520 --> 02:50:56,800 rules didn't change. He found it on a 3332 02:50:54,960 --> 02:50:59,200 chessboard. 3333 02:50:56,800 --> 02:51:01,200 To understand Peter the you must 3334 02:50:59,200 --> 02:51:03,840 understand what it means to be a 3335 02:51:01,200 --> 02:51:06,640 permanent outsider. 3336 02:51:03,840 --> 02:51:09,040 Born in Frankfurt, West Germany, Peter 3337 02:51:06,640 --> 02:51:12,640 Theel spent part of his early childhood 3338 02:51:09,040 --> 02:51:14,960 in southwest Africa, now Namibia, before 3339 02:51:12,640 --> 02:51:18,399 growing up mainly in the United States 3340 02:51:14,960 --> 02:51:20,640 between Ohio and California. 3341 02:51:18,399 --> 02:51:24,000 Before he was a teenager, he had already 3342 02:51:20,640 --> 02:51:26,240 experienced life on multiple continents, 3343 02:51:24,000 --> 02:51:28,240 never staying long enough to feel fully 3344 02:51:26,240 --> 02:51:31,040 at home. 3345 02:51:28,240 --> 02:51:34,800 He didn't have a hometown. He didn't 3346 02:51:31,040 --> 02:51:37,279 have a tribe. He only had his own mind. 3347 02:51:34,800 --> 02:51:40,640 And in that isolation, he found a 3348 02:51:37,279 --> 02:51:43,640 language that didn't require a passport. 3349 02:51:40,640 --> 02:51:43,640 Chess. 3350 02:51:44,080 --> 02:51:48,399 For a child who changed continents 3351 02:51:46,319 --> 02:51:51,760 before he could even make friends, the 3352 02:51:48,399 --> 02:51:54,720 outside world was unpredictable noise. 3353 02:51:51,760 --> 02:51:56,720 But the board, the board was the only 3354 02:51:54,720 --> 02:52:00,000 place where the rules didn't change 3355 02:51:56,720 --> 02:52:02,800 depending on the country. 3356 02:52:00,000 --> 02:52:05,200 His 3357 02:52:02,800 --> 02:52:07,680 father, an engineer trained in a culture 3358 02:52:05,200 --> 02:52:10,000 of precision and systems thinking, 3359 02:52:07,680 --> 02:52:13,520 passed on a belief that reality could be 3360 02:52:10,000 --> 02:52:16,080 understood and optimized. 3361 02:52:13,520 --> 02:52:19,040 While other children sought to fit in, 3362 02:52:16,080 --> 02:52:21,840 Peter sought the edge. He learned that 3363 02:52:19,040 --> 02:52:23,600 the consensus of the crowd is usually a 3364 02:52:21,840 --> 02:52:26,160 distraction. 3365 02:52:23,600 --> 02:52:28,720 If everyone is running toward the ball, 3366 02:52:26,160 --> 02:52:30,399 you run toward where the ball is going 3367 02:52:28,720 --> 02:52:32,560 to be. 3368 02:52:30,399 --> 02:52:34,399 Chess is the ultimate antidote to 3369 02:52:32,560 --> 02:52:36,399 consensus. 3370 02:52:34,399 --> 02:52:39,040 In a crowd, you can hide behind a 3371 02:52:36,399 --> 02:52:42,240 popular opinion. In chess, you are 3372 02:52:39,040 --> 02:52:44,399 either right or you are dead. There is 3373 02:52:42,240 --> 02:52:47,040 no middle ground. There is no social 3374 02:52:44,399 --> 02:52:49,040 construction of the board. 3375 02:52:47,040 --> 02:52:51,760 He became a serious tournament chess 3376 02:52:49,040 --> 02:52:54,479 player drawn to a world where rules were 3377 02:52:51,760 --> 02:52:58,319 fixed, outcomes were earned, and 3378 02:52:54,479 --> 02:53:02,560 consensus meant nothing. 3379 02:52:58,319 --> 02:53:04,960 mid1980s Stanford University. 3380 02:53:02,560 --> 02:53:07,200 To the world, this was the peak of 3381 02:53:04,960 --> 02:53:09,760 American meritocracy. 3382 02:53:07,200 --> 02:53:11,520 To Theel, it was a factory of 3383 02:53:09,760 --> 02:53:13,520 conformity. 3384 02:53:11,520 --> 02:53:15,920 While his classmates were debating how 3385 02:53:13,520 --> 02:53:18,160 to change the world through activism, 3386 02:53:15,920 --> 02:53:20,800 Theel was wondering why they all sounded 3387 02:53:18,160 --> 02:53:22,880 exactly the same. He saw the 3388 02:53:20,800 --> 02:53:25,040 multiculturalism movement not as 3389 02:53:22,880 --> 02:53:27,200 progress, but as a new form of 3390 02:53:25,040 --> 02:53:29,840 fundamentalism. 3391 02:53:27,200 --> 02:53:32,960 Stanford in the late 1980s was ground 3392 02:53:29,840 --> 02:53:35,680 zero for America's culture wars, battles 3393 02:53:32,960 --> 02:53:38,720 over multiculturalism, speech, and the 3394 02:53:35,680 --> 02:53:41,040 purpose of higher education. 3395 02:53:38,720 --> 02:53:44,399 Field believed the university was 3396 02:53:41,040 --> 02:53:46,160 drifting toward ideological conformity 3397 02:53:44,399 --> 02:53:49,600 that certain views were becoming 3398 02:53:46,160 --> 02:53:53,520 socially, if not formally, off limits. 3399 02:53:49,600 --> 02:53:56,399 Here is investment methodology was born. 3400 02:53:53,520 --> 02:53:59,600 Identify what the crowd considers sacred 3401 02:53:56,399 --> 02:54:02,960 and question it. 3402 02:53:59,600 --> 02:54:05,920 If everyone says identity diversity is 3403 02:54:02,960 --> 02:54:08,880 the most important thing, you argue that 3404 02:54:05,920 --> 02:54:10,960 intellectual diversity is the only thing 3405 02:54:08,880 --> 02:54:13,279 that matters. 3406 02:54:10,960 --> 02:54:16,399 He wasn't looking for friends. He was 3407 02:54:13,279 --> 02:54:19,279 looking to recruit others who like him 3408 02:54:16,399 --> 02:54:22,640 did not fear being hated. 3409 02:54:19,279 --> 02:54:24,880 He founded the Stanford Review. The 3410 02:54:22,640 --> 02:54:28,160 paper quickly became one of the most 3411 02:54:24,880 --> 02:54:31,040 controversial publications on campus, 3412 02:54:28,160 --> 02:54:34,800 attacking what field saw as intellectual 3413 02:54:31,040 --> 02:54:36,960 monoculture and political group think. 3414 02:54:34,800 --> 02:54:39,359 He saw that the smartest people in the 3415 02:54:36,960 --> 02:54:42,560 country were all competing for the same 3416 02:54:39,359 --> 02:54:44,319 narrow prizes, thinking the same narrow 3417 02:54:42,560 --> 02:54:47,680 thoughts. 3418 02:54:44,319 --> 02:54:49,760 He did what every top student does. He 3419 02:54:47,680 --> 02:54:52,240 followed the track. 3420 02:54:49,760 --> 02:54:55,200 After Stanford law, he secured a 3421 02:54:52,240 --> 02:54:57,600 prestigious federal appalate clerkship, 3422 02:54:55,200 --> 02:55:00,000 the kind of credential that opens every 3423 02:54:57,600 --> 02:55:02,240 elite door in America. 3424 02:55:00,000 --> 02:55:04,720 After his clerkship, he joined Sullivan 3425 02:55:02,240 --> 02:55:08,000 and Cromwell in New York, one of the 3426 02:55:04,720 --> 02:55:10,640 most elite law firms in the world. On 3427 02:55:08,000 --> 02:55:15,439 paper, he had reached the summit. Wall 3428 02:55:10,640 --> 02:55:17,680 Street was his great negative epiphany. 3429 02:55:15,439 --> 02:55:19,760 But from his perspective, the brightest 3430 02:55:17,680 --> 02:55:21,840 graduates in America were locked in 3431 02:55:19,760 --> 02:55:24,880 brutal competition for careers they 3432 02:55:21,840 --> 02:55:27,279 didn't even seem to want. 3433 02:55:24,880 --> 02:55:29,920 It looked like Renee Gerard's theory 3434 02:55:27,279 --> 02:55:32,319 made flesh, a system where everyone 3435 02:55:29,920 --> 02:55:35,359 desired the same prize simply because 3436 02:55:32,319 --> 02:55:38,160 everyone else did. Wall Street looked at 3437 02:55:35,359 --> 02:55:41,200 Theo like a laboratory of mimemetic 3438 02:55:38,160 --> 02:55:43,760 rivalry. He realized that if he won that 3439 02:55:41,200 --> 02:55:47,040 race, his prize would be becoming the 3440 02:55:43,760 --> 02:55:50,319 man in the office next door. A copy of a 3441 02:55:47,040 --> 02:55:53,120 copy. The day he lost the opportunity to 3442 02:55:50,319 --> 02:55:56,640 clerk for the US Supreme Court wasn't a 3443 02:55:53,120 --> 02:55:59,920 defeat. It was his liberation. 3444 02:55:56,640 --> 02:56:02,560 He lasted less than a year. But Theo's 3445 02:55:59,920 --> 02:56:05,359 first venture after leaving law was a 3446 02:56:02,560 --> 02:56:07,279 humbling lesson in failure. A lesson 3447 02:56:05,359 --> 02:56:10,240 that would shape everything that came 3448 02:56:07,279 --> 02:56:13,520 after. 3449 02:56:10,240 --> 02:56:16,240 In 1996, he launched Theal Capital 3450 02:56:13,520 --> 02:56:19,279 Management, 3451 02:56:16,240 --> 02:56:22,399 a hedge fund focused on currency trading 3452 02:56:19,279 --> 02:56:25,200 and macroeconomic derivatives. 3453 02:56:22,399 --> 02:56:27,920 The strategy was to make big directional 3454 02:56:25,200 --> 02:56:30,319 bets on interest rates, inflation 3455 02:56:27,920 --> 02:56:34,080 expectations, and foreign exchange 3456 02:56:30,319 --> 02:56:37,520 movements. Initial capital raised $1 3457 02:56:34,080 --> 02:56:39,680 million mostly from Stanford connections 3458 02:56:37,520 --> 02:56:43,640 who believed in the chess prodigy turned 3459 02:56:39,680 --> 02:56:43,640 lawyer turned financia. 3460 02:56:44,399 --> 02:56:49,760 The result was spectacular failure. 3461 02:56:47,520 --> 02:56:53,040 Within the first year, the fund had lost 3462 02:56:49,760 --> 02:56:56,560 significant capital. Industry estimates 3463 02:56:53,040 --> 02:57:00,560 suggest losses between 30 and 40% of the 3464 02:56:56,560 --> 02:57:02,960 initial investment pool. Investors fled. 3465 02:57:00,560 --> 02:57:04,880 Some demanded their remaining money back 3466 02:57:02,960 --> 02:57:07,279 immediately. 3467 02:57:04,880 --> 02:57:09,439 The reputation among finance 3468 02:57:07,279 --> 02:57:11,760 professionals, the people he had walked 3469 02:57:09,439 --> 02:57:14,399 away from at Sullivan and Cromwell, took 3470 02:57:11,760 --> 02:57:17,760 a serious hit. 3471 02:57:14,399 --> 02:57:20,960 He was no longer the Stanford genius. He 3472 02:57:17,760 --> 02:57:23,439 was just another failed trader. 3473 02:57:20,960 --> 02:57:25,920 But this failure taught him the most 3474 02:57:23,439 --> 02:57:28,960 important lesson of his career. 3475 02:57:25,920 --> 02:57:31,439 Competition is for losers. 3476 02:57:28,960 --> 02:57:34,080 Do not compete in crowded markets where 3477 02:57:31,439 --> 02:57:37,840 everyone is making the same trades with 3478 02:57:34,080 --> 02:57:40,240 the same information and the same tools. 3479 02:57:37,840 --> 02:57:43,359 Wall Street was full of extremely smart 3480 02:57:40,240 --> 02:57:45,760 people doing the same macro trades, 3481 02:57:43,359 --> 02:57:48,880 reading the same economic reports, 3482 02:57:45,760 --> 02:57:51,279 betting on the same currency movements. 3483 02:57:48,880 --> 02:57:56,000 It was a zero someum game played by 3484 02:57:51,279 --> 02:57:58,160 thousands of nearly identical players. 3485 02:57:56,000 --> 02:58:01,200 He needed to find a space where the 3486 02:57:58,160 --> 02:58:03,600 rules were still being written. Where 3487 02:58:01,200 --> 02:58:06,960 being first mattered more than being 3488 02:58:03,600 --> 02:58:08,800 best, where a monopoly position was 3489 02:58:06,960 --> 02:58:11,120 still available. 3490 02:58:08,800 --> 02:58:13,520 He needed technology. 3491 02:58:11,120 --> 02:58:17,279 And from the ashes of the capital 3492 02:58:13,520 --> 02:58:19,840 management, a new philosophy was born. 3493 02:58:17,279 --> 02:58:23,120 If you want to create lasting value, you 3494 02:58:19,840 --> 02:58:26,000 have to build a monopoly. This became 3495 02:58:23,120 --> 02:58:29,720 his investing mantra and it would make 3496 02:58:26,000 --> 02:58:29,720 him billions. 3497 02:58:31,279 --> 02:58:36,160 Theo walked away from the firm and went 3498 02:58:33,359 --> 02:58:39,040 back to California not to start a tech 3499 02:58:36,160 --> 02:58:42,800 empire but to try trading then to launch 3500 02:58:39,040 --> 02:58:45,120 a hedge fund. It failed. The system he 3501 02:58:42,800 --> 02:58:48,960 rejected did not welcome him back as a 3502 02:58:45,120 --> 02:58:50,960 prodigy. It treated him like a nobody. 3503 02:58:48,960 --> 02:58:54,800 That failure would become the last 3504 02:58:50,960 --> 02:58:57,200 lesson before his real beginning. But he 3505 02:58:54,800 --> 02:58:59,840 learned something. If you play the 3506 02:58:57,200 --> 02:59:01,920 system game as everyone else, you've 3507 02:58:59,840 --> 02:59:03,840 already lost. 3508 02:59:01,920 --> 02:59:09,560 The chess master was done with the 3509 02:59:03,840 --> 02:59:09,560 board. He was ready to build his own. 3510 02:59:14,479 --> 02:59:18,399 So this is an ATM. What we're going to 3511 02:59:16,399 --> 02:59:20,240 do is transform the traditional banking 3512 02:59:18,399 --> 02:59:23,760 industry. 3513 02:59:20,240 --> 02:59:25,359 >> I do not fit the picture of a banker. 3514 02:59:23,760 --> 02:59:27,439 >> X.com. This is Julie. 3515 02:59:25,359 --> 02:59:30,080 >> Raising $50 million is a matter of 3516 02:59:27,439 --> 02:59:32,240 making a series of phone calls and the 3517 02:59:30,080 --> 02:59:34,160 money is there. 3518 02:59:32,240 --> 02:59:36,720 >> I've sunk the great majority of of my 3519 02:59:34,160 --> 02:59:38,880 net worth into X.com, which is the new 3520 02:59:36,720 --> 02:59:41,520 banking and mutual funds company on the 3521 02:59:38,880 --> 02:59:43,439 internet that I've started. December 3522 02:59:41,520 --> 02:59:46,160 1998, 3523 02:59:43,439 --> 02:59:49,520 Peter Theel co-founds a company called 3524 02:59:46,160 --> 02:59:52,640 Conffinity with Max Levchin, a brilliant 3525 02:59:49,520 --> 02:59:56,240 Ukrainianborn programmer, and Luke Nosk, 3526 02:59:52,640 --> 02:59:59,359 a fellow Stanford Review illuminous. 3527 02:59:56,240 --> 03:00:01,359 Initial funding, $300,000 scraped 3528 02:59:59,359 --> 03:00:03,520 together from friends, family, and 3529 03:00:01,359 --> 03:00:06,720 fellow libertarian true believers from 3530 03:00:03,520 --> 03:00:09,920 the Stamford days. The original product 3531 03:00:06,720 --> 03:00:13,120 idea, digital wallets on Palm Pilot 3532 03:00:09,920 --> 03:00:15,439 handheld devices. The vision was that 3533 03:00:13,120 --> 03:00:19,520 people would beam money to each other 3534 03:00:15,439 --> 03:00:22,240 using infrared ports on the Palm Pilots 3535 03:00:19,520 --> 03:00:23,840 in coffee shops, at restaurants, 3536 03:00:22,240 --> 03:00:28,200 persontoperson, 3537 03:00:23,840 --> 03:00:28,200 bypassing banks entirely. 3538 03:00:28,399 --> 03:00:36,560 Total users after 6 months of operation, 3539 03:00:32,080 --> 03:00:38,800 12 people. literally 12. 3540 03:00:36,560 --> 03:00:41,520 Most of them were employees and their 3541 03:00:38,800 --> 03:00:45,120 friends testing the system. It was a 3542 03:00:41,520 --> 03:00:48,000 complete and utter flop. The technology 3543 03:00:45,120 --> 03:00:52,960 worked, but nobody cared. Nobody wanted 3544 03:00:48,000 --> 03:00:56,319 it. March 2000, Confinity pivots hard 3545 03:00:52,960 --> 03:00:58,720 and launches a new feature, email-based 3546 03:00:56,319 --> 03:01:01,760 money transfers. 3547 03:00:58,720 --> 03:01:04,160 You send money to any email address. The 3548 03:01:01,760 --> 03:01:06,640 recipient gets a notification, creates 3549 03:01:04,160 --> 03:01:09,760 an account, and the money is there. 3550 03:01:06,640 --> 03:01:13,200 Simple, instant, revolutionary. The name 3551 03:01:09,760 --> 03:01:16,080 of this new service, PayPal. 3552 03:01:13,200 --> 03:01:18,640 Within weeks, user growth exploded at a 3553 03:01:16,080 --> 03:01:20,240 rate nobody had ever seen in financial 3554 03:01:18,640 --> 03:01:24,800 services. 3555 03:01:20,240 --> 03:01:30,319 Month one, 10,000 users. Month three, 3556 03:01:24,800 --> 03:01:35,279 100,000 users. Month 6, 1 million users. 3557 03:01:30,319 --> 03:01:37,680 Month 12, 5 million users. 3558 03:01:35,279 --> 03:01:40,000 This was the fastest user adoption rate 3559 03:01:37,680 --> 03:01:42,880 in the entire history of financial 3560 03:01:40,000 --> 03:01:45,359 services. Faster than credit cards, 3561 03:01:42,880 --> 03:01:47,439 faster than checking accounts, faster 3562 03:01:45,359 --> 03:01:49,920 than anything. 3563 03:01:47,439 --> 03:01:53,040 But here is what most people do not know 3564 03:01:49,920 --> 03:01:56,319 about PayPal's growth. Here is the 3565 03:01:53,040 --> 03:01:59,520 secret that the mythology leaves out. 3566 03:01:56,319 --> 03:02:03,840 PayPal's explosive user acquisition was 3567 03:01:59,520 --> 03:02:08,720 not organic. It was not word of mouth. 3568 03:02:03,840 --> 03:02:11,040 It was not viral in the natural sense. 3569 03:02:08,720 --> 03:02:14,960 They literally bought their users with 3570 03:02:11,040 --> 03:02:17,760 cash. The strategy was elegantly simple 3571 03:02:14,960 --> 03:02:20,880 and brutally expensive. 3572 03:02:17,760 --> 03:02:24,080 Sign up for a PayPal account, get $10 3573 03:02:20,880 --> 03:02:27,600 deposited instantly. Refer a friend who 3574 03:02:24,080 --> 03:02:31,760 signs up gets another $10. Your friend 3575 03:02:27,600 --> 03:02:35,200 also gets $10. Cost per acquisition 20 3576 03:02:31,760 --> 03:02:38,720 to $40 per user depending on how many 3577 03:02:35,200 --> 03:02:42,000 referrals each user generated. 3578 03:02:38,720 --> 03:02:44,880 Monthly cash burn rate of peak growth 10 3579 03:02:42,000 --> 03:02:48,479 to 12 million 3580 03:02:44,880 --> 03:02:52,160 just vanishing into user acquisition. By 3581 03:02:48,479 --> 03:02:55,520 late 2000, PayPal was spending 60 to 70 3582 03:02:52,160 --> 03:02:57,760 million annually just to buy users with 3583 03:02:55,520 --> 03:02:59,840 cash incentives. 3584 03:02:57,760 --> 03:03:02,560 They were hemorrhaging money at a 3585 03:02:59,840 --> 03:03:05,040 terrifying rate. Investors were 3586 03:03:02,560 --> 03:03:07,840 panicking. Board members were demanding 3587 03:03:05,040 --> 03:03:10,319 answers. 3588 03:03:07,840 --> 03:03:13,840 How long can you sustain spending $10 3589 03:03:10,319 --> 03:03:16,960 million a month buying users? 3590 03:03:13,840 --> 03:03:19,920 But Theo had done the mathematics. He 3591 03:03:16,960 --> 03:03:22,880 had run the numbers obsessively. 3592 03:03:19,920 --> 03:03:26,640 Each acquired user was worth $100 to 3593 03:03:22,880 --> 03:03:29,520 $200 in lifetime transaction fee revenue 3594 03:03:26,640 --> 03:03:34,000 through the PayPal network. They were 3595 03:03:29,520 --> 03:03:37,279 buying $100 bills for $20 bills. It was 3596 03:03:34,000 --> 03:03:40,479 either genius or insanity, depending on 3597 03:03:37,279 --> 03:03:42,960 whether the math actually worked. The 3598 03:03:40,479 --> 03:03:45,279 believed it would work. He bet 3599 03:03:42,960 --> 03:03:48,399 everything on it. But there was a 3600 03:03:45,279 --> 03:03:51,760 problem. a major problem. Another 3601 03:03:48,399 --> 03:03:55,359 company was doing the exact same thing. 3602 03:03:51,760 --> 03:03:58,800 X.com, a finance company founded by Elon 3603 03:03:55,359 --> 03:04:00,800 Musk with money from his Zip 2 exit and 3604 03:03:58,800 --> 03:04:05,200 a vision for online banking that was 3605 03:04:00,800 --> 03:04:08,800 nearly identical to PayPal's. 3606 03:04:05,200 --> 03:04:11,680 Two companies, same idea, same market, 3607 03:04:08,800 --> 03:04:15,200 both burning massive amounts of cash at 3608 03:04:11,680 --> 03:04:17,840 completely unsustainable rates. Total 3609 03:04:15,200 --> 03:04:20,960 funding raised between both companies 3610 03:04:17,840 --> 03:04:24,240 over $100 million. 3611 03:04:20,960 --> 03:04:25,760 Combined monthly cash burn rate over $20 3612 03:04:24,240 --> 03:04:28,080 million. 3613 03:04:25,760 --> 03:04:33,200 Time until both companies simultaneously 3614 03:04:28,080 --> 03:04:36,000 ran out of money less than 6 months. 3615 03:04:33,200 --> 03:04:39,520 The merger was inevitable. 3616 03:04:36,000 --> 03:04:42,560 X.com and Confinity merged into a single 3617 03:04:39,520 --> 03:04:44,880 entity. The combined company kept the 3618 03:04:42,560 --> 03:04:48,720 PayPal name because users had already 3619 03:04:44,880 --> 03:04:51,200 adopted it. The brand had momentum. Elon 3620 03:04:48,720 --> 03:04:56,600 Musk became chief executive officer of 3621 03:04:51,200 --> 03:04:56,600 the merged company for 5 months. 3622 03:04:57,920 --> 03:05:04,240 October 2000, while Elon Musk was on his 3623 03:05:01,600 --> 03:05:07,040 honeymoon, the board of directors led by 3624 03:05:04,240 --> 03:05:10,160 Peter Theel and other Confinity founders 3625 03:05:07,040 --> 03:05:12,720 held an emergency meeting and voted Musk 3626 03:05:10,160 --> 03:05:15,520 out as CEO. 3627 03:05:12,720 --> 03:05:18,560 The official reasons cited strategic 3628 03:05:15,520 --> 03:05:21,840 disagreements over technology platform. 3629 03:05:18,560 --> 03:05:24,160 Musk wanted to use Microsoft software. 3630 03:05:21,840 --> 03:05:28,080 The Confinity engineers believed in 3631 03:05:24,160 --> 03:05:31,760 Unixbased systems. The actual reason 3632 03:05:28,080 --> 03:05:35,600 Theel wanted control, full control. This 3633 03:05:31,760 --> 03:05:37,840 was his company now. 3634 03:05:35,600 --> 03:05:41,120 Peter Theel became chief executive 3635 03:05:37,840 --> 03:05:43,680 officer of PayPal. Elon Musk remained a 3636 03:05:41,120 --> 03:05:47,439 major shareholder, but his operational 3637 03:05:43,680 --> 03:05:50,240 control was finished. 3638 03:05:47,439 --> 03:05:52,720 The two men, both future billionaires, 3639 03:05:50,240 --> 03:05:56,960 both future power brokers, had their 3640 03:05:52,720 --> 03:05:59,680 first battle. feel one. At its core, 3641 03:05:56,960 --> 03:06:02,399 PayPal ran on a simple idea that turned 3642 03:05:59,680 --> 03:06:04,880 into a powerful engine. 3643 03:06:02,399 --> 03:06:08,960 Every time money moved, PayPal took a 3644 03:06:04,880 --> 03:06:10,479 small cut, 2.9% plus 30 cents per 3645 03:06:08,960 --> 03:06:12,560 transaction. 3646 03:06:10,479 --> 03:06:16,560 If that money crossed borders, the fee 3647 03:06:12,560 --> 03:06:18,720 climbed to between 2 1/2 and 4%. 3648 03:06:16,560 --> 03:06:20,720 Then there was the float, the cash 3649 03:06:18,720 --> 03:06:23,200 sitting in PayPal's accounts between 3650 03:06:20,720 --> 03:06:26,560 payments, quietly earning interest for 3651 03:06:23,200 --> 03:06:28,800 the company. Tiny slices repeated 3652 03:06:26,560 --> 03:06:31,920 millions of times. 3653 03:06:28,800 --> 03:06:35,680 By 2001, the numbers told the story of a 3654 03:06:31,920 --> 03:06:38,640 system coming to life. Every single day, 3655 03:06:35,680 --> 03:06:41,680 5 to8 million flowed through PayPal's 3656 03:06:38,640 --> 03:06:46,560 network. Each month, that translated 3657 03:06:41,680 --> 03:06:49,600 into 10 to$15 million in revenue. 3658 03:06:46,560 --> 03:06:52,080 But growth at this speed came at a cost. 3659 03:06:49,600 --> 03:06:54,960 Running the system, fighting fraud, 3660 03:06:52,080 --> 03:07:00,080 scaling infrastructure, acquiring users, 3661 03:06:54,960 --> 03:07:02,399 was burning 20 to30 million every month. 3662 03:07:00,080 --> 03:07:04,800 The machine worked, it just wasn't 3663 03:07:02,399 --> 03:07:06,800 profitable yet. 3664 03:07:04,800 --> 03:07:09,359 Late 2000, 3665 03:07:06,800 --> 03:07:13,040 PayPal's data scientists discovered 3666 03:07:09,359 --> 03:07:15,439 something crucial. 70% of all PayPal 3667 03:07:13,040 --> 03:07:17,200 transactions were happening on eBay 3668 03:07:15,439 --> 03:07:19,359 auctions. 3669 03:07:17,200 --> 03:07:22,000 People buying and selling random items 3670 03:07:19,359 --> 03:07:25,359 on the internet's largest marketplace 3671 03:07:22,000 --> 03:07:27,680 were using PayPal to move money. The 3672 03:07:25,359 --> 03:07:31,040 strategic insight became immediately 3673 03:07:27,680 --> 03:07:35,279 clear. Make PayPal the only payment 3674 03:07:31,040 --> 03:07:39,200 method that eBay users trust completely. 3675 03:07:35,279 --> 03:07:41,840 Own that market, become indispensable. 3676 03:07:39,200 --> 03:07:44,240 The execution buyer protection 3677 03:07:41,840 --> 03:07:47,040 guarantees that eBay's own payment 3678 03:07:44,240 --> 03:07:49,680 system did not offer 3679 03:07:47,040 --> 03:07:53,479 instant payment transfers with no 7-day 3680 03:07:49,680 --> 03:07:53,479 check clearing period. 3681 03:07:53,920 --> 03:07:59,120 Fraud detection algorithms that were 3682 03:07:56,080 --> 03:08:02,000 better than credit card companies. Email 3683 03:07:59,120 --> 03:08:06,399 notifications for every transaction. 3684 03:08:02,000 --> 03:08:09,760 Simple, clean user interface. 3685 03:08:06,399 --> 03:08:13,520 By mid 2001, the strategy was working 3686 03:08:09,760 --> 03:08:16,240 beyond all projections. 50% of all eBay 3687 03:08:13,520 --> 03:08:19,920 auctions accepted PayPal as a payment 3688 03:08:16,240 --> 03:08:22,399 method. PayPal was processing $50 3689 03:08:19,920 --> 03:08:25,359 million daily in eBay related 3690 03:08:22,399 --> 03:08:30,640 transactions alone. And then eBay 3691 03:08:25,359 --> 03:08:32,640 noticed and eBay was not happy. 3692 03:08:30,640 --> 03:08:34,960 eBay launched their own competing 3693 03:08:32,640 --> 03:08:37,760 service called Billpoint and attempted 3694 03:08:34,960 --> 03:08:39,920 to kill PayPal through the marketplace. 3695 03:08:37,760 --> 03:08:42,960 They promoted Billoint in search 3696 03:08:39,920 --> 03:08:45,680 rankings. They penalized sellers who 3697 03:08:42,960 --> 03:08:48,800 only accepted PayPal. They made it 3698 03:08:45,680 --> 03:08:50,560 harder to display the PayPal logo. It 3699 03:08:48,800 --> 03:08:53,680 was war. 3700 03:08:50,560 --> 03:08:56,240 PayPal's response was total war. 3701 03:08:53,680 --> 03:08:58,800 Temporarily lower transaction fees to 3702 03:08:56,240 --> 03:09:01,040 undercut billpoint. 3703 03:08:58,800 --> 03:09:04,160 Guarantee faster money transfers than 3704 03:09:01,040 --> 03:09:07,840 eBay could offer. Invest heavily in 3705 03:09:04,160 --> 03:09:09,760 superior $30 million deployed in 2001 3706 03:09:07,840 --> 03:09:13,520 fraud protection. 3707 03:09:09,760 --> 03:09:17,200 Massive marketing spending alone. 3708 03:09:13,520 --> 03:09:21,520 By early 2002, the war was over. PayPal 3709 03:09:17,200 --> 03:09:25,600 controlled 65% of eBay's payment market. 3710 03:09:21,520 --> 03:09:27,920 Bill point at barely 10%. 3711 03:09:25,600 --> 03:09:30,240 eBay executives looked at the numbers 3712 03:09:27,920 --> 03:09:35,520 and reached the conclusion, if you 3713 03:09:30,240 --> 03:09:39,680 cannot beat them, buy them. July 2002, 3714 03:09:35,520 --> 03:09:41,760 eBay acquires PayPal for $1.5 billion in 3715 03:09:39,680 --> 03:09:45,439 eBay stock. 3716 03:09:41,760 --> 03:09:47,920 Peter Theal owned approximately $3.7% of 3717 03:09:45,439 --> 03:09:51,520 PayPal at the time of the acquisition. 3718 03:09:47,920 --> 03:09:55,040 His equity stake was worth $55 million 3719 03:09:51,520 --> 03:09:57,520 in eBay stock. After taxes, he walked 3720 03:09:55,040 --> 03:10:01,439 away with approximately $40 million in 3721 03:09:57,520 --> 03:10:05,040 liquid wealth. At age 34, he had won his 3722 03:10:01,439 --> 03:10:07,120 first billion dollar game. 3723 03:10:05,040 --> 03:10:10,399 But the money was not the most valuable 3724 03:10:07,120 --> 03:10:14,399 thing he extracted from PayPal. The real 3725 03:10:10,399 --> 03:10:16,800 value was the network, the PayPal mafia, 3726 03:10:14,399 --> 03:10:20,800 the name they gave themselves. And it 3727 03:10:16,800 --> 03:10:23,600 was not ironic. It was descriptive. The 3728 03:10:20,800 --> 03:10:25,680 core team that Theel assembled at PayPal 3729 03:10:23,600 --> 03:10:28,960 would go on to create some of the most 3730 03:10:25,680 --> 03:10:34,880 valuable companies in human history. 3731 03:10:28,960 --> 03:10:39,760 Elon Musk Tesla Market Cap $650 billion. 3732 03:10:34,880 --> 03:10:42,800 SpaceX estimated value $150 billion. 3733 03:10:39,760 --> 03:10:45,760 Reed Hoffman LinkedIn sold to Microsoft 3734 03:10:42,800 --> 03:10:49,920 for $26 billion. 3735 03:10:45,760 --> 03:10:53,279 Steve Chen, Chad Hurley, Jawed Kareem. 3736 03:10:49,920 --> 03:10:59,560 YouTube sold to Google for $1.65 3737 03:10:53,279 --> 03:10:59,560 billion, now worth over 100 billion. 3738 03:10:59,760 --> 03:11:06,560 Jeremy Stoppleman and Russell Simmons, 3739 03:11:02,479 --> 03:11:09,520 Yelp, peaked at $3 billion market cap. 3740 03:11:06,560 --> 03:11:12,640 David Saxs, Yammer, sold to Microsoft 3741 03:11:09,520 --> 03:11:15,600 for $1.2 billion. 3742 03:11:12,640 --> 03:11:19,840 later founded Craft Ventures. Max 3743 03:11:15,600 --> 03:11:24,960 Levchin, a firm $12 billion company. 3744 03:11:19,840 --> 03:11:27,760 Also co-founded Yelp. Keith Rabo, COO of 3745 03:11:24,960 --> 03:11:32,439 Square, partner at Founders Fund, 3746 03:11:27,760 --> 03:11:32,439 investor in dozens of unicorns. 3747 03:11:32,560 --> 03:11:38,640 Roloff Bofer, partner at Sequoia 3748 03:11:35,600 --> 03:11:43,840 Capital, led investments in Instagram, 3749 03:11:38,640 --> 03:11:46,880 YouTube, Tumblr, MongoDB, Eventbrite. 3750 03:11:43,840 --> 03:11:48,800 Total value created by the PayPal mafia 3751 03:11:46,880 --> 03:11:52,319 across all their companies, 3752 03:11:48,800 --> 03:11:54,720 conservatively estimated at over $200 3753 03:11:52,319 --> 03:11:57,040 billion in combined market 3754 03:11:54,720 --> 03:11:59,200 capitalization. 3755 03:11:57,040 --> 03:12:01,120 Field's ownership stakes across this 3756 03:11:59,200 --> 03:12:04,240 extended network through direct 3757 03:12:01,120 --> 03:12:07,520 investments and fund positions estimated 3758 03:12:04,240 --> 03:12:09,439 at 2 to4 billion. 3759 03:12:07,520 --> 03:12:12,640 This was not just a company that got 3760 03:12:09,439 --> 03:12:15,439 acquired. This was the creation of the 3761 03:12:12,640 --> 03:12:18,840 most powerful business cartel in Silicon 3762 03:12:15,439 --> 03:12:18,840 Valley history. 3763 03:12:19,120 --> 03:12:24,640 But what made PayPal different was not 3764 03:12:21,600 --> 03:12:26,960 the technology. Not really. The 3765 03:12:24,640 --> 03:12:28,640 technology was impressive but not 3766 03:12:26,960 --> 03:12:30,720 miraculous. 3767 03:12:28,640 --> 03:12:33,520 What made PayPal different was the 3768 03:12:30,720 --> 03:12:35,359 culture, the religion of extreme 3769 03:12:33,520 --> 03:12:38,319 meritocracy. 3770 03:12:35,359 --> 03:12:40,319 Theo's hiring criteria were brutally 3771 03:12:38,319 --> 03:12:44,080 specific. 3772 03:12:40,319 --> 03:12:47,520 One raw intelligence, high test scores, 3773 03:12:44,080 --> 03:12:49,439 ability to solve complex puzzles, proof 3774 03:12:47,520 --> 03:12:52,880 you could think better than everyone 3775 03:12:49,439 --> 03:12:55,920 else. Two, intensity. 3776 03:12:52,880 --> 03:12:57,840 Are you willing to work 100hour weeks? 3777 03:12:55,920 --> 03:13:00,640 Are you willing to sacrifice everything 3778 03:12:57,840 --> 03:13:04,319 else in your life for the mission? 3779 03:13:00,640 --> 03:13:07,120 Three, missionary zeal. Do you actually 3780 03:13:04,319 --> 03:13:09,840 believe we are changing the world or are 3781 03:13:07,120 --> 03:13:13,120 you here for a paycheck? 3782 03:13:09,840 --> 03:13:15,359 Four, loyalty to the tribe. Will you 3783 03:13:13,120 --> 03:13:18,640 protect the other members? Will you put 3784 03:13:15,359 --> 03:13:22,080 the group above yourself? 3785 03:13:18,640 --> 03:13:27,600 Average employee age at PayPal 25 years 3786 03:13:22,080 --> 03:13:29,920 old. Average work week 80 to 100 hours. 3787 03:13:27,600 --> 03:13:32,399 Office culture libertarian, 3788 03:13:29,920 --> 03:13:34,239 anti-regulation, contrarian, 3789 03:13:32,399 --> 03:13:36,319 anti-establishment. 3790 03:13:34,239 --> 03:13:38,880 They called themselves the mafia 3791 03:13:36,319 --> 03:13:42,439 specifically because loyalty mattered 3792 03:13:38,880 --> 03:13:42,439 more than credentials, 3793 03:13:43,600 --> 03:13:49,120 more than degrees, more than previous 3794 03:13:45,840 --> 03:13:52,000 experience. Theel's operating principle 3795 03:13:49,120 --> 03:13:54,319 stated explicitly and repeatedly, 3796 03:13:52,000 --> 03:13:56,560 talented people do not want to work with 3797 03:13:54,319 --> 03:14:00,160 people who are less talented than they 3798 03:13:56,560 --> 03:14:02,160 are. So every new hire must be more 3799 03:14:00,160 --> 03:14:05,520 talented than the average current 3800 03:14:02,160 --> 03:14:08,319 employee. Otherwise, we are diluting the 3801 03:14:05,520 --> 03:14:11,680 talent pool. This created a 3802 03:14:08,319 --> 03:14:14,720 self-reinforcing escalation, an arms 3803 03:14:11,680 --> 03:14:18,000 race of hiring. Every new person raised 3804 03:14:14,720 --> 03:14:21,520 the bar. The standards became higher and 3805 03:14:18,000 --> 03:14:24,319 higher. Only the absolute best could get 3806 03:14:21,520 --> 03:14:27,359 in. And once you were in, you were 3807 03:14:24,319 --> 03:14:29,840 family. But here is what most people 3808 03:14:27,359 --> 03:14:31,920 forget about PayPal. Here is the 3809 03:14:29,840 --> 03:14:34,720 original vision that got erased from the 3810 03:14:31,920 --> 03:14:37,840 mythology. PayPal was supposed to 3811 03:14:34,720 --> 03:14:40,239 destroy the Federal Reserve. It was 3812 03:14:37,840 --> 03:14:43,520 supposed to undermine state control of 3813 03:14:40,239 --> 03:14:45,359 currency. That was the actual mission. 3814 03:14:43,520 --> 03:14:50,080 That was why Peter Theel, the 3815 03:14:45,359 --> 03:14:52,640 libertarian ideologue, cared so much. 3816 03:14:50,080 --> 03:14:55,520 The original vision laid out in Theo's 3817 03:14:52,640 --> 03:14:58,960 founding documents create a new digital 3818 03:14:55,520 --> 03:15:01,680 currency outside government control. 3819 03:14:58,960 --> 03:15:04,720 Enable true peer-to-peer transactions 3820 03:15:01,680 --> 03:15:07,040 globally without state intermediaries. 3821 03:15:04,720 --> 03:15:10,000 Undermine the state monopoly on money 3822 03:15:07,040 --> 03:15:12,479 creation and management. 3823 03:15:10,000 --> 03:15:14,800 build the financial infrastructure for a 3824 03:15:12,479 --> 03:15:17,200 stateless society. 3825 03:15:14,800 --> 03:15:20,160 What actually happened? To become 3826 03:15:17,200 --> 03:15:22,720 mainstream, to actually scale, PayPal 3827 03:15:20,160 --> 03:15:25,040 had to compromise every single founding 3828 03:15:22,720 --> 03:15:27,920 principle. They had to integrate with 3829 03:15:25,040 --> 03:15:30,880 the traditional banking system. The 3830 03:15:27,920 --> 03:15:33,200 enemy, they had to comply with know your 3831 03:15:30,880 --> 03:15:34,720 customer and anti-moneyaundering 3832 03:15:33,200 --> 03:15:36,800 regulations, 3833 03:15:34,720 --> 03:15:38,720 government control. 3834 03:15:36,800 --> 03:15:41,439 They had to partner with credit card 3835 03:15:38,720 --> 03:15:44,160 companies, the old system they wanted to 3836 03:15:41,439 --> 03:15:47,760 destroy. They had to get licensed in 3837 03:15:44,160 --> 03:15:49,600 every single state. Regulatory capture. 3838 03:15:47,760 --> 03:15:52,479 They had to report suspicious 3839 03:15:49,600 --> 03:15:56,000 transactions to federal authorities. 3840 03:15:52,479 --> 03:15:59,840 Surveillance. By 2002, PayPal was 3841 03:15:56,000 --> 03:16:02,560 regulated exactly like a bank. Partnered 3842 03:15:59,840 --> 03:16:05,359 with banks, dependent on banks for all 3843 03:16:02,560 --> 03:16:07,600 core functionalities. The libertarian 3844 03:16:05,359 --> 03:16:09,680 revolution had become just another 3845 03:16:07,600 --> 03:16:12,000 fintech company playing by the 3846 03:16:09,680 --> 03:16:14,319 government's rules. 3847 03:16:12,000 --> 03:16:16,399 The learned the most important lesson of 3848 03:16:14,319 --> 03:16:19,279 his career from PayPal's failure to 3849 03:16:16,399 --> 03:16:21,840 achieve its revolutionary mission. You 3850 03:16:19,279 --> 03:16:24,640 cannot disrupt the system from inside 3851 03:16:21,840 --> 03:16:27,040 the system. If you want to change the 3852 03:16:24,640 --> 03:16:29,920 rules, you cannot ask permission from 3853 03:16:27,040 --> 03:16:32,640 the people who wrote them. This lesson 3854 03:16:29,920 --> 03:16:36,760 would shape everything he did next. 3855 03:16:32,640 --> 03:16:36,760 Palanteer, Facebook, 3856 03:16:36,800 --> 03:16:43,120 his political investments, everything. 3857 03:16:40,960 --> 03:16:46,319 The PayPal acquisition was not an 3858 03:16:43,120 --> 03:16:48,960 ending. It was a beginning, the start of 3859 03:16:46,319 --> 03:16:52,000 something much larger. The pattern that 3860 03:16:48,960 --> 03:16:54,399 emerged over the next 20 years. PayPal 3861 03:16:52,000 --> 03:16:56,560 veterans leave and start new companies 3862 03:16:54,399 --> 03:16:59,760 in different sectors. 3863 03:16:56,560 --> 03:17:02,640 Theel invests early as angel investor or 3864 03:16:59,760 --> 03:17:04,479 through founders fund. PayPal mafia 3865 03:17:02,640 --> 03:17:07,359 members join each other's boards of 3866 03:17:04,479 --> 03:17:10,319 directors. Cross investment between all 3867 03:17:07,359 --> 03:17:12,880 their venture funds creates alignment. 3868 03:17:10,319 --> 03:17:15,200 Preferential access to deal flow because 3869 03:17:12,880 --> 03:17:17,120 of network relationships. 3870 03:17:15,200 --> 03:17:19,920 Shared intelligence about markets, 3871 03:17:17,120 --> 03:17:21,840 technology, and opportunities. 3872 03:17:19,920 --> 03:17:25,359 Real examples of how the network 3873 03:17:21,840 --> 03:17:28,960 compounds. Reed Hoffman introduces Theel 3874 03:17:25,359 --> 03:17:32,960 to Mark Zuckerberg in 2004. 3875 03:17:28,960 --> 03:17:36,640 Theel invests $500,000 in Facebook, 3876 03:17:32,960 --> 03:17:39,920 eventually makes over $1 billion. 3877 03:17:36,640 --> 03:17:42,080 Roloff Botha joins Sequoia Capital and 3878 03:17:39,920 --> 03:17:44,560 invests in multiple Theelbacked 3879 03:17:42,080 --> 03:17:46,080 companies, creating reciprocal deal 3880 03:17:44,560 --> 03:17:48,720 flows. 3881 03:17:46,080 --> 03:17:51,680 David Saxs hosts high dollar fundraisers 3882 03:17:48,720 --> 03:17:55,960 for Theo's political candidates, mixing 3883 03:17:51,680 --> 03:17:55,960 business and politics seamlessly. 3884 03:17:56,000 --> 03:18:02,160 Max Levchin provides seed capital for 3885 03:17:58,720 --> 03:18:04,160 Palanteer and serves as advisor lending 3886 03:18:02,160 --> 03:18:06,399 credibility. 3887 03:18:04,160 --> 03:18:10,399 This network effect multiplier is 3888 03:18:06,399 --> 03:18:14,000 precisely how Theel turned $55 million 3889 03:18:10,399 --> 03:18:16,000 from PayPal into over $5 billion in net 3890 03:18:14,000 --> 03:18:19,279 worth today. 3891 03:18:16,000 --> 03:18:21,840 The PayPal mafia is not a cute nickname. 3892 03:18:19,279 --> 03:18:24,319 It is not a metaphor. It is the most 3893 03:18:21,840 --> 03:18:26,880 successful organized business cartel in 3894 03:18:24,319 --> 03:18:29,439 Silicon Valley history. A 3895 03:18:26,880 --> 03:18:31,760 self-reinforcing network of wealth, 3896 03:18:29,439 --> 03:18:34,080 power, and influence that has shaped the 3897 03:18:31,760 --> 03:18:37,200 entire technology industry for two 3898 03:18:34,080 --> 03:18:42,279 decades. And Peter Theel sits at the 3899 03:18:37,200 --> 03:18:42,279 center of it all. The Godfather. 3900 03:18:47,600 --> 03:18:52,800 After PayPal, Peter Theel was a man with 3901 03:18:50,560 --> 03:18:56,000 a billion dollars and a dangerous 3902 03:18:52,800 --> 03:18:57,840 secret. While other investors were 3903 03:18:56,000 --> 03:19:00,560 looking at spreadsheets and profit 3904 03:18:57,840 --> 03:19:02,800 margins, Theel was looking at the human 3905 03:19:00,560 --> 03:19:04,880 soul through the eyes of his mentor, 3906 03:19:02,800 --> 03:19:08,160 Renee Gerard. 3907 03:19:04,880 --> 03:19:11,520 Gerard taught him a terrifying truth. 3908 03:19:08,160 --> 03:19:14,720 Human beings don't know what they want. 3909 03:19:11,520 --> 03:19:17,359 We are mimemetic creatures. We don't 3910 03:19:14,720 --> 03:19:19,920 desire things for themselves. We desire 3911 03:19:17,359 --> 03:19:22,399 them because other people desire them. 3912 03:19:19,920 --> 03:19:25,359 We are copy machines disguised as 3913 03:19:22,399 --> 03:19:28,000 individuals. 3914 03:19:25,359 --> 03:19:30,720 August 2004. 3915 03:19:28,000 --> 03:19:34,080 Facebook has been online for exactly 6 3916 03:19:30,720 --> 03:19:36,479 months. It started as a Harvard dorm 3917 03:19:34,080 --> 03:19:39,439 project and has now expanded to several 3918 03:19:36,479 --> 03:19:42,720 college campuses. 3919 03:19:39,439 --> 03:19:46,560 The metrics that Zuckerberg shows Theel 3920 03:19:42,720 --> 03:19:50,000 total registered users 200,000 3921 03:19:46,560 --> 03:19:53,600 almost entirely college students 3922 03:19:50,000 --> 03:19:55,120 daily active user rate 70 to 80% 3923 03:19:53,600 --> 03:19:59,920 engagement 3924 03:19:55,120 --> 03:20:02,800 unprecedented in web services revenue $0 3925 03:19:59,920 --> 03:20:06,960 no business model yet valuation 3926 03:20:02,800 --> 03:20:08,720 Zuckerberg is asking for $5 million 3927 03:20:06,960 --> 03:20:11,279 every single professional venture 3928 03:20:08,720 --> 03:20:14,080 capitalist in Silicon Valley has passed 3929 03:20:11,279 --> 03:20:17,200 on Facebook. Every major firm has looked 3930 03:20:14,080 --> 03:20:20,560 into it and said no. The reasons they 3931 03:20:17,200 --> 03:20:24,239 gave it is just a college directory. 3932 03:20:20,560 --> 03:20:26,560 Limited market. Frenster has already 5 3933 03:20:24,239 --> 03:20:29,520 million users and is the leader in 3934 03:20:26,560 --> 03:20:32,640 social networking. MySpace is dominant 3935 03:20:29,520 --> 03:20:35,040 with 8 million users and growing fast. 3936 03:20:32,640 --> 03:20:38,479 There is no obvious business model or 3937 03:20:35,040 --> 03:20:41,760 revenue stream. Mark Zuckerberg is too 3938 03:20:38,479 --> 03:20:44,319 young, too inexperienced, too risky as a 3939 03:20:41,760 --> 03:20:46,640 founder. 3940 03:20:44,319 --> 03:20:49,120 Peter Theel saw something completely 3941 03:20:46,640 --> 03:20:51,279 different, something that had nothing to 3942 03:20:49,120 --> 03:20:53,760 do with technology. 3943 03:20:51,279 --> 03:20:56,720 Theel had spent years studying Renee 3944 03:20:53,760 --> 03:20:58,800 Gerard's mimemetic theory. the 3945 03:20:56,720 --> 03:21:02,080 philosophical framework that would shape 3946 03:20:58,800 --> 03:21:05,200 his entire investment approach. The core 3947 03:21:02,080 --> 03:21:08,319 idea, humans do not have original 3948 03:21:05,200 --> 03:21:11,359 desires. We desire what other people 3949 03:21:08,319 --> 03:21:14,800 desire. We learn what to want by 3950 03:21:11,359 --> 03:21:19,359 watching other people want. Desire is 3951 03:21:14,800 --> 03:21:21,200 imitative. Desire is social. Desire is 3952 03:21:19,359 --> 03:21:23,600 mimemetic. 3953 03:21:21,200 --> 03:21:26,000 When Theo looked at Facebook, he did not 3954 03:21:23,600 --> 03:21:28,479 see a technology platform for connecting 3955 03:21:26,000 --> 03:21:31,279 friends. He saw something far more 3956 03:21:28,479 --> 03:21:34,399 powerful. He saw the perfect mimemetic 3957 03:21:31,279 --> 03:21:37,279 desire machine. The insight that made 3958 03:21:34,399 --> 03:21:40,160 Theel invest. Social networks do not 3959 03:21:37,279 --> 03:21:42,640 create value by connecting people. That 3960 03:21:40,160 --> 03:21:45,520 is not where the money is. The money is 3961 03:21:42,640 --> 03:21:47,680 in comparison. The money is in making 3962 03:21:45,520 --> 03:21:49,439 people compare themselves to each other 3963 03:21:47,680 --> 03:21:52,239 constantly. 3964 03:21:49,439 --> 03:21:54,960 You see your friend's vacation photos, 3965 03:21:52,239 --> 03:21:57,279 you want a better vacation. You see 3966 03:21:54,960 --> 03:21:59,920 someone's job promotion announcement, 3967 03:21:57,279 --> 03:22:02,560 you want higher status. You see 3968 03:21:59,920 --> 03:22:05,200 someone's relationship photos, you want 3969 03:22:02,560 --> 03:22:07,040 romance. 3970 03:22:05,200 --> 03:22:10,319 You see someone getting likes and 3971 03:22:07,040 --> 03:22:13,279 comments, you want validation. 3972 03:22:10,319 --> 03:22:16,560 You see someone's perfect life, you feel 3973 03:22:13,279 --> 03:22:19,359 your own life is inadequate. 3974 03:22:16,560 --> 03:22:22,880 Facebook was not selling connections. 3975 03:22:19,359 --> 03:22:25,279 Facebook was selling envy. And envy, 3976 03:22:22,880 --> 03:22:27,760 Theel understood from Gerard, is the 3977 03:22:25,279 --> 03:22:30,800 most powerful economic force in human 3978 03:22:27,760 --> 03:22:34,560 history. The desire for what others 3979 03:22:30,800 --> 03:22:37,840 have. They need to keep up. The fear of 3980 03:22:34,560 --> 03:22:41,040 being left behind. Infinite envy creates 3981 03:22:37,840 --> 03:22:44,080 infinite demand. Infinite demand creates 3982 03:22:41,040 --> 03:22:46,560 infinite value. 3983 03:22:44,080 --> 03:22:50,479 September 2004, 3984 03:22:46,560 --> 03:22:52,399 Peter Theal wires $500,000 to Facebook 3985 03:22:50,479 --> 03:22:56,399 incororated. 3986 03:22:52,399 --> 03:22:59,520 The deal terms, 10.2% equity ownership 3987 03:22:56,399 --> 03:23:01,359 in the company, a board seat giving him 3988 03:22:59,520 --> 03:23:02,960 governance rights and inside 3989 03:23:01,359 --> 03:23:05,840 information, 3990 03:23:02,960 --> 03:23:09,200 right of first refusal on all future 3991 03:23:05,840 --> 03:23:12,000 funding rounds, post money valuation of 3992 03:23:09,200 --> 03:23:14,160 exactly $5 million. 3993 03:23:12,000 --> 03:23:17,359 Mark Zuckerberg's reaction after the 3994 03:23:14,160 --> 03:23:20,319 deal closed. This guy actually gets it. 3995 03:23:17,359 --> 03:23:23,359 He understands what we are building. 3996 03:23:20,319 --> 03:23:25,359 Silicon Valley's reaction. Peter Theal 3997 03:23:23,359 --> 03:23:28,399 just threw away half a million dollars 3998 03:23:25,359 --> 03:23:31,040 on a college kid's website. This will be 3999 03:23:28,399 --> 03:23:33,279 his biggest failure. 4000 03:23:31,040 --> 03:23:35,520 What happened next rewrote the history 4001 03:23:33,279 --> 03:23:40,880 of venture capital. 4002 03:23:35,520 --> 03:23:44,640 2004 end of year. 200,000 users grew to 4003 03:23:40,880 --> 03:23:47,200 1 million users. Five times growth in 4 4004 03:23:44,640 --> 03:23:50,800 months. 2005, 4005 03:23:47,200 --> 03:23:55,840 1 million users becomes 5.5 million 4006 03:23:50,800 --> 03:24:01,200 users. 2006, 5.5 million users becomes 4007 03:23:55,840 --> 03:24:06,000 12 million users. 2007, 12 million users 4008 03:24:01,200 --> 03:24:08,880 exploded to 50 million users. 2008 50 4009 03:24:06,000 --> 03:24:10,640 million users doubles to 100 million 4010 03:24:08,880 --> 03:24:12,239 users. 4011 03:24:10,640 --> 03:24:15,840 2009 4012 03:24:12,239 --> 03:24:19,200 100 million users becomes 350 million 4013 03:24:15,840 --> 03:24:22,319 users. Growth rate the user base was 4014 03:24:19,200 --> 03:24:24,640 doubling every 6 to9 months for five 4015 03:24:22,319 --> 03:24:27,279 consecutive years. 4016 03:24:24,640 --> 03:24:29,920 This growth curve had never been seen 4017 03:24:27,279 --> 03:24:33,439 before in business history. Not even 4018 03:24:29,920 --> 03:24:36,000 close. As Facebook grew, its valuation 4019 03:24:33,439 --> 03:24:38,239 grew and Peter Theel's stake grew with 4020 03:24:36,000 --> 03:24:40,399 it. 4021 03:24:38,239 --> 03:24:44,160 May 2005, 4022 03:24:40,399 --> 03:24:47,040 Axel Partners invest $12.7 million at 4023 03:24:44,160 --> 03:24:50,800 $100 million valuation. 4024 03:24:47,040 --> 03:24:54,319 Field's 10.2% stake is now worth $10.2 4025 03:24:50,800 --> 03:24:57,040 million. He has achieved 20 times return 4026 03:24:54,319 --> 03:25:00,560 in 9 months. 4027 03:24:57,040 --> 03:25:04,800 April 2006, Greylock Partners and 4028 03:25:00,560 --> 03:25:07,520 Meritech Capital invest $27.5 million at 4029 03:25:04,800 --> 03:25:11,439 $500 million valuation. 4030 03:25:07,520 --> 03:25:15,040 The stake is now worth $51 million, 100 4031 03:25:11,439 --> 03:25:17,439 times return on his original investment. 4032 03:25:15,040 --> 03:25:22,000 October 2007, 4033 03:25:17,439 --> 03:25:25,680 Microsoft invests $240 million, valuing 4034 03:25:22,000 --> 03:25:30,080 Facebook at $15 billion. 4035 03:25:25,680 --> 03:25:34,640 Theel stake is now worth $1.5 billion, a 4036 03:25:30,080 --> 03:25:37,600 300,000 times return in 3 years. 4037 03:25:34,640 --> 03:25:40,000 2009 through 2011, 4038 03:25:37,600 --> 03:25:43,120 multiple private sales and secondary 4039 03:25:40,000 --> 03:25:44,960 transactions value Facebook at $50 4040 03:25:43,120 --> 03:25:47,920 billion. 4041 03:25:44,960 --> 03:25:51,359 The stake, if he had held everything, 4042 03:25:47,920 --> 03:25:54,720 would be worth $5 billion. 4043 03:25:51,359 --> 03:25:57,120 May 18th, 2012. 4044 03:25:54,720 --> 03:26:02,000 Facebook goes public at a market 4045 03:25:57,120 --> 03:26:04,640 capitalization of $14 billion. 4046 03:26:02,000 --> 03:26:07,840 But Theel does not hold everything. He 4047 03:26:04,640 --> 03:26:11,200 is strategic. He is tactical. He takes 4048 03:26:07,840 --> 03:26:15,200 profits. At the initial public offering, 4049 03:26:11,200 --> 03:26:16,880 Theel sells $640 million worth of shares 4050 03:26:15,200 --> 03:26:19,200 immediately. 4051 03:26:16,880 --> 03:26:21,359 Over the following 6 months, he sells 4052 03:26:19,200 --> 03:26:23,680 the remainder of his stake in carefully 4053 03:26:21,359 --> 03:26:25,920 timed transactions. 4054 03:26:23,680 --> 03:26:30,640 Total cash realized from the Facebook 4055 03:26:25,920 --> 03:26:33,920 investment approximately $1 billion. 4056 03:26:30,640 --> 03:26:35,920 Initial investment in August 2004, 4057 03:26:33,920 --> 03:26:40,080 $500,000. 4058 03:26:35,920 --> 03:26:41,840 Total cash realized by end of 2012, $1 4059 03:26:40,080 --> 03:26:46,560 billion. 4060 03:26:41,840 --> 03:26:48,479 Total return 2,000 times in 8 years. 4061 03:26:46,560 --> 03:26:51,359 This is the single greatest venture 4062 03:26:48,479 --> 03:26:54,479 capital return in recorded history. 4063 03:26:51,359 --> 03:26:57,680 Nothing else comes close. But here is 4064 03:26:54,479 --> 03:27:00,560 the twist. The haunting decision that 4065 03:26:57,680 --> 03:27:04,160 Theel himself admits keeps him awake at 4066 03:27:00,560 --> 03:27:06,880 night. Selling was a mistake. 4067 03:27:04,160 --> 03:27:10,239 If Peter Theal had held his original 4068 03:27:06,880 --> 03:27:12,880 10.2% stake and had never sold a single 4069 03:27:10,239 --> 03:27:16,560 share, that stake at Facebook's peak 4070 03:27:12,880 --> 03:27:20,399 market capitalization in 2021 would have 4071 03:27:16,560 --> 03:27:23,520 been worth $12 billion. 4072 03:27:20,399 --> 03:27:26,560 $12 billion. 4073 03:27:23,520 --> 03:27:28,720 He left $100 billion on the table by 4074 03:27:26,560 --> 03:27:30,960 selling early. 4075 03:27:28,720 --> 03:27:33,359 The himself admitted this publicly, 4076 03:27:30,960 --> 03:27:36,160 saying, "The mistake was not investing 4077 03:27:33,359 --> 03:27:37,760 in Facebook. The mistake was selling 4078 03:27:36,160 --> 03:27:40,479 Facebook. 4079 03:27:37,760 --> 03:27:43,040 I should have held longer. I should have 4080 03:27:40,479 --> 03:27:47,680 believed more. It is the single most 4081 03:27:43,040 --> 03:27:50,160 expensive decision of his life." Years 4082 03:27:47,680 --> 03:27:53,200 later in a Stanford lecture, Theo 4083 03:27:50,160 --> 03:27:56,720 explained his actual investment thesis, 4084 03:27:53,200 --> 03:27:58,640 the real reason he invested. I did not 4085 03:27:56,720 --> 03:28:01,439 invest in Facebook because I thought 4086 03:27:58,640 --> 03:28:03,200 social networks were going to be big. I 4087 03:28:01,439 --> 03:28:05,600 invested because I understood that 4088 03:28:03,200 --> 03:28:09,359 humans will always want to be more like 4089 03:28:05,600 --> 03:28:13,120 their peers. That desire is infinite. It 4090 03:28:09,359 --> 03:28:15,680 never stops. It only intensifies. 4091 03:28:13,120 --> 03:28:19,279 An infinite desire creates infinite 4092 03:28:15,680 --> 03:28:20,800 value. The mimemetic theory made him a 4093 03:28:19,279 --> 03:28:23,040 billionaire. 4094 03:28:20,800 --> 03:28:26,640 The mimemetic theory also made him 4095 03:28:23,040 --> 03:28:30,000 terrified of what he had helped create. 4096 03:28:26,640 --> 03:28:32,479 A machine that weaponizes human envy. A 4097 03:28:30,000 --> 03:28:34,399 system that profits from making people 4098 03:28:32,479 --> 03:28:37,040 feel inadequate. 4099 03:28:34,399 --> 03:28:40,640 An algorithm that amplifies the worst 4100 03:28:37,040 --> 03:28:42,880 aspects of human nature. Peter Theal 4101 03:28:40,640 --> 03:28:46,479 helped build the most powerful behavior 4102 03:28:42,880 --> 03:28:49,120 modification system in human history. 4103 03:28:46,479 --> 03:28:52,120 And then he cashed out for a billion 4104 03:28:49,120 --> 03:28:52,120 dollars. 4105 03:28:58,479 --> 03:29:03,359 2003 4106 03:29:00,000 --> 03:29:06,560 Peter Theel has a problem. It is the 4107 03:29:03,359 --> 03:29:09,439 CIA's problem, but they think the can 4108 03:29:06,560 --> 03:29:12,239 solve it. His PayPal anti-fraud 4109 03:29:09,439 --> 03:29:14,560 algorithms have become so sophisticated 4110 03:29:12,239 --> 03:29:16,960 at detecting patterns in financial 4111 03:29:14,560 --> 03:29:19,120 transactions at finding terrorists 4112 03:29:16,960 --> 03:29:22,880 trying to move money through banking 4113 03:29:19,120 --> 03:29:26,319 systems that the CIA venture capital arm 4114 03:29:22,880 --> 03:29:29,279 in QEL requested a meeting. 4115 03:29:26,319 --> 03:29:31,920 The pitch from the CIA, can you build 4116 03:29:29,279 --> 03:29:34,399 what you built for PayPal but for 4117 03:29:31,920 --> 03:29:38,080 national security? Can you find 4118 03:29:34,399 --> 03:29:40,000 terrorists the way you found fraudsters? 4119 03:29:38,080 --> 03:29:42,399 May 2003, 4120 03:29:40,000 --> 03:29:44,800 Peter Theel co-founds Palunteer 4121 03:29:42,399 --> 03:29:46,399 Technologies with an unusual group of 4122 03:29:44,800 --> 03:29:49,439 co-founders. 4123 03:29:46,399 --> 03:29:52,800 The founding team, Alex Karp, chief 4124 03:29:49,439 --> 03:29:55,200 executive officer, Stanford Law Degree, 4125 03:29:52,800 --> 03:29:57,920 philosophy, PhD from Frankfurt 4126 03:29:55,200 --> 03:30:00,479 University in Germany, former human 4127 03:29:57,920 --> 03:30:02,080 rights lawyer who once worked on refugee 4128 03:30:00,479 --> 03:30:04,560 cases. 4129 03:30:02,080 --> 03:30:06,560 an extremely odd choice to run a company 4130 03:30:04,560 --> 03:30:08,720 that will become the most powerful 4131 03:30:06,560 --> 03:30:10,239 surveillance technology provider on 4132 03:30:08,720 --> 03:30:12,880 Earth. 4133 03:30:10,239 --> 03:30:15,920 Nathan Gettings, chief technology 4134 03:30:12,880 --> 03:30:18,880 officer. PayPal's lead security 4135 03:30:15,920 --> 03:30:21,840 engineer. Brilliant programmer. Joe 4136 03:30:18,880 --> 03:30:24,800 Lndale, a Stanford undergraduate 4137 03:30:21,840 --> 03:30:28,479 student, barely 20 years old, one of the 4138 03:30:24,800 --> 03:30:31,520 first Theel fellows. Steven Cohen, 4139 03:30:28,479 --> 03:30:33,439 PayPal's chief security architect. the 4140 03:30:31,520 --> 03:30:36,399 person who actually built the fraud 4141 03:30:33,439 --> 03:30:38,080 detection algorithms. Initial funding, 4142 03:30:36,399 --> 03:30:40,239 $2 million, 4143 03:30:38,080 --> 03:30:43,840 entirely from Peter Theel's personal 4144 03:30:40,239 --> 03:30:46,000 capital. No outside investors yet. This 4145 03:30:43,840 --> 03:30:48,640 is his project. 4146 03:30:46,000 --> 03:30:51,279 The mission statement, build software 4147 03:30:48,640 --> 03:30:53,840 that can find patterns in massive data 4148 03:30:51,279 --> 03:30:55,760 sets from disperate, incompatible 4149 03:30:53,840 --> 03:30:58,800 sources. 4150 03:30:55,760 --> 03:31:01,120 The kind of data that if intelligency 4151 03:30:58,800 --> 03:31:04,160 agencies had been able to analyze it 4152 03:31:01,120 --> 03:31:07,040 properly could have prevented September 4153 03:31:04,160 --> 03:31:10,000 11th, 2001. 4154 03:31:07,040 --> 03:31:12,319 The company name Palunteer 4155 03:31:10,000 --> 03:31:14,800 named after the seeing stones in Lord of 4156 03:31:12,319 --> 03:31:16,640 the Rings, the magical orbs that allow 4157 03:31:14,800 --> 03:31:19,600 their possessors to see anything 4158 03:31:16,640 --> 03:31:22,800 happening anywhere in Middle Earth. Even 4159 03:31:19,600 --> 03:31:25,200 the name revealed the ambition total 4160 03:31:22,800 --> 03:31:29,960 information awareness. 4161 03:31:25,200 --> 03:31:29,960 the ability to see everything. 4162 03:31:30,239 --> 03:31:37,680 2005, the CIA's venture capital arm in 4163 03:31:34,399 --> 03:31:40,800 QEL invest $2 million in Palanteer's 4164 03:31:37,680 --> 03:31:43,760 series A funding round. This was not 4165 03:31:40,800 --> 03:31:46,560 just money. This was validation from the 4166 03:31:43,760 --> 03:31:48,960 intelligence community, a stamp of 4167 03:31:46,560 --> 03:31:51,439 approval from the most secretive, most 4168 03:31:48,960 --> 03:31:53,120 paranoid organization in the US 4169 03:31:51,439 --> 03:31:56,960 government. 4170 03:31:53,120 --> 03:31:59,040 Initial contract value undisclosed. 4171 03:31:56,960 --> 03:32:02,319 Government intelligence contracts are 4172 03:31:59,040 --> 03:32:05,040 classified by law, but industry analysts 4173 03:32:02,319 --> 03:32:08,800 estimate the first CIA contracts were 4174 03:32:05,040 --> 03:32:11,920 worth5 to 10 million annually. The 4175 03:32:08,800 --> 03:32:15,120 product was called Palunteer Gotham. The 4176 03:32:11,920 --> 03:32:18,319 name itself was significant. Gotham, the 4177 03:32:15,120 --> 03:32:21,359 dark city that needs Batman. The city 4178 03:32:18,319 --> 03:32:23,920 that needs surveillance to fight crime. 4179 03:32:21,359 --> 03:32:25,840 core technical capabilities. 4180 03:32:23,920 --> 03:32:28,640 Integrate data from dozens of 4181 03:32:25,840 --> 03:32:30,560 incompatible government databases that 4182 03:32:28,640 --> 03:32:33,279 were never designed to communicate with 4183 03:32:30,560 --> 03:32:36,000 each other. From hidden connections 4184 03:32:33,279 --> 03:32:39,840 between people, places, financial 4185 03:32:36,000 --> 03:32:42,479 transactions, communications metadata, 4186 03:32:39,840 --> 03:32:44,800 visualize networks of relationships in 4187 03:32:42,479 --> 03:32:46,720 ways human analysts could understand 4188 03:32:44,800 --> 03:32:49,040 intuitively. 4189 03:32:46,720 --> 03:32:51,279 Predict future behavior and likely 4190 03:32:49,040 --> 03:32:54,239 attack patterns based on historical 4191 03:32:51,279 --> 03:32:57,120 data. Specific use cases for 4192 03:32:54,239 --> 03:33:00,080 intelligence agencies. Track terrorist 4193 03:32:57,120 --> 03:33:02,080 cells across multiple countries. Map 4194 03:33:00,080 --> 03:33:04,319 drug trafficking routes from production 4195 03:33:02,080 --> 03:33:06,399 to distribution. 4196 03:33:04,319 --> 03:33:09,439 Identify money laundering networks 4197 03:33:06,399 --> 03:33:11,920 moving funds for organized crime. 4198 03:33:09,439 --> 03:33:14,080 Predict insurgent attacks in Iraq and 4199 03:33:11,920 --> 03:33:17,760 Afghanistan based on pattern 4200 03:33:14,080 --> 03:33:21,520 recognition. It worked. The software 4201 03:33:17,760 --> 03:33:24,640 actually worked. By 2006, Palanteer 4202 03:33:21,520 --> 03:33:27,600 software was being actively used in Iraq 4203 03:33:24,640 --> 03:33:31,200 for counterinsurgency operations and in 4204 03:33:27,600 --> 03:33:33,439 IED attack prediction. 4205 03:33:31,200 --> 03:33:36,479 Afghanistan for predicting Taliban 4206 03:33:33,439 --> 03:33:40,000 leadership networks. Langley, Virginia 4207 03:33:36,479 --> 03:33:42,800 at CIA headquarters for threat analysis. 4208 03:33:40,000 --> 03:33:46,920 FBI field officers nationwide for 4209 03:33:42,800 --> 03:33:46,920 domestic terrorism investigation. 4210 03:33:46,960 --> 03:33:53,120 Early revenue growth told the story of 4211 03:33:49,120 --> 03:33:55,920 Palanteers expanding reach. 2005 4212 03:33:53,120 --> 03:34:02,239 $3 billion in revenue. Government 4213 03:33:55,920 --> 03:34:07,760 contracts only. 2006 $10 million. 2007 4214 03:34:02,239 --> 03:34:12,319 $25 million. 2008 $50 million. First 4215 03:34:07,760 --> 03:34:18,800 commercial clients added 2010, $150 4216 03:34:12,319 --> 03:34:20,560 million. 2012, $400 million. By 2012, 4217 03:34:18,800 --> 03:34:22,720 Palanteer had achieved something 4218 03:34:20,560 --> 03:34:26,399 extremely rare for a high- growth 4219 03:34:22,720 --> 03:34:28,720 technology company. Profitability. 4220 03:34:26,399 --> 03:34:31,680 They were actually making money, not 4221 03:34:28,720 --> 03:34:34,720 just burning venture capital. Customer 4222 03:34:31,680 --> 03:34:38,720 revenue breakdown in 2012. 4223 03:34:34,720 --> 03:34:41,279 Government contracts, 60% of revenue, 4224 03:34:38,720 --> 03:34:45,760 $240 million. 4225 03:34:41,279 --> 03:34:48,479 Commercial clients, 40% of revenue, $160 4226 03:34:45,760 --> 03:34:52,560 million. 4227 03:34:48,479 --> 03:34:54,880 May the 1st, 2011. Palanteer Software 4228 03:34:52,560 --> 03:34:58,080 plays a role in the operation that kills 4229 03:34:54,880 --> 03:35:00,319 Osama bin Laden. A role that remains 4230 03:34:58,080 --> 03:35:03,520 partially classified, but has been 4231 03:35:00,319 --> 03:35:06,319 confirmed by multiple sources. 4232 03:35:03,520 --> 03:35:08,560 How Palanteer contributed. Palanteer 4233 03:35:06,319 --> 03:35:10,960 Gotham integrated dozens of different 4234 03:35:08,560 --> 03:35:13,439 intelligence sources. 4235 03:35:10,960 --> 03:35:16,560 CIA human intelligence on career 4236 03:35:13,439 --> 03:35:19,200 networks. NSA signal intelligence 4237 03:35:16,560 --> 03:35:22,000 including phone metadata and email 4238 03:35:19,200 --> 03:35:25,200 communications patterns. 4239 03:35:22,000 --> 03:35:28,000 National Geospatial Intelligence Agency 4240 03:35:25,200 --> 03:35:31,200 satellite imagery of potential compound 4241 03:35:28,000 --> 03:35:33,680 locations. historical pattern analysis 4242 03:35:31,200 --> 03:35:36,800 of previous high value target operations 4243 03:35:33,680 --> 03:35:38,880 in Pakistan. 4244 03:35:36,800 --> 03:35:41,200 The system identified patterns and 4245 03:35:38,880 --> 03:35:43,680 connections that human analysts working 4246 03:35:41,200 --> 03:35:46,960 with separate databases that did not 4247 03:35:43,680 --> 03:35:49,200 communicate had missed. It narrowed the 4248 03:35:46,960 --> 03:35:53,600 search area and helped confirm the 4249 03:35:49,200 --> 03:35:55,680 identity of the Abotabad compound. 4250 03:35:53,600 --> 03:35:58,640 When asked about Palanteer's role in the 4251 03:35:55,680 --> 03:36:01,920 bin Laden operation, The gave carefully 4252 03:35:58,640 --> 03:36:04,720 worded response. I cannot comment on 4253 03:36:01,920 --> 03:36:07,680 specific operations or specific clients 4254 03:36:04,720 --> 03:36:11,359 due to classification requirements, but 4255 03:36:07,680 --> 03:36:13,600 I will say this. Tools that help protect 4256 03:36:11,359 --> 03:36:16,800 American lives and help intelligence 4257 03:36:13,600 --> 03:36:20,160 professionals do their jobs better. That 4258 03:36:16,800 --> 03:36:22,399 is our mission. 4259 03:36:20,160 --> 03:36:25,359 This single operation, this single 4260 03:36:22,399 --> 03:36:27,359 success legitimized Palanteer's entire 4261 03:36:25,359 --> 03:36:29,840 value proposition to the national 4262 03:36:27,359 --> 03:36:32,640 security establishment. 4263 03:36:29,840 --> 03:36:35,120 After bin Laden, the contracts poured 4264 03:36:32,640 --> 03:36:37,840 in. 4265 03:36:35,120 --> 03:36:40,800 After the bin Laden success, Palanteer's 4266 03:36:37,840 --> 03:36:45,439 government business exploded. Revenue 4267 03:36:40,800 --> 03:36:50,720 growth from 2012 to 2015. 4268 03:36:45,439 --> 03:36:57,600 2012, $400 million in revenue. 2013, 4269 03:36:50,720 --> 03:37:01,359 $600 million. 2014, $900 million. 2015, 4270 03:36:57,600 --> 03:37:05,640 $1.5 billion in revenue. Major new 4271 03:37:01,359 --> 03:37:05,640 contracts announced publicly. 4272 03:37:07,040 --> 03:37:14,479 US Department of Defense, $222 million 4273 03:37:11,600 --> 03:37:16,239 for a 3-year data integration platform 4274 03:37:14,479 --> 03:37:20,239 contract. 4275 03:37:16,239 --> 03:37:23,359 US Army, $800 million for comprehensive 4276 03:37:20,239 --> 03:37:25,520 data platform modernization across all 4277 03:37:23,359 --> 03:37:29,680 army systems. 4278 03:37:25,520 --> 03:37:32,399 US Special Operations Command, $444 4279 03:37:29,680 --> 03:37:34,080 million for targeting and intelligence 4280 03:37:32,399 --> 03:37:37,600 fusion, 4281 03:37:34,080 --> 03:37:39,920 Department of Homeland Security, $240 4282 03:37:37,600 --> 03:37:43,040 million for border security and 4283 03:37:39,920 --> 03:37:45,520 immigration enforcement systems. 4284 03:37:43,040 --> 03:37:48,080 Palanteer had become the single most 4285 03:37:45,520 --> 03:37:49,920 important software company in the entire 4286 03:37:48,080 --> 03:37:51,520 US defense and intelligence 4287 03:37:49,920 --> 03:37:53,840 establishment, 4288 03:37:51,520 --> 03:37:57,040 more important than traditional defense 4289 03:37:53,840 --> 03:37:59,040 contractors, more embedded in classified 4290 03:37:57,040 --> 03:38:01,680 operations. 4291 03:37:59,040 --> 03:38:03,600 Simultaneously, Palanteer launched a 4292 03:38:01,680 --> 03:38:06,960 commercial product called Palunteer 4293 03:38:03,600 --> 03:38:10,000 Foundry for private sector clients. The 4294 03:38:06,960 --> 03:38:12,239 sales pitch to corporate America. Your 4295 03:38:10,000 --> 03:38:15,920 company has exactly the same problem as 4296 03:38:12,239 --> 03:38:18,560 the CIA. Too much data, too many 4297 03:38:15,920 --> 03:38:20,880 incompatible systems, not enough 4298 03:38:18,560 --> 03:38:23,520 insight. We can help you find the 4299 03:38:20,880 --> 03:38:25,680 patterns you are missing. Major 4300 03:38:23,520 --> 03:38:29,200 commercial clients and estimated 4301 03:38:25,680 --> 03:38:34,080 contract values. 4302 03:38:29,200 --> 03:38:35,840 JP Morgan Chase over $100 million fraud 4303 03:38:34,080 --> 03:38:39,200 detection and financial crime 4304 03:38:35,840 --> 03:38:42,080 prevention. Morgan Stanley over $50 4305 03:38:39,200 --> 03:38:46,880 million risk management and regulatory 4306 03:38:42,080 --> 03:38:49,040 compliance. Airbus over $75 million 4307 03:38:46,880 --> 03:38:51,760 supply chain optimization and 4308 03:38:49,040 --> 03:38:55,920 manufacturing analytics. 4309 03:38:51,760 --> 03:38:58,560 Merc Pharmaceuticals over $60 million 4310 03:38:55,920 --> 03:39:01,439 drug discovery analytics and clinical 4311 03:38:58,560 --> 03:39:06,080 trial data integration. 4312 03:39:01,439 --> 03:39:09,920 BP over $80 million oil field production 4313 03:39:06,080 --> 03:39:13,120 optimization and predictive maintenance. 4314 03:39:09,920 --> 03:39:14,960 Commercial revenue growth from 2015 to 4315 03:39:13,120 --> 03:39:18,239 2020. 4316 03:39:14,960 --> 03:39:21,920 In 2015, they got $600 million 4317 03:39:18,239 --> 03:39:24,720 commercial revenue. By 2016, the number 4318 03:39:21,920 --> 03:39:28,560 was around $800 billion. 4319 03:39:24,720 --> 03:39:30,800 In 2017, they reached $1.1 billion in 4320 03:39:28,560 --> 03:39:35,680 commercial revenue, and it became their 4321 03:39:30,800 --> 03:39:38,720 peak year. 2018 made them hit the $750 4322 03:39:35,680 --> 03:39:42,200 million mark, a temporary decline due to 4323 03:39:38,720 --> 03:39:42,200 customer churn. 4324 03:39:42,239 --> 03:39:48,080 In 2019, revenue was around $745 4325 03:39:46,399 --> 03:39:51,920 million, 4326 03:39:48,080 --> 03:39:55,920 and by 2020, they reached $1.1 billion. 4327 03:39:51,920 --> 03:39:59,040 Again, this recovery was driven by COVID 4328 03:39:55,920 --> 03:40:01,200 analytics contracts. Palanteer had 4329 03:39:59,040 --> 03:40:04,560 created a business model with two 4330 03:40:01,200 --> 03:40:06,479 enormous locked in customer bases, the 4331 03:40:04,560 --> 03:40:10,680 US government and the largest 4332 03:40:06,479 --> 03:40:10,680 corporations in the world. 4333 03:40:12,160 --> 03:40:17,279 But Palanteer's work, especially for 4334 03:40:14,479 --> 03:40:20,720 government agencies, attracted intense 4335 03:40:17,279 --> 03:40:23,680 controversy and moral criticism. 4336 03:40:20,720 --> 03:40:27,760 In 2019, they secured a contract with 4337 03:40:23,680 --> 03:40:30,319 ICE for $49 million. The purpose of the 4338 03:40:27,760 --> 03:40:32,720 contract was enforcement and removal 4339 03:40:30,319 --> 03:40:35,680 operations systems, 4340 03:40:32,720 --> 03:40:38,080 meaning a software used to identify, 4341 03:40:35,680 --> 03:40:40,880 track, and process undocumented 4342 03:40:38,080 --> 03:40:43,040 immigrants for deportation. 4343 03:40:40,880 --> 03:40:45,840 This project came with a controversy 4344 03:40:43,040 --> 03:40:47,840 attached. The software was used during 4345 03:40:45,840 --> 03:40:50,640 the family separation policy at the 4346 03:40:47,840 --> 03:40:54,080 southern border. Children separated from 4347 03:40:50,640 --> 03:40:56,160 their parents, families torn apart. 4348 03:40:54,080 --> 03:40:58,960 Palanteer Software helped make it 4349 03:40:56,160 --> 03:41:01,520 operationally possible. Hundreds of 4350 03:40:58,960 --> 03:41:03,840 Palunteer employees signed an internal 4351 03:41:01,520 --> 03:41:07,040 letter demanding the company cancel the 4352 03:41:03,840 --> 03:41:09,279 ICE contract. 4353 03:41:07,040 --> 03:41:12,319 They argued the company was enabling 4354 03:41:09,279 --> 03:41:16,160 human rights abuses. The and Karp's 4355 03:41:12,319 --> 03:41:18,080 response, absolute refusal, the contract 4356 03:41:16,160 --> 03:41:20,720 would continue. 4357 03:41:18,080 --> 03:41:22,960 Alex K gave a public statement saying 4358 03:41:20,720 --> 03:41:26,560 that they had chosen sides and that the 4359 03:41:22,960 --> 03:41:28,960 company supported American institutions. 4360 03:41:26,560 --> 03:41:32,319 But this was not the only controversy 4361 03:41:28,960 --> 03:41:35,279 Palanteer has faced. Palanteer worked 4362 03:41:32,319 --> 03:41:39,200 alongside the NYPD with a contract 4363 03:41:35,279 --> 03:41:42,880 estimated between 50 and $100 billion. 4364 03:41:39,200 --> 03:41:45,120 The mission predictive policy. 4365 03:41:42,880 --> 03:41:47,760 They were asked to use historical crime 4366 03:41:45,120 --> 03:41:50,640 data to predict where future crimes will 4367 03:41:47,760 --> 03:41:53,359 occur and who is likely to commit them. 4368 03:41:50,640 --> 03:41:56,239 The controversy civil rights groups 4369 03:41:53,359 --> 03:41:59,120 argued that system perpetuated racial 4370 03:41:56,239 --> 03:42:02,000 bias. Minority neighborhoods were 4371 03:41:59,120 --> 03:42:04,239 flagged as high risk. Innocent people 4372 03:42:02,000 --> 03:42:07,520 were put under surveillance based on 4373 03:42:04,239 --> 03:42:11,200 algorithmic predictions. 4374 03:42:07,520 --> 03:42:13,600 Joe Londale, Palunteer co-founder, had 4375 03:42:11,200 --> 03:42:15,200 made a personal investment in Cambridge 4376 03:42:13,600 --> 03:42:17,600 Analytica. 4377 03:42:15,200 --> 03:42:20,000 Multiple Palunteer employees on their 4378 03:42:17,600 --> 03:42:24,520 own time helped Cambridge Analytica 4379 03:42:20,000 --> 03:42:24,520 build data integration models. 4380 03:42:24,640 --> 03:42:29,680 Both companies use similar approaches to 4381 03:42:27,359 --> 03:42:31,279 data harvesting and psychological 4382 03:42:29,680 --> 03:42:33,120 profiling. 4383 03:42:31,279 --> 03:42:35,920 When the connection was exposed by 4384 03:42:33,120 --> 03:42:39,040 journalists, Palanteer claimed there was 4385 03:42:35,920 --> 03:42:42,319 no institutional relationship, just 4386 03:42:39,040 --> 03:42:44,640 coincidental personal connections. 4387 03:42:42,319 --> 03:42:47,040 But the damage to Palanteer's reputation 4388 03:42:44,640 --> 03:42:48,720 was done. Theel had built the 4389 03:42:47,040 --> 03:42:51,040 panopticon. 4390 03:42:48,720 --> 03:42:53,520 The allseeing eye of corporate and 4391 03:42:51,040 --> 03:42:56,960 government surveillance. 4392 03:42:53,520 --> 03:43:00,160 September the 30th, 2020. 4393 03:42:56,960 --> 03:43:02,080 After 17 years as a private company, one 4394 03:43:00,160 --> 03:43:04,800 of the longest periods of private 4395 03:43:02,080 --> 03:43:07,760 operation for any major tech company, 4396 03:43:04,800 --> 03:43:10,800 Palanteer finally goes public through a 4397 03:43:07,760 --> 03:43:13,680 direct listing. 4398 03:43:10,800 --> 03:43:16,640 They went public at $10 per share and 4399 03:43:13,680 --> 03:43:20,239 their market capitalization at market 4400 03:43:16,640 --> 03:43:23,520 open was $16 billion. 4401 03:43:20,239 --> 03:43:25,439 By the first day, shares were down 5%. 4402 03:43:23,520 --> 03:43:26,960 The stock was initially a 4403 03:43:25,439 --> 03:43:29,040 disappointment. 4404 03:43:26,960 --> 03:43:31,120 Investors were skeptical of the business 4405 03:43:29,040 --> 03:43:33,680 model, worried about customer 4406 03:43:31,120 --> 03:43:35,840 concentration, concerned about the 4407 03:43:33,680 --> 03:43:38,880 controversy. 4408 03:43:35,840 --> 03:43:41,920 But then COVID 19 created massive new 4409 03:43:38,880 --> 03:43:45,840 demand for Palanteer's capabilities. 4410 03:43:41,920 --> 03:43:48,239 2020 to 2021, Palanteer wins enormous 4411 03:43:45,840 --> 03:43:51,439 pandemic related government contracts 4412 03:43:48,239 --> 03:43:53,520 with governments across the world. The 4413 03:43:51,439 --> 03:43:56,800 pandemic proved that governments needed 4414 03:43:53,520 --> 03:43:59,840 Palanteer and the market responded. 4415 03:43:56,800 --> 03:44:05,760 By late 2021, Palanteer stock had 4416 03:43:59,840 --> 03:44:08,239 exploded. $29 per share at 190% gain 4417 03:44:05,760 --> 03:44:09,920 from the direct listing price. Market 4418 03:44:08,239 --> 03:44:13,479 capitalization 4419 03:44:09,920 --> 03:44:13,479 $60 billion. 4420 03:44:14,640 --> 03:44:21,600 Peter Theal stake approximately 7% 4421 03:44:18,239 --> 03:44:24,399 ownership worth 4.2 2 billion at the 4422 03:44:21,600 --> 03:44:26,800 peak. 2022, 4423 03:44:24,399 --> 03:44:30,239 the tech crash hits Palanteer brutally 4424 03:44:26,800 --> 03:44:34,399 hard. Stock prices crash to $6 per 4425 03:44:30,239 --> 03:44:38,000 share, down 8% from the peak. Market cap 4426 03:44:34,399 --> 03:44:40,080 collapses to $13 billion. 4427 03:44:38,000 --> 03:44:46,000 The paper wealth from Palanteer 4428 03:44:40,080 --> 03:44:49,279 evaporates. Billions gone. 2023 to 2024, 4429 03:44:46,000 --> 03:44:51,680 the AI boom creates new opportunity. 4430 03:44:49,279 --> 03:44:54,640 Palanteer markets itself as the AI 4431 03:44:51,680 --> 03:44:57,600 platform for governments and enterprises 4432 03:44:54,640 --> 03:45:02,319 and they get major new contract wins. 4433 03:44:57,600 --> 03:45:04,479 The US Army invested $463 million for AI 4434 03:45:02,319 --> 03:45:07,359 powered battlefield analytics and 4435 03:45:04,479 --> 03:45:09,920 decision support systems. 4436 03:45:07,359 --> 03:45:14,640 Palanteer stock recovered 4437 03:45:09,920 --> 03:45:17,199 25 to 30 per share by 2024. 4438 03:45:14,640 --> 03:45:20,160 As of 2024, Peter Theel's current 4439 03:45:17,199 --> 03:45:22,640 Palanteer holdings are approximately 7% 4440 03:45:20,160 --> 03:45:26,800 of all shares with a current value 4441 03:45:22,640 --> 03:45:31,319 ranging from 3.8 to $4.5 billion 4442 03:45:26,800 --> 03:45:31,319 depending on daily stock price. 4443 03:45:32,960 --> 03:45:37,840 This makes Palunteer's 4444 03:45:35,600 --> 03:45:42,080 single largest source of personal 4445 03:45:37,840 --> 03:45:44,080 wealth. In 2024, Palanteer's financial 4446 03:45:42,080 --> 03:45:46,960 performance was divided between 4447 03:45:44,080 --> 03:45:50,640 government and commercial revenue. The 4448 03:45:46,960 --> 03:45:53,840 company's net income was $2.5 billion 4449 03:45:50,640 --> 03:45:55,760 annually. And as big as the number is, 4450 03:45:53,840 --> 03:45:58,319 this might represent a future problem 4451 03:45:55,760 --> 03:46:00,960 for the company. If government budget 4452 03:45:58,319 --> 03:46:04,000 cuts happen, Palanteer is extremely 4453 03:46:00,960 --> 03:46:05,680 vulnerable. Their entire business model 4454 03:46:04,000 --> 03:46:09,199 depends on continued government 4455 03:46:05,680 --> 03:46:12,239 spending. Here is Peter Theel's 4456 03:46:09,199 --> 03:46:14,319 fundamental contradiction. The paradox 4457 03:46:12,239 --> 03:46:17,040 at the heart of everything he has built. 4458 03:46:14,319 --> 03:46:20,640 He claims to be a libertarian who values 4459 03:46:17,040 --> 03:46:22,560 individual freedom above all else. A man 4460 03:46:20,640 --> 03:46:24,960 who believes government power should be 4461 03:46:22,560 --> 03:46:28,160 minimal. A man who wrote that freedom 4462 03:46:24,960 --> 03:46:30,720 and democracy are incompatible. 4463 03:46:28,160 --> 03:46:33,439 Yet, he built the most powerful private 4464 03:46:30,720 --> 03:46:36,160 surveillance technology company in human 4465 03:46:33,439 --> 03:46:37,920 history. A company that gives 4466 03:46:36,160 --> 03:46:41,359 governments and corporations 4467 03:46:37,920 --> 03:46:44,640 unprecedented ability to monitor, track, 4468 03:46:41,359 --> 03:46:47,120 predict, and control human behavior. 4469 03:46:44,640 --> 03:46:50,000 Palunteers technical capabilities 4470 03:46:47,120 --> 03:46:52,399 include realtime tracking of individuals 4471 03:46:50,000 --> 03:46:55,399 across multiple data sources and 4472 03:46:52,399 --> 03:46:55,399 databases. 4473 03:46:56,000 --> 03:47:00,720 Predictive behavioral modeling that 4474 03:46:58,640 --> 03:47:03,920 forecasts what people will do before 4475 03:47:00,720 --> 03:47:06,319 they do it. Network analysis that maps 4476 03:47:03,920 --> 03:47:09,760 every person you have ever contacted 4477 03:47:06,319 --> 03:47:12,479 through any medium. Complete integration 4478 03:47:09,760 --> 03:47:16,080 of financial records, communication 4479 03:47:12,479 --> 03:47:19,279 metadata, location history, and social 4480 03:47:16,080 --> 03:47:21,199 relationship data into a single unified 4481 03:47:19,279 --> 03:47:23,840 profile. 4482 03:47:21,199 --> 03:47:26,080 Field's defense of this contradiction 4483 03:47:23,840 --> 03:47:30,319 was explaining that the alternative to 4484 03:47:26,080 --> 03:47:32,960 Palanteer is not no surveillance. 4485 03:47:30,319 --> 03:47:35,120 The alternative is worse surveillance 4486 03:47:32,960 --> 03:47:38,160 performed by incompetent government 4487 03:47:35,120 --> 03:47:42,199 bureaucrats using decades old technology 4488 03:47:38,160 --> 03:47:42,199 that does not work properly. 4489 03:47:43,760 --> 03:47:50,239 The critics's response was obvious. They 4490 03:47:46,720 --> 03:47:54,399 told Theo he had built the panopticon, 4491 03:47:50,239 --> 03:47:56,479 the architecture of total surveillance. 4492 03:47:54,399 --> 03:47:58,800 A system allowing governments around the 4493 03:47:56,479 --> 03:48:01,680 world to use their citizens information 4494 03:47:58,800 --> 03:48:04,239 to control them, not a system to protect 4495 03:48:01,680 --> 03:48:06,560 them, said the critics. 4496 03:48:04,239 --> 03:48:09,359 Palanteer now operates in dozens of 4497 03:48:06,560 --> 03:48:12,239 countries worldwide. The United States, 4498 03:48:09,359 --> 03:48:15,120 the United Kingdom, Germany, France, 4499 03:48:12,239 --> 03:48:17,279 Australia, and even Japan. 4500 03:48:15,120 --> 03:48:20,319 The company has some controversial 4501 03:48:17,279 --> 03:48:23,279 international clients, some confirmed, 4502 03:48:20,319 --> 03:48:26,880 some alleged, but the total estimated 4503 03:48:23,279 --> 03:48:31,279 value of all global contracts lifetime, 4504 03:48:26,880 --> 03:48:34,160 over $10 billion in contract value. 4505 03:48:31,279 --> 03:48:37,199 Palanteer is Peter Theel's most 4506 03:48:34,160 --> 03:48:40,319 important company. Not because of its 4507 03:48:37,199 --> 03:48:42,720 valuation, though that is substantial. 4508 03:48:40,319 --> 03:48:46,399 Not because of its revenue, though that 4509 03:48:42,720 --> 03:48:48,720 is significant. Palanteer is important 4510 03:48:46,399 --> 03:48:51,680 because it reveals the truth about 4511 03:48:48,720 --> 03:48:54,319 Theo's worldview. It is the bridge 4512 03:48:51,680 --> 03:48:58,000 between his libertarian philosophy and 4513 03:48:54,319 --> 03:49:01,040 his authoritarian reality. He claims to 4514 03:48:58,000 --> 03:49:03,760 want freedom from government control. 4515 03:49:01,040 --> 03:49:05,920 But Palanteer gives governments 4516 03:49:03,760 --> 03:49:08,560 unprecedented control over their 4517 03:49:05,920 --> 03:49:10,720 citizens. The resolution of this 4518 03:49:08,560 --> 03:49:13,520 apparent contradiction. 4519 03:49:10,720 --> 03:49:16,800 Peter the believes in freedom for the 4520 03:49:13,520 --> 03:49:18,960 elite and surveillance for everyone 4521 03:49:16,800 --> 03:49:21,279 else. 4522 03:49:18,960 --> 03:49:24,479 In his vision of the world, there are 4523 03:49:21,279 --> 03:49:26,720 rulers and there are the ruled. There 4524 03:49:24,479 --> 03:49:29,359 are the people who make the decisions 4525 03:49:26,720 --> 03:49:31,920 and the people who are managed. 4526 03:49:29,359 --> 03:49:34,160 Palanteer is the enforcement mechanism 4527 03:49:31,920 --> 03:49:36,720 for that hierarchy. 4528 03:49:34,160 --> 03:49:39,680 The technology that ensures the rulers 4529 03:49:36,720 --> 03:49:42,239 can see everything. the system that 4530 03:49:39,680 --> 03:49:45,680 makes resistance impossible because 4531 03:49:42,239 --> 03:49:48,800 privacy no longer exists. And Peter 4532 03:49:45,680 --> 03:49:51,680 Theal sits at the center of that eye, 4533 03:49:48,800 --> 03:49:57,080 watching the world, seeing everything. 4534 03:49:51,680 --> 03:49:57,080 The architect of the surveillance state. 4535 03:49:59,520 --> 03:50:05,359 In 2016, Peter Theel made an investment 4536 03:50:03,279 --> 03:50:08,640 that every other major technology 4537 03:50:05,359 --> 03:50:11,040 investor avoided. 4538 03:50:08,640 --> 03:50:13,199 While his peers in Silicon Valley were 4539 03:50:11,040 --> 03:50:16,960 contributing millions to the opposing 4540 03:50:13,199 --> 03:50:19,760 campaign, Theel wrote a check for 1.25 4541 03:50:16,960 --> 03:50:23,840 million to Donald Trump's presidential 4542 03:50:19,760 --> 03:50:27,680 campaign. This was not ideology. This 4543 03:50:23,840 --> 03:50:30,720 was portfolio diversification. 4544 03:50:27,680 --> 03:50:35,359 The has always invested in contrarian 4545 03:50:30,720 --> 03:50:38,160 positions. When everyone zigs, he zags. 4546 03:50:35,359 --> 03:50:41,120 When consensus forms in one direction, 4547 03:50:38,160 --> 03:50:44,960 he looks for asymmetric opportunities in 4548 03:50:41,120 --> 03:50:47,520 the other. The 2006 donation gave him 4549 03:50:44,960 --> 03:50:50,800 something money usually cannot buy in 4550 03:50:47,520 --> 03:50:54,160 Silicon Valley, direct access to 4551 03:50:50,800 --> 03:50:57,760 executive power. The return on that 4552 03:50:54,160 --> 03:51:00,399 $1.25 $25 million investment, 4553 03:50:57,760 --> 03:51:03,760 a seat on the presidential transition 4554 03:51:00,399 --> 03:51:06,960 team, input on federal technology 4555 03:51:03,760 --> 03:51:09,760 policy, direct communication channels to 4556 03:51:06,960 --> 03:51:13,279 the White House, credibility as a 4557 03:51:09,760 --> 03:51:15,920 Washington power broker, 4558 03:51:13,279 --> 03:51:17,680 and most measurably, Palanteer's 4559 03:51:15,920 --> 03:51:21,040 government contracts increased 4560 03:51:17,680 --> 03:51:23,439 substantially during this period. 4561 03:51:21,040 --> 03:51:26,720 that feels most significant political 4562 03:51:23,439 --> 03:51:28,319 investments came in the 2022 midterm 4563 03:51:26,720 --> 03:51:32,000 elections. 4564 03:51:28,319 --> 03:51:35,520 Two candidates, both former employees, 4565 03:51:32,000 --> 03:51:37,439 both running for United States Senate. 4566 03:51:35,520 --> 03:51:40,319 The financial commitment was 4567 03:51:37,439 --> 03:51:42,800 unprecedented in scale. 4568 03:51:40,319 --> 03:51:44,880 Vance had worked at Theel's venture 4569 03:51:42,800 --> 03:51:47,920 capital firm before writing his 4570 03:51:44,880 --> 03:51:50,000 best-selling memoir. Field's total 4571 03:51:47,920 --> 03:51:54,960 financial commitment 4572 03:51:50,000 --> 03:51:57,279 direct campaign contribution $15 million 4573 03:51:54,960 --> 03:52:00,880 super PAC expenditures 4574 03:51:57,279 --> 03:52:02,640 $5 million combined investment $20 4575 03:52:00,880 --> 03:52:05,840 million. 4576 03:52:02,640 --> 03:52:08,319 This set a record as the largest single 4577 03:52:05,840 --> 03:52:11,760 donor contribution to an individual 4578 03:52:08,319 --> 03:52:14,960 Senate campaign in American history. The 4579 03:52:11,760 --> 03:52:18,560 outcome Vance won by six percentage 4580 03:52:14,960 --> 03:52:21,359 points. Masters had worked directly for 4581 03:52:18,560 --> 03:52:23,359 Theel as chief operating officer at 4582 03:52:21,359 --> 03:52:25,359 Theel Capital. 4583 03:52:23,359 --> 03:52:27,680 Theel's financial commitment to his 4584 03:52:25,359 --> 03:52:31,600 campaign was a combined investment of 4585 03:52:27,680 --> 03:52:34,640 $20 million. But unlike Vance, Masters 4586 03:52:31,600 --> 03:52:38,239 lost by 5 percentage points. 4587 03:52:34,640 --> 03:52:42,160 The total 2022 midterm investment was 4588 03:52:38,239 --> 03:52:44,000 over $40 million in two Senate races. 4589 03:52:42,160 --> 03:52:46,239 two different candidates that would have 4590 03:52:44,000 --> 03:52:49,600 allowed him to be in direct touch with 4591 03:52:46,239 --> 03:52:51,920 power at different chambers and stages. 4592 03:52:49,600 --> 03:52:54,319 For context, the average competitive 4593 03:52:51,920 --> 03:52:58,080 Senate race costs approximately $10 4594 03:52:54,319 --> 03:53:02,760 million total. Peter Theal invested four 4595 03:52:58,080 --> 03:53:02,760 times that amount on two races. 4596 03:53:03,359 --> 03:53:10,160 It's July 2024. JD Vance is selected as 4597 03:53:08,000 --> 03:53:13,040 the Republican vice presidential 4598 03:53:10,160 --> 03:53:15,600 candidate. From a pure investment 4599 03:53:13,040 --> 03:53:18,000 analysis perspective, this transforms 4600 03:53:15,600 --> 03:53:20,800 the return profile and Theel's $20 4601 03:53:18,000 --> 03:53:23,199 million commitment. He has considered 4602 03:53:20,800 --> 03:53:27,279 the potential financial implications if 4603 03:53:23,199 --> 03:53:29,840 this ticket wins and he gets access to 4604 03:53:27,279 --> 03:53:33,199 executive branch decisionmaking for 8 4605 03:53:29,840 --> 03:53:36,640 years. influence over federal contract 4606 03:53:33,199 --> 03:53:39,600 allocation across multiple agencies. 4607 03:53:36,640 --> 03:53:43,920 Input on technology regulation affecting 4608 03:53:39,600 --> 03:53:46,160 the portfolio companies. 4609 03:53:43,920 --> 03:53:48,319 If we consider what's the estimated 4610 03:53:46,160 --> 03:53:51,680 return on investment for Palanteer's 4611 03:53:48,319 --> 03:53:53,840 government business, what we see is 4612 03:53:51,680 --> 03:53:56,640 current annual government revenue of 4613 03:53:53,840 --> 03:53:59,359 $1.5 billion. 4614 03:53:56,640 --> 03:54:02,640 potential additional contract value over 4615 03:53:59,359 --> 03:54:05,640 eight years conservatively 5 to10 4616 03:54:02,640 --> 03:54:05,640 billion 4617 03:54:05,760 --> 03:54:12,319 and other defense companies in the 4618 03:54:08,800 --> 03:54:14,080 network potential 3 to5 billion in 4619 03:54:12,319 --> 03:54:16,479 contracts 4620 03:54:14,080 --> 03:54:20,080 regulatory treatment of cryptocurrency 4621 03:54:16,479 --> 03:54:23,080 holdings value potentially in tens of 4622 03:54:20,080 --> 03:54:23,080 billions. 4623 03:54:24,720 --> 03:54:30,800 The theoretical return of those 20 4624 03:54:27,279 --> 03:54:34,160 million invested is potentially 15 to 20 4625 03:54:30,800 --> 03:54:38,160 billion captured across the portfolio. 4626 03:54:34,160 --> 03:54:41,920 That represents a potential of 750 to 4627 03:54:38,160 --> 03:54:44,160 1,000 times return. By comparison, 4628 03:54:41,920 --> 03:54:46,479 Theel's Facebook investment returned 4629 03:54:44,160 --> 03:54:48,960 2,000 times. 4630 03:54:46,479 --> 03:54:54,319 To sum it up, the complete political 4631 03:54:48,960 --> 03:54:56,640 spending of the from 2016 to 2022 is 70 4632 03:54:54,319 --> 03:54:59,600 to $80 million. 4633 03:54:56,640 --> 03:55:02,960 For context, Amazon spends 20 million 4634 03:54:59,600 --> 03:55:05,680 annually on lobbying. Meta spends 20 4635 03:55:02,960 --> 03:55:09,439 million annual on lobbying. Google 4636 03:55:05,680 --> 03:55:12,000 spends 12 million annually on lobbying. 4637 03:55:09,439 --> 03:55:14,960 Field's approach is different. Rather 4638 03:55:12,000 --> 03:55:17,120 than ongoing lobbying expenditures, he 4639 03:55:14,960 --> 03:55:19,600 makes concentrated investments in 4640 03:55:17,120 --> 03:55:25,160 individual candidates who potentially 4641 03:55:19,600 --> 03:55:25,160 provide access for years or decades. 4642 03:55:25,199 --> 03:55:30,239 It is the venture capital model applied 4643 03:55:27,680 --> 03:55:33,199 to politics. Make early stage 4644 03:55:30,239 --> 03:55:35,680 investments in promising candidates. 4645 03:55:33,199 --> 03:55:39,040 Provide sufficient capital to help them 4646 03:55:35,680 --> 03:55:41,520 win. Capture value through long-term 4647 03:55:39,040 --> 03:55:44,239 relationships and access. 4648 03:55:41,520 --> 03:55:46,960 The candidates Theel has supported now 4649 03:55:44,239 --> 03:55:49,520 serve on key committees. 4650 03:55:46,960 --> 03:55:51,040 Technology regulation, defense 4651 03:55:49,520 --> 03:55:54,000 appropriations, 4652 03:55:51,040 --> 03:55:56,720 intelligence oversight, banking and 4653 03:55:54,000 --> 03:55:58,960 financial services. 4654 03:55:56,720 --> 03:56:01,439 Precisely the committees that oversee 4655 03:55:58,960 --> 03:56:03,840 industries where the has billions 4656 03:56:01,439 --> 03:56:06,640 invested and where he can use some 4657 03:56:03,840 --> 03:56:09,279 privileged information. 4658 03:56:06,640 --> 03:56:10,720 Is political investment a good use of 4659 03:56:09,279 --> 03:56:14,000 capital? 4660 03:56:10,720 --> 03:56:17,199 The mathematics suggest yes 4661 03:56:14,000 --> 03:56:20,800 70 to 80 million represents less than 1% 4662 03:56:17,199 --> 03:56:22,960 of the's net worth. The potential return 4663 03:56:20,800 --> 03:56:25,840 if accesses translate to favorable 4664 03:56:22,960 --> 03:56:27,920 treatment for portfolio companies could 4665 03:56:25,840 --> 03:56:30,479 be worth billions. 4666 03:56:27,920 --> 03:56:33,199 Even with a 50% success rate, the 4667 03:56:30,479 --> 03:56:34,720 expected value is positive by orders of 4668 03:56:33,199 --> 03:56:37,760 magnitude. 4669 03:56:34,720 --> 03:56:41,760 Investment 70 to 80 million over 8 4670 03:56:37,760 --> 03:56:44,479 years. Potential value captured 15 to 30 4671 03:56:41,760 --> 03:56:48,239 billion across portfolio. 4672 03:56:44,479 --> 03:56:51,520 Expected return 200 to 400 times 4673 03:56:48,239 --> 03:56:54,080 invested capital 4674 03:56:51,520 --> 03:56:57,279 that rivals the best venture capital 4675 03:56:54,080 --> 03:57:00,560 returns in history. Peter Theel is not 4676 03:56:57,279 --> 03:57:03,560 playing politics. He is optimizing his 4677 03:57:00,560 --> 03:57:03,560 portfolio. 4678 03:57:04,880 --> 03:57:10,880 Chapter 7. The final exit. 4679 03:57:08,720 --> 03:57:13,680 Peter Theal has spent his life betting 4680 03:57:10,880 --> 03:57:16,160 on the future, building it, funding it, 4681 03:57:13,680 --> 03:57:20,160 accelerating it. But there is one 4682 03:57:16,160 --> 03:57:24,880 frontier he refuses to accept as fixed. 4683 03:57:20,160 --> 03:57:27,439 Death. To him, mortality is not destiny. 4684 03:57:24,880 --> 03:57:29,760 It is an engineering problem waiting for 4685 03:57:27,439 --> 03:57:31,920 a breakthrough. Unlike every other 4686 03:57:29,760 --> 03:57:35,120 system he has challenged, he believes 4687 03:57:31,920 --> 03:57:37,760 this one too can be redesigned. 4688 03:57:35,120 --> 03:57:40,960 While others plan for retirement, Theel 4689 03:57:37,760 --> 03:57:43,520 funds longevity labs. While governments 4690 03:57:40,960 --> 03:57:45,040 plan for decades, he thinks in 4691 03:57:43,520 --> 03:57:47,199 centuries. 4692 03:57:45,040 --> 03:57:49,760 If time is the ultimate constraint on 4693 03:57:47,199 --> 03:57:52,640 power, then extending life is the 4694 03:57:49,760 --> 03:57:55,760 ultimate leverage. At the edge of the 4695 03:57:52,640 --> 03:57:58,560 world, he built a refuge. Far from 4696 03:57:55,760 --> 03:58:03,040 political centers, far from social 4697 03:57:58,560 --> 03:58:05,359 unrest, close only to time. In Silicon 4698 03:58:03,040 --> 03:58:08,960 Valley, there is a dark joke shared 4699 03:58:05,359 --> 03:58:11,120 quietly among founders and investors. 4700 03:58:08,960 --> 03:58:13,680 How many billionaires does it take to 4701 03:58:11,120 --> 03:58:16,720 buy a country? 4702 03:58:13,680 --> 03:58:20,040 Just one, if he is smart enough to get 4703 03:58:16,720 --> 03:58:20,040 there first. 4704 03:58:20,479 --> 03:58:25,120 He invested in digital currencies that 4705 03:58:22,720 --> 03:58:27,120 governments cannot print. In 4706 03:58:25,120 --> 03:58:30,000 surveillance systems that see what 4707 03:58:27,120 --> 03:58:32,479 others cannot. In political candidates 4708 03:58:30,000 --> 03:58:35,199 who might shape the rules. In 4709 03:58:32,479 --> 03:58:38,800 technologies that might outlive biology 4710 03:58:35,199 --> 03:58:42,439 itself. Not to save the world, to 4711 03:58:38,800 --> 03:58:42,439 outlast it. 4712 03:58:44,399 --> 03:58:49,920 What began as a contingency plan for a 4713 03:58:47,040 --> 03:58:52,800 few has become an unspoken strategy 4714 03:58:49,920 --> 03:58:55,120 among the ultra wealthy. 4715 03:58:52,800 --> 03:58:57,680 When the New Zealand citizenship story 4716 03:58:55,120 --> 03:59:01,279 became public, one of Theo's closest 4717 03:58:57,680 --> 03:59:04,080 peers, Sam Alman, put it bluntly. 4718 03:59:01,279 --> 03:59:07,120 If things go really wrong, I'm flying to 4719 03:59:04,080 --> 03:59:10,239 Peter's place. 4720 03:59:07,120 --> 03:59:13,439 Some men try to make history. Peter 4721 03:59:10,239 --> 03:59:16,239 Theel is trying to escape it. 4722 03:59:13,439 --> 03:59:21,560 And if the future breaks, he intends to 4723 03:59:16,239 --> 03:59:21,560 be standing somewhere it cannot reach. 4724 04:00:47,279 --> 04:00:52,319 Most people see this and think culture. 4725 04:00:50,319 --> 04:00:54,720 They see a charming eco-friendly 4726 04:00:52,319 --> 04:00:57,520 tradition. 4727 04:00:54,720 --> 04:01:00,000 But look closer. This isn't just people 4728 04:00:57,520 --> 04:01:02,479 liking to pedal. What you were watching 4729 04:01:00,000 --> 04:01:04,319 is a highfrequency, low friction 4730 04:01:02,479 --> 04:01:06,160 economic machine. 4731 04:01:04,319 --> 04:01:08,160 >> Ultimately, private car ownership is 4732 04:01:06,160 --> 04:01:09,760 going to become obsolete. Cities are 4733 04:01:08,160 --> 04:01:11,439 building for pedestrians. They're 4734 04:01:09,760 --> 04:01:14,880 building for cycling. They're building 4735 04:01:11,439 --> 04:01:17,520 for livability, not for cars. 4736 04:01:14,880 --> 04:01:21,479 >> The bike economy, the multi-billion 4737 04:01:17,520 --> 04:01:21,479 dollar system of Amsterdam. 4738 04:01:22,640 --> 04:01:29,439 In Amsterdam, the bicycle isn't a toy. 4739 04:01:26,080 --> 04:01:32,319 It is a critical urban infrastructure. 4740 04:01:29,439 --> 04:01:36,760 If this system failed today, the city's 4741 04:01:32,319 --> 04:01:36,760 economy would collapse tomorrow. 4742 04:01:36,880 --> 04:01:42,000 For decades, the world has viewed 4743 04:01:38,800 --> 04:01:45,279 Amsterdam through a romantic lens. But 4744 04:01:42,000 --> 04:01:47,840 cities don't run on vibes. They run on 4745 04:01:45,279 --> 04:01:49,760 systems. And when a system moves 4746 04:01:47,840 --> 04:01:52,720 hundreds of thousands of people every 4747 04:01:49,760 --> 04:01:55,920 single day, it stops being a choice and 4748 04:01:52,720 --> 04:01:58,720 starts demanding three things. space, 4749 04:01:55,920 --> 04:02:00,960 rules, and capital. 4750 04:01:58,720 --> 04:02:03,199 Research shows that the cycling system 4751 04:02:00,960 --> 04:02:06,800 contributes benefits equivalent to 4752 04:02:03,199 --> 04:02:09,760 roughly 3% of the Netherlands GDP. 4753 04:02:06,800 --> 04:02:12,560 This isn't just green energy. It's hard 4754 04:02:09,760 --> 04:02:15,120 cash saved in public health, reduced 4755 04:02:12,560 --> 04:02:18,000 absenteeism at work, and most 4756 04:02:15,120 --> 04:02:20,640 importantly, unlocked productivity. 4757 04:02:18,000 --> 04:02:22,960 Every person on a bike is a person who 4758 04:02:20,640 --> 04:02:25,920 isn't taking up 12 square meters of 4759 04:02:22,960 --> 04:02:28,880 public space with a car. That freed up 4760 04:02:25,920 --> 04:02:32,319 space allows for high value real estate, 4761 04:02:28,880 --> 04:02:37,399 commerce, and tourism. In economics, we 4762 04:02:32,319 --> 04:02:37,399 call this optimization of land use. 4763 04:02:38,880 --> 04:02:45,760 But success created a crisis. By the 4764 04:02:42,239 --> 04:02:47,760 2010s, Amsterdam had a clutter problem. 4765 04:02:45,760 --> 04:02:51,199 Thousands of bikes were choking the 4766 04:02:47,760 --> 04:02:53,279 streets. The solution, one of the most 4767 04:02:51,199 --> 04:02:56,399 expensive and daring engineering 4768 04:02:53,279 --> 04:03:00,239 projects in the city. They built a 4769 04:02:56,399 --> 04:03:01,760 cathedral for 7,000 bicycles under the 4770 04:03:00,239 --> 04:03:04,399 water. 4771 04:03:01,760 --> 04:03:06,479 It cost millions. From a traditional 4772 04:03:04,399 --> 04:03:09,920 linear perspective, spending that much 4773 04:03:06,479 --> 04:03:12,399 on free parking seems insane. But from a 4774 04:03:09,920 --> 04:03:14,800 circular economy perspective, a model 4775 04:03:12,399 --> 04:03:18,160 where Amsterdam is a global leader with 4776 04:03:14,800 --> 04:03:20,960 30.6% circularity rate, it was a 4777 04:03:18,160 --> 04:03:23,040 mandatory investment. As we see in the 4778 04:03:20,960 --> 04:03:25,680 latest urban governance reports, 4779 04:03:23,040 --> 04:03:28,319 planning isn't an option here. It's the 4780 04:03:25,680 --> 04:03:30,880 only way to exist. 4781 04:03:28,319 --> 04:03:34,000 In this documentary, we are going beyond 4782 04:03:30,880 --> 04:03:37,120 the postcard. We will travel back to 4783 04:03:34,000 --> 04:03:40,319 1965 to see why the first sharing 4784 04:03:37,120 --> 04:03:42,960 economy experiment failed. We will use 4785 04:03:40,319 --> 04:03:46,000 scientific GPS data to track the shadow 4786 04:03:42,960 --> 04:03:49,520 economy of the 80,000 bikes stolen every 4787 04:03:46,000 --> 04:03:51,520 year. And we will explore how Amsterdam 4788 04:03:49,520 --> 04:03:55,120 is using the bicycle to become the 4789 04:03:51,520 --> 04:03:58,560 world's first 100% circular city by 4790 04:03:55,120 --> 04:04:00,640 2050. This is the story of how a humble 4791 04:03:58,560 --> 04:04:03,439 machine with two wheels became the 4792 04:04:00,640 --> 04:04:06,439 backbone of a multi-billion dollar urban 4793 04:04:03,439 --> 04:04:06,439 miracle. 4794 04:04:09,199 --> 04:04:15,279 To understand why Amsterdam spends €85 4795 04:04:12,080 --> 04:04:17,680 million on underwater parking today, we 4796 04:04:15,279 --> 04:04:21,040 have to go back to a time when the city 4797 04:04:17,680 --> 04:04:24,040 almost lost its soul to the car, the 4798 04:04:21,040 --> 04:04:24,040 1960s. 4799 04:04:28,239 --> 04:04:34,479 As post-war prosperity grew, Amsterdam 4800 04:04:31,199 --> 04:04:36,640 was being choked by motor vehicles. 4801 04:04:34,479 --> 04:04:38,720 In response, a counterculture group 4802 04:04:36,640 --> 04:04:41,279 called the Provos launched what would 4803 04:04:38,720 --> 04:04:44,800 become the first bike sharing program in 4804 04:04:41,279 --> 04:04:47,120 history, the Vita Fieten Plan, or the 4805 04:04:44,800 --> 04:04:49,760 White Bike Plan. 4806 04:04:47,120 --> 04:04:53,840 Their proposal was radical and purely 4807 04:04:49,760 --> 04:04:56,080 idealistic. Paint 20,000 bicycles white, 4808 04:04:53,840 --> 04:04:59,439 leave them unlocked across the city, and 4809 04:04:56,080 --> 04:05:02,319 let anyone use them for free. No keys, 4810 04:04:59,439 --> 04:05:05,520 no coins, no owners. They viewed 4811 04:05:02,319 --> 04:05:08,479 mobility as a public good, as essential 4812 04:05:05,520 --> 04:05:11,439 and free as the air we breathe. On 4813 04:05:08,479 --> 04:05:12,960 paper, it was a circular economy, avant 4814 04:05:11,439 --> 04:05:16,080 pletra. 4815 04:05:12,960 --> 04:05:19,439 In practice, it was a disaster. Within 4816 04:05:16,080 --> 04:05:21,359 days, the system collapsed. Why? Because 4817 04:05:19,439 --> 04:05:24,399 the provos ignored a fundamental 4818 04:05:21,359 --> 04:05:27,560 principle of economics, the tragedy of 4819 04:05:24,399 --> 04:05:27,560 the commons. 4820 04:06:02,960 --> 04:06:07,840 Without ownership or registration, 4821 04:06:05,120 --> 04:06:10,880 public property quickly became nobody's 4822 04:06:07,840 --> 04:06:13,279 property. In an unregulated system with 4823 04:06:10,880 --> 04:06:15,920 zero entry cost, the incentive to 4824 04:06:13,279 --> 04:06:18,720 maintain the asset disappears. Without 4825 04:06:15,920 --> 04:06:21,520 locks or registration, public property 4826 04:06:18,720 --> 04:06:23,520 quickly became nobody's property. The 4827 04:06:21,520 --> 04:06:26,319 police confiscated the bikes because 4828 04:06:23,520 --> 04:06:29,040 they invited theft and the citizens 4829 04:06:26,319 --> 04:06:31,040 driven by individual rationalism either 4830 04:06:29,040 --> 04:06:33,680 took them home or threw them into the 4831 04:06:31,040 --> 04:06:36,479 canals. 4832 04:06:33,680 --> 04:06:38,560 The lesson was harsh. You cannot have a 4833 04:06:36,479 --> 04:06:40,880 massive urban transit system based 4834 04:06:38,560 --> 04:06:44,520 solely on romanticism. 4835 04:06:40,880 --> 04:06:44,520 You need governance. 4836 04:06:46,160 --> 04:06:52,239 However, the white bikes planted a seed. 4837 04:06:49,199 --> 04:06:54,000 It shifted the economic debate. The city 4838 04:06:52,239 --> 04:06:56,239 realized that if they didn't want to 4839 04:06:54,000 --> 04:06:58,880 spend billions on highways like Los 4840 04:06:56,239 --> 04:07:01,600 Angeles or London, they had to invest in 4841 04:06:58,880 --> 04:07:04,000 a different kind of capital. Transition 4842 04:07:01,600 --> 04:07:06,960 requires not just technology but a 4843 04:07:04,000 --> 04:07:09,040 change in urban metabolism. 4844 04:07:06,960 --> 04:07:11,279 The failure of the white bikes taught 4845 04:07:09,040 --> 04:07:13,439 Amsterdam that the bicycle had to be 4846 04:07:11,279 --> 04:07:16,640 integrated into the formal economy of 4847 04:07:13,439 --> 04:07:20,319 the city, not as a rebel symbol, but as 4848 04:07:16,640 --> 04:07:22,319 a regulated, taxed and planned asset. 4849 04:07:20,319 --> 04:07:25,120 Today, the free spirit of the white 4850 04:07:22,319 --> 04:07:28,319 bikes only survives in one place, the 4851 04:07:25,120 --> 04:07:30,479 Hoga Valu National Park. But in the 4852 04:07:28,319 --> 04:07:33,199 city, the white bike has been replaced 4853 04:07:30,479 --> 04:07:35,760 by a sophisticated capital incentive 4854 04:07:33,199 --> 04:07:38,000 model. We no longer trust in the 4855 04:07:35,760 --> 04:07:41,040 goodness of the user. We trust in 4856 04:07:38,000 --> 04:07:43,439 incentives. We move the tragedy of the 4857 04:07:41,040 --> 04:07:46,640 commons to a system of managed common 4858 04:07:43,439 --> 04:07:49,840 pool resources. In economics, success 4859 04:07:46,640 --> 04:07:52,640 can be as disruptive as failure. By the 4860 04:07:49,840 --> 04:07:55,279 late 2010s, Amsterdam was a victim of 4861 04:07:52,640 --> 04:07:57,760 its own efficiency. With nearly 1 4862 04:07:55,279 --> 04:08:00,479 million bicycles in the city, the urban 4863 04:07:57,760 --> 04:08:03,359 surface had reached a breaking point. 4864 04:08:00,479 --> 04:08:06,640 Every bridge, railing, and sidewalk was 4865 04:08:03,359 --> 04:08:09,199 occupied by idle metal. 4866 04:08:06,640 --> 04:08:12,239 This wasn't just an aesthetic grievance. 4867 04:08:09,199 --> 04:08:14,640 It was an economic bottleneck. Thousands 4868 04:08:12,239 --> 04:08:17,680 of parked bikes were clogging the city's 4869 04:08:14,640 --> 04:08:20,640 arteries, slowing down 200,000 daily 4870 04:08:17,680 --> 04:08:22,800 commuters at Central Station. In one of 4871 04:08:20,640 --> 04:08:25,359 the world's most expensive real estate 4872 04:08:22,800 --> 04:08:27,760 markets, free surface parking is a 4873 04:08:25,359 --> 04:08:30,239 luxury that a functional city cannot 4874 04:08:27,760 --> 04:08:33,680 afford. The opportunity cost of that 4875 04:08:30,239 --> 04:08:36,960 space was becoming too high. To solve 4876 04:08:33,680 --> 04:08:39,920 this, Amsterdam launched the entre, a 4877 04:08:36,960 --> 04:08:42,720 massive urban reconfiguration project. 4878 04:08:39,920 --> 04:08:45,120 The crown jewel, the open haven 4879 04:08:42,720 --> 04:08:48,000 underwater parking. 4880 04:08:45,120 --> 04:08:51,279 Consider that figure. Spending €60 4881 04:08:48,000 --> 04:08:52,800 million just to store 7,000 bicycles 4882 04:08:51,279 --> 04:08:55,199 underwater. 4883 04:08:52,800 --> 04:08:58,319 To a traditional accountant, this looks 4884 04:08:55,199 --> 04:09:01,040 like a massive sunk cost. But to an 4885 04:08:58,319 --> 04:09:04,720 urban economist, it's a master stroke of 4886 04:09:01,040 --> 04:09:07,040 asset management. By moving 7,000 bikes 4887 04:09:04,720 --> 04:09:09,920 beneath the water, the city performed 4888 04:09:07,040 --> 04:09:11,840 open heart surgery on its central hub. 4889 04:09:09,920 --> 04:09:15,199 They reclaimed the surface, restoring 4890 04:09:11,840 --> 04:09:17,520 the landscape to its 1900's aesthetic. 4891 04:09:15,199 --> 04:09:20,800 This isn't just about beauty. It's about 4892 04:09:17,520 --> 04:09:23,040 maximizing pedestrian flow. A station 4893 04:09:20,800 --> 04:09:25,600 that breathes and flows is a station 4894 04:09:23,040 --> 04:09:28,720 that generates higher economic value for 4895 04:09:25,600 --> 04:09:31,680 the surrounding businesses. However, an 4896 04:09:28,720 --> 04:09:33,600 85 million euro asset must be managed 4897 04:09:31,680 --> 04:09:36,479 like a high performance logistics 4898 04:09:33,600 --> 04:09:39,279 center. You cannot allow zombie bikes to 4899 04:09:36,479 --> 04:09:41,279 occupy these slots indefinitely. 4900 04:09:39,279 --> 04:09:44,880 This is where the incentive structure 4901 04:09:41,279 --> 04:09:48,239 comes into play. The primary goal isn't 4902 04:09:44,880 --> 04:09:50,800 profit, it's turnover. By offering the 4903 04:09:48,239 --> 04:09:54,080 first 24 hours for free, the city 4904 04:09:50,800 --> 04:09:56,640 subsidizes the daily workforce. But by 4905 04:09:54,080 --> 04:09:58,640 charging a daily fee thereafter, they 4906 04:09:56,640 --> 04:10:01,600 penalize long-term storage and 4907 04:09:58,640 --> 04:10:03,840 abandonment. Using advanced optical 4908 04:10:01,600 --> 04:10:06,560 sensors, the city monitors idle 4909 04:10:03,840 --> 04:10:09,840 inventory in real time, ensuring that 4910 04:10:06,560 --> 04:10:14,520 these 7,000 slots remain a liquid asset 4911 04:10:09,840 --> 04:10:14,520 for those who keep the economy moving. 4912 04:10:14,560 --> 04:10:19,800 Finally, we must consider the cost of 4913 04:10:16,800 --> 04:10:19,800 friction. 4914 04:10:24,080 --> 04:10:27,080 Transport. 4915 04:10:55,199 --> 04:11:00,000 In transport economics, every second 4916 04:10:57,439 --> 04:11:02,319 lost in a transfer is a loss in human 4917 04:11:00,000 --> 04:11:04,399 capital and productivity. 4918 04:11:02,319 --> 04:11:06,319 This underwater facility connects 4919 04:11:04,399 --> 04:11:09,439 directly to the metro and train 4920 04:11:06,319 --> 04:11:11,760 platforms. A commuter can transition 4921 04:11:09,439 --> 04:11:14,160 from their bicycle to their train seat 4922 04:11:11,760 --> 04:11:16,960 in less than 2 minutes, shielded from 4923 04:11:14,160 --> 04:11:18,960 the elements. This level of intermodel 4924 04:11:16,960 --> 04:11:21,520 synergy is exactly what makes 4925 04:11:18,960 --> 04:11:25,680 Amsterdam's circular economy, currently 4926 04:11:21,520 --> 04:11:28,080 at a record 30.6% circularity rate, a 4927 04:11:25,680 --> 04:11:31,479 functional reality rather than just a 4928 04:11:28,080 --> 04:11:31,479 policy goal. 4929 04:11:54,319 --> 04:11:58,880 But this transition to a highly 4930 04:11:56,080 --> 04:12:01,120 regulated system created its own set of 4931 04:11:58,880 --> 04:12:04,000 problems. Because when you turn a 4932 04:12:01,120 --> 04:12:06,479 bicycle into a valuable economic asset, 4933 04:12:04,000 --> 04:12:09,920 you create something else. A black 4934 04:12:06,479 --> 04:12:12,880 market. In Amsterdam, data doesn't tell 4935 04:12:09,920 --> 04:12:15,600 the whole story. While police record 4936 04:12:12,880 --> 04:12:18,479 11,000 thefts a year, the reality is 4937 04:12:15,600 --> 04:12:21,359 closer to 80,000. 4938 04:12:18,479 --> 04:12:24,000 Most citizens don't report it. Cost of 4939 04:12:21,359 --> 04:12:26,239 time is higher than the bike's value. 4940 04:12:24,000 --> 04:12:28,479 This creates a massive shadow market 4941 04:12:26,239 --> 04:12:31,600 operating entirely outside the official 4942 04:12:28,479 --> 04:12:34,720 GDP. Forget the myth of international 4943 04:12:31,600 --> 04:12:38,399 bike smuggling rings. 4944 04:12:34,720 --> 04:12:40,640 A 2023 study tracking 100 bikes proved 4945 04:12:38,399 --> 04:12:43,760 that stolen assets rarely leave the 4946 04:12:40,640 --> 04:12:46,399 city. Instead, they feed a shadow 4947 04:12:43,760 --> 04:12:48,560 circular economy. Your stolen bike is 4948 04:12:46,399 --> 04:12:51,040 sold to a street dealer and then bought 4949 04:12:48,560 --> 04:12:55,840 by your neighbor. It's a localized, 4950 04:12:51,040 --> 04:12:58,000 untaxed, and illegal closed loop. 4951 04:12:55,840 --> 04:13:00,560 High theft risk creates a market 4952 04:12:58,000 --> 04:13:02,960 distortion. If you expect your bike to 4953 04:13:00,560 --> 04:13:06,800 be stolen within months, you don't buy 4954 04:13:02,960 --> 04:13:09,120 quality, you buy junk. This beta bike 4955 04:13:06,800 --> 04:13:11,760 equilibrium keeps the city's transport 4956 04:13:09,120 --> 04:13:13,680 fleet low quality and forces owners to 4957 04:13:11,760 --> 04:13:15,760 spend more on locks than the bikes 4958 04:13:13,680 --> 04:13:18,479 themselves. 4959 04:13:15,760 --> 04:13:20,880 These aren't victimless crimes. They are 4960 04:13:18,479 --> 04:13:24,800 negative externalities that drain city 4961 04:13:20,880 --> 04:13:27,760 resources. Amsterdam's answer, the Fiat 4962 04:13:24,800 --> 04:13:30,159 depot. Since the city couldn't stop the 4963 04:13:27,760 --> 04:13:33,279 theft, it decided to manage the orphaned 4964 04:13:30,159 --> 04:13:35,840 assets. Because in a circular city, even 4965 04:13:33,279 --> 04:13:37,520 a stolen bike is a resource that must be 4966 04:13:35,840 --> 04:13:40,520 managed to maintain the urban 4967 04:13:37,520 --> 04:13:40,520 metabolism. 4968 04:13:40,880 --> 04:13:45,199 In a city with more bicycles than 4969 04:13:43,040 --> 04:13:46,880 people, orphaned assets are an 4970 04:13:45,199 --> 04:13:48,800 inevitability. 4971 04:13:46,880 --> 04:13:51,840 Every year, thousands of bikes are 4972 04:13:48,800 --> 04:13:54,479 simply left behind. In economic terms, 4973 04:13:51,840 --> 04:13:57,199 this is dead capital. They occupy 4974 04:13:54,479 --> 04:13:59,120 valuable public space, provide zero 4975 04:13:57,199 --> 04:14:00,720 utility, and degrade the urban 4976 04:13:59,120 --> 04:14:02,560 landscape. 4977 04:14:00,720 --> 04:14:05,040 According to official Amsterdam 4978 04:14:02,560 --> 04:14:07,520 regulations, the city must intervene 4979 04:14:05,040 --> 04:14:09,680 when private property interferes with 4980 04:14:07,520 --> 04:14:12,239 public efficiency. 4981 04:14:09,680 --> 04:14:15,199 Whether is an improperly parked bike 4982 04:14:12,239 --> 04:14:17,279 blocking an emergency exit or a wreck 4983 04:14:15,199 --> 04:14:19,520 that is no longer functional, the 4984 04:14:17,279 --> 04:14:23,359 municipality acts as the ultimate 4985 04:14:19,520 --> 04:14:26,159 enforcer of spatial order. 4986 04:14:23,359 --> 04:14:29,760 All seized bicycles are transported to a 4987 04:14:26,159 --> 04:14:32,000 central facility, the Fiat's depot. This 4988 04:14:29,760 --> 04:14:35,120 is a logistical powerhouse that manages 4989 04:14:32,000 --> 04:14:38,000 the city's lost capital. This isn't just 4990 04:14:35,120 --> 04:14:41,600 a pound. It's a sorting facility for the 4991 04:14:38,000 --> 04:14:43,600 city's metal metabolism, the retrieval. 4992 04:14:41,600 --> 04:14:47,760 Owners have around 6 weeks to claim 4993 04:14:43,600 --> 04:14:49,680 their bike for a fee, approximately €25. 4994 04:14:47,760 --> 04:14:52,080 This fee doesn't cover the full 4995 04:14:49,680 --> 04:14:55,359 operational cost, but it serves as a 4996 04:14:52,080 --> 04:14:57,760 user pays tax to discourage abandonment. 4997 04:14:55,359 --> 04:15:00,159 If your bicycle was removed from a city 4998 04:14:57,760 --> 04:15:02,239 parking facility, you will also pay 4999 04:15:00,159 --> 04:15:06,720 €33.75 5000 04:15:02,239 --> 04:15:09,920 parking cost. The sorting only about 25% 5001 04:15:06,720 --> 04:15:12,800 of bikes are ever reclaimed. The rest 5002 04:15:09,920 --> 04:15:14,880 they are classified as waste or asset. 5003 04:15:12,800 --> 04:15:19,600 Here is where the circular economy 5004 04:15:14,880 --> 04:15:22,399 strategy 2020 to 2025 becomes tangible. 5005 04:15:19,600 --> 04:15:27,359 Amsterdam aims to reduce the use of new 5006 04:15:22,399 --> 04:15:30,720 raw materials by 50% by 2030. The Fiat's 5007 04:15:27,359 --> 04:15:32,239 depot doesn't just scrap everything. 5008 04:15:30,720 --> 04:15:34,479 Refurbishment. 5009 04:15:32,239 --> 04:15:37,279 Bikes in decent condition are sold to 5010 04:15:34,479 --> 04:15:39,760 social enterprises or secondhand shops. 5011 04:15:37,279 --> 04:15:41,840 They are recirculated into the economy 5012 04:15:39,760 --> 04:15:44,159 at a low price point, providing 5013 04:15:41,840 --> 04:15:45,920 affordable mobility for lowincome 5014 04:15:44,159 --> 04:15:47,520 residents. 5015 04:15:45,920 --> 04:15:49,920 Education. 5016 04:15:47,520 --> 04:15:52,560 Many are used in vocational training 5017 04:15:49,920 --> 04:15:55,279 programs, turning junk, into a teaching 5018 04:15:52,560 --> 04:15:58,239 tool for future mechanics. Raw 5019 04:15:55,279 --> 04:16:01,120 materials, the unsalvageable ones, are 5020 04:15:58,239 --> 04:16:04,319 sold as highquality scrap metal, feeding 5021 04:16:01,120 --> 04:16:06,239 back into the industrial cycle. 5022 04:16:04,319 --> 04:16:09,680 What we see here is a complete life 5023 04:16:06,239 --> 04:16:11,520 cycle management of a transport mode. 5024 04:16:09,680 --> 04:16:13,520 The biggest challenge for circular 5025 04:16:11,520 --> 04:16:16,159 cities is the lack of effective 5026 04:16:13,520 --> 04:16:18,319 governance mechanisms. Amsterdam 5027 04:16:16,159 --> 04:16:20,880 succeeds because it treats the bicycle 5028 04:16:18,319 --> 04:16:23,279 as a public utility. From the 5029 04:16:20,880 --> 04:16:25,840 multi-million euro investment under the 5030 04:16:23,279 --> 04:16:27,680 water to the scrap metal in the harbor, 5031 04:16:25,840 --> 04:16:32,359 the city manages the entire 5032 04:16:27,680 --> 04:16:32,359 cradletograve cycle of the bicycle. 5033 04:16:34,239 --> 04:16:38,800 Amsterdam is no longer just building 5034 04:16:36,399 --> 04:16:42,399 bike lanes. It is building a new 5035 04:16:38,800 --> 04:16:45,680 economic DNA. The city has set a target 5036 04:16:42,399 --> 04:16:51,080 that many economists call impossible to 5037 04:16:45,680 --> 04:16:51,080 be 100% circular by 2050. 5038 04:16:51,920 --> 04:16:57,520 This means that by midentury, every gram 5039 04:16:54,720 --> 04:17:00,080 of steel in a bicycle and every stone in 5040 04:16:57,520 --> 04:17:01,359 a bridge must stay within the economic 5041 04:17:00,080 --> 04:17:04,159 loop. 5042 04:17:01,359 --> 04:17:07,359 The take, make, waste model will be 5043 04:17:04,159 --> 04:17:10,159 extinct. For Amsterdam, the bicycle is 5044 04:17:07,359 --> 04:17:13,199 the alpha product. The test case for how 5045 04:17:10,159 --> 04:17:16,479 a city can move, consume, and recycle 5046 04:17:13,199 --> 04:17:19,680 without depleting the planet's capital. 5047 04:17:16,479 --> 04:17:21,920 To reach 100% circularity, the concept 5048 04:17:19,680 --> 04:17:25,199 of private ownership is being challenged 5049 04:17:21,920 --> 04:17:27,840 by a more efficient model, product as a 5050 04:17:25,199 --> 04:17:29,920 service. You don't buy the bike, you 5051 04:17:27,840 --> 04:17:31,760 rent the mobility. 5052 04:17:29,920 --> 04:17:33,359 So we talk a lot about ownership as a 5053 04:17:31,760 --> 04:17:36,399 service, but it's this idea of, you 5054 04:17:33,359 --> 04:17:38,800 know, something as a service. So in our 5055 04:17:36,399 --> 04:17:40,800 case, bike as a service. It's all of the 5056 04:17:38,800 --> 04:17:42,479 benefits of ownership, but none of the 5057 04:17:40,800 --> 04:17:44,479 drawbacks. So none of having to deal 5058 04:17:42,479 --> 04:17:46,080 with the maintenance or or any of the 5059 04:17:44,479 --> 04:17:47,040 things that come with actually owning 5060 04:17:46,080 --> 04:17:49,359 something. 5061 04:17:47,040 --> 04:17:52,319 >> Economically, this aligns the incentives 5062 04:17:49,359 --> 04:17:55,120 of the producer and the consumer. If the 5063 04:17:52,319 --> 04:17:57,840 bike breaks, it's the company's problem, 5064 04:17:55,120 --> 04:17:59,600 not yours. by centralizing all of that 5065 04:17:57,840 --> 04:18:02,399 maintenance obviously we cut cost 5066 04:17:59,600 --> 04:18:05,279 significantly we cut waste significantly 5067 04:18:02,399 --> 04:18:07,120 um but for the individual user um they 5068 04:18:05,279 --> 04:18:08,560 have nothing to worry about you know as 5069 04:18:07,120 --> 04:18:10,000 a subscriber you get all of your 5070 04:18:08,560 --> 04:18:12,000 maintenance so we come and do 5071 04:18:10,000 --> 04:18:13,920 preventative maintenance so first of all 5072 04:18:12,000 --> 04:18:16,080 that obviously reduced the cost um 5073 04:18:13,920 --> 04:18:18,080 overall not so much to the end user but 5074 04:18:16,080 --> 04:18:20,159 the cost of the business um that 5075 04:18:18,080 --> 04:18:23,040 prevents breakdowns and things like that 5076 04:18:20,159 --> 04:18:25,840 but in the end if you think about um the 5077 04:18:23,040 --> 04:18:27,439 cost of time the cost of effort um maybe 5078 04:18:25,840 --> 04:18:29,359 you don't even know how to maintain your 5079 04:18:27,439 --> 04:18:31,120 own bike. Um, having a service that does 5080 04:18:29,359 --> 04:18:32,399 all of that for you is just a a matter 5081 04:18:31,120 --> 04:18:35,040 of convenience. 5082 04:18:32,399 --> 04:18:38,080 >> This forces manufacturers to design for 5083 04:18:35,040 --> 04:18:41,040 durability and modularity, the core 5084 04:18:38,080 --> 04:18:43,279 pillars of this circular economy. When 5085 04:18:41,040 --> 04:18:45,359 the city manages the flow and private 5086 04:18:43,279 --> 04:18:48,319 companies manage the maintenance, the 5087 04:18:45,359 --> 04:18:51,279 shadow economy of theft we saw in act 5088 04:18:48,319 --> 04:18:52,800 three begins to shrink. So, if you 5089 04:18:51,279 --> 04:18:54,319 subscribe to a bike from Clover and your 5090 04:18:52,800 --> 04:18:55,840 bike gets stolen, first of all, we 5091 04:18:54,319 --> 04:18:58,000 actually probably will notice that it 5092 04:18:55,840 --> 04:19:00,479 got stolen, maybe even before you did, 5093 04:18:58,000 --> 04:19:02,560 because we have GPS on all the bikes. 5094 04:19:00,479 --> 04:19:04,640 Um, but if it does get stolen, you use 5095 04:19:02,560 --> 04:19:06,080 our WhatsApp chat. You basically send us 5096 04:19:04,640 --> 04:19:08,640 a message and we come and bring you a 5097 04:19:06,080 --> 04:19:11,120 new bike immediately. Why steal a bike 5098 04:19:08,640 --> 04:19:13,439 that is tracked, branded, and has no 5099 04:19:11,120 --> 04:19:15,840 resale value in a subscription-based 5100 04:19:13,439 --> 04:19:17,600 market? 5101 04:19:15,840 --> 04:19:20,080 So, what is the final return on 5102 04:19:17,600 --> 04:19:23,840 investment? Let's look at the triple 5103 04:19:20,080 --> 04:19:26,239 bottom line. Public health. By avoiding 5104 04:19:23,840 --> 04:19:28,880 11,000 deaths annually through active 5105 04:19:26,239 --> 04:19:32,319 transport, the Dutch economy saves 19 5106 04:19:28,880 --> 04:19:35,760 billion in healthcare costs. 5107 04:19:32,319 --> 04:19:38,399 Urban density. By utilizing underwater 5108 04:19:35,760 --> 04:19:40,640 parking and vertical depots, Amsterdam 5109 04:19:38,399 --> 04:19:42,960 maintains a population density that 5110 04:19:40,640 --> 04:19:46,080 would be impossible with cars, keeping 5111 04:19:42,960 --> 04:19:49,439 real estate productivity at peak levels. 5112 04:19:46,080 --> 04:19:52,000 Resource independence. By reclaiming 5113 04:19:49,439 --> 04:19:54,640 metal from the Fiats depot, the city 5114 04:19:52,000 --> 04:19:57,359 insulates itself from global commodity 5115 04:19:54,640 --> 04:20:00,560 price shocks. This is a sustainable 5116 04:19:57,359 --> 04:20:02,800 urban metabolism. The city isn't just a 5117 04:20:00,560 --> 04:20:05,279 place where people live. It's a living 5118 04:20:02,800 --> 04:20:07,760 organism that processes resources with 5119 04:20:05,279 --> 04:20:10,000 maximum efficiency. 5120 04:20:07,760 --> 04:20:12,399 Amsterdam's success has sent a clear 5121 04:20:10,000 --> 04:20:14,640 message to the rest of the continent. 5122 04:20:12,399 --> 04:20:17,439 Spatial efficiency is the only way 5123 04:20:14,640 --> 04:20:19,920 forward for the modern metropolis. 5124 04:20:17,439 --> 04:20:21,920 Across Europe, the bicycle has moved 5125 04:20:19,920 --> 04:20:24,080 from being a leisure tool to a 5126 04:20:21,920 --> 04:20:26,239 cornerstone of urban recovery and 5127 04:20:24,080 --> 04:20:28,960 economic resilience. 5128 04:20:26,239 --> 04:20:32,000 In Paris, a city once defined by its 5129 04:20:28,960 --> 04:20:34,560 congestion, the plan is investing 5130 04:20:32,000 --> 04:20:38,000 hundreds of millions to become 100% 5131 04:20:34,560 --> 04:20:40,319 cyclable. In Barcelona, the super blocks 5132 04:20:38,000 --> 04:20:44,720 are reclaiming entire intersections from 5133 04:20:40,319 --> 04:20:46,319 cars to create human centric lungs. 5134 04:20:44,720 --> 04:20:49,920 These aren't just environmental 5135 04:20:46,319 --> 04:20:52,319 projects. They are market corrections. 5136 04:20:49,920 --> 04:20:54,880 The cities are betting that a quieter, 5137 04:20:52,319 --> 04:20:57,279 cleaner, and more agile urban center 5138 04:20:54,880 --> 04:21:00,159 will attract more talent, more tourism, 5139 04:20:57,279 --> 04:21:02,720 and higher property values. 5140 04:21:00,159 --> 04:21:05,279 From the cycle superighways of London to 5141 04:21:02,720 --> 04:21:08,319 the industrial hubs of Germany, the 5142 04:21:05,279 --> 04:21:11,600 economic logic is consistent. Replacing 5143 04:21:08,319 --> 04:21:14,000 a 1 and 12 ton vehicle with a 15 kg 5144 04:21:11,600 --> 04:21:16,000 machine reduces the cost of maintenance 5145 04:21:14,000 --> 04:21:18,880 for the city and increases the 5146 04:21:16,000 --> 04:21:20,960 productivity of the citizen. 5147 04:21:18,880 --> 04:21:23,279 But while northern capitals have the 5148 04:21:20,960 --> 04:21:26,080 advantage of decades of infrastructure, 5149 04:21:23,279 --> 04:21:28,080 the real test is happening in the south. 5150 04:21:26,080 --> 04:21:30,319 In the Mediterranean, where the street 5151 04:21:28,080 --> 04:21:32,640 is a social space and the sun is a 5152 04:21:30,319 --> 04:21:35,279 constant resource, a new leader is 5153 04:21:32,640 --> 04:21:37,760 emerging. A city that has used the 5154 04:21:35,279 --> 04:21:41,560 Amsterdam blueprint to transform itself 5155 04:21:37,760 --> 04:21:41,560 at record speed. 5156 04:21:47,520 --> 04:21:50,520 Fore 5157 04:22:08,399 --> 04:22:11,399 speech. 5158 04:22:44,720 --> 04:22:50,760 If Amsterdam is the blueprint, Valencia 5159 04:22:47,279 --> 04:22:50,760 is the laboratory. 5160 04:22:51,840 --> 04:22:54,840 Okay. 5161 04:23:12,880 --> 04:23:16,120 I could just 5162 04:23:31,520 --> 04:23:33,760 start 5163 04:23:34,479 --> 04:23:38,640 In less than a decade, this 5164 04:23:36,159 --> 04:23:41,120 Mediterranean city has transitioned from 5165 04:23:38,640 --> 04:23:45,239 a carcentric capital to a global 5166 04:23:41,120 --> 04:23:45,239 reference in urban metabolism. 5167 04:24:06,880 --> 04:24:12,479 Valencia's transformation wasn't a 5168 04:24:09,199 --> 04:24:14,640 matter of vibes or romanticism. It was a 5169 04:24:12,479 --> 04:24:16,239 calculated investment in spatial 5170 04:24:14,640 --> 04:24:18,399 efficiency. 5171 04:24:16,239 --> 04:24:20,000 >> I think attracting top global talent 5172 04:24:18,399 --> 04:24:21,840 means that you need to have a vibrant, 5173 04:24:20,000 --> 04:24:23,920 livable city. And I think most young 5174 04:24:21,840 --> 04:24:26,000 people um particularly who are coming 5175 04:24:23,920 --> 04:24:28,159 into the workforce now are looking for 5176 04:24:26,000 --> 04:24:30,640 ways to get around a city that doesn't 5177 04:24:28,159 --> 04:24:33,199 rely on public transit. They don't want 5178 04:24:30,640 --> 04:24:35,120 to own a car um because car ownership is 5179 04:24:33,199 --> 04:24:37,439 a total burden. Having to find parking, 5180 04:24:35,120 --> 04:24:38,960 insurance, cost of the car, all of that. 5181 04:24:37,439 --> 04:24:41,199 So having this accessible 5182 04:24:38,960 --> 04:24:43,600 infrastructure, cycling infrastructure 5183 04:24:41,199 --> 04:24:45,279 specifically and in a city like Valencia 5184 04:24:43,600 --> 04:24:47,439 that you know already has a lot of 5185 04:24:45,279 --> 04:24:50,239 reasons to attract top talent just makes 5186 04:24:47,439 --> 04:24:51,920 it that much better. Um, cycling is a 5187 04:24:50,239 --> 04:24:53,279 preferred way to get around in Valencia. 5188 04:24:51,920 --> 04:24:55,439 We're number seven in the world for 5189 04:24:53,279 --> 04:24:57,920 cycling to work, for example. So, adding 5190 04:24:55,439 --> 04:25:00,319 a layer of an easy subscription ebike 5191 04:24:57,920 --> 04:25:03,359 service to that just again attracts even 5192 04:25:00,319 --> 04:25:06,399 more um top talent to the city. 5193 04:25:03,359 --> 04:25:08,479 >> By implementing the Anilo Crista, the 5194 04:25:06,399 --> 04:25:11,279 city has reclaimed high value public 5195 04:25:08,479 --> 04:25:13,760 space to boost local commerce and reduce 5196 04:25:11,279 --> 04:25:15,760 the toxic liability of the car. It's 5197 04:25:13,760 --> 04:25:17,520 important to remember that um often 5198 04:25:15,760 --> 04:25:19,199 times with cars, although they can fit 5199 04:25:17,520 --> 04:25:21,199 multiple people, most of the time it's 5200 04:25:19,199 --> 04:25:22,880 one person per one car. So when we're 5201 04:25:21,199 --> 04:25:24,880 asking about, you know, 10 bikes versus 5202 04:25:22,880 --> 04:25:27,120 one car, we're essentially saying 10 5203 04:25:24,880 --> 04:25:28,880 people versus one person. So we have a 5204 04:25:27,120 --> 04:25:30,319 10x multiplier on essentially everything 5205 04:25:28,880 --> 04:25:31,760 that's happening on that street, whether 5206 04:25:30,319 --> 04:25:33,520 that be visits to businesses, whether 5207 04:25:31,760 --> 04:25:35,040 that be transactions and purchases. 5208 04:25:33,520 --> 04:25:36,880 Everything gets that 10x multiplier and 5209 04:25:35,040 --> 04:25:39,359 increases revenue for the whole street. 5210 04:25:36,880 --> 04:25:41,760 In economics, this is the optimization 5211 04:25:39,359 --> 04:25:43,920 of land use. the same principle that 5212 04:25:41,760 --> 04:25:44,800 drove Amsterdam to build under its 5213 04:25:43,920 --> 04:25:46,640 canals. 5214 04:25:44,800 --> 04:25:49,439 >> If I'm cycling and I pass by, for 5215 04:25:46,640 --> 04:25:50,960 example, a bakery, I go, I smell that 5216 04:25:49,439 --> 04:25:52,479 bakery, I go, "Oh, you know what? Maybe 5217 04:25:50,960 --> 04:25:54,399 I'm going to stop in try something one 5218 04:25:52,479 --> 04:25:55,439 of those products." Um, you know, 5219 04:25:54,399 --> 04:25:56,800 essentially become a patron of that 5220 04:25:55,439 --> 04:25:58,080 business. Whereas, if I'm passing by in 5221 04:25:56,800 --> 04:26:00,640 a car, there's no chance of that 5222 04:25:58,080 --> 04:26:02,399 happening. And the other benefit is um 5223 04:26:00,640 --> 04:26:04,239 car parking also has this sort of 5224 04:26:02,399 --> 04:26:05,920 psychological effect on the streets and 5225 04:26:04,239 --> 04:26:07,600 the people that live there. Car parking 5226 04:26:05,920 --> 04:26:09,680 makes the space feel a lot more closed 5227 04:26:07,600 --> 04:26:11,120 in and a lot more cramped than bike 5228 04:26:09,680 --> 04:26:12,319 parking, which keeps the space very nice 5229 04:26:11,120 --> 04:26:14,239 and open. 5230 04:26:12,319 --> 04:26:17,120 >> Emerging businesses are shifting the 5231 04:26:14,239 --> 04:26:19,279 market from ownership to usership. 5232 04:26:17,120 --> 04:26:20,960 >> You know, our customers, they depend on 5233 04:26:19,279 --> 04:26:23,359 their bikes as a reliable way to get 5234 04:26:20,960 --> 04:26:25,840 around and so we use an ownership as a 5235 04:26:23,359 --> 04:26:28,080 service model. So instead of owning the 5236 04:26:25,840 --> 04:26:29,920 asset yourself, um you subscribe to it 5237 04:26:28,080 --> 04:26:31,600 from us and we think that's what 5238 04:26:29,920 --> 04:26:33,520 customers need in terms of reliable 5239 04:26:31,600 --> 04:26:36,159 day-to-day transportation. If you look 5240 04:26:33,520 --> 04:26:38,800 at something like Lime or Valon BC, they 5241 04:26:36,159 --> 04:26:41,199 will have that idle asset problem. Um, 5242 04:26:38,800 --> 04:26:43,040 and certainly ownership obviously the 5243 04:26:41,199 --> 04:26:45,439 same thing. But with us, you know, 5244 04:26:43,040 --> 04:26:47,279 handling maintenance, battery swapping, 5245 04:26:45,439 --> 04:26:49,600 theft protection, insurance, all of 5246 04:26:47,279 --> 04:26:51,439 that. Um, and yet still having access to 5247 04:26:49,600 --> 04:26:52,000 the bike anytime you want. It's your 5248 04:26:51,439 --> 04:26:54,479 bike. 5249 04:26:52,000 --> 04:26:56,800 >> Subscription models like swap fiats, 5250 04:26:54,479 --> 04:26:59,600 which already dominate the Dutch market, 5251 04:26:56,800 --> 04:27:01,920 are landing in Valencia. These companies 5252 04:26:59,600 --> 04:27:03,840 treat the bike as a service, covering 5253 04:27:01,920 --> 04:27:04,960 all maintenance and repairs for a 5254 04:27:03,840 --> 04:27:06,640 monthly fee. 5255 04:27:04,960 --> 04:27:08,720 >> Ownership isn't necessarily a bad 5256 04:27:06,640 --> 04:27:10,479 investment, but I think um most 5257 04:27:08,720 --> 04:27:11,840 consumers are moving away from owning 5258 04:27:10,479 --> 04:27:13,600 things. You know, people are leasing 5259 04:27:11,840 --> 04:27:16,319 their cars, people are, you know, more 5260 04:27:13,600 --> 04:27:18,319 and more renting their homes. Um so for 5261 04:27:16,319 --> 04:27:20,640 us, a subscription model made sense that 5262 04:27:18,319 --> 04:27:22,640 and affordability. This eliminates the 5263 04:27:20,640 --> 04:27:25,600 fear of theft and long-term 5264 04:27:22,640 --> 04:27:27,840 depreciation, turning the bicycle into a 5265 04:27:25,600 --> 04:27:31,120 predictable, low- friction utility for 5266 04:27:27,840 --> 04:27:34,080 the modern worker. The impact extends to 5267 04:27:31,120 --> 04:27:36,000 logistics. In Valencia's historic 5268 04:27:34,080 --> 04:27:38,399 center, where large trucks are 5269 04:27:36,000 --> 04:27:40,960 increasingly restricted, last mile 5270 04:27:38,399 --> 04:27:43,359 delivery by cargo bike is becoming the 5271 04:27:40,960 --> 04:27:46,399 gold standard for efficiency. We are 5272 04:27:43,359 --> 04:27:48,640 witnessing the birth of microhubs, small 5273 04:27:46,399 --> 04:27:51,279 urban distribution centers that allow 5274 04:27:48,640 --> 04:27:54,159 for zero emission high-speed delivery in 5275 04:27:51,279 --> 04:27:56,479 highdensity zones. From the massive 5276 04:27:54,159 --> 04:27:58,479 underwater investments in Amsterdam to 5277 04:27:56,479 --> 04:28:01,680 the emerging subscription models in 5278 04:27:58,479 --> 04:28:04,640 Valencia, the message is clear. The 5279 04:28:01,680 --> 04:28:07,199 bicycle is no longer just a hobby. It is 5280 04:28:04,640 --> 04:28:09,040 a financial instrument and a spatial 5281 04:28:07,199 --> 04:28:10,159 optimizer. 5282 04:28:09,040 --> 04:28:12,560 You know, when we were speaking to 5283 04:28:10,159 --> 04:28:14,880 consumers about how we could get them to 5284 04:28:12,560 --> 04:28:16,800 switch from a car to an ebike, it was 5285 04:28:14,880 --> 04:28:18,960 all about convenience. So, it was about 5286 04:28:16,800 --> 04:28:20,960 this idea that, you know, with a car, 5287 04:28:18,960 --> 04:28:22,720 you can go point A to point B whenever 5288 04:28:20,960 --> 04:28:24,800 you want. You're not relying on public 5289 04:28:22,720 --> 04:28:26,880 transit or any of those things. But if 5290 04:28:24,800 --> 04:28:28,560 you need gas, you go to a gas station, 5291 04:28:26,880 --> 04:28:30,880 it takes 5 minutes, and you're back on 5292 04:28:28,560 --> 04:28:32,720 your way. People perceived ebikes as 5293 04:28:30,880 --> 04:28:34,239 inconvenient because, oh, what if I 5294 04:28:32,720 --> 04:28:36,319 forget to charge the battery? Then it's 5295 04:28:34,239 --> 04:28:38,560 just kind of a very heavy paper weight. 5296 04:28:36,319 --> 04:28:40,159 Um, but if we eliminate that need for 5297 04:28:38,560 --> 04:28:42,640 charging and people can just come and 5298 04:28:40,159 --> 04:28:44,720 collect a charge battery anytime, um, it 5299 04:28:42,640 --> 04:28:47,439 helps break that barrier to entry for 5300 04:28:44,720 --> 04:28:49,520 getting out of a car. By integrating 5301 04:28:47,439 --> 04:28:52,080 these new business models with public 5302 04:28:49,520 --> 04:28:55,040 planning, Valencia is securing its place 5303 04:28:52,080 --> 04:28:57,760 in the 21st century economy. Proving 5304 04:28:55,040 --> 04:29:01,199 that a dense functional city isn't just 5305 04:28:57,760 --> 04:29:03,040 a choice, it's a competitive necessity. 5306 04:29:01,199 --> 04:29:05,040 >> Ultimately, private car ownership is 5307 04:29:03,040 --> 04:29:06,640 going to become obsolete. Cities are 5308 04:29:05,040 --> 04:29:08,319 building for pedestrians. They're 5309 04:29:06,640 --> 04:29:10,880 building for cycling. They're building 5310 04:29:08,319 --> 04:29:12,880 for livability, not for cars. 5311 04:29:10,880 --> 04:29:14,960 >> Throughout this documentary, we have 5312 04:29:12,880 --> 04:29:18,080 seen the gears of a massive economic 5313 04:29:14,960 --> 04:29:20,960 machine. But there is a final myth we 5314 04:29:18,080 --> 04:29:23,359 must dismantle. The idea that cities 5315 04:29:20,960 --> 04:29:25,840 like Amsterdam or Valencia look like 5316 04:29:23,359 --> 04:29:28,399 this because their citizens are simply 5317 04:29:25,840 --> 04:29:32,159 different. History tells a different 5318 04:29:28,399 --> 04:29:34,080 story. In the 1970s, Amsterdam was on 5319 04:29:32,159 --> 04:29:36,720 the verge of becoming another car 5320 04:29:34,080 --> 04:29:39,279 ccentric congested metropolis. 5321 04:29:36,720 --> 04:29:42,000 The transition we see today wasn't a 5322 04:29:39,279 --> 04:29:44,640 natural evolution of culture. It was a 5323 04:29:42,000 --> 04:29:47,439 hostile takeover of urban space by a 5324 04:29:44,640 --> 04:29:50,239 policy and planning. When a city reaches 5325 04:29:47,439 --> 04:29:52,319 a certain density, freedom of choice in 5326 04:29:50,239 --> 04:29:55,120 transport becomes a mathematical 5327 04:29:52,319 --> 04:29:58,479 impossibility. If everyone chooses a 5328 04:29:55,120 --> 04:30:01,439 car, no one moves. In this high stakes 5329 04:29:58,479 --> 04:30:04,159 environment, planning is not an option. 5330 04:30:01,439 --> 04:30:07,040 It is the only way to survive. What is 5331 04:30:04,159 --> 04:30:10,239 the ultimate harvest of this planning? 5332 04:30:07,040 --> 04:30:12,720 It is the 3% GDP boost we mentioned at 5333 04:30:10,239 --> 04:30:14,319 the start. But it's also found in the 5334 04:30:12,720 --> 04:30:17,520 margins, 5335 04:30:14,319 --> 04:30:19,359 the fiscal savings by avoiding the need 5336 04:30:17,520 --> 04:30:21,840 for multi-billion euro highway 5337 04:30:19,359 --> 04:30:24,800 expansions and massive health care costs 5338 04:30:21,840 --> 04:30:27,840 related to sedentary lifestyles. 5339 04:30:24,800 --> 04:30:30,080 The resilience factor by creating a 5340 04:30:27,840 --> 04:30:32,960 circular metropolis that can process its 5341 04:30:30,080 --> 04:30:34,960 own waste at the Kruu depot and turn it 5342 04:30:32,960 --> 04:30:38,080 back into capital. 5343 04:30:34,960 --> 04:30:40,239 The talent magnet in the global war for 5344 04:30:38,080 --> 04:30:43,520 talent. Highly skilled workers choose 5345 04:30:40,239 --> 04:30:45,760 cities based on livability. Amsterdam's 5346 04:30:43,520 --> 04:30:48,399 bicycle infrastructure is its most 5347 04:30:45,760 --> 04:30:50,239 effective recruitment tool. We started 5348 04:30:48,399 --> 04:30:53,520 this journey looking at a simple 5349 04:30:50,239 --> 04:30:56,080 machine, two wheels and a frame. But as 5350 04:30:53,520 --> 04:30:59,040 we've seen, the bicycle in Amsterdam is 5351 04:30:56,080 --> 04:31:01,680 much more than a transport mode. It is a 5352 04:30:59,040 --> 04:31:04,640 financial instrument. It is a spatial 5353 04:31:01,680 --> 04:31:07,520 optimizer. It is the invisible engine 5354 04:31:04,640 --> 04:31:11,520 that allows a medieval city to function 5355 04:31:07,520 --> 04:31:14,479 as a 21st century economic powerhouse. 5356 04:31:11,520 --> 04:31:16,960 The €85 million spent on underwater 5357 04:31:14,479 --> 04:31:20,000 tunnels, the complex logistics of the 5358 04:31:16,960 --> 04:31:23,199 Kruquest Depo, or the new Mediterranean 5359 04:31:20,000 --> 04:31:26,479 bike lanes are not costs. They are 5360 04:31:23,199 --> 04:31:28,960 investments in resilience. 5361 04:31:26,479 --> 04:31:31,199 In a world of rising energy prices and 5362 04:31:28,960 --> 04:31:34,239 shrinking urban space, the Amsterdam 5363 04:31:31,199 --> 04:31:36,399 model offers a glimpse into the future. 5364 04:31:34,239 --> 04:31:39,120 It proves that the most sophisticated 5365 04:31:36,399 --> 04:31:41,840 technology isn't always a new gadget. 5366 04:31:39,120 --> 04:31:45,199 Sometimes it's the perfect integration 5367 04:31:41,840 --> 04:31:48,199 of an old idea into a new circular 5368 04:31:45,199 --> 04:31:48,199 world. 5369 04:32:48,640 --> 04:32:51,640 Imagine 5370 04:33:04,080 --> 04:33:07,840 for a moment, what if your Bitcoin 5371 04:33:06,080 --> 04:33:09,920 holdings could purchase more than just 5372 04:33:07,840 --> 04:33:12,480 everyday items like coffee or the latest 5373 04:33:09,920 --> 04:33:14,320 gadgets? What if that digital currency 5374 04:33:12,480 --> 04:33:16,799 sitting in your wallet could actually 5375 04:33:14,320 --> 04:33:21,561 buy you a house or perhaps even an 5376 04:33:16,799 --> 04:33:21,561 entire commercial building? real estate. 5377 04:33:31,199 --> 04:33:35,279 Welcome to the fascinating and rapidly 5378 04:33:33,199 --> 04:33:37,039 evolving world of crypto real estate 5379 04:33:35,279 --> 04:33:41,639 where digital assets are being 5380 04:33:37,039 --> 04:33:41,639 transformed into tangible property. 5381 04:33:45,520 --> 04:33:48,719 Today, we're taking a deep dive into the 5382 04:33:47,520 --> 04:33:50,719 revolutionary intersection of 5383 04:33:48,719 --> 04:33:53,199 cryptocurrency and property ownership, 5384 04:33:50,719 --> 04:33:55,520 examining in detail how Bitcoin is 5385 04:33:53,199 --> 04:33:57,439 successfully transforming what were once 5386 04:33:55,520 --> 04:33:59,600 purely digital coins into tangible 5387 04:33:57,439 --> 04:34:01,119 physical real estate investments. 5388 04:33:59,600 --> 04:34:03,119 Whether you're an experienced crypto 5389 04:34:01,119 --> 04:34:05,039 investor looking to diversify your 5390 04:34:03,119 --> 04:34:06,719 portfolio or simply someone who's 5391 04:34:05,039 --> 04:34:08,959 curious about emerging trends in 5392 04:34:06,719 --> 04:34:10,799 property markets, this is an in-depth 5393 04:34:08,959 --> 04:34:12,400 look at how the landscape and future of 5394 04:34:10,799 --> 04:34:14,561 real estate transactions is 5395 04:34:12,400 --> 04:34:17,119 fundamentally evolving and changing 5396 04:34:14,561 --> 04:34:19,199 before our eyes. 5397 04:34:17,119 --> 04:34:21,119 The financial world is in constant 5398 04:34:19,199 --> 04:34:23,119 transformation, but in this decade, 5399 04:34:21,119 --> 04:34:26,561 digitalization has accelerated that 5400 04:34:23,119 --> 04:34:29,439 change faster than anyone imagined. 5401 04:34:26,561 --> 04:34:31,600 Today, money, investments, and assets 5402 04:34:29,439 --> 04:34:34,320 flow through codes silent, transparent, 5403 04:34:31,600 --> 04:34:37,119 and borderless. Cryptocurrencies led by 5404 04:34:34,320 --> 04:34:39,039 Bitcoin mark the beginning of a new era. 5405 04:34:37,119 --> 04:34:40,799 They shook the foundations of the global 5406 04:34:39,039 --> 04:34:43,600 financial system, sparking both 5407 04:34:40,799 --> 04:34:46,320 excitement and skepticism. Yet, behind 5408 04:34:43,600 --> 04:34:50,520 that phenomenon emerged something even 5409 04:34:46,320 --> 04:34:50,520 deeper. Tokenization. 5410 04:34:52,639 --> 04:34:55,639 Contraos, 5411 04:35:11,520 --> 04:35:15,080 real world assets. 5412 04:35:35,199 --> 04:35:37,279 Moment. 5413 04:35:47,439 --> 04:35:51,439 tokenization brings. So it's the most 5414 04:35:48,879 --> 04:35:53,039 suitable, most modern ledger technology 5415 04:35:51,439 --> 04:35:53,680 uh ideal for modernizing capital 5416 04:35:53,039 --> 04:35:56,959 markets. 5417 04:35:53,680 --> 04:35:58,959 >> The idea is simple, the impact enormous. 5418 04:35:56,959 --> 04:36:01,600 Each token represents a fraction of an 5419 04:35:58,959 --> 04:36:03,520 asset, a share, a bond, a property, or 5420 04:36:01,600 --> 04:36:05,680 even a work of art. All recorded on a 5421 04:36:03,520 --> 04:36:08,680 blockchain, a global tamper proof 5422 04:36:05,680 --> 04:36:08,680 ledger. 5423 04:36:25,840 --> 04:36:29,240 Smart contracts. 5424 04:36:43,520 --> 04:36:47,439 We believe the next step going forward 5425 04:36:45,359 --> 04:36:51,119 will be the tokenization of financial 5426 04:36:47,439 --> 04:36:53,359 assets. And that means every stock, 5427 04:36:51,119 --> 04:36:56,160 every bond will have its own basically 5428 04:36:53,359 --> 04:36:58,639 QIP. It'll be on one general ledger. 5429 04:36:56,160 --> 04:37:01,119 >> In other words, a token isn't just an 5430 04:36:58,639 --> 04:37:03,520 asset. It's a digital entry in a new 5431 04:37:01,119 --> 04:37:05,840 kind of ledger that is rewriting how 5432 04:37:03,520 --> 04:37:08,080 capital markets keep their books. 5433 04:37:05,840 --> 04:37:09,600 Investment in tokenized real estates 5434 04:37:08,080 --> 04:37:11,840 represents one of the most recent 5435 04:37:09,600 --> 04:37:14,080 advancements in the property industry. 5436 04:37:11,840 --> 04:37:16,561 Tokenization enables houses and 5437 04:37:14,080 --> 04:37:20,600 apartments to be divided and sold and 5438 04:37:16,561 --> 04:37:20,600 numerous smaller units. 5439 04:37:29,760 --> 04:37:32,000 Fraction. 5440 04:37:41,760 --> 04:37:45,639 Fraction. 5441 04:37:42,639 --> 04:37:45,639 different. 5442 04:38:06,959 --> 04:38:11,279 Small programs act like a bridge between 5443 04:38:08,799 --> 04:38:13,119 a property and online trading platform. 5444 04:38:11,279 --> 04:38:14,561 Hence tokens create a digital 5445 04:38:13,119 --> 04:38:18,920 representation of a property 5446 04:38:14,561 --> 04:38:18,920 facilitating its digital transfer. 5447 04:38:20,400 --> 04:38:24,240 The process of purchasing a property is 5448 04:38:22,561 --> 04:38:26,719 still associated with significant 5449 04:38:24,240 --> 04:38:29,119 bureaucracy, lengthy procedures and 5450 04:38:26,719 --> 04:38:32,480 subsequent high costs. 5451 04:38:29,119 --> 04:38:34,879 So what exactly is crypto real estate? 5452 04:38:32,480 --> 04:38:37,119 At its core, the term refers to any real 5453 04:38:34,879 --> 04:38:40,000 estate transaction where cryptocurrency 5454 04:38:37,119 --> 04:38:42,480 plays a major role, either as a direct 5455 04:38:40,000 --> 04:38:46,760 form of payment, a converted asset, or 5456 04:38:42,480 --> 04:38:46,760 collateral for purchasing property. 5457 04:38:54,240 --> 04:38:57,240 Bitcoins 5458 04:39:14,160 --> 04:39:18,359 Crypto reference loans. 5459 04:39:38,000 --> 04:39:42,958 But the concept goes even deeper than 5460 04:39:40,718 --> 04:39:44,878 that. Crypto real estate includes buying 5461 04:39:42,958 --> 04:39:46,958 a home directly with Bitcoin or other 5462 04:39:44,878 --> 04:39:50,080 cryptocurrencies, using stable coins 5463 04:39:46,958 --> 04:39:53,040 like USDT or USDC for a more stable 5464 04:39:50,080 --> 04:39:54,958 purchase, converting crypto into fiat at 5465 04:39:53,040 --> 04:39:56,400 closing, taking out loans backed by 5466 04:39:54,958 --> 04:39:58,160 cryptocurrency to purchase real 5467 04:39:56,400 --> 04:40:00,080 property, tokenized real estate where 5468 04:39:58,160 --> 04:40:01,760 ownership is fractionalized into digital 5469 04:40:00,080 --> 04:40:03,440 token, blockchain based property 5470 04:40:01,760 --> 04:40:06,440 records, and smart contract driven 5471 04:40:03,440 --> 04:40:06,440 transactions. 5472 04:40:18,560 --> 04:40:21,958 Stable coins. 5473 04:40:35,200 --> 04:40:38,600 Stable coins. 5474 04:40:47,360 --> 04:40:52,760 EMT. E A R Tther 5475 04:41:00,958 --> 04:41:05,080 U USDT 5476 04:41:08,878 --> 04:41:11,878 USDC 5477 04:41:24,320 --> 04:41:27,320 US 5478 04:41:31,680 --> 04:41:35,160 stable coinry. 5479 04:41:55,920 --> 04:41:58,920 for 5480 04:42:17,920 --> 04:42:21,320 stable coins. 5481 04:42:27,360 --> 04:42:31,760 It's an evolution in how value moves 5482 04:42:29,600 --> 04:42:33,920 around the world. And for the first 5483 04:42:31,760 --> 04:42:38,080 time, digital wealth is becoming a 5484 04:42:33,920 --> 04:42:38,080 direct pathway to physical ownership. 5485 04:42:39,920 --> 04:42:43,680 To understand how we arrived at this 5486 04:42:41,920 --> 04:42:46,320 moment, we need to step back and look at 5487 04:42:43,680 --> 04:42:48,400 the timeline. Bitcoin launched in 2009 5488 04:42:46,320 --> 04:42:50,240 as a peer-to-peer digital alternative to 5489 04:42:48,400 --> 04:42:52,080 money. In its early years, the idea of 5490 04:42:50,240 --> 04:42:54,400 using Bitcoin to buy real estate was 5491 04:42:52,080 --> 04:42:56,718 laughable. But Bitcoin grew, first 5492 04:42:54,400 --> 04:42:59,200 crossing $1, then a 100, then a 5493 04:42:56,718 --> 04:43:01,840 thousand, then tens of thousands. A new 5494 04:42:59,200 --> 04:43:03,840 wave of wealth was created. Suddenly, 5495 04:43:01,840 --> 04:43:06,000 early adopters who once bought pizza 5496 04:43:03,840 --> 04:43:08,958 with Bitcoin now had enough digital 5497 04:43:06,000 --> 04:43:11,360 value to buy entire homes, and sellers 5498 04:43:08,958 --> 04:43:13,360 began paying attention. The first public 5499 04:43:11,360 --> 04:43:16,560 record of a property purchased fully in 5500 04:43:13,360 --> 04:43:18,718 Bitcoin dates back to 2017. From there, 5501 04:43:16,560 --> 04:43:21,280 the trend spread to luxury markets. 5502 04:43:18,718 --> 04:43:23,600 Miami, Los Angeles, New York, Dubai, and 5503 04:43:21,280 --> 04:43:25,440 London. Developers began marketing 5504 04:43:23,600 --> 04:43:28,160 properties specifically to crypto 5505 04:43:25,440 --> 04:43:31,040 buyers. Brokers started specializing in 5506 04:43:28,160 --> 04:43:32,560 crypto transactions. Escrow companies 5507 04:43:31,040 --> 04:43:34,400 adapted. 5508 04:43:32,560 --> 04:43:37,760 Even governments began studying 5509 04:43:34,400 --> 04:43:40,240 blockchainbased property registries. 5510 04:43:37,760 --> 04:43:42,718 Buying real estate with Bitcoin isn't 5511 04:43:40,240 --> 04:43:44,638 science fiction. Some sellers now accept 5512 04:43:42,718 --> 04:43:46,638 crypto directly, while others work 5513 04:43:44,638 --> 04:43:49,840 through brokers who convert Bitcoin into 5514 04:43:46,638 --> 04:43:51,920 local currency. The process is faster, 5515 04:43:49,840 --> 04:43:54,240 borderless, and sometimes even tax 5516 04:43:51,920 --> 04:43:56,718 efficient if you know the rules. Things 5517 04:43:54,240 --> 04:44:00,080 that sounded impossible in 2010 became 5518 04:43:56,718 --> 04:44:02,400 normal by 2020. And now in the 2020s, 5519 04:44:00,080 --> 04:44:04,798 cryptocurrency is becoming a serious 5520 04:44:02,400 --> 04:44:06,638 player in global real estate. The crypto 5521 04:44:04,798 --> 04:44:08,958 boom has created a new class of 5522 04:44:06,638 --> 04:44:11,520 investors. High- netw worth individuals 5523 04:44:08,958 --> 04:44:14,160 want to diversify, and real estate is a 5524 04:44:11,520 --> 04:44:16,958 safe, tangible asset. From luxury homes 5525 04:44:14,160 --> 04:44:19,360 in Miami to condos in Dubai, Bitcoin 5526 04:44:16,958 --> 04:44:21,280 buyers are making their mark. Let's look 5527 04:44:19,360 --> 04:44:23,040 at a few real world examples to 5528 04:44:21,280 --> 04:44:26,718 understand how crypto real estate works 5529 04:44:23,040 --> 04:44:29,200 in practice. Case study one. In 2021, a 5530 04:44:26,718 --> 04:44:31,760 luxury penthouse at Artee by Antonio 5531 04:44:29,200 --> 04:44:35,200 Satario in Surfside, Florida made 5532 04:44:31,760 --> 04:44:38,240 history. The property sold for 22.5 5533 04:44:35,200 --> 04:44:40,240 million paid entirely in cryptocurrency. 5534 04:44:38,240 --> 04:44:42,480 The largest publicly known real estate 5535 04:44:40,240 --> 04:44:44,718 transaction completed using digital 5536 04:44:42,480 --> 04:44:46,718 assets at the time. A developer's 5537 04:44:44,718 --> 04:44:49,280 decision to accept cryptocurrency had 5538 04:44:46,718 --> 04:44:51,200 paid off. The sale came just weeks after 5539 04:44:49,280 --> 04:44:53,040 the developer announced it would begin 5540 04:44:51,200 --> 04:44:54,560 accepting cryptocurrency payments 5541 04:44:53,040 --> 04:44:56,400 through a partnership with blockchain 5542 04:44:54,560 --> 04:44:58,240 platform Solid Block. According to 5543 04:44:56,400 --> 04:45:00,560 Forbes, the deal demonstrated that 5544 04:44:58,240 --> 04:45:03,360 crypto was no longer just a speculative 5545 04:45:00,560 --> 04:45:05,840 asset. It had become a viable method for 5546 04:45:03,360 --> 04:45:08,638 purchasing high-end real estate. Hey 5547 04:45:05,840 --> 04:45:10,958 Study 2 in Dubai, one of the earliest 5548 04:45:08,638 --> 04:45:13,360 large-scale experiments with crypto real 5549 04:45:10,958 --> 04:45:15,760 estate unfolded at Aston Plaza and 5550 04:45:13,360 --> 04:45:18,480 residences located in Dubai Science 5551 04:45:15,760 --> 04:45:20,160 Park. Marketed as one of the first major 5552 04:45:18,480 --> 04:45:22,638 developments in the region to accept 5553 04:45:20,160 --> 04:45:25,280 Bitcoin, the project offered apartments 5554 04:45:22,638 --> 04:45:27,360 priced directly in cryptocurrency, 5555 04:45:25,280 --> 04:45:30,080 buyers were able to commit funds using 5556 04:45:27,360 --> 04:45:32,000 Bitcoin, capturing global attention. But 5557 04:45:30,080 --> 04:45:34,878 the story also revealed the risks of 5558 04:45:32,000 --> 04:45:38,400 innovation. Originally advertised as a 5559 04:45:34,878 --> 04:45:40,560 $325 million development, the project 5560 04:45:38,400 --> 04:45:42,958 later stalled and its completion became 5561 04:45:40,560 --> 04:45:45,760 uncertain. While crypto payments were 5562 04:45:42,958 --> 04:45:48,000 accepted, it remains unclear whether all 5563 04:45:45,760 --> 04:45:50,320 buyers ultimately received finished 5564 04:45:48,000 --> 04:45:52,878 properties. The case highlighted both 5565 04:45:50,320 --> 04:45:55,680 the promise and the pitfalls of early 5566 04:45:52,878 --> 04:45:58,958 crypto adoption real estate. Case study 5567 04:45:55,680 --> 04:46:00,958 3. In 2025, Spain recorded one of its 5568 04:45:58,958 --> 04:46:03,520 first officially reported property sales 5569 04:46:00,958 --> 04:46:06,240 completed with Bitcoin. A property in 5570 04:46:03,520 --> 04:46:08,160 Madrid valued at approximately 1.5 5571 04:46:06,240 --> 04:46:10,400 million of euros was purchased by an 5572 04:46:08,160 --> 04:46:12,320 international buyer using Bitcoin. The 5573 04:46:10,400 --> 04:46:15,360 transaction followed standard real 5574 04:46:12,320 --> 04:46:17,680 estate procedures including escrow legal 5575 04:46:15,360 --> 04:46:20,080 compliance and the conversion of crypto 5576 04:46:17,680 --> 04:46:21,840 into euros for the seller. It marked a 5577 04:46:20,080 --> 04:46:23,600 significant milestone showing that 5578 04:46:21,840 --> 04:46:25,920 cryptocurrency could integrate into 5579 04:46:23,600 --> 04:46:28,480 traditional real estate systems even in 5580 04:46:25,920 --> 04:46:31,120 highly regulated European markets. Case 5581 04:46:28,480 --> 04:46:33,680 study four in the United States crypto 5582 04:46:31,120 --> 04:46:36,240 adoption hasn't been limited to coastal 5583 04:46:33,680 --> 04:46:38,638 tech hubs. An agent with Sabis 5584 04:46:36,240 --> 04:46:41,440 International Realy in Delaware reported 5585 04:46:38,638 --> 04:46:44,320 selling a luxury property for $175 5586 04:46:41,440 --> 04:46:46,320 million paid in Bitcoin. Believed to be 5587 04:46:44,320 --> 04:46:48,080 one of the state's first major real 5588 04:46:46,320 --> 04:46:50,320 estate transactions involving 5589 04:46:48,080 --> 04:46:52,320 cryptocurrency, the sale was widely 5590 04:46:50,320 --> 04:46:54,240 publicized as a local milestone, 5591 04:46:52,320 --> 04:46:56,320 signaling that crypto real estate was 5592 04:46:54,240 --> 04:47:01,000 beginning to reach beyond niche markets 5593 04:46:56,320 --> 04:47:01,000 and into everyday property transactions. 5594 04:47:01,680 --> 04:47:05,080 Genius Act. 5595 04:47:17,120 --> 04:47:21,160 different stable coins. 5596 04:47:31,280 --> 04:47:34,280 Evolution 5597 04:47:38,320 --> 04:47:41,320 Motion 5598 04:47:52,400 --> 04:47:54,638 conserv 5599 04:47:59,600 --> 04:48:02,600 Maxertos. 5600 04:48:23,840 --> 04:48:26,840 reallychech. 5601 04:48:52,638 --> 04:48:57,200 Taken together, these cases tell a 5602 04:48:54,560 --> 04:48:59,440 larger story, one of experimentation, 5603 04:48:57,200 --> 04:49:01,760 success, setbacks, and growing 5604 04:48:59,440 --> 04:49:04,000 legitimacy. Crypto real estate is no 5605 04:49:01,760 --> 04:49:06,160 longer hypothetical. It's happening 5606 04:49:04,000 --> 04:49:10,000 transaction by transaction across the 5607 04:49:06,160 --> 04:49:11,840 globe. But it's not all smooth sailing. 5608 04:49:10,000 --> 04:49:14,160 Crypto's value can be volatile. 5609 04:49:11,840 --> 04:49:16,718 Regulations vary by country, and tax 5610 04:49:14,160 --> 04:49:18,958 implications can be tricky. First, 5611 04:49:16,718 --> 04:49:21,200 volatility. Bitcoin and other 5612 04:49:18,958 --> 04:49:22,958 cryptocurrencies can move dramatically, 5613 04:49:21,200 --> 04:49:24,798 sometimes losing or gaining a third of 5614 04:49:22,958 --> 04:49:27,120 their value in weeks. For buyers who 5615 04:49:24,798 --> 04:49:30,560 convert at closing, rapid swings can 5616 04:49:27,120 --> 04:49:33,680 erase gains or spike costs in hours. 5617 04:49:30,560 --> 04:49:35,840 Second, transaction mechanics and title. 5618 04:49:33,680 --> 04:49:37,840 Even when a seller accepts crypto, most 5619 04:49:35,840 --> 04:49:39,280 governments and land registries require 5620 04:49:37,840 --> 04:49:41,680 deeds to be issued in the local 5621 04:49:39,280 --> 04:49:43,920 currency. That usually means an 5622 04:49:41,680 --> 04:49:45,760 intermediary converts crypto to fiat 5623 04:49:43,920 --> 04:49:48,000 before the legal title is registered, 5624 04:49:45,760 --> 04:49:49,680 adding counterparty risk and an extra 5625 04:49:48,000 --> 04:49:52,638 step that can delay and complicate 5626 04:49:49,680 --> 04:49:54,320 settlements. Third, taxes. In many 5627 04:49:52,638 --> 04:49:56,400 jurisdictions, authorities treat crypto 5628 04:49:54,320 --> 04:49:58,320 as property, not currency, which makes 5629 04:49:56,400 --> 04:50:00,638 nearly every transfer a taxable event. 5630 04:49:58,320 --> 04:50:02,718 That includes sales, exchanges, and 5631 04:50:00,638 --> 04:50:04,958 sometimes even payments for goods or 5632 04:50:02,718 --> 04:50:07,280 services. Buyers and sellers must track 5633 04:50:04,958 --> 04:50:09,440 cost basis gains and report the 5634 04:50:07,280 --> 04:50:12,000 transactions accurately or face audits 5635 04:50:09,440 --> 04:50:13,840 and penalties. Fourth, lending and 5636 04:50:12,000 --> 04:50:15,440 counterparty risk. Cryptobacked lending 5637 04:50:13,840 --> 04:50:17,280 exploded in the previous market cycle, 5638 04:50:15,440 --> 04:50:19,520 but it ended with high-profile collapses 5639 04:50:17,280 --> 04:50:21,360 and bankruptcies. When platforms fail, 5640 04:50:19,520 --> 04:50:23,280 borrowers and depositors can lose access 5641 04:50:21,360 --> 04:50:24,958 to funds. Collateral can be liquidated 5642 04:50:23,280 --> 04:50:26,798 at a loss and promise liquidity 5643 04:50:24,958 --> 04:50:28,638 disappears, a danger for anyone relying 5644 04:50:26,798 --> 04:50:31,280 on thirdparty services to bridge crypto 5645 04:50:28,638 --> 04:50:33,200 and property purchases. Fifth, 5646 04:50:31,280 --> 04:50:35,600 compliance and anti-moneyaundering 5647 04:50:33,200 --> 04:50:37,440 rules. Regulators and global bodies have 5648 04:50:35,600 --> 04:50:39,360 tightened rules around virtual assets to 5649 04:50:37,440 --> 04:50:41,120 prevent elicit flows. Real estate 5650 04:50:39,360 --> 04:50:43,440 transactions are high on that list, 5651 04:50:41,120 --> 04:50:45,440 meaning additional KYC, source of fund 5652 04:50:43,440 --> 04:50:47,200 checks, and reporting requirements. 5653 04:50:45,440 --> 04:50:49,600 Failure to meet these standards can 5654 04:50:47,200 --> 04:50:52,400 stall a sale, trigger investigations, or 5655 04:50:49,600 --> 04:50:55,040 expose participants to legal liability. 5656 04:50:52,400 --> 04:50:57,360 Sixth, operational and technical risk. 5657 04:50:55,040 --> 04:50:58,798 Crypto transactions are irreversible. A 5658 04:50:57,360 --> 04:51:00,560 single wrong character in a wallet 5659 04:50:58,798 --> 04:51:02,160 address or a fishing attack on an email 5660 04:51:00,560 --> 04:51:03,760 with wiring instructions can send 5661 04:51:02,160 --> 04:51:05,600 millions to the wrong place and there's 5662 04:51:03,760 --> 04:51:07,520 no bank to reverse the transfer. 5663 04:51:05,600 --> 04:51:09,360 Seventh, technology risk, smart 5664 04:51:07,520 --> 04:51:11,120 contracts, tokenization, and new 5665 04:51:09,360 --> 04:51:13,200 platforms bring innovation, but also 5666 04:51:11,120 --> 04:51:15,200 software bugs and design flaws. A poorly 5667 04:51:13,200 --> 04:51:17,520 written smart contract or an unodudited 5668 04:51:15,200 --> 04:51:19,760 tokenization platform can freeze assets, 5669 04:51:17,520 --> 04:51:22,480 misallocate ownership shares, or enable 5670 04:51:19,760 --> 04:51:24,240 exploits. Finally, market and 5671 04:51:22,480 --> 04:51:25,840 reputational risk. Developers and 5672 04:51:24,240 --> 04:51:27,440 brokers who accept crypto can attract 5673 04:51:25,840 --> 04:51:29,280 new buyers, but they also take on 5674 04:51:27,440 --> 04:51:30,958 greater scrutiny, regulatory compliance 5675 04:51:29,280 --> 04:51:32,638 burdens, and the risk that projects 5676 04:51:30,958 --> 04:51:34,798 promoted with crypto funding may 5677 04:51:32,638 --> 04:51:37,600 underdel, stall, or become entangled in 5678 04:51:34,798 --> 04:51:39,920 legal disputes. In short, crypto can 5679 04:51:37,600 --> 04:51:42,560 speed and globalized property deals. But 5680 04:51:39,920 --> 04:51:45,200 it also layers on volatility, regulatory 5681 04:51:42,560 --> 04:51:47,280 complexity, and new failure modes. For 5682 04:51:45,200 --> 04:51:49,600 buyers, sellers, and advisers, the 5683 04:51:47,280 --> 04:51:51,440 lesson is clear. proceed with rigorous 5684 04:51:49,600 --> 04:51:54,000 legal counsel, hardened custody 5685 04:51:51,440 --> 04:51:56,000 practices, and transparent compliance. 5686 04:51:54,000 --> 04:51:59,000 The opportunity is real, but so are the 5687 04:51:56,000 --> 04:51:59,000 pitfalls. 5688 04:52:17,600 --> 04:52:22,718 Still, the opportunities are huge. A new 5689 04:52:20,638 --> 04:52:25,120 generation of buyers is turning digital 5690 04:52:22,718 --> 04:52:28,000 value into physical assets. For many, 5691 04:52:25,120 --> 04:52:30,320 Bitcoin isn't just a currency. It's a 5692 04:52:28,000 --> 04:52:31,600 gateway to ownership. 5693 04:52:30,320 --> 04:52:33,840 One of the biggest shifts is 5694 04:52:31,600 --> 04:52:36,000 tokenization. Instead of buying an 5695 04:52:33,840 --> 04:52:37,840 entire building, investors can now 5696 04:52:36,000 --> 04:52:40,480 purchase fractional ownership through 5697 04:52:37,840 --> 04:52:42,160 blockchainbased tokens. This lowers the 5698 04:52:40,480 --> 04:52:44,160 barrier to entry, allowing smaller 5699 04:52:42,160 --> 04:52:45,920 investors to access real estate markets 5700 04:52:44,160 --> 04:52:49,638 that were once reserved for institutions 5701 04:52:45,920 --> 04:52:49,638 and the ultra wealthy. 5702 04:52:55,680 --> 04:52:58,680 forch. 5703 04:53:34,160 --> 04:53:39,040 Tokenization also brings liquidity to an 5704 04:53:37,040 --> 04:53:41,440 industry that has traditionally been 5705 04:53:39,040 --> 04:53:43,840 slow and illquid. Real estate 5706 04:53:41,440 --> 04:53:45,920 transactions can take months. Tokenized 5707 04:53:43,840 --> 04:53:48,638 shares can potentially be transferred in 5708 04:53:45,920 --> 04:53:51,040 minutes. Crypto is also reshaping 5709 04:53:48,638 --> 04:53:53,120 crossber real estate. International 5710 04:53:51,040 --> 04:53:55,920 buyers often face currency controls, 5711 04:53:53,120 --> 04:53:58,000 wire delays, and banking restrictions. 5712 04:53:55,920 --> 04:53:59,920 Cryptocurrency allows capital to move 5713 04:53:58,000 --> 04:54:01,680 globally with fewer friction points, 5714 04:53:59,920 --> 04:54:03,680 opening markets to buyers who were 5715 04:54:01,680 --> 04:54:05,440 previously locked out. As a result, 5716 04:54:03,680 --> 04:54:07,040 cities that embrace crypto-friendly 5717 04:54:05,440 --> 04:54:08,878 regulations are attracting global 5718 04:54:07,040 --> 04:54:10,320 capital faster. Developers are 5719 04:54:08,878 --> 04:54:12,240 responding by marketing properties 5720 04:54:10,320 --> 04:54:14,798 directly to crypto holders, not as a 5721 04:54:12,240 --> 04:54:16,638 novelty, but as a strategy. Governments 5722 04:54:14,798 --> 04:54:18,560 are also exploring blockchain for land 5723 04:54:16,638 --> 04:54:20,638 registries and property records. 5724 04:54:18,560 --> 04:54:22,638 Immutable ledgers can reduce disputes, 5725 04:54:20,638 --> 04:54:25,040 prevent title fraud, and provide 5726 04:54:22,638 --> 04:54:26,560 permanent verifiable ownership history, 5727 04:54:25,040 --> 04:54:28,798 especially in regions where property 5728 04:54:26,560 --> 04:54:30,560 rights are difficult to enforce. This 5729 04:54:28,798 --> 04:54:32,560 isn't a complete replacement of 5730 04:54:30,560 --> 04:54:34,878 traditional real estate. It's a 5731 04:54:32,560 --> 04:54:37,200 transformation. Crypto doesn't eliminate 5732 04:54:34,878 --> 04:54:38,958 the fundamentals. Location, demand, and 5733 04:54:37,200 --> 04:54:40,878 due diligence still matter, but it 5734 04:54:38,958 --> 04:54:43,040 changes how value moves, how quickly 5735 04:54:40,878 --> 04:54:45,040 deals happen, and who gets access. So, 5736 04:54:43,040 --> 04:54:47,200 what does all of this mean for you as an 5737 04:54:45,040 --> 04:54:48,878 investor or future home buyer? It means 5738 04:54:47,200 --> 04:54:50,798 new opportunities are emerging. 5739 04:54:48,878 --> 04:54:53,120 Opportunities to leverage your crypto 5740 04:54:50,798 --> 04:54:55,760 holdings. Opportunities to participate 5741 04:54:53,120 --> 04:54:58,160 in international markets more easily. 5742 04:54:55,760 --> 04:55:01,638 Opportunities to acquire property faster 5743 04:54:58,160 --> 04:55:01,638 and more efficiently. 5744 04:55:33,520 --> 04:55:35,920 Sophistic. 5745 04:55:38,958 --> 04:55:41,280 consequenc 5746 04:55:51,840 --> 04:55:55,080 Real estate 5747 04:56:00,798 --> 04:56:03,798 system. 5748 04:56:06,718 --> 04:56:09,718 Fore 5749 04:56:31,920 --> 04:56:35,080 real estate. 5750 04:56:41,200 --> 04:56:46,400 But like any emerging space, education 5751 04:56:44,160 --> 04:56:49,040 is key. Working with crypto friendly 5752 04:56:46,400 --> 04:56:51,040 agents, attorneys, and escrow companies 5753 04:56:49,040 --> 04:56:53,200 is essential. 5754 04:56:51,040 --> 04:56:54,878 Understanding your local regulations is 5755 04:56:53,200 --> 04:56:56,638 crucial, and ensuring the security of 5756 04:56:54,878 --> 04:56:59,638 your crypto wallet is absolutely 5757 04:56:56,638 --> 04:56:59,638 non-negotiable. 5758 04:57:01,120 --> 04:57:04,280 The professor 5759 04:57:30,718 --> 04:57:33,718 forenc. 5760 04:57:52,480 --> 04:57:55,480 Tomandotochech. 5761 04:58:12,638 --> 04:58:15,638 Fundamental. 5762 04:59:03,440 --> 04:59:07,920 The cryptocurrency market has entered 5763 04:59:05,360 --> 04:59:10,718 the opening days of 2026 with renewed 5764 04:59:07,920 --> 04:59:13,200 momentum after a volatile end to 2025. 5765 04:59:10,718 --> 04:59:14,718 Five. Prices across major digital assets 5766 04:59:13,200 --> 04:59:16,718 have moved sharply higher, drawing 5767 04:59:14,718 --> 04:59:18,958 attention from both retail traders and 5768 04:59:16,718 --> 04:59:21,280 institutional investors. In early 5769 04:59:18,958 --> 04:59:23,680 January, the total cryptocurrency market 5770 04:59:21,280 --> 04:59:26,080 capitalization climbed to around $3.2 5771 04:59:23,680 --> 04:59:28,000 trillion, according to aggregated data 5772 04:59:26,080 --> 04:59:29,680 from major market trackers. This 5773 04:59:28,000 --> 04:59:32,320 represents a meaningful rebound from 5774 04:59:29,680 --> 04:59:34,080 late 2025 levels with the market adding 5775 04:59:32,320 --> 04:59:36,000 hundreds of billions of dollars in value 5776 04:59:34,080 --> 04:59:37,840 over a relatively short period. While 5777 04:59:36,000 --> 04:59:39,360 exact figures vary, the direction is 5778 04:59:37,840 --> 04:59:40,878 clear. Capital has returned to the 5779 04:59:39,360 --> 04:59:42,798 crypto market at the start of the year. 5780 04:59:40,878 --> 04:59:45,280 At the center of this move is Bitcoin, 5781 04:59:42,798 --> 04:59:47,600 which rallied toward the $93,000 level 5782 04:59:45,280 --> 04:59:49,520 in the first week of January. As the 5783 04:59:47,600 --> 04:59:51,840 largest and most influential digital 5784 04:59:49,520 --> 04:59:53,440 asset, Bitcoin continues to act as the 5785 04:59:51,840 --> 04:59:54,798 market's primary anchor, and its 5786 04:59:53,440 --> 04:59:56,958 strength has helped lift sentiment 5787 04:59:54,798 --> 04:59:59,280 across the broader ecosystem. 5788 04:59:56,958 --> 05:00:01,680 Historically, strong Bitcoin performance 5789 04:59:59,280 --> 05:00:03,040 has often preceded periods of increased 5790 05:00:01,680 --> 05:00:05,920 activity in alternative 5791 05:00:03,040 --> 05:00:07,840 cryptocurrencies, and early 2026 appears 5792 05:00:05,920 --> 05:00:09,440 to be following a similar pattern. 5793 05:00:07,840 --> 05:00:11,120 Another key factor has been renewed 5794 05:00:09,440 --> 05:00:12,798 institutional participation, 5795 05:00:11,120 --> 05:00:15,360 particularly through spot Bitcoin and 5796 05:00:12,798 --> 05:00:17,760 Ethereum exchange traded funds. Reports 5797 05:00:15,360 --> 05:00:19,520 from early January indicate notable ETF 5798 05:00:17,760 --> 05:00:21,360 inflows, suggesting that traditional 5799 05:00:19,520 --> 05:00:23,440 investors are once again increasing 5800 05:00:21,360 --> 05:00:25,120 exposure to digital assets. The current 5801 05:00:23,440 --> 05:00:27,040 momentum appears to be driven by a 5802 05:00:25,120 --> 05:00:30,000 combination of factors, including 5803 05:00:27,040 --> 05:00:32,798 Bitcoin's price recovery, increased ETF 5804 05:00:30,000 --> 05:00:34,320 inflows, improved global risk sentiment, 5805 05:00:32,798 --> 05:00:36,718 expectations of more supportive 5806 05:00:34,320 --> 05:00:39,200 regulatory and macroeconomic conditions. 5807 05:00:36,718 --> 05:00:40,958 As 2026 begins, the cryptocurrency 5808 05:00:39,200 --> 05:00:43,120 market finds itself at a familiar 5809 05:00:40,958 --> 05:00:44,878 crossroads. Renewed optimism balanced 5810 05:00:43,120 --> 05:00:46,480 against persistent uncertainty. Whether 5811 05:00:44,878 --> 05:00:48,320 this earlier strength marks the 5812 05:00:46,480 --> 05:00:50,000 beginning of a sustained trend or simply 5813 05:00:48,320 --> 05:00:52,000 another chapter in crypto's cyclical 5814 05:00:50,000 --> 05:00:55,120 nature is a question that only time will 5815 05:00:52,000 --> 05:00:57,760 answer. For now, the message from the 5816 05:00:55,120 --> 05:00:59,840 market is clear. Crypto is once again 5817 05:00:57,760 --> 05:01:01,520 commanding attention. If you approach 5818 05:00:59,840 --> 05:01:03,600 crypto real estate with knowledge and 5819 05:01:01,520 --> 05:01:06,400 preparation, the rewards can be 5820 05:01:03,600 --> 05:01:09,280 extraordinary. Bitcoin the bricks isn't 5821 05:01:06,400 --> 05:01:11,680 just a catchy phrase. It's the future of 5822 05:01:09,280 --> 05:01:14,000 real estate investment. If you want to 5823 05:01:11,680 --> 05:01:16,480 stay ahead of the curve, now's the time 5824 05:01:14,000 --> 05:01:19,480 to learn how crypto can open doors. 5825 05:01:16,480 --> 05:01:19,480 Literally. 5826 05:01:28,240 --> 05:01:31,240 personas. 5827 05:01:42,718 --> 05:01:45,120 Transparenc. 5828 05:01:49,760 --> 05:01:52,760 control. 5829 05:02:16,480 --> 05:02:20,320 From digital coins to physical assets, 5830 05:02:18,638 --> 05:02:22,320 from online wallets to real world 5831 05:02:20,320 --> 05:02:24,480 property lines, cryptocurrency is 5832 05:02:22,320 --> 05:02:26,958 reshaping how we buy, sell, and think 5833 05:02:24,480 --> 05:02:29,280 about real estate. We are witnessing the 5834 05:02:26,958 --> 05:02:30,958 merging of two worlds. The oldest asset 5835 05:02:29,280 --> 05:02:33,280 on earth and one of the newest 5836 05:02:30,958 --> 05:02:36,080 technological inventions of our time. 5837 05:02:33,280 --> 05:02:38,560 And as the future unfolds, only one 5838 05:02:36,080 --> 05:02:41,798 question remain. Will Bitcoin buy your 5839 05:02:38,560 --> 05:02:41,798 next home? 5840 05:04:04,958 --> 05:04:10,400 September 2008. 5841 05:04:07,920 --> 05:04:13,040 The global financial system is on the 5842 05:04:10,400 --> 05:04:16,000 verge of a total blackout. Layman 5843 05:04:13,040 --> 05:04:19,760 Brothers has vanished. Meil Lynch is 5844 05:04:16,000 --> 05:04:21,760 gone. AIG is hemorrhaging billions every 5845 05:04:19,760 --> 05:04:24,080 hour. 5846 05:04:21,760 --> 05:04:26,000 In Washington, the halls of the Treasury 5847 05:04:24,080 --> 05:04:29,360 are filled with the smartest minds in 5848 05:04:26,000 --> 05:04:32,240 the country. But they have a problem. 5849 05:04:29,360 --> 05:04:35,120 They are staring at a black box of toxic 5850 05:04:32,240 --> 05:04:38,160 debt worth trillions and no tools to 5851 05:04:35,120 --> 05:04:41,280 open it. There is only one person who 5852 05:04:38,160 --> 05:04:43,680 has the map. one person who spent the 5853 05:04:41,280 --> 05:04:46,000 last 20 years building a digital 5854 05:04:43,680 --> 05:04:48,718 unblinking eye that can see through the 5855 05:04:46,000 --> 05:04:51,120 wreckage. The government didn't call the 5856 05:04:48,718 --> 05:04:53,840 big banks to save the world. They needed 5857 05:04:51,120 --> 05:04:55,760 someone to handle the toxic waste. And 5858 05:04:53,840 --> 05:04:59,280 there was only one man that could lead 5859 05:04:55,760 --> 05:05:02,280 through that darkness. They called Larry 5860 05:04:59,280 --> 05:05:02,280 Frink. 5861 05:05:03,760 --> 05:05:09,400 Larry Frink, the man behind Black Rock. 5862 05:05:10,160 --> 05:05:16,560 Today, he manages more money than the 5863 05:05:12,240 --> 05:05:18,878 GDP of almost every nation on Earth, $14 5864 05:05:16,560 --> 05:05:20,878 trillion. 5865 05:05:18,878 --> 05:05:23,200 But before he was the shadow sovereign 5866 05:05:20,878 --> 05:05:24,798 of Wall Street, he was a man who lost 5867 05:05:23,200 --> 05:05:28,958 everything. 5868 05:05:24,798 --> 05:05:31,040 Who is Larry Frink? Lawrence D.Fin, also 5869 05:05:28,958 --> 05:05:33,760 known as Larry Frink, is one of the 5870 05:05:31,040 --> 05:05:37,120 co-founders of Black Rockck. He is also 5871 05:05:33,760 --> 05:05:39,120 the chairman and CEO of the company, the 5872 05:05:37,120 --> 05:05:42,320 largest money management firm in the 5873 05:05:39,120 --> 05:05:44,080 world. It's the first time in history a 5874 05:05:42,320 --> 05:05:46,718 company manages to reach such a 5875 05:05:44,080 --> 05:05:49,760 milestone and gives a clear picture of 5876 05:05:46,718 --> 05:05:52,400 how Black Rockck operates. not just a 5877 05:05:49,760 --> 05:05:54,718 traditional investment bank but as a 5878 05:05:52,400 --> 05:05:57,440 central pillar of the global financial 5879 05:05:54,718 --> 05:05:59,680 infrastructure where its sheer scale 5880 05:05:57,440 --> 05:06:01,520 allows it to influence economies and 5881 05:05:59,680 --> 05:06:05,840 industries at a level previously 5882 05:06:01,520 --> 05:06:08,798 reserved only for nation states. 5883 05:06:05,840 --> 05:06:11,680 Founded in 1988 as an investment firm 5884 05:06:08,798 --> 05:06:15,840 that prioritized risk management with 5885 05:06:11,680 --> 05:06:19,040 11.5 to$14 trillion under management, 5886 05:06:15,840 --> 05:06:21,280 Blackrop's influence is staggering. 5887 05:06:19,040 --> 05:06:25,440 Black Rockck is a top three shareholder 5888 05:06:21,280 --> 05:06:28,560 in nearly every company in the S&P 500 5889 05:06:25,440 --> 05:06:31,520 from Apple to Exxon, from Microsoft to 5890 05:06:28,560 --> 05:06:35,280 Nestle. They don't just invest in the 5891 05:06:31,520 --> 05:06:38,160 market, they are the market. 5892 05:06:35,280 --> 05:06:40,798 But its reach is personal. It holds the 5893 05:06:38,160 --> 05:06:43,840 retirement dreams of over 35 million 5894 05:06:40,798 --> 05:06:46,400 Americans. This is the story of how a 5895 05:06:43,840 --> 05:06:50,000 kid from a California shoe store became 5896 05:06:46,400 --> 05:06:53,440 the custodian of the world's wealth. But 5897 05:06:50,000 --> 05:06:56,080 who is Larry Frink? Lawrence Douglas 5898 05:06:53,440 --> 05:06:58,560 Frink entered the world on November the 5899 05:06:56,080 --> 05:07:01,280 2nd, 1952. 5900 05:06:58,560 --> 05:07:03,280 Born in Los Angeles, California, he was 5901 05:07:01,280 --> 05:07:05,200 raised in a Jewish family in the heart 5902 05:07:03,280 --> 05:07:09,680 of San Fernando Valley, the 5903 05:07:05,200 --> 05:07:12,080 quintessential American suburb of Vanoi. 5904 05:07:09,680 --> 05:07:14,958 His home was a balance of academic 5905 05:07:12,080 --> 05:07:17,040 discipline and retail grit. His mother, 5906 05:07:14,958 --> 05:07:18,958 Leela, was an English professor who 5907 05:07:17,040 --> 05:07:20,480 valued the power of language and 5908 05:07:18,958 --> 05:07:22,480 education. 5909 05:07:20,480 --> 05:07:24,718 And long before he pulled the strings of 5910 05:07:22,480 --> 05:07:26,878 the global economy, Barry Frink was 5911 05:07:24,718 --> 05:07:29,840 learning the value of money on a much 5912 05:07:26,878 --> 05:07:32,958 smaller scale. His father's shoe store 5913 05:07:29,840 --> 05:07:35,840 in Vano, where he spent evenings helping 5914 05:07:32,958 --> 05:07:38,000 and learning the business. As one of 5915 05:07:35,840 --> 05:07:40,000 three children, Larry grew up in a 5916 05:07:38,000 --> 05:07:43,120 household where hard work wasn't just 5917 05:07:40,000 --> 05:07:45,120 encouraged, it was the baseline. 5918 05:07:43,120 --> 05:07:47,120 While he often joked he wasn't the 5919 05:07:45,120 --> 05:07:49,360 smartest in the room, it was this 5920 05:07:47,120 --> 05:07:52,080 specific combination of his mother's 5921 05:07:49,360 --> 05:07:54,080 intellectual curiosity and his father's 5922 05:07:52,080 --> 05:07:56,718 mainstream business sense that would 5923 05:07:54,080 --> 05:07:59,760 eventually form the DNA of a global 5924 05:07:56,718 --> 05:08:01,680 financial giant. While the future titans 5925 05:07:59,760 --> 05:08:04,080 of Wall Street were rubbing elbows in 5926 05:08:01,680 --> 05:08:08,320 the marble halls of Harvard or Yale, 5927 05:08:04,080 --> 05:08:11,600 think was a brewin. In 1970, Larry 5928 05:08:08,320 --> 05:08:14,160 arrived at UCLA. For a young man from 5929 05:08:11,600 --> 05:08:17,840 Vanoise, this wasn't just a local 5930 05:08:14,160 --> 05:08:20,000 university. It was a world of ideas. 5931 05:08:17,840 --> 05:08:22,480 But it was in his final years that the 5932 05:08:20,000 --> 05:08:24,958 trajectory of his life shifted. He 5933 05:08:22,480 --> 05:08:26,798 immersed himself in political science, 5934 05:08:24,958 --> 05:08:29,680 learning how power moves through the 5935 05:08:26,798 --> 05:08:31,760 nations. But he soon realized that in 5936 05:08:29,680 --> 05:08:34,400 the modern world, power follows the 5937 05:08:31,760 --> 05:08:36,400 money. This led him to the Anderson 5938 05:08:34,400 --> 05:08:39,280 School of Management specializing in 5939 05:08:36,400 --> 05:08:41,040 real estate. It was here that he began 5940 05:08:39,280 --> 05:08:43,920 to see the world through the lens of 5941 05:08:41,040 --> 05:08:45,840 assets and yields. 5942 05:08:43,920 --> 05:08:48,320 This public education gave him a 5943 05:08:45,840 --> 05:08:50,160 different edge. While his peers at 5944 05:08:48,320 --> 05:08:52,480 private East Coast schools were being 5945 05:08:50,160 --> 05:08:55,280 groomed for traditional corporate roles, 5946 05:08:52,480 --> 05:08:57,120 Larry was developing the outsider's eye, 5947 05:08:55,280 --> 05:08:59,440 perspective that allowed him to see 5948 05:08:57,120 --> 05:09:03,638 opportunities in the messy, unpolished 5949 05:08:59,440 --> 05:09:03,638 corners of the bond market. 5950 05:09:04,240 --> 05:09:10,000 He graduated in 1976, not with a silver 5951 05:09:07,920 --> 05:09:11,920 spoon, but with a California bred 5952 05:09:10,000 --> 05:09:13,520 ambition to take on the giants of 5953 05:09:11,920 --> 05:09:16,160 Manhattan. 5954 05:09:13,520 --> 05:09:18,638 He was a brein headed for Wall Street 5955 05:09:16,160 --> 05:09:21,878 and the financial world had no idea what 5956 05:09:18,638 --> 05:09:21,878 was coming. 5957 05:09:24,080 --> 05:09:28,560 The year is 1976. 5958 05:09:26,638 --> 05:09:30,718 New York City is a grit cover 5959 05:09:28,560 --> 05:09:33,360 battlefield and Larry Frink has just 5960 05:09:30,718 --> 05:09:35,680 been handed the keys to the kingdom. 5961 05:09:33,360 --> 05:09:38,000 Goldman Sachs, the most prestigious name 5962 05:09:35,680 --> 05:09:41,280 in finance back then, has practically 5963 05:09:38,000 --> 05:09:44,320 hired him. He had passed the technical 5964 05:09:41,280 --> 05:09:46,080 tests. He had charmed the partners. All 5965 05:09:44,320 --> 05:09:48,638 that remained was a rubber stamp 5966 05:09:46,080 --> 05:09:52,000 interview with human resources. 5967 05:09:48,638 --> 05:09:54,718 But Larry, Larry wasn't just confident. 5968 05:09:52,000 --> 05:09:56,560 He was impatient. When the recruiter 5969 05:09:54,718 --> 05:09:58,958 asked for his thoughts on the firm, 5970 05:09:56,560 --> 05:10:01,600 Larry didn't give a thank you. He gave a 5971 05:09:58,958 --> 05:10:04,160 consultation. He pointed out the flaws 5972 05:10:01,600 --> 05:10:07,280 in their system. At Goldman, they wanted 5973 05:10:04,160 --> 05:10:10,520 a soldier. Larry was already acting like 5974 05:10:07,280 --> 05:10:10,520 a general. 5975 05:10:12,080 --> 05:10:17,440 In that room, the rigid Goldman way 5976 05:10:14,400 --> 05:10:19,520 clashed with the unfiltered Frink way. 5977 05:10:17,440 --> 05:10:22,878 Before he could even hail a camp back to 5978 05:10:19,520 --> 05:10:25,200 his hotel, the offer was dead. The most 5979 05:10:22,878 --> 05:10:27,600 coveted job in Wall Street history had 5980 05:10:25,200 --> 05:10:29,440 vanished. All because Larry Frink 5981 05:10:27,600 --> 05:10:32,798 couldn't stop himself from trying to fix 5982 05:10:29,440 --> 05:10:35,760 a system he hadn't even joined yet. It 5983 05:10:32,798 --> 05:10:38,240 was a crushing blow. But in the shadow 5984 05:10:35,760 --> 05:10:40,400 of that rejection, a door opened at a 5985 05:10:38,240 --> 05:10:42,958 scrappy second tier firm called First 5986 05:10:40,400 --> 05:10:46,320 Boston. It was a place with less 5987 05:10:42,958 --> 05:10:48,638 prestige but more white space. At 5988 05:10:46,320 --> 05:10:51,680 Goldman, he would have been a cog in a 5989 05:10:48,638 --> 05:10:54,560 perfect machine. At First Boston, he was 5990 05:10:51,680 --> 05:10:56,560 the architect. He was given a desk, a 5991 05:10:54,560 --> 05:10:58,878 telephone, and the freedom to build 5992 05:10:56,560 --> 05:11:01,840 something entirely new, the 5993 05:10:58,878 --> 05:11:04,480 mortgagebacked security. He didn't know 5994 05:11:01,840 --> 05:11:07,200 it yet, but that recruiters know was the 5995 05:11:04,480 --> 05:11:12,200 foundation upon which the $14 trillion 5996 05:11:07,200 --> 05:11:12,200 empire of Black Rockck would be built. 5997 05:11:17,200 --> 05:11:23,440 It's 1976 when Larry Frink arrives at 5998 05:11:20,480 --> 05:11:25,520 First Boston. At the time, the firm was 5999 05:11:23,440 --> 05:11:28,240 the scrappy underdog of investment 6000 05:11:25,520 --> 05:11:31,840 banking. It wasn't as stiff as Morgan 6001 05:11:28,240 --> 05:11:34,000 Stanley or as elitist as Goldman. It was 6002 05:11:31,840 --> 05:11:37,120 the perfect laboratory for a man who 6003 05:11:34,000 --> 05:11:40,160 didn't fit the mold. Larry was assigned 6004 05:11:37,120 --> 05:11:42,080 to the bond department. Back then, bonds 6005 05:11:40,160 --> 05:11:44,560 were considered the boring corner of 6006 05:11:42,080 --> 05:11:48,080 finance. It was where you went to 6007 05:11:44,560 --> 05:11:51,120 retire. Stocks were sexy. Bonds were for 6008 05:11:48,080 --> 05:11:54,560 grandmothers. But Larry saw something 6009 05:11:51,120 --> 05:11:57,360 everyone else missed. He looked at the 6010 05:11:54,560 --> 05:11:59,520 American dream. the suburban house, the 6011 05:11:57,360 --> 05:12:03,360 white picket fence, the 30-year 6012 05:11:59,520 --> 05:12:05,280 mortgage, and he saw a math problem. He 6013 05:12:03,360 --> 05:12:07,760 realized that if you took thousands of 6014 05:12:05,280 --> 05:12:10,080 individual home mortgages, bundled them 6015 05:12:07,760 --> 05:12:12,718 together like a deck of cards, and sold 6016 05:12:10,080 --> 05:12:15,440 slices of that deck to investors, you 6017 05:12:12,718 --> 05:12:18,320 created a money machine. 6018 05:12:15,440 --> 05:12:19,840 This was the birth of the securitization 6019 05:12:18,320 --> 05:12:22,240 market. 6020 05:12:19,840 --> 05:12:24,878 What Larry Frink helped create was more 6021 05:12:22,240 --> 05:12:28,440 than a financial product. It was a 6022 05:12:24,878 --> 05:12:28,440 structural shift. 6023 05:12:28,798 --> 05:12:33,760 Securitization didn't just bundle 6024 05:12:30,958 --> 05:12:35,280 mortgages. It separated risk from 6025 05:12:33,760 --> 05:12:37,440 reality. 6026 05:12:35,280 --> 05:12:39,520 For the first time, financial value 6027 05:12:37,440 --> 05:12:42,480 could travel faster than the underlying 6028 05:12:39,520 --> 05:12:44,400 economy that supported it. A house in 6029 05:12:42,480 --> 05:12:46,560 California became a line in a 6030 05:12:44,400 --> 05:12:50,240 spreadsheet in New York, which became a 6031 05:12:46,560 --> 05:12:52,240 yield sold to an investor in Tokyo. Risk 6032 05:12:50,240 --> 05:12:55,280 no longer lived where decisions were 6033 05:12:52,240 --> 05:12:57,600 made. It was abstracted, sliced, 6034 05:12:55,280 --> 05:13:00,480 repackaged, and distributed across the 6035 05:12:57,600 --> 05:13:02,718 system. This was the moment when finance 6036 05:13:00,480 --> 05:13:06,080 stopped reflecting the real economy and 6037 05:13:02,718 --> 05:13:08,400 began building a parallel one. A system 6038 05:13:06,080 --> 05:13:10,160 that could grow without limits as long 6039 05:13:08,400 --> 05:13:14,400 as everyone believed the models were 6040 05:13:10,160 --> 05:13:16,958 right. And for a while, they were. 6041 05:13:14,400 --> 05:13:19,600 By the early 80s, Larry was the golden 6042 05:13:16,958 --> 05:13:22,000 boy. He wasn't just hitting targets, he 6043 05:13:19,600 --> 05:13:24,240 was shattering them. In one year, his 6044 05:13:22,000 --> 05:13:26,320 department was responsible for nearly 6045 05:13:24,240 --> 05:13:29,360 onethird of First Boston's total 6046 05:13:26,320 --> 05:13:31,600 profits. At age 31, he became the 6047 05:13:29,360 --> 05:13:34,560 youngest managing director the firm had 6048 05:13:31,600 --> 05:13:37,120 ever seen. He was earning millions. He 6049 05:13:34,560 --> 05:13:39,920 was the successor, the Prodigy, the man 6050 05:13:37,120 --> 05:13:42,560 who could do no wrong. He had moved to 6051 05:13:39,920 --> 05:13:45,040 his family to a sprawling estate. He was 6052 05:13:42,560 --> 05:13:49,638 flying private. He had conquered the 6053 05:13:45,040 --> 05:13:49,638 grit cover battlefield of Manhattan. 6054 05:13:50,160 --> 05:13:54,560 But in the world of high finance, the 6055 05:13:52,320 --> 05:13:57,560 higher you fly, the thinner the air 6056 05:13:54,560 --> 05:13:57,560 becomes. 6057 05:13:59,120 --> 05:14:03,360 Larry was making hundreds of millions 6058 05:14:01,040 --> 05:14:06,240 for the bank. But there was a ghost in 6059 05:14:03,360 --> 05:14:10,080 the machine, a variable he hadn't 6060 05:14:06,240 --> 05:14:12,400 accounted for. The year was 1986. 6061 05:14:10,080 --> 05:14:15,200 Larry had made a massive bet on interest 6062 05:14:12,400 --> 05:14:18,638 rates. He believed they would stay 6063 05:14:15,200 --> 05:14:20,718 stable. He was so sure of his math, so 6064 05:14:18,638 --> 05:14:22,638 confident in his track record that he 6065 05:14:20,718 --> 05:14:24,958 didn't realize the ground was shifting 6066 05:14:22,638 --> 05:14:26,958 beneath his feet. 6067 05:14:24,958 --> 05:14:29,200 In just 3 months, the Golden Boy 6068 05:14:26,958 --> 05:14:33,040 department went from profit to a 6069 05:14:29,200 --> 05:14:36,160 catastrophic $100 million loss. In the 6070 05:14:33,040 --> 05:14:38,958 80s, 100 million wasn't just a loss, it 6071 05:14:36,160 --> 05:14:41,040 was a national scandal. Overnight, the 6072 05:14:38,958 --> 05:14:44,080 man who was supposed to run the bank was 6073 05:14:41,040 --> 05:14:46,000 a pariah. The phones stopped ringing. 6074 05:14:44,080 --> 05:14:48,638 The friends on the trading floor looked 6075 05:14:46,000 --> 05:14:50,878 away when he walked by. He had been the 6076 05:14:48,638 --> 05:14:53,680 smartest man in the room until he 6077 05:14:50,878 --> 05:14:55,920 wasn't. He would later describe this 6078 05:14:53,680 --> 05:14:59,120 moment as the most painful experience of 6079 05:14:55,920 --> 05:15:01,760 my life. But as he sat in the ruins of 6080 05:14:59,120 --> 05:15:04,160 his reputation, Larry Frink wasn't just 6081 05:15:01,760 --> 05:15:06,240 mourning his career. He was obsessed 6082 05:15:04,160 --> 05:15:09,280 with one question. 6083 05:15:06,240 --> 05:15:11,760 How did I not see the risk? 6084 05:15:09,280 --> 05:15:14,400 That obsession, the fear of the unknown 6085 05:15:11,760 --> 05:15:17,718 variable would become the cornerstone of 6086 05:15:14,400 --> 05:15:17,718 Black Rockck. 6087 05:15:20,878 --> 05:15:27,040 By 1983, Larry wasn't just selling 6088 05:15:23,680 --> 05:15:31,480 bonds, he was a pioneer of the CMO, 6089 05:15:27,040 --> 05:15:31,480 collateralized mortgage obligation. 6090 05:15:31,760 --> 05:15:36,638 Think of it like a waterfall. Larry took 6091 05:15:34,560 --> 05:15:39,600 thousands of mortgages and sliced them 6092 05:15:36,638 --> 05:15:42,718 into tranches. Some investors took the 6093 05:15:39,600 --> 05:15:45,840 top slice, low risk, low reward. Others 6094 05:15:42,718 --> 05:15:47,760 took the bottom, high risk, high yield. 6095 05:15:45,840 --> 05:15:51,600 It was a masterpiece of financial 6096 05:15:47,760 --> 05:15:54,320 engineering. It made the illquid liquid. 6097 05:15:51,600 --> 05:15:56,638 It made First Boston the center of the 6098 05:15:54,320 --> 05:15:58,798 universe. 6099 05:15:56,638 --> 05:16:01,760 But there was a flaw, a tiny 6100 05:15:58,798 --> 05:16:03,760 mathematical ghost in his models. 6101 05:16:01,760 --> 05:16:06,000 Larry's team had predicted that interest 6102 05:16:03,760 --> 05:16:08,480 rates would rise, and they hedged their 6103 05:16:06,000 --> 05:16:11,520 bets accordingly. But in the second 6104 05:16:08,480 --> 05:16:13,920 quarter of 1986, rates did something the 6105 05:16:11,520 --> 05:16:15,520 models said was impossible. They 6106 05:16:13,920 --> 05:16:17,200 plummeted 6107 05:16:15,520 --> 05:16:19,840 because they didn't have a system to 6108 05:16:17,200 --> 05:16:22,400 track their realtime exposure. Larry was 6109 05:16:19,840 --> 05:16:25,440 flying blind. He was the pilot of a 6110 05:16:22,400 --> 05:16:27,600 Boeing 747 trying to land in a storm 6111 05:16:25,440 --> 05:16:30,080 using nothing but a compass and a 6112 05:16:27,600 --> 05:16:32,080 prayer. By the time he realized the 6113 05:16:30,080 --> 05:16:36,160 engines were on fire, the plane had 6114 05:16:32,080 --> 05:16:39,560 already hit the mountain. $100 million. 6115 05:16:36,160 --> 05:16:39,560 all gone. 6116 05:16:41,680 --> 05:16:47,040 He wasn't just fired, he was erased. 6117 05:16:44,958 --> 05:16:50,080 After the dust settled, Larry found 6118 05:16:47,040 --> 05:16:53,040 himself in a peculiar kind of exile. He 6119 05:16:50,080 --> 05:16:55,760 wasn't just unemployed, he was haunted. 6120 05:16:53,040 --> 05:16:58,160 He realized that the $100 million loss 6121 05:16:55,760 --> 05:17:01,760 wasn't a failure of talent, it was a 6122 05:16:58,160 --> 05:17:04,400 failure of vision. What happened in 1986 6123 05:17:01,760 --> 05:17:07,440 wasn't a personal miscalculation. 6124 05:17:04,400 --> 05:17:09,840 It was a systemic blindness. 6125 05:17:07,440 --> 05:17:12,638 At the time, every major financial 6126 05:17:09,840 --> 05:17:15,680 institution operated the same way. 6127 05:17:12,638 --> 05:17:18,400 Positions were fragmented. Exposure was 6128 05:17:15,680 --> 05:17:21,520 estimated, not measured. Risk was 6129 05:17:18,400 --> 05:17:23,840 inferred after the fact. Banks knew what 6130 05:17:21,520 --> 05:17:26,878 they bought yesterday, but not what it 6131 05:17:23,840 --> 05:17:29,440 was worth right now. The system rewarded 6132 05:17:26,878 --> 05:17:31,920 speed, volume, and confidence, not 6133 05:17:29,440 --> 05:17:34,560 understanding. And as long as markets 6134 05:17:31,920 --> 05:17:37,040 moved slowly, the illusion held. But 6135 05:17:34,560 --> 05:17:40,000 once volatility entered the market, no 6136 05:17:37,040 --> 05:17:43,040 one truly knew where the danger was or 6137 05:17:40,000 --> 05:17:45,680 how large it had become. Larry didn't 6138 05:17:43,040 --> 05:17:47,680 just lose money. He realized the entire 6139 05:17:45,680 --> 05:17:50,638 financial system was flying without 6140 05:17:47,680 --> 05:17:53,360 instruments. Wall Street was essentially 6141 05:17:50,638 --> 05:17:56,638 a collection of blind giants. 6142 05:17:53,360 --> 05:17:58,958 Every major firm, Goldman, Layman, 6143 05:17:56,638 --> 05:18:01,520 Merrill Lynch, was standing just one 6144 05:17:58,958 --> 05:18:05,120 inch away from total collapse at any 6145 05:18:01,520 --> 05:18:08,320 given second. Why? Because they didn't 6146 05:18:05,120 --> 05:18:11,840 actually know what they owned. This was 6147 05:18:08,320 --> 05:18:14,240 information blindness. 6148 05:18:11,840 --> 05:18:16,638 In the 1980s, you knew what you bought 6149 05:18:14,240 --> 05:18:19,840 yesterday, but you had no idea what it 6150 05:18:16,638 --> 05:18:22,480 was worth right now. A sudden shift in 6151 05:18:19,840 --> 05:18:24,718 interest rates or a political coup 6152 05:18:22,480 --> 05:18:26,560 across the ocean could vaporize a 6153 05:18:24,718 --> 05:18:29,440 billion dollars before the morning 6154 05:18:26,560 --> 05:18:32,798 coffee was poured. 6155 05:18:29,440 --> 05:18:35,440 Larry understood a terrifying truth. The 6156 05:18:32,798 --> 05:18:38,718 entire global financial system was built 6157 05:18:35,440 --> 05:18:40,560 on a foundation of guesswork. 6158 05:18:38,718 --> 05:18:42,080 It hit him with the force of an 6159 05:18:40,560 --> 05:18:44,400 epiphany. 6160 05:18:42,080 --> 05:18:46,480 If he could build a brain, a machine 6161 05:18:44,400 --> 05:18:48,798 that could see the risk that humans were 6162 05:18:46,480 --> 05:18:52,000 too slow to calculate, he wouldn't just 6163 05:18:48,798 --> 05:18:54,240 be a banker. He would be the only man in 6164 05:18:52,000 --> 05:18:57,440 the world with a flashlight in a dark 6165 05:18:54,240 --> 05:19:00,240 room. This realization changed his 6166 05:18:57,440 --> 05:19:02,240 entire philosophy of investing. He 6167 05:19:00,240 --> 05:19:04,958 stopped looking for the big score and 6168 05:19:02,240 --> 05:19:07,360 started looking for the safe passage. He 6169 05:19:04,958 --> 05:19:11,280 didn't want to beat the market anymore. 6170 05:19:07,360 --> 05:19:13,680 He wanted to measure it. 6171 05:19:11,280 --> 05:19:16,638 He would later tell his partners, "We 6172 05:19:13,680 --> 05:19:19,280 are never going to be blind again." 6173 05:19:16,638 --> 05:19:22,240 That vow, born from the humiliation of 6174 05:19:19,280 --> 05:19:25,360 1986, became the blueprint for a new 6175 05:19:22,240 --> 05:19:28,000 kind of firm. A firm that didn't rely on 6176 05:19:25,360 --> 05:19:32,680 the ego of a star trader, but on the 6177 05:19:28,000 --> 05:19:32,680 cold, unblinking eye of technology. 6178 05:19:37,520 --> 05:19:43,520 Larry Frink was a man with a vision, but 6179 05:19:40,240 --> 05:19:45,440 he was also a man with a tainted resume. 6180 05:19:43,520 --> 05:19:48,080 To the rest of Wall Street, he was the 6181 05:19:45,440 --> 05:19:50,240 guy who lost a h 100red million. But to 6182 05:19:48,080 --> 05:19:52,878 a small circle of insiders at First 6183 05:19:50,240 --> 05:19:56,240 Boston, he was the only one who truly 6184 05:19:52,878 --> 05:19:59,040 understood why it happened. He began 6185 05:19:56,240 --> 05:20:01,680 making calls. He wasn't offering high 6186 05:19:59,040 --> 05:20:04,480 salaries or flashy offices. He was 6187 05:20:01,680 --> 05:20:06,560 offering a chance to build a holy grail, 6188 05:20:04,480 --> 05:20:08,798 a financial firm where technology 6189 05:20:06,560 --> 05:20:11,920 governed the ego, not the other way 6190 05:20:08,798 --> 05:20:14,160 round. And he eventually found the right 6191 05:20:11,920 --> 05:20:17,160 people to help him build that holy 6192 05:20:14,160 --> 05:20:17,160 grail. 6193 05:20:17,760 --> 05:20:24,000 Rob Capito, the enforcer, a powerhouse 6194 05:20:21,840 --> 05:20:26,560 trader who knew the plumbing of the bomb 6195 05:20:24,000 --> 05:20:28,638 market better than anyone else. He 6196 05:20:26,560 --> 05:20:32,240 provided the muscle Larry needed to 6197 05:20:28,638 --> 05:20:35,280 execute the vision. Ben Golib, the 6198 05:20:32,240 --> 05:20:36,798 Oracle, a PhD with a mind like a 6199 05:20:35,280 --> 05:20:38,638 supercomput. 6200 05:20:36,798 --> 05:20:41,120 While other bankers were focused on 6201 05:20:38,638 --> 05:20:43,760 lunch reservations, Golib was thinking 6202 05:20:41,120 --> 05:20:46,000 about value at risk and Monte Carlo 6203 05:20:43,760 --> 05:20:49,520 simulations. 6204 05:20:46,000 --> 05:20:51,920 Susan Wagner, the mastermind, 6205 05:20:49,520 --> 05:20:53,520 brilliant, calculating, and capable of 6206 05:20:51,920 --> 05:20:55,760 seeing structural flaws in a 6207 05:20:53,520 --> 05:20:58,080 multi-billion dollar merger before a 6208 05:20:55,760 --> 05:21:00,718 single paper was signed. Along with 6209 05:20:58,080 --> 05:21:02,958 Barbara Novik, Ralph Schllostein, Q 6210 05:21:00,718 --> 05:21:06,160 Freighter, and Keith Anderson, they 6211 05:21:02,958 --> 05:21:07,920 became the original eight. Frink wasn't 6212 05:21:06,160 --> 05:21:11,200 looking for bankers who would run after 6213 05:21:07,920 --> 05:21:14,320 the money. He wanted architects, people 6214 05:21:11,200 --> 05:21:16,320 who were tired of being blind. 6215 05:21:14,320 --> 05:21:18,958 When he found them, they met in living 6216 05:21:16,320 --> 05:21:20,798 rooms and coffee shops. They had the 6217 05:21:18,958 --> 05:21:23,840 blueprints for a system they called 6218 05:21:20,798 --> 05:21:26,560 Aladdin, an acronym for asset, 6219 05:21:23,840 --> 05:21:29,600 liability, debt, and derivative 6220 05:21:26,560 --> 05:21:32,080 investment network. It was designed to 6221 05:21:29,600 --> 05:21:34,240 be the unblinking eye Larry had dreamed 6222 05:21:32,080 --> 05:21:36,320 of in his exile. 6223 05:21:34,240 --> 05:21:39,280 But a brain without a body is just a 6224 05:21:36,320 --> 05:21:42,638 dream. To build Aladdin, they needed 6225 05:21:39,280 --> 05:21:44,400 hardware. They needed offices. And most 6226 05:21:42,638 --> 05:21:46,958 importantly, they needed the one thing 6227 05:21:44,400 --> 05:21:49,440 Larry's reputation had cost him. 6228 05:21:46,958 --> 05:21:51,760 Capital. Aladdin was not designed to 6229 05:21:49,440 --> 05:21:54,160 beat the market. It was designed to 6230 05:21:51,760 --> 05:21:57,040 understand it. But its real power 6231 05:21:54,160 --> 05:22:00,320 emerged when others started using it. 6232 05:21:57,040 --> 05:22:03,440 Banks, insurance companies, pension 6233 05:22:00,320 --> 05:22:05,600 funds, sovereign institutions. As 6234 05:22:03,440 --> 05:22:09,040 Aladdin spread, something subtle 6235 05:22:05,600 --> 05:22:12,080 happened. Risk stopped being subjective. 6236 05:22:09,040 --> 05:22:14,638 It became standardized. When Aladdin 6237 05:22:12,080 --> 05:22:18,680 flagged an asset as dangerous, entire 6238 05:22:14,638 --> 05:22:18,680 markets adjusted accordingly. 6239 05:22:18,798 --> 05:22:24,080 Not because Larry Frink said so, but 6240 05:22:21,200 --> 05:22:26,000 because the system trusted the model. At 6241 05:22:24,080 --> 05:22:28,400 that point, Black Rockck was no longer 6242 05:22:26,000 --> 05:22:31,520 just managing money. It was helping 6243 05:22:28,400 --> 05:22:33,920 define how risk itself was understood. 6244 05:22:31,520 --> 05:22:37,638 And whoever defines risk defines the 6245 05:22:33,920 --> 05:22:37,638 boundaries of decisionmaking. 6246 05:22:46,160 --> 05:22:51,600 Enter Steven Schwartzman. In 1988, 6247 05:22:49,520 --> 05:22:54,718 Schwartzman was the rising king of 6248 05:22:51,600 --> 05:22:58,480 private equity. His firm Blackstone was 6249 05:22:54,718 --> 05:23:01,040 aggressive, wealthy, and hungry. 6250 05:22:58,480 --> 05:23:04,160 The meeting was tense. Schwartzman knew 6251 05:23:01,040 --> 05:23:07,600 Larry's history. He knew about the 1986 6252 05:23:04,160 --> 05:23:11,280 disaster. But Larry didn't hide from it. 6253 05:23:07,600 --> 05:23:13,280 He used it as his primary selling point. 6254 05:23:11,280 --> 05:23:15,680 Because Larry had seen the end of the 6255 05:23:13,280 --> 05:23:18,240 world already, he knew exactly how the 6256 05:23:15,680 --> 05:23:20,000 lights went out. And because of that, he 6257 05:23:18,240 --> 05:23:22,160 was the only one who knew how to keep 6258 05:23:20,000 --> 05:23:24,878 them on. 6259 05:23:22,160 --> 05:23:26,878 Larry's pitch was revolutionary. He 6260 05:23:24,878 --> 05:23:30,080 didn't want to start a hedge fund. He 6261 05:23:26,878 --> 05:23:31,840 wanted to create a fiduciary company, a 6262 05:23:30,080 --> 05:23:34,000 firm that managed other people's money 6263 05:23:31,840 --> 05:23:36,638 with the same technological rigor 6264 05:23:34,000 --> 05:23:39,360 usually reserved for NASA. 6265 05:23:36,638 --> 05:23:41,760 He asked for a $5 million credit line 6266 05:23:39,360 --> 05:23:44,320 and a partnership. In exchange, 6267 05:23:41,760 --> 05:23:46,958 Schwartzman would own 50% of the new 6268 05:23:44,320 --> 05:23:48,878 venture. He knew he was buying cheap 6269 05:23:46,958 --> 05:23:52,638 because he was buying on a distressed 6270 05:23:48,878 --> 05:23:54,560 asset, Think's damaged reputation. 6271 05:23:52,638 --> 05:23:56,638 But he did so betting on the idea that 6272 05:23:54,560 --> 05:24:01,280 the experience had turned Larry Frink 6273 05:23:56,638 --> 05:24:04,560 into some sort of financial genius. 6274 05:24:01,280 --> 05:24:07,200 The deal was done. On a Friday in March 6275 05:24:04,560 --> 05:24:09,040 1988, the team moved into a single 6276 05:24:07,200 --> 05:24:10,560 cramped room within Blackstone's 6277 05:24:09,040 --> 05:24:13,280 offices. 6278 05:24:10,560 --> 05:24:15,280 They were five computers, a few folding 6279 05:24:13,280 --> 05:24:18,000 chairs, and a mountain of cables on the 6280 05:24:15,280 --> 05:24:20,320 floor. They were under the Blackstone 6281 05:24:18,000 --> 05:24:22,798 umbrella. But Larry knew that this was 6282 05:24:20,320 --> 05:24:26,320 just a temporary shelter. He didn't just 6283 05:24:22,798 --> 05:24:28,958 want a department, he wanted an empire. 6284 05:24:26,320 --> 05:24:31,120 He had the money. He had the team. And 6285 05:24:28,958 --> 05:24:33,200 in the corner of that small room, the 6286 05:24:31,120 --> 05:24:36,000 first lines of code for Aladdin were 6287 05:24:33,200 --> 05:24:38,958 being written. 6288 05:24:36,000 --> 05:24:40,958 The information blindness was over. The 6289 05:24:38,958 --> 05:24:45,400 era of Black Rock, though it didn't have 6290 05:24:40,958 --> 05:24:45,400 that name yet, had begun. 6291 05:24:49,520 --> 05:24:54,718 The first office of Blackstone Financial 6292 05:24:51,840 --> 05:24:57,680 Management wasn't a glass tower. It was 6293 05:24:54,718 --> 05:25:00,400 a glorified closet. Because of the heat 6294 05:24:57,680 --> 05:25:02,320 generated by the early Sun Microsystems 6295 05:25:00,400 --> 05:25:07,920 workstations, the temperature in the 6296 05:25:02,320 --> 05:25:09,680 room rarely dropped below 80°, 27° C. 6297 05:25:07,920 --> 05:25:12,160 While the rest of the Blackstone group 6298 05:25:09,680 --> 05:25:14,638 was out at expensive lunches closing 6299 05:25:12,160 --> 05:25:19,040 leveraged buyouts, Larry's original 6300 05:25:14,638 --> 05:25:21,360 eight were building a digital fortress. 6301 05:25:19,040 --> 05:25:23,680 They were the weirdos in the basement. 6302 05:25:21,360 --> 05:25:27,280 It was here that the name Aladdin became 6303 05:25:23,680 --> 05:25:30,000 a living thing. Every day, Ben Goler and 6304 05:25:27,280 --> 05:25:33,120 his team fed it data. Interest rates, 6305 05:25:30,000 --> 05:25:34,878 housing prices, historical crashes. They 6306 05:25:33,120 --> 05:25:40,280 were teaching the machine to be afraid 6307 05:25:34,878 --> 05:25:40,280 of everything Larry hadn't seen in 1986. 6308 05:25:43,840 --> 05:25:49,120 By 1992, the department inside 6309 05:25:46,560 --> 05:25:51,840 Blackstone was no longer a startup. It 6310 05:25:49,120 --> 05:25:55,200 was a powerhouse. Larry's team was 6311 05:25:51,840 --> 05:25:56,798 managing $17 billion. 6312 05:25:55,200 --> 05:25:59,120 They weren't just a side project 6313 05:25:56,798 --> 05:26:02,080 anymore. They were a significant engine 6314 05:25:59,120 --> 05:26:04,560 of Blackstone's growth. But with success 6315 05:26:02,080 --> 05:26:06,718 came a toxic byproduct, 6316 05:26:04,560 --> 05:26:09,360 identity confusion. 6317 05:26:06,718 --> 05:26:11,040 Clients were getting confused. They 6318 05:26:09,360 --> 05:26:13,520 would call Blackstone looking for 6319 05:26:11,040 --> 05:26:16,000 Larry's bond expertise or called Larry 6320 05:26:13,520 --> 05:26:18,480 looking for Schwarzman's buyouts. But 6321 05:26:16,000 --> 05:26:21,120 the friction went deeper than a name. It 6322 05:26:18,480 --> 05:26:23,600 was a war of philosophies. Schwartzman 6323 05:26:21,120 --> 05:26:26,958 was a dealmaker. He wanted to own 6324 05:26:23,600 --> 05:26:30,320 companies. Think was a fiduciary. He 6325 05:26:26,958 --> 05:26:32,560 wanted to manage risk for others. 6326 05:26:30,320 --> 05:26:34,878 The tension was similar to having two 6327 05:26:32,560 --> 05:26:37,280 predators in a cage too small to fit 6328 05:26:34,878 --> 05:26:40,400 both. The breaking point came over 6329 05:26:37,280 --> 05:26:42,638 equity. Larry wanted to use stock to 6330 05:26:40,400 --> 05:26:45,840 attract and keep the original eight and 6331 05:26:42,638 --> 05:26:47,920 new talent. Schwarzman, holding 50% of 6332 05:26:45,840 --> 05:26:50,400 the firm, didn't want to dilute his 6333 05:26:47,920 --> 05:26:52,560 state. The partnership that saved 6334 05:26:50,400 --> 05:26:58,560 Larry's career was now suffocating his 6335 05:26:52,560 --> 05:27:00,638 vision. In 1994, they reached a deal. 6336 05:26:58,560 --> 05:27:04,560 Schwarzman agreed to sell Blackstone 6337 05:27:00,638 --> 05:27:06,638 steak for $240 million. At the time, it 6338 05:27:04,560 --> 05:27:08,798 seemed like a win for Schwarzman, a 6339 05:27:06,638 --> 05:27:11,680 massive return on his $5 million 6340 05:27:08,798 --> 05:27:14,080 investment. It wasn't just about money. 6341 05:27:11,680 --> 05:27:16,320 It was about the spotlight. Schwarzman 6342 05:27:14,080 --> 05:27:18,798 was the king of Wall Street, but his 6343 05:27:16,320 --> 05:27:21,360 subtenant Larry Frink was the one the 6344 05:27:18,798 --> 05:27:24,878 New York Times wanted to interview. But 6345 05:27:21,360 --> 05:27:26,958 for Larry, it was the price of freedom. 6346 05:27:24,878 --> 05:27:29,280 Schwarzman would later call selling 6347 05:27:26,958 --> 05:27:32,000 Black Rock the worst mistake of my 6348 05:27:29,280 --> 05:27:34,558 career. For Larry, the divorce was the 6349 05:27:32,000 --> 05:27:37,040 moment the training wheels came off. He 6350 05:27:34,558 --> 05:27:40,080 was no longer under anyone's umbrella. 6351 05:27:37,040 --> 05:27:41,760 He was the CEO of an independent firm. 6352 05:27:40,080 --> 05:27:43,680 Now he just had to prove he could 6353 05:27:41,760 --> 05:27:46,680 survive the coming storm of the late 6354 05:27:43,680 --> 05:27:46,680 90s. 6355 05:27:54,400 --> 05:28:00,240 It is 2008. The financial world was 6356 05:27:57,680 --> 05:28:02,480 experiencing a heart attack. The 6357 05:28:00,240 --> 05:28:04,798 financial smoothies that mortgage back 6358 05:28:02,480 --> 05:28:07,120 securities Larry had helped create 30 6359 05:28:04,798 --> 05:28:08,480 years earlier had turned into a global 6360 05:28:07,120 --> 05:28:10,718 poison. 6361 05:28:08,480 --> 05:28:12,718 Banks didn't know what they owned, and 6362 05:28:10,718 --> 05:28:15,120 more importantly, they didn't know what 6363 05:28:12,718 --> 05:28:16,958 their neighbors owned. Trust had 6364 05:28:15,120 --> 05:28:18,958 evaporated. 6365 05:28:16,958 --> 05:28:20,718 When the US government realized the 6366 05:28:18,958 --> 05:28:22,798 economy was on the brink of a total 6367 05:28:20,718 --> 05:28:26,718 blackout, they didn't call Goldman 6368 05:28:22,798 --> 05:28:29,040 Sachs. They didn't call JP Morgan. While 6369 05:28:26,718 --> 05:28:31,040 the CEOs of Layman and Merrill were 6370 05:28:29,040 --> 05:28:33,120 begging for government checks, Larry 6371 05:28:31,040 --> 05:28:35,440 Frink was the one the government called 6372 05:28:33,120 --> 05:28:37,680 to write the checks. 6373 05:28:35,440 --> 05:28:40,160 He was the only title left standing with 6374 05:28:37,680 --> 05:28:42,160 a clean balance sheet. 6375 05:28:40,160 --> 05:28:44,320 The United States government didn't just 6376 05:28:42,160 --> 05:28:46,160 seek advice, it delegated 6377 05:28:44,320 --> 05:28:48,160 responsibility. 6378 05:28:46,160 --> 05:28:51,040 Black Rockck was tasked with valuing 6379 05:28:48,160 --> 05:28:53,280 assets no one understood, managing risks 6380 05:28:51,040 --> 05:28:55,200 no one could measure, and stabilizing 6381 05:28:53,280 --> 05:28:57,680 markets that were collapsing in real 6382 05:28:55,200 --> 05:29:00,080 time. 6383 05:28:57,680 --> 05:29:03,120 This wasn't a bailout. It was an 6384 05:29:00,080 --> 05:29:04,878 outsourcing of core sovereign functions. 6385 05:29:03,120 --> 05:29:06,878 For the first time, a private firm 6386 05:29:04,878 --> 05:29:09,920 played a central role in maintaining 6387 05:29:06,878 --> 05:29:11,840 global financial stability. Not through 6388 05:29:09,920 --> 05:29:14,240 political authority, but through 6389 05:29:11,840 --> 05:29:16,878 technical capability. 6390 05:29:14,240 --> 05:29:19,680 From that moment on, power was no longer 6391 05:29:16,878 --> 05:29:21,680 just about laws and institutions. It was 6392 05:29:19,680 --> 05:29:23,920 about who had the tools to see the 6393 05:29:21,680 --> 05:29:25,840 system clearly. 6394 05:29:23,920 --> 05:29:29,040 Black Rockck was hired to manage the 6395 05:29:25,840 --> 05:29:30,718 toxic waste of the crisis. They became 6396 05:29:29,040 --> 05:29:34,080 the official cleaner for the US 6397 05:29:30,718 --> 05:29:37,558 government, managing $130 billion of 6398 05:29:34,080 --> 05:29:37,558 troubled assets. 6399 05:29:37,600 --> 05:29:42,320 Suddenly, Larry Frink was the most 6400 05:29:40,000 --> 05:29:44,000 powerful man in the room, acting as an 6401 05:29:42,320 --> 05:29:45,600 adviser to the president and the 6402 05:29:44,000 --> 05:29:47,920 treasury. 6403 05:29:45,600 --> 05:29:50,718 But while he was saving the system, he 6404 05:29:47,920 --> 05:29:53,040 saw a once-ina-lifetime opportunity to 6405 05:29:50,718 --> 05:29:55,520 dominate it. In the middle of the 6406 05:29:53,040 --> 05:29:58,320 carnage, Barclay's bank in the UK was 6407 05:29:55,520 --> 05:30:00,558 desperate for cash. They needed to sell 6408 05:29:58,320 --> 05:30:02,638 their crown jewel, a division called 6409 05:30:00,558 --> 05:30:05,040 Barclay's Global Investors, which 6410 05:30:02,638 --> 05:30:06,798 included a revolutionary product called 6411 05:30:05,040 --> 05:30:08,638 Eyesshares. 6412 05:30:06,798 --> 05:30:11,520 Eyesshares represented passive 6413 05:30:08,638 --> 05:30:14,558 investing. ETFs that track the whole 6414 05:30:11,520 --> 05:30:16,400 market rather than trying to beat it. It 6415 05:30:14,558 --> 05:30:19,200 was the ultimate expression of Larry's 6416 05:30:16,400 --> 05:30:21,760 philosophy. Stop betting on stars and 6417 05:30:19,200 --> 05:30:26,480 start owning the system. It was a 6418 05:30:21,760 --> 05:30:28,718 massive $13.5 billion gamble. If the 6419 05:30:26,480 --> 05:30:31,600 markets continue to fall, deal could 6420 05:30:28,718 --> 05:30:34,000 sink Blackrop. But Larry knew something 6421 05:30:31,600 --> 05:30:36,798 the others didn't. He had looked into 6422 05:30:34,000 --> 05:30:39,200 the eye of Aladdin and Aladdin told him 6423 05:30:36,798 --> 05:30:42,240 that the bottom was near. With the 6424 05:30:39,200 --> 05:30:44,958 acquisition of Eyesshares in 2009, Black 6425 05:30:42,240 --> 05:30:47,360 Rockck doubled its size overnight. They 6426 05:30:44,958 --> 05:30:49,840 weren't just a bond shop anymore. They 6427 05:30:47,360 --> 05:30:52,320 were now the largest money manager on 6428 05:30:49,840 --> 05:30:55,120 the planet. They had gone into the 6429 05:30:52,320 --> 05:30:57,520 crisis as a respected firm. They came 6430 05:30:55,120 --> 05:31:00,520 out of it as the shadow government of 6431 05:30:57,520 --> 05:31:00,520 finance. 6432 05:31:05,120 --> 05:31:10,480 By 2012, Larry Frink had built the 6433 05:31:07,760 --> 05:31:13,120 machine. He had the assets, the data, 6434 05:31:10,480 --> 05:31:16,400 and the influence. But he realized that 6435 05:31:13,120 --> 05:31:18,320 being king of Wall Street wasn't enough. 6436 05:31:16,400 --> 05:31:21,520 He wanted to change the way the world 6437 05:31:18,320 --> 05:31:23,360 did business. Every January, a ritual 6438 05:31:21,520 --> 05:31:26,480 began that would send tremors through 6439 05:31:23,360 --> 05:31:28,798 boardrooms from Detroit to Frankfurt. 6440 05:31:26,480 --> 05:31:31,280 Larry started writing letters. They 6441 05:31:28,798 --> 05:31:35,160 weren't just annual reports. They were 6442 05:31:31,280 --> 05:31:35,160 the Black Rockck Manifestos. 6443 05:31:35,840 --> 05:31:41,840 In 2018, he dropped a bomb. He told the 6444 05:31:39,600 --> 05:31:43,920 world's CEOs that if they wanted Black 6445 05:31:41,840 --> 05:31:47,040 Rockck's money, they had to prove they 6446 05:31:43,920 --> 05:31:49,840 served a social purpose. He wasn't just 6447 05:31:47,040 --> 05:31:53,840 asking for profits. He was asking for a 6448 05:31:49,840 --> 05:31:56,718 soul. He was mainstreaming ESG, 6449 05:31:53,840 --> 05:31:59,920 environmental, social, and governance. 6450 05:31:56,718 --> 05:32:02,958 And he was doing it with a $10 trillion 6451 05:31:59,920 --> 05:32:06,480 hammer. But Larry's new gospel didn't 6452 05:32:02,958 --> 05:32:08,400 sit well with everyone. By 2021, the 6453 05:32:06,480 --> 05:32:12,000 Golden Boy was finding himself in the 6454 05:32:08,400 --> 05:32:15,200 middle of a two-front war. 6455 05:32:12,000 --> 05:32:19,040 The ESG debate was never cultural. It 6456 05:32:15,200 --> 05:32:20,958 was economic. At its core, ESG was about 6457 05:32:19,040 --> 05:32:23,520 risk management, anticipating 6458 05:32:20,958 --> 05:32:25,760 regulation, climate disruption, and 6459 05:32:23,520 --> 05:32:27,920 social instability. 6460 05:32:25,760 --> 05:32:30,798 For Black Rockck, ignoring those factors 6461 05:32:27,920 --> 05:32:33,280 wasn't neutral. It was dangerous. But 6462 05:32:30,798 --> 05:32:36,080 when capital begins to price the future, 6463 05:32:33,280 --> 05:32:38,878 it also begins to shape it. That's why 6464 05:32:36,080 --> 05:32:41,760 the backlash was so intense. 6465 05:32:38,878 --> 05:32:43,680 To the left, Larry was a hypocrite. They 6466 05:32:41,760 --> 05:32:45,840 called him a greenwasher because Black 6467 05:32:43,680 --> 05:32:48,400 Rockck still held billions in oil and 6468 05:32:45,840 --> 05:32:50,558 gas stocks. To the right, he was a 6469 05:32:48,400 --> 05:32:52,400 globalist villain who was using other 6470 05:32:50,558 --> 05:32:55,360 people's money to push a radical 6471 05:32:52,400 --> 05:32:57,360 environmental agenda. The backlash 6472 05:32:55,360 --> 05:33:00,360 turned into a full-scale political 6473 05:32:57,360 --> 05:33:00,360 assault. 6474 05:33:00,400 --> 05:33:05,200 State treasurers in Florida, Texas, and 6475 05:33:02,878 --> 05:33:07,760 Mississippi began pulling billions out 6476 05:33:05,200 --> 05:33:10,400 of Black Rockck. They accused Larry of 6477 05:33:07,760 --> 05:33:12,558 boycotting energy and violating his duty 6478 05:33:10,400 --> 05:33:14,480 to investors. 6479 05:33:12,558 --> 05:33:17,200 For the first time, the man who had 6480 05:33:14,480 --> 05:33:22,520 mastered risk found himself in a risk he 6481 05:33:17,200 --> 05:33:22,520 couldn't calculate, the culture war. 6482 05:33:24,000 --> 05:33:28,878 He told a crowd in Aspen that he was 6483 05:33:26,240 --> 05:33:31,040 ashamed to be a part of the debate. He 6484 05:33:28,878 --> 05:33:34,080 even stopped using the term ESG 6485 05:33:31,040 --> 05:33:36,000 altogether, calling it weaponized. 6486 05:33:34,080 --> 05:33:38,718 He had tried to become the conscience of 6487 05:33:36,000 --> 05:33:41,600 capitalism. Instead, it became its most 6488 05:33:38,718 --> 05:33:43,600 controversial target. But even as the 6489 05:33:41,600 --> 05:33:48,558 politicians shouted and the protesters 6490 05:33:43,600 --> 05:33:50,240 marched, the assets kept growing. 6491 05:33:48,558 --> 05:33:52,320 Because in the end, whether you loved 6492 05:33:50,240 --> 05:33:56,360 him or hated him, you couldn't escape 6493 05:33:52,320 --> 05:33:56,360 the machine he built. 6494 05:34:04,240 --> 05:34:08,798 January 2026, 6495 05:34:06,480 --> 05:34:10,480 the number flashes on a terminal in 6496 05:34:08,798 --> 05:34:14,480 Black Rockck's Hudson Yards 6497 05:34:10,480 --> 05:34:17,600 headquarters. $14 trillion. 6498 05:34:14,480 --> 05:34:19,280 It is a number so vast it defies human 6499 05:34:17,600 --> 05:34:21,680 comprehension. 6500 05:34:19,280 --> 05:34:24,240 If Larry Frink's assets under management 6501 05:34:21,680 --> 05:34:26,240 were a country's GDP, it would be the 6502 05:34:24,240 --> 05:34:28,718 third largest economy on Earth, 6503 05:34:26,240 --> 05:34:30,240 surpassed only by the United States and 6504 05:34:28,718 --> 05:34:32,558 China. 6505 05:34:30,240 --> 05:34:35,360 But as Larry looks out from his office, 6506 05:34:32,558 --> 05:34:37,200 he isn't looking at stock tickers. He is 6507 05:34:35,360 --> 05:34:40,200 looking at the very bones of 6508 05:34:37,200 --> 05:34:40,200 civilization. 6509 05:34:41,760 --> 05:34:48,240 In 2024, Larry made his final most 6510 05:34:45,200 --> 05:34:50,718 aggressive pivot. He realized that the 6511 05:34:48,240 --> 05:34:53,520 next decade won't be one with bits on a 6512 05:34:50,718 --> 05:34:56,718 screen, but with atoms in the ground. 6513 05:34:53,520 --> 05:34:59,200 With the 12.5 billion acquisition of 6514 05:34:56,718 --> 05:35:01,440 global infrastructure partners, Larry 6515 05:34:59,200 --> 05:35:04,958 signaled the end of the old Wall Street 6516 05:35:01,440 --> 05:35:07,440 era. Larry saw the AI revolution coming. 6517 05:35:04,958 --> 05:35:09,520 But he didn't buy the chip makers. He 6518 05:35:07,440 --> 05:35:12,520 bought the power plants that feed the 6519 05:35:09,520 --> 05:35:12,520 chips. 6520 05:35:15,440 --> 05:35:22,440 But every empire faces the same 6521 05:35:17,440 --> 05:35:22,440 inevitable question. Succession. 6522 05:35:23,840 --> 05:35:28,160 For years, Wall Street has whispered 6523 05:35:25,920 --> 05:35:31,440 about who could possibly replace the man 6524 05:35:28,160 --> 05:35:33,760 who is Black Rockck. Names like Rob 6525 05:35:31,440 --> 05:35:36,160 Capito, Mark Weberman, and Jennifer 6526 05:35:33,760 --> 05:35:39,200 Johnson swirl in the press. But the 6527 05:35:36,160 --> 05:35:41,920 truth is more complex. Larry hasn't just 6528 05:35:39,200 --> 05:35:44,160 built a company. He's built an organism. 6529 05:35:41,920 --> 05:35:47,040 A system where Aladdin, now a very 6530 05:35:44,160 --> 05:35:50,160 sophisticated AI entity, handles the 6531 05:35:47,040 --> 05:35:52,958 risk while a legion of 20,000 employees, 6532 05:35:50,160 --> 05:35:55,280 executes the vision. Aladdin is no 6533 05:35:52,958 --> 05:35:57,360 longer just a calculator. It is a 6534 05:35:55,280 --> 05:36:00,080 predictive engine that runs millions of 6535 05:35:57,360 --> 05:36:01,920 simulations every second, anticipating 6536 05:36:00,080 --> 05:36:05,760 everything from a war in the Middle East 6537 05:36:01,920 --> 05:36:08,160 to a crop failure in Brazil. 6538 05:36:05,760 --> 05:36:11,280 Some call him the king of the world. 6539 05:36:08,160 --> 05:36:13,520 Others call him the shadow architect. 6540 05:36:11,280 --> 05:36:15,600 But if you ask Larry, he'll tell you 6541 05:36:13,520 --> 05:36:17,920 he's still that kid from the Van Noise 6542 05:36:15,600 --> 05:36:21,958 shoe store, just trying to make sure 6543 05:36:17,920 --> 05:36:21,958 that the maths add up. 6544 05:36:22,320 --> 05:36:26,558 He took the greatest humiliation of his 6545 05:36:24,320 --> 05:36:28,638 life and turned it into a shield for the 6546 05:36:26,558 --> 05:36:30,638 global economy. 6547 05:36:28,638 --> 05:36:33,360 He taught the world that profit without 6548 05:36:30,638 --> 05:36:38,480 a plan is just a gamble and that in the 6549 05:36:33,360 --> 05:36:40,480 dark, the man with a flashlight is king. 6550 05:36:38,480 --> 05:36:43,440 There is one financial question the 6551 05:36:40,480 --> 05:36:46,080 system cannot answer. What happens when 6552 05:36:43,440 --> 05:36:48,480 everyone measures risk the same way? 6553 05:36:46,080 --> 05:36:50,878 When models converge. When assumptions 6554 05:36:48,480 --> 05:36:52,558 align. When diversity of judgment 6555 05:36:50,878 --> 05:36:54,878 disappears. 6556 05:36:52,558 --> 05:36:57,840 A system optimized for stability can 6557 05:36:54,878 --> 05:36:59,840 become fragile. Not because it is wrong 6558 05:36:57,840 --> 05:37:01,440 but because it leaves no room for the 6559 05:36:59,840 --> 05:37:03,600 unexpected. 6560 05:37:01,440 --> 05:37:06,080 When the supervisor becomes invisible 6561 05:37:03,600 --> 05:37:09,120 and the rules are embedded in code, 6562 05:37:06,080 --> 05:37:12,480 accountability becomes harder to locate, 6563 05:37:09,120 --> 05:37:14,400 the system works until it doesn't. And 6564 05:37:12,480 --> 05:37:16,958 that's why Blackprop isn't just a 6565 05:37:14,400 --> 05:37:19,600 shareholder in your company. They are 6566 05:37:16,958 --> 05:37:22,400 the landlord of your power plant, the 6567 05:37:19,600 --> 05:37:24,718 owner of your airport, the architect of 6568 05:37:22,400 --> 05:37:26,718 your retirement. It is a level of 6569 05:37:24,718 --> 05:37:29,520 centralized influence the world has 6570 05:37:26,718 --> 05:37:32,000 never seen in a private individual. 6571 05:37:29,520 --> 05:37:34,878 Lawrence D.Fink didn't just build a 6572 05:37:32,000 --> 05:37:36,480 bank. He built the unblinking eye of 6573 05:37:34,878 --> 05:37:38,798 capitalism. 6574 05:37:36,480 --> 05:37:40,958 And as the world moves into the era of 6575 05:37:38,798 --> 05:37:43,840 AI, climate shift, and global 6576 05:37:40,958 --> 05:37:47,120 restructuring, one thing is certain. 6577 05:37:43,840 --> 05:37:51,718 Black Rockck will be there watching, 6578 05:37:47,120 --> 05:37:51,718 calculating, and growing. 6579 05:39:11,680 --> 05:39:16,718 It's just a small plastic brick. 6580 05:39:15,200 --> 05:39:21,840 Lightweight, 6581 05:39:16,718 --> 05:39:26,160 simple, unchanged since 1958. 6582 05:39:21,840 --> 05:39:28,240 And yet, it has built entire universes. 6583 05:39:26,160 --> 05:39:30,718 Lego constructions truly take us back to 6584 05:39:28,240 --> 05:39:32,480 childhood. 6585 05:39:30,718 --> 05:39:35,040 But they stay with us throughout our 6586 05:39:32,480 --> 05:39:37,440 entire lives. From bedrooms to 6587 05:39:35,040 --> 05:39:41,680 boardrooms, from playgrounds to 6588 05:39:37,440 --> 05:39:44,080 Hollywood, Lego has shaped generations. 6589 05:39:41,680 --> 05:39:45,920 >> When I design something from scratch, I 6590 05:39:44,080 --> 05:39:48,320 start with an idea that occurs to me at 6591 05:39:45,920 --> 05:39:50,160 any time of day. 6592 05:39:48,320 --> 05:39:53,120 >> I try to build it with Lego and see what 6593 05:39:50,160 --> 05:39:57,200 I come up with. In a global toy market 6594 05:39:53,120 --> 05:39:59,920 worth more than $120 billion, LEGO 6595 05:39:57,200 --> 05:40:02,878 stands alone. A single company 6596 05:39:59,920 --> 05:40:05,280 controlling nearly one in every $10 6597 05:40:02,878 --> 05:40:07,440 spent on toys worldwide. 6598 05:40:05,280 --> 05:40:09,040 >> LEGO holds a leading position worldwide, 6599 05:40:07,440 --> 05:40:10,718 recognized above all for its 6600 05:40:09,040 --> 05:40:12,878 playability. 6601 05:40:10,718 --> 05:40:16,958 >> What if the most beloved toy in the 6602 05:40:12,878 --> 05:40:19,360 world almost didn't exist? 6603 05:40:16,958 --> 05:40:22,000 Discover the incredible journey of a 6604 05:40:19,360 --> 05:40:24,000 small, struggling carpentry shop. The 6605 05:40:22,000 --> 05:40:25,920 dared to dream bigger than anyone 6606 05:40:24,000 --> 05:40:28,400 thought possible. 6607 05:40:25,920 --> 05:40:31,440 >> This is the untold story of the 6608 05:40:28,400 --> 05:40:34,558 visionary who built Lego, 6609 05:40:31,440 --> 05:40:37,840 transforming simple wooden bricks into a 6610 05:40:34,558 --> 05:40:40,718 multibillion dollar empire and forever 6611 05:40:37,840 --> 05:40:42,958 changing how we play. 6612 05:40:40,718 --> 05:40:46,160 But none of this began with billiondoll 6613 05:40:42,958 --> 05:40:50,080 charts or cinematic universes. 6614 05:40:46,160 --> 05:40:53,280 It began with a carpenter with a vision. 6615 05:40:50,080 --> 05:40:56,480 In a tiny Danish village, one man had a 6616 05:40:53,280 --> 05:40:59,480 dream. Building toys out of scraps of 6617 05:40:56,480 --> 05:40:59,480 wood. 6618 05:41:05,680 --> 05:41:12,480 Ole Kirk Christensen was born in 1891 in 6619 05:41:09,520 --> 05:41:16,480 western Denmark, a place defined by 6620 05:41:12,480 --> 05:41:19,200 silence, soil, and hard work. 6621 05:41:16,480 --> 05:41:21,360 He grew up poor, like most children in 6622 05:41:19,200 --> 05:41:22,638 the Jutland countryside. 6623 05:41:21,360 --> 05:41:25,360 But he learned the value of 6624 05:41:22,638 --> 05:41:28,878 craftsmanship early. When you made 6625 05:41:25,360 --> 05:41:31,600 something, it had to last. 6626 05:41:28,878 --> 05:41:33,840 He apprenticed as a carpenter. It was 6627 05:41:31,600 --> 05:41:37,440 not a really glamorous work, but 6628 05:41:33,840 --> 05:41:40,718 meticulous. honest. A craft that matched 6629 05:41:37,440 --> 05:41:43,200 Ola's character and manners. 6630 05:41:40,718 --> 05:41:46,558 Ola traveled through Denmark, Germany, 6631 05:41:43,200 --> 05:41:50,080 and Norway. Everywhere he went, he left 6632 05:41:46,558 --> 05:41:52,080 a reputation. Precise, patient, 6633 05:41:50,080 --> 05:41:55,760 relentless. 6634 05:41:52,080 --> 05:41:57,760 In 1916, Ole returned home and bought a 6635 05:41:55,760 --> 05:42:02,000 workshop in a place that barely existed 6636 05:41:57,760 --> 05:42:04,558 on the map. Bond. No shops, no train 6637 05:42:02,000 --> 05:42:06,558 station, just a handful of families 6638 05:42:04,558 --> 05:42:08,400 trying to survive the Danish winds. 6639 05:42:06,558 --> 05:42:11,520 >> Don't worry, I'm fine. I'm fine. 6640 05:42:08,400 --> 05:42:13,680 >> But 8 years later, disaster struck. 6641 05:42:11,520 --> 05:42:16,718 >> Oh. Oh. Oh no. 6642 05:42:13,680 --> 05:42:17,360 >> In 1924, a fire tore through his 6643 05:42:16,718 --> 05:42:20,240 workshop. 6644 05:42:17,360 --> 05:42:25,040 >> Oh god, no. Please, no. Oh my god. 6645 05:42:20,240 --> 05:42:29,600 >> Everything burned. Tools, wood, orders, 6646 05:42:25,040 --> 05:42:33,680 and a lifetime of savings. All gone. 6647 05:42:29,600 --> 05:42:36,320 But Ol didn't quit. He rebuilt and 6648 05:42:33,680 --> 05:42:38,878 rebuilt bigger than before. Not because 6649 05:42:36,320 --> 05:42:42,798 it was safe, but because he refused to 6650 05:42:38,878 --> 05:42:45,680 let Bland disappear into the wind. 6651 05:42:42,798 --> 05:42:48,320 Then came the Great Depression. Houses 6652 05:42:45,680 --> 05:42:52,240 weren't being built. Doors weren't being 6653 05:42:48,320 --> 05:42:54,878 ordered. Bills weren't being paid. 6654 05:42:52,240 --> 05:42:57,920 Oair had workers depending on him, 6655 05:42:54,878 --> 05:43:00,878 families depending on him. So he did 6656 05:42:57,920 --> 05:43:04,638 something unexpected. He began crafting 6657 05:43:00,878 --> 05:43:08,320 small wooden toys. They were simple, 6658 05:43:04,638 --> 05:43:11,280 durable, and beautiful. 6659 05:43:08,320 --> 05:43:14,958 Locals mocked him. A grown man making 6660 05:43:11,280 --> 05:43:18,320 toys for children, you'll never survive. 6661 05:43:14,958 --> 05:43:20,320 But Ola believed that play and fun was a 6662 05:43:18,320 --> 05:43:23,440 serious business. 6663 05:43:20,320 --> 05:43:27,120 In 1934, he held a contest to name the 6664 05:43:23,440 --> 05:43:30,798 new toy company. He chose a short word, 6665 05:43:27,120 --> 05:43:34,480 Lego. It was not only a simple idea, but 6666 05:43:30,798 --> 05:43:37,280 a philosophy and a promise. 6667 05:43:34,480 --> 05:43:39,920 He hung a sign in the workshop. Only the 6668 05:43:37,280 --> 05:43:45,000 best is good enough. It wasn't 6669 05:43:39,920 --> 05:43:45,000 marketing. It was his identity. 6670 05:43:46,878 --> 05:43:50,160 >> Oh god, not again. 6671 05:43:48,400 --> 05:43:53,600 >> In 1942, 6672 05:43:50,160 --> 05:43:56,080 Ola faced another fire. This time it was 6673 05:43:53,600 --> 05:43:59,760 bigger, more devastating. Every 6674 05:43:56,080 --> 05:44:02,320 blueprint, every toy, every dream he had 6675 05:43:59,760 --> 05:44:05,120 turned into smoke. 6676 05:44:02,320 --> 05:44:08,718 But he had built himself the hardship. 6677 05:44:05,120 --> 05:44:11,840 And once more, he rebuilt the factory 6678 05:44:08,718 --> 05:44:15,840 stronger than the two previous ones. 6679 05:44:11,840 --> 05:44:17,920 In 1947, at the worst economic moment, 6680 05:44:15,840 --> 05:44:19,200 Ola made the riskiest choice of his 6681 05:44:17,920 --> 05:44:21,360 life. 6682 05:44:19,200 --> 05:44:24,638 He spent more than twice the company's 6683 05:44:21,360 --> 05:44:27,040 annual profits on a strange new machine. 6684 05:44:24,638 --> 05:44:28,878 One that worked not with wood, but with 6685 05:44:27,040 --> 05:44:31,520 plastic. 6686 05:44:28,878 --> 05:44:33,920 Retailers hated plastic. Parents 6687 05:44:31,520 --> 05:44:37,680 distrusted it. But Ola saw something 6688 05:44:33,920 --> 05:44:40,160 they didn't. Precision, repeatability, 6689 05:44:37,680 --> 05:44:42,400 and possibilities. Endless 6690 05:44:40,160 --> 05:44:45,760 possibilities. 6691 05:44:42,400 --> 05:44:47,920 Only 2 years later, in 1949, 6692 05:44:45,760 --> 05:44:51,200 LEGO released the first plastic bricks 6693 05:44:47,920 --> 05:44:54,000 of its history. They didn't click. They 6694 05:44:51,200 --> 05:44:57,000 weren't perfect, but they were the 6695 05:44:54,000 --> 05:44:57,000 beginning. 6696 05:45:01,280 --> 05:45:05,600 >> The idea was good, but Ol and his team 6697 05:45:03,840 --> 05:45:07,920 faced setbacks while designing the 6698 05:45:05,600 --> 05:45:09,600 bricks that had cemented LEGO's identity 6699 05:45:07,920 --> 05:45:13,360 through the years. 6700 05:45:09,600 --> 05:45:15,440 The plastic bricks didn't grip. This was 6701 05:45:13,360 --> 05:45:18,320 a major problem for a building set 6702 05:45:15,440 --> 05:45:21,280 because buildings collapsed. Towers fell 6703 05:45:18,320 --> 05:45:25,440 in front of their eyes. Apparently, Lego 6704 05:45:21,280 --> 05:45:26,958 wasn't created to build. And then in 6705 05:45:25,440 --> 05:45:29,280 1958, 6706 05:45:26,958 --> 05:45:31,600 everything changed. 6707 05:45:29,280 --> 05:45:33,600 >> Unlike 20 years ago, LEGO today allows 6708 05:45:31,600 --> 05:45:35,920 us to build many more things because 6709 05:45:33,600 --> 05:45:39,240 they have released more realistic colors 6710 05:45:35,920 --> 05:45:39,240 and shapes. 6711 05:45:39,520 --> 05:45:44,320 In the past, the pieces were mostly 6712 05:45:41,600 --> 05:45:46,320 square. Today, there is a much wider 6713 05:45:44,320 --> 05:45:48,480 variety of shapes, including more 6714 05:45:46,320 --> 05:45:51,280 rounded elements, which allow us to 6715 05:45:48,480 --> 05:45:53,040 create more ergonomic forms, ones that 6716 05:45:51,280 --> 05:45:55,360 more closely resemble the kinds of 6717 05:45:53,040 --> 05:45:57,520 buildings and structures we see in 6718 05:45:55,360 --> 05:46:00,558 everyday life. 6719 05:45:57,520 --> 05:46:03,840 >> Engineers at LEGO perfected a simple but 6720 05:46:00,558 --> 05:46:05,840 ingenious solution. hollow tubes inside 6721 05:46:03,840 --> 05:46:08,160 the brick. 6722 05:46:05,840 --> 05:46:10,718 Paired with the studs on top, the 6723 05:46:08,160 --> 05:46:14,558 geometry created what LEGO calls clutch 6724 05:46:10,718 --> 05:46:16,798 power, not too tight, not too loose, 6725 05:46:14,558 --> 05:46:18,718 just perfect. 6726 05:46:16,798 --> 05:46:21,360 This was not just an adjustment or 6727 05:46:18,718 --> 05:46:24,480 improvement. It was the birth of what we 6728 05:46:21,360 --> 05:46:27,120 know today as a Lego brick. The brick 6729 05:46:24,480 --> 05:46:29,040 that today can still be used with the 6730 05:46:27,120 --> 05:46:31,120 modern ones. 6731 05:46:29,040 --> 05:46:34,638 the brick that was the foundation of a 6732 05:46:31,120 --> 05:46:38,080 company that still makes history today. 6733 05:46:34,638 --> 05:46:40,080 That same year, Lego filed the patent. 6734 05:46:38,080 --> 05:46:42,480 They had something worth protecting, and 6735 05:46:40,080 --> 05:46:45,520 Oy knew that sooner or later, it would 6736 05:46:42,480 --> 05:46:49,200 be replicated. 6737 05:46:45,520 --> 05:46:52,878 It was January the 28th, 1958 when the 6738 05:46:49,200 --> 05:46:55,600 patent was filed. Later that year, Ole 6739 05:46:52,878 --> 05:46:58,798 Christensen passed away. 6740 05:46:55,600 --> 05:47:02,680 And sadly, he never lived to see how far 6741 05:46:58,798 --> 05:47:02,680 his brick would travel. 6742 05:47:10,160 --> 05:47:15,680 After his father died, Godfred Kirk 6743 05:47:12,798 --> 05:47:17,920 Christensen stepped in. He wasn't 6744 05:47:15,680 --> 05:47:20,878 inheriting the company. He was 6745 05:47:17,920 --> 05:47:23,440 inheriting a philosophy, one he had been 6746 05:47:20,878 --> 05:47:26,080 raised with. His father wasn't around 6747 05:47:23,440 --> 05:47:28,160 anymore, but the original spirit of Lego 6748 05:47:26,080 --> 05:47:30,160 lived on in the second Christensen 6749 05:47:28,160 --> 05:47:32,480 generation. 6750 05:47:30,160 --> 05:47:34,638 But he also had something to add. 6751 05:47:32,480 --> 05:47:38,000 Godfred believed Lego should be more 6752 05:47:34,638 --> 05:47:40,320 than toys. It should be a system. A 6753 05:47:38,000 --> 05:47:44,480 system where every piece connected with 6754 05:47:40,320 --> 05:47:46,638 every other piece across every set. This 6755 05:47:44,480 --> 05:47:48,160 created a language of creativity and 6756 05:47:46,638 --> 05:47:51,360 possibilities. 6757 05:47:48,160 --> 05:47:53,840 And a single idea changed everything. 6758 05:47:51,360 --> 05:47:57,760 Suddenly, Lego wasn't a collection of 6759 05:47:53,840 --> 05:48:00,240 toys, but an entire universe. 6760 05:47:57,760 --> 05:48:02,240 The company began to grow far beyond its 6761 05:48:00,240 --> 05:48:05,920 original frontiers. 6762 05:48:02,240 --> 05:48:10,718 During the 1960s and '7s, Lego expanded 6763 05:48:05,920 --> 05:48:13,520 across Europe, Germany, Sweden, the UK. 6764 05:48:10,718 --> 05:48:16,958 Bund, once a small village, became a 6765 05:48:13,520 --> 05:48:19,600 global hub of play. Lego then built its 6766 05:48:16,958 --> 05:48:21,760 own airport, factories, and distribution 6767 05:48:19,600 --> 05:48:24,480 centers. In the world of construction 6768 05:48:21,760 --> 05:48:27,200 toys, we know that Lego isn't the only 6769 05:48:24,480 --> 05:48:31,680 brand around. 6770 05:48:27,200 --> 05:48:34,320 What Lego provides is a quality product. 6771 05:48:31,680 --> 05:48:37,200 Maybe one part is wrong for every 10,000 6772 05:48:34,320 --> 05:48:39,920 or 100,000 items. And if you are missing 6773 05:48:37,200 --> 05:48:42,080 an item from a box, or if it is faulty, 6774 05:48:39,920 --> 05:48:43,600 the company's after sales service will 6775 05:48:42,080 --> 05:48:47,000 not question the fact that you are 6776 05:48:43,600 --> 05:48:47,000 missing a part. 6777 05:48:47,760 --> 05:48:54,080 And then the magic happened. 6778 05:48:51,440 --> 05:48:58,320 LEGO introduced something no toy company 6779 05:48:54,080 --> 05:49:02,080 had done at scale. Fully themed worlds. 6780 05:48:58,320 --> 05:49:03,440 Space. Town. Castles. 6781 05:49:02,080 --> 05:49:05,920 Children weren't just building 6782 05:49:03,440 --> 05:49:07,760 structures anymore. They were building 6783 05:49:05,920 --> 05:49:11,360 stories. 6784 05:49:07,760 --> 05:49:13,200 In 1978, LEGO released its most iconic 6785 05:49:11,360 --> 05:49:14,878 invention since the brick, the 6786 05:49:13,200 --> 05:49:17,920 minifigure. 6787 05:49:14,878 --> 05:49:22,000 It had a simple face, hands shaped like 6788 05:49:17,920 --> 05:49:24,480 a sea and feet made to stand on studs. A 6789 05:49:22,000 --> 05:49:27,440 tiny character that let kids project 6790 05:49:24,480 --> 05:49:30,480 themselves into entire universes. 6791 05:49:27,440 --> 05:49:34,558 Stories now had heroes and Lego had a 6792 05:49:30,480 --> 05:49:36,480 heartbeat. In the late 1970s, Lego was 6793 05:49:34,558 --> 05:49:40,558 already run by the third Christensen 6794 05:49:36,480 --> 05:49:42,718 generation. Ole's grandson killed began 6795 05:49:40,558 --> 05:49:46,240 shaping the company into the global 6796 05:49:42,718 --> 05:49:48,718 powerhouse we know today. He did so by 6797 05:49:46,240 --> 05:49:51,440 creating more sophisticated lines, 6798 05:49:48,718 --> 05:49:53,760 bringing in new universes, technic 6799 05:49:51,440 --> 05:49:57,120 brought mechanics, pirates brought 6800 05:49:53,760 --> 05:50:00,000 adventure, and trains brought motion. 6801 05:49:57,120 --> 05:50:02,958 By the late 20th century, the global toy 6802 05:50:00,000 --> 05:50:05,760 market was becoming massive. Tens of 6803 05:50:02,958 --> 05:50:08,160 billions of dollars a year worth. 6804 05:50:05,760 --> 05:50:10,958 The United States spent more on toys 6805 05:50:08,160 --> 05:50:13,840 than any country on Earth. And China 6806 05:50:10,958 --> 05:50:15,920 produced most of them, nearly 3/4 of the 6807 05:50:13,840 --> 05:50:18,798 world's total. 6808 05:50:15,920 --> 05:50:24,760 In this booming landscape, Lego wasn't 6809 05:50:18,798 --> 05:50:24,760 just another toy. It was the toy. 6810 05:50:29,360 --> 05:50:35,120 By the late 1990s, Lego was flying high. 6811 05:50:33,200 --> 05:50:37,360 It had become one of the most admired 6812 05:50:35,120 --> 05:50:39,520 companies in Europe. A creative 6813 05:50:37,360 --> 05:50:42,000 powerhouse built on the philosophy of 6814 05:50:39,520 --> 05:50:44,000 imagination and creation. We're not 6815 05:50:42,000 --> 05:50:45,760 focused only on childhood, but on 6816 05:50:44,000 --> 05:50:48,000 something that has quite literally built 6817 05:50:45,760 --> 05:50:50,240 us, pun intended, shaping our 6818 05:50:48,000 --> 05:50:52,878 personalities through Lego from an early 6819 05:50:50,240 --> 05:50:57,200 age. Those memories became a foundation 6820 05:50:52,878 --> 05:50:59,120 we've kept building on over time. 6821 05:50:57,200 --> 05:51:01,040 That's why exhibitions like this bring 6822 05:50:59,120 --> 05:51:04,000 us straight back to childhood. The 6823 05:51:01,040 --> 05:51:06,080 audience here is very diverse, but once 6824 05:51:04,000 --> 05:51:08,320 people walk in, they all become the boy 6825 05:51:06,080 --> 05:51:11,280 or girl they once were. 6826 05:51:08,320 --> 05:51:13,600 >> But it's not all gold that glitters. 6827 05:51:11,280 --> 05:51:16,558 Under the surface, something dangerous 6828 05:51:13,600 --> 05:51:18,798 was creeping in. The toy market was 6829 05:51:16,558 --> 05:51:20,798 changing fast. Children were spending 6830 05:51:18,798 --> 05:51:23,200 more and more time with video games and 6831 05:51:20,798 --> 05:51:25,440 early computer entertainment. 6832 05:51:23,200 --> 05:51:27,600 Sony's PlayStation, Nintendo, and 6833 05:51:25,440 --> 05:51:30,958 Hasbro's electronic toys were capturing 6834 05:51:27,600 --> 05:51:35,360 attention. And LEGO, determined not to 6835 05:51:30,958 --> 05:51:37,840 fall behind, expanded too far, too fast. 6836 05:51:35,360 --> 05:51:40,000 Throughout the 1990s, LEGO began 6837 05:51:37,840 --> 05:51:42,878 introducing thousands of completely new 6838 05:51:40,000 --> 05:51:45,840 pieces, specialized parts that not only 6839 05:51:42,878 --> 05:51:49,600 worked in one set, a single year could 6840 05:51:45,840 --> 05:51:51,760 bring more than 350 new designs, each of 6841 05:51:49,600 --> 05:51:54,240 them costing tens of thousands of 6842 05:51:51,760 --> 05:51:56,400 dollars in steel machining and precision 6843 05:51:54,240 --> 05:51:58,320 engineering. 6844 05:51:56,400 --> 05:52:00,638 In 2002, 6845 05:51:58,320 --> 05:52:03,520 Lego had more than 12,000 active 6846 05:52:00,638 --> 05:52:06,000 elements. The system of play, once 6847 05:52:03,520 --> 05:52:09,280 simple and universal, was becoming 6848 05:52:06,000 --> 05:52:12,320 chaotic and difficult to follow. Lego 6849 05:52:09,280 --> 05:52:14,480 also tried becoming a lifestyle brand. 6850 05:52:12,320 --> 05:52:17,600 New ventures appeared everywhere. 6851 05:52:14,480 --> 05:52:19,840 Clothing lines, theme parks, homegoods, 6852 05:52:17,600 --> 05:52:21,520 cartoon series, even watches and 6853 05:52:19,840 --> 05:52:23,440 sneakers. 6854 05:52:21,520 --> 05:52:26,080 But these projects drained resources 6855 05:52:23,440 --> 05:52:31,520 without reinforcing the core product. 6856 05:52:26,080 --> 05:52:34,000 the brick. And between 1999 and 2003, 6857 05:52:31,520 --> 05:52:36,080 LEGO sales collapsed. 6858 05:52:34,000 --> 05:52:38,798 During these years, the company went 6859 05:52:36,080 --> 05:52:42,000 from doubledigit growth to struggling. 6860 05:52:38,798 --> 05:52:45,360 And by 2003, the company was losing the 6861 05:52:42,000 --> 05:52:48,240 equivalent of $1 million a day. In a 6862 05:52:45,360 --> 05:52:52,080 global toy market still worth more than 6863 05:52:48,240 --> 05:52:54,480 $70 billion US at the time, Lego, once 6864 05:52:52,080 --> 05:52:56,958 the king of the toy box, was only a few 6865 05:52:54,480 --> 05:53:00,000 steps away from bankruptcy. 6866 05:52:56,958 --> 05:53:04,320 Times were dark, but a spark of genius 6867 05:53:00,000 --> 05:53:06,638 appeared. In 1999, LEGO signed its first 6868 05:53:04,320 --> 05:53:08,480 ever licensing deal with no other than 6869 05:53:06,638 --> 05:53:11,520 Lucasfilm. 6870 05:53:08,480 --> 05:53:14,798 The timing was perfect. Star Wars 6871 05:53:11,520 --> 05:53:17,600 Episode 1 was about to hit theaters. 6872 05:53:14,798 --> 05:53:20,558 Hype was global and the first Lego Star 6873 05:53:17,600 --> 05:53:23,840 Wars sets were instant hits, not just 6874 05:53:20,558 --> 05:53:25,920 with children, with adults. Collectors 6875 05:53:23,840 --> 05:53:28,000 lined up to buy the X-wing, the 6876 05:53:25,920 --> 05:53:31,280 Snowspeeder, or the first Millennium 6877 05:53:28,000 --> 05:53:34,160 Falcon. For the first time in LEGO's 6878 05:53:31,280 --> 05:53:36,958 history, adults, including those in 6879 05:53:34,160 --> 05:53:37,840 their 30s and 40s, were buying sets for 6880 05:53:36,958 --> 05:53:39,760 themselves. 6881 05:53:37,840 --> 05:53:42,480 >> The adult fan of Lego community is 6882 05:53:39,760 --> 05:53:44,558 getting bigger. This is because Lego is 6883 05:53:42,480 --> 05:53:47,120 not the same as it was 20 or 30 years 6884 05:53:44,558 --> 05:53:49,360 ago. 6885 05:53:47,120 --> 05:53:51,280 Before, Lego was only seen as a toy to 6886 05:53:49,360 --> 05:53:54,280 play with when it was cold and you were 6887 05:53:51,280 --> 05:53:54,280 indoors. 6888 05:53:54,558 --> 05:53:59,440 Today, Lego is much more than a toy. 6889 05:53:57,040 --> 05:54:01,760 It's used to create logos to design 6890 05:53:59,440 --> 05:54:04,718 dynamic group activities. And it also 6891 05:54:01,760 --> 05:54:06,958 represents a shift in how we see it. 6892 05:54:04,718 --> 05:54:09,360 years ago, if you said you played with 6893 05:54:06,958 --> 05:54:11,840 Lego or built Lego, you almost had to 6894 05:54:09,360 --> 05:54:13,600 explain yourself that you were at home 6895 05:54:11,840 --> 05:54:16,400 playing with little figures making up 6896 05:54:13,600 --> 05:54:18,240 battles. What we do today is different. 6897 05:54:16,400 --> 05:54:22,000 We come together as a community of 6898 05:54:18,240 --> 05:54:23,840 adults, and Lego has recognized that. 6899 05:54:22,000 --> 05:54:26,160 That's why more and more products are 6900 05:54:23,840 --> 05:54:28,798 now designed specifically for adults, 6901 05:54:26,160 --> 05:54:31,798 more complex to build, and also more 6902 05:54:28,798 --> 05:54:31,798 expensive. 6903 05:54:32,958 --> 05:54:38,718 This kid demographic would later become 6904 05:54:35,680 --> 05:54:41,600 one of LEGO's most profitable segments. 6905 05:54:38,718 --> 05:54:44,798 More licenses followed Harry Potter, 6906 05:54:41,600 --> 05:54:46,798 Spider-Man, Batman, Indiana Jones, and 6907 05:54:44,798 --> 05:54:48,480 later the newest Marvel Cinematic 6908 05:54:46,798 --> 05:54:50,080 Universe. 6909 05:54:48,480 --> 05:54:53,520 Even though LEGO learned that 6910 05:54:50,080 --> 05:54:56,798 storytelling sells, in 2004, losses were 6911 05:54:53,520 --> 05:54:59,280 mounting and survival was uncertain. 6912 05:54:56,798 --> 05:55:00,798 And then the company made a radical 6913 05:54:59,280 --> 05:55:03,120 decision. 6914 05:55:00,798 --> 05:55:05,520 For the first time in its history, the 6915 05:55:03,120 --> 05:55:09,200 company appointed a CEO from outside the 6916 05:55:05,520 --> 05:55:11,680 Christensen family, Jurgen Victor, 6917 05:55:09,200 --> 05:55:15,520 a 35-year-old former McKenzie 6918 05:55:11,680 --> 05:55:19,760 consultant. He was calm, precise, 6919 05:55:15,520 --> 05:55:23,760 analytical, and brutally honest. His 6920 05:55:19,760 --> 05:55:26,240 diagnosis was simple. Lego had forgotten 6921 05:55:23,760 --> 05:55:28,558 what made it Lego. 6922 05:55:26,240 --> 05:55:30,798 Kutto cut the number of unique elements 6923 05:55:28,558 --> 05:55:33,200 by nearly 50%. 6924 05:55:30,798 --> 05:55:36,400 He sold off the theme parks. He shut 6925 05:55:33,200 --> 05:55:38,558 down unprofitable production facilities. 6926 05:55:36,400 --> 05:55:41,200 He centralized supply chains, 6927 05:55:38,558 --> 05:55:43,520 standardized materials, and brought back 6928 05:55:41,200 --> 05:55:46,320 discipline to the system. But more 6929 05:55:43,520 --> 05:55:49,878 important, he put the bread back at the 6930 05:55:46,320 --> 05:55:49,878 center of the company. 6931 05:55:51,520 --> 05:55:56,480 This turnaround didn't happen in 6932 05:55:53,360 --> 05:55:59,760 isolation. The global toy industry was 6933 05:55:56,480 --> 05:56:02,320 undergoing a seismic change. China was 6934 05:55:59,760 --> 05:56:04,878 producing nearly 75% of the world's 6935 05:56:02,320 --> 05:56:08,000 toys, being the largest manufacturing 6936 05:56:04,878 --> 05:56:10,080 consolidation in toy history. 6937 05:56:08,000 --> 05:56:12,638 Meanwhile, the United States had become 6938 05:56:10,080 --> 05:56:14,878 the single largest consumer, responsible 6939 05:56:12,638 --> 05:56:17,878 for nearly onethird of the global toy 6940 05:56:14,878 --> 05:56:17,878 spending. 6941 05:56:18,160 --> 05:56:24,240 By 2005, the toy market was worth close 6942 05:56:21,760 --> 05:56:27,680 to $80 billion US. 6943 05:56:24,240 --> 05:56:30,480 But it was brutally competitive as well. 6944 05:56:27,680 --> 05:56:33,040 Seasonality was extreme. Nearly half of 6945 05:56:30,480 --> 05:56:36,638 the annual toy sales occurred in just 3 6946 05:56:33,040 --> 05:56:39,680 months from October to December. 6947 05:56:36,638 --> 05:56:41,840 Companies lived or died by Christmas. 6948 05:56:39,680 --> 05:56:44,638 Mattel was battling declining Barbie 6949 05:56:41,840 --> 05:56:46,080 sales. Hasbro was betting its future on 6950 05:56:44,638 --> 05:56:47,680 Transformers and board game 6951 05:56:46,080 --> 05:56:49,440 reinventions. 6952 05:56:47,680 --> 05:56:52,400 Electronics were eating market share 6953 05:56:49,440 --> 05:56:56,878 across every age group. In this 6954 05:56:52,400 --> 05:57:02,760 scenario, Lego rebuilt and refocused and 6955 05:56:56,878 --> 05:57:02,760 then began rising above all of them. 6956 05:57:06,000 --> 05:57:13,600 Between 2008 and 2015, LEGO entered a 6957 05:57:10,160 --> 05:57:16,480 new era, a renaissance driven by design, 6958 05:57:13,600 --> 05:57:18,638 storytelling, digital engagement, and 6959 05:57:16,480 --> 05:57:20,558 adult passion. 6960 05:57:18,638 --> 05:57:23,440 The company launched the ultimate 6961 05:57:20,558 --> 05:57:26,958 collector series, producing the largest, 6962 05:57:23,440 --> 05:57:29,200 most detailed models in toy history. 6963 05:57:26,958 --> 05:57:32,400 LEGO architecture brought landmarks to 6964 05:57:29,200 --> 05:57:34,958 coffee tables. Modular buildings turned 6965 05:57:32,400 --> 05:57:37,120 living rooms into miniature cities, and 6966 05:57:34,958 --> 05:57:40,240 adults were no longer hiding their Lego 6967 05:57:37,120 --> 05:57:42,638 hobby, but embracing it. My story with 6968 05:57:40,240 --> 05:57:44,878 Lego began in the early '9s when I was a 6969 05:57:42,638 --> 05:57:47,040 small child. 6970 05:57:44,878 --> 05:57:48,878 I started playing, but then I stopped 6971 05:57:47,040 --> 05:57:50,558 for a while. 6972 05:57:48,878 --> 05:57:52,638 This is what most of us want to do when 6973 05:57:50,558 --> 05:57:57,240 we are teenagers, to do other hobbies 6974 05:57:52,638 --> 05:57:57,240 and spend less time playing with Lego. 6975 05:57:57,840 --> 05:58:03,200 After that, when I was in my early 20s, 6976 05:57:59,760 --> 05:58:05,280 I started collecting Lego. I met people 6977 05:58:03,200 --> 05:58:07,840 from the Valencian community and founded 6978 05:58:05,280 --> 05:58:09,760 Valere. 6979 05:58:07,840 --> 05:58:12,320 That eventually led me to a television 6980 05:58:09,760 --> 05:58:14,480 show where I took part and won. From 6981 05:58:12,320 --> 05:58:17,958 there, companies began approaching me to 6982 05:58:14,480 --> 05:58:17,958 develop projects. 6983 05:58:19,360 --> 05:58:22,958 At first, this hadn't even occurred to 6984 05:58:21,280 --> 05:58:25,440 me, 6985 05:58:22,958 --> 05:58:27,680 but I started to see a growing demand. 6986 05:58:25,440 --> 05:58:29,840 Whether it was building a corporate kit, 6987 05:58:27,680 --> 05:58:33,120 like a transport company's truck, or 6988 05:58:29,840 --> 05:58:34,878 even a company's logistics headquarters, 6989 05:58:33,120 --> 05:58:36,878 this market opened up a professional 6990 05:58:34,878 --> 05:58:38,878 path for me. 6991 05:58:36,878 --> 05:58:42,320 It supports me financially, but more 6992 05:58:38,878 --> 05:58:44,240 importantly, it's deeply rewarding. 6993 05:58:42,320 --> 05:58:45,920 Many of these projects challenge me to 6994 05:58:44,240 --> 05:58:47,440 build things I would never choose on my 6995 05:58:45,920 --> 05:58:50,160 own. 6996 05:58:47,440 --> 05:58:52,080 But once a challenge is set, build this, 6997 05:58:50,160 --> 05:58:54,878 my mind immediately starts collecting 6998 05:58:52,080 --> 05:58:56,798 ideas, figuring out how to shape them 6999 05:58:54,878 --> 05:59:00,680 and bring the project to life in the 7000 05:58:56,798 --> 05:59:00,680 best possible way. 7001 05:59:07,200 --> 05:59:14,400 fan events, engineering cups, a global 7002 05:59:10,400 --> 05:59:18,000 movement emerged. By 2014, adults 7003 05:59:14,400 --> 05:59:20,480 accounted for nearly 1/3 of Lego sales. 7004 05:59:18,000 --> 05:59:22,718 >> To anyone who thinks Lego is only for 7005 05:59:20,480 --> 05:59:24,240 children, I'd say come and see the 7006 05:59:22,718 --> 05:59:26,160 exhibition. 7007 05:59:24,240 --> 05:59:28,878 See what we're capable of creating with 7008 05:59:26,160 --> 05:59:32,878 Lego pieces and how imagination develops 7009 05:59:28,878 --> 05:59:35,040 in both children and adults. 7010 05:59:32,878 --> 05:59:37,920 Children work within certain limits and 7011 05:59:35,040 --> 05:59:40,558 see things differently, but adults with 7012 05:59:37,920 --> 05:59:43,200 a wider range of colors, shapes, and 7013 05:59:40,558 --> 05:59:46,400 ways to use the pieces can explore just 7014 05:59:43,200 --> 05:59:48,400 how much is possible. 7015 05:59:46,400 --> 05:59:51,280 >> It was a radical shift in the economics 7016 05:59:48,400 --> 05:59:53,120 of play. And then came the cultural 7017 05:59:51,280 --> 05:59:56,160 explosion. 7018 05:59:53,120 --> 05:59:57,680 In 2014, The Lego Movie shattered 7019 05:59:56,160 --> 06:00:01,040 expectations, 7020 05:59:57,680 --> 06:00:02,638 earning nearly$500 million US at the box 7021 06:00:01,040 --> 06:00:05,520 office. 7022 06:00:02,638 --> 06:00:09,120 What started as a toy was now pop 7023 06:00:05,520 --> 06:00:11,280 culture. By the mid 2010s, 7024 06:00:09,120 --> 06:00:14,240 Lego was the world's most valuable toy 7025 06:00:11,280 --> 06:00:16,958 company, even surpassing Mattel, Hasbro, 7026 06:00:14,240 --> 06:00:19,440 and every other competitor. 7027 06:00:16,958 --> 06:00:22,878 The brick that started it all was no 7028 06:00:19,440 --> 06:00:25,878 longer just a product. It was a global 7029 06:00:22,878 --> 06:00:25,878 icon. 7030 06:00:27,840 --> 06:00:32,160 The LEGO Group stands today as one of 7031 06:00:30,160 --> 06:00:34,160 the most efficient, profitable, and 7032 06:00:32,160 --> 06:00:36,638 culturally influential toy companies on 7033 06:00:34,160 --> 06:00:38,958 Earth. Its factories run with near 7034 06:00:36,638 --> 06:00:41,120 perfect precision. 7035 06:00:38,958 --> 06:00:44,240 Its design teams develop thousands of 7036 06:00:41,120 --> 06:00:46,240 prototypes each year. Its supply chain 7037 06:00:44,240 --> 06:00:49,040 delivers billions of bricks that must 7038 06:00:46,240 --> 06:00:50,958 all fit together flawlessly across 7039 06:00:49,040 --> 06:00:53,600 decades. 7040 06:00:50,958 --> 06:00:57,680 In a global toy market worth roughly 7041 06:00:53,600 --> 06:01:01,920 $120 billion a year, Lego commands 7042 06:00:57,680 --> 06:01:04,878 nearly 9% of all worldwide toy sales. No 7043 06:01:01,920 --> 06:01:07,680 other toy brand, not Barbie, not Marvel 7044 06:01:04,878 --> 06:01:09,840 figures, not Nintendo merchandise, 7045 06:01:07,680 --> 06:01:13,600 maintains such consistency across 7046 06:01:09,840 --> 06:01:15,600 continents, genders, and generations. 7047 06:01:13,600 --> 06:01:18,718 And unlike most toy companies that 7048 06:01:15,600 --> 06:01:20,080 outsource manufacturing, LEGO controls a 7049 06:01:18,718 --> 06:01:23,280 significant portion of its own 7050 06:01:20,080 --> 06:01:25,840 production with major hubs in Denmark, 7051 06:01:23,280 --> 06:01:27,840 Hungary, Mexico, China, and the Czech 7052 06:01:25,840 --> 06:01:30,558 Republic. 7053 06:01:27,840 --> 06:01:33,120 This vertical integration reduces risk, 7054 06:01:30,558 --> 06:01:35,040 stabilizes quality, and protects one of 7055 06:01:33,120 --> 06:01:38,320 the most important values in the 7056 06:01:35,040 --> 06:01:40,558 company's DNA, precision. 7057 06:01:38,320 --> 06:01:42,958 Every Lego brick must be manufactured 7058 06:01:40,558 --> 06:01:46,080 with tolerances thinner than a strand of 7059 06:01:42,958 --> 06:01:49,600 hair. If the clutch is too tight, the 7060 06:01:46,080 --> 06:01:52,718 model breaks. If it's too loose, towers 7061 06:01:49,600 --> 06:01:56,160 collapse. Across billions of pieces, 7062 06:01:52,718 --> 06:01:59,600 perfection is not an ambition. It is an 7063 06:01:56,160 --> 06:02:01,600 engineering reality for LEGO. 7064 06:01:59,600 --> 06:02:03,760 This level of detail gives the company 7065 06:02:01,600 --> 06:02:05,360 one of the highest brand trust ratings 7066 06:02:03,760 --> 06:02:07,760 in the world. 7067 06:02:05,360 --> 06:02:10,240 Parents know the bricks will last. 7068 06:02:07,760 --> 06:02:12,480 Adults know the sets will impress. 7069 06:02:10,240 --> 06:02:14,160 Collectors know the investment will hold 7070 06:02:12,480 --> 06:02:16,400 value. 7071 06:02:14,160 --> 06:02:19,120 The modern toy market is a machine of 7072 06:02:16,400 --> 06:02:20,878 impulse, tradition, celebration, and 7073 06:02:19,120 --> 06:02:24,480 nostalgia. 7074 06:02:20,878 --> 06:02:28,320 In 2025, global spending on toys 7075 06:02:24,480 --> 06:02:31,360 approaches 120 billion, nearly double 7076 06:02:28,320 --> 06:02:33,120 what it was two decades earlier. The 7077 06:02:31,360 --> 06:02:35,680 United States remains the world's 7078 06:02:33,120 --> 06:02:38,798 largest consumer, accounting for roughly 7079 06:02:35,680 --> 06:02:40,878 onethird of global sales. A typical 7080 06:02:38,798 --> 06:02:44,558 American household with children may 7081 06:02:40,878 --> 06:02:47,520 spend $300 to $400 per child per year on 7082 06:02:44,558 --> 06:02:49,840 toys. This is more than five times the 7083 06:02:47,520 --> 06:02:52,320 global average. 7084 06:02:49,840 --> 06:02:54,558 Europe forms the second largest block 7085 06:02:52,320 --> 06:02:57,440 with strong purchasing power in Germany, 7086 06:02:54,558 --> 06:02:59,840 the United Kingdom, and France. 7087 06:02:57,440 --> 06:03:02,320 Asia-Pacific is rapidly growing, 7088 06:02:59,840 --> 06:03:05,200 especially in China, South Korea, and 7089 06:03:02,320 --> 06:03:07,920 Japan, driven by rising middle classes 7090 06:03:05,200 --> 06:03:10,320 and urban lifestyles. 7091 06:03:07,920 --> 06:03:13,600 But the most important shift of the last 7092 06:03:10,320 --> 06:03:16,600 decade is not geographic, it is 7093 06:03:13,600 --> 06:03:16,600 demographic. 7094 06:03:20,718 --> 06:03:25,760 Adults, once considered irrelevant to 7095 06:03:23,440 --> 06:03:28,718 the toy industry, are now one of the 7096 06:03:25,760 --> 06:03:31,840 most powerful forces. This growing 7097 06:03:28,718 --> 06:03:35,200 segment, commonly called the kid market, 7098 06:03:31,840 --> 06:03:38,080 now represents between 25 and 30% of all 7099 06:03:35,200 --> 06:03:40,558 toy purchases worldwide. 7100 06:03:38,080 --> 06:03:43,680 Adults buy toys for nostalgia, for 7101 06:03:40,558 --> 06:03:45,200 stress relief, for display, for 7102 06:03:43,680 --> 06:03:47,440 identity. 7103 06:03:45,200 --> 06:03:48,558 Lego is the undisputed champion of this 7104 06:03:47,440 --> 06:03:50,958 movement. 7105 06:03:48,558 --> 06:03:54,280 >> Unlike other hobbies, Lego gives me a 7106 06:03:50,958 --> 06:03:54,280 sense of calm. 7107 06:03:55,440 --> 06:04:00,000 It lets me take ideas from my mind, 7108 06:03:57,760 --> 06:04:03,360 bring them to life, think them through, 7109 06:04:00,000 --> 06:04:06,240 and simply enjoy the process. Right now, 7110 06:04:03,360 --> 06:04:08,558 I'm trying to instill that in my son to 7111 06:04:06,240 --> 06:04:10,638 enjoy himself, to learn, to see colors 7112 06:04:08,558 --> 06:04:14,080 and shapes, and to understand that with 7113 06:04:10,638 --> 06:04:17,440 imagination, anything is possible. 7114 06:04:14,080 --> 06:04:20,000 Its premium sets, Technic Hypercars, 7115 06:04:17,440 --> 06:04:22,718 Star Wars Ultimate Collector Series, 7116 06:04:20,000 --> 06:04:25,040 iconic landmarks, regularly exceed 7117 06:04:22,718 --> 06:04:27,280 prices of $30,500, 7118 06:04:25,040 --> 06:04:30,000 even $800. 7119 06:04:27,280 --> 06:04:31,840 They sell out within hours. They hold 7120 06:04:30,000 --> 06:04:33,360 aftermarket values like fine 7121 06:04:31,840 --> 06:04:35,440 collectibles. 7122 06:04:33,360 --> 06:04:37,360 This adult segment has reshaped the 7123 06:04:35,440 --> 06:04:40,400 entire financial landscape of the 7124 06:04:37,360 --> 06:04:43,120 company. It provides stability when 7125 06:04:40,400 --> 06:04:46,320 children's trends shift. It creates 7126 06:04:43,120 --> 06:04:48,480 recurring revenue from loyal fans and it 7127 06:04:46,320 --> 06:04:51,440 strengthens LEGO's position as a 7128 06:04:48,480 --> 06:04:54,400 crossgenerational brand, something few 7129 06:04:51,440 --> 06:04:56,638 toy companies have ever achieved. 7130 06:04:54,400 --> 06:04:59,680 Seasonality still dictates much of the 7131 06:04:56,638 --> 06:05:01,920 global toy market. Every year, nearly 7132 06:04:59,680 --> 06:05:05,280 half of all toy sales occur between 7133 06:05:01,920 --> 06:05:08,160 October and December. Companies live or 7134 06:05:05,280 --> 06:05:11,440 die by holiday forecasting, inventory 7135 06:05:08,160 --> 06:05:14,240 strategy, and shipment timing. But LEGO 7136 06:05:11,440 --> 06:05:17,040 has become the exception. Adult 7137 06:05:14,240 --> 06:05:19,440 collectors buy year round. Digital 7138 06:05:17,040 --> 06:05:22,480 experiences drive sales outside the 7139 06:05:19,440 --> 06:05:25,840 holiday season. Licensed launches create 7140 06:05:22,480 --> 06:05:28,480 anticipation even in slow quarters. 7141 06:05:25,840 --> 06:05:30,480 LEGO has effectively freed itself or at 7142 06:05:28,480 --> 06:05:32,558 least partially from the seasonal 7143 06:05:30,480 --> 06:05:35,280 dependency that has defined the toy 7144 06:05:32,558 --> 06:05:38,240 industry for over a century. 7145 06:05:35,280 --> 06:05:40,958 The brick is physical, tangible, 7146 06:05:38,240 --> 06:05:43,840 mechanical. But LEGO's success in the 7147 06:05:40,958 --> 06:05:48,638 21st century extends into digital 7148 06:05:43,840 --> 06:05:50,958 worlds. Star Wars, Batman, Marvel. These 7149 06:05:48,638 --> 06:05:54,240 games defined an entire generation of 7150 06:05:50,958 --> 06:05:56,798 familyfriendly titles. They sold tens of 7151 06:05:54,240 --> 06:06:00,000 millions of copies. They introduced 7152 06:05:56,798 --> 06:06:03,520 humor, storytelling, and simplicity to a 7153 06:06:00,000 --> 06:06:05,600 medium often dominated by complexity. 7154 06:06:03,520 --> 06:06:08,638 For many children born after the year 7155 06:06:05,600 --> 06:06:12,480 2000, Lego was not discovered in a toy 7156 06:06:08,638 --> 06:06:15,280 box, but on a screen. The cinematic leap 7157 06:06:12,480 --> 06:06:18,160 came in 2014 when the Lego movie 7158 06:06:15,280 --> 06:06:20,958 premiered to global acclaim. He turned 7159 06:06:18,160 --> 06:06:23,600 nearly half a billion dollars. Most 7160 06:06:20,958 --> 06:06:26,958 importantly, it reframed Lego as a 7161 06:06:23,600 --> 06:06:29,280 cultural idea, not a product. The film 7162 06:06:26,958 --> 06:06:32,558 taught a global audience that creativity 7163 06:06:29,280 --> 06:06:34,638 matters, that imperfection is beautiful, 7164 06:06:32,558 --> 06:06:38,400 that building and rebuilding are not 7165 06:06:34,638 --> 06:06:41,440 failures, they are the process of play. 7166 06:06:38,400 --> 06:06:43,680 Lego Batman expanded the concept. Lego 7167 06:06:41,440 --> 06:06:46,958 Ninjago created an entirely new 7168 06:06:43,680 --> 06:06:49,120 generation of fans, and Lego Masters on 7169 06:06:46,958 --> 06:06:51,280 television turned building into a 7170 06:06:49,120 --> 06:06:54,080 competitive art form. 7171 06:06:51,280 --> 06:06:57,360 The brand had moved beyond toys, beyond 7172 06:06:54,080 --> 06:06:59,920 stories, beyond bricks. It had become 7173 06:06:57,360 --> 06:07:02,920 part of the cultural grammar of the 21st 7174 06:06:59,920 --> 06:07:02,920 century. 7175 06:07:06,558 --> 06:07:10,958 Long before STEM became a global 7176 06:07:08,638 --> 06:07:13,920 movement, Lego was already teaching 7177 06:07:10,958 --> 06:07:17,600 children how to think like engineers. 7178 06:07:13,920 --> 06:07:20,080 In the 1990s, Lego Mindstorms introduced 7179 06:07:17,600 --> 06:07:24,558 programmable robotics to students around 7180 06:07:20,080 --> 06:07:27,040 the world. Later sets, we do Spike Prime 7181 06:07:24,558 --> 06:07:30,718 Boost brought coding, sensors, and 7182 06:07:27,040 --> 06:07:33,120 motors into classrooms and homes. Today, 7183 06:07:30,718 --> 06:07:35,360 LEGO Education works with governments, 7184 06:07:33,120 --> 06:07:37,120 schools, and universities to bring 7185 06:07:35,360 --> 06:07:40,480 hands-on learning to millions of 7186 06:07:37,120 --> 06:07:43,120 students. The philosophy is simple. 7187 06:07:40,480 --> 06:07:45,440 Children learn best through play. This 7188 06:07:43,120 --> 06:07:48,718 approach shapes future engineers, 7189 06:07:45,440 --> 06:07:50,400 designers, and problem solvers. It helps 7190 06:07:48,718 --> 06:07:53,200 children experiment in ways that 7191 06:07:50,400 --> 06:07:56,160 textbooks cannot. And it continues 7192 06:07:53,200 --> 06:07:58,240 Olirk's belief that play is not a 7193 06:07:56,160 --> 06:08:00,958 distraction from learning, but the 7194 06:07:58,240 --> 06:08:02,958 foundation of it. 7195 06:08:00,958 --> 06:08:03,760 In a world increasingly focused on 7196 06:08:02,958 --> 06:08:05,840 sustainability, 7197 06:08:03,760 --> 06:08:07,760 >> from my experience, what makes Lego 7198 06:08:05,840 --> 06:08:10,638 different from other construction toys 7199 06:08:07,760 --> 06:08:12,878 is its growing commitment to inclusion. 7200 06:08:10,638 --> 06:08:14,320 In recent years, LEGO has actively 7201 06:08:12,878 --> 06:08:16,480 embraced people with different 7202 06:08:14,320 --> 06:08:18,480 abilities. For example, by including 7203 06:08:16,480 --> 06:08:21,120 figures in wheelchairs and releasing 7204 06:08:18,480 --> 06:08:22,958 sets in Braille. These are things most 7205 06:08:21,120 --> 06:08:25,120 other brands simply don't offer, but 7206 06:08:22,958 --> 06:08:27,280 LEGO does. 7207 06:08:25,120 --> 06:08:29,280 In addition, LEGO is strongly committed 7208 06:08:27,280 --> 06:08:30,878 to the environment. 7209 06:08:29,280 --> 06:08:33,120 They're producing more and more pieces 7210 06:08:30,878 --> 06:08:34,958 using recycled plastic and replacing 7211 06:08:33,120 --> 06:08:37,840 plastic packaging with paper to reduce 7212 06:08:34,958 --> 06:08:40,400 waste, something other brands simply 7213 06:08:37,840 --> 06:08:43,520 don't do. 7214 06:08:40,400 --> 06:08:46,000 Lego faces a unique challenge. Its 7215 06:08:43,520 --> 06:08:48,400 bricks are made to last forever, a 7216 06:08:46,000 --> 06:08:52,160 blessing for creativity, but a concern 7217 06:08:48,400 --> 06:08:54,240 in an era of plastic waste. In response, 7218 06:08:52,160 --> 06:08:56,080 LEGO has invested hundreds of millions 7219 06:08:54,240 --> 06:08:58,320 of dollars into developing more 7220 06:08:56,080 --> 06:09:00,878 sustainable materials. 7221 06:08:58,320 --> 06:09:04,160 Plant-based polyethylene is already used 7222 06:09:00,878 --> 06:09:07,840 for leaves and trees. Recycled PT 7223 06:09:04,160 --> 06:09:11,440 prototypes continue to advance. Recycled 7224 06:09:07,840 --> 06:09:13,440 PET prototypes continue to advance. New 7225 06:09:11,440 --> 06:09:17,040 polymer engineering aims to create 7226 06:09:13,440 --> 06:09:19,360 bricks as durable as ABS without the 7227 06:09:17,040 --> 06:09:22,638 environmental cost. 7228 06:09:19,360 --> 06:09:24,798 This transition is not simple. A Lego 7229 06:09:22,638 --> 06:09:27,520 brick must interlock with perfect 7230 06:09:24,798 --> 06:09:29,600 precision. A fraction of a millimeter 7231 06:09:27,520 --> 06:09:31,440 can make the difference between wonder 7232 06:09:29,600 --> 06:09:34,080 and frustration. 7233 06:09:31,440 --> 06:09:36,480 But the mission is clear. A toy that 7234 06:09:34,080 --> 06:09:39,680 lasts forever should also protect the 7235 06:09:36,480 --> 06:09:43,360 world it is played in. Play is not a 7236 06:09:39,680 --> 06:09:44,958 luxury. Play is exploration. Play is 7237 06:09:43,360 --> 06:09:47,200 curiosity. 7238 06:09:44,958 --> 06:09:49,040 Play is the earliest form of human 7239 06:09:47,200 --> 06:09:51,200 creativity. 7240 06:09:49,040 --> 06:09:53,760 From wooden ducks in a small Danish 7241 06:09:51,200 --> 06:09:55,840 workshop to interlocking bricks that 7242 06:09:53,760 --> 06:09:59,120 span generations 7243 06:09:55,840 --> 06:10:02,080 to movies, video games, robotics, and 7244 06:09:59,120 --> 06:10:04,718 global fan communities. LEGO has 7245 06:10:02,080 --> 06:10:08,480 remained loyal to a simple truth. When 7246 06:10:04,718 --> 06:10:12,160 we build, we grow. When we imagine, we 7247 06:10:08,480 --> 06:10:15,160 expand. When we play, we become more 7248 06:10:12,160 --> 06:10:15,160 human. 7249 06:10:19,120 --> 06:10:24,798 More than a century ago, a carpenter 7250 06:10:21,840 --> 06:10:27,840 rebuilt his workshop after a fire. He 7251 06:10:24,798 --> 06:10:30,480 rebuilt it again after another. Not 7252 06:10:27,840 --> 06:10:32,958 because it was easy, but because he 7253 06:10:30,480 --> 06:10:35,440 believed in the power of making things 7254 06:10:32,958 --> 06:10:38,080 and in the power of play. 7255 06:10:35,440 --> 06:10:42,000 Today, billions of creations have risen 7256 06:10:38,080 --> 06:10:43,840 from that belief. Cities, castles, 7257 06:10:42,000 --> 06:10:45,840 spaceships, 7258 06:10:43,840 --> 06:10:49,040 dreams that exist nowhere else but in 7259 06:10:45,840 --> 06:10:52,080 the minds of the people who build them. 7260 06:10:49,040 --> 06:10:54,878 LEGO is not perfect. It has faced 7261 06:10:52,080 --> 06:10:59,120 crisis, challenges, and impossible 7262 06:10:54,878 --> 06:11:01,200 decisions. But it endures through war, 7263 06:10:59,120 --> 06:11:04,000 through technological revolutions, 7264 06:11:01,200 --> 06:11:07,120 through economic storms. Because 7265 06:11:04,000 --> 06:11:09,040 imagination always endures. 7266 06:11:07,120 --> 06:11:11,840 And as long as there are hands reaching 7267 06:11:09,040 --> 06:11:14,958 for bricks, as long as there are minds 7268 06:11:11,840 --> 06:11:17,920 ready to create, the legacy of Ole 7269 06:11:14,958 --> 06:11:23,558 Christensen will continue. 7270 06:11:17,920 --> 06:11:23,558 Every dream starts with a single piece. 7271 06:12:49,840 --> 06:12:57,520 Jensen Hang the Software Moat. 7272 06:12:54,080 --> 06:13:00,878 June 18th, 2024. 7273 06:12:57,520 --> 06:13:03,280 For a brief historic moment, the world 7274 06:13:00,878 --> 06:13:06,638 had a new king. 7275 06:13:03,280 --> 06:13:09,840 Jensen Huang, the co-founder and CEO of 7276 06:13:06,638 --> 06:13:13,120 Nvidia, stood at the peak of a $3.4 7277 06:13:09,840 --> 06:13:15,440 trillion mountain. 7278 06:13:13,120 --> 06:13:18,480 Analysts whispered that he wasn't just 7279 06:13:15,440 --> 06:13:22,080 leading a company. He was leading the 7280 06:13:18,480 --> 06:13:25,040 first entity destined for a $4 trillion 7281 06:13:22,080 --> 06:13:26,958 valuation. 7282 06:13:25,040 --> 06:13:30,480 But to understand the man in the leather 7283 06:13:26,958 --> 06:13:34,240 jacket, you cannot look at the triumph. 7284 06:13:30,480 --> 06:13:38,558 You must look at the fear. Behind the 7285 06:13:34,240 --> 06:13:42,080 250% revenue jumps and the soldout age 7286 06:13:38,558 --> 06:13:44,480 100 backlogs lies a leader obsessed with 7287 06:13:42,080 --> 06:13:46,240 the cyclical trap. 7288 06:13:44,480 --> 06:13:47,760 In the 60-year history of 7289 06:13:46,240 --> 06:13:50,558 semiconductors, 7290 06:13:47,760 --> 06:13:54,718 giants like Texas Instruments, Intel, 7291 06:13:50,558 --> 06:13:57,680 and Samsung have all held the crown only 7292 06:13:54,718 --> 06:14:00,718 to see it slip away. 7293 06:13:57,680 --> 06:14:05,520 Jensen's mission is simple. Break the 7294 06:14:00,718 --> 06:14:08,638 cycle before it breaks him. 7295 06:14:05,520 --> 06:14:11,280 Flashback to September 1996. 7296 06:14:08,638 --> 06:14:13,680 The golden era of the internet is 7297 06:14:11,280 --> 06:14:17,600 dawning for everyone else but for 7298 06:14:13,680 --> 06:14:20,718 Nvidia. It is a death nail. 7299 06:14:17,600 --> 06:14:23,600 Their first chip, the NV1, is a 7300 06:14:20,718 --> 06:14:26,080 technical ghost rejected by Microsoft's 7301 06:14:23,600 --> 06:14:28,638 DirectX. 7302 06:14:26,080 --> 06:14:31,440 Jensen stands before a dwindling team 7303 06:14:28,638 --> 06:14:34,080 and delivers the most famous mantra in 7304 06:14:31,440 --> 06:14:38,080 Silicon Valley history. 7305 06:14:34,080 --> 06:14:41,600 We have exactly 30 days of oxygen left. 7306 06:14:38,080 --> 06:14:44,000 We are 30 days from bankruptcy. 7307 06:14:41,600 --> 06:14:46,400 How does a man go from cleaning toilets 7308 06:14:44,000 --> 06:14:48,400 in a Kentucky reform school to 7309 06:14:46,400 --> 06:14:51,520 controlling the foundational layer of 7310 06:14:48,400 --> 06:14:54,400 the global AI economy? 7311 06:14:51,520 --> 06:14:57,600 From a red leather booth at a Denny's to 7312 06:14:54,400 --> 06:14:59,920 a legal showdown in the US Supreme Court 7313 06:14:57,600 --> 06:15:01,680 over the very intellectual honesty of 7314 06:14:59,920 --> 06:15:04,320 his empire. 7315 06:15:01,680 --> 06:15:05,920 This is not just a story of silicon and 7316 06:15:04,320 --> 06:15:08,000 software. 7317 06:15:05,920 --> 06:15:10,240 This is the chronicle of the man who 7318 06:15:08,000 --> 06:15:11,840 decided to manufacture intelligence 7319 06:15:10,240 --> 06:15:15,440 itself. 7320 06:15:11,840 --> 06:15:18,878 This is Jensen Huang, the architect of 7321 06:15:15,440 --> 06:15:24,120 the digital brain. 7322 06:15:18,878 --> 06:15:24,120 Chapter one. Forged in the chaos, 7323 06:15:24,320 --> 06:15:30,320 Nvidia was not born from abundance. Its 7324 06:15:27,840 --> 06:15:32,400 DNA was forged in the raw fires of 7325 06:15:30,320 --> 06:15:35,280 survival. 7326 06:15:32,400 --> 06:15:38,000 Jen's son Huang arrived in the United 7327 06:15:35,280 --> 06:15:41,360 States as a young migrant, but his 7328 06:15:38,000 --> 06:15:43,760 destination wasn't an elite prep school. 7329 06:15:41,360 --> 06:15:46,400 Due to a clerical misunderstanding by 7330 06:15:43,760 --> 06:15:49,600 his parents, he was sent to Onida 7331 06:15:46,400 --> 06:15:52,480 Baptist Institute in rural Kentucky, a 7332 06:15:49,600 --> 06:15:55,040 place that at the time functioned more 7333 06:15:52,480 --> 06:15:57,600 as a reform school for troubled youths 7334 06:15:55,040 --> 06:16:00,718 than a traditional academy. 7335 06:15:57,600 --> 06:16:02,798 At 9 years old, the future CEO of one of 7336 06:16:00,718 --> 06:16:05,360 the world's most valuable companies 7337 06:16:02,798 --> 06:16:08,718 wasn't coding. He was cleaning the 7338 06:16:05,360 --> 06:16:10,798 toilets of 150 teenagers every single 7339 06:16:08,718 --> 06:16:13,360 afternoon. 7340 06:16:10,798 --> 06:16:14,958 In his personal transcripts, Jensen 7341 06:16:13,360 --> 06:16:18,480 reflects on this with a chilling 7342 06:16:14,958 --> 06:16:20,878 stoicism. I didn't complain. I just 7343 06:16:18,480 --> 06:16:22,798 learned to work hard. 7344 06:16:20,878 --> 06:16:25,520 Bad boy learned the first law of 7345 06:16:22,798 --> 06:16:29,040 accelerated computing decades before it 7346 06:16:25,520 --> 06:16:31,600 existed. For a system to be efficient, 7347 06:16:29,040 --> 06:16:34,878 it must be able to process chaos under 7348 06:16:31,600 --> 06:16:37,920 extreme pressure. 7349 06:16:34,878 --> 06:16:40,320 By 15, Jensen was the most efficient 7350 06:16:37,920 --> 06:16:43,440 dishwasher and waiter at a Denny's in 7351 06:16:40,320 --> 06:16:45,920 Portland. I was incredibly shy, he 7352 06:16:43,440 --> 06:16:48,878 admits. But the chaos of the kitchen 7353 06:16:45,920 --> 06:16:51,360 forced me out of my shell. 7354 06:16:48,878 --> 06:16:55,040 It is no coincidence that Nvidia was 7355 06:16:51,360 --> 06:16:58,240 founded in 1993 inside a booth at that 7356 06:16:55,040 --> 06:17:00,480 very same restaurant chain. While the 7357 06:16:58,240 --> 06:17:03,600 world saw the dawn of the PC as an 7358 06:17:00,480 --> 06:17:06,958 office tool for spreadsheets, Jensen, 7359 06:17:03,600 --> 06:17:10,320 Chris Mahovski, and Curtis Pum saw a 7360 06:17:06,958 --> 06:17:14,558 fatal weakness. 7361 06:17:10,320 --> 06:17:17,760 In 1993, Intel's generalpurpose CPU was 7362 06:17:14,558 --> 06:17:20,718 hitting a physical wall. If the future 7363 06:17:17,760 --> 06:17:22,718 of computing was visual and immersive, 7364 06:17:20,718 --> 06:17:24,718 the traditional serial architecture 7365 06:17:22,718 --> 06:17:26,480 would become the bottleneck of human 7366 06:17:24,718 --> 06:17:29,920 progress. 7367 06:17:26,480 --> 06:17:33,040 With only $40,000 in startup capital, 7368 06:17:29,920 --> 06:17:35,520 they founded Nvidia to chase a ghost, 7369 06:17:33,040 --> 06:17:37,440 accelerated computing. 7370 06:17:35,520 --> 06:17:40,480 They bet on a market the rest of the 7371 06:17:37,440 --> 06:17:44,320 industry dismissed as a niche for toys, 7372 06:17:40,480 --> 06:17:46,080 video games. Before Jensen, video games 7373 06:17:44,320 --> 06:17:47,680 were the ultimate technological 7374 06:17:46,080 --> 06:17:49,760 flywheel. 7375 06:17:47,680 --> 06:17:52,558 He knew that if you could master the 7376 06:17:49,760 --> 06:17:54,718 massive realtime rendering of pixels, 7377 06:17:52,558 --> 06:17:56,878 you could eventually simulate reality 7378 06:17:54,718 --> 06:17:59,360 itself. 7379 06:17:56,878 --> 06:18:01,600 But before they could reach that glory, 7380 06:17:59,360 --> 06:18:06,280 they had to survive their first massive 7381 06:18:01,600 --> 06:18:06,280 technical abyss, the NV1. 7382 06:18:13,520 --> 06:18:18,558 By 1995, 7383 06:18:15,440 --> 06:18:21,760 Nvidia's first massive bet, the NV1 7384 06:18:18,558 --> 06:18:24,160 chip, was ready to conquer the market. 7385 06:18:21,760 --> 06:18:26,400 But Jensen Hang had made a catastrophic 7386 06:18:24,160 --> 06:18:28,000 technical gamble. 7387 06:18:26,400 --> 06:18:31,280 At a time when the industry was 7388 06:18:28,000 --> 06:18:33,680 undecided, he bet on quadratic texture 7389 06:18:31,280 --> 06:18:36,958 mapping, a method that used curved 7390 06:18:33,680 --> 06:18:39,440 surfaces to create 3D images. 7391 06:18:36,958 --> 06:18:42,878 It was mathematically intelligent, but 7392 06:18:39,440 --> 06:18:44,878 it was a lonely path. The industry 7393 06:18:42,878 --> 06:18:48,400 hammer dropped when Microsoft released 7394 06:18:44,878 --> 06:18:51,360 its first DirectX API. Microsoft chose 7395 06:18:48,400 --> 06:18:54,080 triangles, not quads, as the universal 7396 06:18:51,360 --> 06:18:55,840 language for PC gaming. 7397 06:18:54,080 --> 06:18:59,360 This decision rendered Nvidia's 7398 06:18:55,840 --> 06:19:02,558 technology instantly obsolete. 7399 06:18:59,360 --> 06:19:06,320 The NV1 wasn't just a failure, it was a 7400 06:19:02,558 --> 06:19:09,120 dead end. The company was bleeding cash. 7401 06:19:06,320 --> 06:19:14,440 And as Jensen famously put it, they were 7402 06:19:09,120 --> 06:19:14,440 staring at exactly 30 days of oxygen. 7403 06:19:14,958 --> 06:19:20,240 Nvidia's only lifeline was a strategic 7404 06:19:17,600 --> 06:19:22,000 contract with the Japanese giant Sega to 7405 06:19:20,240 --> 06:19:24,878 build the graphics engine for the Sega 7406 06:19:22,000 --> 06:19:27,840 Saturn. But Jensen was trapped in a 7407 06:19:24,878 --> 06:19:29,920 moral and business dilemma. 7408 06:19:27,840 --> 06:19:32,558 He knew that if they continued building 7409 06:19:29,920 --> 06:19:34,480 the chip for Sega using Nvidia's flawed 7410 06:19:32,558 --> 06:19:36,400 quad technology, 7411 06:19:34,480 --> 06:19:39,120 Sega would lose the console war to 7412 06:19:36,400 --> 06:19:42,400 Sony's PlayStation and Nvidia would 7413 06:19:39,120 --> 06:19:45,120 eventually perish anyway. In an act of 7414 06:19:42,400 --> 06:19:48,080 intellectual honesty, or as many at the 7415 06:19:45,120 --> 06:19:51,520 time called corporate suicide, Jensen 7416 06:19:48,080 --> 06:19:55,280 flew to Japan. He sat across from Shy 7417 06:19:51,520 --> 06:19:58,638 Chiro Inimiri, the CEO of Sega, and told 7418 06:19:55,280 --> 06:20:01,280 him the brutal truth. Our technology is 7419 06:19:58,638 --> 06:20:03,760 on the wrong path. If we finish this 7420 06:20:01,280 --> 06:20:05,840 project, you will produce an inferior 7421 06:20:03,760 --> 06:20:08,718 product. 7422 06:20:05,840 --> 06:20:11,120 Jensen asked for the impossible. He 7423 06:20:08,718 --> 06:20:13,600 asked Sega to terminate the contract, 7424 06:20:11,120 --> 06:20:16,638 but to pay the remaining $5 million 7425 06:20:13,600 --> 06:20:19,120 anyway. If you don't pay us, Jensen 7426 06:20:16,638 --> 06:20:21,040 pleaded. Nvidia will cease to exist 7427 06:20:19,120 --> 06:20:23,440 tomorrow. 7428 06:20:21,040 --> 06:20:26,558 To the astonishment of the tech world, 7429 06:20:23,440 --> 06:20:29,520 Idim Majiri son agreed. He didn't pay 7430 06:20:26,558 --> 06:20:31,920 for a working chip. He paid for Jensen's 7431 06:20:29,520 --> 06:20:34,798 integrity. 7432 06:20:31,920 --> 06:20:37,280 That $5 million was the most expensive 7433 06:20:34,798 --> 06:20:40,160 oxygen in history. 7434 06:20:37,280 --> 06:20:42,558 To make it last, Jensen had to fire half 7435 06:20:40,160 --> 06:20:44,400 of his workforce. These weren't just 7436 06:20:42,558 --> 06:20:47,200 employees. They were friends who had 7437 06:20:44,400 --> 06:20:49,280 shared the Denny's dream. This trauma 7438 06:20:47,200 --> 06:20:52,480 institutionalized a permanent state of 7439 06:20:49,280 --> 06:20:55,280 emergency at Nvidia. 7440 06:20:52,480 --> 06:20:59,280 With the remaining team, Jensen funneled 7441 06:20:55,280 --> 06:21:02,080 every scent into the Reval 128. They 7442 06:20:59,280 --> 06:21:04,558 abandoned quads and embraced Microsoft's 7443 06:21:02,080 --> 06:21:10,160 triangles with a vengeance. When it 7444 06:21:04,558 --> 06:21:13,360 launched in 1997, the Reva 128 was 400% 7445 06:21:10,160 --> 06:21:16,558 faster than anything else on the market. 7446 06:21:13,360 --> 06:21:19,520 It was a dive catch of epic proportions. 7447 06:21:16,558 --> 06:21:22,558 Nvidia was no longer just a survivor. It 7448 06:21:19,520 --> 06:21:25,360 had become a hunter. 7449 06:21:22,558 --> 06:21:28,718 But as Jensen looked at the horizon, he 7450 06:21:25,360 --> 06:21:33,000 saw 70 rivals waiting to kill him. The 7451 06:21:28,718 --> 06:21:33,000 war was only beginning. 7452 06:21:38,160 --> 06:21:44,000 The success of the Reval 128 was a dive 7453 06:21:41,440 --> 06:21:46,480 catch, but it placed Nvidia in the 7454 06:21:44,000 --> 06:21:50,000 middle of a slaughterhouse. 7455 06:21:46,480 --> 06:21:52,240 By 1997, there were over 70 companies 7456 06:21:50,000 --> 06:21:53,760 fighting for the soul of the 3D graphics 7457 06:21:52,240 --> 06:21:55,760 market. 7458 06:21:53,760 --> 06:21:58,958 It was a commodity war where price 7459 06:21:55,760 --> 06:22:01,200 cutting was the only weapon for most. 7460 06:21:58,958 --> 06:22:03,440 Jensen Huang realized that if Nvidia 7461 06:22:01,200 --> 06:22:07,040 played by the industry's rules, they 7462 06:22:03,440 --> 06:22:10,400 would eventually be ground into dust. 7463 06:22:07,040 --> 06:22:12,320 He decided to break the laws of time. 7464 06:22:10,400 --> 06:22:15,680 The industry standard for developing a 7465 06:22:12,320 --> 06:22:18,878 new chip was 18 to 24 months. Following 7466 06:22:15,680 --> 06:22:21,200 the steady beat of Moore's law, Jensen 7467 06:22:18,878 --> 06:22:24,240 gathered his engineers and imposed a 7468 06:22:21,200 --> 06:22:26,958 suicidal mandate. Nvidia would release a 7469 06:22:24,240 --> 06:22:30,638 brand new groundbreaking architecture 7470 06:22:26,958 --> 06:22:32,638 every 6 months. 7471 06:22:30,638 --> 06:22:34,160 It was a strategy of relentless 7472 06:22:32,638 --> 06:22:37,600 execution. 7473 06:22:34,160 --> 06:22:40,798 By the time a competitor like 3dfx or S3 7474 06:22:37,600 --> 06:22:43,840 could react to one Nvidia chip, Jensen 7475 06:22:40,798 --> 06:22:46,000 had already launched two more. This 7476 06:22:43,840 --> 06:22:48,320 forced the competition into a permanent 7477 06:22:46,000 --> 06:22:51,200 state of obsolescence. 7478 06:22:48,320 --> 06:22:53,600 To achieve this, Nvidia had to reinvent 7479 06:22:51,200 --> 06:22:56,160 its internal engineering, running 7480 06:22:53,600 --> 06:22:58,240 multiple design teams in parallel, a 7481 06:22:56,160 --> 06:23:00,160 massive financial risk that pushed the 7482 06:22:58,240 --> 06:23:04,718 company to the edge of its operational 7483 06:23:00,160 --> 06:23:10,798 capacity. In 1999, the war reached its 7484 06:23:04,718 --> 06:23:13,440 climax. Nvidia released the GeForce 256. 7485 06:23:10,798 --> 06:23:15,600 Jensen didn't just market it as a faster 7486 06:23:13,440 --> 06:23:19,680 card. He coined a term that would 7487 06:23:15,600 --> 06:23:22,638 redefine computing history, the GPU, 7488 06:23:19,680 --> 06:23:25,680 graphics processing unit. This wasn't 7489 06:23:22,638 --> 06:23:27,360 just branding. Technically, the GeForce 7490 06:23:25,680 --> 06:23:29,280 256 7491 06:23:27,360 --> 06:23:31,280 moved the transformer lighting 7492 06:23:29,280 --> 06:23:34,638 calculations, the most heavy 7493 06:23:31,280 --> 06:23:37,520 mathematical lifting of 3D off the CPU 7494 06:23:34,638 --> 06:23:40,000 and onto the chip itself. It was the 7495 06:23:37,520 --> 06:23:42,480 birth of a new era. 7496 06:23:40,000 --> 06:23:44,480 This performance leap was so massive 7497 06:23:42,480 --> 06:23:46,480 that Nvidia secured the prestigious 7498 06:23:44,480 --> 06:23:50,320 contract for the original Microsoft 7499 06:23:46,480 --> 06:23:52,878 Xbox, receiving a crucial $200 million 7500 06:23:50,320 --> 06:23:55,920 advance. 7501 06:23:52,878 --> 06:23:58,558 The 6-month cycle worked. By the early 7502 06:23:55,920 --> 06:24:02,878 2000s, the 70 competitors had been 7503 06:23:58,558 --> 06:24:05,760 reduced to just two, Nvidia and ATI. 7504 06:24:02,878 --> 06:24:08,080 In a final act of dominance, Nvidia 7505 06:24:05,760 --> 06:24:12,638 acquired the assets of its former idol 7506 06:24:08,080 --> 06:24:15,920 and arch rival 3dfx in 2000. 7507 06:24:12,638 --> 06:24:19,360 Jensen had cleared the board. He was the 7508 06:24:15,920 --> 06:24:22,000 undisputed king of gaming. But at the 7509 06:24:19,360 --> 06:24:23,760 very moment of his greatest triumph, he 7510 06:24:22,000 --> 06:24:26,480 began to look at the high performance 7511 06:24:23,760 --> 06:24:28,878 computing market. He realized that the 7512 06:24:26,480 --> 06:24:31,840 GPU's massive parallel math could do 7513 06:24:28,878 --> 06:24:34,878 more than just draw pixels. It could 7514 06:24:31,840 --> 06:24:38,400 solve the world's most complex problems. 7515 06:24:34,878 --> 06:24:42,680 The seeds of CUDA and the $10 billion 7516 06:24:38,400 --> 06:24:42,680 gamble were being planted. 7517 06:24:48,000 --> 06:24:55,040 By 2006, Nvidia was the undisputed king 7518 06:24:51,760 --> 06:24:57,360 of the gaming world. But Jensen Hang was 7519 06:24:55,040 --> 06:24:59,520 restless. He realized that the same 7520 06:24:57,360 --> 06:25:02,160 parallel processing power that rendered 7521 06:24:59,520 --> 06:25:04,080 pixels for World of Warcraft could be 7522 06:25:02,160 --> 06:25:06,558 used to solve the world's most complex 7523 06:25:04,080 --> 06:25:10,240 mathematical problems. 7524 06:25:06,558 --> 06:25:12,958 He launched CUDA, compute unified device 7525 06:25:10,240 --> 06:25:16,400 architecture. It was a declaration of 7526 06:25:12,958 --> 06:25:19,280 war against the CPUcentric world. 7527 06:25:16,400 --> 06:25:22,080 The goal was simple yet insane. 7528 06:25:19,280 --> 06:25:24,958 Transform every NVIDIA GPU into a 7529 06:25:22,080 --> 06:25:27,040 generalpurpose supercomput. 7530 06:25:24,958 --> 06:25:30,878 But this decision came with a staggering 7531 06:25:27,040 --> 06:25:33,440 cost. Jensen mandated that every single 7532 06:25:30,878 --> 06:25:35,520 GPU Nvidia manufactured from the 7533 06:25:33,440 --> 06:25:38,160 high-end workstation cards to the 7534 06:25:35,520 --> 06:25:40,638 cheapest laptop chips must include the 7535 06:25:38,160 --> 06:25:43,040 extra transistors and hardware logic to 7536 06:25:40,638 --> 06:25:46,638 support CUDA. 7537 06:25:43,040 --> 06:25:49,200 Wall Street was horrified. 7538 06:25:46,638 --> 06:25:52,320 For nearly a decade, Nvidia spent 7539 06:25:49,200 --> 06:25:55,680 billions, estimated at over 10 billion 7540 06:25:52,320 --> 06:25:58,798 dollars in cumulative R&D on a software 7541 06:25:55,680 --> 06:26:00,878 platform that almost no one was using. 7542 06:25:58,798 --> 06:26:03,200 Profit margins, which once sat 7543 06:26:00,878 --> 06:26:05,760 comfortably high, were sacrificed at the 7544 06:26:03,200 --> 06:26:08,718 altar of this vision. 7545 06:26:05,760 --> 06:26:12,240 Analysts mocked the strategy, calling it 7546 06:26:08,718 --> 06:26:15,040 the bridge to nowhere. During the 2008 7547 06:26:12,240 --> 06:26:17,760 financial crisis, Nvidia's market cap 7548 06:26:15,040 --> 06:26:20,798 plummeted and the company was once again 7549 06:26:17,760 --> 06:26:22,480 staring into the abyss. 7550 06:26:20,798 --> 06:26:25,360 But Jensen wasn't just building 7551 06:26:22,480 --> 06:26:28,480 hardware. He was building a software 7552 06:26:25,360 --> 06:26:30,958 moat. He sent Nvidia engineers to 7553 06:26:28,480 --> 06:26:33,120 universities around the world, helping 7554 06:26:30,958 --> 06:26:35,200 professors teach parallel programming 7555 06:26:33,120 --> 06:26:37,760 using CUDA. 7556 06:26:35,200 --> 06:26:40,400 He was seeding the ground. While 7557 06:26:37,760 --> 06:26:43,360 competitors like Intel and AMD focused 7558 06:26:40,400 --> 06:26:45,920 on making faster chips, Jensen was 7559 06:26:43,360 --> 06:26:48,320 building an entire language. 7560 06:26:45,920 --> 06:26:50,798 By the time a developer learned CUDA, 7561 06:26:48,320 --> 06:26:52,878 they were locked in. Switching to a 7562 06:26:50,798 --> 06:26:55,280 competitor wouldn't just mean buying a 7563 06:26:52,878 --> 06:26:58,718 new chip. It would mean rewriting 7564 06:26:55,280 --> 06:27:01,840 millions of lines of code. 7565 06:26:58,718 --> 06:27:04,478 Year after year, Jensen defended CUDA in 7566 06:27:01,840 --> 06:27:06,638 boardrooms and earning calls. He 7567 06:27:04,478 --> 06:27:08,958 practiced what he calls long-term 7568 06:27:06,638 --> 06:27:11,760 commitment to a vision, even when the 7569 06:27:08,958 --> 06:27:14,080 data didn't yet support it. He was 7570 06:27:11,760 --> 06:27:15,600 waiting for a killer app for accelerated 7571 06:27:14,080 --> 06:27:18,000 computing. 7572 06:27:15,600 --> 06:27:20,558 He didn't know what it would be. But he 7573 06:27:18,000 --> 06:27:22,878 knew that as data grew exponentially, 7574 06:27:20,558 --> 06:27:24,958 the serial processing of the CPU would 7575 06:27:22,878 --> 06:27:27,360 eventually fail. 7576 06:27:24,958 --> 06:27:29,200 The silence of the Cuda winter was about 7577 06:27:27,360 --> 06:27:32,160 to be broken. 7578 06:27:29,200 --> 06:27:35,360 In a lab at the University of Toronto, a 7579 06:27:32,160 --> 06:27:37,840 PhD student named Alex Kresvki was about 7580 06:27:35,360 --> 06:27:40,878 to feed a neural network called Alexet 7581 06:27:37,840 --> 06:27:43,280 into those Nvidia GPUs. 7582 06:27:40,878 --> 06:27:46,400 The big bang of artificial intelligence 7583 06:27:43,280 --> 06:27:48,798 was seconds away, and Jensen Huang was 7584 06:27:46,400 --> 06:27:53,240 the only person on Earth who had already 7585 06:27:48,798 --> 06:27:53,240 built the engine to power it. 7586 06:27:58,718 --> 06:28:04,478 The year was 2012. While the world saw 7587 06:28:02,080 --> 06:28:06,718 just another academic competition, 7588 06:28:04,478 --> 06:28:09,360 Jensen Hang saw the spark that would 7589 06:28:06,718 --> 06:28:12,638 ignite a global revolution. 7590 06:28:09,360 --> 06:28:16,000 A neural network called AlexNet, powered 7591 06:28:12,638 --> 06:28:19,280 by NVIDIA GPUs, crushed the competition 7592 06:28:16,000 --> 06:28:21,840 in image recognition. It was the big 7593 06:28:19,280 --> 06:28:24,638 bang of deep learning. 7594 06:28:21,840 --> 06:28:27,760 Jinsen didn't just celebrate, he pivoted 7595 06:28:24,638 --> 06:28:30,878 the entire company. He realized that the 7596 06:28:27,760 --> 06:28:35,120 $10 billion gamble on CUDA had finally 7597 06:28:30,878 --> 06:28:37,440 found its soul, artificial intelligence. 7598 06:28:35,120 --> 06:28:39,680 This pivot transformed Nvidia from a 7599 06:28:37,440 --> 06:28:41,760 graphics card company into the 7600 06:28:39,680 --> 06:28:44,798 foundational engine of the world's most 7601 06:28:41,760 --> 06:28:46,638 powerful data centers. 7602 06:28:44,798 --> 06:28:49,760 Jensen's vision was no longer about 7603 06:28:46,638 --> 06:28:51,280 drawing pixels. It was about generative 7604 06:28:49,760 --> 06:28:54,080 AI. 7605 06:28:51,280 --> 06:28:55,600 By the time Chat GPT launched in late 7606 06:28:54,080 --> 06:28:58,320 2022, 7607 06:28:55,600 --> 06:29:00,160 Nvidia didn't just have a head start. 7608 06:28:58,320 --> 06:29:03,120 They were the only ones at the starting 7609 06:29:00,160 --> 06:29:05,360 line. 7610 06:29:03,120 --> 06:29:08,000 Jensen acted with a speed that terrified 7611 06:29:05,360 --> 06:29:11,040 his competitors. He didn't just wait for 7612 06:29:08,000 --> 06:29:15,040 orders. He re-engineered Nvidia's entire 7613 06:29:11,040 --> 06:29:18,320 road map. In 2016, he personally 7614 06:29:15,040 --> 06:29:21,120 delivered the first Nvidia DGX1, 7615 06:29:18,320 --> 06:29:23,920 the world's first AI supercomput in a 7616 06:29:21,120 --> 06:29:28,000 box to a then small nonprofit called 7617 06:29:23,920 --> 06:29:31,558 Open AAI. He was very clear, this will 7618 06:29:28,000 --> 06:29:31,558 change the world. 7619 06:29:32,240 --> 06:29:35,600 Technically, this period was about 7620 06:29:34,080 --> 06:29:38,080 specialization. 7621 06:29:35,600 --> 06:29:40,798 Nvidia began adding tensor cores to its 7622 06:29:38,080 --> 06:29:42,478 chips. These weren't for graphics. They 7623 06:29:40,798 --> 06:29:44,400 were designed specifically for the deep 7624 06:29:42,478 --> 06:29:46,160 learning math that powers neural 7625 06:29:44,400 --> 06:29:48,080 networks. 7626 06:29:46,160 --> 06:29:50,638 Nvidia was no longer just making a 7627 06:29:48,080 --> 06:29:52,798 faster graphics card. It was building a 7628 06:29:50,638 --> 06:29:56,798 specialized brain. 7629 06:29:52,798 --> 06:29:59,200 By 2017, the momentum was unstoppable. 7630 06:29:56,798 --> 06:30:01,360 Every major tech giant was building AI 7631 06:29:59,200 --> 06:30:03,600 labs and they all had one thing in 7632 06:30:01,360 --> 06:30:05,280 common. They were built on Nvidia's 7633 06:30:03,600 --> 06:30:07,440 stack. 7634 06:30:05,280 --> 06:30:10,080 This was the era when the software mode 7635 06:30:07,440 --> 06:30:11,520 became a fortress. Thousands of 7636 06:30:10,080 --> 06:30:14,798 researchers were now writing their 7637 06:30:11,520 --> 06:30:16,718 doctoral thesis on CUDA. 7638 06:30:14,798 --> 06:30:19,120 If a competitor wanted to challenge 7639 06:30:16,718 --> 06:30:21,760 Nvidia, they wouldn't just need a better 7640 06:30:19,120 --> 06:30:24,240 chip. They would have to convince the 7641 06:30:21,760 --> 06:30:27,120 world's brightest minds to forget 7642 06:30:24,240 --> 06:30:29,840 everything they had learned. 7643 06:30:27,120 --> 06:30:33,040 But as the AI revolution took hold, an 7644 06:30:29,840 --> 06:30:35,520 unexpected shadow emerged. A new craze 7645 06:30:33,040 --> 06:30:39,200 called Bitcoin and Ethereum began to 7646 06:30:35,520 --> 06:30:41,520 consume Nvidia's supply. To the world, 7647 06:30:39,200 --> 06:30:45,120 Nvidia looked invincible. But 7648 06:30:41,520 --> 06:30:48,160 internally, Jensen was wary. Jensen knew 7649 06:30:45,120 --> 06:30:50,478 that every bubble eventually bursts. 7650 06:30:48,160 --> 06:30:52,798 This period of explosive accidental 7651 06:30:50,478 --> 06:30:56,000 growth from crypto miners was creating a 7652 06:30:52,798 --> 06:30:58,160 shadow over the company's true mission, 7653 06:30:56,000 --> 06:31:01,040 setting the stage for a highstakes legal 7654 06:30:58,160 --> 06:31:02,958 battle over corporate transparency and a 7655 06:31:01,040 --> 06:31:06,920 financial storm that would test the very 7656 06:31:02,958 --> 06:31:06,920 foundations of his leadership. 7657 06:31:10,638 --> 06:31:16,638 In 2018, Nvidia was riding a wave that 7658 06:31:14,080 --> 06:31:18,000 looked like a miracle but felt like a 7659 06:31:16,638 --> 06:31:20,160 mirage. 7660 06:31:18,000 --> 06:31:22,160 The explosion of cryptocurrency mining 7661 06:31:20,160 --> 06:31:24,558 had created an insatiable hunger for 7662 06:31:22,160 --> 06:31:27,120 GeForce cards. 7663 06:31:24,558 --> 06:31:30,160 To the outside world, Nvidia's revenue 7664 06:31:27,120 --> 06:31:32,320 was reaching historic heights. However, 7665 06:31:30,160 --> 06:31:35,200 beneath the surface, a dangerous 7666 06:31:32,320 --> 06:31:37,200 ambiguity was growing. Jensen Huang 7667 06:31:35,200 --> 06:31:39,920 insisted that the growth was driven by a 7668 06:31:37,200 --> 06:31:43,840 gaming renaissance, but the reality was 7669 06:31:39,920 --> 06:31:45,920 more volatile. The mirage evaporated in 7670 06:31:43,840 --> 06:31:48,718 late 2018. 7671 06:31:45,920 --> 06:31:52,240 The crypto winter arrived and the demand 7672 06:31:48,718 --> 06:31:54,160 for mining chips vanished overnight. 7673 06:31:52,240 --> 06:31:56,478 Nvidia was left with a massive surplus 7674 06:31:54,160 --> 06:31:59,120 of inventory and the market's reaction 7675 06:31:56,478 --> 06:32:03,360 was brutal. The company's stock price 7676 06:31:59,120 --> 06:32:05,920 plummeted by 28% in a single day. 7677 06:32:03,360 --> 06:32:09,840 The invincible architect of AI was 7678 06:32:05,920 --> 06:32:11,680 suddenly facing a crisis of credibility. 7679 06:32:09,840 --> 06:32:13,440 This financial collapse ignited a 7680 06:32:11,680 --> 06:32:15,280 highstakes legal battle that would 7681 06:32:13,440 --> 06:32:17,360 eventually reach the steps of the US 7682 06:32:15,280 --> 06:32:19,600 Supreme Court. 7683 06:32:17,360 --> 06:32:22,080 A group of institutional investors filed 7684 06:32:19,600 --> 06:32:24,558 a class action lawsuit alleging that 7685 06:32:22,080 --> 06:32:27,440 Jensen Huang had deliberately misled the 7686 06:32:24,558 --> 06:32:30,240 market. The core of the case rested on a 7687 06:32:27,440 --> 06:32:34,160 single devastating word. 7688 06:32:30,240 --> 06:32:36,718 Cienta, the intent to deceive. 7689 06:32:34,160 --> 06:32:38,638 The accusation was sharp. Investors 7690 06:32:36,718 --> 06:32:40,878 claimed that internal Nvidia reports 7691 06:32:38,638 --> 06:32:43,360 clearly showed over a billion dollars in 7692 06:32:40,878 --> 06:32:46,160 revenue attributed to gamers was 7693 06:32:43,360 --> 06:32:48,400 actually coming from crypto miners. 7694 06:32:46,160 --> 06:32:50,718 Jensen fought back, defending his 7695 06:32:48,400 --> 06:32:52,718 intellectual honesty and arguing that 7696 06:32:50,718 --> 06:32:55,840 the expert opinions used against him 7697 06:32:52,718 --> 06:32:58,160 were nothing more than speculation. 7698 06:32:55,840 --> 06:33:00,478 This battle known as petition number 7699 06:32:58,160 --> 06:33:02,558 23-970 7700 06:33:00,478 --> 06:33:05,280 became a landmark moment for Silicon 7701 06:33:02,558 --> 06:33:07,280 Valley, questioning how much a CEO must 7702 06:33:05,280 --> 06:33:09,200 disclose when their technology 7703 06:33:07,280 --> 06:33:12,320 accidentally conquers a market they 7704 06:33:09,200 --> 06:33:14,718 didn't intend to lead. 7705 06:33:12,320 --> 06:33:16,558 While lawyers argued in Washington, 7706 06:33:14,718 --> 06:33:19,360 Jensen was already looking past the 7707 06:33:16,558 --> 06:33:21,760 wreckage. He didn't let the legal storm 7708 06:33:19,360 --> 06:33:24,320 or the inventory crisis slowed down his 7709 06:33:21,760 --> 06:33:26,958 ultimate plan. He doubled down on the 7710 06:33:24,320 --> 06:33:29,520 data center, acquiring Melanox for $7 7711 06:33:26,958 --> 06:33:31,280 billion to control the highways between 7712 06:33:29,520 --> 06:33:33,280 his chips. 7713 06:33:31,280 --> 06:33:35,840 He was preparing for a world where AI 7714 06:33:33,280 --> 06:33:37,840 wouldn't just be a research project, but 7715 06:33:35,840 --> 06:33:39,520 the operating system of the entire 7716 06:33:37,840 --> 06:33:42,240 planet. 7717 06:33:39,520 --> 06:33:44,718 The storm of 2018 had been a warning. 7718 06:33:42,240 --> 06:33:48,440 The era of generative AI was about to 7719 06:33:44,718 --> 06:33:48,440 provide the answer. 7720 06:33:52,240 --> 06:33:57,120 By 2022, 7721 06:33:54,160 --> 06:33:59,280 the world had changed. The launch of 7722 06:33:57,120 --> 06:34:02,160 Chat GPT signaled the arrival of the 7723 06:33:59,280 --> 06:34:05,440 generative AI era, and Nvidia was the 7724 06:34:02,160 --> 06:34:07,520 only company prepared to power it. 7725 06:34:05,440 --> 06:34:10,478 But as Jensen Huang stood on the brink 7726 06:34:07,520 --> 06:34:13,680 of total market dominance, a new wall 7727 06:34:10,478 --> 06:34:16,638 was built, not by a competitor, but by 7728 06:34:13,680 --> 06:34:18,958 the US government. Washington imposed 7729 06:34:16,638 --> 06:34:22,000 strict export controls on high-end AI 7730 06:34:18,958 --> 06:34:24,400 chips. For Nvidia, the stakes were 7731 06:34:22,000 --> 06:34:26,320 astronomical. 7732 06:34:24,400 --> 06:34:29,200 According to the geographical revenue 7733 06:34:26,320 --> 06:34:32,478 data, China accounted for approximately 7734 06:34:29,200 --> 06:34:34,320 20% to 25% of the company's total 7735 06:34:32,478 --> 06:34:36,718 business. 7736 06:34:34,320 --> 06:34:39,280 Overnight, Jensen had to navigate a 7737 06:34:36,718 --> 06:34:41,040 geopolitical minefield, redesigning 7738 06:34:39,280 --> 06:34:43,200 chips specifically to comply with 7739 06:34:41,040 --> 06:34:45,040 regulations while trying to keep his 7740 06:34:43,200 --> 06:34:47,280 most important market from slipping 7741 06:34:45,040 --> 06:34:49,520 away. 7742 06:34:47,280 --> 06:34:51,520 Jensen's answer to the geopolitical and 7743 06:34:49,520 --> 06:34:55,440 technical pressure was the Blackwall 7744 06:34:51,520 --> 06:34:58,558 architecture. If the H100 was a spark, 7745 06:34:55,440 --> 06:35:02,000 Blackwell was a sun. Packing an 7746 06:34:58,558 --> 06:35:03,920 incredible 208 billion transistors, it 7747 06:35:02,000 --> 06:35:07,760 delivered up to 30 times the performance 7748 06:35:03,920 --> 06:35:09,680 of its predecessor for certain AI tasks. 7749 06:35:07,760 --> 06:35:12,400 But Blackwell represented a deeper 7750 06:35:09,680 --> 06:35:15,360 strategic shift. Nvidia was no longer 7751 06:35:12,400 --> 06:35:18,240 just a chipmaker. 7752 06:35:15,360 --> 06:35:19,840 Jensen was now building entire AI 7753 06:35:18,240 --> 06:35:22,000 factories. 7754 06:35:19,840 --> 06:35:24,400 By integrating Melanox's networking 7755 06:35:22,000 --> 06:35:26,400 technology, he controlled the highways 7756 06:35:24,400 --> 06:35:28,400 that allowed thousands of chips to talk 7757 06:35:26,400 --> 06:35:31,040 to each other as if they were a single 7758 06:35:28,400 --> 06:35:33,280 giant brain. 7759 06:35:31,040 --> 06:35:35,200 This system on a cluster approach meant 7760 06:35:33,280 --> 06:35:37,680 that even if a competitor produced a 7761 06:35:35,200 --> 06:35:39,280 faster individual chip, they couldn't 7762 06:35:37,680 --> 06:35:42,320 compete with the sheer efficiency of the 7763 06:35:39,280 --> 06:35:44,958 Nvidia ecosystem. 7764 06:35:42,320 --> 06:35:48,160 The financial results were staggering. 7765 06:35:44,958 --> 06:35:52,160 By early 2024, Nvidia's data center 7766 06:35:48,160 --> 06:35:54,000 revenue had surged to over 47 billion, 7767 06:35:52,160 --> 06:35:57,120 a 217% 7768 06:35:54,000 --> 06:35:59,680 increase in a single year. The company 7769 06:35:57,120 --> 06:36:02,320 was operating with 78.4% 7770 06:35:59,680 --> 06:36:04,718 gross margins, profit levels usually 7771 06:36:02,320 --> 06:36:07,280 reserved for software giants, not 7772 06:36:04,718 --> 06:36:10,958 hardware manufacturers. 7773 06:36:07,280 --> 06:36:14,240 On June 18th, 2024, Nvidia became the 7774 06:36:10,958 --> 06:36:17,120 most valuable company on the planet. 7775 06:36:14,240 --> 06:36:20,320 Yet, even as he stood at the summit, 7776 06:36:17,120 --> 06:36:23,120 Jensen refused to relax. He looked the 7777 06:36:20,320 --> 06:36:25,840 60-year history of semiconductors, the 7778 06:36:23,120 --> 06:36:28,478 rise and fall of Intel, the cycles of 7779 06:36:25,840 --> 06:36:30,718 Samsung and TI, and he knew that being 7780 06:36:28,478 --> 06:36:34,080 on top was the most dangerous place to 7781 06:36:30,718 --> 06:36:37,360 be. His next challenge wouldn't just be 7782 06:36:34,080 --> 06:36:41,080 about chips. It would be about giving AI 7783 06:36:37,360 --> 06:36:41,080 a physical body. 7784 06:36:44,878 --> 06:36:50,000 In 2024, Jensen Huang had already 7785 06:36:47,760 --> 06:36:52,320 conquered the digital world, but his 7786 06:36:50,000 --> 06:36:55,040 eyes were fixed on a new frontier, the 7787 06:36:52,320 --> 06:36:57,920 physical one. He declared that the next 7788 06:36:55,040 --> 06:36:59,680 wave of AI would be physical AI. 7789 06:36:57,920 --> 06:37:02,718 Intelligence that doesn't just process 7790 06:36:59,680 --> 06:37:04,638 text or images, but understands the laws 7791 06:37:02,718 --> 06:37:06,878 of physics. 7792 06:37:04,638 --> 06:37:09,920 Everything that moves from autonomous 7793 06:37:06,878 --> 06:37:13,040 cars to humanoid robots would eventually 7794 06:37:09,920 --> 06:37:15,440 be powered by an Nvidia brain. 7795 06:37:13,040 --> 06:37:19,200 This identifies it as the third pillar 7796 06:37:15,440 --> 06:37:22,160 of Nvidia's future. To win this race, 7797 06:37:19,200 --> 06:37:24,240 Jensen isn't just building chips. He is 7798 06:37:22,160 --> 06:37:26,400 building the omniverse. 7799 06:37:24,240 --> 06:37:28,558 This is a digital world where robots are 7800 06:37:26,400 --> 06:37:31,360 trained millions of times in a virtual 7801 06:37:28,558 --> 06:37:33,520 simulation before they ever step into a 7802 06:37:31,360 --> 06:37:36,320 real factory. 7803 06:37:33,520 --> 06:37:38,400 By the time a robot starts its job, it 7804 06:37:36,320 --> 06:37:41,520 has already lived a thousand lifetimes 7805 06:37:38,400 --> 06:37:44,240 of experience. Jensen's strategy is a 7806 06:37:41,520 --> 06:37:46,478 total vertical integration. He is 7807 06:37:44,240 --> 06:37:48,478 transforming Nvidia into a provider of 7808 06:37:46,478 --> 06:37:50,638 AI factories. 7809 06:37:48,478 --> 06:37:53,120 He believes that in the future, every 7810 06:37:50,638 --> 06:37:55,360 company will have two factories, one 7811 06:37:53,120 --> 06:37:58,478 that produces physical goods and a 7812 06:37:55,360 --> 06:38:00,558 digital one that produces intelligence. 7813 06:37:58,478 --> 06:38:02,638 With the Melanox networking, high-speed 7814 06:38:00,558 --> 06:38:05,120 highways, and the CUDA software 7815 06:38:02,638 --> 06:38:06,958 fortress, Jensen has ensured that the 7816 06:38:05,120 --> 06:38:10,400 entire infrastructure of this new 7817 06:38:06,958 --> 06:38:13,120 industrial revolution runs on Nvidia. 7818 06:38:10,400 --> 06:38:15,200 When asked about his legacy, Jensen 7819 06:38:13,120 --> 06:38:18,000 doesn't talk about stock prices or 7820 06:38:15,200 --> 06:38:20,320 trillions of dollars. He talks about 7821 06:38:18,000 --> 06:38:21,920 material sciences and scientific 7822 06:38:20,320 --> 06:38:24,000 discovery. 7823 06:38:21,920 --> 06:38:26,638 He believes AI will give humans 7824 06:38:24,000 --> 06:38:29,440 superpowers, helping us solve climate 7825 06:38:26,638 --> 06:38:31,680 change, cure diseases, and handle the 7826 06:38:29,440 --> 06:38:34,638 dangerous and mundane tasks so we can 7827 06:38:31,680 --> 06:38:37,638 focus on what truly makes us human, 7828 06:38:34,638 --> 06:38:37,638 curiosity. 7829 06:38:40,240 --> 06:38:44,558 By 2025, 7830 06:38:42,160 --> 06:38:46,320 the world had entered a state of compute 7831 06:38:44,558 --> 06:38:49,520 geopolitics. 7832 06:38:46,320 --> 06:38:52,080 Nvidia was no longer just a company. It 7833 06:38:49,520 --> 06:38:55,200 had become a strategic resource similar 7834 06:38:52,080 --> 06:38:58,798 to oil or grain. The launch of the 7835 06:38:55,200 --> 06:39:01,680 Blackwell B200 hadn't just met demand. 7836 06:38:58,798 --> 06:39:05,200 It had ignited a global scramble. 7837 06:39:01,680 --> 06:39:08,000 Nations like Japan, France, and the UAE 7838 06:39:05,200 --> 06:39:09,600 began building sovereign AI clouds. 7839 06:39:08,000 --> 06:39:12,000 Realizing that depending on a few 7840 06:39:09,600 --> 06:39:15,040 Silicon Valley giants for intelligence 7841 06:39:12,000 --> 06:39:18,320 was a national security risk. 7842 06:39:15,040 --> 06:39:22,080 But as 2025 progressed, a new whisper 7843 06:39:18,320 --> 06:39:25,040 began to haunt the industry. The wall. 7844 06:39:22,080 --> 06:39:27,840 For years, AI progress relied on scaling 7845 06:39:25,040 --> 06:39:30,160 laws. The idea that more data and more 7846 06:39:27,840 --> 06:39:34,080 GPUs would inevitably lead to more 7847 06:39:30,160 --> 06:39:36,798 intelligence. However, in 2026, the 7848 06:39:34,080 --> 06:39:39,440 returns are starting to diminish. Data 7849 06:39:36,798 --> 06:39:41,440 centers are becoming so massive, they 7850 06:39:39,440 --> 06:39:43,920 require their own dedicated nuclear 7851 06:39:41,440 --> 06:39:47,360 power plants. and the lowhanging fruit 7852 06:39:43,920 --> 06:39:49,600 of internet data has been exhausted. 7853 06:39:47,360 --> 06:39:52,240 Jensen's response to the wall is 7854 06:39:49,600 --> 06:39:54,400 typically defiant. He pivoted the 7855 06:39:52,240 --> 06:39:58,320 industry towards synthetic data and 7856 06:39:54,400 --> 06:40:00,798 reasoning models. In 2026, Nvidia's 7857 06:39:58,320 --> 06:40:05,040 focus has shifted from simply training 7858 06:40:00,798 --> 06:40:07,360 AI to inference at scale. The goal is no 7859 06:40:05,040 --> 06:40:09,840 longer just to build a model that knows 7860 06:40:07,360 --> 06:40:12,000 everything, but to build a system that 7861 06:40:09,840 --> 06:40:14,320 thinks through a problem for days, if 7862 06:40:12,000 --> 06:40:18,160 necessary, using massive clusters of 7863 06:40:14,320 --> 06:40:21,360 GPUs to reach a breakthrough. 7864 06:40:18,160 --> 06:40:24,558 The competition in 2026 has never been 7865 06:40:21,360 --> 06:40:27,040 fiercer. Nvidia's biggest customers, 7866 06:40:24,558 --> 06:40:29,200 Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, have 7867 06:40:27,040 --> 06:40:31,120 become its most dangerous rivals, 7868 06:40:29,200 --> 06:40:35,600 pouring billions into their own custom 7869 06:40:31,120 --> 06:40:38,478 AI chips to escape the NVIDIA tax. Yet, 7870 06:40:35,600 --> 06:40:40,878 the software mode remains unreached. 7871 06:40:38,478 --> 06:40:43,280 While others build chips, Jensen is 7872 06:40:40,878 --> 06:40:45,680 building the entire ecosystem, the 7873 06:40:43,280 --> 06:40:47,280 networking, the libraries, and the 7874 06:40:45,680 --> 06:40:50,080 pre-trained models that make a 7875 06:40:47,280 --> 06:40:53,440 competitor's hardware feel like a relic 7876 06:40:50,080 --> 06:40:56,160 before it even leaves the factory. 7877 06:40:53,440 --> 06:40:57,760 In this era, Jensen Hang has become one 7878 06:40:56,160 --> 06:41:00,638 of the world's most influential 7879 06:40:57,760 --> 06:41:02,958 diplomat. He navigates a world where the 7880 06:41:00,638 --> 06:41:04,798 power grid is the new bottleneck and 7881 06:41:02,958 --> 06:41:06,638 where a single shipment of chips can 7882 06:41:04,798 --> 06:41:08,400 determine the economic future of a 7883 06:41:06,638 --> 06:41:11,280 country. 7884 06:41:08,400 --> 06:41:14,400 The trillion dollar question of 2026 is 7885 06:41:11,280 --> 06:41:16,478 no longer if AI will change the world, 7886 06:41:14,400 --> 06:41:19,718 but who will own the infrastructure of 7887 06:41:16,478 --> 06:41:19,718 that change. 7888 06:41:23,120 --> 06:41:27,600 The story of Nvidia is often told as a 7889 06:41:25,520 --> 06:41:30,478 series of lucky breaks or inevitable 7890 06:41:27,600 --> 06:41:33,520 triumphs. But as we look at the empire 7891 06:41:30,478 --> 06:41:36,000 Jensen Hang has built, the reality is 7892 06:41:33,520 --> 06:41:37,840 far more deliberate and far more 7893 06:41:36,000 --> 06:41:40,798 precarious. 7894 06:41:37,840 --> 06:41:42,638 In 2026, the company stands at the 7895 06:41:40,798 --> 06:41:46,400 center of the greatest industrial shift 7896 06:41:42,638 --> 06:41:49,440 in human history. Yet for Jensen, the 7897 06:41:46,400 --> 06:41:52,718 valuation of three, four, or 5 trillion 7898 06:41:49,440 --> 06:41:54,878 is a lagging indicator. The true metric 7899 06:41:52,718 --> 06:41:56,878 is the oxygen. 7900 06:41:54,878 --> 06:41:58,718 Throughout his journey, from the dish 7901 06:41:56,878 --> 06:42:01,440 pits of Denny's to the halls of the 7902 06:41:58,718 --> 06:42:04,798 Supreme Court, Jensen has maintained a 7903 06:42:01,440 --> 06:42:07,360 philosophy of intellectual honesty. 7904 06:42:04,798 --> 06:42:10,080 He admits when the technology is wrong. 7905 06:42:07,360 --> 06:42:12,080 He pivots when the market shifts. And he 7906 06:42:10,080 --> 06:42:14,558 invests billions when the world calls 7907 06:42:12,080 --> 06:42:16,320 him a fool. He has turned a 7908 06:42:14,558 --> 06:42:18,958 semiconductor company into a 7909 06:42:16,320 --> 06:42:22,080 geopolitical superpower, a software 7910 06:42:18,958 --> 06:42:24,400 fortress, and the primary architect of a 7911 06:42:22,080 --> 06:42:26,400 new form of life. 7912 06:42:24,400 --> 06:42:29,040 Critics ask if Nvidia is a bubble 7913 06:42:26,400 --> 06:42:31,840 waiting to burst, or if the scaling laws 7914 06:42:29,040 --> 06:42:33,760 of AI will eventually hit a dead end. 7915 06:42:31,840 --> 06:42:36,240 But Jensen doesn't operate on the 7916 06:42:33,760 --> 06:42:38,638 timeline of a stock market cycle. He 7917 06:42:36,240 --> 06:42:40,240 operates on the timeline of human 7918 06:42:38,638 --> 06:42:42,958 evolution. 7919 06:42:40,240 --> 06:42:44,478 He isn't just selling chips. He is 7920 06:42:42,958 --> 06:42:47,200 selling the marginal cost of 7921 06:42:44,478 --> 06:42:49,840 intelligence, making the most valuable 7922 06:42:47,200 --> 06:42:52,798 resource in the universe so abundant 7923 06:42:49,840 --> 06:42:55,280 that it changes the very definition of 7924 06:42:52,798 --> 06:42:57,440 what is possible. 7925 06:42:55,280 --> 06:42:59,360 Jensen often says that he wakes up every 7926 06:42:57,440 --> 06:43:00,958 morning with the same feeling he had in 7927 06:42:59,360 --> 06:43:02,798 1993. 7928 06:43:00,958 --> 06:43:05,920 the feeling that the company is going 7929 06:43:02,798 --> 06:43:08,558 out of business. It is this productive 7930 06:43:05,920 --> 06:43:11,680 paranoia that prevents the cyclical trap 7931 06:43:08,558 --> 06:43:13,360 that claim the giants of the past. 7932 06:43:11,680 --> 06:43:16,080 He doesn't want to be the king of a 7933 06:43:13,360 --> 06:43:19,280 legacy. He wants to be the architect of 7934 06:43:16,080 --> 06:43:22,160 a future that hasn't even been imagined 7935 06:43:19,280 --> 06:43:25,600 yet. 7936 06:43:22,160 --> 06:43:28,080 Run, don't walk. Either you are running 7937 06:43:25,600 --> 06:43:31,760 for food or you are running from being 7938 06:43:28,080 --> 06:43:36,920 food. In the era of the digital brain, 7939 06:43:31,760 --> 06:43:36,920 the race has only just begun. 7940 06:45:03,200 --> 06:45:08,080 At the edge of the world, in a country 7941 06:45:05,440 --> 06:45:10,558 with more sheep than people, one of the 7942 06:45:08,080 --> 06:45:13,760 most powerful men in Silicon Valley 7943 06:45:10,558 --> 06:45:17,840 built an escape hatch. Not a vacation 7944 06:45:13,760 --> 06:45:20,638 home, not a tax shelter, a contingency 7945 06:45:17,840 --> 06:45:24,240 plan. 7946 06:45:20,638 --> 06:45:26,478 In 2011, a billionaire quietly secured 7947 06:45:24,240 --> 06:45:29,360 citizenship in New Zealand after 7948 06:45:26,478 --> 06:45:33,600 spending just days in the country. A 7949 06:45:29,360 --> 06:45:35,520 legal backdoor, a geopolitical lifeboat 7950 06:45:33,600 --> 06:45:38,478 deep in the rugged terrain of New 7951 06:45:35,520 --> 06:45:42,478 Zealand's South Island, Peter Teal owns 7952 06:45:38,478 --> 06:45:46,080 a vast private estate, remote, secluded, 7953 06:45:42,478 --> 06:45:48,478 and far from the centers of power. 7954 06:45:46,080 --> 06:45:51,280 While most billionaires buy yachts or 7955 06:45:48,478 --> 06:45:53,120 private islands feel secured something 7956 06:45:51,280 --> 06:45:55,680 more strategic, 7957 06:45:53,120 --> 06:45:58,080 New Zealand citizenship 7958 06:45:55,680 --> 06:46:01,280 and a vast estate in one of the most 7959 06:45:58,080 --> 06:46:03,600 remote democracies on earth. The 7960 06:46:01,280 --> 06:46:05,680 purchase price for this geopolitical 7961 06:46:03,600 --> 06:46:09,120 insurance policy. 7962 06:46:05,680 --> 06:46:11,840 In 2011, Theel obtained New Zealand 7963 06:46:09,120 --> 06:46:14,160 citizenship after spending just 12 days 7964 06:46:11,840 --> 06:46:15,200 in the country over the previous 2 7965 06:46:14,160 --> 06:46:17,600 years. 7966 06:46:15,200 --> 06:46:20,920 a process that normally requires years 7967 06:46:17,600 --> 06:46:20,920 of residency. 7968 06:46:21,040 --> 06:46:26,240 The investment that secured this 7969 06:46:22,878 --> 06:46:28,798 exceptional pathway, approximately $7 7970 06:46:26,240 --> 06:46:31,280 million in local assets and business 7971 06:46:28,798 --> 06:46:34,478 investments. 7972 06:46:31,280 --> 06:46:38,320 The centerpiece, a 477 7973 06:46:34,478 --> 06:46:42,558 acre estate near Lake Wanaka, purchased 7974 06:46:38,320 --> 06:46:45,120 for 13.5 million New Zealand, about $10 7975 06:46:42,558 --> 06:46:47,520 million. 7976 06:46:45,120 --> 06:46:52,160 When New Zealand media exposed the deal 7977 06:46:47,520 --> 06:46:53,840 in 2017, it sparked a national scandal. 7978 06:46:52,160 --> 06:46:55,440 >> Hi Benedict, nice to talk to you again. 7979 06:46:53,840 --> 06:46:57,360 So when we last spoke, you told us that 7980 06:46:55,440 --> 06:47:00,000 Peter Teal was granted citizenship after 7981 06:46:57,360 --> 06:47:03,120 having only visited New Zealand four 7982 06:47:00,000 --> 06:47:05,360 times for an unknown number of days 7983 06:47:03,120 --> 06:47:07,360 because the documents had that 7984 06:47:05,360 --> 06:47:09,680 information redacted. Right. 7985 06:47:07,360 --> 06:47:12,400 >> Politicians called it citizenship for 7986 06:47:09,680 --> 06:47:14,400 sale. Opposition leaders demanded 7987 06:47:12,400 --> 06:47:16,638 investigations, 7988 06:47:14,400 --> 06:47:19,840 but Theel had already achieved his 7989 06:47:16,638 --> 06:47:21,600 objective, a legal escape hatch in the 7990 06:47:19,840 --> 06:47:23,280 world's most politically stable 7991 06:47:21,600 --> 06:47:26,160 democracy, 7992 06:47:23,280 --> 06:47:29,920 a geopolitical insurance policy that 7993 06:47:26,160 --> 06:47:32,240 money can buy. 7994 06:47:29,920 --> 06:47:34,478 Why would a man who helped build the 7995 06:47:32,240 --> 06:47:38,160 digital future prepare for the collapse 7996 06:47:34,478 --> 06:47:41,440 of the physical one? What does he see 7997 06:47:38,160 --> 06:47:45,440 that others don't? Yes, it's the uh 1 7998 06:47:41,440 --> 06:47:48,240 Thessalonians 5:3, the uh the the slogan 7999 06:47:45,440 --> 06:47:50,718 of the Antichrist is peace and safety. 8000 06:47:48,240 --> 06:47:52,718 And so, which is nothing wrong with 8001 06:47:50,718 --> 06:47:54,718 peace and safety, but uh you have to 8002 06:47:52,718 --> 06:47:56,958 sort of imagine that it resonates very 8003 06:47:54,718 --> 06:47:58,798 differently in a world where the stakes 8004 06:47:56,958 --> 06:48:00,160 are so absolute, where the stakes are so 8005 06:47:58,798 --> 06:48:04,558 extreme, where the you know the 8006 06:48:00,160 --> 06:48:06,798 alternative to peace and safety is, you 8007 06:48:04,558 --> 06:48:08,478 know, Armageddon and the destruction of 8008 06:48:06,798 --> 06:48:10,878 all things. 8009 06:48:08,478 --> 06:48:14,320 He is one of the most polarizing figures 8010 06:48:10,878 --> 06:48:17,280 in Silicon Valley. To some, a visionary 8011 06:48:14,320 --> 06:48:20,000 genius who saw the future early. To 8012 06:48:17,280 --> 06:48:22,160 others, the shadow financier of 8013 06:48:20,000 --> 06:48:25,040 movements and candidates who challenge 8014 06:48:22,160 --> 06:48:28,958 liberal democratic norms. 8015 06:48:25,040 --> 06:48:31,440 This is not fear. This is strategy. 8016 06:48:28,958 --> 06:48:35,120 For decades, Peter Theel has made the 8017 06:48:31,440 --> 06:48:38,160 same bet over and over again. Bet 8018 06:48:35,120 --> 06:48:42,798 against consensus. better against the 8019 06:48:38,160 --> 06:48:45,360 crowd, bet against the system itself. 8020 06:48:42,798 --> 06:48:47,920 To understand why he built a fortress at 8021 06:48:45,360 --> 06:48:51,280 the end of the earth, we have to go back 8022 06:48:47,920 --> 06:48:53,600 to a childhood of constant displacement. 8023 06:48:51,280 --> 06:48:56,000 To a chessboard where consensus meant 8024 06:48:53,600 --> 06:48:58,798 nothing, to a company that tried to 8025 06:48:56,000 --> 06:49:02,360 replace money and another that learned 8026 06:48:58,798 --> 06:49:02,360 to see everything. 8027 06:49:02,558 --> 06:49:08,000 But the estate is more than a luxury 8028 06:49:05,040 --> 06:49:11,200 retreat. It is a fortress designed for 8029 06:49:08,000 --> 06:49:13,920 civilizational uncertainty. 8030 06:49:11,200 --> 06:49:16,478 Off-grid power systems, advanced 8031 06:49:13,920 --> 06:49:19,360 security infrastructure, multiple 8032 06:49:16,478 --> 06:49:21,760 evacuation routes through the mountains. 8033 06:49:19,360 --> 06:49:23,680 Not built for comfort, built for 8034 06:49:21,760 --> 06:49:26,320 continuity. 8035 06:49:23,680 --> 06:49:28,320 While the world debates progress, Peter 8036 06:49:26,320 --> 06:49:30,000 Theel is preparing for a different 8037 06:49:28,320 --> 06:49:32,718 possibility. 8038 06:49:30,000 --> 06:49:36,200 Not how to build the future, how to 8039 06:49:32,718 --> 06:49:36,200 survive it. 8040 06:49:37,520 --> 06:49:43,360 The architect of dissident 8041 06:49:41,120 --> 06:49:46,878 total estimated value of Theo's 8042 06:49:43,360 --> 06:49:48,638 contingency infrastructure 20 to $30 8043 06:49:46,878 --> 06:49:52,000 million. 8044 06:49:48,638 --> 06:49:54,240 Not for lifestyle, not for prestige, but 8045 06:49:52,000 --> 06:49:56,558 for the day the system he helped build 8046 06:49:54,240 --> 06:49:58,638 no longer holds. 8047 06:49:56,558 --> 06:50:01,440 He didn't build this because he panics 8048 06:49:58,638 --> 06:50:04,080 easily. He built it because he has 8049 06:50:01,440 --> 06:50:06,638 always believed that the crowd is wrong 8050 06:50:04,080 --> 06:50:10,000 and the future belongs to those willing 8051 06:50:06,638 --> 06:50:13,360 to stand apart from it. Every fortress 8052 06:50:10,000 --> 06:50:15,680 begins as an idea and Peter Theel has 8053 06:50:13,360 --> 06:50:19,558 been building intellectual fortresses 8054 06:50:15,680 --> 06:50:19,558 since he was a child. 8055 06:50:23,520 --> 06:50:28,798 Before he was a billionaire, before he 8056 06:50:26,000 --> 06:50:30,320 funded political outsiders, before he 8057 06:50:28,798 --> 06:50:33,360 built machines that could see 8058 06:50:30,320 --> 06:50:35,280 everything, he was a boy who never 8059 06:50:33,360 --> 06:50:38,000 stayed in one place long enough to 8060 06:50:35,280 --> 06:50:40,000 believe the world made sense. 8061 06:50:38,000 --> 06:50:43,440 So, he searched for a world where the 8062 06:50:40,000 --> 06:50:45,280 rules didn't change. He found it on a 8063 06:50:43,440 --> 06:50:47,680 chessboard. 8064 06:50:45,280 --> 06:50:49,680 To understand Peter Theel, you must 8065 06:50:47,680 --> 06:50:52,320 understand what it means to be a 8066 06:50:49,680 --> 06:50:55,120 permanent outsider. 8067 06:50:52,320 --> 06:50:57,520 Born in Frankfurt, West Germany, Peter 8068 06:50:55,120 --> 06:51:01,120 Theel spent part of his early childhood 8069 06:50:57,520 --> 06:51:03,440 in southwest Africa, now Namibia, before 8070 06:51:01,120 --> 06:51:06,798 growing up mainly in the United States 8071 06:51:03,440 --> 06:51:09,120 between Ohio and California. 8072 06:51:06,798 --> 06:51:12,400 Before he was a teenager, he had already 8073 06:51:09,120 --> 06:51:14,718 experienced life on multiple continents, 8074 06:51:12,400 --> 06:51:16,718 never staying long enough to feel fully 8075 06:51:14,718 --> 06:51:19,440 at home. 8076 06:51:16,718 --> 06:51:23,280 He didn't have a hometown. He didn't 8077 06:51:19,440 --> 06:51:25,680 have a tribe. He only had his own mind. 8078 06:51:23,280 --> 06:51:29,040 And in that isolation, he found a 8079 06:51:25,680 --> 06:51:32,040 language that didn't require a passport. 8080 06:51:29,040 --> 06:51:32,040 Chess. 8081 06:51:32,558 --> 06:51:36,878 For a child who changed continents 8082 06:51:34,718 --> 06:51:40,240 before he could even make friends, the 8083 06:51:36,878 --> 06:51:43,200 outside world was unpredictable noise. 8084 06:51:40,240 --> 06:51:45,200 But the board, the board was the only 8085 06:51:43,200 --> 06:51:48,400 place where the rules didn't change 8086 06:51:45,200 --> 06:51:51,280 depending on the country. 8087 06:51:48,400 --> 06:51:53,680 His 8088 06:51:51,280 --> 06:51:56,080 father, an engineer trained in a culture 8089 06:51:53,680 --> 06:51:58,478 of precision and systems thinking, 8090 06:51:56,080 --> 06:52:01,920 passed on a belief that reality could be 8091 06:51:58,478 --> 06:52:04,478 understood and optimized. 8092 06:52:01,920 --> 06:52:07,520 While other children sought to fit in, 8093 06:52:04,478 --> 06:52:10,320 Peter sought the edge. He learned that 8094 06:52:07,520 --> 06:52:12,000 the consensus of the crowd is usually a 8095 06:52:10,320 --> 06:52:14,558 distraction. 8096 06:52:12,000 --> 06:52:17,200 If everyone is running toward the ball, 8097 06:52:14,558 --> 06:52:18,878 you run toward where the ball is going 8098 06:52:17,200 --> 06:52:21,040 to be. 8099 06:52:18,878 --> 06:52:22,878 Chess is the ultimate antidote to 8100 06:52:21,040 --> 06:52:24,798 consensus. 8101 06:52:22,878 --> 06:52:27,520 In a crowd, you can hide behind a 8102 06:52:24,798 --> 06:52:30,638 popular opinion. In chess, you are 8103 06:52:27,520 --> 06:52:32,878 either right or you are dead. There is 8104 06:52:30,638 --> 06:52:35,520 no middle ground. There is no social 8105 06:52:32,878 --> 06:52:37,520 construction of the board. 8106 06:52:35,520 --> 06:52:40,160 He became a serious tournament chess 8107 06:52:37,520 --> 06:52:42,958 player drawn to a world where rules were 8108 06:52:40,160 --> 06:52:46,718 fixed, outcomes were earned, and 8109 06:52:42,958 --> 06:52:51,040 consensus meant nothing. 8110 06:52:46,718 --> 06:52:53,360 Mid1 1980s Stanford University. 8111 06:52:51,040 --> 06:52:55,680 To the world this was the peak of 8112 06:52:53,360 --> 06:52:59,920 American meritocracy. 8113 06:52:55,680 --> 06:53:02,000 To Theel it was a factory of conformity. 8114 06:52:59,920 --> 06:53:04,400 While his classmates were debating how 8115 06:53:02,000 --> 06:53:06,638 to change the world through activism, 8116 06:53:04,400 --> 06:53:09,280 Theel was wondering why they all sounded 8117 06:53:06,638 --> 06:53:11,360 exactly the same. He saw the 8118 06:53:09,280 --> 06:53:13,520 multiculturalism movement not as 8119 06:53:11,360 --> 06:53:15,680 progress but as a new form of 8120 06:53:13,520 --> 06:53:18,320 fundamentalism. 8121 06:53:15,680 --> 06:53:21,360 Stanford in the late 1980s was ground 8122 06:53:18,320 --> 06:53:24,160 zero for America's culture wars, battles 8123 06:53:21,360 --> 06:53:27,200 over multiculturalism, speech, and the 8124 06:53:24,160 --> 06:53:29,520 purpose of higher education. 8125 06:53:27,200 --> 06:53:32,878 Field believed the university was 8126 06:53:29,520 --> 06:53:34,638 drifting toward ideological conformity, 8127 06:53:32,878 --> 06:53:38,080 that certain views were becoming 8128 06:53:34,638 --> 06:53:41,760 socially, if not formally, offlimits. 8129 06:53:38,080 --> 06:53:44,798 Here is investment methodology was born. 8130 06:53:41,760 --> 06:53:48,000 Identify what the crowd considers sacred 8131 06:53:44,798 --> 06:53:51,440 and question it. 8132 06:53:48,000 --> 06:53:54,400 If everyone says identity diversity is 8133 06:53:51,440 --> 06:53:57,360 the most important thing, you argue that 8134 06:53:54,400 --> 06:53:59,440 intellectual diversity is the only thing 8135 06:53:57,360 --> 06:54:01,680 that matters. 8136 06:53:59,440 --> 06:54:04,878 He wasn't looking for friends. He was 8137 06:54:01,680 --> 06:54:07,760 looking to recruit others who like him 8138 06:54:04,878 --> 06:54:11,120 did not fear being hated. 8139 06:54:07,760 --> 06:54:13,440 He founded the Stanford Review. The 8140 06:54:11,120 --> 06:54:16,718 paper quickly became one of the most 8141 06:54:13,440 --> 06:54:19,520 controversial publications on campus, 8142 06:54:16,718 --> 06:54:23,360 attacking what field saw as intellectual 8143 06:54:19,520 --> 06:54:25,520 monoculture and political group think. 8144 06:54:23,360 --> 06:54:27,920 He saw that the smartest people in the 8145 06:54:25,520 --> 06:54:31,120 country were all competing for the same 8146 06:54:27,920 --> 06:54:32,878 narrow prizes, thinking the same narrow 8147 06:54:31,120 --> 06:54:36,240 thoughts. 8148 06:54:32,878 --> 06:54:39,760 He did what every top student does. He 8149 06:54:36,240 --> 06:54:42,000 followed the track. After Stanford Law, 8150 06:54:39,760 --> 06:54:44,320 he secured a prestigious federal 8151 06:54:42,000 --> 06:54:46,638 appalate clerkship, the kind of 8152 06:54:44,320 --> 06:54:48,478 credential that opens every elite door 8153 06:54:46,638 --> 06:54:50,718 in America. 8154 06:54:48,478 --> 06:54:53,200 After his clerkship, he joined Sullivan 8155 06:54:50,718 --> 06:54:56,478 and Cromwell in New York, one of the 8156 06:54:53,200 --> 06:54:59,120 most elite law firms in the world. On 8157 06:54:56,478 --> 06:55:03,840 paper, he had reached the summit. Wall 8158 06:54:59,120 --> 06:55:06,080 Street was his great negative epiphany. 8159 06:55:03,840 --> 06:55:08,240 But from his perspective, the brightest 8160 06:55:06,080 --> 06:55:10,320 graduates in America were locked in 8161 06:55:08,240 --> 06:55:13,280 brutal competition for careers they 8162 06:55:10,320 --> 06:55:15,680 didn't even seem to want. 8163 06:55:13,280 --> 06:55:18,400 It looked like Renee Gerard's theory 8164 06:55:15,680 --> 06:55:20,718 made flesh, a system where everyone 8165 06:55:18,400 --> 06:55:23,840 desired the same prize simply because 8166 06:55:20,718 --> 06:55:26,638 everyone else did. Wall Street looked at 8167 06:55:23,840 --> 06:55:29,680 Theo like a laboratory of mimemetic 8168 06:55:26,638 --> 06:55:32,240 rivalry. He realized that if he won that 8169 06:55:29,680 --> 06:55:35,520 race, his prize would be becoming the 8170 06:55:32,240 --> 06:55:38,798 man in the office next door. A copy of a 8171 06:55:35,520 --> 06:55:41,600 copy. The day he lost the opportunity to 8172 06:55:38,798 --> 06:55:45,120 clerk for the US Supreme Court wasn't a 8173 06:55:41,600 --> 06:55:48,400 defeat. It was his liberation. 8174 06:55:45,120 --> 06:55:51,040 He lasted less than a year. But Theo's 8175 06:55:48,400 --> 06:55:53,840 first venture after leaving law was a 8176 06:55:51,040 --> 06:55:55,760 humbling lesson in failure. A lesson 8177 06:55:53,840 --> 06:55:58,718 that would shape everything that came 8178 06:55:55,760 --> 06:56:02,000 after. 8179 06:55:58,718 --> 06:56:04,718 In 1996, he launched Theel Capital 8180 06:56:02,000 --> 06:56:07,680 Management, 8181 06:56:04,718 --> 06:56:10,878 a hedge fund focused on currency trading 8182 06:56:07,680 --> 06:56:13,680 and macroeconomic derivatives. 8183 06:56:10,878 --> 06:56:16,400 The strategy was to make big directional 8184 06:56:13,680 --> 06:56:18,718 bets on interest rates, inflation 8185 06:56:16,400 --> 06:56:22,478 expectations, and foreign exchange 8186 06:56:18,718 --> 06:56:26,000 movements. Initial capital raised $1 8187 06:56:22,478 --> 06:56:28,160 million mostly from Stanford connections 8188 06:56:26,000 --> 06:56:32,040 who believed in the chess prodigy turned 8189 06:56:28,160 --> 06:56:32,040 lawyer turned financia. 8190 06:56:32,878 --> 06:56:38,240 The result was spectacular failure. 8191 06:56:36,000 --> 06:56:41,520 Within the first year, the fund had lost 8192 06:56:38,240 --> 06:56:45,040 significant capital. Industry estimates 8193 06:56:41,520 --> 06:56:49,040 suggest losses between 30 and 40% of the 8194 06:56:45,040 --> 06:56:51,360 initial investment pool. Investors fled. 8195 06:56:49,040 --> 06:56:53,360 Some demanded their remaining money back 8196 06:56:51,360 --> 06:56:55,760 immediately. 8197 06:56:53,360 --> 06:56:57,920 The reputation among finance 8198 06:56:55,760 --> 06:57:00,240 professionals, the people he had walked 8199 06:56:57,920 --> 06:57:02,878 away from at Sullivan and Cromwell, took 8200 06:57:00,240 --> 06:57:06,160 a serious hit. 8201 06:57:02,878 --> 06:57:09,440 He was no longer the Stanford genius. He 8202 06:57:06,160 --> 06:57:11,920 was just another failed trader. 8203 06:57:09,440 --> 06:57:14,400 But this failure taught him the most 8204 06:57:11,920 --> 06:57:17,440 important lesson of his career. 8205 06:57:14,400 --> 06:57:19,840 Competition is for losers. 8206 06:57:17,440 --> 06:57:22,558 Do not compete in crowded markets where 8207 06:57:19,840 --> 06:57:26,240 everyone is making the same trades with 8208 06:57:22,558 --> 06:57:28,638 the same information and the same tools. 8209 06:57:26,240 --> 06:57:31,840 Wall Street was full of extremely smart 8210 06:57:28,638 --> 06:57:34,240 people doing the same macro trades, 8211 06:57:31,840 --> 06:57:37,360 reading the same economic reports, 8212 06:57:34,240 --> 06:57:39,760 betting on the same currency movements. 8213 06:57:37,360 --> 06:57:44,400 It was a zero someum game played by 8214 06:57:39,760 --> 06:57:46,558 thousands of nearly identical players. 8215 06:57:44,400 --> 06:57:49,680 He needed to find a space where the 8216 06:57:46,558 --> 06:57:52,080 rules were still being written. Where 8217 06:57:49,680 --> 06:57:55,360 being first mattered more than being 8218 06:57:52,080 --> 06:57:57,280 best, where a monopoly position was 8219 06:57:55,360 --> 06:57:59,600 still available. 8220 06:57:57,280 --> 06:58:02,000 He needed technology. 8221 06:57:59,600 --> 06:58:05,760 And from the ashes of the capital 8222 06:58:02,000 --> 06:58:08,320 management, a new philosophy was born. 8223 06:58:05,760 --> 06:58:11,600 If you want to create lasting value, you 8224 06:58:08,320 --> 06:58:14,400 have to build a monopoly. This became 8225 06:58:11,600 --> 06:58:18,120 his investing mantra and it would make 8226 06:58:14,400 --> 06:58:18,120 him billions. 8227 06:58:19,680 --> 06:58:24,638 Theel walked away from the firm and went 8228 06:58:21,760 --> 06:58:27,520 back to California not to start a tech 8229 06:58:24,638 --> 06:58:31,120 empire but to try trading then to launch 8230 06:58:27,520 --> 06:58:33,360 a hedge fund. It failed. The system he 8231 06:58:31,120 --> 06:58:37,360 had rejected did not welcome him back as 8232 06:58:33,360 --> 06:58:39,360 a prodigy. It treated him like a nobody. 8233 06:58:37,360 --> 06:58:43,280 That failure would become the last 8234 06:58:39,360 --> 06:58:45,680 lesson before his real beginning. But he 8235 06:58:43,280 --> 06:58:48,320 learned something. If you play the 8236 06:58:45,680 --> 06:58:50,320 system game as everyone else, you've 8237 06:58:48,320 --> 06:58:52,320 already lost. 8238 06:58:50,320 --> 06:58:57,958 The chess master was done with the 8239 06:58:52,320 --> 06:58:57,958 board. He was ready to build his own. 8240 06:59:02,958 --> 06:59:06,878 So this is an ATM. What we're going to 8241 06:59:04,878 --> 06:59:08,718 do is transform the traditional banking 8242 06:59:06,878 --> 06:59:12,160 industry. 8243 06:59:08,718 --> 06:59:13,840 >> I do not fit the picture of a banker. 8244 06:59:12,160 --> 06:59:15,920 >> X.com. This is Julie. 8245 06:59:13,840 --> 06:59:18,478 >> Raising $50 million is a matter of 8246 06:59:15,920 --> 06:59:20,718 making a series of phone calls and the 8247 06:59:18,478 --> 06:59:22,638 money is there. 8248 06:59:20,718 --> 06:59:25,200 >> I've sunk the great majority of of my 8249 06:59:22,638 --> 06:59:27,280 net worth into X.com, which is the new 8250 06:59:25,200 --> 06:59:30,000 banking and mutual funds company on the 8251 06:59:27,280 --> 06:59:31,840 internet that I've started. December 8252 06:59:30,000 --> 06:59:34,638 1998, 8253 06:59:31,840 --> 06:59:37,920 Peter Theel co-founds a company called 8254 06:59:34,638 --> 06:59:40,320 Conffinity with Max Levchin, a brilliant 8255 06:59:37,920 --> 06:59:42,718 Ukrainian born programmer, and Luke 8256 06:59:40,320 --> 06:59:44,638 Nosk, a fellow Stanford review 8257 06:59:42,718 --> 06:59:47,840 illuminous. 8258 06:59:44,638 --> 06:59:49,840 Initial funding, $300,000 scraped 8259 06:59:47,840 --> 06:59:52,000 together from friends, family, and 8260 06:59:49,840 --> 06:59:54,080 fellow libertarian true believers from 8261 06:59:52,000 --> 06:59:56,478 the Stamford days. 8262 06:59:54,080 --> 07:00:00,400 The original product idea, digital 8263 06:59:56,478 --> 07:00:02,798 wallets on Palm Pilot handheld devices. 8264 07:00:00,400 --> 07:00:05,360 The vision was that people would beam 8265 07:00:02,798 --> 07:00:08,000 money to each other using infrared ports 8266 07:00:05,360 --> 07:00:10,718 on the Palm Pilots 8267 07:00:08,000 --> 07:00:12,240 in coffee shops, at restaurants, 8268 07:00:10,718 --> 07:00:16,600 persontoerson, 8269 07:00:12,240 --> 07:00:16,600 bypassing banks entirely. 8270 07:00:16,878 --> 07:00:24,958 Total users after 6 months of operation, 8271 07:00:20,478 --> 07:00:27,200 12 people. literally 12. 8272 07:00:24,958 --> 07:00:29,920 Most of them were employees and their 8273 07:00:27,200 --> 07:00:33,520 friends testing the system. It was a 8274 07:00:29,920 --> 07:00:36,478 complete and utter flop. The technology 8275 07:00:33,520 --> 07:00:41,440 worked, but nobody cared. Nobody wanted 8276 07:00:36,478 --> 07:00:44,798 it. March 2000, Confinity pivots hard 8277 07:00:41,440 --> 07:00:47,120 and launches a new feature, email-based 8278 07:00:44,798 --> 07:00:50,240 money transfers. 8279 07:00:47,120 --> 07:00:52,638 You send money to any email address. The 8280 07:00:50,240 --> 07:00:55,120 recipient gets a notification, creates 8281 07:00:52,638 --> 07:00:58,160 an account, and the money is there. 8282 07:00:55,120 --> 07:01:01,600 Simple, instant, revolutionary. The name 8283 07:00:58,160 --> 07:01:04,478 of this new service, PayPal. 8284 07:01:01,600 --> 07:01:07,040 Within weeks, user growth exploded at a 8285 07:01:04,478 --> 07:01:08,718 rate nobody had ever seen in financial 8286 07:01:07,040 --> 07:01:13,280 services. 8287 07:01:08,718 --> 07:01:18,798 Month one, 10,000 users. Month three, 8288 07:01:13,280 --> 07:01:23,760 100,000 users. Month 6, 1 million users. 8289 07:01:18,798 --> 07:01:26,160 Month 12, 5 million users. 8290 07:01:23,760 --> 07:01:28,400 This was the fastest user adoption rate 8291 07:01:26,160 --> 07:01:31,360 in the entire history of financial 8292 07:01:28,400 --> 07:01:33,840 services. Faster than credit cards, 8293 07:01:31,360 --> 07:01:35,840 faster than checking accounts, faster 8294 07:01:33,840 --> 07:01:38,400 than anything. 8295 07:01:35,840 --> 07:01:41,440 But here is what most people do not know 8296 07:01:38,400 --> 07:01:44,798 about PayPal's growth. Here is the 8297 07:01:41,440 --> 07:01:47,920 secret that the mythology leaves out. 8298 07:01:44,798 --> 07:01:52,320 PayPal's explosive user acquisition was 8299 07:01:47,920 --> 07:01:57,200 not organic. It was not word of mouth. 8300 07:01:52,320 --> 07:01:59,520 It was not viral in the natural sense. 8301 07:01:57,200 --> 07:02:03,440 They literally bought their users with 8302 07:01:59,520 --> 07:02:06,240 cash. The strategy was elegantly simple 8303 07:02:03,440 --> 07:02:09,360 and brutally expensive. 8304 07:02:06,240 --> 07:02:12,478 Sign up for a PayPal account, get $10 8305 07:02:09,360 --> 07:02:16,080 deposited instantly. Refer a friend who 8306 07:02:12,478 --> 07:02:20,240 signs up gets another $10. Your friend 8307 07:02:16,080 --> 07:02:23,600 also gets $10. Cost per acquisition 20 8308 07:02:20,240 --> 07:02:27,200 to $40 per user depending on how many 8309 07:02:23,600 --> 07:02:30,478 referrals each user generated. 8310 07:02:27,200 --> 07:02:33,360 Monthly cash burn rate of peak growth 10 8311 07:02:30,478 --> 07:02:36,638 to 12 million 8312 07:02:33,360 --> 07:02:40,240 just vanishing into a user acquisition. 8313 07:02:36,638 --> 07:02:43,680 By late 2000, PayPal was spending 60 to 8314 07:02:40,240 --> 07:02:46,240 70 million annually just to buy users 8315 07:02:43,680 --> 07:02:48,320 with cash incentives. 8316 07:02:46,240 --> 07:02:50,958 They were hemorrhaging money at a 8317 07:02:48,320 --> 07:02:53,520 terrifying rate. Investors were 8318 07:02:50,958 --> 07:02:56,240 panicking. Board members were demanding 8319 07:02:53,520 --> 07:02:58,718 answers. 8320 07:02:56,240 --> 07:03:02,320 How long can you sustain spending $10 8321 07:02:58,718 --> 07:03:05,360 million a month buying users? 8322 07:03:02,320 --> 07:03:08,400 But Theel had done the mathematics. He 8323 07:03:05,360 --> 07:03:11,360 had run the numbers obsessively. 8324 07:03:08,400 --> 07:03:15,120 Each acquired user was worth $100 to 8325 07:03:11,360 --> 07:03:18,000 $200 in lifetime transaction fee revenue 8326 07:03:15,120 --> 07:03:22,478 through the PayPal network. They were 8327 07:03:18,000 --> 07:03:25,680 buying $100 bills for $20 bills. It was 8328 07:03:22,478 --> 07:03:28,958 either genius or insanity depending on 8329 07:03:25,680 --> 07:03:31,360 whether the math actually worked. The 8330 07:03:28,958 --> 07:03:33,680 believed it would work. He bet 8331 07:03:31,360 --> 07:03:36,878 everything on it. But there was a 8332 07:03:33,680 --> 07:03:40,240 problem. a major problem. Another 8333 07:03:36,878 --> 07:03:43,840 company was doing the exact same thing. 8334 07:03:40,240 --> 07:03:47,280 X.com, a finance company founded by Elon 8335 07:03:43,840 --> 07:03:49,280 Musk with money from his Zip 2 exit and 8336 07:03:47,280 --> 07:03:53,600 a vision for online banking that was 8337 07:03:49,280 --> 07:03:57,200 nearly identical to PayPal's. 8338 07:03:53,600 --> 07:04:00,160 Two companies, same idea, same market, 8339 07:03:57,200 --> 07:04:03,680 both burning massive amounts of cash at 8340 07:04:00,160 --> 07:04:06,320 completely unsustainable rates. Total 8341 07:04:03,680 --> 07:04:09,360 funding raised between both companies 8342 07:04:06,320 --> 07:04:12,718 over $100 million. 8343 07:04:09,360 --> 07:04:15,680 Combined monthly cash burn rate over $20 8344 07:04:12,718 --> 07:04:18,400 million time until both companies 8345 07:04:15,680 --> 07:04:21,600 simultaneously ran out of money less 8346 07:04:18,400 --> 07:04:24,400 than 6 months. 8347 07:04:21,600 --> 07:04:28,000 The merger was inevitable. 8348 07:04:24,400 --> 07:04:31,040 X.com and Confinity merged into a single 8349 07:04:28,000 --> 07:04:33,360 entity. The combined company kept the 8350 07:04:31,040 --> 07:04:37,120 PayPal name because users had already 8351 07:04:33,360 --> 07:04:39,680 adopted it. The brand had momentum. Elon 8352 07:04:37,120 --> 07:04:45,080 Musk became chief executive officer of 8353 07:04:39,680 --> 07:04:45,080 the merged company for 5 months. 8354 07:04:46,400 --> 07:04:52,718 October 2000, while Elon Musk was on his 8355 07:04:50,080 --> 07:04:55,440 honeymoon, the board of directors led by 8356 07:04:52,718 --> 07:04:58,638 Peter Theel and other Confinity founders 8357 07:04:55,440 --> 07:05:01,200 held an emergency meeting and voted Musk 8358 07:04:58,638 --> 07:05:03,920 out as CEO. 8359 07:05:01,200 --> 07:05:07,040 The official reason cited strategic 8360 07:05:03,920 --> 07:05:10,320 disagreements over technology platform. 8361 07:05:07,040 --> 07:05:12,638 Musk wanted to use Microsoft software. 8362 07:05:10,320 --> 07:05:16,478 The Confinity engineers believed in 8363 07:05:12,638 --> 07:05:20,240 Unixbased systems. The actual reason 8364 07:05:16,478 --> 07:05:24,080 Theel wanted control, full control. This 8365 07:05:20,240 --> 07:05:26,240 was his company now. 8366 07:05:24,080 --> 07:05:29,600 Peter Theel became chief executive 8367 07:05:26,240 --> 07:05:32,080 officer of PayPal. Elon Musk remained a 8368 07:05:29,600 --> 07:05:35,840 major shareholder, but his operational 8369 07:05:32,080 --> 07:05:38,718 control was finished. 8370 07:05:35,840 --> 07:05:41,120 The two men, both future billionaires, 8371 07:05:38,718 --> 07:05:45,360 both future power brokers, had their 8372 07:05:41,120 --> 07:05:48,160 first battle. feel one. At its core, 8373 07:05:45,360 --> 07:05:50,878 PayPal ran on a simple idea that turned 8374 07:05:48,160 --> 07:05:53,360 into a powerful engine. 8375 07:05:50,878 --> 07:05:57,440 Every time money moved, PayPal took a 8376 07:05:53,360 --> 07:05:59,920 small cut, 2.9% plus 30 cents per 8377 07:05:57,440 --> 07:06:02,558 transaction. If that money crossed 8378 07:05:59,920 --> 07:06:05,040 borders, the fee climbed to between 2 8379 07:06:02,558 --> 07:06:07,200 1/2 and 4%. 8380 07:06:05,040 --> 07:06:09,120 Then there was the float, the cash 8381 07:06:07,200 --> 07:06:11,680 sitting in PayPal's accounts between 8382 07:06:09,120 --> 07:06:15,040 payments, quietly earning interest for 8383 07:06:11,680 --> 07:06:17,280 the company. Tiny slices repeated 8384 07:06:15,040 --> 07:06:20,400 millions of times. 8385 07:06:17,280 --> 07:06:24,160 By 2001, the numbers told the story of a 8386 07:06:20,400 --> 07:06:27,040 system coming to life. Every single day, 8387 07:06:24,160 --> 07:06:30,080 5 to8 million flowed through PayPal's 8388 07:06:27,040 --> 07:06:35,040 network. Each month, that translated 8389 07:06:30,080 --> 07:06:38,000 into 10 to$15 million in revenue. 8390 07:06:35,040 --> 07:06:40,558 But growth at this speed came at a cost. 8391 07:06:38,000 --> 07:06:43,440 Running the system, fighting fraud, 8392 07:06:40,558 --> 07:06:48,558 scaling infrastructure, acquiring users 8393 07:06:43,440 --> 07:06:50,878 was burning 20 to30 million every month. 8394 07:06:48,558 --> 07:06:53,280 The machine worked, it just wasn't 8395 07:06:50,878 --> 07:06:55,280 profitable yet. 8396 07:06:53,280 --> 07:06:57,840 Late 2000, 8397 07:06:55,280 --> 07:07:01,520 PayPal's data scientists discovered 8398 07:06:57,840 --> 07:07:03,920 something crucial. 70% of all PayPal 8399 07:07:01,520 --> 07:07:05,600 transactions were happening on eBay 8400 07:07:03,920 --> 07:07:07,840 auctions. 8401 07:07:05,600 --> 07:07:10,400 People buying and selling random items 8402 07:07:07,840 --> 07:07:13,840 on the internet's largest marketplace 8403 07:07:10,400 --> 07:07:16,160 were using PayPal to move money. The 8404 07:07:13,840 --> 07:07:19,520 strategic insight became immediately 8405 07:07:16,160 --> 07:07:23,680 clear. Make PayPal the only payment 8406 07:07:19,520 --> 07:07:27,680 method that eBay users trust completely. 8407 07:07:23,680 --> 07:07:30,320 Own that market, become indispensable. 8408 07:07:27,680 --> 07:07:32,638 The execution buyer protection 8409 07:07:30,320 --> 07:07:35,440 guarantees that eBay's own payment 8410 07:07:32,638 --> 07:07:38,080 system did not offer 8411 07:07:35,440 --> 07:07:41,958 instant payment transfers with no 7-day 8412 07:07:38,080 --> 07:07:41,958 check clearing period. 8413 07:07:42,400 --> 07:07:47,520 Fraud detection algorithms that were 8414 07:07:44,558 --> 07:07:50,400 better than credit card companies. Email 8415 07:07:47,520 --> 07:07:54,878 notifications for every transaction. 8416 07:07:50,400 --> 07:07:58,240 Simple, clean user interface. 8417 07:07:54,878 --> 07:08:02,000 By mid 2001, the strategy was working 8418 07:07:58,240 --> 07:08:04,718 beyond all projections. 50% of all eBay 8419 07:08:02,000 --> 07:08:08,400 auctions accepted PayPal as a payment 8420 07:08:04,718 --> 07:08:10,878 method. PayPal was processing $50 8421 07:08:08,400 --> 07:08:13,840 million daily in eBay related 8422 07:08:10,878 --> 07:08:19,040 transactions alone. And then eBay 8423 07:08:13,840 --> 07:08:21,120 noticed and eBay was not happy. 8424 07:08:19,040 --> 07:08:23,440 eBay launched their own competing 8425 07:08:21,120 --> 07:08:26,240 service called Billpoint and attempted 8426 07:08:23,440 --> 07:08:28,400 to kill PayPal through the marketplace. 8427 07:08:26,240 --> 07:08:31,440 They promoted Billoint in search 8428 07:08:28,400 --> 07:08:34,160 rankings. They penalized sellers who 8429 07:08:31,440 --> 07:08:37,280 only accepted PayPal. They made it 8430 07:08:34,160 --> 07:08:39,040 harder to display the PayPal logo. It 8431 07:08:37,280 --> 07:08:42,080 was war. 8432 07:08:39,040 --> 07:08:44,718 PayPal's response was total war. 8433 07:08:42,080 --> 07:08:47,280 Temporarily lower transaction fees to 8434 07:08:44,718 --> 07:08:49,440 undercut Billoint. 8435 07:08:47,280 --> 07:08:52,638 Guarantee faster money transfers than 8436 07:08:49,440 --> 07:08:56,320 eBay could offer. Invest heavily in 8437 07:08:52,638 --> 07:08:59,360 superior $30 million deployed in 2001 8438 07:08:56,320 --> 07:09:01,920 fraud protection. Massive marketing 8439 07:08:59,360 --> 07:09:05,680 spending alone. 8440 07:09:01,920 --> 07:09:10,000 By early 2002, the war was over. PayPal 8441 07:09:05,680 --> 07:09:14,000 controlled 65% of eBay's payment market. 8442 07:09:10,000 --> 07:09:16,320 Bill point at barely 10%. 8443 07:09:14,000 --> 07:09:18,638 eBay executives looked at the numbers 8444 07:09:16,320 --> 07:09:24,000 and reached the conclusion, if you 8445 07:09:18,638 --> 07:09:28,160 cannot beat them, buy them. July 2002, 8446 07:09:24,000 --> 07:09:30,240 eBay acquires PayPal for $1.5 billion in 8447 07:09:28,160 --> 07:09:33,920 eBay stock. 8448 07:09:30,240 --> 07:09:36,798 Peter Theal owned approximately $3.7% of 8449 07:09:33,920 --> 07:09:40,000 PayPal at the time of the acquisition. 8450 07:09:36,798 --> 07:09:43,520 His equity stake was worth $55 million 8451 07:09:40,000 --> 07:09:46,000 in eBay stock. After taxes, he walked 8452 07:09:43,520 --> 07:09:49,920 away with approximately $40 million in 8453 07:09:46,000 --> 07:09:53,520 liquid wealth. At age 34, he had won his 8454 07:09:49,920 --> 07:09:55,520 first billion dollar game. 8455 07:09:53,520 --> 07:09:58,878 But the money was not the most valuable 8456 07:09:55,520 --> 07:10:02,878 thing he extracted from PayPal. The real 8457 07:09:58,878 --> 07:10:05,280 value was the network, the PayPal mafia, 8458 07:10:02,878 --> 07:10:09,280 the name they gave themselves. And it 8459 07:10:05,280 --> 07:10:12,080 was not ironic. It was descriptive. The 8460 07:10:09,280 --> 07:10:14,160 core team that Theel assembled at PayPal 8461 07:10:12,080 --> 07:10:17,360 would go on to create some of the most 8462 07:10:14,160 --> 07:10:23,360 valuable companies in human history. 8463 07:10:17,360 --> 07:10:28,240 Elon Musk Tesla market cap $650 billion. 8464 07:10:23,360 --> 07:10:31,280 SpaceX estimated value $150 billion. 8465 07:10:28,240 --> 07:10:34,240 Reed Hoffman LinkedIn sold to Microsoft 8466 07:10:31,280 --> 07:10:38,320 for $26 billion. 8467 07:10:34,240 --> 07:10:43,120 Steve Chen, Chad Hurley, Jawed Kareem. 8468 07:10:38,320 --> 07:10:47,958 YouTube sold to Google for 1.65 billion, 8469 07:10:43,120 --> 07:10:47,958 now worth over 100 billion. 8470 07:10:48,240 --> 07:10:54,958 Jeremy Stoppleman and Russell Simmons, 8471 07:10:50,878 --> 07:10:58,000 Yelp, peaked at $3 billion market cap. 8472 07:10:54,958 --> 07:11:01,120 David Saxs, Yammer, sold to Microsoft 8473 07:10:58,000 --> 07:11:04,080 for $1.2 billion. 8474 07:11:01,120 --> 07:11:08,320 later founded Craft Ventures. Max 8475 07:11:04,080 --> 07:11:13,440 Levchin, a firm $12 billion company. 8476 07:11:08,320 --> 07:11:16,240 Also co-founded Yelp. Keith Rabo, COO of 8477 07:11:13,440 --> 07:11:20,920 Square, partner at Founders Fund, 8478 07:11:16,240 --> 07:11:20,920 investor in dozens of unicorns. 8479 07:11:21,040 --> 07:11:27,760 Roloff Bofer, partner at Seoia Capital, 8480 07:11:24,958 --> 07:11:32,320 led investments in Instagram, YouTube, 8481 07:11:27,760 --> 07:11:35,360 Tumblr, MongoDB, Eventbrite. 8482 07:11:32,320 --> 07:11:37,280 Total value created by the PayPal mafia 8483 07:11:35,360 --> 07:11:40,798 across all their companies, 8484 07:11:37,280 --> 07:11:43,200 conservatively estimated at over $200 8485 07:11:40,798 --> 07:11:45,520 billion in combined market 8486 07:11:43,200 --> 07:11:47,680 capitalization. 8487 07:11:45,520 --> 07:11:49,520 Field's ownership stakes across this 8488 07:11:47,680 --> 07:11:52,718 extended network through direct 8489 07:11:49,520 --> 07:11:55,920 investments and fund positions estimated 8490 07:11:52,718 --> 07:11:57,920 at 2 to4 billion. 8491 07:11:55,920 --> 07:12:01,040 This was not just a company that got 8492 07:11:57,920 --> 07:12:03,920 acquired. This was the creation of the 8493 07:12:01,040 --> 07:12:07,320 most powerful business cartel in Silicon 8494 07:12:03,920 --> 07:12:07,320 Valley history. 8495 07:12:07,520 --> 07:12:13,040 But what made PayPal different was not 8496 07:12:10,080 --> 07:12:15,440 the technology. Not really. The 8497 07:12:13,040 --> 07:12:17,040 technology was impressive but not 8498 07:12:15,440 --> 07:12:19,120 miraculous. 8499 07:12:17,040 --> 07:12:21,920 What made PayPal different was the 8500 07:12:19,120 --> 07:12:23,760 culture, the religion of extreme 8501 07:12:21,920 --> 07:12:26,798 meritocracy. 8502 07:12:23,760 --> 07:12:28,718 The hiring criteria were brutally 8503 07:12:26,798 --> 07:12:32,558 specific. 8504 07:12:28,718 --> 07:12:35,920 One raw intelligence, high test scores, 8505 07:12:32,558 --> 07:12:37,840 ability to solve complex puzzles, proof 8506 07:12:35,920 --> 07:12:41,360 you could think better than everyone 8507 07:12:37,840 --> 07:12:44,400 else. Two, intensity. 8508 07:12:41,360 --> 07:12:46,320 Are you willing to work 100hour weeks? 8509 07:12:44,400 --> 07:12:49,120 Are you willing to sacrifice everything 8510 07:12:46,320 --> 07:12:52,798 else in your life for the mission? 8511 07:12:49,120 --> 07:12:55,600 Three, missionary zeal. Do you actually 8512 07:12:52,798 --> 07:12:58,320 believe we are changing the world or are 8513 07:12:55,600 --> 07:13:01,600 you here for a paycheck? 8514 07:12:58,320 --> 07:13:03,760 Four, loyalty to the tribe. Will you 8515 07:13:01,600 --> 07:13:07,120 protect the other members? Will you put 8516 07:13:03,760 --> 07:13:10,478 the group above yourself? 8517 07:13:07,120 --> 07:13:16,000 Average employee age at PayPal 25 years 8518 07:13:10,478 --> 07:13:18,320 old. Average work week 80 to 100 hours. 8519 07:13:16,000 --> 07:13:20,878 Office culture libertarian, 8520 07:13:18,320 --> 07:13:22,718 anti-regulation, contrarian, 8521 07:13:20,878 --> 07:13:24,798 anti-establishment. 8522 07:13:22,718 --> 07:13:27,280 They called themselves the mafia 8523 07:13:24,798 --> 07:13:30,840 specifically because loyalty mattered 8524 07:13:27,280 --> 07:13:30,840 more than credentials, 8525 07:13:32,080 --> 07:13:37,600 more than degrees, more than previous 8526 07:13:34,240 --> 07:13:40,478 experience. Theel's operating principle 8527 07:13:37,600 --> 07:13:42,798 stated explicitly and repeatedly, 8528 07:13:40,478 --> 07:13:45,040 talented people do not want to work with 8529 07:13:42,798 --> 07:13:48,558 people who are less talented than they 8530 07:13:45,040 --> 07:13:50,638 are. So every new hire must be more 8531 07:13:48,558 --> 07:13:54,000 talented than the average current 8532 07:13:50,638 --> 07:13:56,718 employee. Otherwise, we are diluting the 8533 07:13:54,000 --> 07:14:00,080 talent pool. This created a 8534 07:13:56,718 --> 07:14:03,200 self-reinforcing escalation, an arms 8535 07:14:00,080 --> 07:14:06,400 race of hiring. Every new person raised 8536 07:14:03,200 --> 07:14:10,000 the bar. The standards became higher and 8537 07:14:06,400 --> 07:14:12,798 higher. Only the absolute best could get 8538 07:14:10,000 --> 07:14:15,840 in. And once you were in, you were 8539 07:14:12,798 --> 07:14:18,320 family. But here is what most people 8540 07:14:15,840 --> 07:14:20,400 forget about PayPal. Here is the 8541 07:14:18,320 --> 07:14:23,200 original vision that got erased from the 8542 07:14:20,400 --> 07:14:26,320 mythology. PayPal was supposed to 8543 07:14:23,200 --> 07:14:28,638 destroy the Federal Reserve. It was 8544 07:14:26,320 --> 07:14:32,000 supposed to undermine state control of 8545 07:14:28,638 --> 07:14:33,760 currency. That was the actual mission. 8546 07:14:32,000 --> 07:14:38,558 That was why Peter Theal, the 8547 07:14:33,760 --> 07:14:41,120 libertarian ideologue, cared so much. 8548 07:14:38,558 --> 07:14:44,000 The original vision laid out in Theo's 8549 07:14:41,120 --> 07:14:47,440 founding documents create a new digital 8550 07:14:44,000 --> 07:14:50,160 currency outside government control. 8551 07:14:47,440 --> 07:14:53,200 Enable true peer-to-peer transactions 8552 07:14:50,160 --> 07:14:55,520 globally without state intermediaries. 8553 07:14:53,200 --> 07:14:58,400 Undermine the state monopoly on money 8554 07:14:55,520 --> 07:15:00,958 creation and management. 8555 07:14:58,400 --> 07:15:03,200 build the financial infrastructure for a 8556 07:15:00,958 --> 07:15:05,680 stateless society. 8557 07:15:03,200 --> 07:15:08,638 What actually happened? To become 8558 07:15:05,680 --> 07:15:11,120 mainstream, to actually scale, PayPal 8559 07:15:08,638 --> 07:15:13,440 had to compromise every single founding 8560 07:15:11,120 --> 07:15:16,400 principle. They had to integrate with 8561 07:15:13,440 --> 07:15:19,360 the traditional banking system, the 8562 07:15:16,400 --> 07:15:21,600 enemy. They had to comply with know your 8563 07:15:19,360 --> 07:15:23,120 customer and anti-moneyaundering 8564 07:15:21,600 --> 07:15:25,280 regulations, 8565 07:15:23,120 --> 07:15:27,120 government control. 8566 07:15:25,280 --> 07:15:29,840 They had to partner with credit card 8567 07:15:27,120 --> 07:15:32,638 companies, the old system they wanted to 8568 07:15:29,840 --> 07:15:36,160 destroy. They had to get licensed in 8569 07:15:32,638 --> 07:15:38,080 every single state. Regulatory capture. 8570 07:15:36,160 --> 07:15:40,958 They had to report suspicious 8571 07:15:38,080 --> 07:15:44,478 transactions to federal authorities. 8572 07:15:40,958 --> 07:15:48,240 Surveillance. By 2002, PayPal was 8573 07:15:44,478 --> 07:15:50,958 regulated exactly like a bank. Partnered 8574 07:15:48,240 --> 07:15:53,840 with banks, dependent on banks for all 8575 07:15:50,958 --> 07:15:56,080 core functionalities. The libertarian 8576 07:15:53,840 --> 07:15:58,160 revolution had become just another 8577 07:15:56,080 --> 07:16:00,478 fintech company playing by the 8578 07:15:58,160 --> 07:16:02,798 government's rules. 8579 07:16:00,478 --> 07:16:04,878 The learned the most important lesson of 8580 07:16:02,798 --> 07:16:07,760 his career from PayPal's failure to 8581 07:16:04,878 --> 07:16:10,240 achieve its revolutionary mission. You 8582 07:16:07,760 --> 07:16:13,120 cannot disrupt the system from inside 8583 07:16:10,240 --> 07:16:15,440 the system. If you want to change the 8584 07:16:13,120 --> 07:16:18,320 rules, you cannot ask permission from 8585 07:16:15,440 --> 07:16:21,040 the people who wrote them. This lesson 8586 07:16:18,320 --> 07:16:25,240 would shape everything he did next. 8587 07:16:21,040 --> 07:16:25,240 Palanteer, Facebook, 8588 07:16:25,280 --> 07:16:31,600 his political investments, everything. 8589 07:16:29,360 --> 07:16:34,798 The PayPal acquisition was not an 8590 07:16:31,600 --> 07:16:37,440 ending. It was a beginning, the start of 8591 07:16:34,798 --> 07:16:40,478 something much larger. The pattern that 8592 07:16:37,440 --> 07:16:42,798 emerged over the next 20 years. PayPal 8593 07:16:40,478 --> 07:16:45,040 veterans leave and start new companies 8594 07:16:42,798 --> 07:16:48,240 in different sectors. 8595 07:16:45,040 --> 07:16:51,120 Theel invests early as angel investor or 8596 07:16:48,240 --> 07:16:52,958 through founders fund. PayPal mafia 8597 07:16:51,120 --> 07:16:55,840 members join each other's boards of 8598 07:16:52,958 --> 07:16:58,718 directors. Cross investment between all 8599 07:16:55,840 --> 07:17:01,360 their venture funds creates alignment. 8600 07:16:58,718 --> 07:17:03,680 Preferential access to deal flow because 8601 07:17:01,360 --> 07:17:05,600 of network relationships. 8602 07:17:03,680 --> 07:17:08,400 Shared intelligence about markets, 8603 07:17:05,600 --> 07:17:10,320 technology, and opportunities. 8604 07:17:08,400 --> 07:17:13,840 Real examples of how the network 8605 07:17:10,320 --> 07:17:17,440 compounds. Reed Hoffman introduces Theel 8606 07:17:13,840 --> 07:17:21,440 to Mark Zuckerberg in 2004. 8607 07:17:17,440 --> 07:17:25,120 Theel invests $500,000 in Facebook, 8608 07:17:21,440 --> 07:17:28,320 eventually makes over $1 billion. 8609 07:17:25,120 --> 07:17:30,478 Roloff Botha joins Sequoia Capital and 8610 07:17:28,320 --> 07:17:32,958 invests in multiple Theelbacked 8611 07:17:30,478 --> 07:17:34,558 companies, creating reciprocal deal 8612 07:17:32,958 --> 07:17:37,120 flows. 8613 07:17:34,558 --> 07:17:40,080 David Saxs hosts high dollar fundraisers 8614 07:17:37,120 --> 07:17:44,360 for Theo's political candidates, mixing 8615 07:17:40,080 --> 07:17:44,360 business and politics seamlessly. 8616 07:17:44,478 --> 07:17:50,638 Max Levchim provides seed capital for 8617 07:17:47,120 --> 07:17:52,638 Palanteer and serves as advisor lending 8618 07:17:50,638 --> 07:17:54,878 credibility. 8619 07:17:52,638 --> 07:17:58,878 This network effect multiplier is 8620 07:17:54,878 --> 07:18:02,400 precisely how Theel turned $55 million 8621 07:17:58,878 --> 07:18:04,400 from PayPal into over $5 billion in net 8622 07:18:02,400 --> 07:18:07,760 worth today. 8623 07:18:04,400 --> 07:18:10,320 The PayPal mafia is not a cute nickname. 8624 07:18:07,760 --> 07:18:12,798 It is not a metaphor. It is the most 8625 07:18:10,320 --> 07:18:15,120 successful organized business cartel in 8626 07:18:12,798 --> 07:18:17,840 Silicon Valley history. 8627 07:18:15,120 --> 07:18:20,160 A self-reinforcing network of wealth, 8628 07:18:17,840 --> 07:18:22,478 power, and influence that has shaped the 8629 07:18:20,160 --> 07:18:25,680 entire technology industry for two 8630 07:18:22,478 --> 07:18:30,760 decades. And Peter Theal sits at the 8631 07:18:25,680 --> 07:18:30,760 center of it all. The Godfather. 8632 07:18:36,080 --> 07:18:41,280 After PayPal, Peter Theel was a man with 8633 07:18:39,040 --> 07:18:44,478 a billion dollars and a dangerous 8634 07:18:41,280 --> 07:18:46,240 secret. While other investors were 8635 07:18:44,478 --> 07:18:48,958 looking at spreadsheets and profit 8636 07:18:46,240 --> 07:18:51,280 margins, Theel was looking at the human 8637 07:18:48,958 --> 07:18:53,280 soul through the eyes of his mentor, 8638 07:18:51,280 --> 07:18:56,558 Renee Gerard. 8639 07:18:53,280 --> 07:19:00,000 Gerard taught him a terrifying truth. 8640 07:18:56,558 --> 07:19:03,120 Human beings don't know what they want. 8641 07:19:00,000 --> 07:19:05,840 We are mimemetic creatures. We don't 8642 07:19:03,120 --> 07:19:08,400 desire things for themselves. We desire 8643 07:19:05,840 --> 07:19:10,878 them because other people desire them. 8644 07:19:08,400 --> 07:19:13,840 We are copy machines disguised as 8645 07:19:10,878 --> 07:19:16,478 individuals. 8646 07:19:13,840 --> 07:19:19,200 August 2004. 8647 07:19:16,478 --> 07:19:22,478 Facebook has been online for exactly 6 8648 07:19:19,200 --> 07:19:24,958 months. It started as a Harvard dorm 8649 07:19:22,478 --> 07:19:27,920 project and has now expanded to several 8650 07:19:24,958 --> 07:19:31,200 college campuses. 8651 07:19:27,920 --> 07:19:35,040 The metrics that Zuckerberg shows Theel 8652 07:19:31,200 --> 07:19:38,400 total registered users 200,000 8653 07:19:35,040 --> 07:19:42,000 almost entirely college students 8654 07:19:38,400 --> 07:19:43,600 daily active user rate 70 to 80% 8655 07:19:42,000 --> 07:19:48,400 engagement 8656 07:19:43,600 --> 07:19:51,280 unprecedented in web services revenue $0 8657 07:19:48,400 --> 07:19:55,360 no business model yet valuation 8658 07:19:51,280 --> 07:19:57,200 Zuckerberg is asking for $5 million 8659 07:19:55,360 --> 07:19:59,760 every single professional venture 8660 07:19:57,200 --> 07:20:02,558 capitalist in Silicon Valley has passed 8661 07:19:59,760 --> 07:20:05,680 on Facebook. Every major firm has looked 8662 07:20:02,558 --> 07:20:09,040 into it and said no. The reasons they 8663 07:20:05,680 --> 07:20:12,718 gave it is just a college directory. 8664 07:20:09,040 --> 07:20:15,040 Limited market. Fster has already 5 8665 07:20:12,718 --> 07:20:18,000 million users and is the leader in 8666 07:20:15,040 --> 07:20:21,120 social networking. MySpace is dominant 8667 07:20:18,000 --> 07:20:23,520 with 8 million users and growing fast. 8668 07:20:21,120 --> 07:20:26,958 There is no obvious business model or 8669 07:20:23,520 --> 07:20:30,240 revenue stream. Mark Zuckerberg is too 8670 07:20:26,958 --> 07:20:32,718 young, too inexperienced, too risky as a 8671 07:20:30,240 --> 07:20:35,040 founder. 8672 07:20:32,718 --> 07:20:37,600 Peter Theel saw something completely 8673 07:20:35,040 --> 07:20:39,760 different, something that had nothing to 8674 07:20:37,600 --> 07:20:42,160 do with technology. 8675 07:20:39,760 --> 07:20:45,200 Theel had spent years studying Renee 8676 07:20:42,160 --> 07:20:47,200 Gerard's mimemetic theory, the 8677 07:20:45,200 --> 07:20:50,558 philosophical framework that would shape 8678 07:20:47,200 --> 07:20:53,600 his entire investment approach. The core 8679 07:20:50,558 --> 07:20:54,878 idea, humans do not have original 8680 07:20:53,600 --> 07:20:58,320 desires. 8681 07:20:54,878 --> 07:21:00,638 We desire what other people desire. We 8682 07:20:58,320 --> 07:21:05,280 learn what to want by watching other 8683 07:21:00,638 --> 07:21:09,680 people want. Desire is imitative. Desire 8684 07:21:05,280 --> 07:21:11,840 is social. Desire is mimemetic. 8685 07:21:09,680 --> 07:21:13,840 When Theel looked at Facebook, he did 8686 07:21:11,840 --> 07:21:16,638 not see a technology platform for 8687 07:21:13,840 --> 07:21:19,040 connecting friends. He saw something far 8688 07:21:16,638 --> 07:21:22,240 more powerful. He saw the perfect 8689 07:21:19,040 --> 07:21:25,280 mimemetic desire machine. The insight 8690 07:21:22,240 --> 07:21:27,280 that made Theel invest. Social networks 8691 07:21:25,280 --> 07:21:30,320 do not create value by connecting 8692 07:21:27,280 --> 07:21:33,360 people. That is not where the money is. 8693 07:21:30,320 --> 07:21:35,600 The money is in comparison. The money is 8694 07:21:33,360 --> 07:21:37,920 in making people compare themselves to 8695 07:21:35,600 --> 07:21:40,638 each other constantly. 8696 07:21:37,920 --> 07:21:43,440 You see your friend's vacation photos, 8697 07:21:40,638 --> 07:21:45,760 you want a better vacation. You see 8698 07:21:43,440 --> 07:21:48,400 someone's job promotion announcement, 8699 07:21:45,760 --> 07:21:51,040 you want higher status. You see 8700 07:21:48,400 --> 07:21:53,680 someone's relationship photos, you want 8701 07:21:51,040 --> 07:21:55,520 romance. 8702 07:21:53,680 --> 07:21:58,798 You see someone getting likes and 8703 07:21:55,520 --> 07:22:01,680 comments, you want validation. 8704 07:21:58,798 --> 07:22:05,040 You see someone's perfect life, you feel 8705 07:22:01,680 --> 07:22:07,840 your own life is inadequate. 8706 07:22:05,040 --> 07:22:11,360 Facebook was not selling connections. 8707 07:22:07,840 --> 07:22:14,000 Facebook was selling envy. And envy, 8708 07:22:11,360 --> 07:22:16,240 Theel understood from Gerard is the most 8709 07:22:14,000 --> 07:22:17,520 powerful economic force in human 8710 07:22:16,240 --> 07:22:20,718 history. 8711 07:22:17,520 --> 07:22:23,520 The desire for what others have. They 8712 07:22:20,718 --> 07:22:26,798 need to keep up. The fear of being left 8713 07:22:23,520 --> 07:22:30,240 behind. Infinite envy creates infinite 8714 07:22:26,798 --> 07:22:32,558 demand. Infinite demand creates infinite 8715 07:22:30,240 --> 07:22:35,040 value. 8716 07:22:32,558 --> 07:22:38,958 September 2004. 8717 07:22:35,040 --> 07:22:40,878 Peter Theal wires $500,000 to Facebook 8718 07:22:38,958 --> 07:22:45,120 incororated. 8719 07:22:40,878 --> 07:22:48,000 The deal terms 10.2% equity ownership in 8720 07:22:45,120 --> 07:22:49,760 the company. A board seat giving him 8721 07:22:48,000 --> 07:22:51,440 governance rights and inside 8722 07:22:49,760 --> 07:22:54,320 information. 8723 07:22:51,440 --> 07:22:57,680 Right of first refusal on all future 8724 07:22:54,320 --> 07:23:00,478 funding rounds. Post money valuation of 8725 07:22:57,680 --> 07:23:02,558 exactly $5 million. 8726 07:23:00,478 --> 07:23:05,840 Mark Zuckerberg's reaction after the 8727 07:23:02,558 --> 07:23:08,798 deal closed. This guy actually gets it. 8728 07:23:05,840 --> 07:23:11,840 He understands what we are building. 8729 07:23:08,798 --> 07:23:13,760 Silicon Valley's reaction. Peter Theal 8730 07:23:11,840 --> 07:23:16,878 just threw away half a million dollars 8731 07:23:13,760 --> 07:23:19,440 on a college kid's website. This will be 8732 07:23:16,878 --> 07:23:21,760 his biggest failure. 8733 07:23:19,440 --> 07:23:26,958 What happened next rewrote the history 8734 07:23:21,760 --> 07:23:31,600 of venture capital. 2004 end of year. 8735 07:23:26,958 --> 07:23:35,680 200,000 users grew to 1 million users. 8736 07:23:31,600 --> 07:23:39,200 Five times growth in 4 months. 2005 8737 07:23:35,680 --> 07:23:44,718 1 million users becomes 5.5 million 8738 07:23:39,200 --> 07:23:49,600 users. 2006 5.5 million users becomes 12 8739 07:23:44,718 --> 07:23:54,400 million users. 2007 12 million users 8740 07:23:49,600 --> 07:23:57,280 exploded to 50 million users. 2008 50 8741 07:23:54,400 --> 07:23:59,120 million users doubles to 100 million 8742 07:23:57,280 --> 07:24:00,638 users. 8743 07:23:59,120 --> 07:24:04,240 2009 8744 07:24:00,638 --> 07:24:07,600 100 million users becomes 350 million 8745 07:24:04,240 --> 07:24:10,718 users. growth rate. The user base was 8746 07:24:07,600 --> 07:24:13,120 doubling every 6 to9 months for five 8747 07:24:10,718 --> 07:24:15,680 consecutive years. 8748 07:24:13,120 --> 07:24:18,400 This growth curve had never been seen 8749 07:24:15,680 --> 07:24:21,920 before in business history. Not even 8750 07:24:18,400 --> 07:24:24,400 close. As Facebook grew, its valuation 8751 07:24:21,920 --> 07:24:26,718 grew and Peter Theel's stake grew with 8752 07:24:24,400 --> 07:24:28,878 it. 8753 07:24:26,718 --> 07:24:32,638 May 2005, 8754 07:24:28,878 --> 07:24:35,520 Axel Partners invests $12.7 million at 8755 07:24:32,638 --> 07:24:39,280 $100 million valuation. 8756 07:24:35,520 --> 07:24:42,798 Field's 10.2% stake is now worth $10.2 8757 07:24:39,280 --> 07:24:45,440 million. He has achieved 20 times return 8758 07:24:42,798 --> 07:24:48,958 in 9 months. 8759 07:24:45,440 --> 07:24:53,280 April 2006, Greylock Partners and 8760 07:24:48,958 --> 07:24:56,000 Meritech Capital invest $27.5 million at 8761 07:24:53,280 --> 07:24:59,440 $500 million valuation. 8762 07:24:56,000 --> 07:25:01,760 Theel stake is now worth $51 million, 8763 07:24:59,440 --> 07:25:03,440 100 times return on his original 8764 07:25:01,760 --> 07:25:05,920 investment. 8765 07:25:03,440 --> 07:25:10,478 October 2007, 8766 07:25:05,920 --> 07:25:14,160 Microsoft invests $240 million, valuing 8767 07:25:10,478 --> 07:25:18,558 Facebook at $15 billion. 8768 07:25:14,160 --> 07:25:23,120 The stake is now worth $1.5 billion, a 8769 07:25:18,558 --> 07:25:26,080 300,000 times return in 3 years. 8770 07:25:23,120 --> 07:25:28,478 2009 through 2011. 8771 07:25:26,080 --> 07:25:31,600 Multiple private sales and secondary 8772 07:25:28,478 --> 07:25:33,440 transactions value Facebook at $50 8773 07:25:31,600 --> 07:25:36,400 billion. 8774 07:25:33,440 --> 07:25:39,840 The stake, if he had held everything, 8775 07:25:36,400 --> 07:25:43,200 would be worth $5 billion. 8776 07:25:39,840 --> 07:25:45,600 May 18th, 2012, 8777 07:25:43,200 --> 07:25:50,478 Facebook goes public at a market 8778 07:25:45,600 --> 07:25:53,280 capitalization of $14 billion. 8779 07:25:50,478 --> 07:25:56,320 But the does not hold everything. He is 8780 07:25:53,280 --> 07:25:59,600 strategic. He is tactical. He takes 8781 07:25:56,320 --> 07:26:03,600 profits. At the initial public offering, 8782 07:25:59,600 --> 07:26:05,360 Theel sells $640 million worth of shares 8783 07:26:03,600 --> 07:26:07,680 immediately. 8784 07:26:05,360 --> 07:26:09,840 Over the following 6 months, he sells 8785 07:26:07,680 --> 07:26:12,160 the remainder of his stake in carefully 8786 07:26:09,840 --> 07:26:14,400 timed transactions. 8787 07:26:12,160 --> 07:26:19,120 Total cash realized from the Facebook 8788 07:26:14,400 --> 07:26:22,400 investment approximately $1 billion. 8789 07:26:19,120 --> 07:26:24,400 Initial investment in August 2004, 8790 07:26:22,400 --> 07:26:28,478 $500,000. 8791 07:26:24,400 --> 07:26:30,240 Total cash realized by end of 2012, $1 8792 07:26:28,478 --> 07:26:35,040 billion. 8793 07:26:30,240 --> 07:26:36,878 Total return, 2,000 times in 8 years. 8794 07:26:35,040 --> 07:26:39,840 This is the single greatest venture 8795 07:26:36,878 --> 07:26:42,958 capital return in recorded history. 8796 07:26:39,840 --> 07:26:46,160 Nothing else comes close. But here is 8797 07:26:42,958 --> 07:26:49,040 the twist. The haunting decision that 8798 07:26:46,160 --> 07:26:52,638 Theel himself admits keeps him awake at 8799 07:26:49,040 --> 07:26:55,360 night. Selling was a mistake. 8800 07:26:52,638 --> 07:26:58,718 If Peter Theal had held his original 8801 07:26:55,360 --> 07:27:01,360 10.2% stake and had never sold a single 8802 07:26:58,718 --> 07:27:05,040 share, that stake at Facebook's peak 8803 07:27:01,360 --> 07:27:08,798 market capitalization in 2021 would have 8804 07:27:05,040 --> 07:27:12,000 been worth $12 billion. 8805 07:27:08,798 --> 07:27:15,040 $12 billion. 8806 07:27:12,000 --> 07:27:17,200 He left $100 billion on the table by 8807 07:27:15,040 --> 07:27:19,440 selling early. 8808 07:27:17,200 --> 07:27:21,760 The himself admitted this publicly 8809 07:27:19,440 --> 07:27:24,638 saying, "The mistake was not investing 8810 07:27:21,760 --> 07:27:26,240 in Facebook. The mistake was selling 8811 07:27:24,638 --> 07:27:28,958 Facebook. 8812 07:27:26,240 --> 07:27:31,520 I should have held longer. I should have 8813 07:27:28,958 --> 07:27:35,840 believed more. It is the single most 8814 07:27:31,520 --> 07:27:38,638 expensive decision of his life." 8815 07:27:35,840 --> 07:27:41,680 Years later, in a Stanford lecture, Theo 8816 07:27:38,638 --> 07:27:45,200 explained his actual investment thesis. 8817 07:27:41,680 --> 07:27:47,120 The real reason he invested, I did not 8818 07:27:45,200 --> 07:27:49,920 invest in Facebook because I thought 8819 07:27:47,120 --> 07:27:51,680 social networks were going to be big. I 8820 07:27:49,920 --> 07:27:54,080 invested because I understood that 8821 07:27:51,680 --> 07:27:57,840 humans will always want to be more like 8822 07:27:54,080 --> 07:28:01,680 their peers. That desire is infinite. It 8823 07:27:57,840 --> 07:28:04,160 never stops. It only intensifies. 8824 07:28:01,680 --> 07:28:07,760 An infinite desire creates infinite 8825 07:28:04,160 --> 07:28:09,280 value. The mimemetic theory made him a 8826 07:28:07,760 --> 07:28:11,520 billionaire. 8827 07:28:09,280 --> 07:28:15,120 The momemetic theory also made him 8828 07:28:11,520 --> 07:28:18,478 terrified of what he had helped create. 8829 07:28:15,120 --> 07:28:20,958 A machine that weaponizes human envy, a 8830 07:28:18,478 --> 07:28:22,878 system that profits from making people 8831 07:28:20,958 --> 07:28:25,520 feel inadequate. 8832 07:28:22,878 --> 07:28:29,120 An algorithm that amplifies the worst 8833 07:28:25,520 --> 07:28:31,360 aspects of human nature. Peter Theal 8834 07:28:29,120 --> 07:28:34,958 helped build the most powerful behavior 8835 07:28:31,360 --> 07:28:37,600 modification system in human history. 8836 07:28:34,958 --> 07:28:40,240 And then he cashed out for a billion 8837 07:28:37,600 --> 07:28:40,240 dollars. 8838 07:28:46,958 --> 07:28:54,798 2003 Peter Theel has a problem. It is 8839 07:28:51,600 --> 07:28:57,920 the CIA's problem, but they think Fel 8840 07:28:54,798 --> 07:29:00,718 can solve it. His PayPal anti-fraud 8841 07:28:57,920 --> 07:29:03,040 algorithms have become so sophisticated 8842 07:29:00,718 --> 07:29:05,360 at detecting patterns in financial 8843 07:29:03,040 --> 07:29:07,600 transactions at finding terrorists 8844 07:29:05,360 --> 07:29:11,360 trying to move money through banking 8845 07:29:07,600 --> 07:29:14,798 systems that the CIA venture capital arm 8846 07:29:11,360 --> 07:29:17,760 in QEL requested a meeting. 8847 07:29:14,798 --> 07:29:20,398 The pitch from the CIA, can you build 8848 07:29:17,760 --> 07:29:22,798 what you built for PayPal but for 8849 07:29:20,398 --> 07:29:26,558 national security? Can you find 8850 07:29:22,798 --> 07:29:28,478 terrorists the way you found fraudsters? 8851 07:29:26,558 --> 07:29:30,878 May 2003, 8852 07:29:28,478 --> 07:29:33,280 Peter Theal co-founds Palunteer 8853 07:29:30,878 --> 07:29:34,878 Technologies with an unusual group of 8854 07:29:33,280 --> 07:29:37,840 co-founders. 8855 07:29:34,878 --> 07:29:41,280 The founding team, Alex Karp, chief 8856 07:29:37,840 --> 07:29:43,680 executive officer, Stanford Law Degree, 8857 07:29:41,280 --> 07:29:46,320 philosophy, PhD from Frankfurt 8858 07:29:43,680 --> 07:29:48,958 University in Germany, former human 8859 07:29:46,320 --> 07:29:50,478 rights lawyer who once worked on refugee 8860 07:29:48,958 --> 07:29:53,040 cases. 8861 07:29:50,478 --> 07:29:55,040 an extremely odd choice to run a company 8862 07:29:53,040 --> 07:29:57,200 that will become the most powerful 8863 07:29:55,040 --> 07:29:58,718 surveillance technology provider on 8864 07:29:57,200 --> 07:30:01,280 Earth. 8865 07:29:58,718 --> 07:30:04,398 Nathan Gettings, chief technology 8866 07:30:01,280 --> 07:30:07,360 officer. PayPal's lead security 8867 07:30:04,398 --> 07:30:10,320 engineer. Brilliant programmer. Joe 8868 07:30:07,360 --> 07:30:13,280 Lndale, a Stamford undergraduate 8869 07:30:10,320 --> 07:30:16,878 student, barely 20 years old, one of the 8870 07:30:13,280 --> 07:30:20,000 first Theel fellows. Steven Cohen, 8871 07:30:16,878 --> 07:30:21,840 PayPal's chief security architect. The 8872 07:30:20,000 --> 07:30:25,040 person who actually built the fraud 8873 07:30:21,840 --> 07:30:26,558 detection algorithms. Initial funding $2 8874 07:30:25,040 --> 07:30:28,718 million 8875 07:30:26,558 --> 07:30:32,320 entirely from Peter Theel's personal 8876 07:30:28,718 --> 07:30:34,478 capital. No outside investors yet. This 8877 07:30:32,320 --> 07:30:37,120 is his project. 8878 07:30:34,478 --> 07:30:39,680 The mission statement. Build software 8879 07:30:37,120 --> 07:30:42,240 that can find patterns in massive data 8880 07:30:39,680 --> 07:30:44,240 sets from disperate incompatible 8881 07:30:42,240 --> 07:30:47,280 sources. 8882 07:30:44,240 --> 07:30:49,600 The kind of data that if intelligency 8883 07:30:47,280 --> 07:30:52,558 agencies had been able to analyze it 8884 07:30:49,600 --> 07:30:55,520 properly could have prevented September 8885 07:30:52,558 --> 07:30:59,120 11th, 2001. 8886 07:30:55,520 --> 07:31:01,520 The company name Palunteer named after 8887 07:30:59,120 --> 07:31:03,520 the seeing stones in Lord of the Rings, 8888 07:31:01,520 --> 07:31:05,680 the magical orbs that allow their 8889 07:31:03,520 --> 07:31:08,638 possessors to see anything happening 8890 07:31:05,680 --> 07:31:12,080 anywhere in Middle Earth. Even the name 8891 07:31:08,638 --> 07:31:13,600 revealed the ambition total information 8892 07:31:12,080 --> 07:31:18,440 awareness. 8893 07:31:13,600 --> 07:31:18,440 the ability to see everything. 8894 07:31:18,638 --> 07:31:23,760 2005, 8895 07:31:20,160 --> 07:31:26,638 the CIA's venture capital arm in CQEL 8896 07:31:23,760 --> 07:31:29,520 invest $2 million in Palanteer's series 8897 07:31:26,638 --> 07:31:32,240 A funding round. This was not just 8898 07:31:29,520 --> 07:31:35,040 money. This was validation from the 8899 07:31:32,240 --> 07:31:37,440 intelligence community. A stamp of 8900 07:31:35,040 --> 07:31:39,920 approval from the most secretive, most 8901 07:31:37,440 --> 07:31:41,520 paranoid organization in the US 8902 07:31:39,920 --> 07:31:45,360 government. 8903 07:31:41,520 --> 07:31:47,440 Initial contract value undisclosed. 8904 07:31:45,360 --> 07:31:50,798 Government intelligence contracts are 8905 07:31:47,440 --> 07:31:53,520 classified by law, but industry analysts 8906 07:31:50,798 --> 07:31:56,958 estimate the first CIA contracts were 8907 07:31:53,520 --> 07:32:00,160 worth 5 to 10 million annually. 8908 07:31:56,958 --> 07:32:03,360 The product was called Palunteer Gotham. 8909 07:32:00,160 --> 07:32:06,478 The name itself was significant. Gotham, 8910 07:32:03,360 --> 07:32:08,718 the dark city that needs Batman. The 8911 07:32:06,478 --> 07:32:12,320 city that needs surveillance to fight 8912 07:32:08,718 --> 07:32:14,320 crime. core technical capabilities. 8913 07:32:12,320 --> 07:32:17,040 Integrate data from dozens of 8914 07:32:14,320 --> 07:32:19,040 incompatible government databases that 8915 07:32:17,040 --> 07:32:21,760 were never designed to communicate with 8916 07:32:19,040 --> 07:32:24,398 each other. From hidden connections 8917 07:32:21,760 --> 07:32:28,320 between people, places, financial 8918 07:32:24,398 --> 07:32:30,958 transactions, communications metadata, 8919 07:32:28,320 --> 07:32:33,280 visualize networks of relationships in 8920 07:32:30,958 --> 07:32:35,200 ways human analysts could understand 8921 07:32:33,280 --> 07:32:37,520 intuitively. 8922 07:32:35,200 --> 07:32:39,760 Predict future behavior and likely 8923 07:32:37,520 --> 07:32:42,718 attack patterns based on historical 8924 07:32:39,760 --> 07:32:45,600 data. Specific use cases for 8925 07:32:42,718 --> 07:32:48,558 intelligence agencies. Track terrorist 8926 07:32:45,600 --> 07:32:50,558 cells across multiple countries. Map 8927 07:32:48,558 --> 07:32:52,718 drug trafficking routes from production 8928 07:32:50,558 --> 07:32:54,878 to distribution. 8929 07:32:52,718 --> 07:32:57,920 Identify money laundering networks 8930 07:32:54,878 --> 07:33:00,320 moving funds for organized crime. 8931 07:32:57,920 --> 07:33:02,558 Predict insurgent attacks in Iraq and 8932 07:33:00,320 --> 07:33:06,240 Afghanistan based on pattern 8933 07:33:02,558 --> 07:33:10,000 recognition. It worked. The software 8934 07:33:06,240 --> 07:33:13,120 actually worked. By 2006, Palanteer 8935 07:33:10,000 --> 07:33:16,080 software was being actively used in Iraq 8936 07:33:13,120 --> 07:33:19,680 for counterinsurgency operations and in 8937 07:33:16,080 --> 07:33:21,920 IED attack prediction. 8938 07:33:19,680 --> 07:33:24,878 Afghanistan for predicting Taliban 8939 07:33:21,920 --> 07:33:28,478 leadership networks. Langley, Virginia 8940 07:33:24,878 --> 07:33:31,200 at CIA headquarters for threat analysis. 8941 07:33:28,478 --> 07:33:35,398 FBI field officers nationwide for 8942 07:33:31,200 --> 07:33:35,398 domestic terrorism investigation. 8943 07:33:35,440 --> 07:33:41,600 Early revenue growth told the story of 8944 07:33:37,600 --> 07:33:44,398 Palunteers expanding reach. 2005 8945 07:33:41,600 --> 07:33:50,718 $3 million in revenue. Government 8946 07:33:44,398 --> 07:33:56,160 contracts only. 2006 $10 million. 2007 8947 07:33:50,718 --> 07:34:00,798 $25 million. 2008 $50 million. First 8948 07:33:56,160 --> 07:34:07,280 commercial clients added 2010 $150 8949 07:34:00,798 --> 07:34:09,040 million. 2012 $400 million. By 2012, 8950 07:34:07,280 --> 07:34:11,200 Palanteer had achieved something 8951 07:34:09,040 --> 07:34:14,878 extremely rare for a high- growth 8952 07:34:11,200 --> 07:34:17,120 technology company. Profitability. 8953 07:34:14,878 --> 07:34:20,080 They were actually making money, not 8954 07:34:17,120 --> 07:34:23,200 just burning venture capital. Customer 8955 07:34:20,080 --> 07:34:27,200 revenue breakdown in 2012. 8956 07:34:23,200 --> 07:34:29,760 Government contracts, 60% of revenue, 8957 07:34:27,200 --> 07:34:34,240 $240 million. 8958 07:34:29,760 --> 07:34:36,958 Commercial clients, 40% of revenue, $160 8959 07:34:34,240 --> 07:34:40,958 million. 8960 07:34:36,958 --> 07:34:43,280 May the 1st, 2011. Palanteer Software 8961 07:34:40,958 --> 07:34:46,558 plays a role in the operation that kills 8962 07:34:43,280 --> 07:34:48,798 Osama bin Laden. A role that remains 8963 07:34:46,558 --> 07:34:51,920 partially classified, but has been 8964 07:34:48,798 --> 07:34:54,718 confirmed by multiple sources. 8965 07:34:51,920 --> 07:34:57,040 How Palanteer contributed. Palanteer 8966 07:34:54,718 --> 07:34:59,440 Gotham integrated dozens of different 8967 07:34:57,040 --> 07:35:01,840 intelligence sources. 8968 07:34:59,440 --> 07:35:05,040 CIA human intelligence on career 8969 07:35:01,840 --> 07:35:07,600 networks. NSA signal intelligence 8970 07:35:05,040 --> 07:35:10,478 including phone metadata and email 8971 07:35:07,600 --> 07:35:13,680 communications patterns. 8972 07:35:10,478 --> 07:35:16,478 National Geospatial Intelligence Agency 8973 07:35:13,680 --> 07:35:18,000 satellite imagery of potential compound 8974 07:35:16,478 --> 07:35:20,478 locations. 8975 07:35:18,000 --> 07:35:22,478 historical pattern analysis of previous 8976 07:35:20,478 --> 07:35:25,280 highv value target operations in 8977 07:35:22,478 --> 07:35:27,360 Pakistan. 8978 07:35:25,280 --> 07:35:29,680 The system identified patterns and 8979 07:35:27,360 --> 07:35:32,160 connections that human analysts working 8980 07:35:29,680 --> 07:35:35,360 with separate databases that did not 8981 07:35:32,160 --> 07:35:37,600 communicate had missed. It narrowed the 8982 07:35:35,360 --> 07:35:42,080 search area and helped confirm the 8983 07:35:37,600 --> 07:35:44,160 identity of the Abotabad compound. 8984 07:35:42,080 --> 07:35:47,120 When asked about Palanteer's role in the 8985 07:35:44,160 --> 07:35:50,398 bin Laden operation, Theo gave carefully 8986 07:35:47,120 --> 07:35:53,120 worded response. I cannot comment on 8987 07:35:50,398 --> 07:35:56,160 specific operations or specific clients 8988 07:35:53,120 --> 07:35:59,840 due to classification requirements, but 8989 07:35:56,160 --> 07:36:02,080 I will say this. Tools that help protect 8990 07:35:59,840 --> 07:36:05,200 American lives and help intelligence 8991 07:36:02,080 --> 07:36:08,638 professionals do their jobs better. That 8992 07:36:05,200 --> 07:36:10,878 is our mission. 8993 07:36:08,638 --> 07:36:13,840 This single operation, this single 8994 07:36:10,878 --> 07:36:15,840 success legitimized Palanteer's entire 8995 07:36:13,840 --> 07:36:18,240 value proposition to the national 8996 07:36:15,840 --> 07:36:21,120 security establishment. 8997 07:36:18,240 --> 07:36:23,600 After bin Laden, the contracts poured 8998 07:36:21,120 --> 07:36:26,320 in. 8999 07:36:23,600 --> 07:36:29,280 After the bin Laden success, Palanteer's 9000 07:36:26,320 --> 07:36:33,840 government business exploded. Revenue 9001 07:36:29,280 --> 07:36:39,200 growth from 2012 to 2015. 9002 07:36:33,840 --> 07:36:42,638 2012, $400 million in revenue. 2013, 9003 07:36:39,200 --> 07:36:48,080 $600 million. 2014, 9004 07:36:42,638 --> 07:36:51,120 $900 million. 2015, $1.5 billion in 9005 07:36:48,080 --> 07:36:54,120 revenue. Major new contracts announced 9006 07:36:51,120 --> 07:36:54,120 publicly. 9007 07:36:55,520 --> 07:37:02,958 US Department of Defense, $222 million 9008 07:37:00,080 --> 07:37:04,718 for a 3-year data integration platform 9009 07:37:02,958 --> 07:37:08,718 contract. 9010 07:37:04,718 --> 07:37:11,840 US Army, $800 million for comprehensive 9011 07:37:08,718 --> 07:37:14,000 data platform modernization across all 9012 07:37:11,840 --> 07:37:18,160 army systems, 9013 07:37:14,000 --> 07:37:20,798 US Special Operations Command, $444 9014 07:37:18,160 --> 07:37:22,558 million for targeting and intelligence 9015 07:37:20,798 --> 07:37:26,080 fusion, 9016 07:37:22,558 --> 07:37:28,398 Department of Homeland Security, $240 9017 07:37:26,080 --> 07:37:31,520 million for border security and 9018 07:37:28,398 --> 07:37:33,920 immigration enforcement systems. 9019 07:37:31,520 --> 07:37:36,558 Palanteer had become the single most 9020 07:37:33,920 --> 07:37:38,398 important software company in the entire 9021 07:37:36,558 --> 07:37:40,000 US defense and intelligence 9022 07:37:38,398 --> 07:37:42,240 establishment, 9023 07:37:40,000 --> 07:37:45,440 more important than traditional defense 9024 07:37:42,240 --> 07:37:47,440 contractors, more embedded in classified 9025 07:37:45,440 --> 07:37:50,080 operations. 9026 07:37:47,440 --> 07:37:52,080 Simultaneously, Palunteer launched a 9027 07:37:50,080 --> 07:37:55,440 commercial product called Palunteer 9028 07:37:52,080 --> 07:37:58,478 Foundry for private sector clients. The 9029 07:37:55,440 --> 07:38:00,638 sales pitch to corporate America. Your 9030 07:37:58,478 --> 07:38:04,398 company has exactly the same problem as 9031 07:38:00,638 --> 07:38:06,958 the CIA. Too much data, too many 9032 07:38:04,398 --> 07:38:09,360 incompatible systems, not enough 9033 07:38:06,958 --> 07:38:12,000 insight. We can help you find the 9034 07:38:09,360 --> 07:38:14,160 patterns you are missing. Major 9035 07:38:12,000 --> 07:38:17,680 commercial clients and estimated 9036 07:38:14,160 --> 07:38:22,558 contract values. 9037 07:38:17,680 --> 07:38:24,320 JP Morgan Chase over $100 million fraud 9038 07:38:22,558 --> 07:38:27,680 detection and financial crime 9039 07:38:24,320 --> 07:38:30,558 prevention. Morgan Stanley over $50 9040 07:38:27,680 --> 07:38:35,360 million risk management and regulatory 9041 07:38:30,558 --> 07:38:37,520 compliance. Airbus over $75 million 9042 07:38:35,360 --> 07:38:40,240 supply chain optimization and 9043 07:38:37,520 --> 07:38:44,398 manufacturing analytics. 9044 07:38:40,240 --> 07:38:47,040 Merc Pharmaceuticals over $60 million 9045 07:38:44,398 --> 07:38:49,920 drug discovery analytics and clinical 9046 07:38:47,040 --> 07:38:54,478 trial data integration. 9047 07:38:49,920 --> 07:38:58,320 BP over $80 million oil field production 9048 07:38:54,478 --> 07:39:01,600 optimization and predictive maintenance. 9049 07:38:58,320 --> 07:39:03,440 Commercial revenue growth from 2015 to 9050 07:39:01,600 --> 07:39:06,718 2020. 9051 07:39:03,440 --> 07:39:10,398 In 2015, they got $600 million 9052 07:39:06,718 --> 07:39:14,878 commercial revenue. By 2016, the number 9053 07:39:10,398 --> 07:39:17,520 was around $800 billion. In 2017, they 9054 07:39:14,878 --> 07:39:20,958 reached $1.1 billion in commercial 9055 07:39:17,520 --> 07:39:24,878 revenue, and it became their peak year. 9056 07:39:20,958 --> 07:39:27,200 2018 made them hit the $750 million 9057 07:39:24,878 --> 07:39:30,680 mark, a temporary decline due to 9058 07:39:27,200 --> 07:39:30,680 customer churn. 9059 07:39:30,718 --> 07:39:36,478 In 2019, revenue was around $745 9060 07:39:34,878 --> 07:39:40,398 million, 9061 07:39:36,478 --> 07:39:44,398 and by 2020, they reached $1.1 billion. 9062 07:39:40,398 --> 07:39:47,520 Again, this recovery was driven by COVID 9063 07:39:44,398 --> 07:39:49,680 analytics contracts. Palanteer had 9064 07:39:47,520 --> 07:39:53,040 created a business model with two 9065 07:39:49,680 --> 07:39:54,878 enormous locked in customer bases, the 9066 07:39:53,040 --> 07:39:59,080 US government and the largest 9067 07:39:54,878 --> 07:39:59,080 corporations in the world. 9068 07:40:00,638 --> 07:40:05,760 But Palanteer's work, especially for 9069 07:40:02,958 --> 07:40:09,120 government agencies, attracted intense 9070 07:40:05,760 --> 07:40:12,160 controversy and moral criticism. 9071 07:40:09,120 --> 07:40:16,240 In 2019, they secured a contract with 9072 07:40:12,160 --> 07:40:18,798 ICE for $49 million. The purpose of the 9073 07:40:16,240 --> 07:40:21,200 contract was enforcement and removal 9074 07:40:18,798 --> 07:40:24,080 operations systems, 9075 07:40:21,200 --> 07:40:26,558 meaning a software used to identify, 9076 07:40:24,080 --> 07:40:29,280 track, and process undocumented 9077 07:40:26,558 --> 07:40:31,520 immigrants for deportation. 9078 07:40:29,280 --> 07:40:34,240 This project came with a controversy 9079 07:40:31,520 --> 07:40:36,320 attached. The software was used during 9080 07:40:34,240 --> 07:40:39,120 the family separation policy at the 9081 07:40:36,320 --> 07:40:42,478 southern border. Children separated from 9082 07:40:39,120 --> 07:40:44,638 their parents. Families torn apart. 9083 07:40:42,478 --> 07:40:47,360 Palanteer software helped make it 9084 07:40:44,638 --> 07:40:49,920 operationally possible. Hundreds of 9085 07:40:47,360 --> 07:40:52,320 Palunteer employees signed an internal 9086 07:40:49,920 --> 07:40:55,440 letter demanding the company cancel the 9087 07:40:52,320 --> 07:40:57,760 ICE contract. 9088 07:40:55,440 --> 07:41:00,798 They argued the company was enabling 9089 07:40:57,760 --> 07:41:04,558 human rights abuses. The and Karp's 9090 07:41:00,798 --> 07:41:06,558 response, absolute refusal. The contract 9091 07:41:04,558 --> 07:41:09,120 would continue. 9092 07:41:06,558 --> 07:41:11,440 Alex Kart gave a public statement saying 9093 07:41:09,120 --> 07:41:14,958 that they had chosen sides and that the 9094 07:41:11,440 --> 07:41:17,440 company supported American institutions. 9095 07:41:14,958 --> 07:41:19,760 But this was not the only controversy 9096 07:41:17,440 --> 07:41:23,120 Palanteer has faced. 9097 07:41:19,760 --> 07:41:26,320 Palanteer worked alongside the NYPD with 9098 07:41:23,120 --> 07:41:31,280 a contract estimated between 50 and $100 9099 07:41:26,320 --> 07:41:33,600 billion. The mission predictive policy. 9100 07:41:31,280 --> 07:41:36,160 They were asked to use historical crime 9101 07:41:33,600 --> 07:41:39,120 data to predict where future crimes will 9102 07:41:36,160 --> 07:41:41,840 occur and who is likely to commit them. 9103 07:41:39,120 --> 07:41:44,638 The controversy civil rights groups 9104 07:41:41,840 --> 07:41:47,520 argued that system perpetuated racial 9105 07:41:44,638 --> 07:41:50,478 bias. Minority neighborhoods were 9106 07:41:47,520 --> 07:41:52,718 flagged as high risk. Innocent people 9107 07:41:50,478 --> 07:41:56,000 were put under surveillance based on 9108 07:41:52,718 --> 07:41:59,600 algorithmic predictions. 9109 07:41:56,000 --> 07:42:02,080 Joe Lndale, Palanteer co-founder, had 9110 07:41:59,600 --> 07:42:03,680 made a personal investment in Cambridge 9111 07:42:02,080 --> 07:42:06,080 Analytica. 9112 07:42:03,680 --> 07:42:08,478 Multiple Palanteer employees on their 9113 07:42:06,080 --> 07:42:13,000 own time helped Cambridge Analytica 9114 07:42:08,478 --> 07:42:13,000 build data integration models. 9115 07:42:13,120 --> 07:42:18,160 Both companies use similar approaches to 9116 07:42:15,840 --> 07:42:19,680 data harvesting and psychological 9117 07:42:18,160 --> 07:42:21,520 profiling. 9118 07:42:19,680 --> 07:42:24,398 When the connection was exposed by 9119 07:42:21,520 --> 07:42:27,440 journalists, Palanteer claimed there was 9120 07:42:24,398 --> 07:42:30,718 no institutional relationship, just 9121 07:42:27,440 --> 07:42:33,040 coincidental personal connections. 9122 07:42:30,718 --> 07:42:37,120 But the damage to Palanteer's reputation 9123 07:42:33,040 --> 07:42:39,520 was done. The had built the panoptagon, 9124 07:42:37,120 --> 07:42:42,000 the allseeing eye of corporate and 9125 07:42:39,520 --> 07:42:45,440 government surveillance. 9126 07:42:42,000 --> 07:42:48,638 September the 30th, 2020. 9127 07:42:45,440 --> 07:42:50,558 After 17 years as a private company, one 9128 07:42:48,638 --> 07:42:53,280 of the longest periods of private 9129 07:42:50,558 --> 07:42:56,240 operation for any major tech company, 9130 07:42:53,280 --> 07:42:59,280 Palanteer finally goes public through a 9131 07:42:56,240 --> 07:43:02,160 direct listing. 9132 07:42:59,280 --> 07:43:05,040 They went public at $10 per share and 9133 07:43:02,160 --> 07:43:08,718 their market capitalization at market 9134 07:43:05,040 --> 07:43:12,000 open was $16 billion. 9135 07:43:08,718 --> 07:43:13,840 By the first day, shares were down 5%. 9136 07:43:12,000 --> 07:43:15,440 The stock was initially a 9137 07:43:13,840 --> 07:43:17,520 disappointment. 9138 07:43:15,440 --> 07:43:19,520 Investors were skeptical of the business 9139 07:43:17,520 --> 07:43:22,160 model, worried about customer 9140 07:43:19,520 --> 07:43:24,240 concentration, concerned about the 9141 07:43:22,160 --> 07:43:27,360 controversy. 9142 07:43:24,240 --> 07:43:30,398 But then COVID 19 created massive new 9143 07:43:27,360 --> 07:43:34,320 demand for Palanteer's capabilities. 9144 07:43:30,398 --> 07:43:36,718 2020 to 2021, Palanteer wins enormous 9145 07:43:34,320 --> 07:43:39,840 pandemic related government contracts 9146 07:43:36,718 --> 07:43:42,000 with governments across the world. The 9147 07:43:39,840 --> 07:43:45,280 pandemic proved that governments needed 9148 07:43:42,000 --> 07:43:48,320 Palanteer and the market responded. 9149 07:43:45,280 --> 07:43:54,240 By late 2021, Palanteer stock had 9150 07:43:48,320 --> 07:43:56,718 exploded, $29 per share at 190% gain 9151 07:43:54,240 --> 07:43:58,398 from the direct listing price. Market 9152 07:43:56,718 --> 07:44:01,958 capitalization 9153 07:43:58,398 --> 07:44:01,958 $60 billion. 9154 07:44:03,120 --> 07:44:10,080 Peter Theal stake approximately 7% 9155 07:44:06,718 --> 07:44:12,878 ownership worth $4.2 billion at the 9156 07:44:10,080 --> 07:44:15,280 peak. 2022 9157 07:44:12,878 --> 07:44:18,718 the tech crash hits Palanteer brutally 9158 07:44:15,280 --> 07:44:22,798 hard. Stock prices crash to $6 per 9159 07:44:18,718 --> 07:44:26,478 share, down 8% from the peak. Market cap 9160 07:44:22,798 --> 07:44:28,558 collapses to $13 billion. 9161 07:44:26,478 --> 07:44:34,398 The paper wealth from Palanteer 9162 07:44:28,558 --> 07:44:37,760 evaporates. Billions gone. 2023 to 2024, 9163 07:44:34,398 --> 07:44:40,160 the AI boom creates new opportunity. 9164 07:44:37,760 --> 07:44:41,600 Palanteer markets itself as the AI 9165 07:44:40,160 --> 07:44:43,200 platform for governments and 9166 07:44:41,600 --> 07:44:46,080 enterprises. 9167 07:44:43,200 --> 07:44:50,798 And they get major new contract wins. 9168 07:44:46,080 --> 07:44:52,878 The US Army invested $463 million for AI 9169 07:44:50,798 --> 07:44:55,840 powered battlefield analytics and 9170 07:44:52,878 --> 07:44:58,320 decision support systems. 9171 07:44:55,840 --> 07:45:03,040 Palanteer stock recovered 9172 07:44:58,320 --> 07:45:05,680 25 to 30 per share by 2024. 9173 07:45:03,040 --> 07:45:08,638 As of 2024, Peter Theel's current 9174 07:45:05,680 --> 07:45:11,120 Palanteer holdings are approximately 7% 9175 07:45:08,638 --> 07:45:15,200 of all shares with a current value 9176 07:45:11,120 --> 07:45:19,798 ranging from 3.8 to 4.5 billion 9177 07:45:15,200 --> 07:45:19,798 depending on daily stock price. 9178 07:45:21,360 --> 07:45:28,000 This makes Palunteer Field's single 9179 07:45:24,558 --> 07:45:31,280 largest source of personal wealth. In 9180 07:45:28,000 --> 07:45:33,360 2024, Palanteer's financial performance 9181 07:45:31,280 --> 07:45:36,160 was divided between government and 9182 07:45:33,360 --> 07:45:40,958 commercial revenue. The company's net 9183 07:45:36,160 --> 07:45:42,798 income was $2.5 billion annually. And as 9184 07:45:40,958 --> 07:45:44,718 big as the number is, this might 9185 07:45:42,798 --> 07:45:47,200 represent a future problem for the 9186 07:45:44,718 --> 07:45:49,360 company. If government budget cuts 9187 07:45:47,200 --> 07:45:50,878 happen, Palanteer is extremely 9188 07:45:49,360 --> 07:45:53,120 vulnerable. 9189 07:45:50,878 --> 07:45:56,240 Their entire business model depends on 9190 07:45:53,120 --> 07:45:58,398 continued government spending. 9191 07:45:56,240 --> 07:45:59,920 Here is Peter Theel's fundamental 9192 07:45:58,398 --> 07:46:01,920 contradiction. 9193 07:45:59,920 --> 07:46:03,840 The paradox at the heart of everything 9194 07:46:01,920 --> 07:46:06,080 he has built. He claims to be a 9195 07:46:03,840 --> 07:46:09,360 libertarian who values individual 9196 07:46:06,080 --> 07:46:11,040 freedom above all else. A man who 9197 07:46:09,360 --> 07:46:13,440 believes government power should be 9198 07:46:11,040 --> 07:46:16,638 minimal. A man who wrote that freedom 9199 07:46:13,440 --> 07:46:19,200 and democracy are incompatible. 9200 07:46:16,638 --> 07:46:21,840 Yet he built the most powerful private 9201 07:46:19,200 --> 07:46:24,638 surveillance technology company in human 9202 07:46:21,840 --> 07:46:26,398 history. A company that gives 9203 07:46:24,638 --> 07:46:29,840 governments and corporations 9204 07:46:26,398 --> 07:46:33,120 unprecedented ability to monitor, track, 9205 07:46:29,840 --> 07:46:35,520 predict, and control human behavior. 9206 07:46:33,120 --> 07:46:38,478 Palanteer's technical capabilities 9207 07:46:35,520 --> 07:46:40,878 include realtime tracking of individuals 9208 07:46:38,478 --> 07:46:43,878 across multiple data sources and 9209 07:46:40,878 --> 07:46:43,878 databases. 9210 07:46:44,478 --> 07:46:49,120 Predictive behavioral modeling that 9211 07:46:47,120 --> 07:46:52,398 forecasts what people will do before 9212 07:46:49,120 --> 07:46:54,798 they do it. Network analysis that maps 9213 07:46:52,398 --> 07:46:58,240 every person you have ever contacted 9214 07:46:54,798 --> 07:47:00,958 through any medium. Complete integration 9215 07:46:58,240 --> 07:47:04,478 of financial records. communication 9216 07:47:00,958 --> 07:47:07,760 metadata, location history, and social 9217 07:47:04,478 --> 07:47:09,760 relationship data into a single unified 9218 07:47:07,760 --> 07:47:12,638 profile. 9219 07:47:09,760 --> 07:47:14,558 The defense of this contradiction was 9220 07:47:12,638 --> 07:47:18,798 explaining that the alternative to 9221 07:47:14,558 --> 07:47:21,360 Palanteer is not no surveillance. 9222 07:47:18,798 --> 07:47:23,600 The alternative is worse surveillance 9223 07:47:21,360 --> 07:47:26,558 performed by incompetent government 9224 07:47:23,600 --> 07:47:30,680 bureaucrats using decades old technology 9225 07:47:26,558 --> 07:47:30,680 that does not work properly. 9226 07:47:32,240 --> 07:47:38,718 The critics's response was obvious. They 9227 07:47:35,120 --> 07:47:42,878 told Theo he had built the panopticon, 9228 07:47:38,718 --> 07:47:44,958 the architecture of total surveillance. 9229 07:47:42,878 --> 07:47:47,280 A system allowing governments around the 9230 07:47:44,958 --> 07:47:50,160 world to use their citizens information 9231 07:47:47,280 --> 07:47:52,638 to control them, not a system to protect 9232 07:47:50,160 --> 07:47:55,040 them, said the critics. 9233 07:47:52,638 --> 07:47:57,840 Palanteer now operates in dozens of 9234 07:47:55,040 --> 07:48:00,718 countries worldwide. the United States, 9235 07:47:57,840 --> 07:48:03,600 the United Kingdom, Germany, France, 9236 07:48:00,718 --> 07:48:05,760 Australia, and even Japan. 9237 07:48:03,600 --> 07:48:08,798 The company has some controversial 9238 07:48:05,760 --> 07:48:11,760 international clients, some confirmed, 9239 07:48:08,798 --> 07:48:15,280 some alleged, but the total estimated 9240 07:48:11,760 --> 07:48:19,760 value of all global contracts lifetime, 9241 07:48:15,280 --> 07:48:22,558 over $10 billion in contract value. 9242 07:48:19,760 --> 07:48:25,680 Palanteer is Peter Theel's most 9243 07:48:22,558 --> 07:48:28,798 important company. Not because of its 9244 07:48:25,680 --> 07:48:31,200 valuation, though that is substantial. 9245 07:48:28,798 --> 07:48:34,878 Not because of its revenue, though that 9246 07:48:31,200 --> 07:48:37,200 is significant. Palanteer is important 9247 07:48:34,878 --> 07:48:40,160 because it reveals the truth about 9248 07:48:37,200 --> 07:48:42,798 Theo's worldview. It is the bridge 9249 07:48:40,160 --> 07:48:46,478 between his libertarian philosophy and 9250 07:48:42,798 --> 07:48:49,440 his authoritarian reality. He claims to 9251 07:48:46,478 --> 07:48:52,160 want freedom from government control. 9252 07:48:49,440 --> 07:48:54,320 But Palanteer gives governments 9253 07:48:52,160 --> 07:48:56,958 unprecedented control over their 9254 07:48:54,320 --> 07:49:00,000 citizens. The resolution of this 9255 07:48:56,958 --> 07:49:03,360 apparent contradiction, Peter Theel 9256 07:49:00,000 --> 07:49:07,440 believes in freedom for the elite and 9257 07:49:03,360 --> 07:49:09,680 surveillance for everyone else. 9258 07:49:07,440 --> 07:49:12,958 In his vision of the world, there are 9259 07:49:09,680 --> 07:49:15,120 rulers and there are the ruled. There 9260 07:49:12,958 --> 07:49:17,840 are the people who make the decisions 9261 07:49:15,120 --> 07:49:20,398 and the people who are managed. 9262 07:49:17,840 --> 07:49:23,760 Palanteer is the enforcement mechanism 9263 07:49:20,398 --> 07:49:27,040 for that hierarchy. The technology that 9264 07:49:23,760 --> 07:49:29,280 ensures the rulers can see everything. 9265 07:49:27,040 --> 07:49:32,320 The system that makes resistance 9266 07:49:29,280 --> 07:49:35,440 impossible because privacy no longer 9267 07:49:32,320 --> 07:49:38,718 exists. And Peter Theal sits at the 9268 07:49:35,440 --> 07:49:41,840 center of that eye, watching the world, 9269 07:49:38,718 --> 07:49:45,558 seeing everything. the architect of the 9270 07:49:41,840 --> 07:49:45,558 surveillance state. 9271 07:49:48,000 --> 07:49:53,760 In 2016, Peter Theal made an investment 9272 07:49:51,760 --> 07:49:57,120 that every other major technology 9273 07:49:53,760 --> 07:49:59,440 investor avoided. 9274 07:49:57,120 --> 07:50:01,680 While his peers in Silicon Valley were 9275 07:49:59,440 --> 07:50:05,440 contributing millions to the opposing 9276 07:50:01,680 --> 07:50:08,160 campaign, Theel wrote a check for $1.25 9277 07:50:05,440 --> 07:50:12,320 million to Donald Trump's presidential 9278 07:50:08,160 --> 07:50:16,080 campaign. This was not ideology. This 9279 07:50:12,320 --> 07:50:19,200 was portfolio diversification. 9280 07:50:16,080 --> 07:50:23,840 Feel has always invested in contrarian 9281 07:50:19,200 --> 07:50:26,558 positions. When everyone zigs, he zags. 9282 07:50:23,840 --> 07:50:29,520 When consensus forms in one direction, 9283 07:50:26,558 --> 07:50:33,440 he looks for asymmetric opportunities in 9284 07:50:29,520 --> 07:50:36,000 the other. The 2006 donation gave him 9285 07:50:33,440 --> 07:50:39,200 something money usually cannot buy in 9286 07:50:36,000 --> 07:50:42,638 Silicon Valley. direct access to 9287 07:50:39,200 --> 07:50:46,160 executive power, the return on that 9288 07:50:42,638 --> 07:50:48,798 $1.25 $25 million investment, 9289 07:50:46,160 --> 07:50:52,240 a seat on the presidential transition 9290 07:50:48,798 --> 07:50:55,440 team, input on federal technology 9291 07:50:52,240 --> 07:50:58,240 policy, direct communication channels to 9292 07:50:55,440 --> 07:51:01,760 the White House, credibility as a 9293 07:50:58,240 --> 07:51:04,398 Washington power broker, 9294 07:51:01,760 --> 07:51:06,160 and most measurably, Palanteer's 9295 07:51:04,398 --> 07:51:09,600 government contracts increased 9296 07:51:06,160 --> 07:51:11,920 substantially during this period. 9297 07:51:09,600 --> 07:51:15,200 But the's most significant political 9298 07:51:11,920 --> 07:51:16,718 investments came in the 2022 midterm 9299 07:51:15,200 --> 07:51:20,478 elections. 9300 07:51:16,718 --> 07:51:24,000 Two candidates, both former employees, 9301 07:51:20,478 --> 07:51:25,920 both running for United States Senate. 9302 07:51:24,000 --> 07:51:28,798 The financial commitment was 9303 07:51:25,920 --> 07:51:31,200 unprecedented in scale. 9304 07:51:28,798 --> 07:51:33,360 Vance had worked at Theel's venture 9305 07:51:31,200 --> 07:51:36,398 capital firm before writing his 9306 07:51:33,360 --> 07:51:38,478 best-selling memoir. Field's total 9307 07:51:36,398 --> 07:51:41,600 financial commitment. 9308 07:51:38,478 --> 07:51:43,360 Direct campaign contribution $15 9309 07:51:41,600 --> 07:51:47,360 million. 9310 07:51:43,360 --> 07:51:51,120 Super PAC expenditures $5 million. 9311 07:51:47,360 --> 07:51:54,320 Combined investment $20 million. 9312 07:51:51,120 --> 07:51:56,798 This set a record as the largest single 9313 07:51:54,320 --> 07:52:00,240 donor contribution to an individual 9314 07:51:56,798 --> 07:52:03,360 Senate campaign in American history. The 9315 07:52:00,240 --> 07:52:07,040 outcome, Vance won by six percentage 9316 07:52:03,360 --> 07:52:09,840 points. Masters had worked directly for 9317 07:52:07,040 --> 07:52:11,840 Theel as chief operating officer at 9318 07:52:09,840 --> 07:52:13,840 Theel Capital. 9319 07:52:11,840 --> 07:52:16,160 Theel's financial commitment to his 9320 07:52:13,840 --> 07:52:20,000 campaign was a combined investment of 9321 07:52:16,160 --> 07:52:23,120 $20 million, but unlike Vance, Masters 9322 07:52:20,000 --> 07:52:26,398 lost by 5 percentage points. 9323 07:52:23,120 --> 07:52:29,280 Theel's total 2022 midterm investment 9324 07:52:26,398 --> 07:52:32,160 was over $40 million in two Senate 9325 07:52:29,280 --> 07:52:34,160 races. Two different candidates that 9326 07:52:32,160 --> 07:52:36,240 would have allowed him to be in direct 9327 07:52:34,160 --> 07:52:39,600 touch with power at different chambers 9328 07:52:36,240 --> 07:52:41,600 and stages. For context, the average 9329 07:52:39,600 --> 07:52:45,200 competitive Senate race costs 9330 07:52:41,600 --> 07:52:47,840 approximately $10 million total. Peter 9331 07:52:45,200 --> 07:52:51,160 Theal invested four times that amount on 9332 07:52:47,840 --> 07:52:51,160 two races. 9333 07:52:51,840 --> 07:52:58,558 It's July 2024. JD Vance is selected as 9334 07:52:56,398 --> 07:53:01,440 the Republican vice presidential 9335 07:52:58,558 --> 07:53:04,080 candidate. From a pure investment 9336 07:53:01,440 --> 07:53:06,478 analysis perspective, this transforms 9337 07:53:04,080 --> 07:53:09,200 the return profile and Theo's $20 9338 07:53:06,478 --> 07:53:11,600 million commitment. He has considered 9339 07:53:09,200 --> 07:53:15,760 the potential financial implications if 9340 07:53:11,600 --> 07:53:18,320 this ticket wins and he gets access to 9341 07:53:15,760 --> 07:53:21,680 executive branch decisionmaking for 8 9342 07:53:18,320 --> 07:53:25,120 years. influence over federal contract 9343 07:53:21,680 --> 07:53:28,080 allocation across multiple agencies. 9344 07:53:25,120 --> 07:53:32,320 Input on technology regulation affecting 9345 07:53:28,080 --> 07:53:34,638 the portfolio companies. 9346 07:53:32,320 --> 07:53:36,718 If we consider what's the estimated 9347 07:53:34,638 --> 07:53:40,080 return on investment for Palanteer's 9348 07:53:36,718 --> 07:53:42,320 government business, what we see is 9349 07:53:40,080 --> 07:53:45,120 current annual government revenue of 9350 07:53:42,320 --> 07:53:47,840 $1.5 billion. 9351 07:53:45,120 --> 07:53:51,120 potential additional contract value over 9352 07:53:47,840 --> 07:53:54,120 eight years conservatively 5 to10 9353 07:53:51,120 --> 07:53:54,120 billion 9354 07:53:54,160 --> 07:54:00,798 and other defense companies in the 9355 07:53:57,200 --> 07:54:02,478 network potential 3 to5 billion in 9356 07:54:00,798 --> 07:54:04,958 contracts 9357 07:54:02,478 --> 07:54:08,478 regulatory treatment of cryptocurrency 9358 07:54:04,958 --> 07:54:11,478 holdings value potentially in tens of 9359 07:54:08,478 --> 07:54:11,478 billions. 9360 07:54:13,200 --> 07:54:19,280 The theoretical return of those 20 9361 07:54:15,760 --> 07:54:22,638 million invested is potentially 15 to 20 9362 07:54:19,280 --> 07:54:26,638 billion captured across the portfolio. 9363 07:54:22,638 --> 07:54:30,320 That represents a potential of 750 to 9364 07:54:26,638 --> 07:54:32,638 1,000 times return. By comparison, 9365 07:54:30,320 --> 07:54:34,958 Theel's Facebook investment returned 9366 07:54:32,638 --> 07:54:37,440 2,000 times. 9367 07:54:34,958 --> 07:54:42,798 To sum it up, the complete political 9368 07:54:37,440 --> 07:54:45,120 spending of the from 2016 to 2022 is 70 9369 07:54:42,798 --> 07:54:48,080 to $80 million. 9370 07:54:45,120 --> 07:54:51,360 For context, Amazon spends 20 million 9371 07:54:48,080 --> 07:54:54,080 annually on lobbying. Meta spends 20 9372 07:54:51,360 --> 07:54:57,840 million annual on lobbying. Google 9373 07:54:54,080 --> 07:55:00,478 spends 12 million annually on lobbying. 9374 07:54:57,840 --> 07:55:03,440 Field's approach is different. Rather 9375 07:55:00,478 --> 07:55:05,600 than ongoing lobbying expenditures, he 9376 07:55:03,440 --> 07:55:08,080 makes concentrated investments in 9377 07:55:05,600 --> 07:55:13,638 individual candidates who potentially 9378 07:55:08,080 --> 07:55:13,638 provide access for years or decades. 9379 07:55:13,680 --> 07:55:18,718 It is the venture capital model applied 9380 07:55:16,160 --> 07:55:21,680 to politics. Make early stage 9381 07:55:18,718 --> 07:55:24,160 investments in promising candidates. 9382 07:55:21,680 --> 07:55:27,440 Provide sufficient capital to help them 9383 07:55:24,160 --> 07:55:30,000 win. Capture value through long-term 9384 07:55:27,440 --> 07:55:32,638 relationships and access. 9385 07:55:30,000 --> 07:55:35,440 The candidates Theel has supported now 9386 07:55:32,638 --> 07:55:37,920 serve on key committees. 9387 07:55:35,440 --> 07:55:39,520 Technology regulation, defense 9388 07:55:37,920 --> 07:55:42,398 appropriations, 9389 07:55:39,520 --> 07:55:45,200 intelligence oversight, banking and 9390 07:55:42,398 --> 07:55:47,440 financial services. 9391 07:55:45,200 --> 07:55:49,920 Precisely the committees that oversee 9392 07:55:47,440 --> 07:55:52,320 industries where the has billions 9393 07:55:49,920 --> 07:55:55,120 invested and where he can use some 9394 07:55:52,320 --> 07:55:57,760 privileged information. 9395 07:55:55,120 --> 07:56:02,478 Is political investment a good use of 9396 07:55:57,760 --> 07:56:05,680 capital? The mathematics suggest yes 9397 07:56:02,478 --> 07:56:09,200 70 to 80 million represents less than 1% 9398 07:56:05,680 --> 07:56:11,440 of the's net worth. The potential return 9399 07:56:09,200 --> 07:56:14,240 if facets translate to favorable 9400 07:56:11,440 --> 07:56:17,840 treatment for portfolio companies could 9401 07:56:14,240 --> 07:56:20,240 be worth billions. Even with a 50% 9402 07:56:17,840 --> 07:56:23,120 success rate, the expected value is 9403 07:56:20,240 --> 07:56:26,240 positive by orders of magnitude. 9404 07:56:23,120 --> 07:56:30,240 Investment 70 to 80 million over 8 9405 07:56:26,240 --> 07:56:33,520 years. Potential value captured 15 to 30 9406 07:56:30,240 --> 07:56:40,000 billion across portfolio. Expected 9407 07:56:33,520 --> 07:56:42,558 return 200 to 400 times invested capital 9408 07:56:40,000 --> 07:56:45,760 that rivals the best venture capital 9409 07:56:42,558 --> 07:56:49,040 returns in history. Peter Theel is not 9410 07:56:45,760 --> 07:56:52,040 playing politics. He is optimizing his 9411 07:56:49,040 --> 07:56:52,040 portfolio. 9412 07:56:53,360 --> 07:56:59,280 Chapter 7. The final exit. 9413 07:56:57,200 --> 07:57:02,080 Peter Theal has spent his life betting 9414 07:56:59,280 --> 07:57:04,638 on the future, building it, funding it, 9415 07:57:02,080 --> 07:57:08,558 accelerating it. But there is one 9416 07:57:04,638 --> 07:57:13,360 frontier he refuses to accept as fixed. 9417 07:57:08,558 --> 07:57:15,920 Death. To him, mortality is not destiny. 9418 07:57:13,360 --> 07:57:18,240 It is an engineering problem waiting for 9419 07:57:15,920 --> 07:57:20,398 a breakthrough. Unlike every other 9420 07:57:18,240 --> 07:57:23,600 system he has challenged, he believes 9421 07:57:20,398 --> 07:57:26,240 this one too can be redesigned. 9422 07:57:23,600 --> 07:57:29,360 While others plan for retirement, Theel 9423 07:57:26,240 --> 07:57:31,920 funds longevity labs. While governments 9424 07:57:29,360 --> 07:57:33,440 plan for decades, he thinks in 9425 07:57:31,920 --> 07:57:35,680 centuries. 9426 07:57:33,440 --> 07:57:38,240 If time is the ultimate constraint on 9427 07:57:35,680 --> 07:57:41,040 power, then extending life is the 9428 07:57:38,240 --> 07:57:44,240 ultimate leverage. At the edge of the 9429 07:57:41,040 --> 07:57:46,958 world, he built a refuge. Far from 9430 07:57:44,240 --> 07:57:51,520 political centers, far from social 9431 07:57:46,958 --> 07:57:53,840 unrest, close only to time. In Silicon 9432 07:57:51,520 --> 07:57:57,440 Valley, there is a dark joke shared 9433 07:57:53,840 --> 07:57:59,600 quietly among founders and investors. 9434 07:57:57,440 --> 07:58:02,080 How many billionaires does it take to 9435 07:57:59,600 --> 07:58:05,120 buy a country? 9436 07:58:02,080 --> 07:58:08,520 Just one, if he is smart enough to get 9437 07:58:05,120 --> 07:58:08,520 there first. 9438 07:58:08,878 --> 07:58:13,520 He invested in digital currencies that 9439 07:58:11,200 --> 07:58:15,600 governments cannot print. In 9440 07:58:13,520 --> 07:58:18,478 surveillance systems that see what 9441 07:58:15,600 --> 07:58:20,958 others cannot. In political candidates 9442 07:58:18,478 --> 07:58:23,600 who might shape the rules. In 9443 07:58:20,958 --> 07:58:27,280 technologies that might outlive biology 9444 07:58:23,600 --> 07:58:30,920 itself. Not to save the world, to 9445 07:58:27,280 --> 07:58:30,920 outlast it. 9446 07:58:32,878 --> 07:58:38,398 What began as a contingency plan for a 9447 07:58:35,520 --> 07:58:41,200 few has become an unspoken strategy 9448 07:58:38,398 --> 07:58:43,600 among the ultra wealthy. 9449 07:58:41,200 --> 07:58:46,160 When the New Zealand citizenship story 9450 07:58:43,600 --> 07:58:49,760 became public, one of Theo's closest 9451 07:58:46,160 --> 07:58:52,558 peers, Samman, put it bluntly. 9452 07:58:49,760 --> 07:58:55,520 If things go really wrong, I'm flying to 9453 07:58:52,558 --> 07:58:58,718 Peter's place. 9454 07:58:55,520 --> 07:59:01,920 Some men try to make history. Peter 9455 07:58:58,718 --> 07:59:04,718 Theel is trying to escape it. 9456 07:59:01,920 --> 07:59:10,040 And if the future breaks, he intends to 9457 07:59:04,718 --> 07:59:10,040 be standing somewhere it cannot reach. 9458 08:00:35,760 --> 08:00:40,798 Most people see this and think culture. 9459 08:00:38,798 --> 08:00:43,280 They see a charming eco-friendly 9460 08:00:40,798 --> 08:00:46,080 tradition. 9461 08:00:43,280 --> 08:00:48,478 But look closer. This isn't just people 9462 08:00:46,080 --> 08:00:51,040 liking to pedal. What you were watching 9463 08:00:48,478 --> 08:00:52,798 is a highfrequency, low friction 9464 08:00:51,040 --> 08:00:54,718 economic machine. 9465 08:00:52,798 --> 08:00:56,718 >> Ultimately, private car ownership is 9466 08:00:54,718 --> 08:00:58,240 going to become obsolete. Cities are 9467 08:00:56,718 --> 08:00:59,920 building for pedestrians. They're 9468 08:00:58,240 --> 08:01:03,360 building for cycling. They're building 9469 08:00:59,920 --> 08:01:06,080 for livability, not for cars. 9470 08:01:03,360 --> 08:01:09,958 >> The bike economy, the multi-billion 9471 08:01:06,080 --> 08:01:09,958 dollar system of Amsterdam. 9472 08:01:11,200 --> 08:01:18,000 In Amsterdam, the bicycle isn't a toy. 9473 08:01:14,638 --> 08:01:20,798 It is a critical urban infrastructure. 9474 08:01:18,000 --> 08:01:25,240 If this system failed today, the city's 9475 08:01:20,798 --> 08:01:25,240 economy would collapse tomorrow. 9476 08:01:25,440 --> 08:01:30,558 For decades, the world has viewed 9477 08:01:27,280 --> 08:01:33,760 Amsterdam through a romantic lens. But 9478 08:01:30,558 --> 08:01:36,320 cities don't run on vibes. They run on 9479 08:01:33,760 --> 08:01:38,240 systems. And when a system moves 9480 08:01:36,320 --> 08:01:41,200 hundreds of thousands of people every 9481 08:01:38,240 --> 08:01:44,398 single day, it stops being a choice and 9482 08:01:41,200 --> 08:01:47,280 starts demanding three things. space, 9483 08:01:44,398 --> 08:01:49,520 rules, and capital. 9484 08:01:47,280 --> 08:01:51,680 Research shows that the cycling system 9485 08:01:49,520 --> 08:01:55,520 contributes benefits equivalent to 9486 08:01:51,680 --> 08:01:58,718 roughly 3% of the Netherlands GDP. This 9487 08:01:55,520 --> 08:02:01,040 isn't just green energy. It's hard cash 9488 08:01:58,718 --> 08:02:03,680 saved in public health, reduced 9489 08:02:01,040 --> 08:02:06,478 absenteeism at work, and most 9490 08:02:03,680 --> 08:02:09,120 importantly, unlocked productivity. 9491 08:02:06,478 --> 08:02:12,160 Every person on a bike is a person who 9492 08:02:09,120 --> 08:02:13,520 isn't taking up 12 m of public space 9493 08:02:12,160 --> 08:02:16,080 with a car. 9494 08:02:13,520 --> 08:02:19,520 that freed up space allows for high 9495 08:02:16,080 --> 08:02:22,240 value real estate, commerce and tourism. 9496 08:02:19,520 --> 08:02:25,878 In economics, we call this optimization 9497 08:02:22,240 --> 08:02:25,878 of land use. 9498 08:02:27,360 --> 08:02:34,240 But success created a crisis. By the 9499 08:02:30,718 --> 08:02:36,320 2010s, Amsterdam had a clutter problem. 9500 08:02:34,240 --> 08:02:39,760 Thousands of bikes were choking the 9501 08:02:36,320 --> 08:02:41,760 streets. The solution? one of the most 9502 08:02:39,760 --> 08:02:44,878 expensive and daring engineering 9503 08:02:41,760 --> 08:02:48,160 projects in the city. They built a 9504 08:02:44,878 --> 08:02:50,320 cathedral for 7,000 bicycles 9505 08:02:48,160 --> 08:02:52,958 under the water. 9506 08:02:50,320 --> 08:02:54,958 It cost millions. From a traditional 9507 08:02:52,958 --> 08:02:58,398 linear perspective, spending that much 9508 08:02:54,958 --> 08:03:00,958 on free parking seems insane. But from a 9509 08:02:58,398 --> 08:03:03,280 circular economy perspective, a model 9510 08:03:00,958 --> 08:03:06,718 where Amsterdam is a global leader with 9511 08:03:03,280 --> 08:03:09,440 30.6% circularity rate, it was a 9512 08:03:06,718 --> 08:03:11,600 mandatory investment. As we see in the 9513 08:03:09,440 --> 08:03:14,160 latest urban governance reports, 9514 08:03:11,600 --> 08:03:16,798 planning isn't an option here. It's the 9515 08:03:14,160 --> 08:03:19,360 only way to exist. 9516 08:03:16,798 --> 08:03:22,478 In this documentary, we are going beyond 9517 08:03:19,360 --> 08:03:25,600 the postcard. We will travel back to 9518 08:03:22,478 --> 08:03:28,798 1965 to see why the first sharing 9519 08:03:25,600 --> 08:03:31,440 economy experiment failed. We will use 9520 08:03:28,798 --> 08:03:34,558 scientific GPS data to track the shadow 9521 08:03:31,440 --> 08:03:38,000 economy of the 80,000 bikes stolen every 9522 08:03:34,558 --> 08:03:40,080 year. and we will explore how Amsterdam 9523 08:03:38,000 --> 08:03:43,600 is using the bicycle to become the 9524 08:03:40,080 --> 08:03:47,040 world's first 100% circular city by 9525 08:03:43,600 --> 08:03:49,120 2050. This is the story of how a humble 9526 08:03:47,040 --> 08:03:51,920 machine with two wheels became the 9527 08:03:49,120 --> 08:03:54,920 backbone of a multi-billion dollar urban 9528 08:03:51,920 --> 08:03:54,920 miracle. 9529 08:03:57,680 --> 08:04:03,760 To understand why Amsterdam spends €85 9530 08:04:00,638 --> 08:04:06,240 million on underwater parking today, we 9531 08:04:03,760 --> 08:04:09,520 have to go back to a time when the city 9532 08:04:06,240 --> 08:04:12,520 almost lost its soul to the car, the 9533 08:04:09,520 --> 08:04:12,520 1960s. 9534 08:04:16,718 --> 08:04:23,040 As postwar prosperity grew, Amsterdam 9535 08:04:19,760 --> 08:04:25,200 was being choked by motor vehicles. 9536 08:04:23,040 --> 08:04:27,280 In response, a counterculture group 9537 08:04:25,200 --> 08:04:29,760 called the Provos launched what would 9538 08:04:27,280 --> 08:04:33,280 become the first bike sharing program in 9539 08:04:29,760 --> 08:04:35,680 history, the Vita Fieten Plan or the 9540 08:04:33,280 --> 08:04:38,240 White Bike Plan. 9541 08:04:35,680 --> 08:04:39,760 Their proposal was radical and purely 9542 08:04:38,240 --> 08:04:42,798 idealistic. 9543 08:04:39,760 --> 08:04:45,280 Paint 20,000 bicycles white, leave them 9544 08:04:42,798 --> 08:04:49,200 unlocked across the city, and let anyone 9545 08:04:45,280 --> 08:04:52,320 use them for free. No keys, no coins, no 9546 08:04:49,200 --> 08:04:55,600 owners. They viewed mobility as a public 9547 08:04:52,320 --> 08:04:58,718 good as essential and free as the air we 9548 08:04:55,600 --> 08:05:02,638 breathe. On paper, it was a circular 9549 08:04:58,718 --> 08:05:05,680 economy. Avant laletra. In practice, it 9550 08:05:02,638 --> 08:05:08,718 was a disaster. Within days, the system 9551 08:05:05,680 --> 08:05:10,478 collapsed. Why? Because the provos 9552 08:05:08,718 --> 08:05:16,120 ignored a fundamental principle of 9553 08:05:10,478 --> 08:05:16,120 economics, the tragedy of the commons. 9554 08:05:51,440 --> 08:05:56,320 Without ownership or registration, 9555 08:05:53,680 --> 08:05:58,718 public property quickly became nobody's 9556 08:05:56,320 --> 08:06:01,040 property. property. In an unregulated 9557 08:05:58,718 --> 08:06:02,878 system with zero entry cost, the 9558 08:06:01,040 --> 08:06:05,040 incentive to maintain the asset 9559 08:06:02,878 --> 08:06:07,680 disappears. Without locks or 9560 08:06:05,040 --> 08:06:10,478 registration, public property quickly 9561 08:06:07,680 --> 08:06:12,398 became nobody's property. The police 9562 08:06:10,478 --> 08:06:15,520 confiscated the bikes because they 9563 08:06:12,398 --> 08:06:18,000 invited theft and the citizens driven by 9564 08:06:15,520 --> 08:06:22,240 individual rationalism either took them 9565 08:06:18,000 --> 08:06:24,958 home or threw them into the canals. 9566 08:06:22,240 --> 08:06:27,040 The lesson was harsh. You cannot have a 9567 08:06:24,958 --> 08:06:29,360 massive urban transit system based 9568 08:06:27,040 --> 08:06:33,000 solely on romanticism. 9569 08:06:29,360 --> 08:06:33,000 You need governance. 9570 08:06:34,718 --> 08:06:40,718 However, the white bikes planted a seed. 9571 08:06:37,760 --> 08:06:42,478 It shifted the economic debate. The city 9572 08:06:40,718 --> 08:06:44,718 realized that if they didn't want to 9573 08:06:42,478 --> 08:06:47,360 spend billions on highways like Los 9574 08:06:44,718 --> 08:06:50,080 Angeles or London, they had to invest in 9575 08:06:47,360 --> 08:06:52,478 a different kind of capital. Transition 9576 08:06:50,080 --> 08:06:55,440 requires not just technology, but a 9577 08:06:52,478 --> 08:06:57,600 change in urban metabolism. 9578 08:06:55,440 --> 08:06:59,840 The failure of the white bikes taught 9579 08:06:57,600 --> 08:07:02,000 Amsterdam that the bicycle had to be 9580 08:06:59,840 --> 08:07:05,120 integrated into the formal economy of 9581 08:07:02,000 --> 08:07:08,798 the city, not as a rebel symbol, but as 9582 08:07:05,120 --> 08:07:10,798 a regulated, taxed, and planned asset. 9583 08:07:08,798 --> 08:07:13,600 Today, the free spirit of the white 9584 08:07:10,798 --> 08:07:16,798 bikes only survives in one place, the 9585 08:07:13,600 --> 08:07:18,958 Hoga Veluve National Park. But in the 9586 08:07:16,798 --> 08:07:21,760 city, the white bike has been replaced 9587 08:07:18,958 --> 08:07:24,240 by a sophisticated capital incentive 9588 08:07:21,760 --> 08:07:26,558 model. We no longer trust in the 9589 08:07:24,240 --> 08:07:29,600 goodness of the user. We trust in 9590 08:07:26,558 --> 08:07:32,000 incentives. We move the tragedy of the 9591 08:07:29,600 --> 08:07:35,200 commons to a system of managed common 9592 08:07:32,000 --> 08:07:38,320 pool resources. In economics, success 9593 08:07:35,200 --> 08:07:41,200 can be as disruptive as failure. By the 9594 08:07:38,320 --> 08:07:43,760 late 2010s, Amsterdam was a victim of 9595 08:07:41,200 --> 08:07:46,240 its own efficiency. With nearly 1 9596 08:07:43,760 --> 08:07:49,040 million bicycles in the city, the urban 9597 08:07:46,240 --> 08:07:51,920 surface had reached a breaking point. 9598 08:07:49,040 --> 08:07:55,120 Every bridge, railing, and sidewalk was 9599 08:07:51,920 --> 08:07:57,680 occupied by idle metal. 9600 08:07:55,120 --> 08:08:00,798 This wasn't just an aesthetic grievance. 9601 08:07:57,680 --> 08:08:03,120 It was an economic bottleneck. Thousands 9602 08:08:00,798 --> 08:08:06,160 of parked bikes were clogging the city's 9603 08:08:03,120 --> 08:08:09,200 arteries, slowing down 200,000 daily 9604 08:08:06,160 --> 08:08:11,280 commuters at Central Station. In one of 9605 08:08:09,200 --> 08:08:13,920 the world's most expensive real estate 9606 08:08:11,280 --> 08:08:16,240 markets, free surface parking is a 9607 08:08:13,920 --> 08:08:18,798 luxury that a functional city cannot 9608 08:08:16,240 --> 08:08:22,160 afford. The opportunity cost of that 9609 08:08:18,798 --> 08:08:25,520 space was becoming too high. To solve 9610 08:08:22,160 --> 08:08:28,478 this, Amsterdam launched the entre, a 9611 08:08:25,520 --> 08:08:31,280 massive urban reconfiguration project. 9612 08:08:28,478 --> 08:08:34,478 The crown jewel, the open haven 9613 08:08:31,280 --> 08:08:38,000 underwater parking. Consider that 9614 08:08:34,478 --> 08:08:41,360 figure. Spending €60 million just to 9615 08:08:38,000 --> 08:08:43,680 store 7,000 bicycles underwater. 9616 08:08:41,360 --> 08:08:46,878 To a traditional accountant, this looks 9617 08:08:43,680 --> 08:08:49,520 like a massive sunk cost. But to an 9618 08:08:46,878 --> 08:08:53,280 urban economist, it's a master stroke of 9619 08:08:49,520 --> 08:08:55,600 asset management. By moving 7,000 bikes 9620 08:08:53,280 --> 08:08:58,398 beneath the water, the city performed 9621 08:08:55,600 --> 08:09:00,398 open heart surgery on its central hub. 9622 08:08:58,398 --> 08:09:03,680 They reclaimed the surface, restoring 9623 08:09:00,398 --> 08:09:06,000 the landscape to its 1900's aesthetic. 9624 08:09:03,680 --> 08:09:09,280 This isn't just about beauty. It's about 9625 08:09:06,000 --> 08:09:11,520 maximizing pedestrian flow. A station 9626 08:09:09,280 --> 08:09:14,160 that breathes and flows is a station 9627 08:09:11,520 --> 08:09:17,200 that generates higher economic value for 9628 08:09:14,160 --> 08:09:20,240 the surrounding businesses. However, an 9629 08:09:17,200 --> 08:09:22,080 85 million euro asset must be managed 9630 08:09:20,240 --> 08:09:25,040 like a high performance logistics 9631 08:09:22,080 --> 08:09:27,760 center. You cannot allow zombie bikes to 9632 08:09:25,040 --> 08:09:29,760 occupy these slots indefinitely. 9633 08:09:27,760 --> 08:09:33,360 This is where the incentive structure 9634 08:09:29,760 --> 08:09:36,718 comes into play. The primary goal isn't 9635 08:09:33,360 --> 08:09:39,280 profit, it's turnover. By offering the 9636 08:09:36,718 --> 08:09:42,638 first 24 hours for free, the city 9637 08:09:39,280 --> 08:09:45,120 subsidizes the daily workforce. But by 9638 08:09:42,638 --> 08:09:47,200 charging a daily fee thereafter, they 9639 08:09:45,120 --> 08:09:50,080 penalize long-term storage and 9640 08:09:47,200 --> 08:09:52,958 abandonment. Using advanced optical 9641 08:09:50,080 --> 08:09:56,160 sensors, the city monitors idle infantry 9642 08:09:52,958 --> 08:09:58,798 in real time, ensuring that these 7,000 9643 08:09:56,160 --> 08:10:03,000 slots remain a liquid asset for those 9644 08:09:58,798 --> 08:10:03,000 who keep the economy moving. 9645 08:10:03,040 --> 08:10:08,280 Finally, we must consider the cost of 9646 08:10:05,280 --> 08:10:08,280 friction. 9647 08:10:12,638 --> 08:10:15,638 Transport, 9648 08:10:38,718 --> 08:10:41,798 the last 9649 08:10:43,680 --> 08:10:48,558 In transport economics, every second 9650 08:10:46,000 --> 08:10:50,798 lost in a transfer is a loss in human 9651 08:10:48,558 --> 08:10:52,878 capital and productivity. 9652 08:10:50,798 --> 08:10:54,878 This underwater facility connects 9653 08:10:52,878 --> 08:10:56,398 directly to the metro and train 9654 08:10:54,878 --> 08:10:58,478 platforms. 9655 08:10:56,398 --> 08:11:00,958 The commuter can transition from their 9656 08:10:58,478 --> 08:11:03,920 bicycle to their train seat in less than 9657 08:11:00,958 --> 08:11:06,558 2 minutes, shielded from the elements. 9658 08:11:03,920 --> 08:11:08,798 This level of intermodel synergy is 9659 08:11:06,558 --> 08:11:12,478 exactly what makes Amsterdam's circular 9660 08:11:08,798 --> 08:11:15,440 economy, currently at a record 30.6% 9661 08:11:12,478 --> 08:11:20,040 circularity rate, a functional reality 9662 08:11:15,440 --> 08:11:20,040 rather than just a policy goal. 9663 08:11:42,798 --> 08:11:47,360 But this transition to a highly 9664 08:11:44,558 --> 08:11:49,600 regulated system created its own set of 9665 08:11:47,360 --> 08:11:52,478 problems. Because when you turn a 9666 08:11:49,600 --> 08:11:54,958 bicycle into a valuable economic asset, 9667 08:11:52,478 --> 08:11:58,478 you create something else, a black 9668 08:11:54,958 --> 08:12:01,360 market. In Amsterdam, data doesn't tell 9669 08:11:58,478 --> 08:12:04,160 the whole story. While police record 9670 08:12:01,360 --> 08:12:07,040 11,000 thefts a year, the reality is 9671 08:12:04,160 --> 08:12:09,920 closer to 80,000. 9672 08:12:07,040 --> 08:12:12,478 Most citizens don't report it. Cost of 9673 08:12:09,920 --> 08:12:14,718 time is higher than the bike's value. 9674 08:12:12,478 --> 08:12:16,958 This creates a massive shadow market 9675 08:12:14,718 --> 08:12:20,160 operating entirely outside the official 9676 08:12:16,958 --> 08:12:23,200 GDP. Forget the myth of international 9677 08:12:20,160 --> 08:12:26,958 bike smuggling rings. 9678 08:12:23,200 --> 08:12:29,120 A 2023 study tracking 100 bikes proved 9679 08:12:26,958 --> 08:12:32,240 that stolen assets rarely leave the 9680 08:12:29,120 --> 08:12:34,958 city. Instead, they feed a shadow 9681 08:12:32,240 --> 08:12:37,040 circular economy. Your stolen bike is 9682 08:12:34,958 --> 08:12:39,600 sold to a street dealer and then bought 9683 08:12:37,040 --> 08:12:44,398 by your neighbor. It's a localized, 9684 08:12:39,600 --> 08:12:46,478 untaxed, and illegal closed loop. 9685 08:12:44,398 --> 08:12:49,120 High theft risk creates a market 9686 08:12:46,478 --> 08:12:51,520 distortion. If you expect your bike to 9687 08:12:49,120 --> 08:12:55,280 be stolen within months, you don't buy 9688 08:12:51,520 --> 08:12:57,600 quality, you buy junk. This beta bike 9689 08:12:55,280 --> 08:13:00,240 equilibrium keeps the city's transport 9690 08:12:57,600 --> 08:13:02,240 fleet low quality and forces owners to 9691 08:13:00,240 --> 08:13:04,240 spend more on locks than the bikes 9692 08:13:02,240 --> 08:13:07,040 themselves. 9693 08:13:04,240 --> 08:13:09,360 These aren't victimless crimes. They are 9694 08:13:07,040 --> 08:13:13,280 negative externalities that drain city 9695 08:13:09,360 --> 08:13:16,240 resources. Amsterdam's answer, the Fiat 9696 08:13:13,280 --> 08:13:18,638 Depo. Since the city couldn't stop the 9697 08:13:16,240 --> 08:13:21,760 theft, it decided to manage the orphaned 9698 08:13:18,638 --> 08:13:24,398 assets. Because in a circular city, even 9699 08:13:21,760 --> 08:13:26,000 a stolen bike is a resource that must be 9700 08:13:24,398 --> 08:13:29,000 managed to maintain the urban 9701 08:13:26,000 --> 08:13:29,000 metabolism. 9702 08:13:29,440 --> 08:13:33,680 In a city with more bicycles than 9703 08:13:31,520 --> 08:13:35,440 people, orphaned assets are an 9704 08:13:33,680 --> 08:13:37,280 inevitability. 9705 08:13:35,440 --> 08:13:40,320 Every year, thousands of bikes are 9706 08:13:37,280 --> 08:13:42,958 simply left behind. In economic terms, 9707 08:13:40,320 --> 08:13:45,680 this is dead capital. They occupy 9708 08:13:42,958 --> 08:13:47,600 valuable public space, provide zero 9709 08:13:45,680 --> 08:13:49,200 utility, and degrade the urban 9710 08:13:47,600 --> 08:13:51,120 landscape. 9711 08:13:49,200 --> 08:13:53,520 According to official Amsterdam 9712 08:13:51,120 --> 08:13:56,000 regulations, the city must intervene 9713 08:13:53,520 --> 08:13:58,160 when private property interferes with 9714 08:13:56,000 --> 08:14:00,798 public efficiency. 9715 08:13:58,160 --> 08:14:03,680 Whether is an improperly parked bike 9716 08:14:00,798 --> 08:14:05,760 blocking an emergency exit or a wreck 9717 08:14:03,680 --> 08:14:08,000 that is no longer functional, the 9718 08:14:05,760 --> 08:14:11,840 municipality acts as the ultimate 9719 08:14:08,000 --> 08:14:14,638 enforcer of spatial order. 9720 08:14:11,840 --> 08:14:18,240 All seized bicycles are transported to a 9721 08:14:14,638 --> 08:14:20,478 central facility, the Fiat's depot. This 9722 08:14:18,240 --> 08:14:23,600 is a logistical powerhouse that manages 9723 08:14:20,478 --> 08:14:26,478 the city's lost capital. This isn't just 9724 08:14:23,600 --> 08:14:30,160 a pound. It's a sorting facility for the 9725 08:14:26,478 --> 08:14:32,160 city's metal metabolism, the retrieval. 9726 08:14:30,160 --> 08:14:36,320 Owners have around 6 weeks to claim 9727 08:14:32,160 --> 08:14:38,240 their bike for a fee, approximately €25. 9728 08:14:36,320 --> 08:14:40,638 This fee doesn't cover the full 9729 08:14:38,240 --> 08:14:43,840 operational cost, but it serves as a 9730 08:14:40,638 --> 08:14:46,240 user pays tax to discourage abandonment. 9731 08:14:43,840 --> 08:14:48,718 If your bicycle was removed from a city 9732 08:14:46,240 --> 08:14:50,718 parking facility, you will also pay 9733 08:14:48,718 --> 08:14:55,200 33.75 9734 08:14:50,718 --> 08:14:58,478 parking cost. The sorting only about 25% 9735 08:14:55,200 --> 08:15:01,440 of bikes are ever reclaimed. The rest 9736 08:14:58,478 --> 08:15:03,440 they are classified as waste or asset. 9737 08:15:01,440 --> 08:15:08,080 Here is where the circular economy 9738 08:15:03,440 --> 08:15:10,958 strategy 2020 to 2025 becomes tangible. 9739 08:15:08,080 --> 08:15:15,200 Amsterdam aims to reduce the use of new 9740 08:15:10,958 --> 08:15:17,440 raw materials by 50% by 2030. 9741 08:15:15,200 --> 08:15:19,280 The Fiat's depot doesn't just scrap 9742 08:15:17,440 --> 08:15:22,160 everything. 9743 08:15:19,280 --> 08:15:24,320 Refurbishment. Bikes in decent condition 9744 08:15:22,160 --> 08:15:27,200 are sold to social enterprises or 9745 08:15:24,320 --> 08:15:29,840 secondhand shops. They are recirculated 9746 08:15:27,200 --> 08:15:31,920 into the economy at a low price point, 9747 08:15:29,840 --> 08:15:34,478 providing affordable mobility for 9748 08:15:31,920 --> 08:15:36,080 lowincome residents. 9749 08:15:34,478 --> 08:15:38,398 Education. 9750 08:15:36,080 --> 08:15:41,120 Many are used in vocational training 9751 08:15:38,398 --> 08:15:43,760 programs, turning junk, into a teaching 9752 08:15:41,120 --> 08:15:46,718 tool for future mechanics. Raw 9753 08:15:43,760 --> 08:15:49,600 materials, the unsalvageable ones, are 9754 08:15:46,718 --> 08:15:52,798 sold as highquality scrap metal, feeding 9755 08:15:49,600 --> 08:15:54,798 back into the industrial cycle. 9756 08:15:52,798 --> 08:15:58,240 What we see here is a complete life 9757 08:15:54,798 --> 08:16:00,000 cycle management of a transport mode. 9758 08:15:58,240 --> 08:16:02,000 The biggest challenge for circular 9759 08:16:00,000 --> 08:16:04,718 cities is the lack of effective 9760 08:16:02,000 --> 08:16:06,878 governance mechanisms. Amsterdam 9761 08:16:04,718 --> 08:16:09,440 succeeds because it treats the bicycle 9762 08:16:06,878 --> 08:16:11,760 as a public utility. From the 9763 08:16:09,440 --> 08:16:14,320 multi-million euro investment under the 9764 08:16:11,760 --> 08:16:16,160 water to the scrap metal in the harbor, 9765 08:16:14,320 --> 08:16:20,920 the city manages the entire 9766 08:16:16,160 --> 08:16:20,920 cradletograve cycle of the bicycle. 9767 08:16:22,718 --> 08:16:27,280 Amsterdam is no longer just building 9768 08:16:24,878 --> 08:16:30,878 bike lanes. It is building a new 9769 08:16:27,280 --> 08:16:34,240 economic DNA. The city has set a target 9770 08:16:30,878 --> 08:16:39,558 that many economists call impossible to 9771 08:16:34,240 --> 08:16:39,558 be 100% circular by 2050. 9772 08:16:40,398 --> 08:16:46,000 This means that by midentury, every gram 9773 08:16:43,280 --> 08:16:48,558 of steel in a bicycle and every stone in 9774 08:16:46,000 --> 08:16:52,478 a bridge must stay within the economic 9775 08:16:48,558 --> 08:16:55,680 loop. The take, make, waste model will 9776 08:16:52,478 --> 08:16:58,478 be extinct. For Amsterdam, the bicycle 9777 08:16:55,680 --> 08:17:01,040 is the alpha product, the test case for 9778 08:16:58,478 --> 08:17:03,280 how a city can move, consume, and 9779 08:17:01,040 --> 08:17:05,040 recycle without depleting the planet's 9780 08:17:03,280 --> 08:17:08,160 capital. 9781 08:17:05,040 --> 08:17:10,398 To reach 100% circularity, the concept 9782 08:17:08,160 --> 08:17:13,680 of private ownership is being challenged 9783 08:17:10,398 --> 08:17:16,398 by a more efficient model, product as a 9784 08:17:13,680 --> 08:17:18,398 service. You don't buy the bike, you 9785 08:17:16,398 --> 08:17:20,320 rent the mobility. 9786 08:17:18,398 --> 08:17:21,920 So, we talk a lot about ownership as a 9787 08:17:20,320 --> 08:17:24,958 service, but it's this idea of, you 9788 08:17:21,920 --> 08:17:27,280 know, something as a service. So, in our 9789 08:17:24,958 --> 08:17:29,280 case, bike as a service, it's all of the 9790 08:17:27,280 --> 08:17:30,958 benefits of ownership, but none of the 9791 08:17:29,280 --> 08:17:32,958 drawbacks. So none of having to deal 9792 08:17:30,958 --> 08:17:34,558 with the maintenance or or any of the 9793 08:17:32,958 --> 08:17:35,600 things that come with actually owning 9794 08:17:34,558 --> 08:17:37,840 something. 9795 08:17:35,600 --> 08:17:40,798 >> Economically, this aligns the incentives 9796 08:17:37,840 --> 08:17:43,600 of the producer and the consumer. If the 9797 08:17:40,798 --> 08:17:46,320 bike breaks, it's the company's problem, 9798 08:17:43,600 --> 08:17:48,080 not yours. By centralizing all that 9799 08:17:46,320 --> 08:17:49,600 maintenance, obviously we cut cost 9800 08:17:48,080 --> 08:17:51,760 significantly. We cut waste 9801 08:17:49,600 --> 08:17:54,320 significantly. Um, but for the 9802 08:17:51,760 --> 08:17:55,840 individual user, um, they have nothing 9803 08:17:54,320 --> 08:17:57,120 to worry about. You know, as a 9804 08:17:55,840 --> 08:17:58,558 subscriber, you get all of your 9805 08:17:57,120 --> 08:18:00,320 maintenance. So we come and do 9806 08:17:58,558 --> 08:18:02,478 preventative maintenance. So first of 9807 08:18:00,320 --> 08:18:04,638 all that obviously reduced the cost um 9808 08:18:02,478 --> 08:18:06,638 overall not so much to the end user but 9809 08:18:04,638 --> 08:18:08,080 the cost of the business. Um that 9810 08:18:06,638 --> 08:18:10,798 prevents breakdowns and things like 9811 08:18:08,080 --> 08:18:14,080 that. But in the end if you think about 9812 08:18:10,798 --> 08:18:15,440 um the cost of time, the cost of effort 9813 08:18:14,080 --> 08:18:17,200 um maybe you don't even know how to 9814 08:18:15,440 --> 08:18:18,798 maintain your own bike. Um having a 9815 08:18:17,200 --> 08:18:20,958 service that does all of that for you is 9816 08:18:18,798 --> 08:18:23,600 just a a matter of convenience. 9817 08:18:20,958 --> 08:18:26,558 >> This forces manufacturers to design for 9818 08:18:23,600 --> 08:18:29,520 durability and modularity. the core 9819 08:18:26,558 --> 08:18:31,840 pillars of this circular economy. When 9820 08:18:29,520 --> 08:18:33,840 the city manages the flow and private 9821 08:18:31,840 --> 08:18:37,360 companies manage the maintenance, the 9822 08:18:33,840 --> 08:18:38,798 shadow economy of theft we saw in Act 3 9823 08:18:37,360 --> 08:18:40,718 begins to shrink. 9824 08:18:38,798 --> 08:18:42,240 >> So if you subscribe to a bike from 9825 08:18:40,718 --> 08:18:43,920 Clover and your bike gets stolen, first 9826 08:18:42,240 --> 08:18:45,920 of all, we actually probably will notice 9827 08:18:43,920 --> 08:18:48,320 that it got stolen maybe even before you 9828 08:18:45,920 --> 08:18:50,558 did because we have GPS on all the 9829 08:18:48,320 --> 08:18:52,798 bikes. Um, but if it does get stolen, 9830 08:18:50,558 --> 08:18:54,240 you use our WhatsApp chat. You basically 9831 08:18:52,798 --> 08:18:56,000 send us a message and we come and bring 9832 08:18:54,240 --> 08:18:58,320 you a new bike immediately. 9833 08:18:56,000 --> 08:19:00,878 >> Why steal a bike that is tracked, 9834 08:18:58,320 --> 08:19:04,320 branded, and has no resale value in a 9835 08:19:00,878 --> 08:19:06,080 subscription-based market. 9836 08:19:04,320 --> 08:19:08,638 So, what is the final return on 9837 08:19:06,080 --> 08:19:12,320 investment? Let's look at the triple 9838 08:19:08,638 --> 08:19:14,718 bottom line, public health. By avoiding 9839 08:19:12,320 --> 08:19:17,360 11,000 deaths annually through active 9840 08:19:14,718 --> 08:19:21,040 transport, the Dutch economy saves 19 9841 08:19:17,360 --> 08:19:24,240 billion in health care costs. 9842 08:19:21,040 --> 08:19:26,878 urban density. By utilizing underwater 9843 08:19:24,240 --> 08:19:29,200 parking and vertical depots, Amsterdam 9844 08:19:26,878 --> 08:19:31,520 maintains a population density that 9845 08:19:29,200 --> 08:19:35,200 would be impossible with cars, keeping 9846 08:19:31,520 --> 08:19:37,920 real estate productivity at peak levels. 9847 08:19:35,200 --> 08:19:40,478 Resource independence by reclaiming 9848 08:19:37,920 --> 08:19:43,120 metal from the Fiats depot. The city 9849 08:19:40,478 --> 08:19:45,920 insulates itself from global commodity 9850 08:19:43,120 --> 08:19:49,040 price shocks. This is a sustainable 9851 08:19:45,920 --> 08:19:51,280 urban metabolism. The city isn't just a 9852 08:19:49,040 --> 08:19:53,840 place where people live. It's a living 9853 08:19:51,280 --> 08:19:56,240 organism that processes resources with 9854 08:19:53,840 --> 08:19:58,478 maximum efficiency. 9855 08:19:56,240 --> 08:20:00,878 Amsterdam's success has sent a clear 9856 08:19:58,478 --> 08:20:03,120 message to the rest of the continent. 9857 08:20:00,878 --> 08:20:06,000 Spatial efficiency is the only way 9858 08:20:03,120 --> 08:20:08,398 forward for the modern metropolis. 9859 08:20:06,000 --> 08:20:10,398 Across Europe, the bicycle has moved 9860 08:20:08,398 --> 08:20:12,558 from being a leisure tool to a 9861 08:20:10,398 --> 08:20:14,798 cornerstone of urban recovery and 9862 08:20:12,558 --> 08:20:17,440 economic resilience. 9863 08:20:14,798 --> 08:20:20,478 In Paris, a city once defined by its 9864 08:20:17,440 --> 08:20:23,120 congestion, the plano is investing 9865 08:20:20,478 --> 08:20:26,558 hundreds of millions to become 100% 9866 08:20:23,120 --> 08:20:28,878 cyclable. In Barcelona, the super blocks 9867 08:20:26,558 --> 08:20:33,200 are reclaiming entire intersections from 9868 08:20:28,878 --> 08:20:34,878 cars to create humanentric lungs. 9869 08:20:33,200 --> 08:20:38,398 These aren't just environmental 9870 08:20:34,878 --> 08:20:40,878 projects. They are market corrections. 9871 08:20:38,398 --> 08:20:43,360 The cities are betting that a quieter, 9872 08:20:40,878 --> 08:20:45,760 cleaner, and more agile urban center 9873 08:20:43,360 --> 08:20:48,638 will attract more talent, more tourism, 9874 08:20:45,760 --> 08:20:51,280 and higher property values. 9875 08:20:48,638 --> 08:20:53,760 From the cycle superighways of London to 9876 08:20:51,280 --> 08:20:56,798 the industrial hubs of Germany, the 9877 08:20:53,760 --> 08:21:00,160 economic logic is consistent. Replacing 9878 08:20:56,798 --> 08:21:02,558 a 1 and 1/2 ton vehicle with a 15 kg 9879 08:21:00,160 --> 08:21:04,478 machine reduces the cost of maintenance 9880 08:21:02,558 --> 08:21:07,360 for the city and increases the 9881 08:21:04,478 --> 08:21:09,520 productivity of the citizen. 9882 08:21:07,360 --> 08:21:11,760 But while northern capitals have the 9883 08:21:09,520 --> 08:21:14,558 advantage of decades of infrastructure, 9884 08:21:11,760 --> 08:21:16,558 the real test is happening in the south. 9885 08:21:14,558 --> 08:21:18,798 In the Mediterranean, where the street 9886 08:21:16,558 --> 08:21:21,120 is a social space and the sun is a 9887 08:21:18,798 --> 08:21:23,760 constant resource, a new leader is 9888 08:21:21,120 --> 08:21:26,240 emerging. A city that has used the 9889 08:21:23,760 --> 08:21:30,120 Amsterdam blueprint to transform itself 9890 08:21:26,240 --> 08:21:30,120 at record speed. 9891 08:21:42,080 --> 08:21:45,080 forgo. 9892 08:22:33,200 --> 08:22:39,320 If Amsterdam is the blueprint, Valencia 9893 08:22:35,840 --> 08:22:39,320 is the laboratory. 9894 08:22:40,398 --> 08:22:43,398 Okay. 9895 08:22:52,240 --> 08:22:55,638 Not the fact 9896 08:23:22,958 --> 08:23:27,200 In less than a decade, this 9897 08:23:24,638 --> 08:23:29,600 Mediterranean city has transitioned from 9898 08:23:27,200 --> 08:23:33,798 a car ccentric capital to a global 9899 08:23:29,600 --> 08:23:33,798 reference in urban metabolism. 9900 08:23:55,440 --> 08:24:01,040 Valencia's transformation wasn't a 9901 08:23:57,760 --> 08:24:03,120 matter of vibes or romanticism. It was a 9902 08:24:01,040 --> 08:24:04,718 calculated investment in spatial 9903 08:24:03,120 --> 08:24:06,958 efficiency. 9904 08:24:04,718 --> 08:24:08,558 >> I think attracting top global talent 9905 08:24:06,958 --> 08:24:10,398 means that you need to have a vibrant, 9906 08:24:08,558 --> 08:24:12,398 livable city. And I think most young 9907 08:24:10,398 --> 08:24:14,558 people um particularly who are coming 9908 08:24:12,398 --> 08:24:16,638 into the workforce now are looking for 9909 08:24:14,558 --> 08:24:19,120 ways to get around a city that doesn't 9910 08:24:16,638 --> 08:24:21,760 rely on public transit. They don't want 9911 08:24:19,120 --> 08:24:23,680 to own a car um because car ownership is 9912 08:24:21,760 --> 08:24:25,920 a total burden. Having to find parking, 9913 08:24:23,680 --> 08:24:27,440 insurance, cost of the car, all of that. 9914 08:24:25,920 --> 08:24:29,680 So having this accessible 9915 08:24:27,440 --> 08:24:31,520 infrastructure, cycling infrastructure 9916 08:24:29,680 --> 08:24:33,520 specifically, and in a city like 9917 08:24:31,520 --> 08:24:35,520 Valencia that, you know, already has a 9918 08:24:33,520 --> 08:24:37,920 lot of reasons to attract top talent, 9919 08:24:35,520 --> 08:24:39,680 just makes it that much better. Um, 9920 08:24:37,920 --> 08:24:41,440 cycling is a preferred way to get around 9921 08:24:39,680 --> 08:24:43,440 in Valencia, we're number seven in the 9922 08:24:41,440 --> 08:24:45,440 world for cycling to work, for example. 9923 08:24:43,440 --> 08:24:47,680 So adding a layer of an easy 9924 08:24:45,440 --> 08:24:49,920 subscription ebike service to that just 9925 08:24:47,680 --> 08:24:51,840 again attracts even more um top talent 9926 08:24:49,920 --> 08:24:54,878 to the city. 9927 08:24:51,840 --> 08:24:56,958 By implementing the Anilo Crista, the 9928 08:24:54,878 --> 08:24:59,760 city has reclaimed high value public 9929 08:24:56,958 --> 08:25:02,080 space to boost local commerce and reduce 9930 08:24:59,760 --> 08:25:04,240 the toxic liability of the car. 9931 08:25:02,080 --> 08:25:06,000 >> It's important to remember that um often 9932 08:25:04,240 --> 08:25:07,680 times with cars, although they can fit 9933 08:25:06,000 --> 08:25:09,680 multiple people, most of the time it's 9934 08:25:07,680 --> 08:25:11,440 one person per one car. So when we're 9935 08:25:09,680 --> 08:25:13,360 asking about, you know, 10 bikes versus 9936 08:25:11,440 --> 08:25:15,600 one car, we're essentially saying 10 9937 08:25:13,360 --> 08:25:17,360 people versus one person. So we have a 9938 08:25:15,600 --> 08:25:18,878 10x multiplier on essentially everything 9939 08:25:17,360 --> 08:25:20,240 that's happening on that street. Whether 9940 08:25:18,878 --> 08:25:22,080 that be visits to businesses, whether 9941 08:25:20,240 --> 08:25:23,520 that be transactions and purchases, 9942 08:25:22,080 --> 08:25:25,440 everything gets that 10x multiplier and 9943 08:25:23,520 --> 08:25:27,920 increases revenue for the whole street. 9944 08:25:25,440 --> 08:25:30,240 >> In economics, this is the optimization 9945 08:25:27,920 --> 08:25:32,478 of land use. The same principle that 9946 08:25:30,240 --> 08:25:33,360 drove Amsterdam to build under its 9947 08:25:32,478 --> 08:25:35,120 canals. 9948 08:25:33,360 --> 08:25:37,920 >> If I'm cycling and I pass by, for 9949 08:25:35,120 --> 08:25:39,280 example, a bakery, go I smell that 9950 08:25:37,920 --> 08:25:40,558 bakery and I go, "Oh, you know what? 9951 08:25:39,280 --> 08:25:42,320 Maybe I'm going to stop in, try 9952 08:25:40,558 --> 08:25:43,840 something, one of those products." Um, 9953 08:25:42,320 --> 08:25:45,120 you know, essentially become a patron of 9954 08:25:43,840 --> 08:25:46,638 that business. Whereas if I'm passing by 9955 08:25:45,120 --> 08:25:49,200 in a car, there's no chance of that 9956 08:25:46,638 --> 08:25:50,878 happening. And the other benefit is um 9957 08:25:49,200 --> 08:25:52,718 car parking also has this sort of 9958 08:25:50,878 --> 08:25:54,478 psychological effect on the streets and 9959 08:25:52,718 --> 08:25:56,080 the people that live there. Car parking 9960 08:25:54,478 --> 08:25:58,160 makes the space feel a lot more closed 9961 08:25:56,080 --> 08:25:59,600 in and a lot more cramped than bike 9962 08:25:58,160 --> 08:26:00,798 parking, which keeps the space very nice 9963 08:25:59,600 --> 08:26:02,798 and open. 9964 08:26:00,798 --> 08:26:05,600 >> Emerging businesses are shifting the 9965 08:26:02,798 --> 08:26:07,840 market from ownership to usership. 9966 08:26:05,600 --> 08:26:09,440 >> You know, our customers, they depend on 9967 08:26:07,840 --> 08:26:11,840 their bikes as a reliable way to get 9968 08:26:09,440 --> 08:26:14,318 around. And so we use an ownership as a 9969 08:26:11,840 --> 08:26:16,638 service model. So instead of owning the 9970 08:26:14,318 --> 08:26:18,478 asset yourself, um you subscribe to it 9971 08:26:16,638 --> 08:26:20,160 from us. And we think that's what 9972 08:26:18,478 --> 08:26:22,000 customers need in terms of reliable 9973 08:26:20,160 --> 08:26:24,638 day-to-day transportation. If you look 9974 08:26:22,000 --> 08:26:27,280 at something like Lime or Valon BC, they 9975 08:26:24,638 --> 08:26:29,680 will have that idle asset problem. Um 9976 08:26:27,280 --> 08:26:31,520 and certainly ownership obviously the 9977 08:26:29,680 --> 08:26:33,920 same thing. But with us, you know, 9978 08:26:31,520 --> 08:26:35,760 handling maintenance, battery swapping, 9979 08:26:33,920 --> 08:26:38,080 theft protection, insurance, all of 9980 08:26:35,760 --> 08:26:39,920 that. Um and yet still having access to 9981 08:26:38,080 --> 08:26:42,240 the bike anytime you want. It's your 9982 08:26:39,920 --> 08:26:44,718 bike. Subscription models like Swap 9983 08:26:42,240 --> 08:26:47,600 Fiats, which already dominate the Dutch 9984 08:26:44,718 --> 08:26:50,080 market, are landing in Valencia. These 9985 08:26:47,600 --> 08:26:52,160 companies treat the bike as a service, 9986 08:26:50,080 --> 08:26:53,440 covering all maintenance and repairs for 9987 08:26:52,160 --> 08:26:55,120 a monthly fee. 9988 08:26:53,440 --> 08:26:57,280 >> Ownership isn't necessarily a bad 9989 08:26:55,120 --> 08:26:58,958 investment, but I think um most 9990 08:26:57,280 --> 08:27:00,318 consumers are moving away from owning 9991 08:26:58,958 --> 08:27:02,160 things. You know, people are leasing 9992 08:27:00,318 --> 08:27:04,798 their cars, people are, you know, more 9993 08:27:02,160 --> 08:27:06,638 and more renting their homes. Um so for 9994 08:27:04,798 --> 08:27:08,878 us, a subscription model made sense. 9995 08:27:06,638 --> 08:27:11,120 That and affordability. This eliminates 9996 08:27:08,878 --> 08:27:14,080 the fear of theft and long-term 9997 08:27:11,120 --> 08:27:16,318 depreciation, turning the bicycle into a 9998 08:27:14,080 --> 08:27:19,600 predictable low- friction utility for 9999 08:27:16,318 --> 08:27:22,558 the modern worker. The impact extends to 10000 08:27:19,600 --> 08:27:24,558 logistics. In Valencia's historic 10001 08:27:22,558 --> 08:27:26,958 center, where large trucks are 10002 08:27:24,558 --> 08:27:29,440 increasingly restricted, last mile 10003 08:27:26,958 --> 08:27:31,840 delivery by cargo bike is becoming the 10004 08:27:29,440 --> 08:27:34,878 gold standard for efficiency. We are 10005 08:27:31,840 --> 08:27:37,120 witnessing the birth of microhubs, small 10006 08:27:34,878 --> 08:27:39,760 urban distribution centers that allow 10007 08:27:37,120 --> 08:27:42,718 for zero emission high-speed delivery in 10008 08:27:39,760 --> 08:27:45,040 highdensity zones. From the massive 10009 08:27:42,718 --> 08:27:46,958 underwater investments in Amsterdam to 10010 08:27:45,040 --> 08:27:50,240 the emerging subscription models in 10011 08:27:46,958 --> 08:27:53,200 Valencia, the message is clear. The 10012 08:27:50,240 --> 08:27:55,680 bicycle is no longer just a hobby. It is 10013 08:27:53,200 --> 08:27:57,520 a financial instrument and a spatial 10014 08:27:55,680 --> 08:27:58,638 optimizer. 10015 08:27:57,520 --> 08:28:01,120 You know, when we were speaking to 10016 08:27:58,638 --> 08:28:03,440 consumers about how we could get them to 10017 08:28:01,120 --> 08:28:05,280 switch from a car to an ebike, it was 10018 08:28:03,440 --> 08:28:07,520 all about convenience. So, it was about 10019 08:28:05,280 --> 08:28:09,520 this idea that, you know, with a car, 10020 08:28:07,520 --> 08:28:11,200 you can go point A to point B whenever 10021 08:28:09,520 --> 08:28:13,360 you want. You're not relying on public 10022 08:28:11,200 --> 08:28:15,440 transit or any of those things. But if 10023 08:28:13,360 --> 08:28:17,120 you need gas, you go to a gas station, 10024 08:28:15,440 --> 08:28:19,440 it takes 5 minutes, and you're back on 10025 08:28:17,120 --> 08:28:21,280 your way. People perceived ebikes as 10026 08:28:19,440 --> 08:28:22,718 inconvenient because, oh, what if I 10027 08:28:21,280 --> 08:28:24,878 forget to charge the battery? Then it's 10028 08:28:22,718 --> 08:28:27,040 just kind of a very heavy paper weight. 10029 08:28:24,878 --> 08:28:28,718 Um, but if we eliminate that need for 10030 08:28:27,040 --> 08:28:31,200 charging and people can just come and 10031 08:28:28,718 --> 08:28:33,200 collect a charge battery anytime, um, it 10032 08:28:31,200 --> 08:28:36,000 helps break that barrier to entry for 10033 08:28:33,200 --> 08:28:38,000 getting out of a car. By integrating 10034 08:28:36,000 --> 08:28:40,558 these new business models with public 10035 08:28:38,000 --> 08:28:43,520 planning, Valencia is securing its place 10036 08:28:40,558 --> 08:28:46,240 in the 21st century economy. Proving 10037 08:28:43,520 --> 08:28:49,680 that a dense functional city isn't just 10038 08:28:46,240 --> 08:28:51,600 a choice, it's a competitive necessity. 10039 08:28:49,680 --> 08:28:53,600 >> Ultimately, private car ownership is 10040 08:28:51,600 --> 08:28:55,120 going to become obsolete. Cities are 10041 08:28:53,600 --> 08:28:56,798 building for pedestrians. They're 10042 08:28:55,120 --> 08:28:59,360 building for cycling. They're building 10043 08:28:56,798 --> 08:29:01,360 for livability, not for cars. 10044 08:28:59,360 --> 08:29:03,520 >> Throughout this documentary, we have 10045 08:29:01,360 --> 08:29:06,558 seen the gears of a massive economic 10046 08:29:03,520 --> 08:29:09,440 machine. But there is a final myth we 10047 08:29:06,558 --> 08:29:11,920 must dismantle. The idea that cities 10048 08:29:09,440 --> 08:29:14,318 like Amsterdam or Valencia look like 10049 08:29:11,920 --> 08:29:16,878 this because their citizens are simply 10050 08:29:14,318 --> 08:29:20,638 different. History tells a different 10051 08:29:16,878 --> 08:29:22,558 story. In the 1970s, Amsterdam was on 10052 08:29:20,638 --> 08:29:25,520 the verge of becoming another car 10053 08:29:22,558 --> 08:29:28,240 ccentric congested metropolis. The 10054 08:29:25,520 --> 08:29:31,120 transition we see today wasn't a natural 10055 08:29:28,240 --> 08:29:33,760 evolution of culture. It was a hostile 10056 08:29:31,120 --> 08:29:36,638 takeover of urban space by policy and 10057 08:29:33,760 --> 08:29:39,440 planning. When a city reaches a certain 10058 08:29:36,638 --> 08:29:42,318 density, freedom of choice in transport 10059 08:29:39,440 --> 08:29:45,840 becomes a mathematical impossibility. 10060 08:29:42,318 --> 08:29:48,318 If everyone chooses a car, no one moves. 10061 08:29:45,840 --> 08:29:51,280 In this highstakes environment, planning 10062 08:29:48,318 --> 08:29:54,000 is not an option. It is the only way to 10063 08:29:51,280 --> 08:29:58,240 survive. What is the ultimate harvest of 10064 08:29:54,000 --> 08:30:00,558 this planning? It is the 3% GDP boost we 10065 08:29:58,240 --> 08:30:02,798 mentioned at the start. But it's also 10066 08:30:00,558 --> 08:30:06,000 found in the margins, 10067 08:30:02,798 --> 08:30:07,920 the fiscal savings by avoiding the need 10068 08:30:06,000 --> 08:30:10,318 for multi-billion euro highway 10069 08:30:07,920 --> 08:30:13,360 expansions and massive health care costs 10070 08:30:10,318 --> 08:30:16,318 related to sedentary lifestyles. 10071 08:30:13,360 --> 08:30:18,638 The resilience factor by creating a 10072 08:30:16,318 --> 08:30:21,440 circular metropolis that can process its 10073 08:30:18,638 --> 08:30:23,440 own waste at the Kruu depot and turn it 10074 08:30:21,440 --> 08:30:26,558 back into capital. 10075 08:30:23,440 --> 08:30:28,718 The talent magnet in the global war for 10076 08:30:26,558 --> 08:30:32,000 talent. Highly skilled workers choose 10077 08:30:28,718 --> 08:30:34,318 cities based on livability. Amsterdam's 10078 08:30:32,000 --> 08:30:36,958 bicycle infrastructure is its most 10079 08:30:34,318 --> 08:30:38,718 effective recruitment tool. We started 10080 08:30:36,958 --> 08:30:42,000 this journey looking at a simple 10081 08:30:38,718 --> 08:30:44,558 machine, two wheels and a frame. But as 10082 08:30:42,000 --> 08:30:47,520 we've seen, the bicycle in Amsterdam is 10083 08:30:44,558 --> 08:30:50,160 much more than a transport mode. It is a 10084 08:30:47,520 --> 08:30:53,120 financial instrument. It is a spatial 10085 08:30:50,160 --> 08:30:56,080 optimizer. It is the invisible engine 10086 08:30:53,120 --> 08:31:00,080 that allows a medieval city to function 10087 08:30:56,080 --> 08:31:03,040 as a 21st century economic powerhouse. 10088 08:31:00,080 --> 08:31:05,440 The €85 million spent on underwater 10089 08:31:03,040 --> 08:31:08,478 tunnels, the complex logistics of the 10090 08:31:05,440 --> 08:31:11,680 Kruquest Depo, or the new Mediterranean 10091 08:31:08,478 --> 08:31:14,958 bike lanes are not costs. They are 10092 08:31:11,680 --> 08:31:17,520 investments in resilience. 10093 08:31:14,958 --> 08:31:19,760 In a world of rising energy prices and 10094 08:31:17,520 --> 08:31:22,718 shrinking urban space, the Amsterdam 10095 08:31:19,760 --> 08:31:24,878 model offers a glimpse into the future. 10096 08:31:22,718 --> 08:31:27,600 It proves that the most sophisticated 10097 08:31:24,878 --> 08:31:30,398 technology isn't always a new gadget. 10098 08:31:27,600 --> 08:31:33,680 Sometimes it's the perfect integration 10099 08:31:30,398 --> 08:31:36,680 of an old idea into a new circular 10100 08:31:33,680 --> 08:31:36,680 world. 10101 08:32:52,080 --> 08:32:55,920 imagine for a moment, what if your 10102 08:32:54,080 --> 08:32:57,920 Bitcoin holdings could purchase more 10103 08:32:55,920 --> 08:33:00,398 than just everyday items like coffee or 10104 08:32:57,920 --> 08:33:02,478 the latest gadgets? What if that digital 10105 08:33:00,398 --> 08:33:05,040 currency sitting in your wallet could 10106 08:33:02,478 --> 08:33:07,040 actually buy you a house or perhaps even 10107 08:33:05,040 --> 08:33:10,040 an entire commercial building? real 10108 08:33:07,040 --> 08:33:10,040 estate. 10109 08:33:14,798 --> 08:33:17,798 Bitcoin. 10110 08:33:19,680 --> 08:33:23,760 Welcome to the fascinating and rapidly 10111 08:33:21,680 --> 08:33:25,520 evolving world of crypto real estate, 10112 08:33:23,760 --> 08:33:30,120 where digital assets are being 10113 08:33:25,520 --> 08:33:30,120 transformed into tangible property. 10114 08:33:34,000 --> 08:33:37,200 Today, we're taking a deep dive into the 10115 08:33:36,000 --> 08:33:39,200 revolutionary intersection of 10116 08:33:37,200 --> 08:33:41,680 cryptocurrency and property ownership, 10117 08:33:39,200 --> 08:33:44,000 examining in detail how Bitcoin is 10118 08:33:41,680 --> 08:33:45,920 successfully transforming what were once 10119 08:33:44,000 --> 08:33:48,080 purely digital coins into tangible 10120 08:33:45,920 --> 08:33:49,680 physical real estate investments. 10121 08:33:48,080 --> 08:33:51,680 Whether you're an experienced crypto 10122 08:33:49,680 --> 08:33:53,600 investor looking to diversify your 10123 08:33:51,680 --> 08:33:55,200 portfolio or simply someone who's 10124 08:33:53,600 --> 08:33:57,440 curious about emerging trends in 10125 08:33:55,200 --> 08:33:59,360 property markets, this is an in-depth 10126 08:33:57,440 --> 08:34:00,958 look at how the landscape and future of 10127 08:33:59,360 --> 08:34:03,040 real estate transactions is 10128 08:34:00,958 --> 08:34:05,680 fundamentally evolving and changing 10129 08:34:03,040 --> 08:34:07,680 before our eyes. 10130 08:34:05,680 --> 08:34:09,600 The financial world is in constant 10131 08:34:07,680 --> 08:34:11,680 transformation, but in this decade, 10132 08:34:09,600 --> 08:34:15,040 digitalization has accelerated that 10133 08:34:11,680 --> 08:34:17,920 change faster than anyone imagined. 10134 08:34:15,040 --> 08:34:20,080 Today, money, investments, and assets 10135 08:34:17,920 --> 08:34:22,798 flow through codes silent, transparent, 10136 08:34:20,080 --> 08:34:25,600 and borderless. Cryptocurrencies led by 10137 08:34:22,798 --> 08:34:27,520 Bitcoin mark the beginning of a new era. 10138 08:34:25,600 --> 08:34:29,360 They shook the foundations of the global 10139 08:34:27,520 --> 08:34:32,160 financial system, sparking both 10140 08:34:29,360 --> 08:34:34,878 excitement and skepticism. Yet, behind 10141 08:34:32,160 --> 08:34:39,000 that phenomenon emerged something even 10142 08:34:34,878 --> 08:34:39,000 deeper. Tokenization. 10143 08:34:41,200 --> 08:34:44,200 Contraos. 10144 08:35:00,000 --> 08:35:03,558 Real world assets. 10145 08:35:23,680 --> 08:35:25,760 Moment. 10146 08:35:35,920 --> 08:35:39,920 tokenization brings. So it's the most 10147 08:35:37,440 --> 08:35:41,520 suitable, most modern ledger technology 10148 08:35:39,920 --> 08:35:42,240 uh ideal for modernizing capital 10149 08:35:41,520 --> 08:35:45,440 markets. 10150 08:35:42,240 --> 08:35:47,440 >> The idea is simple, the impact enormous. 10151 08:35:45,440 --> 08:35:50,080 Each token represents a fraction of an 10152 08:35:47,440 --> 08:35:52,080 asset, a share, a bond, a property, or 10153 08:35:50,080 --> 08:35:54,160 even a work of art. All recorded on a 10154 08:35:52,080 --> 08:35:57,160 blockchain, a global tamper proof 10155 08:35:54,160 --> 08:35:57,160 ledger. 10156 08:36:14,318 --> 08:36:17,718 Smart contracts. 10157 08:36:32,000 --> 08:36:35,920 We believe the next step going forward 10158 08:36:33,840 --> 08:36:39,600 will be the tokenization of financial 10159 08:36:35,920 --> 08:36:41,920 assets. And that means every stock, 10160 08:36:39,600 --> 08:36:44,718 every bond will have its own basically 10161 08:36:41,920 --> 08:36:47,120 QIP. It'll be on one general ledger. 10162 08:36:44,718 --> 08:36:49,600 >> In other words, a token isn't just an 10163 08:36:47,120 --> 08:36:52,000 asset. It's a digital entry in a new 10164 08:36:49,600 --> 08:36:54,318 kind of ledger that is rewriting how 10165 08:36:52,000 --> 08:36:56,558 capital markets keep their books. 10166 08:36:54,318 --> 08:36:58,080 Investment in tokenized real estates 10167 08:36:56,558 --> 08:37:00,318 represents one of the most recent 10168 08:36:58,080 --> 08:37:02,558 advancements in the property industry. 10169 08:37:00,318 --> 08:37:05,040 Tokenization enables houses and 10170 08:37:02,558 --> 08:37:09,080 apartments to be divided and sold and 10171 08:37:05,040 --> 08:37:09,080 numerous smaller units. 10172 08:37:18,318 --> 08:37:21,318 Fraction 10173 08:37:55,440 --> 08:37:59,760 small programs act like a bridge between 10174 08:37:57,280 --> 08:38:01,600 a property and online trading platform. 10175 08:37:59,760 --> 08:38:03,040 Hence, tokens create a digital 10176 08:38:01,600 --> 08:38:07,398 representation of a property, 10177 08:38:03,040 --> 08:38:07,398 facilitating its digital transfer. 10178 08:38:08,878 --> 08:38:12,798 The process of purchasing a property is 10179 08:38:11,040 --> 08:38:15,200 still associated with significant 10180 08:38:12,798 --> 08:38:17,600 bureaucracy, lengthy procedures, and 10181 08:38:15,200 --> 08:38:20,958 subsequent high costs. 10182 08:38:17,600 --> 08:38:23,360 So what exactly is crypto real estate? 10183 08:38:20,958 --> 08:38:25,600 At its core, the term refers to any real 10184 08:38:23,360 --> 08:38:28,478 estate transaction where cryptocurrency 10185 08:38:25,600 --> 08:38:30,958 plays a major role either as a direct 10186 08:38:28,478 --> 08:38:35,240 form of payment, a converted asset, or 10187 08:38:30,958 --> 08:38:35,240 collateral for purchasing property. 10188 08:38:38,160 --> 08:38:41,398 real estate, 10189 08:38:42,718 --> 08:38:45,718 Bitcoins. 10190 08:39:02,638 --> 08:39:06,840 Crypto reference loans. 10191 08:39:26,478 --> 08:39:31,440 But the concept goes even deeper than 10192 08:39:29,200 --> 08:39:33,360 that. Crypto real estate includes buying 10193 08:39:31,440 --> 08:39:35,520 a home directly with Bitcoin or other 10194 08:39:33,360 --> 08:39:38,558 cryptocurrencies, using stable coins 10195 08:39:35,520 --> 08:39:41,520 like USDT or USDC for a more stable 10196 08:39:38,558 --> 08:39:43,440 purchase, converting crypto into fiat at 10197 08:39:41,520 --> 08:39:44,958 closing, taking out loans backed by 10198 08:39:43,440 --> 08:39:46,638 cryptocurrency to purchase real 10199 08:39:44,958 --> 08:39:48,638 property, tokenized real estate where 10200 08:39:46,638 --> 08:39:50,240 ownership is fractionalized into digital 10201 08:39:48,638 --> 08:39:51,920 token, blockchain based property 10202 08:39:50,240 --> 08:39:54,920 records, and smart contract driven 10203 08:39:51,920 --> 08:39:54,920 transactions. 10204 08:40:07,040 --> 08:40:10,440 Stable coins, 10205 08:40:23,680 --> 08:40:27,080 stable coins. 10206 08:40:35,840 --> 08:40:41,318 EMT E A R T 10207 08:40:50,558 --> 08:40:53,280 USDT 10208 08:40:57,360 --> 08:41:00,360 USDC. 10209 08:41:12,878 --> 08:41:15,878 US 10210 08:41:20,160 --> 08:41:23,638 stable coinry. 10211 08:41:56,798 --> 08:41:59,798 Fiat 10212 08:42:00,558 --> 08:42:03,558 laser. 10213 08:42:06,798 --> 08:42:09,798 coins. 10214 08:42:15,920 --> 08:42:20,958 It's an evolution in how value moves 10215 08:42:18,080 --> 08:42:22,718 around the world and for the first time 10216 08:42:20,958 --> 08:42:26,840 digital wealth is becoming a direct 10217 08:42:22,718 --> 08:42:26,840 pathway to physical ownership. 10218 08:42:28,478 --> 08:42:32,240 To understand how we arrived at this 10219 08:42:30,398 --> 08:42:34,798 moment, we need to step back and look at 10220 08:42:32,240 --> 08:42:36,878 the timeline. Bitcoin launched in 2009 10221 08:42:34,798 --> 08:42:38,798 as a peer-to-peer digital alternative to 10222 08:42:36,878 --> 08:42:40,558 money. In its early years, the idea of 10223 08:42:38,798 --> 08:42:42,958 using Bitcoin to buy real estate was 10224 08:42:40,558 --> 08:42:45,200 laughable. But Bitcoin grew, first 10225 08:42:42,958 --> 08:42:47,680 crossing $1, then a hundred, then a 10226 08:42:45,200 --> 08:42:50,318 thousand, then tens of thousands. A new 10227 08:42:47,680 --> 08:42:52,318 wave of wealth was created. Suddenly, 10228 08:42:50,318 --> 08:42:54,478 early adopters who once bought pizza 10229 08:42:52,318 --> 08:42:57,520 with Bitcoin now had enough digital 10230 08:42:54,478 --> 08:42:59,840 value to buy entire homes, and sellers 10231 08:42:57,520 --> 08:43:01,840 began paying attention. The first public 10232 08:42:59,840 --> 08:43:05,040 record of a property purchased fully in 10233 08:43:01,840 --> 08:43:07,200 Bitcoin dates back to 2017. From there, 10234 08:43:05,040 --> 08:43:09,760 the trend spread to luxury markets, 10235 08:43:07,200 --> 08:43:12,080 Miami, Los Angeles, New York, Dubai, and 10236 08:43:09,760 --> 08:43:13,920 London. Developers began marketing 10237 08:43:12,080 --> 08:43:16,718 properties specifically to crypto 10238 08:43:13,920 --> 08:43:19,520 buyers. Brokers started specializing in 10239 08:43:16,718 --> 08:43:21,040 crypto transactions. Escrow companies 10240 08:43:19,520 --> 08:43:22,878 adapted. 10241 08:43:21,040 --> 08:43:26,240 Even governments began studying 10242 08:43:22,878 --> 08:43:28,718 blockchainbased property registries. 10243 08:43:26,240 --> 08:43:31,200 Buying real estate with Bitcoin isn't 10244 08:43:28,718 --> 08:43:33,200 science fiction. Some sellers now accept 10245 08:43:31,200 --> 08:43:35,120 crypto directly, while others work 10246 08:43:33,200 --> 08:43:38,318 through brokers who convert Bitcoin into 10247 08:43:35,120 --> 08:43:40,478 local currency. The process is faster, 10248 08:43:38,318 --> 08:43:42,798 borderless, and sometimes even tax 10249 08:43:40,478 --> 08:43:45,200 efficient if you know the rules. Things 10250 08:43:42,798 --> 08:43:48,558 that sounded impossible in 2010 became 10251 08:43:45,200 --> 08:43:50,878 normal by 2020. And now in the 2020s, 10252 08:43:48,558 --> 08:43:53,280 cryptocurrency is becoming a serious 10253 08:43:50,878 --> 08:43:55,200 player in global real estate. The crypto 10254 08:43:53,280 --> 08:43:57,440 boom has created a new class of 10255 08:43:55,200 --> 08:44:00,000 investors. High- netw worth individuals 10256 08:43:57,440 --> 08:44:02,638 want to diversify, and real estate is a 10257 08:44:00,000 --> 08:44:05,440 safe, tangible asset. From luxury homes 10258 08:44:02,638 --> 08:44:07,840 in Miami to condos in Dubai, Bitcoin 10259 08:44:05,440 --> 08:44:09,760 buyers are making their mark. Let's look 10260 08:44:07,840 --> 08:44:11,600 at a few real world examples to 10261 08:44:09,760 --> 08:44:15,280 understand how crypto real estate works 10262 08:44:11,600 --> 08:44:17,760 in practice. Case study one. In 2021, a 10263 08:44:15,280 --> 08:44:20,240 luxury penthouse at Artee by Antonio 10264 08:44:17,760 --> 08:44:23,680 Satario in Surfside, Florida made 10265 08:44:20,240 --> 08:44:26,718 history. The property sold for 22.5 10266 08:44:23,680 --> 08:44:28,718 million paid entirely in cryptocurrency. 10267 08:44:26,718 --> 08:44:30,958 The largest publicly known real estate 10268 08:44:28,718 --> 08:44:33,200 transaction completed using digital 10269 08:44:30,958 --> 08:44:35,200 assets at the time. A developer's 10270 08:44:33,200 --> 08:44:37,760 decision to accept cryptocurrency had 10271 08:44:35,200 --> 08:44:39,680 paid off. The sale came just weeks after 10272 08:44:37,760 --> 08:44:41,520 the developer announced it would begin 10273 08:44:39,680 --> 08:44:43,040 accepting cryptocurrency payments 10274 08:44:41,520 --> 08:44:44,958 through a partnership with blockchain 10275 08:44:43,040 --> 08:44:46,798 platform Solid Block. According to 10276 08:44:44,958 --> 08:44:49,040 Forbes, the deal demonstrated that 10277 08:44:46,798 --> 08:44:51,840 crypto was no longer just a speculative 10278 08:44:49,040 --> 08:44:54,398 asset. It had become a viable method for 10279 08:44:51,840 --> 08:44:57,120 purchasing high-end real estate. Hey 10280 08:44:54,398 --> 08:44:59,440 Study 2 in Dubai, one of the earliest 10281 08:44:57,120 --> 08:45:01,920 large-scale experiments with crypto real 10282 08:44:59,440 --> 08:45:04,240 estate unfolded at Aston Plaza and 10283 08:45:01,920 --> 08:45:06,958 Residences located in Dubai Science 10284 08:45:04,240 --> 08:45:08,638 Park. Marketed as one of the first major 10285 08:45:06,958 --> 08:45:11,200 developments in the region to accept 10286 08:45:08,638 --> 08:45:13,840 Bitcoin, the project offered apartments 10287 08:45:11,200 --> 08:45:15,840 priced directly in cryptocurrency, 10288 08:45:13,840 --> 08:45:18,558 buyers were able to commit funds using 10289 08:45:15,840 --> 08:45:20,478 Bitcoin, capturing global attention. But 10290 08:45:18,558 --> 08:45:23,360 the story also revealed the risks of 10291 08:45:20,478 --> 08:45:26,878 innovation. Originally advertised as a 10292 08:45:23,360 --> 08:45:29,040 $325 million development, the project 10293 08:45:26,878 --> 08:45:31,440 later stalled and its completion became 10294 08:45:29,040 --> 08:45:34,318 uncertain. While crypto payments were 10295 08:45:31,440 --> 08:45:36,478 accepted, it remains unclear whether all 10296 08:45:34,318 --> 08:45:38,798 buyers ultimately received finished 10297 08:45:36,478 --> 08:45:41,360 properties. The case highlighted both 10298 08:45:38,798 --> 08:45:44,160 the promise and the pitfalls of early 10299 08:45:41,360 --> 08:45:47,520 crypto adoption real estate. Case study 10300 08:45:44,160 --> 08:45:49,440 3. In 2025, Spain recorded one of its 10301 08:45:47,520 --> 08:45:52,000 first officially reported property sales 10302 08:45:49,440 --> 08:45:54,718 completed with Bitcoin. A property in 10303 08:45:52,000 --> 08:45:56,638 Madrid valued at approximately 1.5 10304 08:45:54,718 --> 08:45:58,878 million of euros was purchased by an 10305 08:45:56,638 --> 08:46:00,798 international buyer using Bitcoin. The 10306 08:45:58,878 --> 08:46:03,840 transaction followed standard real 10307 08:46:00,798 --> 08:46:06,240 estate procedures including escrow legal 10308 08:46:03,840 --> 08:46:08,638 compliance and the conversion of crypto 10309 08:46:06,240 --> 08:46:10,398 into euros for the seller. It marked a 10310 08:46:08,638 --> 08:46:12,080 significant milestone showing that 10311 08:46:10,398 --> 08:46:14,398 cryptocurrency could integrate into 10312 08:46:12,080 --> 08:46:16,958 traditional real estate systems even in 10313 08:46:14,398 --> 08:46:19,600 highly regulated European markets. Case 10314 08:46:16,958 --> 08:46:22,160 study four in the United States crypto 10315 08:46:19,600 --> 08:46:24,718 adoption hasn't been limited to coastal 10316 08:46:22,160 --> 08:46:27,120 tech hubs. An agent with Sabis 10317 08:46:24,718 --> 08:46:29,920 International Realy in Delaware reported 10318 08:46:27,120 --> 08:46:32,798 selling a luxury property for $175 10319 08:46:29,920 --> 08:46:34,798 million paid in Bitcoin. Believed to be 10320 08:46:32,798 --> 08:46:36,558 one of the state's first major real 10321 08:46:34,798 --> 08:46:38,798 estate transactions involving 10322 08:46:36,558 --> 08:46:40,798 cryptocurrency, the sale was widely 10323 08:46:38,798 --> 08:46:42,798 publicized as a local milestone, 10324 08:46:40,798 --> 08:46:44,798 signaling that crypto real estate was 10325 08:46:42,798 --> 08:46:49,478 beginning to reach beyond niche markets 10326 08:46:44,798 --> 08:46:49,478 and into everyday property transactions. 10327 08:46:50,240 --> 08:46:53,638 Genius Act. 10328 08:47:05,680 --> 08:47:09,718 different stable coins. 10329 08:47:48,160 --> 08:47:51,478 Maximum. foro. 10330 08:48:41,120 --> 08:48:45,680 Taken together, these cases tell a 10331 08:48:43,120 --> 08:48:47,920 larger story, one of experimentation, 10332 08:48:45,680 --> 08:48:50,240 success, setbacks, and growing 10333 08:48:47,920 --> 08:48:52,478 legitimacy. Crypto real estate is no 10334 08:48:50,240 --> 08:48:54,638 longer hypothetical. It's happening 10335 08:48:52,478 --> 08:48:58,478 transaction by transaction across the 10336 08:48:54,638 --> 08:49:00,318 globe. But it's not all smooth sailing. 10337 08:48:58,478 --> 08:49:02,718 Crypto's value can be volatile. 10338 08:49:00,318 --> 08:49:05,200 Regulations vary by country, and tax 10339 08:49:02,718 --> 08:49:07,520 implications can be tricky. First, 10340 08:49:05,200 --> 08:49:09,680 volatility. Bitcoin and other 10341 08:49:07,520 --> 08:49:11,440 cryptocurrencies can move dramatically, 10342 08:49:09,680 --> 08:49:13,360 sometimes losing or gaining a third of 10343 08:49:11,440 --> 08:49:15,680 their value in weeks. For buyers who 10344 08:49:13,360 --> 08:49:19,040 convert at closing, rapid swings can 10345 08:49:15,680 --> 08:49:22,240 erase gains or spike costs in hours. 10346 08:49:19,040 --> 08:49:24,318 Second, transaction mechanics and title. 10347 08:49:22,240 --> 08:49:26,318 Even when a seller accepts crypto, most 10348 08:49:24,318 --> 08:49:27,840 governments and land registries require 10349 08:49:26,318 --> 08:49:30,160 deeds to be issued in the local 10350 08:49:27,840 --> 08:49:32,398 currency. That usually means an 10351 08:49:30,160 --> 08:49:34,318 intermediary converts crypto to fiat 10352 08:49:32,398 --> 08:49:36,478 before the legal title is registered, 10353 08:49:34,318 --> 08:49:38,240 adding counterparty risk and an extra 10354 08:49:36,478 --> 08:49:41,120 step that can delay and complicate 10355 08:49:38,240 --> 08:49:42,798 settlements. Third, taxes. In many 10356 08:49:41,120 --> 08:49:44,958 jurisdictions, authorities treat crypto 10357 08:49:42,798 --> 08:49:46,798 as property, not currency, which makes 10358 08:49:44,958 --> 08:49:49,120 nearly every transfer a taxable event. 10359 08:49:46,798 --> 08:49:51,280 That includes sales, exchanges, and 10360 08:49:49,120 --> 08:49:53,520 sometimes even payments for goods or 10361 08:49:51,280 --> 08:49:55,760 services. Buyers and sellers must track 10362 08:49:53,520 --> 08:49:57,920 cost basis, gains, and report the 10363 08:49:55,760 --> 08:50:00,478 transactions accurately or face audits 10364 08:49:57,920 --> 08:50:02,318 and penalties. Fourth, lending and 10365 08:50:00,478 --> 08:50:03,920 counterparty risk. Cryptoback lending 10366 08:50:02,318 --> 08:50:05,840 exploded in the previous market cycle, 10367 08:50:03,920 --> 08:50:08,000 but it ended with high-profile collapses 10368 08:50:05,840 --> 08:50:09,920 and bankruptcies. When platforms fail, 10369 08:50:08,000 --> 08:50:11,840 borrowers and depositors can lose access 10370 08:50:09,920 --> 08:50:13,440 to funds. Collateral can be liquidated 10371 08:50:11,840 --> 08:50:15,280 at a loss and promise liquidity 10372 08:50:13,440 --> 08:50:17,200 disappears, a danger for anyone relying 10373 08:50:15,280 --> 08:50:19,360 on thirdparty services to bridge crypto 10374 08:50:17,200 --> 08:50:20,638 and property purchases. 10375 08:50:19,360 --> 08:50:23,200 Fifth, compliance and 10376 08:50:20,638 --> 08:50:24,878 anti-moneyaundering rules. Regulators 10377 08:50:23,200 --> 08:50:26,718 and global bodies have tightened rules 10378 08:50:24,878 --> 08:50:28,958 around virtual assets to prevent illicit 10379 08:50:26,718 --> 08:50:31,360 flows. Real estate transactions are high 10380 08:50:28,958 --> 08:50:33,040 on that list, meaning additional KYC, 10381 08:50:31,360 --> 08:50:35,120 source of fund checks, and reporting 10382 08:50:33,040 --> 08:50:36,958 requirements. Failure to meet these 10383 08:50:35,120 --> 08:50:39,280 standards can stall a sale, trigger 10384 08:50:36,958 --> 08:50:42,398 investigations, or expose participants 10385 08:50:39,280 --> 08:50:44,638 to legal liability. Sixth, operational 10386 08:50:42,398 --> 08:50:46,478 and technical risk. Crypto transactions 10387 08:50:44,638 --> 08:50:48,080 are irreversible. A single wrong 10388 08:50:46,478 --> 08:50:49,680 character in a wallet address or a 10389 08:50:48,080 --> 08:50:51,440 fishing attack on an email with wiring 10390 08:50:49,680 --> 08:50:52,878 instructions can send millions to the 10391 08:50:51,440 --> 08:50:54,718 wrong place, and there's no bank to 10392 08:50:52,878 --> 08:50:56,638 reverse the transfer. Seventh, 10393 08:50:54,718 --> 08:50:58,638 technology risk, smart contracts, 10394 08:50:56,638 --> 08:51:00,558 tokenization, and new platforms bring 10395 08:50:58,638 --> 08:51:02,318 innovation, but also software bugs and 10396 08:51:00,558 --> 08:51:04,478 design flaws. A poorly written smart 10397 08:51:02,318 --> 08:51:06,798 contract or an unodudited tokenization 10398 08:51:04,478 --> 08:51:09,600 platform can freeze assets, misallocate 10399 08:51:06,798 --> 08:51:12,160 ownership shares or enable exploits. 10400 08:51:09,600 --> 08:51:13,840 Finally, market and reputational risk. 10401 08:51:12,160 --> 08:51:15,520 Developers and brokers who accept crypto 10402 08:51:13,840 --> 08:51:17,360 can attract new buyers, but they also 10403 08:51:15,520 --> 08:51:19,120 take on greater scrutiny, regulatory 10404 08:51:17,360 --> 08:51:20,878 compliance burdens, and the risk that 10405 08:51:19,120 --> 08:51:23,120 projects promoted with crypto funding 10406 08:51:20,878 --> 08:51:26,160 may underdel, stall, or become entangled 10407 08:51:23,120 --> 08:51:28,478 in legal disputes. In short, crypto can 10408 08:51:26,160 --> 08:51:31,040 speed and globalize property deals, but 10409 08:51:28,478 --> 08:51:33,680 it also layers on volatility, regulatory 10410 08:51:31,040 --> 08:51:35,760 complexity, and new failure modes. For 10411 08:51:33,680 --> 08:51:38,080 buyers, sellers, and advisers, the 10412 08:51:35,760 --> 08:51:39,920 lesson is clear. Proceed with rigorous 10413 08:51:38,080 --> 08:51:42,478 legal counsel, hardened custody 10414 08:51:39,920 --> 08:51:44,478 practices, and transparent compliance. 10415 08:51:42,478 --> 08:51:47,478 The opportunity is real, but so are the 10416 08:51:44,478 --> 08:51:47,478 pitfalls. 10417 08:52:06,160 --> 08:52:11,200 Still, the opportunities are huge. A new 10418 08:52:09,120 --> 08:52:13,600 generation of buyers is turning digital 10419 08:52:11,200 --> 08:52:16,478 value into physical assets. For many, 10420 08:52:13,600 --> 08:52:18,798 Bitcoin isn't just a currency. It's a 10421 08:52:16,478 --> 08:52:20,080 gateway to ownership. 10422 08:52:18,798 --> 08:52:22,318 One of the biggest shifts is 10423 08:52:20,080 --> 08:52:24,478 tokenization. Instead of buying an 10424 08:52:22,318 --> 08:52:26,398 entire building, investors can now 10425 08:52:24,478 --> 08:52:28,958 purchase fractional ownership through 10426 08:52:26,398 --> 08:52:30,638 blockchainbased tokens. This lowers the 10427 08:52:28,958 --> 08:52:32,638 barrier to entry, allowing smaller 10428 08:52:30,638 --> 08:52:34,478 investors to access real estate markets 10429 08:52:32,638 --> 08:52:38,120 that were once reserved for institutions 10430 08:52:34,478 --> 08:52:38,120 and the ultra wealthy. 10431 08:52:54,718 --> 08:52:56,878 Fraction. 10432 08:53:22,718 --> 08:53:27,600 Tokenization also brings liquidity to an 10433 08:53:25,600 --> 08:53:30,000 industry that has traditionally been 10434 08:53:27,600 --> 08:53:32,398 slow and illquid. Real estate 10435 08:53:30,000 --> 08:53:34,558 transactions can take months. Tokenized 10436 08:53:32,398 --> 08:53:37,280 shares can potentially be transferred in 10437 08:53:34,558 --> 08:53:39,520 minutes. Crypto is also reshaping 10438 08:53:37,280 --> 08:53:41,680 crossber real estate. International 10439 08:53:39,520 --> 08:53:44,478 buyers often face currency controls, 10440 08:53:41,680 --> 08:53:46,478 wire delays, and banking restrictions. 10441 08:53:44,478 --> 08:53:48,398 Cryptocurrency allows capital to move 10442 08:53:46,478 --> 08:53:50,160 globally with fewer friction points, 10443 08:53:48,398 --> 08:53:52,240 opening markets to buyers who were 10444 08:53:50,160 --> 08:53:53,920 previously locked out. As a result, 10445 08:53:52,240 --> 08:53:55,520 cities that embrace crypto-friendly 10446 08:53:53,920 --> 08:53:57,360 regulations are attracting global 10447 08:53:55,520 --> 08:53:58,878 capital faster. Developers are 10448 08:53:57,360 --> 08:54:00,718 responding by marketing properties 10449 08:53:58,878 --> 08:54:03,280 directly to crypto holders, not as a 10450 08:54:00,718 --> 08:54:05,120 novelty, but as a strategy. Governments 10451 08:54:03,280 --> 08:54:07,120 are also exploring blockchain for land 10452 08:54:05,120 --> 08:54:09,200 registries and property records. 10453 08:54:07,120 --> 08:54:11,120 Immutable ledgers can reduce disputes, 10454 08:54:09,200 --> 08:54:13,520 prevent title fraud, and provide 10455 08:54:11,120 --> 08:54:15,040 permanent verifiable ownership history, 10456 08:54:13,520 --> 08:54:17,280 especially in regions where property 10457 08:54:15,040 --> 08:54:19,120 rights are difficult to enforce. This 10458 08:54:17,280 --> 08:54:21,040 isn't a complete replacement of 10459 08:54:19,120 --> 08:54:23,360 traditional real estate. It's a 10460 08:54:21,040 --> 08:54:25,760 transformation. Crypto doesn't eliminate 10461 08:54:23,360 --> 08:54:27,520 the fundamentals. Location, demand, and 10462 08:54:25,760 --> 08:54:29,360 due diligence still matter. But it 10463 08:54:27,520 --> 08:54:31,520 changes how value moves, how quickly 10464 08:54:29,360 --> 08:54:33,520 deals happen, and who gets access. So, 10465 08:54:31,520 --> 08:54:35,680 what does all of this mean for you as an 10466 08:54:33,520 --> 08:54:37,360 investor or future home buyer? It means 10467 08:54:35,680 --> 08:54:39,280 new opportunities are emerging. 10468 08:54:37,360 --> 08:54:41,600 Opportunities to leverage your crypto 10469 08:54:39,280 --> 08:54:44,240 holdings, opportunities to participate 10470 08:54:41,600 --> 08:54:46,638 in international markets more easily, 10471 08:54:44,240 --> 08:54:50,120 opportunities to acquire property faster 10472 08:54:46,638 --> 08:54:50,120 and more efficiently. 10473 08:54:55,600 --> 08:54:58,760 real estate. 10474 08:55:11,520 --> 08:55:14,520 Fore 10475 08:55:40,398 --> 08:55:42,798 real estate. 10476 08:55:51,760 --> 08:55:54,080 or 10477 08:56:20,398 --> 08:56:23,558 real estate. 10478 08:56:29,680 --> 08:56:34,958 But like any emerging space, education 10479 08:56:32,638 --> 08:56:37,520 is key. Working with crypto-friendly 10480 08:56:34,958 --> 08:56:39,600 agents, attorneys, and escrow companies 10481 08:56:37,520 --> 08:56:41,680 is essential. 10482 08:56:39,600 --> 08:56:43,360 Understanding your local regulations is 10483 08:56:41,680 --> 08:56:45,120 crucial, and ensuring the security of 10484 08:56:43,360 --> 08:56:48,120 your crypto wallet is absolutely 10485 08:56:45,120 --> 08:56:48,120 non-negotiable. 10486 08:56:59,760 --> 08:57:03,718 sophistic. 10487 08:57:00,718 --> 08:57:03,718 for 10488 08:57:29,280 --> 08:57:33,160 the experenc. 10489 08:58:01,120 --> 08:58:04,120 Fundamentas 10490 08:58:29,120 --> 08:58:31,280 physical. 10491 08:58:51,920 --> 08:58:56,398 The cryptocurrency market has entered 10492 08:58:53,920 --> 08:58:59,280 the opening days of 2026 with renewed 10493 08:58:56,398 --> 08:59:01,680 momentum after a volatile end to 2025. 10494 08:58:59,280 --> 08:59:03,200 5. Prices across major digital assets 10495 08:59:01,680 --> 08:59:05,200 have moved sharply higher, drawing 10496 08:59:03,200 --> 08:59:07,520 attention from both retail traders and 10497 08:59:05,200 --> 08:59:09,760 institutional investors. In early 10498 08:59:07,520 --> 08:59:12,160 January, the total cryptocurrency market 10499 08:59:09,760 --> 08:59:14,558 capitalization climbed to around $3.2 10500 08:59:12,160 --> 08:59:16,558 trillion, according to aggregated data 10501 08:59:14,558 --> 08:59:18,240 from major market trackers. This 10502 08:59:16,558 --> 08:59:20,798 represents a meaningful rebound from 10503 08:59:18,240 --> 08:59:22,558 late 2025 levels with the market adding 10504 08:59:20,798 --> 08:59:24,478 hundreds of billions of dollars in value 10505 08:59:22,558 --> 08:59:26,398 over a relatively short period. While 10506 08:59:24,478 --> 08:59:27,920 exact figures vary, the direction is 10507 08:59:26,398 --> 08:59:29,520 clear. Capital has returned to the 10508 08:59:27,920 --> 08:59:31,360 crypto market at the start of the year. 10509 08:59:29,520 --> 08:59:33,840 At the center of this move is Bitcoin, 10510 08:59:31,360 --> 08:59:36,160 which rallied toward the $93,000 level 10511 08:59:33,840 --> 08:59:38,160 in the first week of January. As the 10512 08:59:36,160 --> 08:59:40,398 largest and most influential digital 10513 08:59:38,160 --> 08:59:42,000 asset, Bitcoin continues to act as the 10514 08:59:40,398 --> 08:59:43,360 market's primary anchor, and its 10515 08:59:42,000 --> 08:59:45,520 strength has helped lift sentiment 10516 08:59:43,360 --> 08:59:47,840 across the broader ecosystem. 10517 08:59:45,520 --> 08:59:50,240 Historically, strong Bitcoin performance 10518 08:59:47,840 --> 08:59:51,600 has often preceded periods of increased 10519 08:59:50,240 --> 08:59:54,478 activity in alternative 10520 08:59:51,600 --> 08:59:56,398 cryptocurrencies, and early 2026 appears 10521 08:59:54,478 --> 08:59:58,080 to be following a similar pattern. 10522 08:59:56,398 --> 08:59:59,680 Another key factor has been renewed 10523 08:59:58,080 --> 09:00:01,360 institutional participation, 10524 08:59:59,680 --> 09:00:04,000 particularly through spot Bitcoin and 10525 09:00:01,360 --> 09:00:06,398 Ethereum exchange traded funds. Reports 10526 09:00:04,000 --> 09:00:08,080 from early January indicate notable ETF 10527 09:00:06,398 --> 09:00:09,920 inflows, suggesting that traditional 10528 09:00:08,080 --> 09:00:12,000 investors are once again increasing 10529 09:00:09,920 --> 09:00:13,680 exposure to digital assets. The current 10530 09:00:12,000 --> 09:00:15,600 momentum appears to be driven by a 10531 09:00:13,680 --> 09:00:18,558 combination of factors, including 10532 09:00:15,600 --> 09:00:21,360 Bitcoin's price recovery, increased ETF 10533 09:00:18,558 --> 09:00:22,878 inflows, improved global risk sentiment, 10534 09:00:21,360 --> 09:00:25,280 expectations of more supportive 10535 09:00:22,878 --> 09:00:27,760 regulatory and macroeconomic conditions. 10536 09:00:25,280 --> 09:00:29,520 As 2026 begins, the cryptocurrency 10537 09:00:27,760 --> 09:00:31,760 market finds itself at a familiar 10538 09:00:29,520 --> 09:00:33,440 crossroads. Renewed optimism balanced 10539 09:00:31,760 --> 09:00:35,040 against persistent uncertainty. Whether 10540 09:00:33,440 --> 09:00:36,878 this earlier strength marks the 10541 09:00:35,040 --> 09:00:38,558 beginning of a sustained trend or simply 10542 09:00:36,878 --> 09:00:40,558 another chapter in crypto's cyclical 10543 09:00:38,558 --> 09:00:43,680 nature is a question that only time will 10544 09:00:40,558 --> 09:00:46,398 answer. For now, the message from the 10545 09:00:43,680 --> 09:00:48,398 market is clear. Crypto is once again 10546 09:00:46,398 --> 09:00:50,080 commanding attention. If you approach 10547 09:00:48,398 --> 09:00:52,160 crypto real estate with knowledge and 10548 09:00:50,080 --> 09:00:54,958 preparation, the rewards can be 10549 09:00:52,160 --> 09:00:57,840 extraordinary. Bitcoin the bricks isn't 10550 09:00:54,958 --> 09:01:00,160 just a catchy phrase. It's the future of 10551 09:00:57,840 --> 09:01:02,478 real estate investment. If you want to 10552 09:01:00,160 --> 09:01:04,958 stay ahead of the curve, now's the time 10553 09:01:02,478 --> 09:01:07,958 to learn how crypto can open doors. 10554 09:01:04,958 --> 09:01:07,958 Literally. 10555 09:01:18,638 --> 09:01:21,638 Explorer 10556 09:01:31,280 --> 09:01:33,680 Transparenc. 10557 09:01:38,240 --> 09:01:41,240 control. 10558 09:02:04,958 --> 09:02:08,798 From digital coins to physical assets, 10559 09:02:07,120 --> 09:02:10,878 from online wallets to real world 10560 09:02:08,798 --> 09:02:12,958 property lines, cryptocurrency is 10561 09:02:10,878 --> 09:02:15,440 reshaping how we buy, sell, and think 10562 09:02:12,958 --> 09:02:17,760 about real estate. We are witnessing the 10563 09:02:15,440 --> 09:02:19,520 merging of two worlds. The oldest asset 10564 09:02:17,760 --> 09:02:21,760 on earth and one of the newest 10565 09:02:19,520 --> 09:02:24,558 technological inventions of our time. 10566 09:02:21,760 --> 09:02:27,040 And as the future unfolds, only one 10567 09:02:24,558 --> 09:02:30,360 question remain. Will Bitcoin buy your 10568 09:02:27,040 --> 09:02:30,360 next home? 10569 09:03:53,520 --> 09:03:58,878 September 2008. 10570 09:03:56,398 --> 09:04:01,600 The global financial system is on the 10571 09:03:58,878 --> 09:04:04,558 verge of a total blackout. Layman 10572 09:04:01,600 --> 09:04:08,318 Brothers has vanished. Meil Lynch is 10573 09:04:04,558 --> 09:04:10,318 gone. AIG is hemorrhaging billions every 10574 09:04:08,318 --> 09:04:12,638 hour. 10575 09:04:10,318 --> 09:04:14,558 In Washington, the halls of the Treasury 10576 09:04:12,638 --> 09:04:17,840 are filled with the smartest minds in 10577 09:04:14,558 --> 09:04:20,718 the country. But they have a problem. 10578 09:04:17,840 --> 09:04:23,680 They are staring at a black box of toxic 10579 09:04:20,718 --> 09:04:26,718 debt worth trillions and no tools to 10580 09:04:23,680 --> 09:04:29,760 open it. There is only one person who 10581 09:04:26,718 --> 09:04:32,240 has the map. One person who spent the 10582 09:04:29,760 --> 09:04:34,478 last 20 years building a digital 10583 09:04:32,240 --> 09:04:37,200 unblinking eye that can see through the 10584 09:04:34,478 --> 09:04:39,680 wreckage. The government didn't call the 10585 09:04:37,200 --> 09:04:42,398 big banks to save the world. They needed 10586 09:04:39,680 --> 09:04:44,318 someone to handle the toxic waste. And 10587 09:04:42,398 --> 09:04:46,398 there was only one man that could lead 10588 09:04:44,318 --> 09:04:50,840 through that darkness. 10589 09:04:46,398 --> 09:04:50,840 They called Larry Frink. 10590 09:04:52,240 --> 09:04:57,878 Larry Frink, the man behind Black Rock. 10591 09:04:58,638 --> 09:05:05,120 Today, he manages more money than the 10592 09:05:00,798 --> 09:05:07,360 GDP of almost every nation on Earth, $14 10593 09:05:05,120 --> 09:05:09,360 trillion. 10594 09:05:07,360 --> 09:05:11,760 But before he was the shadow sovereign 10595 09:05:09,360 --> 09:05:13,360 of Wall Street, he was a man who lost 10596 09:05:11,760 --> 09:05:17,440 everything. 10597 09:05:13,360 --> 09:05:19,600 Who is Larry Frink? Lawrence D.Fin, also 10598 09:05:17,440 --> 09:05:22,240 known as Larry Frink, is one of the 10599 09:05:19,600 --> 09:05:25,600 co-founders of Black Rockck. He is also 10600 09:05:22,240 --> 09:05:27,600 the chairman and CEO of the company, the 10601 09:05:25,600 --> 09:05:30,878 largest money management firm in the 10602 09:05:27,600 --> 09:05:32,558 world. It's the first time in history a 10603 09:05:30,878 --> 09:05:35,200 company manages to reach such a 10604 09:05:32,558 --> 09:05:38,240 milestone and gives a clear picture of 10605 09:05:35,200 --> 09:05:40,878 how Black Rockck operates. Not just a 10606 09:05:38,240 --> 09:05:43,280 traditional investment bank, but as a 10607 09:05:40,878 --> 09:05:45,920 central pillar of the global financial 10608 09:05:43,280 --> 09:05:48,160 infrastructure, where its sheer scale 10609 09:05:45,920 --> 09:05:50,080 allows it to influence economies and 10610 09:05:48,160 --> 09:05:54,398 industries at a level previously 10611 09:05:50,080 --> 09:05:57,280 reserved only for nation states. 10612 09:05:54,398 --> 09:06:00,160 Founded in 1988 as an investment firm 10613 09:05:57,280 --> 09:06:04,318 that prioritized risk management with 10614 09:06:00,160 --> 09:06:07,600 11.5 to 14 trillion under management, 10615 09:06:04,318 --> 09:06:09,840 Black Rockck's influence is staggering. 10616 09:06:07,600 --> 09:06:14,000 Black Rockck is a top three shareholder 10617 09:06:09,840 --> 09:06:17,122 in nearly every company in the S&P 500. 10618 09:06:14,000 --> 09:06:20,000 From Apple to Exxon, from Microsoft to 10619 09:06:17,122 --> 09:06:23,758 Nestle. They don't just invest in the 10620 09:06:20,000 --> 09:06:26,718 market, they are the market. 10621 09:06:23,758 --> 09:06:29,278 But its reach is personal. It holds the 10622 09:06:26,718 --> 09:06:32,398 retirement dreams of over 35 million 10623 09:06:29,278 --> 09:06:34,960 Americans. This is the story of how a 10624 09:06:32,398 --> 09:06:38,558 kid from a California shoe store became 10625 09:06:34,960 --> 09:06:42,078 the custodian of the world's wealth. But 10626 09:06:38,558 --> 09:06:44,640 who is Larry Frink? Lawrence Douglas 10627 09:06:42,078 --> 09:06:47,122 Frink entered the world on November the 10628 09:06:44,640 --> 09:06:49,918 2nd, 1952. 10629 09:06:47,122 --> 09:06:51,840 Born in Los Angeles, California, he was 10630 09:06:49,918 --> 09:06:53,840 raised in a Jewish family in the heart 10631 09:06:51,840 --> 09:06:56,160 of San Fernando Valley, the 10632 09:06:53,840 --> 09:06:58,398 quintessential American suburb of 10633 09:06:56,160 --> 09:07:00,558 Vanois. 10634 09:06:58,398 --> 09:07:03,520 His home was a balance of academic 10635 09:07:00,558 --> 09:07:05,598 discipline and retail grit. His mother, 10636 09:07:03,520 --> 09:07:07,438 Leela, was an English professor who 10637 09:07:05,598 --> 09:07:09,040 valued the power of language and 10638 09:07:07,438 --> 09:07:10,960 education. 10639 09:07:09,040 --> 09:07:13,278 And long before he pulled the strings of 10640 09:07:10,960 --> 09:07:15,360 the global economy, Larry Frink was 10641 09:07:13,278 --> 09:07:17,040 learning the value of money on a much 10642 09:07:15,360 --> 09:07:19,918 smaller scale. 10643 09:07:17,040 --> 09:07:22,078 his father's shoe store in Vanoise where 10644 09:07:19,918 --> 09:07:25,360 he spent evenings helping and learning 10645 09:07:22,078 --> 09:07:27,598 the business. As one of three children, 10646 09:07:25,360 --> 09:07:30,078 Larry grew up in a household where hard 10647 09:07:27,598 --> 09:07:31,598 work wasn't just encouraged, it was the 10648 09:07:30,078 --> 09:07:33,680 baseline. 10649 09:07:31,598 --> 09:07:35,680 While he often joked he wasn't the 10650 09:07:33,680 --> 09:07:37,840 smartest in the room, it was this 10651 09:07:35,680 --> 09:07:40,640 specific combination of his mother's 10652 09:07:37,840 --> 09:07:42,640 intellectual curiosity and his father's 10653 09:07:40,640 --> 09:07:45,278 mainstream business sense that would 10654 09:07:42,640 --> 09:07:48,320 eventually form the DNA of a global 10655 09:07:45,278 --> 09:07:50,238 financial giant. While the future titans 10656 09:07:48,320 --> 09:07:52,640 of Wall Street were rubbing elbows in 10657 09:07:50,238 --> 09:07:56,960 the marble halls of Harvard or Yale, 10658 09:07:52,640 --> 09:07:59,040 Think was a brewin. In 1970, Larry 10659 09:07:56,960 --> 09:08:01,520 arrived at UCLA. 10660 09:07:59,040 --> 09:08:04,398 For a young man from Vanoise, this 10661 09:08:01,520 --> 09:08:06,398 wasn't just a local university. It was a 10662 09:08:04,398 --> 09:08:08,558 world of ideas. 10663 09:08:06,398 --> 09:08:11,040 But it was in his final years that the 10664 09:08:08,558 --> 09:08:13,520 trajectory of his life shifted. He 10665 09:08:11,040 --> 09:08:15,360 immersed himself in political science, 10666 09:08:13,520 --> 09:08:18,238 learning how power moves through 10667 09:08:15,360 --> 09:08:20,398 nations. But he soon realized that in 10668 09:08:18,238 --> 09:08:23,040 the modern world, power follows the 10669 09:08:20,398 --> 09:08:25,040 money. This led him to the Anderson 10670 09:08:23,040 --> 09:08:27,840 School of Management specializing in 10671 09:08:25,040 --> 09:08:29,680 real estate. It was here that he began 10672 09:08:27,840 --> 09:08:32,480 to see the world through the lens of 10673 09:08:29,680 --> 09:08:34,480 assets and yields. 10674 09:08:32,480 --> 09:08:36,878 This public education gave him a 10675 09:08:34,480 --> 09:08:38,718 different edge. While his peers at 10676 09:08:36,878 --> 09:08:40,960 private East Coast schools were being 10677 09:08:38,718 --> 09:08:43,680 groomed for traditional corporate roles, 10678 09:08:40,960 --> 09:08:45,680 Larry was developing the outsider's eye, 10679 09:08:43,680 --> 09:08:48,000 a perspective that allowed him to see 10680 09:08:45,680 --> 09:08:52,078 opportunities in the messy, unpolished 10681 09:08:48,000 --> 09:08:52,078 corners of the bond market. 10682 09:08:52,718 --> 09:08:58,558 He graduated in 1976, not with a silver 10683 09:08:56,398 --> 09:09:00,398 spoon, but with a California bred 10684 09:08:58,558 --> 09:09:02,078 ambition to take on the giants of 10685 09:09:00,398 --> 09:09:04,718 Manhattan. 10686 09:09:02,078 --> 09:09:07,200 He was a brewin headed for Wall Street, 10687 09:09:04,718 --> 09:09:10,438 and the financial world had no idea what 10688 09:09:07,200 --> 09:09:10,438 was coming. 10689 09:09:12,558 --> 09:09:17,040 The year is 1976. 10690 09:09:15,200 --> 09:09:19,200 New York City is a grit cover 10691 09:09:17,040 --> 09:09:21,918 battlefield and Larry Frink has just 10692 09:09:19,200 --> 09:09:24,238 been handed the keys to the kingdom. 10693 09:09:21,918 --> 09:09:26,480 Goldman Sachs, the most prestigious name 10694 09:09:24,238 --> 09:09:29,758 in finance back then, has practically 10695 09:09:26,480 --> 09:09:32,800 hired him. He had passed the technical 10696 09:09:29,758 --> 09:09:34,558 tests. He had charmed the partners. All 10697 09:09:32,800 --> 09:09:37,200 that remained was a rubber stamp 10698 09:09:34,558 --> 09:09:40,558 interview with human resources. 10699 09:09:37,200 --> 09:09:43,200 But Larry, Larry wasn't just confident, 10700 09:09:40,558 --> 09:09:45,040 he was impatient. When the recruiter 10701 09:09:43,200 --> 09:09:47,520 asked for his thoughts on the firm, 10702 09:09:45,040 --> 09:09:50,160 Larry didn't give a thank you. He gave a 10703 09:09:47,520 --> 09:09:52,718 consultation. He pointed out the flaws 10704 09:09:50,160 --> 09:09:55,840 in their system. At Goldman, they wanted 10705 09:09:52,718 --> 09:09:59,078 a soldier. Larry was already acting like 10706 09:09:55,840 --> 09:09:59,078 a general. 10707 09:10:00,558 --> 09:10:05,918 In that room, the rigid Golden Way 10708 09:10:02,960 --> 09:10:08,078 clashed with the unfiltered Frink way. 10709 09:10:05,918 --> 09:10:11,040 Before he could even hail a camp back to 10710 09:10:08,078 --> 09:10:12,878 his hotel, the offer was dead. 10711 09:10:11,040 --> 09:10:15,520 The most coveted job in Wall Street 10712 09:10:12,878 --> 09:10:17,598 history had vanished. All because Larry 10713 09:10:15,520 --> 09:10:20,078 Frink couldn't stop himself from trying 10714 09:10:17,598 --> 09:10:24,000 to fix a system he hadn't even joined 10715 09:10:20,078 --> 09:10:26,398 yet. It was a crushing blow. But in the 10716 09:10:24,000 --> 09:10:28,640 shadow of that rejection, a door opened 10717 09:10:26,398 --> 09:10:31,520 at a scrappy second tier firm called 10718 09:10:28,640 --> 09:10:34,878 First Boston. It was a place with less 10719 09:10:31,520 --> 09:10:37,200 prestige but more white space. At 10720 09:10:34,878 --> 09:10:40,238 Goldman, he would have been a cog in a 10721 09:10:37,200 --> 09:10:43,122 perfect machine. At first Boston, he was 10722 09:10:40,238 --> 09:10:45,200 the architect. He was given a desk, a 10723 09:10:43,122 --> 09:10:47,438 telephone, and the freedom to build 10724 09:10:45,200 --> 09:10:50,320 something entirely new. The 10725 09:10:47,438 --> 09:10:53,040 mortgagebacked security. He didn't know 10726 09:10:50,320 --> 09:10:55,680 it yet, but that recruiters know was the 10727 09:10:53,040 --> 09:11:00,680 foundation upon which the 14 trillion 10728 09:10:55,680 --> 09:11:00,680 empire of Black Rockck would be built. 10729 09:11:05,680 --> 09:11:12,000 It's 1976 when Larry Frink arrives at 10730 09:11:08,960 --> 09:11:14,000 First Boston. At the time, the firm was 10731 09:11:12,000 --> 09:11:16,718 the scrappy underdog of investment 10732 09:11:14,000 --> 09:11:20,398 banking. It wasn't as stiff as Morgan 10733 09:11:16,718 --> 09:11:22,480 Stanley or as elitist as Goldman. It was 10734 09:11:20,398 --> 09:11:25,680 the perfect laboratory for a man who 10735 09:11:22,480 --> 09:11:28,718 didn't fit the mold. Larry was assigned 10736 09:11:25,680 --> 09:11:30,640 to the bond department. Back then, bonds 10737 09:11:28,718 --> 09:11:31,840 were considered the boring corner of 10738 09:11:30,640 --> 09:11:34,718 finance. 10739 09:11:31,840 --> 09:11:37,840 It was where you went to retire. Stocks 10740 09:11:34,718 --> 09:11:40,718 were sexy. Bonds were for grandmothers. 10741 09:11:37,840 --> 09:11:42,238 But Larry saw something everyone else 10742 09:11:40,718 --> 09:11:44,480 missed. 10743 09:11:42,238 --> 09:11:47,200 He looked at the American dream, the 10744 09:11:44,480 --> 09:11:50,238 suburban house, the white picket fence, 10745 09:11:47,200 --> 09:11:51,598 the 30-year mortgage, and he saw a math 10746 09:11:50,238 --> 09:11:53,598 problem. 10747 09:11:51,598 --> 09:11:56,078 He realized that if you took thousands 10748 09:11:53,598 --> 09:11:58,160 of individual home mortgages, bundled 10749 09:11:56,078 --> 09:12:00,878 them together like a deck of cards, and 10750 09:11:58,160 --> 09:12:04,000 sold slices of that deck to investors, 10751 09:12:00,878 --> 09:12:06,800 you created a money machine. 10752 09:12:04,000 --> 09:12:08,320 This was the birth of the securitization 10753 09:12:06,800 --> 09:12:10,718 market. 10754 09:12:08,320 --> 09:12:13,360 What Larry Frink helped create was more 10755 09:12:10,718 --> 09:12:17,000 than a financial product. It was a 10756 09:12:13,360 --> 09:12:17,000 structural shift. 10757 09:12:17,360 --> 09:12:22,320 Securitization didn't just bundle 10758 09:12:19,438 --> 09:12:25,438 mortgages. It separated risk from 10759 09:12:22,320 --> 09:12:27,520 reality. For the first time, financial 10760 09:12:25,438 --> 09:12:30,480 value could travel faster than the 10761 09:12:27,520 --> 09:12:32,960 underlying economy that supported it. A 10762 09:12:30,480 --> 09:12:35,122 house in California became a line in a 10763 09:12:32,960 --> 09:12:38,800 spreadsheet in New York, which became a 10764 09:12:35,122 --> 09:12:40,718 yield sold to an investor in Tokyo. Risk 10765 09:12:38,800 --> 09:12:43,758 no longer lived where decisions were 10766 09:12:40,718 --> 09:12:46,078 made. It was abstracted, sliced, 10767 09:12:43,758 --> 09:12:49,040 repackaged, and distributed across the 10768 09:12:46,078 --> 09:12:51,278 system. This was the moment when finance 10769 09:12:49,040 --> 09:12:54,640 stopped reflecting the real economy and 10770 09:12:51,278 --> 09:12:56,960 began building a parallel one. A system 10771 09:12:54,640 --> 09:12:58,718 that could grow without limits as long 10772 09:12:56,960 --> 09:13:02,960 as everyone believed the models were 10773 09:12:58,718 --> 09:13:05,520 right. And for a while they were. 10774 09:13:02,960 --> 09:13:08,160 By the early 80s, Larry was the golden 10775 09:13:05,520 --> 09:13:10,558 boy. He wasn't just hitting targets, he 10776 09:13:08,160 --> 09:13:12,718 was shattering them. In one year, his 10777 09:13:10,558 --> 09:13:14,800 department was responsible for nearly 10778 09:13:12,718 --> 09:13:17,918 onethird of First Boston's total 10779 09:13:14,800 --> 09:13:20,160 profits. At age 31, he became the 10780 09:13:17,918 --> 09:13:23,122 youngest managing director the firm had 10781 09:13:20,160 --> 09:13:25,598 ever seen. He was earning millions. He 10782 09:13:23,122 --> 09:13:28,398 was the successor, the prodigy, the man 10783 09:13:25,598 --> 09:13:31,122 who could do no wrong. He had moved to 10784 09:13:28,398 --> 09:13:33,520 his family to a sprawling estate. He was 10785 09:13:31,122 --> 09:13:38,122 flying private. He had conquered the 10786 09:13:33,520 --> 09:13:38,122 grit cover battlefield of Manhattan. 10787 09:13:38,640 --> 09:13:43,122 But in the world of high finance, the 10788 09:13:40,878 --> 09:13:46,122 higher you fly, the thinner the air 10789 09:13:43,122 --> 09:13:46,122 becomes. 10790 09:13:47,598 --> 09:13:51,918 Larry was making hundreds of millions 10791 09:13:49,598 --> 09:13:54,718 for the bank, but there was a ghost in 10792 09:13:51,918 --> 09:13:58,640 the machine, a variable he hadn't 10793 09:13:54,718 --> 09:14:00,960 accounted for. The year was 1986. 10794 09:13:58,640 --> 09:14:03,758 Larry had made a massive bet on interest 10795 09:14:00,960 --> 09:14:07,278 rates. He believed they would stay 10796 09:14:03,758 --> 09:14:09,278 stable. He was so sure of his math, so 10797 09:14:07,278 --> 09:14:11,278 confident in his track record that he 10798 09:14:09,278 --> 09:14:13,598 didn't realize the ground was shifting 10799 09:14:11,278 --> 09:14:15,598 beneath his feet. 10800 09:14:13,598 --> 09:14:17,840 In just 3 months, the Golden Boys 10801 09:14:15,598 --> 09:14:21,598 department went from profit to a 10802 09:14:17,840 --> 09:14:24,800 catastrophic $100 million loss. In the 10803 09:14:21,598 --> 09:14:27,598 80s, 100 million wasn't just a loss. It 10804 09:14:24,800 --> 09:14:29,680 was a national scandal. Overnight, the 10805 09:14:27,598 --> 09:14:32,640 man who was supposed to run the bank was 10806 09:14:29,680 --> 09:14:34,558 a pariah. The phones stopped ringing. 10807 09:14:32,640 --> 09:14:37,200 The friends on the trading floor looked 10808 09:14:34,558 --> 09:14:39,438 away when he walked by. He had been the 10809 09:14:37,200 --> 09:14:42,238 smartest man in the room until he 10810 09:14:39,438 --> 09:14:44,398 wasn't. He would later describe this 10811 09:14:42,238 --> 09:14:47,598 moment as the most painful experience of 10812 09:14:44,398 --> 09:14:50,238 my life. But as he sat in the ruins of 10813 09:14:47,598 --> 09:14:52,640 his reputation, Larry Frink wasn't just 10814 09:14:50,238 --> 09:14:56,160 mourning his career. He was obsessed 10815 09:14:52,640 --> 09:14:57,758 with one question. How did I not see the 10816 09:14:56,160 --> 09:15:00,238 risk? 10817 09:14:57,758 --> 09:15:02,640 That obsession, the fear of the unknown 10818 09:15:00,238 --> 09:15:06,278 variable, would become the cornerstone 10819 09:15:02,640 --> 09:15:06,278 of Black Rockck. 10820 09:15:09,438 --> 09:15:15,598 By 1983, Larry wasn't just selling 10821 09:15:12,160 --> 09:15:20,040 bonds, he was a pioneer of the CMO, 10822 09:15:15,598 --> 09:15:20,040 collateralized mortgage obligation. 10823 09:15:20,320 --> 09:15:25,200 Think of it like a waterfall. Larry took 10824 09:15:23,040 --> 09:15:28,160 thousands of mortgages and sliced them 10825 09:15:25,200 --> 09:15:31,278 into tranches. Some investors took the 10826 09:15:28,160 --> 09:15:34,398 top slice, low risk, low reward. Others 10827 09:15:31,278 --> 09:15:36,238 took the bottom, high risk, high yield. 10828 09:15:34,398 --> 09:15:40,078 It was a masterpiece of financial 10829 09:15:36,238 --> 09:15:42,800 engineering. It made the illquid liquid. 10830 09:15:40,078 --> 09:15:45,122 It made first Boston the center of the 10831 09:15:42,800 --> 09:15:47,278 universe. 10832 09:15:45,122 --> 09:15:50,238 But there was a flaw, a tiny 10833 09:15:47,278 --> 09:15:52,238 mathematical ghost in his models. 10834 09:15:50,238 --> 09:15:54,558 Larry's team had predicted that interest 10835 09:15:52,238 --> 09:15:57,040 rates would rise and they hedged their 10836 09:15:54,558 --> 09:16:00,078 bets accordingly. But in the second 10837 09:15:57,040 --> 09:16:02,398 quarter of 1986, rates did something the 10838 09:16:00,078 --> 09:16:04,000 models said was impossible. They 10839 09:16:02,398 --> 09:16:05,758 plummeted 10840 09:16:04,000 --> 09:16:08,320 because they didn't have a system to 10841 09:16:05,758 --> 09:16:10,878 track their real-time exposure. Larry is 10842 09:16:08,320 --> 09:16:13,918 flying blind. He was the pilot of a 10843 09:16:10,878 --> 09:16:16,078 Boeing 747 trying to land in a storm 10844 09:16:13,918 --> 09:16:18,558 using nothing but a compass and a 10845 09:16:16,078 --> 09:16:20,640 prayer. By the time he realized the 10846 09:16:18,558 --> 09:16:24,718 engines were on fire, the plane had 10847 09:16:20,640 --> 09:16:28,040 already hit the mountain. $100 million. 10848 09:16:24,718 --> 09:16:28,040 All gone. 10849 09:16:30,238 --> 09:16:35,598 He wasn't just fired, he was erased. 10850 09:16:33,438 --> 09:16:38,558 After the dust settled, Larry found 10851 09:16:35,598 --> 09:16:41,598 himself in a peculiar kind of exile. He 10852 09:16:38,558 --> 09:16:44,320 wasn't just unemployed, he was haunted. 10853 09:16:41,598 --> 09:16:46,640 He realized that the $100 million loss 10854 09:16:44,320 --> 09:16:50,238 wasn't a failure of talent, it was a 10855 09:16:46,640 --> 09:16:52,960 failure of vision. What happened in 1986 10856 09:16:50,238 --> 09:16:56,000 wasn't a personal miscalculation. 10857 09:16:52,960 --> 09:16:58,320 It was a systemic blindness. 10858 09:16:56,000 --> 09:17:01,200 At the time, every major financial 10859 09:16:58,320 --> 09:17:04,238 institution operated the same way. 10860 09:17:01,200 --> 09:17:06,960 Positions were fragmented. Exposure was 10861 09:17:04,238 --> 09:17:10,078 estimated, not measured. Risk was 10862 09:17:06,960 --> 09:17:12,320 inferred after the fact. Banks knew what 10863 09:17:10,078 --> 09:17:15,360 they bought yesterday, but not what it 10864 09:17:12,320 --> 09:17:18,000 was worth right now. The system rewarded 10865 09:17:15,360 --> 09:17:20,558 speed, volume, and confidence, not 10866 09:17:18,000 --> 09:17:23,200 understanding. And as long as markets 10867 09:17:20,558 --> 09:17:25,598 moved slowly, the illusion held. But 10868 09:17:23,200 --> 09:17:28,558 once volatility entered the market, no 10869 09:17:25,598 --> 09:17:31,598 one truly knew where the danger was or 10870 09:17:28,558 --> 09:17:34,238 how large it had become. Larry didn't 10871 09:17:31,598 --> 09:17:36,238 just lose money. He realized the entire 10872 09:17:34,238 --> 09:17:39,200 financial system was flying without 10873 09:17:36,238 --> 09:17:42,238 instruments. Wall Street was essentially 10874 09:17:39,200 --> 09:17:46,238 a collection of blind giants. Every 10875 09:17:42,238 --> 09:17:48,320 major firm, Goldman, Layman, Meil Lynch, 10876 09:17:46,238 --> 09:17:51,840 was standing just one inch away from 10877 09:17:48,320 --> 09:17:54,398 total collapse at any given second. 10878 09:17:51,840 --> 09:17:57,520 Why? Because they didn't actually know 10879 09:17:54,398 --> 09:18:00,398 what they owned. This was information 10880 09:17:57,520 --> 09:18:02,800 blindness. 10881 09:18:00,398 --> 09:18:05,200 In the 1980s, you knew what you bought 10882 09:18:02,800 --> 09:18:08,398 yesterday, but you had no idea what it 10883 09:18:05,200 --> 09:18:10,960 was worth right now. A sudden shift in 10884 09:18:08,398 --> 09:18:13,278 interest rates or a political coup 10885 09:18:10,960 --> 09:18:15,040 across the ocean could vaporize a 10886 09:18:13,278 --> 09:18:18,000 billion dollars before the morning 10887 09:18:15,040 --> 09:18:21,360 coffee was poured. 10888 09:18:18,000 --> 09:18:24,000 Larry understood a terrifying truth. The 10889 09:18:21,360 --> 09:18:27,200 entire global financial system was built 10890 09:18:24,000 --> 09:18:29,122 on a foundation of guesswork. 10891 09:18:27,200 --> 09:18:32,558 It hit him with the force of an 10892 09:18:29,122 --> 09:18:34,398 epiphany. If he could build a brain, a 10893 09:18:32,558 --> 09:18:36,878 machine that could see the risk that 10894 09:18:34,398 --> 09:18:39,598 humans were too slow to calculate, he 10895 09:18:36,878 --> 09:18:41,360 wouldn't just be a banker. He would be 10896 09:18:39,598 --> 09:18:44,320 the only man in the world with a 10897 09:18:41,360 --> 09:18:46,398 flashlight in a dark room. This 10898 09:18:44,320 --> 09:18:49,122 realization changed his entire 10899 09:18:46,398 --> 09:18:51,200 philosophy of investing. He stopped 10900 09:18:49,122 --> 09:18:53,758 looking for the big score and started 10901 09:18:51,200 --> 09:18:56,160 looking for the safe passage. He didn't 10902 09:18:53,758 --> 09:18:59,758 want to beat the market anymore. He 10903 09:18:56,160 --> 09:19:02,160 wanted to measure it. 10904 09:18:59,758 --> 09:19:05,200 He would later tell his partners, "We 10905 09:19:02,160 --> 09:19:07,758 are never going to be blind again." 10906 09:19:05,200 --> 09:19:11,040 That vow born from the humiliation of 10907 09:19:07,758 --> 09:19:14,078 1986 became the blueprint for a new kind 10908 09:19:11,040 --> 09:19:16,960 of firm. A firm that didn't rely on the 10909 09:19:14,078 --> 09:19:21,240 ego of a star trader, but on the cold, 10910 09:19:16,960 --> 09:19:21,240 unblinking eye of technology. 10911 09:19:26,080 --> 09:19:32,080 Larry Frink was a man with a vision, but 10912 09:19:28,800 --> 09:19:33,916 he was also a man with a tainted resume. 10913 09:19:32,080 --> 09:19:36,640 To the rest of Wall Street, he was the 10914 09:19:33,916 --> 09:19:38,720 guy who lost a h 100red million. But to 10915 09:19:36,640 --> 09:19:41,360 a small circle of insiders at First 10916 09:19:38,720 --> 09:19:44,800 Boston, he was the only one who truly 10917 09:19:41,360 --> 09:19:47,596 understood why it happened. He began 10918 09:19:44,800 --> 09:19:50,160 making calls. He wasn't offering high 10919 09:19:47,596 --> 09:19:52,960 salaries or flashy offices. He was 10920 09:19:50,160 --> 09:19:55,120 offering a chance to build a holy grail, 10921 09:19:52,960 --> 09:19:57,360 a financial firm where technology 10922 09:19:55,120 --> 09:20:00,480 governed the ego, not the other way 10923 09:19:57,360 --> 09:20:02,640 round. And he eventually found the right 10924 09:20:00,480 --> 09:20:05,640 people to help him build that holy 10925 09:20:02,640 --> 09:20:05,640 grail. 10926 09:20:06,240 --> 09:20:12,480 Rob Capito, the enforcer, a powerhouse 10927 09:20:10,320 --> 09:20:15,120 trader who knew the plumbing of the bomb 10928 09:20:12,480 --> 09:20:17,120 market better than anyone else. He 10929 09:20:15,120 --> 09:20:20,720 provided the muscle Larry needed to 10930 09:20:17,120 --> 09:20:23,840 execute the vision. Ben Golib, the 10931 09:20:20,720 --> 09:20:26,480 Oracle, a PhD with a mind like a 10932 09:20:23,840 --> 09:20:29,276 supercomput. While other bankers were 10933 09:20:26,480 --> 09:20:31,756 focused on lunch reservations, Golib was 10934 09:20:29,276 --> 09:20:34,480 thinking about value at risk and Monte 10935 09:20:31,756 --> 09:20:38,000 Carlo simulations. 10936 09:20:34,480 --> 09:20:40,400 Susan Wagner, the mastermind, 10937 09:20:38,000 --> 09:20:42,000 brilliant, calculating, and capable of 10938 09:20:40,400 --> 09:20:44,240 seeing structural flaws in a 10939 09:20:42,000 --> 09:20:46,640 multi-billion dollar merger before a 10940 09:20:44,240 --> 09:20:49,200 single paper was signed. Along with 10941 09:20:46,640 --> 09:20:51,520 Barbara Novik, Ralph Schluststein, Q 10942 09:20:49,200 --> 09:20:54,640 Freighter, and Keith Anderson, they 10943 09:20:51,520 --> 09:20:56,400 became the original eight. Think wasn't 10944 09:20:54,640 --> 09:20:59,756 looking for bankers who would run after 10945 09:20:56,400 --> 09:21:02,800 the money. He wanted architects, people 10946 09:20:59,756 --> 09:21:04,800 who were tired of being blind. 10947 09:21:02,800 --> 09:21:07,436 When he found them, they met in living 10948 09:21:04,800 --> 09:21:09,360 rooms and coffee shops. They had the 10949 09:21:07,436 --> 09:21:12,320 blueprints for a system they called 10950 09:21:09,360 --> 09:21:15,120 Aladdin, an acronym for asset, 10951 09:21:12,320 --> 09:21:18,080 liability, debt, and derivative 10952 09:21:15,120 --> 09:21:20,640 investment network. It was designed to 10953 09:21:18,080 --> 09:21:24,000 be the unblinking eye Larry had dreamed 10954 09:21:20,640 --> 09:21:27,120 of in his exile. But a brain without a 10955 09:21:24,000 --> 09:21:29,276 body is just a dream. To build Aladdin, 10956 09:21:27,120 --> 09:21:32,080 they needed hardware. They needed 10957 09:21:29,276 --> 09:21:34,080 offices. And most importantly, they 10958 09:21:32,080 --> 09:21:37,436 needed the one thing Larry's reputation 10959 09:21:34,080 --> 09:21:39,520 had cost him. Capital. Aladdin was not 10960 09:21:37,436 --> 09:21:42,320 designed to beat the market. It was 10961 09:21:39,520 --> 09:21:44,560 designed to understand it. But its real 10962 09:21:42,320 --> 09:21:48,800 power emerged when others started using 10963 09:21:44,560 --> 09:21:51,916 it. Banks, insurance companies, pension 10964 09:21:48,800 --> 09:21:54,080 funds, sovereign institutions. As 10965 09:21:51,916 --> 09:21:57,596 Aladdin spread, something subtle 10966 09:21:54,080 --> 09:22:00,640 happened. Risk stopped being subjective. 10967 09:21:57,596 --> 09:22:03,200 It became standardized. When Aladdin 10968 09:22:00,640 --> 09:22:07,240 flagged an asset as dangerous, entire 10969 09:22:03,200 --> 09:22:07,240 markets adjusted accordingly. 10970 09:22:07,436 --> 09:22:12,720 Not because Larry Frink said so, but 10971 09:22:09,840 --> 09:22:14,560 because the system trusted the model. At 10972 09:22:12,720 --> 09:22:17,040 that point, Black Rockck was no longer 10973 09:22:14,560 --> 09:22:20,080 just managing money. It was helping 10974 09:22:17,040 --> 09:22:22,480 define how risk itself was understood. 10975 09:22:20,080 --> 09:22:26,200 And whoever defines risk defines the 10976 09:22:22,480 --> 09:22:26,200 boundaries of decisionmaking. 10977 09:22:34,720 --> 09:22:40,160 Enter Steven Schwartzman. In 1988, 10978 09:22:38,080 --> 09:22:43,276 Schwartzman was the rising king of 10979 09:22:40,160 --> 09:22:46,960 private equity. His firm Blackstone was 10980 09:22:43,276 --> 09:22:49,596 aggressive, wealthy, and hungry. 10981 09:22:46,960 --> 09:22:52,720 The meeting was tense. Schwartzman knew 10982 09:22:49,596 --> 09:22:56,160 Larry's history. He knew about the 1986 10983 09:22:52,720 --> 09:22:59,916 disaster. But Larry didn't hide from it. 10984 09:22:56,160 --> 09:23:01,840 He used it as his primary selling point. 10985 09:22:59,916 --> 09:23:04,240 Because Larry had seen the end of the 10986 09:23:01,840 --> 09:23:06,800 world already, he knew exactly how the 10987 09:23:04,240 --> 09:23:08,640 lights went out. And because of that, he 10988 09:23:06,800 --> 09:23:10,720 was the only one who knew how to keep 10989 09:23:08,640 --> 09:23:13,436 them on. 10990 09:23:10,720 --> 09:23:15,436 Larry's pitch was revolutionary. He 10991 09:23:13,436 --> 09:23:18,400 didn't want to start a hedge fund. He 10992 09:23:15,436 --> 09:23:20,400 wanted to create a fiduciary company. 10993 09:23:18,400 --> 09:23:22,640 a firm that managed other people's money 10994 09:23:20,400 --> 09:23:25,916 with the same technological rigor 10995 09:23:22,640 --> 09:23:28,320 usually reserved for NASA. He asked for 10996 09:23:25,916 --> 09:23:31,040 a $5 million credit line and a 10997 09:23:28,320 --> 09:23:34,080 partnership. In exchange, Schwartzman 10998 09:23:31,040 --> 09:23:36,240 would own 50% of the new venture. He 10999 09:23:34,080 --> 09:23:38,720 knew he was buying cheap because he was 11000 09:23:36,240 --> 09:23:41,200 buying on a distressed asset, Frink's 11001 09:23:38,720 --> 09:23:43,120 damaged reputation. 11002 09:23:41,200 --> 09:23:45,200 But he did so betting on the idea that 11003 09:23:43,120 --> 09:23:49,756 the experience had turned Larry Frink 11004 09:23:45,200 --> 09:23:53,040 into some sort of financial genius. 11005 09:23:49,756 --> 09:23:55,680 The deal was done. On a Friday in March 11006 09:23:53,040 --> 09:23:57,520 1988, the team moved into a single 11007 09:23:55,680 --> 09:23:59,120 cramped room within Blackstone's 11008 09:23:57,520 --> 09:24:01,756 offices. 11009 09:23:59,120 --> 09:24:03,840 They were five computers, a few folding 11010 09:24:01,756 --> 09:24:06,560 chairs, and a mountain of cables on the 11011 09:24:03,840 --> 09:24:08,880 floor. They were under the Blackstone 11012 09:24:06,560 --> 09:24:11,360 umbrella, but Larry knew that this was 11013 09:24:08,880 --> 09:24:14,800 just a temporary shelter. He didn't just 11014 09:24:11,360 --> 09:24:17,436 want a department. He wanted an empire. 11015 09:24:14,800 --> 09:24:19,680 He had the money. He had the team. And 11016 09:24:17,436 --> 09:24:21,756 in the corner of that small room, the 11017 09:24:19,680 --> 09:24:24,480 first lines of code for Aladdin were 11018 09:24:21,756 --> 09:24:27,436 being written. 11019 09:24:24,480 --> 09:24:29,436 The information blindness was over. The 11020 09:24:27,436 --> 09:24:33,960 era of Black Rock, though it didn't have 11021 09:24:29,436 --> 09:24:33,960 that name yet, had begun. 11022 09:24:38,080 --> 09:24:44,720 The first office of Blackstone Financial 11023 09:24:40,320 --> 09:24:47,040 Management wasn't a glass tower. It was 11024 09:24:44,720 --> 09:24:49,436 they were the weirdos in the basement. 11025 09:24:47,040 --> 09:24:53,200 It was here that the name Aladdin became 11026 09:24:49,436 --> 09:24:55,756 a living thing. Every day Benol and his 11027 09:24:53,200 --> 09:24:58,800 team fed it data, interest rates, 11028 09:24:55,756 --> 09:25:00,560 housing prices, historical crashes. They 11029 09:24:58,800 --> 09:25:05,960 were teaching the machine to be afraid 11030 09:25:00,560 --> 09:25:05,960 of everything Larry hadn't seen in 1986. 11031 09:25:09,520 --> 09:25:14,800 By 1992, the department inside 11032 09:25:12,240 --> 09:25:17,520 Blackstone was no longer a startup. It 11033 09:25:14,800 --> 09:25:20,880 was a powerhouse. Larry's team was 11034 09:25:17,520 --> 09:25:22,480 managing $17 billion. 11035 09:25:20,880 --> 09:25:24,800 They weren't just a side project 11036 09:25:22,480 --> 09:25:27,756 anymore. They were a significant engine 11037 09:25:24,800 --> 09:25:30,240 of Blackstone's growth. But with success 11038 09:25:27,756 --> 09:25:32,400 came a toxic byproduct, 11039 09:25:30,240 --> 09:25:35,040 identity confusion. 11040 09:25:32,400 --> 09:25:36,720 Clients were getting confused. They 11041 09:25:35,040 --> 09:25:39,200 would call Blackstone looking for 11042 09:25:36,720 --> 09:25:41,680 Larry's bond expertise or called Larry 11043 09:25:39,200 --> 09:25:44,160 looking for Schwarzman's buyouts. But 11044 09:25:41,680 --> 09:25:46,800 the friction went deeper than a name. It 11045 09:25:44,160 --> 09:25:49,360 was a war of philosophies. Schwartzman 11046 09:25:46,800 --> 09:25:52,640 was a dealmaker. He wanted to own 11047 09:25:49,360 --> 09:25:56,160 companies. Think was a fiduciary. He 11048 09:25:52,640 --> 09:25:58,240 wanted to manage risk for others. 11049 09:25:56,160 --> 09:26:00,640 The tension was similar to having two 11050 09:25:58,240 --> 09:26:02,960 predators in a cage too small to fit 11051 09:26:00,640 --> 09:26:06,080 both. The breaking point came over 11052 09:26:02,960 --> 09:26:08,320 equity. Larry wanted to use stock to 11053 09:26:06,080 --> 09:26:11,520 attract and keep the original eight and 11054 09:26:08,320 --> 09:26:13,596 new talent. Schwarzman, holding 50% of 11055 09:26:11,520 --> 09:26:16,160 the firm, didn't want to dilute his 11056 09:26:13,596 --> 09:26:18,400 state. The partnership that saved 11057 09:26:16,160 --> 09:26:24,320 Larry's career was now suffocating his 11058 09:26:18,400 --> 09:26:26,400 vision. In 1994, they reached the deal. 11059 09:26:24,320 --> 09:26:30,320 Schwarzman agreed to sell Blackstone 11060 09:26:26,400 --> 09:26:32,400 steak for $240 million. At the time, it 11061 09:26:30,320 --> 09:26:34,640 seemed like a win for Schwarzman, a 11062 09:26:32,400 --> 09:26:37,436 massive return on his $5 million 11063 09:26:34,640 --> 09:26:39,840 investment. It wasn't just about money. 11064 09:26:37,436 --> 09:26:42,080 It was about the spotlight. Schwarzman 11065 09:26:39,840 --> 09:26:44,640 was the king of Wall Street. But his 11066 09:26:42,080 --> 09:26:47,120 subtenant, Larry Frink, was the one the 11067 09:26:44,640 --> 09:26:50,640 New York Times wanted to interview. But 11068 09:26:47,120 --> 09:26:52,800 for Larry, it was the price of freedom. 11069 09:26:50,640 --> 09:26:55,040 Schwarzman would later call selling 11070 09:26:52,800 --> 09:26:57,756 Black Rock the worst mistake of my 11071 09:26:55,040 --> 09:27:00,320 career. For Larry, the divorce was the 11072 09:26:57,756 --> 09:27:02,800 moment the training wheels came off. He 11073 09:27:00,320 --> 09:27:05,840 was no longer under anyone's umbrella. 11074 09:27:02,800 --> 09:27:07,520 He was the CEO of an independent firm. 11075 09:27:05,840 --> 09:27:09,360 Now he just had to prove he could 11076 09:27:07,520 --> 09:27:12,360 survive the coming storm of the late 11077 09:27:09,360 --> 09:27:12,360 '90s. 11078 09:27:20,160 --> 09:27:26,000 It is 2008. The financial world was 11079 09:27:23,436 --> 09:27:28,240 experiencing a heart attack. The 11080 09:27:26,000 --> 09:27:30,560 financial smoothies that mortgage back 11081 09:27:28,240 --> 09:27:32,880 securities Larry had helped create 30 11082 09:27:30,560 --> 09:27:35,596 years earlier had turned into a global 11083 09:27:32,880 --> 09:27:38,000 poison. Banks didn't know what they 11084 09:27:35,596 --> 09:27:40,560 owned, and more importantly, they didn't 11085 09:27:38,000 --> 09:27:42,640 know what their neighbors owned. Trust 11086 09:27:40,560 --> 09:27:44,640 had evaporated. 11087 09:27:42,640 --> 09:27:46,400 When the US government realized the 11088 09:27:44,640 --> 09:27:48,480 economy was on the brink of a total 11089 09:27:46,400 --> 09:27:52,400 blackout, they didn't call Goldman 11090 09:27:48,480 --> 09:27:54,800 Sachs. They didn't call JP Morgan. While 11091 09:27:52,400 --> 09:27:56,720 the CEOs of Layman and Merrill were 11092 09:27:54,800 --> 09:27:58,880 begging for government checks, Larry 11093 09:27:56,720 --> 09:28:01,200 Frink was the one the government called 11094 09:27:58,880 --> 09:28:03,360 to write the checks. 11095 09:28:01,200 --> 09:28:05,840 He was the only titan left standing with 11096 09:28:03,360 --> 09:28:07,916 a clean balance sheet. 11097 09:28:05,840 --> 09:28:10,000 The United States government didn't just 11098 09:28:07,916 --> 09:28:11,916 seek advice, it delegated 11099 09:28:10,000 --> 09:28:13,840 responsibility. 11100 09:28:11,916 --> 09:28:16,720 Black Rockck was tasked with valuing 11101 09:28:13,840 --> 09:28:18,960 assets no one understood, managing risks 11102 09:28:16,720 --> 09:28:20,880 no one could measure, and stabilizing 11103 09:28:18,960 --> 09:28:23,360 markets that were collapsing in real 11104 09:28:20,880 --> 09:28:25,756 time. 11105 09:28:23,360 --> 09:28:28,880 This wasn't a bailout. It was an 11106 09:28:25,756 --> 09:28:30,720 outsourcing of core sovereign functions. 11107 09:28:28,880 --> 09:28:32,720 For the first time, a private firm 11108 09:28:30,720 --> 09:28:35,680 played a central role in maintaining 11109 09:28:32,720 --> 09:28:37,596 global financial stability. Not through 11110 09:28:35,680 --> 09:28:40,000 political authority, but through 11111 09:28:37,596 --> 09:28:42,640 technical capability. 11112 09:28:40,000 --> 09:28:45,520 From that moment on, power was no longer 11113 09:28:42,640 --> 09:28:47,520 just about laws and institutions. It was 11114 09:28:45,520 --> 09:28:49,680 about who had the tools to see the 11115 09:28:47,520 --> 09:28:51,596 system clearly. 11116 09:28:49,680 --> 09:28:54,720 Black Rockck was hired to manage the 11117 09:28:51,596 --> 09:28:56,400 toxic waste of the crisis. They became 11118 09:28:54,720 --> 09:28:59,756 the official cleaner for the US 11119 09:28:56,400 --> 09:29:03,240 government, managing 130 billion of 11120 09:28:59,756 --> 09:29:03,240 troubled assets. 11121 09:29:03,360 --> 09:29:08,000 Suddenly, Larry Frink was the most 11122 09:29:05,756 --> 09:29:09,756 powerful man in the room, acting as an 11123 09:29:08,000 --> 09:29:11,276 adviser to the president and the 11124 09:29:09,756 --> 09:29:13,680 treasury. 11125 09:29:11,276 --> 09:29:16,400 But while he was saving the system, he 11126 09:29:13,680 --> 09:29:18,720 saw a once-ina-lifetime opportunity to 11127 09:29:16,400 --> 09:29:21,276 dominate it. In the middle of the 11128 09:29:18,720 --> 09:29:24,000 carnage, Barclay's Bank in the UK was 11129 09:29:21,276 --> 09:29:26,320 desperate for cash. They needed to sell 11130 09:29:24,000 --> 09:29:28,320 their crown jewel, a division called 11131 09:29:26,320 --> 09:29:30,720 Barclay's Global Investors, which 11132 09:29:28,320 --> 09:29:32,480 included a revolutionary product called 11133 09:29:30,720 --> 09:29:35,520 Eyesshares. 11134 09:29:32,480 --> 09:29:37,596 Eyesshares represented passive investing 11135 09:29:35,520 --> 09:29:40,320 ETFs that tracked the whole market 11136 09:29:37,596 --> 09:29:42,160 rather than trying to beat it. It was 11137 09:29:40,320 --> 09:29:44,880 the ultimate expression of Larry's 11138 09:29:42,160 --> 09:29:47,520 philosophy. Stop betting on stars and 11139 09:29:44,880 --> 09:29:52,240 start owning the system. It was a 11140 09:29:47,520 --> 09:29:54,400 massive $13.5 billion gamble. If the 11141 09:29:52,240 --> 09:29:56,960 markets continue to fall, the deal could 11142 09:29:54,400 --> 09:29:59,200 sink Black Rockck. But Larry knew 11143 09:29:56,960 --> 09:30:01,200 something the others didn't. He had 11144 09:29:59,200 --> 09:30:03,436 looked into the eye of Aladdin. And 11145 09:30:01,200 --> 09:30:06,320 Aladdin told him that the bottom was 11146 09:30:03,436 --> 09:30:09,200 near. With the acquisition of Eyesshares 11147 09:30:06,320 --> 09:30:11,916 in 2009, Black Rockck doubled its size 11148 09:30:09,200 --> 09:30:14,640 overnight. They weren't just a bond shop 11149 09:30:11,916 --> 09:30:17,596 anymore. They were now the largest money 11150 09:30:14,640 --> 09:30:20,240 manager on the planet. They had gone 11151 09:30:17,596 --> 09:30:22,400 into the crisis as a respected firm. 11152 09:30:20,240 --> 09:30:26,200 They came out of it as the shadow 11153 09:30:22,400 --> 09:30:26,200 government of finance. 11154 09:30:30,880 --> 09:30:36,160 By 2012, Larry Frink had built the 11155 09:30:33,436 --> 09:30:38,800 machine. He had the assets, the data, 11156 09:30:36,160 --> 09:30:42,080 and the influence. But he realized that 11157 09:30:38,800 --> 09:30:44,000 being king of Wall Street wasn't enough. 11158 09:30:42,080 --> 09:30:47,200 He wanted to change the way the world 11159 09:30:44,000 --> 09:30:49,040 did business. Every January, a ritual 11160 09:30:47,200 --> 09:30:52,160 began that would send tremors through 11161 09:30:49,040 --> 09:30:54,480 boardrooms from Detroit to Frankfurt. 11162 09:30:52,160 --> 09:30:57,040 Larry started writing letters. They 11163 09:30:54,480 --> 09:31:00,916 weren't just annual reports. They were 11164 09:30:57,040 --> 09:31:00,916 the Black Rockck Manifestos. 11165 09:31:01,520 --> 09:31:07,520 In 2018, he dropped a bomb. He told the 11166 09:31:05,276 --> 09:31:09,680 world's CEOs that if they wanted Black 11167 09:31:07,520 --> 09:31:12,720 Rockck's money, they had to prove they 11168 09:31:09,680 --> 09:31:15,520 served a social purpose. He wasn't just 11169 09:31:12,720 --> 09:31:19,520 asking for profits. He was asking for a 11170 09:31:15,520 --> 09:31:22,400 soul. He was mainstreaming ESG, 11171 09:31:19,520 --> 09:31:25,596 environmental, social, and governance. 11172 09:31:22,400 --> 09:31:28,640 And he was doing it with a $10 trillion 11173 09:31:25,596 --> 09:31:32,160 hammer. But Larry's new gospel didn't 11174 09:31:28,640 --> 09:31:34,080 sit well with everyone. By 2021, the 11175 09:31:32,160 --> 09:31:37,680 Golden Boy was finding himself in the 11176 09:31:34,080 --> 09:31:40,880 middle of a two-front war. 11177 09:31:37,680 --> 09:31:44,720 The ESG debate was never cultural. It 11178 09:31:40,880 --> 09:31:46,720 was economic. At its core, ESG was about 11179 09:31:44,720 --> 09:31:49,200 risk management, anticipating 11180 09:31:46,720 --> 09:31:51,436 regulation, climate disruption, and 11181 09:31:49,200 --> 09:31:53,596 social instability. 11182 09:31:51,436 --> 09:31:56,560 For Black Rockck, ignoring those factors 11183 09:31:53,596 --> 09:31:59,040 wasn't neutral. It was dangerous. But 11184 09:31:56,560 --> 09:32:01,756 when capital begins to price the future, 11185 09:31:59,040 --> 09:32:04,640 it also begins to shape it. That's why 11186 09:32:01,756 --> 09:32:07,436 the backlash was so intense. 11187 09:32:04,640 --> 09:32:09,436 To the left, Larry was a hypocrite. They 11188 09:32:07,436 --> 09:32:11,596 called him a greenwasher because Black 11189 09:32:09,436 --> 09:32:14,160 Rockck still held billions in oil and 11190 09:32:11,596 --> 09:32:16,240 gas stocks. To the right, he was a 11191 09:32:14,160 --> 09:32:18,160 globalist villain who was using other 11192 09:32:16,240 --> 09:32:21,040 people's money to push a radical 11193 09:32:18,160 --> 09:32:23,040 environmental agenda. The backlash 11194 09:32:21,040 --> 09:32:26,040 turned into a full-scale political 11195 09:32:23,040 --> 09:32:26,040 assault. 11196 09:32:26,160 --> 09:32:30,880 State treasurers in Florida, Texas, and 11197 09:32:28,640 --> 09:32:33,520 Mississippi began pulling billions out 11198 09:32:30,880 --> 09:32:36,160 of Black Rockck. They accused Larry of 11199 09:32:33,520 --> 09:32:38,400 boycotting energy and violating his duty 11200 09:32:36,160 --> 09:32:40,240 to investors. 11201 09:32:38,400 --> 09:32:42,960 For the first time, the man who had 11202 09:32:40,240 --> 09:32:48,276 mastered risk found himself in a risk he 11203 09:32:42,960 --> 09:32:48,276 couldn't calculate, the culture war. 11204 09:32:49,756 --> 09:32:54,720 He told a crowd in Aspen that he was 11205 09:32:52,000 --> 09:32:56,880 ashamed to be a part of the debate. He 11206 09:32:54,720 --> 09:32:59,840 even stopped using the term ESG 11207 09:32:56,880 --> 09:33:01,680 altogether, calling it weaponized. 11208 09:32:59,840 --> 09:33:04,400 He had tried to become the conscience of 11209 09:33:01,680 --> 09:33:07,276 capitalism. Instead, it became its most 11210 09:33:04,400 --> 09:33:09,276 controversial target. But even as the 11211 09:33:07,276 --> 09:33:14,240 politicians shouted and the protesters 11212 09:33:09,276 --> 09:33:16,000 marched, the assets kept growing. 11213 09:33:14,240 --> 09:33:18,000 Because in the end, whether you loved 11214 09:33:16,000 --> 09:33:22,040 him or hated him, you couldn't escape 11215 09:33:18,000 --> 09:33:22,040 the machine he built. 11216 09:33:29,916 --> 09:33:36,160 January 2026, the number flashes on a 11217 09:33:33,756 --> 09:33:37,680 terminal in Black Rockck's Hudson Yards 11218 09:33:36,160 --> 09:33:40,240 headquarters. 11219 09:33:37,680 --> 09:33:43,360 $14 trillion. 11220 09:33:40,240 --> 09:33:44,960 It is a number so vast it defies human 11221 09:33:43,360 --> 09:33:47,436 comprehension. 11222 09:33:44,960 --> 09:33:49,916 If Larry Frink's assets under management 11223 09:33:47,436 --> 09:33:51,916 were a country's GDP, it would be the 11224 09:33:49,916 --> 09:33:54,400 third largest economy on Earth, 11225 09:33:51,916 --> 09:33:56,000 surpassed only by the United States and 11226 09:33:54,400 --> 09:33:58,240 China. 11227 09:33:56,000 --> 09:34:01,040 But as Larry looks out from his office, 11228 09:33:58,240 --> 09:34:02,960 he isn't looking at stock tickers. He is 11229 09:34:01,040 --> 09:34:05,960 looking at the very bones of 11230 09:34:02,960 --> 09:34:05,960 civilization. 11231 09:34:07,520 --> 09:34:13,916 In 2024, Larry made his final most 11232 09:34:10,960 --> 09:34:16,400 aggressive pivot. He realized that the 11233 09:34:13,916 --> 09:34:19,200 next decade won't be one with bits on a 11234 09:34:16,400 --> 09:34:22,400 screen, but with atoms in the ground. 11235 09:34:19,200 --> 09:34:24,880 With the 12.5 billion acquisition of 11236 09:34:22,400 --> 09:34:27,120 global infrastructure partners, Larry 11237 09:34:24,880 --> 09:34:30,560 signaled the end of the old Wall Street 11238 09:34:27,120 --> 09:34:33,120 era. Larry saw the AI revolution coming, 11239 09:34:30,560 --> 09:34:35,200 but he didn't buy the chip makers. He 11240 09:34:33,120 --> 09:34:38,200 bought the power plants that feed the 11241 09:34:35,200 --> 09:34:38,200 chips. 11242 09:34:41,040 --> 09:34:48,040 But every empire faces the same 11243 09:34:43,040 --> 09:34:48,040 inevitable question. Succession. 11244 09:34:49,436 --> 09:34:53,756 For years, Wall Street has whispered 11245 09:34:51,520 --> 09:34:57,040 about who could possibly replace the man 11246 09:34:53,756 --> 09:34:59,360 who is Black Rockck. Names like Rob 11247 09:34:57,040 --> 09:35:01,756 Capo, Mark Weberman, and Jennifer 11248 09:34:59,360 --> 09:35:04,800 Johnson swirl in the press. But the 11249 09:35:01,756 --> 09:35:07,596 truth is more complex. Larry hasn't just 11250 09:35:04,800 --> 09:35:09,840 built a company. He's built an organism, 11251 09:35:07,596 --> 09:35:12,720 a system where Aladdin, now a very 11252 09:35:09,840 --> 09:35:15,840 sophisticated AI entity, handles the 11253 09:35:12,720 --> 09:35:18,640 risk while a legion of 20,000 employees, 11254 09:35:15,840 --> 09:35:21,040 executes the vision. Aladdin is no 11255 09:35:18,640 --> 09:35:23,040 longer just a calculator. It is a 11256 09:35:21,040 --> 09:35:25,756 predictive engine that runs millions of 11257 09:35:23,040 --> 09:35:27,596 simulations every second, anticipating 11258 09:35:25,756 --> 09:35:31,436 everything from a war in the Middle East 11259 09:35:27,596 --> 09:35:33,840 to a crop failure in Brazil. 11260 09:35:31,436 --> 09:35:36,960 Some call him the king of the world. 11261 09:35:33,840 --> 09:35:39,276 Others call him the shadow architect, 11262 09:35:36,960 --> 09:35:41,360 but if you ask Larry, he'll tell you 11263 09:35:39,276 --> 09:35:43,596 he's still that kid from the Vanoise 11264 09:35:41,360 --> 09:35:47,720 shoe store, just trying to make sure 11265 09:35:43,596 --> 09:35:47,720 that the maths add up. 11266 09:35:48,000 --> 09:35:52,320 He took the greatest humiliation of his 11267 09:35:50,000 --> 09:35:54,320 life and turned it into a shield for the 11268 09:35:52,320 --> 09:35:56,400 global economy. 11269 09:35:54,320 --> 09:35:59,040 He taught the world that profit without 11270 09:35:56,400 --> 09:36:04,080 a plan is just a gamble and that in the 11271 09:35:59,040 --> 09:36:06,160 dark, the man with a flashlight is king. 11272 09:36:04,080 --> 09:36:09,120 There is one financial question the 11273 09:36:06,160 --> 09:36:11,756 system cannot answer. What happens when 11274 09:36:09,120 --> 09:36:14,080 everyone measures risk the same way? 11275 09:36:11,756 --> 09:36:16,480 When models converge. When assumptions 11276 09:36:14,080 --> 09:36:18,240 align. When diversity of judgment 11277 09:36:16,480 --> 09:36:20,480 disappears. 11278 09:36:18,240 --> 09:36:23,436 A system optimized for stability can 11279 09:36:20,480 --> 09:36:25,436 become fragile. Not because it is wrong 11280 09:36:23,436 --> 09:36:27,120 but because it leaves no room for the 11281 09:36:25,436 --> 09:36:29,276 unexpected. 11282 09:36:27,120 --> 09:36:31,756 When the supervisor becomes invisible 11283 09:36:29,276 --> 09:36:34,880 and the rules are embedded in code, 11284 09:36:31,756 --> 09:36:38,160 accountability becomes harder to locate, 11285 09:36:34,880 --> 09:36:40,080 the system works until it doesn't. And 11286 09:36:38,160 --> 09:36:42,640 that's why Blackprop isn't just a 11287 09:36:40,080 --> 09:36:45,276 shareholder in your company. They are 11288 09:36:42,640 --> 09:36:48,080 the landlord of your power plant, the 11289 09:36:45,276 --> 09:36:50,400 owner of your airport, the architect of 11290 09:36:48,080 --> 09:36:52,400 your retirement. It is a level of 11291 09:36:50,400 --> 09:36:55,200 centralized influence the world has 11292 09:36:52,400 --> 09:36:58,480 never seen in a private individual. 11293 09:36:55,200 --> 09:37:00,560 Lawrence D.Fin didn't just build a bank. 11294 09:36:58,480 --> 09:37:02,240 He built the unblinking eye of 11295 09:37:00,560 --> 09:37:04,480 capitalism. 11296 09:37:02,240 --> 09:37:06,640 And as the world moves into the era of 11297 09:37:04,480 --> 09:37:09,520 AI, climate shift, and global 11298 09:37:06,640 --> 09:37:12,880 restructuring, one thing is certain. 11299 09:37:09,520 --> 09:37:17,480 Black Rockck will be there, watching, 11300 09:37:12,880 --> 09:37:17,480 calculating, and growing. 11301 09:38:37,436 --> 09:38:42,480 It's just a small plastic brick. 11302 09:38:40,960 --> 09:38:47,596 Lightweight, 11303 09:38:42,480 --> 09:38:51,916 simple, unchanged since 1958. 11304 09:38:47,596 --> 09:38:54,000 And yet, it has built entire universes. 11305 09:38:51,916 --> 09:38:56,480 Lego constructions truly take us back to 11306 09:38:54,000 --> 09:38:58,320 childhood. 11307 09:38:56,480 --> 09:39:00,800 But they stay with us throughout our 11308 09:38:58,320 --> 09:39:03,200 entire lives. From bedrooms to 11309 09:39:00,800 --> 09:39:07,436 boardrooms, from playgrounds to 11310 09:39:03,200 --> 09:39:09,916 Hollywood, Lego has shaped generations. 11311 09:39:07,436 --> 09:39:11,680 >> When I design something from scratch, I 11312 09:39:09,916 --> 09:39:14,080 start with an idea that occurs to me at 11313 09:39:11,680 --> 09:39:15,916 any time of day. 11314 09:39:14,080 --> 09:39:18,880 I try to build it with Lego and see what 11315 09:39:15,916 --> 09:39:22,960 I come up with. In a global toy market 11316 09:39:18,880 --> 09:39:25,680 worth more than $120 billion, LEGO 11317 09:39:22,960 --> 09:39:28,720 stands alone. A single company 11318 09:39:25,680 --> 09:39:31,040 controlling nearly one in every $10 11319 09:39:28,720 --> 09:39:33,200 spent on toys worldwide. 11320 09:39:31,040 --> 09:39:34,800 >> Lego holds a leading position worldwide, 11321 09:39:33,200 --> 09:39:36,480 recognized above all for its 11322 09:39:34,800 --> 09:39:38,640 playability. 11323 09:39:36,480 --> 09:39:42,720 >> What if the most beloved toy in the 11324 09:39:38,640 --> 09:39:45,120 world almost didn't exist? 11325 09:39:42,720 --> 09:39:47,840 Discover the incredible journey of a 11326 09:39:45,120 --> 09:39:49,756 small, struggling carpentry shop. The 11327 09:39:47,840 --> 09:39:51,680 dared to dream bigger than anyone 11328 09:39:49,756 --> 09:39:54,160 thought possible. 11329 09:39:51,680 --> 09:39:57,276 >> This is the untold story of the 11330 09:39:54,160 --> 09:40:00,320 visionary who built Lego. 11331 09:39:57,276 --> 09:40:03,596 Transforming simple wooden bricks into a 11332 09:40:00,320 --> 09:40:06,480 multibillion dollar empire and forever 11333 09:40:03,596 --> 09:40:08,720 changing how we play. 11334 09:40:06,480 --> 09:40:11,916 But none of this began with billiondoll 11335 09:40:08,720 --> 09:40:15,840 charts or cinematic universes. 11336 09:40:11,916 --> 09:40:19,120 It began with a carpenter with a vision. 11337 09:40:15,840 --> 09:40:22,240 In a tiny Danish village, one man had a 11338 09:40:19,120 --> 09:40:25,240 dream. Building toys out of scraps of 11339 09:40:22,240 --> 09:40:25,240 wood. 11340 09:40:31,436 --> 09:40:38,240 Ole Kirk Christensen was born in 1891 in 11341 09:40:35,276 --> 09:40:42,240 western Denmark, a place defined by 11342 09:40:38,240 --> 09:40:44,960 silence, soil, and hard work. 11343 09:40:42,240 --> 09:40:47,120 He grew up poor, like most children in 11344 09:40:44,960 --> 09:40:48,480 the Jutland countryside. 11345 09:40:47,120 --> 09:40:51,200 But he learned the value of 11346 09:40:48,480 --> 09:40:54,720 craftsmanship early. When you made 11347 09:40:51,200 --> 09:40:57,360 something, it had to last. 11348 09:40:54,720 --> 09:40:59,596 He apprenticed as a carpenter. It was 11349 09:40:57,360 --> 09:41:03,200 not a really glamorous work, but 11350 09:40:59,596 --> 09:41:06,560 meticulous, honest, a craft that matched 11351 09:41:03,200 --> 09:41:08,960 Ola's character and manners. 11352 09:41:06,560 --> 09:41:12,400 Ola traveled through Denmark, Germany, 11353 09:41:08,960 --> 09:41:15,840 and Norway. Everywhere he went, he left 11354 09:41:12,400 --> 09:41:17,916 a reputation. Precise, patient, 11355 09:41:15,840 --> 09:41:21,520 relentless. 11356 09:41:17,916 --> 09:41:23,596 In 1916, Ole returned home and bought a 11357 09:41:21,520 --> 09:41:27,840 workshop in a place that barely existed 11358 09:41:23,596 --> 09:41:30,400 on the map. Bund. No shops, no train 11359 09:41:27,840 --> 09:41:32,400 station, just a handful of families 11360 09:41:30,400 --> 09:41:34,240 trying to survive the Danish winds. 11361 09:41:32,400 --> 09:41:37,360 >> Don't worry, I'm fine. I'm fine. 11362 09:41:34,240 --> 09:41:39,520 >> But 8 years later, disaster struck. 11363 09:41:37,360 --> 09:41:42,560 >> Oh. Oh. Oh no. 11364 09:41:39,520 --> 09:41:43,276 >> In 1924, a fire tore through his 11365 09:41:42,560 --> 09:41:46,080 workshop. 11366 09:41:43,276 --> 09:41:47,756 >> Oh god. No. Please no. Oh my god. 11367 09:41:46,080 --> 09:41:52,000 >> Everything burned. 11368 09:41:47,756 --> 09:41:55,360 tools, wood, orders, and a lifetime of 11369 09:41:52,000 --> 09:41:59,436 savings, all gone. 11370 09:41:55,360 --> 09:42:02,080 But Ol didn't quit. He rebuilt and 11371 09:41:59,436 --> 09:42:04,640 rebuilt bigger than before. Not because 11372 09:42:02,080 --> 09:42:08,560 it was safe, but because he refused to 11373 09:42:04,640 --> 09:42:11,436 let Bill disappear into the wind. 11374 09:42:08,560 --> 09:42:14,080 Then came the Great Depression. Houses 11375 09:42:11,436 --> 09:42:17,916 weren't being built. Doors weren't being 11376 09:42:14,080 --> 09:42:20,640 ordered. Bills weren't being paid. 11377 09:42:17,916 --> 09:42:23,596 Ole had workers depending on him, 11378 09:42:20,640 --> 09:42:26,560 families depending on him. So, he did 11379 09:42:23,596 --> 09:42:28,880 something unexpected. He began crafting 11380 09:42:26,560 --> 09:42:32,000 small wooden toys. 11381 09:42:28,880 --> 09:42:34,000 They were simple, durable, and 11382 09:42:32,000 --> 09:42:36,960 beautiful. 11383 09:42:34,000 --> 09:42:40,800 Locals mocked him. A grown man making 11384 09:42:36,960 --> 09:42:44,080 toys for children. You'll never survive. 11385 09:42:40,800 --> 09:42:46,080 But Ola believed that play and fun was a 11386 09:42:44,080 --> 09:42:49,200 serious business. 11387 09:42:46,080 --> 09:42:52,880 In 1934, he held a contest to name the 11388 09:42:49,200 --> 09:42:56,560 new toy company. He chose a short word, 11389 09:42:52,880 --> 09:43:00,240 Lego. It was not only a simple idea, but 11390 09:42:56,560 --> 09:43:03,040 a philosophy and a promise. 11391 09:43:00,240 --> 09:43:05,680 He hung a sign in the workshop. Only the 11392 09:43:03,040 --> 09:43:10,840 best is good enough. It wasn't 11393 09:43:05,680 --> 09:43:10,840 marketing. It was his identity. 11394 09:43:12,640 --> 09:43:15,916 Oh god, not again. 11395 09:43:14,160 --> 09:43:19,360 >> In 1942, 11396 09:43:15,916 --> 09:43:21,916 Ola faced another fire. This time it was 11397 09:43:19,360 --> 09:43:25,520 bigger, more devastating. Every 11398 09:43:21,916 --> 09:43:28,080 blueprint, every toy, every dream he had 11399 09:43:25,520 --> 09:43:30,960 turned into smoke. 11400 09:43:28,080 --> 09:43:34,480 But he had built himself the hardship. 11401 09:43:30,960 --> 09:43:37,596 And once more, he rebuilt the factory 11402 09:43:34,480 --> 09:43:41,596 stronger than the two previous ones. 11403 09:43:37,596 --> 09:43:43,680 In 1947, at the worst economic moment, 11404 09:43:41,596 --> 09:43:46,640 Ola made the riskiest choice of his 11405 09:43:43,680 --> 09:43:48,800 life. He spent more than twice the 11406 09:43:46,640 --> 09:43:51,596 company's annual profits on a strange 11407 09:43:48,800 --> 09:43:54,640 new machine, one that worked not with 11408 09:43:51,596 --> 09:43:57,276 wood, but with plastic. 11409 09:43:54,640 --> 09:43:59,680 Retailers hated plastic. Parents 11410 09:43:57,276 --> 09:44:03,520 distrusted it. But Ola saw something 11411 09:43:59,680 --> 09:44:05,916 they didn't. Precision, repeatability, 11412 09:44:03,520 --> 09:44:08,160 and possibilities. Endless 11413 09:44:05,916 --> 09:44:11,520 possibilities. 11414 09:44:08,160 --> 09:44:13,680 Only 2 years later, in 1949, 11415 09:44:11,520 --> 09:44:16,960 LEGO released the first plastic bricks 11416 09:44:13,680 --> 09:44:19,756 of its history. They didn't click. They 11417 09:44:16,960 --> 09:44:22,756 weren't perfect, but they were the 11418 09:44:19,756 --> 09:44:22,756 beginning. 11419 09:44:27,040 --> 09:44:31,360 >> The idea was good, but Ola and his team 11420 09:44:29,596 --> 09:44:33,680 faced setbacks while designing the 11421 09:44:31,360 --> 09:44:36,960 bricks that had cemented LEGO's identity 11422 09:44:33,680 --> 09:44:40,080 through the years. The plastic bricks 11423 09:44:36,960 --> 09:44:42,160 didn't grip. This was a major problem 11424 09:44:40,080 --> 09:44:44,880 for a building set because buildings 11425 09:44:42,160 --> 09:44:48,320 collapsed. Towers fell in front of their 11426 09:44:44,880 --> 09:44:52,800 eyes. Apparently, Lego wasn't created to 11427 09:44:48,320 --> 09:44:55,040 build. And then in 1958, 11428 09:44:52,800 --> 09:44:57,360 everything changed. 11429 09:44:55,040 --> 09:44:59,360 >> Unlike 20 years ago, LEGO today allows 11430 09:44:57,360 --> 09:45:01,680 us to build many more things because 11431 09:44:59,360 --> 09:45:05,000 they have released more realistic colors 11432 09:45:01,680 --> 09:45:05,000 and shapes. 11433 09:45:05,360 --> 09:45:10,160 In the past, the pieces were mostly 11434 09:45:07,436 --> 09:45:12,160 square. Today, there is a much wider 11435 09:45:10,160 --> 09:45:14,320 variety of shapes, including more 11436 09:45:12,160 --> 09:45:17,120 rounded elements, which allow us to 11437 09:45:14,320 --> 09:45:18,880 create more ergonomic forms, ones that 11438 09:45:17,120 --> 09:45:21,200 more closely resemble the kinds of 11439 09:45:18,880 --> 09:45:23,360 buildings and structures we see in 11440 09:45:21,200 --> 09:45:26,400 everyday life. 11441 09:45:23,360 --> 09:45:29,520 >> Engineers at LEGO perfected a simple but 11442 09:45:26,400 --> 09:45:31,520 ingenious solution. hollow tubes inside 11443 09:45:29,520 --> 09:45:33,840 the brick. 11444 09:45:31,520 --> 09:45:36,400 Paired with the studs on top, the 11445 09:45:33,840 --> 09:45:40,240 geometry created what LEGO calls clutch 11446 09:45:36,400 --> 09:45:42,480 power. Not too tight, not too loose, 11447 09:45:40,240 --> 09:45:44,400 just perfect. 11448 09:45:42,480 --> 09:45:47,040 This was not just an adjustment or 11449 09:45:44,400 --> 09:45:50,160 improvement. It was the birth of what we 11450 09:45:47,040 --> 09:45:52,800 know today as a Lego brick. The brick 11451 09:45:50,160 --> 09:45:54,880 that today can still be used with the 11452 09:45:52,800 --> 09:45:56,960 modern ones. 11453 09:45:54,880 --> 09:46:00,480 the brick that was the foundation of a 11454 09:45:56,960 --> 09:46:03,916 company that still makes history today. 11455 09:46:00,480 --> 09:46:05,916 That same year, Lego filed the patent. 11456 09:46:03,916 --> 09:46:08,560 They had something worth protecting, and 11457 09:46:05,916 --> 09:46:11,360 O knew that sooner or later it would be 11458 09:46:08,560 --> 09:46:15,040 replicated. 11459 09:46:11,360 --> 09:46:18,080 It was January the 28th, 1958 when the 11460 09:46:15,040 --> 09:46:21,360 patent was filed. Later that year, 11461 09:46:18,080 --> 09:46:24,640 Oliver Christensen passed away. 11462 09:46:21,360 --> 09:46:28,436 And sadly, he never lived to see how far 11463 09:46:24,640 --> 09:46:28,436 his brick would travel. 11464 09:46:36,000 --> 09:46:41,436 After his father died, Godfred Kerr 11465 09:46:38,560 --> 09:46:43,680 Christensen stepped in. He wasn't 11466 09:46:41,436 --> 09:46:46,720 inheriting the company. He was 11467 09:46:43,680 --> 09:46:49,200 inheriting a philosophy, one he had been 11468 09:46:46,720 --> 09:46:51,840 raised with. His father wasn't around 11469 09:46:49,200 --> 09:46:53,916 anymore, but the original spirit of Lego 11470 09:46:51,840 --> 09:46:55,916 lived on in the second Christensen 11471 09:46:53,916 --> 09:46:58,320 generation. 11472 09:46:55,916 --> 09:47:00,400 But he also had something to add. 11473 09:46:58,320 --> 09:47:03,756 Godfred believed Lego should be more 11474 09:47:00,400 --> 09:47:06,080 than toys. It should be a system. A 11475 09:47:03,756 --> 09:47:10,000 system where every piece connected with 11476 09:47:06,080 --> 09:47:12,080 every other piece across every set. 11477 09:47:10,000 --> 09:47:13,916 This created a language of creativity 11478 09:47:12,080 --> 09:47:17,120 and possibilities. 11479 09:47:13,916 --> 09:47:19,596 And a single idea changed everything. 11480 09:47:17,120 --> 09:47:23,520 Suddenly, LEGO wasn't a collection of 11481 09:47:19,596 --> 09:47:26,000 toys, but an entire universe. 11482 09:47:23,520 --> 09:47:28,000 The company began to grow far beyond its 11483 09:47:26,000 --> 09:47:31,756 original frontiers. 11484 09:47:28,000 --> 09:47:36,480 During the 1960s and '7s, Lego expanded 11485 09:47:31,756 --> 09:47:39,276 across Europe, Germany, Sweden, the UK. 11486 09:47:36,480 --> 09:47:42,720 Bund, once a small village, became a 11487 09:47:39,276 --> 09:47:45,360 global hub of play. Lego then built its 11488 09:47:42,720 --> 09:47:47,596 own airport, factories, and distribution 11489 09:47:45,360 --> 09:47:50,320 centers. In the world of construction 11490 09:47:47,596 --> 09:47:53,040 toys, we know that Lego isn't the only 11491 09:47:50,320 --> 09:47:57,596 brand around. 11492 09:47:53,040 --> 09:48:00,160 What Lego provides is a quality product. 11493 09:47:57,596 --> 09:48:03,040 Maybe one part is wrong for every 10,000 11494 09:48:00,160 --> 09:48:05,840 or 100,000 items. And if you are missing 11495 09:48:03,040 --> 09:48:08,000 an item from a box, or if it is faulty, 11496 09:48:05,840 --> 09:48:09,436 the company's after sales service will 11497 09:48:08,000 --> 09:48:12,840 not question the fact that you are 11498 09:48:09,436 --> 09:48:12,840 missing a part. 11499 09:48:13,520 --> 09:48:19,840 And then the magic happened. 11500 09:48:17,200 --> 09:48:24,080 LEGO introduced something no toy company 11501 09:48:19,840 --> 09:48:27,916 had done at scale. Fully themed worlds. 11502 09:48:24,080 --> 09:48:29,200 Space town castles. 11503 09:48:27,916 --> 09:48:31,680 Children weren't just building 11504 09:48:29,200 --> 09:48:33,520 structures anymore. They were building 11505 09:48:31,680 --> 09:48:37,120 stories. 11506 09:48:33,520 --> 09:48:39,040 In 1978, LEGO released its most iconic 11507 09:48:37,120 --> 09:48:40,640 invention since the brick, the 11508 09:48:39,040 --> 09:48:43,680 minifigure. 11509 09:48:40,640 --> 09:48:47,520 It had a simple face, hands shaped like 11510 09:48:43,680 --> 09:48:50,240 a sea, and feet made to stand on studs. 11511 09:48:47,520 --> 09:48:53,200 A tiny character that let kids project 11512 09:48:50,240 --> 09:48:56,240 themselves into entire universes. 11513 09:48:53,200 --> 09:48:57,756 Stories now had heroes, and Lego had a 11514 09:48:56,240 --> 09:49:00,880 heartbeat. 11515 09:48:57,756 --> 09:49:03,596 In the late 1970s, Lego was already run 11516 09:49:00,880 --> 09:49:07,040 by the third Christensen generation. 11517 09:49:03,596 --> 09:49:09,360 Ole's grandson Kild began shaping the 11518 09:49:07,040 --> 09:49:12,720 company into the global powerhouse we 11519 09:49:09,360 --> 09:49:15,436 know today. He did so by creating more 11520 09:49:12,720 --> 09:49:18,720 sophisticated lines, bringing in new 11521 09:49:15,436 --> 09:49:21,040 universes, technic brought mechanics, 11522 09:49:18,720 --> 09:49:24,000 pirates brought adventure, and trains 11523 09:49:21,040 --> 09:49:26,400 brought motion. By the late 20th 11524 09:49:24,000 --> 09:49:29,436 century, the global toy market was 11525 09:49:26,400 --> 09:49:31,520 becoming massive. Tens of billions of 11526 09:49:29,436 --> 09:49:33,916 dollars a year worth. 11527 09:49:31,520 --> 09:49:36,720 The United States spent more on toys 11528 09:49:33,916 --> 09:49:39,596 than any country on Earth. And China 11529 09:49:36,720 --> 09:49:41,680 produced most of them, nearly 3/4 of the 11530 09:49:39,596 --> 09:49:44,640 world's total. 11531 09:49:41,680 --> 09:49:50,520 In this booming landscape, Lego wasn't 11532 09:49:44,640 --> 09:49:50,520 just another toy. It was the toy. 11533 09:49:55,120 --> 09:50:00,960 By the late 1990s, Lego was flying high. 11534 09:49:58,960 --> 09:50:03,120 It had become one of the most admired 11535 09:50:00,960 --> 09:50:05,276 companies in Europe. A creative 11536 09:50:03,120 --> 09:50:07,756 powerhouse built on the philosophy of 11537 09:50:05,276 --> 09:50:09,756 imagination and creation. We're not 11538 09:50:07,756 --> 09:50:11,520 focused only on childhood, but on 11539 09:50:09,756 --> 09:50:13,840 something that has quite literally built 11540 09:50:11,520 --> 09:50:16,000 us, pun intended, shaping our 11541 09:50:13,840 --> 09:50:18,640 personalities through Lego from an early 11542 09:50:16,000 --> 09:50:22,960 age. Those memories became a foundation 11543 09:50:18,640 --> 09:50:24,880 we've kept building on over time. 11544 09:50:22,960 --> 09:50:26,720 That's why exhibitions like this bring 11545 09:50:24,880 --> 09:50:29,680 us straight back to childhood. The 11546 09:50:26,720 --> 09:50:31,840 audience here is very diverse, but once 11547 09:50:29,680 --> 09:50:34,080 people walk in, they all become the boy 11548 09:50:31,840 --> 09:50:36,960 or girl they once were. 11549 09:50:34,080 --> 09:50:39,276 >> But it's not all gold that glitters. 11550 09:50:36,960 --> 09:50:42,240 Under the surface, something dangerous 11551 09:50:39,276 --> 09:50:44,480 was creeping in. The toy market was 11552 09:50:42,240 --> 09:50:46,480 changing fast. Children were spending 11553 09:50:44,480 --> 09:50:48,880 more and more time with video games and 11554 09:50:46,480 --> 09:50:51,120 early computer entertainment. 11555 09:50:48,880 --> 09:50:53,276 Sony's PlayStation, Nintendo, and 11556 09:50:51,120 --> 09:50:56,640 Hasbro's electronic toys were capturing 11557 09:50:53,276 --> 09:51:01,040 attention. And Lego, determined not to 11558 09:50:56,640 --> 09:51:03,520 fall behind, expanded too far too fast. 11559 09:51:01,040 --> 09:51:05,756 Throughout the 1990s, LEGO began 11560 09:51:03,520 --> 09:51:08,560 introducing thousands of completely new 11561 09:51:05,756 --> 09:51:11,520 pieces, specialized parts that not only 11562 09:51:08,560 --> 09:51:15,276 worked in one set. A single year could 11563 09:51:11,520 --> 09:51:17,436 bring more than 350 new designs. Each of 11564 09:51:15,276 --> 09:51:19,916 them costing tens of thousands of 11565 09:51:17,436 --> 09:51:22,160 dollars in steel machining and precision 11566 09:51:19,916 --> 09:51:24,080 engineering. 11567 09:51:22,160 --> 09:51:26,400 In 2002, 11568 09:51:24,080 --> 09:51:29,360 Lego had more than 12,000 active 11569 09:51:26,400 --> 09:51:31,756 elements. The system of play, once 11570 09:51:29,360 --> 09:51:35,120 simple and universal, was becoming 11571 09:51:31,756 --> 09:51:38,160 chaotic and difficult to follow. LEGO 11572 09:51:35,120 --> 09:51:40,240 also tried becoming a lifestyle brand. 11573 09:51:38,160 --> 09:51:43,360 New ventures appeared everywhere. 11574 09:51:40,240 --> 09:51:45,596 Clothing lines, theme parks, homegoods, 11575 09:51:43,360 --> 09:51:47,276 cartoon series, even watches and 11576 09:51:45,596 --> 09:51:49,200 sneakers. 11577 09:51:47,276 --> 09:51:51,840 But these projects drained resources 11578 09:51:49,200 --> 09:51:57,360 without reinforcing the core product. 11579 09:51:51,840 --> 09:51:59,756 the brick. And between 1999 and 2003, 11580 09:51:57,360 --> 09:52:01,916 LEGO sales collapsed. 11581 09:51:59,756 --> 09:52:04,560 During these years, the company went 11582 09:52:01,916 --> 09:52:07,840 from doubledigit growth to struggling. 11583 09:52:04,560 --> 09:52:11,120 And by 2003, the company was losing the 11584 09:52:07,840 --> 09:52:14,080 equivalent of $1 million a day. In a 11585 09:52:11,120 --> 09:52:17,840 global toy market still worth more than 11586 09:52:14,080 --> 09:52:20,240 $70 billion US at the time, Lego, once 11587 09:52:17,840 --> 09:52:22,720 the king of the toy box, was only a few 11588 09:52:20,240 --> 09:52:25,840 steps away from bankruptcy. 11589 09:52:22,720 --> 09:52:30,080 Times were dark, but a spark of genius 11590 09:52:25,840 --> 09:52:32,400 appeared. In 1999, LEGO signed its first 11591 09:52:30,080 --> 09:52:34,240 ever licensing deal with no other than 11592 09:52:32,400 --> 09:52:37,360 Lucasfilm. 11593 09:52:34,240 --> 09:52:40,560 The timing was perfect. Star Wars 11594 09:52:37,360 --> 09:52:43,360 Episode 1 was about to hit theaters. 11595 09:52:40,560 --> 09:52:46,400 Hype was global and the first Lego Star 11596 09:52:43,360 --> 09:52:49,596 Wars sets were instant hits, not just 11597 09:52:46,400 --> 09:52:51,680 with children, with adults. Collectors 11598 09:52:49,596 --> 09:52:53,756 lined up to buy the X-wing, the 11599 09:52:51,680 --> 09:52:57,120 Snowspeeder, or the first Millennium 11600 09:52:53,756 --> 09:52:59,916 Falcon. For the first time in LEGO's 11601 09:52:57,120 --> 09:53:02,720 history, adults, including those in 11602 09:52:59,916 --> 09:53:03,596 their 30s and 40s, were buying sets for 11603 09:53:02,720 --> 09:53:05,520 themselves. 11604 09:53:03,596 --> 09:53:08,320 >> The adult fan of Lego community is 11605 09:53:05,520 --> 09:53:10,400 getting bigger. This is because Lego is 11606 09:53:08,320 --> 09:53:12,880 not the same as it was 20 or 30 years 11607 09:53:10,400 --> 09:53:15,200 ago. 11608 09:53:12,880 --> 09:53:17,040 Before, Lego was only seen as a toy to 11609 09:53:15,200 --> 09:53:20,040 play with when it was cold and you were 11610 09:53:17,040 --> 09:53:20,040 indoors. 11611 09:53:20,400 --> 09:53:25,200 Today, Lego is much more than a toy. 11612 09:53:22,800 --> 09:53:27,520 It's used to create logos to design 11613 09:53:25,200 --> 09:53:30,480 dynamic group activities. And it also 11614 09:53:27,520 --> 09:53:32,800 represents a shift in how we see it. 11615 09:53:30,480 --> 09:53:35,200 years ago, if you said you played with 11616 09:53:32,800 --> 09:53:37,596 Lego or built Lego, you almost had to 11617 09:53:35,200 --> 09:53:39,360 explain yourself that you were at home 11618 09:53:37,596 --> 09:53:42,160 playing with little figures making up 11619 09:53:39,360 --> 09:53:44,080 battles. What we do today is different. 11620 09:53:42,160 --> 09:53:47,756 We come together as a community of 11621 09:53:44,080 --> 09:53:49,596 adults, and Lego has recognized that. 11622 09:53:47,756 --> 09:53:51,916 That's why more and more products are 11623 09:53:49,596 --> 09:53:54,640 now designed specifically for adults, 11624 09:53:51,916 --> 09:53:57,640 more complex to build, and also more 11625 09:53:54,640 --> 09:53:57,640 expensive. 11626 09:53:58,720 --> 09:54:04,480 This kid demographic would later become 11627 09:54:01,436 --> 09:54:07,360 one of LEGO's most profitable segments. 11628 09:54:04,480 --> 09:54:10,640 More licenses followed Harry Potter, 11629 09:54:07,360 --> 09:54:12,560 Spider-Man, Batman, Indiana Jones, and 11630 09:54:10,640 --> 09:54:14,240 later the newest Marvel Cinematic 11631 09:54:12,560 --> 09:54:15,840 Universe. 11632 09:54:14,240 --> 09:54:19,276 Even though LEGO learned that 11633 09:54:15,840 --> 09:54:22,560 storytelling sells, in 2004, losses were 11634 09:54:19,276 --> 09:54:25,040 mounting and survival was uncertain. 11635 09:54:22,560 --> 09:54:26,560 And then the company made a radical 11636 09:54:25,040 --> 09:54:28,880 decision. 11637 09:54:26,560 --> 09:54:31,360 For the first time in its history, the 11638 09:54:28,880 --> 09:54:35,276 company appointed a CEO from outside the 11639 09:54:31,360 --> 09:54:38,880 Christensen family, Jurgen Victor, a 11640 09:54:35,276 --> 09:54:42,800 35-year-old former McKenzie consultant. 11641 09:54:38,880 --> 09:54:46,400 He was calm, precise, analytical, 11642 09:54:42,800 --> 09:54:50,240 and brutally honest. His diagnosis was 11643 09:54:46,400 --> 09:54:52,000 simple. Lego had forgotten what made it 11644 09:54:50,240 --> 09:54:54,240 Lego. 11645 09:54:52,000 --> 09:54:57,596 Kutto cut the number of unique elements 11646 09:54:54,240 --> 09:55:00,240 by nearly 50%. He sold off the theme 11647 09:54:57,596 --> 09:55:02,960 parks. He shut down unprofitable 11648 09:55:00,240 --> 09:55:06,080 production facilities. He centralized 11649 09:55:02,960 --> 09:55:07,680 supply chains, standardized materials, 11650 09:55:06,080 --> 09:55:10,880 and brought back discipline to the 11651 09:55:07,680 --> 09:55:15,560 system. But more important, he put the 11652 09:55:10,880 --> 09:55:15,560 brick back at the center of the company. 11653 09:55:17,276 --> 09:55:22,240 This turnaround didn't happen in 11654 09:55:19,120 --> 09:55:25,520 isolation. The global toy industry was 11655 09:55:22,240 --> 09:55:28,080 undergoing a seismic change. China was 11656 09:55:25,520 --> 09:55:30,640 producing nearly 75% of the world's 11657 09:55:28,080 --> 09:55:33,756 toys, being the largest manufacturing 11658 09:55:30,640 --> 09:55:35,840 consolidation in toy history. 11659 09:55:33,756 --> 09:55:38,480 Meanwhile, the United States had become 11660 09:55:35,840 --> 09:55:40,640 the single largest consumer, responsible 11661 09:55:38,480 --> 09:55:43,640 for nearly onethird of the global toy 11662 09:55:40,640 --> 09:55:43,640 spending. 11663 09:55:43,916 --> 09:55:50,000 By 2005, the toy market was worth close 11664 09:55:47,520 --> 09:55:53,436 to 80 billion US. 11665 09:55:50,000 --> 09:55:56,240 But it was brutally competitive as well. 11666 09:55:53,436 --> 09:55:58,800 Seasonality was extreme. Nearly half of 11667 09:55:56,240 --> 09:56:02,400 the annual toy sales occurred in just 3 11668 09:55:58,800 --> 09:56:05,520 months from October to December. 11669 09:56:02,400 --> 09:56:07,596 Companies lived or died by Christmas. 11670 09:56:05,520 --> 09:56:10,400 Mattel was battling declining Barbie 11671 09:56:07,596 --> 09:56:11,840 sales. Hasbro was betting its future on 11672 09:56:10,400 --> 09:56:13,436 Transformers and board game 11673 09:56:11,840 --> 09:56:15,276 reinventions. 11674 09:56:13,436 --> 09:56:18,160 Electronics were eating market share 11675 09:56:15,276 --> 09:56:22,640 across every age group. In this 11676 09:56:18,160 --> 09:56:28,596 scenario, LEGO rebuilt and refocused and 11677 09:56:22,640 --> 09:56:28,596 then began rising above all of them. 11678 09:56:31,756 --> 09:56:39,436 Between 2008 and 2015, LEGO entered a 11679 09:56:36,000 --> 09:56:42,240 new era, a renaissance driven by design, 11680 09:56:39,436 --> 09:56:44,320 storytelling, digital engagement, and 11681 09:56:42,240 --> 09:56:46,240 adult passion. 11682 09:56:44,320 --> 09:56:49,120 The company launched the ultimate 11683 09:56:46,240 --> 09:56:52,640 collector series, producing the largest, 11684 09:56:49,120 --> 09:56:54,880 most detailed models in toy history. 11685 09:56:52,640 --> 09:56:58,080 Lego architecture brought landmarks to 11686 09:56:54,880 --> 09:57:00,640 coffee tables. Modular buildings turned 11687 09:56:58,080 --> 09:57:02,800 living rooms into miniature cities, and 11688 09:57:00,640 --> 09:57:05,916 adults were no longer hiding their Lego 11689 09:57:02,800 --> 09:57:08,320 hobby, but embracing it. My story with 11690 09:57:05,916 --> 09:57:10,640 Lego began in the early 90s when I was a 11691 09:57:08,320 --> 09:57:12,960 small child. 11692 09:57:10,640 --> 09:57:14,640 I started playing but then I stopped for 11693 09:57:12,960 --> 09:57:16,320 a while. 11694 09:57:14,640 --> 09:57:18,720 This is what most of us want to do when 11695 09:57:16,320 --> 09:57:23,000 we are teenagers to do other hobbies and 11696 09:57:18,720 --> 09:57:23,000 spend less time playing with Lego. 11697 09:57:23,680 --> 09:57:28,960 After that when I was in my early 20s I 11698 09:57:25,840 --> 09:57:31,040 started collecting Lego. I met people 11699 09:57:28,960 --> 09:57:33,680 from the Valencian community and founded 11700 09:57:31,040 --> 09:57:35,520 Valre. 11701 09:57:33,680 --> 09:57:38,080 That eventually led me to a television 11702 09:57:35,520 --> 09:57:40,320 show where I took part and won. From 11703 09:57:38,080 --> 09:57:43,800 there, companies began approaching me to 11704 09:57:40,320 --> 09:57:43,800 develop projects. 11705 09:57:45,120 --> 09:57:48,800 At first, this hadn't even occurred to 11706 09:57:47,040 --> 09:57:51,200 me, 11707 09:57:48,800 --> 09:57:53,436 but I started to see a growing demand. 11708 09:57:51,200 --> 09:57:55,596 Whether it was building a corporate kit, 11709 09:57:53,436 --> 09:57:58,960 like a transport company's truck, or 11710 09:57:55,596 --> 09:58:00,640 even a company's logistics headquarters, 11711 09:57:58,960 --> 09:58:02,640 this market opened up a professional 11712 09:58:00,640 --> 09:58:04,640 path for me. 11713 09:58:02,640 --> 09:58:08,000 It supports me financially, but more 11714 09:58:04,640 --> 09:58:10,000 importantly, it's deeply rewarding. 11715 09:58:08,000 --> 09:58:11,596 Many of these projects challenge me to 11716 09:58:10,000 --> 09:58:13,120 build things I would never choose on my 11717 09:58:11,596 --> 09:58:15,840 own. 11718 09:58:13,120 --> 09:58:17,756 But once a challenge is set, build this, 11719 09:58:15,840 --> 09:58:20,560 my mind immediately starts collecting 11720 09:58:17,756 --> 09:58:22,560 ideas, figuring out how to shape them 11721 09:58:20,560 --> 09:58:26,360 and bring the project to life in the 11722 09:58:22,560 --> 09:58:26,360 best possible way. 11723 09:58:27,756 --> 09:58:33,840 The adult fans of Lego skyrocketed. 11724 09:58:30,960 --> 09:58:36,640 Forums, conventions, fan events, 11725 09:58:33,840 --> 09:58:40,880 engineering cups. A global movement 11726 09:58:36,640 --> 09:58:43,756 emerged. By 2014, adults accounted for 11727 09:58:40,880 --> 09:58:46,240 nearly onethird of LEGO sales. 11728 09:58:43,756 --> 09:58:48,480 >> To anyone who thinks Lego is only for 11729 09:58:46,240 --> 09:58:50,080 children, I'd say come and see the 11730 09:58:48,480 --> 09:58:51,916 exhibition. 11731 09:58:50,080 --> 09:58:54,720 See what we're capable of creating with 11732 09:58:51,916 --> 09:58:58,640 Lego pieces and how imagination develops 11733 09:58:54,720 --> 09:59:00,800 in both children and adults. 11734 09:58:58,640 --> 09:59:03,680 Children work within certain limits and 11735 09:59:00,800 --> 09:59:06,320 see things differently, but adults with 11736 09:59:03,680 --> 09:59:09,040 a wider range of colors, shapes, and 11737 09:59:06,320 --> 09:59:12,160 ways to use the pieces can explore just 11738 09:59:09,040 --> 09:59:14,160 how much is possible. 11739 09:59:12,160 --> 09:59:17,040 >> It was a radical shift in the economics 11740 09:59:14,160 --> 09:59:18,960 of play. And then came the cultural 11741 09:59:17,040 --> 09:59:22,000 explosion. 11742 09:59:18,960 --> 09:59:25,120 In 2014, The Lego Movie shattered 11743 09:59:22,000 --> 09:59:28,400 expectations, earning nearly $500 11744 09:59:25,120 --> 09:59:31,360 million US at the box office. 11745 09:59:28,400 --> 09:59:34,880 What started as a toy was now pop 11746 09:59:31,360 --> 09:59:37,040 culture. By the mid 2010s, 11747 09:59:34,880 --> 09:59:40,000 Lego was the world's most valuable toy 11748 09:59:37,040 --> 09:59:42,720 company, even surpassing Mattel, Hasbro, 11749 09:59:40,000 --> 09:59:45,200 and every other competitor. 11750 09:59:42,720 --> 09:59:48,720 The brick that started it all was no 11751 09:59:45,200 --> 09:59:51,720 longer just a product. It was a global 11752 09:59:48,720 --> 09:59:51,720 icon. 11753 09:59:53,596 --> 09:59:57,916 The LEGO Group stands today as one of 11754 09:59:55,916 --> 09:59:59,916 the most efficient, profitable, and 11755 09:59:57,916 --> 10:00:02,480 culturally influential toy companies on 11756 09:59:59,916 --> 10:00:04,720 Earth. Its factories run with near 11757 10:00:02,480 --> 10:00:06,880 perfect precision. 11758 10:00:04,720 --> 10:00:10,000 Its design teams develop thousands of 11759 10:00:06,880 --> 10:00:12,000 prototypes each year. Its supply chain 11760 10:00:10,000 --> 10:00:14,880 delivers billions of bricks that must 11761 10:00:12,000 --> 10:00:16,720 all fit together flawlessly across 11762 10:00:14,880 --> 10:00:19,360 decades. 11763 10:00:16,720 --> 10:00:23,436 In a global toy market worth roughly 11764 10:00:19,360 --> 10:00:27,680 $120 billion a year, Lego commands 11765 10:00:23,436 --> 10:00:30,640 nearly 9% of all worldwide toy sales. No 11766 10:00:27,680 --> 10:00:33,436 other toy brand, not Barbie, not Marvel 11767 10:00:30,640 --> 10:00:35,596 figures, not Nintendo merchandise, 11768 10:00:33,436 --> 10:00:39,360 maintains such consistency across 11769 10:00:35,596 --> 10:00:41,360 continents, genders, and generations. 11770 10:00:39,360 --> 10:00:44,480 And unlike most toy companies that 11771 10:00:41,360 --> 10:00:45,916 outsource manufacturing, LEGO controls a 11772 10:00:44,480 --> 10:00:49,040 significant portion of its own 11773 10:00:45,916 --> 10:00:51,596 production with major hubs in Denmark, 11774 10:00:49,040 --> 10:00:53,596 Hungary, Mexico, China, and the Czech 11775 10:00:51,596 --> 10:00:56,320 Republic. 11776 10:00:53,596 --> 10:00:58,880 This vertical integration reduces risk, 11777 10:00:56,320 --> 10:01:00,800 stabilizes quality, and protects one of 11778 10:00:58,880 --> 10:01:04,080 the most important values in the 11779 10:01:00,800 --> 10:01:06,400 company's DNA, precision. 11780 10:01:04,080 --> 10:01:08,720 Every Lego brick must be manufactured 11781 10:01:06,400 --> 10:01:11,840 with tolerances thinner than a strand of 11782 10:01:08,720 --> 10:01:15,360 hair. If the clutch is too tight, the 11783 10:01:11,840 --> 10:01:18,480 model breaks. If it's too loose, towers 11784 10:01:15,360 --> 10:01:22,000 collapse. Across billions of pieces, 11785 10:01:18,480 --> 10:01:25,360 perfection is not an ambition. It is an 11786 10:01:22,000 --> 10:01:27,360 engineering reality for LEGO. 11787 10:01:25,360 --> 10:01:29,520 This level of detail gives the company 11788 10:01:27,360 --> 10:01:32,160 one of the highest brand trust ratings 11789 10:01:29,520 --> 10:01:34,720 in the world. Parents know the bricks 11790 10:01:32,160 --> 10:01:37,520 will last. Adults know the sets will 11791 10:01:34,720 --> 10:01:39,840 impress. Collectors know the investment 11792 10:01:37,520 --> 10:01:42,080 will hold value. 11793 10:01:39,840 --> 10:01:44,800 The modern toy market is a machine of 11794 10:01:42,080 --> 10:01:46,560 impulse, tradition, celebration, and 11795 10:01:44,800 --> 10:01:48,480 nostalgia. 11796 10:01:46,560 --> 10:01:52,000 In 2025, 11797 10:01:48,480 --> 10:01:55,040 global spending on toys approaches 120 11798 10:01:52,000 --> 10:01:57,756 billion, nearly double what it was two 11799 10:01:55,040 --> 10:02:00,320 decades earlier. The United States 11800 10:01:57,756 --> 10:02:02,000 remains the world's largest consumer. 11801 10:02:00,320 --> 10:02:04,960 accounting for roughly onethird of 11802 10:02:02,000 --> 10:02:07,596 global sales. A typical American 11803 10:02:04,960 --> 10:02:11,680 household with children may spend $300 11804 10:02:07,596 --> 10:02:13,680 to $400 per child per year on toys. This 11805 10:02:11,680 --> 10:02:15,596 is more than five times the global 11806 10:02:13,680 --> 10:02:18,000 average. 11807 10:02:15,596 --> 10:02:20,240 Europe forms the second largest block 11808 10:02:18,000 --> 10:02:23,120 with strong purchasing power in Germany, 11809 10:02:20,240 --> 10:02:25,596 the United Kingdom, and France. 11810 10:02:23,120 --> 10:02:28,000 Asia-Pacific is rapidly growing, 11811 10:02:25,596 --> 10:02:30,960 especially in China, South Korea, and 11812 10:02:28,000 --> 10:02:33,680 Japan. driven by rising middle classes 11813 10:02:30,960 --> 10:02:36,080 and urban lifestyles. 11814 10:02:33,680 --> 10:02:39,436 But the most important shift of the last 11815 10:02:36,080 --> 10:02:42,436 decade is not geographic. It is 11816 10:02:39,436 --> 10:02:42,436 demographic. 11817 10:02:46,480 --> 10:02:51,596 Adults, once considered irrelevant to 11818 10:02:49,200 --> 10:02:54,400 the toy industry, are now one of the 11819 10:02:51,596 --> 10:02:57,520 most powerful forces. This growing 11820 10:02:54,400 --> 10:03:00,880 segment, commonly called the kid market, 11821 10:02:57,520 --> 10:03:03,756 now represents between 25 and 30% of all 11822 10:03:00,880 --> 10:03:06,320 toy purchases worldwide. 11823 10:03:03,756 --> 10:03:09,436 Adults buy toys for nostalgia, for 11824 10:03:06,320 --> 10:03:12,400 stress relief, for display, for 11825 10:03:09,436 --> 10:03:14,240 identity. Lego is the undisputed 11826 10:03:12,400 --> 10:03:16,640 champion of this movement. 11827 10:03:14,240 --> 10:03:19,960 >> Unlike other hobbies, Lego gives me a 11828 10:03:16,640 --> 10:03:19,960 sense of calm. 11829 10:03:21,120 --> 10:03:25,756 It lets me take ideas from my mind, 11830 10:03:23,436 --> 10:03:28,400 bring them to life, think them through, 11831 10:03:25,756 --> 10:03:30,720 and simply enjoy the process. 11832 10:03:28,400 --> 10:03:33,916 >> Right now, I'm trying to instill that in 11833 10:03:30,720 --> 10:03:35,916 my son to enjoy himself, to learn to see 11834 10:03:33,916 --> 10:03:37,756 colors and shapes, and to understand 11835 10:03:35,916 --> 10:03:39,916 that with imagination, anything is 11836 10:03:37,756 --> 10:03:43,200 possible. 11837 10:03:39,916 --> 10:03:45,756 Its premium sets, Technic Hypercars, 11838 10:03:43,200 --> 10:03:48,480 Star Wars Ultimate Collector Series, 11839 10:03:45,756 --> 10:03:50,800 iconic landmarks, regularly exceed 11840 10:03:48,480 --> 10:03:53,040 prices of $30,500, 11841 10:03:50,800 --> 10:03:55,840 even $800. 11842 10:03:53,040 --> 10:03:57,680 They sell out within hours. They hold 11843 10:03:55,840 --> 10:04:00,480 aftermarket values like fine 11844 10:03:57,680 --> 10:04:02,720 collectibles. This adult segment has 11845 10:04:00,480 --> 10:04:05,840 reshaped the entire financial landscape 11846 10:04:02,720 --> 10:04:08,880 of the company. It provides stability 11847 10:04:05,840 --> 10:04:12,160 when children's trends shift. It creates 11848 10:04:08,880 --> 10:04:14,240 recurring revenue from loyal fans and it 11849 10:04:12,160 --> 10:04:17,200 strengthens LEGO's position as a 11850 10:04:14,240 --> 10:04:20,160 crossgenerational brand, something few 11851 10:04:17,200 --> 10:04:22,480 toy companies have ever achieved. 11852 10:04:20,160 --> 10:04:25,436 Seasonality still dictates much of the 11853 10:04:22,480 --> 10:04:27,680 global toy market. Every year, nearly 11854 10:04:25,436 --> 10:04:31,040 half of all toy sales occur between 11855 10:04:27,680 --> 10:04:33,916 October and December. Companies live or 11856 10:04:31,040 --> 10:04:37,120 die by holiday forecasting, inventory 11857 10:04:33,916 --> 10:04:39,916 strategy, and shipment timing. But LEGO 11858 10:04:37,120 --> 10:04:42,720 has become the exception. Adult 11859 10:04:39,916 --> 10:04:45,120 collectors buy year round. Digital 11860 10:04:42,720 --> 10:04:48,160 experiences drive sales outside the 11861 10:04:45,120 --> 10:04:51,520 holiday season. Licensed launches create 11862 10:04:48,160 --> 10:04:54,160 anticipation even in slow quarters. 11863 10:04:51,520 --> 10:04:56,160 LEGO has effectively freed itself or at 11864 10:04:54,160 --> 10:04:58,240 least partially from the seasonal 11865 10:04:56,160 --> 10:05:00,960 dependency that has defined the toy 11866 10:04:58,240 --> 10:05:03,916 industry for over a century. 11867 10:05:00,960 --> 10:05:06,720 The brick is physical, tangible, 11868 10:05:03,916 --> 10:05:09,596 mechanical. But LEGO's success in the 11869 10:05:06,720 --> 10:05:14,400 21st century extends into digital 11870 10:05:09,596 --> 10:05:16,720 worlds. Star Wars, Batman, Marvel. These 11871 10:05:14,400 --> 10:05:20,000 games defined an entire generation of 11872 10:05:16,720 --> 10:05:22,560 familyfriendly titles. They sold tens of 11873 10:05:20,000 --> 10:05:25,756 millions of copies. They introduced 11874 10:05:22,560 --> 10:05:29,276 humor, storytelling, and simplicity to a 11875 10:05:25,756 --> 10:05:31,360 medium often dominated by complexity. 11876 10:05:29,276 --> 10:05:34,400 For many children born after the year 11877 10:05:31,360 --> 10:05:38,320 2000, Lego was not discovered in a toy 11878 10:05:34,400 --> 10:05:41,120 box, but on a screen. The cinematic leap 11879 10:05:38,320 --> 10:05:43,916 came in 2014 when the Lego movie 11880 10:05:41,120 --> 10:05:46,720 premiered to global acclaim. It earned 11881 10:05:43,916 --> 10:05:49,360 nearly half a billion dollars. Most 11882 10:05:46,720 --> 10:05:52,640 importantly, it reframed Lego as a 11883 10:05:49,360 --> 10:05:54,960 cultural idea, not a product. The film 11884 10:05:52,640 --> 10:05:58,240 taught a global audience that creativity 11885 10:05:54,960 --> 10:06:00,320 matters, that imperfection is beautiful, 11886 10:05:58,240 --> 10:06:04,080 that building and rebuilding are not 11887 10:06:00,320 --> 10:06:07,120 failures, they are the process of play. 11888 10:06:04,080 --> 10:06:09,360 Lego Batman expanded the concept. Lego 11889 10:06:07,120 --> 10:06:12,720 Ninjago created an entirely new 11890 10:06:09,360 --> 10:06:14,800 generation of fans and Lego Masters on 11891 10:06:12,720 --> 10:06:17,040 television turned building into a 11892 10:06:14,800 --> 10:06:19,840 competitive art form. 11893 10:06:17,040 --> 10:06:23,120 The brand had moved beyond toys, beyond 11894 10:06:19,840 --> 10:06:25,680 stories, beyond bricks. It had become 11895 10:06:23,120 --> 10:06:28,680 part of the cultural grammar of the 21st 11896 10:06:25,680 --> 10:06:28,680 century. 11897 10:06:32,320 --> 10:06:36,720 Long before STEM became a global 11898 10:06:34,480 --> 10:06:39,840 movement, Lego was already teaching 11899 10:06:36,720 --> 10:06:43,276 children how to think like engineers. In 11900 10:06:39,840 --> 10:06:45,756 the 1990s, Lego Mindstorms introduced 11901 10:06:43,276 --> 10:06:49,596 programmable robotics to students around 11902 10:06:45,756 --> 10:06:52,480 the world. Later sets we do, Spike 11903 10:06:49,596 --> 10:06:55,520 Prime, Boost brought coding, sensors, 11904 10:06:52,480 --> 10:06:58,160 and motors into classrooms and homes. 11905 10:06:55,520 --> 10:07:00,640 Today, LEGO Education works with 11906 10:06:58,160 --> 10:07:02,640 governments, schools, and universities 11907 10:07:00,640 --> 10:07:06,160 to bring hands-on learning to millions 11908 10:07:02,640 --> 10:07:08,880 of students. The philosophy is simple. 11909 10:07:06,160 --> 10:07:11,276 Children learn best through play. This 11910 10:07:08,880 --> 10:07:14,560 approach shapes future engineers, 11911 10:07:11,276 --> 10:07:16,160 designers, and problem solvers. It helps 11912 10:07:14,560 --> 10:07:18,960 children experiment in ways that 11913 10:07:16,160 --> 10:07:21,916 textbooks cannot. And it continues 11914 10:07:18,960 --> 10:07:24,000 Olirk's belief that play is not a 11915 10:07:21,916 --> 10:07:26,720 distraction from learning, but the 11916 10:07:24,000 --> 10:07:28,720 foundation of it. 11917 10:07:26,720 --> 10:07:29,520 In a world increasingly focused on 11918 10:07:28,720 --> 10:07:31,596 sustainability, 11919 10:07:29,520 --> 10:07:33,520 >> from my experience, what makes Lego 11920 10:07:31,596 --> 10:07:36,400 different from other construction toys 11921 10:07:33,520 --> 10:07:38,720 is its growing commitment to inclusion. 11922 10:07:36,400 --> 10:07:40,080 In recent years, LEGO has actively 11923 10:07:38,720 --> 10:07:42,320 embraced people with different 11924 10:07:40,080 --> 10:07:44,240 abilities. For example, by including 11925 10:07:42,320 --> 10:07:46,960 figures in wheelchairs and releasing 11926 10:07:44,240 --> 10:07:48,720 sets in braille. These are things most 11927 10:07:46,960 --> 10:07:50,880 other brands simply don't offer, but 11928 10:07:48,720 --> 10:07:53,040 LEGO does. 11929 10:07:50,880 --> 10:07:55,040 In addition, LEGO is strongly committed 11930 10:07:53,040 --> 10:07:56,640 to the environment. 11931 10:07:55,040 --> 10:07:58,880 They're producing more and more pieces 11932 10:07:56,640 --> 10:08:00,800 using recycled plastic and replacing 11933 10:07:58,880 --> 10:08:03,596 plastic packaging with paper to reduce 11934 10:08:00,800 --> 10:08:06,160 waste, something other brands simply 11935 10:08:03,596 --> 10:08:09,276 don't do. 11936 10:08:06,160 --> 10:08:11,756 LEGO faces a unique challenge. Its 11937 10:08:09,276 --> 10:08:14,160 bricks are made to last forever. A 11938 10:08:11,756 --> 10:08:17,916 blessing for creativity, but a concern 11939 10:08:14,160 --> 10:08:20,000 in an era of plastic waste. In response, 11940 10:08:17,916 --> 10:08:21,916 LEGO has invested hundreds of millions 11941 10:08:20,000 --> 10:08:24,080 of dollars into developing more 11942 10:08:21,916 --> 10:08:26,720 sustainable materials. 11943 10:08:24,080 --> 10:08:30,000 Plant-based polyethylene is already used 11944 10:08:26,720 --> 10:08:32,960 for leaves and trees. Recycled PT 11945 10:08:30,000 --> 10:08:35,436 prototypes continue to advance. 11946 10:08:32,960 --> 10:08:38,960 Recycled PET prototypes continue to 11947 10:08:35,436 --> 10:08:42,560 advance. New polymer engineering aims to 11948 10:08:38,960 --> 10:08:45,120 create bricks as durable as ABS without 11949 10:08:42,560 --> 10:08:48,400 the environmental cost. 11950 10:08:45,120 --> 10:08:50,560 This transition is not simple. A Lego 11951 10:08:48,400 --> 10:08:53,276 brick must interlock with perfect 11952 10:08:50,560 --> 10:08:55,360 precision. A fraction of a millimeter 11953 10:08:53,276 --> 10:08:57,200 can make the difference between wonder 11954 10:08:55,360 --> 10:08:59,840 and frustration. 11955 10:08:57,200 --> 10:09:02,240 But the mission is clear. A toy that 11956 10:08:59,840 --> 10:09:05,436 lasts forever should also protect the 11957 10:09:02,240 --> 10:09:09,120 world it is played in. Play is not a 11958 10:09:05,436 --> 10:09:10,720 luxury. Play is exploration. Play is 11959 10:09:09,120 --> 10:09:12,960 curiosity. 11960 10:09:10,720 --> 10:09:14,800 Play is the earliest form of human 11961 10:09:12,960 --> 10:09:16,960 creativity. 11962 10:09:14,800 --> 10:09:19,520 From wooden ducks in a small Danish 11963 10:09:16,960 --> 10:09:21,596 workshop to interlocking bricks that 11964 10:09:19,520 --> 10:09:24,880 span generations 11965 10:09:21,596 --> 10:09:27,756 to movies, video games, robotics, and 11966 10:09:24,880 --> 10:09:30,400 global fan communities. LEGO has 11967 10:09:27,756 --> 10:09:34,240 remained loyal to a simple truth. When 11968 10:09:30,400 --> 10:09:37,840 we build, we grow. When we imagine, we 11969 10:09:34,240 --> 10:09:40,840 expand. When we play, we become more 11970 10:09:37,840 --> 10:09:40,840 human. 11971 10:09:44,800 --> 10:09:50,560 More than a century ago, a carpenter 11972 10:09:47,520 --> 10:09:53,680 rebuilt his workshop after a fire. He 11973 10:09:50,560 --> 10:09:56,240 rebuilt it again after another. Not 11974 10:09:53,680 --> 10:09:58,720 because it was easy, but because he 11975 10:09:56,240 --> 10:10:02,080 believed in the power of making things 11976 10:09:58,720 --> 10:10:04,160 and in the power of play. Today, 11977 10:10:02,080 --> 10:10:07,756 billions of creations have risen from 11978 10:10:04,160 --> 10:10:09,596 that belief. Cities, castles, 11979 10:10:07,756 --> 10:10:11,596 spaceships, 11980 10:10:09,596 --> 10:10:14,800 dreams that exist nowhere else but in 11981 10:10:11,596 --> 10:10:17,840 the minds of the people who build them. 11982 10:10:14,800 --> 10:10:20,720 Lego is not perfect. It has faced 11983 10:10:17,840 --> 10:10:24,880 crises, challenges, and impossible 11984 10:10:20,720 --> 10:10:26,960 decisions. But it endures through war, 11985 10:10:24,880 --> 10:10:29,756 through technological revolutions, 11986 10:10:26,960 --> 10:10:32,880 through economic storms. Because 11987 10:10:29,756 --> 10:10:34,800 imagination always endures. 11988 10:10:32,880 --> 10:10:37,916 And as long as there are hands reaching 11989 10:10:34,800 --> 10:10:40,800 for bricks, as long as there are minds 11990 10:10:37,916 --> 10:10:43,680 to create, the legacy of Ole Ker 11991 10:10:40,800 --> 10:10:49,320 Christensen will continue. 11992 10:10:43,680 --> 10:10:49,320 Every dream starts with a single piece. 11993 10:12:15,436 --> 10:12:23,120 Jensen Huang, the software moat. 11994 10:12:19,756 --> 10:12:26,480 June 18th, 2024. 11995 10:12:23,120 --> 10:12:28,960 For a brief historic moment, the world 11996 10:12:26,480 --> 10:12:32,320 had a new king. 11997 10:12:28,960 --> 10:12:35,520 Jensen Hang, the co-founder and CEO of 11998 10:12:32,320 --> 10:12:38,720 Nvidia, stood at the peak of a $3.4 11999 10:12:35,520 --> 10:12:41,040 trillion mountain. 12000 10:12:38,720 --> 10:12:44,080 Analysts whispered that he wasn't just 12001 10:12:41,040 --> 10:12:47,680 leading a company. He was leading the 12002 10:12:44,080 --> 10:12:50,640 first entity destined for a $4 trillion 12003 10:12:47,680 --> 10:12:52,560 valuation. 12004 10:12:50,640 --> 10:12:56,000 But to understand the man in the leather 12005 10:12:52,560 --> 10:12:58,960 jacket, you cannot look at the triumph. 12006 10:12:56,000 --> 10:13:02,880 You must look at the fear. 12007 10:12:58,960 --> 10:13:07,040 Behind the 250% revenue jumps and the 12008 10:13:02,880 --> 10:13:10,160 soldout age 100 backlogs lies a leader 12009 10:13:07,040 --> 10:13:11,840 obsessed with the cyclical trap. 12010 10:13:10,160 --> 10:13:13,436 In the 60-year history of 12011 10:13:11,840 --> 10:13:16,240 semiconductors, 12012 10:13:13,436 --> 10:13:20,320 giants like Texas Instruments, Intel, 12013 10:13:16,240 --> 10:13:23,360 and Samsung have all held the crown only 12014 10:13:20,320 --> 10:13:26,400 to see it slip away. 12015 10:13:23,360 --> 10:13:31,120 Jensen's mission is simple. break the 12016 10:13:26,400 --> 10:13:34,240 cycle before it breaks him. 12017 10:13:31,120 --> 10:13:36,880 Flashback to September 1996. 12018 10:13:34,240 --> 10:13:39,276 The golden era of the internet is 12019 10:13:36,880 --> 10:13:43,276 dawning for everyone else but for 12020 10:13:39,276 --> 10:13:46,320 Nvidia. It is a death nail. 12021 10:13:43,276 --> 10:13:49,276 Their first chip, the NV1, is a 12022 10:13:46,320 --> 10:13:51,756 technical ghost rejected by Microsoft's 12023 10:13:49,276 --> 10:13:54,320 DirectX. 12024 10:13:51,756 --> 10:13:57,120 Jensen stands before a dwindling team 12025 10:13:54,320 --> 10:13:59,756 and delivers the most famous mantra in 12026 10:13:57,120 --> 10:14:03,680 Silicon Valley history. 12027 10:13:59,756 --> 10:14:07,276 We have exactly 30 days of oxygen left. 12028 10:14:03,680 --> 10:14:09,596 We are 30 days from bankruptcy. 12029 10:14:07,276 --> 10:14:12,000 How does a man go from cleaning toilets 12030 10:14:09,596 --> 10:14:14,000 in a Kentucky reform school to 12031 10:14:12,000 --> 10:14:17,040 controlling the foundational layer of 12032 10:14:14,000 --> 10:14:20,000 the global AI economy? 12033 10:14:17,040 --> 10:14:23,276 From a red leather booth at a Denny's to 12034 10:14:20,000 --> 10:14:25,520 a legal showdown in the US Supreme Court 12035 10:14:23,276 --> 10:14:27,360 over the very intellectual honesty of 12036 10:14:25,520 --> 10:14:30,000 his empire. 12037 10:14:27,360 --> 10:14:31,520 This is not just a story of silicon and 12038 10:14:30,000 --> 10:14:33,680 software. 12039 10:14:31,520 --> 10:14:35,916 This is the chronicle of the man who 12040 10:14:33,680 --> 10:14:37,520 decided to manufacture intelligence 12041 10:14:35,916 --> 10:14:41,040 itself. 12042 10:14:37,520 --> 10:14:44,560 This is Jensen Hang, the architect of 12043 10:14:41,040 --> 10:14:49,800 the digital brain. 12044 10:14:44,560 --> 10:14:49,800 Chapter 1. Forged in the chaos. 12045 10:14:49,916 --> 10:14:56,000 Nvidia was not born from abundance. Its 12046 10:14:53,436 --> 10:14:58,080 DNA was forged in the raw fires of 12047 10:14:56,000 --> 10:15:00,960 survival. 12048 10:14:58,080 --> 10:15:03,596 Jen's son Huang arrived in the United 12049 10:15:00,960 --> 10:15:07,040 States as a young migrant. But his 12050 10:15:03,596 --> 10:15:09,436 destination wasn't an elite prep school. 12051 10:15:07,040 --> 10:15:12,000 Due to a clerical misunderstanding by 12052 10:15:09,436 --> 10:15:15,200 his parents, he was sent to Onida 12053 10:15:12,000 --> 10:15:18,160 Baptist Institute in rural Kentucky, a 12054 10:15:15,200 --> 10:15:20,720 place that at the time functioned more 12055 10:15:18,160 --> 10:15:23,276 as a reform school for troubled youths 12056 10:15:20,720 --> 10:15:26,400 than a traditional academy. 12057 10:15:23,276 --> 10:15:28,480 At 9 years old, the future CEO of one of 12058 10:15:26,400 --> 10:15:30,960 the world's most valuable companies 12059 10:15:28,480 --> 10:15:34,400 wasn't coding. He was cleaning the 12060 10:15:30,960 --> 10:15:36,480 toilets of 150 teenagers every single 12061 10:15:34,400 --> 10:15:38,960 afternoon. 12062 10:15:36,480 --> 10:15:40,640 In his personal transcripts, Jensen 12063 10:15:38,960 --> 10:15:44,160 reflects on this with a chilling 12064 10:15:40,640 --> 10:15:46,560 stoicism. I didn't complain. I just 12065 10:15:44,160 --> 10:15:48,480 learned to work hard. 12066 10:15:46,560 --> 10:15:51,120 That boy learned the first law of 12067 10:15:48,480 --> 10:15:54,640 accelerated computing decades before it 12068 10:15:51,120 --> 10:15:57,276 existed. For a system to be efficient, 12069 10:15:54,640 --> 10:16:00,480 it must be able to process chaos under 12070 10:15:57,276 --> 10:16:03,520 extreme pressure. 12071 10:16:00,480 --> 10:16:05,916 By 15, Jensen was the most efficient 12072 10:16:03,520 --> 10:16:09,120 dishwasher and waiter at a Denny's in 12073 10:16:05,916 --> 10:16:11,520 Portland. I was incredibly shy, he 12074 10:16:09,120 --> 10:16:14,560 admits. But the chaos of the kitchen 12075 10:16:11,520 --> 10:16:17,040 forced me out of my shell. 12076 10:16:14,560 --> 10:16:20,640 It is no coincidence that Nvidia was 12077 10:16:17,040 --> 10:16:23,360 founded in 1993 inside a booth at that 12078 10:16:20,640 --> 10:16:25,596 very same restaurant chain. 12079 10:16:23,360 --> 10:16:28,400 While the world saw the dawn of the PC 12080 10:16:25,596 --> 10:16:32,000 as an office tool for spreadsheets, 12081 10:16:28,400 --> 10:16:35,916 Jensen, Chris Mahovski, and Curtis Pim 12082 10:16:32,000 --> 10:16:40,240 saw a fatal weakness. 12083 10:16:35,916 --> 10:16:43,360 In 1993, Intel's generalpurpose CPU was 12084 10:16:40,240 --> 10:16:46,320 hitting a physical wall. If the future 12085 10:16:43,360 --> 10:16:48,320 of computing was visual and immersive, 12086 10:16:46,320 --> 10:16:50,400 the traditional serial architecture 12087 10:16:48,320 --> 10:16:52,160 would become the bottleneck of human 12088 10:16:50,400 --> 10:16:55,596 progress. 12089 10:16:52,160 --> 10:16:58,720 With only $40,000 in startup capital, 12090 10:16:55,596 --> 10:17:01,200 they founded Nvidia to chase a ghost, 12091 10:16:58,720 --> 10:17:03,120 accelerated computing. 12092 10:17:01,200 --> 10:17:06,160 They bet on a market the rest of the 12093 10:17:03,120 --> 10:17:09,916 industry dismissed as a niche for toys, 12094 10:17:06,160 --> 10:17:13,080 video games. Before Jensen, video games 12095 10:17:09,916 --> 10:17:13,080 were the 12096 10:17:16,480 --> 10:17:23,680 By 1995, Nvidia's first massive bet, the 12097 10:17:20,720 --> 10:17:26,320 NV1 chip, was ready to conquer the 12098 10:17:23,680 --> 10:17:29,276 market. But Jensen Huang had made a 12099 10:17:26,320 --> 10:17:30,880 catastrophic technical gamble. 12100 10:17:29,276 --> 10:17:34,160 At a time when the industry was 12101 10:17:30,880 --> 10:17:36,560 undecided, he bet on quadratic texture 12102 10:17:34,160 --> 10:17:39,840 mapping, a method that used curved 12103 10:17:36,560 --> 10:17:42,320 surfaces to create 3D images. 12104 10:17:39,840 --> 10:17:45,756 It was mathematically intelligent, but 12105 10:17:42,320 --> 10:17:47,756 it was a lonely path. The industry 12106 10:17:45,756 --> 10:17:51,276 hammer dropped when Microsoft released 12107 10:17:47,756 --> 10:17:54,240 its first DirectX API. Microsoft chose 12108 10:17:51,276 --> 10:17:56,960 triangles, not quads, as the universal 12109 10:17:54,240 --> 10:17:58,800 language for PC gaming. 12110 10:17:56,960 --> 10:18:02,320 This decision rendered Nvidia's 12111 10:17:58,800 --> 10:18:05,520 technology instantly obsolete. 12112 10:18:02,320 --> 10:18:09,200 The NV1 wasn't just a failure, it was a 12113 10:18:05,520 --> 10:18:12,080 dead end. The company was bleeding cash 12114 10:18:09,200 --> 10:18:17,400 and as Jensen famously put it, they were 12115 10:18:12,080 --> 10:18:17,400 staring at exactly 30 days of oxygen. 12116 10:18:17,916 --> 10:18:23,120 Nvidia's only lifeline was a strategic 12117 10:18:20,560 --> 10:18:24,960 contract with the Japanese giant Sega to 12118 10:18:23,120 --> 10:18:26,320 build the graphics engine for the Sega 12119 10:18:24,960 --> 10:18:28,480 Saturn. 12120 10:18:26,320 --> 10:18:30,720 But Jensen was trapped in a moral and 12121 10:18:28,480 --> 10:18:32,880 business dilemma. 12122 10:18:30,720 --> 10:18:35,520 He knew that if they continued building 12123 10:18:32,880 --> 10:18:37,436 the chip for Sega using Nvidia's flawed 12124 10:18:35,520 --> 10:18:39,360 quad technology, 12125 10:18:37,436 --> 10:18:42,080 Sega would lose the console war to 12126 10:18:39,360 --> 10:18:45,360 Sony's PlayStation and Nvidia would 12127 10:18:42,080 --> 10:18:48,080 eventually perish anyway. In an act of 12128 10:18:45,360 --> 10:18:51,040 intellectual honesty, or as many at the 12129 10:18:48,080 --> 10:18:54,480 time called corporate suicide, Jensen 12130 10:18:51,040 --> 10:18:58,240 flew to Japan. He sat across from Shy 12131 10:18:54,480 --> 10:19:01,596 Chiro Inimiri, the CEO of Sega, and told 12132 10:18:58,240 --> 10:19:04,240 him the brutal truth. Our technology is 12133 10:19:01,596 --> 10:19:06,720 on the wrong path. If we finish this 12134 10:19:04,240 --> 10:19:08,800 project, you will produce an inferior 12135 10:19:06,720 --> 10:19:11,680 product. 12136 10:19:08,800 --> 10:19:14,080 Jensen asked for the impossible. He 12137 10:19:11,680 --> 10:19:16,560 asked Sega to terminate the contract, 12138 10:19:14,080 --> 10:19:19,520 but to pay the remaining $5 million 12139 10:19:16,560 --> 10:19:22,000 anyway. If you don't pay us, Jensen 12140 10:19:19,520 --> 10:19:23,916 pleaded, Nvidia will cease to exist 12141 10:19:22,000 --> 10:19:26,320 tomorrow. 12142 10:19:23,916 --> 10:19:29,840 To the astonishment of the tech world, 12143 10:19:26,320 --> 10:19:32,480 Idlimiri son agreed. He didn't pay for a 12144 10:19:29,840 --> 10:19:34,880 working chip. He paid for Jensen's 12145 10:19:32,480 --> 10:19:37,756 integrity. 12146 10:19:34,880 --> 10:19:40,240 That $5 million was the most expensive 12147 10:19:37,756 --> 10:19:43,040 oxygen in history. 12148 10:19:40,240 --> 10:19:45,436 To make it last, Jensen had to fire half 12149 10:19:43,040 --> 10:19:47,360 of his workforce. These weren't just 12150 10:19:45,436 --> 10:19:50,160 employees. They were friends who had 12151 10:19:47,360 --> 10:19:52,160 shared the Denny's dream. This trauma 12152 10:19:50,160 --> 10:19:55,436 institutionalized a permanent state of 12153 10:19:52,160 --> 10:19:58,240 emergency at Nvidia. 12154 10:19:55,436 --> 10:20:02,240 With the remaining team, Jensen funneled 12155 10:19:58,240 --> 10:20:05,040 every scent into the Reva 128. They 12156 10:20:02,240 --> 10:20:07,520 abandoned quads and embraced Microsoft's 12157 10:20:05,040 --> 10:20:13,040 triangles with a vengeance. When it 12158 10:20:07,520 --> 10:20:16,320 launched in 1997, the Reva 128 was 400% 12159 10:20:13,040 --> 10:20:19,520 faster than anything else on the market. 12160 10:20:16,320 --> 10:20:22,480 It was a dive catch of epic proportions. 12161 10:20:19,520 --> 10:20:25,436 Nvidia was no longer just a survivor. It 12162 10:20:22,480 --> 10:20:28,320 had become a hunter. 12163 10:20:25,436 --> 10:20:31,680 But as Jensen looked at the horizon, he 12164 10:20:28,320 --> 10:20:35,960 saw 70 rivals waiting to kill him. The 12165 10:20:31,680 --> 10:20:35,960 war was only beginning. 12166 10:20:41,120 --> 10:20:46,960 The success of the Reval 128 was a dive 12167 10:20:44,400 --> 10:20:49,436 catch. But it placed Nvidia in the 12168 10:20:46,960 --> 10:20:52,960 middle of a slaughterhouse. 12169 10:20:49,436 --> 10:20:55,200 By 1997, there were over 70 companies 12170 10:20:52,960 --> 10:20:56,720 fighting for the soul of the 3D graphics 12171 10:20:55,200 --> 10:20:58,720 market. 12172 10:20:56,720 --> 10:21:01,916 It was a commodity war where price 12173 10:20:58,720 --> 10:21:04,160 cutting was the only weapon for most. 12174 10:21:01,916 --> 10:21:06,400 Jensen Hang realized that if Nvidia 12175 10:21:04,160 --> 10:21:10,000 played by the industry's rules, they 12176 10:21:06,400 --> 10:21:13,276 would eventually be ground into dust. 12177 10:21:10,000 --> 10:21:15,200 He decided to break the laws of time. 12178 10:21:13,276 --> 10:21:18,560 The industry standard for developing a 12179 10:21:15,200 --> 10:21:21,756 new chip was 18 to 24 months. Following 12180 10:21:18,560 --> 10:21:24,080 the steady beat of Moore's law, Jensen 12181 10:21:21,756 --> 10:21:27,120 gathered his engineers and imposed a 12182 10:21:24,080 --> 10:21:29,756 suicidal mandate. Nvidia would release a 12183 10:21:27,120 --> 10:21:33,520 brand new groundbreaking architecture 12184 10:21:29,756 --> 10:21:35,520 every 6 months. 12185 10:21:33,520 --> 10:21:37,120 It was a strategy of relentless 12186 10:21:35,520 --> 10:21:40,560 execution. 12187 10:21:37,120 --> 10:21:43,756 By the time a competitor like 3dfx or S3 12188 10:21:40,560 --> 10:21:46,800 could react to one Nvidia chip, Jensen 12189 10:21:43,756 --> 10:21:48,960 had already launched two more. This 12190 10:21:46,800 --> 10:21:51,200 forced the competition into a permanent 12191 10:21:48,960 --> 10:21:54,160 state of obsolescence. 12192 10:21:51,200 --> 10:21:56,560 To achieve this, Nvidia had to reinvent 12193 10:21:54,160 --> 10:21:59,120 its internal engineering, running 12194 10:21:56,560 --> 10:22:01,200 multiple design teams in parallel, a 12195 10:21:59,120 --> 10:22:03,120 massive financial risk that pushed the 12196 10:22:01,200 --> 10:22:07,680 company to the edge of its operational 12197 10:22:03,120 --> 10:22:13,756 capacity. In 1999, the war reached its 12198 10:22:07,680 --> 10:22:16,400 climax. Nvidia released the GeForce 256. 12199 10:22:13,756 --> 10:22:18,560 Jensen didn't just market it as a faster 12200 10:22:16,400 --> 10:22:22,640 card. He coined a term that would 12201 10:22:18,560 --> 10:22:25,520 redefine computing history. The GPU, 12202 10:22:22,640 --> 10:22:28,640 graphics processing unit. This wasn't 12203 10:22:25,520 --> 10:22:30,320 just branding. Technically, the GeForce 12204 10:22:28,640 --> 10:22:32,240 256 12205 10:22:30,320 --> 10:22:34,240 moved the transformer lighting 12206 10:22:32,240 --> 10:22:37,596 calculations. the most heavy 12207 10:22:34,240 --> 10:22:40,480 mathematical lifting of 3D off the CPU 12208 10:22:37,596 --> 10:22:43,840 and onto the chip itself. It was the 12209 10:22:40,480 --> 10:22:46,640 birth of a new era. This performance 12210 10:22:43,840 --> 10:22:48,240 leap was so massive that Nvidia secured 12211 10:22:46,640 --> 10:22:51,120 the prestigious contract for the 12212 10:22:48,240 --> 10:22:55,840 original Microsoft Xbox, receiving a 12213 10:22:51,120 --> 10:22:58,880 crucial $200 million advance. 12214 10:22:55,840 --> 10:23:01,520 The 6-month cycle worked. By the early 12215 10:22:58,880 --> 10:23:05,840 2000s, the 70 competitors had been 12216 10:23:01,520 --> 10:23:08,720 reduced to just two. Nvidia and ATI. 12217 10:23:05,840 --> 10:23:11,040 In a final act of dominance, Nvidia 12218 10:23:08,720 --> 10:23:15,596 acquired the assets of its former idol 12219 10:23:11,040 --> 10:23:18,800 and arch rival 3dfx in 2000. 12220 10:23:15,596 --> 10:23:22,320 Jensen had cleared the board. He was the 12221 10:23:18,800 --> 10:23:24,960 undisputed king of gaming. But at the 12222 10:23:22,320 --> 10:23:26,720 very moment of his greatest triumph, he 12223 10:23:24,960 --> 10:23:29,360 began to look at the high performance 12224 10:23:26,720 --> 10:23:31,756 computing market. He realized that the 12225 10:23:29,360 --> 10:23:34,720 GPU's massive parallel math could do 12226 10:23:31,756 --> 10:23:37,756 more than just draw pixels. It could 12227 10:23:34,720 --> 10:23:41,276 solve the world's most complex problems. 12228 10:23:37,756 --> 10:23:45,560 The seeds of CUDA and the $10 billion 12229 10:23:41,276 --> 10:23:45,560 gamble were being planted. 12230 10:23:50,880 --> 10:23:58,000 By 2006, Nvidia was the undisputed king 12231 10:23:54,640 --> 10:24:00,320 of the gaming world. But Jensen Hang was 12232 10:23:58,000 --> 10:24:02,480 restless. He realized that the same 12233 10:24:00,320 --> 10:24:05,120 parallel processing power that rendered 12234 10:24:02,480 --> 10:24:07,040 pixels for World of Warcraft could be 12235 10:24:05,120 --> 10:24:09,520 used to solve the world's most complex 12236 10:24:07,040 --> 10:24:13,200 mathematical problems. 12237 10:24:09,520 --> 10:24:15,916 He launched CUDA, compute unified device 12238 10:24:13,200 --> 10:24:19,360 architecture. It was a declaration of 12239 10:24:15,916 --> 10:24:22,240 war against the CPUcentric world. 12240 10:24:19,360 --> 10:24:25,040 The goal was simple yet insane. 12241 10:24:22,240 --> 10:24:27,916 transform every NVIDIA GPU into a 12242 10:24:25,040 --> 10:24:30,000 generalpurpose supercomput. 12243 10:24:27,916 --> 10:24:33,840 But this decision came with a staggering 12244 10:24:30,000 --> 10:24:36,400 cost. Jensen mandated that every single 12245 10:24:33,840 --> 10:24:38,480 GPU Nvidia manufactured from the 12246 10:24:36,400 --> 10:24:41,120 high-end workstation cards to the 12247 10:24:38,480 --> 10:24:43,596 cheapest laptop chips must include the 12248 10:24:41,120 --> 10:24:46,000 extra transistors and hardware logic to 12249 10:24:43,596 --> 10:24:49,596 support CUDA. 12250 10:24:46,000 --> 10:24:52,160 Wall Street was horrified. 12251 10:24:49,596 --> 10:24:55,276 For nearly a decade, Nvidia spent 12252 10:24:52,160 --> 10:24:58,560 billions, estimated at over 10 billion 12253 10:24:55,276 --> 10:25:01,756 dollars in cumulative R&D on a software 12254 10:24:58,560 --> 10:25:03,756 platform that almost no one was using. 12255 10:25:01,756 --> 10:25:06,160 Profit margins, which once sat 12256 10:25:03,756 --> 10:25:08,720 comfortably high, were sacrificed at the 12257 10:25:06,160 --> 10:25:11,680 altar of this vision. 12258 10:25:08,720 --> 10:25:15,200 Analysts mocked the strategy, calling it 12259 10:25:11,680 --> 10:25:18,000 the bridge to nowhere. During the 2008 12260 10:25:15,200 --> 10:25:20,640 financial crisis, Nvidia's market cap 12261 10:25:18,000 --> 10:25:23,756 plummeted and the company was once again 12262 10:25:20,640 --> 10:25:25,436 staring into the abyss. 12263 10:25:23,756 --> 10:25:28,320 But Jensen wasn't just building 12264 10:25:25,436 --> 10:25:31,360 hardware. He was building a software 12265 10:25:28,320 --> 10:25:33,916 moat. He sent Nvidia engineers to 12266 10:25:31,360 --> 10:25:36,080 universities around the world, helping 12267 10:25:33,916 --> 10:25:38,160 professors teach parallel programming 12268 10:25:36,080 --> 10:25:40,720 using CUDA. 12269 10:25:38,160 --> 10:25:43,360 He was seeding the ground. While 12270 10:25:40,720 --> 10:25:46,320 competitors like Intel and AMD focused 12271 10:25:43,360 --> 10:25:48,880 on making faster chips, Jensen was 12272 10:25:46,320 --> 10:25:51,276 building an entire language. 12273 10:25:48,880 --> 10:25:53,756 By the time a developer learned CUDA, 12274 10:25:51,276 --> 10:25:55,840 they were locked in. Switching to a 12275 10:25:53,756 --> 10:25:58,240 competitor wouldn't just mean buying a 12276 10:25:55,840 --> 10:26:01,680 new chip. It would mean rewriting 12277 10:25:58,240 --> 10:26:04,800 millions of lines of code. 12278 10:26:01,680 --> 10:26:07,436 Year after year, Jensen defended CUDA in 12279 10:26:04,800 --> 10:26:09,596 boardrooms and earning calls. He 12280 10:26:07,436 --> 10:26:11,916 practiced what he calls long-term 12281 10:26:09,596 --> 10:26:14,720 commitment to a vision even when the 12282 10:26:11,916 --> 10:26:17,040 data didn't yet support it. He was 12283 10:26:14,720 --> 10:26:18,560 waiting for a killer app for accelerated 12284 10:26:17,040 --> 10:26:20,960 computing. 12285 10:26:18,560 --> 10:26:23,436 He didn't know what it would be. But he 12286 10:26:20,960 --> 10:26:25,840 knew that as data grew exponentially, 12287 10:26:23,436 --> 10:26:27,916 the serial processing of the CPU would 12288 10:26:25,840 --> 10:26:30,320 eventually fail. 12289 10:26:27,916 --> 10:26:32,160 The silence of the Cuda winter was about 12290 10:26:30,320 --> 10:26:35,120 to be broken. 12291 10:26:32,160 --> 10:26:38,320 In a lab at the University of Toronto, a 12292 10:26:35,120 --> 10:26:40,800 PhD student named Alex Kreski was about 12293 10:26:38,320 --> 10:26:43,840 to feed a neural network called Alexet 12294 10:26:40,800 --> 10:26:46,240 into those Nvidia GPUs. 12295 10:26:43,840 --> 10:26:49,360 The big bang of artificial intelligence 12296 10:26:46,240 --> 10:26:51,756 was seconds away, and Jensen Huang was 12297 10:26:49,360 --> 10:26:56,200 the only person on Earth who had already 12298 10:26:51,756 --> 10:26:56,200 built the engine to power it. 12299 10:27:01,680 --> 10:27:07,436 The year was 2012. While the world saw 12300 10:27:05,040 --> 10:27:09,680 just another academic competition, 12301 10:27:07,436 --> 10:27:12,320 Jensen Hang saw the spark that would 12302 10:27:09,680 --> 10:27:15,596 ignite a global revolution. 12303 10:27:12,320 --> 10:27:18,960 A neural network called AlexNet, powered 12304 10:27:15,596 --> 10:27:22,240 by NVIDIA GPUs, crushed the competition 12305 10:27:18,960 --> 10:27:24,800 in image recognition. It was the big 12306 10:27:22,240 --> 10:27:27,596 bang of deep learning. 12307 10:27:24,800 --> 10:27:30,720 Jensen didn't just celebrate, he pivoted 12308 10:27:27,596 --> 10:27:33,840 the entire company. He realized that the 12309 10:27:30,720 --> 10:27:38,080 $10 billion gamble on CUDA had finally 12310 10:27:33,840 --> 10:27:40,400 found its soul, artificial intelligence. 12311 10:27:38,080 --> 10:27:42,640 This pivot transformed Nvidia from a 12312 10:27:40,400 --> 10:27:44,720 graphics card company into the 12313 10:27:42,640 --> 10:27:47,756 foundational engine of the world's most 12314 10:27:44,720 --> 10:27:49,596 powerful data centers. 12315 10:27:47,756 --> 10:27:52,720 Jensen's vision was no longer about 12316 10:27:49,596 --> 10:27:54,240 drawing pixels. It was about generative 12317 10:27:52,720 --> 10:27:57,040 AI. 12318 10:27:54,240 --> 10:27:58,560 By the time Chat GPT launched in late 12319 10:27:57,040 --> 10:28:01,276 2022, 12320 10:27:58,560 --> 10:28:03,040 Nvidia didn't just have a head start. 12321 10:28:01,276 --> 10:28:06,040 They were the only ones at the starting 12322 10:28:03,040 --> 10:28:06,040 line. 12323 10:28:06,080 --> 10:28:10,960 Jensen acted with a speed that terrified 12324 10:28:08,320 --> 10:28:14,000 his competitors. He didn't just wait for 12325 10:28:10,960 --> 10:28:15,596 orders. He re-engineered Nvidia's entire 12326 10:28:14,000 --> 10:28:18,560 road map. 12327 10:28:15,596 --> 10:28:21,276 In 2016, he personally delivered the 12328 10:28:18,560 --> 10:28:24,080 first Nvidia DGX1, 12329 10:28:21,276 --> 10:28:26,880 the world's first AI supercomput in a 12330 10:28:24,080 --> 10:28:30,960 box to a then small nonprofit called 12331 10:28:26,880 --> 10:28:34,520 Open AAI. He was very clear, this will 12332 10:28:30,960 --> 10:28:34,520 change the world. 12333 10:28:35,200 --> 10:28:38,560 Technically, this period was about 12334 10:28:37,040 --> 10:28:40,960 specialization. 12335 10:28:38,560 --> 10:28:43,756 Nvidia began adding tensor cores to its 12336 10:28:40,960 --> 10:28:45,436 chips. These weren't for graphics. They 12337 10:28:43,756 --> 10:28:47,360 were designed specifically for the deep 12338 10:28:45,436 --> 10:28:49,120 learning math that powers neural 12339 10:28:47,360 --> 10:28:51,040 networks. 12340 10:28:49,120 --> 10:28:53,596 Nvidia was no longer just making a 12341 10:28:51,040 --> 10:28:55,756 faster graphics card. It was building a 12342 10:28:53,596 --> 10:28:59,756 specialized brain. 12343 10:28:55,756 --> 10:29:02,080 By 2017, the momentum was unstoppable. 12344 10:28:59,756 --> 10:29:04,320 Every major tech giant was building AI 12345 10:29:02,080 --> 10:29:06,560 labs and they all had one thing in 12346 10:29:04,320 --> 10:29:08,240 common. They were built on Nvidia's 12347 10:29:06,560 --> 10:29:10,400 stack. 12348 10:29:08,240 --> 10:29:12,960 This was the era when the software mode 12349 10:29:10,400 --> 10:29:14,400 became a fortress. Thousands of 12350 10:29:12,960 --> 10:29:17,680 researchers were now writing their 12351 10:29:14,400 --> 10:29:19,596 doctoral thesis on CUDA. 12352 10:29:17,680 --> 10:29:22,000 If a competitor wanted to challenge 12353 10:29:19,596 --> 10:29:24,560 Nvidia, they wouldn't just need a better 12354 10:29:22,000 --> 10:29:27,120 chip. They would have to convince the 12355 10:29:24,560 --> 10:29:30,000 world's brightest minds to forget 12356 10:29:27,120 --> 10:29:32,720 everything they had learned. 12357 10:29:30,000 --> 10:29:35,916 But as the AI revolution took hold, an 12358 10:29:32,720 --> 10:29:38,400 unexpected shadow emerged. The new craze 12359 10:29:35,916 --> 10:29:41,120 called Bitcoin and Ethereum began to 12360 10:29:38,400 --> 10:29:44,160 consume Nvidia's supply. 12361 10:29:41,120 --> 10:29:47,840 To the world, Nvidia looked invincible, 12362 10:29:44,160 --> 10:29:49,520 but internally Jensen was wary. Jensen 12363 10:29:47,840 --> 10:29:51,120 knew that every bubble eventually 12364 10:29:49,520 --> 10:29:53,436 bursts. 12365 10:29:51,120 --> 10:29:55,756 This period of explosive accidental 12366 10:29:53,436 --> 10:29:58,880 growth from crypto miners was creating a 12367 10:29:55,756 --> 10:30:01,120 shadow over the company's true mission, 12368 10:29:58,880 --> 10:30:04,000 setting the stage for a highstakes legal 12369 10:30:01,120 --> 10:30:05,916 battle over corporate transparency and a 12370 10:30:04,000 --> 10:30:09,880 financial storm that would test the very 12371 10:30:05,916 --> 10:30:09,880 foundations of his leadership. 12372 10:30:13,596 --> 10:30:19,596 In 2018, Nvidia was riding a wave that 12373 10:30:17,040 --> 10:30:22,720 looked like a miracle, but felt like a 12374 10:30:19,596 --> 10:30:24,800 mirage. The explosion of cryptocurrency 12375 10:30:22,720 --> 10:30:27,436 mining had created an insatiable hunger 12376 10:30:24,800 --> 10:30:30,080 for GeForce cards. 12377 10:30:27,436 --> 10:30:33,120 To the outside world, Nvidia's revenue 12378 10:30:30,080 --> 10:30:35,276 was reaching historic heights. However, 12379 10:30:33,120 --> 10:30:38,160 beneath the surface, a dangerous 12380 10:30:35,276 --> 10:30:40,160 ambiguity was growing. Jensen Huang 12381 10:30:38,160 --> 10:30:42,880 insisted that the growth was driven by a 12382 10:30:40,160 --> 10:30:46,800 gaming renaissance, but the reality was 12383 10:30:42,880 --> 10:30:48,880 more volatile. The mirage evaporated in 12384 10:30:46,800 --> 10:30:51,680 late 2018. 12385 10:30:48,880 --> 10:30:55,200 The crypto winter arrived and the demand 12386 10:30:51,680 --> 10:30:57,120 for mining chips vanished overnight. 12387 10:30:55,200 --> 10:30:59,436 Nvidia was left with a massive surplus 12388 10:30:57,120 --> 10:31:02,080 of inventory and the market's reaction 12389 10:30:59,436 --> 10:31:06,320 was brutal. The company's stock price 12390 10:31:02,080 --> 10:31:08,880 plummeted by 28% in a single day. 12391 10:31:06,320 --> 10:31:12,880 The invincible architect of AI was 12392 10:31:08,880 --> 10:31:14,640 suddenly facing a crisis of credibility. 12393 10:31:12,880 --> 10:31:16,400 This financial collapse ignited a 12394 10:31:14,640 --> 10:31:18,240 highstakes legal battle that would 12395 10:31:16,400 --> 10:31:20,240 eventually reach the steps of the US 12396 10:31:18,240 --> 10:31:22,560 Supreme Court. 12397 10:31:20,240 --> 10:31:25,040 A group of institutional investors filed 12398 10:31:22,560 --> 10:31:27,520 a class action lawsuit alleging that 12399 10:31:25,040 --> 10:31:30,400 Jensen Huang had deliberately misled the 12400 10:31:27,520 --> 10:31:33,200 market. The core of the case rested on a 12401 10:31:30,400 --> 10:31:34,720 single devastating word, 12402 10:31:33,200 --> 10:31:37,120 ci 12403 10:31:34,720 --> 10:31:39,596 intent to deceive. 12404 10:31:37,120 --> 10:31:41,596 The accusation was sharp. Investors 12405 10:31:39,596 --> 10:31:43,840 claimed that internal Nvidia reports 12406 10:31:41,596 --> 10:31:46,320 clearly showed over a billion dollars in 12407 10:31:43,840 --> 10:31:49,120 revenue attributed to gamers was 12408 10:31:46,320 --> 10:31:51,360 actually coming from crypto miners. 12409 10:31:49,120 --> 10:31:53,596 Jensen fought back, defending his 12410 10:31:51,360 --> 10:31:55,680 intellectual honesty and arguing that 12411 10:31:53,596 --> 10:31:58,720 the expert opinions used against him 12412 10:31:55,680 --> 10:32:01,120 were nothing more than speculation. 12413 10:31:58,720 --> 10:32:03,436 This battle known as petition number 12414 10:32:01,120 --> 10:32:05,520 23-970 12415 10:32:03,436 --> 10:32:08,240 became a landmark moment for Silicon 12416 10:32:05,520 --> 10:32:10,240 Valley, questioning how much a CEO must 12417 10:32:08,240 --> 10:32:12,160 disclose when their technology 12418 10:32:10,240 --> 10:32:15,276 accidentally conquers a market they 12419 10:32:12,160 --> 10:32:17,680 didn't intend to lead. 12420 10:32:15,276 --> 10:32:19,520 While lawyers argued in Washington, 12421 10:32:17,680 --> 10:32:22,320 Jensen was already looking past the 12422 10:32:19,520 --> 10:32:24,720 wreckage. He didn't let the legal storm 12423 10:32:22,320 --> 10:32:27,276 or the inventory crisis slowed down his 12424 10:32:24,720 --> 10:32:29,916 ultimate plan. He doubled down on the 12425 10:32:27,276 --> 10:32:32,480 data center, acquiring Melanox for $7 12426 10:32:29,916 --> 10:32:34,240 billion to control the highways between 12427 10:32:32,480 --> 10:32:36,240 his chips. 12428 10:32:34,240 --> 10:32:38,800 He was preparing for a world where AI 12429 10:32:36,240 --> 10:32:40,800 wouldn't just be a research project, but 12430 10:32:38,800 --> 10:32:42,480 the operating system of the entire 12431 10:32:40,800 --> 10:32:45,200 planet. 12432 10:32:42,480 --> 10:32:47,680 The storm of 2018 had been a warning. 12433 10:32:45,200 --> 10:32:51,400 The era of generative AI was about to 12434 10:32:47,680 --> 10:32:51,400 provide the answer. 12435 10:32:55,200 --> 10:33:00,000 By 2022, 12436 10:32:57,120 --> 10:33:02,240 the world had changed. The launch of 12437 10:33:00,000 --> 10:33:05,120 Chad GPT signaled the arrival of the 12438 10:33:02,240 --> 10:33:08,400 generative AI era, and Nvidia was the 12439 10:33:05,120 --> 10:33:10,480 only company prepared to power it. 12440 10:33:08,400 --> 10:33:13,436 But as Jensen Huang stood on the brink 12441 10:33:10,480 --> 10:33:16,640 of total market dominance, a new wall 12442 10:33:13,436 --> 10:33:19,596 was built, not by a competitor, but by 12443 10:33:16,640 --> 10:33:21,916 the US government. Washington imposed 12444 10:33:19,596 --> 10:33:24,960 strict export controls on high-end AI 12445 10:33:21,916 --> 10:33:27,360 chips. For Nvidia, the stakes were 12446 10:33:24,960 --> 10:33:29,200 astronomical. 12447 10:33:27,360 --> 10:33:32,160 According to the geographical revenue 12448 10:33:29,200 --> 10:33:35,436 data, China accounted for approximately 12449 10:33:32,160 --> 10:33:37,276 20% to 25% of the company's total 12450 10:33:35,436 --> 10:33:39,680 business. 12451 10:33:37,276 --> 10:33:42,240 Overnight, Jensen had to navigate a 12452 10:33:39,680 --> 10:33:44,000 geopolitical minefield, redesigning 12453 10:33:42,240 --> 10:33:46,160 chips specifically to comply with 12454 10:33:44,000 --> 10:33:48,000 regulations while trying to keep his 12455 10:33:46,160 --> 10:33:50,240 most important market from slipping 12456 10:33:48,000 --> 10:33:52,480 away. 12457 10:33:50,240 --> 10:33:54,480 Jensen's answer to the geopolitical and 12458 10:33:52,480 --> 10:33:58,400 technical pressure was the Blackwall 12459 10:33:54,480 --> 10:34:01,520 architecture. If the H100 was a spark, 12460 10:33:58,400 --> 10:34:04,960 Blackwell was a sun. Packing an 12461 10:34:01,520 --> 10:34:06,880 incredible 208 billion transistors, it 12462 10:34:04,960 --> 10:34:10,720 delivered up to 30 times the performance 12463 10:34:06,880 --> 10:34:12,560 of its predecessor for certain AI tasks. 12464 10:34:10,720 --> 10:34:15,360 But Blackwell represented a deeper 12465 10:34:12,560 --> 10:34:18,320 strategic shift. Nvidia was no longer 12466 10:34:15,360 --> 10:34:21,200 just a chipmaker. 12467 10:34:18,320 --> 10:34:22,800 Jensen was now building entire AI 12468 10:34:21,200 --> 10:34:24,960 factories. 12469 10:34:22,800 --> 10:34:27,360 By integrating Melanox's networking 12470 10:34:24,960 --> 10:34:29,360 technology, he controlled the highways 12471 10:34:27,360 --> 10:34:31,360 that allowed thousands of chips to talk 12472 10:34:29,360 --> 10:34:33,916 to each other as if they were a single 12473 10:34:31,360 --> 10:34:36,240 giant brain. 12474 10:34:33,916 --> 10:34:38,160 This system on a cluster approach meant 12475 10:34:36,240 --> 10:34:40,560 that even if a competitor produced a 12476 10:34:38,160 --> 10:34:42,240 faster individual chip, they couldn't 12477 10:34:40,560 --> 10:34:45,276 compete with the sheer efficiency of the 12478 10:34:42,240 --> 10:34:47,916 Nvidia ecosystem. 12479 10:34:45,276 --> 10:34:51,120 The financial results were staggering. 12480 10:34:47,916 --> 10:34:55,120 By early 2024, Nvidia's data center 12481 10:34:51,120 --> 10:34:56,960 revenue had surged to over 47 billion, 12482 10:34:55,120 --> 10:35:00,080 a 217% 12483 10:34:56,960 --> 10:35:02,640 increase in a single year. The company 12484 10:35:00,080 --> 10:35:05,276 was operating with 78.4% 12485 10:35:02,640 --> 10:35:07,680 gross margins, profit levels usually 12486 10:35:05,276 --> 10:35:10,160 reserved for software giants, not 12487 10:35:07,680 --> 10:35:13,916 hardware manufacturers. 12488 10:35:10,160 --> 10:35:17,200 On June 18th, 2024, Nvidia became the 12489 10:35:13,916 --> 10:35:20,080 most valuable company on the planet. 12490 10:35:17,200 --> 10:35:23,276 Yet, even as he stood at the summit, 12491 10:35:20,080 --> 10:35:26,080 Jensen refused to relax. He looked the 12492 10:35:23,276 --> 10:35:28,800 60-year history of semiconductors, the 12493 10:35:26,080 --> 10:35:31,436 rise and fall of Intel, the cycles of 12494 10:35:28,800 --> 10:35:33,596 Samsung and TI, and he knew that being 12495 10:35:31,436 --> 10:35:37,040 on top was the most dangerous place to 12496 10:35:33,596 --> 10:35:40,320 be. His next challenge wouldn't just be 12497 10:35:37,040 --> 10:35:44,040 about chips. It would be about giving AI 12498 10:35:40,320 --> 10:35:44,040 a physical body. 12499 10:35:47,840 --> 10:35:52,960 In 2024, Jensen Huang had already 12500 10:35:50,720 --> 10:35:55,276 conquered the digital world, but his 12501 10:35:52,960 --> 10:35:58,000 eyes were fixed on a new frontier, the 12502 10:35:55,276 --> 10:36:00,880 physical one. He declared that the next 12503 10:35:58,000 --> 10:36:02,640 wave of AI would be physical AI. 12504 10:36:00,880 --> 10:36:05,680 Intelligence that doesn't just process 12505 10:36:02,640 --> 10:36:07,596 text or images, but understands the laws 12506 10:36:05,680 --> 10:36:09,840 of physics. 12507 10:36:07,596 --> 10:36:12,880 Everything that moves from autonomous 12508 10:36:09,840 --> 10:36:16,000 cars to humanoid robots would eventually 12509 10:36:12,880 --> 10:36:18,400 be powered by an Nvidia brain. 12510 10:36:16,000 --> 10:36:22,080 This identifies it as the third pillar 12511 10:36:18,400 --> 10:36:25,120 of Nvidia's future. To win this race, 12512 10:36:22,080 --> 10:36:27,200 Jensen isn't just building chips. He is 12513 10:36:25,120 --> 10:36:29,360 building the omniverse. 12514 10:36:27,200 --> 10:36:31,520 This is a digital world where robots are 12515 10:36:29,360 --> 10:36:34,320 trained millions of times in a virtual 12516 10:36:31,520 --> 10:36:36,480 simulation before they ever step into a 12517 10:36:34,320 --> 10:36:39,276 real factory. 12518 10:36:36,480 --> 10:36:41,360 By the time a robot starts its job, it 12519 10:36:39,276 --> 10:36:44,480 has already lived a thousand lifetimes 12520 10:36:41,360 --> 10:36:47,200 of experience. Jensen's strategy is a 12521 10:36:44,480 --> 10:36:49,436 total vertical integration. He is 12522 10:36:47,200 --> 10:36:51,436 transforming Nvidia into a provider of 12523 10:36:49,436 --> 10:36:53,596 AI factories. 12524 10:36:51,436 --> 10:36:56,080 He believes that in the future, every 12525 10:36:53,596 --> 10:36:58,320 company will have two factories, one 12526 10:36:56,080 --> 10:37:01,436 that produces physical goods and a 12527 10:36:58,320 --> 10:37:03,520 digital one that produces intelligence. 12528 10:37:01,436 --> 10:37:05,596 With the Melanox networking, high-speed 12529 10:37:03,520 --> 10:37:08,080 highways, and the CUDA software 12530 10:37:05,596 --> 10:37:09,916 fortress, Jensen has ensured that the 12531 10:37:08,080 --> 10:37:13,360 entire infrastructure of this new 12532 10:37:09,916 --> 10:37:16,080 industrial revolution runs on Nvidia. 12533 10:37:13,360 --> 10:37:18,080 When asked about his legacy, Jensen 12534 10:37:16,080 --> 10:37:20,960 doesn't talk about stock prices or 12535 10:37:18,080 --> 10:37:23,276 trillions of dollars. He talks about 12536 10:37:20,960 --> 10:37:24,880 material sciences and scientific 12537 10:37:23,276 --> 10:37:26,960 discovery. 12538 10:37:24,880 --> 10:37:29,596 He believes AI will give humans 12539 10:37:26,960 --> 10:37:32,400 superpowers, helping us solve climate 12540 10:37:29,596 --> 10:37:34,560 change, cure diseases, and handle the 12541 10:37:32,400 --> 10:37:37,596 dangerous and mundane tasks so we can 12542 10:37:34,560 --> 10:37:40,596 focus on what truly makes us human, 12543 10:37:37,596 --> 10:37:40,596 curiosity. 12544 10:37:43,200 --> 10:37:47,520 By 2025, 12545 10:37:45,120 --> 10:37:49,276 the world had entered a state of compute 12546 10:37:47,520 --> 10:37:52,480 geopolitics. 12547 10:37:49,276 --> 10:37:55,040 Nvidia was no longer just a company. It 12548 10:37:52,480 --> 10:37:58,160 had become a strategic resource similar 12549 10:37:55,040 --> 10:38:01,756 to oil or grain. The launch of the 12550 10:37:58,160 --> 10:38:04,640 Blackwell B200 hadn't just met demand. 12551 10:38:01,756 --> 10:38:08,160 It had ignited a global scramble. 12552 10:38:04,640 --> 10:38:10,960 Nations like Japan, France, and the UAE 12553 10:38:08,160 --> 10:38:12,560 began building sovereign AI clouds. 12554 10:38:10,960 --> 10:38:14,960 Realizing that depending on a few 12555 10:38:12,560 --> 10:38:17,840 Silicon Valley giants for intelligence 12556 10:38:14,960 --> 10:38:21,200 was a national security risk. 12557 10:38:17,840 --> 10:38:24,960 But as 2025 progressed, a new whisper 12558 10:38:21,200 --> 10:38:27,916 began to haunt the industry. The wall. 12559 10:38:24,960 --> 10:38:30,720 For years, AI progress relied on scaling 12560 10:38:27,916 --> 10:38:33,040 laws. The idea that more data and more 12561 10:38:30,720 --> 10:38:36,960 GPUs would inevitably lead to more 12562 10:38:33,040 --> 10:38:39,680 intelligence. However, in 2026, the 12563 10:38:36,960 --> 10:38:42,320 returns are starting to diminish. Data 12564 10:38:39,680 --> 10:38:44,320 centers are becoming so massive, they 12565 10:38:42,320 --> 10:38:46,720 require their own dedicated nuclear 12566 10:38:44,320 --> 10:38:50,240 power plants. and the lowhanging fruit 12567 10:38:46,720 --> 10:38:52,480 of internet data has been exhausted. 12568 10:38:50,240 --> 10:38:55,120 Jensen's response to the wall is 12569 10:38:52,480 --> 10:38:57,276 typically defiant. He pivoted the 12570 10:38:55,120 --> 10:39:01,200 industry towards synthetic data and 12571 10:38:57,276 --> 10:39:03,680 reasoning models. In 2026, Nvidia's 12572 10:39:01,200 --> 10:39:07,916 focus has shifted from simply training 12573 10:39:03,680 --> 10:39:10,240 AI to inference at scale. The goal is no 12574 10:39:07,916 --> 10:39:12,640 longer just to build a model that knows 12575 10:39:10,240 --> 10:39:14,880 everything, but to build a system that 12576 10:39:12,640 --> 10:39:17,200 thinks through a problem for days, if 12577 10:39:14,880 --> 10:39:21,040 necessary, using massive clusters of 12578 10:39:17,200 --> 10:39:24,240 GPUs to reach a breakthrough. 12579 10:39:21,040 --> 10:39:27,520 The competition in 2026 has never been 12580 10:39:24,240 --> 10:39:30,000 fiercer. Nvidia's biggest customers, 12581 10:39:27,520 --> 10:39:32,160 Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, have 12582 10:39:30,000 --> 10:39:34,080 become its most dangerous rivals, 12583 10:39:32,160 --> 10:39:38,560 pouring billions into their own custom 12584 10:39:34,080 --> 10:39:41,436 AI chips to escape the Nvidia tax. Yet, 12585 10:39:38,560 --> 10:39:43,840 the software mode remains unreached. 12586 10:39:41,436 --> 10:39:46,240 While others build chips, Jensen is 12587 10:39:43,840 --> 10:39:48,400 building the entire ecosystem that make 12588 10:39:46,240 --> 10:39:52,640 a competitor's hardware feel like a 12589 10:39:48,400 --> 10:39:55,360 relic before it even leaves the factory. 12590 10:39:52,640 --> 10:39:57,040 In this era, Jensen Huang has become one 12591 10:39:55,360 --> 10:39:59,916 of the world's most influential 12592 10:39:57,040 --> 10:40:02,160 diplomat. He navigates a world where the 12593 10:39:59,916 --> 10:40:04,000 power grid is the new bottleneck and 12594 10:40:02,160 --> 10:40:05,916 where a single shipment of chips can 12595 10:40:04,000 --> 10:40:07,680 determine the economic future of a 12596 10:40:05,916 --> 10:40:10,480 country. 12597 10:40:07,680 --> 10:40:13,596 The trillion dollar question of 2026 is 12598 10:40:10,480 --> 10:40:15,680 no longer if AI will change the world, 12599 10:40:13,596 --> 10:40:19,000 but who will own the infrastructure of 12600 10:40:15,680 --> 10:40:19,000 that change. 12601 10:40:22,320 --> 10:40:26,800 The story of Nvidia is often told as a 12602 10:40:24,800 --> 10:40:29,756 series of lucky breaks or inevitable 12603 10:40:26,800 --> 10:40:32,800 triumphs. But as we look at the empire 12604 10:40:29,756 --> 10:40:35,200 Jensen Hang has built, the reality is 12605 10:40:32,800 --> 10:40:37,120 far more deliberate and far more 12606 10:40:35,200 --> 10:40:40,000 precarious. 12607 10:40:37,120 --> 10:40:41,840 In 2026, the company stands at the 12608 10:40:40,000 --> 10:40:45,596 center of the greatest industrial shift 12609 10:40:41,840 --> 10:40:48,720 in human history. Yet for Jensen, the 12610 10:40:45,596 --> 10:40:52,000 valuation of three, four, or 5 trillion 12611 10:40:48,720 --> 10:40:54,080 is a lagging indicator. The true metric 12612 10:40:52,000 --> 10:40:56,080 is the oxygen. 12613 10:40:54,080 --> 10:40:57,916 Throughout his journey, from the dish 12614 10:40:56,080 --> 10:41:00,640 pits of Denny's to the halls of the 12615 10:40:57,916 --> 10:41:04,000 Supreme Court, Jensen has maintained a 12616 10:41:00,640 --> 10:41:06,560 philosophy of intellectual honesty. 12617 10:41:04,000 --> 10:41:09,276 He admits when the technology is wrong. 12618 10:41:06,560 --> 10:41:11,276 He pivots when the market shifts. And he 12619 10:41:09,276 --> 10:41:12,960 invests billions when the world calls 12620 10:41:11,276 --> 10:41:15,120 him a fall. 12621 10:41:12,960 --> 10:41:17,756 He has turned a semiconductor company 12622 10:41:15,120 --> 10:41:20,160 into a geopolitical superpower, a 12623 10:41:17,756 --> 10:41:23,596 software fortress, and the primary 12624 10:41:20,160 --> 10:41:25,680 architect of a new form of life. 12625 10:41:23,596 --> 10:41:28,240 Critics ask if Nvidia is a bubble 12626 10:41:25,680 --> 10:41:31,040 waiting to burst, or if the scaling laws 12627 10:41:28,240 --> 10:41:32,960 of AI will eventually hit a dead end. 12628 10:41:31,040 --> 10:41:35,520 But Jensen doesn't operate on the 12629 10:41:32,960 --> 10:41:37,840 timeline of a stock market cycle. He 12630 10:41:35,520 --> 10:41:39,520 operates on the timeline of human 12631 10:41:37,840 --> 10:41:42,160 evolution. 12632 10:41:39,520 --> 10:41:43,680 He isn't just selling chips. He is 12633 10:41:42,160 --> 10:41:46,400 selling the marginal cost of 12634 10:41:43,680 --> 10:41:49,120 intelligence, making the most valuable 12635 10:41:46,400 --> 10:41:52,000 resource in the universe so abundant 12636 10:41:49,120 --> 10:41:54,560 that it changes the very definition of 12637 10:41:52,000 --> 10:41:56,720 what is possible. 12638 10:41:54,560 --> 10:41:58,640 Jensen often says that he wakes up every 12639 10:41:56,720 --> 10:42:00,160 morning with the same feeling he had in 12640 10:41:58,640 --> 10:42:02,000 1993, 12641 10:42:00,160 --> 10:42:05,120 the feeling that the company is going 12642 10:42:02,000 --> 10:42:07,756 out of business. It is this productive 12643 10:42:05,120 --> 10:42:10,880 paranoia that prevents the cyclical trap 12644 10:42:07,756 --> 10:42:12,560 that claimed the giants of the past. 12645 10:42:10,880 --> 10:42:15,360 He doesn't want to be the king of a 12646 10:42:12,560 --> 10:42:18,480 legacy. He wants to be the architect of 12647 10:42:15,360 --> 10:42:21,360 a future that hasn't even been imagined 12648 10:42:18,480 --> 10:42:24,800 yet. 12649 10:42:21,360 --> 10:42:27,276 Run, don't walk. Either you are running 12650 10:42:24,800 --> 10:42:30,960 for food or you are running from being 12651 10:42:27,276 --> 10:42:36,120 food. In the era of the digital brain, 12652 10:42:30,960 --> 10:42:36,120 the race has only just begun. 12653 10:44:02,560 --> 10:44:07,436 At the edge of the world, in a country 12654 10:44:04,800 --> 10:44:09,840 with more sheep than people, one of the 12655 10:44:07,436 --> 10:44:13,120 most powerful men in Silicon Valley 12656 10:44:09,840 --> 10:44:17,200 built an escape hatch. Not a vacation 12657 10:44:13,120 --> 10:44:20,000 home, not a tax shelter, a contingency 12658 10:44:17,200 --> 10:44:23,596 plan. 12659 10:44:20,000 --> 10:44:25,840 In 2011, a billionaire quietly secured 12660 10:44:23,596 --> 10:44:28,720 citizenship in New Zealand after 12661 10:44:25,840 --> 10:44:33,040 spending just days in the country. A 12662 10:44:28,720 --> 10:44:34,880 legal backdoor, a geopolitical lifeboat. 12663 10:44:33,040 --> 10:44:37,840 Deep in the rugged terrain of New 12664 10:44:34,880 --> 10:44:41,840 Zealand's South Island, Peter Teal owns 12665 10:44:37,840 --> 10:44:45,436 a vast private estate, remote, secluded, 12666 10:44:41,840 --> 10:44:47,840 and far from the centers of power. 12667 10:44:45,436 --> 10:44:50,640 While most billionaires buy yachts or 12668 10:44:47,840 --> 10:44:52,480 private islands, feel secured something 12669 10:44:50,640 --> 10:44:55,040 more strategic, 12670 10:44:52,480 --> 10:44:57,436 New Zealand citizenship 12671 10:44:55,040 --> 10:45:00,400 and a vast estate in one of the most 12672 10:44:57,436 --> 10:45:02,960 remote democracies on Earth. 12673 10:45:00,400 --> 10:45:05,040 the purchase price for this geopolitical 12674 10:45:02,960 --> 10:45:08,480 insurance policy. 12675 10:45:05,040 --> 10:45:11,200 In 2011, Theel obtained New Zealand 12676 10:45:08,480 --> 10:45:13,520 citizenship after spending just 12 days 12677 10:45:11,200 --> 10:45:16,640 in the country over the previous 2 12678 10:45:13,520 --> 10:45:20,276 years, a process that normally requires 12679 10:45:16,640 --> 10:45:20,276 years of residency. 12680 10:45:20,400 --> 10:45:25,520 The investment that secured this 12681 10:45:22,240 --> 10:45:28,160 exceptional pathway, approximately $7 12682 10:45:25,520 --> 10:45:30,640 million in local assets and business 12683 10:45:28,160 --> 10:45:33,840 investments. 12684 10:45:30,640 --> 10:45:37,596 The centerpiece, a $477 12685 10:45:33,840 --> 10:45:41,916 acre estate near Lake Wanaka, purchased 12686 10:45:37,596 --> 10:45:44,560 for 13.5 million New Zealand, about $10 12687 10:45:41,916 --> 10:45:46,880 million US. 12688 10:45:44,560 --> 10:45:51,520 When New Zealand media exposed the deal 12689 10:45:46,880 --> 10:45:53,200 in 2017, it sparked a national scandal. 12690 10:45:51,520 --> 10:45:54,800 >> Hi, Benedict. Nice to talk to you again. 12691 10:45:53,200 --> 10:45:56,720 So, when we last spoke, you told us that 12692 10:45:54,800 --> 10:45:59,360 Peter Teal was granted citizenship after 12693 10:45:56,720 --> 10:46:02,480 having only visited New Zealand four 12694 10:45:59,360 --> 10:46:04,720 times for an unknown number of days 12695 10:46:02,480 --> 10:46:06,720 because the documents had that 12696 10:46:04,720 --> 10:46:09,040 information redacted. Right. 12697 10:46:06,720 --> 10:46:11,756 >> Politicians called it citizenship for 12698 10:46:09,040 --> 10:46:13,680 sale. Opposition leaders demanded 12699 10:46:11,756 --> 10:46:16,000 investigations, 12700 10:46:13,680 --> 10:46:19,200 but Theel had already achieved his 12701 10:46:16,000 --> 10:46:20,960 objective, a legal escape hatch in the 12702 10:46:19,200 --> 10:46:22,640 world's most politically stable 12703 10:46:20,960 --> 10:46:25,520 democracy, 12704 10:46:22,640 --> 10:46:29,276 a geopolitical insurance policy that 12705 10:46:25,520 --> 10:46:31,520 money can buy. 12706 10:46:29,276 --> 10:46:33,840 Why would a man who helped build the 12707 10:46:31,520 --> 10:46:37,520 digital future prepare for the collapse 12708 10:46:33,840 --> 10:46:40,800 of the physical one? What does he see 12709 10:46:37,520 --> 10:46:44,480 that others don't? Yes, it's the uh 1 12710 10:46:40,800 --> 10:46:46,400 Thessalonians 5:3, the the uh the the 12711 10:46:44,480 --> 10:46:49,916 slogan of the Antichrist is peace and 12712 10:46:46,400 --> 10:46:51,916 safety. And so, which is nothing wrong 12713 10:46:49,916 --> 10:46:53,756 with peace and safety, but uh you have 12714 10:46:51,916 --> 10:46:55,916 to sort of imagine that it resonates 12715 10:46:53,756 --> 10:46:57,840 very differently in a world where the 12716 10:46:55,916 --> 10:46:59,520 stakes are so absolute, where the stakes 12717 10:46:57,840 --> 10:47:03,916 are so extreme, where the you know the 12718 10:46:59,520 --> 10:47:06,160 alternative to peace and safety is, you 12719 10:47:03,916 --> 10:47:07,756 know, Armageddon and the destruction of 12720 10:47:06,160 --> 10:47:10,160 all things. 12721 10:47:07,756 --> 10:47:13,596 He is one of the most polarizing figures 12722 10:47:10,160 --> 10:47:16,560 in Silicon Valley. To some, a visionary 12723 10:47:13,596 --> 10:47:19,276 genius who saw the future early. To 12724 10:47:16,560 --> 10:47:21,436 others, the shadow financier of 12725 10:47:19,276 --> 10:47:24,320 movements and candidates who challenge 12726 10:47:21,436 --> 10:47:28,240 liberal democratic norms. 12727 10:47:24,320 --> 10:47:30,640 This is not fear. This is strategy. 12728 10:47:28,240 --> 10:47:34,400 For decades, Peter Theel has made the 12729 10:47:30,640 --> 10:47:37,436 same bet over and over again. Bet 12730 10:47:34,400 --> 10:47:42,080 against consensus. better against the 12731 10:47:37,436 --> 10:47:44,640 crowd, better against the system itself. 12732 10:47:42,080 --> 10:47:47,200 To understand why he built a fortress at 12733 10:47:44,640 --> 10:47:50,560 the end of the earth, we have to go back 12734 10:47:47,200 --> 10:47:52,880 to a childhood of constant displacement. 12735 10:47:50,560 --> 10:47:55,276 To a chessboard where consensus meant 12736 10:47:52,880 --> 10:47:58,080 nothing, to a company that tried to 12737 10:47:55,276 --> 10:48:01,640 replace money and another that learned 12738 10:47:58,080 --> 10:48:01,640 to see everything. 12739 10:48:01,840 --> 10:48:07,276 But the estate is more than a luxury 12740 10:48:04,320 --> 10:48:10,560 retreat. It is a fortress designed for 12741 10:48:07,276 --> 10:48:13,200 civilizational uncertainty. 12742 10:48:10,560 --> 10:48:15,840 Off-grid power systems, advanced 12743 10:48:13,200 --> 10:48:18,720 security infrastructure, multiple 12744 10:48:15,840 --> 10:48:21,120 evacuation routes through the mountains. 12745 10:48:18,720 --> 10:48:23,040 Not built for comfort, built for 12746 10:48:21,120 --> 10:48:25,680 continuity. 12747 10:48:23,040 --> 10:48:27,680 While the world debates progress, Peter 12748 10:48:25,680 --> 10:48:29,360 Theel is preparing for a different 12749 10:48:27,680 --> 10:48:32,080 possibility. 12750 10:48:29,360 --> 10:48:35,560 Not how to build the future, how to 12751 10:48:32,080 --> 10:48:35,560 survive it. 12752 10:48:36,880 --> 10:48:42,720 The architect of dissident 12753 10:48:40,480 --> 10:48:46,240 total estimated value of Theo's 12754 10:48:42,720 --> 10:48:48,000 contingency infrastructure 20 to30 12755 10:48:46,240 --> 10:48:51,360 million. 12756 10:48:48,000 --> 10:48:53,596 Not for lifestyle, not for prestige, but 12757 10:48:51,360 --> 10:48:55,916 for the day the system he helped build 12758 10:48:53,596 --> 10:48:58,000 no longer holds. 12759 10:48:55,916 --> 10:49:00,720 He didn't build this because he panics 12760 10:48:58,000 --> 10:49:03,276 easily. He built it because he has 12761 10:49:00,720 --> 10:49:05,916 always believed that the crowd is wrong 12762 10:49:03,276 --> 10:49:09,276 and the future belongs to those willing 12763 10:49:05,916 --> 10:49:12,640 to stand apart from it. Every fortress 12764 10:49:09,276 --> 10:49:14,960 begins as an idea and Peter Theel has 12765 10:49:12,640 --> 10:49:18,840 been building intellectual fortresses 12766 10:49:14,960 --> 10:49:18,840 since he was a child. 12767 10:49:22,880 --> 10:49:28,160 Before he was a billionaire, before he 12768 10:49:25,360 --> 10:49:29,680 funded political outsiders, before he 12769 10:49:28,160 --> 10:49:32,720 built machines that could see 12770 10:49:29,680 --> 10:49:34,640 everything, he was a boy who never 12771 10:49:32,720 --> 10:49:37,360 stayed in one place long enough to 12772 10:49:34,640 --> 10:49:39,360 believe the world made sense. 12773 10:49:37,360 --> 10:49:42,800 So he searched for a world where the 12774 10:49:39,360 --> 10:49:44,640 rules didn't change. He found it on a 12775 10:49:42,800 --> 10:49:47,040 chess board. 12776 10:49:44,640 --> 10:49:49,040 To understand Peter Theel, you must 12777 10:49:47,040 --> 10:49:51,680 understand what it means to be a 12778 10:49:49,040 --> 10:49:54,480 permanent outsider. 12779 10:49:51,680 --> 10:49:56,880 Born in Frankfurt, West Germany, Peter 12780 10:49:54,480 --> 10:50:00,480 Theel spent part of his early childhood 12781 10:49:56,880 --> 10:50:02,800 in southwest Africa, now Namibia, before 12782 10:50:00,480 --> 10:50:06,160 growing up mainly in the United States 12783 10:50:02,800 --> 10:50:08,480 between Ohio and California. 12784 10:50:06,160 --> 10:50:11,756 Before he was a teenager, he had already 12785 10:50:08,480 --> 10:50:14,080 experienced life on multiple continents, 12786 10:50:11,756 --> 10:50:16,080 never staying long enough to feel fully 12787 10:50:14,080 --> 10:50:18,800 at home. 12788 10:50:16,080 --> 10:50:22,640 He didn't have a hometown. He didn't 12789 10:50:18,800 --> 10:50:25,040 have a tribe. He only had his own mind. 12790 10:50:22,640 --> 10:50:28,400 And in that isolation, he found a 12791 10:50:25,040 --> 10:50:31,400 language that didn't require a passport. 12792 10:50:28,400 --> 10:50:31,400 Chess. 12793 10:50:31,916 --> 10:50:36,240 For a child who changed continents 12794 10:50:34,080 --> 10:50:39,520 before he could even make friends, the 12795 10:50:36,240 --> 10:50:42,560 outside world was unpredictable noise. 12796 10:50:39,520 --> 10:50:44,560 But the board, the board was the only 12797 10:50:42,560 --> 10:50:47,756 place where the rules didn't change 12798 10:50:44,560 --> 10:50:50,640 depending on the country. 12799 10:50:47,756 --> 10:50:53,040 His 12800 10:50:50,640 --> 10:50:55,436 father, an engineer trained in a culture 12801 10:50:53,040 --> 10:50:57,840 of precision and systems thinking, 12802 10:50:55,436 --> 10:51:01,276 passed on a belief that reality could be 12803 10:50:57,840 --> 10:51:03,840 understood and optimized. 12804 10:51:01,276 --> 10:51:06,880 While other children sought to fit in, 12805 10:51:03,840 --> 10:51:09,680 Peter sought the edge. He learned that 12806 10:51:06,880 --> 10:51:11,360 the consensus of the crowd is usually a 12807 10:51:09,680 --> 10:51:13,916 distraction. 12808 10:51:11,360 --> 10:51:16,560 If everyone is running toward the ball, 12809 10:51:13,916 --> 10:51:18,240 you run toward where the ball is going 12810 10:51:16,560 --> 10:51:20,400 to be. 12811 10:51:18,240 --> 10:51:22,160 Chess is the ultimate antidote to 12812 10:51:20,400 --> 10:51:24,160 consensus. 12813 10:51:22,160 --> 10:51:26,880 In a crowd, you can hide behind a 12814 10:51:24,160 --> 10:51:30,000 popular opinion. In chess, you are 12815 10:51:26,880 --> 10:51:32,240 either right or you are dead. There is 12816 10:51:30,000 --> 10:51:34,880 no middle ground. There is no social 12817 10:51:32,240 --> 10:51:36,880 construction of the board. 12818 10:51:34,880 --> 10:51:39,520 He became a serious tournament chess 12819 10:51:36,880 --> 10:51:42,320 player drawn to a world where rules were 12820 10:51:39,520 --> 10:51:46,080 fixed, outcomes were earned, and 12821 10:51:42,320 --> 10:51:50,400 consensus meant nothing. 12822 10:51:46,080 --> 10:51:52,720 Mid1 1980s Stanford University. 12823 10:51:50,400 --> 10:51:55,040 To the world this was the peak of 12824 10:51:52,720 --> 10:51:59,276 American meritocracy. 12825 10:51:55,040 --> 10:52:01,360 To Theel it was a factory of conformity. 12826 10:51:59,276 --> 10:52:03,756 While his classmates were debating how 12827 10:52:01,360 --> 10:52:06,000 to change the world through activism, 12828 10:52:03,756 --> 10:52:08,640 Theel was wondering why they all sounded 12829 10:52:06,000 --> 10:52:10,720 exactly the same. He saw the 12830 10:52:08,640 --> 10:52:12,880 multiculturalism movement not as 12831 10:52:10,720 --> 10:52:15,040 progress but as a new form of 12832 10:52:12,880 --> 10:52:17,680 fundamentalism. 12833 10:52:15,040 --> 10:52:20,720 Stanford in the late 1980s was ground 12834 10:52:17,680 --> 10:52:23,520 zero for America's culture wars, battles 12835 10:52:20,720 --> 10:52:26,560 over multiculturalism, speech, and the 12836 10:52:23,520 --> 10:52:28,880 purpose of higher education. 12837 10:52:26,560 --> 10:52:32,160 Field believed the university was 12838 10:52:28,880 --> 10:52:34,000 drifting toward ideological conformity, 12839 10:52:32,160 --> 10:52:37,436 that certain views were becoming 12840 10:52:34,000 --> 10:52:40,080 socially, if not formally, offlimits. 12841 10:52:37,436 --> 10:52:43,360 Here his investment methodology was 12842 10:52:40,080 --> 10:52:47,276 born. Identify what the crowd considers 12843 10:52:43,360 --> 10:52:50,720 sacred and question it. 12844 10:52:47,276 --> 10:52:53,680 If everyone says identity diversity is 12845 10:52:50,720 --> 10:52:56,640 the most important thing, you argue that 12846 10:52:53,680 --> 10:52:58,720 intellectual diversity is the only thing 12847 10:52:56,640 --> 10:53:00,960 that matters. 12848 10:52:58,720 --> 10:53:04,080 He wasn't looking for friends. He was 12849 10:53:00,960 --> 10:53:07,040 looking to recruit others who like him 12850 10:53:04,080 --> 10:53:10,240 did not fear being hated. 12851 10:53:07,040 --> 10:53:12,800 He founded the Stanford Review. 12852 10:53:10,240 --> 10:53:16,000 The paper quickly became one of the most 12853 10:53:12,800 --> 10:53:18,880 controversial publications on campus, 12854 10:53:16,000 --> 10:53:22,720 attacking what field saw as intellectual 12855 10:53:18,880 --> 10:53:24,880 monoculture and political group think. 12856 10:53:22,720 --> 10:53:27,276 He saw that the smartest people in the 12857 10:53:24,880 --> 10:53:30,480 country were all competing for the same 12858 10:53:27,276 --> 10:53:32,240 narrow prizes, thinking the same narrow 12859 10:53:30,480 --> 10:53:35,596 thoughts. 12860 10:53:32,240 --> 10:53:39,040 He did what every top student does. He 12861 10:53:35,596 --> 10:53:41,200 followed the track. After Stanford law, 12862 10:53:39,040 --> 10:53:43,596 he secured a prestigious federal 12863 10:53:41,200 --> 10:53:45,916 appalate clerkship, the kind of 12864 10:53:43,596 --> 10:53:47,756 credential that opens every elite door 12865 10:53:45,916 --> 10:53:50,000 in America. 12866 10:53:47,756 --> 10:53:52,480 After his clerkship, he joined Sullivan 12867 10:53:50,000 --> 10:53:55,756 and Cromwell in New York, one of the 12868 10:53:52,480 --> 10:53:58,400 most elite law firms in the world. On 12869 10:53:55,756 --> 10:54:03,120 paper, he had reached the summit. Wall 12870 10:53:58,400 --> 10:54:05,360 Street was his great negative epiphany. 12871 10:54:03,120 --> 10:54:07,520 But from his perspective, the brightest 12872 10:54:05,360 --> 10:54:09,596 graduates in America were locked in 12873 10:54:07,520 --> 10:54:12,560 brutal competition for careers they 12874 10:54:09,596 --> 10:54:14,960 didn't even seem to want. 12875 10:54:12,560 --> 10:54:17,596 It looked like Renee Gerard's theory 12876 10:54:14,960 --> 10:54:20,000 made flesh, a system where everyone 12877 10:54:17,596 --> 10:54:23,120 desired the same prize simply because 12878 10:54:20,000 --> 10:54:25,916 everyone else did. Wall Street looked at 12879 10:54:23,120 --> 10:54:29,040 Theo like a laboratory of mimemetic 12880 10:54:25,916 --> 10:54:31,596 rivalry. He realized that if he won that 12881 10:54:29,040 --> 10:54:34,880 race, his prize would be becoming the 12882 10:54:31,596 --> 10:54:38,160 man in the office next door. A copy of a 12883 10:54:34,880 --> 10:54:40,960 copy. The day he lost the opportunity to 12884 10:54:38,160 --> 10:54:44,400 clerk for the US Supreme Court wasn't a 12885 10:54:40,960 --> 10:54:47,756 defeat. It was his liberation. 12886 10:54:44,400 --> 10:54:50,400 He lasted less than a year. But Theo's 12887 10:54:47,756 --> 10:54:53,200 first venture after leaving law was a 12888 10:54:50,400 --> 10:54:55,116 humbling lesson in failure. A lesson 12889 10:54:53,200 --> 10:54:58,080 that would shape everything that came 12890 10:54:55,116 --> 10:55:01,360 after. 12891 10:54:58,080 --> 10:55:04,080 In 1996, he launched Theel Capital 12892 10:55:01,360 --> 10:55:07,040 Management, 12893 10:55:04,080 --> 10:55:10,240 a hedge fund focused on currency trading 12894 10:55:07,040 --> 10:55:13,040 and macroeconomic derivatives. 12895 10:55:10,240 --> 10:55:15,756 The strategy was to make big directional 12896 10:55:13,040 --> 10:55:18,080 bets on interest rates, inflation 12897 10:55:15,756 --> 10:55:21,840 expectations, and foreign exchange 12898 10:55:18,080 --> 10:55:25,360 movements. Initial capital raised $1 12899 10:55:21,840 --> 10:55:27,520 million mostly from Stanford connections 12900 10:55:25,360 --> 10:55:31,400 who believed in the chess prodigy turned 12901 10:55:27,520 --> 10:55:31,400 lawyer turned financia. 12902 10:55:32,240 --> 10:55:37,596 The result was spectacular failure. 12903 10:55:35,360 --> 10:55:40,880 Within the first year, the fund had lost 12904 10:55:37,596 --> 10:55:44,400 significant capital. Industry estimates 12905 10:55:40,880 --> 10:55:48,240 suggest losses between 30 and 40% of the 12906 10:55:44,400 --> 10:55:50,640 initial investment pool. Investors fled. 12907 10:55:48,240 --> 10:55:52,640 Some demanded their remaining money back 12908 10:55:50,640 --> 10:55:55,040 immediately. 12909 10:55:52,640 --> 10:55:57,200 The reputation among finance 12910 10:55:55,040 --> 10:55:59,520 professionals, the people he had walked 12911 10:55:57,200 --> 10:56:02,160 away from at Sullivan and Cromwell, took 12912 10:55:59,520 --> 10:56:05,436 a serious hit. 12913 10:56:02,160 --> 10:56:08,720 He was no longer the Stanford genius. He 12914 10:56:05,436 --> 10:56:11,200 was just another failed trader. 12915 10:56:08,720 --> 10:56:13,680 But this failure taught him the most 12916 10:56:11,200 --> 10:56:16,720 important lesson of his career. 12917 10:56:13,680 --> 10:56:19,116 Competition is for losers. 12918 10:56:16,720 --> 10:56:21,756 Do not compete in crowded markets where 12919 10:56:19,116 --> 10:56:25,520 everyone is making the same trades with 12920 10:56:21,756 --> 10:56:27,916 the same information and the same tools. 12921 10:56:25,520 --> 10:56:31,116 Wall Street was full of extremely smart 12922 10:56:27,916 --> 10:56:33,520 people doing the same macro trades, 12923 10:56:31,116 --> 10:56:36,640 reading the same economic reports, 12924 10:56:33,520 --> 10:56:39,040 betting on the same currency movements. 12925 10:56:36,640 --> 10:56:43,756 It was a zero someum game played by 12926 10:56:39,040 --> 10:56:45,916 thousands of nearly identical players. 12927 10:56:43,756 --> 10:56:49,040 He needed to find a space where the 12928 10:56:45,916 --> 10:56:51,436 rules were still being written. Where 12929 10:56:49,040 --> 10:56:54,720 being first mattered more than being 12930 10:56:51,436 --> 10:56:56,640 best, where a monopoly position was 12931 10:56:54,720 --> 10:56:58,960 still available. 12932 10:56:56,640 --> 10:57:01,360 He needed technology. 12933 10:56:58,960 --> 10:57:05,116 And from the ashes of the capital 12934 10:57:01,360 --> 10:57:07,680 management, a new philosophy was born. 12935 10:57:05,116 --> 10:57:10,880 If you want to create lasting value, you 12936 10:57:07,680 --> 10:57:13,756 have to build a monopoly. This became 12937 10:57:10,880 --> 10:57:17,480 his investing mantra and it would make 12938 10:57:13,756 --> 10:57:17,480 him billions. 12939 10:57:19,040 --> 10:57:23,916 Theel walked away from the firm and went 12940 10:57:21,116 --> 10:57:26,880 back to California not to start a tech 12941 10:57:23,916 --> 10:57:30,480 empire but to try trading then to launch 12942 10:57:26,880 --> 10:57:32,720 a hedge fund. It failed. The system he 12943 10:57:30,480 --> 10:57:36,720 had rejected did not welcome him back as 12944 10:57:32,720 --> 10:57:38,720 a prodigy. It treated him like a nobody. 12945 10:57:36,720 --> 10:57:42,640 That failure would become the last 12946 10:57:38,720 --> 10:57:45,040 lesson before his real beginning. But he 12947 10:57:42,640 --> 10:57:47,680 learned something. If you play the 12948 10:57:45,040 --> 10:57:49,680 system game as everyone else, you've 12949 10:57:47,680 --> 10:57:51,680 already lost. 12950 10:57:49,680 --> 10:57:57,320 The chess master was done with the 12951 10:57:51,680 --> 10:57:57,320 board. He was ready to build his own. 12952 10:58:02,320 --> 10:58:06,240 So this is an ATM. What we're going to 12953 10:58:04,240 --> 10:58:08,080 do is transform the traditional banking 12954 10:58:06,240 --> 10:58:11,520 industry. 12955 10:58:08,080 --> 10:58:13,200 >> I do not fit the picture of a banker. 12956 10:58:11,520 --> 10:58:15,276 >> X.com. This is Julie. 12957 10:58:13,200 --> 10:58:17,840 >> Raising $50 million is a matter of 12958 10:58:15,276 --> 10:58:20,080 making a series of phone calls and the 12959 10:58:17,840 --> 10:58:22,000 money is there. 12960 10:58:20,080 --> 10:58:24,560 >> I've sunk the great majority of of my 12961 10:58:22,000 --> 10:58:26,640 net worth into X.com, which is the new 12962 10:58:24,560 --> 10:58:29,360 banking and mutual funds company on the 12963 10:58:26,640 --> 10:58:31,200 internet that I've started. December 12964 10:58:29,360 --> 10:58:34,000 1998, 12965 10:58:31,200 --> 10:58:37,276 Peter Theel co-founds a company called 12966 10:58:34,000 --> 10:58:39,680 Conffinity with Max Levchin, a brilliant 12967 10:58:37,276 --> 10:58:42,080 Ukrainian-born programmer, and Luke 12968 10:58:39,680 --> 10:58:44,000 Nosk, a fellow Stanford review 12969 10:58:42,080 --> 10:58:47,200 illuminous. 12970 10:58:44,000 --> 10:58:49,200 Initial funding, $300,000 scraped 12971 10:58:47,200 --> 10:58:51,360 together from friends, family, and 12972 10:58:49,200 --> 10:58:53,436 fellow libertarian true believers from 12973 10:58:51,360 --> 10:58:55,840 the Stamford days. 12974 10:58:53,436 --> 10:58:59,756 The original product idea, digital 12975 10:58:55,840 --> 10:59:02,160 wallets on Palm Pilot handheld devices. 12976 10:58:59,756 --> 10:59:04,720 The vision was that people would beam 12977 10:59:02,160 --> 10:59:07,360 money to each other using infrared ports 12978 10:59:04,720 --> 10:59:10,080 on the Palm Pilots 12979 10:59:07,360 --> 10:59:11,596 in coffee shops, at restaurants, 12980 10:59:10,080 --> 10:59:15,960 persontoerson, 12981 10:59:11,596 --> 10:59:15,960 bypassing banks entirely. 12982 10:59:16,240 --> 10:59:24,320 Total users after 6 months of operation, 12983 10:59:19,840 --> 10:59:26,560 12 people. literally 12. 12984 10:59:24,320 --> 10:59:29,276 Most of them were employees and their 12985 10:59:26,560 --> 10:59:32,880 friends testing the system. It was a 12986 10:59:29,276 --> 10:59:35,840 complete and utter flop. The technology 12987 10:59:32,880 --> 10:59:40,800 worked, but nobody cared. Nobody wanted 12988 10:59:35,840 --> 10:59:44,160 it. March 2000, Confinity pivots hard 12989 10:59:40,800 --> 10:59:46,480 and launches a new feature, email-based 12990 10:59:44,160 --> 10:59:49,520 money transfers. 12991 10:59:46,480 --> 10:59:51,916 You send money to any email address. The 12992 10:59:49,520 --> 10:59:54,400 recipient gets a notification, creates 12993 10:59:51,916 --> 10:59:57,436 an account, and the money is there. 12994 10:59:54,400 --> 11:00:00,880 Simple, instant, revolutionary. The name 12995 10:59:57,436 --> 11:00:03,756 of this new service, PayPal. 12996 11:00:00,880 --> 11:00:06,320 Within weeks, user growth exploded at a 12997 11:00:03,756 --> 11:00:08,000 rate nobody had ever seen in financial 12998 11:00:06,320 --> 11:00:12,560 services. 12999 11:00:08,000 --> 11:00:18,160 Month one, 10,000 users. Month three, 13000 11:00:12,560 --> 11:00:23,116 100,000 users. Month 6, 1 million users. 13001 11:00:18,160 --> 11:00:25,520 Month 12, 5 million users. 13002 11:00:23,116 --> 11:00:27,756 This was the fastest user adoption rate 13003 11:00:25,520 --> 11:00:30,720 in the entire history of financial 13004 11:00:27,756 --> 11:00:33,200 services. Faster than credit cards, 13005 11:00:30,720 --> 11:00:35,200 faster than checking accounts, faster 13006 11:00:33,200 --> 11:00:37,756 than anything. 13007 11:00:35,200 --> 11:00:40,800 But here is what most people do not know 13008 11:00:37,756 --> 11:00:44,160 about PayPal's growth. Here is the 13009 11:00:40,800 --> 11:00:47,276 secret that the mythology leaves out. 13010 11:00:44,160 --> 11:00:51,680 PayPal's explosive user acquisition was 13011 11:00:47,276 --> 11:00:56,560 not organic. It was not word of mouth. 13012 11:00:51,680 --> 11:00:58,800 It was not viral in the natural sense. 13013 11:00:56,560 --> 11:01:02,800 They literally bought their users with 13014 11:00:58,800 --> 11:01:05,596 cash. The strategy was elegantly simple 13015 11:01:02,800 --> 11:01:08,720 and brutally expensive. 13016 11:01:05,596 --> 11:01:11,840 Sign up for a PayPal account, get $10 13017 11:01:08,720 --> 11:01:15,360 deposited instantly. Refer a friend who 13018 11:01:11,840 --> 11:01:19,596 signs up gets another $10. Your friend 13019 11:01:15,360 --> 11:01:22,960 also gets $10. Cost per acquisition 20 13020 11:01:19,596 --> 11:01:26,560 to $40 per user depending on how many 13021 11:01:22,960 --> 11:01:29,840 referrals each user generated. 13022 11:01:26,560 --> 11:01:32,720 Monthly cash burn rate of peak growth 10 13023 11:01:29,840 --> 11:01:36,000 to 12 million 13024 11:01:32,720 --> 11:01:39,596 just vanishing into a user acquisition. 13025 11:01:36,000 --> 11:01:43,040 By late 2000, PayPal was spending 60 to 13026 11:01:39,596 --> 11:01:45,596 70 million annually just to buy users 13027 11:01:43,040 --> 11:01:47,680 with cash incentives. 13028 11:01:45,596 --> 11:01:50,320 They were hemorrhaging money at a 13029 11:01:47,680 --> 11:01:52,880 terrifying rate. Investors were 13030 11:01:50,320 --> 11:01:55,596 panicking. Board members were demanding 13031 11:01:52,880 --> 11:01:58,080 answers. 13032 11:01:55,596 --> 11:02:01,680 How long can you sustain spending $10 13033 11:01:58,080 --> 11:02:04,640 million a month buying users? 13034 11:02:01,680 --> 11:02:07,680 But Theel had done the mathematics. He 13035 11:02:04,640 --> 11:02:10,640 had run the numbers obsessively. 13036 11:02:07,680 --> 11:02:14,400 Each acquired user was worth $100 to 13037 11:02:10,640 --> 11:02:17,276 $200 in lifetime transaction fee revenue 13038 11:02:14,400 --> 11:02:21,756 through the PayPal network. They were 13039 11:02:17,276 --> 11:02:24,960 buying $100 bills for $20 bills. It was 13040 11:02:21,756 --> 11:02:28,160 either genius or insanity depending on 13041 11:02:24,960 --> 11:02:30,640 whether the math actually worked. The 13042 11:02:28,160 --> 11:02:32,960 believed it would work. He bet 13043 11:02:30,640 --> 11:02:36,160 everything on it. But there was a 13044 11:02:32,960 --> 11:02:39,596 problem. a major problem. Another 13045 11:02:36,160 --> 11:02:43,200 company was doing the exact same thing. 13046 11:02:39,596 --> 11:02:46,640 X.com, a finance company founded by Elon 13047 11:02:43,200 --> 11:02:48,640 Musk with money from his Zip 2 exit and 13048 11:02:46,640 --> 11:02:52,960 a vision for online banking that was 13049 11:02:48,640 --> 11:02:56,560 nearly identical to PayPal's. 13050 11:02:52,960 --> 11:02:59,436 Two companies, same idea, same market, 13051 11:02:56,560 --> 11:03:03,040 both burning massive amounts of cash at 13052 11:02:59,436 --> 11:03:05,680 completely unsustainable rates. Total 13053 11:03:03,040 --> 11:03:08,720 funding raised between both companies 13054 11:03:05,680 --> 11:03:12,080 over $100 million. 13055 11:03:08,720 --> 11:03:15,040 Combined monthly cash burn rate over $20 13056 11:03:12,080 --> 11:03:17,756 million time until both companies 13057 11:03:15,040 --> 11:03:20,960 simultaneously ran out of money less 13058 11:03:17,756 --> 11:03:23,756 than 6 months. 13059 11:03:20,960 --> 11:03:27,360 The merger was inevitable. 13060 11:03:23,756 --> 11:03:30,400 X.com and Confiniti merged into a single 13061 11:03:27,360 --> 11:03:32,720 entity. The combined company kept the 13062 11:03:30,400 --> 11:03:36,480 PayPal name because users had already 13063 11:03:32,720 --> 11:03:39,040 adopted it. The brand had momentum. Elon 13064 11:03:36,480 --> 11:03:44,436 Musk became chief executive officer of 13065 11:03:39,040 --> 11:03:44,436 the merged company for 5 months. 13066 11:03:45,680 --> 11:03:52,000 October 2000, while Elon Musk was on his 13067 11:03:49,360 --> 11:03:54,720 honeymoon, the board of directors led by 13068 11:03:52,000 --> 11:03:57,916 Peter Theel and other Confinity founders 13069 11:03:54,720 --> 11:04:00,480 held an emergency meeting and voted Musk 13070 11:03:57,916 --> 11:04:03,200 out as CEO. 13071 11:04:00,480 --> 11:04:06,320 The official reasons cited strategic 13072 11:04:03,200 --> 11:04:09,596 disagreements over technology platform. 13073 11:04:06,320 --> 11:04:12,560 Musk wanted to use Microsoft software. 13074 11:04:09,596 --> 11:04:16,240 The Confinity engineers believed in Unix 13075 11:04:12,560 --> 11:04:19,840 based systems. The actual reason Theel 13076 11:04:16,240 --> 11:04:23,436 wanted control, full control. This was 13077 11:04:19,840 --> 11:04:25,596 his company now. 13078 11:04:23,436 --> 11:04:28,960 Peter Theel became chief executive 13079 11:04:25,596 --> 11:04:31,436 officer of PayPal. Elon Musk remained a 13080 11:04:28,960 --> 11:04:35,200 major shareholder, but his operational 13081 11:04:31,436 --> 11:04:38,080 control was finished. 13082 11:04:35,200 --> 11:04:40,480 The two men, both future billionaires, 13083 11:04:38,080 --> 11:04:44,640 both future power brokers, had their 13084 11:04:40,480 --> 11:04:47,436 first battle. feel one. At its core, 13085 11:04:44,640 --> 11:04:50,080 PayPal ran on a simple idea that turned 13086 11:04:47,436 --> 11:04:52,640 into a powerful engine. 13087 11:04:50,080 --> 11:04:56,720 Every time money moved, PayPal took a 13088 11:04:52,640 --> 11:04:59,200 small cut, 2.9% plus 30 cents per 13089 11:04:56,720 --> 11:05:01,840 transaction. If that money crossed 13090 11:04:59,200 --> 11:05:04,320 borders, the fee climbed to between 2 13091 11:05:01,840 --> 11:05:06,480 1/2 and 4%. 13092 11:05:04,320 --> 11:05:08,400 Then there was the float, the cash 13093 11:05:06,480 --> 11:05:10,960 sitting in PayPal's accounts between 13094 11:05:08,400 --> 11:05:14,320 payments, quietly earning interest for 13095 11:05:10,960 --> 11:05:16,560 the company. Tiny slices repeated 13096 11:05:14,320 --> 11:05:19,680 millions of times. 13097 11:05:16,560 --> 11:05:23,436 By 2001, the numbers told the story of a 13098 11:05:19,680 --> 11:05:26,320 system coming to life. Every single day, 13099 11:05:23,436 --> 11:05:29,360 5 to8 million flowed through PayPal's 13100 11:05:26,320 --> 11:05:34,400 network. Each month, that translated 13101 11:05:29,360 --> 11:05:37,360 into 10 to$15 million in revenue. 13102 11:05:34,400 --> 11:05:39,916 But growth at this speed came at a cost. 13103 11:05:37,360 --> 11:05:42,800 Running the system, fighting fraud, 13104 11:05:39,916 --> 11:05:47,916 scaling infrastructure, acquiring users 13105 11:05:42,800 --> 11:05:50,240 was burning 20 to30 million every month. 13106 11:05:47,916 --> 11:05:52,640 The machine worked, it just wasn't 13107 11:05:50,240 --> 11:05:54,640 profitable yet. 13108 11:05:52,640 --> 11:05:57,200 Late 2000, 13109 11:05:54,640 --> 11:06:00,880 PayPal's data scientists discovered 13110 11:05:57,200 --> 11:06:03,276 something crucial. 70% of all PayPal 13111 11:06:00,880 --> 11:06:04,960 transactions were happening on eBay 13112 11:06:03,276 --> 11:06:07,200 auctions. 13113 11:06:04,960 --> 11:06:09,756 People buying and selling random items 13114 11:06:07,200 --> 11:06:13,200 on the internet's largest marketplace 13115 11:06:09,756 --> 11:06:15,520 were using PayPal to move money. The 13116 11:06:13,200 --> 11:06:18,880 strategic insight became immediately 13117 11:06:15,520 --> 11:06:23,040 clear. Make PayPal the only payment 13118 11:06:18,880 --> 11:06:27,040 method that eBay users trust completely. 13119 11:06:23,040 --> 11:06:29,680 Own that market, become indispensable. 13120 11:06:27,040 --> 11:06:32,000 The execution buyer protection 13121 11:06:29,680 --> 11:06:34,800 guarantees that eBay's own payment 13122 11:06:32,000 --> 11:06:37,436 system did not offer 13123 11:06:34,800 --> 11:06:41,320 instant payment transfers with no 7-day 13124 11:06:37,436 --> 11:06:41,320 check clearing period. 13125 11:06:41,756 --> 11:06:46,880 Fraud detection algorithms that were 13126 11:06:43,916 --> 11:06:49,756 better than credit card companies. Email 13127 11:06:46,880 --> 11:06:54,160 notifications for every transaction. 13128 11:06:49,756 --> 11:06:57,520 Simple, clean user interface. 13129 11:06:54,160 --> 11:07:01,276 By mid 2001, the strategy was working 13130 11:06:57,520 --> 11:07:04,000 beyond all projections. 50% of all eBay 13131 11:07:01,276 --> 11:07:07,680 auctions accepted PayPal as a payment 13132 11:07:04,000 --> 11:07:10,160 method. PayPal was processing $50 13133 11:07:07,680 --> 11:07:13,116 million daily in eBay related 13134 11:07:10,160 --> 11:07:18,400 transactions alone. And then eBay 13135 11:07:13,116 --> 11:07:20,400 noticed and eBay was not happy. 13136 11:07:18,400 --> 11:07:22,800 eBay launched their own competing 13137 11:07:20,400 --> 11:07:25,596 service called Billpoint and attempted 13138 11:07:22,800 --> 11:07:27,756 to kill PayPal through the marketplace. 13139 11:07:25,596 --> 11:07:30,800 They promoted Billoint in search 13140 11:07:27,756 --> 11:07:33,520 rankings. They penalized sellers who 13141 11:07:30,800 --> 11:07:36,640 only accepted PayPal. They made it 13142 11:07:33,520 --> 11:07:38,400 harder to display the PayPal logo. It 13143 11:07:36,640 --> 11:07:41,436 was war. 13144 11:07:38,400 --> 11:07:44,080 PayPal's response was total war. 13145 11:07:41,436 --> 11:07:46,560 Temporarily lower transaction fees to 13146 11:07:44,080 --> 11:07:48,720 undercut Bill. 13147 11:07:46,560 --> 11:07:51,916 Guarantee faster money transfers than 13148 11:07:48,720 --> 11:07:55,596 eBay could offer. Invest heavily in 13149 11:07:51,916 --> 11:07:58,640 superior $30 million deployed in 2001 13150 11:07:55,596 --> 11:08:01,200 fraud protection. Massive marketing 13151 11:07:58,640 --> 11:08:04,960 spending alone. 13152 11:08:01,200 --> 11:08:09,200 By early 2002, the war was over. PayPal 13153 11:08:04,960 --> 11:08:13,360 controlled 65% of eBay's payment market. 13154 11:08:09,200 --> 11:08:15,680 Bill point at barely 10%. 13155 11:08:13,360 --> 11:08:18,320 eBay executives looked at the numbers 13156 11:08:15,680 --> 11:08:23,360 and reached a conclusion, if you cannot 13157 11:08:18,320 --> 11:08:27,520 beat them, buy them. July 2002, 13158 11:08:23,360 --> 11:08:29,596 eBay acquires PayPal for $1.5 billion in 13159 11:08:27,520 --> 11:08:33,276 eBay stock. 13160 11:08:29,596 --> 11:08:36,160 Peter Theal owned approximately $3.7% of 13161 11:08:33,276 --> 11:08:39,360 PayPal at the time of the acquisition. 13162 11:08:36,160 --> 11:08:42,880 His equity stake was worth $55 million 13163 11:08:39,360 --> 11:08:45,360 in eBay stock. After taxes, he walked 13164 11:08:42,880 --> 11:08:49,276 away with approximately $40 million in 13165 11:08:45,360 --> 11:08:52,880 liquid wealth. At age 34, he had won his 13166 11:08:49,276 --> 11:08:54,880 first billion dollar game. 13167 11:08:52,880 --> 11:08:58,240 But the money was not the most valuable 13168 11:08:54,880 --> 11:09:02,240 thing he extracted from PayPal. The real 13169 11:08:58,240 --> 11:09:04,640 value was the network, the PayPal mafia, 13170 11:09:02,240 --> 11:09:08,560 the name they gave themselves. And it 13171 11:09:04,640 --> 11:09:11,360 was not ironic. It was descriptive. The 13172 11:09:08,560 --> 11:09:13,436 core team that Theel assembled at PayPal 13173 11:09:11,360 --> 11:09:16,640 would go on to create some of the most 13174 11:09:13,436 --> 11:09:22,640 valuable companies in human history. 13175 11:09:16,640 --> 11:09:27,520 Elon Musk Tesla market cap $650 billion. 13176 11:09:22,640 --> 11:09:30,560 SpaceX estimated value $150 billion. 13177 11:09:27,520 --> 11:09:33,596 Reed Hoffman LinkedIn sold to Microsoft 13178 11:09:30,560 --> 11:09:37,680 for $26 billion. 13179 11:09:33,596 --> 11:09:42,480 Steve Chen, Chad Hurley, Jawed Kareem. 13180 11:09:37,680 --> 11:09:47,320 YouTube sold to Google for 1.65 billion, 13181 11:09:42,480 --> 11:09:47,320 now worth over 100 billion. 13182 11:09:47,596 --> 11:09:54,320 Jeremy Stoppleman and Russell Simmons, 13183 11:09:50,240 --> 11:09:57,360 Yelp, peaked at $3 billion market cap. 13184 11:09:54,320 --> 11:10:00,480 David Saxs, Yammer, sold to Microsoft 13185 11:09:57,360 --> 11:10:03,436 for $1.2 billion. 13186 11:10:00,480 --> 11:10:07,680 later founded Craft Ventures. Max 13187 11:10:03,436 --> 11:10:12,800 Levchin, a firm $12 billion company. 13188 11:10:07,680 --> 11:10:15,596 Also co-founded Yelp. Keith Rabo, COO of 13189 11:10:12,800 --> 11:10:20,276 Square, partner at Founders Fund, 13190 11:10:15,596 --> 11:10:20,276 investor in dozens of unicorns. 13191 11:10:20,400 --> 11:10:27,116 Roloff Bofer, partner at Seoia Capital, 13192 11:10:24,320 --> 11:10:31,680 led investments in Instagram, YouTube, 13193 11:10:27,116 --> 11:10:34,720 Tumblr, MongoDB, Eventbrite. 13194 11:10:31,680 --> 11:10:36,640 Total value created by the PayPal mafia 13195 11:10:34,720 --> 11:10:40,160 across all their companies, 13196 11:10:36,640 --> 11:10:42,560 conservatively estimated at over $200 13197 11:10:40,160 --> 11:10:44,880 billion in combined market 13198 11:10:42,560 --> 11:10:47,040 capitalization. 13199 11:10:44,880 --> 11:10:48,880 Field's ownership stakes across this 13200 11:10:47,040 --> 11:10:52,080 extended network through direct 13201 11:10:48,880 --> 11:10:55,276 investments and fund positions estimated 13202 11:10:52,080 --> 11:10:57,276 at 2 to4 billion. 13203 11:10:55,276 --> 11:11:00,400 This was not just a company that got 13204 11:10:57,276 --> 11:11:03,276 acquired. This was the creation of the 13205 11:11:00,400 --> 11:11:06,680 most powerful business cartel in Silicon 13206 11:11:03,276 --> 11:11:06,680 Valley history. 13207 11:11:06,880 --> 11:11:12,400 But what made PayPal different was not 13208 11:11:09,436 --> 11:11:14,800 the technology. Not really. The 13209 11:11:12,400 --> 11:11:16,400 technology was impressive but not 13210 11:11:14,800 --> 11:11:18,480 miraculous. 13211 11:11:16,400 --> 11:11:21,276 What made PayPal different was the 13212 11:11:18,480 --> 11:11:23,116 culture, the religion of extreme 13213 11:11:21,276 --> 11:11:26,160 meritocracy. 13214 11:11:23,116 --> 11:11:28,080 Theo's hiring criteria were brutally 13215 11:11:26,160 --> 11:11:31,916 specific. 13216 11:11:28,080 --> 11:11:35,276 One raw intelligence, high test scores, 13217 11:11:31,916 --> 11:11:37,200 ability to solve complex puzzles, proof 13218 11:11:35,276 --> 11:11:40,720 you could think better than everyone 13219 11:11:37,200 --> 11:11:43,756 else. Two, intensity. 13220 11:11:40,720 --> 11:11:45,680 Are you willing to work 100hour weeks? 13221 11:11:43,756 --> 11:11:48,480 Are you willing to sacrifice everything 13222 11:11:45,680 --> 11:11:52,160 else in your life for the mission? 13223 11:11:48,480 --> 11:11:54,960 Three, missionary zeal. Do you actually 13224 11:11:52,160 --> 11:11:57,680 believe we are changing the world or are 13225 11:11:54,960 --> 11:12:00,960 you here for a paycheck? 13226 11:11:57,680 --> 11:12:03,116 Four, loyalty to the tribe. Will you 13227 11:12:00,960 --> 11:12:06,480 protect the other members? Will you put 13228 11:12:03,116 --> 11:12:09,840 the group above yourself? 13229 11:12:06,480 --> 11:12:15,360 Average employee age at PayPal 25 years 13230 11:12:09,840 --> 11:12:17,680 old. Average work week 80 to 100 hours. 13231 11:12:15,360 --> 11:12:20,240 Office culture libertarian, 13232 11:12:17,680 --> 11:12:22,080 anti-regulation, contrarian, 13233 11:12:20,240 --> 11:12:24,160 anti-establishment. 13234 11:12:22,080 --> 11:12:26,640 They called themselves the mafia 13235 11:12:24,160 --> 11:12:30,200 specifically because loyalty mattered 13236 11:12:26,640 --> 11:12:30,200 more than credentials, 13237 11:12:31,436 --> 11:12:36,960 more than degrees, more than previous 13238 11:12:33,680 --> 11:12:39,840 experience. Theel's operating principle 13239 11:12:36,960 --> 11:12:42,160 stated explicitly and repeatedly, 13240 11:12:39,840 --> 11:12:44,400 talented people do not want to work with 13241 11:12:42,160 --> 11:12:47,916 people who are less talented than they 13242 11:12:44,400 --> 11:12:50,000 are. So every new hire must be more 13243 11:12:47,916 --> 11:12:53,360 talented than the average current 13244 11:12:50,000 --> 11:12:56,080 employee. Otherwise, we are diluting the 13245 11:12:53,360 --> 11:12:59,436 talent pool. This created a 13246 11:12:56,080 --> 11:13:02,560 self-reinforcing escalation, an arms 13247 11:12:59,436 --> 11:13:05,756 race of hiring. Every new person raised 13248 11:13:02,560 --> 11:13:09,360 the bar. The standards became higher and 13249 11:13:05,756 --> 11:13:12,160 higher. Only the absolute best could get 13250 11:13:09,360 --> 11:13:15,200 in. And once you were in, you were 13251 11:13:12,160 --> 11:13:17,680 family. But here is what most people 13252 11:13:15,200 --> 11:13:19,756 forget about PayPal. Here is the 13253 11:13:17,680 --> 11:13:22,560 original vision that got erased from the 13254 11:13:19,756 --> 11:13:25,680 mythology. PayPal was supposed to 13255 11:13:22,560 --> 11:13:28,000 destroy the Federal Reserve. It was 13256 11:13:25,680 --> 11:13:31,360 supposed to undermine state control of 13257 11:13:28,000 --> 11:13:33,116 currency. That was the actual mission. 13258 11:13:31,360 --> 11:13:37,916 That was why Peter Theal, the 13259 11:13:33,116 --> 11:13:40,480 libertarian ideologue, cared so much. 13260 11:13:37,916 --> 11:13:43,360 The original vision laid out in Theo's 13261 11:13:40,480 --> 11:13:46,800 founding documents create a new digital 13262 11:13:43,360 --> 11:13:49,520 currency outside government control. 13263 11:13:46,800 --> 11:13:52,560 Enable true peer-to-peer transactions 13264 11:13:49,520 --> 11:13:54,880 globally without state intermediaries. 13265 11:13:52,560 --> 11:13:57,756 Undermine the state monopoly on money 13266 11:13:54,880 --> 11:14:00,320 creation and management. 13267 11:13:57,756 --> 11:14:02,560 build the financial infrastructure for a 13268 11:14:00,320 --> 11:14:05,040 stateless society. 13269 11:14:02,560 --> 11:14:08,000 What actually happened? To become 13270 11:14:05,040 --> 11:14:10,480 mainstream, to actually scale, PayPal 13271 11:14:08,000 --> 11:14:12,800 had to compromise every single founding 13272 11:14:10,480 --> 11:14:15,756 principle. They had to integrate with 13273 11:14:12,800 --> 11:14:18,720 the traditional banking system, the 13274 11:14:15,756 --> 11:14:20,960 enemy. They had to comply with know your 13275 11:14:18,720 --> 11:14:22,480 customer and anti-moneyaundering 13276 11:14:20,960 --> 11:14:24,640 regulations, 13277 11:14:22,480 --> 11:14:26,480 government control. 13278 11:14:24,640 --> 11:14:29,200 They had to partner with credit card 13279 11:14:26,480 --> 11:14:32,000 companies. The old system they wanted to 13280 11:14:29,200 --> 11:14:35,520 destroy. They had to get licensed in 13281 11:14:32,000 --> 11:14:37,436 every single state. Regulatory capture. 13282 11:14:35,520 --> 11:14:40,320 They had to report suspicious 13283 11:14:37,436 --> 11:14:43,840 transactions to federal authorities. 13284 11:14:40,320 --> 11:14:47,596 Surveillance. By 2002, PayPal was 13285 11:14:43,840 --> 11:14:50,320 regulated exactly like a bank. Partnered 13286 11:14:47,596 --> 11:14:53,200 with banks, dependent on banks for all 13287 11:14:50,320 --> 11:14:55,436 core functionalities. The libertarian 13288 11:14:53,200 --> 11:14:57,520 revolution had become just another 13289 11:14:55,436 --> 11:14:59,840 fintech company playing by the 13290 11:14:57,520 --> 11:15:02,160 government's rules. 13291 11:14:59,840 --> 11:15:04,240 The learned the most important lesson of 13292 11:15:02,160 --> 11:15:07,116 his career from PayPal's failure to 13293 11:15:04,240 --> 11:15:09,596 achieve its revolutionary mission. You 13294 11:15:07,116 --> 11:15:12,480 cannot disrupt the system from inside 13295 11:15:09,596 --> 11:15:14,800 the system. If you want to change the 13296 11:15:12,480 --> 11:15:17,680 rules, you cannot ask permission from 13297 11:15:14,800 --> 11:15:20,400 the people who wrote them. This lesson 13298 11:15:17,680 --> 11:15:24,596 would shape everything he did next. 13299 11:15:20,400 --> 11:15:24,596 Palanteer, Facebook, 13300 11:15:24,640 --> 11:15:30,960 his political investments, everything. 13301 11:15:28,720 --> 11:15:34,160 The PayPal acquisition was not an 13302 11:15:30,960 --> 11:15:36,800 ending. It was a beginning, the start of 13303 11:15:34,160 --> 11:15:39,840 something much larger. The pattern that 13304 11:15:36,800 --> 11:15:42,240 emerged over the next 20 years. PayPal 13305 11:15:39,840 --> 11:15:44,400 veterans leave and start new companies 13306 11:15:42,240 --> 11:15:47,596 in different sectors. 13307 11:15:44,400 --> 11:15:50,480 Theel invests early as angel investor or 13308 11:15:47,596 --> 11:15:52,320 through founders fund. PayPal mafia 13309 11:15:50,480 --> 11:15:55,200 members join each other's boards of 13310 11:15:52,320 --> 11:15:58,080 directors. Cross investment between all 13311 11:15:55,200 --> 11:16:00,720 their venture funds creates alignment. 13312 11:15:58,080 --> 11:16:03,040 Preferential access to deal flow because 13313 11:16:00,720 --> 11:16:04,960 of network relationships. 13314 11:16:03,040 --> 11:16:07,756 Shared intelligence about markets, 13315 11:16:04,960 --> 11:16:09,680 technology, and opportunities. 13316 11:16:07,756 --> 11:16:13,200 Real examples of how the network 13317 11:16:09,680 --> 11:16:16,800 compounds. Reed Hoffman introduces Theel 13318 11:16:13,200 --> 11:16:20,800 to Mark Zuckerberg in 2004. 13319 11:16:16,800 --> 11:16:24,480 Theel invests $500,000 in Facebook, 13320 11:16:20,800 --> 11:16:27,680 eventually makes over $1 billion. 13321 11:16:24,480 --> 11:16:29,840 Roloff Botha joins Sequoia Capital and 13322 11:16:27,680 --> 11:16:32,320 invests in multiple Theelbacked 13323 11:16:29,840 --> 11:16:33,916 companies, creating reciprocal deal 13324 11:16:32,320 --> 11:16:36,480 flows. 13325 11:16:33,916 --> 11:16:39,436 David Saxs hosts high dollar fundraisers 13326 11:16:36,480 --> 11:16:43,720 for Theo's political candidates, mixing 13327 11:16:39,436 --> 11:16:43,720 business and politics seamlessly. 13328 11:16:43,840 --> 11:16:50,000 Max Levchim provides seed capital for 13329 11:16:46,480 --> 11:16:52,000 Palanteer and serves as advisor lending 13330 11:16:50,000 --> 11:16:54,240 credibility. 13331 11:16:52,000 --> 11:16:58,240 This network effect multiplier is 13332 11:16:54,240 --> 11:17:01,756 precisely how Theel turned $55 million 13333 11:16:58,240 --> 11:17:03,756 from PayPal into over $5 billion in net 13334 11:17:01,756 --> 11:17:07,116 worth today. 13335 11:17:03,756 --> 11:17:09,596 The PayPal mafia is not a cute nickname. 13336 11:17:07,116 --> 11:17:12,160 It is not a metaphor. It is the most 13337 11:17:09,596 --> 11:17:14,480 successful organized business cartel in 13338 11:17:12,160 --> 11:17:17,200 Silicon Valley history. 13339 11:17:14,480 --> 11:17:19,520 A self-reinforcing network of wealth, 13340 11:17:17,200 --> 11:17:21,840 power, and influence that has shaped the 13341 11:17:19,520 --> 11:17:25,040 entire technology industry for two 13342 11:17:21,840 --> 11:17:30,116 decades. And Peter Theal sits at the 13343 11:17:25,040 --> 11:17:30,116 center of it all. The Godfather. 13344 11:17:35,436 --> 11:17:40,640 After PayPal, Peter Theel was a man with 13345 11:17:38,400 --> 11:17:43,840 a billion dollars and a dangerous 13346 11:17:40,640 --> 11:17:45,596 secret. While other investors were 13347 11:17:43,840 --> 11:17:48,320 looking at spreadsheets and profit 13348 11:17:45,596 --> 11:17:50,640 margins, Theel was looking at the human 13349 11:17:48,320 --> 11:17:52,640 soul through the eyes of his mentor, 13350 11:17:50,640 --> 11:17:55,916 Renee Gerard. 13351 11:17:52,640 --> 11:17:59,360 Gerard taught him a terrifying truth. 13352 11:17:55,916 --> 11:18:02,480 Human beings don't know what they want. 13353 11:17:59,360 --> 11:18:05,200 We are mimemetic creatures. We don't 13354 11:18:02,480 --> 11:18:07,756 desire things for themselves. We desire 13355 11:18:05,200 --> 11:18:10,240 them because other people desire them. 13356 11:18:07,756 --> 11:18:13,200 We are copy machines disguised as 13357 11:18:10,240 --> 11:18:15,840 individuals. 13358 11:18:13,200 --> 11:18:18,560 August 2004. 13359 11:18:15,840 --> 11:18:21,840 Facebook has been online for exactly 6 13360 11:18:18,560 --> 11:18:24,320 months. It started as a Harvard dorm 13361 11:18:21,840 --> 11:18:27,200 project and has now expanded to several 13362 11:18:24,320 --> 11:18:30,480 college campuses. 13363 11:18:27,200 --> 11:18:34,320 The metrics that Zuckerberg shows Theel 13364 11:18:30,480 --> 11:18:37,680 total registered users 200,000 13365 11:18:34,320 --> 11:18:41,276 almost entirely college students 13366 11:18:37,680 --> 11:18:42,880 daily active user rate 70 to 80% 13367 11:18:41,276 --> 11:18:47,680 engagement 13368 11:18:42,880 --> 11:18:50,560 unprecedented in web services revenue $0 13369 11:18:47,680 --> 11:18:54,640 no business model yet valuation 13370 11:18:50,560 --> 11:18:56,560 Zuckerberg is asking for $5 million 13371 11:18:54,640 --> 11:18:59,116 every single professional venture 13372 11:18:56,560 --> 11:19:01,916 capitalist in Silicon Valley has passed 13373 11:18:59,116 --> 11:19:05,040 on Facebook. Every major firm has looked 13374 11:19:01,916 --> 11:19:08,400 into it and said no. The reasons they 13375 11:19:05,040 --> 11:19:12,080 gave it is just a college directory. 13376 11:19:08,400 --> 11:19:14,320 Limited market. Fster has already 5 13377 11:19:12,080 --> 11:19:17,360 million users and is the leader in 13378 11:19:14,320 --> 11:19:20,480 social networking. MySpace is dominant 13379 11:19:17,360 --> 11:19:22,880 with 8 million users and growing fast. 13380 11:19:20,480 --> 11:19:26,320 There is no obvious business model or 13381 11:19:22,880 --> 11:19:29,596 revenue stream. Mark Zuckerberg is too 13382 11:19:26,320 --> 11:19:32,080 young, too inexperienced, too risky as a 13383 11:19:29,596 --> 11:19:34,400 founder. 13384 11:19:32,080 --> 11:19:36,960 Peter Theel saw something completely 13385 11:19:34,400 --> 11:19:39,116 different, something that had nothing to 13386 11:19:36,960 --> 11:19:41,520 do with technology. 13387 11:19:39,116 --> 11:19:44,560 Theel had spent years studying Renee 13388 11:19:41,520 --> 11:19:46,560 Gerard's mimemetic theory, the 13389 11:19:44,560 --> 11:19:49,916 philosophical framework that would shape 13390 11:19:46,560 --> 11:19:52,960 his entire investment approach. The core 13391 11:19:49,916 --> 11:19:54,240 idea, humans do not have original 13392 11:19:52,960 --> 11:19:57,680 desires. 13393 11:19:54,240 --> 11:20:00,000 We desire what other people desire. We 13394 11:19:57,680 --> 11:20:04,640 learn what to want by watching other 13395 11:20:00,000 --> 11:20:09,040 people want. Desire is imitative. Desire 13396 11:20:04,640 --> 11:20:11,200 is social. Desire is mimemetic. 13397 11:20:09,040 --> 11:20:13,200 When Theel looked at Facebook, he did 13398 11:20:11,200 --> 11:20:16,000 not see a technology platform for 13399 11:20:13,200 --> 11:20:18,400 connecting friends. He saw something far 13400 11:20:16,000 --> 11:20:21,596 more powerful. He saw the perfect 13401 11:20:18,400 --> 11:20:24,640 mimemetic desire machine. The insight 13402 11:20:21,596 --> 11:20:26,640 that made Theel invest. Social networks 13403 11:20:24,640 --> 11:20:29,680 do not create value by connecting 13404 11:20:26,640 --> 11:20:32,720 people. That is not where the money is. 13405 11:20:29,680 --> 11:20:34,960 The money is in comparison. The money is 13406 11:20:32,720 --> 11:20:37,276 in making people compare themselves to 13407 11:20:34,960 --> 11:20:40,000 each other constantly. 13408 11:20:37,276 --> 11:20:42,800 You see your friend's vacation photos, 13409 11:20:40,000 --> 11:20:45,116 you want a better vacation. You see 13410 11:20:42,800 --> 11:20:47,756 someone's job promotion announcement, 13411 11:20:45,116 --> 11:20:50,400 you want higher status. You see 13412 11:20:47,756 --> 11:20:53,040 someone's relationship photos, you want 13413 11:20:50,400 --> 11:20:54,880 romance. 13414 11:20:53,040 --> 11:20:58,160 You see someone getting likes and 13415 11:20:54,880 --> 11:21:01,040 comments, you want validation. 13416 11:20:58,160 --> 11:21:04,400 You see someone's perfect life, you feel 13417 11:21:01,040 --> 11:21:07,200 your own life is inadequate. 13418 11:21:04,400 --> 11:21:10,720 Facebook was not selling connections. 13419 11:21:07,200 --> 11:21:13,116 Facebook was selling envy. And envy, 13420 11:21:10,720 --> 11:21:15,596 Theel understood from Gerard, is the 13421 11:21:13,116 --> 11:21:16,880 most powerful economic force in human 13422 11:21:15,596 --> 11:21:20,080 history. 13423 11:21:16,880 --> 11:21:22,880 The desire for what others have. They 13424 11:21:20,080 --> 11:21:26,160 need to keep up. The fear of being left 13425 11:21:22,880 --> 11:21:29,596 behind. Infinite envy creates infinite 13426 11:21:26,160 --> 11:21:31,916 demand. Infinite demand creates infinite 13427 11:21:29,596 --> 11:21:34,400 value. 13428 11:21:31,916 --> 11:21:38,320 September 2004. 13429 11:21:34,400 --> 11:21:40,240 Peter Theal wires $500,000 to Facebook 13430 11:21:38,320 --> 11:21:44,480 incororated. 13431 11:21:40,240 --> 11:21:47,360 The deal terms 10.2% equity ownership in 13432 11:21:44,480 --> 11:21:49,116 the company. A board seat giving him 13433 11:21:47,360 --> 11:21:50,800 governance rights and inside 13434 11:21:49,116 --> 11:21:53,680 information. 13435 11:21:50,800 --> 11:21:57,040 Right of first refusal on all future 13436 11:21:53,680 --> 11:21:59,840 funding rounds. Post money valuation of 13437 11:21:57,040 --> 11:22:01,916 exactly $5 million. 13438 11:21:59,840 --> 11:22:05,200 Mark Zuckerberg's reaction after the 13439 11:22:01,916 --> 11:22:08,160 deal closed. This guy actually gets it. 13440 11:22:05,200 --> 11:22:11,200 He understands what we are building. 13441 11:22:08,160 --> 11:22:13,116 Silicon Valley's reaction. Peter Theal 13442 11:22:11,200 --> 11:22:16,160 just threw away half a million dollars 13443 11:22:13,116 --> 11:22:18,720 on a college kid's website. This will be 13444 11:22:16,160 --> 11:22:21,040 his biggest failure. 13445 11:22:18,720 --> 11:22:26,240 What happened next rewrote the history 13446 11:22:21,040 --> 11:22:30,880 of venture capital. 2004 end of year. 13447 11:22:26,240 --> 11:22:34,960 200,000 users grew to 1 million users. 13448 11:22:30,880 --> 11:22:38,480 Five times growth in 4 months. 2005 13449 11:22:34,960 --> 11:22:44,080 1 million users becomes 5.5 million 13450 11:22:38,480 --> 11:22:48,960 users. 2006 5.5 million users becomes 12 13451 11:22:44,080 --> 11:22:53,756 million users. 2007 12 million users 13452 11:22:48,960 --> 11:22:56,640 exploded to 50 million users. 2008 50 13453 11:22:53,756 --> 11:22:58,480 million users doubles to 100 million 13454 11:22:56,640 --> 11:23:00,000 users. 13455 11:22:58,480 --> 11:23:03,596 2009 13456 11:23:00,000 --> 11:23:06,960 100 million users becomes 350 million 13457 11:23:03,596 --> 11:23:10,080 users. growth rate. The user base was 13458 11:23:06,960 --> 11:23:12,480 doubling every 6 to9 months for five 13459 11:23:10,080 --> 11:23:15,040 consecutive years. 13460 11:23:12,480 --> 11:23:17,756 This growth curve had never been seen 13461 11:23:15,040 --> 11:23:21,276 before in business history. Not even 13462 11:23:17,756 --> 11:23:23,756 close. As Facebook grew, its valuation 13463 11:23:21,276 --> 11:23:26,080 grew and Peter Theel's stake grew with 13464 11:23:23,756 --> 11:23:28,240 it. 13465 11:23:26,080 --> 11:23:32,000 May 2005, 13466 11:23:28,240 --> 11:23:34,880 Axel Partners invests $12.7 million at 13467 11:23:32,000 --> 11:23:38,640 $100 million valuation. 13468 11:23:34,880 --> 11:23:42,160 Field's 10.2% stake is now worth $10.2 13469 11:23:38,640 --> 11:23:44,800 million. He has achieved 20 times return 13470 11:23:42,160 --> 11:23:48,320 in 9 months. 13471 11:23:44,800 --> 11:23:52,640 April 2006, Greylock Partners and 13472 11:23:48,320 --> 11:23:55,360 Meritech Capital invest $27.5 million at 13473 11:23:52,640 --> 11:23:58,800 $500 million valuation. 13474 11:23:55,360 --> 11:24:01,116 Theel stake is now worth $51 million, 13475 11:23:58,800 --> 11:24:02,800 100 times return on his original 13476 11:24:01,116 --> 11:24:05,276 investment. 13477 11:24:02,800 --> 11:24:09,840 October 2007, 13478 11:24:05,276 --> 11:24:13,520 Microsoft invests $240 million, valuing 13479 11:24:09,840 --> 11:24:17,916 Facebook at $15 billion. 13480 11:24:13,520 --> 11:24:22,480 The stake is now worth $1.5 billion, a 13481 11:24:17,916 --> 11:24:25,436 300,000 times return in 3 years. 13482 11:24:22,480 --> 11:24:27,840 2009 through 2011. 13483 11:24:25,436 --> 11:24:30,960 Multiple private sales and secondary 13484 11:24:27,840 --> 11:24:32,800 transactions value Facebook at $50 13485 11:24:30,960 --> 11:24:35,756 billion. 13486 11:24:32,800 --> 11:24:39,200 The stake, if he had held everything, 13487 11:24:35,756 --> 11:24:42,560 would be worth $5 billion. 13488 11:24:39,200 --> 11:24:44,960 May 18th, 2012, 13489 11:24:42,560 --> 11:24:49,840 Facebook goes public at a market 13490 11:24:44,960 --> 11:24:52,480 capitalization of $14 billion. 13491 11:24:49,840 --> 11:24:55,680 But Theel does not hold everything. He 13492 11:24:52,480 --> 11:24:58,960 is strategic. He is tactical. He takes 13493 11:24:55,680 --> 11:25:02,960 profits. At the initial public offering, 13494 11:24:58,960 --> 11:25:04,720 Theel sells $640 million worth of shares 13495 11:25:02,960 --> 11:25:07,040 immediately. 13496 11:25:04,720 --> 11:25:09,200 Over the following 6 months, he sells 13497 11:25:07,040 --> 11:25:11,520 the remainder of his stake in carefully 13498 11:25:09,200 --> 11:25:13,756 timed transactions. 13499 11:25:11,520 --> 11:25:18,400 Total cash realized from the Facebook 13500 11:25:13,756 --> 11:25:21,680 investment approximately $1 billion. 13501 11:25:18,400 --> 11:25:23,680 Initial investment in August 2004, 13502 11:25:21,680 --> 11:25:27,756 $500,000. 13503 11:25:23,680 --> 11:25:29,520 Total cash realized by end of 2012, $1 13504 11:25:27,756 --> 11:25:34,320 billion. 13505 11:25:29,520 --> 11:25:36,160 Total return, 2,000 times in 8 years. 13506 11:25:34,320 --> 11:25:39,116 This is the single greatest venture 13507 11:25:36,160 --> 11:25:42,240 capital return in recorded history. 13508 11:25:39,116 --> 11:25:45,520 Nothing else comes close. But here is 13509 11:25:42,240 --> 11:25:48,400 the twist. The haunting decision that 13510 11:25:45,520 --> 11:25:52,000 Theel himself admits keeps him awake at 13511 11:25:48,400 --> 11:25:55,916 night. Selling was a mistake. 13512 11:25:52,000 --> 11:25:58,800 If Peter The had held his original 10.2% 13513 11:25:55,916 --> 11:26:01,200 stake and had never sold a single share, 13514 11:25:58,800 --> 11:26:04,640 that stake at Facebook's peak market 13515 11:26:01,200 --> 11:26:08,160 capitalization in 2021 would have been 13516 11:26:04,640 --> 11:26:11,360 worth 102 billion. 13517 11:26:08,160 --> 11:26:14,400 $12 billion. 13518 11:26:11,360 --> 11:26:16,560 He left $100 billion on the table by 13519 11:26:14,400 --> 11:26:18,800 selling early. 13520 11:26:16,560 --> 11:26:21,116 The himself admitted this publicly 13521 11:26:18,800 --> 11:26:24,000 saying, "The mistake was not investing 13522 11:26:21,116 --> 11:26:25,596 in Facebook. The mistake was selling 13523 11:26:24,000 --> 11:26:28,320 Facebook. 13524 11:26:25,596 --> 11:26:30,880 I should have held longer. I should have 13525 11:26:28,320 --> 11:26:35,436 believed more. It is the single most 13526 11:26:30,880 --> 11:26:37,916 expensive decision of his life." Years 13527 11:26:35,436 --> 11:26:40,960 later in a Stanford lecture, Theel 13528 11:26:37,916 --> 11:26:44,480 explained his actual investment thesis, 13529 11:26:40,960 --> 11:26:46,400 the real reason he invested. I did not 13530 11:26:44,480 --> 11:26:49,200 invest in Facebook because I thought 13531 11:26:46,400 --> 11:26:50,960 social networks were going to be big. I 13532 11:26:49,200 --> 11:26:53,360 invested because I understood that 13533 11:26:50,960 --> 11:26:57,116 humans will always want to be more like 13534 11:26:53,360 --> 11:27:00,960 their peers. That desire is infinite. It 13535 11:26:57,116 --> 11:27:03,520 never stops. It only intensifies. 13536 11:27:00,960 --> 11:27:07,116 An infinite desire creates infinite 13537 11:27:03,520 --> 11:27:08,640 value. The mimemetic theory made him a 13538 11:27:07,116 --> 11:27:10,880 billionaire. 13539 11:27:08,640 --> 11:27:14,480 The mimemetic theory also made him 13540 11:27:10,880 --> 11:27:17,840 terrified of what he had helped create. 13541 11:27:14,480 --> 11:27:20,320 A machine that weaponizes human envy. A 13542 11:27:17,840 --> 11:27:22,240 system that profits from making people 13543 11:27:20,320 --> 11:27:24,880 feel inadequate. 13544 11:27:22,240 --> 11:27:27,436 An algorithm that amplifies the worst 13545 11:27:24,880 --> 11:27:29,680 aspects of human nature. 13546 11:27:27,436 --> 11:27:32,560 Peter Theal helped build the most 13547 11:27:29,680 --> 11:27:36,080 powerful behavior modification system in 13548 11:27:32,560 --> 11:27:39,960 human history. And then he cashed out 13549 11:27:36,080 --> 11:27:39,960 for a billion dollars. 13550 11:27:46,320 --> 11:27:54,160 2003 Peter Theel has a problem. It is 13551 11:27:50,960 --> 11:27:57,276 the CIA's problem, but they think the 13552 11:27:54,160 --> 11:28:00,080 can solve it. His PayPal anti-fraud 13553 11:27:57,276 --> 11:28:02,400 algorithms have become so sophisticated 13554 11:28:00,080 --> 11:28:04,720 at detecting patterns in financial 13555 11:28:02,400 --> 11:28:06,960 transactions at finding terrorists 13556 11:28:04,720 --> 11:28:10,720 trying to move money through banking 13557 11:28:06,960 --> 11:28:14,640 systems that the CIA venture capital arm 13558 11:28:10,720 --> 11:28:17,520 in QEL requested a meeting. The pitch 13559 11:28:14,640 --> 11:28:20,240 from the CIA, can you build what you 13560 11:28:17,520 --> 11:28:23,200 built for PayPal but for national 13561 11:28:20,240 --> 11:28:25,916 security? Can you find terrorists the 13562 11:28:23,200 --> 11:28:27,840 way you found fraudsters? 13563 11:28:25,916 --> 11:28:30,240 May 2003, 13564 11:28:27,840 --> 11:28:32,640 Peter Theel co-founds Palunteer 13565 11:28:30,240 --> 11:28:34,240 Technologies with an unusual group of 13566 11:28:32,640 --> 11:28:37,200 co-founders. 13567 11:28:34,240 --> 11:28:40,640 The founding team, Alex Karp, chief 13568 11:28:37,200 --> 11:28:43,040 executive officer, Stanford Law Degree, 13569 11:28:40,640 --> 11:28:45,680 philosophy, PhD from Frankfurt 13570 11:28:43,040 --> 11:28:48,320 University in Germany, former human 13571 11:28:45,680 --> 11:28:51,840 rights lawyer who once worked on refugee 13572 11:28:48,320 --> 11:28:53,756 cases. an extremely odd choice to run a 13573 11:28:51,840 --> 11:28:55,680 company that will become the most 13574 11:28:53,756 --> 11:28:58,000 powerful surveillance technology 13575 11:28:55,680 --> 11:29:00,560 provider on Earth. 13576 11:28:58,000 --> 11:29:03,680 Nathan Gettings, chief technology 13577 11:29:00,560 --> 11:29:06,640 officer. PayPal's lead security 13578 11:29:03,680 --> 11:29:09,596 engineer. Brilliant programmer. Joe 13579 11:29:06,640 --> 11:29:12,560 Lndale, a Stamford undergraduate 13580 11:29:09,596 --> 11:29:16,160 student, barely 20 years old, one of the 13581 11:29:12,560 --> 11:29:19,276 first Theel fellows. Steven Cohen, 13582 11:29:16,160 --> 11:29:21,116 PayPal's chief security architect. the 13583 11:29:19,276 --> 11:29:24,080 person who actually built the fraud 13584 11:29:21,116 --> 11:29:25,840 detection algorithms. Initial funding, 13585 11:29:24,080 --> 11:29:28,000 $2 million, 13586 11:29:25,840 --> 11:29:31,596 entirely from Peter Theel's personal 13587 11:29:28,000 --> 11:29:33,756 capital. No outside investors yet. This 13588 11:29:31,596 --> 11:29:36,400 is his project. 13589 11:29:33,756 --> 11:29:38,960 The mission statement, build software 13590 11:29:36,400 --> 11:29:41,520 that can find patterns in massive data 13591 11:29:38,960 --> 11:29:43,596 sets from disperate, incompatible 13592 11:29:41,520 --> 11:29:46,640 sources. 13593 11:29:43,596 --> 11:29:48,960 The kind of data that if intelligency 13594 11:29:46,640 --> 11:29:51,916 agencies had been able to analyze it 13595 11:29:48,960 --> 11:29:54,880 properly could have prevented September 13596 11:29:51,916 --> 11:29:58,480 11th, 2001. 13597 11:29:54,880 --> 11:30:00,880 The company name Palunteer named after 13598 11:29:58,480 --> 11:30:02,880 the seeing stones in Lord of the Rings, 13599 11:30:00,880 --> 11:30:05,040 the magical orbs that allow their 13600 11:30:02,880 --> 11:30:08,000 possessors to see anything happening 13601 11:30:05,040 --> 11:30:11,436 anywhere in Middle Earth. Even the name 13602 11:30:08,000 --> 11:30:12,960 revealed the ambition total information 13603 11:30:11,436 --> 11:30:17,800 awareness. 13604 11:30:12,960 --> 11:30:17,800 the ability to see everything. 13605 11:30:18,000 --> 11:30:23,116 2005, 13606 11:30:19,520 --> 11:30:26,000 the CIA's venture capital arm in CQEL 13607 11:30:23,116 --> 11:30:28,880 invest $2 million in Palanteer's series 13608 11:30:26,000 --> 11:30:31,596 A funding round. This was not just 13609 11:30:28,880 --> 11:30:34,320 money. This was validation from the 13610 11:30:31,596 --> 11:30:36,800 intelligence community, a stamp of 13611 11:30:34,320 --> 11:30:39,276 approval from the most secretive, most 13612 11:30:36,800 --> 11:30:40,880 paranoid organization in the US 13613 11:30:39,276 --> 11:30:44,720 government. 13614 11:30:40,880 --> 11:30:46,800 Initial contract value undisclosed. 13615 11:30:44,720 --> 11:30:50,160 Government intelligence contracts are 13616 11:30:46,800 --> 11:30:52,880 classified by law, but industry analysts 13617 11:30:50,160 --> 11:30:56,320 estimate the first CIA contracts were 13618 11:30:52,880 --> 11:30:59,520 worth 5 to 10 million annually. 13619 11:30:56,320 --> 11:31:02,720 The product was called Palunteer Gotham. 13620 11:30:59,520 --> 11:31:05,840 The name itself was significant. Gotham, 13621 11:31:02,720 --> 11:31:08,080 the dark city that needs Batman. The 13622 11:31:05,840 --> 11:31:11,596 city that needs surveillance to fight 13623 11:31:08,080 --> 11:31:13,596 crime. core technical capabilities. 13624 11:31:11,596 --> 11:31:16,320 Integrate data from dozens of 13625 11:31:13,596 --> 11:31:18,320 incompatible government databases that 13626 11:31:16,320 --> 11:31:21,040 were never designed to communicate with 13627 11:31:18,320 --> 11:31:23,680 each other. From hidden connections 13628 11:31:21,040 --> 11:31:27,596 between people, places, financial 13629 11:31:23,680 --> 11:31:30,240 transactions, communications metadata, 13630 11:31:27,596 --> 11:31:32,480 visualize networks of relationships in 13631 11:31:30,240 --> 11:31:34,560 ways human analysts could understand 13632 11:31:32,480 --> 11:31:36,880 intuitively. 13633 11:31:34,560 --> 11:31:39,116 Predict future behavior and likely 13634 11:31:36,880 --> 11:31:42,080 attack patterns based on historical 13635 11:31:39,116 --> 11:31:44,960 data. Specific use cases for 13636 11:31:42,080 --> 11:31:47,916 intelligence agencies. Track terrorist 13637 11:31:44,960 --> 11:31:49,916 cells across multiple countries. Map 13638 11:31:47,916 --> 11:31:52,080 drug trafficking routes from production 13639 11:31:49,916 --> 11:31:54,240 to distribution. 13640 11:31:52,080 --> 11:31:57,200 Identify money laundering networks 13641 11:31:54,240 --> 11:31:59,680 moving funds for organized crime. 13642 11:31:57,200 --> 11:32:01,916 Predict insurgent attacks in Iraq and 13643 11:31:59,680 --> 11:32:05,520 Afghanistan based on pattern 13644 11:32:01,916 --> 11:32:09,276 recognition. It worked. The software 13645 11:32:05,520 --> 11:32:12,400 actually worked. By 2006, Palanteer 13646 11:32:09,276 --> 11:32:15,360 software was being actively used in Iraq 13647 11:32:12,400 --> 11:32:18,960 for counterinsurgency operations and in 13648 11:32:15,360 --> 11:32:21,200 IED attack prediction. 13649 11:32:18,960 --> 11:32:24,160 Afghanistan for predicting Taliban 13650 11:32:21,200 --> 11:32:27,840 leadership networks. Langley, Virginia 13651 11:32:24,160 --> 11:32:30,560 at CIA headquarters for threat analysis. 13652 11:32:27,840 --> 11:32:34,756 FBI field officers nationwide for 13653 11:32:30,560 --> 11:32:34,756 domestic terrorism investigation. 13654 11:32:34,800 --> 11:32:40,960 Early revenue growth told the story of 13655 11:32:36,960 --> 11:32:43,756 Palunteers expanding reach. 2005 13656 11:32:40,960 --> 11:32:50,080 $3 million in revenue. Government 13657 11:32:43,756 --> 11:32:55,520 contracts only. 2006 $10 million. 2007 13658 11:32:50,080 --> 11:33:00,160 $25 million. 2008 $50 million. First 13659 11:32:55,520 --> 11:33:06,640 commercial clients added 2010 $150 13660 11:33:00,160 --> 11:33:08,400 million. 2012 $400 million. By 2012, 13661 11:33:06,640 --> 11:33:10,560 Palanteer had achieved something 13662 11:33:08,400 --> 11:33:14,240 extremely rare for a high- growth 13663 11:33:10,560 --> 11:33:16,480 technology company. Profitability. 13664 11:33:14,240 --> 11:33:19,436 They were actually making money, not 13665 11:33:16,480 --> 11:33:22,560 just burning venture capital. Customer 13666 11:33:19,436 --> 11:33:26,560 revenue breakdown in 2012. 13667 11:33:22,560 --> 11:33:29,116 Government contracts, 60% of revenue, 13668 11:33:26,560 --> 11:33:33,596 $240 million. 13669 11:33:29,116 --> 11:33:36,320 Commercial clients, 40% of revenue, $160 13670 11:33:33,596 --> 11:33:40,320 million. 13671 11:33:36,320 --> 11:33:42,640 May the 1st, 2011. Palanteer Software 13672 11:33:40,320 --> 11:33:45,916 plays a role in the operation that kills 13673 11:33:42,640 --> 11:33:48,160 Osama bin Laden. A role that remains 13674 11:33:45,916 --> 11:33:51,276 partially classified, but has been 13675 11:33:48,160 --> 11:33:54,080 confirmed by multiple sources. 13676 11:33:51,276 --> 11:33:56,400 How Palanteer contributed. Palanteer 13677 11:33:54,080 --> 11:33:58,800 Gotham integrated dozens of different 13678 11:33:56,400 --> 11:34:01,200 intelligence sources. 13679 11:33:58,800 --> 11:34:04,400 CIA human intelligence on career 13680 11:34:01,200 --> 11:34:06,960 networks. NSA signal intelligence 13681 11:34:04,400 --> 11:34:09,840 including phone metadata and email 13682 11:34:06,960 --> 11:34:12,960 communications patterns. 13683 11:34:09,840 --> 11:34:15,840 National Geospatial Intelligence Agency 13684 11:34:12,960 --> 11:34:17,360 satellite imagery of potential compound 13685 11:34:15,840 --> 11:34:19,840 locations. 13686 11:34:17,360 --> 11:34:21,840 historical pattern analysis of previous 13687 11:34:19,840 --> 11:34:24,640 highv value target operations in 13688 11:34:21,840 --> 11:34:26,720 Pakistan. 13689 11:34:24,640 --> 11:34:29,040 The system identified patterns and 13690 11:34:26,720 --> 11:34:31,520 connections that human analysts working 13691 11:34:29,040 --> 11:34:34,720 with separate databases that did not 13692 11:34:31,520 --> 11:34:36,960 communicate had missed. It narrowed the 13693 11:34:34,720 --> 11:34:41,436 search area and helped confirm the 13694 11:34:36,960 --> 11:34:43,520 identity of the Abotabad compound. 13695 11:34:41,436 --> 11:34:45,916 When asked about Palanteer's role in the 13696 11:34:43,520 --> 11:34:49,040 bin Laden operation, Theel gave 13697 11:34:45,916 --> 11:34:51,360 carefully worded response. I cannot 13698 11:34:49,040 --> 11:34:53,916 comment on specific operations or 13699 11:34:51,360 --> 11:34:58,080 specific clients due to classification 13700 11:34:53,916 --> 11:35:00,480 requirements, but I will say this. Tools 13701 11:34:58,080 --> 11:35:02,640 that help protect American lives and 13702 11:35:00,480 --> 11:35:08,000 help intelligence professionals do their 13703 11:35:02,640 --> 11:35:10,240 jobs better. That is our mission. 13704 11:35:08,000 --> 11:35:13,200 This single operation, this single 13705 11:35:10,240 --> 11:35:15,200 success legitimized Palanteer's entire 13706 11:35:13,200 --> 11:35:17,596 value proposition to the national 13707 11:35:15,200 --> 11:35:20,480 security establishment. 13708 11:35:17,596 --> 11:35:22,960 After bin Laden, the contracts poured 13709 11:35:20,480 --> 11:35:25,680 in. 13710 11:35:22,960 --> 11:35:28,640 After the bin Laden success, Palanteer's 13711 11:35:25,680 --> 11:35:33,200 government business exploded. Revenue 13712 11:35:28,640 --> 11:35:38,480 growth from 2012 to 2015. 13713 11:35:33,200 --> 11:35:41,916 2012, $400 million in revenue. 2013, 13714 11:35:38,480 --> 11:35:47,360 $600 million. 2014, 13715 11:35:41,916 --> 11:35:50,400 $900 million. 2015, $1.5 billion in 13716 11:35:47,360 --> 11:35:53,400 revenue. Major new contracts announced 13717 11:35:50,400 --> 11:35:53,400 publicly. 13718 11:35:54,800 --> 11:36:02,240 US Department of Defense, $222 million 13719 11:35:59,360 --> 11:36:04,080 for a 3-year data integration platform 13720 11:36:02,240 --> 11:36:08,080 contract. 13721 11:36:04,080 --> 11:36:11,200 US Army, $800 million for comprehensive 13722 11:36:08,080 --> 11:36:13,360 data platform modernization across all 13723 11:36:11,200 --> 11:36:17,520 army systems, 13724 11:36:13,360 --> 11:36:20,160 US Special Operations Command, $444 13725 11:36:17,520 --> 11:36:21,916 million for targeting and intelligence 13726 11:36:20,160 --> 11:36:25,436 fusion, 13727 11:36:21,916 --> 11:36:27,756 Department of Homeland Security, $240 13728 11:36:25,436 --> 11:36:30,880 million for border security and 13729 11:36:27,756 --> 11:36:33,276 immigration enforcement systems. 13730 11:36:30,880 --> 11:36:35,916 Palanteer had become the single most 13731 11:36:33,276 --> 11:36:37,756 important software company in the entire 13732 11:36:35,916 --> 11:36:39,360 US defense and intelligence 13733 11:36:37,756 --> 11:36:41,596 establishment, 13734 11:36:39,360 --> 11:36:44,800 more important than traditional defense 13735 11:36:41,596 --> 11:36:46,800 contractors, more embedded in classified 13736 11:36:44,800 --> 11:36:49,436 operations. 13737 11:36:46,800 --> 11:36:51,436 Simultaneously, Palanteer launched a 13738 11:36:49,436 --> 11:36:54,800 commercial product called Palunteer 13739 11:36:51,436 --> 11:36:57,840 Foundry for private sector clients. The 13740 11:36:54,800 --> 11:37:00,000 sales pitch to corporate America. Your 13741 11:36:57,840 --> 11:37:03,756 company has exactly the same problem as 13742 11:37:00,000 --> 11:37:06,320 the CIA. Too much data, too many 13743 11:37:03,756 --> 11:37:08,720 incompatible systems, not enough 13744 11:37:06,320 --> 11:37:11,360 insight. We can help you find the 13745 11:37:08,720 --> 11:37:13,520 patterns you are missing. Major 13746 11:37:11,360 --> 11:37:17,040 commercial clients and estimated 13747 11:37:13,520 --> 11:37:21,916 contract values. 13748 11:37:17,040 --> 11:37:23,680 JP Morgan Chase over $100 million fraud 13749 11:37:21,916 --> 11:37:27,040 detection and financial crime 13750 11:37:23,680 --> 11:37:29,916 prevention. Morgan Stanley over $50 13751 11:37:27,040 --> 11:37:34,720 million risk management and regulatory 13752 11:37:29,916 --> 11:37:36,880 compliance. Airbus over $75 million 13753 11:37:34,720 --> 11:37:39,596 supply chain optimization and 13754 11:37:36,880 --> 11:37:43,756 manufacturing analytics. 13755 11:37:39,596 --> 11:37:46,400 Merc Pharmaceuticals over $60 million 13756 11:37:43,756 --> 11:37:49,276 drug discovery analytics and clinical 13757 11:37:46,400 --> 11:37:53,840 trial data integration. 13758 11:37:49,276 --> 11:37:57,680 BP over $80 million oil field production 13759 11:37:53,840 --> 11:38:00,960 optimization and predictive maintenance. 13760 11:37:57,680 --> 11:38:02,800 Commercial revenue growth from 2015 to 13761 11:38:00,960 --> 11:38:06,080 2020. 13762 11:38:02,800 --> 11:38:09,756 In 2015, they got $600 million 13763 11:38:06,080 --> 11:38:14,240 commercial revenue. By 2016, the number 13764 11:38:09,756 --> 11:38:16,880 was around $800 billion. In 2017, they 13765 11:38:14,240 --> 11:38:20,320 reached $1.1 billion in commercial 13766 11:38:16,880 --> 11:38:24,240 revenue, and it became their peak year. 13767 11:38:20,320 --> 11:38:26,560 2018 made them hit the $750 million 13768 11:38:24,240 --> 11:38:30,040 mark, a temporary decline due to 13769 11:38:26,560 --> 11:38:30,040 customer churn. 13770 11:38:30,080 --> 11:38:35,840 In 2019, revenue was around $745 13771 11:38:34,240 --> 11:38:39,756 million, 13772 11:38:35,840 --> 11:38:43,680 and by 2020, they reached $1.1 billion. 13773 11:38:39,756 --> 11:38:46,800 Again, this recovery was driven by COVID 13774 11:38:43,680 --> 11:38:48,960 analytics contracts. Palanteer had 13775 11:38:46,800 --> 11:38:52,320 created a business model with two 13776 11:38:48,960 --> 11:38:54,160 enormous locked in customer bases, the 13777 11:38:52,320 --> 11:38:58,360 US government and the largest 13778 11:38:54,160 --> 11:38:58,360 corporations in the world. 13779 11:39:00,000 --> 11:39:05,116 But Palanteer's work, especially for 13780 11:39:02,320 --> 11:39:08,480 government agencies, attracted intense 13781 11:39:05,116 --> 11:39:11,520 controversy and moral criticism. 13782 11:39:08,480 --> 11:39:15,596 In 2019, they secured a contract with 13783 11:39:11,520 --> 11:39:18,160 ICE for $49 million. The purpose of the 13784 11:39:15,596 --> 11:39:20,560 contract was enforcement and removal 13785 11:39:18,160 --> 11:39:23,436 operations systems, 13786 11:39:20,560 --> 11:39:25,916 meaning a software used to identify, 13787 11:39:23,436 --> 11:39:28,640 track, and process undocumented 13788 11:39:25,916 --> 11:39:30,880 immigrants for deportation. 13789 11:39:28,640 --> 11:39:33,596 This project came with a controversy 13790 11:39:30,880 --> 11:39:35,680 attached. The software was used during 13791 11:39:33,596 --> 11:39:38,480 the family separation policy at the 13792 11:39:35,680 --> 11:39:41,840 southern border. Children separated from 13793 11:39:38,480 --> 11:39:44,000 their parents. Families torn apart. 13794 11:39:41,840 --> 11:39:46,720 Palanteer software helped make it 13795 11:39:44,000 --> 11:39:49,276 operationally possible. Hundreds of 13796 11:39:46,720 --> 11:39:51,680 Palunteer employees signed an internal 13797 11:39:49,276 --> 11:39:54,800 letter demanding the company cancel the 13798 11:39:51,680 --> 11:39:57,116 ICE contract. 13799 11:39:54,800 --> 11:40:00,160 They argued the company was enabling 13800 11:39:57,116 --> 11:40:03,916 human rights abuses. The and Karp's 13801 11:40:00,160 --> 11:40:05,916 response, absolute refusal. The contract 13802 11:40:03,916 --> 11:40:08,480 would continue. 13803 11:40:05,916 --> 11:40:10,800 Alex Kart gave a public statement saying 13804 11:40:08,480 --> 11:40:14,320 that they had chosen sides and that the 13805 11:40:10,800 --> 11:40:16,800 company supported American institutions. 13806 11:40:14,320 --> 11:40:19,116 But this was not the only controversy 13807 11:40:16,800 --> 11:40:22,480 Palanteer has faced. 13808 11:40:19,116 --> 11:40:25,680 Palanteer worked alongside the NYPD with 13809 11:40:22,480 --> 11:40:30,640 a contract estimated between 50 and $100 13810 11:40:25,680 --> 11:40:32,960 billion. The mission predictive policy. 13811 11:40:30,640 --> 11:40:35,520 They were asked to use historical crime 13812 11:40:32,960 --> 11:40:38,480 data to predict where future crimes will 13813 11:40:35,520 --> 11:40:41,200 occur and who is likely to commit them. 13814 11:40:38,480 --> 11:40:44,000 The controversy civil rights groups 13815 11:40:41,200 --> 11:40:46,880 argued that system perpetuated racial 13816 11:40:44,000 --> 11:40:49,840 bias. Minority neighborhoods were 13817 11:40:46,880 --> 11:40:52,080 flagged as high risk. Innocent people 13818 11:40:49,840 --> 11:40:55,360 were put under surveillance based on 13819 11:40:52,080 --> 11:40:58,960 algorithmic predictions. 13820 11:40:55,360 --> 11:41:01,436 Joe Lndale, Palanteer co-founder, had 13821 11:40:58,960 --> 11:41:03,040 made a personal investment in Cambridge 13822 11:41:01,436 --> 11:41:05,436 Analytica. 13823 11:41:03,040 --> 11:41:07,840 Multiple Palanteer employees on their 13824 11:41:05,436 --> 11:41:12,360 own time helped Cambridge Analytica 13825 11:41:07,840 --> 11:41:12,360 build data integration models. 13826 11:41:12,480 --> 11:41:17,520 Both companies use similar approaches to 13827 11:41:15,200 --> 11:41:19,040 data harvesting and psychological 13828 11:41:17,520 --> 11:41:20,880 profiling. 13829 11:41:19,040 --> 11:41:23,756 When the connection was exposed by 13830 11:41:20,880 --> 11:41:26,800 journalists, Palanteer claimed there was 13831 11:41:23,756 --> 11:41:30,080 no institutional relationship, just 13832 11:41:26,800 --> 11:41:32,400 coincidental personal connections. 13833 11:41:30,080 --> 11:41:36,480 But the damage to Palanteer's reputation 13834 11:41:32,400 --> 11:41:38,880 was done. The had built the panoptagon, 13835 11:41:36,480 --> 11:41:41,360 the allseeing eye of corporate and 13836 11:41:38,880 --> 11:41:44,800 government surveillance. 13837 11:41:41,360 --> 11:41:48,000 September the 30th, 2020. 13838 11:41:44,800 --> 11:41:49,916 After 17 years as a private company, one 13839 11:41:48,000 --> 11:41:52,640 of the longest periods of private 13840 11:41:49,916 --> 11:41:55,596 operation for any major tech company, 13841 11:41:52,640 --> 11:41:58,640 Palanteer finally goes public through a 13842 11:41:55,596 --> 11:42:01,520 direct listing. 13843 11:41:58,640 --> 11:42:04,400 They went public at $10 per share and 13844 11:42:01,520 --> 11:42:08,080 their market capitalization at market 13845 11:42:04,400 --> 11:42:11,360 open was $16 billion. 13846 11:42:08,080 --> 11:42:13,200 By the first day, shares were down 5%. 13847 11:42:11,360 --> 11:42:14,800 The stock was initially a 13848 11:42:13,200 --> 11:42:16,880 disappointment. 13849 11:42:14,800 --> 11:42:18,880 Investors were skeptical of the business 13850 11:42:16,880 --> 11:42:21,520 model, worried about customer 13851 11:42:18,880 --> 11:42:23,596 concentration, concerned about the 13852 11:42:21,520 --> 11:42:26,720 controversy. 13853 11:42:23,596 --> 11:42:29,756 But then COVID 19 created massive new 13854 11:42:26,720 --> 11:42:33,680 demand for Palanteer's capabilities. 13855 11:42:29,756 --> 11:42:36,080 2020 to 2021, Palanteer wins enormous 13856 11:42:33,680 --> 11:42:39,200 pandemic related government contracts 13857 11:42:36,080 --> 11:42:41,360 with governments across the world. The 13858 11:42:39,200 --> 11:42:44,640 pandemic proved that governments needed 13859 11:42:41,360 --> 11:42:47,680 Palanteer and the market responded. 13860 11:42:44,640 --> 11:42:53,596 By late 2021, Palanteer stock had 13861 11:42:47,680 --> 11:42:56,080 exploded, $29 per share at 190% gain 13862 11:42:53,596 --> 11:42:57,756 from the direct listing price. Market 13863 11:42:56,080 --> 11:43:01,320 capitalization 13864 11:42:57,756 --> 11:43:01,320 $60 billion. 13865 11:43:02,480 --> 11:43:09,436 Peter Theal stake approximately 7% 13866 11:43:06,080 --> 11:43:12,240 ownership worth $4.2 billion at the 13867 11:43:09,436 --> 11:43:14,640 peak. 2022 13868 11:43:12,240 --> 11:43:18,080 the tech crash hits Palanteer brutally 13869 11:43:14,640 --> 11:43:22,160 hard. Stock prices crash to $6 per 13870 11:43:18,080 --> 11:43:25,840 share, down 8% from the peak. Market cap 13871 11:43:22,160 --> 11:43:27,916 collapses to $13 billion. 13872 11:43:25,840 --> 11:43:33,756 The paper wealth from Palanteer 13873 11:43:27,916 --> 11:43:37,116 evaporates. Billions gone. 2023 to 2024, 13874 11:43:33,756 --> 11:43:39,520 the AI boom creates new opportunity. 13875 11:43:37,116 --> 11:43:40,960 Palanteer markets itself as the AI 13876 11:43:39,520 --> 11:43:42,560 platform for governments and 13877 11:43:40,960 --> 11:43:45,436 enterprises. 13878 11:43:42,560 --> 11:43:50,160 And they get major new contract wins. 13879 11:43:45,436 --> 11:43:52,240 The US Army invested $463 million for AI 13880 11:43:50,160 --> 11:43:55,200 powered battlefield analytics and 13881 11:43:52,240 --> 11:43:57,680 decision support systems. 13882 11:43:55,200 --> 11:44:02,400 Palanteer stock recovered 13883 11:43:57,680 --> 11:44:05,040 25 to 30 per share by 2024. 13884 11:44:02,400 --> 11:44:08,000 As of 2024, Peter Theel's current 13885 11:44:05,040 --> 11:44:10,480 Palanteer holdings are approximately 7% 13886 11:44:08,000 --> 11:44:14,560 of all shares with a current value 13887 11:44:10,480 --> 11:44:19,160 ranging from 3.8 to $4.5 billion 13888 11:44:14,560 --> 11:44:19,160 depending on daily stock price. 13889 11:44:20,720 --> 11:44:27,360 This makes Palunteer Field's single 13890 11:44:23,916 --> 11:44:30,640 largest source of personal wealth. In 13891 11:44:27,360 --> 11:44:32,720 2024, Palanteer's financial performance 13892 11:44:30,640 --> 11:44:35,520 was divided between government and 13893 11:44:32,720 --> 11:44:40,320 commercial revenue. The company's net 13894 11:44:35,520 --> 11:44:42,160 income was $2.5 billion annually. And as 13895 11:44:40,320 --> 11:44:44,080 big as the number is, this might 13896 11:44:42,160 --> 11:44:46,560 represent a future problem for the 13897 11:44:44,080 --> 11:44:48,720 company. If government budget cuts 13898 11:44:46,560 --> 11:44:50,240 happen, Palanteer is extremely 13899 11:44:48,720 --> 11:44:52,480 vulnerable. 13900 11:44:50,240 --> 11:44:55,596 Their entire business model depends on 13901 11:44:52,480 --> 11:44:57,756 continued government spending. 13902 11:44:55,596 --> 11:44:59,276 Here is Peter Theel's fundamental 13903 11:44:57,756 --> 11:45:01,276 contradiction. 13904 11:44:59,276 --> 11:45:03,200 The paradox at the heart of everything 13905 11:45:01,276 --> 11:45:05,436 he has built. He claims to be a 13906 11:45:03,200 --> 11:45:08,720 libertarian who values individual 13907 11:45:05,436 --> 11:45:10,400 freedom above all else. A man who 13908 11:45:08,720 --> 11:45:12,800 believes government power should be 13909 11:45:10,400 --> 11:45:16,000 minimal. A man who wrote that freedom 13910 11:45:12,800 --> 11:45:18,560 and democracy are incompatible. 13911 11:45:16,000 --> 11:45:21,200 Yet he built the most powerful private 13912 11:45:18,560 --> 11:45:24,000 surveillance technology company in human 13913 11:45:21,200 --> 11:45:25,756 history. A company that gives 13914 11:45:24,000 --> 11:45:29,200 governments and corporations 13915 11:45:25,756 --> 11:45:32,480 unprecedented ability to monitor, track, 13916 11:45:29,200 --> 11:45:34,880 predict, and control human behavior. 13917 11:45:32,480 --> 11:45:37,840 Palanteer's technical capabilities 13918 11:45:34,880 --> 11:45:40,240 include realtime tracking of individuals 13919 11:45:37,840 --> 11:45:43,240 across multiple data sources and 13920 11:45:40,240 --> 11:45:43,240 databases. 13921 11:45:43,840 --> 11:45:48,480 Predictive behavioral modeling that 13922 11:45:46,480 --> 11:45:51,756 forecasts what people will do before 13923 11:45:48,480 --> 11:45:54,160 they do it. Network analysis that maps 13924 11:45:51,756 --> 11:45:57,596 every person you have ever contacted 13925 11:45:54,160 --> 11:46:00,320 through any medium. Complete integration 13926 11:45:57,596 --> 11:46:03,840 of financial records. communication 13927 11:46:00,320 --> 11:46:07,116 metadata, location history, and social 13928 11:46:03,840 --> 11:46:09,040 relationship data into a single unified 13929 11:46:07,116 --> 11:46:11,596 profile. 13930 11:46:09,040 --> 11:46:13,916 Field's defense of this contradiction 13931 11:46:11,596 --> 11:46:18,160 was explaining that the alternative to 13932 11:46:13,916 --> 11:46:20,720 Palanteer is not no surveillance. 13933 11:46:18,160 --> 11:46:22,960 The alternative is worse surveillance 13934 11:46:20,720 --> 11:46:25,916 performed by incompetent government 13935 11:46:22,960 --> 11:46:30,040 bureaucrats using decades old technology 13936 11:46:25,916 --> 11:46:30,040 that does not work properly. 13937 11:46:31,596 --> 11:46:38,080 The critics's response was obvious. They 13938 11:46:34,480 --> 11:46:42,240 told Theo he had built the panopticon, 13939 11:46:38,080 --> 11:46:44,320 the architecture of total surveillance. 13940 11:46:42,240 --> 11:46:46,640 A system allowing governments around the 13941 11:46:44,320 --> 11:46:49,520 world to use their citizens information 13942 11:46:46,640 --> 11:46:52,000 to control them, not a system to protect 13943 11:46:49,520 --> 11:46:54,400 them, said the critics. 13944 11:46:52,000 --> 11:46:57,200 Palanteer now operates in dozens of 13945 11:46:54,400 --> 11:47:00,080 countries worldwide. the United States, 13946 11:46:57,200 --> 11:47:02,960 the United Kingdom, Germany, France, 13947 11:47:00,080 --> 11:47:05,116 Australia, and even Japan. 13948 11:47:02,960 --> 11:47:08,160 The company has some controversial 13949 11:47:05,116 --> 11:47:11,116 international clients, some confirmed, 13950 11:47:08,160 --> 11:47:14,640 some alleged, but the total estimated 13951 11:47:11,116 --> 11:47:19,116 value of all global contracts lifetime, 13952 11:47:14,640 --> 11:47:21,916 over $10 billion in contract value. 13953 11:47:19,116 --> 11:47:25,040 Palanteer is Peter Theel's most 13954 11:47:21,916 --> 11:47:28,160 important company. Not because of its 13955 11:47:25,040 --> 11:47:30,560 valuation, though that is substantial. 13956 11:47:28,160 --> 11:47:34,240 Not because of its revenue, though that 13957 11:47:30,560 --> 11:47:36,560 is significant. Palanteer is important 13958 11:47:34,240 --> 11:47:39,520 because it reveals the truth about 13959 11:47:36,560 --> 11:47:42,160 Theo's worldview. It is the bridge 13960 11:47:39,520 --> 11:47:45,840 between his libertarian philosophy and 13961 11:47:42,160 --> 11:47:48,800 his authoritarian reality. He claims to 13962 11:47:45,840 --> 11:47:51,520 want freedom from government control. 13963 11:47:48,800 --> 11:47:53,680 But Palanteer gives governments 13964 11:47:51,520 --> 11:47:56,320 unprecedented control over their 13965 11:47:53,680 --> 11:47:59,360 citizens. The resolution of this 13966 11:47:56,320 --> 11:48:02,720 apparent contradiction, Peter Theel 13967 11:47:59,360 --> 11:48:06,800 believes in freedom for the elite and 13968 11:48:02,720 --> 11:48:09,040 surveillance for everyone else. 13969 11:48:06,800 --> 11:48:12,320 In his vision of the world, there are 13970 11:48:09,040 --> 11:48:14,480 rulers and there are the ruled. There 13971 11:48:12,320 --> 11:48:17,200 are the people who make the decisions 13972 11:48:14,480 --> 11:48:19,756 and the people who are managed. 13973 11:48:17,200 --> 11:48:23,116 Palanteer is the enforcement mechanism 13974 11:48:19,756 --> 11:48:26,400 for that hierarchy. The technology that 13975 11:48:23,116 --> 11:48:28,640 ensures the rulers can see everything. 13976 11:48:26,400 --> 11:48:31,680 The system that makes resistance 13977 11:48:28,640 --> 11:48:34,800 impossible because privacy no longer 13978 11:48:31,680 --> 11:48:38,080 exists. And Peter Theal sits at the 13979 11:48:34,800 --> 11:48:41,200 center of that eye, watching the world, 13980 11:48:38,080 --> 11:48:44,916 seeing everything. The architect of the 13981 11:48:41,200 --> 11:48:44,916 surveillance state. 13982 11:48:47,360 --> 11:48:53,116 In 2016, Peter Theal made an investment 13983 11:48:51,116 --> 11:48:56,480 that every other major technology 13984 11:48:53,116 --> 11:48:58,800 investor avoided. 13985 11:48:56,480 --> 11:49:01,040 While his peers in Silicon Valley were 13986 11:48:58,800 --> 11:49:04,800 contributing millions to the opposing 13987 11:49:01,040 --> 11:49:07,520 campaign, Theel wrote a check for $1.25 13988 11:49:04,800 --> 11:49:09,040 million to Donald Trump's presidential 13989 11:49:07,520 --> 11:49:12,000 campaign. 13990 11:49:09,040 --> 11:49:15,436 This was not ideology. This was 13991 11:49:12,000 --> 11:49:18,560 portfolio diversification. 13992 11:49:15,436 --> 11:49:23,200 Phil has always invested in contrarian 13993 11:49:18,560 --> 11:49:25,916 positions. When everyone zigs, he zags. 13994 11:49:23,200 --> 11:49:28,880 When consensus forms in one direction, 13995 11:49:25,916 --> 11:49:32,800 he looks for asymmetric opportunities in 13996 11:49:28,880 --> 11:49:35,360 the other. The 2006 donation gave him 13997 11:49:32,800 --> 11:49:38,640 something money usually cannot buy in 13998 11:49:35,360 --> 11:49:42,000 Silicon Valley. Direct access to 13999 11:49:38,640 --> 11:49:45,596 executive power. the return on that 14000 11:49:42,000 --> 11:49:48,160 $1.25 million investment, 14001 11:49:45,596 --> 11:49:51,596 a seat on the presidential transition 14002 11:49:48,160 --> 11:49:54,800 team, input on federal technology 14003 11:49:51,596 --> 11:49:57,596 policy, direct communication channels to 14004 11:49:54,800 --> 11:50:01,116 the White House, credibility as a 14005 11:49:57,596 --> 11:50:03,756 Washington power broker, 14006 11:50:01,116 --> 11:50:05,520 and most measurably, Palanteer's 14007 11:50:03,756 --> 11:50:08,960 government contracts increased 14008 11:50:05,520 --> 11:50:11,276 substantially during this period. 14009 11:50:08,960 --> 11:50:14,560 But the's most significant political 14010 11:50:11,276 --> 11:50:16,080 investments came in the 2022 midterm 14011 11:50:14,560 --> 11:50:19,840 elections. 14012 11:50:16,080 --> 11:50:23,360 Two candidates, both former employees, 14013 11:50:19,840 --> 11:50:25,276 both running for United States Senate. 14014 11:50:23,360 --> 11:50:28,160 The financial commitment was 14015 11:50:25,276 --> 11:50:30,560 unprecedented in scale. 14016 11:50:28,160 --> 11:50:32,720 Vance had worked at Theel's venture 14017 11:50:30,560 --> 11:50:35,756 capital firm before writing his 14018 11:50:32,720 --> 11:50:37,840 best-selling memoir. Fields total 14019 11:50:35,756 --> 11:50:42,800 financial commitment 14020 11:50:37,840 --> 11:50:46,720 direct campaign contribution $15 million 14021 11:50:42,800 --> 11:50:50,480 super PAC expenditures $5 million 14022 11:50:46,720 --> 11:50:53,680 combined investment $20 million. 14023 11:50:50,480 --> 11:50:56,160 This set a record as the largest single 14024 11:50:53,680 --> 11:50:59,596 donor contribution to an individual 14025 11:50:56,160 --> 11:51:02,720 Senate campaign in American history. The 14026 11:50:59,596 --> 11:51:06,400 outcome Vance won by six percentage 14027 11:51:02,720 --> 11:51:09,200 points. Masters had worked directly for 14028 11:51:06,400 --> 11:51:12,320 Theel as chief operating officer at 14029 11:51:09,200 --> 11:51:14,240 Theel Capital. Theel's financial 14030 11:51:12,320 --> 11:51:17,276 commitment to his campaign was a 14031 11:51:14,240 --> 11:51:20,400 combined investment of $20 million. But 14032 11:51:17,276 --> 11:51:22,480 unlike Vance, Masters lost by 5 14033 11:51:20,400 --> 11:51:26,080 percentage points. 14034 11:51:22,480 --> 11:51:30,000 The total 2022 midterm investment was 14035 11:51:26,080 --> 11:51:31,840 over $40 million in two Senate races. 14036 11:51:30,000 --> 11:51:34,080 two different candidates that would have 14037 11:51:31,840 --> 11:51:37,360 allowed him to be in direct touch with 14038 11:51:34,080 --> 11:51:39,756 power at different chambers and stages. 14039 11:51:37,360 --> 11:51:42,160 For context, the average competitive 14040 11:51:39,756 --> 11:51:45,916 Senate race costs approximately $10 14041 11:51:42,160 --> 11:51:50,520 million total. Peter Theal invested four 14042 11:51:45,916 --> 11:51:50,520 times that amount on two races. 14043 11:51:51,200 --> 11:51:57,916 It's July 2024. JD Vance is selected as 14044 11:51:55,756 --> 11:52:00,800 the Republican vice presidential 14045 11:51:57,916 --> 11:52:03,436 candidate. From a pure investment 14046 11:52:00,800 --> 11:52:06,400 analysis perspective, this transforms 14047 11:52:03,436 --> 11:52:08,880 the return profile on Theo's $20 million 14048 11:52:06,400 --> 11:52:11,200 commitment. He has considered the 14049 11:52:08,880 --> 11:52:15,116 potential financial implications if this 14050 11:52:11,200 --> 11:52:17,680 ticket wins and he gets access to 14051 11:52:15,116 --> 11:52:21,040 executive branch decisionmaking for 8 14052 11:52:17,680 --> 11:52:24,480 years. influence over federal contract 14053 11:52:21,040 --> 11:52:27,436 allocation across multiple agencies. 14054 11:52:24,480 --> 11:52:31,680 Input on technology regulation affecting 14055 11:52:27,436 --> 11:52:34,000 the portfolio companies. 14056 11:52:31,680 --> 11:52:36,080 If we consider what's the estimated 14057 11:52:34,000 --> 11:52:39,436 return on investment for Palanteer's 14058 11:52:36,080 --> 11:52:41,680 government business, what we see is 14059 11:52:39,436 --> 11:52:44,480 current annual government revenue of 14060 11:52:41,680 --> 11:52:47,200 $1.5 billion. 14061 11:52:44,480 --> 11:52:50,480 potential additional contract value over 14062 11:52:47,200 --> 11:52:53,480 eight years conservatively 5 to10 14063 11:52:50,480 --> 11:52:53,480 billion 14064 11:52:53,520 --> 11:53:00,160 and other defense companies in the 14065 11:52:56,560 --> 11:53:01,840 network potential 3 to5 billion in 14066 11:53:00,160 --> 11:53:04,320 contracts 14067 11:53:01,840 --> 11:53:07,840 regulatory treatment of cryptocurrency 14068 11:53:04,320 --> 11:53:10,840 holdings value potentially in tens of 14069 11:53:07,840 --> 11:53:10,840 billions. 14070 11:53:12,560 --> 11:53:18,640 The theoretical return of those 20 14071 11:53:15,116 --> 11:53:22,000 million invested is potentially 15 to 20 14072 11:53:18,640 --> 11:53:26,000 billion captured across the portfolio. 14073 11:53:22,000 --> 11:53:29,680 That represents a potential of 750 to 14074 11:53:26,000 --> 11:53:32,000 1,000 times return. By comparison, 14075 11:53:29,680 --> 11:53:34,320 Theel's Facebook investment returned 14076 11:53:32,000 --> 11:53:36,800 2,000 times. 14077 11:53:34,320 --> 11:53:42,160 To sum it up, the complete political 14078 11:53:36,800 --> 11:53:44,480 spending of the from 2016 to 2022 is 70 14079 11:53:42,160 --> 11:53:47,436 to $80 million. 14080 11:53:44,480 --> 11:53:50,720 For context, Amazon spends 20 million 14081 11:53:47,436 --> 11:53:53,436 annually on lobbying. Meta spends 20 14082 11:53:50,720 --> 11:53:57,200 million annual on lobbying. Google 14083 11:53:53,436 --> 11:53:59,840 spends 12 million annually on lobbying. 14084 11:53:57,200 --> 11:54:02,800 Field's approach is different. Rather 14085 11:53:59,840 --> 11:54:04,960 than ongoing lobbying expenditures, he 14086 11:54:02,800 --> 11:54:07,436 makes concentrated investments in 14087 11:54:04,960 --> 11:54:13,000 individual candidates who potentially 14088 11:54:07,436 --> 11:54:13,000 provide access for years or decades. 14089 11:54:13,040 --> 11:54:18,080 It is the venture capital model applied 14090 11:54:15,520 --> 11:54:21,040 to politics. Make early stage 14091 11:54:18,080 --> 11:54:23,520 investments in promising candidates. 14092 11:54:21,040 --> 11:54:26,800 Provide sufficient capital to help them 14093 11:54:23,520 --> 11:54:29,360 win. Capture value through long-term 14094 11:54:26,800 --> 11:54:32,000 relationships and access. 14095 11:54:29,360 --> 11:54:34,800 The candidates Theel has supported now 14096 11:54:32,000 --> 11:54:37,276 serve on key committees. 14097 11:54:34,800 --> 11:54:38,880 Technology regulation, defense 14098 11:54:37,276 --> 11:54:41,756 appropriations, 14099 11:54:38,880 --> 11:54:44,560 intelligence oversight, banking and 14100 11:54:41,756 --> 11:54:46,800 financial services. 14101 11:54:44,560 --> 11:54:49,276 Precisely the committees that oversee 14102 11:54:46,800 --> 11:54:51,680 industries where the has billions 14103 11:54:49,276 --> 11:54:54,480 invested and where he can use some 14104 11:54:51,680 --> 11:54:57,116 privileged information. 14105 11:54:54,480 --> 11:55:00,960 Is political investment a good use of 14106 11:54:57,116 --> 11:55:00,960 capital? The mass of1052673

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