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- Synced and corrected by chamallow - - www.addic7ed.com -
This week on Vice:
Iran's growing power in Iraq after ISIS.
Where do the drugs come from originally?
- This is you? - Yeah.
You were loaded.
We're inside Najaf's Iranian market,
and everyone from the trash collectors
to the vendor sellers seems to be Iranian.
And then, the world's vineyards
in the age of climate change.
We're in Northern California,
right in the middle of wine country.
We're probably 200 feet from these flames,
and they're just... oh my God... flaring up.
They're saying that right now, it's time for change.
In the 1980s, Iran and Iraq fought
one of the longest wars of the 20th century.
More than a million people lost their lives,
and tens of thousands of Iranian troops died
because of Saddam Hussein's attacks with chemical weapons.
After decades of bitterness and distrust,
it was Iran that rushed to help Iraq
defeat a threat to both countries,
the Islamic State.
ISIS is now pretty much gone from Iraq,
but Iran isn't.
And with national elections now coming up,
its influence is only growing.
It's about two o'clock in the morning,
and we're out with the Basra police force.
These guys have just received some intelligence,
so they have a couple of targets that they're hoping to take down.
In the last year, drug arrests
have skyrocketed in Iraq's border towns...
Wow. That's a lot of people packed in there.
... and there's one country the dealers were pointing to
as their source.
Where did the drugs come from originally?
What were you dealing?
Were you making a lot of money?
- This is you? - Yeah.
You were loaded. Look at that.
When did it become so prevalent?
Why now do you think they're sending a lot of them?
The 900-mile border between Iraq and Iran
has become increasingly porous,
as it's mostly fallen under the control of Iran-backed Shia militias.
But the influence of these militias goes beyond the drug trade.
Since fighting ISIS, they've increased
their military strength across the country,
and they're even getting involved in national politics.
To find out more about this power shift,
we spoke to Mowaffak Al-Rubaie,
a distinguished politician
who ardently supported the US invasion
but has since witnessed Iran's growing dominance in his country.
So, do you think the US has allowed
this vacuum which Iran has stepped into?
They pulled out irresponsibly, recklessly.
When ISIS stormed the three provinces,
in June 2014, we ask for help
from the United States of America.
We told them that we can see and monitor
terrorists coming from Syria, crossing the borders to Iraq.
Please help us with some air strike.
President Obama said no.
It took the United States of America three months
to start bombing the terrorists in Iraq.
Three months, while it took Iran 24 hours.
Truckloads of arms and people to help us, defending Baghdad.
- You had no option but to turn to Iran. - Absolutely.
Iraq's pivot towards America's long-time adversary, Iran,
comes after the US has lost
more than 4,500 lives fighting in Iraq
and spent more than two trillion dollars
since the fall of Saddam Hussein.
So this is the noose that was used to hang Saddam Hussein?
Yeah, this is the noose.
So, you watched him being hanged?
Oh yes. I pulled the trigger, actually.
- You pulled the trigger? - Yeah, I pulled the trigger.
Did you ever imagine back then
that this would be the country that he'd left behind?
He promised to leave behind him ruins,
- and that's what he did. - Who's to blame for that?
The countries surrounding Iraq worked really hard
for this democratic experiment to fail.
Ever since Saddam's fall, Iran has tried to control Iraq,
but it's only now that it's actually beginning to achieve that goal.
By securing Iraqi territory,
Iran will have a land corridor
connecting Tehran with allied forces
across Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon.
But Iran isn't just using military might to achieve that aim.
It's also leveraging cultural and economic ties.
We're inside what's known as Najaf's Iranian market,
and everyone from the trash collectors
to the vendor sellers seems to be Iranian.
Where are most of your clients coming from?
Have you noticed it's got busier recently?
So, the Iraqis have the Iranians to thank for a lot of money coming in.
Imports of goods from Iran have more than doubled
in the last 10 years,
and the spending power of Iranian visitors
is strengthening Iran's foothold.
Right now, we're walking towards
one of the holiest Shiite sights in the world,
which is what millions of Iranians travel here for every single year.
Where have you all come from?
Everyone from Iran?
Iran? Iran?
Why do you think the number of Iranians coming here
has exploded over the last few years?
Iran's 17 million Shia Muslims share a religious bond
with more than 20 million Shia in Iraq,
who make up more than half the population here.
When ISIS overwhelmed the Iraqi army
and swept through the mainly Sunni northwest of the country in 2014,
Iraq's top Shia cleric issued a fatwa,
making it a religious duty to defend the homeland.
This call to arms was immediately answered
by tens of thousands of new recruits.
Equipped and advised by Iran,
those volunteers joined with existing militias.
By decree from the Iraqi government,
they then became the Popular Mobilization Forces, or PMF.
We're with the Badr Brigade,
which is largest of the Popular Mobilization Forces.
There's about 40,000 members in total.
They took this whole neighborhood back from ISIS
just a couple of months ago,
and civilians haven't yet returned to it.
Formed in the 1980s to serve Iranian interests in Iraq,
the Badr Brigade killed many American soldiers
during the Iraqi insurgency,
but in the fight against ISIS,
the militia became an unlikely US ally.
So, ISIS were occupying all of these houses
just a couple of months ago?
Hassan Ahmed Al-Samre is in command of this unit
as they round up remaining ISIS fighters.
Is that gunfire?
What's going on?
So, you're still looking for ISIS members around here?
Do you think some of them are still here?
So, this is where you caught an ISIS guy yesterday?
- Yeah. - Wow.
This is one of the IED's they've been collecting,
and now they're gonna show us how they explode it.
Be safe!
Fuck. Run, run, run, run, run.
Why's it the PMU's responsibility,
rather than the Iraqi's army's,
to clear out these houses
of IED's and to find the last ISIS fighters here?
With the victory over ISIS,
the Popular Mobilization Forces have been embraced
by many Iraqis as national heroes.
Some militias have recently set up political arms
to field candidates in the upcoming parliamentary election,
and Iran is using its influence on local media to boost their cause.
The Asia Network is one of several news outlets in Iraq
that's allegedly funded by sources with ties to Iran.
It reaches over a million people across multiple platforms.
Local celebrities Tamara Jamal
and Nahi Mahdi host a comic radio show
that also serves to promote
their views on current politics.
What's it like living here in Baghdad?
And how are you guys feeling about the elections?
And who are the fighters who saved Iraq from ISIS?
So, are you advocating for those guys
to be the ones in power in parliament?
You too?
Everyone at this TV station,
this radio station is in agreement about that?
One group with political aspirations
is Shia militia Harakat Hezbollah Al-Nujaba.
Citing the group's >close ties with Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
Congress has proposed designating Al-Nujaba a terrorist organization.
We met Hashim Al-Moussawi,
the militia's official spokesman,
at the group's headquarters in Baghdad.
Who are these guys up here?
And what do they represent to you, these two?
Now that ISIS is all but over,
what's the mission of Al-Nujaba now in Iraq?
Can you understand the fear that is coming from the West
when it comes to... they look at your organization,
and they see the close relationship that you have
with Iran and with the Revolutionary Guards
and potentially Iran can use you guys
to spread their influence across Iraq?
The possible election of former militia leaders
sympathetic to Iranian interests
will allow Tehran to consolidate its powers
within the Iraqi government.
To hear what threat that might pose
to the stability of Iraq and the wider region,
we met with Iraqi Vice President Ayad Allawi.
Is Iran having much impact on these elections?
How prominent is Iran here?
Do you think that Iraq is at risk of becoming
a platform for a proxy battle between the US and Iran?
With Iran now poised >to tighten its grip over Iraq,
it's influence extends across the region,
from Iranian troops fighting in Syria
to its proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon,
and its allies Hamas and Gaza,
the opposition movement in Bahrain,
and the Houthis in Yemen.
Iran has not been treating
that part of the world
or the world itself appropriately.
A lot of bad things are happening in Iran.
The White House has now signaled that over 5,000 troops
could be staying in Iraq indefinitely.
What would happen if the US takes on Iran on Iraqi turf?
Oh my God.
It's going to be hell.
Do you think there's a chance that could happen?
By the way, Trump administration is escalating with Iran.
The Iranians will not stand and do nothing.
My country will pay heavily.
Which means that it's a very difficult situation
that you guys are in.
We are between the devil and the deep blue sea.
It's well-known that climate change
will have devastating impacts on our planet,
from melting glaciers and rising seas,
to extreme drought and storms.
Because of extreme heat in California,
last year saw the most destructive wildfire season on record,
triggering huge mudslides and claiming 44 lives.
But it's the wine industry that's becoming a canary in the coal mine,
showing what warming temperatures could mean for the way we live.
We're in Northern California,
right in the middle of wine country.
We're probably 200 feet from these flames,
and they're just... oh my God...
flaring up right through this valley.
And in many areas, there's still zero percent containment.
Winds just came out of the north
at howling speeds.
When you have that combination of high winds
in very dry fuel,
it just becomes explosive.
To what extent do you attribute these wildfires,
and how quickly they're spreading, to climate change?
It's not unusual for us to see these kinds of events,
but it seems to be getting worse and more frequent.
Fires are different now than they were 20, 30 years ago.
You simply can't look at statistics like that and ignore it.
This is the new normal.
Last year's massive fires in Northern California
killed 44 people, leveled thousands of homes,
and burned through more than 200,000 acres of land.
The infernos struck at the heart of California's wine industry,
a major enterprise here.
Dozens of wineries in Napa and Sonoma counties were devastated.
It was about 10:45, and my wife was staying here,
and she saw, on the hillside, flames.
Basically, this whole hillside on fire.
The vineyard team grabbed some hoses
and did what they could...
- Wow. - ... but it was just not enough.
We've had fires in the area before, but not like this.
I've got people who've been with me for 20, 30 years,
and they're as devastated, obviously, as I am,
and, you know, this was their life.
But worsening wildfires are just one concern
for California's premium wine production.
As climate change escalates over the next 30 years,
California is expected to see
a 70% decline in area currently suitable for viticulture.
Wine, of course, is probably the most expensive crop
in the entire world,
and it's a crop that is very, very sensitive to climate.
NASA scientist Dr. Ben Cook studies
the impact of climate change on agriculture.
He says that these environmental consequences
have global repercussions today.
So, with regards to wine regions,
where is the change in climate most evident?
Pretty much every single wine-growing region in the world...
we are seeing some impact of climate change.
You know, in the old-world regions,
like France, you know, Italy, Spain,
they've been growing grapes
and making wine for hundreds of years,
and it's really important, because this provides us
a really long-term perspective.
If things are changing
and it's still where things have been for the last several centuries,
maybe, you know, things are okay.
But what we're seeing in a lot of these areas
is that we're starting to move outside
what we call the envelope of natural variability.
We're starting to move into a kind of new world
relative to the last several centuries.
And I think it also kind of highlights
how extreme some of these climate changes are.
Wine is very important to a lot of people,
but we could survive without wine.
I mean, I don't know that I agree with that.
You know, survival is not...
physical survival, just.
It's also cultural survival.
France. You know, so much of their kind of cultural identity
is wrapped up in kind of their view of wine.
To see how vintners today are reconciling
with the change in climate,
we went to France's most prominent and profitable wine region.
Bordeaux pumps out more than 700 million bottles each year.
Its prestige stems largely
from its optimal environment and temperate climate,
and the region's history, culture, and economy depend on it.
Cheers.
Bernard Farges is the vice president
of the trade group that represents all Bordeaux winemakers.
- You like it? - Nice.
How has the change in climate affected the wine industry here?
What are your concerns for the economics of wine in coming years?
As a region, how much production did Bordeaux lose this past season?
Many of the vineyards in Bordeaux
have been producing wine for generations,
and families have depended on the crop for hundreds of years.
Wow.
Juliette B�cot oversees
50 acres of mainly Merlot grapes
at her family's Chateau Beau-S�jour B�cot.
How many bottles of wine do you have down here?
At the beginning of August,
the roots came at this level.
- Like two feet down? - Yes, yes, yes.
- Wow. - Because the weather was very dry and hot.
But it's not just extreme heat
threatening France's vital export.
Last spring, the region was gutted by freezing temperatures.
Wine growers scrambled to protect their crops,
but for many, there was little that could be done
to salvage the harvest.
What percentage of your yield did you lose this year?
As the climate shifts, the future
of all agriculture is in question.
When it comes to Bordeaux, certain varieties of grape
are all but doomed.
The industry here is sort of in crisis mode.
Varieties that we see on wine bottles in every grocery store...
Merlot being a good example...
may not exist in 30 years, at least in Bordeaux.
And so, scientists are growing different varieties
to see what will work in warming temperates.
Kees van Leeuwen, a scientist and winemaker,
is taking grape varieties from all over the world
into the lab to see what might survive
Bordeaux's oncoming climate changes.
With climate change, ripening is happening
more and more early in the season.
And Merlot, with harvest happening more and more early,
maybe in 20 or 30 years time,
will not be longer well-adapted to the Bordeaux climate,
so we have to find new varieties which can replace Merlot.
We take grape samples every week,
have them analyzed to see the composition of the grapes,
and we model the ripening of the grapes
to see how they react to temperature.
And we look for varieties which are later ripening
but still very good quality and with the typicity
which is very similar to what we have in Bordeaux wines today.
This is touriga nacional, a very famous grape from the Douro region.
In terms of aromatic complexity,
it comes very close to Bordeaux wines,
so we have a lot of hope on this variety.
Prunelard was a very old variety which was no longer used,
because it used to have difficulties in reaching full ripeness,
but now, with changing climate, it might become interesting.
- It's the perfect climate-change grape. - So, yeah.
If we don't adapt, then Bordeaux is really in danger.
Like many distressed enterprises,
the wine industry is looking to technology for these solutions.
Back in California, geneticist Dr. Dario Cantu
is tackling this crisis at the molecular level.
He's extracting DNA from grape vines,
choosing ideal traits, and then breeding
genetically superior strains of popular wines,
like Cabernet Sauvignon.
The ultimate goal of what we do,
which we call molecular viticulture,
is to be able to control...
at very fine scale
what happens in the berries during, um...
during the process of ripening
and before we harvest them.
I believe that genetics is the key
for the future of viticulture.
By improving genotypes,
we'll be able to grow better-adaptive varieties.
What elements are you trying to preserve,
say, for the most popular varieties
like Cabernet sauvignon or Pinot noir?
So, what my research is trying actually to obtain
is an understanding of the genetic basis
of Cabernet sauvignon, Pinot noir, and other varieties,
so that we can mix them with other traits
like drought tolerance, pest resistance,
so that those characteristic of Cabernet sauvignon
are preserved when they're grown in conditions that are not optimal.
As more industries feel the impact of a warming climate,
how we address this problem today
could influence the future of all agriculture.
Obviously, your focus right now is on wine,
but is there sort of a bigger-picture application
to this in agriculture?
There are other industries
as large as the wine grape industry
that will face the same issues.
Think about chocolate. Think about coffee.
So, what we learn in terms of that ability
and improvement for grapes can be applied to other crops.
Being climate-change responsive is to be able to have
the best genetic material for every region in the world.
We need to cultivate the best adaptive varieties
to a certain climate, and that's clear.
The sooner we realize that there is a problem,
the sooner we will have a solution, and there are solutions.
- Synced and corrected by chamallow - - www.addic7ed.com -
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