Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
1
00:00:50,091 --> 00:00:53,652
This is the age of
planetary exploration...
2
00:00:53,860 --> 00:00:57,296
...when our ships have begun
to sail the heavens.
3
00:00:58,832 --> 00:01:02,427
In those heavens, there are
some worlds much like hell.
4
00:01:02,636 --> 00:01:06,538
Our planet is, in comparison,
much like a heaven.
5
00:01:06,740 --> 00:01:08,970
But the gates of heaven and hell...
6
00:01:09,175 --> 00:01:12,235
...are adjacent and unmarked.
7
00:01:14,748 --> 00:01:17,216
The Earth is a lovely...
8
00:01:17,417 --> 00:01:19,681
...and more or less placid place.
9
00:01:20,153 --> 00:01:22,951
Things change, but slowly.
10
00:01:23,156 --> 00:01:27,718
You can lead a full life and never
encounter a natural catastrophe...
11
00:01:27,928 --> 00:01:29,759
...more violent than a storm.
12
00:01:29,963 --> 00:01:32,431
And so we become complacent...
13
00:01:32,632 --> 00:01:33,826
...relaxed...
14
00:01:34,034 --> 00:01:35,729
...unconcerned.
15
00:01:35,969 --> 00:01:40,429
But in the history of the solar
system and even in human history...
16
00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:43,302
...there are clear records
of extraordinary...
17
00:01:43,510 --> 00:01:45,671
...and devastating catastrophes.
18
00:01:45,879 --> 00:01:48,473
We have now achieved
the dubious distinction...
19
00:01:48,682 --> 00:01:50,843
...of making our own
major catastrophes...
20
00:01:51,051 --> 00:01:53,781
...both intentional and inadvertent.
21
00:01:54,554 --> 00:01:56,886
On the landscapes of other planets...
22
00:01:57,090 --> 00:01:59,581
...where past records
are better preserved...
23
00:01:59,793 --> 00:02:02,261
...there's abundant evidence
of major catastrophes.
24
00:02:02,462 --> 00:02:04,259
It's all a matter of time scale.
25
00:02:04,464 --> 00:02:07,126
An event which is improbable
in 100 years...
26
00:02:07,334 --> 00:02:10,098
...may be inevitable
in 100 million.
27
00:02:10,303 --> 00:02:13,466
But even on the Earth
in this century...
28
00:02:13,673 --> 00:02:17,336
...there have been
bizarre natural events.
29
00:02:22,115 --> 00:02:24,811
In remote central Siberia...
30
00:02:25,018 --> 00:02:27,077
...there was a time
when the Tungus people...
31
00:02:27,287 --> 00:02:30,256
...told strange tales
of a giant fireball...
32
00:02:30,457 --> 00:02:33,483
...that split the sky
and shook the Earth.
33
00:02:35,095 --> 00:02:37,495
They told of a blast
of searing wind...
34
00:02:37,697 --> 00:02:40,097
...that knocked down
people and forests.
35
00:02:41,835 --> 00:02:44,497
It happened, they said,
on a summer's morning...
36
00:02:44,704 --> 00:02:46,535
...in the year 1908.
37
00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:48,273
In the late 1920s...
38
00:02:48,475 --> 00:02:51,342
...L.A. Kulik, a Soviet scientist...
39
00:02:51,544 --> 00:02:54,604
...organized expeditions
to try and solve the mystery.
40
00:02:56,983 --> 00:03:00,544
He built boats to penetrate
this trackless land:
41
00:03:01,121 --> 00:03:02,713
Snowbound in winter...
42
00:03:02,922 --> 00:03:05,482
...a swampy morass in summer.
43
00:03:08,294 --> 00:03:11,889
Eyewitnesses told of
a ball of flame...
44
00:03:12,098 --> 00:03:13,622
...larger than the sun...
45
00:03:13,833 --> 00:03:17,633
...that had blazed across the sky
20 years before.
46
00:03:18,271 --> 00:03:22,105
Kulik assumed a giant meteorite
had struck the Earth.
47
00:03:24,644 --> 00:03:28,205
He expected to find an enormous
impact crater...
48
00:03:28,415 --> 00:03:30,542
...and rare meteorite fragments...
49
00:03:30,750 --> 00:03:33,480
...chipped off some distant asteroid.
50
00:03:36,489 --> 00:03:38,423
However, at ground zero...
51
00:03:38,625 --> 00:03:41,719
...Kulik found upright trees
stripped of their branches...
52
00:03:41,928 --> 00:03:44,726
...but not a trace of the meteorite
or its impact crater.
53
00:03:44,931 --> 00:03:46,592
He was deeply puzzled.
54
00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:50,793
He thought there were meteorite
fragments buried in the swampy ground.
55
00:03:51,738 --> 00:03:55,299
So he set about digging trenches
and pumping out the water.
56
00:03:55,508 --> 00:03:59,035
But the expected meteoritic rock
and iron was not found.
57
00:04:01,181 --> 00:04:04,446
Undaunted, Kulik went on
to make a thorough survey...
58
00:04:04,651 --> 00:04:07,415
...despite the swarms of insects
and other hardships.
59
00:04:07,620 --> 00:04:10,418
Because he discovered something that,
in his own words...
60
00:04:10,623 --> 00:04:15,560
..."exceeded all tales of eyewitnesses
and my wildest expectations."
61
00:04:18,064 --> 00:04:21,795
For more than 20 kilometers
in every direction from ground zero...
62
00:04:22,001 --> 00:04:26,938
...the trees were flattened radially
outward like broken matchsticks.
63
00:04:31,444 --> 00:04:33,469
There must've been
a powerful explosion...
64
00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:35,705
...several kilometers
above the ground.
65
00:04:35,915 --> 00:04:38,713
The pressure wave, spreading out
at the speed of sound...
66
00:04:38,918 --> 00:04:42,410
...was reconstructed from barometric
records at weather stations...
67
00:04:42,622 --> 00:04:47,252
...across Siberia, through Russia
and on into Western Europe.
68
00:04:47,460 --> 00:04:50,952
Dust from the explosion reflected
so much sunlight back to Earth...
69
00:04:51,164 --> 00:04:53,223
...that people could
read by it at night...
70
00:04:53,433 --> 00:04:56,766
...in London, 10,000 kilometers away.
71
00:05:02,041 --> 00:05:05,670
This really remarkable occurrence...
72
00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,781
...is called the Tunguska Event.
73
00:05:09,316 --> 00:05:10,840
But what was it?
74
00:05:11,251 --> 00:05:15,381
Well, perhaps, some scientists
have suggested...
75
00:05:15,588 --> 00:05:19,456
...it was a chunk of antimatter
from space...
76
00:05:19,659 --> 00:05:24,062
...annihilated on contact with
the ordinary matter of the Earth...
77
00:05:24,264 --> 00:05:27,597
...disappearing in a flash
of gamma rays.
78
00:05:28,001 --> 00:05:32,165
But the radioactivity you'd expect
from matter-antimatter annihilation...
79
00:05:32,372 --> 00:05:35,864
...is to be found nowhere
at the impact site.
80
00:05:36,810 --> 00:05:41,076
Or, perhaps, other scientists
have suggested...
81
00:05:41,281 --> 00:05:43,613
...it was a mini black hole
from space...
82
00:05:43,817 --> 00:05:45,808
...which impacted the Earth
in Siberia...
83
00:05:46,019 --> 00:05:48,385
...tunneled through
the solid body of Earth...
84
00:05:48,588 --> 00:05:50,852
...and plunged out the other side.
85
00:05:51,057 --> 00:05:54,254
But the records of atmospheric
shock waves give not a hint...
86
00:05:54,460 --> 00:05:58,954
...of something booming out of
the North Atlantic later that day.
87
00:05:59,199 --> 00:06:03,636
Or maybe, other people have speculated,
it was a spaceship...
88
00:06:03,837 --> 00:06:08,171
...of some unimaginably advanced
extraterrestrial civilization...
89
00:06:08,374 --> 00:06:10,934
...in desperate mechanical trouble...
90
00:06:11,144 --> 00:06:15,308
...crashing in a remote region
of an obscure planet.
91
00:06:15,615 --> 00:06:19,415
Well, if so, it's pretty startling
that at the impact site...
92
00:06:19,619 --> 00:06:23,248
...there is not a piece,
not the tiniest transistor...
93
00:06:23,456 --> 00:06:25,822
...of a crashed spacecraft.
94
00:06:26,025 --> 00:06:28,960
More prosaically, perhaps it was
a large meteorite...
95
00:06:29,162 --> 00:06:31,562
...or a small asteroid
which hit the Earth.
96
00:06:31,764 --> 00:06:35,256
But even here,
there are no observable telltale...
97
00:06:35,468 --> 00:06:38,460
...rocky or metallic fragments
of the sort...
98
00:06:38,671 --> 00:06:41,333
...that you'd expect
from such an impact.
99
00:06:41,641 --> 00:06:44,769
The key point of the Tunguska Event...
100
00:06:44,978 --> 00:06:49,278
...is that there was a tremendous
explosion, a great shock wave...
101
00:06:49,482 --> 00:06:52,713
...many trees burned,
an enormous forest fire...
102
00:06:52,952 --> 00:06:57,389
...and yet, no crater in the ground.
103
00:06:57,590 --> 00:07:00,024
There seems to be
only one explanation...
104
00:07:00,226 --> 00:07:02,786
...which is consistent
with these facts.
105
00:07:02,996 --> 00:07:06,022
And that explanation is this:
106
00:07:06,966 --> 00:07:10,868
In 1908, a piece of a comet...
107
00:07:11,070 --> 00:07:12,469
...hit the Earth.
108
00:07:19,445 --> 00:07:21,470
No one saw it approach.
109
00:07:21,681 --> 00:07:26,175
A small point of light
lost in the glare of the morning sun.
110
00:07:28,087 --> 00:07:31,488
It had been drifting for centuries
through the inner solar system...
111
00:07:31,691 --> 00:07:35,923
...like an iceberg in the ocean
of interplanetary space.
112
00:07:42,969 --> 00:07:45,369
But this time, by accident...
113
00:07:45,571 --> 00:07:48,165
...there was a planet in the way.
114
00:07:54,514 --> 00:07:58,245
From the time and direction of
its approach, what hit the Earth...
115
00:07:58,451 --> 00:08:02,217
...seems to have been a fragment
of a comet named Encke.
116
00:08:02,422 --> 00:08:05,755
Hurtling at more than
100,000 kilometers an hour...
117
00:08:05,959 --> 00:08:09,326
...it was a mountain of ice
about the size of a football field...
118
00:08:09,529 --> 00:08:12,965
...and weighing almost a million tons.
119
00:08:14,167 --> 00:08:17,864
There was no warning, until
it plunged into the atmosphere.
120
00:08:58,945 --> 00:09:02,346
If such an explosion happened today...
121
00:09:02,548 --> 00:09:05,278
...it might be thought,
in the panic of the moment...
122
00:09:05,885 --> 00:09:08,217
...to be produced by a nuclear weapon.
123
00:09:08,488 --> 00:09:11,218
Such a cometary impact and fireball...
124
00:09:11,424 --> 00:09:14,916
...simulates all the effects
of a 15-megaton nuclear burst...
125
00:09:15,128 --> 00:09:17,756
...including the mushroom cloud,
with one exception:
126
00:09:17,965 --> 00:09:19,956
There would be no radiation.
127
00:09:20,166 --> 00:09:23,158
So could a rare but natural event...
128
00:09:23,369 --> 00:09:25,394
...the impact of a comet with Earth...
129
00:09:25,605 --> 00:09:28,199
...trigger a nuclear war?
130
00:09:29,042 --> 00:09:32,478
It's a strange scenario:
A small comet hits the Earth...
131
00:09:32,678 --> 00:09:35,112
...as millions have during
Earth's history...
132
00:09:35,314 --> 00:09:37,282
...and the response
of our civilization...
133
00:09:37,483 --> 00:09:40,714
...is promptly to self-destruct.
134
00:09:42,288 --> 00:09:45,621
Maybe it's unlikely,
but it might be a good idea...
135
00:09:45,825 --> 00:09:49,317
...to understand comets
and collisions and catastrophes...
136
00:09:49,530 --> 00:09:52,158
...a little bit better than we do.
137
00:09:52,365 --> 00:09:56,426
Now, a comet, at least as far as
we understand them today...
138
00:09:56,637 --> 00:09:57,968
...is made mostly of ice:
139
00:09:58,171 --> 00:10:01,004
Water ice, maybe some ammonia ice...
140
00:10:01,207 --> 00:10:03,471
...a little bit of methane ice.
141
00:10:03,877 --> 00:10:06,675
So in striking
the Earth's atmosphere...
142
00:10:06,879 --> 00:10:08,972
...a modest cometary fragment...
143
00:10:09,182 --> 00:10:14,051
...will produce a great radiant
fireball and a mighty blast wave.
144
00:10:14,254 --> 00:10:16,484
It'll burn trees and level forests...
145
00:10:16,689 --> 00:10:19,351
...and make a sound
heard around the world.
146
00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,426
But it need not make
a crater in the ground.
147
00:10:22,628 --> 00:10:27,065
Why? Because the ices in the comet
are all melted in the impact.
148
00:10:27,266 --> 00:10:30,724
And there's going to be very
few recognizable pieces of comet...
149
00:10:30,937 --> 00:10:32,427
...left on the ground.
150
00:10:39,078 --> 00:10:41,876
We humans like to think of
the heavens as stable...
151
00:10:42,082 --> 00:10:44,573
...serene, unchanging.
152
00:10:46,486 --> 00:10:48,386
But comets suddenly appear...
153
00:10:48,588 --> 00:10:52,718
...and hang ominously in the sky,
night after night, for weeks.
154
00:10:55,094 --> 00:10:59,497
So the idea developed that the comet
had to be there for a reason.
155
00:10:59,700 --> 00:11:02,965
The reason was that comets were
predictions of disaster...
156
00:11:03,170 --> 00:11:07,504
...that they foretold the deaths
of princes and the fall of kingdoms.
157
00:11:07,707 --> 00:11:10,198
In 1066, for example...
158
00:11:10,410 --> 00:11:14,506
...the Normans witnessed an apparition
or appearance of Halley's comet.
159
00:11:14,714 --> 00:11:18,514
Since a comet must, they thought,
predict the fall of some kingdom...
160
00:11:18,718 --> 00:11:20,982
...they promptly invaded England.
161
00:11:21,187 --> 00:11:23,781
Here's King Harold of England
looking a little glum.
162
00:11:23,991 --> 00:11:26,357
The events were noted
in the Bayeux tapestry...
163
00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:29,187
...a kind of newspaper of the day.
164
00:11:29,395 --> 00:11:31,454
Or, in the early 13th century...
165
00:11:31,664 --> 00:11:35,191
...Giotto, one of the founders
of modern realistic painting...
166
00:11:35,401 --> 00:11:37,995
...witnessed another apparition
of comet Halley...
167
00:11:38,205 --> 00:11:41,470
...and inserted it into a nativity
he was painting.
168
00:11:41,675 --> 00:11:45,907
A harbinger of a different
sort of change of kingdoms.
169
00:11:46,579 --> 00:11:48,877
Around 1517...
170
00:11:49,082 --> 00:11:52,848
...another great comet appeared.
This time it was seen in Mexico.
171
00:11:53,052 --> 00:11:54,917
And the Aztec emperor, Moctezuma...
172
00:11:55,254 --> 00:11:56,881
...maybe this is he...
173
00:11:57,456 --> 00:11:59,447
...promptly executed his astrologers.
174
00:11:59,659 --> 00:12:04,255
Why? They hadn't predicted the comet,
and they sure hadn't explained it.
175
00:12:04,463 --> 00:12:09,366
Moctezuma was positive that the comet
foretold some dreadful disaster.
176
00:12:09,570 --> 00:12:12,164
He became distant and gloomy...
177
00:12:12,371 --> 00:12:14,839
...and in that way,
helped to set the stage...
178
00:12:15,041 --> 00:12:18,943
...for the successful Spanish conquest
of Mexico under Cortés.
179
00:12:19,445 --> 00:12:23,074
In many cases, a superstitious
belief in comets...
180
00:12:23,282 --> 00:12:26,217
...becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
181
00:12:27,054 --> 00:12:29,614
Here are two quite different
representations...
182
00:12:29,822 --> 00:12:32,450
...of the great comet of 1577:
183
00:12:32,658 --> 00:12:35,354
This one pictured by the Turks...
184
00:12:38,231 --> 00:12:40,563
...and this one by the Germans.
185
00:12:47,139 --> 00:12:50,438
In 1705, Edmund Halley finally...
186
00:12:50,643 --> 00:12:53,168
...figured out that the same
spectacular comet...
187
00:12:53,379 --> 00:12:57,179
...was booming by the Earth
every 76 years, like clockwork.
188
00:12:57,383 --> 00:13:01,114
That comet is now called,
appropriately, comet Halley.
189
00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:05,120
And it's the same one that we talked
about before, the comet of 1066.
190
00:13:05,324 --> 00:13:08,259
At that point, the subject began
to lose a little...
191
00:13:08,461 --> 00:13:11,828
...of its burden of superstition,
but hardly all.
192
00:13:12,031 --> 00:13:15,797
Public fear of comets survived.
Well, for example...
193
00:13:16,336 --> 00:13:19,499
...look at this terribly
nasty comet of 1857...
194
00:13:19,706 --> 00:13:23,142
...that some people figured
would splinter the Earth.
195
00:13:24,477 --> 00:13:28,538
By 1910, Halley's comet
returned once more.
196
00:13:28,748 --> 00:13:32,206
But this time, astronomers using
a new tool, the spectroscope...
197
00:13:32,418 --> 00:13:37,321
...had discovered cyanogen gas
in the tail of a comet.
198
00:13:37,524 --> 00:13:39,856
Now, cyanogen is a poison.
199
00:13:40,059 --> 00:13:43,688
The Earth was to pass through
this poisonous tail.
200
00:13:43,896 --> 00:13:47,889
The fact that the gas was
astonishingly, fabulously thin...
201
00:13:48,101 --> 00:13:50,262
...reassured almost nobody.
202
00:13:50,469 --> 00:13:54,769
For example, look at the headlines
in the Los Angeles Examiner...
203
00:13:54,975 --> 00:13:57,671
...for May 9, 1910:
204
00:13:57,877 --> 00:14:01,870
"Say, Has That Comet
'Cyanogened' You Yet?"
205
00:14:02,082 --> 00:14:05,176
"Entire Human Race Due
For Free Gaseous Bath.
206
00:14:05,385 --> 00:14:07,410
Expect High Jinks."
207
00:14:07,620 --> 00:14:12,489
Or take this from the San Francisco
Chronicle, May 15, 1910:
208
00:14:12,693 --> 00:14:16,288
"Comet Comes And Husband Reforms."
209
00:14:16,495 --> 00:14:18,690
"Comet Parties Now Fad In New York."
210
00:14:18,898 --> 00:14:20,729
Amazing stuff!
211
00:14:20,933 --> 00:14:24,369
In 1910, people were holding
comet parties, not so much to...
212
00:14:24,570 --> 00:14:28,165
...celebrate the end of the world
as to make merry before it happened.
213
00:14:28,407 --> 00:14:32,935
There were entrepreneurs
who were hawking comet pills.
214
00:14:33,380 --> 00:14:35,439
I think I'm gonna take one for later.
215
00:14:35,648 --> 00:14:38,481
And there were those
who were selling...
216
00:14:38,951 --> 00:14:43,888
...gas masks to protect
against the cyanogen.
217
00:14:44,291 --> 00:14:48,660
And comet nuttiness
didn't stop in 1910.
218
00:14:53,899 --> 00:14:57,835
Long before 1066,
humans marveled at comets.
219
00:14:58,038 --> 00:15:01,235
Our generation is beginning
to understand them.
220
00:15:09,949 --> 00:15:12,281
Mercury, Venus, Earth and Mars...
221
00:15:12,485 --> 00:15:15,943
...are small planets made mostly
of rock and iron.
222
00:15:16,722 --> 00:15:19,885
Farther out where it's colder,
are the giant planets...
223
00:15:20,092 --> 00:15:21,855
...made mostly of gas.
224
00:15:22,061 --> 00:15:25,258
But comets originate from
a great cloud beyond the planets...
225
00:15:25,464 --> 00:15:27,694
...almost halfway to the nearest star.
226
00:15:27,900 --> 00:15:30,130
Occasionally, one falls in...
227
00:15:30,336 --> 00:15:32,429
...accelerated by the sun's gravity.
228
00:15:32,639 --> 00:15:34,834
Because it's made mostly of ice,
the comet...
229
00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:37,167
...evaporates as it approaches
the sun.
230
00:15:37,376 --> 00:15:40,243
The vapor is blown back
by the solar wind...
231
00:15:40,447 --> 00:15:42,312
...forming the cometary tail.
232
00:15:42,515 --> 00:15:44,881
Then it's flung back
into outer darkness...
233
00:15:45,084 --> 00:15:46,415
...its orbit so large...
234
00:15:46,620 --> 00:15:49,418
...that it will not return
for millions of years.
235
00:15:49,622 --> 00:15:52,182
These are the long-period comets.
236
00:15:52,391 --> 00:15:55,758
For every one plunging close enough
to the sun to be discovered...
237
00:15:55,961 --> 00:15:57,690
...there may be a billion others...
238
00:15:57,898 --> 00:16:00,958
...slowly drifting
beyond Pluto's orbit.
239
00:16:01,468 --> 00:16:05,962
Very rarely, a long-period comet is
captured in the inner solar system...
240
00:16:06,172 --> 00:16:08,140
...becoming a short-period comet.
241
00:16:08,341 --> 00:16:11,799
It passes near a major planet,
like Saturn.
242
00:16:12,012 --> 00:16:14,640
The planet provides
a small gravitational tug...
243
00:16:14,848 --> 00:16:17,681
...enough to deflect it
into a much smaller orbit.
244
00:16:17,883 --> 00:16:20,545
Though few are captured this way,
those that are...
245
00:16:20,753 --> 00:16:24,587
...become well-known because
they all return in short intervals.
246
00:16:24,790 --> 00:16:28,453
Once trapped in the inner
solar system, among the planets...
247
00:16:28,662 --> 00:16:31,859
...the chances of another
near-collision are increased.
248
00:16:33,566 --> 00:16:36,228
Here, a second encounter
with Saturn...
249
00:16:36,436 --> 00:16:40,270
...further reduces the comet's
orbital period to decades.
250
00:16:40,473 --> 00:16:44,637
A comet may take 10,000 years
between close planetary encounters.
251
00:16:44,844 --> 00:16:48,678
But in this computer study,
we've sped things up.
252
00:16:49,315 --> 00:16:52,182
A third encounter,
this time with Jupiter...
253
00:16:52,384 --> 00:16:55,353
...further reduces
the comet's orbital period.
254
00:16:55,554 --> 00:16:58,216
Now the comet must approach the sun...
255
00:16:58,424 --> 00:17:01,018
...and grow a tail every few years.
256
00:17:01,227 --> 00:17:04,560
Since the dust and gas in the tail
are lost forever to space...
257
00:17:04,763 --> 00:17:07,391
...the comet must slowly be eroding.
258
00:17:07,601 --> 00:17:09,262
Pieces of it break off.
259
00:17:09,468 --> 00:17:12,562
Sometimes, as we've seen,
they even strike the Earth.
260
00:17:12,771 --> 00:17:14,204
In a few thousand years...
261
00:17:14,407 --> 00:17:17,433
...if a short-period comet
hasn't hit a planet...
262
00:17:17,643 --> 00:17:20,271
...it will have evaporated away
almost entirely...
263
00:17:20,479 --> 00:17:24,575
...leaving sand-sized fragments,
which become meteors...
264
00:17:24,784 --> 00:17:28,880
...and its core which, perhaps,
becomes an asteroid.
265
00:17:31,156 --> 00:17:34,956
Suppose I were a pretty typical comet.
266
00:17:35,161 --> 00:17:37,686
And what you would see
would be a kind of...
267
00:17:37,897 --> 00:17:40,491
...tumbling snowball...
268
00:17:40,699 --> 00:17:45,033
...spending most of my time out here
in the outer solar system.
269
00:17:45,237 --> 00:17:47,262
I'd be a kilometer across.
270
00:17:47,473 --> 00:17:49,236
I'd be living most of my days...
271
00:17:49,442 --> 00:17:53,401
...in the gloom beyond Saturn,
orbiting the sun.
272
00:17:53,613 --> 00:17:55,979
But once every century,
I would find myself...
273
00:17:56,182 --> 00:17:59,208
...careening inward,
faster and faster...
274
00:17:59,418 --> 00:18:01,784
...towards the inner solar system.
275
00:18:03,323 --> 00:18:06,759
By the time I would cross
the orbit of Jupiter...
276
00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:08,791
...on my way to the orbit of Mars...
277
00:18:08,994 --> 00:18:12,395
...I'd be heating up because
I'd be getting closer to the sun.
278
00:18:12,598 --> 00:18:14,463
I'd be evaporating a little bit.
279
00:18:14,668 --> 00:18:16,795
Small pieces of dust and ice...
280
00:18:17,002 --> 00:18:20,233
...would be blown behind me
by the solar wind...
281
00:18:20,439 --> 00:18:23,772
...forming an incipient cometary tail.
282
00:18:23,976 --> 00:18:26,410
On the scale of such
a solar system model...
283
00:18:26,612 --> 00:18:29,513
...l, me, a cometary nucleus...
284
00:18:29,715 --> 00:18:31,910
...would be smaller than a snowflake.
285
00:18:32,118 --> 00:18:36,418
Although, when fully developed,
my tail would be longer...
286
00:18:36,622 --> 00:18:39,921
...than the spacing
between the worlds.
287
00:18:41,293 --> 00:18:43,227
Now, sooner or later...
288
00:18:43,429 --> 00:18:47,195
...comets on these long, elliptical
trajectories around the sun...
289
00:18:47,399 --> 00:18:49,594
...must collide with planets.
290
00:18:49,802 --> 00:18:52,270
The Earth and the moon...
291
00:18:52,472 --> 00:18:56,135
...must have been bombarded
by comets and asteroids...
292
00:18:56,343 --> 00:18:59,312
...the debris from the early history
of the solar system.
293
00:18:59,512 --> 00:19:03,312
In interplanetary space, there are
more small objects than large ones.
294
00:19:03,516 --> 00:19:06,576
So there must be,
on a given planetary surface...
295
00:19:06,786 --> 00:19:11,086
...many more impacts of small objects
than of large objects.
296
00:19:11,290 --> 00:19:15,124
So a thing like the Tunguska impact
happens on the Earth...
297
00:19:15,327 --> 00:19:16,919
...maybe every thousand years.
298
00:19:17,130 --> 00:19:20,327
But the impact of a giant
cometary nucleus...
299
00:19:20,533 --> 00:19:22,467
...like Halley's comet, let's say...
300
00:19:22,668 --> 00:19:25,330
...happens only every
billion years or so.
301
00:19:26,071 --> 00:19:29,370
Now, is there evidence
of past collisions?
302
00:19:30,542 --> 00:19:31,941
When a large comet...
303
00:19:32,144 --> 00:19:34,806
...or a large, rocky asteroid
hits a planet...
304
00:19:35,015 --> 00:19:37,313
...it makes a bowl-shaped crater.
305
00:19:37,516 --> 00:19:41,680
The well-preserved impact craters on
Earth were all formed fairly recently.
306
00:19:41,888 --> 00:19:45,221
The older ones have been softened,
filled in or rubbed out...
307
00:19:45,425 --> 00:19:47,985
...by running water
and mountain building.
308
00:19:48,193 --> 00:19:51,685
Impacts make craters on other worlds
and about as often.
309
00:19:51,898 --> 00:19:53,365
But when the air is thin...
310
00:19:53,565 --> 00:19:57,262
...when water rarely flows,
when mountain building is feeble...
311
00:19:57,469 --> 00:19:59,767
...the ancient craters are retained.
312
00:19:59,972 --> 00:20:02,770
This is the case on the moon
and Mercury and Mars...
313
00:20:02,976 --> 00:20:05,672
...our neighboring
terrestrial planets.
314
00:20:07,179 --> 00:20:09,409
They huddle around the sun...
315
00:20:09,616 --> 00:20:11,948
...their source of heat and light...
316
00:20:12,151 --> 00:20:15,450
...a little bit like campers
around a fire.
317
00:20:15,821 --> 00:20:18,415
They are about
4½ billion years old.
318
00:20:18,624 --> 00:20:22,583
And all bear witness
to an age long gone...
319
00:20:22,795 --> 00:20:25,491
...of major collisions...
320
00:20:25,698 --> 00:20:30,101
...which do not happen at that scale
and frequency anymore.
321
00:20:30,737 --> 00:20:33,706
If we move out past...
322
00:20:33,907 --> 00:20:36,569
...the terrestrial planets
beyond Mars...
323
00:20:36,775 --> 00:20:40,836
...we find ourselves in a different
regime of the solar system...
324
00:20:41,047 --> 00:20:43,140
...in the realm of Jupiter...
325
00:20:43,348 --> 00:20:46,579
...and the other giant,
or Jovian planets.
326
00:20:47,619 --> 00:20:52,113
These are great worlds
composed largely of the gases...
327
00:20:52,325 --> 00:20:54,850
...hydrogen and helium,
some other stuff too.
328
00:20:55,061 --> 00:20:59,862
When we look at the surface,
we do not see a solid surface...
329
00:21:00,065 --> 00:21:03,831
...but only an occasional patch
of atmosphere...
330
00:21:04,036 --> 00:21:07,563
...and a complex array
of multicolored clouds.
331
00:21:07,873 --> 00:21:09,534
These are serious planets...
332
00:21:09,743 --> 00:21:13,839
...not fragmentary little world-lets
like the Earth.
333
00:21:14,046 --> 00:21:17,743
In fact, 1000 Earths would fit...
334
00:21:17,950 --> 00:21:20,316
...in the volume of Jupiter.
335
00:21:20,519 --> 00:21:24,387
If a comet or asteroid were to...
336
00:21:24,590 --> 00:21:29,527
...accidentally impact Jupiter, it would
be very unlikely to leave a crater.
337
00:21:29,728 --> 00:21:33,129
It might make a momentary hole
in the clouds, but that's it.
338
00:21:33,333 --> 00:21:37,030
Nevertheless, we know
that the outer solar system...
339
00:21:37,237 --> 00:21:40,229
...has been subject to
a many-billion-year history...
340
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:42,533
...of impact cratering.
341
00:21:42,975 --> 00:21:46,968
Jupiter's moon Callisto is studded
with thousands of craters.
342
00:21:47,179 --> 00:21:50,671
Clear evidence of ancient
collisions beyond Mars.
343
00:21:50,884 --> 00:21:54,411
And there are craters
on other moons of Jupiter.
344
00:21:54,654 --> 00:21:57,452
Most of the thousands of
large craters on our own moon...
345
00:21:57,656 --> 00:22:00,386
...were excavated
billions of years ago.
346
00:22:00,592 --> 00:22:03,117
But were any recorded
in historical times?
347
00:22:03,328 --> 00:22:07,196
The odds against it
are about 1000-to-one.
348
00:22:15,174 --> 00:22:18,337
Nevertheless, there's a possible
eyewitness account...
349
00:22:18,544 --> 00:22:20,444
...of just such an event.
350
00:22:20,646 --> 00:22:24,639
It was the Sunday before the
feast of Saint John the Baptist...
351
00:22:25,050 --> 00:22:27,484
...in the summer of 1178.
352
00:22:28,353 --> 00:22:32,551
The monks of Canterbury Cathedral had
completed their evening prayers...
353
00:22:32,758 --> 00:22:34,953
...and were about to retire
for the night.
354
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:36,923
The scholarly brother, Gervase...
355
00:22:37,130 --> 00:22:38,995
...returned to his cell to read...
356
00:22:39,198 --> 00:22:40,790
...while some of the others...
357
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,595
...went outside to enjoy
the gentle June air.
358
00:22:50,376 --> 00:22:52,401
In the midst of their recreation...
359
00:22:52,611 --> 00:22:55,944
...they chanced to witness
an astonishing sight:
360
00:22:56,148 --> 00:22:59,515
A violent explosion on the moon.
361
00:23:08,494 --> 00:23:09,859
This was a time...
362
00:23:10,062 --> 00:23:12,587
...when the heavens were
thought to be changeless.
363
00:23:12,798 --> 00:23:16,632
The moon, the stars and the planets
were deemed pure...
364
00:23:16,835 --> 00:23:20,828
...because they followed
an unvarying celestial routine.
365
00:23:21,073 --> 00:23:24,941
They were expected to behave
without unseemly disruptions...
366
00:23:25,678 --> 00:23:27,509
...like monks in a monastery.
367
00:23:28,046 --> 00:23:31,038
Was it wise to discuss such a vision?
368
00:23:37,923 --> 00:23:39,652
In every time and culture...
369
00:23:39,859 --> 00:23:43,295
...there are pressures to conform
to the prevailing prejudices.
370
00:23:44,396 --> 00:23:47,263
But there are also,
in every place and epoch...
371
00:23:47,467 --> 00:23:51,870
...those who value the truth,
who record the evidence faithfully.
372
00:23:52,070 --> 00:23:55,164
Future generations are in their debt.
373
00:24:01,214 --> 00:24:03,546
A fire on the moon.
374
00:24:03,749 --> 00:24:07,412
Might it be some portent
of ill fortune?
375
00:24:07,820 --> 00:24:11,051
Should the chronicler
of the monastery be told?
376
00:24:11,925 --> 00:24:15,361
Was this event an apparition
of the evil one?
377
00:24:18,197 --> 00:24:21,189
Gervase of Canterbury was
a historian...
378
00:24:21,401 --> 00:24:24,165
...considered today a reliable
reporter of political...
379
00:24:24,369 --> 00:24:26,769
...and cultural events of his time.
380
00:24:26,972 --> 00:24:31,170
This is his account of the
eyewitness testimony he was given:
381
00:24:31,777 --> 00:24:33,836
"Now there was a bright new moon...
382
00:24:34,046 --> 00:24:35,980
...and as usual in that phase...
383
00:24:36,182 --> 00:24:38,548
...its horns were tilted
toward the east.
384
00:24:38,750 --> 00:24:42,413
And suddenly the upper horn
split in two.
385
00:24:42,622 --> 00:24:46,149
From the midpoint of this division,
a flaming torch sprang up...
386
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:48,953
...spewing out
over a considerable distance...
387
00:24:49,161 --> 00:24:52,221
...fire, hot coals and sparks.
388
00:24:52,431 --> 00:24:55,594
After these transformations,"
Gervase continued...
389
00:24:55,801 --> 00:24:59,464
..."the moon from horn to horn
that is along its whole length...
390
00:24:59,671 --> 00:25:01,935
...took on a blackish appearance."
391
00:25:06,946 --> 00:25:11,212
Gervase took depositions
from all the eyewitnesses.
392
00:25:11,417 --> 00:25:12,714
He later wrote:
393
00:25:12,918 --> 00:25:17,514
"The writer was given this report by
men who saw it with their own eyes...
394
00:25:17,724 --> 00:25:20,215
...and are prepared to stake
their honor on an oath...
395
00:25:20,425 --> 00:25:23,826
...that they have made no addition
or falsification."
396
00:25:24,296 --> 00:25:26,321
Gervase committed the account
to paper...
397
00:25:26,531 --> 00:25:28,897
...enabling astronomers
eight centuries later...
398
00:25:29,102 --> 00:25:31,935
...to try and reconstruct
what really happened.
399
00:25:33,071 --> 00:25:36,006
It may be that 200 years
before Chaucer...
400
00:25:36,209 --> 00:25:39,201
...five monks saw an event
more wonderful...
401
00:25:39,412 --> 00:25:42,540
...than many another celebrated
Canterbury tale.
402
00:25:45,518 --> 00:25:48,715
If a small drifting mountain
were to hit the moon...
403
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,684
...it would set our satellite
swinging like a bell.
404
00:25:51,890 --> 00:25:56,020
Eventually, the tremors would
die down, but not in a mere 800 years.
405
00:25:56,229 --> 00:25:59,426
So is the moon still quivering
from that impact?
406
00:25:59,632 --> 00:26:03,659
The Apollo astronauts emplaced arrays
of special mirrors on the moon.
407
00:26:03,870 --> 00:26:06,031
Reflectors made by
French scientists...
408
00:26:06,238 --> 00:26:09,366
...were also put on the moon
by Soviet Lunakhod vehicles.
409
00:26:09,574 --> 00:26:13,510
When a laser beam from Earth strikes
a mirror and bounces back...
410
00:26:13,713 --> 00:26:16,341
...the roundtrip travel time
can be measured.
411
00:26:16,548 --> 00:26:20,314
At the McDonald Observatory
of the University of Texas...
412
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:24,354
...a laser beam is prepared for firing
at the reflectors on the moon...
413
00:26:24,557 --> 00:26:27,151
...380,000 kilometers away.
414
00:26:28,061 --> 00:26:31,121
By multiplying the travel time
by the speed of light...
415
00:26:31,330 --> 00:26:34,128
...the distance to that spot
can be determined...
416
00:26:34,332 --> 00:26:37,199
...to a precision of
7 to 10 centimeters:
417
00:26:37,402 --> 00:26:39,802
The width of a hand.
418
00:26:43,475 --> 00:26:46,410
When such measurements are
repeated over years...
419
00:26:46,611 --> 00:26:50,240
...even an extremely slight wobble
in the moon's motion...
420
00:26:50,449 --> 00:26:52,246
...can be determined.
421
00:26:52,452 --> 00:26:55,285
The accuracy is phenomenal.
422
00:26:55,488 --> 00:26:57,854
The error is much less...
423
00:26:58,056 --> 00:27:01,253
...than one-millionth of a percent.
424
00:27:02,962 --> 00:27:06,625
The moon, it turns out,
is gently swinging like a bell...
425
00:27:06,833 --> 00:27:09,393
...just as if it had been
hit by an asteroid...
426
00:27:09,602 --> 00:27:11,968
...less than 1000 years ago.
427
00:27:15,173 --> 00:27:19,337
So there may be physical evidence
in the age of space flight...
428
00:27:19,711 --> 00:27:24,148
...for the account of the Canterbury
monks in the 12th century.
429
00:27:27,053 --> 00:27:29,920
If 800 years ago
a big asteroid hit the moon...
430
00:27:30,122 --> 00:27:32,056
...the crater should be
prominent today...
431
00:27:32,257 --> 00:27:34,657
...still surrounded by bright rays...
432
00:27:34,861 --> 00:27:38,228
...thin streamers of dust
spewed out by the impact.
433
00:27:38,431 --> 00:27:40,865
In billions of years,
lunar rays are eroded...
434
00:27:41,067 --> 00:27:42,659
...but not in hundreds.
435
00:27:42,868 --> 00:27:46,531
And there is a recent ray crater
called Giordano Bruno...
436
00:27:46,738 --> 00:27:50,174
...in the region of the moon
where an explosion was reported...
437
00:27:50,375 --> 00:27:52,240
...in 1178.
438
00:27:57,916 --> 00:27:59,884
The entire evolution of the moon...
439
00:28:00,086 --> 00:28:02,554
...is a story of catastrophes.
440
00:28:02,755 --> 00:28:04,347
4 1/2 billion years ago...
441
00:28:04,556 --> 00:28:07,252
...the moon was accreting
from interplanetary boulders...
442
00:28:07,459 --> 00:28:10,053
...and craters were forming
all over its surface.
443
00:28:10,263 --> 00:28:13,096
The energy so released
helped melt the crust.
444
00:28:13,299 --> 00:28:17,759
After most of this debris was swept up
by the moon, the surface cooled.
445
00:28:18,203 --> 00:28:20,535
But about 3.9 billion years ago...
446
00:28:20,740 --> 00:28:23,675
...a great asteroid impacted.
447
00:28:28,446 --> 00:28:32,576
It generated an expanding shock wave
and re-melted some of the surface.
448
00:28:32,784 --> 00:28:34,809
The resulting basin
was then flooded...
449
00:28:35,021 --> 00:28:36,613
...probably by dark lava...
450
00:28:36,821 --> 00:28:40,188
...producing one of
the dry seas on the moon.
451
00:28:40,392 --> 00:28:43,589
More recent impacts excavated
craters with bright rays...
452
00:28:43,795 --> 00:28:47,492
...named after Eratosthenes
and Copernicus.
453
00:28:47,700 --> 00:28:49,725
The familiar features
of the man in the moon...
454
00:28:49,935 --> 00:28:52,961
...are a chronicle of ancient impacts.
455
00:28:54,540 --> 00:28:57,202
Most of the original asteroids
were swept up...
456
00:28:57,409 --> 00:28:59,400
...in the making
of the moon and planets.
457
00:28:59,612 --> 00:29:02,740
Many still orbit the sun
in the asteroid belt.
458
00:29:02,949 --> 00:29:06,578
Some, themselves almost fractured
by gravity tides...
459
00:29:06,785 --> 00:29:08,946
...and by impacts
with other asteroids...
460
00:29:09,155 --> 00:29:12,852
...have been captured by planets:
Phobos around Mars, for example...
461
00:29:13,059 --> 00:29:17,120
...or a close moon of Jupiter
called Amalthea.
462
00:29:18,730 --> 00:29:21,563
Similar to the asteroid belt
are the rings of Saturn...
463
00:29:21,766 --> 00:29:26,396
...composed of millions
of small, tumbling, icy moonlets.
464
00:29:26,606 --> 00:29:30,064
Maybe the rings of Saturn
are a moon...
465
00:29:30,276 --> 00:29:34,406
...which was prevented from
forming by the tides of Saturn.
466
00:29:34,614 --> 00:29:37,811
Or maybe it's the remains
of a moon that wandered too close...
467
00:29:38,017 --> 00:29:40,611
...and was torn apart by
the tides of Saturn.
468
00:29:40,820 --> 00:29:43,755
It's certainly a lovely place.
469
00:29:43,956 --> 00:29:48,086
Jupiter also has
a newly discovered ring system...
470
00:29:48,294 --> 00:29:51,024
...which is invisible from the Earth.
471
00:29:53,732 --> 00:29:58,669
Now, there is a curious argument...
472
00:29:58,938 --> 00:30:02,396
...alleging major recent collisions
in the solar system...
473
00:30:02,608 --> 00:30:05,099
...proposed by a psychiatrist...
474
00:30:05,311 --> 00:30:09,213
...named Immanuel Velikovsky in 1950.
475
00:30:09,615 --> 00:30:11,879
He suggested...
476
00:30:12,084 --> 00:30:15,611
...that an object of planetary mass,
which he called a comet...
477
00:30:15,821 --> 00:30:19,313
...was somehow produced
in the Jupiter system.
478
00:30:19,525 --> 00:30:22,790
He doesn't say exactly
how it's produced...
479
00:30:23,629 --> 00:30:24,994
...but maybe...
480
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:30,630
...it's spat out...
481
00:30:33,773 --> 00:30:35,104
...of Jupiter.
482
00:30:35,940 --> 00:30:40,877
Anyway, however it was made
some 3500 years ago, he imagines...
483
00:30:41,446 --> 00:30:46,179
...it made repeated
close encounters with Mars...
484
00:30:47,019 --> 00:30:49,351
...with the Earth-moon system...
485
00:30:49,721 --> 00:30:54,658
...having as entertaining
biblical consequences...
486
00:30:55,527 --> 00:31:00,226
...the parting of the Red Sea so that
Moses and the Israelites could...
487
00:31:00,432 --> 00:31:03,060
...safely avoid the host of pharaoh...
488
00:31:03,268 --> 00:31:06,032
...and the stopping of
the Earth's rotation when...
489
00:31:06,237 --> 00:31:10,731
...Joshua commanded the sun
to stand still in Gibeon.
490
00:31:10,942 --> 00:31:13,570
He also imagined that
there was extensive flooding...
491
00:31:13,778 --> 00:31:17,009
...and the volcanoes all over
the Earth at that time.
492
00:31:17,515 --> 00:31:22,111
Well, then after
a very complicated game...
493
00:31:22,321 --> 00:31:26,052
...of interplanetary billiards
is completed...
494
00:31:26,258 --> 00:31:30,786
...Velikovsky proposed
that this comet...
495
00:31:30,995 --> 00:31:34,897
...entered into a stable,
almost perfectly circular orbit...
496
00:31:35,100 --> 00:31:36,397
...becoming...
497
00:31:39,205 --> 00:31:40,832
...the planet Venus...
498
00:31:41,039 --> 00:31:44,406
...which he claimed
never existed until then.
499
00:31:45,777 --> 00:31:50,612
Now, these ideas are
almost certainly wrong.
500
00:31:51,217 --> 00:31:53,879
There's no objection
in astronomy to collisions.
501
00:31:54,086 --> 00:31:56,281
We've seen collision fragments...
502
00:31:56,488 --> 00:31:59,787
...and evidence throughout
the solar system.
503
00:31:59,991 --> 00:32:03,825
The problem is with recent
and major collisions.
504
00:32:04,029 --> 00:32:06,259
In any scale model like this...
505
00:32:06,464 --> 00:32:09,729
...it's impossible to have both
the sizes of the planets...
506
00:32:09,934 --> 00:32:12,402
...and the sizes of their orbits
to the same scale...
507
00:32:12,604 --> 00:32:15,767
...because then the planets
would be too small to see.
508
00:32:15,975 --> 00:32:19,035
If the planets were really
to scale in such a model...
509
00:32:19,245 --> 00:32:21,713
...as grains of dust...
510
00:32:21,914 --> 00:32:24,178
...it would then be entirely clear...
511
00:32:24,382 --> 00:32:27,317
...that a comet entering
the inner solar system...
512
00:32:27,519 --> 00:32:30,420
...would have a negligible chance
of colliding with a planet...
513
00:32:30,622 --> 00:32:32,783
...in only a few thousand years.
514
00:32:32,992 --> 00:32:34,289
Moreover...
515
00:32:34,492 --> 00:32:37,950
...Venus is a rocky and metallic...
516
00:32:38,163 --> 00:32:40,529
...hydrogen-poor world...
517
00:32:40,732 --> 00:32:43,667
...whereas Jupiter, where Velikovsky
imagines it comes from...
518
00:32:43,869 --> 00:32:46,497
...is made of almost nothing
but hydrogen.
519
00:32:46,705 --> 00:32:51,506
There is no energy source in Jupiter
to eject planets or comets.
520
00:32:51,709 --> 00:32:55,440
If one did enter
the inner solar system...
521
00:32:55,647 --> 00:32:59,174
...there is no way it could stop
the Earth from rotating.
522
00:32:59,384 --> 00:33:02,785
And if it could, there's no way
Earth could start rotating again...
523
00:33:02,987 --> 00:33:05,387
...at anything like 24 hours a day.
524
00:33:05,590 --> 00:33:08,923
There's no geological evidence
for flooding and volcanism...
525
00:33:09,127 --> 00:33:11,186
...3500 years ago.
526
00:33:11,397 --> 00:33:14,560
Babylonian astronomers
observed Venus...
527
00:33:14,767 --> 00:33:17,395
...in its present stable orbit...
528
00:33:17,603 --> 00:33:20,595
...before Velikovsky said it existed.
529
00:33:20,806 --> 00:33:23,331
And so on.
530
00:33:27,847 --> 00:33:30,611
There are many hypotheses
in science which are wrong.
531
00:33:30,815 --> 00:33:34,342
That's all right. It's the aperture
to finding out what's right.
532
00:33:34,552 --> 00:33:37,385
Science is a self-correcting process.
533
00:33:37,589 --> 00:33:40,114
To be accepted,
new ideas must survive...
534
00:33:40,325 --> 00:33:44,625
...the most rigorous standards
of evidence and scrutiny.
535
00:33:44,963 --> 00:33:47,955
The worst aspect of
the Velikovsky affair is not...
536
00:33:48,166 --> 00:33:50,726
...that many of his ideas were
wrong or silly...
537
00:33:50,935 --> 00:33:53,597
...or in gross contradiction
to the facts.
538
00:33:53,806 --> 00:33:57,674
Rather, the worst aspect is
that some scientists...
539
00:33:57,876 --> 00:34:01,243
...attempted to suppress
Velikovsky's ideas.
540
00:34:01,479 --> 00:34:05,711
The suppression of uncomfortable ideas
may be common in religion...
541
00:34:05,917 --> 00:34:09,785
...or in politics,
but it is not the path to knowledge.
542
00:34:09,989 --> 00:34:13,288
And there's no place for it
in the endeavor of science.
543
00:34:13,492 --> 00:34:15,187
We do not know beforehand...
544
00:34:15,393 --> 00:34:19,420
...where fundamental insights
will arise from...
545
00:34:19,631 --> 00:34:23,761
...about our mysterious
and lovely solar system.
546
00:34:23,969 --> 00:34:27,598
And the history of our study
of the solar system shows clearly...
547
00:34:27,806 --> 00:34:31,833
...that accepted and conventional
ideas are often wrong...
548
00:34:32,044 --> 00:34:34,012
...and that fundamental insights...
549
00:34:34,212 --> 00:34:38,046
...can arise from
the most unexpected sources.
550
00:34:39,685 --> 00:34:41,448
We've evolved on the planet Earth...
551
00:34:41,654 --> 00:34:44,248
...and so we find it
a congenial place.
552
00:34:44,455 --> 00:34:46,787
But just next door is Venus...
553
00:34:46,991 --> 00:34:49,983
...until recently, enveloped
in mystery.
554
00:34:50,195 --> 00:34:53,096
It has almost the same size
and mass as the Earth.
555
00:34:53,299 --> 00:34:57,292
Might our sister world
be a balmy summer planet...
556
00:34:57,502 --> 00:35:00,835
...a little warmer than the Earth
because it's closer to the sun?
557
00:35:01,039 --> 00:35:05,373
Are there craters, volcanoes,
mountains, oceans, life?
558
00:35:06,412 --> 00:35:11,111
The first to look at Venus through
a telescope was Galileo in 1609.
559
00:35:11,316 --> 00:35:14,114
But all he could see
was a featureless disk.
560
00:35:14,687 --> 00:35:18,214
As optical telescopes got bigger,
that's all anybody could see:
561
00:35:18,423 --> 00:35:21,017
A disk with no details on it at all.
562
00:35:21,226 --> 00:35:24,992
Venus evidently was covered
with an opaque layer...
563
00:35:25,197 --> 00:35:28,325
...thick clouds concealing the surface.
564
00:35:28,534 --> 00:35:33,130
For centuries, even the composition
of the clouds of Venus was unknown.
565
00:35:33,338 --> 00:35:37,866
I mean, you could go outside, look up,
see Venus with the naked eye...
566
00:35:38,077 --> 00:35:41,171
...observe sunlight reflected
from the clouds of Venus.
567
00:35:41,380 --> 00:35:43,974
What were you looking at?
What were the clouds made of?
568
00:35:44,182 --> 00:35:45,740
Nobody knew.
569
00:35:45,951 --> 00:35:49,648
As a result, imagination ran riot.
570
00:35:49,855 --> 00:35:52,722
The absence of anything you
could see on Venus...
571
00:35:52,925 --> 00:35:56,361
...led some scientists and others
to deduce...
572
00:35:56,562 --> 00:35:58,723
...that the surface was a swamp.
573
00:36:00,032 --> 00:36:04,025
The argument, if we can dignify it
with such a phrase...
574
00:36:04,435 --> 00:36:05,367
...went like this:
575
00:36:05,571 --> 00:36:07,869
"I can't see a thing
on the surface of Venus."
576
00:36:08,072 --> 00:36:08,731
"Why not?"
577
00:36:08,941 --> 00:36:12,069
"Because it's covered with
a dense layer of clouds."
578
00:36:12,276 --> 00:36:13,743
"What are clouds made of?"
579
00:36:13,946 --> 00:36:17,575
"Water, of course. Therefore, Venus
must have a lot of water on it."
580
00:36:17,783 --> 00:36:19,273
"Then the surface must be wet."
581
00:36:19,485 --> 00:36:22,181
"If the surface is wet,
it's probably a swamp.
582
00:36:22,387 --> 00:36:25,220
If there's a swamp, there's ferns.
If there's ferns...
583
00:36:25,423 --> 00:36:27,789
...maybe there's even dinosaurs."
584
00:36:27,993 --> 00:36:29,927
Observation:
You couldn't see a thing.
585
00:36:30,129 --> 00:36:32,723
Conclusion: dinosaurs.
586
00:36:33,298 --> 00:36:36,096
If just looking at Venus
was so unproductive...
587
00:36:36,300 --> 00:36:37,733
...what else could you do?
588
00:36:37,936 --> 00:36:41,303
The next clue came from
early work with that:
589
00:36:41,507 --> 00:36:43,031
A glass prism.
590
00:36:43,241 --> 00:36:47,371
An intense beam of ordinary white
light is passed through a narrow slit...
591
00:36:47,579 --> 00:36:49,171
...and then through the prism.
592
00:36:49,381 --> 00:36:51,975
The result is to spread
the white light out...
593
00:36:52,184 --> 00:36:55,551
...into its constituent
rainbow of colors.
594
00:36:56,188 --> 00:36:59,521
This rainbow pattern
is called a spectrum.
595
00:36:59,725 --> 00:37:02,523
Think about it.
White light enters the prism...
596
00:37:02,728 --> 00:37:05,492
...what comes out of the prism
is colored light.
597
00:37:05,698 --> 00:37:07,723
Lots of colors.
Where did they come from?
598
00:37:07,932 --> 00:37:09,957
They must've been hiding
in the white light.
599
00:37:10,169 --> 00:37:13,297
White light must be
a mixture of many colors.
600
00:37:13,505 --> 00:37:16,269
Here we see the spectrum
running from...
601
00:37:16,475 --> 00:37:19,876
...violet, blue, green,
yellow, orange, to red.
602
00:37:20,079 --> 00:37:24,516
Since we see these colors, we call
this the spectrum of visible light.
603
00:37:25,550 --> 00:37:29,577
The sun emits lots of visible light.
The air is transparent to it.
604
00:37:29,788 --> 00:37:32,450
So our eyes evolved
to work in visible light.
605
00:37:32,657 --> 00:37:36,149
But there are many other frequencies
of light which our eyes can't detect.
606
00:37:36,361 --> 00:37:38,420
Beyond the violet
is the ultraviolet.
607
00:37:38,629 --> 00:37:41,757
It's just as real, but you need
instruments to detect it.
608
00:37:41,967 --> 00:37:45,300
Beyond the ultraviolet are
the x-rays and then the gamma rays.
609
00:37:45,837 --> 00:37:48,203
On the other side of visible light,
beyond the red...
610
00:37:48,407 --> 00:37:51,137
...is the infrared,
again real, again invisible.
611
00:37:51,343 --> 00:37:54,540
Beyond the infrared
are the radio waves.
612
00:37:54,747 --> 00:37:58,513
Now, this entire range from
the gamma rays way over there...
613
00:37:58,717 --> 00:38:01,117
...to the radio waves
all the way over here...
614
00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:03,686
...are simply different
kinds of light.
615
00:38:03,888 --> 00:38:06,083
They differ only in the frequency.
616
00:38:06,291 --> 00:38:09,260
They're all useful, by the way,
in astronomy.
617
00:38:09,461 --> 00:38:12,089
But because of the limitations
of our eyes...
618
00:38:12,297 --> 00:38:16,631
...we have a prejudice,
a bias, a chauvinism...
619
00:38:16,835 --> 00:38:20,430
...to this tiny rainbow band
of visible light.
620
00:38:20,638 --> 00:38:24,802
Now, a spectrum can be used
in a simple and elegant way...
621
00:38:25,042 --> 00:38:28,307
...to determine the chemical
composition of the atmosphere...
622
00:38:28,513 --> 00:38:29,878
...of a planet or star.
623
00:38:30,082 --> 00:38:32,448
Different atoms and molecules
absorb...
624
00:38:32,651 --> 00:38:35,415
...different frequencies
or colors of light.
625
00:38:35,620 --> 00:38:40,114
And those absorbed or missing
frequencies appear as black lines...
626
00:38:40,325 --> 00:38:44,159
...in the spectrum of the light
we receive from the planet or star.
627
00:38:44,363 --> 00:38:48,697
Each and every substance
has a characteristic fingerprint...
628
00:38:48,900 --> 00:38:51,198
...a spectral signature...
629
00:38:51,403 --> 00:38:54,338
...which permits it to be detected
over a great distance.
630
00:38:54,540 --> 00:38:58,101
As a result, the gases
in the atmosphere of Venus...
631
00:38:58,310 --> 00:39:01,211
...at a distance of
60 million kilometers...
632
00:39:01,413 --> 00:39:05,144
...their composition's been determined
from the Earth.
633
00:39:05,350 --> 00:39:09,844
It's amazing to me still, we can tell
what a thing is made out of...
634
00:39:10,054 --> 00:39:13,683
...at an enormous distance away,
without ever touching it.
635
00:39:15,027 --> 00:39:19,157
Our eyes can't see in the near
infrared part of the spectrum.
636
00:39:19,364 --> 00:39:20,763
But our instruments can.
637
00:39:20,965 --> 00:39:24,799
Here's the absorption pattern
of lots and lots of carbon dioxide:
638
00:39:25,003 --> 00:39:29,463
Dark lines in characteristic patterns
at specific frequencies.
639
00:39:29,708 --> 00:39:32,506
You'd detect a different set
of infrared lines...
640
00:39:32,711 --> 00:39:35,373
...if, say, water vapor were present.
641
00:39:36,148 --> 00:39:41,051
If Venus were really soaking wet,
then you could determine that...
642
00:39:41,419 --> 00:39:45,219
...by finding the pattern
of water vapor in its atmosphere.
643
00:39:45,423 --> 00:39:48,517
But around 1920, when this experiment
was first performed...
644
00:39:48,726 --> 00:39:51,388
...the Venus atmosphere seemed to
have not a hint...
645
00:39:51,597 --> 00:39:55,795
...not a smidgen, not a trace
of water vapor above the clouds.
646
00:39:56,000 --> 00:40:00,096
And so instead of a swampy,
soaking wet surface...
647
00:40:00,305 --> 00:40:03,968
...it was suggested that Venus
was bone-dry, a desert planet...
648
00:40:04,176 --> 00:40:07,668
...with clouds composed
of fine silicate dust.
649
00:40:08,247 --> 00:40:11,114
But later, spectroscopic
observations revealed...
650
00:40:11,316 --> 00:40:13,216
...the characteristic
absorption lines...
651
00:40:13,417 --> 00:40:16,284
...of an enormous amount
of carbon dioxide.
652
00:40:16,487 --> 00:40:20,856
Scientists thought there must be lots
of carbon compounds on the surface...
653
00:40:21,059 --> 00:40:24,654
...making this a planet
covered with petroleum.
654
00:40:24,897 --> 00:40:28,856
Others agreed that the atmosphere was
dry but thought the surface was wet.
655
00:40:29,067 --> 00:40:32,559
With all that CO 2,
it had to be carbonated water.
656
00:40:32,771 --> 00:40:36,673
Venus, they thought, was covered
with a vast ocean of seltzer.
657
00:40:36,875 --> 00:40:40,311
The first hint of the true situation
on Venus came...
658
00:40:40,512 --> 00:40:44,004
...not from the visible, ultraviolet
or infrared part of the spectrum...
659
00:40:44,216 --> 00:40:47,185
...but from over here
in the radio region.
660
00:40:47,386 --> 00:40:50,787
We're used to the idea of
radio signals from intelligent life...
661
00:40:50,989 --> 00:40:54,948
...or at least semi-intelligent life,
radio and television stations.
662
00:40:55,159 --> 00:40:59,152
But there are all kinds of reasons
why natural objects emit radio waves.
663
00:40:59,363 --> 00:41:01,957
One reason is that they're hot.
664
00:41:02,266 --> 00:41:04,234
And when, in 1956...
665
00:41:04,436 --> 00:41:07,599
...Venus was, for the first time,
observed by a radio telescope...
666
00:41:07,806 --> 00:41:10,866
...the planet was discovered
to be emitting radio waves...
667
00:41:11,076 --> 00:41:14,341
...as if it were at
an extremely high temperature.
668
00:41:14,546 --> 00:41:19,279
But the real demonstration that Venus'
surface was astonishingly hot...
669
00:41:19,483 --> 00:41:24,420
...came when the first spacecraft
penetrated the clouds of Venus...
670
00:41:24,756 --> 00:41:28,988
...and slowly settled on the surface
of the nearest planet.
671
00:41:32,064 --> 00:41:37,001
These were the unmanned spacecraft
of the Soviet Venera series.
672
00:41:39,604 --> 00:41:44,268
In our spaceship of the imagination,
we retrace their course.
673
00:41:45,677 --> 00:41:50,114
From a distance, our sister planet
seems serene and peaceful...
674
00:41:50,315 --> 00:41:52,510
...its clouds motionless.
675
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:58,978
These clouds are near the top
of a great ocean of air...
676
00:41:59,191 --> 00:42:03,958
...about 100 kilometers thick,
composed mainly of carbon dioxide.
677
00:42:07,566 --> 00:42:10,660
There's some nitrogen, a little
water vapor and other gases...
678
00:42:10,869 --> 00:42:14,134
...but only the merest trace
of hydrocarbons.
679
00:42:14,539 --> 00:42:16,973
The clouds turn out to be,
not water...
680
00:42:17,175 --> 00:42:20,736
...but a concentrated solution
of sulfuric acid.
681
00:42:29,854 --> 00:42:31,617
Even in the high clouds...
682
00:42:31,823 --> 00:42:35,520
...Venus is a thoroughly nasty place.
683
00:42:43,701 --> 00:42:46,465
The clouds are stained yellow
by sulfur.
684
00:42:46,671 --> 00:42:48,468
There are great lightning storms.
685
00:42:48,673 --> 00:42:50,971
As we descend, there are
increasing amounts...
686
00:42:51,175 --> 00:42:53,143
...of the noxious gas sulfur dioxide.
687
00:42:53,812 --> 00:42:56,975
The pressures become so high
that early Venera spacecraft...
688
00:42:57,182 --> 00:42:59,776
...were crushed like old tin cans...
689
00:42:59,985 --> 00:43:02,613
...by the weight
of the surrounding atmosphere.
690
00:43:05,423 --> 00:43:08,449
Beneath the clouds
in the dense, clear air...
691
00:43:08,659 --> 00:43:11,219
...it's as bright as
on an overcast day on Earth.
692
00:43:11,430 --> 00:43:15,059
But the atmosphere is so thick
that the ground seems to ripple...
693
00:43:15,266 --> 00:43:16,756
...and distort.
694
00:43:17,002 --> 00:43:20,904
The atmospheric pressure down here is
90 times that on Earth.
695
00:43:21,173 --> 00:43:26,110
The temperature is 380 degrees
centigrade, 900 degrees Fahrenheit.
696
00:43:26,510 --> 00:43:29,138
Hotter than the hottest
household oven.
697
00:43:29,346 --> 00:43:31,906
This is a world
marked by searing heat...
698
00:43:32,117 --> 00:43:34,677
...crushing pressures,
sulfurous gases...
699
00:43:34,886 --> 00:43:37,548
...and a desolate, reddish landscape.
700
00:43:37,756 --> 00:43:41,749
Far from the balmy paradise
imagined by some early scientists...
701
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:46,226
...Venus is the one place
in the solar system most like hell.
702
00:43:52,137 --> 00:43:54,628
But today, as in ancient tradition...
703
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:59,436
...there are travelers who will dare
a visit to the underworld.
704
00:43:59,678 --> 00:44:02,476
Venera 9 was the first spacecraft
in human history...
705
00:44:02,681 --> 00:44:05,411
...to return a photograph
from the surface of Venus.
706
00:44:05,617 --> 00:44:08,347
It found the rocks curiously eroded...
707
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:10,547
...perhaps by the corrosive gases...
708
00:44:10,755 --> 00:44:13,053
...perhaps because
the temperature is so high...
709
00:44:13,258 --> 00:44:16,955
...that the rocks are partly molten
and sluggishly flow.
710
00:44:17,162 --> 00:44:21,929
The Soviet Venera spacecraft,
their electronics long ago fried...
711
00:44:22,133 --> 00:44:25,569
...are slowly corroding
on the surface of Venus.
712
00:44:25,769 --> 00:44:27,828
They are the first spaceships
from Earth...
713
00:44:28,039 --> 00:44:30,803
...ever to land on another planet.
714
00:44:35,580 --> 00:44:37,480
The reason Venus is like hell...
715
00:44:37,682 --> 00:44:40,810
...seems to be what's called
the greenhouse effect.
716
00:44:41,019 --> 00:44:44,716
Ordinary visible sunlight penetrates
the clouds and heats the surface.
717
00:44:44,923 --> 00:44:47,653
But the dense atmosphere
blankets the surface...
718
00:44:47,859 --> 00:44:50,521
...and prevents it from
cooling off to space.
719
00:44:50,729 --> 00:44:53,459
An atmosphere 90 times
as dense as ours...
720
00:44:53,664 --> 00:44:56,394
...made of carbon dioxide,
water vapor and other gases...
721
00:44:56,601 --> 00:44:58,398
...lets in visible light
from the sun...
722
00:44:58,603 --> 00:45:02,664
...but will not let out the infrared
light radiated by the surface.
723
00:45:02,874 --> 00:45:04,364
The temperature rises...
724
00:45:04,575 --> 00:45:07,544
...until the infrared radiation
trickling out to space...
725
00:45:07,745 --> 00:45:10,839
...just balances the sunlight
reaching the surface.
726
00:45:14,318 --> 00:45:17,082
The greenhouse effect can make
an Earth-like world...
727
00:45:17,289 --> 00:45:19,723
...into a planetary inferno.
728
00:45:21,959 --> 00:45:25,019
In this caldron, there's not likely
to be anything alive...
729
00:45:25,229 --> 00:45:27,356
...even creatures
very different from us.
730
00:45:27,566 --> 00:45:30,660
Organic and other conceivable
biological molecules...
731
00:45:30,869 --> 00:45:33,667
...would simply fall to pieces.
732
00:45:46,217 --> 00:45:48,913
The hell of Venus is
in stark contrast...
733
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:52,612
...with the comparative heaven
of its neighboring world...
734
00:45:52,823 --> 00:45:56,224
...our little planetary home,
the Earth.
735
00:45:57,896 --> 00:46:01,889
Here, the atmosphere is
90 times thinner.
736
00:46:02,100 --> 00:46:05,069
Here, the carbon dioxide
and water vapor...
737
00:46:05,270 --> 00:46:07,295
...make a modest greenhouse effect...
738
00:46:07,504 --> 00:46:10,496
...which heats the ground
above the freezing point of water.
739
00:46:10,708 --> 00:46:15,202
Without it, our oceans
would be frozen solid.
740
00:46:15,413 --> 00:46:18,780
A little greenhouse effect
is a good thing.
741
00:46:30,161 --> 00:46:32,823
But Venus is an ominous reminder...
742
00:46:33,031 --> 00:46:35,192
...that on a world
rather like the Earth...
743
00:46:35,399 --> 00:46:37,731
...things can go wrong.
744
00:46:38,270 --> 00:46:42,798
There is no guarantee that our planet
will always be so hospitable.
745
00:46:43,008 --> 00:46:45,169
To maintain this clement world...
746
00:46:45,377 --> 00:46:48,938
...we must understand it
and appreciate it.
747
00:46:52,183 --> 00:46:54,879
The Earth is a place to our eyes...
748
00:46:55,086 --> 00:46:57,987
...more beautiful than
any other that we know.
749
00:46:58,189 --> 00:47:01,647
But this beauty has been
sculpted by change:
750
00:47:01,860 --> 00:47:04,488
Gentle, almost undetectable change...
751
00:47:04,696 --> 00:47:06,994
...and sudden, violent change.
752
00:47:07,198 --> 00:47:11,328
In the cosmos,
there is no refuge from change.
753
00:47:12,070 --> 00:47:15,267
The Sphinx:
human head, lion's body...
754
00:47:15,473 --> 00:47:18,909
...constructed more than
5500 years ago.
755
00:47:19,344 --> 00:47:22,279
That face was once crisp
and cleanly rendered...
756
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:24,175
...like this paw I am standing on.
757
00:47:24,381 --> 00:47:27,407
The paw has been buried
in the sand until recently...
758
00:47:27,618 --> 00:47:29,779
...and protected from erosion.
759
00:47:30,288 --> 00:47:33,951
The face is now muddled
and softened...
760
00:47:34,159 --> 00:47:37,822
...because of thousands of years
of sandblasting in the desert...
761
00:47:38,028 --> 00:47:39,928
...and a little rainfall.
762
00:47:40,432 --> 00:47:44,232
In New York City, there is an obelisk
called Cleopatra's Needle...
763
00:47:44,436 --> 00:47:45,960
...which comes from Egypt.
764
00:47:46,171 --> 00:47:50,301
In only a little more than a century
in New York's Central Park...
765
00:47:50,508 --> 00:47:54,945
...the inscriptions on that obelisk
have been almost totally obliterated.
766
00:47:55,146 --> 00:47:57,637
Not by sand and water...
767
00:47:57,849 --> 00:48:00,317
...but by smog
and industrial pollution.
768
00:48:00,518 --> 00:48:02,509
A bit like the atmosphere of Venus.
769
00:48:03,053 --> 00:48:07,012
Slow erosion wipes out information.
770
00:48:07,225 --> 00:48:08,249
On the Earth...
771
00:48:08,460 --> 00:48:10,792
...mountain ranges are destroyed
by erosion...
772
00:48:10,995 --> 00:48:13,190
...in maybe tens of millions
of years...
773
00:48:13,397 --> 00:48:17,424
...small impact craters in maybe
hundreds of thousands of years.
774
00:48:17,635 --> 00:48:20,399
And the greatest artifacts
of human beings...
775
00:48:20,604 --> 00:48:23,971
...in thousands
or tens of thousands of years.
776
00:48:26,211 --> 00:48:29,669
In addition to such slow
and uniform processes...
777
00:48:29,881 --> 00:48:33,248
...there are rare but sudden
catastrophes.
778
00:48:33,451 --> 00:48:36,215
The Sphinx is missing a nose.
779
00:48:36,421 --> 00:48:40,653
In an act of idle desecration,
some soldiers once shot it off.
780
00:48:40,859 --> 00:48:45,193
If you wait long enough,
everything changes.
781
00:49:03,481 --> 00:49:07,645
Slow, uniform processes,
unheralded events:
782
00:49:07,852 --> 00:49:09,479
The sting of a sand grain...
783
00:49:09,686 --> 00:49:11,711
...the fall of a drop of water...
784
00:49:11,923 --> 00:49:15,586
...can, over the ages,
totally rework the landscape.
785
00:49:36,281 --> 00:49:38,841
And rare, violent processes...
786
00:49:39,050 --> 00:49:42,019
...exceptional events
that will not recur in a lifetime...
787
00:49:42,287 --> 00:49:44,915
...also make major changes.
788
00:50:05,609 --> 00:50:09,739
Both the insignificant
and the extraordinary...
789
00:50:09,948 --> 00:50:13,111
...are the architects
of the natural world.
790
00:50:57,861 --> 00:51:00,887
The destruction of trees
and grasslands...
791
00:51:01,099 --> 00:51:03,533
...makes the surface
of the Earth brighter.
792
00:51:03,735 --> 00:51:07,796
It reflects more sunlight
back to space and cools our planet.
793
00:51:08,705 --> 00:51:10,400
After we discovered fire...
794
00:51:10,608 --> 00:51:13,805
...we began to incinerate forests
intentionally...
795
00:51:14,012 --> 00:51:16,139
...to clear the land
by a process called...
796
00:51:16,548 --> 00:51:19,608
..."slash and burn" agriculture.
797
00:51:19,817 --> 00:51:24,379
And today, forests and grasslands
are being destroyed...
798
00:51:24,589 --> 00:51:28,889
...frivolously, carelessly
by humans who are...
799
00:51:29,093 --> 00:51:33,120
...heedless of the beauty
of our cousins the trees...
800
00:51:33,331 --> 00:51:36,698
...and ignorant of the possible
climatic catastrophes...
801
00:51:36,901 --> 00:51:40,962
...which large-scale burning
of forests may bring.
802
00:51:46,544 --> 00:51:49,012
The indiscriminate destruction
of vegetation...
803
00:51:49,213 --> 00:51:50,805
...may alter the global climate...
804
00:51:51,015 --> 00:51:53,950
...in ways that no scientist
can yet predict.
805
00:51:55,453 --> 00:51:57,683
It has already deadened
large patches...
806
00:51:57,889 --> 00:52:00,323
...of the Earth's
life-supporting skin.
807
00:52:12,403 --> 00:52:16,601
And yet, we ravage the Earth
at an accelerated pace...
808
00:52:16,808 --> 00:52:19,140
...as if it belonged
to this one generation...
809
00:52:19,344 --> 00:52:22,939
...as if it were ours
to do with as we please.
810
00:52:31,789 --> 00:52:34,189
The Earth has mechanisms
to cleanse itself...
811
00:52:34,392 --> 00:52:37,725
...to neutralize the toxic substances
in its system.
812
00:52:37,929 --> 00:52:40,523
But these mechanisms work
only up to a point.
813
00:52:40,732 --> 00:52:44,099
Beyond some critical threshold,
they break down.
814
00:52:44,302 --> 00:52:47,533
The damage becomes irreversible.
815
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:17,534
Our generation must choose.
816
00:53:17,735 --> 00:53:20,829
Which do we value more:
short-term profits...
817
00:53:21,039 --> 00:53:25,032
...or the long-term habitability
of our planetary home?
818
00:53:28,079 --> 00:53:30,047
The world is divided politically.
819
00:53:30,248 --> 00:53:32,682
But ecologically
it is tightly interwoven.
820
00:53:32,884 --> 00:53:36,581
There are no useless threads
in the fabric of the ecosystem.
821
00:53:36,854 --> 00:53:40,688
If you cut any one of them,
you will unravel many others.
822
00:53:42,060 --> 00:53:43,652
We have uncovered other worlds...
823
00:53:43,861 --> 00:53:47,126
...with choking atmospheres
and deadly surfaces.
824
00:53:47,398 --> 00:53:50,731
Shall we then re-create
these hells on Earth?
825
00:53:53,504 --> 00:53:57,406
We have encountered desolate moons
and barren asteroids.
826
00:53:57,608 --> 00:54:02,545
Shall we then scar and crater this
blue-green world in their likeness?
827
00:54:21,099 --> 00:54:23,897
Natural catastrophes are rare.
828
00:54:24,102 --> 00:54:25,535
But they come often enough.
829
00:54:25,737 --> 00:54:29,366
We need not force the hand of nature.
830
00:54:39,016 --> 00:54:43,316
If we ruin the Earth,
there is no place else to go.
831
00:54:43,521 --> 00:54:46,217
This is not a disposable world.
832
00:54:46,424 --> 00:54:50,190
And we are not yet able
to re-engineer other planets.
833
00:54:58,703 --> 00:55:01,228
The cruelest desert on Earth...
834
00:55:01,439 --> 00:55:05,705
...is far more hospitable
than any place on Mars.
835
00:55:07,011 --> 00:55:10,469
The bright, sandy surface
and dusty atmosphere of Mars...
836
00:55:10,681 --> 00:55:14,276
...reflect enough sunlight
back to space to cool the planet...
837
00:55:14,485 --> 00:55:19,422
...freezing out all its water,
locking it in a perpetual ice age.
838
00:55:20,391 --> 00:55:24,953
Human activities brighten
our landscape and our atmosphere.
839
00:55:25,163 --> 00:55:28,394
Might this ultimately
make an ice age here?
840
00:55:29,500 --> 00:55:33,527
At the same time, we are releasing
vast quantities of carbon dioxide...
841
00:55:33,738 --> 00:55:36,468
...increasing the greenhouse effect.
842
00:55:36,674 --> 00:55:39,302
The Earth need not
resemble Venus very closely...
843
00:55:39,510 --> 00:55:42,377
...for it to become
barren and lifeless.
844
00:55:46,017 --> 00:55:49,453
It may not take much
to destabilize the Earth's climate...
845
00:55:49,654 --> 00:55:53,112
...to convert this heaven,
our only home in the cosmos...
846
00:55:53,324 --> 00:55:55,292
...into a kind of hell.
847
00:55:57,829 --> 00:56:01,390
The study of the global climate,
the sun's influence...
848
00:56:01,599 --> 00:56:04,227
...the comparison of the Earth
with other worlds...
849
00:56:04,435 --> 00:56:07,871
These are subjects in their
earliest stages of development.
850
00:56:08,072 --> 00:56:11,235
They are funded poorly
and grudgingly.
851
00:56:11,442 --> 00:56:15,572
Meanwhile, we continue to load the
Earth's atmosphere with materials...
852
00:56:15,780 --> 00:56:20,217
...about whose long-term influence
we are almost entirely ignorant.
853
00:56:21,586 --> 00:56:26,080
There are worlds that began with
as much apparent promise as Earth.
854
00:56:26,290 --> 00:56:29,157
But something went wrong.
855
00:56:29,360 --> 00:56:33,888
Knowing that worlds can die
alerts us to our danger.
856
00:56:35,032 --> 00:56:38,934
If a visitor arrived from another
world, what account would we give...
857
00:56:39,136 --> 00:56:42,401
...of our stewardship
of the planet Earth?
858
00:56:49,614 --> 00:56:54,483
In the history of the solar system,
have worlds ever been destroyed?
859
00:56:55,586 --> 00:56:58,783
Most of the moons in the outer
solar system have craters on them...
860
00:56:58,990 --> 00:57:01,424
...made by cometary impacts.
861
00:57:02,126 --> 00:57:04,060
Some have such
large craters though...
862
00:57:04,262 --> 00:57:07,925
...that if the impacting comets
had been just a little bit bigger...
863
00:57:08,132 --> 00:57:10,225
...the moons would have
been shattered.
864
00:57:12,803 --> 00:57:15,363
What would the results of
such a collision look like?
865
00:57:18,409 --> 00:57:20,104
Maybe a planetary ring.
866
00:57:22,580 --> 00:57:25,447
The idea has been growing
that little worlds are...
867
00:57:25,650 --> 00:57:28,517
...every now and then,
demolished by a cometary impact.
868
00:57:28,719 --> 00:57:33,281
The fragments then slowly coalesce,
and a moon arises again...
869
00:57:33,491 --> 00:57:34,822
...from its own ashes.
870
00:57:35,026 --> 00:57:39,554
Some moons may have been destroyed
and reconstituted many times.
871
00:57:40,798 --> 00:57:44,564
For our own world,
the peril is more subtle.
872
00:57:45,202 --> 00:57:46,897
Since this series was
first broadcast...
873
00:57:47,104 --> 00:57:49,902
...the dangers of the increasing
greenhouse effect...
874
00:57:50,107 --> 00:57:51,665
...have become much more clear.
875
00:57:51,876 --> 00:57:56,108
We burn fossil fuels, like coal
and gas and petroleum...
876
00:57:56,314 --> 00:57:58,839
...putting more carbon dioxide
into the atmosphere...
877
00:57:59,050 --> 00:58:01,382
...and thereby heating the Earth.
878
00:58:01,585 --> 00:58:04,679
The hellish conditions on Venus
are a reminder that...
879
00:58:04,889 --> 00:58:06,322
...this is serious business.
880
00:58:06,724 --> 00:58:09,022
Computer models that
successfully explain...
881
00:58:09,226 --> 00:58:11,160
...the climates of other planets...
882
00:58:11,362 --> 00:58:14,331
...predict the deaths of forests...
883
00:58:14,532 --> 00:58:17,797
...parched croplands,
the flooding of coastal cities...
884
00:58:18,002 --> 00:58:20,095
...environmental refugees...
885
00:58:20,304 --> 00:58:23,569
...widespread disasters
in the next century...
886
00:58:23,874 --> 00:58:25,466
...unless we change our ways.
887
00:58:25,676 --> 00:58:27,166
What do we have to do?
888
00:58:27,611 --> 00:58:29,238
Four things.
889
00:58:29,447 --> 00:58:32,848
One: much more efficient use
of fossil fuels.
890
00:58:33,050 --> 00:58:37,180
Why not cars that get 70 miles
a gallon instead of 25?
891
00:58:37,388 --> 00:58:41,688
Two: research and development
on safe alternative energy sources...
892
00:58:41,892 --> 00:58:43,587
...especially solar power.
893
00:58:44,195 --> 00:58:47,164
Three: reforestation
on a grand scale.
894
00:58:47,365 --> 00:58:50,857
And four: helping to bring
the billion poorest people...
895
00:58:51,068 --> 00:58:53,195
...on the planet
to self-sufficiency...
896
00:58:53,404 --> 00:58:56,737
...which is the key step
in curbing world population growth.
897
00:58:56,941 --> 00:59:00,843
Every one of these steps makes sense
apart from greenhouse warming.
898
00:59:01,679 --> 00:59:04,147
No one has proposed
that the trouble with Venus is...
899
00:59:04,348 --> 00:59:08,375
...that there once was Venusians
who drove fuel-inefficient cars.
900
00:59:08,586 --> 00:59:11,851
But our nearest neighbor,
nevertheless, is a stark warning...
901
00:59:12,056 --> 00:59:15,457
...on the possible fate
of an Earth-like world.
77629
Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.