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All right, here's week two of the weekly
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hot seat episodes. You guys are getting
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some good value out of this by the sounds
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of things and it's good to see a lot more
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submissions this week as well. So we'll
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work through these from the top and get
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through as many as possible and break them
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all down and run through the trade setups.
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So we'll start off with Nick here. Nick
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submitted a few trades in this screenshot
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but looks like he's highlighting the 1
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.47pm trade. So he's ranked it as a B rank
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trade with two confluences and here it is.
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So 1.47pm you've got your trade here off
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the previous day value low, overnight
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value low and I'd actually rank this in A
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setup Nick because you've got the
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developing session value low as well and
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it looks like you took your trade at 7
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.33pm which is about in between the value
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low of the developing session and then in
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between those value levels just above. So
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I really like this trade. It's about as
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good a trade as you can get in terms of
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confluences, three confluences lined up
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and even better it's three value lows. So
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previous day overnight and developing
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value low which have broken past and below
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and now retesting on the underside. So
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that's a really good short setup but as
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confident as you can get for a short
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setup. Three aligning value lows broken
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through and retested on the other side. So
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really good trade selection on that. Just
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the only thing I'd say to note for you is
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this is an A rank not a B rank. You've got
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three confluences there. So really good
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trade selection. I know you didn't submit
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these ones for the hot seat but I can see
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you took some other good scalps here. This
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one being more of a B rank trade. Single
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confluence overnight point of control.
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Quick scalp off that level. Same thing up
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here. Quick scalp off the previous day
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point of control. Both wins here and then
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one loss. Looks like you shorted the
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previous day point of control which was
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correct. It did run down. Tickled your
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take profit by one tick and came back and
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stopped you out. So the only feedback I
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could say there is maybe if you'd entered
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that trade a bit closer to the value level
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you would have hit take profit on that
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trade. I can see you entered a bit further
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down. So that's the only feedback on
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those. Otherwise really happy with your
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trade selection here around 147. Fantastic
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trade. Great confluences. Three aligning
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value lows equals a really really good
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trade setup. So well done. Next one is
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from Mr. Brad. Bradley Willington. Alright
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so we've got two trade setups here. And it
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looks like the first one here was a loss.
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Second one was a win. So let's break these
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down. Actually the same trade that Nick
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took. Except he took both times. So the
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first one here. It got traded through
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right. So he went short from the previous
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day value low and overnight value low.
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Shorted those levels. The price ended up
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breaking through. Back up to the previous
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day's point of control. Before coming back
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down. So nothing really you can change
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about that one. That's still fantastic
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trade selection Brad. Also a trade I would
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have taken as well. Depending on how the
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profile would have looked at the time. But
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at the very least that would have been a B
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rank setup. At the very least potentially
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A rank. Depending on how the profile
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looked at the time. The developing
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profile. So nothing I would default with
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that trade Brad. That's good trade
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selection. Good confluences. I mean price
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had failed off the point of control.
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Failed off fair value. Broke below the
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overnight fair value. And also broke below
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the previous day and overnight value area
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lows. So all good reasons to short. But
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the market had other plans there. Pushing
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back up to the previous day's fair value.
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And current session fair value before
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melting again. So nothing to fault there.
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Just luck of the draw on that loss
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unfortunately. But obviously second time
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around. That trade there again. Still a
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valid trade. Previous day value low.
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Overnight value low. And developing
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session value low. In fact the same trade
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that Nick took as well. You guys took the
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exact same setup there. So great trade
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selection. Just the first time around
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didn't work. Okay so nothing to fault
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there. Both trade selection really really
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good. But the second trade there. With the
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developing value low. As added confluence.
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It was just a perfect trade selection. So
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well done on that. And no feedback on that
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first one. Other than random luck. Next
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one here is from Andrew. And Andrew hasn't
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put down the confluences for his trades
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here. But I can assume I can find them
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here in the trade selection. But in future
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reference guys. When you submit these.
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Make sure you also list down what
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confluences you're looking at. Just so I
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have a little bit of context. But I can
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see here with Andrew's trade. You've got
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the previous day value area low. Overnight
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point of control. Kind of stacked together
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there. With the developing session point
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of control. And then using the previous
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day's point of control. As his resistance.
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So trading back and forth here. Really
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carved up the markets here. These are
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really nicely done. Really nice scalps.
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You can see he's bought at the developing
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session point of control. Normally not a
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great area to buy. Unless you've got
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existing surrounding confluences. Which
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you do here. Previous day value low.
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Overnight point of control. And that point
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of control of the current session. All
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developed in that one spot. So you've got
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three reasons to have support there. And
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that's what he's done. Bought. And then
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sold back at previous day point of
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control. Which is as you can see. Perfect
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spot to sell at. So buy sell. Then at the
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top here he's then sold. And then bought
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back at the same level he previously
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longed from. And he's done it again here.
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Shorting the top. Buying back at previous
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day point of control. So great entries.
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And great exits. Really good read on those
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scalps. Then I can see down here. You went
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to go buy at the overnight value area low.
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And got a small little trade up to the
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overnight point of control. So you traded
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level to level. As well as the developing
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profiles value area low. Level to level.
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Exited that trade for a few points. So not
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bad. And good timing on that exit as well.
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Because that's where price also melted
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back down below the value levels from. So
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really good trades here Andrew. I can't
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fault any of these. These are great
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scalps. Level to level. You followed the
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rules on the entries and the exits. And
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overall just really happy with that for
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trade selection. So well done on that.
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Next one here is from Anim. And Anim's
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trade here. It's trading the S&P. It's
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ranked as a B rank. With two confluences.
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Overnight POC. And high volume node. And
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the trade taking about 20 minutes. So he's
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expected price to come back to the
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overnight value low. And current session
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value high. When I saw that price used the
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OPOC as resistance before breaking. I
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decided to put a limit order in to the
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expectation of it becoming support. So
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he's expecting a broken resistance to and
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support here. So let's have a look. And
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here's the trade. So overnight POC. Yes
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indeed. Broken to the upside. And then
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used as support for a nice easy long trade
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there. A nice in and out trade. So what
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you can see here. I think you've made a
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really good read on this trade. Seeing
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that value develop up the top here. If you
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guys remember from our earlier Q&A. That
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when you see value developing right by a
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value level like this. And there's no
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quick downside reaction. But instead a
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high volume node develops and accepts that
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level. That's a good indication that price
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is potentially going to break to the other
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side. So seeing that value develop. You've
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got the high volume node. Price had a
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small reaction from the overnight POC. But
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ultimately you made the right decision in
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waiting for that breakout. Seeing that
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value develop. Then price pushing to the
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upside with very little resistance.
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Pushing to the upside. And then your idea
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of buying as a limit order right here.
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Which is now on a B rank location. You've
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got overnight POC and a high volume node.
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Developed for a really nice entry. Minimal
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drawdown. And a nice quick take profit
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there as well. So really good read on
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that. And seeing that price was extended
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above the value area high of the
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developing session. And back into value of
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the overnight session. Really good call on
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taking that breakthrough to the upside.
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And then a retest. So that's really well
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done. I would rank that. Obviously it's a
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B rank. But I would rank your trade
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selection there. A rank selection. Really
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well done on waiting on that breakout.
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Versus fading the level alone on a C. So
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well done. Next one here is from Graham.
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So this is the S&P as well. Time and
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trade. Nine minutes. Ranking at a C. Maybe
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a B. Confluence was trade was a retest of
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the previous day value high. Reinforced
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HVN below the level. Cool. Outcome win for
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24 ticks. What did I do well? Correctly
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read the retest of the PDVAH. Had support
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from the high volume node. And read the
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trend. Cool. Cool. Let's have a look at
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the trade. So here's your trade setup. So
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you took this previous day value area
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high. Was broken through. Again similar to
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that trade. What we just looked at of
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Annam's trade. Seeing price develop this
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at a value level. Without a quick reaction
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to the downside. Is a good sign to expect
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that breakout. So you have correctly
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identified that. Upwards trend. Developing
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volume node. Right below the level that
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it's about to break out from. Price
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inevitably breaks out. And you've gone and
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taken that retest of that previous day
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value level. And of that high volume node.
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So that's really well done in your
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selection. Take profit target being 801.5.
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Really decent. I'm pretty happy with that.
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You are correct on saying the high volume
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node as resistance here. Could be a bit of
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an obstacle for your take profit target.
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But I'd say that with the trend in mind.
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And with what just happened with the
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previous day value area high. I'd say
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you've got pretty good downside protection
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here for your trade long. So it's not
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something to worry about too much. You can
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pretty confidently still hold this trade
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long. Even with that resistance right in
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front of you. And in saying that your take
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profit target wasn't that far off it
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either. More on the edge of that node. So
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really well done on that trade selection.
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I would not fault this trade. That's
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really well done. Again a good hint guys.
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If you're wanting to look for anticipating
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a breakout versus a fade. If you see value
260
00:09:33,333 --> 00:09:35,000
like this developing in a high volume
261
00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:37,466
node. Develops right adjacent to a value
262
00:09:37,466 --> 00:09:39,866
level. Before a breakout. That's a good
263
00:09:39,866 --> 00:09:42,066
sign that price is potentially looking to
264
00:09:42,066 --> 00:09:44,033
push higher. As the market is finding a
265
00:09:44,033 --> 00:09:46,366
lot of interest at those price points. So
266
00:09:46,366 --> 00:09:48,600
something to keep in mind. And really well
267
00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:50,133
done on this trade. Very happy with that.
268
00:09:50,500 --> 00:09:52,166
Great quality trades so far. Another one
269
00:09:52,166 --> 00:09:54,466
from Graham. This one he's ranked as a C
270
00:09:54,466 --> 00:09:57,266
trade. Confluence is developing value area
271
00:09:57,266 --> 00:09:59,533
high fade. So that's the only confluence
272
00:09:59,533 --> 00:10:03,466
here. Outcome loss of 20 ticks. Okay. So
273
00:10:03,466 --> 00:10:05,000
let's have a look at the trade. Alright.
274
00:10:05,066 --> 00:10:07,166
So here it is. He said he's faded the
275
00:10:07,166 --> 00:10:09,000
value area high. Developing value area
276
00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,000
high. And that was the only confluence.
277
00:10:11,166 --> 00:10:14,033
And I can say Graham. These type of
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00:10:14,033 --> 00:10:16,200
trades. With the developing value area.
279
00:10:16,199 --> 00:10:18,866
Unless it's clearly a D shape or an even
280
00:10:18,866 --> 00:10:21,500
distribution profile. Ideally you want to
281
00:10:21,500 --> 00:10:24,100
avoid just trading the developing profile
282
00:10:24,100 --> 00:10:25,900
value highs and lows. These can change
283
00:10:25,900 --> 00:10:28,166
pretty frequently. And aren't very
284
00:10:28,166 --> 00:10:31,233
reliable as sole confluences. So I would
285
00:10:31,233 --> 00:10:32,566
have personally avoided this trade
286
00:10:32,566 --> 00:10:35,166
altogether. But it's good you've noticed
287
00:10:35,166 --> 00:10:37,066
that and reflected on that. And were able
288
00:10:37,066 --> 00:10:39,100
to identify. You know it wasn't the best
289
00:10:39,100 --> 00:10:41,933
quality trade. So even if this was a D
290
00:10:41,933 --> 00:10:43,700
shape or even distribution profile.
291
00:10:43,833 --> 00:10:45,466
Ideally you want to line that up with a
292
00:10:45,466 --> 00:10:47,633
surrounding confluence. And around here
293
00:10:47,633 --> 00:10:48,866
there were no other surrounding
294
00:10:48,866 --> 00:10:50,800
confluences. Until up here at your
295
00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:53,766
overnight value area high. So overall this
296
00:10:53,766 --> 00:10:55,033
was a trade that definitely could have
297
00:10:55,033 --> 00:10:56,900
been avoided. So good reflection on that.
298
00:10:56,900 --> 00:10:59,000
But just remember if you're going to use
299
00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:01,300
the developing profile levels. Normally
300
00:11:01,300 --> 00:11:03,166
best to pair that with a previous day.
301
00:11:03,266 --> 00:11:05,800
Previous week. Or a previous session value
302
00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:07,566
level. Versus just trading on its own.
303
00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:09,200
Those trades are going to burn you more
304
00:11:09,199 --> 00:11:10,566
often than not. Next one here is from
305
00:11:10,566 --> 00:11:13,666
Brendan. Overall win. Two previous trades
306
00:11:13,666 --> 00:11:15,600
I took where I moved my stop to break even
307
00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:17,466
a little early. And got stopped out before
308
00:11:17,466 --> 00:11:20,700
the move. Okay let's have a look. Okay
309
00:11:20,699 --> 00:11:23,333
cool. So I can see a couple of trades here
310
00:11:23,333 --> 00:11:25,400
Brendan. I'm not sure what the confluences
311
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,666
are on this short you made. Back down to
312
00:11:27,666 --> 00:11:29,633
previous week's value low. Looks like you
313
00:11:29,633 --> 00:11:31,366
tried to. Maybe there was a high volume
314
00:11:31,366 --> 00:11:33,600
note at the time there. But depending on
315
00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:34,966
what the profile looked like at the time
316
00:11:34,966 --> 00:11:37,300
of that trade. Best to avoid taking trades
317
00:11:37,300 --> 00:11:38,966
near the point of control. Looks like you
318
00:11:38,966 --> 00:11:42,100
sold that trade above the previous week
319
00:11:42,100 --> 00:11:43,933
value low. And above point of control. So
320
00:11:43,933 --> 00:11:45,633
not sure where the confluence is on that
321
00:11:45,633 --> 00:11:48,133
first trade. But maybe you can clarify
322
00:11:48,133 --> 00:11:50,600
that. But other than that. That's a trade
323
00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,266
that I would have avoided. Given on what I
324
00:11:53,266 --> 00:11:55,300
can see on the screenshot. Second trade
325
00:11:55,300 --> 00:11:56,766
here. You made a really good choice for a
326
00:11:56,766 --> 00:11:59,333
B rank trade. High volume node from the
327
00:11:59,333 --> 00:12:01,766
profile. That had been put in earlier. And
328
00:12:01,766 --> 00:12:03,666
then retest of the previous day point of
329
00:12:03,666 --> 00:12:06,466
control. So one. Two confluences. You got
330
00:12:06,466 --> 00:12:08,866
short. And really good trade idea. That
331
00:12:08,866 --> 00:12:10,266
would have been a really nice trade. But
332
00:12:10,266 --> 00:12:11,866
like you said. Moved your stop to break
333
00:12:11,866 --> 00:12:14,100
even too early. Definitely a psychological
334
00:12:14,100 --> 00:12:15,833
thing to work through Brendan. As you
335
00:12:15,833 --> 00:12:17,900
said. But otherwise really good trade
336
00:12:17,900 --> 00:12:19,800
selection on that. That's great. Two
337
00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:21,900
confluences. And a retest from the
338
00:12:21,900 --> 00:12:23,833
underside. Really clean set up there. So
339
00:12:23,833 --> 00:12:25,866
well done on that. Sick. The third trade
340
00:12:25,866 --> 00:12:27,900
here. You took a previous day value area
341
00:12:27,900 --> 00:12:30,133
low. With a bit of a high volume node. A
342
00:12:30,133 --> 00:12:32,133
little shelf there on the profile. And
343
00:12:32,133 --> 00:12:34,466
also the developing value area low. So you
344
00:12:34,466 --> 00:12:36,833
have basically three confluences in this
345
00:12:36,833 --> 00:12:39,166
area. You got long off the high volume
346
00:12:39,166 --> 00:12:40,833
node edge. Which is exactly what you want
347
00:12:40,833 --> 00:12:42,866
to be doing. And bought that back at I'm
348
00:12:42,866 --> 00:12:45,166
assuming an arbitrary target. So happy
349
00:12:45,166 --> 00:12:46,766
with that trade as well. You got that
350
00:12:46,766 --> 00:12:48,666
reaction for that quick scalp. That would
351
00:12:48,666 --> 00:12:51,166
overall be an A rank setup. Especially if
352
00:12:51,166 --> 00:12:52,866
that value area low was there at the time
353
00:12:52,866 --> 00:12:54,600
of your trade. As you can see. So one,
354
00:12:54,766 --> 00:12:56,666
two, three confluences for a quick scalp.
355
00:12:57,066 --> 00:12:59,066
Well done. So yes. All I'll do is like you
356
00:12:59,066 --> 00:13:00,466
said. Work through that. Moving your stop
357
00:13:00,466 --> 00:13:02,566
to break even too early. Work through
358
00:13:02,566 --> 00:13:04,666
that. Even attempt just not moving your
359
00:13:04,666 --> 00:13:06,633
stop to break even. We've had another
360
00:13:06,633 --> 00:13:08,166
post. I can't remember who posted it. But
361
00:13:08,166 --> 00:13:10,600
someone else had the same issue of moving
362
00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:12,866
stops to break even too early. That's
363
00:13:12,866 --> 00:13:14,500
something you might want to add in later.
364
00:13:14,500 --> 00:13:16,900
Once your discretion builds. And once your
365
00:13:16,900 --> 00:13:19,733
intuition builds up. After spending some
366
00:13:19,733 --> 00:13:22,466
time trading this strategy. And purposely,
367
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,866
consciously observing the markets. Within
368
00:13:24,866 --> 00:13:26,566
the framework of this strategy. Maybe
369
00:13:26,566 --> 00:13:28,800
something to add later. Because moving a
370
00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:31,066
stop to break even can be a real intuitive
371
00:13:31,066 --> 00:13:35,066
type thing. Where you'll kind of sense and
372
00:13:35,066 --> 00:13:36,933
know when you should do that. Versus just
373
00:13:36,933 --> 00:13:39,333
letting the trade breathe. So one practice
374
00:13:39,333 --> 00:13:41,033
you could do is just sizing down a bit.
375
00:13:41,166 --> 00:13:42,800
And then letting your trades breathe
376
00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,566
completely. Don't move that stop to break
377
00:13:44,566 --> 00:13:46,866
even yet. Just let the trades play out.
378
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:48,933
And see them win. And you know build that
379
00:13:48,933 --> 00:13:51,000
confidence. Before you start to add in
380
00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,133
that intuitive skill of moving to break
381
00:13:53,133 --> 00:13:55,000
even. Because there's no really hard and
382
00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:57,833
fast rule. I know I like to use the 75% of
383
00:13:57,833 --> 00:13:59,600
the way to targets. And then moving the
384
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:01,366
stop to break even is my personal rule.
385
00:14:01,666 --> 00:14:03,466
But even then I don't do that all the
386
00:14:03,466 --> 00:14:05,533
time. It's only when I feel like the juice
387
00:14:05,533 --> 00:14:07,100
of that move has been squeezed already.
388
00:14:07,100 --> 00:14:09,833
Will I then move to 75%. Move to break
389
00:14:09,833 --> 00:14:12,100
even at 75%. So it's definitely more of an
390
00:14:12,100 --> 00:14:13,966
intuitive thing. Versus a hard mechanical
391
00:14:13,966 --> 00:14:16,166
rule. So for the meantime. You could
392
00:14:16,166 --> 00:14:17,600
definitely experiment with just letting
393
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:19,300
those trades breathe. Okay Michael. Four
394
00:14:19,300 --> 00:14:21,266
trades in the same area. All B-rank
395
00:14:21,266 --> 00:14:23,333
trades. Price move from underneath.
396
00:14:24,166 --> 00:14:26,000
Michael's overall question here. Is what
397
00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:27,266
would have signaled me in the moment to
398
00:14:27,266 --> 00:14:29,033
avoid at least two of the first three
399
00:14:29,033 --> 00:14:30,700
trades. I feel like it's taken me too long
400
00:14:30,699 --> 00:14:32,600
to read the market. Have been getting more
401
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:34,166
losses than I should due to misreads.
402
00:14:34,266 --> 00:14:36,066
Okay. I felt there was a bullish strength
403
00:14:36,066 --> 00:14:38,466
of the bottom to the P2POC level. Was
404
00:14:38,466 --> 00:14:40,400
going long on the pullback to stack value
405
00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:43,666
there is an enforced note. Okay. So this
406
00:14:43,666 --> 00:14:45,700
one's a bit hard to see. It's a bit zoomed
407
00:14:45,699 --> 00:14:47,166
down. But I can kind of get an idea for
408
00:14:47,166 --> 00:14:48,966
what you're doing here. So it looks like
409
00:14:48,966 --> 00:14:50,666
we've got the developing profile. The
410
00:14:50,666 --> 00:14:53,700
value area low is down here. Your previous
411
00:14:53,699 --> 00:14:55,866
day POC. Previous day value area low. Both
412
00:14:55,866 --> 00:14:57,200
stacked. So you've got three stacked
413
00:14:57,199 --> 00:14:59,366
levels here. Price has broken to the
414
00:14:59,366 --> 00:15:02,300
downside and pulled back up to retest from
415
00:15:02,300 --> 00:15:04,466
the underside. What I can see immediately
416
00:15:04,466 --> 00:15:06,566
is it looks like you've gone long one, two
417
00:15:06,566 --> 00:15:08,966
times. Initially you're longing into
418
00:15:08,966 --> 00:15:12,033
resistance levels here. So that's the
419
00:15:12,033 --> 00:15:14,100
first thing here. Michael is the fact that
420
00:15:14,100 --> 00:15:16,133
price already showed it's willing to
421
00:15:16,133 --> 00:15:18,066
travel outside of value to the downside.
422
00:15:18,466 --> 00:15:20,766
It's traded below the previous day's fair
423
00:15:20,766 --> 00:15:22,766
value. It's already well below overnight
424
00:15:22,766 --> 00:15:25,400
fair value. And is now extended past the
425
00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,233
previous day's value lows. So we're
426
00:15:27,233 --> 00:15:30,400
trading deep into discounted levels with
427
00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:32,566
no sign of any fighting back from buyers
428
00:15:32,566 --> 00:15:34,633
on the way down. So the first issue I can
429
00:15:34,633 --> 00:15:37,200
see with these trades is the fact that you
430
00:15:37,199 --> 00:15:40,366
are buying into resistance. So yes, it did
431
00:15:40,366 --> 00:15:42,700
push back to these levels. But ultimately
432
00:15:42,699 --> 00:15:45,400
it's just pulling back into to retest this
433
00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:47,400
value before continuing to the downside.
434
00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:49,666
There was no indication of a confident
435
00:15:49,666 --> 00:15:52,200
break to the upside which would cause you
436
00:15:52,199 --> 00:15:54,266
to want to then use this as support. So
437
00:15:54,266 --> 00:15:57,066
yeah, longing in this area here I would
438
00:15:57,066 --> 00:16:00,500
not class as a good quality trade. So what
439
00:16:00,500 --> 00:16:02,200
you should be seeing here is that when
440
00:16:02,199 --> 00:16:04,700
price breaks away and confidently breaks
441
00:16:04,699 --> 00:16:06,900
away from value lows, you're looking to
442
00:16:06,900 --> 00:16:09,866
anticipate a retest and continuation as
443
00:16:09,866 --> 00:16:12,333
price pulls back towards value. You're
444
00:16:12,333 --> 00:16:14,766
initially going to look for a retest to
445
00:16:14,766 --> 00:16:16,600
continue that move down especially when
446
00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,833
price is shown. You know overall a bearish
447
00:16:18,833 --> 00:16:21,133
trend. It's pushed through fair value and
448
00:16:21,133 --> 00:16:22,666
through value levels retesting on the
449
00:16:22,666 --> 00:16:25,333
other side and breaking down overall. You
450
00:16:25,333 --> 00:16:27,600
want to follow that trend and because this
451
00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:29,733
spot here was the perfect spot to look for
452
00:16:29,733 --> 00:16:32,700
a short continuation. So don't buy into
453
00:16:32,699 --> 00:16:34,200
the resistance levels as they've been
454
00:16:34,199 --> 00:16:36,233
broken now. Support broke in terms of
455
00:16:36,233 --> 00:16:38,366
resistance. So don't buy into those. You
456
00:16:38,366 --> 00:16:40,100
had the better idea on that last trade you
457
00:16:40,100 --> 00:16:42,433
took where you sold. You took the retest.
458
00:16:42,566 --> 00:16:44,000
In the end they ended up taking that
459
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:45,466
retest and that's where you got your
460
00:16:45,466 --> 00:16:47,566
winners from. As I can see from the next
461
00:16:47,566 --> 00:16:48,866
couple of trades as well you ended up
462
00:16:48,866 --> 00:16:50,533
taking quite a few runners on that trade
463
00:16:50,533 --> 00:16:53,366
as well. So that's the idea. To avoid
464
00:16:53,366 --> 00:16:54,933
those first two trades just reading that
465
00:16:54,933 --> 00:16:57,733
context again bearish downtrend extension
466
00:16:57,733 --> 00:17:00,300
away from value lows and pushing below
467
00:17:00,300 --> 00:17:02,333
fair value. So you want to be looking for
468
00:17:02,333 --> 00:17:04,433
that retest of value to continue the trend
469
00:17:04,433 --> 00:17:06,733
versus trying to break back into value. So
470
00:17:06,733 --> 00:17:08,266
last trade was really good. You had the
471
00:17:08,266 --> 00:17:10,433
right idea there in the end. But again you
472
00:17:10,433 --> 00:17:12,066
could have ended up taking that trade a
473
00:17:12,066 --> 00:17:13,433
bit higher and getting an even more
474
00:17:13,433 --> 00:17:16,066
favorable position had you had the same
475
00:17:16,066 --> 00:17:17,966
idea in mind initially when it pulled
476
00:17:17,966 --> 00:17:19,866
back. It's the perfect pullback. Perfect
477
00:17:19,866 --> 00:17:22,500
area to enter for a short. So don't try
478
00:17:22,500 --> 00:17:24,166
and predict the market breaking back into
479
00:17:24,166 --> 00:17:26,599
value. Just trade what you see. If price
480
00:17:26,599 --> 00:17:29,066
is clearly extended away from value to the
481
00:17:29,066 --> 00:17:31,466
downside just go in line with the market.
482
00:17:31,700 --> 00:17:33,066
Trade that. Look for that retest to
483
00:17:33,066 --> 00:17:35,233
continue versus anticipating and trying to
484
00:17:35,233 --> 00:17:37,866
predict a break back into value. Let's go
485
00:17:37,866 --> 00:17:39,500
and count the trend. Stay with the trend
486
00:17:39,500 --> 00:17:41,766
and enter where you get a good price to
487
00:17:41,766 --> 00:17:44,600
retest that short as you eventually did on
488
00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:46,966
that last trade. Next one's from Graham
489
00:17:46,966 --> 00:17:49,600
again. These are a couple of trades. He's
490
00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:51,666
attached to the Notion Volpro trade review
491
00:17:51,666 --> 00:17:53,100
sheet. So that's cool. So we've got one
492
00:17:53,100 --> 00:17:56,233
confluence, a C rank and here's the trade.
493
00:17:56,233 --> 00:17:58,166
So yeah, previous week value area low
494
00:17:58,166 --> 00:18:01,366
broken and retest and a four hour pivot.
495
00:18:01,566 --> 00:18:03,466
Cool. That's a personal confluence of
496
00:18:03,466 --> 00:18:05,400
Graham's. Not one I'm familiar with too
497
00:18:05,399 --> 00:18:07,233
much but we'll take it into account here
498
00:18:07,233 --> 00:18:11,700
as well. And cool. Gained 24 ticks. Okay.
499
00:18:11,700 --> 00:18:13,733
So if we look at the trade here, he's
500
00:18:13,733 --> 00:18:15,266
highlighting this particular trade. The
501
00:18:15,266 --> 00:18:17,366
break from previous week's value low and
502
00:18:17,366 --> 00:18:19,333
push down. Previous week value area low
503
00:18:19,333 --> 00:18:21,166
broke to the downside. Graham's gone and
504
00:18:21,166 --> 00:18:23,533
taken the retest and sell back down to
505
00:18:23,533 --> 00:18:25,300
point of control. So good exit on that
506
00:18:25,300 --> 00:18:27,566
point of control. Good target for your
507
00:18:27,566 --> 00:18:29,766
take profit placement. And entry being a C
508
00:18:29,766 --> 00:18:32,433
rank trade. A little bit risky but given
509
00:18:32,433 --> 00:18:34,266
you understood the risk and you understood
510
00:18:34,266 --> 00:18:36,366
it was a C rank trade going in. Nothing I
511
00:18:36,366 --> 00:18:38,300
can fault there. You saw price fail off
512
00:18:38,300 --> 00:18:39,866
the previous week value low. You took that
513
00:18:39,866 --> 00:18:42,100
immediate retest and exited at the
514
00:18:42,100 --> 00:18:43,866
developing point of control. So I really
515
00:18:43,866 --> 00:18:45,233
can't fault you with that. It's a good
516
00:18:45,233 --> 00:18:47,300
scalp. Good entry and good exit. So well
517
00:18:47,300 --> 00:18:49,500
done. Next one's from Malik. Malik has a B
518
00:18:49,500 --> 00:18:51,966
set up. One minute trade. Trade looked
519
00:18:51,966 --> 00:18:53,566
good because we were below previous value
520
00:18:53,566 --> 00:18:55,366
levels. So I was looking for sells. All
521
00:18:55,366 --> 00:18:57,066
right. Let's have a look. Okay. So there's
522
00:18:57,066 --> 00:18:58,666
your trade. You entered the trade at the
523
00:18:58,666 --> 00:19:00,266
previous day point of control. Overnight
524
00:19:00,266 --> 00:19:02,566
value high. And also above the developing
525
00:19:02,566 --> 00:19:04,533
session value high. So that's quite good
526
00:19:04,533 --> 00:19:05,766
Malik. You got a couple of good
527
00:19:05,766 --> 00:19:08,100
confluences in there. And pretty clean as
528
00:19:08,100 --> 00:19:09,933
well. You can see that level actually gave
529
00:19:09,933 --> 00:19:11,600
a couple of setups like you said. So
530
00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:13,400
really good trade selection. That's about
531
00:19:13,399 --> 00:19:15,300
as clean as you can get for a B rank. You
532
00:19:15,300 --> 00:19:16,933
could argue it's an even an A rank trade
533
00:19:16,933 --> 00:19:19,433
being above the value area high of the
534
00:19:19,433 --> 00:19:21,900
current profile being a sort of extended
535
00:19:21,899 --> 00:19:23,633
level then heading into two resistance
536
00:19:23,633 --> 00:19:25,666
levels. So really good trade selection
537
00:19:25,666 --> 00:19:27,466
there. Nice move back down. Again
538
00:19:27,466 --> 00:19:29,566
arbitrary targets. In hindsight it would
539
00:19:29,566 --> 00:19:31,766
be nice to have a runner on this as well.
540
00:19:31,899 --> 00:19:34,000
Seeing price fail off that previous day's
541
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,466
fair value. But other than that that's a
542
00:19:36,466 --> 00:19:38,400
really good scalp. Really good selection.
543
00:19:39,033 --> 00:19:41,100
Minimal drawdown. Can't fault this trade
544
00:19:41,100 --> 00:19:43,500
selection. And good exit as well. Exiting
545
00:19:43,500 --> 00:19:45,800
above the point of controls. So you had a
546
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,933
pretty safe run to take profit there. So
547
00:19:47,933 --> 00:19:49,233
that's a really really nice. Good trade.
548
00:19:49,466 --> 00:19:50,900
And last one here from Johannes. See
549
00:19:50,899 --> 00:19:53,766
setup. Overlapping value high in previous
550
00:19:53,766 --> 00:19:54,966
day point of control gave me the
551
00:19:54,966 --> 00:19:57,133
confidence to get in. Missed the first one
552
00:19:57,133 --> 00:19:58,633
so I thought I should dollar cost average
553
00:19:58,633 --> 00:20:00,500
in to get it. But it didn't touch my
554
00:20:00,500 --> 00:20:02,266
second limit 1.5 hour. Let's have a look.
555
00:20:02,399 --> 00:20:04,700
Okay nice. So you've got your stacked
556
00:20:04,700 --> 00:20:08,266
value levels here across this point. Price
557
00:20:08,266 --> 00:20:10,900
is traded above those levels. And put in a
558
00:20:10,899 --> 00:20:12,500
sort of high volume note across this point
559
00:20:12,500 --> 00:20:13,866
here. Which is I assume where you got your
560
00:20:13,866 --> 00:20:16,166
trade when price pulled back. You can see
561
00:20:16,166 --> 00:20:18,400
there. So I assume that was a confluence
562
00:20:18,399 --> 00:20:20,133
and you got your trade on the pullback. So
563
00:20:20,133 --> 00:20:21,366
this is good. This is something I wanted
564
00:20:21,366 --> 00:20:23,200
to highlight. Someone asked a question
565
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,633
earlier a couple weeks ago actually. About
566
00:20:25,633 --> 00:20:27,433
what to do when there's a high volume note
567
00:20:27,433 --> 00:20:30,000
plus the value levels. And say if the high
568
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,100
volume note is you know a decent couple of
569
00:20:32,100 --> 00:20:34,866
points away from the value levels but sort
570
00:20:34,866 --> 00:20:37,100
of in a similar area. What should you do?
571
00:20:37,233 --> 00:20:38,900
Should you wait for price to pull into the
572
00:20:38,899 --> 00:20:40,633
value level or trade the high volume note?
573
00:20:40,633 --> 00:20:43,566
Well when the developing profile is
574
00:20:43,566 --> 00:20:45,366
showing you there's a shelf of volume
575
00:20:45,366 --> 00:20:47,066
across this point. A shelf of interest
576
00:20:47,066 --> 00:20:49,500
across this point. And that's in front of
577
00:20:49,500 --> 00:20:51,266
the value level. Ideally you want to start
578
00:20:51,266 --> 00:20:52,866
building your position at the very least
579
00:20:52,866 --> 00:20:55,633
when price taps the edge of that node. So
580
00:20:55,633 --> 00:20:57,433
if you want to be play it safe you could
581
00:20:57,433 --> 00:20:59,666
add one contract as price taps the edge of
582
00:20:59,666 --> 00:21:01,500
that node. And then if price digs in
583
00:21:01,500 --> 00:21:03,666
deeper closer to the value level then add
584
00:21:03,666 --> 00:21:05,133
in the rest of your position at the value
585
00:21:05,133 --> 00:21:07,000
level. Because a lot of the time the
586
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,233
market's going to react to the high volume
587
00:21:09,233 --> 00:21:11,466
node or the market is more likely to react
588
00:21:11,466 --> 00:21:13,366
to the high volume node versus the value
589
00:21:13,366 --> 00:21:15,466
level once it's traded through that point.
590
00:21:15,666 --> 00:21:17,666
Because this is the most recent the
591
00:21:17,666 --> 00:21:19,866
market's most recent thoughts if you want
592
00:21:19,866 --> 00:21:23,400
to say on the value level. So the market
593
00:21:23,399 --> 00:21:25,666
here has broken through these value levels
594
00:21:25,666 --> 00:21:27,966
to the upside and has already shown
595
00:21:27,966 --> 00:21:30,100
acceptance here by building these value
596
00:21:30,100 --> 00:21:32,266
these high volume nodes above that level.
597
00:21:32,266 --> 00:21:34,666
So when price pulls back towards the value
598
00:21:34,666 --> 00:21:37,133
level seeing this little pocket of value
599
00:21:37,133 --> 00:21:39,966
this shelf right above kind of adjacent to
600
00:21:39,966 --> 00:21:42,100
the value level would be the best spot to
601
00:21:42,100 --> 00:21:43,800
enter versus waiting for that to pull all
602
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:45,466
the way back. So that's a really good
603
00:21:45,466 --> 00:21:47,133
trade entry there. Really happy with that.
604
00:21:47,366 --> 00:21:49,200
And obviously nice take profit taking
605
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,100
profit right at the edge of this larger
606
00:21:51,100 --> 00:21:53,866
node to the upside. Great place to exit
607
00:21:53,866 --> 00:21:55,200
because that's where you could expect
608
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,366
either some sort of retracement or a large
609
00:21:57,366 --> 00:22:00,466
reversal back down into value. So really
610
00:22:00,466 --> 00:22:02,100
happy with that trade. Well done good
611
00:22:02,100 --> 00:22:04,033
selection and good choice getting in at
612
00:22:04,033 --> 00:22:06,033
this point here rather than waiting for
613
00:22:06,033 --> 00:22:07,900
price to come all the way back. The only
614
00:22:07,899 --> 00:22:09,266
thing I'd say is your stop loss is a
615
00:22:09,266 --> 00:22:11,733
little bit risky here because like we said
616
00:22:11,733 --> 00:22:13,900
yes price should reverse at this high
617
00:22:13,899 --> 00:22:15,566
volume node and should find support at
618
00:22:15,566 --> 00:22:17,000
that level given that it's right above
619
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:18,666
this value point. But there is a chance
620
00:22:18,666 --> 00:22:19,966
obviously it can still come back and
621
00:22:19,966 --> 00:22:21,966
retest it as it has not retested that
622
00:22:21,966 --> 00:22:23,733
level yet. So I would have had my stop
623
00:22:23,733 --> 00:22:25,766
loss a little bit wider to give it room to
624
00:22:25,766 --> 00:22:28,033
tap that point had price come back down.
625
00:22:28,033 --> 00:22:30,100
But other than that can't fault you on the
626
00:22:30,100 --> 00:22:31,666
trade selection on the entry that's really
627
00:22:31,666 --> 00:22:34,200
good. Just be mindful of having your stop
628
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,000
loss on a value level. You're probably
629
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:37,866
more likely than not over the long run
630
00:22:37,866 --> 00:22:39,900
going to get stopped out having your stop
631
00:22:39,899 --> 00:22:42,000
loss placed on a value level like this. So
632
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:43,400
those are some great submissions this
633
00:22:43,399 --> 00:22:45,033
week. Really happy with those trades guys.
634
00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:47,266
Really well done. Trade selections looking
635
00:22:47,266 --> 00:22:48,966
really nice. Hope you guys find this hot
636
00:22:48,966 --> 00:22:51,433
seat segment really helpful. I'm really
637
00:22:51,433 --> 00:22:52,966
enjoying doing these. It's good to run
638
00:22:52,966 --> 00:22:55,200
through and keep the tools sharp for
639
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,400
myself as well. So I'll be posting up the
640
00:22:57,399 --> 00:23:00,033
next one here. You can see the post that
641
00:23:00,033 --> 00:23:03,200
this video is currently linked on. Submit
642
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,600
your trades for episode three and I'll see
643
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:06,800
you guys again at the end of the week.
48482
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