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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,033 --> 00:00:01,966 Welcome to the first episode of the Evolve 2 00:00:01,966 --> 00:00:03,266 Pro Hot Seat. So I'm going to do these 3 00:00:03,266 --> 00:00:05,500 every single week and you can find these 4 00:00:05,500 --> 00:00:08,166 pinned at the top of the school homepage 5 00:00:08,166 --> 00:00:10,200 feed. Just over here I'll have these 6 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:11,766 pinned every week and we'll start with 7 00:00:11,766 --> 00:00:13,833 episode 1 obviously. And what we're going 8 00:00:13,833 --> 00:00:16,000 to do is just submit your trades if you're 9 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:17,700 wanting to get your trade roasted or 10 00:00:17,700 --> 00:00:20,600 reviewed. I will run through the trade 11 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,066 setup and break them down so you can get a 12 00:00:23,066 --> 00:00:25,500 bit more educational value out of this 13 00:00:25,500 --> 00:00:27,966 group as well. This is more like a very 14 00:00:27,966 --> 00:00:29,600 similar to the playbook breakdowns but 15 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:31,266 instead of breaking down my own trade 16 00:00:31,266 --> 00:00:33,700 setups or potential trade setups it'll be 17 00:00:33,699 --> 00:00:35,766 trade setups that you've taken and they 18 00:00:35,766 --> 00:00:38,366 can be wins, losses, whatever and we can 19 00:00:38,366 --> 00:00:40,866 break down why the trade worked or why the 20 00:00:40,866 --> 00:00:42,566 trade didn't work and get a little bit of 21 00:00:42,566 --> 00:00:45,633 feedback and run down on the trades you 22 00:00:45,633 --> 00:00:48,433 submit. So the first one we've got here is 23 00:00:48,433 --> 00:00:50,500 from Mark. Now Mark has a trade setup here 24 00:00:50,500 --> 00:00:53,566 trading the futures currency which is the 25 00:00:53,566 --> 00:00:55,300 Australian dollar. So he's got all his 26 00:00:55,300 --> 00:00:57,300 levels on the chart here and he's looking 27 00:00:57,300 --> 00:00:58,866 at a trade setup. So we've got a few 28 00:00:58,866 --> 00:01:00,800 screenshots here. Here's your developing 29 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,266 volume profile and the value levels he's 30 00:01:03,266 --> 00:01:05,099 got on the screen here. So we've got 31 00:01:05,099 --> 00:01:07,466 previous week's value area high. You've 32 00:01:07,466 --> 00:01:09,300 got your developing volume profile here on 33 00:01:09,300 --> 00:01:11,700 the left and you're far above all the 34 00:01:11,700 --> 00:01:13,200 value levels here below. So you've got 35 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,266 overnight value high, previous day value 36 00:01:15,266 --> 00:01:17,533 high, previous week's POC. So immediately 37 00:01:17,533 --> 00:01:19,600 we can tell based off the value levels and 38 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:21,966 where price is that price is moving 39 00:01:21,966 --> 00:01:25,233 towards a premium price point and is in a 40 00:01:25,233 --> 00:01:27,733 bullish trend. So we've got last week's 41 00:01:27,733 --> 00:01:30,366 fair value way down here at 648. Your 42 00:01:30,366 --> 00:01:32,200 previous day's value high premium level 43 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,600 also at 648 and then your overnight value 44 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:37,233 high at 649. So value keeps shifting up 45 00:01:37,233 --> 00:01:39,133 with those value highs pushing up and up 46 00:01:39,133 --> 00:01:41,133 and up. In the previous week's value area 47 00:01:41,133 --> 00:01:44,133 high trading right there at this moment at 48 00:01:44,133 --> 00:01:46,600 the time of Mark's trade selection. So 49 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:48,233 first thing we can tell here is Mark is 50 00:01:48,233 --> 00:01:50,266 anticipating a breakout trade instead of 51 00:01:50,266 --> 00:01:52,433 fading the previous week's value high. 52 00:01:52,566 --> 00:01:54,800 He's anticipating a breakout. You can see 53 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,166 he's got his potential trade idea outlined 54 00:01:57,166 --> 00:01:59,566 here and this is what he's waiting to 55 00:01:59,566 --> 00:02:01,933 attempt here. So what we can see on the 56 00:02:01,933 --> 00:02:04,133 developing profile is we've got fair value 57 00:02:04,133 --> 00:02:06,500 point of control is down right down at 58 00:02:06,500 --> 00:02:08,566 this point. Price is pushed up and has 59 00:02:08,566 --> 00:02:10,233 developed volume at the highs and is 60 00:02:10,233 --> 00:02:12,466 developing volume. You can see you've got 61 00:02:12,466 --> 00:02:14,733 a high volume node here developing across 62 00:02:14,733 --> 00:02:17,000 the previous week's value area high level. 63 00:02:17,166 --> 00:02:19,800 So participants are finding value, a 64 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,233 pocket of value at a very important 65 00:02:22,233 --> 00:02:24,466 premium price point up here at previous 66 00:02:24,466 --> 00:02:26,566 week's value high. And someone asked me a 67 00:02:26,566 --> 00:02:28,000 question the other day. How do you tell 68 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,066 when price is going to break out versus 69 00:02:31,066 --> 00:02:33,533 fade back into value? This can be one good 70 00:02:33,533 --> 00:02:36,000 clue is that if price starts to develop a 71 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,466 pocket of value across, in this case, a 72 00:02:38,466 --> 00:02:41,000 premium price point being previous week's 73 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,700 value high, price starts to develop value 74 00:02:43,700 --> 00:02:45,466 across that level and show that there's 75 00:02:45,466 --> 00:02:47,300 two-sided transactions up here because 76 00:02:47,300 --> 00:02:48,900 that's what volume nodes represent, it's 77 00:02:48,900 --> 00:02:51,100 two-sided transactions, that can be a good 78 00:02:51,100 --> 00:02:52,766 sign that price is potentially going to 79 00:02:52,766 --> 00:02:54,800 break away and break through this price 80 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,200 point. So Mark's anticipating that and I'm 81 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:58,900 taking a guess he's anticipating that 82 00:02:58,900 --> 00:03:01,166 based off the overall trend and how price 83 00:03:01,166 --> 00:03:03,166 is pulled away from previous value highs 84 00:03:03,166 --> 00:03:05,466 and the previous week's fair value, he's 85 00:03:05,466 --> 00:03:07,566 anticipating a continuation of bullish 86 00:03:07,566 --> 00:03:09,366 momentum and instead of fading this level, 87 00:03:09,500 --> 00:03:10,733 he's looking for a breakout. So that's 88 00:03:10,733 --> 00:03:12,400 really good, really good thing to see off 89 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:14,200 the bat. You can see before Mark's trade 90 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:16,700 is triggered, price is confirming that 91 00:03:16,700 --> 00:03:19,500 developing more value across this previous 92 00:03:19,500 --> 00:03:21,566 week's value area high. Got that high 93 00:03:21,566 --> 00:03:23,200 volume node developing stronger and 94 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,500 stronger here. And also we're above the 95 00:03:25,500 --> 00:03:27,633 current session's developing profile, 96 00:03:27,633 --> 00:03:29,866 above that value high and holding above 97 00:03:29,866 --> 00:03:31,633 that value high, developing that pocket of 98 00:03:31,633 --> 00:03:33,966 value. Again, giving more confluence, that 99 00:03:33,966 --> 00:03:35,833 price is more likely to break out from 100 00:03:35,833 --> 00:03:37,666 this point instead of fade back into 101 00:03:37,666 --> 00:03:39,666 value. And there we go, that's Mark's 102 00:03:39,666 --> 00:03:41,866 trade. Triggered a breakout, Mark entering 103 00:03:41,866 --> 00:03:44,900 the trade on a break above the high volume 104 00:03:44,900 --> 00:03:47,166 node. Interesting approach for execution, 105 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:48,766 this is not wrong, it's just a different 106 00:03:48,766 --> 00:03:50,466 way to do things, right? So instead of 107 00:03:50,466 --> 00:03:52,400 taking a retest on the other side after 108 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:53,800 the breakout's confirmed, Mark's 109 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:55,833 anticipating a breakout, has entered his 110 00:03:55,833 --> 00:03:57,900 trade as price pushed away from this 111 00:03:57,900 --> 00:03:59,766 pocket of value and above the previous 112 00:03:59,766 --> 00:04:01,833 week's value high and has targeted 20 113 00:04:01,833 --> 00:04:03,833 ticks. You can see his stop loss placement 114 00:04:03,833 --> 00:04:05,700 was behind the high volume node after that 115 00:04:05,700 --> 00:04:07,366 breakout, which is really good. It's 116 00:04:07,366 --> 00:04:09,033 exactly what you want to be doing. And he 117 00:04:09,033 --> 00:04:10,666 got that nice strong push to the upside 118 00:04:10,666 --> 00:04:13,333 correctly anticipating the breakout. And 119 00:04:13,333 --> 00:04:14,833 then he's shared a screenshot here showing 120 00:04:14,833 --> 00:04:17,066 how far the trade really went. Over 59 121 00:04:17,066 --> 00:04:19,433 ticks up at the time of that screenshot. 122 00:04:19,733 --> 00:04:21,066 So what I'll say about this trade is a 123 00:04:21,066 --> 00:04:23,166 really solid read on the overall context. 124 00:04:23,166 --> 00:04:25,233 This is exactly how you start to get 125 00:04:25,233 --> 00:04:27,633 higher win rates and stop taking lower 126 00:04:27,633 --> 00:04:29,600 quality trades by developing a story 127 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,766 around the context of price. Mark reading 128 00:04:32,766 --> 00:04:35,400 the direction of this correctly and 129 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:37,400 anticipating that breakout by waiting to 130 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,966 see value develop across that level with 131 00:04:39,966 --> 00:04:42,266 his bullish bias in mind and aiming to 132 00:04:42,266 --> 00:04:43,800 take a breakout trade. So I'm overall 133 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:45,466 really, really happy with this trade set 134 00:04:45,466 --> 00:04:48,200 up. Really well done. Really nice read and 135 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,066 great stop loss placement and a nice 136 00:04:50,066 --> 00:04:53,000 arbitrary target of 20 ticks. All I'll say 137 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:54,700 is that the entry method can be a bit 138 00:04:54,700 --> 00:04:56,533 risky like this. You guys watching don't 139 00:04:56,533 --> 00:04:57,866 want to just immediately go and employ 140 00:04:57,866 --> 00:04:59,800 this type of entry method. You'd have to 141 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,000 test it. Mark obviously familiar with his 142 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:03,466 own approach to trading this. But one 143 00:05:03,466 --> 00:05:04,966 thing to be aware of is if you're entering 144 00:05:04,966 --> 00:05:07,300 a trade on a breakout like this, you just 145 00:05:07,300 --> 00:05:08,900 have to be aware that yes, although price 146 00:05:08,900 --> 00:05:11,066 could push above the previous week's value 147 00:05:11,066 --> 00:05:12,733 high and above that high volume node when 148 00:05:12,733 --> 00:05:14,600 Mark got his entry, it could just as 149 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:16,766 easily just wick that and come back and 150 00:05:16,766 --> 00:05:18,900 forth and still consolidate building that 151 00:05:18,900 --> 00:05:21,066 value before the potential breakout. So 152 00:05:21,066 --> 00:05:22,500 you do have to give a bit of room for that 153 00:05:22,500 --> 00:05:24,633 just to let the trade breathe in case that 154 00:05:24,633 --> 00:05:26,200 breakout doesn't happen the moment your 155 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:27,800 trade gets triggered. But it's still a 156 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:29,766 valid approach to getting an entry. Just 157 00:05:29,766 --> 00:05:31,400 be aware of that wherever your entry is 158 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,233 triggered. If you're anticipating a 159 00:05:33,233 --> 00:05:34,900 breakout and you're getting your entry on 160 00:05:34,900 --> 00:05:36,700 where you expect that breakout to occur, 161 00:05:36,900 --> 00:05:38,433 there is a good chance that price could 162 00:05:38,433 --> 00:05:40,433 still pull back and just keep developing. 163 00:05:40,433 --> 00:05:42,166 You never know exactly when that breakout 164 00:05:42,166 --> 00:05:44,266 is going to occur. So just keep that in 165 00:05:44,266 --> 00:05:46,300 mind. And the value in Mark's approach, I 166 00:05:46,300 --> 00:05:48,666 will say though, is that sometimes price 167 00:05:48,666 --> 00:05:50,500 is too strong and does not come back to 168 00:05:50,500 --> 00:05:52,466 retest the area that it broke away from. 169 00:05:52,666 --> 00:05:54,400 You can see if Mark didn't take this 170 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:56,300 approach of entering the breakout instead 171 00:05:56,300 --> 00:05:58,300 of waiting for the retest, you can see 172 00:05:58,300 --> 00:06:00,366 that price never came to retest that 173 00:06:00,366 --> 00:06:02,466 level. It is a valid approach. It's a more 174 00:06:02,466 --> 00:06:04,633 risky approach, but a very valid approach. 175 00:06:04,633 --> 00:06:06,566 I also take breakout trades like this. 176 00:06:06,666 --> 00:06:08,066 Sometimes you would have seen on stream 177 00:06:08,066 --> 00:06:10,333 last week. I took a very similar trade on 178 00:06:10,333 --> 00:06:12,866 the S&P, anticipating a breakout and not 179 00:06:12,866 --> 00:06:14,366 waiting for the retest, but taking the 180 00:06:14,366 --> 00:06:16,933 breakout trade as price pushed above. So 181 00:06:16,933 --> 00:06:18,666 really, really happy with this trademark. 182 00:06:18,866 --> 00:06:20,633 Really well done. Great read of the market 183 00:06:20,633 --> 00:06:22,666 and nothing to roast on that trade. The 184 00:06:22,666 --> 00:06:26,066 next trade we have here is from Dominic. 185 00:06:26,566 --> 00:06:30,000 And Dominic is trading the NQ here. He's 186 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,300 classified this trade as a B setup. So two 187 00:06:32,300 --> 00:06:33,766 confluences, but we'll take a look at that 188 00:06:33,766 --> 00:06:36,400 in a second. So let's have a look at the 189 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:38,666 trade. So he's got here a developing 190 00:06:38,666 --> 00:06:41,366 profile. All right, can't quite see the 191 00:06:41,366 --> 00:06:43,466 times on the chart here. Can't quite see 192 00:06:43,466 --> 00:06:45,233 there. If you can, for future reference, 193 00:06:45,333 --> 00:06:46,900 guys, if you can, just make sure the full 194 00:06:46,900 --> 00:06:49,133 image is in picture so I can see the times 195 00:06:49,133 --> 00:06:51,200 and understand what we've got here. But 196 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:52,833 the profile, you want to stop that 197 00:06:52,833 --> 00:06:55,100 overnight profile right here at the 9.30 198 00:06:55,100 --> 00:06:58,800 open. So I'd say, first of all, nice 199 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,600 trade, but you've got to make sure you 200 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,866 stop that profile at 9.30. It looks like 201 00:07:02,866 --> 00:07:06,000 you've drawn the previous day's overnight 202 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,833 profile. 6 p.m. Sunday, 6 p.m. Through to 203 00:07:08,833 --> 00:07:10,766 the New York Open. Your trade taking place 204 00:07:10,766 --> 00:07:12,966 at around 10 a.m. In the morning on 205 00:07:12,966 --> 00:07:14,500 Monday. That's what I can see. But yeah, 206 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:15,900 if you guys could make sure the full 207 00:07:15,900 --> 00:07:17,400 picture's in view so I can break it down 208 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:19,500 properly. What I'm assuming this trade 209 00:07:19,500 --> 00:07:22,000 here is, is that overnight volume profile 210 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:25,166 from Sunday Open is this, right? And he's 211 00:07:25,166 --> 00:07:27,133 got it extended into the regular trading 212 00:07:27,133 --> 00:07:28,666 hours session. So you want to stop that 213 00:07:28,666 --> 00:07:30,700 profile right here and then put in the 214 00:07:30,700 --> 00:07:32,633 overnight value levels and then trade the 215 00:07:32,633 --> 00:07:34,300 developing regular trading hours profile 216 00:07:34,300 --> 00:07:36,333 moving forward into the regular trading 217 00:07:36,333 --> 00:07:38,233 hours session. But I can say, I can still 218 00:07:38,233 --> 00:07:39,966 break down this trade, right? So overnight 219 00:07:39,966 --> 00:07:41,966 value high was likely still pretty close 220 00:07:41,966 --> 00:07:43,900 to where you took your trade. And that 221 00:07:43,900 --> 00:07:45,866 high volume node there, very recent high 222 00:07:45,866 --> 00:07:47,633 volume node. So still a valid trade setup. 223 00:07:47,766 --> 00:07:50,466 I like how you took the trade off the 224 00:07:50,466 --> 00:07:52,866 failure of this value high and bought back 225 00:07:52,866 --> 00:07:54,266 right at point of control. So that was the 226 00:07:54,266 --> 00:07:57,266 right idea there. You are selling off a 227 00:07:57,266 --> 00:07:59,566 failure point, off a premium price point, 228 00:07:59,566 --> 00:08:01,800 and buying back at point of control, which 229 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:03,466 is exactly where you want to be exiting. 230 00:08:03,700 --> 00:08:04,900 What I will say is just make sure your 231 00:08:04,900 --> 00:08:07,166 profile is marked up correctly. You want 232 00:08:07,166 --> 00:08:08,766 to, again, be stopping that profile right 233 00:08:08,766 --> 00:08:10,933 there at 930 and then extending those new 234 00:08:10,933 --> 00:08:13,200 overnight value levels at 930 from that 235 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,300 profile. Your entry was pretty good, 236 00:08:15,500 --> 00:08:17,433 right? Price broke back down, back into 237 00:08:17,433 --> 00:08:19,733 value, pulled back up. I can see it's 238 00:08:19,733 --> 00:08:21,166 where you got your sell position as it 239 00:08:21,166 --> 00:08:23,566 pulled back up to retest. And you got a 240 00:08:23,566 --> 00:08:25,666 pretty perfect entry there. It's price 241 00:08:25,666 --> 00:08:28,300 melted down and you got a nice buyback at 242 00:08:28,300 --> 00:08:30,500 point of control. So that's a really good 243 00:08:30,500 --> 00:08:32,466 solid execution. Just make sure your 244 00:08:32,466 --> 00:08:34,133 profile is drawn to the correct levels and 245 00:08:34,133 --> 00:08:35,500 you're putting the correct levels on the 246 00:08:35,500 --> 00:08:37,466 chart. Otherwise, you have the right idea 247 00:08:37,466 --> 00:08:39,766 here. This would be, if the profiles are 248 00:08:39,766 --> 00:08:41,766 drawn up correctly, I would overall rank 249 00:08:41,766 --> 00:08:44,366 this still a C ranked trade. Without 250 00:08:44,366 --> 00:08:45,766 seeing the developing profile or anything 251 00:08:45,766 --> 00:08:47,600 here, you've got one confluence, which is 252 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:49,733 the overnight value area high sitting 253 00:08:49,733 --> 00:08:51,866 across this point. But nice trade, right 254 00:08:51,866 --> 00:08:53,500 idea. You got a nice outcome from that 255 00:08:53,500 --> 00:08:55,466 trade. Next one here is from Malik. Okay. 256 00:08:55,500 --> 00:08:57,100 And he's taking a buy from the overnight 257 00:08:57,100 --> 00:08:59,166 value high and targeting one to one here. 258 00:08:59,300 --> 00:09:01,100 But you can see price came through and 259 00:09:01,100 --> 00:09:02,400 melted through those levels and hit the 260 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:03,966 stop loss. So we'll break this one down. I 261 00:09:03,966 --> 00:09:06,933 can see off the bat here for Malik. So you 262 00:09:06,933 --> 00:09:08,766 got your developing profile and your 263 00:09:08,766 --> 00:09:10,100 overnight value levels to give you a 264 00:09:10,100 --> 00:09:11,533 little bit of context. So yes, we are 265 00:09:11,533 --> 00:09:13,800 above overnight value highs. And we had a 266 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,200 pretty even distribution across a range up 267 00:09:16,199 --> 00:09:18,100 here with a point of control above 268 00:09:18,100 --> 00:09:19,966 overnight value high. So initially, that's 269 00:09:19,966 --> 00:09:22,166 bullish. But remember, it's only bullish 270 00:09:22,166 --> 00:09:24,533 if price can hold above point of control. 271 00:09:24,733 --> 00:09:26,666 If price is failing to get above point of 272 00:09:26,666 --> 00:09:28,966 control and continuing to fail to get 273 00:09:28,966 --> 00:09:31,700 above the value high. See here as it 274 00:09:31,699 --> 00:09:33,666 approaches the upper end of value here. 275 00:09:33,966 --> 00:09:36,333 Massive drop off in volume and price 276 00:09:36,333 --> 00:09:38,100 rejects back down and rejects back down. 277 00:09:38,233 --> 00:09:41,000 So multiple breakout attempts, but buyers 278 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:43,166 were unable to carry this above and kept 279 00:09:43,166 --> 00:09:45,800 failing back below point of control. So 280 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:47,966 when price came back down here and broke 281 00:09:47,966 --> 00:09:50,300 out of the value area down to overnight 282 00:09:50,300 --> 00:09:52,933 value high, there's very little reason to 283 00:09:52,933 --> 00:09:55,466 long here except for a tiny, tiny bounce. 284 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,200 Even then, it's risky counter trend and 285 00:09:59,199 --> 00:10:01,733 counter context. So other than having the 286 00:10:01,733 --> 00:10:04,066 overnight value high, you've got nothing 287 00:10:04,066 --> 00:10:07,500 really here to signify acceptance or value 288 00:10:07,500 --> 00:10:09,900 at this value level here. See, there's no 289 00:10:09,900 --> 00:10:11,566 distinctive high volume node that 290 00:10:11,566 --> 00:10:13,500 developed across that price point. So you 291 00:10:13,500 --> 00:10:15,066 don't have that. The only confluence 292 00:10:15,066 --> 00:10:16,366 you've got in this trade is overnight 293 00:10:16,366 --> 00:10:18,300 value high that was being traded above. 294 00:10:18,533 --> 00:10:20,566 But with the context of having point of 295 00:10:20,566 --> 00:10:23,000 control fail, developing above that level 296 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,666 and then failing and price failing to get 297 00:10:25,666 --> 00:10:27,700 above the even distribution here and 298 00:10:27,699 --> 00:10:29,833 failing to hold above point of control and 299 00:10:29,833 --> 00:10:31,800 having a pretty strong meltdown from point 300 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:33,366 of control, breaking out of that even 301 00:10:33,366 --> 00:10:35,466 distribution range back down towards 302 00:10:35,466 --> 00:10:37,266 overnight value. Probably a trade you want 303 00:10:37,266 --> 00:10:39,533 to avoid taking. So overall, Malik, I see 304 00:10:39,533 --> 00:10:42,166 this is a C-rank trade and without the 305 00:10:42,166 --> 00:10:45,033 read on the context, making it a lower 306 00:10:45,033 --> 00:10:47,066 likelihood, a lower probability trade. 307 00:10:47,266 --> 00:10:48,266 Yeah, make sure you're getting that 308 00:10:48,266 --> 00:10:49,633 context, that surrounding context. 309 00:10:49,766 --> 00:10:51,400 Remember the developing point of control, 310 00:10:51,566 --> 00:10:53,666 developing fair value. Basically, the 311 00:10:53,666 --> 00:10:55,800 compass on what type of trades or what 312 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:57,200 directional trades you should be looking 313 00:10:57,199 --> 00:10:59,466 at for your session. So seeing that point 314 00:10:59,466 --> 00:11:02,000 of control initially develop high, but 315 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:03,900 then failing to get higher and then price 316 00:11:03,900 --> 00:11:05,966 failing to hold above point of control is 317 00:11:05,966 --> 00:11:08,066 a sign to look at breaks back into value 318 00:11:08,066 --> 00:11:10,666 versus looking for continuations to the 319 00:11:10,666 --> 00:11:12,800 upside or even bounces to the upside. 320 00:11:12,900 --> 00:11:14,666 You're better off trade on trend and look 321 00:11:14,666 --> 00:11:17,033 for those moves back into previous value. 322 00:11:17,199 --> 00:11:19,200 The next trade here is from Anim. He took 323 00:11:19,199 --> 00:11:21,333 two trades on the ES. So let's have a look 324 00:11:21,333 --> 00:11:23,300 at the trade. So the first one here, this 325 00:11:23,300 --> 00:11:25,633 is a D-shaped trade. He's got an even 326 00:11:25,633 --> 00:11:27,633 distribution profile. Okay, this is 327 00:11:27,633 --> 00:11:29,866 actually looks like the profile just 328 00:11:29,866 --> 00:11:31,866 before Malik's trade, which is down here. 329 00:11:32,300 --> 00:11:34,500 So same day, same session, different trade 330 00:11:34,500 --> 00:11:37,600 setup. So what Anim's read here is you see 331 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:39,533 price traded above developed that even 332 00:11:39,533 --> 00:11:40,966 distribution we talked about just 333 00:11:40,966 --> 00:11:42,866 previously. Massive drop off in value to 334 00:11:42,866 --> 00:11:44,966 the upper end and not so much on the lower 335 00:11:44,966 --> 00:11:47,533 end, but to the upper end, total drop off 336 00:11:47,533 --> 00:11:49,266 of value and you've got your developing 337 00:11:49,266 --> 00:11:51,966 value high right here. So Anim's taking 338 00:11:51,966 --> 00:11:54,466 his trade, fading the value area high. 339 00:11:54,666 --> 00:11:56,600 Okay, you can see the failed breakouts 340 00:11:56,600 --> 00:11:58,633 multiple times and that volume 341 00:11:58,633 --> 00:12:00,633 distributing evenly across the midpoint of 342 00:12:00,633 --> 00:12:02,933 the range. So he's faded the value high 343 00:12:02,933 --> 00:12:06,500 back down into value. Now, this is a good 344 00:12:06,500 --> 00:12:09,100 D-shaped setup, really good read on the 345 00:12:09,100 --> 00:12:11,200 profile being D-shaped and fading the 346 00:12:11,199 --> 00:12:13,866 extremes as the best play. The only point 347 00:12:13,866 --> 00:12:16,200 of criticism here is a little bit risky 348 00:12:16,199 --> 00:12:17,933 with point of control being right here and 349 00:12:17,933 --> 00:12:19,933 your take profit being through past point 350 00:12:19,933 --> 00:12:22,166 of control. Obviously, it worked out. But 351 00:12:22,166 --> 00:12:23,700 when you're taking D-shaped profile 352 00:12:23,699 --> 00:12:26,666 trades, you want to be extra careful when 353 00:12:26,666 --> 00:12:28,433 trying to trade through the midpoint of 354 00:12:28,433 --> 00:12:30,866 the even distribution because as price 355 00:12:30,866 --> 00:12:33,566 gets back towards that fair value point, 356 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:35,700 that's where you're having more likelihood 357 00:12:35,699 --> 00:12:38,133 of a potential pushback and that's more 358 00:12:38,133 --> 00:12:39,300 often than not where your breakout 359 00:12:39,300 --> 00:12:40,566 happens. So if you're wrong on the 360 00:12:40,566 --> 00:12:42,300 direction here and price actually held 361 00:12:42,300 --> 00:12:43,500 point of control and ended up going 362 00:12:43,500 --> 00:12:45,466 upwards, that could have been a real quick 363 00:12:45,466 --> 00:12:47,466 stop out. So that's my only piece of 364 00:12:47,466 --> 00:12:49,466 criticism here is good read on the D 365 00:12:49,466 --> 00:12:51,633 -shaped profile. Just be careful when 366 00:12:51,633 --> 00:12:53,700 holding take profit targets past the point 367 00:12:53,699 --> 00:12:56,133 of control of a D-shaped. So sometimes D 368 00:12:56,133 --> 00:12:58,266 -shaped trades aren't worthwhile if the 369 00:12:58,266 --> 00:13:00,566 point of control is really close to your 370 00:13:00,566 --> 00:13:01,966 entry point. You're only grabbing, you 371 00:13:01,966 --> 00:13:04,366 know, one point, one, two points. You 372 00:13:04,366 --> 00:13:06,166 might want to look to take a trade where 373 00:13:06,166 --> 00:13:08,666 the point of control of the D-shaped is a 374 00:13:08,666 --> 00:13:10,400 bit further away so you can more 375 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:12,466 comfortably secure in a higher probability 376 00:13:12,466 --> 00:13:14,533 trade that way. Regardless, this trade did 377 00:13:14,533 --> 00:13:16,266 work out. So good job on that. Great job 378 00:13:16,266 --> 00:13:18,000 on the D-shaped read. Just something to 379 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:19,766 keep in mind for the future is be mindful 380 00:13:19,766 --> 00:13:22,400 of holding. Trades through POC. That can 381 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:24,766 be a dangerous business to be in. Second 382 00:13:24,766 --> 00:13:26,200 trade you took here was down at overnight 383 00:13:26,199 --> 00:13:27,766 value low in previous week's point of 384 00:13:27,766 --> 00:13:29,766 control and your developing profile right 385 00:13:29,766 --> 00:13:32,666 across here. So overall, good trade. You 386 00:13:32,666 --> 00:13:34,333 don't have much in terms of confluence on 387 00:13:34,333 --> 00:13:36,800 the developing profile. In terms of 388 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,200 context, yes, price did break down through 389 00:13:39,199 --> 00:13:41,566 the overnight fair value point, but it 390 00:13:41,566 --> 00:13:43,266 came back down to a discount point, 391 00:13:43,466 --> 00:13:45,600 overnight value low in previous week's 392 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:48,466 fair value. So if the fair value point of 393 00:13:48,466 --> 00:13:50,466 the previous week is in line with the 394 00:13:50,466 --> 00:13:52,900 overnight value low discount zone, and 395 00:13:52,900 --> 00:13:54,666 that's a really good area to buy even 396 00:13:54,666 --> 00:13:56,600 without confirmation of the developing 397 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:58,566 profile. And you can see he got in here. 398 00:13:58,833 --> 00:14:00,900 This is his outline trade. Getting in 399 00:14:00,900 --> 00:14:03,000 after price dipped into that point and 400 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,600 pushed back up, and he's entered here on 401 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:07,433 the pushback through previous week's point 402 00:14:07,433 --> 00:14:09,600 of control, targeting a one-to-one target. 403 00:14:09,733 --> 00:14:11,600 So really good trade. B-ranked trade. Two 404 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:14,000 confluences. And nice and simple. Happy 405 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:16,300 with that trade. Stop-loss placement. Stop 406 00:14:16,300 --> 00:14:18,333 -loss placement is good. Being below the 407 00:14:18,333 --> 00:14:20,566 low of that first push through that price 408 00:14:20,566 --> 00:14:22,400 point. I'm not mad at that. And very good 409 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:25,266 trade selection. Nice, simple B-ranked 410 00:14:25,266 --> 00:14:27,366 trade. Next trade from Andrew here. Just a 411 00:14:27,366 --> 00:14:28,933 small scout by the looks of things. He's 412 00:14:28,933 --> 00:14:31,466 taken, what's that, two points? And your 413 00:14:31,466 --> 00:14:33,000 question being, you weren't comfortable 414 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:34,566 with the trade. Oh, you felt comfortable 415 00:14:34,566 --> 00:14:36,166 with the trade knowing there were two 416 00:14:36,166 --> 00:14:38,100 levels of support, but wasn't sure where 417 00:14:38,100 --> 00:14:39,166 the entry should have been in this 418 00:14:39,166 --> 00:14:41,533 context. If in doubt, Andrew, if you've 419 00:14:41,533 --> 00:14:44,100 got two nodes like this developing, try 420 00:14:44,100 --> 00:14:45,766 not to chase it taking the higher one. 421 00:14:45,866 --> 00:14:47,700 Take the one that's further down to give 422 00:14:47,699 --> 00:14:49,200 you more likelihood of a better trade. 423 00:14:49,366 --> 00:14:51,400 Sure, you might miss a trade, but you're 424 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:53,133 better off getting the more favorable 425 00:14:53,133 --> 00:14:55,500 position than chasing a trade up in this 426 00:14:55,500 --> 00:14:57,100 type of situation. So I would have been 427 00:14:57,100 --> 00:14:59,500 waiting for price to pull back towards at 428 00:14:59,500 --> 00:15:01,900 least the value level with that high 429 00:15:01,900 --> 00:15:03,666 volume node sitting right behind it. So I 430 00:15:03,666 --> 00:15:05,366 think your entry was good there, entering 431 00:15:05,366 --> 00:15:07,433 closer to the previous week's value level 432 00:15:07,433 --> 00:15:08,933 with the high volume node behind as 433 00:15:08,933 --> 00:15:11,666 support. Next one here from Dante. Says 434 00:15:11,666 --> 00:15:15,166 two losses for him. Two A setups. Okay, so 435 00:15:15,166 --> 00:15:17,433 let's have a look. So your first one 436 00:15:17,433 --> 00:15:19,000 you've outlined here, that one obviously 437 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,233 was a hit. I think that must be the trade 438 00:15:21,233 --> 00:15:23,600 you said that you missed your fill by one 439 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:26,000 tick. Good setup. You know, you got your 440 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:27,933 buy off the previous day value high in 441 00:15:27,933 --> 00:15:30,433 PDPOC. So a couple of stack levels. And 442 00:15:30,433 --> 00:15:31,700 not sure what the volume profile would 443 00:15:31,699 --> 00:15:33,633 have looked like at the time. But if it 444 00:15:33,633 --> 00:15:35,500 was similar to this, you got your kind of 445 00:15:35,500 --> 00:15:37,200 even distribution and you're entering at 446 00:15:37,199 --> 00:15:39,400 the edges. So not mad at that. And second 447 00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:41,466 time around, you said this one did not 448 00:15:41,466 --> 00:15:43,133 work and got stopped out. Entering at the 449 00:15:43,133 --> 00:15:47,066 same area and you got to stop out. So what 450 00:15:47,066 --> 00:15:49,000 I will say is your entry is pretty good. 451 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,366 Your entry is close to the edge of that 452 00:15:51,366 --> 00:15:54,566 even distribution profile and across two 453 00:15:54,566 --> 00:15:56,566 value levels. So you got a few stack 454 00:15:56,566 --> 00:15:58,800 levels and the developing profile. So yes, 455 00:15:59,266 --> 00:16:01,400 definitely an A trade setup. So I've got 456 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,133 no feet, no criticism for this. You did 457 00:16:03,133 --> 00:16:05,300 choose a good trade setup and getting 458 00:16:05,300 --> 00:16:07,366 stopped out is just unfortunate. As you 459 00:16:07,366 --> 00:16:10,166 know, nothing's going to be 100%. And, you 460 00:16:10,166 --> 00:16:11,100 know, I wouldn't say you did anything 461 00:16:11,100 --> 00:16:13,466 wrong here. It's just part of the random 462 00:16:13,466 --> 00:16:15,266 chaos of trading and the random 463 00:16:15,266 --> 00:16:17,166 distribution of wins and losses. Good 464 00:16:17,166 --> 00:16:19,366 trade selection. Good setup. Just 465 00:16:19,366 --> 00:16:21,566 unfortunate on that. Your second one here, 466 00:16:21,699 --> 00:16:23,466 you're looking at the break away from 467 00:16:23,466 --> 00:16:25,466 value and away from those value levels and 468 00:16:25,466 --> 00:16:27,666 looking for the retest on the other side 469 00:16:27,666 --> 00:16:30,100 to continue short. And you said this one 470 00:16:30,100 --> 00:16:32,133 also got stopped out. You're taking the 471 00:16:32,133 --> 00:16:33,633 same thing on the other side. Two stacked 472 00:16:33,633 --> 00:16:35,766 value levels. Price moved away from value 473 00:16:35,766 --> 00:16:39,066 below POC. And you've also got the value 474 00:16:39,066 --> 00:16:42,166 area lower developing across here to give 475 00:16:42,166 --> 00:16:43,966 extra confluence. So again, A ranked on 476 00:16:43,966 --> 00:16:45,833 the other side. And you're saying you got 477 00:16:45,833 --> 00:16:47,500 stopped out there as well. I'd be 478 00:16:47,500 --> 00:16:49,500 interested to see if Price ended up 479 00:16:49,500 --> 00:16:51,000 pulling right up to point of control and 480 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:52,766 coming back down or what happened with 481 00:16:52,766 --> 00:16:54,533 this. But other than that, man, you've 482 00:16:54,533 --> 00:16:57,566 selected good trades, good confluences and 483 00:16:57,566 --> 00:17:00,566 a good read on what, you know, your ideal 484 00:17:00,566 --> 00:17:02,166 trade should be in this particular 485 00:17:02,166 --> 00:17:04,433 session. And if they're just if they're 486 00:17:04,433 --> 00:17:06,633 losses, you know, you get stopped out. I 487 00:17:06,633 --> 00:17:08,300 wouldn't be upset at these trades. You'd 488 00:17:08,300 --> 00:17:11,666 make good selection and good read on 489 00:17:11,666 --> 00:17:13,966 context here. Just can't win them all. So 490 00:17:13,966 --> 00:17:16,599 I have no criticism on this. Nothing wrong 491 00:17:16,599 --> 00:17:18,633 with these trades at all, Dante. I am very 492 00:17:18,633 --> 00:17:20,599 happy with that selection and also trades 493 00:17:20,599 --> 00:17:23,200 I likely would have taken. More so this 494 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:24,566 breakaway is one that I would have looked 495 00:17:24,566 --> 00:17:27,200 to take being as it faded away from value 496 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,266 and came back to retest those stacked 497 00:17:29,266 --> 00:17:30,700 levels. That would be a trade I would 498 00:17:30,700 --> 00:17:32,800 certainly take. And if that stopped out, 499 00:17:32,899 --> 00:17:34,966 that's just is what it is. So no feedback 500 00:17:34,966 --> 00:17:37,033 on that other than good selection, random 501 00:17:37,033 --> 00:17:38,766 distribution of wins and losses. Next 502 00:17:38,766 --> 00:17:40,600 one's from Graham. Graham getting the one 503 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:42,400 tick tickle on his runner contract. But 504 00:17:42,399 --> 00:17:44,033 overall, a good trade. Let's have a look. 505 00:17:44,633 --> 00:17:47,933 He's grading it as a B rank trade. So your 506 00:17:47,933 --> 00:17:51,500 trade being here. Let's see. You got a buy 507 00:17:51,500 --> 00:17:55,400 order breaking back into value after 508 00:17:55,399 --> 00:17:57,900 pulling off this. Okay, cool. Cool. So I 509 00:17:57,899 --> 00:17:59,800 can see you got the reaction from the 510 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,000 previous week's value high. You can see 511 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:03,566 you waited on that. Price got a nice 512 00:18:03,566 --> 00:18:06,233 strong reaction back towards value and 513 00:18:06,233 --> 00:18:08,200 back above a high volume node in the 514 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,800 developing profile. That's good. So you've 515 00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:12,700 got your buy position. Price found support 516 00:18:12,700 --> 00:18:14,400 of that high volume node and pushed up. 517 00:18:14,533 --> 00:18:17,066 And I take you just targeted an arbitrary 518 00:18:17,066 --> 00:18:19,733 one-to-one-ish there as well. So pretty 519 00:18:19,733 --> 00:18:23,033 good trade selection. I like how you took 520 00:18:23,033 --> 00:18:24,866 into context that strong reaction from the 521 00:18:24,866 --> 00:18:27,400 previous week's value high first and then 522 00:18:27,399 --> 00:18:30,000 seeing price break back above previous day 523 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,466 value low. So showing price moving back 524 00:18:32,466 --> 00:18:35,100 into previous day's value and reacting to 525 00:18:35,100 --> 00:18:37,466 a key weekly support level. So that's 526 00:18:37,466 --> 00:18:40,200 cool. I would have personally, instead of 527 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:41,733 buying what you did, I probably would have 528 00:18:41,733 --> 00:18:44,366 waited for that to pull back and test that 529 00:18:44,366 --> 00:18:46,400 edge, that shelf of the developing node 530 00:18:46,399 --> 00:18:47,933 there. So that's the first bit of 531 00:18:47,933 --> 00:18:49,766 feedback. That developing node edge was 532 00:18:49,766 --> 00:18:51,833 developed almost right across the previous 533 00:18:51,833 --> 00:18:54,066 day's value low. So that's a perfect kind 534 00:18:54,066 --> 00:18:55,833 of pullback area to get your entry. So 535 00:18:55,833 --> 00:18:58,400 that's my only real piece of criticism to 536 00:18:58,399 --> 00:19:00,433 this trade. Your take profit targeting 537 00:19:00,433 --> 00:19:02,233 looks like it's an arbitrary one-to-one. 538 00:19:02,366 --> 00:19:05,166 Not so bad. Only thing is you've got a 539 00:19:05,166 --> 00:19:07,733 couple of pieces of resistance here, a 540 00:19:07,733 --> 00:19:10,166 couple of high volume nodes back-to-back 541 00:19:10,166 --> 00:19:11,700 right here. So you could potentially run 542 00:19:11,700 --> 00:19:13,100 into trouble with that high volume node, 543 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:14,766 another high volume node being right above 544 00:19:14,766 --> 00:19:17,366 your take profit target. But overall, good 545 00:19:17,366 --> 00:19:18,933 read. Just, yeah, I would be getting a 546 00:19:18,933 --> 00:19:20,400 slightly better entry than where you 547 00:19:20,399 --> 00:19:23,800 entered on this particular trade. Yeah, I 548 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,066 can't quite see it price pulling back when 549 00:19:26,066 --> 00:19:27,766 you entered. So I would have waited for 550 00:19:27,766 --> 00:19:29,400 that pullback, which happened just about a 551 00:19:29,399 --> 00:19:31,766 minute or so after your entry. Pullback to 552 00:19:31,766 --> 00:19:34,400 that previous day value low reinforced by 553 00:19:34,399 --> 00:19:35,800 that high volume node. It broke back 554 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:38,400 above. So nice solid B-ranked trade there 555 00:19:38,399 --> 00:19:40,933 and good read, good trade selection. Not 556 00:19:40,933 --> 00:19:43,166 mad at it. And last one from Tom. So 557 00:19:43,166 --> 00:19:44,400 you've got previous week's value low, 558 00:19:44,566 --> 00:19:46,100 previous day value low, and developing 559 00:19:46,100 --> 00:19:48,666 value low. So three confluences here. And 560 00:19:48,666 --> 00:19:51,266 I will say this is a really clean, really 561 00:19:51,266 --> 00:19:53,800 solid setup. Really well done, Tom. This 562 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,600 is probably as good, as perfect a trade 563 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:58,366 selection as you can get. So you've got 564 00:19:58,366 --> 00:20:00,266 both previous day, previous week's value 565 00:20:00,266 --> 00:20:01,966 area low stacked right across. Makes 566 00:20:01,966 --> 00:20:03,866 things nice and easy. And then the 567 00:20:03,866 --> 00:20:05,900 developing profile value low right across 568 00:20:05,899 --> 00:20:07,900 there as well, obviously. So no volume 569 00:20:07,899 --> 00:20:10,166 below that. So Tom's got his trade right 570 00:20:10,166 --> 00:20:12,433 on the edge, right on those value lows. 571 00:20:12,666 --> 00:20:14,366 Stacked right together. Makes it nice and 572 00:20:14,366 --> 00:20:16,500 easy. And he's exited at the developing 573 00:20:16,500 --> 00:20:18,700 point of control. So that's as perfect as 574 00:20:18,700 --> 00:20:21,600 you can get for entry, exit, and trade 575 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:23,366 selection. So really well done, Tom. 576 00:20:23,366 --> 00:20:26,666 That's a great read. And I have nothing, 577 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:28,300 no feedback to give on this. This is a 578 00:20:28,300 --> 00:20:30,800 perfect trade. Playbook worthy trade. So 579 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,300 well done on that. So I hope you guys 580 00:20:32,300 --> 00:20:33,900 found that episode helpful. We'll do this 581 00:20:33,899 --> 00:20:36,100 every single week. Do them at the end of 582 00:20:36,100 --> 00:20:38,333 every week. And submit your trades just in 583 00:20:38,333 --> 00:20:40,800 the comments of these hot seat posts. And 584 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:42,866 I'll break them down every week. Again, at 585 00:20:42,866 --> 00:20:44,366 this point, we can get through all of the 586 00:20:44,366 --> 00:20:46,000 submitted trades. But as the group grows, 587 00:20:46,133 --> 00:20:48,233 maybe we'll have to just select a few that 588 00:20:48,233 --> 00:20:50,433 are, I believe, will have the most value 589 00:20:50,433 --> 00:20:53,766 in them for teaching purposes, etc. But 590 00:20:53,766 --> 00:20:55,433 other than that, submit them through. I'm 591 00:20:55,433 --> 00:20:57,700 going to stick you the next post now. Add 592 00:20:57,700 --> 00:20:59,400 your trades. It can be wins or losses. 593 00:20:59,500 --> 00:21:01,333 Just anything you want direct feedback on. 594 00:21:01,433 --> 00:21:02,866 Add them to this post. And we'll break 595 00:21:02,866 --> 00:21:04,200 them down in next week's episode. Bye. 44716

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