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In this lesson we're going to speak about
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a specific type of shaped volume profile
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a specific...
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called a D-shaped profile. This particular
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shape profile for us intraday traders is
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quite important to recognize and
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understand how to approach. So this is
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called a D-shaped profile. Now a D-shaped
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profile gets its name from its appearance.
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You can see on the picture example on the
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right there, it looks like a smooth
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rounded letter D or a capital letter D
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when you view it on your chart. Hence the
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name D-shaped. What this profile here
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shows is that volume is evenly distributed
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across the price range creating a smooth
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bell curve like distribution basically
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meaning all the distribution all the
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volume is concentrated near the middle and
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falls off at the lower end and falls off
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at the upper end showing no interest from
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either side of the market at the highs and
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the lows causing all the volume to cluster
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in the middle across a range. And often
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with these profiles you'll find that the
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point of control is right in the middle if
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not close enough to the middle of the
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range and this shows balanced two-sided
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trading throughout a given session. And
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what this represents is fair value and
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equilibrium between both buyers and
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sellers. And you'll see this on an actual
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screenshot example in the next slide.
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You'll see that on a D-shaped profile
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throughout a session when price moves to
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the highs of that D-shaped profile sellers
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will step in and pull price back down. And
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when price moves to lows or the value area
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lows buyers step in and pull it back to
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the middle. Neither side being able to
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establish control so price returns back to
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fair value where that trade can then
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resume. So a D-shaped basically just
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represents fair value saying this is a
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fair value price this is a fair value
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range and the market and both sides of the
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market are comfortable trading in this
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range and neither side feels the need to
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seek new value at higher or lower areas.
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So we call this also a balanced profile
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because price is balanced. When the
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profile shows a D-shaped the markets are
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in harmony. It's a perfect balance. Now
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here's an example of a D-shaped profile
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and what price does in this condition. So
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you can see we have our volume profile
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developing volume profile and you can see
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that the volume is all developed in this
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middle cluster. See it tapers off nicely
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very smooth. There's no specific high
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volume nodes in this profile. It's all
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just one big high volume node with a very
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smooth distribution here. With a total
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drop off on the upper end and total drop
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off on the lower end. You're developing
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value high being the upper blue line.
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Developing value low being the lower blue
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line. Developing point of control being
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the red line. So you can see when price
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moves to the highs the sellers step in
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pull it back towards the middle. Price
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moves down to the value lows. Buyers step
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in pull it back towards the middle and
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then eventually back to the upper end. And
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this keeps repeating over and over again
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until one side of the market is able to
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take control. And you see here on this
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last bit here price did manage to go a
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little bit deeper. But again same thing no
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sellers present below that range. They
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want to return to fair value so buyers buy
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that back up towards fair value. Now it's
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heading back towards the value area high.
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So this is what a D-shaped profile would
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look like in real life in the real
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markets. And how price behaves typically
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in this type of environment. Now why is it
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important to identify a D-shaped profile?
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Well the D-shaped profile gives us
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predictable behavior. So we know if we
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look at that screenshot again. The value
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area high of the developing session. We
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know it's predictable to once price
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approaches the value area high. The most
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likely play is that it's going to revert
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back into value. So we have a predictable
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trade setup here. Fading the highs of the
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D-shape. And vice versa for the lows. And
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we can do that multiple times until the
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breakout eventually happens. So if you're
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going to fade the edges of a D-shaped
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profile. Eventually you're going to lose.
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Right? There will be a breakout at some
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point. But it is one of those setups you
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can take over and over again if you choose
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to. Or if you missed an earlier trade. You
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can take the next trade. It's very
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predictable. And offers a lot of
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opportunity. The reason being because
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there's a high probability for mean
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reversion. So reversion back to the mean
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or back to fair value. That POC becomes
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the center of gravity. As the market
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struggles to find buyers above and sellers
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below. As you can see again. When price
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reaches value highs. As we know for a
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breakout. As you've seen from this course.
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When a breakout occurs. Value area highs
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will properly break. And then be retested
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on the other side. Finding those buyers to
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continue price upwards. And vice versa.
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But in a D-shaped profile. You're going to
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see the opposite of that happen. Price
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will approach the value highs. Struggle to
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find any buyers above value highs. So
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sellers can sell that back down. Taking
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control back to fair value. And vice versa
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with the buyers. No sellers present at the
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lows. So buyers can buy that right back
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up. And bring it back to fair value and
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beyond. So when it comes to these types of
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profiles. Avoid looking for breakouts.
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Because price is more likely to return
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into value. Now it doesn't mean that it's
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going to just endlessly range. Eventually
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you will take a loss. Eventually you will
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be wrong. And price will break away. This
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is bound to happen. The markets cannot
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range every single day. Or it's even rare
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that the markets will range like this for
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multiple hours. But it's something to
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identify as intraday traders. We need to
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be aware of when we see a distribution
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like this in the profile. That our trade
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setups should revolve around mean
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reversion. Trading back into value. Versus
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trying to trade the breakaways. And break
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away from value areas. Now a D-shaped
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profile doesn't have to be an entire
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profile. Of course in the example shown
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previously. That was the whole developing
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profile was a D-shape. But sometimes you
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may have a portion of a profile that's
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showing even distribution. You might find
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that on the upper portion of a profile.
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That this sort of shape has formed. Or
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this large thick cluster of volume has
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formed at the upper end or lower end of a
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range. And you'll be able to identify that
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via the lack of shelves. See with a
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typical high volume node. They're very
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distinctive edges and clusters of volume
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within a profile. But with a D-shaped
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profile. You're going to see just a large
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cluster. Just a mound of volume with no
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distinctive edges. Again if we go back to
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the example. You can see there is no
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distinctive high volume node in here worth
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noting. They are all clustered together.
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Relatively similar volume. And it's all
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focused within this one price range. With
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big drop off on the upper end. And big
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drop off on the lower end. Effectively
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creating one large high volume node. So
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sometimes you'll see this form on the
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upper end of a profile. Or the lower end
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of a profile. And that will give you a
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clue as to when you should take this
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approach to the market. And identifying
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them by the lack of distinctive shelves.
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Now a quick note on this. We're looking
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for this type of profile distribution to
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form in the developing profile. Not the
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previous profile. So those profiles that
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have already closed. A.K.A. previous day
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profile. Overnight profile. Previous
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week's profile. Those have already closed.
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Yes they may have formed D-shaped profiles
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at the time. And closed off as D-shaped.
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But just because those previous profiles
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closed as a D-shape. It doesn't mean you
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should continue to take that fading
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approach in the next session. Unless
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confirmed by the developing profile. If
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the developing profile gives you a
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confluence. Then yes you should take this
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approach. But say for example the previous
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day's volume profile was a D-shape. It
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closes off. Those become your PD levels.
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Going into the next day. You should watch
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to see how that developing profile
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develops around those areas. Before
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determining if you should take the D-shape
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approach to those levels. The point I want
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to make here is. Only look to take D-shape
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plays. If the developing profile confirms
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those previous profile levels. So general
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rules for trading a D-shape profile.
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Number one obviously you want to fade the
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extremes. The developing value high and
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value low. Where that volume totally drops
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off. Is where you would want to be looking
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for your trade setups. You don't want to
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be taking your entries near the midpoint
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of the range. You don't want to be taking
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your entries within the cluster of volume.
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But where instead the volume drops off
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into those value high and value low areas.
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When it comes to setting targets. You want
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to take profit at POC or before POC. Say
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if you're going long from the lows. You
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want to take profit as close to the POC as
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possible. And vice versa if you're
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shorting the highs. For the highest
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probability exits. Generally you don't
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want to be holding a trade from the lows
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through POC back to the highs. Because
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when a breakout does eventually occur.
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It's most likely going to occur from the
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POC. So say if price comes to the valley
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area low. Trades back up to POC. When the
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breakout eventually occurs. Typically it
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happens from the fair value point. So if
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you're trying to hold to the other side of
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the range. If it's about to break out. It
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hits POC. And then melts to the downside.
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You've just taken a loss. Wiped out your
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profits. When you could have just exited
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safely at POC. Before that breakout
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occurred. So in order to provide
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protection for the eventual breakout.
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Ensure you're taking profits at POC at the
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very latest. For the most part. Unless you
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have reason to believe that price will
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push through POC. And break to the other
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side. But for the most part. Again we want
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those high probability trades. So exit at
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POC. Now these D-shaped profile setups are
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even more powerful. When the extreme edge
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of the D-shape is paired. With one of our
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previous day, week or overnight value
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levels. For extra confluence. Say if you
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have a D-shaped profile. And at the value
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area high. You have for example. A
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previous day's value area low. Previous
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day value area high. Or any sort of value
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level. Sitting across the upper portion of
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a D-shaped profile. That is an added extra
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confluence. That makes that a more certain
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trade. Or a higher probability trade. It
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doesn't mean you want to come in and start
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fading a D-shaped profile on its own
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whenever you see it. That would be a C
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-ranked trade. But ideally for the best
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quality trades. Pair it up with another
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confluence like a previous value level.
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Now we're going to have a look at an
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example of a trade taken. With a D-shaped
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developing profile. Only a C-ranked trade.
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So no other confluences. But just to show
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you what a real trade looks like when
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taken using just the D-shaped profile as
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confluence. And just a note on this. Stop
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loss placement when it comes to D-shaped
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profiles can be tricky. Because we have no
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high volume nodes to place our stop
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behind. We don't have any logical points
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to work with when placing our stop loss.
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So an approach I like to take. We will
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cover that in the video coming up shortly.
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But your stop loss is going to be
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completely arbitrary in these cases. So
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that is the one tricky thing with D-shaped
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profiles. Is you're going to have to use a
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stop that number one you're comfortable
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with. And number two that makes sense in
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terms of risk to reward. So let's have a
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look at a real trade example. Trading a D
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-shaped profile on a C-ranked trade.
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Here's what a D-shaped profile will look
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like in real life. Now notice how it's not
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always going to be perfectly D-shaped. As
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in a perfect rounded mound. You can notice
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a D-shaped or an even distribution
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profile. By what we mentioned earlier with
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the lack of significant nodes across a
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distribution. You can see the volume is
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very concentrated across this middle
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range. With a complete drop off in volume
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off the edges. You can see little to no
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activity at the highs and the lows. Now we
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currently open up. This is a Sunday going
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into beginning the trading week. We've
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opened up with a massive gap up due to
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Trump tariff news over the weekend. But
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that aside this is still a tradable range
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here. Confirmed with our even distribution
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profile. Now this is a trade I took on one
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of my accounts here. Fading the extreme of
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the lower end of the D-shaped profile. And
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scalping back up towards the center of the
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profile. Which is ultimately where you
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want to take profit. So insert a
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screenshot of the execution here. So you
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can see my entry and exit. My entry was
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taken around here. At the low value area
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low of the D-shaped profile. Where the
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volume starts to taper off. And because a
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D-shaped profile represents a balanced
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trading range. And fair value. You want to
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be buying back towards fair value from
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below. And selling back towards fair value
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from above. So given that we're at the
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value area lows. I got a buy position.
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Stop loss placed at an arbitrary one-to
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-one. Targeting the midpoint of that D
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-shaped distribution. Or the point of
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control of this D-shaped distribution.
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Which was two points away from my entry.
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So I put my stop loss also at one-to-one.
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Two points which also seemed fair. It was
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to the lower end of the profile. Where
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that volume completely dropped off. Right.
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You can see little to no volume down here.
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The low is where my stop loss was. And
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it's also below a recent low here as well.
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So I was happy with my stop loss where
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that was. And with these types of trades.
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You always want to target the midpoint for
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your take profit. You don't want to try
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and be greedy. And trade both sides of the
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range. Because when this does eventually
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break out of a range. It is going to most
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likely break away from that midpoint. Come
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back to fair value. And push away to never
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come back. So you don't want to be caught
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unlucky with that. Your highest
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probability play with an even distribution
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profile. Is fading back towards. And
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getting out once it hits that fair value
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price point. Now you can see this play
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happening all throughout the day here.
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Fading both extremes. That profile very
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evenly distributed across the middle. So
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as price pulls down to these areas here.
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That's where you're going to get your long
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play. As it pulls up to the upper end.
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Your short play. And again there's a clean
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one. Short play from here back down.
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Watching the profile still noting the even
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distribution. And fading both sides of
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that range. So again to reinforce in terms
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of take profit. You always want to be
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taking profit. At point of control or near
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00:13:29,733 --> 00:13:31,366
point of control. Of an even distributed
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profile. And your stop loss. Stop loss can
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be a bit more tricky. Because we don't
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really have much to go off. What I like to
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00:13:37,766 --> 00:13:39,533
do. Is make sure my stop is at least.
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Behind a high or low of the range. And
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also to make sure. That it is at the
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extreme of the profile. Where that volume
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completely dropped off. Because price is
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unlikely to go towards that area. Or trade
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towards that area. If price is to remain.
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In a fair balanced distribution range. So
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it can be a little bit harder to place
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00:13:56,233 --> 00:13:57,866
your stop. But I like to go for at least
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one to one. As long as that stop loss is.
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Where that volume tapers off. So that
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should equip you to be able to identify.
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These D-shaped profiles. And understand
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how to approach them. And how to trade
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them. And the cautions you need to take.
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The precautions you need to take. We will
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00:14:11,833 --> 00:14:13,733
try to accumulate as many D-shaped
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00:14:13,733 --> 00:14:15,866
examples. To add to the playbook as well.
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00:14:15,966 --> 00:14:17,966
To help you see the different approaches.
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00:14:17,966 --> 00:14:19,966
That can be taken with D-shaped profiles.
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And remember this module. Is just helping
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you to identify this. And understand how
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00:14:24,666 --> 00:14:27,066
to trade these profiles. It's not saying
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00:14:27,066 --> 00:14:29,066
this is something. That you have to trade
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in your strategy. If you do struggle with
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00:14:31,466 --> 00:14:33,733
trading D-shaped profiles. Because they
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00:14:33,733 --> 00:14:35,566
can be tricky. Due to the stop loss
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placement. And the eventual breakout. If
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you do struggle with these profile shapes.
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00:14:39,300 --> 00:14:41,566
You can just avoid them altogether. But
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for those of you who do want to attempt.
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To trade a D-shaped profile. I personally
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00:14:45,566 --> 00:14:47,400
have no problem trading D-shaped profiles.
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00:14:47,533 --> 00:14:50,066
I enjoy range trading. And it works well
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00:14:50,066 --> 00:14:51,900
for me and my edge. But if it's not
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00:14:51,900 --> 00:14:53,700
something you're able to crack. Don't feel
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00:14:53,700 --> 00:14:55,233
like it has to be something. You have to
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00:14:55,233 --> 00:14:57,433
add to your strategy. It is simply another
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00:14:57,433 --> 00:14:59,566
tool to add to your volume profile trading
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00:14:59,566 --> 00:15:01,800
toolbox. So I hope you found this module
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helpful. And I hope that it has equipped
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you. To better understand this special
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00:15:05,633 --> 00:15:06,766
volume profile shape.
30930
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