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There are few experiences in the stock
market more universally painful and
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frustrating than being forced out of a
position at a low, only to watch in
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00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:11,820
disbelief as the price immediately
reverses and surges upward without you.
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00:00:12,220 --> 00:00:17,240
For most, this event is dismissed as
simple bad luck, a random sting of the
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00:00:17,240 --> 00:00:19,880
market or proof that the game is
hopelessly rigged.
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00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:23,980
But for Richard Wyckoff, this was not a
random event at all.
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He recognized it as a frequent,
deliberate, and most importantly, an
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identifiable maneuver.
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He saw that these false breakouts to the
downside, which he termed springs and
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shakeouts, were not acts of chaos, but
rather calculated tools used by the
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market's most informed operators, the
composite man, to mislead the public and
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eliminate competition just before a
major advance was set to begin.
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He understood that these deceptive
moves, while ruinous for the uninformed,
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offered a golden opportunity for the
astute analyst who knew what to look
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This video will pull back the curtain on
these powerful maneuvers.
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We will explore the manipulative
psychology behind them and provide a
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step -by -step guide to the specific
price and volume characteristics Wyckoff
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used to identify these bear traps,
turning what was once a source of
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into a signal of immense opportunity.
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Before we continue...
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Please subscribe and leave a quick
comment, even one word.
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This small action helps the algorithm
show this video to more people and tells
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me these deep dives are worth making.
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To understand how to identify a spring,
one must first understand the
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manipulative logic behind why it is
created.
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The composite man, after a long and
patient campaign of absorbing shares in
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accumulation trading range, has one
final problem to solve before he can
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profitable markup campaign.
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He knows that there are still other
traders who have also recognized the
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potential and have taken long positions.
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He also knows that many traders have
placed their protective stop -loss
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at the most logical place possible, just
below the well -defined support line of
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the trading range.
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These two groups of market participants
represent a potential source of supply
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that could hinder his future advance.
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If he begins the markup, these traders
will sell to take profits, and he will
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forced to absorb their stock at higher
and higher prices.
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His solution is the spring.
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The maneuver has four distinct
psychological objectives.
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First, its primary goal is to create
panic and mislead the public.
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By driving the price decisively below a
support level that has held for weeks or
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months,
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He creates the powerful illusion that
the stock's period of stability is over
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and that the prior downtrend is
resuming.
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This appearance of acute weakness
frightens the last of the weak -willed
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longholders into throwing their shares
overboard at the worst possible time.
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Second, the spring is engineered to hunt
for and trigger the clusters of stop
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-loss orders.
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The composite man knows that a
significant number of shares can be
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forcing the price down to the level
where these stops are placed.
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This allows him to absorb a large block
of stock in a very short period of time
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without having to bid the price up to
acquire it.
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It is a highly efficient method for
consolidating the last of the available
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floating supply.
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Third, the move is designed to trap
bearish traders.
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Breakout traders who play the short side
will see the break of support as a
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clear signal to sell short.
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When they do so, they are effectively
selling shares to the composite man.
59
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These new shorts are now trapped, and
when the price reverses and begins to
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up, they will be forced to buy back
their positions at higher prices.
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Their covering provides additional fuel
and buying demand that helps propel the
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subsequent markup phase.
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Fourth,
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The spring serves as a final, definitive
test of supply.
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Before committing the vast resources
required to push a stock significantly
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higher, the composite man wants to be as
certain as possible that the major
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selling is over.
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By breaking the price below support, he
invites anyone who is still inclined to
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sell to do so.
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If this break fails to produce a
significant cascade of new selling, He
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00:04:29,420 --> 00:04:33,600
his final confirmation that the supply
has been exhausted and that the path of
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least resistance is now definitively
upward.
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With the psychology of the maneuver
understood, we can turn to its specific
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anatomy.
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A spring is not simply any drop below a
support line. It is a specific event
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with a clear context and identifiable
characteristics.
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The first and most important rule is
context.
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A true spring can only occur at the end
of a prolonged and clearly defined
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accumulation trading range.
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A price break below a support level in
any other context, such as in the middle
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of a clear downtrend, is simply a
continuation of that downtrend.
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The spring is a terminal event that
concludes a period of preparation.
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00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:15,040
The analyst must first have evidence
that accumulation has been taking place
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before he can even begin to look for a
spring.
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The price action of a spring is its most
visible feature.
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It is a sharp, often rapid and decisive
thrust below the support line that has
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contained all previous reactions within
the trading range.
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It is designed to look convincing, to
give the clear impression of genuine
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weakness.
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The extent of the penetration can vary
from a fraction of a point to several
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points, depending on the price and
volatility of the stock.
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The true secret to identifying a spring,
however, lies in analyzing its volume
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signature.
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Wyckoff identified two distinct types of
springs, each with a different but
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equally powerful bullish implication.
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The first is a spring on low volume.
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This is arguably the most powerful
bullish signal of the two.
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A thrust below support on conspicuously
light volume is a direct and unambiguous
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message from the market.
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There is no supply.
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It indicates that the selling pressure
has been completely exhausted.
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The composite man has broken the price
down into new low ground, and instead of
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meeting a wave of selling, he has found
a vacuum.
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The sellers are gone.
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This is proof positive that the
accumulation campaign has been
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00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:36,660
the stock is ready for an immediate and
often aggressive advance.
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The second type is a spring on high or
climactic volume.
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In this scenario, the break below
support does succeed in triggering a
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number of stop -loss orders.
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and inducing a final wave of panic
selling from the public.
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This appears on the chart as a very high
volume bar.
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While this may look bearish on the
surface, its interpretation depends
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on the price action that accompanies it.
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If the price stops going down on this
high volume and then begins to reverse,
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00:07:07,790 --> 00:07:08,790
is a sign of strength.
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It shows that the composite man was
present and that his buying power was
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sufficient to absorb the entirety of
this final wave of selling.
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without allowing the price to collapse
further.
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The high volume represents the
successful transfer of the last of the
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from weak hands to strong hands.
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This leads to the final and most crucial
element in the anatomy of a spring, the
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confirmation.
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The true secret to a spring is not the
break below support itself, but the
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character of the price action that
immediately follows.
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A genuine spring must be confirmed by a
swift and decisive recovery.
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00:07:45,660 --> 00:07:49,260
The price must not linger in the
territory below the old support line.
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It must quickly reverse and climb back
into the trading range, reclaiming the
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00:07:54,060 --> 00:07:55,060
support level.
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This rapid recovery is the non
-negotiable proof that the move below
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a false breakout.
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00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:05,840
It proves that the buying power that
appeared at the low was superior to the
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00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:06,840
selling pressure.
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A price that breaks support and then
stays down or rallies feebly back to the
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underside of the support line only to be
met with more selling.
135
00:08:14,650 --> 00:08:15,650
is not a spring.
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00:08:16,070 --> 00:08:19,610
It is a genuine breakdown and the start
of a new markdown phase.
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The confirmation, this quick reversal,
is what turns the spring from a point of
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fear into a point of maximum
opportunity.
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00:08:28,150 --> 00:08:32,870
To make these concepts practical and
immediately useful, we can distill the
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identification of a spring into a simple
but effective checklist.
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This is the mental framework a Wyckoff
analyst uses to test the validity of a
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potential bear trap in real time.
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First, is the stock in a clearly defined
and prolonged accumulation trading
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range after a significant prior
downtrend?
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Without this context, the signal is not
valid.
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00:08:55,780 --> 00:08:59,780
Second, has there been a clear and
decisive price penetration below the
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established support line of this trading
range?
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Third, what is the character of the
volume on the break?
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Is it conspicuously low, indicating an
exhaustion of supply?
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00:09:12,430 --> 00:09:17,630
Or is it climactically high, indicating
a powerful absorption of the final wave
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of selling?
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00:09:19,270 --> 00:09:24,190
Fourth, and most importantly, has the
price quickly and decisively rallied
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above the old support level, reclaiming
its position within the trading range?
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If the answer to all four of these
questions is yes, the analyst has
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a high probability buying opportunity.
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00:09:38,110 --> 00:09:39,670
Even with a clear checklist,
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Traders often make critical errors when
attempting to trade this powerful
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maneuver. Understanding these common
mistakes is as important as
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the signal itself.
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00:09:50,010 --> 00:09:54,230
The first and most dangerous mistake is
confusing a genuine breakdown with a
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spring. A trader eager to find a bottom
may see any move below support as a
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potential spring.
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The key difference lies in the
confirmation.
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A genuine breakdown which signals the
start of a new markdown phase will have
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follow -through.
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The selling pressure will continue and
the price will stay below the old
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level.
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Any rally will be weak and will fail at
or below the underside of this old
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support, which has now become new
resistance.
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A spring, by contrast, fails to produce
any meaningful follow -through selling
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and quickly snaps back.
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The second common mistake is buying too
early.
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A trader may anticipate a spring and buy
the stock as it is breaking down,
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before the price has confirmed its
recovery.
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This is a highly dangerous practice.
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It is an attempt to catch a falling
knife.
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The correct Wyckoff procedure is to wait
for the confirmation.
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The trade should only be entered after
the price has proven its strength by
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rallying back into the old trading
range.
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The lowest risk entry point is often on
the first small pullback after this
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recovery, a maneuver that tests the
reclaimed support line.
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By waiting for this confirmation,
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The trader sacrifices a few ticks of
potential profit in exchange for a much
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higher probability of success.
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To see these principles in action, we
turn to the historical examples from
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Wyckoff's own chart books.
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A classic case is the action of Anaconda
Copper in 1935.
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After a long period of what appeared to
be accumulation, the stock experienced a
189
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final, brutal shakeout from February
into March.
190
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The price plunged through all its prior
support levels, falling from above 11 to
191
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a low near 8.
192
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This move had all the characteristics of
a final cleansing action.
193
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Crucially, as the market averages were
still weak, Anaconda began to show
194
00:11:50,470 --> 00:11:54,770
superior comparative strength by
refusing to make new lows and holding
195
00:11:55,450 --> 00:11:59,610
The selling climaxed in mid -March, and
the price then quickly reversed,
196
00:11:59,950 --> 00:12:02,310
climbing back above the old support
levels.
197
00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:07,240
This confirmed the shakeout and set the
stage for a massive advance that more
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00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,660
than doubled the stock's price in the
following months.
199
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:15,560
Another powerful example is the terminal
shakeout in Allied Chemical in 1932.
200
00:12:16,740 --> 00:12:20,980
After a long period of building a cause,
the stock experienced a sharp downward
201
00:12:20,980 --> 00:12:22,860
drive from 55 to 43.
202
00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:28,380
This move was clearly identified by
Wyckoff as a shakeout, because the stock
203
00:12:28,380 --> 00:12:31,040
immediately found support and began to
edge steadily upward.
204
00:12:31,530 --> 00:12:33,890
with volume drying up on all minor
reactions.
205
00:12:34,730 --> 00:12:39,410
This confirmed that the supply had been
exhausted, and it preceded a bull market
206
00:12:39,410 --> 00:12:41,270
in the stock that carried it to 135.
207
00:12:42,570 --> 00:12:44,650
In every case, the pattern is the same.
208
00:12:45,130 --> 00:12:50,590
A period of preparation, a final
deceptive move to the downside, and a
209
00:12:50,590 --> 00:12:53,950
confirmation through a swift recovery
that signals the true intent of the
210
00:12:53,950 --> 00:12:54,950
composite man.
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Having thoroughly examined the mechanics
and psychology of the spring and the
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00:12:59,730 --> 00:13:03,860
shakeout, The Wyckoff analyst
understands how the composite man clears
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00:13:03,860 --> 00:13:05,440
market of supply at the bottom.
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00:13:06,220 --> 00:13:10,680
We now turn our attention to the top of
the market, where the same manipulative
215
00:13:10,680 --> 00:13:12,140
logic is applied in reverse.
216
00:13:13,100 --> 00:13:17,660
Just as a spring is designed to create a
false impression of weakness, its
217
00:13:17,660 --> 00:13:22,260
mirror image, the upthrust, is
engineered to create a powerful illusion
218
00:13:22,260 --> 00:13:23,260
strength.
219
00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,980
It is the final deceptive act in a
campaign of distribution.
220
00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:31,780
designed to trap the last wave of
enthusiastic buyers at the very peak of
221
00:13:31,780 --> 00:13:32,780
market move.
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00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:38,400
Understanding this maneuver is just as
critical as understanding the spring,
223
00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:42,880
it provides the clearest and most
reliable evidence that an advance is
224
00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:44,800
that a significant decline is imminent.
225
00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:49,720
The upthrust is the composite man's
signal that he has completed his selling
226
00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,120
is now ready to allow the stock to seek
lower levels.
227
00:13:52,340 --> 00:13:56,420
The psychology behind the upthrust is
rooted in the public's inherent bullish
228
00:13:56,420 --> 00:13:58,920
bias. and their fear of missing out.
229
00:13:59,740 --> 00:14:03,980
After a long and sustained advance,
public excitement is at its peak.
230
00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:09,440
News is overwhelmingly positive and
stories of quick fortunes abound.
231
00:14:09,740 --> 00:14:14,140
The composite man who has been quietly
distributing his shares to this wave of
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00:14:14,140 --> 00:14:18,340
public buying needs a final event to
unload his remaining inventory at the
233
00:14:18,340 --> 00:14:19,580
highest possible prices.
234
00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:22,800
The upthrust serves this purpose
perfectly.
235
00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:25,840
Its objectives are the mirror image of
the springs.
236
00:14:26,910 --> 00:14:29,970
First, it is designed to create a state
of euphoria.
237
00:14:30,450 --> 00:14:35,570
By pushing the price to a new high,
above a well -defined resistance level,
238
00:14:35,570 --> 00:14:39,190
signals to the public that the strong
uptrend is resuming with even greater
239
00:14:39,190 --> 00:14:44,570
force. This entices the last of the
hesitant buyers to jump in, fearing they
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00:14:44,570 --> 00:14:46,210
will miss the next great leg up.
241
00:14:47,390 --> 00:14:51,770
Second, the upthrust is engineered to
hunt for and trigger the stop -loss
242
00:14:51,770 --> 00:14:52,770
of short sellers.
243
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,780
Traders who have been bearish on the
stock will have placed their protective
244
00:14:56,780 --> 00:14:59,200
stops just above the obvious resistance
line.
245
00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:05,140
The push to a new high is designed to
catch these stops, forcing the shorts to
246
00:15:05,140 --> 00:15:06,780
buy back their positions at a loss.
247
00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:11,820
This wave of forced buying provides
additional demand into which the
248
00:15:11,820 --> 00:15:13,440
man can sell his shares.
249
00:15:14,420 --> 00:15:20,360
Third, and most importantly, the
upthrust provides the final,
250
00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:21,420
of public demand.
251
00:15:22,030 --> 00:15:24,590
that the composite man needs to complete
his distribution.
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00:15:25,890 --> 00:15:31,270
He uses the excitement of the breakout
to new highs as the perfect cover to
253
00:15:31,270 --> 00:15:35,730
his large line of stock into the market,
transferring the last of his holdings
254
00:15:35,730 --> 00:15:38,190
to the weak hands of the euphoric
public.
255
00:15:38,610 --> 00:15:44,350
Once this transfer is complete, the
stock is in a technically weak position,
256
00:15:44,350 --> 00:15:47,350
the composite man has no further
interest in supporting the price.
257
00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:51,760
The anatomy of an upthrust is a direct
reflection of this manipulative intent.
258
00:15:52,820 --> 00:15:55,940
Just as with the spring, context is
paramount.
259
00:15:56,440 --> 00:16:01,000
An upthrust is a valid signal of a top
only when it occurs after a prolonged
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00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,820
advance and within a clear distribution
trading range.
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00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:09,260
A move to a new high in the early stages
of a powerful young uptrend is not an
262
00:16:09,260 --> 00:16:12,580
upthrust. It is simply a continuation of
the trend.
263
00:16:13,900 --> 00:16:18,160
The upthrust is a terminal event that
marks the exhaustion of demand after a
264
00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:19,160
long campaign.
265
00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:24,440
The price action of an upthrust is a
push above a well -defined resistance
266
00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:25,460
that fails to hold.
267
00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:31,440
The stock may look incredibly strong for
a moment, but it is unable to sustain
268
00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,340
its gains and quickly falls back below
the resistance line.
269
00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:39,480
Once again, the most vital clues to the
true nature of the move are found in the
270
00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:40,480
volume signature.
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00:16:41,740 --> 00:16:45,620
An upthrust typically occurs with one of
two distinct volume characteristics.
272
00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:50,200
The first is an upthrust on
conspicuously low volume.
273
00:16:50,460 --> 00:16:54,260
The price pushes to a new high, but the
volume is unusually light.
274
00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:56,760
This is a powerful sign of weakness.
275
00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,880
It demonstrates a lack of genuine
demand.
276
00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:04,140
The move has no force, no effort behind
it.
277
00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:08,760
It shows that the composite man is not
participating in the buying and that the
278
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:10,619
public's buying power has been
exhausted.
279
00:17:11,530 --> 00:17:15,569
Such a move is doomed to fail as soon as
even a small amount of supply appears.
280
00:17:16,410 --> 00:17:20,829
The second and more common type is an
upthrust on high or climactic volume.
281
00:17:22,069 --> 00:17:26,510
In this scenario, the price pushes to a
new high on a massive burst of volume,
282
00:17:26,609 --> 00:17:30,110
but it makes little or no further upward
progress and then stalls.
283
00:17:31,110 --> 00:17:35,570
This is a classic example of the law of
effort versus result showing a fatal
284
00:17:35,570 --> 00:17:36,570
divergence.
285
00:17:37,210 --> 00:17:41,810
The immense effort, which is the high
volume, is failing to produce a
286
00:17:41,810 --> 00:17:45,050
corresponding result which would be a
sustained price advance.
287
00:17:46,230 --> 00:17:50,370
This indicates that the apparent
breakout is being met with an
288
00:17:50,370 --> 00:17:53,750
of selling or distribution from the
composite man.
289
00:17:54,370 --> 00:17:59,350
He is using the public's excitement to
unload his shares, and his supply is so
290
00:17:59,350 --> 00:18:02,450
great that it is completely absorbing
all the demand.
291
00:18:02,930 --> 00:18:07,730
Following either type of upthrust, the
definitive proof of the maneuver is the
292
00:18:07,730 --> 00:18:08,730
confirmation.
293
00:18:09,020 --> 00:18:11,420
the failure of the price to hold the
breakout.
294
00:18:12,420 --> 00:18:16,960
The stock will quickly fall back below
the resistance level and into the old
295
00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:17,960
trading range.
296
00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:22,980
This failure is the clear signal that
the breakout was false and that the
297
00:18:22,980 --> 00:18:23,980
have been trapped.
298
00:18:24,540 --> 00:18:29,220
For the Wyckoff analyst, identifying a
confirmed upthrust is not only a signal
299
00:18:29,220 --> 00:18:34,440
to exit any long positions immediately,
but it is also one of the safest and
300
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,100
most reliable signals to initiate a
short sale.
301
00:18:37,770 --> 00:18:42,730
as it indicates that supply is now in
control and a markdown phase is the most
302
00:18:42,730 --> 00:18:43,730
probable outcome.
303
00:18:44,090 --> 00:18:48,390
To make the identification of this
critical topping signal a practical and
304
00:18:48,390 --> 00:18:52,870
repeatable skill, we can establish a
clear checklist for the Wyckoff analysts
305
00:18:52,870 --> 00:18:53,870
follow.
306
00:18:54,250 --> 00:18:58,730
This framework ensures that a conclusion
is based not on a single observation,
307
00:18:59,050 --> 00:19:01,130
but on a confluence of evidence.
308
00:19:01,650 --> 00:19:06,580
First, Has the stock experienced a
significant and prolonged advance, and
309
00:19:06,580 --> 00:19:09,140
now in what appears to be a distribution
trading range?
310
00:19:09,620 --> 00:19:13,860
Second, has there been a clear price
penetration above the established
311
00:19:13,860 --> 00:19:15,820
resistance line of this trading range?
312
00:19:17,020 --> 00:19:20,440
Third, what was the character of the
volume on the break?
313
00:19:21,100 --> 00:19:24,640
Was it suspiciously low, indicating no
genuine demand?
314
00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:29,660
Or was it climactically high, with
little or no subsequent upward progress,
315
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:31,300
indicating heavy distribution?
316
00:19:32,190 --> 00:19:37,110
Fourth, and most importantly, has the
price quickly and decisively fallen back
317
00:19:37,110 --> 00:19:40,250
below the old resistance level, failing
to hold the breakout?
318
00:19:41,490 --> 00:19:46,390
If the answer to all four of these
questions is yes, the analyst has
319
00:19:46,390 --> 00:19:49,150
a high probability selling or short
-selling opportunity.
320
00:19:50,550 --> 00:19:55,370
Just as traders make predictable errors
when faced with a spring, they make a
321
00:19:55,370 --> 00:19:58,890
similar set of mistakes when confronted
with a potential upthrust.
322
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,920
Understanding these pitfalls is
essential for avoiding the bull trap.
323
00:20:04,660 --> 00:20:07,480
The most common mistake is shorting too
early.
324
00:20:08,060 --> 00:20:12,800
A trader may anticipate an upthrust and
sell short as the price is breaking out,
325
00:20:12,940 --> 00:20:15,680
before the maneuver has confirmed its
failure.
326
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:20,180
This is the equivalent of stepping in
front of a speeding train.
327
00:20:21,120 --> 00:20:25,980
The stock may, in fact, be experiencing
a genuine breakout or a reaccumulation
328
00:20:25,980 --> 00:20:30,140
phase. and the premature short seller
will be forced to cover at a significant
329
00:20:30,140 --> 00:20:31,140
loss.
330
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:35,360
The correct Wyckoff procedure is to
always wait for the confirmation.
331
00:20:36,340 --> 00:20:40,320
The short sale should only be considered
after the price has failed to hold its
332
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,980
gains and has fallen back into the
trading range.
333
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,780
The second common mistake is ignoring
the context.
334
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,900
A trader might see a small temporary
push to a new high in the middle of a
335
00:20:51,900 --> 00:20:54,740
powerful healthy uptrend and mistake it
for an upthrust.
336
00:20:55,920 --> 00:21:00,820
As previously stated, an upthrust is a
terminal event that occurs within a
337
00:21:00,820 --> 00:21:03,060
distribution range at the end of a long
advance.
338
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:08,220
A minor new high that is quickly
followed by the resumption of the
339
00:21:08,220 --> 00:21:09,220
not an upthrust.
340
00:21:09,660 --> 00:21:14,780
It is simply part of the normal two
-steps -forward, one -step -back rhythm
341
00:21:14,780 --> 00:21:15,780
bull market.
342
00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:21,120
The analyst must have prior evidence of
distribution, such as labored rallies
343
00:21:21,120 --> 00:21:22,920
and increasing volume on reactions.
344
00:21:23,710 --> 00:21:27,510
before he can begin to interpret a move
above resistance as a potential
345
00:21:27,510 --> 00:21:28,510
upthrust.
346
00:21:29,110 --> 00:21:33,730
To see the upthrust in action, we can
look to the historical examples Wyckoff
347
00:21:33,730 --> 00:21:35,190
used to instruct his students.
348
00:21:36,070 --> 00:21:41,370
The climactic top of the 1929 bull
market, as analyzed on Wyckoff's point
349
00:21:41,370 --> 00:21:45,130
figure charts of the market averages,
provides a macro example of this
350
00:21:45,130 --> 00:21:50,140
principle. After months of building a
massive distribution formation, the
351
00:21:50,140 --> 00:21:53,360
made a final euphoric push to new all
-time highs.
352
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:59,460
This move, however, was the terminal
upthrust, designed to draw in the last
353
00:21:59,460 --> 00:22:01,440
the public's buying power before the
collapse.
354
00:22:02,420 --> 00:22:06,380
A more specific example can be found in
Wyckoff's analysis of a topping
355
00:22:06,380 --> 00:22:07,760
formation in the stock reading.
356
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:13,380
He describes a moment where the stock,
after a long rise, experienced a sudden
357
00:22:13,380 --> 00:22:14,380
burst of activity.
358
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:19,160
with tens of thousands of shares trading
within a very narrow range near the
359
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:20,160
high.
360
00:22:20,540 --> 00:22:23,060
This was a clear sign of effort without
result.
361
00:22:24,140 --> 00:22:29,380
The immense volume failed to push the
price materially higher, indicating that
362
00:22:29,380 --> 00:22:32,160
massive block of stock was being
distributed to the public.
363
00:22:33,020 --> 00:22:38,440
This upthrust action marked the
immediate top, and the stock promptly
364
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:39,440
severe decline.
365
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,720
In every case, the anatomy is the same.
366
00:22:43,310 --> 00:22:47,290
the creation of a powerful illusion of
strength that is not supported by the
367
00:22:47,290 --> 00:22:51,910
underlying evidence of volume, followed
by a swift reversal that traps the bulls
368
00:22:51,910 --> 00:22:53,950
and signals the victory of supply over
demand.
369
00:22:54,290 --> 00:22:58,630
For those who wish to truly master the
lessons discussed here, it is essential
370
00:22:58,630 --> 00:23:00,070
to study them from the source.
371
00:23:00,450 --> 00:23:05,450
Please take note of a unique new edition
of Richard Wyckoff's masterpiece How I
372
00:23:05,450 --> 00:23:09,210
Trade and Invest in Stocks and Bonds by
Max Davidson.
373
00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:14,420
It has been meticulously adapted for the
modern trader, complete with
374
00:23:14,420 --> 00:23:18,440
explanations that make Wyckoff's
timeless wisdom more accessible than
375
00:23:19,260 --> 00:23:23,840
For anyone who wants to truly absorb the
lessons we are discussing, this adapted
376
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,360
edition is an indispensable part of your
library.
377
00:23:27,580 --> 00:23:30,940
The link to this book is located in the
description of this video.
378
00:23:32,260 --> 00:23:36,540
The true power of the Wyckoff method is
not in guessing the direction, but in
379
00:23:36,540 --> 00:23:39,060
reading the logic of the composite man's
actions.
380
00:23:40,500 --> 00:23:44,400
Understanding the secrets of the spring
and the upthrust is perhaps the ultimate
381
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:45,720
expression of this principle.
382
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:52,060
These maneuvers are the composite man's
most direct communications, his clearest
383
00:23:52,060 --> 00:23:53,060
statements of intent.
384
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:59,000
They are deliberate deceptions, designed
to prey on the public's most
385
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:03,940
predictable emotional responses, fear at
the bottom and greed at the top.
386
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:09,100
The analyst who learns to identify these
false breakouts to understand their
387
00:24:09,100 --> 00:24:13,360
manipulative purpose and to read their
telltale signatures in price and volume
388
00:24:13,360 --> 00:24:17,700
elevates himself from a mere participant
in the market to a reader of it.
389
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:23,060
He learns to use the composite man's own
deceptive tactics to his advantage,
390
00:24:23,360 --> 00:24:28,420
buying when the trap is sprung on the
bears and selling when the trap is
391
00:24:28,420 --> 00:24:32,100
on the bulls. This is the essence of
trading in harmony with smart money.
36205
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