All language subtitles for ๐Ÿ”” 7 Signs Richard Wyckoff Detected Hidden Accumulation & Strong Buying - Richard Wyckoff Trading Methods (720p, h264)

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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,820 In the grand mechanism of the stock market, nothing is more crucial yet more 2 00:00:03,820 --> 00:00:06,320 misunderstood than the interplay of supply and demand. 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:12,140 For the average man, the market appears as a chaotic whirlwind of rising and 4 00:00:12,140 --> 00:00:15,640 falling prices, governed by news, rumor, and sheer chance. 5 00:00:16,059 --> 00:00:20,100 He buys on hope and sells on fear, perpetually one step behind the true 6 00:00:20,100 --> 00:00:21,600 movements of the financial tide. 7 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:25,140 But for the trained observer, the market is not a mystery. 8 00:00:25,900 --> 00:00:30,300 It is a logical entity that, through its own actions, consistently advertises 9 00:00:30,300 --> 00:00:31,300 its future intentions. 10 00:00:31,780 --> 00:00:36,640 The key to deciphering these intentions lies in one critical skill, the ability 11 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:37,860 to recognize demand. 12 00:00:38,420 --> 00:00:43,300 It is the ability to see the subtle but deliberate footprints of smart money as 13 00:00:43,300 --> 00:00:46,000 it quietly prepares the ground for a significant advance. 14 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:51,060 Richard Wyckoff dedicated his entire professional life to mastering this 15 00:00:51,060 --> 00:00:52,500 and then to teaching it. 16 00:00:53,130 --> 00:00:56,730 He proved that predicting uptrends was not a matter of guesswork or inside 17 00:00:56,730 --> 00:01:02,110 information, but a science based on observable facts, logic, and a deep 18 00:01:02,110 --> 00:01:04,330 understanding of the market's fundamental laws. 19 00:01:04,910 --> 00:01:09,090 The foundation of his entire method rests upon the first and most simple of 20 00:01:09,090 --> 00:01:11,950 these laws, the law of supply and demand. 21 00:01:12,650 --> 00:01:17,550 This principle is as old as commerce itself, yet its application to the stock 22 00:01:17,550 --> 00:01:20,470 market was, and still is, largely ignored. 23 00:01:21,320 --> 00:01:26,240 Prices rise only when demand exceeds supply, and they decline only when 24 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:27,520 is greater than demand. 25 00:01:28,380 --> 00:01:33,220 When the two forces are in a state of equilibrium, prices move sideways in a 26 00:01:33,220 --> 00:01:34,220 narrow range. 27 00:01:34,900 --> 00:01:39,180 Every fluctuation from the smallest eighth of a point wiggle to the grandest 28 00:01:39,180 --> 00:01:43,320 multi -year bull market is a direct expression of this continuous battle. 29 00:01:44,140 --> 00:01:48,480 The thousands of influences that other people use as a basis for their actions. 30 00:01:49,050 --> 00:01:53,590 news, earnings, reports, dividend rates, political events, and personal opinion, 31 00:01:53,750 --> 00:01:58,990 are all concentrated and boiled down into the combined effect of their buying 32 00:01:58,990 --> 00:01:59,990 and selling. 33 00:02:00,670 --> 00:02:05,610 This combined effect is all that matters, and it is all faithfully 34 00:02:05,610 --> 00:02:07,950 the tape and by extension on a price chart. 35 00:02:09,050 --> 00:02:14,410 Therefore, to predict a future uptrend is to accomplish one thing, to identify 36 00:02:14,410 --> 00:02:19,590 through a logical analysis of price and volume the point at which demand is 37 00:02:19,590 --> 00:02:22,250 quietly but decisively overpowering supply. 38 00:02:22,910 --> 00:02:24,890 This does not happen by accident. 39 00:02:25,430 --> 00:02:29,950 It is the result of a deliberate, well -planned campaign conducted by the most 40 00:02:29,950 --> 00:02:34,590 informed minds in the market, an entity Wyckoff termed the composite man. 41 00:02:35,250 --> 00:02:39,750 The primary evidence of this emergent demand is found in a market phase 42 00:02:39,750 --> 00:02:41,010 identified as accumulation. 43 00:02:42,030 --> 00:02:45,570 This is the first and most critical stage of any bull campaign. 44 00:02:46,380 --> 00:02:51,420 accumulation is the process by which the composite man the amalgamation of large 45 00:02:51,420 --> 00:02:56,740 operators insiders and skilled financial interests absorbs the available 46 00:02:56,740 --> 00:03:02,260 floating supply of a stock from the public or weak hands this process is 47 00:03:02,260 --> 00:03:06,780 conducted with great skill and patience often over weeks or months and its 48 00:03:06,780 --> 00:03:10,840 primary objective is to acquire a large line of shares without causing the price 49 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:16,210 to advance significantly to do this the composite man must operate under a cloak 50 00:03:16,210 --> 00:03:17,210 of pessimism. 51 00:03:18,230 --> 00:03:22,290 Accumulation almost always takes place after a prolonged and often punishing 52 00:03:22,290 --> 00:03:23,290 decline. 53 00:03:23,810 --> 00:03:28,370 It occurs at price levels where the news is at its worst, where corporate 54 00:03:28,370 --> 00:03:32,930 earnings are poor, and where the general public, discouraged and fearful, is 55 00:03:32,930 --> 00:03:36,790 finally capitulating and selling its holdings, often at a substantial loss. 56 00:03:37,370 --> 00:03:41,270 This environment of gloom is precisely what the composite man requires. 57 00:03:42,170 --> 00:03:46,450 He has the foresight to see a change in conditions far in the future, and he 58 00:03:46,450 --> 00:03:50,970 uses the current bearish sentiment to his advantage, willingly taking shares 59 00:03:50,970 --> 00:03:54,810 the hands of those who can no longer bear the pain of holding them. The 60 00:03:54,810 --> 00:03:59,490 process is a transfer of ownership from weak, emotional and uninformed hands to 61 00:03:59,490 --> 00:04:01,590 strong, patient and highly informed hands. 62 00:04:02,650 --> 00:04:06,590 Recognizing the distinct phases and characteristics of this accumulation is 63 00:04:06,590 --> 00:04:08,870 key to predicting the subsequent uptrend. 64 00:04:09,390 --> 00:04:10,530 Sign number one. 65 00:04:11,150 --> 00:04:15,110 The selling climax, the stopping of the prior downtrend. 66 00:04:15,970 --> 00:04:20,730 The first sign that a significant accumulation may be about to begin is 67 00:04:20,730 --> 00:04:23,250 dramatic event that halts the preceding downtrend. 68 00:04:23,750 --> 00:04:25,890 This is known as the selling climax. 69 00:04:27,170 --> 00:04:31,430 After a stock has been declining for a prolonged period, public sentiment 70 00:04:31,430 --> 00:04:33,250 becomes overwhelmingly bearish. 71 00:04:34,270 --> 00:04:37,490 Those who bought at higher prices are discouraged and fearful. 72 00:04:38,670 --> 00:04:43,430 As the decline continues, this fear often turns into panic, and the last of 73 00:04:43,430 --> 00:04:47,750 weak holders capitulate, throwing their shares onto the market without regard to 74 00:04:47,750 --> 00:04:50,990 price in a final desperate attempt to escape further losses. 75 00:04:51,930 --> 00:04:54,850 This is the moment the composite man has been waiting for. 76 00:04:55,650 --> 00:05:00,070 He steps in with immense buying power to meet this deluge of panicked selling. 77 00:05:01,130 --> 00:05:05,870 On a vertical chart, this event is characterized by several distinct 78 00:05:07,150 --> 00:05:13,530 First, there is a precipitous drop in price an acceleration of the decline 79 00:05:13,530 --> 00:05:18,830 ending in a day with an exceptionally wide price spread from high to low 80 00:05:18,830 --> 00:05:24,110 this price drop is accompanied by an abnormally large or climactic volume of 81 00:05:24,110 --> 00:05:29,670 trading this huge volume is the result of both the massive public selling and 82 00:05:29,670 --> 00:05:34,970 the massive institutional buying that is absorbing it it is the point of maximum 83 00:05:34,970 --> 00:05:36,890 emotional intensity for the sellers 84 00:05:38,460 --> 00:05:43,280 Third, a key characteristic of a successful selling climax is the price 85 00:05:43,280 --> 00:05:44,780 at the end of the day or period. 86 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:50,160 After plunging to its extreme low, the stock will often rally strongly to close 87 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:51,160 well off the bottom. 88 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,560 This shows that the buying power was not only sufficient to absorb all the 89 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:58,720 selling but was strong enough to reverse the immediate trend intraday. 90 00:05:59,020 --> 00:06:02,940 This is the first powerful evidence that the force of demand is beginning to 91 00:06:02,940 --> 00:06:04,320 overcome the force of supply. 92 00:06:05,100 --> 00:06:06,120 Preceding this climax, 93 00:06:06,840 --> 00:06:11,520 There is often a point of preliminary support, where a noticeable increase in 94 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:15,760 volume and a widening of the spread first appear, signaling that substantial 95 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,500 buying is beginning to emerge. 96 00:06:18,140 --> 00:06:22,840 While this initial support is rarely enough to stop the decline completely, 97 00:06:22,840 --> 00:06:26,900 is the first footprint of the composite man and serves as an alert that the end 98 00:06:26,900 --> 00:06:28,360 of the downtrend may be approaching. 99 00:06:29,460 --> 00:06:32,720 The selling climax itself, however, is the main event. 100 00:06:33,420 --> 00:06:37,240 It marks the point where the stock is transferred en masse from the weakest 101 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:39,700 possible hands into the strongest possible hands. 102 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:44,440 It is the violent and necessary conclusion of the downtrend and the 103 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:47,940 definitive sign that the groundwork for a new uptrend is being laid. 104 00:06:48,900 --> 00:06:49,980 Sign number two. 105 00:06:50,540 --> 00:06:52,680 The secondary test on low volume. 106 00:06:52,940 --> 00:06:55,220 The confirmation of exhausted supply. 107 00:06:56,820 --> 00:07:00,240 Following the selling climax, an almost reflexive rally occurs. 108 00:07:01,140 --> 00:07:03,220 Wyckoff termed this the automatic rally. 109 00:07:03,580 --> 00:07:06,820 This rally is caused by the sudden vacuum of selling pressure. 110 00:07:07,540 --> 00:07:12,480 With the public having exhausted its supply of stock in the climax, even a 111 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:17,160 moderate amount of continued institutional buying or short covering 112 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:22,060 traders can cause the price to rebound sharply. The high point of this 113 00:07:22,060 --> 00:07:25,800 rally is significant because it establishes the upper boundary of the 114 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:27,100 forthcoming trading range. 115 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:30,040 The market has now defined its territory. 116 00:07:30,780 --> 00:07:35,700 The low of the selling climax is the support and the high of the automatic 117 00:07:35,700 --> 00:07:36,700 is the resistance. 118 00:07:37,860 --> 00:07:41,960 However, the most critical piece of evidence that follows is the secondary 119 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:47,080 After the automatic rally has run its course, the stock will invariably drift 120 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:50,360 back down to test the area of the recent selling climax low. 121 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,660 This is a moment of truth for the market. 122 00:07:54,260 --> 00:07:59,240 If the heavy selling that caused the climax is truly over, then this test 123 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,360 occur on significantly diminished volume. 124 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:07,040 The price will approach the prior low, but the volume will be a fraction of 125 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:08,200 it was during the climax. 126 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,560 This is the second and vitally important sign of accumulation. 127 00:08:14,020 --> 00:08:18,280 A low -volume test demonstrates conclusively that the intense selling 128 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:19,320 has been exhausted. 129 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:23,680 There is little or no stock being pressed for sale at these low levels. 130 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:29,280 The composite man, having absorbed the panic selling, now finds that the supply 131 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:30,280 has dried up. 132 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:35,020 He may deliberately withdraw his bids to see what the stock will do if left to 133 00:08:35,020 --> 00:08:39,760 itself, and the resulting low volume and lack of downward progress confirm to 134 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:43,780 him and to the astute Wyckoff analysts that the sellers are gone. 135 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:49,060 If, on the other hand, the secondary test occurs on high volume and the price 136 00:08:49,060 --> 00:08:53,540 breaks decisively below the selling climax low, it indicates that the 137 00:08:53,540 --> 00:08:54,980 liquidation was not completed. 138 00:08:55,560 --> 00:08:57,980 and that a resumption of the downtrend is likely. 139 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:03,840 Therefore, the successful secondary test on low volume is an indispensable 140 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:04,840 confirmation. 141 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:09,160 It validates the selling climax as a genuine turning point. 142 00:09:09,660 --> 00:09:13,780 It proves that the initial powerful buying was not just a temporary support 143 00:09:13,780 --> 00:09:17,200 measure, but the beginning of a deliberate campaign of accumulation. 144 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:21,580 The stock is now safely contained within its trading range. 145 00:09:22,140 --> 00:09:25,880 and the composite man can proceed with absorbing the remaining floating supply 146 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:30,100 with the confidence that the major selling pressure is behind him. 147 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:35,820 Sign number three, the gradual drying up of supply within the trading range. 148 00:09:36,900 --> 00:09:41,080 With the boundaries of the trading range established by the selling climax and 149 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:45,600 the automatic rally, and the exhaustion of major selling pressure confirmed by a 150 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:50,360 successful secondary test, the lengthy process of accumulation begins in 151 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:51,360 earnest. 152 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:56,840 The stock will now oscillate within this range for what can be weeks, months, or 153 00:09:56,840 --> 00:10:00,860 even years, as the composite man methodically absorbs shares. 154 00:10:02,060 --> 00:10:07,000 This sideways movement is the cause being built for the future effect of a 155 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:08,000 sustained advance. 156 00:10:08,820 --> 00:10:13,440 To the uninformed observer, this period appears as a lifeless, uninteresting 157 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:14,440 market. 158 00:10:14,680 --> 00:10:19,140 But for the Wyckoff analyst, it is the most crucial period of study. 159 00:10:19,770 --> 00:10:23,910 for it is here that the most subtle yet powerful signs of hidden buying are 160 00:10:23,910 --> 00:10:28,790 revealed. The third and longest sign of accumulation is the gradual drying up of 161 00:10:28,790 --> 00:10:33,150 supply, which is observed through a meticulous analysis of price and volume 162 00:10:33,150 --> 00:10:34,710 the swings within the trading range. 163 00:10:35,350 --> 00:10:38,790 The key characteristic of a genuine accumulation is this. 164 00:10:39,450 --> 00:10:43,290 Volume should tend to expand on the rallies from the support level to the 165 00:10:43,290 --> 00:10:44,290 resistance level. 166 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:48,840 and it should noticeably contract on the reactions from the resistance back down 167 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:49,860 to the support level. 168 00:10:50,940 --> 00:10:55,320 The consistently shrinking volume on each successive decline within the range 169 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:56,440 of paramount importance. 170 00:10:57,000 --> 00:11:01,400 It indicates that fewer and fewer shares are being offered for sale on each dip. 171 00:11:02,060 --> 00:11:05,560 This is direct evidence that the floating supply is being absorbed. 172 00:11:06,100 --> 00:11:07,520 Sellers are becoming scarce. 173 00:11:08,590 --> 00:11:13,010 The composite man may test the supply repeatedly by allowing the stock to 174 00:11:13,010 --> 00:11:14,450 down toward the support line. 175 00:11:15,190 --> 00:11:20,170 If very little volume appears on these tests, he knows that his campaign is 176 00:11:20,170 --> 00:11:21,170 succeeding. 177 00:11:21,930 --> 00:11:26,250 Another powerful indication that often accompanies this volume signature is the 178 00:11:26,250 --> 00:11:28,450 appearance of higher supports or higher lows. 179 00:11:29,850 --> 00:11:34,240 After the initial low of the selling climax and the secondary test, Each 180 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:38,080 subsequent reaction within the range may stop at a slightly higher level than 181 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:39,080 the one before it. 182 00:11:40,020 --> 00:11:42,980 This shows that buyers are becoming more eager and aggressive. 183 00:11:43,540 --> 00:11:47,460 They are no longer content to wait for the price to fall to the absolute bottom 184 00:11:47,460 --> 00:11:49,040 of the range to acquire shares. 185 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:54,900 They are raising their bids, a clear sign of their eagerness to accumulate 186 00:11:54,900 --> 00:11:55,900 stock. 187 00:11:56,060 --> 00:12:00,080 This subtle but persistent lifting of the support points is a clear sign that 188 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,000 demand is quietly but surely overpowering supply. 189 00:12:03,690 --> 00:12:05,610 long before any public breakout occurs. 190 00:12:06,190 --> 00:12:10,790 The Wyckoff analyst meticulously charts these movements, drawing trend lines 191 00:12:10,790 --> 00:12:14,590 along the rising bottoms to visualize the changing character of the market. 192 00:12:14,950 --> 00:12:19,950 The stock is building a solid foundation, a launch pad for its future 193 00:12:20,190 --> 00:12:25,210 The opposite, a pattern of lower tops on rallies within the range, would be a 194 00:12:25,210 --> 00:12:29,150 bearish indication, showing that sellers are becoming more aggressive and are 195 00:12:29,150 --> 00:12:31,930 willing to accept lower prices to distribute their stock. 196 00:12:32,560 --> 00:12:36,680 Before we continue, please subscribe and leave a quick comment, even one word. 197 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:41,720 This small action helps the algorithm show this video to more people and tells 198 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:43,940 me these deep dives are worth making. 199 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:50,300 Sign number four, the spring or shakeout, the final manipulative test. 200 00:12:51,620 --> 00:12:56,540 As the long process of accumulation nears its end, the composite man often 201 00:12:56,540 --> 00:13:00,780 employs a final powerful maneuver to ensure the path is clear for the coming 202 00:13:00,780 --> 00:13:01,780 markup. 203 00:13:02,030 --> 00:13:05,710 This is the fourth and frequently most decisive sign of a completed 204 00:13:05,710 --> 00:13:08,990 accumulation, the spring or shakeout. 205 00:13:09,770 --> 00:13:14,690 A spring is a sharp and usually brief price movement that penetrates the 206 00:13:14,690 --> 00:13:19,030 established support level of the trading range, only to quickly reverse and 207 00:13:19,030 --> 00:13:20,370 climb back into the range. 208 00:13:21,390 --> 00:13:25,370 This maneuver is a masterful piece of market manipulation with several 209 00:13:25,370 --> 00:13:26,370 calculated objectives. 210 00:13:27,340 --> 00:13:31,460 First and foremost, it is designed to mislead the public and any remaining 211 00:13:31,460 --> 00:13:32,460 holders. 212 00:13:32,760 --> 00:13:37,660 A break below a well -defined support line is almost universally interpreted 213 00:13:37,660 --> 00:13:41,820 a sign of renewed weakness, prompting the last of the nervous longholders to 214 00:13:41,820 --> 00:13:43,900 sell their positions in fear of a new decline. 215 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:50,600 It also encourages bearish traders to initiate new short sales, believing a 216 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:52,320 downtrend has officially begun. 217 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:58,310 Second, The spring allows the composite man to hunt for stop -loss orders, which 218 00:13:58,310 --> 00:14:00,750 are predictably clustered just below the support level. 219 00:14:01,590 --> 00:14:06,310 By driving the price down just far enough to trigger these stops, he can 220 00:14:06,310 --> 00:14:09,590 other traders out of their positions and acquire their shares at the most 221 00:14:09,590 --> 00:14:14,330 advantageous prices possible, effectively mopping up the last 222 00:14:15,470 --> 00:14:20,610 Third, and perhaps most importantly, the spring serves as a definitive final 223 00:14:20,610 --> 00:14:22,070 test of the supply situation. 224 00:14:23,370 --> 00:14:27,510 If there were still a significant amount of stock ready to be sold by other weak 225 00:14:27,510 --> 00:14:32,550 hands, the break below support would trigger a cascade of liquidation and the 226 00:14:32,550 --> 00:14:35,150 price would continue to decline on expanding volume. 227 00:14:36,570 --> 00:14:40,370 However, if the accumulation campaign has been successful and the floating 228 00:14:40,370 --> 00:14:45,130 supply is truly scarce, the break below support will not be met with significant 229 00:14:45,130 --> 00:14:49,650 follow -through selling pressure. The key to identifying a spring as opposed 230 00:14:49,650 --> 00:14:54,650 a genuine and bearish break of support Lies in a careful analysis of both the 231 00:14:54,650 --> 00:14:58,550 volume and the price action that immediately follows the penetration of 232 00:14:58,550 --> 00:15:05,130 There are two primary types of springs The first type occurs on very low volume 233 00:15:05,130 --> 00:15:09,790 This is a powerful indication that there was simply no selling pressure to be 234 00:15:09,790 --> 00:15:14,530 found at the lower levels The supply was completely exhausted and the price 235 00:15:14,530 --> 00:15:16,530 dropped simply due to a lack of bids 236 00:15:17,450 --> 00:15:21,590 The second and more common type occurs on high or even climactic volume. 237 00:15:22,510 --> 00:15:27,450 This high volume represents the composite man actively absorbing the 238 00:15:27,450 --> 00:15:31,070 the triggered stop -loss orders in the final wave of panicked public selling. 239 00:15:31,710 --> 00:15:35,890 In both of these scenarios, the defining characteristic of a true spring is the 240 00:15:35,890 --> 00:15:37,010 price's rapid recovery. 241 00:15:37,750 --> 00:15:41,190 It does not linger in the territory below the old support line. 242 00:15:41,490 --> 00:15:44,830 It quickly reverses and climbs back into the trading range. 243 00:15:45,340 --> 00:15:47,360 often in just a few bars or days. 244 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:52,760 This swift reversal is one of the most powerful and reliable buying signals in 245 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:53,760 the Wyckoff methodology. 246 00:15:54,860 --> 00:15:59,200 It is a clear sign that the last of the sellers have been shaken out, the track 247 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:03,740 is now clear of any significant overhead supply, and the stock is now coiled 248 00:16:03,740 --> 00:16:06,560 like a spring, ready for a powerful upward move. 249 00:16:07,420 --> 00:16:11,780 The shakeout is a broader term for a similar action, which can sometimes 250 00:16:11,780 --> 00:16:13,420 a more substantial price drop. 251 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:17,780 or a more prolonged period of bearishness but its purpose and 252 00:16:17,780 --> 00:16:22,360 characteristics remain the same to mislead the public and consolidate the 253 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:26,820 remaining shares in strong hands just before a major advance sign number five 254 00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:32,040 the signs of strength and the jump across the creek following a successful 255 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:37,060 spring or a final test of support near the bottom of the trading range the 256 00:16:37,060 --> 00:16:39,280 enters the last stage of its preparation 257 00:16:40,810 --> 00:16:44,750 The fifth sign of accumulation is the appearance of clear signs of strength, 258 00:16:44,970 --> 00:16:49,150 which culminates in the definitive breakout event that Wyckoff colorfully 259 00:16:49,150 --> 00:16:53,430 the jump across the creek. A sign of strength is a pronounced rally that is 260 00:16:53,430 --> 00:16:57,330 distinctly different in character from the labored, low -volume rallies seen 261 00:16:57,330 --> 00:16:59,050 earlier in the accumulation process. 262 00:16:59,890 --> 00:17:05,109 It is a movement on widening price spread and a noticeable expansion in 263 00:17:05,550 --> 00:17:09,250 that carries the price from the support level decisively towards the resistance 264 00:17:09,250 --> 00:17:10,730 level of the trading range. 265 00:17:11,490 --> 00:17:16,730 It demonstrates that demand is now firmly in control and that the path of 266 00:17:16,730 --> 00:17:18,569 resistance is shifting to the upside. 267 00:17:19,510 --> 00:17:23,829 An SOS shows that the stock is responsive and ready to move. 268 00:17:24,670 --> 00:17:28,710 After one or more of these signs of strength have demonstrated the newfound 269 00:17:28,710 --> 00:17:32,970 power of the demand, the stock will approach the upper boundary of its long 270 00:17:32,970 --> 00:17:34,170 -standing trading range. 271 00:17:35,050 --> 00:17:39,510 This level of resistance, which has turned back all previous rallies, 272 00:17:39,510 --> 00:17:41,070 analogized as the creek. 273 00:17:42,050 --> 00:17:47,130 The jump across the creek is the decisive, powerful move by the price out 274 00:17:47,130 --> 00:17:48,510 above this resistance line. 275 00:17:49,390 --> 00:17:51,770 This is not a timid or hesitant breakout. 276 00:17:52,670 --> 00:17:57,570 A genuine jump across the creek is characterized by a notable expansion in 277 00:17:57,570 --> 00:18:01,010 spread and a significant sustained increase in volume. 278 00:18:01,590 --> 00:18:05,890 This powerful action shows that demand is now fully assertive and is strong 279 00:18:05,890 --> 00:18:09,930 enough to absorb any residual supply that might appear from traders who had 280 00:18:09,930 --> 00:18:13,370 previously sold at those levels and now wish to sell again. 281 00:18:13,930 --> 00:18:18,190 This is the moment when the stock breaks free from its lengthy preparatory phase 282 00:18:18,190 --> 00:18:22,110 and begins its public advance, which is the markup phase. 283 00:18:23,190 --> 00:18:27,290 While buying during a spring offers the greatest potential reward due to the 284 00:18:27,290 --> 00:18:31,630 lower price, It also carries the inherent risk of misinterpreting the 285 00:18:32,570 --> 00:18:35,990 The jump across the creek, however, is a confirmatory signal. 286 00:18:36,510 --> 00:18:40,650 It is the market's unambiguous announcement that the period of quiet 287 00:18:40,650 --> 00:18:41,650 is over. 288 00:18:41,970 --> 00:18:46,570 Very often after this initial breakout, there is a small pullback or sideways 289 00:18:46,570 --> 00:18:50,790 consolidation, which Wyckoff called the back -up to the edge of the creek. 290 00:18:51,590 --> 00:18:56,050 This is a final, smaller test of supply before the main advance gets underway. 291 00:18:57,350 --> 00:19:01,790 This pullback should occur on a distinct shrinkage of volume, once again 292 00:19:01,790 --> 00:19:05,550 confirming that supply has been exhausted at these new, higher levels. 293 00:19:05,810 --> 00:19:10,430 This last point of support offers a final, excellent, low -risk opportunity 294 00:19:10,430 --> 00:19:14,670 the Wyckoff analyst to initiate or add to a long position, with a clearly 295 00:19:14,670 --> 00:19:18,710 defined stop -loss point just below the newly established support of the former 296 00:19:18,710 --> 00:19:19,710 resistance line. 297 00:19:20,670 --> 00:19:23,990 Sign number six, superior comparative strength. 298 00:19:25,290 --> 00:19:29,130 Throughout the entire process of accumulation and at the beginning of the 299 00:19:29,130 --> 00:19:34,330 phase, Wyckoff stressed the importance of observing a sixth sign, the stock's 300 00:19:34,330 --> 00:19:36,670 comparative strength relative to the general market. 301 00:19:37,210 --> 00:19:42,030 A stock that is being genuinely accumulated by informed interests will 302 00:19:42,030 --> 00:19:46,070 distinct characteristics during broad market movements that set it apart from 303 00:19:46,070 --> 00:19:47,070 the average issue. 304 00:19:47,450 --> 00:19:51,630 While the stock is still consolidating within its trading range, it will often 305 00:19:51,630 --> 00:19:53,590 show a stubborn resistance to declines. 306 00:19:54,010 --> 00:19:58,210 When the general market, as measured by a composite average, experiences a sharp 307 00:19:58,210 --> 00:20:02,390 reaction, the stock under accumulation will frequently decline by a smaller 308 00:20:02,390 --> 00:20:03,730 percentage than the average. 309 00:20:04,910 --> 00:20:10,390 At times it may hold perfectly firm, or even rally slightly against the tide. 310 00:20:11,610 --> 00:20:16,610 This behavior shows that while other stocks are being sold freely, there is a 311 00:20:16,610 --> 00:20:20,710 persistent and powerful demand for this particular stock that is quietly 312 00:20:20,710 --> 00:20:23,390 absorbing any offerings and preventing it from falling. 313 00:20:24,220 --> 00:20:28,100 Conversely, on rallies in the general market, the stock under accumulation 314 00:20:28,100 --> 00:20:32,400 often respond with greater vigor and speed than the average, demonstrating 315 00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,660 eagerness to advance now that the general market's selling pressure has 316 00:20:35,660 --> 00:20:40,560 lifted. This quality of superior performance becomes even more pronounced 317 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:42,940 the stock has completed its jump across the creek. 318 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:48,460 Now in strong hands and free of any significant overhead supply, the stock 319 00:20:48,460 --> 00:20:52,460 often lead the market's advances and will be highly resistant to general 320 00:20:52,460 --> 00:20:53,460 reactions. 321 00:20:54,110 --> 00:20:59,890 James R. Keane, the famous operator whom Wyckoff studied, once said, Watch the 322 00:20:59,890 --> 00:21:04,050 stock that shows strong resistance to pressure when the market is weak, and 323 00:21:04,050 --> 00:21:05,690 those stocks for all you are worth. 324 00:21:06,150 --> 00:21:11,110 This principle of identifying superior comparative strength is a powerful 325 00:21:11,110 --> 00:21:12,370 for the investor and trader. 326 00:21:13,230 --> 00:21:17,690 It allows the analyst to not only identify that accumulation is taking 327 00:21:18,220 --> 00:21:22,160 but also to select the specific stocks that are most likely to become the 328 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,060 strongest leaders in the coming uptrend. 329 00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:29,800 By focusing capital on these issues that demonstrate superior strength, the 330 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:33,860 trader ensures that his funds are employed in the vehicles most likely to 331 00:21:33,860 --> 00:21:37,160 the soonest, the fastest, and the farthest. 332 00:21:38,100 --> 00:21:43,280 Sign number seven, the unmistakable uptrend, higher tops and higher bottoms. 333 00:21:44,360 --> 00:21:48,800 The seventh and final sign is the logical result and confirmation of all 334 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:49,800 preceding evidence. 335 00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:54,760 The establishment of a clear, sustained, and unmistakable uptrend. 336 00:21:55,260 --> 00:21:59,860 An uptrend, in its simplest definition, is a persistent series of higher tops 337 00:21:59,860 --> 00:22:00,860 and higher bottoms. 338 00:22:01,660 --> 00:22:06,080 After the stock has completed its jump across the creek and a successful backup 339 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:10,160 to the edge of the creek, it should begin to make steady upward progress. 340 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,600 Each rally should push the price to a new high. 341 00:22:14,170 --> 00:22:18,150 and each subsequent reaction or consolidation period should stop at a 342 00:22:18,150 --> 00:22:19,870 level than the one that preceded it. 343 00:22:20,390 --> 00:22:24,830 This staircase -like upward movement is the visual confirmation that demand is 344 00:22:24,830 --> 00:22:26,550 in continuous control of the stock. 345 00:22:27,130 --> 00:22:30,650 The character of the volume must continue to confirm this trend. 346 00:22:31,370 --> 00:22:36,090 According to the law of effort versus result, volume should be strong and tend 347 00:22:36,090 --> 00:22:40,550 to expand on the advances, showing that there is enthusiasm and power on the 348 00:22:40,550 --> 00:22:41,550 buying side. 349 00:22:41,740 --> 00:22:44,040 and that the effort is producing a positive result. 350 00:22:45,380 --> 00:22:49,080 Conversely, volume should noticeably contract on the reactions. 351 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:54,620 This indicates that the selling is light and represents simple, healthy profit 352 00:22:54,620 --> 00:22:58,200 -taking rather than a renewal of concerted distribution by large 353 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:03,380 This final sign is the culmination of the entire accumulation campaign. 354 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,540 The composite man's preparatory work is complete. 355 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,320 and he is now allowing the visible uptrend to attract further public 356 00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:15,820 participation. This new wave of buying will help to carry the price up toward 357 00:23:15,820 --> 00:23:20,020 his ultimate objective, where he will, in time, begin the process of 358 00:23:20,020 --> 00:23:21,460 distribution all over again. 359 00:23:22,010 --> 00:23:26,130 The Wyckoff analyst who has correctly identified the preceding six signs is 360 00:23:26,130 --> 00:23:29,590 able to participate in this markup phase with a high degree of confidence, 361 00:23:29,850 --> 00:23:34,170 managing his position by following the clearly defined trend until he sees the 362 00:23:34,170 --> 00:23:37,850 first definitive signs that the character of the market is changing once 363 00:23:38,050 --> 00:23:41,790 and that a new phase of distribution may be on the horizon. 364 00:23:42,490 --> 00:23:46,210 While this video provides the essential framework for understanding the 365 00:23:46,210 --> 00:23:47,210 principles of accumulation, 366 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:52,300 The detailed examples and the personal narrative that solidified these concepts 367 00:23:52,300 --> 00:23:54,080 in Wyckoff's own mind are timeless. 368 00:23:55,260 --> 00:24:00,540 He meticulously documented his own journey, his mistakes, and his triumphs 369 00:24:00,540 --> 00:24:01,540 his writings. 370 00:24:02,180 --> 00:24:06,860 For those who wish to truly master the lessons we discuss, to see them applied 371 00:24:06,860 --> 00:24:11,100 through the eyes of the man who developed them, a new unique edition of 372 00:24:11,100 --> 00:24:15,420 Wyckoff's masterpiece, How I Trade and Invest in Stocks and Bonds. 373 00:24:15,820 --> 00:24:20,280 has been carefully prepared by max davidson this work has been thoughtfully 374 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:24,800 adapted for the modern trader with clear explanations and annotations that 375 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:29,660 bridge the gap between wyckoff's era and today's markets it is not just a 376 00:24:29,660 --> 00:24:35,840 reprint it is a vital educational tool for anyone serious about making the 377 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:40,640 wyckoff method a core part of their own trading this adapted edition is an 378 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,500 indispensable resource for your library 379 00:24:43,340 --> 00:24:46,940 The link to this essential book can be found in the description of this video. 380 00:24:47,780 --> 00:24:52,940 In conclusion, these seven signs of hidden accumulation are not isolated 381 00:24:52,940 --> 00:24:54,700 to be acted upon mechanically. 382 00:24:55,100 --> 00:24:59,880 They represent a logical sequence of events, a narrative that unfolds on the 383 00:24:59,880 --> 00:25:01,800 chart for the trained observer to see. 384 00:25:02,980 --> 00:25:06,940 Detecting this process is akin to piecing together evidence to solve a 385 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,600 It starts with the climactic evidence that stops a long downtrend. 386 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:16,380 It proceeds with the forensic analysis of the subsequent trading range, 387 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,540 searching for the clues of the composite man's intentions. 388 00:25:20,460 --> 00:25:24,640 It involves recognizing his deceptive maneuvers and waiting for the final 389 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,740 conclusive proof before committing capital. 390 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:32,740 When all seven signs align, the conclusion that a new uptrend is the 391 00:25:32,740 --> 00:25:37,760 probable future outcome becomes not a matter of hope, but of reasoned 392 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,060 This is the essence of the Wyckoff method. 393 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,920 To provide a systematic way to read the story the market is telling and to act 394 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:49,480 not on emotion or guesswork but on the overwhelming weight of the evidence. 37758

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