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In the grand mechanism of the stock
market, nothing is more crucial yet more
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misunderstood than the interplay of
supply and demand.
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00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:12,140
For the average man, the market appears
as a chaotic whirlwind of rising and
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00:00:12,140 --> 00:00:15,640
falling prices, governed by news, rumor,
and sheer chance.
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00:00:16,059 --> 00:00:20,100
He buys on hope and sells on fear,
perpetually one step behind the true
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00:00:20,100 --> 00:00:21,600
movements of the financial tide.
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But for the trained observer, the market
is not a mystery.
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It is a logical entity that, through its
own actions, consistently advertises
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its future intentions.
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00:00:31,780 --> 00:00:36,640
The key to deciphering these intentions
lies in one critical skill, the ability
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to recognize demand.
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It is the ability to see the subtle but
deliberate footprints of smart money as
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it quietly prepares the ground for a
significant advance.
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Richard Wyckoff dedicated his entire
professional life to mastering this
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and then to teaching it.
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He proved that predicting uptrends was
not a matter of guesswork or inside
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information, but a science based on
observable facts, logic, and a deep
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understanding of the market's
fundamental laws.
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The foundation of his entire method
rests upon the first and most simple of
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these laws, the law of supply and
demand.
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This principle is as old as commerce
itself, yet its application to the stock
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market was, and still is, largely
ignored.
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Prices rise only when demand exceeds
supply, and they decline only when
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00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:27,520
is greater than demand.
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When the two forces are in a state of
equilibrium, prices move sideways in a
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narrow range.
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Every fluctuation from the smallest
eighth of a point wiggle to the grandest
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multi -year bull market is a direct
expression of this continuous battle.
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The thousands of influences that other
people use as a basis for their actions.
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news, earnings, reports, dividend rates,
political events, and personal opinion,
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are all concentrated and boiled down
into the combined effect of their buying
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and selling.
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This combined effect is all that
matters, and it is all faithfully
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the tape and by extension on a price
chart.
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Therefore, to predict a future uptrend
is to accomplish one thing, to identify
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through a logical analysis of price and
volume the point at which demand is
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quietly but decisively overpowering
supply.
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This does not happen by accident.
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It is the result of a deliberate, well
-planned campaign conducted by the most
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informed minds in the market, an entity
Wyckoff termed the composite man.
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The primary evidence of this emergent
demand is found in a market phase
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identified as accumulation.
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This is the first and most critical
stage of any bull campaign.
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accumulation is the process by which the
composite man the amalgamation of large
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00:02:51,420 --> 00:02:56,740
operators insiders and skilled financial
interests absorbs the available
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00:02:56,740 --> 00:03:02,260
floating supply of a stock from the
public or weak hands this process is
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conducted with great skill and patience
often over weeks or months and its
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primary objective is to acquire a large
line of shares without causing the price
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00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:16,210
to advance significantly to do this the
composite man must operate under a cloak
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of pessimism.
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Accumulation almost always takes place
after a prolonged and often punishing
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decline.
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It occurs at price levels where the news
is at its worst, where corporate
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earnings are poor, and where the general
public, discouraged and fearful, is
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finally capitulating and selling its
holdings, often at a substantial loss.
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This environment of gloom is precisely
what the composite man requires.
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He has the foresight to see a change in
conditions far in the future, and he
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uses the current bearish sentiment to
his advantage, willingly taking shares
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00:03:50,970 --> 00:03:54,810
the hands of those who can no longer
bear the pain of holding them. The
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process is a transfer of ownership from
weak, emotional and uninformed hands to
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00:03:59,490 --> 00:04:01,590
strong, patient and highly informed
hands.
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00:04:02,650 --> 00:04:06,590
Recognizing the distinct phases and
characteristics of this accumulation is
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key to predicting the subsequent
uptrend.
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Sign number one.
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The selling climax, the stopping of the
prior downtrend.
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The first sign that a significant
accumulation may be about to begin is
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00:04:20,730 --> 00:04:23,250
dramatic event that halts the preceding
downtrend.
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This is known as the selling climax.
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00:04:27,170 --> 00:04:31,430
After a stock has been declining for a
prolonged period, public sentiment
70
00:04:31,430 --> 00:04:33,250
becomes overwhelmingly bearish.
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Those who bought at higher prices are
discouraged and fearful.
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00:04:38,670 --> 00:04:43,430
As the decline continues, this fear
often turns into panic, and the last of
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00:04:43,430 --> 00:04:47,750
weak holders capitulate, throwing their
shares onto the market without regard to
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00:04:47,750 --> 00:04:50,990
price in a final desperate attempt to
escape further losses.
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This is the moment the composite man has
been waiting for.
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00:04:55,650 --> 00:05:00,070
He steps in with immense buying power to
meet this deluge of panicked selling.
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On a vertical chart, this event is
characterized by several distinct
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First, there is a precipitous drop in
price an acceleration of the decline
79
00:05:13,530 --> 00:05:18,830
ending in a day with an exceptionally
wide price spread from high to low
80
00:05:18,830 --> 00:05:24,110
this price drop is accompanied by an
abnormally large or climactic volume of
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trading this huge volume is the result
of both the massive public selling and
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00:05:29,670 --> 00:05:34,970
the massive institutional buying that is
absorbing it it is the point of maximum
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00:05:34,970 --> 00:05:36,890
emotional intensity for the sellers
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Third, a key characteristic of a
successful selling climax is the price
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at the end of the day or period.
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After plunging to its extreme low, the
stock will often rally strongly to close
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well off the bottom.
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This shows that the buying power was not
only sufficient to absorb all the
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00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:58,720
selling but was strong enough to reverse
the immediate trend intraday.
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00:05:59,020 --> 00:06:02,940
This is the first powerful evidence that
the force of demand is beginning to
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00:06:02,940 --> 00:06:04,320
overcome the force of supply.
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00:06:05,100 --> 00:06:06,120
Preceding this climax,
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00:06:06,840 --> 00:06:11,520
There is often a point of preliminary
support, where a noticeable increase in
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00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:15,760
volume and a widening of the spread
first appear, signaling that substantial
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00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,500
buying is beginning to emerge.
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00:06:18,140 --> 00:06:22,840
While this initial support is rarely
enough to stop the decline completely,
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00:06:22,840 --> 00:06:26,900
is the first footprint of the composite
man and serves as an alert that the end
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of the downtrend may be approaching.
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The selling climax itself, however, is
the main event.
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It marks the point where the stock is
transferred en masse from the weakest
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possible hands into the strongest
possible hands.
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00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:44,440
It is the violent and necessary
conclusion of the downtrend and the
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00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:47,940
definitive sign that the groundwork for
a new uptrend is being laid.
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00:06:48,900 --> 00:06:49,980
Sign number two.
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The secondary test on low volume.
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The confirmation of exhausted supply.
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00:06:56,820 --> 00:07:00,240
Following the selling climax, an almost
reflexive rally occurs.
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Wyckoff termed this the automatic rally.
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This rally is caused by the sudden
vacuum of selling pressure.
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00:07:07,540 --> 00:07:12,480
With the public having exhausted its
supply of stock in the climax, even a
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moderate amount of continued
institutional buying or short covering
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traders can cause the price to rebound
sharply. The high point of this
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rally is significant because it
establishes the upper boundary of the
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forthcoming trading range.
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The market has now defined its
territory.
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The low of the selling climax is the
support and the high of the automatic
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is the resistance.
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00:07:37,860 --> 00:07:41,960
However, the most critical piece of
evidence that follows is the secondary
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00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:47,080
After the automatic rally has run its
course, the stock will invariably drift
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back down to test the area of the recent
selling climax low.
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This is a moment of truth for the
market.
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If the heavy selling that caused the
climax is truly over, then this test
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00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,360
occur on significantly diminished
volume.
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00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:07,040
The price will approach the prior low,
but the volume will be a fraction of
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00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:08,200
it was during the climax.
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00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,560
This is the second and vitally important
sign of accumulation.
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A low -volume test demonstrates
conclusively that the intense selling
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00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:19,320
has been exhausted.
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There is little or no stock being
pressed for sale at these low levels.
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00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:29,280
The composite man, having absorbed the
panic selling, now finds that the supply
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has dried up.
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He may deliberately withdraw his bids to
see what the stock will do if left to
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itself, and the resulting low volume and
lack of downward progress confirm to
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00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:43,780
him and to the astute Wyckoff analysts
that the sellers are gone.
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00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:49,060
If, on the other hand, the secondary
test occurs on high volume and the price
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00:08:49,060 --> 00:08:53,540
breaks decisively below the selling
climax low, it indicates that the
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liquidation was not completed.
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00:08:55,560 --> 00:08:57,980
and that a resumption of the downtrend
is likely.
139
00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:03,840
Therefore, the successful secondary test
on low volume is an indispensable
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00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:04,840
confirmation.
141
00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:09,160
It validates the selling climax as a
genuine turning point.
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00:09:09,660 --> 00:09:13,780
It proves that the initial powerful
buying was not just a temporary support
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00:09:13,780 --> 00:09:17,200
measure, but the beginning of a
deliberate campaign of accumulation.
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The stock is now safely contained within
its trading range.
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and the composite man can proceed with
absorbing the remaining floating supply
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with the confidence that the major
selling pressure is behind him.
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00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:35,820
Sign number three, the gradual drying up
of supply within the trading range.
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With the boundaries of the trading range
established by the selling climax and
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the automatic rally, and the exhaustion
of major selling pressure confirmed by a
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successful secondary test, the lengthy
process of accumulation begins in
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earnest.
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The stock will now oscillate within this
range for what can be weeks, months, or
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even years, as the composite man
methodically absorbs shares.
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00:10:02,060 --> 00:10:07,000
This sideways movement is the cause
being built for the future effect of a
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00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:08,000
sustained advance.
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00:10:08,820 --> 00:10:13,440
To the uninformed observer, this period
appears as a lifeless, uninteresting
157
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market.
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00:10:14,680 --> 00:10:19,140
But for the Wyckoff analyst, it is the
most crucial period of study.
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for it is here that the most subtle yet
powerful signs of hidden buying are
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revealed. The third and longest sign of
accumulation is the gradual drying up of
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supply, which is observed through a
meticulous analysis of price and volume
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the swings within the trading range.
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The key characteristic of a genuine
accumulation is this.
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Volume should tend to expand on the
rallies from the support level to the
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resistance level.
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and it should noticeably contract on the
reactions from the resistance back down
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to the support level.
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00:10:50,940 --> 00:10:55,320
The consistently shrinking volume on
each successive decline within the range
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of paramount importance.
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00:10:57,000 --> 00:11:01,400
It indicates that fewer and fewer shares
are being offered for sale on each dip.
171
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This is direct evidence that the
floating supply is being absorbed.
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00:11:06,100 --> 00:11:07,520
Sellers are becoming scarce.
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The composite man may test the supply
repeatedly by allowing the stock to
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down toward the support line.
175
00:11:15,190 --> 00:11:20,170
If very little volume appears on these
tests, he knows that his campaign is
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succeeding.
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00:11:21,930 --> 00:11:26,250
Another powerful indication that often
accompanies this volume signature is the
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00:11:26,250 --> 00:11:28,450
appearance of higher supports or higher
lows.
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00:11:29,850 --> 00:11:34,240
After the initial low of the selling
climax and the secondary test, Each
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00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:38,080
subsequent reaction within the range may
stop at a slightly higher level than
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the one before it.
182
00:11:40,020 --> 00:11:42,980
This shows that buyers are becoming more
eager and aggressive.
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They are no longer content to wait for
the price to fall to the absolute bottom
184
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of the range to acquire shares.
185
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They are raising their bids, a clear
sign of their eagerness to accumulate
186
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stock.
187
00:11:56,060 --> 00:12:00,080
This subtle but persistent lifting of
the support points is a clear sign that
188
00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,000
demand is quietly but surely
overpowering supply.
189
00:12:03,690 --> 00:12:05,610
long before any public breakout occurs.
190
00:12:06,190 --> 00:12:10,790
The Wyckoff analyst meticulously charts
these movements, drawing trend lines
191
00:12:10,790 --> 00:12:14,590
along the rising bottoms to visualize
the changing character of the market.
192
00:12:14,950 --> 00:12:19,950
The stock is building a solid
foundation, a launch pad for its future
193
00:12:20,190 --> 00:12:25,210
The opposite, a pattern of lower tops on
rallies within the range, would be a
194
00:12:25,210 --> 00:12:29,150
bearish indication, showing that sellers
are becoming more aggressive and are
195
00:12:29,150 --> 00:12:31,930
willing to accept lower prices to
distribute their stock.
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00:12:32,560 --> 00:12:36,680
Before we continue, please subscribe and
leave a quick comment, even one word.
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This small action helps the algorithm
show this video to more people and tells
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00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:43,940
me these deep dives are worth making.
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00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:50,300
Sign number four, the spring or
shakeout, the final manipulative test.
200
00:12:51,620 --> 00:12:56,540
As the long process of accumulation
nears its end, the composite man often
201
00:12:56,540 --> 00:13:00,780
employs a final powerful maneuver to
ensure the path is clear for the coming
202
00:13:00,780 --> 00:13:01,780
markup.
203
00:13:02,030 --> 00:13:05,710
This is the fourth and frequently most
decisive sign of a completed
204
00:13:05,710 --> 00:13:08,990
accumulation, the spring or shakeout.
205
00:13:09,770 --> 00:13:14,690
A spring is a sharp and usually brief
price movement that penetrates the
206
00:13:14,690 --> 00:13:19,030
established support level of the trading
range, only to quickly reverse and
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00:13:19,030 --> 00:13:20,370
climb back into the range.
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00:13:21,390 --> 00:13:25,370
This maneuver is a masterful piece of
market manipulation with several
209
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calculated objectives.
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First and foremost, it is designed to
mislead the public and any remaining
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00:13:31,460 --> 00:13:32,460
holders.
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00:13:32,760 --> 00:13:37,660
A break below a well -defined support
line is almost universally interpreted
213
00:13:37,660 --> 00:13:41,820
a sign of renewed weakness, prompting
the last of the nervous longholders to
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00:13:41,820 --> 00:13:43,900
sell their positions in fear of a new
decline.
215
00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:50,600
It also encourages bearish traders to
initiate new short sales, believing a
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00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:52,320
downtrend has officially begun.
217
00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:58,310
Second, The spring allows the composite
man to hunt for stop -loss orders, which
218
00:13:58,310 --> 00:14:00,750
are predictably clustered just below the
support level.
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00:14:01,590 --> 00:14:06,310
By driving the price down just far
enough to trigger these stops, he can
220
00:14:06,310 --> 00:14:09,590
other traders out of their positions and
acquire their shares at the most
221
00:14:09,590 --> 00:14:14,330
advantageous prices possible,
effectively mopping up the last
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00:14:15,470 --> 00:14:20,610
Third, and perhaps most importantly, the
spring serves as a definitive final
223
00:14:20,610 --> 00:14:22,070
test of the supply situation.
224
00:14:23,370 --> 00:14:27,510
If there were still a significant amount
of stock ready to be sold by other weak
225
00:14:27,510 --> 00:14:32,550
hands, the break below support would
trigger a cascade of liquidation and the
226
00:14:32,550 --> 00:14:35,150
price would continue to decline on
expanding volume.
227
00:14:36,570 --> 00:14:40,370
However, if the accumulation campaign
has been successful and the floating
228
00:14:40,370 --> 00:14:45,130
supply is truly scarce, the break below
support will not be met with significant
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00:14:45,130 --> 00:14:49,650
follow -through selling pressure. The
key to identifying a spring as opposed
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00:14:49,650 --> 00:14:54,650
a genuine and bearish break of support
Lies in a careful analysis of both the
231
00:14:54,650 --> 00:14:58,550
volume and the price action that
immediately follows the penetration of
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00:14:58,550 --> 00:15:05,130
There are two primary types of springs
The first type occurs on very low volume
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00:15:05,130 --> 00:15:09,790
This is a powerful indication that there
was simply no selling pressure to be
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00:15:09,790 --> 00:15:14,530
found at the lower levels The supply was
completely exhausted and the price
235
00:15:14,530 --> 00:15:16,530
dropped simply due to a lack of bids
236
00:15:17,450 --> 00:15:21,590
The second and more common type occurs
on high or even climactic volume.
237
00:15:22,510 --> 00:15:27,450
This high volume represents the
composite man actively absorbing the
238
00:15:27,450 --> 00:15:31,070
the triggered stop -loss orders in the
final wave of panicked public selling.
239
00:15:31,710 --> 00:15:35,890
In both of these scenarios, the defining
characteristic of a true spring is the
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00:15:35,890 --> 00:15:37,010
price's rapid recovery.
241
00:15:37,750 --> 00:15:41,190
It does not linger in the territory
below the old support line.
242
00:15:41,490 --> 00:15:44,830
It quickly reverses and climbs back into
the trading range.
243
00:15:45,340 --> 00:15:47,360
often in just a few bars or days.
244
00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:52,760
This swift reversal is one of the most
powerful and reliable buying signals in
245
00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:53,760
the Wyckoff methodology.
246
00:15:54,860 --> 00:15:59,200
It is a clear sign that the last of the
sellers have been shaken out, the track
247
00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:03,740
is now clear of any significant overhead
supply, and the stock is now coiled
248
00:16:03,740 --> 00:16:06,560
like a spring, ready for a powerful
upward move.
249
00:16:07,420 --> 00:16:11,780
The shakeout is a broader term for a
similar action, which can sometimes
250
00:16:11,780 --> 00:16:13,420
a more substantial price drop.
251
00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:17,780
or a more prolonged period of
bearishness but its purpose and
252
00:16:17,780 --> 00:16:22,360
characteristics remain the same to
mislead the public and consolidate the
253
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:26,820
remaining shares in strong hands just
before a major advance sign number five
254
00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:32,040
the signs of strength and the jump
across the creek following a successful
255
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:37,060
spring or a final test of support near
the bottom of the trading range the
256
00:16:37,060 --> 00:16:39,280
enters the last stage of its preparation
257
00:16:40,810 --> 00:16:44,750
The fifth sign of accumulation is the
appearance of clear signs of strength,
258
00:16:44,970 --> 00:16:49,150
which culminates in the definitive
breakout event that Wyckoff colorfully
259
00:16:49,150 --> 00:16:53,430
the jump across the creek. A sign of
strength is a pronounced rally that is
260
00:16:53,430 --> 00:16:57,330
distinctly different in character from
the labored, low -volume rallies seen
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00:16:57,330 --> 00:16:59,050
earlier in the accumulation process.
262
00:16:59,890 --> 00:17:05,109
It is a movement on widening price
spread and a noticeable expansion in
263
00:17:05,550 --> 00:17:09,250
that carries the price from the support
level decisively towards the resistance
264
00:17:09,250 --> 00:17:10,730
level of the trading range.
265
00:17:11,490 --> 00:17:16,730
It demonstrates that demand is now
firmly in control and that the path of
266
00:17:16,730 --> 00:17:18,569
resistance is shifting to the upside.
267
00:17:19,510 --> 00:17:23,829
An SOS shows that the stock is
responsive and ready to move.
268
00:17:24,670 --> 00:17:28,710
After one or more of these signs of
strength have demonstrated the newfound
269
00:17:28,710 --> 00:17:32,970
power of the demand, the stock will
approach the upper boundary of its long
270
00:17:32,970 --> 00:17:34,170
-standing trading range.
271
00:17:35,050 --> 00:17:39,510
This level of resistance, which has
turned back all previous rallies,
272
00:17:39,510 --> 00:17:41,070
analogized as the creek.
273
00:17:42,050 --> 00:17:47,130
The jump across the creek is the
decisive, powerful move by the price out
274
00:17:47,130 --> 00:17:48,510
above this resistance line.
275
00:17:49,390 --> 00:17:51,770
This is not a timid or hesitant
breakout.
276
00:17:52,670 --> 00:17:57,570
A genuine jump across the creek is
characterized by a notable expansion in
277
00:17:57,570 --> 00:18:01,010
spread and a significant sustained
increase in volume.
278
00:18:01,590 --> 00:18:05,890
This powerful action shows that demand
is now fully assertive and is strong
279
00:18:05,890 --> 00:18:09,930
enough to absorb any residual supply
that might appear from traders who had
280
00:18:09,930 --> 00:18:13,370
previously sold at those levels and now
wish to sell again.
281
00:18:13,930 --> 00:18:18,190
This is the moment when the stock breaks
free from its lengthy preparatory phase
282
00:18:18,190 --> 00:18:22,110
and begins its public advance, which is
the markup phase.
283
00:18:23,190 --> 00:18:27,290
While buying during a spring offers the
greatest potential reward due to the
284
00:18:27,290 --> 00:18:31,630
lower price, It also carries the
inherent risk of misinterpreting the
285
00:18:32,570 --> 00:18:35,990
The jump across the creek, however, is a
confirmatory signal.
286
00:18:36,510 --> 00:18:40,650
It is the market's unambiguous
announcement that the period of quiet
287
00:18:40,650 --> 00:18:41,650
is over.
288
00:18:41,970 --> 00:18:46,570
Very often after this initial breakout,
there is a small pullback or sideways
289
00:18:46,570 --> 00:18:50,790
consolidation, which Wyckoff called the
back -up to the edge of the creek.
290
00:18:51,590 --> 00:18:56,050
This is a final, smaller test of supply
before the main advance gets underway.
291
00:18:57,350 --> 00:19:01,790
This pullback should occur on a distinct
shrinkage of volume, once again
292
00:19:01,790 --> 00:19:05,550
confirming that supply has been
exhausted at these new, higher levels.
293
00:19:05,810 --> 00:19:10,430
This last point of support offers a
final, excellent, low -risk opportunity
294
00:19:10,430 --> 00:19:14,670
the Wyckoff analyst to initiate or add
to a long position, with a clearly
295
00:19:14,670 --> 00:19:18,710
defined stop -loss point just below the
newly established support of the former
296
00:19:18,710 --> 00:19:19,710
resistance line.
297
00:19:20,670 --> 00:19:23,990
Sign number six, superior comparative
strength.
298
00:19:25,290 --> 00:19:29,130
Throughout the entire process of
accumulation and at the beginning of the
299
00:19:29,130 --> 00:19:34,330
phase, Wyckoff stressed the importance
of observing a sixth sign, the stock's
300
00:19:34,330 --> 00:19:36,670
comparative strength relative to the
general market.
301
00:19:37,210 --> 00:19:42,030
A stock that is being genuinely
accumulated by informed interests will
302
00:19:42,030 --> 00:19:46,070
distinct characteristics during broad
market movements that set it apart from
303
00:19:46,070 --> 00:19:47,070
the average issue.
304
00:19:47,450 --> 00:19:51,630
While the stock is still consolidating
within its trading range, it will often
305
00:19:51,630 --> 00:19:53,590
show a stubborn resistance to declines.
306
00:19:54,010 --> 00:19:58,210
When the general market, as measured by
a composite average, experiences a sharp
307
00:19:58,210 --> 00:20:02,390
reaction, the stock under accumulation
will frequently decline by a smaller
308
00:20:02,390 --> 00:20:03,730
percentage than the average.
309
00:20:04,910 --> 00:20:10,390
At times it may hold perfectly firm, or
even rally slightly against the tide.
310
00:20:11,610 --> 00:20:16,610
This behavior shows that while other
stocks are being sold freely, there is a
311
00:20:16,610 --> 00:20:20,710
persistent and powerful demand for this
particular stock that is quietly
312
00:20:20,710 --> 00:20:23,390
absorbing any offerings and preventing
it from falling.
313
00:20:24,220 --> 00:20:28,100
Conversely, on rallies in the general
market, the stock under accumulation
314
00:20:28,100 --> 00:20:32,400
often respond with greater vigor and
speed than the average, demonstrating
315
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,660
eagerness to advance now that the
general market's selling pressure has
316
00:20:35,660 --> 00:20:40,560
lifted. This quality of superior
performance becomes even more pronounced
317
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:42,940
the stock has completed its jump across
the creek.
318
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:48,460
Now in strong hands and free of any
significant overhead supply, the stock
319
00:20:48,460 --> 00:20:52,460
often lead the market's advances and
will be highly resistant to general
320
00:20:52,460 --> 00:20:53,460
reactions.
321
00:20:54,110 --> 00:20:59,890
James R. Keane, the famous operator whom
Wyckoff studied, once said, Watch the
322
00:20:59,890 --> 00:21:04,050
stock that shows strong resistance to
pressure when the market is weak, and
323
00:21:04,050 --> 00:21:05,690
those stocks for all you are worth.
324
00:21:06,150 --> 00:21:11,110
This principle of identifying superior
comparative strength is a powerful
325
00:21:11,110 --> 00:21:12,370
for the investor and trader.
326
00:21:13,230 --> 00:21:17,690
It allows the analyst to not only
identify that accumulation is taking
327
00:21:18,220 --> 00:21:22,160
but also to select the specific stocks
that are most likely to become the
328
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,060
strongest leaders in the coming uptrend.
329
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:29,800
By focusing capital on these issues that
demonstrate superior strength, the
330
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:33,860
trader ensures that his funds are
employed in the vehicles most likely to
331
00:21:33,860 --> 00:21:37,160
the soonest, the fastest, and the
farthest.
332
00:21:38,100 --> 00:21:43,280
Sign number seven, the unmistakable
uptrend, higher tops and higher bottoms.
333
00:21:44,360 --> 00:21:48,800
The seventh and final sign is the
logical result and confirmation of all
334
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:49,800
preceding evidence.
335
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:54,760
The establishment of a clear, sustained,
and unmistakable uptrend.
336
00:21:55,260 --> 00:21:59,860
An uptrend, in its simplest definition,
is a persistent series of higher tops
337
00:21:59,860 --> 00:22:00,860
and higher bottoms.
338
00:22:01,660 --> 00:22:06,080
After the stock has completed its jump
across the creek and a successful backup
339
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:10,160
to the edge of the creek, it should
begin to make steady upward progress.
340
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,600
Each rally should push the price to a
new high.
341
00:22:14,170 --> 00:22:18,150
and each subsequent reaction or
consolidation period should stop at a
342
00:22:18,150 --> 00:22:19,870
level than the one that preceded it.
343
00:22:20,390 --> 00:22:24,830
This staircase -like upward movement is
the visual confirmation that demand is
344
00:22:24,830 --> 00:22:26,550
in continuous control of the stock.
345
00:22:27,130 --> 00:22:30,650
The character of the volume must
continue to confirm this trend.
346
00:22:31,370 --> 00:22:36,090
According to the law of effort versus
result, volume should be strong and tend
347
00:22:36,090 --> 00:22:40,550
to expand on the advances, showing that
there is enthusiasm and power on the
348
00:22:40,550 --> 00:22:41,550
buying side.
349
00:22:41,740 --> 00:22:44,040
and that the effort is producing a
positive result.
350
00:22:45,380 --> 00:22:49,080
Conversely, volume should noticeably
contract on the reactions.
351
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:54,620
This indicates that the selling is light
and represents simple, healthy profit
352
00:22:54,620 --> 00:22:58,200
-taking rather than a renewal of
concerted distribution by large
353
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:03,380
This final sign is the culmination of
the entire accumulation campaign.
354
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,540
The composite man's preparatory work is
complete.
355
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,320
and he is now allowing the visible
uptrend to attract further public
356
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:15,820
participation. This new wave of buying
will help to carry the price up toward
357
00:23:15,820 --> 00:23:20,020
his ultimate objective, where he will,
in time, begin the process of
358
00:23:20,020 --> 00:23:21,460
distribution all over again.
359
00:23:22,010 --> 00:23:26,130
The Wyckoff analyst who has correctly
identified the preceding six signs is
360
00:23:26,130 --> 00:23:29,590
able to participate in this markup phase
with a high degree of confidence,
361
00:23:29,850 --> 00:23:34,170
managing his position by following the
clearly defined trend until he sees the
362
00:23:34,170 --> 00:23:37,850
first definitive signs that the
character of the market is changing once
363
00:23:38,050 --> 00:23:41,790
and that a new phase of distribution may
be on the horizon.
364
00:23:42,490 --> 00:23:46,210
While this video provides the essential
framework for understanding the
365
00:23:46,210 --> 00:23:47,210
principles of accumulation,
366
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:52,300
The detailed examples and the personal
narrative that solidified these concepts
367
00:23:52,300 --> 00:23:54,080
in Wyckoff's own mind are timeless.
368
00:23:55,260 --> 00:24:00,540
He meticulously documented his own
journey, his mistakes, and his triumphs
369
00:24:00,540 --> 00:24:01,540
his writings.
370
00:24:02,180 --> 00:24:06,860
For those who wish to truly master the
lessons we discuss, to see them applied
371
00:24:06,860 --> 00:24:11,100
through the eyes of the man who
developed them, a new unique edition of
372
00:24:11,100 --> 00:24:15,420
Wyckoff's masterpiece, How I Trade and
Invest in Stocks and Bonds.
373
00:24:15,820 --> 00:24:20,280
has been carefully prepared by max
davidson this work has been thoughtfully
374
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:24,800
adapted for the modern trader with clear
explanations and annotations that
375
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:29,660
bridge the gap between wyckoff's era and
today's markets it is not just a
376
00:24:29,660 --> 00:24:35,840
reprint it is a vital educational tool
for anyone serious about making the
377
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:40,640
wyckoff method a core part of their own
trading this adapted edition is an
378
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,500
indispensable resource for your library
379
00:24:43,340 --> 00:24:46,940
The link to this essential book can be
found in the description of this video.
380
00:24:47,780 --> 00:24:52,940
In conclusion, these seven signs of
hidden accumulation are not isolated
381
00:24:52,940 --> 00:24:54,700
to be acted upon mechanically.
382
00:24:55,100 --> 00:24:59,880
They represent a logical sequence of
events, a narrative that unfolds on the
383
00:24:59,880 --> 00:25:01,800
chart for the trained observer to see.
384
00:25:02,980 --> 00:25:06,940
Detecting this process is akin to
piecing together evidence to solve a
385
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,600
It starts with the climactic evidence
that stops a long downtrend.
386
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:16,380
It proceeds with the forensic analysis
of the subsequent trading range,
387
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,540
searching for the clues of the composite
man's intentions.
388
00:25:20,460 --> 00:25:24,640
It involves recognizing his deceptive
maneuvers and waiting for the final
389
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,740
conclusive proof before committing
capital.
390
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:32,740
When all seven signs align, the
conclusion that a new uptrend is the
391
00:25:32,740 --> 00:25:37,760
probable future outcome becomes not a
matter of hope, but of reasoned
392
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,060
This is the essence of the Wyckoff
method.
393
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,920
To provide a systematic way to read the
story the market is telling and to act
394
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:49,480
not on emotion or guesswork but on the
overwhelming weight of the evidence.
37758
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