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A value high value low breakaway is when
the market accepts price above a value
high or below a value low and continues to
move away from value causing that value
area high or value area low to act as
either support or resistance. So this is
typically used when we expect price to
continue in the direction of a trend or
for a new trend to begin. So unlike a fade
you're trading in the direction of the
breakout and using that value area high or
low as support or resistance instead of
trying to fade from that area. And the
goal here is to capture a shift from what
was previously a balanced market within
value into imbalance and price discovery
where the market will move to establish a
new value area. So in these conditions a
broken value area high or value area low
will become support or resistance. So if
breaking to the upside a value high will
become support. If breaking to the
downside a value low will become
resistance. So if we look on the right
here we have an example of where price had
broken away from the point of control
above value area highs. Here we have our
overnight open at 6pm and you can see that
as price came back down to test the value
area high again and retest the value area
of the market. You can see that the buyers
bought that back up each time we have
price bouncing bouncing. It tests it tries
to probe back into value but because there
is a more bullish sentiment in the market
buyers continue to step in. And buy at
value highs keeping and holding price
above the value area high. And then here
is our opposite example where we have
bearish conditions. The market broke
through the value area low to the downside
completely cutting through. And you can
see here is our overnight open 6pm. So now
in the overnight session when price
attempted to come back into the value area
low. It was a perfect point of resistance.
Sellers immediately rejected a move back
into the value area pushing price to the
downside. As that new price discovery
happened and the market moved into an
imbalanced state finding value at lower
pricing. So why does this work? Again
auction market theory. If price moves
outside of the value area high or low that
means the market is testing for new value.
And if that test attracts fresh buyers
above value highs or attracts fresh
sellers below the value lows. The auction
will migrate to a higher or lower value
zone causing price to go into price
discovery mode aka imbalance. Then there
is the order flow. Breakaways are driven
by initiative activity which is aggressive
market participants that are executing
orders in reaction to market movement. Not
just short term scalpers or passive
liquidity. This aggressive order flow
sustains movement away from old value and
moves price to seek new value at either
higher or lower prices. The next thing is
low volume area acceleration. So outside
of value area highs and lows. Outside
value area highs and lows are often low
volume nodes. And low volume nodes if you
remember from the introductory lessons.
Low volume nodes are where price can move
quickly due to thin liquidity. Especially
if aggressors are present to move price.
Because there is less activity at these
lower or higher prices outside of the
value area. Price can move a lot quicker
than it would be moving in the thicker
value areas closer to fair value. So
little opposition means easier
continuation and quick breakout potential.
The last reason is failed fades fuel these
breakouts. So traders that don't
anticipate a trend or a breakaway from the
value area highs and lows are instead
fading the value area highs and lows like
we showed in the previous setup. If these
traders are wrong about fading the value
highs and value lows they get stopped out
which creates additional order flow
supporting the breakout direction. So if
we are going above value area highs if
people are trying to sell at value area
highs what do you do when you close out a
sell position? You buy. So if traders are
trying to sell at value highs but price
fails to move down they have to buy back
their position in order to get out of
their short. So if there are an abundance
of buyers present at value highs as well
as failed sellers who have to buy in order
to cover their position that creates
additional fuel pushing price above value
highs and vice versa. So shorts buying
back above value highs or longs having to
sell their long positions below value
lows. So all of this creates additional
order flow and additional fuel for price
to break away from these zones when the
context is correct. So whenever the market
is not in a ranging state and we
anticipate price to break out using the
value area high and value area low as an
area to build your position on the retest
is an extremely powerful approach to
trading breakaway markets. Now these won't
occur as often as a fade from the value
highs and value lows however with the
right context and anticipating breakaways
this is the type of play you should be
looking for. So this is the second basic
setup that we use trading the volume
profile. Again we'll cover how to add more
context and confluence to these trades in
the next module but now move on to the
next lesson and we'll cover the final
basic trade setup which is using the point
of control.
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