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[ominous music]
NARRATOR: The Earth is getting hotter.
Experts predict that in the next 25 years,
the global temperature will rise two degrees Celsius
above the norm, and our planet will reach a dangerous tipping
point, triggering unparalleled disaster.
From unbearable heat waves and uncontrollable wildfires
to extreme flooding and epic super storms,
from catastrophic earthquakes and devastating
volcanic eruptions to rampant disease,
starvation, and the wrath of rising seas,
scientists warn that mankind will be pushed to the brink
once we reach two degrees.
The magic number is two degrees centigrade.
That's when we lose control.
That's what the future looks like...
if not hell, then a remarkably similar temperature.
It will change the character of human existence
on this planet forever.
[thunder rumbling]
NARRATOR: This is Bozeman, Montana, 100 years from now.
The year is 2117.
The planet that has sustained human life for hundreds
of thousands of years is now unleashing everything
in its power to wipe it out.
For the 12,000 souls that call Bozeman home,
every day is a battle for survival...
a battle made all the more desperate
knowing from an American population that once numbered
320 million, they're the only ones left.
[clock ticking]
Experts agree that arise of two degrees Celsius
above the pre-Industrial Age average
will be the biggest threat to our existence
that humanity has ever faced.
When we start thinking about a world that is on average two
degrees Celsius warmer than it was before we began burning
fossil fuels, we're talking about monumental changes
to the Earth's climate.
We're really thinking about an entirely different world.
NARRATOR: And we're already halfway there.
We're now at a plus one degree above pre-Industrial
and increasing by a serious amount every single year now.
One degree, which is what we have so far,
is melting the Arctic.
It's one of the biggest physical features on Earth,
and it's being destroyed daily at one degrees.
That's not a good sign.
NARRATOR: Scientists warn that it's already affecting
the lives of millions across the nation,
nowhere more so than the forests of the American West,
where massive fires destroy more and more territory every year.
The Western United States has been experiencing a major ramp
up in wildfire.
The last 30 years, the area of forest
that we see burn in a given year is about nine times larger
than it was 30 years ago.
That's a gigantic increase in the area of forest
that we're losing every year to fire.
NARRATOR: As both summer and winter climates become hotter
and drier, forest fires are growing more frequent and more
powerful than ever before.
If you raise the temperature and you decline the rainfall,
then the wildfire threat will get worse.
And the wildfire season will get longer as well,
and that's the two things that people are really concerned
about.
NARRATOR: In recent years, California, Arizona, New
Mexico, and Utah have all seen the largest fires in state
history.
We're seeing fires that are in the multiple hundreds
of thousands of acres.
You can think about an acre is a football field,
and so a fire that burns 300,000 acres
is about 300,000 football fields.
Just think about how big that is.
If you're in the Southwest of the United States,
you might want to consider moving.
NARRATOR: Research teams are already
using advanced technology to help
put an end to the destruction, with an eye for today
and the future.
The key to fighting wildfires is understanding how big they are
and how they're moving.
In the past, that's meant time consuming, dangerous flyovers
or expensive satellite imaging.
But now, experts at InSitu commercial aviation
have developed new equipment that's cheaper, safer, and more
user friendly.
[music playing]
The Scan Eagle will provide live video footage of the fire
for the fire suppression crews.
So if we were doing a fire suppression mission,
we'd be pushing full motion video,
both infrared and standard video of the fire,
for the fire suppression crews.
NARRATOR: The Scan Eagle provides teams on the ground
with real time updates on fire location
and helps water drop crews pinpoint hotspots
for containment.
Its drone can fly up to 20 hours straight on just two gallons
of fuel.
With a wingspan of 10 feet and weighing less than 50 pounds,
the Scan Eagle can be launched and controlled
by just a single operator.
What you see behind us is the Scan Eagle Mark Four launcher.
It gets the Scan Eagle going from zero
to 50 knots in the space of a large pickup truck.
This allows us to operate in very remote areas that
are in the middle of nowhere.
NARRATOR: The Scan Eagle's compact launch and recovery
system is also a crucial component in fighting fires
across the Western United States.
So we use our launcher to get off the deck,
and then we use this to come back without using a runway.
It's called a Sky Hook, and it's a unique method
for recovering the Scan Eagle.
Instead of landing on a runway, we
use hooks on the end of the wing,
and then actually fly the aircraft right into the rope.
The rope slides down the wing, catches on the hook,
and basically yanks the aircraft out of the air.
This technology is gonna be a real game changer for fire
suppression.
NARRATOR: The Scan Eagle is one of many technological advances
that's being developed to ward off climate disasters.
But what happens if the Earth's temperature continues to rise?
What will America look like if we hit the point of no return?
It's the year 2042, and Earth's average temperature has just
reached two degrees Celsius above the pre-Industrial Age
average.
The consequences come quickly and without mercy.
The wildfires that have long threatened the West now
rage unchecked across Idaho, Utah, and Colorado,
consuming millions of acres of forest,
farmland, and city alike.
[music playing]
As you increase the temperature in the wintertime,
the amount of snow stored in the mountains goes down.
The soil dries out sooner.
And you have more dry wood to burn,
and things go pretty quickly.
Which means more and larger fires.
NARRATOR: From Yosemite to Yellowstone
to the Black Hills of South Dakota, our national parks...
once the living symbol of America's independent spirit...
are now a smoldering ruin of ash and dust,
stretching from the California coast
to the foot of Mount Rushmore.
[music playing]
The population of Los Angeles has more than
doubled as refugees from across the region flee the smoldering
wreckage of their own communities
to reach the relative safe haven of LA...
not that things are much better there.
To the North, the San Gabriel Mountains
have been burning relentlessly.
In LA, a city once famous for its smog, the air
is now so thick with ash that it's nearly impossible
to tell day from night.
Wildfires increase respiratory problems.
This is a huge issue out in the West.
You're breathing smoke.
People are collapsing in their apartments, in their houses,
and they're being pulled out by the emergency services.
But the emergency services are working outdoors in 105
or something like that.
And after a few hours of that, they're not really
functioning anymore, either.
This sort of stuff snowballs.
NARRATOR: The San Fernando Valley
lays empty as the growing population of nearly 20 million
crowds closer and closer to the coastline to escape the inferno
to the North.
And as more and more people are pushed into smaller and smaller
space, LA's once famously overcrowded freeways
have become makeshift shantytowns.
Tents now occupy the roads instead of cars,
and all available fuel is used in the firefighting efforts.
State and local officials have kept the flames from overtaking
Los Angeles itself, for now.
But as the planet continues to overheat,
the carnage of natural disaster will engulf the South, Midwest,
and East Coast.
America and humanity's worst nightmare has only just begun.
[ominous music]
Today, the planet is one degree warmer
than it was when we first began to measure
the global average temperature back in 1880.
Scientists warn that when we reach two degrees
above the pre-Industrial Age average,
it will set in motion a series of environmental catastrophes
that threaten to wipe out human life on Earth.
If we go to two degrees, the heat
triggers what they call feedbacks.
And those are natural processes that we can't turn off.
Once you get them going, they're going.
So you lose control, and after that, you're
trapped on an up escalator.
And it's carrying you up through three, four, five, six degrees.
It will happen here, not just can happen here.
I promise you, it will.
NARRATOR: As the Earth races towards the two degree tipping
point, one question looms large.
How did this happen?
Sometime in the 1700s, human beings
learned to burn first coal, then gas and oil.
And as they did, a cloud of extra carbon dioxide
began to accumulate in the atmosphere.
At first, it was a very small cloud.
And now, it's a very large cloud.
NARRATOR: In the 1700s, almost everything was made by hand...
from clothing and furniture to homes and buildings.
But in the 1760s, new inventions...
like the cotton gin, steam engine, and rolling mill...
made it possible to have large scale manufacturing.
Before long, coal powered factories
were producing goods at a rate never before possible
in human history.
The story that you don't often get from environmentalists
is that fossil fuels have been an enormous benefit
to humanity.
We've emerged from the medieval dark ages and permanent famine
and poverty to an era now where our kids can be expected
to survive into adulthood.
NARRATOR: This Industrial Revolution
reshaped civilization and ushered in the modern era.
But experts believe that it was also the beginning of society's
impact on the Earth's climate.
We industrialize.
We burn a lot of fossil fuels.
You get carbon dioxide out of it,
and it lingers in the air a long time because it's warming.
It's simple physics.
The question is, how much, how fast?
And the answer is faster than we thought and quite a lot.
NARRATOR: Carbon dioxide traps heat inside the atmosphere.
The more carbon dioxide there is,
the hotter it gets on Earth.
And all that extra heat has begun now
to do very remarkable things.
It's the heat equivalent of exploding nuclear weapons
every day in our atmosphere.
NARRATOR: It's the year 2050.
Global average temperatures now sit at two and a half degrees
Celsius above normal.
Wildfires are still wreaking havoc from California
to Colorado, and extreme temperatures threaten
to cause even more damage.
By the year 2050, certain parts of the world
are going to be so hot that they're actually
incompatible with human life.
NARRATOR: Many nations across the Middle East
and northern Africa have already seen mass evacuations,
as people flee desert cities whose daytime temperatures
regularly top 125 degrees Fahrenheit.
The next victims are those living in the American
Southwest.
What heat does is it's a stressor.
At first, your heart rate goes up.
You begin to breathe a little bit more,
a little bit of lethargy and confusion.
The brain begins to be affected, and that's
where things get very dangerous and we go
into the world of heat stroke.
Your body is getting so hot that all your biochemical processes
begin to malfunction.
And that is a true, true medical emergency
where death is imminent.
[flatlining]
NARRATOR: For those who remain in cities like Phoenix
and Albuquerque, spending more than a few minutes in the sun
is hazardous.
That has huge implications for workers, people that
are working in agriculture or construction,
when just being outside is not safe for them.
The amount of sickness and even deaths
that can occur in those situations is very scary.
Even sports events...
you know, you're not gonna be playing a lot of games outdoors
in the daytime at 105 or 110.
Now, that gets just more and more frequent.
NARRATOR: No more little league.
No more backyard barbecues.
No more 4th of July parades.
The risk of exposure to the scorching heat
is just too great.
So once you lose the ability to go outside,
you can imagine how different and how intolerable
life would quickly become.
NARRATOR: In order to survive, entire cities
have begun to shift their daily cycles to work at night
and sleep through the brutal daytime heat.
By the year 2054, the full effects of the relentless heat
wave and drought have forever changed
the once great American tourist destination Las Vegas.
This glittering oasis in the desert
was made possible thanks to a masterpiece of engineering.
For 120 years, the Hoover Dam which
generates hydroelectric power from the waters of Lake Mead,
has provided electricity for the bright lights of the Vegas
strip.
But now without any natural rainfall,
those waters are receding to perilously low levels.
The additional warming works to speed up evaporation,
and so droughts are thought to be sharper, more intense
than droughts of the past.
What people don't realize is that water
is fundamental to the production of energy.
We're using it to mine the fuels that go into the power plants.
We're using it to process those fuels.
And we're using it to run the power generation facility.
When there are cases where we're low on water,
you do see power plants reduce their generation
or shut down their operation.
That can have a ripple effect on the electricity grid,
and it can lead to brownouts, to blackouts.
So it can be of serious impact.
[sirens wailing]
NARRATOR: With no way to battle the extreme heat and no
reliable electricity to power its casinos, hotels,
and restaurants, a city that once hosted 40 million tourists
a year sees that number fall to zero.
And the world famous Las Vegas strip goes dark for good.
[horns honking]
Every aspect of our modern lives
depends on electricity, essentially.
If you want to know how important
electricity is, just to go out on a dark night.
Go and stand in some woods where your eyes
don't function anymore, and just see how you feel.
See how terrified you are.
Every rustle in the bushes could be something.
And if that light disappears and we find ourselves
in total darkness, we can't protect ourselves.
The light is really the number one concern because it's
what keeps us safe.
NARRATOR: In Vegas, bottled water
has become more valuable than money.
And within months, stores and warehouses
have been picked clean...
first by panicked citizens stocking up
on emergency supplies, and then by desperate angry mobs
hunting for anything to help them survive.
The cops are totally overloaded with emergencies
that are health related.
And it's dark.
You start to get looting, start to get home invasions.
You start to get all sorts of ugly things happening.
This is human nature.
A lot of people are not gonna be doing well at this.
It is dangerous.
NARRATOR: Every southwestern city
that hasn't been abandoned, from Vegas to San Antonio,
has descended into anarchy.
Whether it's water, electricity, even transport,
we've come to expect 24 hour access worldwide
in the modern era.
And if those things start to break down,
it's law and order and social breakdown within hours.
NARRATOR: While the deadly heat waves cause chaos,
global temperatures continue to climb
and nature's wrath turns to America's heartland.
[ominous music]
Since scientists first started tracking the Earth's
average temperature in the late 1800s,
the top eight hottest years on record
have all occurred in the past decade.
We are currently living through the hottest years
that humanity has ever experienced
in our evolutionary history.
2016 is the hottest year in terms of the recorded
temperatures, as was 2015 and as was 2014 before it.
If we keep on seeing the increases that we've seen,
we're going to be off the scale within just a few decades.
NARRATOR: Many experts believe these rising temperatures are
the catalyst for an unprecedented string
of natural disasters that have battered America...
from super storm Sandy's assault on the Eastern seaboard
to raging wildfires out West to epic flooding down South.
All of these impacts that we're seeing
get worse the more that the temperature increases.
We've already warmed the planet one degree Celsius.
So all the impacts we already have experienced
are just at one degree.
NARRATOR: In 2016, a surprise storm pounded the Louisiana
countryside, dumping more than seven trillion gallons
of rainwater across the state...
three times more than the rains of Hurricane Katrina.
So in August of 2016, Louisiana
was hit by a very heavy rain event.
Didn't have a name.
It wasn't a hurricane.
It was just an event that dumped a large amount of rain...
enough to flood many of the rivers
around Baton Rouge and other parts of Louisiana,
including some parts that hadn't flooded
before in their modern history.
NARRATOR: Eight local rivers reached record levels
of flooding, destroying 146,000 homes
and causing well over $10 billion in damage.
Very, very extreme event of the type that nobody expected,
people weren't prepared for.
Climate change loads the dice, and it
seems to have done so in this case,
and to have inflicted great harm on the people of Louisiana.
NARRATOR: Experts believe that a warming climate intensified
a slow moving weather system over the Gulf of Mexico.
As the storm headed towards Louisiana,
the increasingly hot air sucked in water vapor
from the ocean, lakes, and rivers
before dumping it in one massive rainfall.
[thunder crackling]
Because warm air holds more water vapor than cold,
we see huge disruptions of the planet's hydrological cycle,
the way that water moves around the planet.
We see way more drought in arid areas.
And once that water has evaporated up
into the atmosphere, it comes down in much larger quantities,
so we see horrific floods...
floods on a kind of Noah scale happening, now, routinely
around the world.
NARRATOR: To combat the damage caused by flooding,
forward thinking architects at Water Studio in the Netherlands
have a plan.
At this office, we have a motto.
It says green is good, but blue is better.
And what we mean by that is that the next step is not on land.
It is on water.
Floating houses, floating offices, floating roads,
floating churches...
I think we can do a complete city on water.
NARRATOR: Fueling the team's development
is the theory that the massive influx of water produced
by torrential flooding can actually help preserve
modern civilization.
In our business, floating developments should not only
be beautiful, they also should be efficient.
But imagine that you have a city where
you have like 5% of the buildings on the water.
You can take these parts and bring them to another city,
and then exchange, for instance, a theater
and float in a school, and connect it
to the city on water.
So it brings flexibility.
The DNA of our next cities will be flexible.
Living on water is absolutely the future.
Embrace the water.
Don't see water as an enemy, but see it as your friend.
NARRATOR: One of the most important waterways
in US history is the Mississippi River.
Running from tiny Lake Itasca in northern Minnesota
to the Louisiana Bayou, it's been
a driver of economic prosperity, a lifeline to explorers
and pioneers, and an iconic symbol of American culture.
But experts warn, as massive flooding continues to increase,
the Mississippi is a ticking time bomb.
It's the year 2061.
After a deluge of colossal rainstorms,
the mighty Miss is under siege.
And the surge of water is flooding America's heartland.
The waterways of 31 different states, from the Rockies
to the Appalachians, all drain into the mighty Mississippi.
Now, that massive surge of water is flooding and drowning
an entire region.
Cities like St Louis, Missouri have
seen their yearly average rainfall triple from about 40
inches a year to well over 120.
There's nowhere for the water to go.
Your storm drains weren't built for that, so the streets flood.
They design beer glasses to hold a bottle of beer.
Take a glass.
Pour a beer into it, and it doesn't spill on your lap,
right?
If they suddenly double the size of the beer bottles
and you try to pour it in, you're gonna get a wet lap.
NARRATOR: Across the Midwest, roads and bridges
have begun to give way beneath the relentless downpour.
Major cities and rural communities
alike struggle to adjust to a new way of life.
By and large, we build cities to suit the amount of rainfall
we expect them to get.
We have not built cities to deal with really significant
increases in the average amount of rain
that they're having to deal with.
So you get to the point where a rainstorm is not
an issue of umbrellas.
It's an issue of crisis.
NARRATOR: Across the Mississippi floodplain,
thousands of acres of land and dozens of small towns
have been wiped off the map.
While Memphis, Tennessee holds on for dear life,
the barbecue joints of Beale Street
have been swamped under the rising river.
The spirited chords of blues and rock and roll that
made the city famous have been replaced by the deafening
white noise of rain on water.
Those who could abandoned the city when the river first
breached its banks.
For those who can't or won't leave,
the floods bring one calamity after another.
[ominous music]
That's the really scary thing.
Floods are the things that really kill people.
NARRATOR: In a cruel twist of irony,
the drowning city is also dying of thirst.
[music playing]
The water is not just a problem because it's too high.
It's also because there's not enough you can drink.
[music continues]
Assuming that the flooding has actually got into the water
supply, you don't want to drink water out of the tap anymore.
NARRATOR: Garbage floats freely throughout the flooded
streets...
stinking, rotting, and turning the water supply toxic.
You can be surrounded by water and not have a drop
to drink in a flood.
None of the water around you is safe
because it's got all sorts of stuff
in it just because it flooded through gardens and dumps
and everything else.
But also, it's coming up out of the sewers.
Once that water gets contaminated,
it takes a very long time to decontaminate.
And how much bottled water do you actually
have in your house?
The answer is not very much.
NARRATOR: There's a saying among the southern towns
along the Mississippi that anything is possible,
if the good lord is willing and the creek don't rise.
Now, during what is billed as the Great Flood of 2061,
the raging river rises higher every day.
But small bands of Memphis natives
fight tooth, nail, and sandbag to keep their city
from total annihilation.
Families crowd into second story rooms and attics,
hoping higher ground will keep them safe.
The strength of those holding out hope in Memphis
is an inspiration to communities across America locked
in their own battles for survival
against a planet turned deadly.
But as global temperatures continue to soar past the two
degree tipping point, nobody and no place
is safe from the wrath of destruction.
[ominous music]
Across America, experts believe the effects of a warming planet
are already being felt, from the massive forest
fires of California to extreme flooding across Louisiana.
As global average temperatures continue to climb,
scientists warn that the Earth is approaching
a tipping point...
two degrees Celsius above the pre-Industrial Age average.
And once we cross that threshold,
the consequences will be grim.
Think about your own body.
If your temperature spikes up two degrees,
you begin to feel sick.
It's a sign that something's wrong.
We're on a path to see the planet's temperature spike
up seven, eight degrees Fahrenheit in the course
of this century.
That's the kind of fever that lands you in the emergency
room.
[flatlining]
NARRATOR: As powerful rainstorms across the nation
grow more severe, the rising floodwaters
have led to an unexpected, but no less dire problem.
One of the bedrock principles of public health
is that our bathroom is here, our food is here,
and we live over here, right?
We keep them separate, and that keeps the germs away.
With an extreme precipitation event, that's a lot of water.
And frankly, it turns that whole system into a blender.
So now, our bathrooms are being muddled with our drinking
water.
What does that do?
That creates disease.
NARRATOR: Lack of clean water and growing mosquito
populations are leading to outbreaks of relatively
new diseases like Zika, which has spread North from Brazil
and has already caused more than 200 cases of infection
in the southern United States.
So these aren't just developing countries
with poor resources.
These are major, well-resourced urban environments
where we're seeing this.
Flooding causes standing water, and we know mosquitoes breed
in standing water.
So that's another increased risk, the proliferation
of vector borne diseases.
[music playing]
When we say vector, that means they're carried
by a mosquito or a tick.
NARRATOR: Flood conditions and warmer temperatures
are also reviving diseases Americans haven't seen
for generations.
Very old fashioned epidemic diseases like cholera
and dysentery come with flooding.
Yellow fever, malaria, Lyme disease.
Dengue virus, Chikungunya virus.
These are all viral diseases that are debilitating.
Frankly, the old and infirm and the very young
can die from this.
[sirens wailing]
NARRATOR: Today, mosquito borne malaria
is responsible for a million deaths a year across the globe.
And scientists at Intellectual Ventures Laboratories
in Washington state are turning to cutting edge technology
to help slow the spread of disease carrying insects.
What's a good way to kill flying pests?
A technology like pesticides is indiscriminate.
It kills all the insects.
That includes the honeybees that we want to pollinate things.
It includes butterflies and all sorts of other stuff.
What if we could actually judge, is this a good insect
or is this a bad insect?
We came up with the idea of using
little computerized systems that could spot flying insects
in the air, target them with lasers,
and shoot them out of the sky.
Seems like science fiction, but we've actually
gotten it to work.
NARRATOR: The system works by establishing an invisible net
between two towers.
Anything that wanders into that plane
is picked up by the state of the art cameras, which then trigger
lasers to shoot and kill the mosquitoes.
We can even be selective and only shoot
the female mosquitoes because male mosquitoes don't bite
people.
It's only the females that do.
With our system, we can tell is this a male
or is this a female by the wing beat frequency.
NARRATOR: These laser towers are both intelligent and extremely
effective.
From initial acquisition to bug lying dead on the ground
is about 100 milliseconds.
That gives us 10 bugs per second that we can kill.
Never ceases to put a smile on my face to see mosquitoes
get shot by a laser and die.
NARRATOR: While this cutting edge idea is still
being developed, the goal is to set up laser stanchions
in populated areas, creating mosquito free safe zones.
This is creating what we call a photonic fence.
If you take that technology and scale it up a bit,
you could protect a hospital or you can protect villages.
This area is now mosquito clear.
NARRATOR: Mosquito killing lasers
offer the promise of hope in the battle against the growing
threat of disease.
And in the year 2069, it'll be a much needed resource
as the global average temperature now hits three
degrees Celsius above normal.
Winter no longer exists.
And without cold air to kill them off,
mosquitoes start to wreak havoc.
[thunder crackling]
Mosquitoes are very temperature sensitive.
That's why in the winter, at least in the Northeast,
there's no mosquitoes.
So in a warmer climate, historically those warm weather
months might be this long in a certain spot.
Now, they're becoming this long.
NARRATOR: Unchecked, the mosquito population explodes.
Making their way North, they attack the East Coast
without mercy, spreading infection and death
in their wake.
All these bugs that carry these diseases are gonna
be creeping out of the tropics and entrenching themselves
in big population centers that have never had to see this
before.
NARRATOR: Philadelphia and Baltimore, America's fifth
and 25th most populous cities, are rocked by wave
after wave of diseases traditionally found
in tropical climates.
[buzzing]
Take malaria for instance.
We know malaria is the scourge of humanity, right?
For anyone who's ever had it, they're miserable.
They're chronically sick.
It's a debilitating disease.
Not only are more and more people
going to be dealing with this, but now their families
are gonna be forced to leave their jobs to take care
of them.
And the health care system, wherever you are,
is gonna be more taxed from these increased illnesses.
NARRATOR: The dense urban populations of American cities
are proving to be the perfect environment for disease
to spread and mutate.
Entire neighborhoods are decimated seemingly overnight.
Human to human transmission leads
to real outbreaks of epidemics because we live crowded
together.
NARRATOR: As disease carrying mosquitoes ravage the Eastern
seaboard, the epicenter of this terrifying outbreak
will soon be America's most populated city,
overrun with infection and disease.
[ominous music]
[buzzing]
As Earth's average temperature continues
to climb towards the two degree tipping point,
the northernmost reaches of the globe are becoming a target.
The permafrost, large areas that have been covered in icy tundra
since the end of the last Ice Age almost 12,000 years ago,
are now melting, unlocking the frozen remains
of ancient creatures.
Carcasses of animals that died 5,000 years ago or 500 years
ago in the permafrost.
NARRATOR: As the land thaws, the centuries old corpses
begin to rot, unleashing a new wave of disease stretching down
from the North.
We had an incident in northern Russia
in 2016 where an animal thawed out of the permafrost,
and it had anthrax, which is a very nasty disease indeed.
One of the local folks who had handled it got anthrax.
Epidemic diseases do not tend to vanish of their own accord.
If it was around before, it'll probably
be surviving somewhere way off a deserted part
of the woods or something.
All those diseases come back.
NARRATOR: As the planet continues to warm,
scientists point to this event as a portent of things to come.
It's the year 2071, and America's population
has cratered from 320 million strong down to 200 million...
more than a third of our nation decimated over decades
of fire, floods, and disease.
The chaos began when the Earth's average temperature rose just
two degrees Celsius above the pre-Industrial Age average,
triggering a domino effect of ecological disasters.
Now, with the average temperature three degrees
Celsius hotter than normal, mosquito borne viruses
from the flooded Midwest and old world plagues
from the melting permafrost in the North
have unleashed an onslaught of disease and pestilence
across the mega cities of the Eastern seaboard.
So one of the most intuitive things
that we know from a warmer world is
that when the world is warmer, tropical and subtropical
diseases will spread.
We think being modern means you don't have
to worry about the kinds of diseases that carry people away
and drop lots.
They're still there.
We haven't eradicated any of them.
It's just waiting for the surfaces to break down.
Don't be surprised.
NARRATOR: At the epicenter of this terrifying outbreak,
the city that never sleeps is now
locked in a living nightmare.
One thing leads to another.
The heat causes an enormous burden on the electricity
supply, which crashes.
We've got a city here that's stricken.
There's people in trouble everywhere.
They can't get out.
They can't move around.
There's no power.
The streets are flooded.
And not only that, but there's disease
and some people have medical emergencies.
Who do we treat first?
Knowing that if we go for them first, somebody over here
is not gonna make it, it gets very serious.
Because actually, we're choosing who lives and who dies now.
[music playing]
NARRATOR: In the 1300s, the Black Plague
struck over 60% of the population of medieval Europe.
That's 50 million people killed in one terrible, seven year
span.
In the year 2074, three years after the outbreak started,
the infection rate in New York City has reached 80%
and it shows no signs of slowing.
Dysentery, cholera, all that stuff...
it can spread very fast.
So there, you have to get on top of it
in terms of isolating people immediately.
NARRATOR: In an effort to limit the spread,
all public transportation has been shut down.
The subway system with more than 800 miles of tracks lay silent.
New York's 13,000 taxis are officially out of commission.
Hospitals are overrun with patients showing
symptoms of over a dozen, once rare, tropical diseases.
Officials from the Centers for Disease Control
work around the clock to identify and neutralize
new strains and mutations.
Now, these populations that have never
had to prepare for it and never had the historical experience
with it are now susceptible.
We also don't have any drugs to treat Dengue or Zika
or Chikungunya, so there's no drugs
available to treat the viruses and there's no vaccine.
NARRATOR: As the number of patients
quickly outpaces the number of hospital beds across the city,
the army has turned Central Park into a mobile field clinic.
[ominous music]
But with medical resources growing more scarce by the day
and doctors increasingly unable to identify, let alone cure,
the onslaught of diseases, most who fall ill no longer
bother to seek treatment.
Lots of people will get ill, and lots of people will die.
NARRATOR: Entire apartment buildings
have become makeshift quarantine zones...
modern day leper colonies where the sick and dying gather,
hoping to spare their loved ones from suffering
the same cruel fate.
And as the Earth's temperature climbs towards four degrees
Celsius past the tipping point, the true horrors
have only just begun.
[ominous music]
The Earth is currently one degree Celsius hotter
than the pre-Industrial average, and experts
warn that if we hit the two degree mark,
there's no turning back.
The problem when you start getting warming that's
over two onto three or even four degrees warming
is that it triggers all sorts of things,
what we call positive feedbacks, that are really scary.
Pretty much every climate scientist
who works in this field for a living
is terrified of that possibility.
We're dealing with a moving staircase, an escalator that's
dragging us all up into the higher levels of temperature.
And the United States is not exempt.
It will be happening in American cities.
NARRATOR: Experts urge that signs of imminent disaster
are all around us.
Just over the last decade, the climate related disasters that
have hit the US...
the severe drought in the West, the pervasive wildfires
in Texas, super storm Sandy in the Northeast...
it would be a tragic mistake to say this was just
a fluke of history, thank god we won't have that again.
This is exactly the kind of combination
that we should be expecting more and more of.
NARRATOR: The most infamous and devastating storm
in recent American history was 2005's Hurricane Katrina.
More than 1,200 lives were lost to the intense winds
and terrible flooding, not to mention the $108 billion
in damage.
More than 450,000 residents of New Orleans
were forced to abandon their homes and evacuate.
It was the largest one time population
migration in US history.
Experts warn that as the Earth's temperature rises,
the threat of more frequent and more powerful hurricanes
grows more dire every year.
That heating of the ocean surface
basically provides an energy source that feeds hurricanes
and feeds tornadoes, feeds large storms
and feeds large rainfall events.
Basically, you're just ramping up the energy so it just
becomes this battery, if you will,
that's charging up with more and more power.
Put that much energy into the system,
and what do you expect out?
Bigger and better hurricanes.
NARRATOR: Hurricanes are classified by wind speed,
with category one storms reaching at least 74 miles
per hour up to category five with sustained winds of 156
miles per hour and beyond.
For all its horrors, when Hurricane Katrina
made landfall, it was only a category three storm.
In the year 2086, with temperatures
now three and a half degrees Celsius above the norm,
the latest threat is the rapidly warming ocean.
[thunder crackling]
The Atlantic and Gulf Coasts are regularly
pounded by super storms that reach category five, six,
and seven...
more than twice as powerful as Hurricane Katrina.
A tropical cyclone, hurricane, is basically
an engine that draws heat out of the warm ocean
and pumps it up into the cold upper atmosphere.
The hurricane's rocket fuel is the warm surface layers
of the ocean.
If we get peak wind speeds over 170, 200 miles an hour,
that will be a category six.
When those come onshore, where they hit the coast
it's really ugly.
[ship horn blaring]
NARRATOR: Savannah, Georgia remains America's third largest
port, handling more than three million containers
with $63 billion worth of cargo each year.
But in the spring of 2086...
[thunder crackling]
[wind howling]
the first category seven hurricane ever to make landfall
in the United States savages Savannah and the Georgia coast.
240 mile an hour winds decimate Savannah's historic squares
and plantations.
Masses of flying debris are powerful enough
to knock down buildings that have stood through hundreds
of years of American history.
A storm surge of nearly 40 feet swamps the coast.
And when it retreats, it drags the mangled remains
of Savannah's port infrastructure into the sea.
You get inundations that will wash away docks and really
cripple ports for long periods of time.
Vast majority of the goods that are shipped out of this country
and shipped into this country come through the ports, 95%
at least by bulk.
And when you cripple a major port,
you really have given the whole economy a whack.
NARRATOR: Even the experts are caught off guard
by the size and ferocity of a category seven hurricane.
Nearly 20,000 lives are lost in a single day of devastation.
Savannah is the first American city
to be wiped off the map by a new breed of super storms.
But as the warming planet continues to soar past two
degrees, it won't be the last.
[ominous music]
As Earth's average temperature continues to climb,
weather conditions around the globe
have grown increasingly volatile.
And experts believe it's made our planet
and our country prone to more frequent and more powerful
natural catastrophes.
What we're seeing is extreme weather and extremes
in weather, so droughts, heat waves, crazy rainstorms,
hyper energized storms.
These are all things that have a significant impact on the way
we live our daily lives.
NARRATOR: One of the biggest threats
we face comes from the rapidly warming oceans, where hotter
water creates larger, more powerful storms.
[music playing]
In October of 2012, super storm Sandy
pounded the Atlantic coast.
From Florida to Maine and as far West as Wisconsin,
the hurricane force winds unleashed its wrath
on 24 states, leaving millions without electricity for days
and inflicting over $70 billion in damage.
Among the hardest hit areas was New York City,
as a storm surge of more than 13 feet
flooded the streets and subways and paralyzed the city's eight
million plus residents.
We're already seeing extreme weather events
that nobody was predicting.
For the people of New York, that means Hurricane Sandy.
NARRATOR: Sandy was the second most destructive storm
in American history, and scientists believe
that rising global temperatures played a key role in Sandy's
devastation.
But new technology offers some hope
that we can stop these super storms before they get started.
At the headquarters of Intellectual Ventures
in Washington state, scientists are developing
cutting edge techniques to make hurricanes less powerful.
We've come up with a way where we
can weaken the strength of the storm
and also likely divert it away from land.
What you want to do is mix some of this surface layer
of hot water with the colder water that's underneath it.
NARRATOR: Hurricanes are powered by warm ocean water.
The hotter the water, the stronger the storm.
So the team at Intellectual Ventures has a simple plan.
Make the ocean water colder.
So, is there a way that we could actually
make that happen?
Well, surprisingly, there is.
This is what we call a Salter Sink,
and it looks like a hula hoop connected to a trash bag.
A Salter Sink is effectively a pump.
Down here is cool water.
Waves splash over the top of this.
Now, every time a wave splashes up over the top,
it puts water inside there.
That pumps hot water down into the ocean.
And as it comes up, it mixes and it changes its temperature.
NARRATOR: This clever invention works like a giant pump,
pushing the warm water down and bringing the cold water up.
The deeper you get below the ocean surface,
the colder the water becomes, effectively sucking the power
from the hurricanes.
One of these Salter Sinks that's 100 yards across put out
in this hurricane alley area for every one to 10 square miles
of ocean can dramatically reduce the temperature at the surface.
This kind of approach allows us to still have storms.
We can even give those storms names.
But we get many fewer storms, and the storms that we get
are less destructive.
NARRATOR: Though researchers have yet
to build the first full scale prototype,
they estimate each would cost as little as a few thousand
dollars.
If successful, they could play a pivotal role
in battling future hurricanes.
2089... it's been nearly 50 years since the global average
temperature crossed the two degree threshold,
triggering a series of ecological disasters.
Now, temperatures have skyrocketed to four degrees
Celsius above normal, and the warming oceans
are creating supercharged hurricanes, the likes of which
we've never seen before.
Coastal cities from Boston to Charleston to Miami
are leveled by 150 mile an hour winds and 30 foot storm surges.
And America no longer has the resources to pick up the pieces
and rebuild.
The government will say, you know,
we are no longer going to support people
who live in this area.
Some of these cities are not gonna rebuild.
You're not gonna rebuild that area.
It's flooded too many times.
Too low, this will happen again, stupid...
get out.
[music playing]
NARRATOR: By the year 2095, more than 80 million Americans
have fled the Eastern seaboard, seeking refuge
from the constant hammering of massive super storms.
But what awaits them inland is no less deadly.
The skyrocketing global temperatures and warming ocean
water combine to speed the melting of massive glaciers
across the Arctic region.
One of the fascinating things about climate change
is that it doesn't only involve the atmosphere and the oceans.
It also involves the solid Earth.
NARRATOR: Glaciers weigh tens of millions of tons,
and all that weight keeps the ground
beneath them locked in place.
When glaciers melt, the Earth below is suddenly
free to move and shift.
That means more frequent and bigger earthquakes.
Take that ice away, and those faults will move very, very
quickly and very violently.
NARRATOR: As a brutal wave of devastating tremors and quakes
rock the land...
[creaking and shattering]
nowhere is hit harder than the earthquake capital
of the United States, Alaska.
Alaska is the place where there's
the biggest link between melting ice and earthquakes.
NARRATOR: More than one out of every 10 earthquakes on Earth
occur in Alaska, as it sits at the confluence of at least
six major fault lines.
As the tundra thaws, the quakes are only getting worse.
And it's not the first time that America's 49th state
has felt the power and devastation of a massive quake.
[music playing]
In 1964, just five years after Alaska joined the Union,
it was struck by a devastating earthquake that reached
9.2 on the Richter scale.
In four excruciating minutes of shaking,
much of downtown Anchorage was leveled.
The shockwaves registered as far south as Texas and Louisiana.
It was the largest earthquake in American history,
and the second largest ever recorded on Earth.
In the year 2095, as the Alaskan glaciers melt,
a massive 10.0 earthquake unleashes chaos
on a level far beyond what anyone could imagine back
in 1964.
In Anchorage, the only warning is a brief, eerie silence
broken by the howling of dogs across the city, who
can hear the high frequency compression wave as the fault
line slips.
A minute later, the Earth begins to roll and tumble.
[ominous music]
After 10 brutal minutes of shaking, nothing in Anchorage
is left standing.
The great quake of 2095 is unlike anything mankind
has ever seen.
But 1,500 miles south of the ruins in Alaska,
the planet unleashes an even more terrifying display
of its power.
[ominous music]
Across the globe, average temperatures
have been steadily rising since the dawn of the Industrial Age.
And experts believe as the Earth gets hotter,
our weather is becoming more extreme and more
prone to disastrous events.
[music continues]
In the spring of 2010, a massive volcano in Iceland
began a three month eruption that
sent ash spewing as far away as Russia,
and grounded 10 million flights across Europe.
It was the largest air travel disruption since World War II.
Gigantic clouds of ash also blocked sunlight
for nearly a week, fueling a widely held scientific theory.
When volcanoes erupt, they emit special gases
that are converted into atmospheric haze.
Now, this atmospheric haze literally
blocks sunlight from coming to the Earth's surface.
And when this happens, global temperatures are impacted
and they get colder.
NARRATOR: Today, researchers are finding new solutions
to harness the positive impact of volcanoes
without the devastation that comes with eruptions.
[music playing]
To eliminate global warming, we
have to reduce the amount of light from the sun by about 1%
How could we do that?
Well, it turns out volcanoes give us a clue.
NARRATOR: When volcanoes erupt, they
send thousands of tons of microscopic particles
into the atmosphere.
These particles reflect sunlight away from the Earth
and can help cool the planet's surface.
We can't actually cause a volcanic eruption every year.
That would be silly and destructive,
and actually, we don't know how to do that.
It may sound crazy, but we think we can solve global warming
by just running a hose up to the sky.
NARRATOR: Researchers at Intellectual Ventures
Laboratory have proposed the Stratus Shield, a man made
system for releasing reflective microparticles
high into the atmosphere to simulate a volcanic eruption.
The idea centers around a powerful hose 15 miles long
that would extend from the ground into the sky.
Here, we see the top part of that hose.
These V-shaped things are giant balloons.
This hose stretches all the way down to the ground.
We have a bunch of sulfur that's piled up.
That sulfur is then converted to sulfur dioxide
and pumped on up.
Up 10 to 15 miles high, we have these spray stations
where an aerosol spray of tiny particles is created.
NARRATOR: The theory is that by adding these particles
to the stratosphere, it would reflect 1% of the sunlight that
hits Earth back into space.
Not enough to be noticed by the human eye,
but researchers believe enough to cool the planet.
Just two small pumping stations
doing this in the northern and southern hemisphere
could solve the problem for all of Earth.
NARRATOR: In the year 2100, the temperature on Earth
has spiked to four degrees Celsius
above the pre-Industrial average.
And volcanoes that have lain dormant for centuries
are ready to unleash their fury.
Four degree rise in average global temperature,
you're really over the edge now.
I mean, if at two degrees you've got problems,
you've got a nightmare at four degrees.
NARRATOR: America has already been savaged by an onslaught
of natural disasters.
Our once booming population of 320 million
has been reduced by almost half.
The country is overrun by hundreds of thousands
of migrants fleeing for their lives
as entire cities are wiped off the map.
Lots of people are experiencing what can only be
described as security crises.
They're seeing their livelihoods threatened,
their agricultural production thrown into doubt,
and literally having their homes burned before their eyes.
NARRATOR: As rising global temperatures unleash hell
on Earth, the next victim is the hub of the Pacific Northwest.
[ominous music]
Seattle's iconic Space Needle threatens to tumble down
at any moment as violently shifting tectonic plates rock
the city with tremors on a daily basis.
But an even greater danger lies in the distance.
Looming 14,000 feet over Washington state's West Coast,
Mount Rainier last experienced a major eruption in 1895...
long before major cities and towns were built in its shadow.
200 years later, the glacial ice around Mount Rainier
has become too thin to contain the magma within.
If we decrease the pressure where there used to be ice,
then some extra melting can occur in the mantle.
And when it melts, it will generate magma.
And that magma will then move up into the crust,
and it will feed volcanoes and feed eruptions.
[ominous music]
NARRATOR: With little warning, the massive volcano erupts.
Lava pours from the Earth, annihilating anything
within 10 miles of the peak.
Small towns like Puyallup and Sumner are buried within hours.
And Seattle, one of the last remaining population centers
in the country, is about to be destroyed.
In the year 2111, the global average temperature
soars five degrees Celsius above normal.
From flooding and disease in the East to the volcanic eruptions
of the Pacific Northwest, America
finds itself a nation of refugees...
small rural villages which survive by hunting, fishing,
and subsistence farming.
But what little food remains is running out.
Across the nation, the few remaining crops begin to fail.
Crops are doing pretty well when it gets warmer and warmer.
And then, there's a critical temperature at which they just
start to tank.
People can't grow crops in places
where their family for generations has grown crops.
NARRATOR: Animal populations begin
to die off, both on land and in the sea,
triggering a worldwide crisis.
So you would have a global food shortage.
We'd have people commandeering ships of grain
on the high seas, people banning the export of their food
to other countries in order to protect their own citizens.
Governments would fall in response to this.
How long does it take you to get from civilization
to the state of nature?
And the answer is a week with no food.
As time passes, more and more people are feeling desperate.
They're frightened.
They're willing to risk their lives for very little things
like a couple of tins of beans because the baby needs food,
and there's no other way.
NARRATOR: As starvation begins to cripple what's
left of America's population, global temperatures
continue to climb higher and faster as they have ever
since we crossed the two degree tipping point.
This is irreversible change on a global scale,
and it gets worse every second.
NARRATOR: And the final calamity is already underway as America
itself begins to drown beneath the rising seas.
[ominous music]
Since researchers began recording the Earth's
average temperature more than 135 years ago,
eight of the 10 hottest years have
occurred in the last decade.
As the world continues to heat up,
climatologists point to signs from pole
to pole, including the massive glaciers receding
in the Arctic.
Ever since about the beginning of the 21st century,
things have started to accelerate in Greenland.
Ice is already melting faster than it was just a few decades
ago.
And we are very certain that those speed-ups will continue
to happen.
The ice is being melted from above by the warm atmosphere.
And even more dramatically, the ice
is being melted from below by the surface ocean, which
is also increasingly getting warmer.
The ice sheet in Greenland locks up a tremendous amount
of sea level rise.
If all of Greenland were to melt tomorrow,
it would raise sea levels by about 23 feet.
It's like a giant sleeping beast, and we're poking it
and it's starting to wake up.
NARRATOR: In the year 2113, as millions of tons of ice
around the poles melt faster and faster,
entire cities are disappearing beneath the waves,
from Los Angeles to our nation's capital.
Five foot sea level rise...
Galveston, Texas 70% flooded, New Orleans 90% flooded,
Miami Beach...
I really hate this...
90% flooded.
At 12 feet of sea level rise, Atlantic City is gone.
It's 100% flooded.
The beach is inland of where the city was.
20 feet of sea level rise, and Cambridge, Massachusetts
is 80% underwater, New York City is 40% underwater.
And Sacramento, though it looks a long way inland,
is 60% underwater.
NARRATOR: And the worst is yet to come.
Antarctica's huge.
If we dropped it onto the lower 48,
it would cover the entire lower 48.
And the ice is up to two miles thick.
There's enough ice on it that if it all melts,
the water level rises 200 feet.
[ominous music]
NARRATOR: By 2117, Earth is now six degrees Celsius hotter
than it was a century ago.
The entire Antarctic ice sheet is melting and crumbling
into the ocean, pushing the unrelenting water
higher and deeper into our coastline cities and beyond.
After a 200 foot rise in sea level,
our nation itself is unrecognizable...
as is the American population, now just a few thousand souls
battling to survive.
[music crescendos]
Bozeman, Montana, the 22nd century...
fortunate twists of geography, timing, and ingenuity
have made it the last outpost of life in America.
Sheltered by Idaho's Sawtooth Mountains
to the West and the Canadian Rockies to the North,
the city has survived the epic tide of water flooding
from the Pacific Ocean 800 miles away.
Bozeman's elevation keeps temperatures just cool enough
to grow heat resistant beans, potatoes, and beets.
And that's all anyone's had to eat since the last sources
of meat...
rats and squirrels... died out.
But for a planet that has sustained human life
for hundreds of thousands of years,
it's only a matter of time.
The Earth is now unleashing everything in its power
to wipe out humanity.
[ominous music]
Today, our planet is one degree warmer
than it was when we first began burning fossil fuels
in the 1800s.
And the skyrocketing temperatures
show no signs of slowing down.
Experts predict that at the current pace,
we'll hit two degrees Celsius above the pre-Industrial Age
average in less than 25 years.
The magic number is two degrees centigrade.
That's when we lose control.
We're idiots to find out what two degrees will do,
but we're probably gonna find out.
That's what the future looks like...
if not hell, then a remarkably similar temperature.
NARRATOR: Climatologists warn that once we cross the two
degree mark, it will trigger a domino
effect of natural disasters...
a downward spiral that will threaten to end life on Earth
as we know it.
[music playing]
Imagine in the year 2042, as the temperature on Earth
reaches the two degree threshold,
extreme heat and uncontrollable wildfires
ravage the American West.
By 2061, floods drown the Midwest and usher
in a devastating outbreak of disease.
In 2086, Earth's average temperature
ticks up to three and a half degrees above normal.
Hurricanes twice as powerful as past storms
level the Eastern seaboard.
By 2095, the global temperature has risen four degrees,
and melting glaciers trigger epic earthquakes
and volcanic eruptions.
At the dawn of the 22nd century, Earth's average temperature
hits five degrees Celsius above normal.
Crops die out.
Mass starvation sets in.
And finally in 2117, as we reached the six degree mark,
the Arctic shelf crumbles into the sea
as the oceans rise up to 200 feet and swallow the country.
The only survivors are in Bozeman, Montana, whose unique
geography has made it the last outpost of civilization.
But for these doomed refugees, there
is only so long they can hang on.
As the soaring temperatures become unbearable and food
impossible to grow, each soul takes their last breath
until there is no more life in America.
It's an apocalyptic scenario that is hard to fathom,
and one experts believe can be prevented long before we reach
two degrees.
It's spectacular when you see the lights of all of our cities
from high above, whether you are in an airplane or even more
dramatically from the International Space Station.
But attached to every light, there's a source of energy.
And most of that energy, 80% of that still,
is coming from fossil fuels.
So just there, you've got a sort of visual encapsulation
of the whole problem.
Global warming is a defining long term threat of our moment
in history, and we are the first generation, the first group
of people living on this planet who understand
that the road we're on leads to big trouble
and that we still have time to avoid it.
This is affecting us today.
We have the opportunity to fix it now.
At some point, we're going to lose that opportunity.
It's time to act.
We need a World War II style mobilization
to deal with climate change.
It would be difficult, but everything big and useful
is difficult. And it would not be anywhere near as
difficult as somehow trying to deal
with the financial, human, and physical mess of a planet
that we've let overheat.
We're all in it together.
Either we all make it, or none of us make it.
[music playing]
[ominous music]
[ominous music]
Since scientists first started tracking the Earth's
[ominous music]
Across America, experts believe the effects of a warming planet
[ominous music]
[buzzing]
[ominous music]
The Earth is currently one degree Celsius hotter
[ominous music]
As Earth's average temperature continues to climb,
[thunder crackling]
[ominous music]
[thunder crackling]
[ominous music]
Since researchers began recording the Earth's
[thunder crackling]
[ominous music]
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