All language subtitles for 7. Calibrate Position Management Entry
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Now, let's look at the final use of the
volume profile tool.
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Although in several examples we have
seen it mainly used to identify
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00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:12,860
entries above trading levels, the volume
profile is also extremely useful in
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00:00:12,860 --> 00:00:15,220
determining profit -taking and stop
-loss placement.
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The levels to use will depend on the
type of profile used based on your
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00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,620
style, but in general, the logic will be
exactly the same for all of them.
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Regarding entries, regardless of whether
we are in a trend or range context,
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identifying the VWAP, VPOC, the high and
low zones of the value area, and the
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00:00:35,170 --> 00:00:38,850
low volume nodes will be extremely
useful in waiting for the development of
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entry trigger.
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00:00:39,750 --> 00:00:44,750
Of course, if we are evaluating a buy
entry, we will identify these levels
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the price, and if we are evaluating a
sell entry, we will see them above the
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price. As we pointed out earlier, the
more of these levels we have in favor of
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the price, the more confidence the
opportunity will give us.
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00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:01,440
and the more confluences of levels we
can identify, the stronger the signal.
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Throughout the course, we have gone
through several examples of using
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levels as entries.
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Here, we see a summary for the example
of buy entries with different types of
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00:01:11,340 --> 00:01:16,280
profiles. Manually drawn profiles that
identify bullish impulses, manual
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00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:19,780
profiles that identify range contexts,
and session profiles.
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In addition, we also present the VWAPs
as areas to look for possible entries.
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Here are some examples of session
profiles using the weekly VWAP.
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When trading with session profiles, it
is generally recommended to consider the
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00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:36,620
trading levels of the previous session.
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As we can see, the price reacts in a
confluence zone where the VPOC of the
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previous session and the weekly VWAP
coincide.
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This type of opportunity has a high
probability of success, and the more
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that converge in the same area, the
better.
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Finally, although less frequently, We
also comment on the possibility of
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for potential entries in low -volume
nodes.
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As we already know, one of the ways in
which the price interacts with low
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00:02:04,140 --> 00:02:06,080
-volume nodes is through a V -shaped
rejection.
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00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,740
Now, we could use this knowledge to
propose scenarios where we would look
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00:02:10,740 --> 00:02:13,340
entry after a V -turn in a low -volume
node.
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00:02:13,860 --> 00:02:17,560
This V -turn would be represented on the
price chart as a failed price
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discovery, a search for liquidity.
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00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:22,580
Here is a closer, more visual example.
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00:02:23,410 --> 00:02:28,270
First, we identify the low volume node,
as indicated by the multiple V -turn
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00:02:28,270 --> 00:02:31,010
price rejections and the two fast
-moving rejections.
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00:02:31,470 --> 00:02:35,930
From there, and once the price is
effectively positioned below this node,
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00:02:35,930 --> 00:02:39,950
use this information to look for an
opportunity to enter short should the
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00:02:39,950 --> 00:02:41,390
interact with this zone again.
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00:02:42,130 --> 00:02:45,670
Since we know that there is a high
probability that the market will reject
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00:02:45,670 --> 00:02:49,810
interaction in the form of another new V
-turn, knowing this information we
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should start with this scenario and be
prepared to act if the market confirms
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it.
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00:02:54,650 --> 00:02:58,610
Another critical footprint that we
should have identified in this example
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position of the high volume node.
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00:03:00,530 --> 00:03:04,810
As we can see, both the high volume node
and the VPOC are at the top.
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00:03:05,270 --> 00:03:09,170
As we learned earlier, the directional
bias after seeing the price below the
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last volume node should be bearish. So
as long as this situation is maintained,
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00:03:13,810 --> 00:03:17,390
the initially raised scenarios should be
in favor of looking for a bearish
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00:03:17,390 --> 00:03:18,390
continuation.
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00:03:18,790 --> 00:03:22,850
Therefore, since the last volume node is
already in favor, the approach of
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00:03:22,850 --> 00:03:26,650
looking for a short entry on the low
volume node is the most likely scenario.
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00:03:27,590 --> 00:03:31,730
And what happens is that the price
interacts with the lower trading area up
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00:03:31,730 --> 00:03:34,190
two times before continuing the downward
movement.
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00:03:34,890 --> 00:03:38,830
Again, this is a very complete example
where we were able to bring together
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00:03:38,830 --> 00:03:39,830
different concepts.
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00:03:40,030 --> 00:03:44,190
On the one hand, the identification of
the low volume node within the profile
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00:03:44,190 --> 00:03:48,770
and its representation in the price. On
the other hand, The determination of the
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00:03:48,770 --> 00:03:52,450
directional bias with the location of
the price and the higher volume node.
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And finally, the search for the
potential short entry at the low volume
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00:03:57,890 --> 00:04:01,330
Let's look at another example using the
low volume nodes again.
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00:04:01,870 --> 00:04:06,410
This time, we start a manual profile
that covers the entire lateralization to
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00:04:06,410 --> 00:04:08,090
identify the relevant trading zones.
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00:04:08,950 --> 00:04:11,250
Imagine that we are at this point in
time.
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00:04:11,490 --> 00:04:15,530
The previous context is an uptrend and
we want to propose a buy scenario.
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00:04:16,269 --> 00:04:19,990
The two points where we should wait for
the price to seek an entry would be in
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00:04:19,990 --> 00:04:22,410
the rejection zones delimited by the
value area.
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00:04:23,010 --> 00:04:28,110
In the case of VAH, we should first
position the price above this level and
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wait for a test of the level.
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00:04:29,810 --> 00:04:34,890
And in the case of VAL, which also
coincides with a low -volume node, we
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00:04:34,890 --> 00:04:37,690
value the entry if there is a direct
move into the area.
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00:04:38,190 --> 00:04:40,770
This part of scenario management is
fundamental.
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00:04:41,450 --> 00:04:46,080
Our job as analysts is to propose all
the scenarios we can think of based on
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where the price is in relation to the
trading levels.
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00:04:49,020 --> 00:04:53,460
But ultimately, it is the market that
confirms whether the entry will be at
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00:04:53,460 --> 00:04:55,360
level or another or none at all.
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00:04:55,820 --> 00:04:58,400
We suggest and the market confirms.
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00:04:59,340 --> 00:05:03,740
And what happens is that it goes first
to the low volume node where it
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00:05:03,740 --> 00:05:07,760
a strong bullish reaction that gives
rise to a trend movement that manages to
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00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:12,650
leave the value area at the top and also
leaves a second entry by making a test
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00:05:12,650 --> 00:05:14,210
on the VAH of the profile.
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00:05:15,050 --> 00:05:19,810
In this case, it has used the two
operating levels to leave two
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00:05:20,070 --> 00:05:24,350
but in no case can we know in advance if
the market will go one way or the other
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00:05:24,350 --> 00:05:29,590
first. This is our job as analysts, to
be prepared for what can happen at any
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00:05:29,590 --> 00:05:30,590
time.
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00:05:30,850 --> 00:05:34,370
Let's look at one last example of
entering at low volume nodes.
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00:05:35,150 --> 00:05:39,710
We identify the end of the bearish
movement and run a manual profile to
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00:05:39,710 --> 00:05:40,830
the relevant trading zones.
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00:05:41,430 --> 00:05:45,590
Since the context is bearish, we already
know that we want to look for a selling
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00:05:45,590 --> 00:05:50,050
opportunity, so we will identify the
areas that we would watch to evaluate
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00:05:50,050 --> 00:05:54,950
entry. In this case, they would be the
three low -volume nodes and the value
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00:05:54,950 --> 00:05:58,810
area low of the profile, which also
coincides with one of the nodes.
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00:05:59,830 --> 00:06:02,890
Once the zones are identified, we will
set up the scenarios.
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00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:07,600
Since we are looking for a short
position and the price is below all the
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00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:11,140
levels, we will simply have to wait for
the development of a bullish movement
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00:06:11,140 --> 00:06:14,700
that will visit these zones to look for
the reaction that may give rise to
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00:06:14,700 --> 00:06:15,860
another new bearish impulse.
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00:06:16,660 --> 00:06:20,980
Remember, we do not know which zone the
price will react to if it does so in any
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00:06:20,980 --> 00:06:21,579
of them.
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00:06:21,580 --> 00:06:26,180
We simply identify them all and wait for
the market to confirm which one will be
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00:06:26,180 --> 00:06:27,180
the turning point.
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00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:31,160
And in this case, it was on the
intermediate low volume node from which
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00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:34,200
developed rejection and generated the
potential short entry.
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00:06:34,940 --> 00:06:39,060
An interesting question that may arise
for you is what happens if the price
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00:06:39,060 --> 00:06:43,880
not react on any low volume node? Or
similarly, what should the market do to
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00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:47,320
change the directional bias and instead
of wanting to sell, we would want to
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00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:50,540
buy? Both situations would lead to the
same behavior.
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00:06:51,060 --> 00:06:54,980
In this case, identifying the immediate
high volume node is critical to
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00:06:54,980 --> 00:06:56,180
determining the market bias.
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00:06:56,830 --> 00:07:01,350
The context is clear. As long as the
market is below it and clearly below the
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00:07:01,350 --> 00:07:04,950
value area, we will be willing to look
for opportunities to sell.
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00:07:06,070 --> 00:07:10,070
Therefore, if we want to buy, we should
at least wait for the price to position
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00:07:10,070 --> 00:07:11,470
above this volume node.
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00:07:12,210 --> 00:07:16,270
Remember that it is these high volume
nodes that will determine who is in
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00:07:16,270 --> 00:07:17,890
control of the market in the short term.
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00:07:18,390 --> 00:07:23,010
If the market manages to position itself
above this level, it would also have
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00:07:23,010 --> 00:07:24,310
regained the value area.
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00:07:24,700 --> 00:07:27,160
and it would be the right time to look
for buying opportunities.
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The training zone remains the same. The
scenario now would be to wait for some
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00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:36,600
kind of test on the low volume node that
also coincides with the low value area
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00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:37,800
of the entire profile.
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00:07:38,700 --> 00:07:41,000
This is the dynamic of scenario
management.
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00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:45,540
We need to combine all the concepts we
have learned to read the market
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00:07:45,540 --> 00:07:50,000
in each situation, and based on what it
is doing, determine the directional
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00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:54,340
bias, set up scenarios, and wait on the
trading zones for the appearance of our
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00:07:54,340 --> 00:07:55,340
entry trigger.
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00:07:55,960 --> 00:08:00,440
Speaking of the entry signal, it is not
the subject of this course, but I will
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00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,060
discuss some of the behaviors I use to
enter the market.
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00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,300
More often than not, our main trigger
will be to wait for the appearance of a
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00:08:07,300 --> 00:08:11,460
candlestick showing intent, a
candlestick that denotes aggressiveness
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00:08:11,460 --> 00:08:12,660
direction we want to trade.
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00:08:13,420 --> 00:08:17,720
Because of the message they convey, this
is the best way of definitively
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00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:18,780
confirming the opportunity.
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00:08:19,690 --> 00:08:23,690
If we are in a trading zone where we
want to buy, and after seeing all the
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00:08:23,690 --> 00:08:27,950
necessary signs discussed previously, we
observe a candlestick showing bullish
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00:08:27,950 --> 00:08:31,750
strength, this informs us of a clear
intention on the part of the buyers.
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00:08:32,330 --> 00:08:36,610
The candlesticks that meet the
characteristics we are looking for are
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a wide range, high volume, and a closing
price at the extremes, regardless of
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whether or not there is a wick at the
opposite end.
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and always analyzing in comparative
terms with respect to the previously
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candlesticks. So the idea is clear.
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00:08:52,100 --> 00:08:56,680
If we are in the trading zone, we have
already done all our prior analysis and
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some form of trigger appears, we have
the green light to launch the order.
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00:09:00,820 --> 00:09:04,820
The appearance of candlesticks showing
intent ultimately confirms a change of
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00:09:04,820 --> 00:09:07,820
control among market participants in the
very short term.
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00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:12,560
At that point, we will have everything
aligned, the context and the roadmap.
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00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:17,220
which will always refer to the longer
-term control, and the appearance of the
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entry trigger, which refers to the
shorter -term control.
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00:09:20,180 --> 00:09:24,420
Here are some examples of our triggers,
both for the long and the short side.
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00:09:24,680 --> 00:09:29,140
If we look at it from the point of view
of market fractality, in essence, they
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all represent exactly the same type of
reversal, with the only difference being
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that some develop faster than others.
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00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:40,020
This concept of fractality is very
powerful and easy to understand.
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00:09:40,770 --> 00:09:44,290
Imagine that we observe a one
-candlestick trigger on a daily chart.
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00:09:44,510 --> 00:09:49,650
Well, if we go down in time, for
example, to a four - or eight -hour
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00:09:49,650 --> 00:09:52,730
will observe that same behavior as the
two -candlestick trigger.
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00:09:53,070 --> 00:09:57,390
And if we go down to the hourly chart,
we will observe the same behavior as the
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00:09:57,390 --> 00:09:59,190
three -candlestick trigger, and so on.
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00:09:59,490 --> 00:10:04,110
And those last triggers would probably
represent the behavior seen on a chart
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00:10:04,110 --> 00:10:05,850
15 and 5 minutes approximately.
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00:10:06,830 --> 00:10:10,530
So you need to be aware that the
triggers that we have just seen are a
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reference, and that the market can tell
us exactly the same thing in multiple
166
00:10:14,330 --> 00:10:17,270
ways, depending on the time frame in
which we are working.
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00:10:17,710 --> 00:10:22,030
Here we see two very different examples
that ultimately represent the same
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00:10:22,030 --> 00:10:23,030
thing.
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00:10:23,170 --> 00:10:27,490
Ultimately, the key is to determine the
reversal by identifying a candlestick in
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00:10:27,490 --> 00:10:31,350
the opposite direction, plus another one
in favor of the movement we expect.
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00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:35,720
and preferably with the latter showing a
closing price at the opposite extreme
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to the previous one.
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00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,220
Let's look at some particularities we
should take into account with respect to
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the entry trigger.
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00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:46,040
For example, the fact that one
candlestick trigger should be composed
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bullish candlestick in the event we want
to buy, and that the remaining triggers
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00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:54,260
should fail to close above the last big
bearish candlestick that would establish
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00:10:54,260 --> 00:10:55,260
control.
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00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:59,860
We can also use this as an extra input
that will add more or less strength to
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the scenario.
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00:11:01,070 --> 00:11:05,310
This slide shows practically the same
behavior with the only difference being
182
00:11:05,310 --> 00:11:08,750
the closing price of the bullish
candlestick which would ultimately
183
00:11:08,750 --> 00:11:10,370
greater or lesser aggressiveness.
184
00:11:11,010 --> 00:11:15,370
In the pattern on the left, we see that
the bullish candlestick manages to close
185
00:11:15,370 --> 00:11:17,150
in the upper third of the bearish one.
186
00:11:17,470 --> 00:11:21,870
Although it is true that it could be
taken as valid for use as an entry
187
00:11:22,050 --> 00:11:26,730
the fact that it is unable to close
higher suggests that the aggressiveness
188
00:11:26,730 --> 00:11:28,570
the buyers is not at its peak.
189
00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,700
which could make us doubt whether to
execute the trade or at least make us
190
00:11:32,700 --> 00:11:33,700
reduce our exposure.
191
00:11:34,300 --> 00:11:38,240
In the middle pattern, we see more
commitment from the buyers who have
192
00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,080
to push the price to close above the
opening price.
193
00:11:41,340 --> 00:11:46,120
This representation provides us with
greater confidence than the previous
194
00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:51,220
And finally, on the right, we see the
representation that most suggests the
195
00:11:51,220 --> 00:11:55,380
strength is on the buyer's side, with
the bullish candlestick closing even
196
00:11:55,380 --> 00:11:56,880
the maximum of the bearish one.
197
00:11:57,340 --> 00:12:01,460
These three representations should be
enough to activate the entry trigger.
198
00:12:01,860 --> 00:12:06,660
In terms of the entry order, I always
recommend using a stop order in the
199
00:12:06,660 --> 00:12:07,660
direction of the movement.
200
00:12:07,820 --> 00:12:13,560
In other words, if what we want is to
buy, we will use a buy stop located
201
00:12:13,560 --> 00:12:14,560
the current price.
202
00:12:15,100 --> 00:12:20,040
And if what we want is to sell, we will
use a sell stop located below the
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current price.
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The development of a candlestick showing
intent is a clear sign of interest.
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but it is worth using a stop order as a
definitive filter that suggests a
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certain continuity in the movement
started with the trigger candle.
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Continuing with the example of our entry
triggers, in the case of long trading,
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we would place the order above the
candlestick. If we are going short, we
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place the sell stop entry order below
the trigger candlestick.
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This process will always be exactly the
same.
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How far below?
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At least one tick below the high or low
of the candlestick.
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and preferably two to avoid micro -false
breakouts.
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Although it may seem ridiculous, it
happens. A mini -false breakout on the
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previous candlestick and reversal.
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In this way, we can enter in favor of
the momentum and avoid these
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microstructure behaviors.
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This way of entering the market is a
personal recommendation.
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It is the way I feel most comfortable
when executing the order. But it does
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mean that it is the best way, or that it
is not possible to enter in another
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way. Many traders enter the market using
limit orders placed at the levels and
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trading zones.
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This is another method that I do not
advocate.
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The way I see it, chart analysis is
reactive, so trying to somehow
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that the price will turn right at this
level is trying to guess and assume too
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much. The truth is that we have no way
of knowing if such behavior will occur
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when the time comes.
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The underlying idea is that we must
continuously analyze the interaction
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buyers and sellers.
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And even if we are biased one way or the
other based on the context, we must
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confirm when the time comes that the
approach is sound and that the market
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itself confirms it.
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If the market is at a trading level and
we see aggressive buyers appearing and
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pushing the price higher, that is the
footprint we would need to see to
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that our analysis appears to be correct
and in such a case would provide us with
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a trading opportunity.
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It should also be remembered that seeing
our entry trigger above the proposed
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zone has nothing to do with whether the
trade later turns out to be a profit or
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a loss.
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As we have seen, there is always new
information coming into the market that
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could change the perception of the stock
at any time.
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But at least we will be closer to making
the right decision at any given time.
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It is clear that the highest profit
margin will always be given by entries
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limit orders, but it is also true that
these type of entries are more likely to
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00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:45,579
be wrong.
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00:14:45,580 --> 00:14:50,040
On the other hand, Entries with stop
orders give us greater confidence at the
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cost of a lower profit margin.
23579
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