All language subtitles for 6. Keys to position management
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1
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Keys to Position Management Let's not
forget that our main objective, over and
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00:00:05,590 --> 00:00:10,390
above looking to maximize profit, should
be the preservation of capital. For
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00:00:10,390 --> 00:00:14,950
this reason, among other things, we
actively analyze market sentiment. We
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00:00:14,950 --> 00:00:19,110
conservative approaches in our trade
operations and we risk low percentages
5
00:00:19,110 --> 00:00:20,110
our account capital.
6
00:00:21,330 --> 00:00:26,070
Our style is reactive and defensive, the
best strategy for achieving our goal.
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00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:30,280
In this section, we are going to look at
some concepts that will help us to
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achieve our objective of preserving
capital.
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These are concepts that are sometimes
overlooked but can greatly influence our
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00:00:37,180 --> 00:00:38,180
long -term result.
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00:00:38,780 --> 00:00:42,620
The first of them has to do with the
trading period and with the release of
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fundamental data.
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00:00:44,180 --> 00:00:47,760
Regardless of the asset you are trading
in, there will eventually be some
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00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:51,320
fundamental news or some critical moment
in the market in relation to it.
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00:00:51,540 --> 00:00:55,180
Knowing when this will happen can help
you carry out the proper position
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management.
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00:00:56,490 --> 00:01:00,650
With regard to trading hours, it's worth
noting that trading sessions experience
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their highest volume during the hours
when they overlap, since this is when
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00:01:05,330 --> 00:01:06,890
largest number of traders are active.
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00:01:07,210 --> 00:01:09,730
This is especially the case in currency
trading.
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00:01:10,290 --> 00:01:15,750
If, for example, you trade in futures,
let's say S &P 500 futures, two of the
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moments to avoid are the opening and
closing of the market.
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The highest concentration of activity
occurs at the opening of the American
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session. During approximately the first
hour of the session, it is very
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difficult to follow the behavior of the
market.
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Upon the opening of the session, all the
trades that took place when the market
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closed are reflected in price.
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This generates a high level of generally
random volatility that can skew our
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strategy. For this reason, it is best to
wait a few minutes until the market
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digests all that noise and the majority
of traders start to position themselves
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with intent.
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and a great deal of volatility is also
generated minutes before the close of
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session, which could reduce our
position.
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In this regard, you should also take
into account the overnight risk of
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the position while the market is closed.
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Regarding the release of fundamental
data, one of the best tools available to
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is the news calendar, specifically one
showing news that can significantly
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impact the price of the asset which we
are interested in trading.
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00:02:18,250 --> 00:02:22,930
A huge amount of news is consistently
being broadcast, so you need to filter
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and take into account only the most
relevant items.
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00:02:26,190 --> 00:02:30,130
Depending on which market you want to
trade in, certain news items will be
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00:02:30,130 --> 00:02:34,370
relevant than others. For example, if
you invest in stocks, you will be
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interested in the financial results of
companies, which are usually presented
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00:02:38,130 --> 00:02:42,670
a quarterly basis, as well as the news
specifically related to each asset.
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Certain economic data can have a huge
impact on the economy as a whole.
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such as interest rates, CPI, GDP, and
employment reports.
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For example, if a fundamental event
concerning certain economic news that
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affect our position is about to be
broadcast, the most sensible thing is to
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manage the position to protect ourselves
from potential volatility.
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In reality, in this scenario, the most
advisable thing to do is to leave the
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market immediately, especially if you
are intraday trading.
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00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:16,700
Other dates that should be monitored
closely are public holidays during which
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the markets are closed, as well as
common celebrations such as Christmas,
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Year, and religious holidays.
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Each country has its own holidays on
different dates, such as National
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00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:28,840
and Labor Day, among others.
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00:03:29,700 --> 00:03:34,780
The page investing .com is a really
useful site since it summarizes all the
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00:03:34,780 --> 00:03:38,460
events in one place, so it's definitely
something you should look at.
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00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:43,580
For stock trading, TradingView itself
also has a tool that informs traders
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the days remaining until the release of
the next earnings report.
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You can find it in the lower right part.
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00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,680
In this example of an equity, there are
five days left.
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00:03:53,460 --> 00:03:57,580
Bear in mind that on many occasions the
effect we are waiting for a campaign to
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00:03:57,580 --> 00:04:00,520
have occurs due to the release of this
type of report.
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00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:03,380
This is what happens in this other
example.
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00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,500
We are in an uptrend and the market is
beginning to develop a potential
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00:04:07,500 --> 00:04:08,700
reaccumulation structure.
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00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:13,620
What happens? The earnings report is
released, which happens to be well
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00:04:13,620 --> 00:04:17,980
by the market and this sends the price
up, even generating a huge gap.
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00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:22,900
I personally don't avoid trading using
the news as an input if the context
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00:04:22,900 --> 00:04:25,240
suggests that an accumulation is
possible.
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00:04:25,820 --> 00:04:30,000
Of course, there will always be that
additional risk that if you are wrong,
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00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:33,380
loss could be greater than that
established by your original stop loss.
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00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,040
for the same reason we see illustrated
here.
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00:04:36,700 --> 00:04:41,980
If the market opens with a gap below,
instead of opening above, your stop loss
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00:04:41,980 --> 00:04:47,340
would be executed at that opening price
below, considerably increasing the loss.
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00:04:47,900 --> 00:04:52,940
Moving on, we are now going to look at
the next key issue, which has to do with
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the nature of trade.
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00:04:54,260 --> 00:04:58,460
We often think that the position we are
about to open is the one that will make
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00:04:58,460 --> 00:04:59,419
us rich.
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00:04:59,420 --> 00:05:01,700
We start looking at longer time frames.
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00:05:02,090 --> 00:05:05,750
with the aim of turning that trade that
was the result of a short -term analysis
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00:05:05,750 --> 00:05:08,910
into one that is going to look for major
long -term movement.
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00:05:09,210 --> 00:05:14,390
Of course, 90 % of the time, this will
not happen. And the worst thing is that
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00:05:14,390 --> 00:05:18,930
it could be a good trade, but we lost
out on obtaining more profits from it by
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00:05:18,930 --> 00:05:20,730
not properly managing the time frame.
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00:05:21,390 --> 00:05:25,130
The trade should always be managed in
accordance with the trading time frame.
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00:05:25,650 --> 00:05:29,490
Don't expect trades that were born in
the short term to become major trends.
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00:05:30,030 --> 00:05:34,730
Although it is true that on occasion
this could happen, usually it is not the
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00:05:34,730 --> 00:05:37,970
case. This chart shows an example of
this concept.
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Assuming we have managed to enter at
that spring, we need to manage the
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00:05:42,690 --> 00:05:46,490
in this time frame and use the liquidity
zones that most immediately appear.
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The liquidity zone that we see in the
upper part, if we make use of
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undoubtedly corresponds to a price pivot
in a longer term time frame, so that
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00:05:57,070 --> 00:05:58,610
should not be our priority target.
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00:05:59,180 --> 00:06:03,060
It would not make sense to enter that
accumulation and wait for that very
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00:06:03,060 --> 00:06:06,140
distant liquidity zone as our first
profit -taking opportunity.
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00:06:06,980 --> 00:06:11,340
Could the price even reach it? Of course
it could. And perhaps we should place
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00:06:11,340 --> 00:06:14,820
some of our position in the hope that
the market reaches that more ambitious
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00:06:14,820 --> 00:06:15,820
target zone.
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00:06:15,940 --> 00:06:20,200
But before getting there, the price must
pass through other zones that could
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00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:21,600
generate a change of control.
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00:06:21,980 --> 00:06:25,660
And these zones are the ones we should
use for our position management.
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Be very careful with this.
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00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,940
because it is something that happens
frequently, especially among beginners.
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00:06:32,380 --> 00:06:36,160
The closing price of a candlestick is
one of the most important pieces of
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00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:40,480
information, telling us about the
commitment and quality of the traders
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00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:41,520
entered in that direction.
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00:06:42,300 --> 00:06:46,120
Don't try to anticipate your entry,
because you will expose yourself to
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00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:47,120
unnecessary risk.
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00:06:48,100 --> 00:06:51,220
Imagine we are in the trading zone
awaiting our entry trigger.
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Let's assume it is a candlestick showing
intent.
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Then we see a candlestick that at first
glance seems to have the characteristics
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00:06:59,060 --> 00:07:00,100
we are looking for.
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00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:05,240
But before the candlestick ends and
closes according to its time frame, we
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00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,160
decide to enter in an attempt to
anticipate the entry.
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00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:13,380
And surprise, surprise, just before the
candlestick closes, a minor imbalance
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occurs in the opposite direction
indicating exactly the opposite
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00:07:17,740 --> 00:07:18,740
were looking for.
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You may think this can't happen.
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but I assure you that the sentiment of
the candlestick can change in seconds or
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minutes. We do not know what type of
information is about to be released to
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market, or if it will be before, or
after, or how the market itself will
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That is why it is essential to wait for
the closing price, since it allows us to
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00:07:39,670 --> 00:07:42,170
determine the sentiment of that
particular candlestick.
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Sometimes, you might enter the market in
the wrong manner.
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00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:50,100
perhaps in the way described in the
above example, when trying to anticipate
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00:07:50,100 --> 00:07:51,039
your entry.
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00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:52,040
What do we do then?
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00:07:52,620 --> 00:07:54,140
Close the trade immediately.
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00:07:55,180 --> 00:07:57,640
Abandoning the position is the most
advisable measure.
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You have not followed your trading plan.
It is not a trade that offers any
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00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:06,600
guarantees or confidence, so there is no
point staying in it, hoping that the
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00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:07,860
market will go in our favor.
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00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:13,040
When it comes to the market, we must put
our feelings aside and act as coldly as
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00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,720
possible. And in this situation, there
can be no excuses.
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00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:19,880
Accept your mistake and close your
position.
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00:08:20,580 --> 00:08:25,520
The example seen previously is just one
type of bad entry, but there are plenty
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00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:26,439
of others.
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00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:30,600
For example, that instead of buying, you
have placed a sell order.
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That instead of one unit, you have
bought 10.
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00:08:34,140 --> 00:08:38,020
That you are looking at the wrong asset
even, especially if you are managing
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several in your follow -up list, that
you make a mistake in the type of order
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and you have entered with a buy limit.
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instead of a buy stop, to buy at the
break of the trigger candlestick.
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00:08:48,100 --> 00:08:52,400
You might even apply the wrong strategy,
realizing later that your analysis of
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00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:55,240
the roadmap was wrong and you have
entered the wrong side.
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00:08:55,980 --> 00:08:59,500
These are just a few examples, but the
possibilities are endless.
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00:08:59,820 --> 00:09:03,980
If you realize you have made a mistake,
the key is to try to correct it as soon
150
00:09:03,980 --> 00:09:06,680
as possible, even if it means taking a
loss.
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00:09:07,340 --> 00:09:09,900
Don't let the market reward you for a
poor performance.
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00:09:10,460 --> 00:09:13,080
Trades can be good or bad regardless of
the result.
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00:09:13,740 --> 00:09:17,440
If you do everything right, if you
follow your trading plan and execute
154
00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:22,160
everything as established, but still the
trade has a negative result, the trade
155
00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,880
is still a good trade, because you have
done everything you had to do.
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00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:30,860
The negative result is only due to the
inherent variability of the markets and
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of the result. This shouldn't worry you.
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00:09:33,380 --> 00:09:37,420
What should worry you is a positive
trade having carried out poor
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00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:43,400
These types of trades are bad because on
this occasion, it may have gone well
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00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,280
for you, but the next time, it almost
certainly won't.
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00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:51,160
And if you have been rewarded even after
doing your job badly, you are not going
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00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:54,540
to correct your mistakes and your
learning process will be all wrong.
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00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:59,400
It is critical to realize that doing
things badly is not profitable in the
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term. Doing things well is, even if that
means that in the short term, you have
165
00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:06,360
to accept a loss.
166
00:10:07,100 --> 00:10:11,060
Assuming we have done everything
correctly and we are already in a
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00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:16,300
situations will continue to appear that
should set the alarm bells ringing and
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00:10:16,300 --> 00:10:18,040
make us consider an early exit.
169
00:10:18,540 --> 00:10:22,900
Once our order is triggered, if we enter
the market and see that the market is
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00:10:22,900 --> 00:10:26,780
not moving in our direction, but starts
to fluctuate up and down without any
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00:10:26,780 --> 00:10:31,840
clear direction, or simply goes against
us, this may be a sign that the market
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00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:34,700
is not yet ready to initiate the
movement that we are expecting.
173
00:10:36,610 --> 00:10:40,090
Objectively, what we see is that the
momentum that we expect the market to
174
00:10:40,090 --> 00:10:42,870
after the appearance of our trigger has
not taken place.
175
00:10:43,250 --> 00:10:47,810
And therefore, after a while, without
seeing this reaction, this would suggest
176
00:10:47,810 --> 00:10:50,910
that there is a good chance the price
will hit the stop of the trigger
177
00:10:50,910 --> 00:10:55,250
candlestick. In this case, you might
want to think about reducing your risk
178
00:10:55,250 --> 00:10:57,430
exposure before the stop loss closes
everything.
179
00:10:58,110 --> 00:11:01,450
You will never know to what extent you
are making a good decision.
180
00:11:01,870 --> 00:11:05,090
But if for whatever reason you don't
feel comfortable with the trade you have
181
00:11:05,090 --> 00:11:07,440
open, you can close a percentage of it.
182
00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,380
This may be a good way to remain
emotionally calm.
183
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:15,260
Bear in mind that you can always re
-enter later, if the market sends out
184
00:11:15,260 --> 00:11:16,260
signals.
185
00:11:16,860 --> 00:11:21,540
In the example on the slide, we see a
potential spring in a bullish uptrend
186
00:11:21,540 --> 00:11:25,860
breaking through two previous lows and
creating a candlestick that we could
187
00:11:25,860 --> 00:11:27,080
used as an entry trigger.
188
00:11:27,860 --> 00:11:32,240
The next candlestick activates the order
and automatically goes against us.
189
00:11:32,560 --> 00:11:36,570
At that point, We have already confirmed
that the momentum that we needed to
190
00:11:36,570 --> 00:11:40,130
take place after the appearance of the
trigger candlestick has not happened.
191
00:11:40,630 --> 00:11:44,230
So, there is an increased chance that
the market will have to carry out a new
192
00:11:44,230 --> 00:11:47,550
test at the lows to assess the
commitment towards the short side.
193
00:11:47,870 --> 00:11:51,650
In this case, it is a very light test
that barely breaks the lows of the
194
00:11:51,650 --> 00:11:55,810
previous pivot, but it could have fallen
a lot more and triggered the stop loss.
195
00:11:56,410 --> 00:12:00,730
Another situation in which we should
exit early is when we observe a volume
196
00:12:00,730 --> 00:12:02,810
that continues going against our
positioning.
197
00:12:03,460 --> 00:12:07,620
Imagine that we have entered that false
breakout that takes place on the lows of
198
00:12:07,620 --> 00:12:11,880
that structure, and that in the middle
of our trade we observe an unusual peak
199
00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,780
in volume with a clear bearish
sentiment.
200
00:12:14,660 --> 00:12:18,940
Until the appearance of that event, if
we have not done any type of position
201
00:12:18,940 --> 00:12:23,980
management, this is an input significant
enough to at least protect it by
202
00:12:23,980 --> 00:12:28,300
placing the stop loss at the entry
point, so that if the market continues
203
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fall later, we don't take a hit, as was
the case in this example.
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More important than the volume itself is
the price reaction to that volume.
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If the same volume peak had generated a
bullish candlestick, our interest would
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not be affected initially, at least
until seeing the subsequent price
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This is exactly the same concept as that
of climactic volume at the breakout.
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We will always want to be on the right
side of the last volume peak.
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Anything different to this, and we
should consider carrying out some form
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00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:02,960
position management.
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00:13:03,210 --> 00:13:06,770
And finally, we are going to deal with
the situation where we see a strong
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movement against our position.
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00:13:09,090 --> 00:13:13,430
Imagine we are in this uptrend context
and we see an opportunity in that false
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00:13:13,430 --> 00:13:14,850
breakout at the previous low.
215
00:13:15,490 --> 00:13:19,790
The market begins to move in our favor
at some point and it generates a strong
216
00:13:19,790 --> 00:13:21,710
downward movement for no apparent
reason.
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00:13:22,590 --> 00:13:26,750
Since at this point where that bearish
candlestick develops, it is highly
218
00:13:26,750 --> 00:13:30,210
that the move to lower prices will
continue, we should do some management.
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In this case, it might be advisable to
use a stop loss below the low of said
220
00:13:35,620 --> 00:13:40,040
candlestick, just as we learned with the
concept of the mental stop loss when a
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00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:41,940
strong re -entry into the range occurs.
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Why this kind of stop?
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Well, because it could be the start of a
possible shakeout and reverse upwards
224
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in the next candlestick, as previously
happened.
225
00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:55,600
Then it would be a matter of moving the
original stop loss below that
226
00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:57,860
candlestick to cover two possible
situations.
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00:13:58,730 --> 00:14:03,170
In the event the market continues to
fall, as it did in this example, we cut
228
00:14:03,170 --> 00:14:07,490
losses. And at the same time, we leave
open the scenario of yet another false
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00:14:07,490 --> 00:14:09,690
breakout prior to the price moving
higher again.
230
00:14:10,350 --> 00:14:13,670
This is the best type of management for
either of the two scenarios.
231
00:14:14,510 --> 00:14:17,850
When we open a position, we have several
ways of managing it.
232
00:14:18,090 --> 00:14:20,590
And in reality, one way is no better
than another.
233
00:14:21,310 --> 00:14:24,550
Here we are referring to how we are
going to distribute the amount that we
234
00:14:24,550 --> 00:14:25,650
allocated to that position.
235
00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,500
from both the point of view of the entry
and exit.
236
00:14:28,860 --> 00:14:33,520
With the type of all or nothing
management we define the entry, stop
237
00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:34,520
take profit points.
238
00:14:34,940 --> 00:14:38,960
We enter with a full position amount and
allow it to develop until it reaches
239
00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:42,880
the stop loss or take profit level
without doing any additional management.
240
00:14:43,660 --> 00:14:48,140
The main advantage of this style is that
the trader in no case has to manipulate
241
00:14:48,140 --> 00:14:52,700
the position, avoiding the possibility
of making bad decisions, guided by
242
00:14:52,700 --> 00:14:54,400
feelings such as fear or greed.
243
00:14:55,210 --> 00:14:59,050
But this is a double -edged sword
because it is also its biggest
244
00:14:59,690 --> 00:15:04,430
By not being aware of what is happening
in the market, we may indirectly assume
245
00:15:04,430 --> 00:15:09,150
a greater risk, because we will not act
even if our analysis suggests that the
246
00:15:09,150 --> 00:15:10,490
market sentiment could change.
247
00:15:11,150 --> 00:15:14,290
An example of this type of trade can be
seen in this chart.
248
00:15:14,510 --> 00:15:16,830
We set up the orders and let the price
develop.
249
00:15:17,370 --> 00:15:21,530
Many traders, myself included, feel
comfortable taking partial profits.
250
00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:26,060
This simply means, once the market has
advanced in our position and we have
251
00:15:26,060 --> 00:15:30,320
obtained certain latent profits, closing
part of the position and securing these
252
00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,880
profits when the price reaches some key
trading zone.
253
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:38,160
The market is an environment full of
uncertainty, and it is constantly
254
00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:42,200
in its very nature, so we need to be
able to analyze and interpret the
255
00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:46,120
information offered to us very quickly
in order to make decisions that improve
256
00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:47,120
our risk management.
257
00:15:47,700 --> 00:15:50,260
There are several ways of taking partial
profits.
258
00:15:50,730 --> 00:15:54,930
A simple way to do this is to divide the
size of the position into two parts,
259
00:15:55,110 --> 00:15:59,830
allocating the first part to the first
take profit, and a second and last part
260
00:15:59,830 --> 00:16:02,510
of the position allocated to some
distant trading level.
261
00:16:03,010 --> 00:16:08,270
In this case, we would be talking about
taking profit 1 and taking profit 2 due
262
00:16:08,270 --> 00:16:09,550
to the two closing positions.
263
00:16:10,590 --> 00:16:15,730
One thing you can decide is how to
divide the position size, that is, what
264
00:16:15,730 --> 00:16:18,830
percentage of the position to allocate
to each of the take profits.
265
00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:25,660
You may choose 50 % for each take
profit, or 60 -40, 70 -30, etc.
266
00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:30,260
Generally, the first part of the
position is usually allocated a higher
267
00:16:30,260 --> 00:16:35,240
percentage. If you plan on taking
partial profits, I recommend allocating
268
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,740
least half the position to the first
take profit.
269
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:42,340
But maybe you want to split the position
into three parts instead of two.
270
00:16:42,860 --> 00:16:45,240
This is also another widely used
practice.
271
00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:50,480
For example, We allocate 50 % of the
total position size to the first take
272
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,400
profit. Then we will leave another 40 %
for a second take profit.
273
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:59,160
And finally, since this third part is
more complicated to achieve, we can
274
00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:03,220
the remaining 10 % in the event the
market is very unbalanced in one
275
00:17:03,220 --> 00:17:06,300
and not many movements take place in the
opposite direction.
276
00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:10,660
As well as taking a partial profit, the
trader in this case will protect the
277
00:17:10,660 --> 00:17:12,140
position at the break -even level.
278
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:17,140
Psychologically, It is very reassuring
to know that for the rest of the
279
00:17:17,140 --> 00:17:21,599
you will no longer be able to incur any
losses and that also, whatever happens,
280
00:17:21,839 --> 00:17:25,440
you will close the position in the black
thanks to the profits that you have
281
00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:26,440
already secured.
282
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:30,620
As we can see, this is another example
highlighting how diverse the
283
00:17:30,620 --> 00:17:31,620
possibilities are.
284
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,300
You can include the break -even or not.
285
00:17:34,620 --> 00:17:36,700
Nothing is written in stone in this
regard.
286
00:17:37,020 --> 00:17:40,620
But if you are in front of a screen and
you are able to actively manage your
287
00:17:40,620 --> 00:17:43,300
trading more, I highly recommend you do
so.
288
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:48,580
This term describes the action of
relocating the stop loss level by moving
289
00:17:48,580 --> 00:17:49,900
the level of the entry price.
290
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:55,180
With this, we can protect the position
so that if the price reaches this level,
291
00:17:55,300 --> 00:17:57,780
we exit the market without losses or
gains.
292
00:17:58,460 --> 00:18:02,680
Bear in mind that in order for us to
exit the market with a net result of
293
00:18:02,900 --> 00:18:06,980
we must make sure that we factor in all
the different fees we have to pay.
294
00:18:07,360 --> 00:18:12,120
As a result, it is common practice to
take the stop loss slightly behind the
295
00:18:12,120 --> 00:18:13,120
entry level.
296
00:18:13,390 --> 00:18:18,110
The key question here is, when is the
right time to put the stop loss at break
297
00:18:18,110 --> 00:18:22,330
-even? As always, this will depend on
the trader and their strategy.
298
00:18:22,850 --> 00:18:25,450
I recommend doing it in two situations.
299
00:18:25,910 --> 00:18:31,390
One, after the first take profit is
reached, because at that point the
300
00:18:31,390 --> 00:18:34,470
will have reached a liquidity zone and
we should protect ourselves.
301
00:18:35,190 --> 00:18:39,650
Two, when a certain imbalance or event
occurs in the market that suggests a
302
00:18:39,650 --> 00:18:42,390
change in sentiment that goes against
our position.
303
00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:46,780
For this reason, it is important that
you are proactive when managing your
304
00:18:46,780 --> 00:18:47,780
position.
305
00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:53,020
This chart would be an example of the
first scenario, where we would modify
306
00:18:53,020 --> 00:18:55,860
stop loss location upon reaching the
first liquidity zone.
307
00:18:56,540 --> 00:19:00,720
And this second example corresponds to
the second scenario, where we would
308
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:04,600
modify the original stop loss when an
event appears that could change the
309
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:09,220
sentiment, such as that peak in volume
and the bearish continuation of the
310
00:19:09,220 --> 00:19:11,920
price, an example that we have already
seen before.
311
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:17,340
In this situation, the trade would lead
to a profit for the first part of the
312
00:19:17,340 --> 00:19:21,780
position and a break -even for the
second part, since the stop loss was
313
00:19:21,780 --> 00:19:25,680
triggered before the price could reach
the second take profit located at the
314
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:26,680
maximum pivot.
315
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:31,380
This type of management is very useful
since it adapts to any new information
316
00:19:31,380 --> 00:19:35,120
that is being incorporated into the
market, which we should be actively
317
00:19:35,120 --> 00:19:39,940
identifying. A double entry means
entering the market at different prices,
318
00:19:39,940 --> 00:19:40,980
different trading situations.
319
00:19:41,950 --> 00:19:46,190
And depending on how the second entry is
carried out, whether it is done at a
320
00:19:46,190 --> 00:19:50,250
better or worse price than the first
entry is known as averaging or
321
00:19:50,650 --> 00:19:54,910
With the averaging method, we divide the
entire position into different packages
322
00:19:54,910 --> 00:19:59,650
and make different entries until it is
complete, but always subject to the
323
00:19:59,650 --> 00:20:01,330
context and the strategy of the trade.
324
00:20:02,270 --> 00:20:06,310
Let's say you want to buy an asset, but
it isn't at the optimal point for you to
325
00:20:06,310 --> 00:20:10,690
enter. That even though it is in a
trading zone, it is feasible that it may
326
00:20:10,690 --> 00:20:11,690
down even further.
327
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,180
given the proportionality of its
movements or for some other reason.
328
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,840
But of course, at the same time, you are
afraid that the market will leave you
329
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:22,920
behind, that it will initiate the
movement you have forecast, and that it
330
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,240
not visit that trading zone which offers
you the best chance of entry.
331
00:20:26,700 --> 00:20:30,200
Well, one way to solve this would be to
enter at that first trading level,
332
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:34,660
assuming it offers the entry trigger
with a part of your position, and leave
333
00:20:34,660 --> 00:20:38,440
another part aside in case the scenario
in which it reaches the trading zone at
334
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,300
the lower prices finally comes to pass.
335
00:20:40,830 --> 00:20:43,690
re -entering there when it offers us a
new entry signal.
336
00:20:44,450 --> 00:20:46,410
This chart shows an example of this.
337
00:20:46,650 --> 00:20:50,770
We already know that our job is to
identify all possible trading zones that
338
00:20:50,770 --> 00:20:51,770
price could visit.
339
00:20:52,150 --> 00:20:56,350
In this example, we see that after the
bullets break out, we have two potential
340
00:20:56,350 --> 00:21:01,110
levels, that of the upthrust action and
the high that establishes the AR.
341
00:21:02,030 --> 00:21:06,070
If the market offers us an entry trigger
into the first, since we know it could
342
00:21:06,070 --> 00:21:10,280
still reach the second trading zone as
well, we could allocate 50 % of the
343
00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:11,940
position size to each of these.
344
00:21:12,220 --> 00:21:16,000
In this way, we would enter with half
the position at the first entry trigger
345
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:20,920
and with the rest only in the event that
a possible entry opens up in the second
346
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:21,920
trading zone.
347
00:21:22,140 --> 00:21:25,900
Our biggest problem would be if our
entry trigger doesn't appear in the
348
00:21:25,900 --> 00:21:30,640
trading zone and instead the price re
-enters the range again, meaning all
349
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:32,240
movement was just a false breakout.
350
00:21:32,500 --> 00:21:37,160
In that case, we should have previously
established the maximum zone or level
351
00:21:37,470 --> 00:21:39,330
where we would allow the price to re
-enter.
352
00:21:39,710 --> 00:21:43,170
At that point, we would close the
position without hesitation.
353
00:21:44,010 --> 00:21:47,510
For this, we know that we could place
the stop loss in the middle of the
354
00:21:47,510 --> 00:21:51,610
structure as the worst case scenario and
even apply the reasoning for a mental
355
00:21:51,610 --> 00:21:54,790
stop loss in the event that it re
-enters the range with force.
356
00:21:56,010 --> 00:22:00,830
If you look closely, the entry level for
both scenarios is practically the same.
357
00:22:01,070 --> 00:22:04,750
So in this case, we would not be able to
take advantage of the entry at a better
358
00:22:04,750 --> 00:22:06,630
price. This can happen.
359
00:22:07,050 --> 00:22:09,610
it will be determined by the very nature
of the market.
360
00:22:09,830 --> 00:22:14,650
At the same time, it is important to
point out that, given the proximity
361
00:22:14,650 --> 00:22:18,910
the entry level and that of the first
liquidity zone, in this case, I
362
00:22:18,910 --> 00:22:22,970
tend to take profits, but I would modify
the stop loss to place it at break
363
00:22:22,970 --> 00:22:23,970
-even.
364
00:22:24,450 --> 00:22:28,470
Pyramiding involves the opposite
approach with regard to location of the
365
00:22:28,470 --> 00:22:32,630
levels. Let's suppose that we are at the
final possible trading zone, waiting
366
00:22:32,630 --> 00:22:35,010
for the entry trigger indicated by our
trading approach.
367
00:22:35,630 --> 00:22:38,770
but for whatever reason we do not feel
as confident as we would like.
368
00:22:39,250 --> 00:22:43,250
If the signal finally appears, we could
enter the market with part of the total
369
00:22:43,250 --> 00:22:47,150
position and, unless the price goes in
our favor, not enter it again.
370
00:22:48,010 --> 00:22:51,990
To do this, we would have previously
identified the trading zones and planned
371
00:22:51,990 --> 00:22:52,990
our possible scenarios.
372
00:22:53,270 --> 00:22:57,390
For our second entry, we would wait for
the price to position itself in favor of
373
00:22:57,390 --> 00:22:59,990
a new trading zone, or one previously
identified.
374
00:23:00,530 --> 00:23:03,770
At that point, we would execute our
entry signal again.
375
00:23:04,010 --> 00:23:06,920
At that moment, we would have used the
entire position.
376
00:23:07,700 --> 00:23:10,040
This is exactly what happens in this
example.
377
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:15,000
After seeing that distribution pattern,
the initial scenario does not offer us
378
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:19,220
many guarantees, so if we see our
trigger, either we do not take the
379
00:23:19,220 --> 00:23:23,700
and wait for a more favorable situation,
or we only use part of it. This would
380
00:23:23,700 --> 00:23:24,760
be the more aggressive trade.
381
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,980
Assuming we had taken the position, the
middle level of the distribution
382
00:23:28,980 --> 00:23:32,940
structure should have been used for the
take profit for that first entry, total
383
00:23:32,940 --> 00:23:33,940
or partial.
384
00:23:34,100 --> 00:23:38,340
And then, we see how the price generates
a test on the low of the minor
385
00:23:38,340 --> 00:23:42,940
structure, which, in essence, would act
as a spring test, so any entry
386
00:23:42,940 --> 00:23:44,540
opportunity there should be taken.
387
00:23:44,860 --> 00:23:48,220
At that point, we would have already
taken the two parts of the initial
388
00:23:48,220 --> 00:23:49,220
position.
389
00:23:49,300 --> 00:23:53,280
We would have a second take -profit
opportunity for this trade at the high
390
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:54,259
this structure.
391
00:23:54,260 --> 00:23:57,700
From there, since the general context is
determined by the accumulation
392
00:23:57,700 --> 00:24:01,880
structure below, it would not be
unreasonable to set aside a third of the
393
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:06,020
position to try to take advantage of a
greater effect of the entire cause that
394
00:24:06,020 --> 00:24:07,020
has been built.
395
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,620
The main advantage of this approach is
that it reduces risk in the event the
396
00:24:11,620 --> 00:24:13,000
first trade results in a loss.
397
00:24:13,500 --> 00:24:18,360
If we enter in the last zone and the
price reaches our stop -loss level, the
398
00:24:18,360 --> 00:24:20,580
loss will not be for the entire
position.
399
00:24:20,860 --> 00:24:23,000
It will only be for that first part.
400
00:24:23,550 --> 00:24:27,410
However, the main disadvantage is that
you will obtain lower profits if the
401
00:24:27,410 --> 00:24:31,290
trade eventually turns out to be a
winner, since for the second part, you
402
00:24:31,290 --> 00:24:32,390
have entered at a worse price.
403
00:24:32,930 --> 00:24:37,430
The work dynamic in all trades will be
exactly the same. When the price reaches
404
00:24:37,430 --> 00:24:41,510
a trading zone, a liquidity zone, we
will always implement some type of
405
00:24:41,510 --> 00:24:45,770
management, either close the entire
position taking profits, taking a
406
00:24:45,770 --> 00:24:49,990
profit and protecting the rest, or at
least moving the stop loss to break even
407
00:24:49,990 --> 00:24:52,910
and protecting the position if we do not
want to take any profit.
408
00:24:53,290 --> 00:24:57,130
as we saw in one of the previous
examples, because the entry price and
409
00:24:57,130 --> 00:24:59,210
position management zone are too close.
410
00:24:59,950 --> 00:25:04,090
This is also the case when we see any
behavior that goes against our interests
411
00:25:04,090 --> 00:25:06,210
that suggests that the market could
turn.
412
00:25:06,750 --> 00:25:11,630
At that point, you may or may not want
to take profit, but at the very least,
413
00:25:11,690 --> 00:25:12,990
you should protect the position.
414
00:25:13,470 --> 00:25:18,550
The key, as I already say, is to
maintain a defensive attitude, always
415
00:25:18,550 --> 00:25:20,890
prioritizing the preservation of
capital.
40101
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