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Take profit.
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In this part of the course, we will look
at the different options we have for
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taking profits.
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Based on the price action and volume, we
are going to work with four possible
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take profit options, which will depend
on whether or not we have previous
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references. By this, I simply mean
looking at whether there are any past
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not too far to the left of the chart
that we can use as a reference.
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If we do see historical data that we can
use as a reference, we will use it to
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establish two possible take profits.
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First, the liquidity zones, which we
have looked at so many times during this
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course. And second, if we find ourselves
in a trend context, we will use
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previous structures that have been
developed to place our take profits
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On the other hand, if we do not have any
previous prices to refer to, as is
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often the case when we are at record
highs or lows, we will use behaviors
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can alert us to the end of the movement,
such as evidence of climatic action and
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the development of structures.
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Let's take a look at each of these.
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We're going to start with liquidity
zones.
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There's nothing new to discover here.
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We presented the concept at the
beginning of the course and it has
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us throughout.
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These are areas of price reversals, of
previous highs and lows.
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We know that in these zones there are
always a large number of orders waiting
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be executed and that is why they are
very interesting areas in which to wait
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the price to arrive.
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The greater the pivot, the greater the
strength of the zone.
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since you can expect more liquidity at
their edges.
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We can find them both within a structure
and in the middle of a trend.
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Here is a real example.
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Broadly speaking, these are the
liquidity areas of the chart.
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We have simply marked pretty much all
the pivots.
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Depending on the context and the
prevailing roadmap, we will use certain
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liquidity zones as zones in which to
look for an entry, and the opposite ones
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zones in which to look for our exit.
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But the principle is the same.
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Based on the concept of liquidity zones,
we are going to use them to do some
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type of position management at those
points, either entering or exiting the
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market. For example, in the first part
of the chart, the context is bearish, so
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ideally we should be looking to enter
the market short.
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For this, we know we need to hold out
for the creation of pivots and the
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subsequent false breakouts on them, and
search for the trigger for sale there.
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Of the identified areas, the only ones
that would have offered our entry
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are these three.
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At entry number one, we would establish
two exits.
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Exit number one, which is in the first
liquidity zone that the price finds
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entry, and exit number two, that is the
next area which the price reaches after
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we have taken our first profit.
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At that point, we would already be out
of the market.
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In terms of entry number two, we see
that it breaks through the previous high
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and the entry trigger is activated.
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The first liquidity zone, the price
comes across.
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Exit number 3 doesn't seem to be very
significant, but profit should still be
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taken there as it is technically a
pivot.
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Meanwhile, if we have divided the
position into two parts, the second part
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the profit should be taken at exit
number 4, since it is the next liquidity
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that the market hits.
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The dynamic will always be the same.
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a liquidity zone for entering the
market, and another liquidity zone for
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it. The case of entry number 2 is a
little bit different.
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Let's look at it in more detail because
this is an important concept.
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If you look closely at the moment the
entry trigger is activated, the two
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liquidity zones that can be identified
are number 3 and number 5.
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That is where our take profit order
should be located.
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And the following happens, that the
market falls.
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reaches our first take profit zone and
generates a new zone before reaching the
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liquidity zone that we had initially
identified, number 5, and here things
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change. We need to bear in mind that the
market is constantly changing and that
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it will continue to generate new price
reversals which will establish new
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00:04:04,250 --> 00:04:05,250
liquidity areas.
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00:04:05,390 --> 00:04:08,790
So our targets need to be adapted to
this new market information.
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In other words, say we had originally
established a take profit level in a
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distant liquidity zone.
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but while developing a movement the
price generates a new closer liquidity
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00:04:19,510 --> 00:04:25,050
we should also now take this one into
account for our position management and
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this is exactly what has happened here
so the second exit for entry number two
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is exit number four and not five because
exit four has been generated during the
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course of the trade and has led us to
modify our position management lastly
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regarding entry number three This one
does make use of the liquidity zone that
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we have labeled as exit number 5,
although if you look closely there is
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another pivot prior to it, but I have
ignored it because it doesn't travel any
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considerable distance.
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And in the event you had split the
trade, the second part should have been
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released in exit number 6.
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As you can see, there is no pivot there.
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This type of exit has been taken due to
the appearance of climatic action,
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another type of exit that we will look
at later.
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Looking at the second part of the chart,
as the price begins to move sideways,
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our bias should continue to be toward
going short since the imbalance is
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bearish. With that in mind, we could
have taken entry number 1, which would
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close out taking some of the profit in
the liquidity zone labeled exit number
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If we had next set the stop at
breakeven, as I recommend doing after
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initial partial profit, we would have
missed the stop due to the subsequent
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bullish rebound.
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From there, we see how the price visits
the lower part of the small structure
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and generates a strong false breakout,
which would establish entry number 2.
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Entering here would allow the price to
travel some distance, since the first
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take profit would be in the liquidity
zone labeled exit number 1, and the
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would be above the break of a pivot
generated during the development of the
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operation.
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This is the management dynamic with
respect to taking profits in liquidity
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created by the generation of pivots.
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Although it can be used in any
timeframe, this management is especially
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for short -term operations where rapid
fluctuations can generate sudden
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reversals that could take us out of the
market.
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This exit strategy is ideal for scalping
or day trading.
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Meanwhile, the type of management
described here, using previous
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focuses on the search for broader
movements, which is why it is especially
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useful in medium and long -term trading.
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Position management using previous
structures is based on auction theory as
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key tool for setting objectives.
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After an imbalance, the market will seek
to find traders with the opposite bias
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who are willing to trade again.
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This is why the price will move to those
areas where there was previously a high
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volume of trading, since the same thing
is expected to happen again.
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We can do this by identifying old
equilibrium zones.
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which are nothing more than previous
accumulation or distribution structures.
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00:07:04,940 --> 00:07:08,940
It is very important to stress once
again the short -term mentality of the
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market. The most recent trading zones
generated by the market will be more
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significant in terms of attracting the
price attraction than the older zones.
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Imagine that we are at this point on the
chart, assessing whether the price is
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developing a distribution pattern. If
confirmed, what would be a good target
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look for? At this moment in time, the
most recent structure is just below so
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establishing the take profit in that
structure would be the best
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as we can see the market went looking
for it and a new sideways movement began
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this is an ideal example to illustrate
the concept that past structures create
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certain magnetic attraction for the
price as a result of the oxen theory
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have already looked at
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There is an implicit agreement at the
aggregate level that if a structure
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represented the equilibrium and fair
price of the market at some past moment,
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will most likely recreate this at a
future moment.
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Obviously, this only applies when not
too much time has elapsed or the
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underlying situation could change.
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A common issue regarding this type of
management relates to where exactly the
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take profit level should be set.
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Because the structure has a more or less
wide range, but the take profit must be
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established at a specific price level.
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To do this, we can simply assume that
the middle of the range represents the
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maximum equilibrium, and therefore it
could be the price level that we were
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looking for.
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It is simple logic.
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If the structure represents an
equilibrium zone, the point of greatest
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equilibrium would in principle be its
middle section.
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Here, we see the market is in the middle
of developing a new structure.
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So what previous equilibrium zone should
we take into account when the imbalance
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begins, assuming we have been able to
enter the market?
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In this case, we now have structures
above and below.
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So if this turns out to be an
accumulation and the price shoots up, we
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establish the take profit in the
distribution structure.
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On the other hand, if a redistribution
pattern is confirmed, we should set the
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initial target at the level of the small
sideways movement below.
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What finally happens is that a
redistribution is confirmed and the
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continues with the bearish trend
movement.
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And indeed, we see that it manages to
reach the last structure, where again
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appearance of the buyers can be seen.
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What a coincidence that the bearish
movement stopped right there, right?
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00:09:28,970 --> 00:09:31,930
Well, no, it doesn't seem to be the
result of pure chance.
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The market has developed a bearish
movement with a lot of momentum, and
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momentum is partly due to the fact that
the buyers have withdrawn from the
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market. And as we explained before, if
one of the forces denotes a lack of
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interest, this facilitates the movement
in the opposite direction, which is
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exactly what happens there.
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00:09:51,020 --> 00:09:55,540
And at what point have buyers reappeared
again? Well, in an old zone where there
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was previously interest on the part of
buyers.
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So what should we expect from now on?
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Well, at the present time, we don't have
any more references below.
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So, if a new redistribution is
confirmed, we should apply one of the
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that we will look at later on.
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00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:15,380
But if the price generates an
accumulation pattern in that zone, the
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level further up can be clearly found in
the old redistribution structure.
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And finally, the market confirmed the
accumulation and the balance tipped to
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upside with the price reaching almost to
the tick the halfway point of the
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previous redistribution that we could
have used as a target.
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This will always be the work dynamic
with respect to taking profits using
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previous structures.
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Keep in mind that this chart could be of
a longer period than your trading
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period.
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Sometimes, it is very useful to go up a
time frame and see the general context
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and to be able to identify these types
of previous structures.
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00:10:51,300 --> 00:10:56,040
For example, if you trade on minute
charts, trying to identify these
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on the hourly chart could be helpful.
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If you trade on the hourly chart, Moving
up to the daily might allow you to
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better identify this context.
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00:11:04,500 --> 00:11:09,420
And finally, we reach the present
moment, waiting for that small pause in
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00:11:09,420 --> 00:11:12,500
market to determine whether the price
moves up or down.
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00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:17,500
Our job is to have previously identified
the targets that we have above and
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00:11:17,500 --> 00:11:18,500
below the current price.
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00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:23,260
At this point, we already know that
since the price is coming from an
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00:11:23,260 --> 00:11:27,120
accumulation structure, we should expect
the development of some type of
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00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:31,530
reaccumulation. either a simple
consolidation through a minor structure
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through the development of a slow
structure. And if this behavior is
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00:11:35,610 --> 00:11:38,930
the upper level target should be set at
the highest distribution.
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00:11:39,650 --> 00:11:44,410
If on the contrary, there is a reaction
from the sellers at that point, which is
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00:11:44,410 --> 00:11:48,910
feasible since the price is currently in
a previous equilibrium zone, the target
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00:11:48,910 --> 00:11:52,310
that it could easily go for would be the
previous accumulation pattern.
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00:11:52,810 --> 00:11:56,650
Although it is true that it could
encounter a certain reaction in the
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00:11:56,650 --> 00:12:01,670
test after the bullish breakout since,
as we can see, it also generated a small
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00:12:01,670 --> 00:12:05,870
reversal. We will now look at the two
behaviors that we could use to take
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00:12:05,870 --> 00:12:10,290
profits if we find ourselves in a trend
context in which we don't have any
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00:12:10,290 --> 00:12:13,070
reference levels to the left on which to
base our management.
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00:12:13,930 --> 00:12:16,050
We will start with the appearance of a
climax.
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00:12:16,910 --> 00:12:21,050
Regardless of how the candlestick is
represented, whether it is wide or
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00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:26,080
Here the key lies in the volume, which
is excessively high, and tells us that
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00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:28,460
there are a lot of large traders in the
market.
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00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:35,020
If the market is at a price ceiling or
floor and a huge volume appears, we need
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00:12:35,020 --> 00:12:38,540
to be alert because this increases the
chances of a sharp reversal.
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00:12:39,180 --> 00:12:43,560
We already know that market reversals
usually require some construction of the
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00:12:43,560 --> 00:12:48,300
cause, even if it involves a fast
structure at least, but this will not
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00:12:48,300 --> 00:12:49,300
be the case.
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00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:53,200
sometimes the market manages to turn
sharply in a V -shaped reversal.
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00:12:53,700 --> 00:12:57,640
We can use this type of exit to avoid
this particular type of behavior.
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00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:02,320
Because a potential climax pattern could
reverse the entire previous trend
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00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:06,420
movement, this is reason enough to
perform some kind of active position
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00:13:06,420 --> 00:13:11,400
management. Here, we have a very genuine
example of this climax event.
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00:13:12,300 --> 00:13:16,520
If we have taken up a short position,
are in the middle of a bearish movement,
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00:13:16,940 --> 00:13:21,200
and we see the appearance of this kind
of volume, the most sensible thing would
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00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:25,860
be to automatically close the position
because, as I say, the probability of a
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00:13:25,860 --> 00:13:28,180
sharp reversal being generated is high.
218
00:13:28,860 --> 00:13:33,080
Remember, we have previously explained
how all market reversals go through a
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00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:37,340
three -step process, which is generally
observed through fast or slow patterns.
220
00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:42,660
In this case, we have the entire process
compressed into two candlesticks, the
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00:13:42,660 --> 00:13:46,660
bearish one, which represents the
exhaustion of sellers and the absorption
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00:13:46,660 --> 00:13:51,120
sales, and the next bullish candlestick
showing bullish intent that represents
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00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:52,680
the initiative of the buyers.
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00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:58,240
After the appearance of a climax event,
the market, on some occasions, may not
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turn precisely in that same candlestick,
but it should still be taken into
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account. This is especially the case if,
after a few candlesticks, the market
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starts to reverse, as happens in this
example.
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Often, This event will simply be a
buying climax that will later generate a
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sideways movement, which will allow us,
if we are still in the market, to exit
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in a more advanced position on the
development of that structure. We will
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this in the next point.
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However, on many other occasions, the
momentum will be so strong that it will
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either turn the entire market around in
one or two candlesticks, as we saw in
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the previous example, or it will not
leave us with a clear later exit, as in
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this example.
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which could result in losing a certain
percentage of profits in the trade.
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For this reason, one type of management
we should consider when we find
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ourselves at the edges of the range is
to wait to see the appearance of ultra
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-high volume.
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Here we have another example of a climax
event, but as you can see, it is not a
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candlestick with a wide range and a
closing price at the highs, as a buying
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climax is theoretically supposed to be
represented.
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This is another type of behavior that
the VSA methodology labels the end of a
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rising market, or the end of the
uptrend, and the differentiating element
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that the range of the candlestick is not
excessively wide, it is quite narrow,
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but it still generates climatic volume.
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On this occasion, the market did develop
a subsequent distribution structure
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before falling.
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However, there is no doubt that using
this particular action to exit a long
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position would have been a wise move.
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Finally, the second position management
strategy for use in a trend context in
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which we have no reference level to the
left would be to wait for the
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development of a complete structure.
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Within this type of management, we are
going to differentiate two subtypes
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depending on the degree of development
of the structure, whether we are in a
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Phase A or in a potential Phase C.
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It is important to note that the new
structure should develop in the same
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frame in which we identified the
previous structure, which gave us our
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point. It would also be interesting to
assess other elements to make a better
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00:16:16,380 --> 00:16:20,760
decision, such as analyzing how far the
trend has traveled to see if it may
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00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,940
already be in an overextended and
exhausted position.
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The more trend movement there is, the
more likely the future structure is to
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00:16:29,340 --> 00:16:31,300
a reversal rather than a continuation.
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00:16:32,290 --> 00:16:37,110
Continuing with the previous example, if
you have decided not to carry out any
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00:16:37,110 --> 00:16:41,310
type of management after the appearance
of the climax, perhaps you could
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00:16:41,310 --> 00:16:46,430
consider doing so after the confirmation
of Phase A, which stops the previous
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00:16:46,430 --> 00:16:47,430
trend.
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00:16:47,610 --> 00:16:51,610
After the development of Phase A, we
know that the market will probably move
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from a trend to a sideways environment,
and that in this sideways market the
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00:16:55,990 --> 00:16:58,250
cause of the subsequent movement will be
constructed.
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00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:04,060
This subsequent trend may start again in
the same direction, but we cannot know
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00:17:04,060 --> 00:17:05,060
this at that time.
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00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:09,640
For this reason, at that point the most
sensible thing to do would be to carry
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00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:10,980
out some type of management.
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00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:15,359
But if you still don't intend to do so
after confirmation of the change of
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00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:19,619
character, the appearance of the
potential Phase C test event, which in
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00:17:19,619 --> 00:17:24,460
example is a possible upthrust, should
be the definitive signal to abandon the
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00:17:24,460 --> 00:17:25,460
position entirely.
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00:17:26,250 --> 00:17:30,290
After seeing this, it makes no sense to
hold on to the position any longer.
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00:17:30,850 --> 00:17:34,350
Could the market reverse later and end
up as a reaccumulation?
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00:17:34,650 --> 00:17:36,410
Yes, of course, anything is possible.
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00:17:36,650 --> 00:17:40,450
But at that point, we already have two
major signals that indicate underlying
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00:17:40,450 --> 00:17:43,850
weakness, climatic action and the
potential upthrust.
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00:17:44,550 --> 00:17:48,950
We know which context and roadmap would
be triggered, so it doesn't make any
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00:17:48,950 --> 00:17:50,950
sense to hold a position in the opposite
direction.
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00:17:51,510 --> 00:17:54,630
There is no point losing a percentage of
the amount traded.
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00:17:55,050 --> 00:17:58,330
in the simple hope that the price might
continue in the direction of the
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00:17:58,330 --> 00:17:59,330
previous trend.
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00:18:00,470 --> 00:18:04,910
If there really are interests in pushing
it back in the direction, we can look
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00:18:04,910 --> 00:18:08,730
always for a new trading opportunity
during the subsequent development of
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00:18:08,730 --> 00:18:09,669
new structure.
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00:18:09,670 --> 00:18:11,470
That is the mindset we need.
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00:18:12,030 --> 00:18:16,030
As I have said before, protecting
capital is more important than adding
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00:18:16,030 --> 00:18:20,910
profit. And once you are very clear
about this, you won't hesitate to adopt
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00:18:20,910 --> 00:18:22,170
most conservative strategy.
28530
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