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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,170 --> 00:00:02,130 Which trading level should you prioritize? 2 00:00:02,810 --> 00:00:06,630 Having addressed in which zones we should observe the market to find our 3 00:00:06,790 --> 00:00:10,670 we may sometimes see that there is more than one trading level in which to look 4 00:00:10,670 --> 00:00:11,990 for the definitive entry trigger. 5 00:00:12,650 --> 00:00:16,390 To apply this concept, we are going to follow the same principle that we have 6 00:00:16,390 --> 00:00:20,550 been using up to now, which is to let the market confirm which one it should 7 00:00:21,190 --> 00:00:24,930 We will suggest scenarios and it will be the market that confirms the right one. 8 00:00:25,270 --> 00:00:30,010 If we summarize all the possible trading opportunities, The only two levels that 9 00:00:30,010 --> 00:00:32,990 we need to consider arise from only two different situations. 10 00:00:33,530 --> 00:00:37,650 On the one hand, we have the trading levels that are established by the edges 11 00:00:37,650 --> 00:00:42,090 the structure, which are where we will subsequently hope to see the Phase B and 12 00:00:42,090 --> 00:00:46,430 C false breakouts develop, as well as the test after the breakout of the 13 00:00:46,430 --> 00:00:50,070 structure. And on the other hand, we have the trading levels that are 14 00:00:50,070 --> 00:00:54,010 established by the generation of pivots, where we are going to look for all the 15 00:00:54,010 --> 00:00:57,510 false breakouts, be they within the range or outside. 16 00:00:58,090 --> 00:00:59,310 in the direction of the trend. 17 00:00:59,850 --> 00:01:04,250 Because in the vast majority of cases structures are quite erratic, 18 00:01:04,250 --> 00:01:08,390 trading levels that can be complicated or subjective, especially when it comes 19 00:01:08,390 --> 00:01:11,750 to identifying the edges of the structure where we are looking for that 20 00:01:11,750 --> 00:01:15,550 and retest movement that confirms the accumulation of distribution patterns. 21 00:01:16,290 --> 00:01:21,010 The key idea here is that there is no level that is better or more important 22 00:01:21,010 --> 00:01:25,070 than another, that we must take into account all the trading levels that 23 00:01:25,580 --> 00:01:28,980 and that it must be the market that confirms which one it will follow. 24 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:33,780 This puts us in a very comfortable position of not having to guess which 25 00:01:33,780 --> 00:01:34,458 to use. 26 00:01:34,460 --> 00:01:39,000 We simply need to identify all the trading levels to forecast the scenario 27 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:40,000 let the market decide. 28 00:01:40,820 --> 00:01:45,460 In this example, we see that two trading levels have been generated at the upper 29 00:01:45,460 --> 00:01:49,760 end of the structure, the first which is set by the automatic rally, and the 30 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,300 second established by that up thrust action. 31 00:01:53,070 --> 00:01:57,110 When the breakout finally occurs, we don't know which one the market will use 32 00:01:57,110 --> 00:02:01,310 leverage and to create the imbalance out of rain, and that's why we need to take 33 00:02:01,310 --> 00:02:02,310 both into account. 34 00:02:02,750 --> 00:02:07,070 In this case, it supports itself on the resistance generated in the AR, 35 00:02:07,310 --> 00:02:12,410 developing a good bullet reversal pattern there, confirming the BUEC and 36 00:02:12,410 --> 00:02:14,110 offering up an opportunity to buy. 37 00:02:15,150 --> 00:02:19,270 Subsequently, the market made some use of the trading level created by the 38 00:02:19,270 --> 00:02:20,430 upthrust type action. 39 00:02:20,830 --> 00:02:24,630 developing a minor false breakout on it before continuing the trend movement. 40 00:02:25,270 --> 00:02:29,950 This situation sets up a high -quality opportunity as we have a confluence of 41 00:02:29,950 --> 00:02:35,010 levels. First, the old resistance of the AR that would now act as the support, 42 00:02:35,230 --> 00:02:39,650 and in addition, the generation of a pivot that has allowed a false breakout 43 00:02:39,650 --> 00:02:44,350 the lows, also a good bullish SOS bar candlestick that would act as the 44 00:02:44,350 --> 00:02:45,430 definitive entry trigger. 45 00:02:45,830 --> 00:02:49,560 Since the subject has come up, Let me explain why I haven't used the broken 46 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:53,300 support and resistance levels as trading levels when we're in favor of the 47 00:02:53,300 --> 00:02:57,320 trend, although we do use it when we find ourselves in a potential break and 48 00:02:57,320 --> 00:02:58,320 retest situation. 49 00:02:59,100 --> 00:03:02,860 As we know, those levels are useful because they identify turning points, 50 00:03:03,020 --> 00:03:05,340 imbalances between supply and demand. 51 00:03:05,860 --> 00:03:09,880 They are areas where there has been a price reversal and, based on the 52 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:13,980 principles of technical analysis, we would expect it to act in the same way 53 00:03:13,980 --> 00:03:16,680 the future, in other words, by generating another imbalance. 54 00:03:17,640 --> 00:03:21,900 One of the drawbacks of this concept is that the trend will be determined by the 55 00:03:21,900 --> 00:03:22,900 momentum it carries. 56 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:28,140 This means that which on some occasions it will behave normally, but on others 57 00:03:28,140 --> 00:03:32,380 it will be fast and the correction will never reach the previous edge or it will 58 00:03:32,380 --> 00:03:35,380 be slow and the corrections will exceed the previous edge. 59 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:40,480 This leads to a certain ambiguity in its application, which translates into 60 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:41,600 uncertainty when trading. 61 00:03:42,190 --> 00:03:46,030 But the main problem that I have identified with experience is that the 62 00:03:46,030 --> 00:03:50,290 can move very erratically at times, and it's really very difficult to find this 63 00:03:50,290 --> 00:03:54,330 kind of genuine behavior in which the price respects the old broken resistance 64 00:03:54,330 --> 00:03:58,570 and uses it as a support, allowing us to look for the entry trigger. 65 00:03:59,010 --> 00:04:01,810 It is very difficult to see these kinds of examples. 66 00:04:02,670 --> 00:04:06,910 My point of view is that this tool is more useful for assessing the market 67 00:04:06,910 --> 00:04:09,730 sentiment to see if it is gaining or losing momentum. 68 00:04:10,330 --> 00:04:15,490 as an added input to evaluate the anatomy of the trend, but that's it. 69 00:04:15,490 --> 00:04:17,350 useful to assess potential opportunities. 70 00:04:18,050 --> 00:04:22,550 Going back to how we should prioritize trading levels, here we have another 71 00:04:22,550 --> 00:04:27,610 example. In this case, we can identify up to four potential trading levels that 72 00:04:27,610 --> 00:04:28,770 we should take into account. 73 00:04:29,350 --> 00:04:34,950 But if you look closely, numbers 1 and 2 are too close together, as are 3 and 4. 74 00:04:35,420 --> 00:04:38,760 Well, in this case, I would simply take for granted that the distance between 75 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:40,120 these levels is very short. 76 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:44,820 It is always important to apply logic and common sense so as not to force the 77 00:04:44,820 --> 00:04:45,920 analysis too much. 78 00:04:46,220 --> 00:04:50,780 It is not necessary to calibrate everything exactly to the millimeter, 79 00:04:50,780 --> 00:04:53,640 the market is not like that. The market is flexible. 80 00:04:53,940 --> 00:04:59,080 By this, I mean that level 1 and 2 can be taken to represent the same thing, 81 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:01,540 that 3 and 4 can also be considered as 1. 82 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:05,160 there is not a significant enough difference to treat them completely 83 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:09,500 independently. We could even accept that the whole distance between the levels 84 00:05:09,500 --> 00:05:10,500 as a single zone. 85 00:05:11,140 --> 00:05:16,240 This wouldn't be a bad idea at all. In the end, in such short distances, going 86 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,020 little higher or lower does not substantially change anything. 87 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:24,100 In essence, the strength of the concept is represented by that zone, on which 88 00:05:24,100 --> 00:05:27,700 the market has rotated multiple times when interacting with it previously. 89 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:32,480 And that is why we hope that somewhere in the space covered by those levels, 90 00:05:32,580 --> 00:05:34,420 that reversal will appear once more. 91 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:39,420 Other than that, we see two other potentially high -quality trades 92 00:05:39,420 --> 00:05:42,200 the confluence of trading zone plus false breakout event. 93 00:05:42,620 --> 00:05:47,220 In this other example, the market again visits the low and initially develops a 94 00:05:47,220 --> 00:05:51,260 good reversal of candlesticks that we could and should have used as an entry 95 00:05:51,260 --> 00:05:52,260 trigger. 96 00:05:52,420 --> 00:05:56,920 Subsequently, the market returns to the same area and develops a small shakeout 97 00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,360 at that low before starting the actual imbalance outside the range. 98 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:05,620 One important aspect to consider is that it is not very common after a breakout 99 00:06:05,620 --> 00:06:09,520 for markets to develop a perfect test at the level of the broken structure 100 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,160 before starting a trend movement from that point. 101 00:06:12,500 --> 00:06:17,880 On many occasions, the price moves sideways, outside the range, for a while 102 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:22,320 before continuing, and on some occasions, the price develops further 103 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,500 breakouts at some previous pivot point, as in the example. 104 00:06:26,260 --> 00:06:30,780 This is why, if the price initially appears to be developing a perfect 105 00:06:30,780 --> 00:06:36,360 test, as is the case in this example, and if the entry trigger appears, then 106 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:40,680 simply must enter the market, though we need to be aware that the imbalance may 107 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:44,860 not be generated immediately and the market is likely to build some 108 00:06:44,860 --> 00:06:46,700 before starting a trend movement. 109 00:06:47,370 --> 00:06:51,030 We'll get into this in more depth when we talk about position management. 110 00:06:52,310 --> 00:06:56,510 The only thing that we must be clear about in this potential break and retest 111 00:06:56,510 --> 00:07:00,890 scenario is that we are not going to enter with limit orders. And since we 112 00:07:00,890 --> 00:07:04,730 want to enter the market early under any circumstances, we will wait for the 113 00:07:04,730 --> 00:07:07,790 trigger to appear on the level of imbalance that the market chooses. 114 00:07:08,470 --> 00:07:12,130 Our task as analysts is to consider all possible scenarios. 115 00:07:12,450 --> 00:07:13,450 After that... 116 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,840 Our task as traders is to act once the entry trigger appears. 117 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:21,260 When it comes to the creation of pivots on which to look for the false breakout, 118 00:07:21,500 --> 00:07:25,900 objective logic suggests that the more candlesticks that have been used to 119 00:07:25,900 --> 00:07:28,340 generate said pivot, the greater the strength. 120 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:33,040 However, I personally recommend having all of them identified, since all pivots 121 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:37,320 create liquidity zones, zones of potential imbalance between buyers and 122 00:07:37,460 --> 00:07:40,420 and therefore they can all provide us with trading opportunities. 123 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:45,300 Ultimately, it will be the price that confirms which level is more important 124 00:07:45,300 --> 00:07:46,620 that particular market situation. 125 00:07:47,400 --> 00:07:49,240 We must not get ahead of ourselves. 126 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:54,200 Our interpretation of the market is reactive and herein lies the importance 127 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,800 the appearance of our entry trigger as the last indicator of the intention of 128 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,000 the major players to move in that direction. 129 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:04,540 We simply have to analyze the action of the market at those levels that we have 130 00:08:04,540 --> 00:08:07,240 identified and look for the entry trigger on them. 131 00:08:07,690 --> 00:08:11,270 the price could reach our first trading level and not develop the trigger, 132 00:08:11,470 --> 00:08:15,690 visiting instead the second trading level lower down, where it might or 133 00:08:15,690 --> 00:08:16,810 not develop the trigger. 134 00:08:17,390 --> 00:08:21,630 In this example, many of the pivots I have marked were left unvisited. 135 00:08:21,870 --> 00:08:27,470 But that doesn't matter. Our task is to ensure we have them all identified if we 136 00:08:27,470 --> 00:08:28,470 are looking for an entry. 137 00:08:29,190 --> 00:08:34,049 Many of them did not offer us an entry trigger. Others did, but the trade would 138 00:08:34,049 --> 00:08:35,110 have resulted in a loss. 139 00:08:35,669 --> 00:08:37,750 while some others would have resulted in profits. 140 00:08:38,230 --> 00:08:39,950 This is the nature of the business. 141 00:08:40,730 --> 00:08:45,210 Opportunities don't always appear, and when they do, some will be winners and 142 00:08:45,210 --> 00:08:46,210 others losers. 143 00:08:46,690 --> 00:08:51,570 And here we have another example, this time showing the search for pivots at 144 00:08:51,570 --> 00:08:54,950 highs on which to wait for a bullet -false breakout or upthrust. 145 00:08:55,490 --> 00:08:59,470 Again, there will always be some pivots that offer no entry opportunity since, 146 00:08:59,630 --> 00:09:03,490 once the price is there, it does not develop the entry trigger, and others 147 00:09:03,490 --> 00:09:07,600 that... also depending on the type of management, can result in a break -even, 148 00:09:07,700 --> 00:09:08,840 loss, or profit. 149 00:09:09,700 --> 00:09:13,400 An important point to remember is that we may not always be able to make a 150 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:18,260 profit from a trade because we have placed the stop loss too close or 151 00:09:18,260 --> 00:09:22,260 have not identified the entry trigger, but with the context and the roadmap 152 00:09:22,260 --> 00:09:26,180 we have already assimilated, it would be very difficult for us to be positioned 153 00:09:26,180 --> 00:09:27,600 on the wrong side of the market. 154 00:09:28,180 --> 00:09:32,100 With everything we've seen over the course, we shouldn't be looking to buy 155 00:09:32,100 --> 00:09:33,620 bearish context like this. 156 00:09:33,980 --> 00:09:38,480 so we shouldn't be focused on looking for bearish pivots on which to expect a 157 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:39,480 potential spring. 158 00:09:39,900 --> 00:09:43,880 Knowing how to identify the correct side of the market is something that gives 159 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,080 us a major edge over the standard trader. 160 00:09:47,020 --> 00:09:51,000 I'm going to refer back to pivots since these are an essential element in our 161 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:52,000 trading approach. 162 00:09:52,180 --> 00:09:55,960 As we have seen in the previous examples, there are trading levels that 163 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:59,640 not have been taken into account depending on the configuration that we 164 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:00,640 generate the pivots. 165 00:10:01,230 --> 00:10:04,690 Remember that the traditional configuration recommends that we use two 166 00:10:04,690 --> 00:10:06,910 candlesticks on the left and right of the edge. 167 00:10:07,250 --> 00:10:10,030 But this, like everything, is not universal. 168 00:10:10,670 --> 00:10:15,090 As analysts, we have the ability to decide which configuration offers us the 169 00:10:15,090 --> 00:10:16,310 greatest confidence when trading. 170 00:10:16,730 --> 00:10:21,230 You may decide that instead of two, you will use three or four candlesticks to 171 00:10:21,230 --> 00:10:24,010 the left and right, and this is perfectly valid. 172 00:10:24,510 --> 00:10:28,610 The greater the number of candlesticks with which you configure your pivot, the 173 00:10:28,610 --> 00:10:32,010 greater strength they will have since you can expect more liquidity at their 174 00:10:32,010 --> 00:10:36,630 edges. The drawback is that configuration is less likely to appear 175 00:10:36,630 --> 00:10:39,290 and you will therefore have fewer opportunities for trading. 176 00:10:39,950 --> 00:10:43,630 You might find it interesting to use one type of configuration or another, 177 00:10:43,790 --> 00:10:45,970 depending on the time frame you are using. 178 00:10:46,390 --> 00:10:50,170 In very short time frames, the number of pivots that will be created if you 179 00:10:50,170 --> 00:10:54,010 configure them with two candlesticks to the left and right will be very high. 180 00:10:54,490 --> 00:10:57,630 This might be a good context in which to increase the number. 181 00:10:58,110 --> 00:11:01,890 Since each market is a world of its own, I recommend that you analyze the 182 00:11:01,890 --> 00:11:05,090 history of the market to find out what configuration has worked well in the 183 00:11:05,090 --> 00:11:09,310 past. You can do this in different ways depending on how dedicated you are, 184 00:11:09,410 --> 00:11:13,330 visually, through a manual analysis, or even using an automatic tool. 185 00:11:14,610 --> 00:11:18,090 Conversely, if we use a large number of candlesticks in our configuration of 186 00:11:18,090 --> 00:11:21,990 pivots for higher timeframes, we may never find an opportunity to trade. 187 00:11:22,370 --> 00:11:25,210 The recommendation here is that you lower that figure. 188 00:11:25,630 --> 00:11:30,190 In this context, on daily or weekly charts, a traditional configuration 189 00:11:30,190 --> 00:11:32,890 two or three pivots is usually a wise choice. 18383

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