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Which trading level should you prioritize?
Having addressed in which zones we should observe the market to find our
we may sometimes see that there is more than one trading level in which to look
for the definitive entry trigger.
To apply this concept, we are going to follow the same principle that we have
been using up to now, which is to let the market confirm which one it should
We will suggest scenarios and it will be the market that confirms the right one.
If we summarize all the possible trading opportunities, The only two levels that
we need to consider arise from only two different situations.
On the one hand, we have the trading levels that are established by the edges
the structure, which are where we will subsequently hope to see the Phase B and
C false breakouts develop, as well as the test after the breakout of the
structure. And on the other hand, we have the trading levels that are
established by the generation of pivots, where we are going to look for all the
false breakouts, be they within the range or outside.
in the direction of the trend.
Because in the vast majority of cases structures are quite erratic,
trading levels that can be complicated or subjective, especially when it comes
to identifying the edges of the structure where we are looking for that
and retest movement that confirms the accumulation of distribution patterns.
The key idea here is that there is no level that is better or more important
than another, that we must take into account all the trading levels that
and that it must be the market that confirms which one it will follow.
This puts us in a very comfortable position of not having to guess which
to use.
We simply need to identify all the trading levels to forecast the scenario
let the market decide.
In this example, we see that two trading levels have been generated at the upper
end of the structure, the first which is set by the automatic rally, and the
second established by that up thrust action.
When the breakout finally occurs, we don't know which one the market will use
leverage and to create the imbalance out of rain, and that's why we need to take
both into account.
In this case, it supports itself on the resistance generated in the AR,
developing a good bullet reversal pattern there, confirming the BUEC and
offering up an opportunity to buy.
Subsequently, the market made some use of the trading level created by the
upthrust type action.
developing a minor false breakout on it before continuing the trend movement.
This situation sets up a high -quality opportunity as we have a confluence of
levels. First, the old resistance of the AR that would now act as the support,
and in addition, the generation of a pivot that has allowed a false breakout
the lows, also a good bullish SOS bar candlestick that would act as the
definitive entry trigger.
Since the subject has come up, Let me explain why I haven't used the broken
support and resistance levels as trading levels when we're in favor of the
trend, although we do use it when we find ourselves in a potential break and
retest situation.
As we know, those levels are useful because they identify turning points,
imbalances between supply and demand.
They are areas where there has been a price reversal and, based on the
principles of technical analysis, we would expect it to act in the same way
the future, in other words, by generating another imbalance.
One of the drawbacks of this concept is that the trend will be determined by the
momentum it carries.
This means that which on some occasions it will behave normally, but on others
it will be fast and the correction will never reach the previous edge or it will
be slow and the corrections will exceed the previous edge.
This leads to a certain ambiguity in its application, which translates into
uncertainty when trading.
But the main problem that I have identified with experience is that the
can move very erratically at times, and it's really very difficult to find this
kind of genuine behavior in which the price respects the old broken resistance
and uses it as a support, allowing us to look for the entry trigger.
It is very difficult to see these kinds of examples.
My point of view is that this tool is more useful for assessing the market
sentiment to see if it is gaining or losing momentum.
as an added input to evaluate the anatomy of the trend, but that's it.
useful to assess potential opportunities.
Going back to how we should prioritize trading levels, here we have another
example. In this case, we can identify up to four potential trading levels that
we should take into account.
But if you look closely, numbers 1 and 2 are too close together, as are 3 and 4.
Well, in this case, I would simply take for granted that the distance between
these levels is very short.
It is always important to apply logic and common sense so as not to force the
analysis too much.
It is not necessary to calibrate everything exactly to the millimeter,
the market is not like that. The market is flexible.
By this, I mean that level 1 and 2 can be taken to represent the same thing,
that 3 and 4 can also be considered as 1.
there is not a significant enough difference to treat them completely
independently. We could even accept that the whole distance between the levels
as a single zone.
This wouldn't be a bad idea at all. In the end, in such short distances, going
little higher or lower does not substantially change anything.
In essence, the strength of the concept is represented by that zone, on which
the market has rotated multiple times when interacting with it previously.
And that is why we hope that somewhere in the space covered by those levels,
that reversal will appear once more.
Other than that, we see two other potentially high -quality trades
the confluence of trading zone plus false breakout event.
In this other example, the market again visits the low and initially develops a
good reversal of candlesticks that we could and should have used as an entry
trigger.
Subsequently, the market returns to the same area and develops a small shakeout
at that low before starting the actual imbalance outside the range.
One important aspect to consider is that it is not very common after a breakout
for markets to develop a perfect test at the level of the broken structure
before starting a trend movement from that point.
On many occasions, the price moves sideways, outside the range, for a while
before continuing, and on some occasions, the price develops further
breakouts at some previous pivot point, as in the example.
This is why, if the price initially appears to be developing a perfect
test, as is the case in this example, and if the entry trigger appears, then
simply must enter the market, though we need to be aware that the imbalance may
not be generated immediately and the market is likely to build some
before starting a trend movement.
We'll get into this in more depth when we talk about position management.
The only thing that we must be clear about in this potential break and retest
scenario is that we are not going to enter with limit orders. And since we
want to enter the market early under any circumstances, we will wait for the
trigger to appear on the level of imbalance that the market chooses.
Our task as analysts is to consider all possible scenarios.
After that...
Our task as traders is to act once the entry trigger appears.
When it comes to the creation of pivots on which to look for the false breakout,
objective logic suggests that the more candlesticks that have been used to
generate said pivot, the greater the strength.
However, I personally recommend having all of them identified, since all pivots
create liquidity zones, zones of potential imbalance between buyers and
and therefore they can all provide us with trading opportunities.
Ultimately, it will be the price that confirms which level is more important
that particular market situation.
We must not get ahead of ourselves.
Our interpretation of the market is reactive and herein lies the importance
the appearance of our entry trigger as the last indicator of the intention of
the major players to move in that direction.
We simply have to analyze the action of the market at those levels that we have
identified and look for the entry trigger on them.
the price could reach our first trading level and not develop the trigger,
visiting instead the second trading level lower down, where it might or
not develop the trigger.
In this example, many of the pivots I have marked were left unvisited.
But that doesn't matter. Our task is to ensure we have them all identified if we
are looking for an entry.
Many of them did not offer us an entry trigger. Others did, but the trade would
have resulted in a loss.
while some others would have resulted in profits.
This is the nature of the business.
Opportunities don't always appear, and when they do, some will be winners and
others losers.
And here we have another example, this time showing the search for pivots at
highs on which to wait for a bullet -false breakout or upthrust.
Again, there will always be some pivots that offer no entry opportunity since,
once the price is there, it does not develop the entry trigger, and others
that... also depending on the type of management, can result in a break -even,
loss, or profit.
An important point to remember is that we may not always be able to make a
profit from a trade because we have placed the stop loss too close or
have not identified the entry trigger, but with the context and the roadmap
we have already assimilated, it would be very difficult for us to be positioned
on the wrong side of the market.
With everything we've seen over the course, we shouldn't be looking to buy
bearish context like this.
so we shouldn't be focused on looking for bearish pivots on which to expect a
potential spring.
Knowing how to identify the correct side of the market is something that gives
us a major edge over the standard trader.
I'm going to refer back to pivots since these are an essential element in our
trading approach.
As we have seen in the previous examples, there are trading levels that
not have been taken into account depending on the configuration that we
generate the pivots.
Remember that the traditional configuration recommends that we use two
candlesticks on the left and right of the edge.
But this, like everything, is not universal.
As analysts, we have the ability to decide which configuration offers us the
greatest confidence when trading.
You may decide that instead of two, you will use three or four candlesticks to
the left and right, and this is perfectly valid.
The greater the number of candlesticks with which you configure your pivot, the
greater strength they will have since you can expect more liquidity at their
edges. The drawback is that configuration is less likely to appear
and you will therefore have fewer opportunities for trading.
You might find it interesting to use one type of configuration or another,
depending on the time frame you are using.
In very short time frames, the number of pivots that will be created if you
configure them with two candlesticks to the left and right will be very high.
This might be a good context in which to increase the number.
Since each market is a world of its own, I recommend that you analyze the
history of the market to find out what configuration has worked well in the
past. You can do this in different ways depending on how dedicated you are,
visually, through a manual analysis, or even using an automatic tool.
Conversely, if we use a large number of candlesticks in our configuration of
pivots for higher timeframes, we may never find an opportunity to trade.
The recommendation here is that you lower that figure.
In this context, on daily or weekly charts, a traditional configuration
two or three pivots is usually a wise choice.
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