All language subtitles for 4. Which trading level should you prioritize
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1
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Which trading level should you
prioritize?
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00:00:02,810 --> 00:00:06,630
Having addressed in which zones we
should observe the market to find our
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00:00:06,790 --> 00:00:10,670
we may sometimes see that there is more
than one trading level in which to look
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00:00:10,670 --> 00:00:11,990
for the definitive entry trigger.
5
00:00:12,650 --> 00:00:16,390
To apply this concept, we are going to
follow the same principle that we have
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00:00:16,390 --> 00:00:20,550
been using up to now, which is to let
the market confirm which one it should
7
00:00:21,190 --> 00:00:24,930
We will suggest scenarios and it will be
the market that confirms the right one.
8
00:00:25,270 --> 00:00:30,010
If we summarize all the possible trading
opportunities, The only two levels that
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we need to consider arise from only two
different situations.
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00:00:33,530 --> 00:00:37,650
On the one hand, we have the trading
levels that are established by the edges
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the structure, which are where we will
subsequently hope to see the Phase B and
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00:00:42,090 --> 00:00:46,430
C false breakouts develop, as well as
the test after the breakout of the
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00:00:46,430 --> 00:00:50,070
structure. And on the other hand, we
have the trading levels that are
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established by the generation of pivots,
where we are going to look for all the
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00:00:54,010 --> 00:00:57,510
false breakouts, be they within the
range or outside.
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in the direction of the trend.
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00:00:59,850 --> 00:01:04,250
Because in the vast majority of cases
structures are quite erratic,
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00:01:04,250 --> 00:01:08,390
trading levels that can be complicated
or subjective, especially when it comes
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00:01:08,390 --> 00:01:11,750
to identifying the edges of the
structure where we are looking for that
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00:01:11,750 --> 00:01:15,550
and retest movement that confirms the
accumulation of distribution patterns.
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00:01:16,290 --> 00:01:21,010
The key idea here is that there is no
level that is better or more important
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than another, that we must take into
account all the trading levels that
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and that it must be the market that
confirms which one it will follow.
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00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:33,780
This puts us in a very comfortable
position of not having to guess which
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to use.
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We simply need to identify all the
trading levels to forecast the scenario
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let the market decide.
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In this example, we see that two trading
levels have been generated at the upper
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end of the structure, the first which is
set by the automatic rally, and the
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second established by that up thrust
action.
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When the breakout finally occurs, we
don't know which one the market will use
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leverage and to create the imbalance out
of rain, and that's why we need to take
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00:02:01,310 --> 00:02:02,310
both into account.
34
00:02:02,750 --> 00:02:07,070
In this case, it supports itself on the
resistance generated in the AR,
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00:02:07,310 --> 00:02:12,410
developing a good bullet reversal
pattern there, confirming the BUEC and
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00:02:12,410 --> 00:02:14,110
offering up an opportunity to buy.
37
00:02:15,150 --> 00:02:19,270
Subsequently, the market made some use
of the trading level created by the
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00:02:19,270 --> 00:02:20,430
upthrust type action.
39
00:02:20,830 --> 00:02:24,630
developing a minor false breakout on it
before continuing the trend movement.
40
00:02:25,270 --> 00:02:29,950
This situation sets up a high -quality
opportunity as we have a confluence of
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00:02:29,950 --> 00:02:35,010
levels. First, the old resistance of the
AR that would now act as the support,
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and in addition, the generation of a
pivot that has allowed a false breakout
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the lows, also a good bullish SOS bar
candlestick that would act as the
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definitive entry trigger.
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Since the subject has come up, Let me
explain why I haven't used the broken
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support and resistance levels as trading
levels when we're in favor of the
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trend, although we do use it when we
find ourselves in a potential break and
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00:02:57,320 --> 00:02:58,320
retest situation.
49
00:02:59,100 --> 00:03:02,860
As we know, those levels are useful
because they identify turning points,
50
00:03:03,020 --> 00:03:05,340
imbalances between supply and demand.
51
00:03:05,860 --> 00:03:09,880
They are areas where there has been a
price reversal and, based on the
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00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:13,980
principles of technical analysis, we
would expect it to act in the same way
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the future, in other words, by
generating another imbalance.
54
00:03:17,640 --> 00:03:21,900
One of the drawbacks of this concept is
that the trend will be determined by the
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00:03:21,900 --> 00:03:22,900
momentum it carries.
56
00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:28,140
This means that which on some occasions
it will behave normally, but on others
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it will be fast and the correction will
never reach the previous edge or it will
58
00:03:32,380 --> 00:03:35,380
be slow and the corrections will exceed
the previous edge.
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This leads to a certain ambiguity in its
application, which translates into
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uncertainty when trading.
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00:03:42,190 --> 00:03:46,030
But the main problem that I have
identified with experience is that the
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can move very erratically at times, and
it's really very difficult to find this
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kind of genuine behavior in which the
price respects the old broken resistance
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00:03:54,330 --> 00:03:58,570
and uses it as a support, allowing us to
look for the entry trigger.
65
00:03:59,010 --> 00:04:01,810
It is very difficult to see these kinds
of examples.
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00:04:02,670 --> 00:04:06,910
My point of view is that this tool is
more useful for assessing the market
67
00:04:06,910 --> 00:04:09,730
sentiment to see if it is gaining or
losing momentum.
68
00:04:10,330 --> 00:04:15,490
as an added input to evaluate the
anatomy of the trend, but that's it.
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00:04:15,490 --> 00:04:17,350
useful to assess potential
opportunities.
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00:04:18,050 --> 00:04:22,550
Going back to how we should prioritize
trading levels, here we have another
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00:04:22,550 --> 00:04:27,610
example. In this case, we can identify
up to four potential trading levels that
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we should take into account.
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But if you look closely, numbers 1 and 2
are too close together, as are 3 and 4.
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00:04:35,420 --> 00:04:38,760
Well, in this case, I would simply take
for granted that the distance between
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these levels is very short.
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It is always important to apply logic
and common sense so as not to force the
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analysis too much.
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00:04:46,220 --> 00:04:50,780
It is not necessary to calibrate
everything exactly to the millimeter,
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00:04:50,780 --> 00:04:53,640
the market is not like that. The market
is flexible.
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00:04:53,940 --> 00:04:59,080
By this, I mean that level 1 and 2 can
be taken to represent the same thing,
81
00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:01,540
that 3 and 4 can also be considered as
1.
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there is not a significant enough
difference to treat them completely
83
00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:09,500
independently. We could even accept that
the whole distance between the levels
84
00:05:09,500 --> 00:05:10,500
as a single zone.
85
00:05:11,140 --> 00:05:16,240
This wouldn't be a bad idea at all. In
the end, in such short distances, going
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00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,020
little higher or lower does not
substantially change anything.
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00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:24,100
In essence, the strength of the concept
is represented by that zone, on which
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the market has rotated multiple times
when interacting with it previously.
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00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:32,480
And that is why we hope that somewhere
in the space covered by those levels,
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00:05:32,580 --> 00:05:34,420
that reversal will appear once more.
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00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:39,420
Other than that, we see two other
potentially high -quality trades
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the confluence of trading zone plus
false breakout event.
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00:05:42,620 --> 00:05:47,220
In this other example, the market again
visits the low and initially develops a
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good reversal of candlesticks that we
could and should have used as an entry
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trigger.
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00:05:52,420 --> 00:05:56,920
Subsequently, the market returns to the
same area and develops a small shakeout
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00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,360
at that low before starting the actual
imbalance outside the range.
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00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:05,620
One important aspect to consider is that
it is not very common after a breakout
99
00:06:05,620 --> 00:06:09,520
for markets to develop a perfect test at
the level of the broken structure
100
00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,160
before starting a trend movement from
that point.
101
00:06:12,500 --> 00:06:17,880
On many occasions, the price moves
sideways, outside the range, for a while
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00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:22,320
before continuing, and on some
occasions, the price develops further
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00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,500
breakouts at some previous pivot point,
as in the example.
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00:06:26,260 --> 00:06:30,780
This is why, if the price initially
appears to be developing a perfect
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00:06:30,780 --> 00:06:36,360
test, as is the case in this example,
and if the entry trigger appears, then
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simply must enter the market, though we
need to be aware that the imbalance may
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not be generated immediately and the
market is likely to build some
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00:06:44,860 --> 00:06:46,700
before starting a trend movement.
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00:06:47,370 --> 00:06:51,030
We'll get into this in more depth when
we talk about position management.
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00:06:52,310 --> 00:06:56,510
The only thing that we must be clear
about in this potential break and retest
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scenario is that we are not going to
enter with limit orders. And since we
112
00:07:00,890 --> 00:07:04,730
want to enter the market early under any
circumstances, we will wait for the
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00:07:04,730 --> 00:07:07,790
trigger to appear on the level of
imbalance that the market chooses.
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00:07:08,470 --> 00:07:12,130
Our task as analysts is to consider all
possible scenarios.
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00:07:12,450 --> 00:07:13,450
After that...
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Our task as traders is to act once the
entry trigger appears.
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When it comes to the creation of pivots
on which to look for the false breakout,
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objective logic suggests that the more
candlesticks that have been used to
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generate said pivot, the greater the
strength.
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However, I personally recommend having
all of them identified, since all pivots
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create liquidity zones, zones of
potential imbalance between buyers and
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and therefore they can all provide us
with trading opportunities.
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Ultimately, it will be the price that
confirms which level is more important
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that particular market situation.
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We must not get ahead of ourselves.
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Our interpretation of the market is
reactive and herein lies the importance
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00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,800
the appearance of our entry trigger as
the last indicator of the intention of
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00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,000
the major players to move in that
direction.
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00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:04,540
We simply have to analyze the action of
the market at those levels that we have
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00:08:04,540 --> 00:08:07,240
identified and look for the entry
trigger on them.
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00:08:07,690 --> 00:08:11,270
the price could reach our first trading
level and not develop the trigger,
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00:08:11,470 --> 00:08:15,690
visiting instead the second trading
level lower down, where it might or
133
00:08:15,690 --> 00:08:16,810
not develop the trigger.
134
00:08:17,390 --> 00:08:21,630
In this example, many of the pivots I
have marked were left unvisited.
135
00:08:21,870 --> 00:08:27,470
But that doesn't matter. Our task is to
ensure we have them all identified if we
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are looking for an entry.
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Many of them did not offer us an entry
trigger. Others did, but the trade would
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have resulted in a loss.
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00:08:35,669 --> 00:08:37,750
while some others would have resulted in
profits.
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This is the nature of the business.
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Opportunities don't always appear, and
when they do, some will be winners and
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others losers.
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And here we have another example, this
time showing the search for pivots at
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highs on which to wait for a bullet
-false breakout or upthrust.
145
00:08:55,490 --> 00:08:59,470
Again, there will always be some pivots
that offer no entry opportunity since,
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once the price is there, it does not
develop the entry trigger, and others
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that... also depending on the type of
management, can result in a break -even,
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loss, or profit.
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00:09:09,700 --> 00:09:13,400
An important point to remember is that
we may not always be able to make a
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00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:18,260
profit from a trade because we have
placed the stop loss too close or
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00:09:18,260 --> 00:09:22,260
have not identified the entry trigger,
but with the context and the roadmap
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we have already assimilated, it would be
very difficult for us to be positioned
153
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on the wrong side of the market.
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With everything we've seen over the
course, we shouldn't be looking to buy
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bearish context like this.
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so we shouldn't be focused on looking
for bearish pivots on which to expect a
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potential spring.
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00:09:39,900 --> 00:09:43,880
Knowing how to identify the correct side
of the market is something that gives
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00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,080
us a major edge over the standard
trader.
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00:09:47,020 --> 00:09:51,000
I'm going to refer back to pivots since
these are an essential element in our
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00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:52,000
trading approach.
162
00:09:52,180 --> 00:09:55,960
As we have seen in the previous
examples, there are trading levels that
163
00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:59,640
not have been taken into account
depending on the configuration that we
164
00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:00,640
generate the pivots.
165
00:10:01,230 --> 00:10:04,690
Remember that the traditional
configuration recommends that we use two
166
00:10:04,690 --> 00:10:06,910
candlesticks on the left and right of
the edge.
167
00:10:07,250 --> 00:10:10,030
But this, like everything, is not
universal.
168
00:10:10,670 --> 00:10:15,090
As analysts, we have the ability to
decide which configuration offers us the
169
00:10:15,090 --> 00:10:16,310
greatest confidence when trading.
170
00:10:16,730 --> 00:10:21,230
You may decide that instead of two, you
will use three or four candlesticks to
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00:10:21,230 --> 00:10:24,010
the left and right, and this is
perfectly valid.
172
00:10:24,510 --> 00:10:28,610
The greater the number of candlesticks
with which you configure your pivot, the
173
00:10:28,610 --> 00:10:32,010
greater strength they will have since
you can expect more liquidity at their
174
00:10:32,010 --> 00:10:36,630
edges. The drawback is that
configuration is less likely to appear
175
00:10:36,630 --> 00:10:39,290
and you will therefore have fewer
opportunities for trading.
176
00:10:39,950 --> 00:10:43,630
You might find it interesting to use one
type of configuration or another,
177
00:10:43,790 --> 00:10:45,970
depending on the time frame you are
using.
178
00:10:46,390 --> 00:10:50,170
In very short time frames, the number of
pivots that will be created if you
179
00:10:50,170 --> 00:10:54,010
configure them with two candlesticks to
the left and right will be very high.
180
00:10:54,490 --> 00:10:57,630
This might be a good context in which to
increase the number.
181
00:10:58,110 --> 00:11:01,890
Since each market is a world of its own,
I recommend that you analyze the
182
00:11:01,890 --> 00:11:05,090
history of the market to find out what
configuration has worked well in the
183
00:11:05,090 --> 00:11:09,310
past. You can do this in different ways
depending on how dedicated you are,
184
00:11:09,410 --> 00:11:13,330
visually, through a manual analysis, or
even using an automatic tool.
185
00:11:14,610 --> 00:11:18,090
Conversely, if we use a large number of
candlesticks in our configuration of
186
00:11:18,090 --> 00:11:21,990
pivots for higher timeframes, we may
never find an opportunity to trade.
187
00:11:22,370 --> 00:11:25,210
The recommendation here is that you
lower that figure.
188
00:11:25,630 --> 00:11:30,190
In this context, on daily or weekly
charts, a traditional configuration
189
00:11:30,190 --> 00:11:32,890
two or three pivots is usually a wise
choice.
18383
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