All language subtitles for 4. Volume Profile Basics
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The fundamental basis for the
application of volume profile principles
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premise that the market has a memory and
tends to repeat its behavior.
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Certain zones are expected to behave in
the same way in the future as they have
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in the past.
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In other words, if a leveler zone acted
as a sign of acceptance because a large
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amount of volume was traded, it is
expected that trading at those price
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will be generated again in the future.
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This concept is crucial because it
implicitly suggests that the equilibrium
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zones, those zones where a large number
of contracts have been exchanged, will
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have a certain magnetism and will
generate price attraction towards that
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On the other hand, if there were price
levels that showed a certain refusal to
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negotiate, as evidenced by a low volume,
this lack of interest on the part of
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buyers and sellers to negotiate at those
price levels will influence the price.
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so that in the future, those same price
levels will again show this refusal to
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execute a large number of transactions.
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As we will see below, there are two ways
in which the price can represent this
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rejection on the chart, through rapid V
-turns, known as traps or false
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breakouts, and through rapid
displacement movements.
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The volume profile takes the principles
of auction theory and puts them into
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practice to visualize zones of interest
on the chart.
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Interest is simply measured by the
activity generated in a particular zone,
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that activity is identified by the
volume traded.
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The more volume traded, the more
prominent the horizontal bar will be
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price level.
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This tool will therefore make it easier
for us to identify areas of greater and
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lesser interest and help us to evaluate
the price in relation to them to
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determine whether an acceptance or
rejection is taking place.
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One caution to keep in mind is that the
market's memory is mainly short -term.
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This means that more recent trading
zones are more important than older
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When the price initiates an imbalance,
the first zone to be considered is the
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most immediate previous equilibrium
zone.
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The more time the price is spent away
from a particular acceptance area, the
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less significance it will have.
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If we have no other reference, it will
still be useful to evaluate it, but it
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important to be aware that the most
immediate equilibrium zones will most
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be the ones the market will look for
first.
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as they are the ones that best represent
the value at the moment.
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This is pure logic. A price range or
lateralization results from a market
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equilibrium. It is a context in which
the valuations of the participants are
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very similar, and therefore there are
rotations at the extremes of these
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These valuations are subject to the
current fundamental conditions, so small
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changes in these conditions will result
in imbalance movements toward former
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trading zones that are relatively close.
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and larger fundamental changes will
result in imbalances toward zones that
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at trading levels farther from the
current one.
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In this chart, we see an example of this
concept in Bitcoin.
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The market reached the higher price
levels, possibly accompanied by positive
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news and the greed of participants to
miss the move.
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Once the market entered a sideways
environment, buyers and sellers began to
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trade comfortably, as evidenced by this
rotation up and down.
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This is because both groups, at an
aggregate level, believed that the true
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of the asset was above these levels.
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But as we saw in the auction theory,
this efficiency can break down when new
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information emerges that creates
disagreement among the participants.
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In this case, the new information has a
negative sentiment and causes a change
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in the perceptions and valuations of the
agents, who now believe that price and
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value do not coincide.
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This latest information introduced into
the market whether in the form of news,
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rumors, or any other element that has
the ability to change the fundamental
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valuation of the asset, has caused the
value to decrease, and therefore traders
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begin to close long positions and open
short positions.
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Together, these auctions can cause the
markets to fall.
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When the bearish imbalance begins after
the distribution, the most likely
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scenario is that the price will visit
the trading area at the bottom.
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And this is what happens.
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The stop of the move occurs at the
previous sideways zone, which was the
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that gave rise to the last upward move.
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Here, we have a complete price cycle
with the accumulation, the bullish move,
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the distribution, and the bearish move.
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And once the market is trading at levels
where buyers and sellers again agree
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that these are fair prices, another
lateralization begins, another rotation
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produces these ups and downs.
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Once again, we are in a context of
equilibrium.
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which is maintained until new
information appears that changes the
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the agents and generates the imbalance
to one side or the other, depending on
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the sentiment of that information.
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In this case, it is now breaking through
its top, possibly led by some good news
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for the Bitcoin ecosystem.
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As we know, the next step after the
imbalance is to try to determine whether
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have an acceptance or rejection of that
imbalance.
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Acceptance is evidenced by effective
breaks where the price continues to move
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that direction.
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while rejections are false breaks or
traps that generate a reversal of the
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movement.
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Once again, the market successfully
imbalances to the upside, creating this
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acceptance pattern, which is nothing
more than a bullish breakout move plus
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test, before continuing the move to the
upside, where the market rebalances and
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another rotation is created by the
exchange between buyers and sellers.
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This is the dynamics of the market. The
point to note is that the upward
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movement stops again at the previous
distribution.
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in the previous sideways zone proving
this magnetism and attraction on the
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price.
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But before this last action, the market
took a brief pause in what would be the
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post -breakout test move.
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At first glance, it appears that there
is no previous sideways zone that could
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have acted magnetically on the price.
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But if you look at the distribution
profile, there are two well -identified
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-volume trading zones.
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These zones are known as high -volume
nodes, and we will talk about them
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The key is that the pause generated
higher trading and some rotation in the
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price because this trading zone had
already been previously established as a
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zone of interest as shown with the
volume node.
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And again, we are back to the same
situation.
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If the market becomes unbalanced at the
bottom of the last structure, the first
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stop would be set at the first area
immediately below.
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And if it continues to fall, the lower
area would be targeted.
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And as we can see, it has reached the
two structures below, creating a short
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pause when it interacts with the more
immediate one, and a further
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lateralization when it reaches the lower
structure zone.
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As we will see later, one of the uses we
will give to the identification of
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structures will be to establish targets,
based on the premise that the old
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trading zones exert a certain magnetism
on the price, attracting it towards
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them. But the story doesn't end there.
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If we zoom out and move away from what
we are observing, we see that the market
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continued to fall after the above, and
where did it stop?
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The market fell with some force until it
found an old equilibrium zone, at which
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point sellers began to unwind their
positions and buyers began to appear.
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Behavior that on an aggregate level
resulted in the halt of the bearish
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and the subsequent lateralization of the
market.
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As we can see, In environments where the
market has historical references above
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or below the current price, the most
normal thing is that it uses these old
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equilibrium zones to stop the trend
movements that may occur and find a new
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equilibrium among market participants.
11997
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