All language subtitles for 4. The volume of structures

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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,300 --> 00:00:01,560 The volume of structures. 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:06,140 Tying in with the previous point, we are now going to add some more variable to 3 00:00:06,140 --> 00:00:06,919 our reasoning. 4 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:11,620 Volume. According to the law of cause and effect, for an effect to occur, a 5 00:00:11,620 --> 00:00:16,100 cause must first have taken place in direct proportion to the size of the 6 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,260 The issue here is how to measure the size of the cause. 7 00:00:19,940 --> 00:00:24,120 Wyckoff and his early students used the point and figure chart to determine this 8 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:25,120 aspect of the cause. 9 00:00:25,580 --> 00:00:30,220 Even today, There are some experienced Wyckoff traders who continue to trust 10 00:00:30,220 --> 00:00:31,500 predictive ability of this tool. 11 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:36,140 To me, trying to measure the capacity of said cause using the point -and -figure 12 00:00:36,140 --> 00:00:40,260 chart seems unsound, as it does not account for the most important factor 13 00:00:40,260 --> 00:00:41,900 this issue, which is volume. 14 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:43,960 Let's take a step back. 15 00:00:44,180 --> 00:00:48,420 As we know, volume tells us about the participation of the agents. 16 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:52,820 Thanks to the analysis of both the traditional vertical volume and the 17 00:00:52,820 --> 00:00:56,970 horizontal volume profile, we can identify the level of interest that the 18 00:00:56,970 --> 00:01:00,050 structures have generated from their beginning to their completion. 19 00:01:00,630 --> 00:01:05,170 In essence, the volume traded in each structure is the cause that will have 20 00:01:05,170 --> 00:01:07,010 generated the subsequent trend effect. 21 00:01:07,630 --> 00:01:12,350 This cause, the origin, will greatly influence the general context of the 22 00:01:12,350 --> 00:01:16,510 market. In other words, the more volume that has been generated in a structure, 23 00:01:16,670 --> 00:01:20,350 the more power and influence it will have on future price action. 24 00:01:20,670 --> 00:01:23,290 This seems a much more logical approach to me. 25 00:01:23,790 --> 00:01:27,990 So the idea is simple. We are going to measure the volume traded throughout the 26 00:01:27,990 --> 00:01:32,010 structure to objectively determine what the size of its cause is in terms of 27 00:01:32,010 --> 00:01:37,570 volume. However, even doing this won't enable us to estimate the effect of said 28 00:01:37,570 --> 00:01:38,650 cause with certainty. 29 00:01:39,110 --> 00:01:43,930 That said, it can be useful when comparing structures, as we saw in the 30 00:01:43,930 --> 00:01:48,590 point. And why am I going on about this so much? Well, because you may have 31 00:01:48,590 --> 00:01:52,730 already realized, the variables of time and volume do not go hand in hand. 32 00:01:53,150 --> 00:01:54,150 What do I mean by this? 33 00:01:54,430 --> 00:01:58,650 You can have two structures that have consumed exactly the same amount of 34 00:01:58,730 --> 00:02:01,390 but the volume traded in each of them may be different. 35 00:02:01,950 --> 00:02:06,570 Taking the example further, we may see a structure that has taken a long time to 36 00:02:06,570 --> 00:02:11,570 develop completely, let's say 100 days, with a certain volume, let's say 100 37 00:02:11,570 --> 00:02:13,010 ,000 contracts traded. 38 00:02:13,410 --> 00:02:17,530 Under this principle, it would suggest a lower capacity than another structure 39 00:02:17,530 --> 00:02:20,270 that has developed in fewer days, let's say 50. 40 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:25,760 but in which a greater volume of contracts have been traded, let's say 41 00:02:26,100 --> 00:02:27,100 Interesting, right? 42 00:02:27,740 --> 00:02:31,720 The final reasoning is simple. The volume tells us about the participation. 43 00:02:32,340 --> 00:02:37,080 If one structure has more volume than another, it means that there has been 44 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:41,140 interest in it and that the effect of the cause will have greater capacity, 45 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:43,420 regardless of the time it took to build. 46 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:47,640 Going back to the previous example, in this case, yes. 47 00:02:48,110 --> 00:02:51,870 I would evaluate the possibility that this structure, although shorter in 48 00:02:52,030 --> 00:02:56,690 has sufficient capacity to overturn the accumulation below, reverting the 49 00:02:56,690 --> 00:03:01,810 control of the market from bullets to berries. On this last slide, we see a 50 00:03:01,810 --> 00:03:03,590 example happening at Comico. 51 00:03:04,090 --> 00:03:07,930 To make the measurement, we are going to use the measurement tool that we can 52 00:03:07,930 --> 00:03:09,830 find in the left panel of TradingView. 53 00:03:10,310 --> 00:03:14,710 We select from the beginning of the structure to the end and it offers us 54 00:03:14,710 --> 00:03:16,110 information we are looking for. 55 00:03:16,590 --> 00:03:21,110 In addition to the number of traded contracts, it shows us the number of 56 00:03:21,110 --> 00:03:22,150 and bars it covers. 57 00:03:22,390 --> 00:03:29,210 As we can see, the accumulation structure has traded 2 .895 billion 58 00:03:29,210 --> 00:03:36,090 1 ,806 days, while the current structure has already traded 2 .428 billion in 59 00:03:36,090 --> 00:03:37,630 just 518 days. 60 00:03:37,930 --> 00:03:41,070 The difference in comparative terms is quite striking. 61 00:03:41,450 --> 00:03:44,390 The accumulation pattern is very genuine. 62 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,060 but we know that anything can happen in the market at any time. 63 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:52,260 We have just observed a sideways movement that does not meet the 64 00:03:52,260 --> 00:03:56,360 that we would like to see in accumulation patterns at the moment, 65 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,380 decrease in volume during its development. 66 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:03,360 Instead, we have seen a significant increase in volume, which has remained 67 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:07,540 and constant, as well as unusual peaks in the middle of its development. 68 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:12,480 These characteristics are at least worth taking into account, since if it 69 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:16,959 continues to develop in this way, a distribution cost significant enough to 70 00:04:16,959 --> 00:04:21,300 overturn the accumulation below and send the price to lower levels could be 71 00:04:21,300 --> 00:04:22,300 generated. 6622

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