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Let's move on to the third trading principle, the reversal principle.
We will apply this principle in markets that are initially unbalanced in one
direction, but eventually refuse to move further in that direction and generate
a sharp reversal in the opposite direction.
That is, in environments where most participants at the aggregate level
in their valuation of the asset price.
What the reversal principle tells us is that if the price attempts to enter a
value area and succeeds, it will most likely visit the opposite end of that
value area.
The market has refused to trade at those price levels, so it returns to the
previous value area.
Again, this principle is an adaptation of a well -known market profile trade,
the 80 % rule, which suggests that when price breaks out of a value area, there
is an 80 % probability that it will go all the way through the area to the
opposite end.
Trading with the reverse principle is to wait for the test inside the value
area, to look for the impulsive move to the opposite end of the value area.
In other words, if the price is above a value area and manages to break the
value area high and enter this value area, the main scenario would be to wait
for an inside test of this value area high to look for a move first towards
VPOC and eventually towards the value area low of the profile.
As with the range principle, there is a problem that the VPOC could act as a
support -resistance level that blocks the price.
Therefore, we should always take this level into account when managing the
position.
We start with the first example of session profiles.
As we can see, the market opens below the previous session's value area, so it
initially shows a bearish imbalance.
In this price position, as the context is bearish, we should prefer to look for
short opportunities.
but the market does not react at the limit of the value area and what it does
to recover it easily.
After regaining the value area, we were able to apply this reversal principle,
which tells us that although the market was initially unbalanced to one side,
this imbalance has failed and a sufficiently significant rotation has
generated to bring the price back into the value area.
Therefore, the trading scenario to consider is to look for a test of the
area low and wait for the price to develop a bullish rotation that gives us
signal to enter the market, as in this example.
In addition, we will apply the 80 % rule, which tells us that there is an 80
probability that the opposite end of the value area, in this case the value area
high of the previous session's profile, will also be reached, as it is.
Here is another example of a bearish reversal.
The price opens above the value area high of the previous session's profile.
approaches it, and easily breaks it.
On reentry, we trigger the reversal scenario and the price develops a test
within the value area high, giving rise to a new bearish impulse that easily
reaches the opposite end of the value area.
This reversal principle is quite simple to understand.
If the market manages to reenter a value area, there is a high probability that
it will visit the opposite end of this profile.
Here are two more examples.
a bullish reversal to the left and a bearish reversal to the right. The
are always the same, a re -entry into the value area, a test of the inside and
an impulsive move to the opposite extreme.
We will now look at the application of the reversal principle to multi -session
ranges. These are the basic analysis structures of the Wyckoff traders.
The principle is the same, the only difference being that instead of working
with session profiles, we are working with profiles of complete structures,
accumulation, and distribution ranges.
For these examples, we will use structures that have already been
the same principles could be applied within the same structure.
In this example, we observe two lateralizations, an accumulation on the
a distribution on the right.
After confirming the distribution, the price leaves this area and heads towards
the lower area, towards the previous accumulation.
At this point, our context should be to look for the application of the
continuation principle, by which we encourage the market to develop a
test on the value area high of the profile to expect bullish continuations
it happens.
The market reacts in this zone and offers us the opportunity to enter.
Profit taking should be established at the high volume node of the upper
structure.
As we can see, the price also reaches this area before generating a new
rotation.
Looking at this point where we have taken profits from trading the lower
structure, we are also in a position to apply the continuation principle to the
upper structure.
This is a test of the value area low and the VPOC area of the volume profile of
this upper structure, so a short entry could be considered.
The entry is good and the market falls sharply, easily reaching the volume
profile of the lower structure.
After another extreme bullish reaction, it finally manages to re -enter the
value area, at which point the reversal principle is triggered. From there, the
price develops an inside test on the value area high of the profile and the
market plummets through the entire value area and beyond.
This is a very complete example where we have seen the application of several
trading principles and also in different structures.
Here is another example of the same causistry.
The upper structure generates a bearish move that pushes the price back into the
value area of the lower structure.
This is a test within the value area high, and then the market travels
the entire value area until it reaches the value area low of the profile.
Above the same area, it generates a new rejection and develops a strong upward
movement that begins the price back into the value area of the upper structure.
It develops a test within the value area low and continues with the bullish
imbalance until it reaches the value area high of this profile.
An interesting detail of this example is the advantage of using stop orders over
other types of orders.
When the price reaches the value area high of the lower profile, we should
prefer to use the continuation principle, at least in the first
And as we can see, the market left two good bullish candlesticks at this point,
which could have been used as an entry signal.
If we had tried to enter the market with stop orders placed just above these
candlesticks, the entries would never have occurred because the market turned
sharply lower after developing these signals leaving two more bearish
candlesticks. This is why this type of entry is useful, because we need to
confirm that there is still continuity in the imbalance that is being generated
in the shorter term.
After these two unsuccessful attempts, the market finally enters the value area
again and generates an inside test that gives rise to the bearish movement.
In this other situation, however, the market would have triggered the entry,
resulting in a loss.
The price is in the continuation trading zone and forms this strong bearish
candlestick, which could have been used to enter the market short.
We place the sell stop order, and in this case the market has a continuation
that would activate this order.
We identify three possible stop loss zones at the three low volume nodes
Each of them has its advantages and disadvantages in terms of the risk taken
the confidence it provides.
The further away, the better, of course, but it may be too far away.
As we can see, only the last stop loss point would not have been reached, but
is certainly in a very distant location.
We're taking a loss. That's absolutely fine.
It's normal, and it's part of the business.
Losses will occur throughout your trading career, and we have to accept
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