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Once the price leaves the equilibrium range, we would be in the context of a
trend. When a trend is identified, the trader should only trade in favor of the
trend and wait for the reversal to try to enter the market.
At some point, you can trade the reversal, but this type of trading
higher risk.
In a trending context, there are two places to trade depending on where the
price is, interacting with the value zone or away from it.
In a trade where the price is interacting with the value zone, what
previously is that the price has left the equilibrium zone and is in a process
of imbalance that we must analyze to confirm whether it is accepted or
If it is rejected, the price will return to the old value zone, but if it is
accepted, it will initiate a subsequent trend movement out of the range.
This acceptance or rejection will be verified in a subsequent test where we
for the price to make a relevant trading level, basically the extremes of the
value area.
And this is where the first trade appears, in the post -breakout test,
would apply the principle of continuation as the price interacts with
extremes of the profile.
For bullish continuations, we would look for a T on the value area high and for
bearish continuations on the value area low.
We will look at several examples of those already analyzed.
In this type of trading context, we also take into account the VPOC of the
range, which is the last trading level above which the retracement after the
break can be expected.
If this is far from the break, it is advisable to quarantine the scenario, as
the price will have re -entered the value area and will already have some
In this case, and according to the volume profile trading principles, the
reversal type of trade should be triggered.
Here we see two examples of testing on the VPOC followed by continuations in
favor of the imbalance.
This failed reversal principle is a hybrid between the continuation
and the reversal principle as it is the subsequent price reaction that
determines which strategy is ultimately applied.
And here we see the other variant of the failed reversal principle with the VPOC
test and confirmation of the reversal.
Once the price manages to position and hold outside of the value area, we will
determine that an imbalance has occurred, that such a move has not been
rejected, and therefore we will be in a position to look for an entry in favor
of that direction.
If we are in a potential bullish breakout, all the volumes seen below, as
as the previous area of equilibrium, can now be identified as a potential
accumulation.
As we know, the effect of an accumulation will be a bullish move and
where we want to be positioned.
Conversely, if we find ourselves in a situation of a possible bearish breakout
and the price is able to hold this area and not return to the previous
equilibrium area, we will be able to identify this process as distributive
it will be the moment to look for the trigger to enter into a selling position
in order to take advantage of the subsequent bearish trend movement.
Once the market has confirmed the effective break of the previous
area, it will initiate the trend movement.
At this point, we would have to work with the context away from the value
There may also be another case where we open a chart where the price is already
outside its last value area and is already looking for a new equilibrium
Here, we have not been able to see the origin of the break of this value area,
but the objective that the market is already in this trend context.
And in such a context, what we need to do now is wait for a corrective move to
take place before continuing in the direction of the trend imbalance.
The key would be to identify the possible areas where the price can be
to make such a corrective move.
If the first level is too close, it is likely that the price will look for the
next level to develop a retracement with some proportionality in relation to the
previous impulse.
There are many ways to do this. We can use the levels of the volume profile of
the previous session if we are trading intraday.
This will be the end of the value area and the VPOC on which we will first
the continuation trade.
We can also start a manual profile of the whole impulse and use the operative
levels of this profile.
So we should wait for the price to be above the end of the value area and
the VPOC.
Other levels to consider in this context are the VWAP, whether daily, weekly, or
monthly. We will always pay close attention to the location of the weekly
as it is particularly useful in these trend contexts to look for the end of
retracement and the beginning of a new impulse move.
Finally, it is interesting to identify the areas of low volume within the
context in which we are trading.
In this case, we can use different profiles, the composite to identify the
general context, the profile of the previous impulse, and the profile of the
previous sessions.
We already know how the price can interact with these low trading zones,
should always keep them in mind regardless of the type of profile we are
with. In all contexts, we will want to trade in favor of the more trading
the better.
As mentioned above, the areas where several trading levels converge are
recommended to look for entries, highlighting the combination of VPOC and
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