All language subtitles for 3. How far to the left of the chart should we look

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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,800 How far to the left of the chart should we look back? 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:08,080 Sometimes, we find ourselves having to look to the left of the chart to see 3 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:12,260 reference in the price history, especially when we want to identify old 4 00:00:12,260 --> 00:00:14,420 zones that could serve as potential targets. 5 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:18,720 How far back is it reasonable to look? How many bars or days? 6 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:22,260 Unfortunately, there is no objective answer to this. 7 00:00:22,580 --> 00:00:27,020 Again, we need to apply common sense and think of the rationale behind the 8 00:00:27,020 --> 00:00:28,020 market behavior. 9 00:00:28,330 --> 00:00:32,630 If our objective is to identify a structure that reveals to us an area of 10 00:00:32,630 --> 00:00:36,830 equilibrium that might attract the price back one more, based on auction theory, 11 00:00:37,030 --> 00:00:39,790 we must be clear that market conditions are ever -changing. 12 00:00:40,110 --> 00:00:44,650 Therefore, the older the reversal, the less importance it now has, having 13 00:00:44,650 --> 00:00:47,150 potentially lost its ability to attract the price. 14 00:00:47,810 --> 00:00:51,750 The likelihood is that the conditions of the market today differ greatly from 15 00:00:51,750 --> 00:00:54,850 the conditions of the same market weeks, months, or years ago. 16 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:59,660 The ranges that we work with under the approach of the Wyckoff method are 17 00:00:59,660 --> 00:01:04,300 equilibrium zones, where the price valuations of the participants are all 18 00:01:04,300 --> 00:01:08,920 similar and where the slight differences give rise to sideways movements or 19 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,780 uptrends and downtrends generating the range. 20 00:01:12,100 --> 00:01:17,260 When market conditions change, the price leaves the congestion zone and a new 21 00:01:17,260 --> 00:01:18,440 search for value begins. 22 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:20,820 New participants to trade with. 23 00:01:21,900 --> 00:01:25,780 Equilibrium will be restored when the valuations of all the participants more 24 00:01:25,780 --> 00:01:30,640 less converge once again, and this new zone will most likely coincide with an 25 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:34,620 old trading zone, where the conditions at the time were very similar to the 26 00:01:34,620 --> 00:01:35,378 current ones. 27 00:01:35,380 --> 00:01:39,420 What happens when a lot of time has passed and the conditions are not 28 00:01:39,420 --> 00:01:43,840 the current ones? Well, those old zones will cease to be valid for this purpose, 29 00:01:43,980 --> 00:01:47,840 and the market will need to generate a new zone with no previous reference 30 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:52,420 point. From a trading perspective, we should not take into account these very 31 00:01:52,420 --> 00:01:57,100 old zones in our analyses and scenario forecasts, and simply focus on the 32 00:01:57,100 --> 00:02:01,340 current behavior and on the principles offered by the methodology to detect 33 00:02:01,340 --> 00:02:02,920 the market context has changed. 34 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:07,540 Looking at the chart shown in this slide, let's imagine that the market 35 00:02:07,540 --> 00:02:10,780 an accumulation in 2023 and launches upwards. 36 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:14,940 Our aim here would be to look for the structure that was developed two years 37 00:02:14,940 --> 00:02:17,520 ago. There is not much to interpret here. 38 00:02:17,850 --> 00:02:19,070 It is a logical objective. 39 00:02:19,410 --> 00:02:24,330 Not too much time has passed, and it is the first zone of sideways movement that 40 00:02:24,330 --> 00:02:25,510 we would see higher up. 41 00:02:26,110 --> 00:02:28,570 Would we look at the structure even further up? 42 00:02:28,770 --> 00:02:31,270 From my point of view, that wouldn't make much sense. 43 00:02:31,770 --> 00:02:35,750 I don't think expecting the market conditions to be similar to those seen 44 00:02:35,750 --> 00:02:37,430 years ago is the correct approach. 45 00:02:37,950 --> 00:02:41,430 And what if the price shoots downward, leaving a redistribution structure? 46 00:02:42,130 --> 00:02:44,530 This would be a somewhat more ambiguous scenario. 47 00:02:44,990 --> 00:02:48,430 since the last structure that we see below the current price is from seven 48 00:02:48,430 --> 00:02:49,430 ago. 49 00:02:49,510 --> 00:02:53,870 Personally, I would make that target the end point, but I would actively manage 50 00:02:53,870 --> 00:02:57,730 the position so that the moment I notice that the effect of the cause has been 51 00:02:57,730 --> 00:03:02,090 covered and that price is unlikely to move much further, I would close my 52 00:03:02,090 --> 00:03:03,090 positions. 53 00:03:03,530 --> 00:03:06,090 Don't think of the number of years in absolute terms. 54 00:03:06,310 --> 00:03:10,510 It is simply an example and will vary depending on the time frame which you 55 00:03:10,510 --> 00:03:12,530 using to analyze the trade -in. 56 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:17,780 This example could be valid for a very long -term trade if, on the other hand, 57 00:03:17,860 --> 00:03:22,320 you are a day trader. We could be talking about days or weeks instead of 58 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:24,660 It is clearly very subjective. 59 00:03:24,920 --> 00:03:29,140 The key takeaway is that the recent structures are more important than the 60 00:03:29,140 --> 00:03:30,140 ones. 5557

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