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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,140 --> 00:00:05,540 Entry Let's now address the most operational section by first looking at 2 00:00:05,540 --> 00:00:06,540 should enter the market. 3 00:00:06,620 --> 00:00:08,720 Why you shouldn't trade with limit orders. 4 00:00:09,020 --> 00:00:12,940 But before answering this question, let's talk about how not to enter the 5 00:00:12,940 --> 00:00:17,780 market. I often see Wyckoff traders use limit orders to somehow anticipate the 6 00:00:17,780 --> 00:00:21,780 entry. A very common example is when trying to take advantage of a potential 7 00:00:21,780 --> 00:00:24,640 spring, in the event it finally occurs, of course. 8 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:29,460 What these traders usually do is identify the low of the structure and 9 00:00:29,460 --> 00:00:32,020 limit order there to buy below the current price. 10 00:00:32,380 --> 00:00:34,240 In other words, a buy limit. 11 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:38,760 In this way, when the price reaches that level, it activates the order and the 12 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:43,040 trader enters the market long, with the hope that the spring will be confirmed 13 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:44,460 and the price will rise. 14 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:49,220 Personally, I don't relate to this way of trading at all, since it goes against 15 00:00:49,220 --> 00:00:50,840 the reactive approach of the methodology. 16 00:00:51,630 --> 00:00:54,930 Our advantage lies in confirming the actions as they appear. 17 00:00:55,130 --> 00:00:59,330 So if we were to trade in this manner, we would simply be gambling on the 18 00:00:59,330 --> 00:01:03,190 reversal taking place at that moment without the slightest idea of whether 19 00:01:03,190 --> 00:01:04,190 will happen. 20 00:01:04,930 --> 00:01:09,170 We know this is a key trading zone, a potential bearish breakout or a 21 00:01:09,170 --> 00:01:12,470 spring. Why not gamble on the potential bearish breakout? 22 00:01:13,030 --> 00:01:17,170 If the answer is simply based on the fact that the sign suggests that we 23 00:01:17,170 --> 00:01:19,370 go long, that's not good enough for me. 24 00:01:19,870 --> 00:01:24,550 We know how volatile the markets can be and how any news or the entry of traders 25 00:01:24,550 --> 00:01:27,890 with a greater capacity can reverse the sentiment at any given moment. 26 00:01:28,190 --> 00:01:32,870 So being predisposed to only accept that particular action seems too risky to 27 00:01:32,870 --> 00:01:35,470 me. Also, where do you put the stop loss? 28 00:01:35,790 --> 00:01:39,790 I wouldn't be surprised if a trader using this approach didn't bother with a 29 00:01:39,790 --> 00:01:40,790 stop loss either. 30 00:01:41,230 --> 00:01:45,530 What difference does it make? Well, it makes a huge difference because you can 31 00:01:45,530 --> 00:01:47,550 bankrupt your account in a single trade. 32 00:01:47,810 --> 00:01:49,030 So where do you put it? 33 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:50,580 You don't have any reference. 34 00:01:50,900 --> 00:01:55,500 You would have to do it arbitrarily, so most likely it will either fall short or 35 00:01:55,500 --> 00:01:56,740 be placed too far away. 36 00:01:57,280 --> 00:02:00,920 Imagine something like this happens, that the entry order is executed. 37 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:05,380 You place your stop loss at some indeterminate point and the price hits 38 00:02:05,380 --> 00:02:06,400 before reversing again. 39 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:08,199 I'm sure this happens. 40 00:02:08,699 --> 00:02:13,220 Worth of all, your scenario might have been as predicted, but by not waiting to 41 00:02:13,220 --> 00:02:15,760 confirm behaviors, you will have made bad decisions. 42 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:20,720 By placing a buy limit, you are gambling on the price developing two movements, 43 00:02:20,900 --> 00:02:25,060 the bearish one to generate the test and the bullish one that will take the 44 00:02:25,060 --> 00:02:26,640 price to the high part of the range. 45 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:31,260 The key here is that we can only really predict the development of one movement. 46 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,980 In this case, we might initially predict the bearish movement that will lead to 47 00:02:35,980 --> 00:02:40,620 a potential spring, once the price reaches the area where it should turn. 48 00:02:40,620 --> 00:02:44,600 have to analyze the price action and the volume again to see if the imbalance 49 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:46,820 that generates the bullish reversal occurs. 50 00:02:47,850 --> 00:02:51,690 But anyway, you know that the Wyckoff method provides you with different 51 00:02:51,690 --> 00:02:56,150 opportunities, so now you definitively decide to execute the same type of 52 00:02:56,270 --> 00:02:58,950 this time looking for a successful test of the spring. 53 00:02:59,450 --> 00:03:04,010 But why not even consider that said test might never take place, and that 54 00:03:04,010 --> 00:03:07,890 instead of confirming the test of the spring, the price might continue to 55 00:03:08,070 --> 00:03:10,630 which would confirm that our analysis was not correct. 56 00:03:11,110 --> 00:03:15,670 We shouldn't be biased in one direction, let alone execute those kind of orders. 57 00:03:16,190 --> 00:03:20,210 The problem is that this approach to executing trades is completely wrong. 58 00:03:20,630 --> 00:03:24,490 And what happens, although it seems strange, is a real example. 59 00:03:24,790 --> 00:03:29,950 It is very erratic behavior but can often happen, so there is no point in 60 00:03:29,950 --> 00:03:31,930 trading under the premise of trying to guess. 61 00:03:32,930 --> 00:03:36,770 Fundamentally, the idea is that we should be continuously analyzing the 62 00:03:36,770 --> 00:03:41,190 interaction between buyers and sellers, though we may be directionally biased 63 00:03:41,190 --> 00:03:43,770 towards one side based on the context. 64 00:03:44,190 --> 00:03:48,930 We need confirmation when the time comes that the approach is sound and that the 65 00:03:48,930 --> 00:03:50,350 market itself confirms it. 66 00:03:51,270 --> 00:03:55,870 During a potential test of the spring, if we see that aggressive buyers appear 67 00:03:55,870 --> 00:04:00,310 to push the price up, this is a sign we need to see in order to confirm that our 68 00:04:00,310 --> 00:04:01,370 analysis is correct. 69 00:04:01,790 --> 00:04:04,330 In this case, it would offer us a trading opportunity. 70 00:04:04,790 --> 00:04:08,710 It is also important to remember that even if we see our entry trigger in the 71 00:04:08,710 --> 00:04:13,290 predicted zone, there is no guarantee that our trade will end in a profit or a 72 00:04:13,290 --> 00:04:17,870 loss. As we have already seen, new information is constantly entering the 73 00:04:17,870 --> 00:04:22,170 and this could change the perception of value by participants at any time. But 74 00:04:22,170 --> 00:04:26,090 at least we will be more likely to make the right decision at all times. 75 00:04:26,630 --> 00:04:31,330 This is not the only example of making an incorrect use of limit orders to 76 00:04:31,330 --> 00:04:31,949 the market. 77 00:04:31,950 --> 00:04:36,130 There will also be the trader who, believing that in the current position 78 00:04:36,130 --> 00:04:40,010 spring is going to be confirmed, instead of having previously bought with a buy 79 00:04:40,010 --> 00:04:45,120 limit order, decides to launch a buy stop order above the current price to go 80 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:49,280 long in the event the price re -enters the range again in the hope that the 81 00:04:49,280 --> 00:04:52,660 spring will be confirmed and a strong upward imbalance will be generated. 82 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,660 We are in exactly the same situation as in the previous example. 83 00:04:57,100 --> 00:04:59,260 Why couldn't this be the real breakout? 84 00:04:59,500 --> 00:05:04,040 We have already seen what happens, which is activation of the entry order and 85 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:05,720 the exit due to the stop loss. 86 00:05:05,940 --> 00:05:10,020 I repeat, it's true that this market behavior is somewhat strange. 87 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:13,700 But just because it's strange doesn't mean that it cannot appear. 88 00:05:14,300 --> 00:05:19,640 This is the mindset we need. Our job is not only to try to guess, but to try to 89 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:21,880 confirm market behavior as soon as possible. 90 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:26,080 And of course, there is the classic entry in favor of the breakout. 91 00:05:26,300 --> 00:05:29,300 For me, a breakout does not offer a trading opportunity. 92 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,960 We already know why. It is a trading zone where anything can happen. 93 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:39,040 Gambling on the generation of a real breakout is just as bad as gambling on 94 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:40,060 of a false breakout. 95 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:45,020 In this case, the trade would place a sell -stop order at the lows of the 96 00:05:45,020 --> 00:05:48,060 structure, waiting for the bearish continuation of the movement. 97 00:05:48,500 --> 00:05:52,420 Unless you have taken profits quickly on the initial continuation of the 98 00:05:52,420 --> 00:05:56,920 movement, chances are you will eventually end up with a loss if you 99 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:57,739 this way. 100 00:05:57,740 --> 00:06:01,800 As I said, it is not a type of execution that fills me with trust. 101 00:06:02,220 --> 00:06:04,460 since it goes against the principles of the methodology. 102 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:09,000 If you are using any of these methods to enter the market, unless you have them 103 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:13,260 properly back -tested, my recommendation is that you think logically to see if 104 00:06:13,260 --> 00:06:14,600 they really make sense to you. 105 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:18,720 The Entry Trigger In this part, we are going to look at the different behaviors 106 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,680 that we can use as a trigger to launch our orders on the market. 107 00:06:22,100 --> 00:06:26,400 We find ourselves at the point where the opportunity has been confirmed by going 108 00:06:26,400 --> 00:06:27,520 through our trading checklist. 109 00:06:28,140 --> 00:06:32,220 and we have the green light to look for the last element we need to definitively 110 00:06:32,220 --> 00:06:34,000 confirm our participation in the market. 111 00:06:34,220 --> 00:06:38,000 More often than not, our main trigger will be to wait for the appearance of a 112 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:41,980 candlestick showing intent, a candlestick that denotes aggressiveness 113 00:06:41,980 --> 00:06:43,160 direction we want to trade. 114 00:06:43,900 --> 00:06:47,740 Because of the message they convey, this is the best way of definitively 115 00:06:47,740 --> 00:06:48,740 confirming the opportunity. 116 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:53,080 If we are in a trading zone where we want to buy, and after seeing all the 117 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:57,000 necessary signs discussed previously, we observe a candlestick showing bullish 118 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:01,310 strength, This informs us of a clear intention on the part of the buyers. 119 00:07:01,590 --> 00:07:05,910 The candlesticks that meet the characteristics we are looking for are 120 00:07:05,910 --> 00:07:11,010 a wide range, high volume, and a closing price at the extremes, regardless of 121 00:07:11,010 --> 00:07:15,030 whether or not there is a wick at the opposite end, and always analyzing in 122 00:07:15,030 --> 00:07:19,010 comparative terms with respect to the previously seen candlesticks. We have 123 00:07:19,010 --> 00:07:22,890 looked at this previously with respect to the nature of the spring. That 124 00:07:23,070 --> 00:07:26,870 made up of a single candlestick, directly activates the trigger for us. 125 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:30,860 since it complies with the price and volume characteristics that we would 126 00:07:30,860 --> 00:07:32,140 for it to denote strength. 127 00:07:32,860 --> 00:07:37,500 Moreover, regardless of the pattern generated by the false breakout, they 128 00:07:37,500 --> 00:07:41,160 all ultimately made up of a candlestick denoting strength that ends up 129 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:44,880 confirming the pattern, and this candlestick denoting strength is our 130 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:47,240 trigger. So the idea is clear. 131 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:52,040 If we are in the trading zone, we have already done all our prior analysis and 132 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:55,760 some form of trigger appears, we have the green light to launch the order. 133 00:07:56,320 --> 00:08:00,180 The appearance of candlesticks showing intent ultimately confirms a change of 134 00:08:00,180 --> 00:08:03,140 control among market participants in the very short term. 135 00:08:03,740 --> 00:08:07,920 At that point, we will have everything aligned. The context and the roadmap, 136 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:12,600 which will always refer to the longer -term control, and the appearance of the 137 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,060 entry trigger, which refers to the shorter -term control. 138 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:19,760 Here are some examples of our triggers, both for the long and the short side. 139 00:08:20,060 --> 00:08:24,480 If we look at it from the point of view of market fractality, In essence, they 140 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:28,960 all represent exactly the same type of reversal, with the only difference being 141 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:30,760 that some develop faster than others. 142 00:08:31,220 --> 00:08:35,360 This concept of fractality is very powerful and easy to understand. 143 00:08:36,039 --> 00:08:39,659 Imagine that we observe a one candlestick trigger on a daily chart. 144 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:45,140 Well, if we go down in time, for example, to a four or eight hour chart, 145 00:08:45,140 --> 00:08:48,060 observe that same behavior as the two candlestick trigger. 146 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:52,720 And if we go down to the hourly chart, we will observe the same behavior as the 147 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:54,580 three candlestick trigger, and so on. 148 00:08:54,820 --> 00:08:59,460 And those last triggers would probably represent the behavior seen on a chart 149 00:08:59,460 --> 00:09:01,260 15 and 5 minutes approximately. 150 00:09:02,100 --> 00:09:05,860 So you need to be aware that the triggers that we have just seen are a 151 00:09:05,860 --> 00:09:09,660 reference, and that the market can tell us exactly the same thing in multiple 152 00:09:09,660 --> 00:09:12,580 ways, depending on the time frame in which we are working. 153 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:17,360 Here we see two very different examples that ultimately represent the same 154 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:18,360 thing. 155 00:09:18,590 --> 00:09:22,810 Ultimately, the key is to determine the reversal by identifying a candlestick in 156 00:09:22,810 --> 00:09:27,370 the opposite direction, plus another one in favor of the movement we expect, and 157 00:09:27,370 --> 00:09:31,490 preferably with the latter showing a closing price at the opposite extreme to 158 00:09:31,490 --> 00:09:32,490 the previous one. 159 00:09:32,550 --> 00:09:36,510 Let's look at some particularities we should take into account with respect to 160 00:09:36,510 --> 00:09:37,489 the entry trigger. 161 00:09:37,490 --> 00:09:41,350 For example, the fact that one candlestick trigger should be composed 162 00:09:41,350 --> 00:09:45,230 bullish candlestick in the event we want to buy and that the remaining triggers 163 00:09:45,230 --> 00:09:49,530 should fail to close above the last big bearish candlestick that would establish 164 00:09:49,530 --> 00:09:54,550 control. We can also use this as an extra input that will add more or less 165 00:09:54,550 --> 00:09:55,590 strength to the scenario. 166 00:09:56,330 --> 00:10:00,610 This slide shows practically the same behavior with the only difference being 167 00:10:00,610 --> 00:10:04,050 the closing price of the bullish candlestick, which would ultimately 168 00:10:04,050 --> 00:10:05,670 greater or lesser aggressiveness. 169 00:10:06,330 --> 00:10:10,690 In the pattern on the left, we see that the bullish candlestick manages to close 170 00:10:10,690 --> 00:10:12,450 in the upper third of the bearish one. 171 00:10:12,890 --> 00:10:17,170 Although it is true that it could be taken as valid for use as an entry 172 00:10:17,350 --> 00:10:22,010 the fact that it is unable to close higher suggests that the aggressiveness 173 00:10:22,010 --> 00:10:26,610 the buyers is not at its peak, which could make us doubt whether to execute 174 00:10:26,610 --> 00:10:28,890 trade or at least make us reduce our exposure. 175 00:10:29,610 --> 00:10:33,530 In the middle pattern, we see more commitment from the buyers who have 176 00:10:33,530 --> 00:10:36,370 to push the price to close above the opening price. 177 00:10:36,610 --> 00:10:41,430 This representation provides us with greater confidence than the previous 178 00:10:42,250 --> 00:10:46,530 And finally, on the right, we see the representation that most suggests the 179 00:10:46,530 --> 00:10:50,710 strength is on the buyer's side, with the bullish candlestick closing even 180 00:10:50,710 --> 00:10:52,170 the maximum of the bearish one. 181 00:10:52,550 --> 00:10:56,770 These three representations should be enough to activate the entry trigger. 182 00:10:57,090 --> 00:11:00,930 Here is a specific example for the case of a one candlestick trigger. 183 00:11:01,270 --> 00:11:05,430 Can it be traded? Of course. It's exactly the same as we saw on the 184 00:11:05,430 --> 00:11:10,420 slide. As I said, Personally, I feel more confident if the candlestick is 185 00:11:10,420 --> 00:11:13,600 bullish since it represents even more commitment from the buyers. 186 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:17,980 But let's not forget that the most important aspect of a trading 187 00:11:17,980 --> 00:11:19,800 the previous analysis that we have done. 188 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:25,520 That is, the context, the roadmap, being in the trading zone, and observing most 189 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:26,700 of the differential inputs. 190 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:31,200 We should simply treat the inability to close above the opening price, 191 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:35,180 ultimately resulting in a bullish candlestick, as one more input. 192 00:11:35,710 --> 00:11:40,430 Another, perhaps trickier, particularity regarding the entry trigger is what 193 00:11:40,430 --> 00:11:44,670 happens if the candlestick that determines the last control is broken, 194 00:11:44,670 --> 00:11:46,890 candlesticks that do not appear to show intent. 195 00:11:47,770 --> 00:11:52,570 Here we have two examples, one bullish and one bearish. If we refer back to the 196 00:11:52,570 --> 00:11:57,250 concept of fractality, in the end, if we wanted to represent everything that 197 00:11:57,250 --> 00:12:00,830 happened there in a single candlestick, the result would be our single 198 00:12:00,830 --> 00:12:01,830 candlestick trigger. 199 00:12:01,990 --> 00:12:04,330 So, should we execute our trade in this case? 200 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:08,360 In this situation, I would be more reticent to trade following that type of 201 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:13,120 behavior. Although it is true that, as I have just said, the behavior at the 202 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:17,460 aggregate level would create our entry candlestick, implicitly I would need to 203 00:12:17,460 --> 00:12:21,780 see that final element of clear intent in the movement in favor of our 204 00:12:21,780 --> 00:12:25,280 direction, which is why I wouldn't take up a position in this case. 205 00:12:25,820 --> 00:12:26,880 But that's everything. 206 00:12:27,260 --> 00:12:30,900 Remember that we've previously talked about being more conservative or 207 00:12:30,900 --> 00:12:32,720 aggressive in our approach as traders. 208 00:12:33,260 --> 00:12:37,640 We already looked at this in terms of trading zones, and here we can also 209 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:38,640 the concept. 210 00:12:38,660 --> 00:12:39,900 From what point of view? 211 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:44,100 Well, let's consider the last major candlestick that we have against our 212 00:12:44,100 --> 00:12:48,280 direction. Let's then also apply the concept of a reversal movement. 213 00:12:48,700 --> 00:12:52,380 That last candlestick is going to represent the short -term control. 214 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:56,600 So, a conservative trader will wait for this control to have been broken. 215 00:12:57,130 --> 00:13:01,070 while an aggressive trader might consider entering the market even before 216 00:13:01,070 --> 00:13:03,290 change in the short -term control takes place. 217 00:13:03,970 --> 00:13:07,790 We have seen this previously and it all has to do with the level at which the 218 00:13:07,790 --> 00:13:08,790 candlestick closes. 219 00:13:09,190 --> 00:13:13,770 The conservative trader will wait for it to close at least in the final third of 220 00:13:13,770 --> 00:13:17,310 the previous candlestick, while the more aggressive trader could enter 221 00:13:17,310 --> 00:13:21,650 regardless of where the current candlestick closes relative to the 222 00:13:21,650 --> 00:13:23,250 indicating the short -term control. 223 00:13:23,900 --> 00:13:28,080 In other words, if we are looking for a buying opportunity and we take a more 224 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:32,260 conservative approach, we will wait until the price has closed at least at 225 00:13:32,260 --> 00:13:34,600 upper end of the last bearish candlestick. 226 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,060 This is what we have in this example. 227 00:13:37,260 --> 00:13:41,880 The bearish candlestick that establishes control closes below the trading level. 228 00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:46,760 A rejection candlestick is generated that fails to recover the level, and 229 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,400 subsequently our bullish strength candlestick appears. 230 00:13:49,930 --> 00:13:54,370 which re -enters above the trading level and manages to close at the maximum of 231 00:13:54,370 --> 00:13:58,730 the candlestick indicating bearish control, establishing the definitive 232 00:13:58,730 --> 00:14:03,690 trigger. Moreover, the last dynamic established by the short -term control, 233 00:14:03,690 --> 00:14:06,990 this case bearish, would already have been broken by this point. 234 00:14:07,410 --> 00:14:11,310 Could the aggressive trader have entered in that middle candlestick with its 235 00:14:11,310 --> 00:14:12,309 bottom wick? 236 00:14:12,310 --> 00:14:15,450 From my point of view, it would be too aggressive an entry. 237 00:14:15,810 --> 00:14:19,960 If that candlestick had closed above the trading level, At that point, its 238 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:24,040 closing price would at least be in the middle third of the bearish one. And 239 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:25,520 would give us a bit more confidence. 240 00:14:26,140 --> 00:14:30,880 In terms of the entry order, I always recommend using a stop order in the 241 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:31,880 direction of the movement. 242 00:14:32,020 --> 00:14:37,780 In other words, if what we want is to buy, we will use a buy stop located 243 00:14:37,780 --> 00:14:38,780 the current price. 244 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:44,260 And if what we want is to sell, we will use a sell stop located below the 245 00:14:44,260 --> 00:14:45,260 current price. 246 00:14:45,610 --> 00:14:50,150 The development of a candlestick showing intent is a clear sign of interest, but 247 00:14:50,150 --> 00:14:54,110 it is worth using a stop order as a definitive filter that suggests a 248 00:14:54,110 --> 00:14:57,030 continuity in the movement started with the trigger candle. 249 00:14:57,590 --> 00:15:02,070 Continuing with the example of our entry triggers, in the case of long trading, 250 00:15:02,210 --> 00:15:06,510 we would place the order above the candlestick. If we are going short, we 251 00:15:06,510 --> 00:15:09,750 place the sell stop entry order below the trigger candlestick. 252 00:15:09,950 --> 00:15:12,910 This process will always be exactly the same. 253 00:15:13,150 --> 00:15:14,190 How far below? 254 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:19,900 at least one tick below the high or low of the candlestick and preferably two to 255 00:15:19,900 --> 00:15:21,360 avoid micro false breakouts. 256 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:26,280 Although it may seem ridiculous, it happens. A mini false breakout on the 257 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:27,760 previous candlestick and reversal. 258 00:15:28,100 --> 00:15:32,100 In this way, we can enter in favor of the momentum and avoid these 259 00:15:32,100 --> 00:15:33,120 microstructure behaviors. 260 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:38,820 The reason for using this type of order and not any other is that it provides us 261 00:15:38,820 --> 00:15:40,040 with even more confidence. 262 00:15:40,780 --> 00:15:45,080 Sometimes we will see the development of what initially looks like a candlestick 263 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:49,440 showing intent and right after it closes, the price reverses sharply in 264 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:50,440 opposite direction. 265 00:15:50,540 --> 00:15:55,260 What happened here is that an absorption process has been carried out internally 266 00:15:55,260 --> 00:15:59,740 at all those price levels and traders with greater capacity were positioning 267 00:15:59,740 --> 00:16:01,300 themselves on the opposite side. 268 00:16:01,740 --> 00:16:06,140 By using this type of order, although we won't be saved from this potential 269 00:16:06,140 --> 00:16:10,750 situation, On many occasions at least, it will prevent us from entering the 270 00:16:10,750 --> 00:16:12,090 market where this has happened. 271 00:16:12,750 --> 00:16:16,530 Any movement that tips the balance of the market will have strong momentum, 272 00:16:16,770 --> 00:16:21,110 pushing it in the same direction. With this type of limit order, we will be 273 00:16:21,110 --> 00:16:23,610 entering in favor of the momentum of the imbalance. 274 00:16:24,190 --> 00:16:28,030 If the order is not triggered on the next candlestick, what can we do? 275 00:16:28,390 --> 00:16:32,570 The ideal behavior would be the activation of the entry order in the 276 00:16:32,570 --> 00:16:34,850 candlestick due to the aforementioned momentum. 277 00:16:35,630 --> 00:16:40,090 So here we have several options, from basically eliminating it and discarding 278 00:16:40,090 --> 00:16:42,970 the opportunity, to waiting for the subsequent price development. 279 00:16:43,430 --> 00:16:48,450 Personally, I would hold the order for two or three candlesticks maximum, after 280 00:16:48,450 --> 00:16:49,630 which I would cancel it. 281 00:16:50,070 --> 00:16:53,890 Something that would also make me discard the opportunity and cancel the 282 00:16:53,890 --> 00:16:56,210 is when the price reaches the opposite extreme. 283 00:16:56,750 --> 00:16:59,590 Our position was in favor of that short -term momentum. 284 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:04,359 So the non -activation of the order and of course the reversal in the opposite 285 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:08,280 direction leads us to think that there really was no directional interest 286 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:09,280 that first impulse. 287 00:17:09,500 --> 00:17:13,460 So it is best to stay out of the market and look for a new opportunity later. 288 00:17:13,839 --> 00:17:17,640 Going back to the example we saw earlier, since we are considering an 289 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:22,359 opportunity to buy, we would use a buy stop and place it just above the high of 290 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:26,359 the trigger candlestick. This is the location we will always work with. 291 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:31,260 We will look at some tips regarding the location of the stop loss later, but I 292 00:17:31,260 --> 00:17:34,540 can tell you now that it will be on the other side of the entry trigger. 293 00:17:34,900 --> 00:17:39,000 Another important particularity involves breakout trading, and more 294 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:43,260 specifically, those situations where our entry order would be relatively close 295 00:17:43,260 --> 00:17:47,540 to the breakout of a liquidity zone, be it a simple prior pivot or the extreme 296 00:17:47,540 --> 00:17:48,540 of a structure. 297 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:53,080 Imagine that we are trading this structure and we observe that after a 298 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:57,050 evident spring in sign of strength, We are in trading zone number 5. 299 00:17:57,650 --> 00:18:01,990 Continuation strategy within the range in phase D and the market generates that 300 00:18:01,990 --> 00:18:04,290 pivot plus the subsequent false breakout. 301 00:18:04,690 --> 00:18:09,430 As we see, the trigger candlestick is also the candlestick that generates a 302 00:18:09,430 --> 00:18:14,250 false breakout of the previous low and even manages to close at the upper end 303 00:18:14,250 --> 00:18:17,830 the last big bearish candlestick. We have a 2 candlestick trigger. 304 00:18:18,190 --> 00:18:23,090 But what happens? If we look closely, we are relatively close to the high of the 305 00:18:23,090 --> 00:18:24,090 structure. 306 00:18:24,140 --> 00:18:28,120 If this trade had been taken, the result would have been a win, but that is not 307 00:18:28,120 --> 00:18:32,320 what this is about, because on this occasion it has gone well, but on many 308 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:36,420 others it won't, and our main objective should always be to favor the 309 00:18:36,420 --> 00:18:39,800 preservation of capital over and above the search for profit. 310 00:18:40,220 --> 00:18:43,660 This is about applying the knowledge that we have acquired throughout the 311 00:18:43,660 --> 00:18:48,620 course, that we know that this area, the end of the structure, is a very 312 00:18:48,620 --> 00:18:52,440 important trading zone that will generate major interaction between 313 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:53,440 participants. 314 00:18:53,740 --> 00:18:58,360 and we do not know what will happen. The breakout could be real and continue 315 00:18:58,360 --> 00:19:02,620 upwards, or an upthrust may be generated and the price may fall. 316 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:07,780 And since we don't know what might happen, once the price reaches this 317 00:19:07,780 --> 00:19:11,160 must at least carry out the most defensive position management possible. 318 00:19:11,380 --> 00:19:16,680 And this basically means setting the stop at break -even, that is, just a bit 319 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:17,680 above the entry level. 320 00:19:17,820 --> 00:19:21,860 We will talk about this in more depth in the section about position management. 321 00:19:22,300 --> 00:19:26,950 For now, Simply keep in mind that if the entry order is located relatively close 322 00:19:26,950 --> 00:19:29,270 to a liquidity zone, we have two options. 323 00:19:29,490 --> 00:19:33,470 Either we enter but manage the position with a stop at break -even when the 324 00:19:33,470 --> 00:19:37,930 price reaches that zone, or we don't even enter and we look for a position 325 00:19:37,930 --> 00:19:42,770 on. In this example, if we have entered and carried out the proper management, 326 00:19:43,030 --> 00:19:46,870 we would have quickly been ejected from the market at the break -even point. 327 00:19:47,650 --> 00:19:50,230 We might also find ourselves in this situation. 328 00:19:50,750 --> 00:19:53,230 where the entry trigger closes above the trading level. 329 00:19:53,770 --> 00:19:58,030 This would require us to place the entry order right in the liquidity zone. 330 00:19:58,310 --> 00:19:59,310 What do we do? 331 00:19:59,610 --> 00:20:03,630 Well, the rationale is exactly the same as in the previous situation. 332 00:20:04,270 --> 00:20:08,510 We find ourselves in a situation where there are two highly possible scenarios, 333 00:20:08,810 --> 00:20:13,410 and we have no way of knowing what will happen. This means that buying in that 334 00:20:13,410 --> 00:20:14,750 area would be too risky. 335 00:20:14,990 --> 00:20:17,910 We would be gambling on the market continuing to rise. 336 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,900 But at that point, we do not have any clear signs indicating whether the 337 00:20:21,900 --> 00:20:25,620 breakout is going to be confirmed or not. For this reason, the most sensible 338 00:20:25,620 --> 00:20:29,480 thing would be to discard that opportunity in the first instance and 339 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:33,300 monitoring it in the event that it offers up a second opportunity to enter. 340 00:20:33,900 --> 00:20:38,060 Something else to bear in mind is that there will be occasions when, even 341 00:20:38,060 --> 00:20:42,700 seen the genuine entry trigger on the trading zone, we may see an excessively 342 00:20:42,700 --> 00:20:45,560 wide candlestick which we need to be careful with. 343 00:20:45,850 --> 00:20:48,590 especially if it is accompanied by very high volume. 344 00:20:48,930 --> 00:20:53,490 This is because the type of candlesticks which manage to travel a long distance 345 00:20:53,490 --> 00:20:57,970 and generate a large volume of trading generate doubts about the real intention 346 00:20:57,970 --> 00:20:59,170 behind those trades. 347 00:20:59,550 --> 00:21:04,550 Such a high volume puts us at least in a position to wait for a later test to 348 00:21:04,550 --> 00:21:06,290 verify the intention of the participants. 349 00:21:07,170 --> 00:21:10,570 In this example, we see two similar situations. 350 00:21:11,210 --> 00:21:15,370 We are in a range context where we have previously seen a potential spring and a 351 00:21:15,370 --> 00:21:19,430 good sign of strength, so we are ready to look for any opportunity to enter the 352 00:21:19,430 --> 00:21:23,790 market long, and we can observe a large candlestick showing bullish intent with 353 00:21:23,790 --> 00:21:28,050 a closing price at the top and a huge wick at the bottom, denoting the 354 00:21:28,050 --> 00:21:29,430 aggressive entry of buyers. 355 00:21:30,290 --> 00:21:35,070 The key is that it is accompanied by a really high volume, so the market is 356 00:21:35,070 --> 00:21:38,950 forced to perform a test in that direction to be able to assess the 357 00:21:38,950 --> 00:21:39,950 towards it. 358 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,180 After a new false breakout, the market develops upwards. 359 00:21:43,500 --> 00:21:47,580 An entry with a very tight stop loss would probably be triggered. 360 00:21:47,940 --> 00:21:50,680 And a little higher, there is another trading opportunity. 361 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:55,400 Small sideways movement and the appearance of a large bullish 362 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:59,620 accompanied by another large volume peak and with exactly the same result. 363 00:22:00,120 --> 00:22:04,460 The key is to observe the big difference between the size of the previous 364 00:22:04,460 --> 00:22:07,560 candlesticks and that of the trigger candlestick. 365 00:22:07,930 --> 00:22:10,730 You just have to be alert to this potential situation. 366 00:22:12,030 --> 00:22:13,470 Entry by the context. 367 00:22:13,950 --> 00:22:18,510 Since we're now looking at more advanced content, it is worth looking beyond the 368 00:22:18,510 --> 00:22:22,810 classic types of entry and explaining a more complex type, which I have called 369 00:22:22,810 --> 00:22:23,850 by the context. 370 00:22:24,370 --> 00:22:29,050 This type of entry is based on the idea of prioritizing the development of the 371 00:22:29,050 --> 00:22:32,070 context and the roadmap over any other element. 372 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:36,320 This is why decision making based on this idea should meet the recommended 373 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,600 characteristics that any trading approach should have, based on the 374 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:41,299 the structures. 375 00:22:41,300 --> 00:22:45,300 And what I am referring to is nothing more than the trading checklist that we 376 00:22:45,300 --> 00:22:47,620 have previously defined, as we mentioned earlier. 377 00:22:47,820 --> 00:22:52,300 The more of these inputs we have in our favor, the greater confidence we will 378 00:22:52,300 --> 00:22:53,300 have in the trade. 379 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:58,260 In this case, for entries by context, we need the market to follow almost the 380 00:22:58,260 --> 00:22:59,620 perfect textbook behavior. 381 00:23:00,420 --> 00:23:04,740 Applying this concept should be almost exclusively limited to a situation in 382 00:23:04,740 --> 00:23:08,580 which we are looking for the potential test after the breakout, whilst waiting 383 00:23:08,580 --> 00:23:12,520 for the confirmation and subsequent development of the trend outside the 384 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:17,300 Imagine that you are somewhere in the orange box, trying to find the 385 00:23:17,300 --> 00:23:18,300 entry trigger. 386 00:23:18,460 --> 00:23:22,480 And herein lies one of the problems we might come across when trading in real 387 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,180 life. What can we do if we aren't in front of the screen at that moment? 388 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:30,920 Perhaps the most logical thing to do would be to discard the trade and not 389 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,920 the market since we cannot verify the appearance of our trigger. 390 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:38,560 A second option would be to prioritize the development of the general context 391 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,600 over the appearance of the trigger specifically. 392 00:23:41,260 --> 00:23:44,880 This is the rationale behind the type of entry by the context. 393 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:50,440 If we perform our analysis and identify all of these signs, this suggests we are 394 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:51,900 in the best possible context. 395 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:56,160 and all this should carry more weight than the latest action represented by 396 00:23:56,160 --> 00:24:00,140 trigger. Well, this would be an example of which we could enter by context. 397 00:24:00,500 --> 00:24:02,360 What inputs do we have in our favor? 398 00:24:03,180 --> 00:24:07,000 We have the context, determined by the potential accumulation pattern. 399 00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,960 We have the roadmap, which suggests to us that the price will most likely 400 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:15,380 develop a test after a bullish breakout before continuing a trend movement out 401 00:24:15,380 --> 00:24:16,380 of the range. 402 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:20,640 Obviously, we are in a trading zone. The overall volume during the development 403 00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,720 of the range is declining. 404 00:24:22,300 --> 00:24:25,920 The false breakout travels a significant distance and reverses quickly. 405 00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:30,900 The impulses and corrections follow a harmonious pattern, both in price and 406 00:24:30,900 --> 00:24:36,320 volume, evidenced by the increase in volume in the impulse breakout movement 407 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,100 the decrease in corrective test movement. 408 00:24:38,540 --> 00:24:41,560 There are no significant movements against our scenario. 409 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:46,200 The price has not re -entered the range and there is proportionality between the 410 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:47,660 breakout and test movements. 411 00:24:48,180 --> 00:24:52,600 In short, There are a large number of inputs in favor of the bullish scenario, 412 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:56,080 so we would consider it highly likely to develop as expected. 413 00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:01,460 From here, we must determine what type of risk management we perform, since it 414 00:25:01,460 --> 00:25:05,100 is an entry by context and it is not clear what the trigger is. 415 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:09,460 It may be best to reduce the risk a little, since you never know what might 416 00:25:09,460 --> 00:25:13,640 happen. In this case, we are looking at an example of a distribution pattern. 417 00:25:14,100 --> 00:25:17,700 Right at the point where we're looking for the test after a bearish breakout, 418 00:25:17,940 --> 00:25:18,940 what do we have? 419 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:24,360 context, roadmap, trading zone, volume increase during part of range 420 00:25:24,360 --> 00:25:28,260 development, a very clear display of weakness stemming from a minor false 421 00:25:28,260 --> 00:25:32,500 breakout, although it breaks through several previous highs, decreased volume 422 00:25:32,500 --> 00:25:37,200 after the breakout, no re -entering of the range, and no big bearish movement 423 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,420 volume against the scenario. 424 00:25:39,260 --> 00:25:43,080 All this means we should consider the significance of the structure when 425 00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:44,380 assessing our entry trigger. 426 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,200 We should simply enter with a market order, and that's that. 427 00:25:48,780 --> 00:25:53,200 If we enter without having identified our entry trigger in advance, this can 428 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:57,480 lead to doubts about where to place the stop loss. In this case, the most 429 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,740 sensible thing would be to place it at some point within the structure, at 430 00:26:01,740 --> 00:26:06,080 which, if reached, could turn out to be a false breakout rather than a real 431 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:07,080 breakout. 432 00:26:07,140 --> 00:26:10,520 Like I said, you don't have to allocate all the risk to it. 433 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:15,600 One way to manage it is to enter with 50 % of the position and add the other 50 434 00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:17,760 % if you see the definitive trigger. 435 00:26:18,140 --> 00:26:23,040 candlestick or enter expecting a continuation as happens in that 436 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,040 thrust 42118

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