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Entry Let's now address the most
operational section by first looking at
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should enter the market.
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Why you shouldn't trade with limit
orders.
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But before answering this question,
let's talk about how not to enter the
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market. I often see Wyckoff traders use
limit orders to somehow anticipate the
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entry. A very common example is when
trying to take advantage of a potential
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spring, in the event it finally occurs,
of course.
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What these traders usually do is
identify the low of the structure and
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limit order there to buy below the
current price.
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In other words, a buy limit.
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In this way, when the price reaches that
level, it activates the order and the
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trader enters the market long, with the
hope that the spring will be confirmed
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and the price will rise.
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Personally, I don't relate to this way
of trading at all, since it goes against
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the reactive approach of the
methodology.
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Our advantage lies in confirming the
actions as they appear.
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So if we were to trade in this manner,
we would simply be gambling on the
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reversal taking place at that moment
without the slightest idea of whether
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will happen.
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We know this is a key trading zone, a
potential bearish breakout or a
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spring. Why not gamble on the potential
bearish breakout?
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If the answer is simply based on the
fact that the sign suggests that we
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go long, that's not good enough for me.
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We know how volatile the markets can be
and how any news or the entry of traders
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with a greater capacity can reverse the
sentiment at any given moment.
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So being predisposed to only accept that
particular action seems too risky to
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me. Also, where do you put the stop
loss?
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I wouldn't be surprised if a trader
using this approach didn't bother with a
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stop loss either.
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What difference does it make? Well, it
makes a huge difference because you can
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bankrupt your account in a single trade.
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So where do you put it?
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You don't have any reference.
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You would have to do it arbitrarily, so
most likely it will either fall short or
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be placed too far away.
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Imagine something like this happens,
that the entry order is executed.
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You place your stop loss at some
indeterminate point and the price hits
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before reversing again.
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I'm sure this happens.
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Worth of all, your scenario might have
been as predicted, but by not waiting to
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confirm behaviors, you will have made
bad decisions.
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By placing a buy limit, you are gambling
on the price developing two movements,
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the bearish one to generate the test and
the bullish one that will take the
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price to the high part of the range.
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The key here is that we can only really
predict the development of one movement.
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In this case, we might initially predict
the bearish movement that will lead to
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a potential spring, once the price
reaches the area where it should turn.
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have to analyze the price action and the
volume again to see if the imbalance
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that generates the bullish reversal
occurs.
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But anyway, you know that the Wyckoff
method provides you with different
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opportunities, so now you definitively
decide to execute the same type of
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this time looking for a successful test
of the spring.
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But why not even consider that said test
might never take place, and that
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instead of confirming the test of the
spring, the price might continue to
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which would confirm that our analysis
was not correct.
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We shouldn't be biased in one direction,
let alone execute those kind of orders.
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The problem is that this approach to
executing trades is completely wrong.
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And what happens, although it seems
strange, is a real example.
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It is very erratic behavior but can
often happen, so there is no point in
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trading under the premise of trying to
guess.
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Fundamentally, the idea is that we
should be continuously analyzing the
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interaction between buyers and sellers,
though we may be directionally biased
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towards one side based on the context.
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We need confirmation when the time comes
that the approach is sound and that the
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market itself confirms it.
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During a potential test of the spring,
if we see that aggressive buyers appear
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to push the price up, this is a sign we
need to see in order to confirm that our
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analysis is correct.
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In this case, it would offer us a
trading opportunity.
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It is also important to remember that
even if we see our entry trigger in the
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predicted zone, there is no guarantee
that our trade will end in a profit or a
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loss. As we have already seen, new
information is constantly entering the
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and this could change the perception of
value by participants at any time. But
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at least we will be more likely to make
the right decision at all times.
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This is not the only example of making
an incorrect use of limit orders to
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the market.
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There will also be the trader who,
believing that in the current position
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spring is going to be confirmed, instead
of having previously bought with a buy
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limit order, decides to launch a buy
stop order above the current price to go
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long in the event the price re -enters
the range again in the hope that the
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spring will be confirmed and a strong
upward imbalance will be generated.
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We are in exactly the same situation as
in the previous example.
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Why couldn't this be the real breakout?
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We have already seen what happens, which
is activation of the entry order and
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the exit due to the stop loss.
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I repeat, it's true that this market
behavior is somewhat strange.
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But just because it's strange doesn't
mean that it cannot appear.
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This is the mindset we need. Our job is
not only to try to guess, but to try to
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confirm market behavior as soon as
possible.
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And of course, there is the classic
entry in favor of the breakout.
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For me, a breakout does not offer a
trading opportunity.
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We already know why. It is a trading
zone where anything can happen.
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Gambling on the generation of a real
breakout is just as bad as gambling on
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of a false breakout.
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In this case, the trade would place a
sell -stop order at the lows of the
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structure, waiting for the bearish
continuation of the movement.
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Unless you have taken profits quickly on
the initial continuation of the
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movement, chances are you will
eventually end up with a loss if you
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this way.
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As I said, it is not a type of execution
that fills me with trust.
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since it goes against the principles of
the methodology.
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If you are using any of these methods to
enter the market, unless you have them
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properly back -tested, my recommendation
is that you think logically to see if
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they really make sense to you.
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The Entry Trigger In this part, we are
going to look at the different behaviors
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that we can use as a trigger to launch
our orders on the market.
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We find ourselves at the point where the
opportunity has been confirmed by going
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through our trading checklist.
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and we have the green light to look for
the last element we need to definitively
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confirm our participation in the market.
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More often than not, our main trigger
will be to wait for the appearance of a
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candlestick showing intent, a
candlestick that denotes aggressiveness
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direction we want to trade.
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Because of the message they convey, this
is the best way of definitively
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confirming the opportunity.
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If we are in a trading zone where we
want to buy, and after seeing all the
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necessary signs discussed previously, we
observe a candlestick showing bullish
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strength, This informs us of a clear
intention on the part of the buyers.
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The candlesticks that meet the
characteristics we are looking for are
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a wide range, high volume, and a closing
price at the extremes, regardless of
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whether or not there is a wick at the
opposite end, and always analyzing in
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comparative terms with respect to the
previously seen candlesticks. We have
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looked at this previously with respect
to the nature of the spring. That
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made up of a single candlestick,
directly activates the trigger for us.
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since it complies with the price and
volume characteristics that we would
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for it to denote strength.
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Moreover, regardless of the pattern
generated by the false breakout, they
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all ultimately made up of a candlestick
denoting strength that ends up
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confirming the pattern, and this
candlestick denoting strength is our
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trigger. So the idea is clear.
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If we are in the trading zone, we have
already done all our prior analysis and
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some form of trigger appears, we have
the green light to launch the order.
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The appearance of candlesticks showing
intent ultimately confirms a change of
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control among market participants in the
very short term.
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At that point, we will have everything
aligned. The context and the roadmap,
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which will always refer to the longer
-term control, and the appearance of the
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entry trigger, which refers to the
shorter -term control.
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Here are some examples of our triggers,
both for the long and the short side.
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If we look at it from the point of view
of market fractality, In essence, they
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all represent exactly the same type of
reversal, with the only difference being
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that some develop faster than others.
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This concept of fractality is very
powerful and easy to understand.
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Imagine that we observe a one
candlestick trigger on a daily chart.
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Well, if we go down in time, for
example, to a four or eight hour chart,
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observe that same behavior as the two
candlestick trigger.
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And if we go down to the hourly chart,
we will observe the same behavior as the
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three candlestick trigger, and so on.
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And those last triggers would probably
represent the behavior seen on a chart
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15 and 5 minutes approximately.
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So you need to be aware that the
triggers that we have just seen are a
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reference, and that the market can tell
us exactly the same thing in multiple
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ways, depending on the time frame in
which we are working.
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Here we see two very different examples
that ultimately represent the same
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thing.
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Ultimately, the key is to determine the
reversal by identifying a candlestick in
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the opposite direction, plus another one
in favor of the movement we expect, and
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preferably with the latter showing a
closing price at the opposite extreme to
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the previous one.
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Let's look at some particularities we
should take into account with respect to
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the entry trigger.
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For example, the fact that one
candlestick trigger should be composed
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bullish candlestick in the event we want
to buy and that the remaining triggers
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should fail to close above the last big
bearish candlestick that would establish
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control. We can also use this as an
extra input that will add more or less
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strength to the scenario.
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This slide shows practically the same
behavior with the only difference being
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the closing price of the bullish
candlestick, which would ultimately
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greater or lesser aggressiveness.
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In the pattern on the left, we see that
the bullish candlestick manages to close
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in the upper third of the bearish one.
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Although it is true that it could be
taken as valid for use as an entry
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the fact that it is unable to close
higher suggests that the aggressiveness
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the buyers is not at its peak, which
could make us doubt whether to execute
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trade or at least make us reduce our
exposure.
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In the middle pattern, we see more
commitment from the buyers who have
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to push the price to close above the
opening price.
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This representation provides us with
greater confidence than the previous
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And finally, on the right, we see the
representation that most suggests the
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strength is on the buyer's side, with
the bullish candlestick closing even
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the maximum of the bearish one.
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These three representations should be
enough to activate the entry trigger.
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Here is a specific example for the case
of a one candlestick trigger.
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Can it be traded? Of course. It's
exactly the same as we saw on the
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slide. As I said, Personally, I feel
more confident if the candlestick is
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bullish since it represents even more
commitment from the buyers.
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But let's not forget that the most
important aspect of a trading
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the previous analysis that we have done.
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That is, the context, the roadmap, being
in the trading zone, and observing most
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of the differential inputs.
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We should simply treat the inability to
close above the opening price,
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ultimately resulting in a bullish
candlestick, as one more input.
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Another, perhaps trickier, particularity
regarding the entry trigger is what
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happens if the candlestick that
determines the last control is broken,
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candlesticks that do not appear to show
intent.
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Here we have two examples, one bullish
and one bearish. If we refer back to the
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concept of fractality, in the end, if we
wanted to represent everything that
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happened there in a single candlestick,
the result would be our single
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candlestick trigger.
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So, should we execute our trade in this
case?
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In this situation, I would be more
reticent to trade following that type of
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behavior. Although it is true that, as I
have just said, the behavior at the
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aggregate level would create our entry
candlestick, implicitly I would need to
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see that final element of clear intent
in the movement in favor of our
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direction, which is why I wouldn't take
up a position in this case.
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But that's everything.
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Remember that we've previously talked
about being more conservative or
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aggressive in our approach as traders.
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We already looked at this in terms of
trading zones, and here we can also
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the concept.
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From what point of view?
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Well, let's consider the last major
candlestick that we have against our
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direction. Let's then also apply the
concept of a reversal movement.
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That last candlestick is going to
represent the short -term control.
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So, a conservative trader will wait for
this control to have been broken.
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while an aggressive trader might
consider entering the market even before
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change in the short -term control takes
place.
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We have seen this previously and it all
has to do with the level at which the
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candlestick closes.
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The conservative trader will wait for it
to close at least in the final third of
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the previous candlestick, while the more
aggressive trader could enter
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regardless of where the current
candlestick closes relative to the
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00:13:21,650 --> 00:13:23,250
indicating the short -term control.
223
00:13:23,900 --> 00:13:28,080
In other words, if we are looking for a
buying opportunity and we take a more
224
00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:32,260
conservative approach, we will wait
until the price has closed at least at
225
00:13:32,260 --> 00:13:34,600
upper end of the last bearish
candlestick.
226
00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,060
This is what we have in this example.
227
00:13:37,260 --> 00:13:41,880
The bearish candlestick that establishes
control closes below the trading level.
228
00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:46,760
A rejection candlestick is generated
that fails to recover the level, and
229
00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,400
subsequently our bullish strength
candlestick appears.
230
00:13:49,930 --> 00:13:54,370
which re -enters above the trading level
and manages to close at the maximum of
231
00:13:54,370 --> 00:13:58,730
the candlestick indicating bearish
control, establishing the definitive
232
00:13:58,730 --> 00:14:03,690
trigger. Moreover, the last dynamic
established by the short -term control,
233
00:14:03,690 --> 00:14:06,990
this case bearish, would already have
been broken by this point.
234
00:14:07,410 --> 00:14:11,310
Could the aggressive trader have entered
in that middle candlestick with its
235
00:14:11,310 --> 00:14:12,309
bottom wick?
236
00:14:12,310 --> 00:14:15,450
From my point of view, it would be too
aggressive an entry.
237
00:14:15,810 --> 00:14:19,960
If that candlestick had closed above the
trading level, At that point, its
238
00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:24,040
closing price would at least be in the
middle third of the bearish one. And
239
00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:25,520
would give us a bit more confidence.
240
00:14:26,140 --> 00:14:30,880
In terms of the entry order, I always
recommend using a stop order in the
241
00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:31,880
direction of the movement.
242
00:14:32,020 --> 00:14:37,780
In other words, if what we want is to
buy, we will use a buy stop located
243
00:14:37,780 --> 00:14:38,780
the current price.
244
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:44,260
And if what we want is to sell, we will
use a sell stop located below the
245
00:14:44,260 --> 00:14:45,260
current price.
246
00:14:45,610 --> 00:14:50,150
The development of a candlestick showing
intent is a clear sign of interest, but
247
00:14:50,150 --> 00:14:54,110
it is worth using a stop order as a
definitive filter that suggests a
248
00:14:54,110 --> 00:14:57,030
continuity in the movement started with
the trigger candle.
249
00:14:57,590 --> 00:15:02,070
Continuing with the example of our entry
triggers, in the case of long trading,
250
00:15:02,210 --> 00:15:06,510
we would place the order above the
candlestick. If we are going short, we
251
00:15:06,510 --> 00:15:09,750
place the sell stop entry order below
the trigger candlestick.
252
00:15:09,950 --> 00:15:12,910
This process will always be exactly the
same.
253
00:15:13,150 --> 00:15:14,190
How far below?
254
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:19,900
at least one tick below the high or low
of the candlestick and preferably two to
255
00:15:19,900 --> 00:15:21,360
avoid micro false breakouts.
256
00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:26,280
Although it may seem ridiculous, it
happens. A mini false breakout on the
257
00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:27,760
previous candlestick and reversal.
258
00:15:28,100 --> 00:15:32,100
In this way, we can enter in favor of
the momentum and avoid these
259
00:15:32,100 --> 00:15:33,120
microstructure behaviors.
260
00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:38,820
The reason for using this type of order
and not any other is that it provides us
261
00:15:38,820 --> 00:15:40,040
with even more confidence.
262
00:15:40,780 --> 00:15:45,080
Sometimes we will see the development of
what initially looks like a candlestick
263
00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:49,440
showing intent and right after it
closes, the price reverses sharply in
264
00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:50,440
opposite direction.
265
00:15:50,540 --> 00:15:55,260
What happened here is that an absorption
process has been carried out internally
266
00:15:55,260 --> 00:15:59,740
at all those price levels and traders
with greater capacity were positioning
267
00:15:59,740 --> 00:16:01,300
themselves on the opposite side.
268
00:16:01,740 --> 00:16:06,140
By using this type of order, although we
won't be saved from this potential
269
00:16:06,140 --> 00:16:10,750
situation, On many occasions at least,
it will prevent us from entering the
270
00:16:10,750 --> 00:16:12,090
market where this has happened.
271
00:16:12,750 --> 00:16:16,530
Any movement that tips the balance of
the market will have strong momentum,
272
00:16:16,770 --> 00:16:21,110
pushing it in the same direction. With
this type of limit order, we will be
273
00:16:21,110 --> 00:16:23,610
entering in favor of the momentum of the
imbalance.
274
00:16:24,190 --> 00:16:28,030
If the order is not triggered on the
next candlestick, what can we do?
275
00:16:28,390 --> 00:16:32,570
The ideal behavior would be the
activation of the entry order in the
276
00:16:32,570 --> 00:16:34,850
candlestick due to the aforementioned
momentum.
277
00:16:35,630 --> 00:16:40,090
So here we have several options, from
basically eliminating it and discarding
278
00:16:40,090 --> 00:16:42,970
the opportunity, to waiting for the
subsequent price development.
279
00:16:43,430 --> 00:16:48,450
Personally, I would hold the order for
two or three candlesticks maximum, after
280
00:16:48,450 --> 00:16:49,630
which I would cancel it.
281
00:16:50,070 --> 00:16:53,890
Something that would also make me
discard the opportunity and cancel the
282
00:16:53,890 --> 00:16:56,210
is when the price reaches the opposite
extreme.
283
00:16:56,750 --> 00:16:59,590
Our position was in favor of that short
-term momentum.
284
00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:04,359
So the non -activation of the order and
of course the reversal in the opposite
285
00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:08,280
direction leads us to think that there
really was no directional interest
286
00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:09,280
that first impulse.
287
00:17:09,500 --> 00:17:13,460
So it is best to stay out of the market
and look for a new opportunity later.
288
00:17:13,839 --> 00:17:17,640
Going back to the example we saw
earlier, since we are considering an
289
00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:22,359
opportunity to buy, we would use a buy
stop and place it just above the high of
290
00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:26,359
the trigger candlestick. This is the
location we will always work with.
291
00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:31,260
We will look at some tips regarding the
location of the stop loss later, but I
292
00:17:31,260 --> 00:17:34,540
can tell you now that it will be on the
other side of the entry trigger.
293
00:17:34,900 --> 00:17:39,000
Another important particularity involves
breakout trading, and more
294
00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:43,260
specifically, those situations where our
entry order would be relatively close
295
00:17:43,260 --> 00:17:47,540
to the breakout of a liquidity zone, be
it a simple prior pivot or the extreme
296
00:17:47,540 --> 00:17:48,540
of a structure.
297
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:53,080
Imagine that we are trading this
structure and we observe that after a
298
00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:57,050
evident spring in sign of strength, We
are in trading zone number 5.
299
00:17:57,650 --> 00:18:01,990
Continuation strategy within the range
in phase D and the market generates that
300
00:18:01,990 --> 00:18:04,290
pivot plus the subsequent false
breakout.
301
00:18:04,690 --> 00:18:09,430
As we see, the trigger candlestick is
also the candlestick that generates a
302
00:18:09,430 --> 00:18:14,250
false breakout of the previous low and
even manages to close at the upper end
303
00:18:14,250 --> 00:18:17,830
the last big bearish candlestick. We
have a 2 candlestick trigger.
304
00:18:18,190 --> 00:18:23,090
But what happens? If we look closely, we
are relatively close to the high of the
305
00:18:23,090 --> 00:18:24,090
structure.
306
00:18:24,140 --> 00:18:28,120
If this trade had been taken, the result
would have been a win, but that is not
307
00:18:28,120 --> 00:18:32,320
what this is about, because on this
occasion it has gone well, but on many
308
00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:36,420
others it won't, and our main objective
should always be to favor the
309
00:18:36,420 --> 00:18:39,800
preservation of capital over and above
the search for profit.
310
00:18:40,220 --> 00:18:43,660
This is about applying the knowledge
that we have acquired throughout the
311
00:18:43,660 --> 00:18:48,620
course, that we know that this area, the
end of the structure, is a very
312
00:18:48,620 --> 00:18:52,440
important trading zone that will
generate major interaction between
313
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:53,440
participants.
314
00:18:53,740 --> 00:18:58,360
and we do not know what will happen. The
breakout could be real and continue
315
00:18:58,360 --> 00:19:02,620
upwards, or an upthrust may be generated
and the price may fall.
316
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:07,780
And since we don't know what might
happen, once the price reaches this
317
00:19:07,780 --> 00:19:11,160
must at least carry out the most
defensive position management possible.
318
00:19:11,380 --> 00:19:16,680
And this basically means setting the
stop at break -even, that is, just a bit
319
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:17,680
above the entry level.
320
00:19:17,820 --> 00:19:21,860
We will talk about this in more depth in
the section about position management.
321
00:19:22,300 --> 00:19:26,950
For now, Simply keep in mind that if the
entry order is located relatively close
322
00:19:26,950 --> 00:19:29,270
to a liquidity zone, we have two
options.
323
00:19:29,490 --> 00:19:33,470
Either we enter but manage the position
with a stop at break -even when the
324
00:19:33,470 --> 00:19:37,930
price reaches that zone, or we don't
even enter and we look for a position
325
00:19:37,930 --> 00:19:42,770
on. In this example, if we have entered
and carried out the proper management,
326
00:19:43,030 --> 00:19:46,870
we would have quickly been ejected from
the market at the break -even point.
327
00:19:47,650 --> 00:19:50,230
We might also find ourselves in this
situation.
328
00:19:50,750 --> 00:19:53,230
where the entry trigger closes above the
trading level.
329
00:19:53,770 --> 00:19:58,030
This would require us to place the entry
order right in the liquidity zone.
330
00:19:58,310 --> 00:19:59,310
What do we do?
331
00:19:59,610 --> 00:20:03,630
Well, the rationale is exactly the same
as in the previous situation.
332
00:20:04,270 --> 00:20:08,510
We find ourselves in a situation where
there are two highly possible scenarios,
333
00:20:08,810 --> 00:20:13,410
and we have no way of knowing what will
happen. This means that buying in that
334
00:20:13,410 --> 00:20:14,750
area would be too risky.
335
00:20:14,990 --> 00:20:17,910
We would be gambling on the market
continuing to rise.
336
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,900
But at that point, we do not have any
clear signs indicating whether the
337
00:20:21,900 --> 00:20:25,620
breakout is going to be confirmed or
not. For this reason, the most sensible
338
00:20:25,620 --> 00:20:29,480
thing would be to discard that
opportunity in the first instance and
339
00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:33,300
monitoring it in the event that it
offers up a second opportunity to enter.
340
00:20:33,900 --> 00:20:38,060
Something else to bear in mind is that
there will be occasions when, even
341
00:20:38,060 --> 00:20:42,700
seen the genuine entry trigger on the
trading zone, we may see an excessively
342
00:20:42,700 --> 00:20:45,560
wide candlestick which we need to be
careful with.
343
00:20:45,850 --> 00:20:48,590
especially if it is accompanied by very
high volume.
344
00:20:48,930 --> 00:20:53,490
This is because the type of candlesticks
which manage to travel a long distance
345
00:20:53,490 --> 00:20:57,970
and generate a large volume of trading
generate doubts about the real intention
346
00:20:57,970 --> 00:20:59,170
behind those trades.
347
00:20:59,550 --> 00:21:04,550
Such a high volume puts us at least in a
position to wait for a later test to
348
00:21:04,550 --> 00:21:06,290
verify the intention of the
participants.
349
00:21:07,170 --> 00:21:10,570
In this example, we see two similar
situations.
350
00:21:11,210 --> 00:21:15,370
We are in a range context where we have
previously seen a potential spring and a
351
00:21:15,370 --> 00:21:19,430
good sign of strength, so we are ready
to look for any opportunity to enter the
352
00:21:19,430 --> 00:21:23,790
market long, and we can observe a large
candlestick showing bullish intent with
353
00:21:23,790 --> 00:21:28,050
a closing price at the top and a huge
wick at the bottom, denoting the
354
00:21:28,050 --> 00:21:29,430
aggressive entry of buyers.
355
00:21:30,290 --> 00:21:35,070
The key is that it is accompanied by a
really high volume, so the market is
356
00:21:35,070 --> 00:21:38,950
forced to perform a test in that
direction to be able to assess the
357
00:21:38,950 --> 00:21:39,950
towards it.
358
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,180
After a new false breakout, the market
develops upwards.
359
00:21:43,500 --> 00:21:47,580
An entry with a very tight stop loss
would probably be triggered.
360
00:21:47,940 --> 00:21:50,680
And a little higher, there is another
trading opportunity.
361
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:55,400
Small sideways movement and the
appearance of a large bullish
362
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:59,620
accompanied by another large volume peak
and with exactly the same result.
363
00:22:00,120 --> 00:22:04,460
The key is to observe the big difference
between the size of the previous
364
00:22:04,460 --> 00:22:07,560
candlesticks and that of the trigger
candlestick.
365
00:22:07,930 --> 00:22:10,730
You just have to be alert to this
potential situation.
366
00:22:12,030 --> 00:22:13,470
Entry by the context.
367
00:22:13,950 --> 00:22:18,510
Since we're now looking at more advanced
content, it is worth looking beyond the
368
00:22:18,510 --> 00:22:22,810
classic types of entry and explaining a
more complex type, which I have called
369
00:22:22,810 --> 00:22:23,850
by the context.
370
00:22:24,370 --> 00:22:29,050
This type of entry is based on the idea
of prioritizing the development of the
371
00:22:29,050 --> 00:22:32,070
context and the roadmap over any other
element.
372
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:36,320
This is why decision making based on
this idea should meet the recommended
373
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,600
characteristics that any trading
approach should have, based on the
374
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:41,299
the structures.
375
00:22:41,300 --> 00:22:45,300
And what I am referring to is nothing
more than the trading checklist that we
376
00:22:45,300 --> 00:22:47,620
have previously defined, as we mentioned
earlier.
377
00:22:47,820 --> 00:22:52,300
The more of these inputs we have in our
favor, the greater confidence we will
378
00:22:52,300 --> 00:22:53,300
have in the trade.
379
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:58,260
In this case, for entries by context, we
need the market to follow almost the
380
00:22:58,260 --> 00:22:59,620
perfect textbook behavior.
381
00:23:00,420 --> 00:23:04,740
Applying this concept should be almost
exclusively limited to a situation in
382
00:23:04,740 --> 00:23:08,580
which we are looking for the potential
test after the breakout, whilst waiting
383
00:23:08,580 --> 00:23:12,520
for the confirmation and subsequent
development of the trend outside the
384
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:17,300
Imagine that you are somewhere in the
orange box, trying to find the
385
00:23:17,300 --> 00:23:18,300
entry trigger.
386
00:23:18,460 --> 00:23:22,480
And herein lies one of the problems we
might come across when trading in real
387
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,180
life. What can we do if we aren't in
front of the screen at that moment?
388
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:30,920
Perhaps the most logical thing to do
would be to discard the trade and not
389
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,920
the market since we cannot verify the
appearance of our trigger.
390
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:38,560
A second option would be to prioritize
the development of the general context
391
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,600
over the appearance of the trigger
specifically.
392
00:23:41,260 --> 00:23:44,880
This is the rationale behind the type of
entry by the context.
393
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:50,440
If we perform our analysis and identify
all of these signs, this suggests we are
394
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:51,900
in the best possible context.
395
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:56,160
and all this should carry more weight
than the latest action represented by
396
00:23:56,160 --> 00:24:00,140
trigger. Well, this would be an example
of which we could enter by context.
397
00:24:00,500 --> 00:24:02,360
What inputs do we have in our favor?
398
00:24:03,180 --> 00:24:07,000
We have the context, determined by the
potential accumulation pattern.
399
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,960
We have the roadmap, which suggests to
us that the price will most likely
400
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:15,380
develop a test after a bullish breakout
before continuing a trend movement out
401
00:24:15,380 --> 00:24:16,380
of the range.
402
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:20,640
Obviously, we are in a trading zone. The
overall volume during the development
403
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,720
of the range is declining.
404
00:24:22,300 --> 00:24:25,920
The false breakout travels a significant
distance and reverses quickly.
405
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:30,900
The impulses and corrections follow a
harmonious pattern, both in price and
406
00:24:30,900 --> 00:24:36,320
volume, evidenced by the increase in
volume in the impulse breakout movement
407
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,100
the decrease in corrective test
movement.
408
00:24:38,540 --> 00:24:41,560
There are no significant movements
against our scenario.
409
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:46,200
The price has not re -entered the range
and there is proportionality between the
410
00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:47,660
breakout and test movements.
411
00:24:48,180 --> 00:24:52,600
In short, There are a large number of
inputs in favor of the bullish scenario,
412
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:56,080
so we would consider it highly likely to
develop as expected.
413
00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:01,460
From here, we must determine what type
of risk management we perform, since it
414
00:25:01,460 --> 00:25:05,100
is an entry by context and it is not
clear what the trigger is.
415
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:09,460
It may be best to reduce the risk a
little, since you never know what might
416
00:25:09,460 --> 00:25:13,640
happen. In this case, we are looking at
an example of a distribution pattern.
417
00:25:14,100 --> 00:25:17,700
Right at the point where we're looking
for the test after a bearish breakout,
418
00:25:17,940 --> 00:25:18,940
what do we have?
419
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:24,360
context, roadmap, trading zone, volume
increase during part of range
420
00:25:24,360 --> 00:25:28,260
development, a very clear display of
weakness stemming from a minor false
421
00:25:28,260 --> 00:25:32,500
breakout, although it breaks through
several previous highs, decreased volume
422
00:25:32,500 --> 00:25:37,200
after the breakout, no re -entering of
the range, and no big bearish movement
423
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,420
volume against the scenario.
424
00:25:39,260 --> 00:25:43,080
All this means we should consider the
significance of the structure when
425
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:44,380
assessing our entry trigger.
426
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,200
We should simply enter with a market
order, and that's that.
427
00:25:48,780 --> 00:25:53,200
If we enter without having identified
our entry trigger in advance, this can
428
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:57,480
lead to doubts about where to place the
stop loss. In this case, the most
429
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,740
sensible thing would be to place it at
some point within the structure, at
430
00:26:01,740 --> 00:26:06,080
which, if reached, could turn out to be
a false breakout rather than a real
431
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:07,080
breakout.
432
00:26:07,140 --> 00:26:10,520
Like I said, you don't have to allocate
all the risk to it.
433
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:15,600
One way to manage it is to enter with 50
% of the position and add the other 50
434
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:17,760
% if you see the definitive trigger.
435
00:26:18,140 --> 00:26:23,040
candlestick or enter expecting a
continuation as happens in that
436
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,040
thrust
42118
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