All language subtitles for 2. Trading zones at the extremes of dynamics

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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,270 --> 00:00:02,250 Trading zones at the extremes of dynamics. 2 00:00:02,630 --> 00:00:06,630 In addition to the previously seen trading zones, where the price is in the 3 00:00:06,630 --> 00:00:11,110 clear range context, or during the early stage of the trend, we are going to 4 00:00:11,110 --> 00:00:14,970 address another potential trading zone that we can identify if we draw the 5 00:00:14,970 --> 00:00:15,970 properly. 6 00:00:15,990 --> 00:00:19,330 We have already looked at the most efficient way to carry out this task. 7 00:00:19,550 --> 00:00:23,670 We can do it either manually by applying logic, allowing for some flexibility 8 00:00:23,670 --> 00:00:27,570 and based on the principle that the lines should contain most of the price 9 00:00:27,570 --> 00:00:31,850 action. And we can also do it using the regression channel, a completely 10 00:00:31,850 --> 00:00:35,050 objective method that allows us to quickly adapt to market changes. 11 00:00:35,530 --> 00:00:38,250 Let's look a little at the rationale behind this idea. 12 00:00:38,870 --> 00:00:43,010 In short, it is about identifying the prevailing market dynamic to assign 13 00:00:43,010 --> 00:00:47,870 overbought and oversold areas in its structure and use them as zones in which 14 00:00:47,870 --> 00:00:48,990 look for potential trades. 15 00:00:49,690 --> 00:00:54,350 Initially, if you are an inexperienced trader, these trades should only be in 16 00:00:54,350 --> 00:00:55,530 the direction of said movement. 17 00:00:55,950 --> 00:00:59,690 and any reverse trend trading should only be attempted by those with more 18 00:00:59,690 --> 00:01:04,030 experience. We have already seen that one of the advantages of correctly 19 00:01:04,030 --> 00:01:07,690 the lines is that it alerts us to the moment in which said dynamic has been 20 00:01:07,690 --> 00:01:11,130 broken, which should signal an imminent reversal in the price. 21 00:01:11,550 --> 00:01:15,010 We already know that an essential condition before considering a trading 22 00:01:15,010 --> 00:01:19,230 approach on the opposite side is to wait for a break in the latest short -term 23 00:01:19,230 --> 00:01:24,300 dynamic. Well, Another of the major advantages of drawing lines efficiently 24 00:01:24,300 --> 00:01:28,160 that it provides us with zones that might offer us good opportunities to 25 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:29,200 and exit the market. 26 00:01:29,780 --> 00:01:33,680 Now, say you have identified a bullish channel, and regardless of whether you 27 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:37,340 want to buy or sell, what are the best locations to try to trade in? 28 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,780 There is no doubt that the ideal thing to do is wait for the price at the 29 00:01:41,780 --> 00:01:42,780 extremes. 30 00:01:43,100 --> 00:01:47,020 If we have already determined that the control is bullish, we will only want to 31 00:01:47,020 --> 00:01:51,200 buy. and we can use the visits of the price to the lower zone of the channel, 32 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:55,360 the demand zone, to look for some type of behavior that suggests that a turn in 33 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:59,820 the market is probable, such as a reversal of the movement, a fast 34 00:01:59,820 --> 00:02:02,840 even the development of the complete structure of the Wyckoff method. 35 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:07,400 Since we do not know if the dynamic might change at any time, or when an 36 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:11,400 acceleration or deceleration of the price, or an excess of greater or lesser 37 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,760 depth might be generated, We are going to try to limit the influence of this 38 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,240 uncertainty first by waiting for the price in the lower third of the 39 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:23,180 and second by waiting for the appearance of the behavior we are looking for as 40 00:02:23,180 --> 00:02:24,180 an entry trigger. 41 00:02:25,020 --> 00:02:29,680 Let's now look in detail at what happens in that part of the chart and how we 42 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:31,640 can apply these ideas to our trading approach. 43 00:02:32,640 --> 00:02:36,500 This part corresponds to the box that we just saw in the previous slide. 44 00:02:36,970 --> 00:02:41,150 This is a perfect example because it combines the two main concepts regarding 45 00:02:41,150 --> 00:02:42,730 the efficient drawing of lines. 46 00:02:43,010 --> 00:02:46,730 On the one hand, we have been able to identify the prevailing long -term 47 00:02:46,730 --> 00:02:51,090 dynamic, which we have already seen as bullish, which therefore determines the 48 00:02:51,090 --> 00:02:55,390 trading approach towards the long side. And on the other hand, we see that the 49 00:02:55,390 --> 00:02:58,890 market, in the short term, is following a bearish dynamic. 50 00:02:59,500 --> 00:03:03,520 suggesting that it would be best to wait for the real breakout of said dynamic 51 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,460 before evaluating the short position we are looking for. 52 00:03:07,140 --> 00:03:11,100 We have already seen that the same idea can be approached from different 53 00:03:11,100 --> 00:03:13,460 perspectives and in different trading positions. 54 00:03:14,100 --> 00:03:18,480 A lot of this will depend on your profile as a trader and the level of 55 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,280 are prepared to assume with your entries. 56 00:03:20,740 --> 00:03:24,840 In this particular example, the more aggressive trader would wait for a false 57 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,600 breakout to take place just below the two demand lines. 58 00:03:28,110 --> 00:03:31,930 the main trend line and the line which applies to the shorter -term context. 59 00:03:32,490 --> 00:03:36,590 Meanwhile, a more conservative trader would also wait for the breakout of this 60 00:03:36,590 --> 00:03:40,470 short -term dynamic as a definitive sign that it is highly probable that the 61 00:03:40,470 --> 00:03:43,190 market will resume the upward trend from that point. 62 00:03:43,610 --> 00:03:47,050 This short -term dynamic has been outlined through the use of a regression 63 00:03:47,050 --> 00:03:51,330 channel, which, as we already know, is anchored between the high and the low of 64 00:03:51,330 --> 00:03:52,330 all the behavior. 65 00:03:52,590 --> 00:03:56,790 In this example, we have seen the two main benefits of efficient line drawing. 66 00:03:57,210 --> 00:04:00,510 and this could also be combined with the use of multiple timeframes. 67 00:04:01,110 --> 00:04:04,770 If we determine that we are in an interesting trading zone based on the 68 00:04:04,770 --> 00:04:09,890 -term context, it might be time, if the trader so decides, to move to a shorter 69 00:04:09,890 --> 00:04:13,930 timeframe in order to identify a shift in the market, such as a reversal 70 00:04:13,930 --> 00:04:16,490 movement, a fast pattern, or a slow pattern. 71 00:04:17,089 --> 00:04:21,089 Looking at the chart with a longer timeframe, we would be located in an 72 00:04:21,089 --> 00:04:25,390 interesting area for this reversal to take place, waiting for a movement to 73 00:04:25,390 --> 00:04:26,390 opposite extreme. 74 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:31,260 An efficient use of the context would be to move down to a shorter time frame to 75 00:04:31,260 --> 00:04:35,040 try to trade in that reversal behavior that will generate the shift upwards. 76 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:40,060 As you can see, lines by themselves offer little in the way of predictive 77 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,880 However, used together with other tools, they can be very useful from a trading 78 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:45,880 perspective. 79 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:50,040 We are now going to look at a series of step -by -step examples on how we should 80 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:51,580 interpret things at the present moment. 81 00:04:51,860 --> 00:04:55,460 We have launched a regression channel from the lowest low to the highest price 82 00:04:55,460 --> 00:04:58,500 level. which leaves us with these supply and demand lines. 83 00:04:58,780 --> 00:05:02,860 They are not projected into the future, but we can guess at what moment the 84 00:05:02,860 --> 00:05:05,880 overbought and oversold zones of this dynamic would be reached. 85 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:10,660 What we are going to do, therefore, is wait for this to happen, for the market 86 00:05:10,660 --> 00:05:14,760 to reach our demand trading zone, and then we will begin to look for our entry 87 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:19,700 trigger. And here is exactly what we are looking for, on the trading zone with a 88 00:05:19,700 --> 00:05:23,080 shakeout at the level of liquidity that had been previously generated with that 89 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:27,110 pivot. If everything is aligned, there is no reason not to take the trading 90 00:05:27,110 --> 00:05:28,110 opportunity to buy. 91 00:05:28,550 --> 00:05:32,510 If you look carefully after breaking the low of the pivot, the price has an 92 00:05:32,510 --> 00:05:36,810 initial bullish reaction but then develops a new bearish candlestick. We 93 00:05:36,810 --> 00:05:40,670 talk about this later, in the section on trading approaches, but that bullish 94 00:05:40,670 --> 00:05:44,630 candlestick would not act as an entry trigger since it closes at the middle of 95 00:05:44,630 --> 00:05:49,310 the last large bearish candle and also has a wick at the top, denoting an entry 96 00:05:49,310 --> 00:05:50,269 to sell. 97 00:05:50,270 --> 00:05:55,490 On the other hand, In the last action, we see the appearance of an SOS bar that 98 00:05:55,490 --> 00:06:00,270 closes at the top of the last SOW bar and therefore could serve as an entry 99 00:06:00,270 --> 00:06:01,270 trigger to go long. 100 00:06:01,750 --> 00:06:05,510 We would then wait for the market to hit a new high to restructure the 101 00:06:05,510 --> 00:06:09,690 regression channel. And from there, the reasoning would be the same. Wait at the 102 00:06:09,690 --> 00:06:12,530 demand zone and see how the price interacts when it reaches it. 103 00:06:13,050 --> 00:06:17,570 On this occasion, after the last high, the price then develops three false 104 00:06:17,570 --> 00:06:21,360 breakouts. which in principle could be seen as possible entry points. 105 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:25,920 The first one is technically a false breakout, as it objectively meets the 106 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:30,220 criteria of the two candlesticks that we need for a pivot to be generated, on 107 00:06:30,220 --> 00:06:31,560 the left and on the right. 108 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:35,880 Moreover, the bullish candlestick that follows denotes a good presence of 109 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:40,040 buyers, so while it is certainly not a visually appealing pivot, the trade 110 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,620 have been taken and it would have resulted in a loss. 111 00:06:43,060 --> 00:06:47,430 To try to avoid this type of situation, we can add a filter that will stop us 112 00:06:47,430 --> 00:06:51,050 from taking into account these types of pivots that are certainly difficult to 113 00:06:51,050 --> 00:06:53,170 see and do not fill us with confidence. 114 00:06:53,710 --> 00:06:58,430 The second false breakout has the same characteristics as the first, and again 115 00:06:58,430 --> 00:07:00,010 strong demand candlestick appears. 116 00:07:00,390 --> 00:07:04,910 As we will see later, I always recommend the use of stop -type orders to enter 117 00:07:04,910 --> 00:07:08,490 the market, an order that in this case would be located above the bullish 118 00:07:08,490 --> 00:07:13,110 candlestick, and that fortunately I would have not taken, as I had entered 119 00:07:13,110 --> 00:07:14,310 would have meant a new loss. 120 00:07:15,030 --> 00:07:19,350 Finally, the third false breakout once again meets our criteria, both regarding 121 00:07:19,350 --> 00:07:20,990 the pivot and the SOS bar. 122 00:07:21,510 --> 00:07:25,730 This so, added to the fact that we are still in the trading zone, means we 123 00:07:25,730 --> 00:07:27,390 should take this opportunity to enter. 124 00:07:27,630 --> 00:07:31,210 In this case, it would have gone well and we would have made a profit. 125 00:07:32,030 --> 00:07:36,150 These three entries, as you may have guessed, would correspond to a more 126 00:07:36,150 --> 00:07:40,070 aggressive trader profile since they do not wait for the latest prevailing 127 00:07:40,070 --> 00:07:41,330 market dynamic to change. 128 00:07:41,930 --> 00:07:45,050 What would have happened had we adopted a more conservative profile? 129 00:07:45,610 --> 00:07:49,430 Well, we still would have had our chance to enter the market at that false 130 00:07:49,430 --> 00:07:53,370 breakout, and we would have been successful. A sniper approach to 131 00:07:53,650 --> 00:07:54,730 Just one shot. 132 00:07:55,310 --> 00:07:59,170 This is why we need to first decide what kind of trader we are and what kind of 133 00:07:59,170 --> 00:08:00,730 trading we feel most comfortable with. 134 00:08:01,170 --> 00:08:04,910 We could adopt both forms of trading by carrying out an appropriate risk 135 00:08:04,910 --> 00:08:07,490 management, but we will also address this later. 136 00:08:08,330 --> 00:08:12,450 Again, once the upward trend movement has restarted, we would readapt the 137 00:08:12,450 --> 00:08:16,250 regression channel towards the new highs, reaching that present moment in 138 00:08:16,250 --> 00:08:19,210 the market revisits the previously identified demand zone. 139 00:08:19,730 --> 00:08:24,110 If we look closely, we could even be seeing a small structure where a new 140 00:08:24,110 --> 00:08:25,089 is being built. 141 00:08:25,090 --> 00:08:29,410 The market seems overextended, that is, it seems to have already traveled a 142 00:08:29,410 --> 00:08:33,390 certain distance upwards, so we could be facing a possible end of the movement. 143 00:08:33,730 --> 00:08:38,039 The key here, if you remember, is to analyze the power of this structure with 144 00:08:38,039 --> 00:08:41,780 respect to the accumulation structure that generated all this bullish effect. 145 00:08:43,580 --> 00:08:47,140 Since this would be off the slide, I have added it in the box. 146 00:08:47,460 --> 00:08:52,240 As we can see, the structure that gave rise to the bullish trend is quite a bit 147 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:57,240 larger, which suggests that a considerable cause has been built. This 148 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:01,180 should rule out the possibility of this small structure exerting any effect and 149 00:09:01,180 --> 00:09:02,180 reversing the market. 150 00:09:02,580 --> 00:09:06,780 Therefore, with this basic premise Our position at this point should be to 151 00:09:06,780 --> 00:09:11,020 continue to expect the development of a reaccumulation structure rather than a 152 00:09:11,020 --> 00:09:12,720 distribution. What does this mean? 153 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:17,640 Well, as in this particular example, even though we have seen an upthrust in 154 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:21,680 this minor structure, we should continue to expect the possibility of a spring 155 00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:26,060 being developed in favor of the context, and if so, depending on this anatomy, 156 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,240 we should consider entering the market to buy. 157 00:09:28,900 --> 00:09:33,450 And indeed, We then see a new bearish false breakout at the trading zone that 158 00:09:33,450 --> 00:09:36,030 ultimately shows the structure to be a reaccumulation. 159 00:09:36,770 --> 00:09:41,190 Remember that the market loves to give off false signals, so it is vital that 160 00:09:41,190 --> 00:09:42,830 understand the prevailing context. 161 00:09:43,110 --> 00:09:45,090 Of course, it won't always be this way. 162 00:09:45,530 --> 00:09:49,110 Sometimes this same behavior will cause the entire market to reverse and 163 00:09:49,110 --> 00:09:51,930 generate a bearish trend, but this wouldn't be the norm. 164 00:09:52,210 --> 00:09:56,730 Our advantage lies in expecting the price move in line with the overall 165 00:09:56,730 --> 00:09:58,770 of the market up to that point in time. 166 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:04,280 And, as happened previously, another new false breakout then occurs that can be 167 00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:08,220 used by those more conservative traders who have waited for the break from this 168 00:10:08,220 --> 00:10:12,360 last dynamic and have wanted to enter once the sentiment of this minor 169 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:13,380 has been confirmed. 170 00:10:13,680 --> 00:10:17,780 And there is still one more opportunity at that confluence of the false breakout 171 00:10:17,780 --> 00:10:18,780 with the trading zone. 172 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,900 Without a doubt, these are simple but very powerful ideas that can give us an 173 00:10:23,900 --> 00:10:24,900 advantage when trading. 17025

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