All language subtitles for 2. Trading zones at the extremes of dynamics
Afrikaans
Akan
Albanian
Amharic
Arabic
Armenian
Azerbaijani
Basque
Belarusian
Bemba
Bengali
Bihari
Bosnian
Breton
Bulgarian
Cambodian
Catalan
Cebuano
Cherokee
Chichewa
Chinese (Simplified)
Chinese (Traditional)
Corsican
Croatian
Czech
Danish
Dutch
English
Esperanto
Estonian
Ewe
Faroese
Filipino
Finnish
French
Frisian
Ga
Galician
Georgian
German
Greek
Guarani
Gujarati
Haitian Creole
Hausa
Hawaiian
Hebrew
Hindi
Hmong
Hungarian
Icelandic
Igbo
Indonesian
Interlingua
Irish
Italian
Japanese
Javanese
Kannada
Kazakh
Kinyarwanda
Kirundi
Kongo
Korean
Krio (Sierra Leone)
Kurdish
Kurdish (SoranĂ®)
Kyrgyz
Laothian
Latin
Latvian
Lingala
Lithuanian
Lozi
Luganda
Luo
Luxembourgish
Macedonian
Malagasy
Malay
Malayalam
Maltese
Maori
Marathi
Mauritian Creole
Moldavian
Mongolian
Myanmar (Burmese)
Montenegrin
Nepali
Nigerian Pidgin
Northern Sotho
Norwegian
Norwegian (Nynorsk)
Occitan
Oriya
Oromo
Pashto
Persian
Polish
Portuguese (Brazil)
Portuguese (Portugal)
Punjabi
Quechua
Romanian
Romansh
Runyakitara
Russian
Samoan
Scots Gaelic
Serbian
Serbo-Croatian
Sesotho
Setswana
Seychellois Creole
Shona
Sindhi
Sinhalese
Slovak
Slovenian
Somali
Spanish
Spanish (Latin American)
Sundanese
Swahili
Swedish
Tajik
Tamil
Tatar
Telugu
Thai
Tigrinya
Tonga
Tshiluba
Tumbuka
Turkish
Turkmen
Twi
Uighur
Ukrainian
Urdu
Uzbek
Vietnamese
Welsh
Wolof
Xhosa
Yiddish
Yoruba
Zulu
Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
1
00:00:00,270 --> 00:00:02,250
Trading zones at the extremes of
dynamics.
2
00:00:02,630 --> 00:00:06,630
In addition to the previously seen
trading zones, where the price is in the
3
00:00:06,630 --> 00:00:11,110
clear range context, or during the early
stage of the trend, we are going to
4
00:00:11,110 --> 00:00:14,970
address another potential trading zone
that we can identify if we draw the
5
00:00:14,970 --> 00:00:15,970
properly.
6
00:00:15,990 --> 00:00:19,330
We have already looked at the most
efficient way to carry out this task.
7
00:00:19,550 --> 00:00:23,670
We can do it either manually by applying
logic, allowing for some flexibility
8
00:00:23,670 --> 00:00:27,570
and based on the principle that the
lines should contain most of the price
9
00:00:27,570 --> 00:00:31,850
action. And we can also do it using the
regression channel, a completely
10
00:00:31,850 --> 00:00:35,050
objective method that allows us to
quickly adapt to market changes.
11
00:00:35,530 --> 00:00:38,250
Let's look a little at the rationale
behind this idea.
12
00:00:38,870 --> 00:00:43,010
In short, it is about identifying the
prevailing market dynamic to assign
13
00:00:43,010 --> 00:00:47,870
overbought and oversold areas in its
structure and use them as zones in which
14
00:00:47,870 --> 00:00:48,990
look for potential trades.
15
00:00:49,690 --> 00:00:54,350
Initially, if you are an inexperienced
trader, these trades should only be in
16
00:00:54,350 --> 00:00:55,530
the direction of said movement.
17
00:00:55,950 --> 00:00:59,690
and any reverse trend trading should
only be attempted by those with more
18
00:00:59,690 --> 00:01:04,030
experience. We have already seen that
one of the advantages of correctly
19
00:01:04,030 --> 00:01:07,690
the lines is that it alerts us to the
moment in which said dynamic has been
20
00:01:07,690 --> 00:01:11,130
broken, which should signal an imminent
reversal in the price.
21
00:01:11,550 --> 00:01:15,010
We already know that an essential
condition before considering a trading
22
00:01:15,010 --> 00:01:19,230
approach on the opposite side is to wait
for a break in the latest short -term
23
00:01:19,230 --> 00:01:24,300
dynamic. Well, Another of the major
advantages of drawing lines efficiently
24
00:01:24,300 --> 00:01:28,160
that it provides us with zones that
might offer us good opportunities to
25
00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:29,200
and exit the market.
26
00:01:29,780 --> 00:01:33,680
Now, say you have identified a bullish
channel, and regardless of whether you
27
00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:37,340
want to buy or sell, what are the best
locations to try to trade in?
28
00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,780
There is no doubt that the ideal thing
to do is wait for the price at the
29
00:01:41,780 --> 00:01:42,780
extremes.
30
00:01:43,100 --> 00:01:47,020
If we have already determined that the
control is bullish, we will only want to
31
00:01:47,020 --> 00:01:51,200
buy. and we can use the visits of the
price to the lower zone of the channel,
32
00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:55,360
the demand zone, to look for some type
of behavior that suggests that a turn in
33
00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:59,820
the market is probable, such as a
reversal of the movement, a fast
34
00:01:59,820 --> 00:02:02,840
even the development of the complete
structure of the Wyckoff method.
35
00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:07,400
Since we do not know if the dynamic
might change at any time, or when an
36
00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:11,400
acceleration or deceleration of the
price, or an excess of greater or lesser
37
00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,760
depth might be generated, We are going
to try to limit the influence of this
38
00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,240
uncertainty first by waiting for the
price in the lower third of the
39
00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:23,180
and second by waiting for the appearance
of the behavior we are looking for as
40
00:02:23,180 --> 00:02:24,180
an entry trigger.
41
00:02:25,020 --> 00:02:29,680
Let's now look in detail at what happens
in that part of the chart and how we
42
00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:31,640
can apply these ideas to our trading
approach.
43
00:02:32,640 --> 00:02:36,500
This part corresponds to the box that we
just saw in the previous slide.
44
00:02:36,970 --> 00:02:41,150
This is a perfect example because it
combines the two main concepts regarding
45
00:02:41,150 --> 00:02:42,730
the efficient drawing of lines.
46
00:02:43,010 --> 00:02:46,730
On the one hand, we have been able to
identify the prevailing long -term
47
00:02:46,730 --> 00:02:51,090
dynamic, which we have already seen as
bullish, which therefore determines the
48
00:02:51,090 --> 00:02:55,390
trading approach towards the long side.
And on the other hand, we see that the
49
00:02:55,390 --> 00:02:58,890
market, in the short term, is following
a bearish dynamic.
50
00:02:59,500 --> 00:03:03,520
suggesting that it would be best to wait
for the real breakout of said dynamic
51
00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,460
before evaluating the short position we
are looking for.
52
00:03:07,140 --> 00:03:11,100
We have already seen that the same idea
can be approached from different
53
00:03:11,100 --> 00:03:13,460
perspectives and in different trading
positions.
54
00:03:14,100 --> 00:03:18,480
A lot of this will depend on your
profile as a trader and the level of
55
00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,280
are prepared to assume with your
entries.
56
00:03:20,740 --> 00:03:24,840
In this particular example, the more
aggressive trader would wait for a false
57
00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,600
breakout to take place just below the
two demand lines.
58
00:03:28,110 --> 00:03:31,930
the main trend line and the line which
applies to the shorter -term context.
59
00:03:32,490 --> 00:03:36,590
Meanwhile, a more conservative trader
would also wait for the breakout of this
60
00:03:36,590 --> 00:03:40,470
short -term dynamic as a definitive sign
that it is highly probable that the
61
00:03:40,470 --> 00:03:43,190
market will resume the upward trend from
that point.
62
00:03:43,610 --> 00:03:47,050
This short -term dynamic has been
outlined through the use of a regression
63
00:03:47,050 --> 00:03:51,330
channel, which, as we already know, is
anchored between the high and the low of
64
00:03:51,330 --> 00:03:52,330
all the behavior.
65
00:03:52,590 --> 00:03:56,790
In this example, we have seen the two
main benefits of efficient line drawing.
66
00:03:57,210 --> 00:04:00,510
and this could also be combined with the
use of multiple timeframes.
67
00:04:01,110 --> 00:04:04,770
If we determine that we are in an
interesting trading zone based on the
68
00:04:04,770 --> 00:04:09,890
-term context, it might be time, if the
trader so decides, to move to a shorter
69
00:04:09,890 --> 00:04:13,930
timeframe in order to identify a shift
in the market, such as a reversal
70
00:04:13,930 --> 00:04:16,490
movement, a fast pattern, or a slow
pattern.
71
00:04:17,089 --> 00:04:21,089
Looking at the chart with a longer
timeframe, we would be located in an
72
00:04:21,089 --> 00:04:25,390
interesting area for this reversal to
take place, waiting for a movement to
73
00:04:25,390 --> 00:04:26,390
opposite extreme.
74
00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:31,260
An efficient use of the context would be
to move down to a shorter time frame to
75
00:04:31,260 --> 00:04:35,040
try to trade in that reversal behavior
that will generate the shift upwards.
76
00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:40,060
As you can see, lines by themselves
offer little in the way of predictive
77
00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,880
However, used together with other tools,
they can be very useful from a trading
78
00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:45,880
perspective.
79
00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:50,040
We are now going to look at a series of
step -by -step examples on how we should
80
00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:51,580
interpret things at the present moment.
81
00:04:51,860 --> 00:04:55,460
We have launched a regression channel
from the lowest low to the highest price
82
00:04:55,460 --> 00:04:58,500
level. which leaves us with these supply
and demand lines.
83
00:04:58,780 --> 00:05:02,860
They are not projected into the future,
but we can guess at what moment the
84
00:05:02,860 --> 00:05:05,880
overbought and oversold zones of this
dynamic would be reached.
85
00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:10,660
What we are going to do, therefore, is
wait for this to happen, for the market
86
00:05:10,660 --> 00:05:14,760
to reach our demand trading zone, and
then we will begin to look for our entry
87
00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:19,700
trigger. And here is exactly what we are
looking for, on the trading zone with a
88
00:05:19,700 --> 00:05:23,080
shakeout at the level of liquidity that
had been previously generated with that
89
00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:27,110
pivot. If everything is aligned, there
is no reason not to take the trading
90
00:05:27,110 --> 00:05:28,110
opportunity to buy.
91
00:05:28,550 --> 00:05:32,510
If you look carefully after breaking the
low of the pivot, the price has an
92
00:05:32,510 --> 00:05:36,810
initial bullish reaction but then
develops a new bearish candlestick. We
93
00:05:36,810 --> 00:05:40,670
talk about this later, in the section on
trading approaches, but that bullish
94
00:05:40,670 --> 00:05:44,630
candlestick would not act as an entry
trigger since it closes at the middle of
95
00:05:44,630 --> 00:05:49,310
the last large bearish candle and also
has a wick at the top, denoting an entry
96
00:05:49,310 --> 00:05:50,269
to sell.
97
00:05:50,270 --> 00:05:55,490
On the other hand, In the last action,
we see the appearance of an SOS bar that
98
00:05:55,490 --> 00:06:00,270
closes at the top of the last SOW bar
and therefore could serve as an entry
99
00:06:00,270 --> 00:06:01,270
trigger to go long.
100
00:06:01,750 --> 00:06:05,510
We would then wait for the market to hit
a new high to restructure the
101
00:06:05,510 --> 00:06:09,690
regression channel. And from there, the
reasoning would be the same. Wait at the
102
00:06:09,690 --> 00:06:12,530
demand zone and see how the price
interacts when it reaches it.
103
00:06:13,050 --> 00:06:17,570
On this occasion, after the last high,
the price then develops three false
104
00:06:17,570 --> 00:06:21,360
breakouts. which in principle could be
seen as possible entry points.
105
00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:25,920
The first one is technically a false
breakout, as it objectively meets the
106
00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:30,220
criteria of the two candlesticks that we
need for a pivot to be generated, on
107
00:06:30,220 --> 00:06:31,560
the left and on the right.
108
00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:35,880
Moreover, the bullish candlestick that
follows denotes a good presence of
109
00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:40,040
buyers, so while it is certainly not a
visually appealing pivot, the trade
110
00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,620
have been taken and it would have
resulted in a loss.
111
00:06:43,060 --> 00:06:47,430
To try to avoid this type of situation,
we can add a filter that will stop us
112
00:06:47,430 --> 00:06:51,050
from taking into account these types of
pivots that are certainly difficult to
113
00:06:51,050 --> 00:06:53,170
see and do not fill us with confidence.
114
00:06:53,710 --> 00:06:58,430
The second false breakout has the same
characteristics as the first, and again
115
00:06:58,430 --> 00:07:00,010
strong demand candlestick appears.
116
00:07:00,390 --> 00:07:04,910
As we will see later, I always recommend
the use of stop -type orders to enter
117
00:07:04,910 --> 00:07:08,490
the market, an order that in this case
would be located above the bullish
118
00:07:08,490 --> 00:07:13,110
candlestick, and that fortunately I
would have not taken, as I had entered
119
00:07:13,110 --> 00:07:14,310
would have meant a new loss.
120
00:07:15,030 --> 00:07:19,350
Finally, the third false breakout once
again meets our criteria, both regarding
121
00:07:19,350 --> 00:07:20,990
the pivot and the SOS bar.
122
00:07:21,510 --> 00:07:25,730
This so, added to the fact that we are
still in the trading zone, means we
123
00:07:25,730 --> 00:07:27,390
should take this opportunity to enter.
124
00:07:27,630 --> 00:07:31,210
In this case, it would have gone well
and we would have made a profit.
125
00:07:32,030 --> 00:07:36,150
These three entries, as you may have
guessed, would correspond to a more
126
00:07:36,150 --> 00:07:40,070
aggressive trader profile since they do
not wait for the latest prevailing
127
00:07:40,070 --> 00:07:41,330
market dynamic to change.
128
00:07:41,930 --> 00:07:45,050
What would have happened had we adopted
a more conservative profile?
129
00:07:45,610 --> 00:07:49,430
Well, we still would have had our chance
to enter the market at that false
130
00:07:49,430 --> 00:07:53,370
breakout, and we would have been
successful. A sniper approach to
131
00:07:53,650 --> 00:07:54,730
Just one shot.
132
00:07:55,310 --> 00:07:59,170
This is why we need to first decide what
kind of trader we are and what kind of
133
00:07:59,170 --> 00:08:00,730
trading we feel most comfortable with.
134
00:08:01,170 --> 00:08:04,910
We could adopt both forms of trading by
carrying out an appropriate risk
135
00:08:04,910 --> 00:08:07,490
management, but we will also address
this later.
136
00:08:08,330 --> 00:08:12,450
Again, once the upward trend movement
has restarted, we would readapt the
137
00:08:12,450 --> 00:08:16,250
regression channel towards the new
highs, reaching that present moment in
138
00:08:16,250 --> 00:08:19,210
the market revisits the previously
identified demand zone.
139
00:08:19,730 --> 00:08:24,110
If we look closely, we could even be
seeing a small structure where a new
140
00:08:24,110 --> 00:08:25,089
is being built.
141
00:08:25,090 --> 00:08:29,410
The market seems overextended, that is,
it seems to have already traveled a
142
00:08:29,410 --> 00:08:33,390
certain distance upwards, so we could be
facing a possible end of the movement.
143
00:08:33,730 --> 00:08:38,039
The key here, if you remember, is to
analyze the power of this structure with
144
00:08:38,039 --> 00:08:41,780
respect to the accumulation structure
that generated all this bullish effect.
145
00:08:43,580 --> 00:08:47,140
Since this would be off the slide, I
have added it in the box.
146
00:08:47,460 --> 00:08:52,240
As we can see, the structure that gave
rise to the bullish trend is quite a bit
147
00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:57,240
larger, which suggests that a
considerable cause has been built. This
148
00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:01,180
should rule out the possibility of this
small structure exerting any effect and
149
00:09:01,180 --> 00:09:02,180
reversing the market.
150
00:09:02,580 --> 00:09:06,780
Therefore, with this basic premise Our
position at this point should be to
151
00:09:06,780 --> 00:09:11,020
continue to expect the development of a
reaccumulation structure rather than a
152
00:09:11,020 --> 00:09:12,720
distribution. What does this mean?
153
00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:17,640
Well, as in this particular example,
even though we have seen an upthrust in
154
00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:21,680
this minor structure, we should continue
to expect the possibility of a spring
155
00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:26,060
being developed in favor of the context,
and if so, depending on this anatomy,
156
00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,240
we should consider entering the market
to buy.
157
00:09:28,900 --> 00:09:33,450
And indeed, We then see a new bearish
false breakout at the trading zone that
158
00:09:33,450 --> 00:09:36,030
ultimately shows the structure to be a
reaccumulation.
159
00:09:36,770 --> 00:09:41,190
Remember that the market loves to give
off false signals, so it is vital that
160
00:09:41,190 --> 00:09:42,830
understand the prevailing context.
161
00:09:43,110 --> 00:09:45,090
Of course, it won't always be this way.
162
00:09:45,530 --> 00:09:49,110
Sometimes this same behavior will cause
the entire market to reverse and
163
00:09:49,110 --> 00:09:51,930
generate a bearish trend, but this
wouldn't be the norm.
164
00:09:52,210 --> 00:09:56,730
Our advantage lies in expecting the
price move in line with the overall
165
00:09:56,730 --> 00:09:58,770
of the market up to that point in time.
166
00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:04,280
And, as happened previously, another new
false breakout then occurs that can be
167
00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:08,220
used by those more conservative traders
who have waited for the break from this
168
00:10:08,220 --> 00:10:12,360
last dynamic and have wanted to enter
once the sentiment of this minor
169
00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:13,380
has been confirmed.
170
00:10:13,680 --> 00:10:17,780
And there is still one more opportunity
at that confluence of the false breakout
171
00:10:17,780 --> 00:10:18,780
with the trading zone.
172
00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,900
Without a doubt, these are simple but
very powerful ideas that can give us an
173
00:10:23,900 --> 00:10:24,900
advantage when trading.
17025
Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.