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We will begin with the first of the four trading principles, the range
principle. We will apply this principle in markets that are in total
equilibrium, that is, in environments where most participants at the aggregate
level converge in their valuations on the price of the asset, creating a zone
high bargaining and causing a continuous rotation in the price.
What the range principle tells us is that if the price is within a value
as long as the market condition does not change, the market is likely to
continue to generate value around the center point, so the price will most
likely be rejected when the extremes are reached.
Therefore, the type of trade we should use in this context is an extremes
a range trade where we try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top.
In other words, buy when you see a bullish reaction on the value area low
sell when you see a bearish reaction on the value area high.
In addition, if the price rejects one of the extremes of the value area, The
most likely scenario now is that the price will seek at least the level of
VPOC and, with a slightly lower probability, although still very high,
opposite end of the value area.
In other words, if the price generates a rejection at the value area low, the
probability is that price will visit the value area high and vice versa.
We can identify the context of equilibrium in different situations.
depending on the degree to which we observe the market and the type of
we use.
If we use daily profiles, session profiles, we can see that the market is
equilibrium when the price of the current session is within the value area
the previous session.
In this chart, we have an example of this.
After the close of the previous day's session, we project the trading levels
the right to identify these references.
It is these levels that we will take into account to assess the type of day
may have in the following session.
These theories come from the market profile where they studied where the
of the current session occurred in relation to the previous session in
determine the directional bias and apply one or another operative.
In this case, an opening within the value area of the previous session
a market in equilibrium and should therefore be favored to maintain this
As we can see in the chart, the second session opens within the value area of
the first session.
which should lead us to identify the principle of the range and apply an
trade, favoring the reaction at the extremes of the value area.
We can see how the price generates continuous rotations as it interacts
high and low of the value area.
It is at these points that we want to look for our entry signal.
To do this, we can use the multiple temporality and move the time frame down
identify the entry trigger more precisely.
Or, you may not want to move down the time frame and look for the signal in
same time frame. There is no one best way.
The decision is up to the trader.
Here is another example of exactly the same thing.
After opening inside the value area, the price visits the low part of the value
area where it generates a bullish rotation twice.
Then, it goes to the upper part and generates another downward rotation,
time to the downside, proving the equilibrium environment in the market.
And in the last part of the session, it manages to break below the value area.
The fact that the price does not manage to return to trading within the value
area suggests, at least initially, that the equilibrium state in the market may
have been lost.
If this is confirmed, we should apply another principle that we will see below
to try to take advantage of the potential trend movement that will
And in this other example, although it doesn't look like it because it comes
from a strong bullish imbalance, The range principle also applies.
As we said, this is determined by the opening price and as we see in this
example, it is within the previous day's value area.
In this case, it first visited the lower part of the value area from where it
reacted up to twice before visiting the upper part.
There, a new bearish reaction took place which sent the price to the middle
part, to the VPOC area of the previous day, key level from which the market
the bullish breakout.
As we can see, trading levels are very important.
Beyond the profile of single sessions, we can also apply this principle of
to a higher degree in identifying an equilibrium context in environments
the market is experiencing a large sideways movement over several sessions.
Here is an example of a range on the hourly chart.
It spans a large number of sessions, so it would be best to start a manual
profile of all this price action.
As we can see, the price is generating multiple reactions at the extremes of
value area.
Regardless of whether we are dealing with session profiles or other types of
profiles, the underlying logic is that the market context is one of
And in an equilibrium context, any move to the upside is seen as an opportunity
to sell. And conversely, any move to the downside is seen as an opportunity to
buy. This is the reason for the constant price fluctuations in these areas.
As mentioned above, this type of profile needs to be continuously updated until
the breakout movement occurs, which, in this case, occurs at the bottom.
Before the bearish breakout occurred, we can see how the price rejected the VAL
several times and the resulting reaction could only reach the VPOC and not the
VAH. This is a trace that we should keep in mind to be alert to the possibility
of an imminent breakout.
If you recall, at the beginning of the course, I said that what the price does
is just as important as what it does not do.
This is because what it fails to do, in this case, to generate a move to the top
of the profile, is a crucial fingerprint.
When the market fails to make such a move, even on multiple occasions, it is
because there is some underlying weakness which is confirmed by the
breakout to the downside.
One doubt that may arise is how to analyze those stocks that go a long way
beyond the limits of the value area.
On many occasions, and especially in real time, we may initially get the
impression that we are facing such a breakout action, at which point, as we
already know, we should stop following the profile and wait for a retracement
above its trading levels to look for a continuation in that direction.
But instead, what happens is that the market goes back into value area.
On the chart, I have marked four situations where exactly this happens.
There are two stocks where the reversal happens in the same candlestick, and two
stocks where it takes longer.
The key, of course, is whether or not it has the ability to re -enter the value
area. A phrase I like to spread is that every market action must be confirmed or
rejected by the subsequent price action.
In this case, what we are trying to confirm is the potential breakout.
And to do that, we need the price to stay out of the value area.
Therefore, it makes no difference to us if the price takes more or less time.
The key is that whenever it re -enters the value area and manages to
position itself below the VPOC, that is the moment when we will confirm this
action as a false breakout and we should update the end of the profile,
including all the actions of this failed discovery.
In the final part of the course, we will explore this concept of when to modify
the profile in more detail.
Here is another example.
As we can see, the market constantly rotates between the boundaries of the
area. Sometimes it leaves this area and penetrates the rejection zone identified
at the extremes of the profile.
But it always returns to the midpoint established in the VPOC until it finally
breaks through the top.
Again, the operation could be thought in the same time frame or in a lower one.
It is at the discretion of the trader.
The most important thing is to be clear about the prevailing context at the
levels at which we expect the price to develop our entry triggers.
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