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Auction theory. Auction theory is based
on the fact that the market whose
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primary objective is to facilitate
trading among its participants under the
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principles of the law of supply and
demand will always move in search of
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efficiency, also known as equilibrium or
fair value.
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Efficiency indicates that buyers and
sellers are comfortable trading and
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has clear control.
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That comfort is derived from the fact
that, based on current market
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The valuations of both buyers and
sellers are very similar.
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The way in which this equilibrium is
visually observed on a price chart is
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a continuous shift up and down in the
price.
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These sideways movements of the price
represent equilibrium.
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It is proof that trading is being
facilitated and it is the state that the
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market is always in search of.
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The contrast to this is inefficiency or
imbalance.
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which is represented by trend movements.
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When new information reaches the market,
it can cause the asset's value as
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perceived by either buyers or sellers to
change, generating a disagreement
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between them.
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One of these two sides will take control
and move the price away from the
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previous equilibrium zone, offering us a
profitable trading opportunity.
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What is evident in this context is that
the market is not facilitating trading
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and, therefore, is considered to be in
an inefficient state.
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The market will be constantly moving in
search and confirmation of value, in
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situations where buyers and sellers are
in a position to exchange stocks.
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When this happens, it is because the
valuations of these participants of the
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price are very similar.
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At that moment, trading between agents
will generate a new equilibrium zone
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more. This cycle will be repeated over
and over again without interruption.
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The general idea is that the market will
move from one equilibrium zone to
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another through trend movements and that
these will begin when the market
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sentiment of both buyers and sellers
about the current value differs, causing
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imbalance.
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The market will now begin to search for
the next area that generates a consensus
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about value among the majority of
participants.
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Variables The auction process in
financial markets is fundamentally based
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value. To try to work out the level of
this value, you need to evaluate these
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three elements.
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Price. In the auction mechanism, price
is used as a discovery tool.
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The possibility of trading arises thanks
to the movement of the price, which
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fluctuates up and down, exploring the
different levels with the objective of
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seeing how the participants react to
said exploration.
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These price movements signal possible
opportunities.
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At the moment, The participants respond
to this exploration believing the price
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to be fair. They will start trading with
each other.
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Conversely, if these discoveries of new
price levels are not perceived as
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attractive by both sets of participants,
it will lead to rejection.
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Time. When the market offers up an
opportunity, reaches an attractive
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will use time to regulate how long the
opportunity will be available.
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The price will spend very little time in
those areas that are advantageous for
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one of the two sides, buyers or sellers.
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An efficiency or equilibrium zone is
characterized by the price remaining in
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that area for a longer period of time,
while a zone of inefficiency or
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will be represented by a very short
passage of time.
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Volume. Volume represents activity, the
quantity of an asset that has been
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exchanged.
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What this quantity suggests is interest
or disinterest at certain levels.
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Based on the volume, some areas are more
valuable than others.
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The basic rule of thumb is that the more
activity a given area sees, the higher
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the value placed on it by market
participants.
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These three elements provide us with a
logical perspective about where market
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participants consider the value of a
particular asset to be based on the
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conditions of the market.
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Through the price, The market explores
new levels. The amount of time the price
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spends at these levels suggests that
there is some acceptance in this new
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and finally the generation of volume
confirms that the participants have
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a new value zone where they feel
comfortable trading.
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As we know, conditions are ever
-changing and therefore these elements
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be constantly reassessed.
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Knowing where the value lies is key as
it defines the condition of the market
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which we then base our trading approach.
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Perception of value.
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The fact that the price is moving
comfortably within a trading range,
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development, represents acceptance in
that area.
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It is a context where price and value
coincide according to the participants.
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When the market is in a trend context,
vertical development, price and value do
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not match.
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In this context, the price will move in
advance and the value will follow or not
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as a sign of acceptance or rejection.
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In an equilibrium zone, the fairest
price will be located in the middle
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and the extremes.
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Both above and below will represent
unfair levels or levels not accepted by
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participants.
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Based on the fairest value being in the
middle of the range, a move to the
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higher end will be viewed by buyers as
expensive, while sellers will view it as
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cheap. So their actions will help send
the price back to the fairest area.
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Likewise, a visit to the lower end of
the range will be seen as cheap for
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and expensive for sellers, which will
cause a new upturn.
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This is nothing more than the usual
range trading, where one side is looking
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buy low and sell high, hoping that the
price will continue to reject said
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extremes. And normally, the market will
continue like this until its condition
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changes.
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What's really interesting is when an
imbalance occurs and the price leaves
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value zone.
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What happens then?
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When the price leaves a trading zone, a
change in the perception of value may
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occur.
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The trader's task is now to assess
whether these new price levels are
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or rejected.
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The price moves in advance of the other
two variables when it comes to
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determining the potential areas of
value.
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But it is the time factor initially, and
then that of volume, that will confirm
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whether that new area is accepted or
rejected.
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We can interpret that this new zone has
been accepted when the price is able to
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maintain the level, over time, and
quantities of contracts are traded
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buyers and sellers, volume, all of which
is represented by a certain sideways
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movement of the price.
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By contrast, we can identify rejection
when the price quickly reverts back to
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its old value zone, denoting a lack of
interest and evidenced by a sharp turn.
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All equilibrium zones end when there is
no longer agreement among the
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participants about the value, while all
imbalance movements end when the price
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reaches a zone where they are once more
in agreement.
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This is the continuous cycle of the
market.
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The idea in itself is very powerful, and
with the right approach, you can build
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trading strategies around it.
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As this is the case with one of the
universal principles of technical
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price discounts everything, there is no
need to evaluate what really produces
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this change in the perception of value
by the participants.
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We know that based on current
conditions, based on the information
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that precise moment, all the
participants have their own perception
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price of an asset should be.
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It is possible that something could
happen subsequently at a fundamental
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that changes said perception, but the
advantage of this approach is that it
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removes the need to know and interpret
what has happened to change the
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perception of the participants.
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It is important to note that auction
theory is universal and can be used to
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evaluate any type of financial market,
regardless of the timeframe used.
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It is worth noting that the market
spends most of its time in a state of
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equilibrium, which is logical due to its
very nature, based on the facilitation
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of trading between participants.
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This is where the accumulation and
distribution processes take place, which
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as we all know, the focus of the Wyckoff
method.
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