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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,900 --> 00:00:03,440 The Earth is doomed. 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:06,720 A devastating force is coming. 3 00:00:07,540 --> 00:00:09,280 And we're running out of time. 4 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:18,880 As civilization crumbles around us and the world is destroyed, can we build 5 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:21,960 spacecraft to take us to new, habitable worlds? 6 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:25,440 Can mankind escape annihilation? 7 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:29,640 Can we? 8 00:00:30,350 --> 00:00:31,730 evacuate Earth. 9 00:01:14,820 --> 00:01:15,740 Is that 10 00:01:15,740 --> 00:01:33,200 a 11 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:34,200 shooting star? 12 00:01:35,700 --> 00:01:37,260 Oh wow, yeah, look at that one. 13 00:01:40,970 --> 00:01:44,990 The ups and downs that we've experienced as a species are nothing compared to 14 00:01:44,990 --> 00:01:49,370 what the universe can throw at us. Now, there's a whole list of bad things that 15 00:01:49,370 --> 00:01:51,210 can happen to a planet like the Earth. 16 00:02:15,910 --> 00:02:16,910 My god. 17 00:02:18,050 --> 00:02:19,570 Get in the trunk. Get in the trunk! 18 00:02:25,750 --> 00:02:26,750 Get in the trunk! 19 00:02:50,250 --> 00:02:56,690 If we were suddenly bombarded with a shower of large objects from space, that 20 00:02:56,690 --> 00:02:59,810 would be catastrophic for Earth, and it would mean many different things, but 21 00:02:59,810 --> 00:03:00,810 none of them are good. 22 00:03:11,090 --> 00:03:16,370 One of the most extreme possibilities we can think of would involve an object 23 00:03:16,370 --> 00:03:18,390 that we call a neutron star. 24 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:24,280 Now, a neutron star is incredibly compact, and that size means that its 25 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,860 brightness can be a million times less than that of the Sun. 26 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,760 A neutron star is a stellar corpse. 27 00:03:39,500 --> 00:03:44,000 A star much more massive than the Sun burns through its fuel extremely 28 00:03:46,190 --> 00:03:50,110 And at the end of its life, when it runs out of fuel, the entire core of the 29 00:03:50,110 --> 00:03:51,370 star simply collapses. 30 00:03:54,010 --> 00:03:58,230 This creates one type of supernova in a massive stellar explosion. 31 00:04:05,970 --> 00:04:10,270 If we determine that a neutron star was really headed in our direction, that's 32 00:04:10,270 --> 00:04:14,110 very bad news. You can't blow it up. You can't change its direction. 33 00:04:14,330 --> 00:04:15,710 You can get out of its way. 34 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:20,240 or you can suffer the horrendous consequences of being destroyed by a 35 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:21,240 star. 36 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:32,420 One of the problems with our current age, which can be a good thing depending 37 00:04:32,420 --> 00:04:37,020 upon what the issue is or a bad thing, is that people are very cynical. 38 00:04:37,260 --> 00:04:40,180 We don't particularly believe what we see and hear. 39 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:44,540 And you can imagine you'd have various people, various scientists, get on the 40 00:04:44,540 --> 00:04:46,740 talk shows and say, no, this is really happening. 41 00:04:47,140 --> 00:04:49,140 Do you mean the same thing could happen to us? 42 00:04:49,460 --> 00:04:50,720 Yes, I believe it will. 43 00:04:51,300 --> 00:04:55,780 And just about every astronomer in the world believes it, too. We've all read 44 00:04:55,780 --> 00:04:56,639 the same data. 45 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:59,460 So within a week or two, people will believe it. 46 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:03,940 But the real question is, what will they do about it? And when would this 47 00:05:03,940 --> 00:05:07,940 happen? By our best calculations, 75 years. 48 00:05:08,280 --> 00:05:09,280 75 years. 49 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:14,520 The Earth will be destroyed. This is the end of Earth. 50 00:05:32,140 --> 00:05:37,480 If nature throws something at us that is so utterly catastrophic that the 51 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:39,360 Earth... would be utterly destroyed. 52 00:05:39,980 --> 00:05:44,160 That would compel us, I think, to try to go elsewhere. 53 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:59,560 It boggles the mind. Can we really rescue 7 billion people? 54 00:05:59,960 --> 00:06:05,400 You have to remember only about 600 people have ever gone into space in the 55 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,040 entire history of the human race. 56 00:06:14,060 --> 00:06:16,940 And then there's the problem of the distance that we're going to have to 57 00:06:16,940 --> 00:06:17,940 them. 58 00:06:17,980 --> 00:06:22,660 We're probably going to have to go six, seven, eight light years at least, and 59 00:06:22,660 --> 00:06:24,640 that's 40 trillion miles. 60 00:06:29,100 --> 00:06:31,900 One thing is pretty certain. 61 00:06:33,220 --> 00:06:36,820 We're not going to get there using the space vehicles that we have now. 62 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:45,380 To make this work, we're going to have to build an absolutely colossal ship, 63 00:06:45,380 --> 00:06:49,880 we're going to have to develop a new type of engine to propel it. The 64 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:51,340 is, can we? 65 00:06:55,180 --> 00:07:00,560 Any plan to build a new space drive comes with great risks, but with the 66 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,580 humanity at stake, we're going to have to accept those risks however great. 67 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:08,520 We've titled the project Horizon, and it represents... 68 00:07:08,940 --> 00:07:11,540 The cutting edge in spacecraft propulsion technology. 69 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,000 We're going to be looking at a few approaches right now. 70 00:07:17,340 --> 00:07:18,340 Plasma. 71 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:23,420 Promising, but it poses some real problems with regard to fuel and fuel 72 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,300 But this is a contender. 73 00:07:25,620 --> 00:07:31,020 To make a rocket able to accelerate you to high speeds, the faster you can shoot 74 00:07:31,020 --> 00:07:33,360 the exhaust out, the better off you are. 75 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:37,060 The idea of a plasma rocket is that we'll use electricity. 76 00:07:37,790 --> 00:07:38,950 to accelerate our gas. 77 00:07:39,330 --> 00:07:42,670 And so then you can shoot things out to very large velocities. 78 00:07:43,030 --> 00:07:47,910 But plasma, while it is more powerful, would probably require a lot of fuel. 79 00:07:48,230 --> 00:07:51,890 So really that puts us back to square one with the fuel problem. 80 00:07:55,550 --> 00:08:00,330 Solar sails. This technology has the advantage of substantial research, 81 00:08:00,530 --> 00:08:02,850 especially in the last 15 years. 82 00:08:03,110 --> 00:08:06,070 A solar sail derives its propulsion from sunlight. 83 00:08:06,670 --> 00:08:09,990 You can't feel it when you're out walking on a sunny day, but the light 84 00:08:09,990 --> 00:08:11,850 reflecting off of you is pushing on you. 85 00:08:12,330 --> 00:08:17,470 And we've looked at designs of solar sails that, if they're large enough and 86 00:08:17,470 --> 00:08:20,130 lightweight enough, can get to very, very high speeds. 87 00:08:21,530 --> 00:08:26,870 The solar sail has an Achilles heel, and that is it receives its acceleration by 88 00:08:26,870 --> 00:08:27,910 radiation pressure. 89 00:08:28,570 --> 00:08:32,870 From the sunlight, from the sun. And as you get farther away from the sun, that 90 00:08:32,870 --> 00:08:36,270 radiation pressure gets weaker. The sunlight gets weaker as you move away. 91 00:08:36,630 --> 00:08:41,789 It's kind of like driving on a long, lonely highway, and there's no gas 92 00:08:41,789 --> 00:08:43,330 suddenly for many, many miles. 93 00:08:45,630 --> 00:08:50,190 There's another candidate for an interstellar drive, and this one seems 94 00:08:50,190 --> 00:08:51,770 straight out of science fiction. 95 00:08:54,030 --> 00:08:55,030 Antimatter. 96 00:08:55,420 --> 00:08:59,120 Antimatter is the fondest hope of every propulsion engineer for the last two 97 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:02,540 decades. Antimatter is kind of the mirror image of matter. 98 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:07,200 It has the same mass as a normal particle, like a proton, an electron, 99 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:08,360 has different charge and spin. 100 00:09:09,900 --> 00:09:12,920 And what is really interesting is if you bring a matter particle and an 101 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:16,700 antiparticle together, as soon as they interact, they annihilate each other, 102 00:09:16,700 --> 00:09:18,240 this releases enormous amounts of energy. 103 00:09:21,670 --> 00:09:25,850 But antimatter presents serious challenges. All that energy is really, 104 00:09:25,850 --> 00:09:29,710 dangerous. And we don't necessarily know how to control it, much less funnel it 105 00:09:29,710 --> 00:09:30,710 through an engine. 106 00:09:30,750 --> 00:09:34,830 When we make it, we have to store it in a vacuum chamber and contain it in some 107 00:09:34,830 --> 00:09:38,970 very strong magnetic field so that it doesn't interact with the walls of the 108 00:09:38,970 --> 00:09:43,370 chamber. Because if it does, it's going to annihilate and produce energy. 109 00:09:43,630 --> 00:09:47,510 And just in layman's terms, it becomes a very, very large bomb. 110 00:09:51,500 --> 00:09:54,040 So here we are. We can't use chemical rockets. 111 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,020 Solar cells eventually will run out of thrust. 112 00:09:57,460 --> 00:10:02,300 And antimatter is too dangerous. So that's pretty bad news for a vessel 113 00:10:02,300 --> 00:10:04,680 designed to travel to distant stars. 114 00:10:05,100 --> 00:10:08,300 Thank you all for coming. We're going to break now and get into our discussion 115 00:10:08,300 --> 00:10:09,300 groups. 116 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:11,840 But we might have an ace up our sleeves. 117 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:14,480 There's a technology that might work very well. 118 00:10:14,780 --> 00:10:18,840 The irony is that this technology is not new. It's over 60 years old, and it 119 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:19,840 might just hold the answer. 120 00:10:36,110 --> 00:10:41,470 So during the Manhattan Project in the 1940s, there was a physicist, Stanislaw 121 00:10:41,470 --> 00:10:47,630 Ulam, and he proposed launching a massive space vehicle that was propelled 122 00:10:47,630 --> 00:10:48,630 nuclear bombs. 123 00:10:52,070 --> 00:10:56,150 A number of scientists, including Freeman Dyson, took this concept to the 124 00:10:56,150 --> 00:11:00,410 level, imagining a spacecraft that would be propelled by nuclear explosions. 125 00:11:03,370 --> 00:11:10,330 And they called it... project orion orion is really very simple in 126 00:11:10,330 --> 00:11:15,950 in concept imagine that you have a very large spacecraft and on the back of it 127 00:11:15,950 --> 00:11:21,090 you put big plates with big shock absorbers and what you do is you take 128 00:11:21,090 --> 00:11:25,850 bombs and you eject them from the spacecraft and they go some distance 129 00:11:25,850 --> 00:11:30,170 perhaps tens or hundreds of meters they explode and the blast wave hits this 130 00:11:30,170 --> 00:11:31,170 pressure plate 131 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:35,960 and you set off multiple of these detonations where it's bang, bang, bang, 132 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:39,400 the thing gradually starts to move along and accelerates up through a high 133 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:40,400 velocity. 134 00:11:41,180 --> 00:11:45,980 The fastest man -made object now is the Voyager probe, which is going at 0 .006 135 00:11:45,980 --> 00:11:49,980 times the speed of light. At that speed, it'll take it tens of thousands of 136 00:11:49,980 --> 00:11:51,140 years to reach another star. 137 00:11:51,420 --> 00:11:53,820 But with Project Orion, we can go much faster. 138 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:59,820 Studies that have been done show that if you were to detonate a bomb behind it 139 00:11:59,820 --> 00:12:05,600 once every three seconds for ten days, you would get up to a significant 140 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,180 fraction of the speed of light. 141 00:12:11,620 --> 00:12:16,540 To conceive and build such a vessel is going to take cooperation on a scale 142 00:12:16,540 --> 00:12:18,360 never before seen in the world. 143 00:12:18,740 --> 00:12:21,500 We're talking about natural resources. 144 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:26,140 We're talking about economies of the world having to give up the concept of 145 00:12:26,140 --> 00:12:28,260 money, working toward a common good. 146 00:12:42,300 --> 00:12:44,700 They're calling it the Horizon Project. 147 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:50,820 And we've been granted exclusive access to show you this sprawling compound as 148 00:12:50,820 --> 00:12:53,500 it arises from the soil here in Florida. 149 00:12:54,280 --> 00:13:00,360 They've already dubbed this complex Starship City. In a few months, this 150 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:05,820 will be secured by the military, and the fight to save humankind will begin. 151 00:13:10,380 --> 00:13:12,720 You bring the community to Starship City. 152 00:13:14,280 --> 00:13:19,780 You bring all of your scientists and engineers there, and then you start to 153 00:13:19,780 --> 00:13:20,780 the design work. 154 00:13:22,460 --> 00:13:24,060 They need to have homes to live in. 155 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:27,760 And it's not just them, it's their families, because they have wives or 156 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:29,700 and children which might come with them. 157 00:13:30,140 --> 00:13:32,540 And it becomes a massive community which needs supporting. 158 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:49,240 Now the first order of business at Starship City will be to figure out how 159 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:51,500 actually build the Orion and make it work. 160 00:13:51,860 --> 00:13:55,620 The first thing you'll have to do is increase the production of plutonium. 161 00:13:55,620 --> 00:13:59,040 have to design the bomblet to be specifically used for Orion. 162 00:13:59,300 --> 00:14:04,100 You wouldn't be able to use a decommissioned nuclear weapon from our 163 00:14:04,100 --> 00:14:06,960 you've got a whole new design effort for building these. 164 00:14:10,540 --> 00:14:14,080 As you can see, the bomblets are going to be delivered to the pusher plate. 165 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:19,800 that are used for propulsion have to serve a couple of purposes, and that 166 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:21,060 them complicated to design. 167 00:14:21,580 --> 00:14:26,820 One is they have to transfer the momentum of the detonation of the bomb 168 00:14:26,820 --> 00:14:28,340 off to push the spacecraft. 169 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:33,400 They have to provide radiation shielding for the occupants of the spacecraft. 170 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:38,100 Being around a hydrogen bomb going off is not exactly a healthy environment to 171 00:14:38,100 --> 00:14:41,440 be in unless you're behind a lot of shielding. 172 00:14:41,660 --> 00:14:43,900 And it has to survive that. 173 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:50,380 Multiple detonations, one every three seconds, as this thing is being 174 00:14:51,020 --> 00:14:56,560 One detonation every three seconds could get us to a respectable fraction of the 175 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,280 speed of light, possibly even 7%. 176 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:05,940 So while we're perfecting the propulsion 177 00:15:05,940 --> 00:15:09,840 system, the next question will be, what exactly is it pushing? 178 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:11,500 How big will it be? 179 00:15:11,740 --> 00:15:14,220 And what conditions will we need inside of it? 180 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:16,080 to prepare for the passengers. 181 00:15:19,700 --> 00:15:23,120 One of the critical environmental elements that we're going to have to 182 00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:25,300 is one that we take for granted here on Earth. 183 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,020 And that's gravity. 184 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:36,240 When you go into space, if you don't have gravity, one of the first things 185 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:39,800 starts to happen is that the bones in your body suffer calcium decay. 186 00:15:41,070 --> 00:15:43,970 If you ever see guys that have come down from the International Space Station 187 00:15:43,970 --> 00:15:47,970 that have been in space for three months, when they get out of their 188 00:15:48,170 --> 00:15:51,610 they have to be supported. They literally will fall down. They're so 189 00:15:53,950 --> 00:15:57,370 Now we're talking about an entire lifetime spent in zero gravity. 190 00:15:57,870 --> 00:16:01,810 And so there's a whole host of problems. Number one will be the fact that I'm 191 00:16:01,810 --> 00:16:06,670 not sure if we can actually have men and women produce children in this 192 00:16:06,670 --> 00:16:10,230 environment. The reproductive system relies on gravity. 193 00:16:11,820 --> 00:16:17,900 We don't even know what a body that grew in zero gravity from infancy or even 194 00:16:17,900 --> 00:16:22,680 from in the womb would look like. Would it operate like ours? Would it even be 195 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:25,040 feasible to give birth in interstellar space? 196 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:30,640 We have to assume that we will be raising at least several generations of 197 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:31,920 humanity in space. 198 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,600 And this is something that's never been done before. 199 00:16:37,550 --> 00:16:41,750 Fortunately, there are fairly easy ways to simulate the effects of gravity, and 200 00:16:41,750 --> 00:16:43,370 one of those is through rotation. 201 00:16:44,590 --> 00:16:48,930 Gerard O 'Neill is a professor of physics at Princeton University who 202 00:16:48,930 --> 00:16:53,290 the design for a space colony where people would live on the inside surface 203 00:16:53,290 --> 00:16:55,430 rotating cylinder to produce artificial gravity. 204 00:16:55,690 --> 00:16:59,250 This has all been simulated in computers, and we're fairly confident 205 00:16:59,250 --> 00:17:00,910 cylinder will maintain its pressure. 206 00:17:02,230 --> 00:17:04,450 Light is another obvious issue. 207 00:17:04,990 --> 00:17:08,550 There's not much sunlight, even if you travel even just a few days away from 208 00:17:08,550 --> 00:17:12,089 sun. So we're going to need some artificial lighting. But that's not as 209 00:17:12,089 --> 00:17:13,089 problem as you might think. 210 00:17:13,670 --> 00:17:17,270 We could run a rod down the center of the ship, which would be like the sun, 211 00:17:17,310 --> 00:17:22,670 according to a daily cycle, because humans and plants and other animals rely 212 00:17:22,670 --> 00:17:26,470 the cycles of day and night for their rhythms of life, for their survival. 213 00:17:45,930 --> 00:17:48,770 Who gets to go, to me, is the big question. 214 00:17:50,350 --> 00:17:53,830 How do we select the people who get to go on the escape trip, if you will? 215 00:17:59,290 --> 00:18:03,750 One of the first things that we would want to do is screen the DNA of as many 216 00:18:03,750 --> 00:18:04,970 people as possible. 217 00:18:05,490 --> 00:18:10,210 We would like to ideally collect this from all over the planet, from the 218 00:18:10,210 --> 00:18:12,270 population, if it was feasible. 219 00:18:13,310 --> 00:18:14,930 You're looking at, essentially, 220 00:18:15,740 --> 00:18:20,200 a founding group of people, human beings, on some distant planet. 221 00:18:20,420 --> 00:18:24,720 So the first thing you really want to consider is their survivability, which a 222 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,320 genetic profile will at least give you a clue to. 223 00:18:29,360 --> 00:18:33,880 The people that survive are going to have to be kind of biologically perfect 224 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:38,400 a way, as perfect as they could be, because we're talking about survival 225 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:39,580 long period of time. 226 00:18:42,670 --> 00:18:47,130 In some places, you would need trained medical personnel to collect the samples 227 00:18:47,130 --> 00:18:50,590 and do the screening. But in other cases, people might be able to send in 228 00:18:50,590 --> 00:18:51,590 materials themselves. 229 00:18:51,950 --> 00:18:56,290 We could create an evacuation eligibility kit and mail it to as many 230 00:18:56,290 --> 00:18:57,290 possible. 231 00:18:57,650 --> 00:19:02,510 It would be a simple kit with a pin or swab stick, an instruction card, and a 232 00:19:02,510 --> 00:19:03,510 return envelope. 233 00:19:05,110 --> 00:19:07,450 And they all get shipped back to Starship City. 234 00:19:27,550 --> 00:19:30,710 Genetics aren't the only criteria for getting into this group. 235 00:19:30,950 --> 00:19:33,150 There are certain skill sets that will be required. 236 00:19:33,910 --> 00:19:37,590 First of all, you need a crew to fly the ship and to maintain all of its various 237 00:19:37,590 --> 00:19:44,530 subsystems. Doctors, engineers, pilots, scientists, medical technicians, 238 00:19:44,810 --> 00:19:48,610 medical researchers, although we'll probably make those determinations 239 00:19:48,610 --> 00:19:49,610 down the road. 240 00:19:57,130 --> 00:20:02,310 No matter what criteria is selected, once you start deciding who gets to go, 241 00:20:02,410 --> 00:20:06,390 you're deciding who doesn't go. And that is a lot of people. 242 00:20:08,270 --> 00:20:12,250 In fact, it's 99 % of the people who are not going to get to go. 243 00:20:14,730 --> 00:20:19,450 Wealthy elites would largely shape the priorities in this endeavor and would be 244 00:20:19,450 --> 00:20:24,270 involved very closely in selecting who would be the group of survivors that 245 00:20:24,270 --> 00:20:25,950 would actually make it into space. 246 00:20:28,780 --> 00:20:32,420 There are going to be lots of nations, lots of countries around the world with 247 00:20:32,420 --> 00:20:34,800 very few people selected to go on this journey. 248 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:40,880 There will be populations of people who are already resource poor who will want 249 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,140 to be part of this project but won't be selected. 250 00:20:43,360 --> 00:20:46,960 And the struggle for resources is usually a violent one. 251 00:20:48,420 --> 00:20:51,880 There's a lot of room for tragedy. 252 00:20:54,090 --> 00:20:59,710 You could just have a simple lottery in which anyone had an equal chance of 253 00:20:59,710 --> 00:21:04,810 getting into that. But it would be extremely messy, and wars could well 254 00:21:04,810 --> 00:21:09,090 out over who would get on that ship. 255 00:21:11,770 --> 00:21:15,270 Regimes might say, like, you know what? I have a nuclear bomb. If you don't do 256 00:21:15,270 --> 00:21:20,530 as I say, the world is going to end. The times are ending. It's time to move on 257 00:21:20,530 --> 00:21:21,530 and do it now. 258 00:21:22,110 --> 00:21:26,090 So you have two different scenarios. One that, you know, people are going to get 259 00:21:26,090 --> 00:21:28,070 together and have the best of humanity. 260 00:21:28,350 --> 00:21:30,590 On the other hand, it might be the worst of humanity. 261 00:21:39,890 --> 00:21:45,730 Once we know that our system is doomed, we have to begin looking for other solar 262 00:21:45,730 --> 00:21:47,990 systems with planets that could support it. 263 00:21:49,230 --> 00:21:52,770 We believe there must be other planets out there like ours. 264 00:21:52,970 --> 00:21:56,090 This was something that was only a philosophical statement 20 years ago. 265 00:21:56,710 --> 00:21:59,810 Now we suspect that there are many places like the Earth out there. 266 00:22:00,270 --> 00:22:03,830 The only question is when we'll find them and how close the nearest one will 267 00:22:07,410 --> 00:22:11,570 Finding another planet won't be easy, but we already have telescopes in space 268 00:22:11,570 --> 00:22:14,350 looking for Earth -like planets orbiting other stars. 269 00:22:16,430 --> 00:22:19,370 The most prolific one right now is the Kepler Space Telescope. 270 00:22:22,350 --> 00:22:25,550 Kepler is a one -meter space telescope in an Earth -trailing orbit. 271 00:22:27,150 --> 00:22:34,070 And Kepler looks at 150 ,000 stars every six seconds and looks for a tiny 272 00:22:34,070 --> 00:22:37,250 drop in brightness when the planet goes in front of the star. 273 00:22:38,230 --> 00:22:43,530 Every so often, by chance, a planet may pass between us and its parent star. 274 00:22:44,030 --> 00:22:47,190 In doing so, it blocks a tiny bit of the light from that star. 275 00:22:48,850 --> 00:22:54,290 If we monitor the star, we can actually see that change in light coming from the 276 00:22:54,290 --> 00:22:56,630 star, and it tells us that there is a planet there. 277 00:23:00,630 --> 00:23:03,110 Kepler now has 2 ,000 candidate planets. 278 00:23:03,390 --> 00:23:06,270 It has planets that are the size of the Earth and smaller. 279 00:23:06,790 --> 00:23:10,730 That's potentially a lot of new homes, but the problem is that Kepler's targets 280 00:23:10,730 --> 00:23:11,910 are very far away. 281 00:23:19,190 --> 00:23:23,750 Kepler targets are at distances of 1 ,000 to 1 ,500 light years, so while 282 00:23:23,750 --> 00:23:27,390 is a great experiment for giving us the odds of finding something, it's not a 283 00:23:27,390 --> 00:23:30,370 great experiment for finding where nearby we could go. 284 00:23:38,490 --> 00:23:42,810 The real golden nugget at the end of the search, of course, is to find an Earth 285 00:23:42,810 --> 00:23:44,910 -like world in what's called the Goldilocks Zone. 286 00:23:45,370 --> 00:23:46,630 The Goldilocks Zone. 287 00:23:47,180 --> 00:23:51,820 refers to a zone around a star where the temperature is just right for liquid 288 00:23:51,820 --> 00:23:57,400 water at the surface of the planet liquid water is a critical piece of 289 00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:04,240 it's an important part of the chemistry of life itself and even if we did 290 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:08,820 find a planet that was in the habitable zone of its parent star it had the right 291 00:24:08,820 --> 00:24:13,040 temperature it had the right surface gravity and maybe even a thriving 292 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:18,040 there's still going to be a lot of unknowns that could kill any newcomer. 293 00:24:19,180 --> 00:24:21,540 One big one, for example, is wind speed. 294 00:24:21,980 --> 00:24:25,220 You know, as humans, we can barely function in 50 -mile -per -hour winds. 295 00:24:29,060 --> 00:24:32,860 Some planets may have winds upwards of 200 miles per hour all the time. 296 00:24:34,260 --> 00:24:40,460 We could get there and discover that the things we thought pointed towards a 297 00:24:40,460 --> 00:24:43,340 nice, temperate environment are actually wrong. 298 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:49,220 Maybe it's a planet of crazy chemistry and strange volcanism that's completely 299 00:24:49,220 --> 00:24:50,220 uninhabitable. 300 00:24:50,940 --> 00:24:55,580 At some point, we're basically going to have to take what amounts to a massive 301 00:24:55,580 --> 00:24:56,740 gamble. So that's it? 302 00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:02,700 Does anybody have any reservations about recommending this? We're just going to 303 00:25:02,700 --> 00:25:06,540 have to trust our instrument, trust our measurement, and just select the 304 00:25:06,540 --> 00:25:07,940 location and just go. 305 00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:09,780 This is the best chance. 306 00:25:10,100 --> 00:25:11,620 Nothing else even comes close. 307 00:25:12,300 --> 00:25:16,570 Because... In this situation, there's going to be no time to go back and forth 308 00:25:16,570 --> 00:25:21,730 on our decision -making. The human race cannot die due to paralysis of analysis. 309 00:25:37,750 --> 00:25:42,010 As the neutron star comes into the system, matter... 310 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:47,340 Bits of rock, asteroid, comet, you name it, in our solar system will be 311 00:25:47,340 --> 00:25:48,500 attracted to that object. 312 00:25:50,360 --> 00:25:54,660 But as they hit the surface of the neutron star, it's like setting off 313 00:25:54,660 --> 00:25:55,660 bombs. 314 00:25:56,420 --> 00:26:01,420 This object is going to begin to pump out radiation, which is going to scorch 315 00:26:01,420 --> 00:26:02,420 everything in its path. 316 00:26:02,700 --> 00:26:07,220 So we can find ourselves in a situation where as this neutron star approaches 317 00:26:07,220 --> 00:26:11,710 us... the radiation from the neutron star would be digging through the 318 00:26:11,710 --> 00:26:14,310 atmosphere and digging a hole in the atmosphere. 319 00:26:15,010 --> 00:26:20,190 And if we find ourselves in this case where the beam coming from the neutron 320 00:26:20,190 --> 00:26:24,390 star is sweeped by the planet Earth, God help us. 321 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:41,400 Most people think of launching a spaceship as a rocket that goes up in 322 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:42,880 and reaches orbit. 323 00:26:43,180 --> 00:26:46,440 Well, for something as big as this, that's not going to work. 324 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,160 But luckily, there are other ways to build a spaceship. 325 00:26:49,380 --> 00:26:53,300 It really makes a lot more sense to put it together in pieces and parts and 326 00:26:53,300 --> 00:26:55,820 launch those into space and assemble them there. 327 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:06,060 When you get out into space where you don't have weather, You don't have the 328 00:27:06,060 --> 00:27:06,839 Earth's gravity. 329 00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:10,860 You don't have to put as much math and waste time designing it for two 330 00:27:10,860 --> 00:27:15,600 environments, the environment for transit through the atmosphere and then 331 00:27:15,700 --> 00:27:18,460 You just can concentrate on what it's going to take to keep it in space. 332 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:26,180 We probably won't be able to build the entire ship at Starship City. What we're 333 00:27:26,180 --> 00:27:29,580 going to have to do is we're going to have to distribute the manufacturing all 334 00:27:29,580 --> 00:27:33,020 around the world, creating what is essentially a global assembly line. 335 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:36,640 and that probably is the only chance we have of meeting our deadline. 336 00:27:39,360 --> 00:27:44,280 The biggest challenge is going to be the systems engineering, putting the 337 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:46,820 logistics together and getting all the pieces to fit. 338 00:27:48,300 --> 00:27:52,100 They're going to have to use different tooling and different engineering 339 00:27:52,100 --> 00:27:57,360 processes, and they have to make sure that once they get into space, tab A 340 00:27:57,360 --> 00:28:00,240 into part B and everything connects and works properly. 341 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:05,110 The last thing you want to do is, find out that your pieces don't fit together 342 00:28:05,110 --> 00:28:06,490 properly when you get to space. 343 00:28:21,330 --> 00:28:25,630 Launching the sections of this ship into space, that's the easy part. We've done 344 00:28:25,630 --> 00:28:26,630 that before. 345 00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:31,760 But even with the most advanced robotics that we have, assembling those things 346 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:37,120 into a starship is something that's going to require human coordination of a 347 00:28:37,120 --> 00:28:38,120 huge scale. 348 00:28:46,900 --> 00:28:51,620 I personally don't believe we'd be able to assemble our spaceship just totally 349 00:28:51,620 --> 00:28:53,500 robotically without people. 350 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:57,520 That is absolutely gorgeous. 351 00:28:57,820 --> 00:28:59,880 Zero G and I feel fine. 352 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:07,060 You can do a lot robotically, but sometimes you've just got to have a 353 00:29:07,060 --> 00:29:08,120 site to make things work. 354 00:29:08,780 --> 00:29:14,280 But you'll probably have to have somewhere on the craft astronauts 355 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:20,800 spacesuits 24 -7 overseeing the construction, doing repairs and 356 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:21,980 the spacecraft's coming together. 357 00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:27,220 And that could be a very dangerous situation because we have space junk 358 00:29:27,220 --> 00:29:28,660 around the Earth at high speed. 359 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,940 First pair and second pair both have successfully jettisoned the vehicle. 360 00:29:33,380 --> 00:29:34,520 Everything is looking good. 361 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:41,260 These pieces are moving at orbital speeds, which is on the order of about 5 362 00:29:41,260 --> 00:29:42,880 or even 7 miles a second. 363 00:29:43,220 --> 00:29:46,300 And that's faster than any bullet you can fire on the ground. 364 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,300 And would do tremendous damage if it hit you. 365 00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:26,780 Remember, this ark has to sustain the lives of every survivor in the human 366 00:30:27,100 --> 00:30:30,580 So it's going to need to be supplied with everything they're going to need 367 00:30:30,580 --> 00:30:32,060 decades on their journey. 368 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:40,000 Air. 369 00:30:41,300 --> 00:30:42,300 Water. 370 00:30:43,700 --> 00:30:44,700 Food. 371 00:30:45,180 --> 00:30:48,020 If we don't have those things, we're not going to make it. 372 00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:53,250 Period. But fortunately, the first two, air and water, are essentially the same 373 00:30:53,250 --> 00:30:54,750 thing, scientifically speaking. 374 00:30:55,330 --> 00:30:59,490 You can make oxygen easily by just putting an electrical current through 375 00:30:59,630 --> 00:31:05,610 which is essentially what organisms do when they generate oxygen from 376 00:31:05,610 --> 00:31:06,610 photosynthesis. 377 00:31:07,190 --> 00:31:10,990 And if you have a nuclear power plant on a spaceship, you can generate 378 00:31:10,990 --> 00:31:16,030 electricity for a very, very long period of time safely, and you can just 379 00:31:16,030 --> 00:31:18,610 hydrolyze the water to generate oxygen. 380 00:31:22,730 --> 00:31:26,830 So we can breathe and we have water. Now we have to figure out our food supply. 381 00:31:27,650 --> 00:31:31,610 As mundane as it seems, we've never done anything on this scale before. 382 00:31:31,810 --> 00:31:32,850 It's certainly not in space. 383 00:31:33,130 --> 00:31:38,710 And every man, woman, and child on the ship, there's a chance of dying if we 384 00:31:38,710 --> 00:31:39,649 don't figure it out. 385 00:31:39,650 --> 00:31:43,910 You obviously can't take millions of cans of baked beans and frozen chicken 386 00:31:43,910 --> 00:31:46,330 burgers all the way to the stars. That's not viable. 387 00:31:46,790 --> 00:31:48,690 You will not be eating meat in space. 388 00:31:49,090 --> 00:31:50,190 No steak in space. 389 00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,420 You can have a meat -flavored material, but you will not be eating meat in 390 00:31:54,420 --> 00:31:58,700 space. If you really are hungry for animal protein, you can get some good 391 00:31:58,700 --> 00:31:59,700 or some roaches. 392 00:32:00,180 --> 00:32:02,700 Insects have been a source of protein for humans for a long time. 393 00:32:03,260 --> 00:32:05,900 The idea is that there would be some agriculture. 394 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:10,440 But who knows? Maybe we'll come to enjoy insects and that kind of thing. 395 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:16,960 We have to consider growing crops. 396 00:32:18,890 --> 00:32:22,670 We certainly have to come up with new crops that are resistant to the 397 00:32:22,670 --> 00:32:25,470 sources that will certainly be out there in space. 398 00:32:29,390 --> 00:32:33,670 We're going to have to come up with new seeds that are impervious, perhaps, to 399 00:32:33,670 --> 00:32:34,670 the microgravity environment. 400 00:32:36,710 --> 00:32:40,170 Growing corn in space is not a viable option here. You're going to be growing 401 00:32:40,170 --> 00:32:45,450 algae. You're going to be eating chlorella crackers, little green thin 402 00:32:45,450 --> 00:32:46,650 that will taste like... 403 00:32:47,180 --> 00:32:49,900 Ride spinach on a good day. 404 00:32:58,100 --> 00:33:03,820 The question of diet raises the importance of bringing along a few 405 00:33:03,820 --> 00:33:06,600 passengers on board. We're talking about bacteria. 406 00:33:06,820 --> 00:33:12,480 It's critical that we would take a complement of microbes into space. It's 407 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,260 absolutely essential for the survival of human life. 408 00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:20,620 Six pounds of a typical human adult's weight is microorganisms. 409 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:25,640 Without bacteria, we wouldn't even be able to perform simple functions like 410 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:26,700 digesting our food. 411 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:34,260 Those organisms all evolved more than 2 .5 billion years ago on this planet. 412 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:39,580 They are the ones that made the planet habitable for all the other creatures on 413 00:33:39,580 --> 00:33:40,580 it. 414 00:33:43,660 --> 00:33:48,240 To take bacteria in space is quite easy, actually. You can take bacteria in 415 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:52,660 very, very small vials, and they're stored in liquid nitrogen or some other 416 00:33:52,660 --> 00:33:54,020 very, very cold fluid. 417 00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,200 It's just like storing sperm in a sperm bank. 418 00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:07,200 The thing you have to remember is that all of these programs have to take place 419 00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:08,760 at the same time. 420 00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:10,460 Building the ship... 421 00:34:10,750 --> 00:34:16,230 selecting a destination, solving supply problems, figuring out how to feed the 422 00:34:16,230 --> 00:34:21,389 evacuees. It all has to be simultaneously coordinated, or it's not 423 00:34:21,389 --> 00:34:23,909 done. The neutron star isn't going to give us an extension. 424 00:34:38,860 --> 00:34:42,460 We've got our tens of thousands of individuals, and we've got their food 425 00:34:42,460 --> 00:34:43,699 water and air to breathe. 426 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:47,600 At this point, I think we would definitely want to board our craft. 427 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:49,820 We're going to want to leave the planet. 428 00:34:53,500 --> 00:34:57,460 It'll be an interesting challenge to keep the passengers and crew positive, 429 00:34:57,560 --> 00:34:59,080 especially in the early going. 430 00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,880 The people that start off on the mission, possibly they're going to 431 00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:07,380 depression because their realization that their home world has been 432 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:13,020 There will be friends, loved ones, places left behind, never to be seen 433 00:35:13,220 --> 00:35:15,060 and that's got to hurt everyone. 434 00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:18,480 We're so lucky to be one of the few thousand intact families going. 435 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,460 How could we not do it? It's the only choice we have. 436 00:35:21,900 --> 00:35:24,820 For the first time, humans will be leaving their home. 437 00:35:25,260 --> 00:35:30,980 They'll be traveling for 60, 80, 100 years perhaps in a large vessel with a 438 00:35:30,980 --> 00:35:32,060 quarter million people aboard. 439 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,060 They've left behind perhaps family members. 440 00:35:35,460 --> 00:35:36,940 They've left behind... 441 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:41,600 places they grew up. I think it's very important that we maintain a family 442 00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:48,260 structure during this journey, that we allow individuals to form a home, if you 443 00:35:48,260 --> 00:35:49,260 will. 444 00:36:06,410 --> 00:36:10,490 If we pull it off, the Ark ship is going to be a wonder unlike anything humans 445 00:36:10,490 --> 00:36:11,490 have ever created. 446 00:36:12,730 --> 00:36:15,430 The last wonder we'll ever create on Earth. 447 00:37:13,450 --> 00:37:15,490 We're under the assumption that people are going to behave. 448 00:37:16,350 --> 00:37:20,110 But we have to be certain that we have some laws, that we have some rules, that 449 00:37:20,110 --> 00:37:21,110 we have a structure. 450 00:37:21,210 --> 00:37:25,450 I think what worries me the most is just the social cohesion of the group. 451 00:37:25,670 --> 00:37:31,050 Will they stay on task or will they rebel and try to do something different? 452 00:37:31,050 --> 00:37:35,470 turn the ship around, to give up, keeping people directed towards their 453 00:37:35,470 --> 00:37:39,270 that time, not breaking up into factions on board the ship, not killing each 454 00:37:39,270 --> 00:37:40,990 other. The same problem we have. 455 00:37:41,470 --> 00:37:44,590 in a city or in adjacent countries. That's what we've got to master. 456 00:37:44,930 --> 00:37:50,190 Clearly, we will have individuals from multiple countries who just say that the 457 00:37:50,190 --> 00:37:54,770 hatred and the problems that we have here on Earth will not befall us on this 458 00:37:54,770 --> 00:37:55,770 journey. 459 00:37:57,650 --> 00:38:00,030 The obvious thing you need is governance. 460 00:38:01,110 --> 00:38:04,250 What's the laws that you take with you? Is it the Constitution of the United 461 00:38:04,250 --> 00:38:06,170 States? Is it the United Nations? 462 00:38:06,590 --> 00:38:09,670 What kind of political structure do you have on board? 463 00:38:09,930 --> 00:38:10,930 Do you want a democracy? 464 00:38:11,010 --> 00:38:14,050 And this is a really interesting question, because you certainly don't 465 00:38:14,050 --> 00:38:17,590 dictator who's going to just rule everyone, and he gets there, and he's 466 00:38:17,590 --> 00:38:21,190 be the ruler of the planet and never step down. But at the same time, you 467 00:38:21,190 --> 00:38:25,390 some kind of military structure that makes sure the orders are executed, 468 00:38:25,390 --> 00:38:29,570 the people in charge are making very hard decisions in a military -like way, 469 00:38:29,570 --> 00:38:32,650 if there was a democracy, perhaps they would be outvoted as being the person 470 00:38:32,650 --> 00:38:35,690 that makes the decisions, and this can actually affect the success of the 471 00:38:35,690 --> 00:38:36,690 mission. 472 00:39:03,950 --> 00:39:07,490 As the neutron star approaches the Earth, there are two things that are 473 00:39:07,490 --> 00:39:11,430 happen. The internal core and the crust of the Earth would start to get heated 474 00:39:11,430 --> 00:39:16,650 up, and it would start to become molten, and this would result in earthquakes on 475 00:39:16,650 --> 00:39:18,290 a scale that we've never seen. 476 00:39:19,030 --> 00:39:24,290 What will happen next is the neutron star's gravitational field will begin to 477 00:39:24,290 --> 00:39:26,470 tear away our planet. 478 00:39:59,180 --> 00:40:04,140 Once the Earth's atmosphere, the Earth's oceans, and the Earth's crust start to 479 00:40:04,140 --> 00:40:06,440 become perturbed, it's going to kill people pretty quickly. 480 00:40:10,500 --> 00:40:15,820 Then I think the Earth's crust will shatter. The hot interior of the planet 481 00:40:15,820 --> 00:40:18,140 essentially spill out into the vacuum of space. 482 00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:44,180 By the time the neutron star literally rips the Earth to pieces, everybody on 483 00:40:44,180 --> 00:40:49,620 the Earth is already going to be dead from radiation or volcanism or any 484 00:40:49,620 --> 00:40:50,620 of other things. 485 00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:56,340 So there won't be anybody there to witness this event, except for the 486 00:40:56,340 --> 00:40:57,340 course, on the Earth. 487 00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:32,380 The material of a shredded Earth can do a couple of things. It may fall straight 488 00:41:32,380 --> 00:41:35,980 onto the neutron star and result in colossal explosions. 489 00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:44,780 It's also possible that it would enter into an orbit around the neutron star as 490 00:41:44,780 --> 00:41:45,780 a ring. 491 00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:52,700 So, in fact, our planet could become a ring system. 492 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,280 Who's going to be there when we arrive? 493 00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:42,200 The human life expectancy currently is about 70 years. 494 00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:47,540 So by the time we reach the distant planet that is our target, chances are 495 00:42:47,540 --> 00:42:50,860 of the original people who got on the Ark ship aren't going to be around. 496 00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:56,000 Clearly those who were in their 50s and 60s when the journey began won't make 497 00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:58,640 it. Most likely to be the younger children. 498 00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,460 You can imagine that being a very emotional experience. 499 00:43:03,930 --> 00:43:06,890 Because they know they've reached the end of their long journey and they were 500 00:43:06,890 --> 00:43:09,710 successful. But in some ways, they've only started it. 501 00:43:12,570 --> 00:43:16,250 Imagine the flood of emotions that these people are going to feel the first time 502 00:43:16,250 --> 00:43:17,610 they see the surface of this planet. 503 00:43:18,710 --> 00:43:22,650 But now they're tasked with doing something that's even more immense. Now 504 00:43:22,650 --> 00:43:27,110 have to go down to this planet and rebuild human civilization on a new 505 00:43:32,590 --> 00:43:36,950 A lot of people would say that thinking about building an interstellar arc and 506 00:43:36,950 --> 00:43:39,390 evacuating the planet is kind of a waste of time. 507 00:43:40,010 --> 00:43:43,630 I'm not sure that it's something we want to put a lot of effort into without a 508 00:43:43,630 --> 00:43:47,350 threat, but it's certainly something we need to be thinking about because 509 00:43:47,350 --> 00:43:50,570 sometime in the future it's inevitable that we're going to want to leave the 510 00:43:50,570 --> 00:43:54,850 planet, hopefully without being forced to by a catastrophe. 511 00:43:55,690 --> 00:43:57,630 This is a crazy thing to think about. 512 00:43:57,870 --> 00:44:00,370 It seems like science fiction. 513 00:44:00,590 --> 00:44:01,890 The end of the world. 514 00:44:02,270 --> 00:44:06,250 no going back, we have to escape, we have to evacuate Earth. But it's really 515 00:44:06,250 --> 00:44:10,110 impossible to say that it will never happen. And it's also interesting to 516 00:44:10,110 --> 00:44:15,470 about because it's a question of whether we as a species will ever expand beyond 517 00:44:15,470 --> 00:44:18,110 the confines of the planet that gave birth to it. 518 00:44:18,650 --> 00:44:23,870 If you look at evolution on Earth, often great migrations and expansions of 519 00:44:23,870 --> 00:44:28,750 particular species are initiated because of some disaster that forces that 520 00:44:28,750 --> 00:44:30,090 species to move on. 521 00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:32,020 We may be the same. 522 00:44:32,500 --> 00:44:38,420 It may be that an event like this, as devastating as it is, is the one thing 523 00:44:38,420 --> 00:44:43,620 that ensures that our species will live forever as it propagates out into the 524 00:44:43,620 --> 00:44:44,620 universe. 525 00:44:46,700 --> 00:44:49,580 Are recent floods a sign of worse to come? 526 00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:53,640 Experts explore the terrifying consequences of rising sea levels on 527 00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:56,220 populations in Evacuate Earth, next. 47852

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