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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:25,720 We have spent more than $2 billion on the greatest 2 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:29,640 scientific gamble in history, and we have won. 3 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:36,320 But the greatest marvel is not the size of the enterprise, 4 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:40,600 its secrecy, or its cost, but the achievement 5 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,080 of scientific brains in making it work. 6 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:48,479 And hardly less marvelous has been the capacity of industry 7 00:00:48,480 --> 00:00:52,119 to design and of labor to operate the machines 8 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:55,800 and methods to do things never done before. 9 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:03,760 The force from which the sun draws its power has been loosed 10 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,280 against those who brought war to the Far East. 11 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,920 It is a harnessing of the basic power of the universe. 12 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:29,040 It is an atomic bomb. 13 00:01:56,960 --> 00:02:00,080 What has been done is the greatest achievement 14 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,920 of organized science in history. 15 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:07,880 It has the ability to cripple whole sectors of society. 16 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:12,520 The destructive capabilities are enormous. 17 00:02:12,640 --> 00:02:15,080 It was the advent of weapons of mass destruction 18 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,079 and the opening of a Pandora's box 19 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:18,920 to which no one had predicted. 20 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,839 In the 20th century, humanity developed a weapon 21 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:44,640 capable of destroying humanity itself. 22 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:57,640 With literally everything at stake, this weapon of mass 23 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:02,159 destruction suddenly made war unwinnable. 24 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:06,680 One of the key objectives of war is to destroy an enemy's 25 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,640 will to fight, to undermine their psychological desire 26 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:12,600 to defend themselves or to attack you. 27 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:18,639 So throughout World War II, we saw a lot of 28 00:03:18,640 --> 00:03:21,799 micro advancements in weapon systems and technologies, 29 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,279 but the breakthrough in nuclear technology was the key 30 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:27,520 game changer in that conflict. 31 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,279 Fission is the process when the nucleus 32 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,919 of an atom is split in two smaller nuclei, 33 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:38,680 releasing a large amount of energy in the process. 34 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,719 And that was significantly more impactful 35 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:44,400 than conventional weapons at the time. 36 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:49,039 It was discovered in Berlin in December of 1938 and caused 37 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,160 some alarm given the actions of the burgeoning Nazi state. 38 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:56,519 The Reich basically began to expand throughout Europe, 39 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:58,720 and one of the things they were trying to do is they were 40 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:01,119 trying to grab resources, both human capital, 41 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:02,960 but also resources that would potentially feed 42 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:05,040 into their nuclear or atomic program. 43 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,160 By the end of the war, the Germans were far 44 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,280 from delivering a nuclear weapon. 45 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:15,399 But that didn't halt the drive to nuclear fission, with both 46 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:18,799 the Allies and the Soviets actively recruiting physicists 47 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:22,439 to bring their knowledge into their ongoing programs, 48 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,400 including the now infamous Manhattan Project. 49 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,200 The Manhattan Project was the effort that was led 50 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:36,639 primarily by the US, the Brits, and the Canadians. 51 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,160 It was a collaboration between government, academia, 52 00:04:39,280 --> 00:04:41,359 and the private sector to develop true disruptive 53 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:43,759 technologies that gave the Allied side a demonstrable 54 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:47,519 advantage when it came to a nuclear capability. 55 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:50,359 American physicist Jules Robert Oppenheimer was 56 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,840 nominated to direct the program in Los Alamos, New Mexico, 57 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,159 where on July 16, 1945, 58 00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:57,560 they would conduct the Trinity Test, 59 00:04:57,680 --> 00:04:59,960 when an atomic bomb was detonated for the first time. 60 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,479 The original military objective in developing the atomic bomb 61 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:19,359 was to drop weapons in Germany, to show the German population, 62 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:22,119 whose ardent belief was to never surrender, 63 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:24,440 that they could not win against the Allies. 64 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:32,520 Yet the Germans were defeated 65 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:34,720 before the atomic bomb became real. 66 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:38,439 However, the eastern theater 67 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:41,239 was still very much active, and the quasi-religious 68 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:44,479 Japanese fervor in their emperor's divine right 69 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:47,040 to govern meant that they would never surrender. 70 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:52,040 US President Harry S. Truman 71 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:55,159 decided that an atomic detonation was a risk 72 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:56,360 worth taking. 73 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:01,480 So the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki 74 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:03,479 were the unfortunate recipients 75 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:05,399 of not one, but two atomic bombs. 76 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:08,120 With this bomb we have now added 77 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,919 a new and revolutionary increase in destruction. 78 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,480 And the world-shaking explosions of the atomic bomb. 79 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:21,479 On August 6th, 1945, the atomic bomb, Little Boy, 80 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:22,760 was dropped on Hiroshima. 81 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:39,080 70% of the buildings in Hiroshima were destroyed. 82 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:46,239 And over 40% of the population was killed. 83 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:47,760 That's over 80,000 people. 84 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:56,999 Three days later, in Nagasaki, a city that held four major 85 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:00,719 wartime industries, the US dropped the bomb 86 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:05,920 "Fat Man", containing 6.2 kilograms of plutonium 87 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,400 and a 21-kiloton yield. 88 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:11,120 The initial explosion 89 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:13,999 and its aftermath claimed the lives 90 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:15,999 of up to 40,000 people, 91 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,919 with the toll climbing to up to 80,000 92 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:20,440 over the next few months. 93 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,479 I now invite the representatives 94 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,119 of the Emperor of Japan. 95 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,999 The Japanese delegation lines up on the opposite side 96 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:33,999 of the surrender table from the Allied. 97 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:37,639 Two bombs. 98 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:39,440 Hundreds of thousands of casualties, 99 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:40,840 mostly civilians. 100 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,160 This was the new face of war. 101 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:46,640 But many wondered, was this the end of it... 102 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:49,480 or just the beginning? 103 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:55,519 Before that fateful day in August 1945, 104 00:07:55,520 --> 00:08:00,000 humankind's ability to inflict mortal damage was always 105 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,959 relatively limited and predictable. 106 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:05,360 But the atomic bomb changed all that. 107 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,440 Nobody knew just how powerful it could be. 108 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,559 One nuclear bomb can destroy a city. 109 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,160 Several nuclear bombs can destroy the world. 110 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:20,280 The moment nuclear weapons arrived, 111 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:22,480 every other weapon became conventional. 112 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:27,200 The effects are so devastating on a populace 113 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:31,919 that their deployment is both a moral and strategic question. 114 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,800 They are usually used only as a last resort. 115 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:39,600 And we really have to take into account the toll 116 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:42,400 on human lives and the generational effects. 117 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:52,680 Official state that the US knows 118 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:54,399 of 24 Soviet rocket bases 119 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:57,880 prevent the delivery to Cuba of any further 120 00:08:58,000 --> 00:08:59,759 offensive military equipment. 121 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:02,360 What are the Russians able to do if they want to? 122 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:05,239 With the need for additional offsetting 123 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:08,160 United States action, in order to preserve 124 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:10,960 the sufficiency of our strategic forces. 125 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,040 While no weapon had ever been invented 126 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,440 that hadn't eventually been deployed, 127 00:09:18,560 --> 00:09:21,880 the consequences of nuclear weapons made war unthinkable. 128 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:26,680 So much of the 20th century was spent reshaping 129 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:29,559 the rules of conflict. 130 00:09:29,560 --> 00:09:33,120 The alternative to nuclear annihilation became... 131 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:34,760 more nuclear weapons. 132 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:41,879 The Cold War wasn't actually, properly speaking, 133 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,200 a war insofar as it never turned hot, 134 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:46,239 and there were no military confrontations 135 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,359 between the Soviet Union and the United States. 136 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:53,880 There was an enormous competition, 137 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,119 an ideological competition, 138 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:57,759 an economic competition, 139 00:09:57,760 --> 00:09:59,799 and, of course, a military competition. 140 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:01,240 There was an arms race. 141 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:03,839 But the two superpowers never confronted each other 142 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,400 on the battlefield, at least not directly. 143 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,439 The reason we never actually got into a hot war 144 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:15,760 or a nuclear war with the Soviets during the Cold War 145 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:18,280 was this concept of Mutually Assured Destruction. 146 00:10:19,560 --> 00:10:22,919 This primarily referred to a system where both countries 147 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:26,800 held nuclear arsenals capable of wiping each other out. 148 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:32,399 If either launched an attack, the other would have the time 149 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,920 to counter launch missiles of its own, so that both sides 150 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,599 would be killed while watching the other die. 151 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:40,960 Hardly a traditional military victory. 152 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,560 It was deterrence on a grand scale. 153 00:10:45,680 --> 00:10:47,479 "Mutually assured deterrence, 154 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,319 based on Mutually Assured Destruction," 155 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:52,800 a phrase coined by Donald Brennan, 156 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,360 a strategist in 1962. 157 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:59,119 This theory of deterrence has largely been validated through 158 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,840 the fact simply that no one launched nuclear weapons 159 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:05,280 against each other throughout those 70 years of the Cold War. 160 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:07,240 Russian ships came out from Cuban ports 161 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,120 with their decks loaded with missiles. 162 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:10,640 The Soviets are withdrawing under pressure 163 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:12,199 from the New World. 164 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,439 That confrontation is now over. 165 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,999 The nuclear threat, while far from gone, is receding. 166 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:21,320 Once someone starts this spiral of violence, it's hard to stop. 167 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,320 President Clinton and President Yeltsin 168 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:24,839 made a historic joint announcement. 169 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:27,319 We have de-targeted all of our strategic nuclear missiles 170 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:29,480 for the first time in almost 35 years. 171 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:33,919 At the end of the Cold War, 172 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:38,400 there was an emphasis on making sure that smaller states 173 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:42,160 that had broken away did not get a hold of nuclear weapons. 174 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:47,199 There are around 13,000 nuclear weapons 175 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:49,720 that are still stockpiled in the world. 176 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:51,720 The overwhelming majority is controlled 177 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:53,760 by the United States and Russia. 178 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:57,000 Those have roughly 10,000 warheads between them. 179 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:03,079 The remainder are spread through at least six countries. 180 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:05,400 China has somewhere around 400. 181 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,199 France and the UK have almost 300, 182 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:12,519 or 260 in the UK's case. 183 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:14,759 Pakistan and India have their own arms race 184 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:18,480 between them, with over 150 weapons each. 185 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:20,080 And North Korea is believed to have 186 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:23,679 at least 20 nuclear weapons. 187 00:12:23,680 --> 00:12:29,160 Israel is known or expected to have nuclear weapons, 188 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,520 but its government has never confirmed this. 189 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:38,359 A military advantage of using a WMD in warfare is that it 190 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,600 could quickly bring that conflict to its culmination. 191 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:44,400 In all calculations, 192 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:49,080 that, in the end, saves in total number of lives lost. 193 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:56,160 The destructive capabilities of nuclear weapons are enormous. 194 00:12:57,760 --> 00:13:01,639 At the same time, when one looks at the Second World War, 195 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:06,639 half a million Germans were killed by Allied bombings. 196 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,879 And even in Japan, where two nuclear weapons were dropped 197 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:11,680 on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, 198 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:14,999 more Japanese died in other cities, 199 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,400 namely in fire bombings. 200 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,120 In the end, similar results can be achieved 201 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:23,760 by conventional weapons. 202 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:29,560 But the disadvantages of using WMD are pretty scary. 203 00:13:30,560 --> 00:13:34,760 If you let a WMD fall into the wrong hands, well, 204 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,360 hey, you only have to look at North Korea. 205 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:43,960 Other disadvantages of WMDs are that they have 206 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:48,000 a large area of effect and they're indiscriminate. 207 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:51,000 If I were to use a nuclear bomb in a certain place, 208 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,000 it would kill everyone there. 209 00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,039 Arguably, the most impactful second order effect 210 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:04,079 of nuclear weapons has been the long-term implication 211 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,240 of radiological impacts. 212 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:13,439 The ideas is that how these weapons have reached 213 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:17,719 into the soil, into the water ducts, and have infected 214 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:21,080 and imbued our food, our nutrition, our water 215 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:23,159 with infections 216 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:26,040 that last beyond generations, beyond borders, 217 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:28,400 into people that haven't been born yet. 218 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:34,280 What really distinguishes nuclear weapons actually is 219 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:38,600 that they have been designed to not be used. 220 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,639 So far, nuclear weapons have been used only twice 221 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:46,520 in history, and we all hope it's not going to happen again. 222 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:49,840 The whole idea of nuclear deterrence is based on the idea 223 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:53,119 that nuclear weapons aren't actually being used. 224 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:57,240 The first treaty ever that actually eliminated an entire 225 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,800 class of US and Soviet nuclear missiles. 226 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,239 When it was clear that nuclear weapons 227 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:13,280 were morally, politically, and logistically 228 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:14,639 a zero-sum game, 229 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:16,560 a new super weapon was needed. 230 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,160 The world had changed, and with change came 231 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,240 new vulnerabilities to exploit. 232 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:26,679 Since World War II, we have generally sought ways 233 00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:30,080 to develop weapons that were less destructive, 234 00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:33,000 but still able to deliver that knockout blow. 235 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,799 Since the end of the Cold War, the nuclear threat 236 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:38,520 hasn't really captured the imagination 237 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:39,640 of the public anymore. 238 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:42,999 The world had moved on, technology boomed, 239 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:44,879 the information age developed, 240 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,400 that proliferated throughout societies, 241 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:50,640 and offered new opportunities. 242 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,919 With the emergence of computer, and most importantly 243 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:58,879 the internet, a new area of warfare emerged, 244 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:00,720 namely cyber warfare. 245 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,399 Now, it was information and its denial that began 246 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:09,559 to attract investment, exploiting society's dependence 247 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:12,039 on a digitized, connected world, which could be 248 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,439 exploited to undermine society's will to fight future battles, 249 00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:18,080 even possibly without human loss. 250 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:25,360 Not only are we increasingly connected to our devices, 251 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,960 but those devices have connected us 252 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:29,680 to virtually everyone. 253 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,800 When we talk about cyborg theory or the belief that 254 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:42,240 humans will continue to become increasingly dependent 255 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:43,560 on their technology, 256 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:47,120 the fact is, it's already here. 257 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:53,439 All of us are connected to our phones and other devices 258 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:55,879 in ways we never envisioned. 259 00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:57,639 Most of us could not do without them, 260 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:00,000 even for a short period of time. 261 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,759 Everything has been connected at this point, 262 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:07,840 and if this gets knocked out 263 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:11,800 or destroyed, our society might be pushed back 264 00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:14,680 into the pre-electric era. 265 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:17,320 And this might, in the end, kill more people 266 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:19,800 than any conventional military attack could. 267 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,399 The definition of weapons of mass destruction 268 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,239 is certainly changing today. 269 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,519 Previously, we've thought about this as destroying, 270 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:38,919 of killing enemies. 271 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:42,760 Today, it feels more about influencing the will, 272 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:44,760 dealing with a knockout blow to society. 273 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,279 At the heart of the drive to cyber warfare is a desire 274 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,959 to disrupt a society to such an extent that it focuses 275 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:56,559 inwardly on overcoming internal or perceived threats 276 00:17:56,560 --> 00:18:00,080 rather than responding to an adversary's moves itself. 277 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:07,920 Our dependence on, and connection to these devices 278 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:13,360 really enable any small group or lone actor to take an act 279 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:17,200 that impacts us and interferes with those systems, 280 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,719 and they can cause devastating effect 281 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:21,760 It's like one man has 282 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:27,480 the ability to wage large scale warfare, and so the ethics now 283 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,440 are like, "Well, how do you stop that?" 284 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:33,960 In my opinion, you cannot stop it. 285 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:37,560 Government computers hacked again. 286 00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:39,320 Information of at least four million 287 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:40,760 government workers, stolen. 288 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:44,479 An encrypted database storing user passwords has been hacked. 289 00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:47,600 Investigators say many personal computers have been infected 290 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:48,879 with the virus program. 291 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,519 This could provide a roadmap to other sensitive 292 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:55,560 environments and data that they're going after. 293 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,999 In the cyber age, the battleground has pivoted 294 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,399 away from physical destruction, toward unleashing social 295 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,999 and economic chaos by choking off or corrupting the data 296 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:06,720 we all depend on. 297 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:08,520 So, at this point, there are basically 298 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,559 five domains of warfare, 299 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,320 three of which are rather old. 300 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,320 Land warfare, which has existed 301 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,440 since the beginning of humankind. 302 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,720 Sea warfare, which has also been around for a long time. 303 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,040 Aerial warfare really came about 304 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,880 during the Second World War or just before that. 305 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,280 Space has become the fourth domain 306 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,400 with satellites and space-based weapons. 307 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,359 More recently, a fifth domain of warfare has emerged, 308 00:19:40,360 --> 00:19:41,760 the cyber realm. 309 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:46,080 You could argue that cyberspace isn't real, yet the effects 310 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:50,199 and consequences of an attack in cyberspace or the use 311 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,439 of a cyber weapon can certainly be felt 312 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,520 in the real physical world. 313 00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,160 Hackers overwhelm a computer network 314 00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:01,359 by flooding it with traffic. 315 00:20:01,360 --> 00:20:03,840 Among those websites affected, the Treasury Department 316 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:05,199 and the Secret Service. 317 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,119 Pentagon and New York Stock Exchange. 318 00:20:07,120 --> 00:20:10,200 There are flaws in the tools that we all rely on. 319 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,840 Anyone with a cell phone or internet account knows 320 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,880 that cyberattacks are committed almost daily. 321 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:18,999 What if a wide scale attack were launched 322 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,879 by a hostile government with large resources? 323 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:23,599 What happens when cyberattacks 324 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,080 evolve into full scale cyber war? 325 00:20:29,120 --> 00:20:30,560 Just imagine this scenario. 326 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:38,399 Experts say it's too soon to know just who was behind it. 327 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,519 One says it could be a sign of what's to come. 328 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,200 You're in the office. 329 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:45,080 The first thing you'd notice was your internet 330 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:46,720 started to slow. 331 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:50,080 The time on your computer didn't reflect the real time. 332 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:53,239 Webpages would stop uploading and updating. 333 00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:58,440 You might then try and pick up your mobile phone, 334 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,719 but it doesn't link to local networks because the navigation 335 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:04,759 and timing sequences that it relies on 336 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,600 have all been disrupted and destroyed. 337 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,120 Your link to the world, your phone, isn't working. 338 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,280 Getting a bit frustrated now, you might go to the TV 339 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,559 to find out what's happening, but those signals 340 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,759 would no longer be received, because terrestrial broadcast 341 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:23,759 is now fully digital and relies on timing and connectivity, 342 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,600 things that can be attacked and unpicked by cyber. 343 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,479 Panicking a little now, you might switch on the radio, 344 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,800 but radios, again, are digital, and those are also lost 345 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:35,280 in this attack. 346 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,360 With no connection to the world around you, 347 00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:41,880 you try and get home. 348 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,400 There are different types of cyberattacks, 349 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,119 criminal attacks, 350 00:21:50,120 --> 00:21:51,880 cyber espionage, 351 00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:53,199 sabotage, 352 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,759 and then also the use of cyber 353 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:57,720 for psychological operations. 354 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,399 Cyber espionage is when an actor breaks into a system 355 00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,879 and gathers a lot of information, 356 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,480 sometimes over weeks, and months and years. 357 00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,200 Cyber espionage involves spear phishing 358 00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:16,840 or botnets to compromise 359 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:18,999 security systems and steal secrets 360 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,399 and other sensitive information. 361 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,559 The Chinese have specialized in this recently, 362 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,559 stealing American designs for sophisticated aircrafting 363 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,160 technology and replicating them. 364 00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:33,399 Cyber sabotage means that you infiltrate the system, 365 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:37,520 there are different ways to do that, and basically destroy 366 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,639 or sabotage the system from within. 367 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:43,519 This is the first worm designed to damage the physical world, 368 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:46,040 and critical infrastructure in particular. 369 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,279 Perhaps the most famous is the Stuxnet virus attack 370 00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:51,119 on the Iranian nuclear program, 371 00:22:51,120 --> 00:22:54,519 infecting their systems, making their centrifuges spin 372 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,680 beyond tolerance and affecting the constituent components, 373 00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:59,560 rendering the weapons unusable. 374 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,959 It's a clever, witty, devastating attack, 375 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,680 and all done without the loss of life. 376 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:10,960 One aspect is economic cyberattacks. 377 00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:14,320 Basically, what that means is an attack on an institution, 378 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:18,600 usually a bank or a business or a payment system, 379 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:22,279 that's meant to either pilfer money, freeze accounts, 380 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,880 or prevent people from being able to transact, 381 00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:28,440 and in essence, basically shutting down an economy. 382 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,759 Our everyday technology has made each one of us 383 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,200 a potential soldier on a cyber battlefield. 384 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:43,280 And when the cyber war begins, we can all become casualties. 385 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,680 Cars have stopped moving. Everything is gridlocked. 386 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,040 People are crashing. Drivers are arguing. 387 00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:53,839 As you try to get down to the metro station, 388 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,919 you realize that the metro had stopped running. 389 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:59,080 There are no signals, no power. People can't get in and out. 390 00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,960 You try to withdraw some cash, but all the ATMs are down. 391 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,799 There's now widespread disbelief that everything 392 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,240 could slow down and stop. 393 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:18,720 And eventually, you might make your way home, 394 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,720 having walked for miles through this devastation of people 395 00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,360 just not knowing what really was happening. 396 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,799 So what you're starting to see is basically the collision 397 00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:29,160 of cyber warfare and conventional warfare. 398 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,160 As more and more devices on the battlefield 399 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,319 are interconnected and communicating 400 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,759 with each other, 401 00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:42,919 you have more endpoints or more edge devices that can be 402 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:45,040 compromised by a malicious actor or a hacker 403 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:46,519 or a bad actor. 404 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:50,120 You can't hack a sword or a sling or a catapult, 405 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,559 but if you're looking at a weapon system or a drone 406 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:55,439 or a vehicle that's relying on that interactivity, 407 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,599 if you hack that network, if you hack that system, 408 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,120 you've basically taken that resource off the battlefield. 409 00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,639 Three Russian companies seeking to interfere 410 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,520 in the United States political system. 411 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,519 A spy working in their company, writing software to change 412 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:09,879 the outcome of the election. 413 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,840 Both parties are desecrating the American democracy. 414 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:14,880 The computer hacking group Anonymous 415 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:16,360 is the supposed creator. 416 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:22,880 Let's take a look at the alleged recent interference 417 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:27,079 by Russia and China on US elections. 418 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:32,079 Russian and Chinese actors were able to get on social media 419 00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:35,400 and amplify certain themes or use bots 420 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,160 to change people's calculations, 421 00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:43,200 and ultimately, their efforts did not have a dramatic effect. 422 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,559 But the psychological impact made that an act 423 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:48,960 of psychological war. 424 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,319 These also may have a secondary effect that is inciting 425 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,320 rebellions within the country, which often end up in chaos 426 00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:59,320 and violence, some even having fatal consequences. 427 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,160 Massive cybersecurity breach of our government. 428 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:05,960 A massive cybersecurity breach against federal agencies. 429 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:07,839 These malicious cyber activities began 430 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,160 more than ten years ago. 431 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,639 Hacking group believed to be connected to Russian 432 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:15,760 intelligence services has been attempting to break 433 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:17,240 into entities that are developing 434 00:26:17,360 --> 00:26:18,880 a vaccine for the coronavirus. 435 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,199 When cyberattacks escalate to cyber warfare, 436 00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,000 the weapon of mass destruction 437 00:26:27,120 --> 00:26:28,559 won't be a bomb being dropped. 438 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:30,360 It will be a plug that's pulled. 439 00:26:31,360 --> 00:26:34,359 But like a hydrogen bomb, its indiscriminate effects 440 00:26:34,360 --> 00:26:36,399 will ripple outward, causing long-term, 441 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:37,880 widespread damage. 442 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,800 The battles are no longer in far flung fields, 443 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:43,320 conducted by military forces, 444 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,680 but in the homes and businesses of every civilian. 445 00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:51,319 Your family is suddenly without light, 446 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,319 without television, without radio, 447 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,640 without any form of connectivity. 448 00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,799 Nothing in the house that relied on electricity, 449 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,280 on any kind of signal, worked. 450 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:03,999 The inability for landlines to function 451 00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,000 as well as mobile phone networks. 452 00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:09,360 And you get home. 453 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:12,599 Your family is there saying there's no water 454 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,039 coming through the taps, that all of the water is gone, 455 00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:16,960 that it's all stopped working. 456 00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:21,640 You go to the loo, it's not flushing. 457 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,000 The effluence is left there. It's being backed up. 458 00:27:24,120 --> 00:27:26,160 The smell becomes unbelievable. 459 00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:30,840 The sounds coming from outside, starting with the panicking, 460 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:32,680 the arguments, the disbelief. 461 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:37,240 Followed perhaps quickly by looting and rioting. 462 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,680 The sense of uncertainty, the inability to process 463 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,399 what is happening, the disbelief that such a thing 464 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:46,960 could happen in a modern society today. 465 00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:48,919 Hurricane Katrina is closing in 466 00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,519 on the Louisiana coast now. 467 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:53,879 One of the largest relief efforts in our nation's history, 468 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:55,919 and the federal government has got an important 469 00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:57,000 role to play. 470 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:00,600 With Hurricane Katrina, we learned 471 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:06,119 that American citizens, regular people, after 72 hours 472 00:28:06,120 --> 00:28:12,559 of no electricity, no access to services or water or sewage, 473 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,160 that they turn to savagery. 474 00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:19,679 And this would be repeated in every major developed nation, 475 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,600 if you either shut off the water or stop people's 476 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:27,120 ability to have their waste carried away at any large city 477 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:28,400 around the world. 478 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:32,919 Just three days... 479 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:36,119 people would be turning on each other. 480 00:28:36,120 --> 00:28:38,520 It's like an apocalyptic movie. 481 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,239 If you cut off an entire civilization, 482 00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:43,480 they can't feed themselves, 483 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,080 they can't get access to the food and water. 484 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,279 If you cause significant domestic unrest 485 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,160 within the country, the worst case scenario is you have 486 00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,399 people turning on each other and killing each other. 487 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,320 You've now, in essence, basically debilitated 488 00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,000 your adversary without firing a single shot. 489 00:28:58,120 --> 00:28:59,879 You decide to leave the city. 490 00:28:59,880 --> 00:29:02,360 You pack up a few quick belongings and you go down 491 00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:03,879 to the garage to get into your car. 492 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,359 You press the fob. Nothing happens. 493 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,000 It's like the battery has died in it. 494 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:10,440 There's no connectivity. The lights don't flash. 495 00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:11,919 Nothing is moving. 496 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,760 You get out the physical key and try and undo the doors. 497 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,080 And once you get in, you insert the key. 498 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:29,120 When it starts, how dependent is your car on connectivity? 499 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,479 And when it looks like things can't get any worse, 500 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,319 you start to understand that your life may be 501 00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,679 at higher risk than you thought. 502 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:43,800 Until now, all violence on Syria's streets 503 00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,040 was unverifiable. 504 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:49,199 The city center was littered with burnt out wreckage, 505 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:50,439 guarded by tanks. 506 00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,639 Billowing clouds of tear gas filled the streets 507 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,280 across the capital. 508 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,280 A number have already been killed as darkness falls 509 00:29:57,400 --> 00:29:58,920 on a city in chaos. 510 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,720 Victimized by this colossal failure of technology, 511 00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:07,120 you might never even know who is responsible. 512 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:09,559 Is it a tragic technical problem? 513 00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:11,559 The work of a rogue state? 514 00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,640 Or your own government? 515 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:17,400 When everything falls apart, who can you really trust? 516 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,200 A term that you're starting to see really used in the realm 517 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,159 of cyber warfare and cyberattacks 518 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,599 is this concept of "false flag" operations. 519 00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,240 The actual concept of false flag goes back to kind 520 00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,280 of the golden age of piracy, where the Portuguese, 521 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,279 the French, the English, and the Spanish were attacking 522 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:44,279 each other's fleets in the Americas using false flags, 523 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:48,679 a pirate flag, or in some cases, presenting another 524 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,600 country's flag on their ships to shift blame away. 525 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:03,040 Up until recently, we thought that cyberattacks 526 00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:07,399 against governmental entities or large corporations could 527 00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,520 only be conducted by nation states. 528 00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,160 That has changed. 529 00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:16,279 Now we know that groups of hackers called hacktivists, 530 00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:19,079 small individuals working together, or even 531 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,560 a lone hacker, can create devastating effect. 532 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:29,800 With all these cyberattacks going on, you might ask, 533 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,560 are we constantly in a state of cyber war? 534 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:39,000 Maybe this is the new Cold War of our era. 535 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:47,239 I think society is on the dawn of a new arms race 536 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:51,199 where it's about really creating and expanding a suite of very 537 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:52,920 disruptive technologies that are gonna reshape 538 00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:54,079 the battle space. 539 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:55,919 But there is no winning that conflict. 540 00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,640 And the concept of mutual destruction will hopefully 541 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,200 keep us at bay and prevent us from getting 542 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:02,000 into a much bigger conflict. 543 00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,119 On the cyber battlefield, innovation comes 544 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,559 from corporations, not governments. 545 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:08,159 The arms race is controlled 546 00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,119 by these international conglomerates. 547 00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,759 And as we increasingly depend on these companies, 548 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:16,440 they gain more power over our lives, even governments 549 00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,920 have found themselves beholden to these big corporations, 550 00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:21,480 unaware of their agendas. 551 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,800 One fundamental change in warfare that we're currently 552 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:29,279 witnessing is that more and more private actors, 553 00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,519 private civilian companies really, are involved 554 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,879 in military operations. 555 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,480 And in the cyber realm, companies dominate the cloud 556 00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,080 and dominate the cyber realm. 557 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:44,439 The amount of money the Defense Department 558 00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:46,400 has to spend is somewhat finite. 559 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:49,759 If you look at Apple, for example, the R&D budget 560 00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,439 for Apple, in some cases, exceeds the defense budgets 561 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,320 of so many other countries. 562 00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:59,000 So now you have companies or CEOs that have 563 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:04,759 the capability to conduct cyber warfare at their disposal. 564 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:09,719 Do these individual companies or CEOs have the same ethical 565 00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:13,680 concerns or the same checks and balances on those 566 00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:16,200 that governments and democracies have? 567 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,599 The problem is that companies 568 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:23,840 aren't democratically elected governments. 569 00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,839 Often, it isn't even clear which nation a company 570 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,680 belongs to or feels like it belongs to. 571 00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:40,640 So we are witnessing a change in the power dynamic between 572 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,760 states and private companies that are becoming 573 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,080 ever more powerful and ever more influential. 574 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:49,919 While those private companies are working 575 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,199 in strict collaboration with governments, 576 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,959 there may not be reason for alarm. 577 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,680 But what if an enemy country will offer more? 578 00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:59,680 Will they turn their weapons against the government 579 00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:00,999 and overthrow it? 580 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,320 And will we see this sci-fi scenario of civil societies 581 00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:06,400 being effectively ruled by corporations? 582 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,439 It begins with a simple USB key. 583 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:12,759 Then, with surgical precision, penetrates 584 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,879 some of the world's most advanced computer security. 585 00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,199 You could basically take down a country 586 00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,040 just by cyber-attacking it. 587 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:22,280 Cybercrime has a devastating impact. 588 00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,759 This is the cyber war, not a new conflict, 589 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:26,680 but an ever-developing battle. 590 00:34:28,720 --> 00:34:31,439 These are compelling questions, and though it may be too early 591 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,520 to answer them, history has shown us that we should be wary 592 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,599 of unfettered technological advancement without careful 593 00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:40,520 oversight, lest the next advancement is the new 594 00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:44,520 Pandora's box, once opened, impossible to close. 595 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,240 The reality is that weapons of mass destruction, WMDs, 596 00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:52,760 are not quite as precise as they seem. 597 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:58,440 The ripples and impacts of their use go far beyond 598 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,040 the intended victim. 599 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:07,560 Some governments seek ways to minimize collateral damage, 600 00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:09,920 but still have a great impact. 601 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:13,920 This is one reason why cyber warfare 602 00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,080 may be a weapon of choice. 603 00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:23,479 With cyber warfare, they have the ability to employ 604 00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:26,760 precision at scale with devastating effect. 605 00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:32,359 Governments and corporations are starting to take the issue 606 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:34,639 of cybersecurity very, very seriously. 607 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:36,640 You're starting to see billions and billions of dollars 608 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:37,920 being spent. 609 00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:39,679 And it's why we're investing two and a half billion pounds 610 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:40,880 in quantum computers. 611 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:42,599 Quantum memory is a building block 612 00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:44,560 for future army quantum networks. 613 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,960 When it comes to technology, that will shape the future, 614 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:49,279 like quantum computing, artificial intelligence. 615 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,200 The UK and the US are working together to make sure 616 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:53,840 they are developed safely. 617 00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,680 For every new cyber advance, there are hackers out there 618 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:00,199 trying to crack it. 619 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:02,759 As cyber technology grows more sophisticated, 620 00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:04,480 so does cyber security. 621 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:07,439 And so far in this arms race, the good guys, 622 00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,120 supposedly, are winning. 623 00:36:09,240 --> 00:36:11,639 Still, a future of cyber warfare where systems are 624 00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:14,879 under the threat of constant untraceable attacks affecting 625 00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:18,320 the civilian population may already be on our doorstep. 626 00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:25,360 A future of cyber warfare where systems are under 627 00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:27,599 the threat of constant untracable attacks 628 00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:29,560 affecting the civilian population 629 00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:31,920 may already be on our doorstep. 630 00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:38,879 Consider the enormous impact of the second order effects 631 00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,520 of a large scale cyberattack. 632 00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:47,119 It has the ability to cripple whole sectors of society 633 00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,520 and destroy human life, large scale. 634 00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:56,680 It's no wonder that companies and nations are spending 635 00:36:56,800 --> 00:37:00,680 billions of dollars to protect their critical infrastructure. 636 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,279 So two technologies that are going to de shape and impact 637 00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,879 conflict and warfare are going to be breakthroughs 638 00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:10,759 in artificial intelligence and machine learning, 639 00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,400 as well as quantum computing. 640 00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,440 When we say "artificial intelligence," 641 00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:18,480 we mean "machine learning." 642 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:23,759 It revolves around a system that's able to process, 643 00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:26,920 synthesize, manage, and make decisions 644 00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:29,160 using large amounts of data. 645 00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,760 If you take an AI system and you train it to attack 646 00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:38,960 a certain password that has 256-bit military encryption, 647 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:42,240 it could take all the supercomputers you throw at it, 648 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:44,319 weeks, if not months, to crack that code. 649 00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,879 In the meantime, that attack can be theoretically 650 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:49,319 identified, spotted, mitigated, 651 00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,720 and addressed without it leading to compromise. 652 00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,599 Yet, this can change with the breakthrough 653 00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:57,200 of quantum computing. 654 00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:04,120 While regular computers work based on regular binary code, 655 00:38:04,240 --> 00:38:06,760 that's the classic 0s and ones, 656 00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:10,360 quantum computing operates in qubits. 657 00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:15,319 That superimposes those 0s and ones and can process 658 00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:19,440 certain information 158 million times faster 659 00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:21,080 than a regular computer. 660 00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:28,239 Now, if quantum computing will work as it is predicted, 661 00:38:28,240 --> 00:38:31,680 this will mean many things, but militarily speaking, 662 00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:35,120 the biggest immediate risk that experts see 663 00:38:35,240 --> 00:38:38,399 is that quantum computing could lead to the breaking 664 00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:42,319 of encryption protocols as we know them. 665 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:46,600 Quite quickly, all encryption, say, of communication 666 00:38:46,720 --> 00:38:49,119 or nuclear codes, could be broken 667 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,720 and be open to different actors. 668 00:38:53,240 --> 00:38:55,400 When we talk about artificial intelligence, 669 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:57,119 some of the fears... 670 00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,640 are that we can't control it, that it will get to a point 671 00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:03,440 where it wants to control itself at that time. 672 00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,720 There are those that argue that AI will be able 673 00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:12,879 to incorporate that, but at this point, 674 00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:16,679 I still feel that we need a human heart, 675 00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,639 a human mind, human compassion, 676 00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:21,640 and human empathy to make those decisions. 677 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:26,559 Nations do not distrust each other because they are armed. 678 00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:29,359 They are armed because they distrust each other. 679 00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:33,280 Annihilation of any life on Earth has been brought 680 00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,040 within the range of technical possibility. 681 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,399 My fellow Americans, tonight we're launching 682 00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:40,639 an effort which holds the promise of changing 683 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:41,879 the course of human history. 684 00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,680 Now's an opportunity to do generations a favor 685 00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:46,520 by holding them accountable. 686 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:48,520 This civilization may go under. 687 00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:51,279 We need to ask ourselves whether we're doing 688 00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:53,479 all we can to avert that. 689 00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:56,240 In our response to these realities, 690 00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:58,720 there is hope for peace. 691 00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:04,440 The history of warfare has always been an arms race. 692 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,719 And in the last two centuries, as that race has sped up, 693 00:40:07,720 --> 00:40:09,399 we have seen more unintended, 694 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:12,240 potentially devastating consequences. 695 00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:14,040 Progress means moving forward. 696 00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,039 But to avoid repeating the mistakes of the past, 697 00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:19,160 we should take the time to fully consider 698 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:20,920 where the road we're on may take us... 699 00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:23,480 and who's paying the fare. 700 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:28,879 The biggest transferable lesson from Oppenheimer as the father 701 00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:33,279 of nuclear weapons to today is the idea that very few people 702 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,599 hold the power in their hands. 703 00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:37,359 Cyber is done by specialists. 704 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,480 They require the detailed knowledge of people who sit 705 00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:41,840 in small cubicles with supercomputers deciding 706 00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:45,480 how to break down societies using specialist payloads. 707 00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:48,920 It's that same small group of people that Oppenheimer used 708 00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:51,799 in developing these capabilities, 709 00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:53,520 but not in waging them. 710 00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,239 This isn't a democratized case of decision making. 711 00:40:56,240 --> 00:40:58,120 It's not soldiers fixing bayonets 712 00:40:58,240 --> 00:41:00,279 or charging machine gun posts. 713 00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,840 This is the people sitting in ivory towers, 714 00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:04,719 in national capitals, 715 00:41:04,720 --> 00:41:08,280 who are deciding when to hit the enter key 716 00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:09,800 and sow destruction. 717 00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:16,880 Or do we wanna create a network of libertarian 718 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:19,880 and decentralized states that are inter-reliant but each have 719 00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:21,239 control of their own destiny? 720 00:41:21,240 --> 00:41:22,640 It is up to us to choose. 721 00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:26,520 One of the deepest concerns we should have 722 00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:28,680 about the future of warfare... 723 00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:33,920 is in it following society's... 724 00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:35,800 trends and patterns. 725 00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:38,559 The key of those at the moment seems to be the withdrawal 726 00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:40,560 of human-to-human contact. 727 00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:44,119 This idea that potentially we stop making warfare a human 728 00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:49,039 endeavor changes the very nature of war and conflict 729 00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:50,440 as we understand it. 730 00:41:54,040 --> 00:41:56,679 So maybe going forward, we should make it 731 00:41:56,680 --> 00:42:00,480 an intentional effort where we pause and think 732 00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:04,479 and consider the ramifications of the choices 733 00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,760 we are constantly making. 60890

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