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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:18:04,041 --> 00:18:07,252 ...to prevent the sloshing around of oil... 2 00:18:07,420 --> 00:18:09,254 ...from capsizing the boat. 3 00:18:09,422 --> 00:18:12,758 The design of the boat has to take that into account. 4 00:18:12,925 --> 00:18:15,886 And after the Depression... 5 00:18:16,053 --> 00:18:21,767 ...the regulations actually introduced these very watertight compartments. 6 00:18:22,393 --> 00:18:28,231 And deregulation has led to the end of compartmentalization. 7 00:18:29,025 --> 00:18:31,276 The next crisis came at the end of the '90s. 8 00:18:32,653 --> 00:18:35,739 The investment banks fueled a massive bubble in Internet stocks... 9 00:18:35,907 --> 00:18:38,617 ...which was followed by a crash in 2001 ... 10 00:18:38,785 --> 00:18:41,703 ...that caused $5 trillion in investment losses. 11 00:18:42,246 --> 00:18:45,457 The Securities and Exchange Commission, the federal agency... 12 00:18:45,625 --> 00:18:49,085 ...created during the Depression to regulate investment banking... 13 00:18:49,253 --> 00:18:50,921 ...had done nothing. 14 00:18:52,548 --> 00:18:54,716 In the absence of meaningful federal action... 15 00:18:54,884 --> 00:18:57,427 ...and given the clear failure of self-regulation... 16 00:18:57,595 --> 00:19:00,138 ...it's become necessary for others to step in... 17 00:19:00,306 --> 00:19:02,224 ...and adopt the protections needed. 18 00:19:02,391 --> 00:19:05,227 Eliot Spitzer's investigation revealed the investment banks... 19 00:19:06,687 --> 00:19:09,147 ...promoted Internet companies they knew would fail. 20 00:19:09,315 --> 00:19:12,901 Analysts were being paid based on how much business they brought in. 21 00:19:13,069 --> 00:19:17,405 What they said publicly was quite different from what they said privately. 22 00:19:17,573 --> 00:19:20,033 Infospace, given the highest possible rating... 23 00:19:20,201 --> 00:19:22,744 ...dismissed by an analyst as a "piece of junk." 24 00:19:22,912 --> 00:19:26,957 Excite, also highly rated, called "such a piece of crap." 25 00:19:27,124 --> 00:19:30,544 The defense that was proffered by many of the investment banks... 26 00:19:34,924 --> 00:19:36,383 ...was not "you're wrong"... 27 00:19:36,551 --> 00:19:40,011 ...it was, "Everybody's doing it, everybody knows it's going on. 28 00:19:40,179 --> 00:19:42,305 Nobody should rely on these analysts anyway." 29 00:19:42,765 --> 00:19:44,808 In December, 2002... 30 00:19:44,976 --> 00:19:49,521 ...10 investment banks settled the case for a total of $1.4 billion... 31 00:19:49,689 --> 00:19:52,440 ...and promised to change their ways. 32 00:19:52,817 --> 00:19:56,695 Scott Talbott is the chief lobbyist for the Financial Services Roundtable... 33 00:19:56,863 --> 00:19:59,281 ...one of Washington's most powerful groups... 34 00:19:59,448 --> 00:20:03,285 ...which represents nearly all of the world's largest financial companies. 35 00:20:03,452 --> 00:20:07,372 Are you comfortable with the fact that several of your member companies... 36 00:20:07,540 --> 00:20:10,542 ...have engaged in large-scale criminal activity? 37 00:20:10,710 --> 00:20:12,794 - I-- You'll have to be specific. - Okay. 38 00:20:12,962 --> 00:20:16,798 And first of all, criminal activity shouldn't be accepted, period. 39 00:20:25,308 --> 00:20:28,643 Since deregulation began, the world's biggest financial firms... 40 00:20:28,811 --> 00:20:32,022 ...have been caught laundering money, defrauding customers... 41 00:20:32,189 --> 00:20:36,151 ...and cooking their books again and again and again. 42 00:20:47,747 --> 00:20:50,665 Credit Suisse helped funnel money for Iran's nuclear program... 43 00:20:50,833 --> 00:20:53,335 ...and for Iran's Aerospace Industries Organization... 44 00:20:53,502 --> 00:20:55,253 ...which builds ballistic missiles. 45 00:20:55,421 --> 00:20:59,674 Any information that would identify it as Iranian would be removed. 46 00:20:59,842 --> 00:21:02,886 The bank was fined $536 million. 47 00:21:03,054 --> 00:21:07,015 Citibank helped funnel $100 million of drug money out of Mexico. 48 00:21:07,183 --> 00:21:09,726 Did you comment that she should, quote: 49 00:21:09,894 --> 00:21:12,729 "Lose any documents connected with the account"? 50 00:21:12,897 --> 00:21:14,439 I said that in a kidding manner. 51 00:21:16,525 --> 00:21:17,901 I did not mean it seriously. 52 00:21:21,822 --> 00:21:23,073 Between 1998 and 2003... 53 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,576 ...Fannie Mae overstated its earnings by more than $10 billion. 54 00:21:26,744 --> 00:21:28,870 These accounting standards are complex... 55 00:21:29,038 --> 00:21:32,874 ...and require determinations over which experts often disagree. 56 00:21:33,042 --> 00:21:37,212 CEO Franklin Raines, who used to be President Clinton's budget director... 57 00:21:37,380 --> 00:21:40,382 ...received over $52 million in bonuses. 58 00:21:45,137 --> 00:21:48,473 When UBS was caught helping wealthy Americans evade taxes... 59 00:21:48,641 --> 00:21:51,184 ...they refused to cooperate with the government. 60 00:21:51,352 --> 00:21:53,645 Would you be willing to supply the names? 61 00:21:54,188 --> 00:21:57,273 - If there's a treaty framework. - No treaty framework. 62 00:21:57,441 --> 00:22:00,026 You've agreed you participated in a fraud. 63 00:22:11,163 --> 00:22:13,581 But while the companies face unprecedented fines... 64 00:22:13,749 --> 00:22:17,585 ...the investment firms do not have to admit any wrongdoing. 65 00:22:17,753 --> 00:22:21,965 When dealing with this many products, this many customers, mistakes happen. 66 00:22:22,133 --> 00:22:26,970 The financial services industry seems to have a level of criminality... 67 00:22:27,138 --> 00:22:29,097 ...that is somewhat distinctive. 68 00:22:29,265 --> 00:22:32,976 You know, when was the last time that Cisco... 69 00:22:33,144 --> 00:22:37,272 ...or Intel or Google or Apple or IBM, you know--? 70 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,150 I agree about high-tech versus financial services-- 71 00:22:40,317 --> 00:22:43,737 - So how come? - High-tech is a creative business... 72 00:22:43,904 --> 00:22:45,780 ...where the value generation... 73 00:22:45,948 --> 00:22:49,117 ...and income derives from actually creating something new. 74 00:22:50,453 --> 00:22:51,870 Beginning in the 1990s... 75 00:22:52,038 --> 00:22:54,748 ...deregulation and advances in technology... 76 00:22:54,915 --> 00:22:59,085 ...led to an explosion of complex financial products called derivatives. 77 00:22:59,253 --> 00:23:02,672 Economists and bankers claimed they made markets safer. 78 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:06,301 But instead, they made them unstable. 79 01:15:51,547 --> 01:15:54,466 We went out on a weekend to see what houses were for sale. 80 01:15:56,302 --> 01:15:57,719 We saw one we liked. 81 01:15:58,471 --> 01:16:01,723 The payment was going to be $3200. 82 01:16:13,319 --> 01:16:15,987 Everything was beautiful, the house was very pretty. 83 01:16:16,155 --> 01:16:18,198 The payment low. Everything was-- 84 01:16:18,366 --> 01:16:20,075 We won the lottery. 85 01:16:20,243 --> 01:16:23,161 But the reality was when the first payment arrived. 86 01:16:28,834 --> 01:16:33,713 I felt very bad for my husband... 87 01:16:33,881 --> 01:16:40,345 ...because he works too much. And we have three children. 88 01:16:40,345 --> 00:23:08,803 Since the end of the Cold War... 89 00:23:08,971 --> 00:23:11,973 ...a lot of former physicists, mathematicians... 90 00:23:12,141 --> 00:23:14,309 ...decided to apply their skills... 91 00:23:14,477 --> 00:23:17,187 ...not on, you know, Cold War technology... 92 00:23:17,354 --> 00:23:19,230 ...but on financial markets. 93 00:23:19,398 --> 00:23:21,524 And together with investment bankers-- 94 00:23:21,692 --> 00:23:23,902 - Creating different weapons. - Absolutely. 95 00:23:24,070 --> 00:23:27,322 You know, as Warren Buffett said, weapons of mass destruction. 96 00:23:27,490 --> 00:23:29,491 Regulators, politicians, business people... 97 00:23:32,495 --> 00:23:34,996 ...did not take seriously the threat of innovation... 98 00:23:35,164 --> 00:23:37,499 ...on the stability of the financial system. 99 00:23:38,084 --> 00:23:39,375 Using derivatives... 100 00:23:39,543 --> 00:23:42,337 ...bankers could gamble on virtually anything. 101 00:23:42,505 --> 00:23:45,173 They could bet on the rise or fall of oil prices... 102 00:23:45,341 --> 00:23:48,218 ...the bankruptcy of a company, even the weather. 103 00:23:48,969 --> 00:23:50,678 By the late 1990s... 104 00:23:50,846 --> 00:23:55,850 ...derivatives were a 50-trillion-dollar unregulated market. 105 00:23:56,185 --> 00:24:00,730 In 1998, someone tried to regulate them. 106 00:24:00,898 --> 00:24:04,818 Brooksley Born graduated first in her class at Stanford Law School... 107 00:24:04,985 --> 00:24:08,321 ...and was the first woman to edit a major law review. 108 00:24:08,489 --> 00:24:11,616 After running the derivatives practice at Arnold & Porter... 109 00:24:11,784 --> 00:24:13,660 ...Born was appointed by Clinton... 110 00:24:13,828 --> 00:24:16,704 ...to chair the Commodity Futures Trading Commission... 111 00:24:16,872 --> 00:24:19,457 ...which oversaw the derivatives market. 112 00:24:19,625 --> 00:24:23,211 Brooksley Born asked me if I would come work with her. 113 00:24:27,216 --> 00:24:31,052 We decided that this was a serious, potentially destabilizing market. 114 00:24:31,220 --> 00:24:36,641 In May of 1998, the CFTC issued a proposal to regulate derivatives. 115 00:24:36,809 --> 00:24:40,019 Clinton's Treasury Department had an immediate response. 116 00:24:40,187 --> 00:24:44,732 I happened to go into Brooksley's office... 117 00:24:44,900 --> 00:24:48,945 ...and she was just putting down the receiver on her telephone... 118 00:24:49,113 --> 00:24:52,866 ...and the blood had drained from her face. 119 00:24:53,033 --> 00:24:56,411 And she looked at me and said, "That was Larry Summers." 120 00:24:56,579 --> 00:24:59,747 He had 13 bankers in his office. 121 00:25:00,166 --> 00:25:03,918 He conveyed it in a very bullying fashion... 122 00:25:04,086 --> 00:25:07,380 ...sort of directing her to stop. 123 00:25:07,798 --> 00:25:10,633 Banks were now reliant for earnings on these activities. 124 00:25:14,096 --> 00:25:17,849 And that led to a titanic battle to prevent this from being regulated. 125 00:25:18,017 --> 00:25:20,393 Shortly after the phone call from Summers... 126 00:25:20,561 --> 00:25:24,772 ...Greenspan, Rubin, and SEC chairman Arthur Levitt... 127 00:25:24,940 --> 00:25:27,358 ...issued a joint statement condemning Born... 128 00:25:27,526 --> 00:25:30,612 ...and recommending legislation to keep derivatives unregulated. 129 00:25:33,157 --> 00:25:35,450 Regulation of derivatives transactions... 130 00:25:35,618 --> 00:25:39,287 ...that are privately negotiated by professionals is unnecessary. 131 00:25:40,664 --> 00:25:45,293 She was overruled, unfortunately. First by the Clinton administration... 132 00:25:45,461 --> 00:25:47,128 ...and then by the Congress. 133 00:25:47,296 --> 00:25:51,299 In 2000, Senator Phil Gramm took a major role in getting a bill passed... 134 00:25:51,467 --> 00:25:54,552 ...that pretty much exempted derivatives from regulation. 135 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,263 They are unifying markets, reducing regulatory burden. 136 00:25:59,099 --> 00:26:00,391 I believe we need to do it. 137 00:26:07,816 --> 00:26:10,026 It is our very great hope... 138 00:26:12,071 --> 00:26:14,405 ...that it will be possible to move this year... 139 00:26:14,573 --> 00:26:17,659 ...on legislation that, in a suitable way... 140 00:26:17,826 --> 00:26:24,499 ...goes to create legal certainty for OTC derivatives. 141 00:26:30,839 --> 00:26:32,382 I wish to associate myself... 142 00:26:34,009 --> 00:26:36,052 ...with all the remarks of Secretary Summers. 143 00:26:36,470 --> 00:26:39,305 In December of 2000, Congress passed... 144 00:26:39,473 --> 00:26:42,267 ...the Commodity Futures Modernization Act. 145 00:26:42,434 --> 00:26:45,353 Written with the help of financial-industry lobbyists... 146 00:26:45,521 --> 00:26:47,981 ...it banned the regulation of derivatives. 147 00:26:49,525 --> 00:26:51,234 After that, it was off to the races. 148 00:26:54,196 --> 00:26:56,364 Use of derivatives and financial innovation... 149 00:26:56,532 --> 00:26:58,866 ...exploded dramatically after 2000. 150 00:26:59,034 --> 00:27:00,660 - So help me God. - So help me God. 151 00:27:02,079 --> 00:27:05,415 By the time George W. Bush took office in 2001 ... 152 00:27:05,582 --> 00:27:08,626 ...the U.S. financial sector was vastly more profitable... 153 00:27:08,794 --> 00:27:12,588 ...concentrated and powerful than ever before. 154 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,634 Dominating this industry were five investment banks... 155 00:27:16,802 --> 00:27:19,053 ...two financial conglomerates... 156 00:27:19,221 --> 00:27:21,889 ...three securities insurance companies... 157 00:27:22,057 --> 00:27:24,392 ...and three rating agencies. 158 00:27:25,102 --> 00:27:28,479 And linking them all together was the securitization food chain. 159 00:27:28,647 --> 00:27:31,524 A new system which connected trillions of dollars... 160 00:27:31,692 --> 00:27:36,195 ...in mortgages and other loans with investors all over the world. 161 00:27:36,363 --> 00:27:39,032 Thirty years ago, if you went to get a loan for a home... 162 00:27:39,199 --> 00:27:42,910 ...the person lending you the money expected you to pay him or her back. 163 00:27:43,078 --> 00:27:45,997 You got a loan from a lender who wanted to be paid back. 164 00:27:46,165 --> 00:27:50,001 We've since developed securitization, whereby people who make the loan... 165 00:27:50,169 --> 00:27:52,587 ...are no longer at risk if they fail to repay. 166 00:27:53,088 --> 00:27:56,966 In the old system, when a homeowner paid their mortgage every month... 167 00:27:57,134 --> 00:27:59,594 ...the money went to their local lender. 168 00:27:59,762 --> 00:28:03,514 And since mortgages took decades to repay, lenders were careful. 169 00:28:05,601 --> 00:28:08,770 In the new system, lenders sold mortgages to investment banks. 170 00:28:10,439 --> 00:28:13,149 The banks combined thousands of mortgages and loans... 171 00:28:13,317 --> 00:28:17,403 ...including car loans, student loans, and credit card debt... 172 00:28:17,571 --> 00:28:21,741 ...to create complex derivatives called collateralized debt obligations... 173 00:28:21,909 --> 00:28:23,618 ...or CDOs. 174 00:28:23,786 --> 00:28:28,664 The investment banks then sold the CDOs to investors. 175 00:28:28,832 --> 00:28:31,125 Now when homeowners paid their mortgages... 176 00:28:31,293 --> 00:28:34,420 ...the money went to investors all over the world. 177 00:28:34,671 --> 00:28:37,131 The investment banks paid rating agencies... 178 00:28:37,299 --> 00:28:39,008 ...to evaluate the CDOs... 179 00:28:39,176 --> 00:28:41,844 ...and many of them were given a triple-A rating... 180 00:28:42,012 --> 00:28:44,639 ...which is the highest possible investment grade. 181 00:28:44,807 --> 00:28:47,850 This made CDOs popular with retirement funds... 182 00:28:48,018 --> 00:28:51,813 ...which could only purchase highly rated securities. 183 00:28:53,482 --> 00:28:56,317 This system was a ticking time bomb. 184 00:28:56,485 --> 00:29:00,154 Lenders didn't care anymore about whether a borrower could repay... 185 00:29:00,322 --> 00:29:02,990 ...so they started making riskier loans. 186 00:29:03,158 --> 00:29:05,326 The investment banks didn't care either. 187 00:29:05,494 --> 00:29:09,247 The more CDOs they sold, the higher their profits. 188 00:29:09,415 --> 00:29:13,000 And the rating agencies, which were paid by the investment banks... 189 00:29:13,168 --> 00:29:17,046 ...had no liability if their ratings of CDOs proved wrong. 190 00:29:18,757 --> 00:29:23,010 You weren't gonna be on the hook, there weren't regulatory constraints. 191 00:29:23,178 --> 00:29:26,347 So it was a green light to just pump out more and more loans. 192 00:29:27,850 --> 00:29:29,684 Between 2000 and 2003... 193 00:29:29,852 --> 00:29:34,605 ...the number of mortgage loans made each year nearly quadrupled. 194 00:29:34,773 --> 00:29:37,692 Everybody in this securitization food chain... 195 00:29:37,860 --> 00:29:40,194 ...from the very beginning until the end... 196 00:29:40,362 --> 00:29:42,864 ...didn't care about the quality of the mortgage. 197 00:29:43,031 --> 00:29:45,575 They were caring about maximizing their volume... 198 00:29:45,742 --> 00:29:47,535 ...and getting a fee out of it. 199 00:29:47,703 --> 00:29:49,203 In the early 2000s... 200 00:29:49,371 --> 00:29:54,083 ...there was a huge increase in the riskiest loans, called subprime. 201 00:29:54,251 --> 00:29:58,838 When thousands of subprime loans were combined to create CDOs... 202 00:29:59,006 --> 00:30:02,633 ...many of them still received triple-A ratings. 203 00:30:04,845 --> 00:30:09,348 Now, it would have been possible to create derivative products... 204 00:30:09,516 --> 00:30:11,726 ...that don't have these risks... 205 00:30:11,894 --> 00:30:14,312 ...that carry the equivalent of deductibles... 206 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:19,275 ...where there are limits on the risks that can be taken on, and so forth. 207 00:30:19,443 --> 00:30:21,903 - They didn't do that, did they? - They didn't. 208 00:30:22,070 --> 00:30:23,905 In retrospect, they should've done. 209 00:30:24,072 --> 00:30:26,866 So did these guys know they were doing something dangerous? 210 00:30:27,034 --> 00:30:28,326 I think they did. 211 00:30:46,136 --> 00:30:51,098 All the incentives financial institutions offered to their mortgage brokers... 212 00:30:51,266 --> 00:30:54,894 ...were based on selling the most profitable products... 213 00:30:55,062 --> 00:30:56,646 ...which were predatory loans. 214 00:30:59,191 --> 00:31:01,776 If they make more money, that's where they'll put you. 215 00:31:07,032 --> 00:31:10,034 Suddenly, hundreds of billions of dollars a year... 216 00:31:10,202 --> 00:31:12,995 ...were flowing through the securitization chain. 217 00:31:13,163 --> 00:31:15,039 Since anyone could get a mortgage... 218 00:31:15,207 --> 00:31:18,251 ...home purchases and housing prices skyrocketed. 219 00:31:18,418 --> 00:31:22,880 The result was the biggest financial bubble in history. 220 00:31:23,048 --> 00:31:25,466 Real estate is real. They can see their asset. 221 00:31:25,634 --> 00:31:28,803 They can live in their asset. They can rent out their asset. 222 00:31:28,971 --> 00:31:32,181 You had a huge boom in housing that made no sense at all. 223 00:31:32,558 --> 00:31:39,063 The financing appetites of the financial sector... 224 00:31:39,231 --> 00:31:42,149 ...drove what everybody else did. 225 00:31:42,317 --> 00:31:46,195 Last time we had a housing bubble was in the late '80s. 226 00:31:47,656 --> 00:31:51,492 In that case, the increase in home price had been relatively minor. 227 00:31:51,827 --> 00:31:54,829 That housing bubble led to a relatively severe recession. 228 00:31:56,748 --> 00:32:00,835 From 1996 until 2006... 229 00:32:01,003 --> 00:32:03,838 ...real home prices effectively doubled. 230 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:13,222 At $500 a ticket, they've come to hear how to buy their very own piece... 231 00:32:13,390 --> 00:32:15,600 ...of the American dream. 232 00:32:15,767 --> 00:32:19,937 Goldman Sachs, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers... 233 00:32:20,105 --> 00:32:22,898 ...Merrill Lynch were all in on this. 234 00:32:23,066 --> 00:32:28,946 The subprime lending alone increased from 30 billion a year in funding... 235 00:32:29,114 --> 00:32:33,034 ...to over 600 billion a year in 10 years. 236 00:32:33,201 --> 00:32:34,744 They knew what was happening. 237 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:38,497 Countrywide Financial, the largest subprime lender... 238 00:32:38,665 --> 00:32:42,710 ...issued $97 billion worth of loans. 239 00:32:42,878 --> 00:32:46,088 It made over $11 billion in profits as a result. 240 00:32:49,176 --> 00:32:51,510 On Wall Street, annual cash bonuses spiked. 241 00:32:51,678 --> 00:32:53,179 Traders and CEOs... 242 00:32:53,347 --> 00:32:56,057 ...became enormously wealthy during the bubble. 243 00:32:56,224 --> 00:33:00,186 Lehman Brothers was a top underwriter of subprime lending... 244 00:33:00,354 --> 00:33:02,563 ...and their CEO, Richard Fuld... 245 00:33:02,898 --> 00:33:06,651 ...took home $485 million. 246 00:33:06,818 --> 00:33:10,071 On Wall Street, this housing and credit bubble... 247 00:33:10,238 --> 00:33:13,783 ...was leading to hundreds of billions of dollars of profits. 248 00:33:13,950 --> 00:33:17,411 You know, by 2006 about 40 percent of all profits... 249 00:33:17,579 --> 00:33:21,666 ...of S&P 500 firms was coming from financial institutions. 250 00:33:21,833 --> 00:33:23,417 It wasn't real profits or income. 251 00:33:26,421 --> 00:33:29,048 It was money created by the system and booked as income. 252 00:33:29,216 --> 00:33:32,802 Two, three years down the road there's a default, it's all wiped out. 253 00:33:32,969 --> 00:33:36,931 I think it was, in fact, in retrospect, a great big national-- 254 00:33:37,099 --> 00:33:39,767 And not just national, global Ponzi scheme. 255 00:33:40,519 --> 00:33:43,396 Through the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act... 256 00:33:43,563 --> 00:33:46,232 ...the Federal Reserve board had broad authority... 257 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,359 ...to regulate the mortgage industry. 258 00:33:48,527 --> 00:33:52,154 But Fed chairman Alan Greenspan refused to use it. 259 00:33:52,322 --> 00:33:54,865 Alan Greenspan said, "No, that's regulation. 260 00:33:55,033 --> 00:33:56,367 I don't believe in it." 261 00:33:56,535 --> 00:34:00,371 For 20 years, Robert Gnaizda was the head of Greenlining... 262 00:34:00,539 --> 00:34:02,957 ...a powerful consumer advocacy group. 263 00:34:03,125 --> 00:34:05,918 He met with Greenspan on a regular basis. 264 00:34:06,086 --> 00:34:08,546 We gave him an example of Countrywide... 265 00:34:08,714 --> 00:34:13,801 ...and 150 different complex adjustable-rate mortgages. 266 00:34:13,969 --> 00:34:16,804 He said, "If you had a doctorate in math... 267 00:34:16,972 --> 00:34:19,640 ...you wouldn't be able to understand them enough... 268 00:34:19,808 --> 00:34:23,144 ...to know which was good for you and which wasn't." 269 00:34:23,562 --> 00:34:26,397 So we thought he was gonna take action. 270 00:34:26,565 --> 00:34:28,816 But as the conversation continued... 271 00:34:28,984 --> 00:34:31,819 ...it was clear he was stuck with his ideology. 272 00:34:31,987 --> 00:34:35,072 We met again with Greenspan in '05. 273 00:34:35,240 --> 00:34:39,160 Often we met with him twice a year, and never less than once a year. 274 00:34:39,327 --> 00:34:41,495 And he wouldn't change his mind. 275 00:34:48,336 --> 00:34:50,254 In this world of global communications... 276 00:34:50,422 --> 00:34:52,465 ...the efficient movement of capital... 277 00:34:52,632 --> 00:34:56,343 ...is helping to create the greatest prosperity in human history. 278 00:35:02,684 --> 00:35:06,562 A hundred and forty-six people were cut from the SEC Enforcement Division? 279 00:35:06,730 --> 00:35:08,689 Is that what you also testified to? 280 00:35:08,857 --> 00:35:09,857 Yes. 281 00:35:13,195 --> 00:35:15,654 Yeah, I think there has been a systematic gutting... 282 00:35:15,822 --> 00:35:18,407 ...or whatever you wanna call it, of the agency... 283 00:35:18,575 --> 00:35:21,702 ...and its capability through cutting back of staff. 284 00:35:21,870 --> 00:35:24,580 The SEC Office of Risk Management... 285 00:35:24,748 --> 00:35:28,709 ...was reduced to a staff, did you say, of one? 286 00:35:28,877 --> 00:35:33,047 Yeah. When that gentleman would go home, he could turn the lights out. 287 00:35:35,008 --> 00:35:38,219 During the bubble, investment banks were borrowing heavily... 288 00:35:38,386 --> 00:35:42,181 ...to buy more loans and create more CDOs. 289 00:35:42,974 --> 00:35:46,101 The ratio between borrowed money and the banks' own money... 290 00:35:46,269 --> 00:35:47,478 ...was called leverage. 291 00:35:48,939 --> 00:35:52,483 The more the banks borrowed, the higher their leverage. 292 00:35:53,735 --> 00:35:58,239 In 2004, Henry Paulson, the CEO of Goldman Sachs... 293 00:35:58,406 --> 00:36:02,910 ...helped lobby the SEC to relax limits on leverage... 294 00:36:03,078 --> 00:36:06,914 ...allowing the banks to sharply increase their borrowing. 295 00:36:07,082 --> 00:36:08,374 The SEC somehow decided... 296 00:36:09,793 --> 00:36:13,170 ...to let investment banks gamble a lot more. 297 00:36:13,338 --> 00:36:16,465 That was nuts. I don't know why they did that, but they did. 298 00:36:23,181 --> 00:36:25,891 We've said these are the big guys, and clearly that's true. 299 00:36:27,936 --> 00:36:32,273 But that means if anything goes wrong, it's going to be an awfully big mess. 300 00:36:35,026 --> 00:36:38,946 You are dealing with the most highly sophisticated financial institutions. 301 00:36:39,114 --> 00:36:42,283 These are the firms that do most of the derivative activity. 302 00:36:43,785 --> 00:36:46,537 We talked to some as to what their comfort level was. 303 00:36:46,705 --> 00:36:51,709 The firms actually thought that the number was appropriate. 304 00:36:51,877 --> 00:36:55,004 The commissioners vote to adopt the new rules as recommended. 305 00:36:56,548 --> 00:36:57,548 Yes. 306 00:36:57,966 --> 00:37:01,635 We do indeed. It's unanimous. And we are adjourned. 307 00:37:04,556 --> 00:37:07,808 The degree of leverage in the financial system... 308 00:37:07,976 --> 00:37:10,477 ...became absolutely frightening. 309 00:37:12,564 --> 00:37:15,149 Investment banks leveraging up to the level of 33-to-1 . 310 00:37:15,317 --> 00:37:17,985 Which means that a tiny 3-percent decrease... 311 00:37:18,153 --> 00:37:21,488 ...in the value of their asset base would leave them insolvent. 312 00:37:23,825 --> 00:37:27,077 There was another ticking time bomb in the financial system. 313 00:37:27,245 --> 00:37:30,497 AIG, the world's largest insurance company... 314 00:37:30,665 --> 00:37:33,167 ...was selling huge quantities of derivatives... 315 00:37:33,335 --> 00:37:35,169 ...called credit default swaps. 316 00:37:37,130 --> 00:37:39,340 For investors who owned CDOs... 317 00:37:39,507 --> 00:37:43,010 ...credit default swaps worked like an insurance policy. 318 00:37:43,178 --> 00:37:45,846 An investor who purchased a credit default swap... 319 00:37:46,014 --> 00:37:49,016 ...paid AIG a quarterly premium. 320 00:37:49,184 --> 00:37:50,935 If the CDO went bad... 321 00:37:51,102 --> 00:37:55,230 ...AIG promised to pay the investor for their losses. 322 00:37:56,274 --> 00:37:58,192 But unlike regular insurance... 323 00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:01,987 ...speculators could also buy credit default swaps from AIG... 324 00:38:02,155 --> 00:38:05,741 ...in order to bet against CDOs they didn't own. 325 00:38:06,201 --> 00:38:09,328 In insurance, you can only insure something you own. 326 00:38:09,496 --> 00:38:12,539 Let's say you and I own property. I own a house. 327 00:38:12,707 --> 00:38:15,084 I can only insure that house once. 328 00:38:15,251 --> 00:38:18,212 The derivatives universe essentially enables anybody... 329 00:38:18,380 --> 00:38:20,339 ...to actually insure that house. 330 00:38:20,507 --> 00:38:22,841 You could insure that, somebody else could. 331 00:38:23,009 --> 00:38:25,052 So 50 people might insure my house. 332 00:38:25,220 --> 00:38:27,972 So what happens is, if my house burns down... 333 00:38:28,139 --> 00:38:31,976 ...the number of losses in the system becomes proportionately larger. 334 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:35,312 Since credit default swaps were unregulated... 335 00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:39,817 ...AIG didn't have to put aside any money to cover potential losses. 336 00:38:39,985 --> 00:38:44,071 Instead, AIG paid its employees huge cash bonuses... 337 00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,573 ...as soon as contracts were signed. 338 00:38:46,741 --> 00:38:49,243 But if the CDOs later went bad... 339 00:38:49,411 --> 00:38:52,037 ...AIG would be on the hook. 340 00:38:52,205 --> 00:38:56,375 People were essentially being rewarded for taking massive risks. 341 00:38:56,543 --> 00:39:00,379 In good times, they generate short-term revenues and profits... 342 00:39:00,547 --> 00:39:01,964 ...and, therefore, bonuses. 343 00:39:02,132 --> 00:39:05,509 But that's gonna lead to the firm to be bankrupt over time. 344 00:39:05,677 --> 00:39:08,178 That's a distorted system of compensation. 345 00:39:08,930 --> 00:39:11,932 AIG's Financial Products division in London... 346 00:39:12,100 --> 00:39:16,478 ...issued $500 billion worth of credit default swaps during the bubble... 347 00:39:17,188 --> 00:39:21,650 ...many of them for CDOs backed by subprime mortgages. 348 00:39:21,818 --> 00:39:24,278 The 400 employees at AIGFP... 349 00:39:24,446 --> 00:39:28,449 ...made $3.5 billion between 2000 and 2007. 350 00:39:29,242 --> 00:39:31,952 Joseph Cassano, the head of AIGFP... 351 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:35,330 ...personally made $315 million. 352 00:39:35,498 --> 00:39:36,582 It's hard for us... 353 00:39:39,127 --> 00:39:41,754 ...and without being flippant, to even see a scenario... 354 00:39:41,921 --> 00:39:44,214 ...within any kind of realm of reason... 355 00:39:44,382 --> 00:39:49,303 ...that would see us losing one dollar in any of those transactions. 356 00:39:49,637 --> 00:39:53,807 In 2007, AIG's auditors raised warnings. 357 00:39:53,975 --> 00:39:56,060 One of them, Joseph St. Denis... 358 00:39:56,227 --> 00:39:59,855 ...resigned in protest after Cassano repeatedly blocked him... 359 00:40:00,023 --> 00:40:02,983 ...from investigating AIGFP's accounting. 360 00:40:03,151 --> 00:40:04,568 One person didn't get a bonus. 361 00:40:08,114 --> 00:40:11,241 That was St. Denis. Mr. St. Denis tried to alert the two of you... 362 00:40:11,409 --> 00:40:14,078 ...to the fact you were running into big problems. 363 00:40:14,621 --> 00:40:17,873 He quit in frustration, and he didn't get a bonus. 364 00:40:18,249 --> 00:40:21,001 In 2005, Raghuram Rajan... 365 00:40:21,169 --> 00:40:24,671 ...then the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund... 366 00:40:24,839 --> 00:40:27,508 ...delivered a paper at the Jackson Hole symposium... 367 00:40:27,675 --> 00:40:30,344 ...the most elite banking conference in the world. 368 00:40:30,512 --> 00:40:31,804 Who was in the audience? 369 00:40:35,016 --> 00:40:37,017 It was the central bankers of the world... 370 00:40:37,185 --> 00:40:40,521 ...ranging from Mr. Greenspan himself... 371 00:40:40,688 --> 00:40:41,897 ...Ben Bernanke... 372 00:40:42,065 --> 00:40:43,190 ...Larry Summers. 373 00:40:43,483 --> 00:40:45,359 Tim Geithner was there. 374 00:40:45,527 --> 00:40:47,486 The title of the paper was essentially: 375 00:40:47,779 --> 00:40:51,365 "Is Financial Development Making the World Riskier?" 376 00:40:51,533 --> 00:40:54,910 And the conclusion was, it is. 377 00:40:56,955 --> 00:40:59,706 Rajan's paper focused on incentive structures... 378 00:40:59,874 --> 00:41:04,086 ...that generated huge cash bonuses based on short-term profits... 379 00:41:04,254 --> 00:41:07,548 ...but which imposed no penalties for later losses. 380 00:41:07,715 --> 00:41:10,634 Rajan argued that these incentives encouraged bankers... 381 00:41:10,802 --> 00:41:14,388 ...to take risks that might eventually destroy their own firms... 382 00:41:14,556 --> 00:41:17,808 ...or even the entire financial system. 383 00:41:20,395 --> 00:41:24,606 It's very easy to generate performance by taking on more risk. 384 00:41:24,774 --> 00:41:29,319 So what you need to do is compensate for risk-adjusted performance. 385 00:41:29,487 --> 00:41:31,738 And that's where all the bodies are buried. 386 00:41:31,906 --> 00:41:35,075 Rajan, you know, hit the nail on the head. 387 00:41:35,243 --> 00:41:37,244 What he particularly said was: 388 00:41:37,412 --> 00:41:39,788 "You guys have claimed you've found a way... 389 00:41:39,956 --> 00:41:42,416 ...to make more profits with less risk. 390 00:41:42,584 --> 00:41:45,794 I say you've found a way to make more profits with more risk. 391 00:41:45,962 --> 00:41:47,337 There's a big difference." 392 00:41:47,505 --> 00:41:50,090 Summers was vocal. 393 00:41:50,425 --> 00:41:52,634 He basically thought... 394 00:41:52,802 --> 00:41:58,098 ...that I was criticizing the change in the financial world... 395 00:41:58,266 --> 00:42:01,560 ...and was worried about, you know, regulation... 396 00:42:01,728 --> 00:42:03,770 ...which would reverse this change. 397 00:42:03,938 --> 00:42:06,315 Essentially he accused me of being a Luddite. 398 00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:10,944 He wanted to make sure that we didn't bring in... 399 00:42:11,112 --> 00:42:12,946 ...a whole new set of regulations... 400 00:42:13,114 --> 00:42:15,616 ...to constrain the financial sector. 401 00:42:19,704 --> 00:42:23,832 You're gonna make an extra $2 million a year, or $10 million a year... 402 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:26,627 ...for putting your financial institution at risk. 403 00:42:26,794 --> 00:42:28,921 Someone else pays the bill, you don't. 404 00:42:29,088 --> 00:42:30,505 Would you make that bet? 405 00:42:30,673 --> 00:42:33,842 Most people on Wall Street said, "Sure, I'd make that bet." 406 00:43:17,262 --> 00:43:18,762 It never was enough. 407 00:43:18,930 --> 00:43:22,182 They don't wanna own one home, they wanna own five homes. 408 00:43:22,350 --> 00:43:25,185 And they wanna have an expensive penthouse... 409 00:43:25,353 --> 00:43:27,479 ...on Park Avenue. 410 00:43:28,022 --> 00:43:30,899 And they wanna have their own private jet. 411 00:43:31,067 --> 00:43:33,944 You think this is an industry where high--? 412 00:43:34,112 --> 00:43:36,363 Very high compensation levels are justified? 413 00:43:36,531 --> 00:43:39,199 I think I would take caution, or take heed... 414 00:43:39,367 --> 00:43:42,577 ...or take exception to your word "very high." It's relative. 415 00:43:42,745 --> 00:43:45,122 You have a 14-million-dollar home in Florida. 416 00:43:45,290 --> 00:43:47,374 You have a summer home in Sun Valley, Idaho. 417 00:43:49,210 --> 00:43:51,795 An art collection filled with million-dollar paintings. 418 00:43:51,963 --> 00:43:54,589 Richard Fuld never appeared on the trading floor. 419 00:43:54,757 --> 00:43:57,050 There were art advisors there all the time. 420 00:43:57,218 --> 00:43:58,427 He had a private elevator. 421 00:44:00,179 --> 00:44:01,555 He wanted to be disconnected. 422 00:44:01,723 --> 00:44:04,558 His elevator, they hired technicians to program it... 423 00:44:04,726 --> 00:44:07,519 ...so that his driver would call in in the morning... 424 00:44:07,687 --> 00:44:09,813 ...and a security guard would hold it. 425 00:44:09,981 --> 00:44:14,443 There's only a three-second window where he actually has to see people. 426 00:44:14,610 --> 00:44:17,654 And he hops into this elevator and it goes straight to 31 . 427 00:44:17,822 --> 00:44:19,448 Lehman owned corporate jets. 428 00:44:21,034 --> 00:44:22,326 - You know about this? - Yes. 429 00:44:22,493 --> 00:44:23,660 How many were there? 430 00:44:23,828 --> 00:44:26,496 Well, there were six, including the 767s. 431 00:44:26,748 --> 00:44:28,415 They also had a helicopter. 432 00:44:28,583 --> 00:44:31,084 Isn't that kind of a lot of planes to have? 433 00:44:33,963 --> 00:44:35,922 We're dealing with type-A personalities. 434 00:44:38,593 --> 00:44:40,886 Banking became a pissing contest. 435 00:44:41,054 --> 00:44:43,305 "Mine's bigger than yours." That kind of stuff. 436 00:44:43,473 --> 00:44:45,640 It was all men that ran it, incidentally. 437 00:44:45,808 --> 00:44:49,811 Fifty-billion-dollar deals weren't big enough, so we'd do 100-billion deals. 438 00:44:49,979 --> 00:44:52,814 These people are risk-takers. They're impulsive. 439 00:44:58,279 --> 00:45:01,448 It's part of their behavior. It's part of their personality. 440 00:45:01,616 --> 00:45:04,659 And that manifests outside of work as well. 441 00:45:04,827 --> 00:45:07,371 It was quite typical for the guys to go out... 442 00:45:07,538 --> 00:45:09,539 ...to go to strip bars, to use drugs. 443 00:45:09,707 --> 00:45:12,501 I see a lot of cocaine use, use of prostitution. 444 00:45:19,634 --> 00:45:21,968 Recently, neuroscientists have done experiments... 445 00:45:22,136 --> 00:45:27,099 ...where they've taken individuals and put them into an MRI machine... 446 00:45:27,266 --> 00:45:31,520 ...and they have them play a game where the prize is money. 447 00:45:31,687 --> 00:45:35,315 And they noticed that when the subjects earn money... 448 00:45:35,483 --> 00:45:37,776 ...the part of the brain that gets stimulated... 449 00:45:37,944 --> 00:45:40,320 ...is the same part that cocaine stimulates. 450 00:45:40,488 --> 00:45:44,157 A lot of people feel that they need to participate in that behavior... 451 00:45:44,325 --> 00:45:46,743 ...to make it, to get promoted, get recognized. 452 00:45:46,911 --> 00:45:49,996 According to a Bloomberg article, business entertainment... 453 00:45:50,164 --> 00:45:53,500 ...represents 5 percent of revenue for derivatives brokers... 454 00:45:53,668 --> 00:45:58,004 ...and often includes strip clubs, prostitution and drugs. 455 00:45:58,172 --> 00:46:01,842 A New York broker filed a lawsuit in 2007 against his firm... 456 00:46:02,385 --> 00:46:07,180 ...alleging he was required to retain prostitutes to entertain traders. 457 00:46:07,348 --> 00:46:09,224 There's just a blatant disregard... 458 00:46:09,392 --> 00:46:14,062 ...for the impact that their actions might have on society, on family. 459 00:46:14,230 --> 00:46:17,482 They have no problem using a prostitute... 460 00:46:17,650 --> 00:46:19,860 ...and going home to their wife. 461 00:46:28,870 --> 00:46:30,787 How many customers? 462 00:46:30,955 --> 00:46:33,248 About 10,000 at that point in time. 463 00:46:37,378 --> 00:46:39,546 What fraction were from Wall Street? 464 00:46:39,714 --> 00:46:44,217 Of the higher-end clients, probably 40 to 50 percent. 465 00:46:44,385 --> 00:46:46,970 Were all the major Wall Street firms represented? 466 00:46:47,138 --> 00:46:51,099 - Goldman Sachs? - Lehman Brothers. They're all in there. 467 00:46:51,267 --> 00:46:55,061 Morgan Stanley was a little less of that. 468 00:46:55,229 --> 00:46:58,273 I think Goldman was pretty, pretty big with that. 469 00:46:58,566 --> 00:47:00,025 Clients would call and say: 470 00:47:00,193 --> 00:47:02,944 "Can you get me a Lamborghini for the girl?" 471 00:47:03,112 --> 00:47:05,405 These guys were spending corporate money. 472 00:47:05,573 --> 00:47:09,951 I had many black cards from, you know, the various financial firms. 473 00:47:10,453 --> 00:47:13,914 What's happening is services are being charged... 474 00:47:14,081 --> 00:47:15,790 ...to computer repair. 475 00:47:16,125 --> 00:47:20,295 Trading research, you know, consulting for market compliance. 476 00:47:20,463 --> 00:47:23,757 Just gave them letterhead and said, "Make your own invoice." 477 00:47:23,925 --> 00:47:27,093 This behavior extends to the senior management of the firm? 478 00:47:27,261 --> 00:47:28,887 Absolutely does. Yeah. 479 00:47:29,055 --> 00:47:31,139 I know for a fact that it does. 480 00:47:31,307 --> 00:47:34,100 It extends to the very top. 481 00:47:37,688 --> 00:47:40,982 A friend of mine in a company that has a big financial presence said: 482 00:47:43,277 --> 00:47:45,862 "It's about time you learned about subprime mortgages." 483 00:47:46,030 --> 00:47:49,783 So he set up a session with his trading desk and me. 484 00:47:50,201 --> 00:47:53,828 And the techie who did all this gets very excited... 485 00:47:53,996 --> 00:47:57,499 ...runs to his computer, pulls up in about three seconds... 486 00:47:57,667 --> 00:48:00,710 ...this Goldman Sachs issue of securities. 487 00:48:00,878 --> 00:48:02,295 It was a complete disaster. 488 00:48:02,672 --> 00:48:08,051 Borrowers had borrowed, on average, 99.3 percent of the price of the house. 489 00:48:08,219 --> 00:48:10,136 They have no money in the house. 490 00:48:10,304 --> 00:48:13,515 If anything goes wrong, they walk away from the mortgage. 491 00:48:13,683 --> 00:48:16,476 This is not a loan you'd really make, right? 492 00:48:16,644 --> 00:48:18,061 You've gotta be crazy. 493 00:48:18,229 --> 00:48:21,356 But somehow, you took 8000 of these loans... 494 00:48:21,524 --> 00:48:23,733 ...and by the time the guys were done... 495 00:48:23,901 --> 00:48:26,695 ...at Goldman Sachs and the rating agencies... 496 00:48:26,862 --> 00:48:29,322 ...two-thirds of the loans were rated triple-A. 497 00:48:29,490 --> 00:48:32,325 They were rated as safe as government securities. 498 00:48:32,493 --> 00:48:34,035 It's utterly mad. 499 00:48:35,913 --> 00:48:38,498 Goldman Sachs sold at least $3.1 billion worth... 500 00:48:38,666 --> 00:48:42,419 ...of these toxic CDOs in the first half of 2006. 501 00:48:42,837 --> 00:48:46,756 The CEO of Goldman Sachs at this time was Henry Paulson... 502 00:48:46,924 --> 00:48:49,426 ...the highest paid CEO on Wall Street. 503 00:48:52,096 --> 00:48:54,347 Good morning. I'm pleased to announce... 504 00:48:54,515 --> 00:48:58,351 ...that I will nominate Henry Paulson to be the Secretary of the Treasury. 505 00:48:58,519 --> 00:49:00,270 He has a lifetime of experience. 506 00:49:00,438 --> 00:49:02,606 He has knowledge of financial markets. 507 00:49:02,773 --> 00:49:05,692 He's earned a reputation for candor and integrity. 508 00:49:06,193 --> 00:49:08,028 You might think it would be hard... 509 00:49:08,195 --> 00:49:10,780 ...to adjust to a meager government salary. 510 00:49:10,948 --> 00:49:13,199 But taking the job as Treasury secretary... 511 00:49:13,367 --> 00:49:16,369 ...was the best financial decision of his life. 512 00:49:16,537 --> 00:49:20,874 Paulson had to sell his $485 million of Goldman stock... 513 00:49:21,042 --> 00:49:23,209 ...when he went to work for the government. 514 00:49:23,377 --> 00:49:26,379 But because of a law passed by the first President Bush... 515 00:49:26,547 --> 00:49:28,715 ...he didn't have to pay any taxes on it. 516 00:49:28,883 --> 00:49:31,926 It saved him $50 million. 517 00:49:38,726 --> 00:49:42,354 The article came out in October of 2007. 518 00:49:42,688 --> 00:49:46,232 Already, a third of the mortgages defaulted. 519 00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:48,818 Now most of them are going. 520 00:49:51,072 --> 00:49:54,282 One group that had purchased these now worthless securities... 521 00:49:54,450 --> 00:49:57,952 ...was the Public Employees' Retirement System of Mississippi... 522 00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:01,665 ...which provides monthly benefits to over 80,000 retirees. 523 00:50:02,583 --> 00:50:07,420 They lost millions of dollars and are now suing Goldman Sachs. 524 00:50:21,394 --> 00:50:25,730 By late 2006, Goldman had taken things a step further. 525 00:50:25,898 --> 00:50:28,400 It didn't just sell toxic CDOs... 526 00:50:28,567 --> 00:50:32,737 ...it started betting against them at the same time it was telling customers... 527 00:50:32,905 --> 00:50:35,615 ...that they were high-quality investments. 528 00:50:36,534 --> 00:50:39,786 By purchasing credit default swaps from AIG... 529 00:50:39,954 --> 00:50:42,956 ...Goldman could bet against CDOs it didn't own... 530 00:50:43,124 --> 00:50:46,334 ...and get paid when the CDOs failed. 531 00:50:47,294 --> 00:50:51,506 I asked if anybody called the customers and said: 532 00:50:51,674 --> 00:50:54,467 "We don't really like this kind of mortgage anymore... 533 00:50:54,635 --> 00:50:56,803 ...and we thought you ought to know." 534 00:50:56,971 --> 00:51:01,516 They didn't say anything, but you could feel the laughter over the phone. 535 00:51:03,227 --> 00:51:05,645 Goldman Sachs bought at least $22 billion... 536 00:51:05,813 --> 00:51:08,440 ...of credit default swaps from AIG. 537 00:51:08,607 --> 00:51:13,486 It was so much that Goldman realized that AIG itself might go bankrupt. 538 00:51:13,654 --> 00:51:16,656 So they spent $150 million insuring themselves... 539 00:51:16,824 --> 00:51:19,617 ...against AIG's potential collapse. 540 00:51:19,785 --> 00:51:23,371 Then in 2007, Goldman went even further. 541 00:51:23,539 --> 00:51:26,249 They started selling CDOs specifically designed... 542 00:51:26,417 --> 00:51:28,960 ...so that the more money their customers lost... 543 00:51:29,128 --> 00:51:31,421 ...the more money Goldman Sachs made. 544 00:51:38,179 --> 00:51:41,598 Six hundred million dollars of Timberwolf securities is what you sold. 545 00:51:44,518 --> 00:51:45,769 Before you sold them... 546 00:51:45,936 --> 00:51:49,272 ...this is what your sales team were telling to each other: 547 00:51:50,065 --> 00:51:53,777 "Boy, that Timberwolf was one shitty deal." 548 00:51:53,944 --> 00:51:57,030 This was an e-mail to me in late June, after the transaction. 549 00:52:00,367 --> 00:52:02,535 No, no. You sold Timberwolf after as well. 550 00:52:02,703 --> 00:52:04,913 - We did trades after that. - Yeah. Okay. 551 00:52:05,206 --> 00:52:08,416 The next e-mail-- Take a look. July 1, '07. 552 00:52:08,584 --> 00:52:11,753 --tells the sales force, "The top priority is Timberwolf." 553 00:52:12,046 --> 00:52:15,381 Your top priority to sell is that shitty deal. 554 00:52:15,549 --> 00:52:17,801 If you have an adverse interest to your client... 555 00:52:17,968 --> 00:52:19,803 ...do you have the duty to disclose it? 556 00:52:19,970 --> 00:52:22,305 To tell that client of your adverse interest? 557 00:52:22,473 --> 00:52:24,974 - That's my question. - I'm trying to understand-- 558 00:52:25,142 --> 00:52:27,644 I think you understand. You don't wanna answer. 559 00:52:27,812 --> 00:52:29,354 Do you believe you have a duty... 560 00:52:32,149 --> 00:52:34,067 ...to act in your clients' best interest? 561 00:52:38,072 --> 00:52:40,281 I repeat, we have a duty to serve our clients... 562 00:52:40,449 --> 00:52:44,911 ...by showing prices on transactions that they ask us to show prices for. 563 00:52:45,079 --> 00:52:47,872 What do you think about selling securities... 564 00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:51,167 ...which your own people think are crap? 565 00:52:51,335 --> 00:52:53,086 Does that bother you? 566 00:52:53,254 --> 00:52:54,921 I think they would.... 567 00:52:56,757 --> 00:52:58,508 - As a hypothetical? - No, this is real. 568 00:52:58,676 --> 00:53:01,094 - Well, then I don't know-- - We heard it today. 569 00:53:01,262 --> 00:53:04,305 We heard it today. "This is a shitty deal." "This is crap." 570 00:53:04,473 --> 00:53:06,516 I heard nothing today... 571 00:53:06,684 --> 00:53:10,436 ...that makes me think anything went wrong. 572 00:53:10,604 --> 00:53:14,691 Is there not a conflict when you sell something to somebody... 573 00:53:14,859 --> 00:53:20,280 ...and then are determined to bet against that same security... 574 00:53:20,447 --> 00:53:24,033 ...and you don't disclose that to the person you're selling it to? 575 00:53:24,201 --> 00:53:25,243 You see a problem? 576 00:53:25,411 --> 00:53:28,496 In the context of market making, that is not a conflict. 577 00:53:32,126 --> 00:53:35,503 When you heard your employees in e-mails said, "What a shitty deal"... 578 00:53:35,671 --> 00:53:37,046 ...did you feel anything? 579 00:53:37,214 --> 00:53:39,549 That's very unfortunate to have on e-mail. 580 00:53:39,717 --> 00:53:41,009 Are you embar--? 581 00:53:41,176 --> 00:53:44,053 And very unfortunate-- I don't-- I don't-- 582 00:53:44,221 --> 00:53:46,973 "On e-mail"? How about feeling that way? 583 00:53:47,141 --> 00:53:50,518 It's very unfortunate for anyone to have said that in any form. 584 00:53:53,272 --> 00:53:55,732 Are your competitors engaged in similar activities? 585 00:53:55,900 --> 00:53:59,694 Yes, and to a greater extent than us in most cases. 586 00:54:00,070 --> 00:54:03,531 Hedge fund manager John Paulson made $12 billion... 587 00:54:03,699 --> 00:54:05,742 ...betting against the mortgage market. 588 00:54:05,910 --> 00:54:09,120 When Paulson ran out of mortgage securities to bet against... 589 00:54:09,288 --> 00:54:13,750 ...he worked with Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank to create more. 590 00:54:14,168 --> 00:54:15,752 Morgan Stanley was also selling... 591 00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:19,672 ...mortgage securities it was betting against, and it's now being sued by... 592 00:54:19,840 --> 00:54:23,343 ...the Government Employees' Retirement Fund of the Virgin Islands... 593 00:54:23,510 --> 00:54:24,719 ...for fraud. 594 00:54:24,887 --> 00:54:27,347 The lawsuit alleges that Morgan Stanley knew... 595 00:54:27,514 --> 00:54:29,140 ...that the CDOs were junk. 596 00:54:29,308 --> 00:54:31,225 Although they were rated triple-A... 597 00:54:31,393 --> 00:54:34,020 ...Morgan Stanley was betting they would fail. 598 00:54:34,188 --> 00:54:38,399 A year later, Morgan Stanley had made hundreds of millions of dollars... 599 00:54:38,567 --> 00:54:42,528 ...while the investors had lost almost all of their money. 600 00:54:58,545 --> 00:55:01,297 You would have thought pension funds would have said: 601 00:55:01,465 --> 00:55:05,009 "Those are subprime. Why am I buying them?" 602 00:55:05,719 --> 00:55:08,721 They had these guys at Moody's and Standard & Peer's... 603 00:55:08,889 --> 00:55:10,598 ...who said, "That's a triple-A." 604 00:55:12,601 --> 00:55:16,813 No securities got issued without the seal of approval of the rating agencies. 605 00:55:18,232 --> 00:55:21,734 The three rating agencies, Moody's, S&P and Fitch... 606 00:55:21,902 --> 00:55:25,571 ...made billions of dollars giving high ratings to risky securities. 607 00:55:26,991 --> 00:55:30,201 Moody's, the largest rating agency, quadrupled its profits... 608 00:55:30,369 --> 00:55:33,621 ...between 2000 and 2007. 609 00:55:34,039 --> 00:55:37,625 Moody's and S&P get compensated based on putting out ratings reports. 610 00:55:37,793 --> 00:55:41,421 And the more structured securities they gave a triple-A rating to... 611 00:55:41,588 --> 00:55:43,423 ...the higher their earnings were. 612 00:55:43,590 --> 00:55:45,383 Imagine going to The Times saying: 613 00:55:45,551 --> 00:55:47,969 "Write a positive story, I'll pay you $500,000. 614 00:55:48,137 --> 00:55:50,096 If you don't, I'll give you nothing." 615 00:55:50,264 --> 00:55:52,765 Rating agencies could have stopped the party and said: 616 00:55:52,933 --> 00:55:54,976 "Sorry. We're gonna tighten our standards"... 617 00:55:58,105 --> 00:56:01,024 ...and immediately cut off the funding to risky borrowers. 618 00:56:01,191 --> 00:56:03,609 Triple-A-rated instruments... 619 00:56:05,195 --> 00:56:11,034 ...mushroomed from just a handful to thousands and thousands. 620 00:56:11,201 --> 00:56:15,621 Hundreds of billions of dollars were being rated, you know, and-- 621 00:56:15,789 --> 00:56:17,665 - Per year? - Per year. Oh, yeah. 622 00:56:17,833 --> 00:56:20,918 I've now testified before both houses of Congress... 623 00:56:21,086 --> 00:56:24,338 ...on the credit rating agency issue... 624 00:56:24,506 --> 00:56:28,968 ...and both times they trot out very prominent First Amendment lawyers... 625 00:56:29,136 --> 00:56:33,306 ...and argue that, "When we say something is rated triple-A... 626 00:56:33,474 --> 00:56:37,143 ...that is merely our 'opinion.' You shouldn't rely on it." 627 00:56:37,311 --> 00:56:39,479 S&P's ratings express our opinion. 628 00:56:39,646 --> 00:56:42,857 Our ratings are our opinions. They're opinions. 629 00:56:43,108 --> 00:56:45,318 Opinions. And they are just opinions. 630 00:56:45,486 --> 00:56:49,906 I think we are emphasizing the fact that our ratings are opinions. 631 00:56:56,205 --> 00:56:58,998 They do not speak to the market value of a security... 632 00:56:59,166 --> 00:57:03,711 ...the volatility of its price, or its suitability as an investment. 633 00:57:23,482 --> 00:57:25,108 We have many economists saying: 634 00:57:25,275 --> 00:57:27,276 "This is a bubble, it's going to burst. 635 00:57:27,444 --> 00:57:29,862 This is going to be an issue for the economy." 636 00:57:30,030 --> 00:57:32,865 Some say it could even cause a recession at some point. 637 00:57:33,033 --> 00:57:36,994 What is the worst-case scenario if, in fact, we were to see prices... 638 00:57:37,162 --> 00:57:39,914 ...come down substantially across the country? 639 00:57:40,082 --> 00:57:43,209 I don't buy your premise. It's an unlikely possibility. 640 00:57:43,377 --> 00:57:47,755 We've never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis. 641 00:57:47,923 --> 00:57:52,426 Ben Bernanke became chairman of the Federal Reserve in February 2006... 642 00:57:52,594 --> 00:57:54,470 ...the top year for subprime lending. 643 00:57:56,265 --> 00:57:58,099 But despite numerous warnings... 644 00:57:58,267 --> 00:58:01,394 ...Bernanke and the Federal Reserve Board did nothing. 645 00:58:05,983 --> 00:58:09,360 Robert Gnaizda met with Bernanke and the Federal Reserve Board... 646 00:58:09,528 --> 00:58:12,655 ...three times after Bernanke became chairman. 647 00:58:12,823 --> 00:58:17,785 Only at the last meeting did he suggest that there was a problem... 648 00:58:17,953 --> 00:58:20,246 ...and that the government ought to look into it. 649 00:58:20,414 --> 00:58:22,248 When? When was that? What year? 650 00:58:22,416 --> 00:58:25,543 It's 2009, March 11 th, in D.C. 651 00:58:25,711 --> 00:58:27,503 - This year? - This year we met, yes. 652 00:58:27,671 --> 00:58:30,214 And so for the two previous years you met him.... 653 00:58:30,382 --> 00:58:33,009 - Even in 2008? - Yes. 654 00:58:33,177 --> 00:58:37,013 One of the six Federal Reserve Board governors serving under Bernanke... 655 00:58:37,181 --> 00:58:38,598 ...was Frederic Mishkin... 656 00:58:38,765 --> 00:58:42,268 ...who was appointed by President Bush in 2006. 657 00:58:43,979 --> 00:58:46,480 Did you participate in the meetings Robert Gnaizda... 658 00:58:46,648 --> 00:58:49,442 ...and Greenlining had with the Federal Reserve Board? 659 00:58:49,610 --> 00:58:52,486 Yes, I did. I was on the committee that was involved... 660 00:58:52,654 --> 00:58:55,239 ...with the Consumer Community Affairs Committee. 661 00:58:55,407 --> 00:58:59,243 He warned, in an extremely explicit manner, about what was going on. 662 00:58:59,411 --> 00:59:02,705 He came to the Federal Reserve Board with loan documentation... 663 00:59:02,873 --> 00:59:05,791 ...of the kind of loans that were frequently being made. 664 00:59:05,959 --> 00:59:08,794 And he was listened to politely, and nothing was done. 665 00:59:08,962 --> 00:59:14,508 So again, I don't know the details in terms of.... 666 00:59:14,968 --> 00:59:17,637 In fact, I just don't-- I-- 667 00:59:17,804 --> 00:59:21,557 Whatever information he provided, I'm not sure exactly.... 668 00:59:21,934 --> 00:59:25,394 To be honest with you, I can't remember this kind of discussion... 669 00:59:25,562 --> 00:59:30,399 ...but certainly there were issues that were coming up. 670 00:59:30,567 --> 00:59:32,860 The question is, how pervasive are they? 671 00:59:33,028 --> 00:59:36,155 - Why didn't you try looking? - I think that people did. 672 00:59:36,323 --> 00:59:37,907 We had people looking at-- 673 00:59:38,075 --> 00:59:41,327 Excuse me. You can't be serious. You would have found things. 674 00:59:41,495 --> 00:59:45,831 That's very easy to always say that you can always find it. 675 00:59:45,999 --> 00:59:47,708 As early as 2004... 676 00:59:47,876 --> 00:59:52,171 ...the FBI was already warning about an epidemic of mortgage fraud. 677 00:59:52,339 --> 00:59:54,632 They reported inflated appraisals... 678 00:59:54,800 --> 00:59:58,427 ...doctored loan documentation and other fraudulent activity. 679 00:59:59,554 --> 01:00:03,808 In 2005, the IMF's chief economist, Raghuram Rajan... 680 01:00:03,976 --> 01:00:07,603 ...warned that dangerous incentives could lead to a crisis. 681 01:00:08,146 --> 01:00:11,691 Then came Nouriel Roubini's warnings in 2006... 682 01:00:11,858 --> 01:00:14,360 ...Allan Sloan's articles in Fortune magazine... 683 01:00:14,528 --> 01:00:16,612 ...and The Washington Post in 2007... 684 01:00:17,155 --> 01:00:19,573 ...and repeated warnings from the IMF. 685 01:00:19,741 --> 01:00:25,538 I said, and on behalf of the institution, the crisis in front of us is a huge crisis. 686 01:00:25,706 --> 01:00:26,747 Who did you talk to? 687 01:00:26,915 --> 01:00:29,083 The government, Treasury, Fed, everybody. 688 01:00:29,251 --> 01:00:35,089 In May of 2007, hedge fund manager Bill Ackman circulated a presentation... 689 01:00:35,257 --> 01:00:36,882 ..."Who is Holding the Bag?"... 690 01:00:37,050 --> 01:00:39,885 ...which described how the bubble would unravel. 691 01:00:40,429 --> 01:00:43,723 And in early 2008, Charles Morris published his book... 692 01:00:43,890 --> 01:00:45,474 ...about the impending crisis. 693 01:00:48,270 --> 01:00:50,521 You're not sure. What do you do? 694 01:00:50,689 --> 01:00:54,859 You might have some suspicions that underwriting standards are weakened. 695 01:00:55,027 --> 01:00:58,487 But then the question is, should you do anything about it? 696 01:00:59,906 --> 01:01:03,576 By 2008, home foreclosures were skyrocketing... 697 01:01:03,744 --> 01:01:06,912 ...and the securitization food chain imploded. 698 01:01:07,080 --> 01:01:10,541 Lenders could no longer sell their loans to the investment banks. 699 01:01:10,709 --> 01:01:14,170 And as the loans went bad, dozens of lenders failed. 700 01:01:15,589 --> 01:01:20,301 Chuck Prince of Citibank famously said... 701 01:01:21,470 --> 01:01:24,388 ...that we have to dance until the music stops. 702 01:01:24,556 --> 01:01:27,850 Actually, the music had stopped already when he said that. 703 01:01:28,018 --> 01:01:30,478 The market for CDOs collapsed... 704 01:01:30,645 --> 01:01:33,981 ...leaving investment banks holding hundreds of billions of dollars... 705 01:01:34,149 --> 01:01:38,361 ...in loans, CDOs, and real estate they couldn't sell. 706 01:01:38,528 --> 01:01:42,114 When the crisis started, both the Bush administration... 707 01:01:42,282 --> 01:01:46,619 ...and the Federal Reserve were totally behind the curve. 708 01:01:46,787 --> 01:01:49,121 They did not understand the extent of it. 709 01:01:49,373 --> 01:01:53,376 At what point do you remember thinking for the first time: 710 01:01:53,543 --> 01:01:55,878 "This is dangerous, this is bad"? 711 01:01:56,046 --> 01:02:00,216 I remember very well one-- I think it was a G7 meeting... 712 01:02:00,384 --> 01:02:02,385 ...of February, 2008. 713 01:02:02,552 --> 01:02:06,472 And I remember discussing the issue with Hank Paulson. 714 01:02:06,640 --> 01:02:09,683 And I clearly remember telling Hank: 715 01:02:09,851 --> 01:02:12,853 "We are watching this tsunami coming... 716 01:02:13,021 --> 01:02:16,774 ...and you're just proposing that we ask... 717 01:02:16,942 --> 01:02:19,527 ...which swimming costume we're going to put on." 718 01:02:19,694 --> 01:02:22,029 What was his response? What was his feeling? 719 01:02:22,197 --> 01:02:23,614 "Things are under control. 720 01:02:23,782 --> 01:02:27,743 Yes, we are looking at this situation carefully... 721 01:02:27,911 --> 01:02:31,330 ...and, yeah, it's under control." 722 01:02:33,792 --> 01:02:36,585 We're gonna keep growing. Okay? And, obviously, I'll say it: 723 01:02:36,753 --> 01:02:39,338 If you're growing, you're not in recession, right? 724 01:02:39,506 --> 01:02:41,507 I mean, we all know that. 725 01:02:46,721 --> 01:02:48,764 One of the pillars of Wall Street.... 726 01:02:48,932 --> 01:02:53,185 In March 2008, the investment bank Bear Stearns ran out of cash... 727 01:02:53,854 --> 01:02:57,565 ...and was acquired for $2 a share by JP Morgan Chase. 728 01:02:57,732 --> 01:03:01,402 The deal was backed by $30 billion in emergency guarantees... 729 01:03:01,570 --> 01:03:03,028 ...from the Federal Reserve. 730 01:03:04,573 --> 01:03:07,158 That was when the administration could have come in... 731 01:03:10,579 --> 01:03:13,289 ...and put in place various measures to reduce system risk. 732 01:03:14,749 --> 01:03:18,335 The information I'm receiving is the end is not here... 733 01:03:18,503 --> 01:03:20,713 ...that there are other shoes to fall. 734 01:03:20,881 --> 01:03:23,215 Well, I've seen those investment banks... 735 01:03:24,551 --> 01:03:27,178 ...working with the Fed and the SEC... 736 01:03:27,345 --> 01:03:33,392 ...strengthen their liquidity, strengthen their capital positions. 737 01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:37,646 I get reports all the time. Our regulators are very vigilant. 738 01:03:38,315 --> 01:03:40,232 On September 7th, 2008... 739 01:03:40,400 --> 01:03:42,985 ...Henry Paulson announced the federal takeover... 740 01:03:43,153 --> 01:03:47,740 ...of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, giant lenders on the brink of collapse. 741 01:03:49,075 --> 01:03:52,119 Nothing about our actions today reflects a changed view... 742 01:03:52,287 --> 01:03:53,913 ...of the housing correction... 743 01:03:54,080 --> 01:03:57,124 ...or the strength of other U.S. financial institutions. 744 01:03:57,375 --> 01:03:58,417 Two days later... 745 01:03:58,585 --> 01:04:02,254 ...Lehman Brothers announced record losses of $3.2 billion... 746 01:04:02,422 --> 01:04:03,839 ...and its stock collapsed. 747 01:04:05,509 --> 01:04:09,929 The effects of Lehman and AIG in September still came as a surprise. 748 01:04:10,096 --> 01:04:13,557 I mean, this is even after July and Fannie and Freddie. 749 01:04:13,725 --> 01:04:18,604 So clearly there was stuff that, as of September... 750 01:04:18,772 --> 01:04:22,650 ...major stuff, that nobody knew about. 751 01:04:22,817 --> 01:04:25,027 I think that's-- I think that's fair. 752 01:04:25,195 --> 01:04:29,573 Bear Stearns was rated triple-A like a month before it went bankrupt? 753 01:04:29,741 --> 01:04:31,784 - More likely A2. - A2? 754 01:04:31,952 --> 01:04:33,077 - Yeah. - Okay. 755 01:04:33,245 --> 01:04:34,995 A2 is still not bankrupt. 756 01:04:35,163 --> 01:04:38,666 No, that's a high investment grade. Solid investment grade rating. 757 01:04:38,833 --> 01:04:41,919 Lehman Brothers, A2 within days of failing. 758 01:04:42,087 --> 01:04:46,882 AIG, double-A within days of being bailed out. 759 01:04:47,759 --> 01:04:51,679 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were triple-A when they were rescued. 760 01:04:51,846 --> 01:04:55,808 Citigroup, Merrill, all of them had investment-grade ratings. 761 01:04:55,976 --> 01:04:59,728 - How can that be? - Well, that's a good question. 762 01:05:00,605 --> 01:05:01,855 That's a great question. 763 01:05:02,023 --> 01:05:06,944 At no point did the administration ever go to all the major institutions and say: 764 01:05:07,112 --> 01:05:09,989 "This is serious. Tell us what your positions are. 765 01:05:10,156 --> 01:05:14,034 You know, no bullshit. Where are you?" 766 01:05:14,494 --> 01:05:18,247 Well, first, that's what the regulators-- That's their job, right? 767 01:05:18,415 --> 01:05:22,501 Their job is to understand the exposure across these institutions. 768 01:05:22,669 --> 01:05:25,588 And they have a very refined understanding... 769 01:05:25,755 --> 01:05:29,717 ...that I think became more respon-- More refined as the crisis proceeded. 770 01:05:29,884 --> 01:05:33,012 - So-- - Forgive me, but that's clearly not true. 771 01:05:33,179 --> 01:05:35,014 What do you mean, that's not true? 772 01:05:35,181 --> 01:05:36,265 In August of 2008... 773 01:05:39,227 --> 01:05:42,313 ...were you aware of the credit ratings held by Lehman Brothers... 774 01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:44,189 ...Merrill Lynch, AIG... 775 01:05:44,357 --> 01:05:46,817 ...and did you think that they were accurate? 776 01:05:46,985 --> 01:05:49,987 Well, certainly by that time... 777 01:05:50,155 --> 01:05:53,032 ...it was clear earlier credit ratings weren't accurate. 778 01:05:53,199 --> 01:05:55,868 - They had been downgraded. - No, they hadn't. 779 01:05:56,036 --> 01:06:00,164 There was downgrading in terms of the industry and concerns of the-- 780 01:06:00,332 --> 01:06:02,708 All those firms were rated at least A2... 781 01:06:02,876 --> 01:06:05,628 ...until a couple of days before they were rescued. 782 01:06:05,795 --> 01:06:10,382 The answer is I don't know enough to answer your question on this issue. 783 01:06:10,550 --> 01:06:13,927 Governor Fred Mishkin is resigning, effective August 31 . 784 01:06:14,095 --> 01:06:18,057 He plans to return to Columbia's Graduate School of Business. 785 01:06:18,224 --> 01:06:21,226 Why did you leave the Federal Reserve in August of 2008... 786 01:06:21,394 --> 01:06:24,188 ...in the middle of the worst financial crisis? 787 01:06:24,356 --> 01:06:28,484 So that-- I had to revise a textbook. 788 01:06:28,652 --> 01:06:32,404 His departure leaves the board with three of its seven seats vacant... 789 01:06:32,572 --> 01:06:34,740 ...just when the economy needs it most. 790 01:06:34,908 --> 01:06:38,786 I'm sure your textbook is important and widely read, but in August 2008... 791 01:06:38,953 --> 01:06:43,082 ...some more important things were going on in the world, don't you think? 792 01:06:43,583 --> 01:06:45,584 By Friday, September 12th... 793 01:06:45,752 --> 01:06:47,878 ...Lehman Brothers had run out of cash... 794 01:06:48,046 --> 01:06:51,757 ...and the entire investment-banking industry was sinking fast. 795 01:06:51,925 --> 01:06:55,594 The stability of the global financial system was in jeopardy. 796 01:06:56,763 --> 01:06:59,598 That weekend, Henry Paulson and Timothy Geithner... 797 01:06:59,766 --> 01:07:02,184 ...president of the New York Federal Reserve... 798 01:07:02,352 --> 01:07:05,813 ...called an emergency meeting with the CEOs of the major banks... 799 01:07:05,980 --> 01:07:07,523 ...in an effort to rescue Lehman. 800 01:07:08,316 --> 01:07:10,442 But Lehman wasn't alone. 801 01:07:12,153 --> 01:07:15,072 Merrill Lynch was also on the brink of failure. 802 01:07:15,240 --> 01:07:19,034 And that Sunday, it was acquired by Bank of America. 803 01:07:19,202 --> 01:07:24,289 The only bank interested in buying Lehman was the British firm Barclays. 804 01:07:24,457 --> 01:07:28,293 But British regulators demanded a financial guarantee from the U.S. 805 01:07:28,837 --> 01:07:30,879 Paulson refused. 806 01:07:35,427 --> 01:07:37,845 We got in a cab and went to the Federal Reserve Bank. 807 01:07:42,434 --> 01:07:45,728 They wanted the bankruptcy case commenced before midnight... 808 01:07:45,895 --> 01:07:47,896 ...of September 14. 809 01:07:48,064 --> 01:07:54,319 We kept pressing that this would be a terrible event... 810 01:07:54,487 --> 01:07:57,114 ...and at some point I used the word Armageddon... 811 01:07:57,282 --> 01:08:01,910 ...and they consider the consequences of what they were proposing. 812 01:08:02,078 --> 01:08:04,621 The effect on the market would be extraordinary. 813 01:08:04,789 --> 01:08:06,582 - You said this? - Yes. 814 01:08:06,750 --> 01:08:11,837 They just said they had considered all of the comments we had made... 815 01:08:12,005 --> 01:08:17,468 ...and they were still of the belief that in order to calm the markets... 816 01:08:17,635 --> 01:08:21,346 ...and move forward, it was necessary for Lehman to go into bankruptcy. 817 01:08:21,514 --> 01:08:22,890 - "Calm the markets"? - Yes. 818 01:08:23,308 --> 01:08:27,686 When were you first told that Lehman, in fact, was going to go bankrupt? 819 01:08:28,688 --> 01:08:31,565 - After the fact. - After the fact? 820 01:08:33,359 --> 01:08:34,902 Okay. 821 01:08:36,112 --> 01:08:41,158 And what was your reaction when you learned of it? 822 01:08:41,743 --> 01:08:43,368 "Holy cow." 823 01:08:43,536 --> 01:08:46,872 Paulson and Bernanke had not consulted with other governments... 824 01:08:47,040 --> 01:08:50,042 ...and didn't know the consequences of foreign bankruptcy laws. 825 01:08:50,210 --> 01:08:51,960 --Lehman Brothers London empty their desks.... 826 01:08:53,338 --> 01:08:54,546 Under British law... 827 01:08:54,714 --> 01:08:58,050 ...Lehman's London office had to be closed immediately. 828 01:08:58,218 --> 01:09:02,429 All transactions came to a halt, and there are thousands of transactions. 829 01:09:02,597 --> 01:09:05,974 The hedge funds who had had assets with Lehman in London... 830 01:09:06,142 --> 01:09:08,936 ...discovered overnight, to their complete horror... 831 01:09:09,103 --> 01:09:11,230 ...they couldn't get those assets back. 832 01:09:11,397 --> 01:09:14,149 One of the points of the hub failed. 833 01:09:14,317 --> 01:09:17,444 And that had huge knock-on effects around the system. 834 01:09:17,612 --> 01:09:19,696 The oldest money market fund in the nation... 835 01:09:21,032 --> 01:09:23,909 ...wrote off three-quarters of a billion dollars in bad debt... 836 01:09:24,077 --> 01:09:26,078 ...issued by now-bankrupt Lehman Brothers. 837 01:09:26,246 --> 01:09:29,414 Lehman's failure caused a collapse in the commercial paper market... 838 01:09:30,750 --> 01:09:33,335 ...which many companies depend on to pay for expenses... 839 01:09:33,503 --> 01:09:34,837 ...such as payroll. 840 01:09:35,004 --> 01:09:37,965 That means they have to lay off employees, they can't buy parts. 841 01:09:38,132 --> 01:09:39,925 It stops business in its tracks. 842 01:09:40,093 --> 01:09:42,970 People stood and said, "Listen, what can we believe in? 843 01:09:43,137 --> 01:09:45,097 There's nothing we can trust anymore." 844 01:09:45,265 --> 01:09:48,851 That same week, AIG owed $13 billion... 845 01:09:49,018 --> 01:09:52,896 ...to holders of credit default swaps and it didn't have the money. 846 01:09:53,064 --> 01:09:55,023 AIG was another hub. 847 01:09:55,191 --> 01:09:59,278 If AIG had stopped, you know, all planes may have to stop flying. 848 01:09:59,445 --> 01:10:02,865 On September 17th, AIG is taken over by the government. 849 01:10:04,242 --> 01:10:06,952 One day later, Paulson and Bernanke ask Congress... 850 01:10:07,120 --> 01:10:09,580 ...for $700 billion to bail out the banks. 851 01:10:09,747 --> 01:10:11,081 We're coming together.... 852 01:10:11,249 --> 01:10:15,627 They warned that the alternative would be a catastrophic collapse. 853 01:10:15,795 --> 01:10:18,463 It was scary. You know, the entire system froze up. 854 01:10:18,631 --> 01:10:22,426 Every part of the financial system, every part of the credit system. 855 01:10:22,594 --> 01:10:24,303 Nobody could borrow money. 856 01:10:24,470 --> 01:10:27,639 It was like a cardiac arrest of the global financial system. 857 01:10:27,807 --> 01:10:29,224 I'm playing the hand dealt me. 858 01:10:30,602 --> 01:10:32,352 A lot of what I'm dealing with-- 859 01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:36,982 I'm dealing with the consequences of things that were done years ago. 860 01:10:37,150 --> 01:10:38,984 Secretary Paulson spoke through the fall. 861 01:10:39,152 --> 01:10:42,195 All the potential root causes of this, and there are plenty... 862 01:10:42,363 --> 01:10:45,991 - ...he called them. I'm not sure-- - You're not being serious about that. 863 01:10:46,159 --> 01:10:48,869 I am being serious. What would you have expected? 864 01:10:49,037 --> 01:10:51,455 What were you looking for that you didn't see? 865 01:10:51,623 --> 01:10:54,416 He was the senior advocate... 866 01:10:54,584 --> 01:10:58,962 ...for prohibiting the regulation of credit default swaps... 867 01:10:59,130 --> 01:11:02,716 ...and also lifting the leverage limits on the investment banks. 868 01:11:02,884 --> 01:11:03,926 So again, what--? 869 01:11:04,093 --> 01:11:07,554 He mentioned those things? I never heard him mention those things. 870 01:11:07,722 --> 01:11:10,432 Could we turn this off for a second? 871 01:11:15,229 --> 01:11:19,024 When AIG was bailed out, the owners of its credit default swaps... 872 01:11:19,192 --> 01:11:21,860 ...the most prominent of which was Goldman Sachs... 873 01:11:22,028 --> 01:11:25,572 ...were paid $61 billion the next day. 874 01:11:25,740 --> 01:11:27,866 Paulson, Bernanke and Tim Geithner... 875 01:11:28,034 --> 01:11:31,244 ...forced AIG to pay 100 cents on the dollar... 876 01:11:31,412 --> 01:11:34,206 ...rather than negotiate lower prices. 877 01:11:34,374 --> 01:11:40,545 Eventually, the AIG bailout cost taxpayers over $150 billion. 878 01:11:40,713 --> 01:11:44,091 A hundred and sixty billion dollars went through AIG. 879 01:11:44,258 --> 01:11:47,052 Fourteen billion went to Goldman Sachs. 880 01:11:47,220 --> 01:11:50,430 At the same time, Paulson and Geithner forced AIG... 881 01:11:50,598 --> 01:11:54,559 ...to surrender its right to sue Goldman and the other banks for fraud. 882 01:11:54,727 --> 01:11:59,773 Isn't there a problem when the person in charge of dealing with this crisis... 883 01:11:59,941 --> 01:12:02,109 ...is the former CEO of Goldman Sachs? 884 01:12:02,276 --> 01:12:05,862 Someone who had a major role in causing it. 885 01:12:06,030 --> 01:12:08,740 It's fair to say that the financial markets today... 886 01:12:08,908 --> 01:12:10,742 ...are incredibly complicated. 887 01:12:10,910 --> 01:12:12,619 --and supply urgently needed money.... 888 01:12:12,787 --> 01:12:15,038 On October 4th, 2008... 889 01:12:15,206 --> 01:12:19,251 ...President Bush signs a 700-billion-dollar bailout bill. 890 01:12:19,419 --> 01:12:21,753 But world stock markets continue to fall... 891 01:12:21,921 --> 01:12:24,756 ...amid fears that a global recession is now underway. 892 01:12:30,096 --> 01:12:33,390 The bailout legislation does nothing to stem the tide of layoffs... 893 01:12:33,558 --> 01:12:35,350 ...and foreclosures. 894 01:12:35,518 --> 01:12:40,605 Unemployment in the United States and Europe rises to 10 percent. 895 01:12:40,773 --> 01:12:44,109 The recession accelerates and spreads globally. 896 01:12:47,947 --> 01:12:52,200 I began to get really scared because I hadn't foreseen... 897 01:12:52,368 --> 01:12:56,955 ...the whole world going down at the same rate at the same time. 898 01:12:57,623 --> 01:12:59,458 By December of 2008... 899 01:12:59,625 --> 01:13:03,128 ...General Motors and Chrysler are facing bankruptcy. 900 01:13:03,463 --> 01:13:06,214 And as U.S. consumers cut back on spending... 901 01:13:06,382 --> 01:13:09,926 ...Chinese manufacturers see sales plummet. 902 01:13:10,970 --> 01:13:15,474 Over 10 million migrant workers in China lose their jobs. 903 01:13:15,933 --> 01:13:20,479 At the end of the day, the poorest, as always, pay the most. 904 01:13:25,985 --> 01:13:27,986 Here, you can earn a lot of money. 905 01:13:28,154 --> 01:13:32,324 Like 70, 80 U.S. dollars per month. 906 01:13:35,328 --> 01:13:40,165 As a farmer in the countryside, you cannot earn as much money. 907 01:13:40,333 --> 01:13:44,419 The workers, they just wire their salary to their hometown... 908 01:13:44,587 --> 01:13:47,339 ...to give to their families. 909 01:13:47,715 --> 01:13:50,592 The crisis started in America. 910 01:13:50,760 --> 01:13:54,513 We all know it will be coming to China. 911 01:13:58,935 --> 01:14:02,020 Some of the factories try to cut off some workers. 912 01:14:03,523 --> 01:14:06,775 And some people will get poor because they'll lose their jobs. 913 01:14:08,027 --> 01:14:09,569 Life gets harder. 914 01:14:18,121 --> 01:14:20,705 We were growing at about 20 percent. 915 01:14:24,043 --> 01:14:27,921 It was a super year. Then we suddenly went to minus-nine this quarter. 916 01:14:28,089 --> 01:14:32,843 Exports collapsed, and we're talking like 30 percent. 917 01:14:33,636 --> 01:14:37,264 So we just took a hit, you know. Fell off a cliff. 918 01:14:37,431 --> 01:14:41,560 Even as the crisis unfolded, we didn't know how wide it was going to spread... 919 01:14:41,727 --> 01:14:43,562 ...or how severe it was going to be. 920 01:14:43,729 --> 01:14:46,356 We were still hoping that there would be some way... 921 01:14:46,524 --> 01:14:51,528 ...for us to have a shelter and be less battered by the storm. 922 01:14:51,696 --> 01:14:52,904 But it's not possible. 923 01:14:53,364 --> 01:14:55,073 It's a very globalized world. 924 01:14:55,241 --> 01:14:58,076 The economies are all linked together. 925 01:15:29,650 --> 01:15:32,110 Every time a home goes into foreclosure... 926 01:15:32,278 --> 01:15:34,613 ...it affects everyone who lives around that house. 927 01:15:34,780 --> 01:15:37,949 When that house goes on the market, it'll be sold at a lower price. 928 01:15:38,117 --> 01:15:41,453 Maybe before it goes on the market, it won't be well-maintained. 929 01:15:41,621 --> 01:15:44,956 We estimate another 9 million homeowners will lose their homes. 930 01:15:51,547 --> 01:15:54,466 We went out on a weekend to see what houses were for sale. 931 01:15:56,302 --> 01:15:57,719 We saw one we liked. 932 01:15:58,471 --> 01:16:01,723 The payment was going to be $3200. 933 01:16:13,319 --> 01:16:15,987 Everything was beautiful, the house was very pretty. 934 01:16:16,155 --> 01:16:18,198 The payment low. Everything was-- 935 01:16:18,366 --> 01:16:20,075 We won the lottery. 936 01:16:20,243 --> 01:16:23,161 But the reality was when the first payment arrived. 937 01:16:28,834 --> 01:16:33,713 I felt very bad for my husband... 938 01:16:33,881 --> 01:16:40,345 ...because he works too much. And we have three children. 939 01:16:49,522 --> 01:16:52,023 The majority I've seen are people hurt by the economy. 940 01:16:54,110 --> 01:16:56,528 They were living day to day, paycheck to paycheck... 941 01:16:56,696 --> 01:16:57,946 ...and that ran out. 942 01:16:58,114 --> 01:17:01,449 Unemployment won't pay a mortgage. It won't pay a car bill. 943 01:17:02,034 --> 01:17:03,785 I was a log truck driver. 944 01:17:05,913 --> 01:17:08,790 They shut down the logging systems, shut down the sawmills. 945 01:17:08,958 --> 01:17:11,418 So I moved down here on a construction job. 946 01:17:11,585 --> 01:17:14,462 And the construction jobs got shut down too, so.... 947 01:17:14,630 --> 01:17:17,173 Things are so tough. There's a lot of people out there. 948 01:17:17,341 --> 01:17:19,718 Soon you're gonna be seeing more camps like this... 949 01:17:19,885 --> 01:17:22,053 ...because there's just no jobs right now. 950 01:17:28,394 --> 01:17:32,981 When the company did well, we did well. 951 01:17:33,149 --> 01:17:36,943 When the company did not do well, sir, we did not do well. 952 01:17:37,361 --> 01:17:39,404 The men who destroyed their own companies... 953 01:17:39,572 --> 01:17:41,323 ...and plunged the world into crisis... 954 01:17:41,490 --> 01:17:44,826 ...walked away from the wreckage with their fortunes intact. 955 01:17:44,994 --> 01:17:48,580 The top five executives at Lehman Brothers made over a billion dollars... 956 01:17:48,748 --> 01:17:50,457 ...between 2000 and 2007. 957 01:17:52,084 --> 01:17:55,462 And when the firm went bankrupt, they got to keep all the money. 958 01:17:55,629 --> 01:17:57,255 The system worked. 959 01:17:57,423 --> 01:18:00,216 It doesn't make sense to make a failing loan because we lose. 960 01:18:02,011 --> 01:18:04,429 The borrower loses, the community loses and we lose. 961 01:18:04,597 --> 01:18:06,931 Countrywide's CEO, Angelo Mozilo... 962 01:18:07,099 --> 01:18:11,436 ...made $470 million between 2003 and 2008. 963 01:18:11,812 --> 01:18:15,440 One hundred forty million came from dumping his Countrywide stock... 964 01:18:15,608 --> 01:18:18,360 ...in the 12 months before the company collapsed. 965 01:18:18,527 --> 01:18:21,196 I hold the board accountable when a business fails. 966 01:18:21,364 --> 01:18:24,074 They're responsible for hiring and firing the CEO... 967 01:18:24,241 --> 01:18:26,409 ...and overseeing big strategic decisions. 968 01:18:26,577 --> 01:18:29,579 The problem with boards in America is the way boards are elected. 969 01:18:29,747 --> 01:18:33,291 You know, the boards are pretty much, in many cases, picked by the CEO. 970 01:18:33,459 --> 01:18:35,960 The board of directors and compensation committees... 971 01:18:36,128 --> 01:18:41,216 ...are the two bodies best situated to determine pay for executives. 972 01:18:41,384 --> 01:18:43,843 How do you think they've done over the past 10 years? 973 01:18:44,011 --> 01:18:49,391 Well, I think that if you look at those-- I would give about a B, because-- 974 01:18:49,558 --> 01:18:50,600 - A B? - A B, yes. 975 01:18:50,768 --> 01:18:52,477 - Not an F? - Not an F, not an F. 976 01:18:52,812 --> 01:18:55,480 Stan O'Neal, the CEO of Merrill Lynch... 977 01:18:55,648 --> 01:19:00,110 ...received $90 million in 2006 and 2007 alone. 978 01:19:00,277 --> 01:19:02,445 After driving his firm into the ground... 979 01:19:02,613 --> 01:19:05,198 ...the board of directors allowed him to resign... 980 01:19:05,366 --> 01:19:09,327 ...and he collected $161 million in severance. 981 01:19:09,662 --> 01:19:13,706 Instead of being fired, Stan O'Neal is allowed to resign... 982 01:19:13,874 --> 01:19:17,085 ...and takes away $151 million. 983 01:19:17,253 --> 01:19:19,712 That's a decision that that board of directors made. 984 01:19:19,880 --> 01:19:21,714 What grade do you give that decision? 985 01:19:21,882 --> 01:19:24,759 That's a tougher one. I don't know if I'd give it a B as well. 986 01:19:25,302 --> 01:19:31,349 O'Neal's successor, John Thain, was paid $87 million in 2007. 987 01:19:31,517 --> 01:19:33,143 And in December of 2008... 988 01:19:33,310 --> 01:19:37,021 ...two months after Merrill was bailed out by U.S. taxpayers... 989 01:19:37,189 --> 01:19:41,401 ...Thain and Merrill's board handed out billions in bonuses. 990 01:19:42,153 --> 01:19:46,156 In March of 2008, AIG's Financial Products division... 991 01:19:46,323 --> 01:19:47,740 ...lost $11 billion. 992 01:19:49,160 --> 01:19:53,079 Instead of being fired, Joseph Cassano, head of AIGFP... 993 01:19:53,456 --> 01:19:57,375 ...was kept on as a consultant for a million dollars a month. 994 01:19:57,543 --> 01:20:03,047 You wanna make sure key players and key employees within AIGFP... 995 01:20:03,215 --> 01:20:05,383 ...we retain that intellectual knowledge. 996 01:20:05,551 --> 01:20:07,510 I attended a very interesting dinner... 997 01:20:07,678 --> 01:20:11,347 ...organized by Hank Paulson a little more than one year ago... 998 01:20:11,515 --> 01:20:14,142 ...with some officials and a couple of CEOs... 999 01:20:14,310 --> 01:20:16,561 ...from the biggest banks in the U.S. 1000 01:20:16,729 --> 01:20:21,065 And surprisingly enough, all these gentlemen were arguing: 1001 01:20:21,233 --> 01:20:25,236 "We were too greedy, so we have part of the responsibility." Fine. 1002 01:20:25,404 --> 01:20:29,199 Then they were turning to the treasurer, Secretary of the Treasury, and saying: 1003 01:20:29,366 --> 01:20:32,535 "You should regulate more. We're too greedy, we can't avoid it. 1004 01:20:32,703 --> 01:20:35,663 The only way to avoid this is to have more regulation." 1005 01:20:35,831 --> 01:20:38,750 I have spoken to many bankers about this question... 1006 01:20:38,918 --> 01:20:40,835 ...including very senior ones. 1007 01:20:41,003 --> 01:20:45,798 And this is the first time that I've ever heard anybody say... 1008 01:20:45,966 --> 01:20:49,010 ...they wanted their compensation to be regulated in any way. 1009 01:20:49,178 --> 01:20:52,388 Yeah, because it was at the moment where they were afraid. 1010 01:20:52,556 --> 01:20:56,851 And after, when solution to the crisis began to appear... 1011 01:20:57,019 --> 01:20:59,270 ...then probably they changed their mind. 1012 01:21:01,690 --> 01:21:05,527 In the U.S., the banks are now bigger, more powerful... 1013 01:21:05,694 --> 01:21:08,780 ...and more concentrated than ever before. 1014 01:21:08,948 --> 01:21:10,782 There are fewer competitors. 1015 01:21:10,950 --> 01:21:14,953 A lot of smaller banks have been taken over by big ones. 1016 01:21:15,120 --> 01:21:17,539 J.P. Morgan is even bigger than it was before. 1017 01:21:17,706 --> 01:21:21,668 J.P. Morgan took over first Bear Stearns and then WaMu. 1018 01:21:21,835 --> 01:21:25,672 Bank of America took over Countrywide and Merrill Lynch. 1019 01:21:25,839 --> 01:21:28,341 Wells Fargo took over Wachovia. 1020 01:21:28,509 --> 01:21:30,802 After the crisis, the financial industry... 1021 01:21:30,970 --> 01:21:33,805 ...including the Financial Services Roundtable... 1022 01:21:33,973 --> 01:21:36,474 ...worked harder than ever to fight reform. 1023 01:21:36,642 --> 01:21:39,310 The financial sector employs 3000 lobbyists... 1024 01:21:39,853 --> 01:21:43,314 ...more than five for each member of Congress. 1025 01:21:43,816 --> 01:21:45,817 You think the financial services industry... 1026 01:21:45,985 --> 01:21:48,653 ...has excessive political influence in the United States? 1027 01:21:48,821 --> 01:21:53,241 No. I think that every person in the country... 1028 01:21:53,409 --> 01:21:55,201 ...is represented here in Washington. 1029 01:21:55,369 --> 01:21:59,122 And you think that all segments of American society... 1030 01:21:59,290 --> 01:22:02,625 ...have equal and fair access to the system? 1031 01:22:02,793 --> 01:22:07,672 That you can walk into any hearing room that you would like. Yes, I do. 1032 01:22:07,923 --> 01:22:11,134 One can walk into any hearing room. One cannot necessarily... 1033 01:22:11,302 --> 01:22:14,137 ...write the lobbying checks that your industry writes... 1034 01:22:14,305 --> 01:22:18,099 ...or engage in the level of political contributions your industry engages in. 1035 01:22:18,392 --> 01:22:21,269 Between 1998 and 2008... 1036 01:22:21,437 --> 01:22:24,355 ...the financial industry spent over $5 billion... 1037 01:22:24,523 --> 01:22:27,025 ...on lobbying and campaign contributions. 1038 01:22:27,192 --> 01:22:30,069 And since the crisis, they're spending even more money. 1039 01:22:31,822 --> 01:22:34,282 The financial industry also exerts its influence... 1040 01:22:34,450 --> 01:22:38,369 ...in a more subtle way, one that most Americans don't know about. 1041 01:22:39,997 --> 01:22:42,540 It has corrupted the study of economics itself. 1042 01:22:44,043 --> 01:22:50,089 Deregulation had tremendous financial and intellectual support... 1043 01:22:50,257 --> 01:22:54,719 ...because people argued it for their own benefit. 1044 01:22:54,887 --> 01:22:59,557 The economics profession was the main source of that illusion. 1045 01:22:59,892 --> 01:23:02,935 Since the 1980s, academic economists... 1046 01:23:03,103 --> 01:23:05,563 ...have been major advocates of deregulation... 1047 01:23:05,731 --> 01:23:09,108 ...and played powerful roles in shaping U.S. government policy. 1048 01:23:09,693 --> 01:23:13,446 Very few of these economic experts warned about the crisis. 1049 01:23:13,614 --> 01:23:18,159 And even after the crisis, many of them opposed reform. 1050 01:23:18,410 --> 01:23:22,288 The guys who taught these things tended to get paid a lot of money... 1051 01:23:22,456 --> 01:23:24,582 ...being consultants. 1052 01:23:24,750 --> 01:23:29,337 Business school professors don't live on a faculty salary. 1053 01:23:30,422 --> 01:23:33,091 They do very, very well. 1054 01:23:33,550 --> 01:23:36,302 Over the last decade, the financial services industries... 1055 01:23:38,847 --> 01:23:42,725 ...made about $5 billion worth of political contributions in the U.S. 1056 01:23:43,769 --> 01:23:46,104 That's kind of a lot of money. 1057 01:23:46,605 --> 01:23:49,273 - That doesn't bother you? - No. 1058 01:23:49,441 --> 01:23:51,943 Martin Feldstein is a professor at Harvard... 1059 01:23:52,111 --> 01:23:54,529 ...and one of the world's most prominent economists. 1060 01:23:54,905 --> 01:23:57,699 As President Reagan's chief economic advisor... 1061 01:23:57,866 --> 01:24:00,284 ...he was a major architect of deregulation. 1062 01:24:00,452 --> 01:24:03,496 And from 1988 until 2009... 1063 01:24:03,789 --> 01:24:06,916 ...he was on the board of directors of both AIG... 1064 01:24:07,084 --> 01:24:09,043 ...and AIG Financial Products... 1065 01:24:09,211 --> 01:24:11,462 ...which paid him millions of dollars. 1066 01:24:11,714 --> 01:24:14,590 You have any regrets about having been on AIG's board? 1067 01:24:14,758 --> 01:24:18,428 I have no comments. No, I have no regrets about being on AIG's board. 1068 01:24:18,595 --> 01:24:22,014 - None? - That I can say. Absolutely none. 1069 01:24:22,182 --> 01:24:23,641 Okay. 1070 01:24:26,061 --> 01:24:30,773 You have any regrets about AIG's decisions? 1071 01:24:30,941 --> 01:24:33,693 I cannot say anything more about AIG. 1072 01:24:33,861 --> 01:24:37,947 I've taught at Northwestern in Chicago, Harvard and Columbia. 1073 01:24:38,115 --> 01:24:41,033 Glenn Hubbard is the dean of Columbia Business School... 1074 01:24:41,201 --> 01:24:43,911 ...and was chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers... 1075 01:24:44,079 --> 01:24:46,080 ...under George W. Bush. 1076 01:24:46,248 --> 01:24:48,374 Do you think the financial services industry... 1077 01:24:48,542 --> 01:24:51,961 ...has too much political power in the United States? 1078 01:24:52,421 --> 01:24:56,549 I don't think so. No. You certainly wouldn't get that impression... 1079 01:24:56,717 --> 01:25:00,511 ...by the drubbing that they regularly get in Washington. 1080 01:25:00,679 --> 01:25:03,514 Many prominent academics quietly make fortunes... 1081 01:25:03,682 --> 01:25:08,519 ...helping the financial industry shape public debate and government policy. 1082 01:25:08,687 --> 01:25:11,939 The Analysis Group, Charles River Associates... 1083 01:25:12,107 --> 01:25:13,441 ...Compass Lexecon... 1084 01:25:13,609 --> 01:25:15,860 ...and the Law and Economics Consulting Group... 1085 01:25:16,028 --> 01:25:18,237 ...manage a multibillion-dollar industry... 1086 01:25:18,405 --> 01:25:21,699 ...that provides academic experts for hire. 1087 01:25:21,867 --> 01:25:23,868 Two bankers who used these services... 1088 01:25:24,036 --> 01:25:27,079 ...were Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin... 1089 01:25:27,247 --> 01:25:31,209 ...Bear Stearns hedge fund managers prosecuted for securities fraud. 1090 01:25:31,376 --> 01:25:34,545 After hiring the Analysis Group, both were acquitted. 1091 01:25:34,880 --> 01:25:40,134 Glenn Hubbard was paid $100,000 to testify in their defense. 1092 01:25:40,803 --> 01:25:46,641 Do you think the economics discipline has a conflict-of-interest problem? 1093 01:25:47,684 --> 01:25:49,268 I'm not sure I know what you mean. 1094 01:25:49,436 --> 01:25:53,731 Do you think a significant fraction of the economics discipline, economists... 1095 01:25:53,899 --> 01:25:59,070 ...have financial conflicts of interest that might call into question or color--? 1096 01:25:59,238 --> 01:26:01,239 I see what you're saying. I doubt it. 1097 01:26:01,406 --> 01:26:06,577 Most academic economists aren't wealthy business people. 1098 01:26:06,745 --> 01:26:10,915 Hubbard makes $250,000 a year as a board member of MetLife... 1099 01:26:11,083 --> 01:26:13,501 ...and was formerly on the board of Capmark... 1100 01:26:13,669 --> 01:26:16,712 ...a major commercial mortgage lender during the bubble... 1101 01:26:16,880 --> 01:26:18,923 ...which went bankrupt in 2009. 1102 01:26:19,091 --> 01:26:21,467 He has also advised Nomura Securities... 1103 01:26:21,635 --> 01:26:26,055 ...KKR Financial Corporation and many other financial firms. 1104 01:26:27,349 --> 01:26:30,476 Laura Tyson, who declined to be interviewed for this film... 1105 01:26:30,644 --> 01:26:34,438 ...is a professor at the University of California, Berkeley. 1106 01:26:34,606 --> 01:26:37,817 She was the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers... 1107 01:26:37,985 --> 01:26:41,445 ...then director of the National Economic Council under Clinton. 1108 01:26:41,613 --> 01:26:45,283 After leaving government, she joined the board of Morgan Stanley... 1109 01:26:45,450 --> 01:26:48,995 ...which pays her $350,000 a year. 1110 01:26:49,162 --> 01:26:51,664 Ruth Simmons, president of Brown University... 1111 01:26:51,832 --> 01:26:56,919 ...makes over $300,000 a year on the board of Goldman Sachs. 1112 01:26:57,129 --> 01:27:00,172 Larry Summers, who, as Treasury secretary, played a role... 1113 01:27:00,340 --> 01:27:05,678 ...in the deregulation of derivatives, became president of Harvard in 2001 . 1114 01:27:06,013 --> 01:27:09,348 While at Harvard, he made millions consulting to hedge funds... 1115 01:27:09,516 --> 01:27:13,895 ...and millions more in speaking fees, much of it from investment banks. 1116 01:27:16,648 --> 01:27:20,026 According to his federal disclosure report, Summers' net worth... 1117 01:27:20,193 --> 01:27:25,239 ...is between $16.5 million and $39.5 million. 1118 01:27:25,991 --> 01:27:28,826 Frederic Mishkin, who returned to Columbia Business School... 1119 01:27:28,994 --> 01:27:33,122 ...after leaving the Federal Reserve, reported on his disclosure report... 1120 01:27:33,290 --> 01:27:37,668 ...that his net worth was between $6 million and $17 million. 1121 01:27:38,128 --> 01:27:42,548 In 2006, you coauthored a study of Iceland's financial system. 1122 01:27:42,758 --> 01:27:44,550 "Iceland is an advanced country... 1123 01:27:44,718 --> 01:27:47,929 ...with excellent institutions, low corruption, rule of law. 1124 01:27:48,096 --> 01:27:51,098 The economy has adjusted to financial liberalization... 1125 01:27:51,266 --> 01:27:55,519 ...while prudential regulation and supervision is generally quite strong." 1126 01:27:55,687 --> 01:27:58,397 And that was the mistake, that it turns out... 1127 01:27:58,565 --> 01:28:02,026 ...prudential regulation and supervision was not strong in Iceland... 1128 01:28:02,194 --> 01:28:05,071 - ...during this period-- - What led you to think it was? 1129 01:28:05,238 --> 01:28:07,531 You're going with the information you had... 1130 01:28:07,699 --> 01:28:13,204 ...and generally, the view was that Iceland had very good institutions. 1131 01:28:13,372 --> 01:28:15,873 - It was an advanced country-- - Who told you that? 1132 01:28:16,041 --> 01:28:18,459 - What research did you do? - You talk to people. 1133 01:28:18,627 --> 01:28:23,214 You have faith in the central bank, which actually did fall down on the job. 1134 01:28:23,382 --> 01:28:25,841 That clearly it-- This-- 1135 01:28:26,009 --> 01:28:29,553 - Why have faith in a central bank? - Well, that faith-- You try-- 1136 01:28:29,721 --> 01:28:31,889 Because you go with the information you have. 1137 01:28:32,057 --> 01:28:34,684 - How much were you paid to write it? - I was paid-- 1138 01:28:34,851 --> 01:28:37,228 I think the number-- It's public information. 1139 01:28:44,820 --> 01:28:47,905 On your CV, the title of this report has been changed... 1140 01:28:48,073 --> 01:28:52,243 ...from "Financial Stability in Iceland" to "Financial Instability in Iceland." 1141 01:28:52,411 --> 01:28:56,956 Well, I don't know. Whatever it is-- If there's a typo, there's a typo. 1142 01:28:57,124 --> 01:28:59,000 What should be publicly available... 1143 01:28:59,167 --> 01:29:01,585 ...is whenever anybody does research on a topic... 1144 01:29:01,753 --> 01:29:06,465 ...that they disclose if they have any financial conflict with that research. 1145 01:29:06,633 --> 01:29:10,636 But if I recall, there is no policy to that effect. 1146 01:29:11,179 --> 01:29:16,642 I can't imagine anybody not doing that in terms of putting it in a paper. You-- 1147 01:29:16,810 --> 01:29:20,438 There would be significant professional sanction for failure to do that. 1148 01:29:20,605 --> 01:29:25,234 I didn't see any place in the study where you indicated you'd been paid... 1149 01:29:25,402 --> 01:29:28,696 ...by the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce to produce it. 1150 01:29:28,864 --> 01:29:31,657 - No, I don't-- You know. - Okay. 1151 01:29:32,034 --> 01:29:35,036 Richard Portes, the most famous economist in Britain... 1152 01:29:35,203 --> 01:29:37,329 ...and a professor at London Business School... 1153 01:29:37,497 --> 01:29:41,584 ...was also commissioned by the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce... 1154 01:29:41,752 --> 01:29:45,796 ...to write a report which praised the Icelandic financial sector. 1155 01:29:46,339 --> 01:29:48,215 The banks themselves are highly liquid. 1156 01:29:48,383 --> 01:29:51,177 They've made money on the fall of the Icelandic króna. 1157 01:29:51,344 --> 01:29:52,762 These are strong banks. 1158 01:29:52,929 --> 01:29:56,182 Their market funding is assured for the coming year. 1159 01:29:56,349 --> 01:29:58,309 - These are well-run banks. - Thank you. 1160 01:29:58,477 --> 01:30:01,812 Like Mishkin, Portes' report didn't disclose his payment... 1161 01:30:01,980 --> 01:30:04,482 ...from the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce. 1162 01:30:04,649 --> 01:30:07,777 Does Harvard require disclosures of financial conflict of interest? 1163 01:30:10,989 --> 01:30:12,031 Not to my knowledge. 1164 01:30:12,199 --> 01:30:15,242 Do you require people to report the compensation... 1165 01:30:15,410 --> 01:30:17,953 - ...received from outside activities? - No. 1166 01:30:18,121 --> 01:30:19,830 Don't you think that's a problem? 1167 01:30:19,998 --> 01:30:21,248 I don't see why. 1168 01:30:21,416 --> 01:30:24,085 Martin Feldstein being on the board of AIG... 1169 01:30:24,252 --> 01:30:26,170 ...Laura Tyson at Morgan Stanley... 1170 01:30:26,338 --> 01:30:31,175 ...Larry Summers making $10 million consulting to financial services firms.... 1171 01:30:31,343 --> 01:30:32,676 Irrelevant? 1172 01:30:32,844 --> 01:30:33,844 Yeah. 1173 01:30:34,012 --> 01:30:35,513 Yeah. Basically irrelevant. 1174 01:30:38,350 --> 01:30:41,185 You've written many articles about a wide array of subjects. 1175 01:30:41,353 --> 01:30:44,105 You never saw fit to investigate the risks... 1176 01:30:44,272 --> 01:30:47,608 ...of unregulated credit default swaps? 1177 01:30:47,859 --> 01:30:49,527 I never did. 1178 01:30:49,694 --> 01:30:53,447 Same question with regard to executive compensation? 1179 01:30:53,615 --> 01:30:55,616 The regulation of corporate governance? 1180 01:30:55,784 --> 01:30:58,119 The effect of political contributions? 1181 01:30:58,286 --> 01:31:02,248 I don't know that I would have anything to add to those discussions. 1182 01:31:02,415 --> 01:31:04,500 I'm looking at your résumé now. 1183 01:31:04,668 --> 01:31:09,463 It looks to me as if the majority of your outside activities... 1184 01:31:09,631 --> 01:31:12,466 ...are consulting and directorship arrangements... 1185 01:31:12,634 --> 01:31:14,718 ...with the financial services industry. 1186 01:31:14,886 --> 01:31:17,054 Would you not agree with that characterization? 1187 01:31:17,222 --> 01:31:20,516 To my knowledge, I don't think my consulting clients are on my CV. 1188 01:31:20,684 --> 01:31:23,561 - So I wouldn't know. - Who are your consulting clients? 1189 01:31:23,728 --> 01:31:25,896 I don't believe I have to discuss that with you. 1190 01:31:26,064 --> 01:31:27,231 Okay. 1191 01:31:27,858 --> 01:31:31,777 In fact, you have a few more minutes and the interview's over. 1192 01:31:31,945 --> 01:31:34,572 Do you consult for any financial services firms? 1193 01:31:34,739 --> 01:31:37,283 - The answer is I do. - And? 1194 01:31:37,450 --> 01:31:40,619 And-- But I do not wanna go into details about that. 1195 01:31:40,787 --> 01:31:43,581 Do they include other financial services firms? 1196 01:31:43,748 --> 01:31:44,915 Possibly. 1197 01:31:45,083 --> 01:31:46,750 You don't remember? 1198 01:31:46,918 --> 01:31:50,171 This isn't a deposition, sir. I was polite enough to give you time. 1199 01:31:50,338 --> 01:31:54,049 Foolishly, I now see. But you have three more minutes. 1200 01:31:54,217 --> 01:31:56,051 Give it your best shot. 1201 01:31:56,219 --> 01:31:58,846 In 2004, at the height of the bubble... 1202 01:31:59,014 --> 01:32:02,850 ...Glenn Hubbard coauthored a widely read paper with William C. Dudley... 1203 01:32:03,018 --> 01:32:05,811 ...the chief economist of Goldman Sachs. 1204 01:32:05,979 --> 01:32:08,564 In the paper, Hubbard praised credit derivatives... 1205 01:32:08,732 --> 01:32:10,524 ...and the securitization chain... 1206 01:32:10,692 --> 01:32:13,277 ...stating they had improved allocation of capital... 1207 01:32:13,445 --> 01:32:15,946 ...and were enhancing financial stability. 1208 01:32:16,114 --> 01:32:18,616 He cited reduced volatility in the economy... 1209 01:32:18,783 --> 01:32:23,454 ...and stated that recessions had become less frequent and milder. 1210 01:32:23,622 --> 01:32:26,624 Credit derivatives were protecting banks against losses... 1211 01:32:26,791 --> 01:32:28,626 ...and helping to distribute risk. 1212 01:32:30,962 --> 01:32:33,923 A medical researcher writes an article, saying: 1213 01:32:34,090 --> 01:32:38,636 "To treat this disease, you should prescribe this drug." 1214 01:32:38,929 --> 01:32:41,972 Turns out doctor makes 80 percent of personal income... 1215 01:32:42,140 --> 01:32:45,309 ...from manufacture of this drug. Does not bother you? 1216 01:32:45,477 --> 01:32:50,022 I think it's certainly important to disclose the.... 1217 01:32:55,528 --> 01:32:57,696 Well, I think that's also a little different... 1218 01:32:57,864 --> 01:33:01,825 ...from cases that we're talking about here because.... 1219 01:33:17,175 --> 01:33:21,387 So, what do you think this says about the economics discipline? 1220 01:33:21,554 --> 01:33:25,516 Well, I mean, it has no relevance to anything, really. 1221 01:33:25,684 --> 01:33:29,603 And, indeed, I think it's a part of the-- 1222 01:33:29,771 --> 01:33:33,691 It's an important part of the problem. 1223 01:33:49,124 --> 01:33:51,625 The rising power of the U.S. financial sector... 1224 01:33:51,793 --> 01:33:54,545 ...was part of a wider change in America. 1225 01:33:54,921 --> 01:33:59,550 Since the 1980s, the United States has become a more unequal society... 1226 01:34:00,093 --> 01:34:03,512 ...and its economic dominance has declined. 1227 01:34:03,805 --> 01:34:08,267 Companies like General Motors, Chrysler and U.S. Steel... 1228 01:34:08,435 --> 01:34:11,020 ...formerly the core of the U.S. economy... 1229 01:34:11,187 --> 01:34:15,774 ...were poorly managed and falling behind their foreign competitors. 1230 01:34:16,568 --> 01:34:19,653 And as countries like China opened their economies... 1231 01:34:19,821 --> 01:34:23,991 ...American companies sent jobs overseas to save money. 1232 01:34:25,952 --> 01:34:29,288 For many, many years, the 660 million people... 1233 01:34:29,456 --> 01:34:31,749 ...in the developed world were sheltered... 1234 01:34:31,916 --> 01:34:35,794 ...from all of this additional labor that existed on the planet. 1235 01:34:35,962 --> 01:34:38,839 Suddenly the Bamboo Curtain and the Iron Curtain are lifted... 1236 01:34:39,007 --> 01:34:42,176 ...and you have 2.5 billion additional people. 1237 01:34:42,886 --> 01:34:46,889 American factory workers were laid off by the tens of thousands. 1238 01:34:47,057 --> 01:34:49,683 Our manufacturing base was destroyed, literally... 1239 01:34:49,851 --> 01:34:51,143 ...over a few years. 1240 01:34:51,311 --> 01:34:55,606 As manufacturing declined, other industries rose. 1241 01:34:55,774 --> 01:34:59,026 The United States leads the world in information technology... 1242 01:34:59,194 --> 01:35:02,279 ...where high-paying jobs are easy to find. 1243 01:35:02,447 --> 01:35:04,615 But those jobs require an education. 1244 01:35:04,908 --> 01:35:09,787 And for average Americans, college is increasingly out of reach. 1245 01:35:11,289 --> 01:35:15,250 While universities like Harvard have billions of dollars in endowments... 1246 01:35:15,418 --> 01:35:19,713 ...funding for public universities is shrinking and tuition is rising. 1247 01:35:20,673 --> 01:35:23,133 Tuition for California's public universities... 1248 01:35:23,301 --> 01:35:28,639 ...rose from $650 in the 1970s to over $10,000 in 2010. 1249 01:35:30,683 --> 01:35:34,978 The most important determinant of whether Americans go to college... 1250 01:35:35,146 --> 01:35:38,148 ...is whether they can find the money to pay for it. 1251 01:35:38,400 --> 01:35:43,362 Meanwhile, American tax policy shifted to favor the wealthy. 1252 01:35:44,906 --> 01:35:48,742 When I first came to office, I thought taxes were too high, and they were. 1253 01:35:48,910 --> 01:35:51,703 The most dramatic change was a series of tax cuts... 1254 01:35:51,871 --> 01:35:54,498 ...designed by Glenn Hubbard, who was serving... 1255 01:35:54,666 --> 01:35:58,001 ...as President Bush's chief economic advisor. 1256 01:35:58,711 --> 01:36:02,339 The Bush administration sharply reduced taxes on investment gains... 1257 01:36:02,507 --> 01:36:05,509 ...stock dividends, and eliminated the estate tax. 1258 01:36:05,677 --> 01:36:08,846 We had a comprehensive plan that when acted... 1259 01:36:09,013 --> 01:36:12,766 ...has left nearly $1.1 trillion in the hands of American workers... 1260 01:36:12,934 --> 01:36:15,519 ...families, investors and small-business owners. 1261 01:36:15,687 --> 01:36:20,232 Most benefits of these cuts went to the wealthiest 1percent of Americans. 1262 01:36:22,026 --> 01:36:24,319 And by the way, it was the cornerstone... 1263 01:36:24,487 --> 01:36:26,864 ...in many ways, of our economic recovery policy. 1264 01:36:27,323 --> 01:36:29,867 Inequality of wealth in the United States... 1265 01:36:30,034 --> 01:36:33,412 ...is now higher than in any other developed country. 1266 01:36:34,038 --> 01:36:36,790 American families responded to these changes in two ways: 1267 01:36:38,209 --> 01:36:42,796 By working longer hours and by going into debt. 1268 01:36:42,964 --> 01:36:46,550 As the middle class falls further and further behind... 1269 01:36:46,718 --> 01:36:50,596 ...there is a political urge to respond... 1270 01:36:50,763 --> 01:36:54,099 ...by making it easier to get credit. 1271 01:36:54,267 --> 01:36:55,893 You don't have to have a lousy home. 1272 01:36:57,353 --> 01:37:02,566 The low-income home buyer can have just as nice a house as anybody else. 1273 01:37:04,235 --> 01:37:07,488 American families borrowed to finance their homes, their cars... 1274 01:37:07,655 --> 01:37:11,408 ...their healthcare, and their children's educations. 1275 01:37:11,784 --> 01:37:14,453 People in the bottom 90 percent... 1276 01:37:14,913 --> 01:37:19,500 ...lost ground between 1980 and 2007. 1277 01:37:19,667 --> 01:37:24,171 It all went to the top 1percent. 1278 01:37:26,382 --> 01:37:29,259 For the first time in history, average Americans... 1279 01:37:29,427 --> 01:37:34,223 ...have less education and are less prosperous than their parents. 1280 01:37:36,392 --> 01:37:41,772 The era of greed and irresponsibility on Wall Street and in Washington... 1281 01:37:43,274 --> 01:37:45,317 ...has led us to a financial crisis... 1282 01:37:45,485 --> 01:37:49,196 ...as serious as any that we've faced since the Great Depression. 1283 01:37:49,364 --> 01:37:52,616 When the financial crisis struck before the 2008 election... 1284 01:37:53,076 --> 01:37:55,327 ...Barack Obama pointed to Wall Street greed... 1285 01:37:55,495 --> 01:37:59,790 ...and regulatory failures as examples of the need for change in America. 1286 01:37:59,958 --> 01:38:02,668 A lack of oversight in Washington and on Wall Street... 1287 01:38:02,835 --> 01:38:05,837 ...is exactly what got us into this mess. 1288 01:38:06,464 --> 01:38:10,759 After taking office, Obama spoke of the need to reform the industry. 1289 01:38:10,927 --> 01:38:13,554 We want a risk regulator, increased capital requirements. 1290 01:38:14,889 --> 01:38:17,015 We need a consumer financial protection agency. 1291 01:38:17,183 --> 01:38:19,017 We need to change Wall Street's culture. 1292 01:38:19,644 --> 01:38:22,604 But when finally enacted in mid-201 0... 1293 01:38:22,772 --> 01:38:25,524 ...the administration's financial reforms were weak. 1294 01:38:25,692 --> 01:38:29,152 And in some critical areas, including the rating agencies... 1295 01:38:29,320 --> 01:38:31,572 ...lobbying and compensation... 1296 01:38:31,739 --> 01:38:34,700 ...nothing significant was even proposed. 1297 01:38:34,867 --> 01:38:38,370 Addressing Obama and, quote, "regulatory reform"... 1298 01:38:38,538 --> 01:38:42,749 ...my response, if it was one word, would be "ha." 1299 01:38:43,543 --> 01:38:46,003 There's very little reform. 1300 01:38:46,170 --> 01:38:47,713 How come? 1301 01:38:48,840 --> 01:38:51,008 It's a Wall Street government. 1302 01:38:53,469 --> 01:38:57,014 Obama chose Timothy Geithner as Treasury secretary. 1303 01:38:57,181 --> 01:38:59,933 Geithner was president of the New York Federal Reserve... 1304 01:39:00,101 --> 01:39:02,978 ...during the crisis, and a key player in the decision... 1305 01:39:03,146 --> 01:39:05,731 ...to pay Goldman Sachs 1 00 cents on the dollar... 1306 01:39:05,898 --> 01:39:07,816 ...for its bets against mortgages. 1307 01:39:07,984 --> 01:39:10,986 When Tim Geithner was testifying... 1308 01:39:11,154 --> 01:39:13,363 ...to be confirmed as Treasury secretary... 1309 01:39:13,531 --> 01:39:16,617 ...he said, "I have never been a regulator." 1310 01:39:16,784 --> 01:39:19,369 That said to me he did not understand his job... 1311 01:39:19,537 --> 01:39:21,246 ...as president of the New York Fed. 1312 01:39:25,585 --> 01:39:28,795 The new president of the New York Fed is William C. Dudley... 1313 01:39:28,963 --> 01:39:31,506 ...the former chief economist of Goldman Sachs... 1314 01:39:31,674 --> 01:39:34,843 ...whose paper with Glenn Hubbard praised derivatives. 1315 01:39:35,011 --> 01:39:37,387 Geithner's chief of staff is Mark Patterson... 1316 01:39:37,555 --> 01:39:39,640 ...a former lobbyist for Goldman. 1317 01:39:39,807 --> 01:39:42,351 And one of the senior advisors is Lewis Sachs... 1318 01:39:42,518 --> 01:39:45,646 ...who oversaw Tricadia, a company heavily involved... 1319 01:39:45,813 --> 01:39:49,441 ...in betting against the mortgage securities it was selling. 1320 01:39:49,776 --> 01:39:52,444 To head the Commodity Futures Trading Commission... 1321 01:39:52,612 --> 01:39:56,406 ...Obama picked Gary Gensler, a former Goldman Sachs executive... 1322 01:39:56,574 --> 01:39:59,493 ...who had helped ban the regulation of derivatives. 1323 01:39:59,661 --> 01:40:01,953 To run the Securities and Exchange Commission... 1324 01:40:02,121 --> 01:40:06,083 ...Obama picked Mary Schapiro, the former CEO of FINRA... 1325 01:40:06,250 --> 01:40:09,920 ...the investment banking industry's self-regulation body. 1326 01:40:10,088 --> 01:40:12,422 Obama's chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel... 1327 01:40:12,590 --> 01:40:17,177 ...made $320,000 serving on the board of Freddie Mac. 1328 01:40:17,428 --> 01:40:20,013 Both Martin Feldstein and Laura Tyson are members... 1329 01:40:20,181 --> 01:40:23,767 ...of Obama's Economic Recovery Advisory Board. 1330 01:40:24,102 --> 01:40:28,772 And Obama's chief economic advisor is Larry Summers. 1331 01:40:29,315 --> 01:40:31,149 The most senior economic advisors... 1332 01:40:31,317 --> 01:40:33,902 ...are the ones who were there, who built the structure. 1333 01:40:34,153 --> 01:40:36,738 When it was clear that Summers and Geithner... 1334 01:40:36,906 --> 01:40:41,326 ...were going to play major roles as advisors... 1335 01:40:41,494 --> 01:40:43,954 ...I knew this was going to be status quo. 1336 01:40:44,622 --> 01:40:48,291 The Obama administration resisted regulation of bank compensation... 1337 01:40:48,459 --> 01:40:51,128 ...even as foreign leaders took action. 1338 01:40:51,295 --> 01:40:53,672 The financial industry is a service industry. 1339 01:40:53,840 --> 01:40:57,217 It should serve others before it serves itself. 1340 01:40:57,677 --> 01:41:00,679 In September of 2009, Christine Lagarde... 1341 01:41:00,847 --> 01:41:03,640 ...and the finance ministers of Sweden, the Netherlands... 1342 01:41:03,808 --> 01:41:07,144 ...Luxembourg, Italy, Spain and Germany... 1343 01:41:07,311 --> 01:41:10,647 ...called for the G20 nations, including the United States... 1344 01:41:10,815 --> 01:41:14,359 ...to impose strict regulations on bank compensation. 1345 01:41:14,527 --> 01:41:16,486 And in July of 2010... 1346 01:41:16,654 --> 01:41:20,657 ...the European Parliament enacted those very regulations. 1347 01:41:20,950 --> 01:41:24,161 The Obama administration had no response. 1348 01:41:24,328 --> 01:41:28,373 Their view is it's a temporary blip and things will go back to normal. 1349 01:41:30,084 --> 01:41:32,002 That is why I am reappointing him... 1350 01:41:32,170 --> 01:41:35,172 ...as chairman of the Federal Reserve. Thank you, Ben. 1351 01:41:35,339 --> 01:41:39,176 In 2009, Barack Obama reappointed Ben Bernanke. 1352 01:41:39,343 --> 01:41:40,510 Thank you, Mr. President. 1353 01:41:41,971 --> 01:41:45,849 As of mid-2010, not a single senior financial executive... 1354 01:41:46,017 --> 01:41:49,019 ...had been criminally prosecuted, or even arrested. 1355 01:41:49,187 --> 01:41:51,772 No special prosecutor had been appointed. 1356 01:41:51,939 --> 01:41:54,733 Not a single firm had been prosecuted criminally... 1357 01:41:54,901 --> 01:41:57,903 ...for securities fraud or accounting fraud. 1358 01:41:58,070 --> 01:42:00,614 The Obama administration has made no attempt... 1359 01:42:00,782 --> 01:42:02,574 ...to recover any compensation... 1360 01:42:02,742 --> 01:42:05,786 ...given to financial executives during the bubble. 1361 01:42:06,954 --> 01:42:10,290 I certainly would think of criminal action... 1362 01:42:10,458 --> 01:42:14,127 ...against some of Countrywide's top leaders, like Mozilo. 1363 01:42:14,295 --> 01:42:17,631 I'd certainly look at Bear Stearns, Goldman Sachs... 1364 01:42:17,799 --> 01:42:20,050 ...and Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch. 1365 01:42:20,218 --> 01:42:22,719 - For criminal prosecutions? - Yes. 1366 01:42:22,887 --> 01:42:26,556 - In regard to-- - Yes. They'd be very hard to win... 1367 01:42:26,766 --> 01:42:32,270 ...but I think they could do it if they got enough underlings to tell the truth. 1368 01:42:32,605 --> 01:42:35,440 In an industry in which drug use, prostitution... 1369 01:42:35,608 --> 01:42:38,568 ...and billing of prostitutes as a business expense... 1370 01:42:38,736 --> 01:42:40,570 ...occur on an industrial scale... 1371 01:42:40,738 --> 01:42:44,699 ...it wouldn't be hard to make people talk if you really wanted to. 1372 01:42:45,117 --> 01:42:48,411 They gave me a plea bargain and I took it. 1373 01:42:48,579 --> 01:42:50,664 They were not interested in my records. 1374 01:42:50,832 --> 01:42:52,499 They weren't interested in anything. 1375 01:42:52,667 --> 01:42:55,752 - Not interested in your records? - That's correct. Correct. 1376 01:42:55,920 --> 01:43:02,092 There's a sensibility that you don't use people's personal vices... 1377 01:43:02,260 --> 01:43:06,179 ...in the context of Wall Street cases, necessarily, to get them to flip. 1378 01:43:06,347 --> 01:43:11,726 Maybe after the cataclysms that we've been through, people will reevaluate. 1379 01:43:11,894 --> 01:43:15,856 I'm not the one to pass judgment on that right now. 1380 01:43:29,161 --> 01:43:34,541 You come to us today telling us, "We're sorry, we didn't mean it. 1381 01:43:34,709 --> 01:43:36,877 We won't do it again. Trust us." 1382 01:43:38,379 --> 01:43:41,006 Well, I have some people in my constituency... 1383 01:43:41,173 --> 01:43:43,884 ...that actually robbed some of your banks. 1384 01:43:44,051 --> 01:43:45,969 And they say the same thing. 1385 01:43:46,137 --> 01:43:49,222 They're sorry. They didn't mean it. They won't do it again. 1386 01:43:49,807 --> 01:43:54,686 In 2009, as unemployment hit its highest level in 17 years... 1387 01:43:54,854 --> 01:43:58,148 ...Morgan Stanley paid its employees over $14 billion... 1388 01:43:58,316 --> 01:44:01,484 ...and Goldman Sachs paid out over $16 billion. 1389 01:44:01,652 --> 01:44:05,405 In 2010, bonuses were even higher. 1390 01:44:05,573 --> 01:44:09,034 Why should a financial engineer be paid... 1391 01:44:09,201 --> 01:44:15,373 ...four times to 100 times more than a real engineer? 1392 01:44:15,541 --> 01:44:17,709 A real engineer build bridges. 1393 01:44:17,877 --> 01:44:21,212 A financial engineer build dreams. 1394 01:44:21,380 --> 01:44:25,008 And, you know, when those dreams turn out to be nightmares... 1395 01:44:25,176 --> 01:44:26,885 ...other people pay for it. 1396 01:44:29,388 --> 01:44:30,513 For decades... 1397 01:44:30,681 --> 01:44:34,351 ...the American financial system was stable and safe. 1398 01:44:34,727 --> 01:44:36,686 But then something changed. 1399 01:44:36,854 --> 01:44:40,190 The financial industry turned its back on society... 1400 01:44:40,358 --> 01:44:42,817 ...corrupted our political system... 1401 01:44:43,235 --> 01:44:45,904 ...and plunged the world economy into crisis. 1402 01:44:47,907 --> 01:44:50,867 At enormous cost, we've avoided disaster... 1403 01:44:51,160 --> 01:44:53,119 ...and are recovering. 1404 01:44:53,496 --> 01:44:57,332 But the men and institutions that caused the crisis are still in power... 1405 01:44:57,500 --> 01:44:59,542 ...and that needs to change. 1406 01:45:00,670 --> 01:45:02,796 They will tell us that we need them... 1407 01:45:02,964 --> 01:45:07,133 ...and that what they do is too complicated for us to understand. 1408 01:45:07,927 --> 01:45:10,220 They will tell us it won't happen again. 1409 01:45:10,596 --> 01:45:13,890 They will spend billions fighting reform. 1410 01:45:14,266 --> 01:45:16,351 It won't be easy. 1411 01:45:17,645 --> 01:45:21,272 But some things are worth fighting for. 126167

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