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-= Subtitle Created By TreeHH QQ1744114159 =-
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So I wanna sell my home
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and I put on the market for 300,000 dollars
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It's a lovely home you have
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I'm the agent
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Alright so let me start over, that was my ... i'm sorry
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Alright I wanna sell my home
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I put on the market for 300,000 dollars
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I get an offer today for $290k
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The question is if I wait a week
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and get the offer for the full $300k
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Would I rather wait that week and get the full price?
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Or take the offer today for $290k
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Ah you want to take it now
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I'll be the real estate agent
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I'm telling you want to take it right now because
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because a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush...
The market is starting to really soften up
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with these things you just can never tell
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If you get a good offer, I really think it's the right thing to take it
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And I'm not speaking out of self-interest cuz I'm the real estate agent
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and our interests are aligned
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cuz I'm getting a commission out of your sales
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I want you to get as much as you can for this house
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I really do
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When you think about the incentives
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that the current contract set up
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between the home seller and the agent
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representing them, they are not well alligned
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But can you ever prove that?
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Interestingly, if you look at the sales data on real estate agent own homes
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It's not their client's home when they sell their own homes
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They get more money than they sell the same home for their client
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Now why would that be?
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What we find in the data is that agent hold out for better price
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and leave their own homes on the market for longer
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an average for 10 days longer
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But when it comes to your house
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The agent has the incentive to sell right away
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Why? Cuz sometimes that $10k into his or her pocket
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-Only $150 -I only get $150
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Because if you take that $10k that goes to him
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6 percent goes to commission but that gets wacked up
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Half goes to the buyer's real estate agent
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So I get half of that six percent
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But then I have to kick back half of that to my agency
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So I only get one and a half percents
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So really, in order for me to help him gets the extra $10k
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I personally only gets $150
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But I have to work for an extra week
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I have to buy all the marketing
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I could be off to another client trying to get another
whole commission on another house
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So I have a strong incentive to say to him this is a great offer
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It's the best offer you can get
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I really think you should take it
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So no matter what the real estate agency says
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I would rather wait a week
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and pick up the extra $10k
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The agent wouldn't
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It's not that real estate agents are bad
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It's just that they're human beings and human beings repsond to incentives
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If there's only one element
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that I say is that almost everything we do
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is the idea that incentives matter
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and if you can figure out what people's incentives are
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you have a good chance to guessing how they're gonna pay it
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New prents look at successful families and successful parents
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and they just want to copy them and so they try to do the things
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they think that they did to get their families so smart
and good and whatever
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which is really just a ... can be a bad mistake of correlation cuase isolagi
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You're gonna take your kid to ... you know ... every mommy and me music class
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and you gonna take him to the museum
and start looking at all the dreaken roman sculptures
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you probably already playing mozart in the worm to get the brain really stimulated
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and it turns out; that the best that we can tell
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from looking at data of actual parents and children along these dimensions
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that that stuffs don't really matters
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that it just dones't make your child...better
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so it might make you happier, might even
make 'em happier, might also make 'em miserable
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but it turns out that those are not causo-elements
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I always said you can teach a kid just as much as in a grocery store
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you can as in a museum, maybe more
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My entire academic life
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has been devoted to figuring out tricky ways to get a cause-eality
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because the world just doesn't offer you a cause-eality
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okay, what you see in the world is correlation
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So what the world gives you is - things are moving together or they aren't
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But to be useful, you need to dive down
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be able to strip away what's causing what, what's not causing what
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The data we looked at
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suggests that, by the time you actually have a kid
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most of the choices that you make will make you a good parent
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you've already made them.
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So if you go to the bookstore and buy 10 parenting books,
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It's probably not really gonna help the kid that much
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But the fact is that you are the kind of person
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who as a parent cares enough to buy 10 parenting books even if you dont' read 'em.
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That probably means you are a pretty good parent
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Just don't think the books are gonna have a magic effect
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Ah parents, we wanna believe so much that everything we do
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is going to make a difference in our children's lives.
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What they eat, where they go to school, who they hang out with
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But before any of that takes place,
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parents are confronted wth the one single ominous decision
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that could shape the entirety of their children's future
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what is going to be their name?!
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These days, there's an entire industry devoted to naming your baby.
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And business is booming
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There's magazines, books, websites
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There's even high profile baby naming experts.
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I'm a baby name expert
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I study names, I ask the parents how they choose names for their children
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and I look at how names are changing,
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because baby names are changing today faster than ever before.
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Names are important, because they have a lot to do with your family, your heritage.
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Names represent huge, you know what I mean, street creditbility all of that.
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Names are definitely a big part of meeting someone
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A name can make you popular, and a legend.
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Without a name, u're nobody you've got to have a name. It tells your whole identity.
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But just how important can name really be?
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I mean, unless you're Rockefella or Gates
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Can your name have some sort of magical power over your entire destiny?
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Not convinced? What about the following stories?
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Once upon a time, there was a young mother who thought
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she was naming her daughter after her favorite actress on the Cosby show
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The smart and firery Tempestt Bledsoe
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This is the most humiliating moment of my entire life
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and there had been many
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But having never seen the way it was spelled
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The young mother mistakenly named her new born daughter
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Temptress
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Well, little Ms. Temptress didn't have an easy life growing up
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-I don't even know -What do you mean?
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As a teenager, she became sexually promiscuous
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Got into a whole bunch of trouble
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Back here you little shit
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That's right. I better not let me catch you
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And ended up in court
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All Rise!
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Leaving the judge to ask her mother
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Is young temptress just living up to the expectation of her name?
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Was that just one little misplaced 'T' and 'R'
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all that stood the life of ease and huxtable success,
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verses those long hard days in court ... and 'juvie'
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Harvard professor Dr. Roland Fryer was determined to find out just that
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What happened to Temptress has NOTHING
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to do with her name, has everything to do with where she grew up
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It turns out, Temptress grew up in a poor black neighborhood
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The kind of neighborhood Dr. Fryer has been studying for years
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As a world leading renowned economist and an leading expert on race in America
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Fryer has been long been interested in what he calls
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Cultural Segregation
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The gap between White Culture and Black Culture
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One embodiment of that culture is
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what you name your kid
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is probably one of the few cultural items that we can really measure
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precisely
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What we did was we looked at the effects of your kid's first name
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on their life outcomes
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Dr. Fryer analyzed the naming records of every baby born in the states of California
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over the last forty years
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and those names tell an unmistakable story
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African American parents are more likely than any other ethnic group
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to give their children unique names
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There is definitely a distinction between names ...
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... for white people and names for black people
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Black names will be Molique, JAQuan, NayShan, Naheem
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-TaSha and Shamika -Shaniqua and NaShan and KayShan
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I know this girl, her name is "treasure", TREZURE
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struck me as typically that's more like an african american name
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I like the names that begin with SHA, like Shaheem, Shahee, Shamur
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Shakeem, ShaKoor
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You know - Oprah. It's popular
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It was actually in the fifties
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and the early sisties that we saw
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huge overlaps in the naming patterns of blacks and whites
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So people name their kids John and Michael
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and names like that
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And what you saw was around 19 ... in the 1968 or so
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kind of the black power movement actually
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you saw distinct biofabrication
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with black names getting more disctinctively black
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and a lot of them are islamic names
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Because the black power movement is about identity - who are we?
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Who are you? Are you part of us?
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It wasn't until the late 80s and 90s that we started to get
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you know, kind of the ... made up, concatenated names
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that you see now
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This is generation today, they saw the change the whole name change concept
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they have names that are 30 letters long you know
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Everybody try to do something, um ... how do you say, unique
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they try to name their kids over something different you know
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We had 228 unique versions of the name "Unique"
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Again, my favorite was ...
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UNEQQEE
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another one of my favorite was
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UNEEK
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ah ... so there are a lot of people trying to be unique
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So what happened to all these uniquely named kids?
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Kids like poor little temptress
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I think it's not the name that's doing the damage to temptress
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It's that they grow up in the type of situation
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where someone would name their kids Temptress
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The person would actually names their kids that
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probably has a host of other issues
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that are influcing their kids' lifetime outcomes
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Not just the name itself
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What kinds of issues?
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Let's look at a boy with the most studied white name
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and a boy with the most studied african american name
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The person who gives their kid a distinctively biased name
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on average is more likely
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to live in poverty
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and to be kind of on the lower wrongs of the socio-economic ladder
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You see, this is where Jake lives
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and this is where Deshawn lives
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The schools are not functiong - the teachers in those shcools aren't the same quality
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as would be in Jake's neighborhood
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In those neighborhoods, 80% of the households are female headed only
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and what we found is that, names don't matter so much
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they type of mother you have, the type of family you have
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the type of community you grow up in
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those things matter a lot
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but what they name you, just doesn't matter
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So name doesn't define your destiny?
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Maybe if you name someone destiny, I don't know
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But ... No. I mean your name doesn't define your desinty
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A name may not define your destiny
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But it can dictate the ways other people perceive you
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Meet Harvard professor Dr. Sendhil Mullainathan
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I'm very familiar with Roland Fryer's work
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We both worked on the impact of names
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I think Roland has emphasized that
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people who choose names that are very black are different
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from other people that choose names that are not very black
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whereas, we emphasize that holding everything else cosntant
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that people who end up with very black names are treated very differently
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We know that in the data African Americans earn a lot less
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We are interested in how much of that earning less
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is simply they find it harder to get a job
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are all African Americans treated very differently in the labor market than whites
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Dr. Mullaninathan conducted his own study
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This time in Boston and Chicago
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What we did is we made up 5,000 resumes
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Half of them we put an African American name, half of them we put a White name
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Otherwise, the resumes were the same. And we send them out
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And we said, which gets callback more?
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What we found was that the same resume when it had an African American name
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was about 33% less likely to get an interview than it had a white name
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It means that, if a White person searching for jobs for 10 weeks
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00:14:20,387 --> 00:14:24,822
an equivalent skilled African American will search for 15 weeks
250
00:14:24,823 --> 00:14:27,269
and those are 5 long weeks if you were unemployed
251
00:14:28,195 --> 00:14:29,581
You can judge somebody by their names
252
00:14:29,582 --> 00:14:31,060
It's not right, but people do it
253
00:14:31,090 --> 00:14:34,215
They assume that, just because your name is Monique
254
00:14:34,216 --> 00:14:36,824
or your name is LaVongue,or Shenanig, or that
255
00:14:36,825 --> 00:14:39,749
that you're African American and you are not qualified because
256
00:14:39,750 --> 00:14:42,767
your name has an ethnicity to it.
257
00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,416
One time, there was a girl name LaKeisha talked on the phone
258
00:14:46,417 --> 00:14:50,551
and I thought she was black but when I met her I was totally shocked that
259
00:14:50,552 --> 00:14:52,068
she was a white southern girl
260
00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:54,158
When I picture LaShandra, yea she's black
261
00:14:54,613 --> 00:14:58,189
The names we used in our studies were names like Lakisha, Jamal, Tyrone
262
00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:00,000
Based on the results, it raises a question
263
00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:03,083
I'm an African American parent, I'm thinking naming my child
264
00:15:03,084 --> 00:15:06,338
Tyrone sounds like a very good name, I might have a grand father named Tyrone
265
00:15:06,339 --> 00:15:07,931
Should I name my child Tyrone?
266
00:15:10,378 --> 00:15:14,563
Yes, name your kid Tyrone, you've made it harder for him in the labor market
267
00:15:14,564 --> 00:15:17,468
On the other hand, should you give in to that?
268
00:15:17,469 --> 00:15:20,815
Should I give in to the prevailing norm, or should I express my individuality?
269
00:15:20,816 --> 00:15:22,307
as I want
270
00:15:23,500 --> 00:15:25,200
It's a bit of an ethical quandary
271
00:15:25,301 --> 00:15:28,648
My friend got a drug dealer named Tyrone and I assume it's a black guy
272
00:15:28,990 --> 00:15:32,115
Todd is a white name, Tyrone is a black name
273
00:15:32,420 --> 00:15:34,406
I mean that's sort of how it goes, right?
274
00:15:34,902 --> 00:15:36,713
You might choose a distinctively black name
275
00:15:36,714 --> 00:15:38,942
as a way to signal something about yourself
276
00:15:38,943 --> 00:15:40,822
and about your commitment to the black community
277
00:15:40,823 --> 00:15:45,157
and that's the way to show other
African Americans look I am really black
278
00:15:45,158 --> 00:15:48,087
and I think there're distinctively black names already tell you
279
00:15:48,088 --> 00:15:52,143
that there's a cultrual divide at some core, visible, noticeable level
280
00:15:52,144 --> 00:15:54,778
and we see it sometimes in clothings, we see it in names
281
00:15:54,779 --> 00:15:58,344
and in fact that's true, there're quite a few distinctively white names
282
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,678
names like Emily, Brandon, ... ah ...
283
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:05,862
... forgetting what those ... if you give me a minute I can count the others
284
00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,447
White names are like Sarah, Megan
285
00:16:08,650 --> 00:16:09,688
Mariah, Mary
286
00:16:09,850 --> 00:16:10,400
Billy
287
00:16:10,450 --> 00:16:11,810
Beckys, Johns
288
00:16:11,890 --> 00:16:12,755
Tadd
289
00:16:12,770 --> 00:16:13,750
Joe, Mike
290
00:16:13,751 --> 00:16:15,000
Ryan, Sam
291
00:16:15,100 --> 00:16:15,682
Chester
292
00:16:15,851 --> 00:16:18,167
My brother and I were talking about how we have white sounding names
293
00:16:18,168 --> 00:16:19,626
He's Abner, I'm Harper
294
00:16:19,770 --> 00:16:23,968
Stone, Stone Phillips, that's like perfectly sutited for a white guy
295
00:16:23,969 --> 00:16:25,800
that's the best white guy name you can have.
296
00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:29,519
We live in different cultures and your name is largely determined by your culture
297
00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:34,300
and the difference in the incident of LaKeysha among African Americans vs. white
298
00:16:34,301 --> 00:16:36,898
might be a good way to understand how truely there are
299
00:16:36,899 --> 00:16:39,837
different culutures African American inhabit and white inhabit
300
00:16:40,649 --> 00:16:43,340
Today, there is more evidence than ever that the cultures we come from
301
00:16:43,341 --> 00:16:45,137
influence the names we choose
302
00:16:45,138 --> 00:16:47,176
Just ask the baby naming expert
303
00:16:47,177 --> 00:16:48,202
More and more today,
304
00:16:48,203 --> 00:16:51,880
you see parents choosing a namealmost as if launching a product
305
00:16:51,881 --> 00:16:54,334
that you're tryint to position a child
306
00:16:54,335 --> 00:16:57,453
for the best chance of success in the global market place
307
00:16:57,894 --> 00:17:00,020
So in an oversaturated market place
308
00:17:00,021 --> 00:17:02,080
which names garner the most attention?
309
00:17:02,081 --> 00:17:04,512
Are some names destined for the top self,
310
00:17:04,513 --> 00:17:06,522
while the others are headed for the bargain basement?
311
00:17:06,523 --> 00:17:09,123
Let's take a look at the two product lines
312
00:17:09,124 --> 00:17:12,710
Turns out, there is a such a thing as a knock off name
313
00:17:14,921 --> 00:17:18,343
The top 5 middle class white girls names from Fryer's studies are:
314
00:17:18,344 --> 00:17:20,144
(in order of popularity)
315
00:17:20,145 --> 00:17:24,948
Ashley, Lauren, Jessica, Emily and Sarah
316
00:17:24,949 --> 00:17:28,036
While the top 5 lower income white girls names are:
317
00:17:28,037 --> 00:17:32,844
Brittney, Samantha, Amanda, Jessica and Ashley
318
00:17:32,845 --> 00:17:35,246
So what happens to Ashleys?!
319
00:17:35,247 --> 00:17:38,052
She's fast loosing popularity in the middle class list
320
00:17:38,053 --> 00:17:41,069
But she's no.1 in the WalMart crowd
321
00:17:41,070 --> 00:17:44,199
As those wealthier folks see their names popping up everywhere
322
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,123
they quickly discard them in favor of less merchandise
323
00:17:47,712 --> 00:17:48,799
And just like that,
324
00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:53,657
Today's high end Ashley, becomes tomorrow's low rent Trashley
325
00:17:56,047 --> 00:17:58,176
On the lower strung of the ladder,
326
00:17:58,177 --> 00:18:00,835
are the names that most signify lower class parents.
327
00:18:01,111 --> 00:18:05,174
Like Misty, Destiny, Bobbi, Brandy or Cyndi
328
00:18:05,697 --> 00:18:07,043
Now if you are over 40
329
00:18:07,044 --> 00:18:10,223
and actually remember a time these names did't belong up here on stage
330
00:18:10,353 --> 00:18:11,234
You're right!
331
00:18:11,235 --> 00:18:14,671
Years ago, these names wouldn't be caught dead in a place like this
332
00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,849
But the years have not been kind to a name like Bobbi
333
00:18:18,850 --> 00:18:22,446
And even though she once was at the top of the social-economic ladder
334
00:18:22,447 --> 00:18:25,795
Today, she's just clinging to her former glory
335
00:18:27,977 --> 00:18:30,294
Please don't name your kid Barbie or Bambi or
336
00:18:30,295 --> 00:18:34,528
anything like that, they might end up being a dancer one day because of it
337
00:18:34,529 --> 00:18:34,604
And if you do end up with a name that's bound for stripperdom
338
00:18:34,605 --> 00:18:38,889
at least you can change it
339
00:18:38,890 --> 00:18:41,152
I mean, hey, it works in Hollywood
340
00:18:41,518 --> 00:18:45,997
Think about it, would John Wayne has been as tough if his name is Marion Morrison?
341
00:18:46,592 --> 00:18:50,990
Would we think Marilyn Monroe as beautiful if her name was still Norma Jean?
342
00:18:51,510 --> 00:18:56,219
And would we think as Ice Cube rocking the crowd if his name is still O'Shea Jackson
343
00:18:58,050 --> 00:19:01,299
Actually, I always wanted to change my names to Max Powers
344
00:19:01,300 --> 00:19:06,300
cuz it seems like a name that everybody like once they hear that they're like
345
00:19:06,301 --> 00:19:07,762
this guy must be really cool
346
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,880
I want to change my name when I was younger, I never liked it
347
00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:15,210
If my name was, um, Henry O'Barma
348
00:19:15,211 --> 00:19:16,546
You know what I mean?
349
00:19:16,547 --> 00:19:18,583
I think that would mean something to people
350
00:19:18,584 --> 00:19:20,615
and I would have more doors opened for me
351
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,524
I did want to change it but now I'm sort of cool with it
352
00:19:23,525 --> 00:19:24,630
You just sort of like
353
00:19:24,631 --> 00:19:28,352
jumps on your back and rides along with you through life you know
354
00:19:28,900 --> 00:19:32,460
As much as you may hate your name, at least your dad isn't this guy
355
00:19:32,461 --> 00:19:33,771
Meet Robert Lane
356
00:19:33,772 --> 00:19:37,681
He has two sons. He named his first son Winner.
357
00:19:37,682 --> 00:19:42,007
3 years later, he named his next son Loser
358
00:19:43,038 --> 00:19:46,864
So Winner and Loser Lane set off in the world to claim their destinies
359
00:19:46,865 --> 00:19:47,704
And what happened?
360
00:19:47,705 --> 00:19:50,588
Well, Loser went to prep school on a scholarship
361
00:19:50,589 --> 00:19:53,952
Graduated from college, joined the NYPD
362
00:19:53,953 --> 00:19:56,923
and eventually became a detective. And then, a sergeant
363
00:19:56,924 --> 00:19:58,217
He goes by Lou now
364
00:19:58,413 --> 00:19:59,409
And his brother?
365
00:19:59,410 --> 00:20:00,193
Well, the most note worthy achievement of Winner Lane is
366
00:20:00,194 --> 00:20:03,752
the sheer length of his criminal record
367
00:20:03,753 --> 00:20:06,178
Nearly 3 dozen arrests for burglary,
368
00:20:06,179 --> 00:20:09,183
domestic violence, trespassing and other mayhem
369
00:20:09,772 --> 00:20:12,275
Is there one name that you can give a kid that
370
00:20:12,276 --> 00:20:14,114
guaranteer that won't become screwed up?
371
00:20:16,500 --> 00:20:17,025
No
372
00:20:18,518 --> 00:20:21,521
Sorry, there's not one name that you can give a kid that
373
00:20:21,522 --> 00:20:23,140
guaranteer they won't become a screw up
374
00:20:23,149 --> 00:20:26,279
And there's not one name that you can give a kid that
375
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:27,960
guaranteer they will become a success
376
00:20:27,961 --> 00:20:31,678
You know, it is a crab-shoot when it comes to names
377
00:20:31,690 --> 00:20:32,762
I don't think there's any name
378
00:20:32,763 --> 00:20:35,132
that can guaranteer success, at least none that we found
379
00:20:35,625 --> 00:20:36,574
The world is full of ...
380
00:20:36,575 --> 00:20:39,189
... excellent people and terrible people with all sorts of names
381
00:20:39,190 --> 00:20:43,237
The vast majority of the reason people choose is left unexplained
382
00:20:43,238 --> 00:20:46,244
It's like, why did you choose your child's name?
383
00:20:46,875 --> 00:20:47,956
Sounded nice
384
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,936
Who really knows what parents are thinking when they choose a name
385
00:20:51,937 --> 00:20:55,095
Maybe your parents went with something traditional
386
00:20:55,601 --> 00:20:57,181
Or something bohemian
387
00:20:57,900 --> 00:20:59,207
Something unique
388
00:20:59,956 --> 00:21:01,722
Or something perfectly trendy
389
00:21:03,098 --> 00:21:05,143
And maybe your parents didn't have the best taste
390
00:21:05,144 --> 00:21:07,175
and you can't stand your names
391
00:21:07,176 --> 00:21:09,546
Or maybe, they got it just right
392
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,297
Actually, my name means intelligent hero
393
00:21:12,298 --> 00:21:15,505
So, that describes me to the fullest
394
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,222
I was actually named after a horse . My dad is a horse trainer.
395
00:21:18,500 --> 00:21:21,611
My middle name is comfort, because an angel came down to comfort my mother
396
00:21:21,612 --> 00:21:23,534
and told her she's gonna have a daughter with dark hair
397
00:21:23,535 --> 00:21:25,600
and blue eyes who would be a great comfort to her
398
00:21:25,701 --> 00:21:29,209
The prophet Mohammed
399
00:21:29,410 --> 00:21:31,296
My name says that I'm named after my grand father
400
00:21:31,297 --> 00:21:33,449
who was named after his great grandfather
401
00:21:33,450 --> 00:21:34,719
that was it says
402
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,843
In the end, most parents just want the best for their children
403
00:21:38,844 --> 00:21:42,555
and if they believe a particular name they give can give their kid the extra edge
404
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:44,323
Then why not?!
405
00:21:44,978 --> 00:21:45,324
I mean who konws?
406
00:21:46,651 --> 00:21:47,873
It just might work
407
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:55,856
CHEATING
408
00:21:55,857 --> 00:22:00,689
As W.C. Fields once said, "A thing worth having,
is worth cheating for."
409
00:22:00,690 --> 00:22:02,845
Or as Mark Grace of the Chicago Cubs once said
410
00:22:02,846 --> 00:22:04,729
"If you ain't cheating, you aint trying."
411
00:22:06,545 --> 00:22:10,207
Everybody understands why a kid would want to cheat on SATs right?
412
00:22:10,208 --> 00:22:11,884
They have huge gains of ...
413
00:22:11,885 --> 00:22:16,427
get into Harvard and have a good life as a result of cheating on a test
414
00:22:16,428 --> 00:22:19,109
What's hard to think is why would a teacher cheat?
415
00:22:19,110 --> 00:22:20,153
for a kid on a test
416
00:22:20,154 --> 00:22:23,842
And, when you go to Chicago and goes back a few years ago
417
00:22:23,843 --> 00:22:26,477
We find that lots and lots of teachers were cheating
418
00:22:26,478 --> 00:22:27,478
Why would they cheat?
419
00:22:27,479 --> 00:22:29,597
Well, because there was tremendous pressures on the teachers
420
00:22:29,598 --> 00:22:33,865
to produce high test scores so their schools wouldn't get into troubles
421
00:22:36,282 --> 00:22:40,149
First of all, to a very expedient ... to go to the end of the test
422
00:22:40,150 --> 00:22:42,221
Cuz at the end of the test, a lot of the kids've left them blank
423
00:22:42,222 --> 00:22:44,416
So instead of having to erase something and fill it back in,
424
00:22:44,417 --> 00:22:46,100
you can just fill in the answers
425
00:22:46,101 --> 00:22:47,622
It might look kind offunny
426
00:22:47,623 --> 00:22:49,949
cuz how often would kids take a test
427
00:22:49,950 --> 00:22:52,316
and they answered the first 20 questions,
428
00:22:52,317 --> 00:22:55,888
leave 17 questions blank, and then fill in the last 8 questions
429
00:22:55,889 --> 00:22:57,440
maybe be even a little funnier when
430
00:22:57,441 --> 00:23:00,099
they fill out the last 8 questions and they all all the questions right
431
00:23:00,100 --> 00:23:03,096
and those happens to be the hardest quesitons on the exam
432
00:23:03,097 --> 00:23:04,120
THE EVIDENCE
433
00:23:04,925 --> 00:23:05,121
When I got the data from this guy from public school
434
00:23:05,122 --> 00:23:11,671
I mean we are talking about millions and millions of answers
435
00:23:11,672 --> 00:23:14,469
thousands of kids, over years and years
436
00:23:14,470 --> 00:23:17,231
and I looked at the data, I couldn't see anything.
437
00:23:17,232 --> 00:23:18,595
How can you see anything?!
438
00:23:18,596 --> 00:23:22,306
If you can think like a teacher who cheats, and look again at the sea of data
439
00:23:22,307 --> 00:23:23,982
These patterns come to light
440
00:23:23,983 --> 00:23:28,509
Patterns, which are suttle. Burried under mounts and mounts of data
441
00:23:28,510 --> 00:23:31,431
When looked at through the varied length, suddenly
442
00:23:31,432 --> 00:23:34,176
It just as clear as day. And when you know what to look for
443
00:23:34,177 --> 00:23:36,596
You can't help but say it has to be cheating
444
00:23:36,597 --> 00:23:40,822
What he's really good at, is pretend he's a cheater
445
00:23:40,823 --> 00:23:43,584
a criminal, a thief, a cheat, all these things because
446
00:23:43,585 --> 00:23:46,773
cuz really he's not far from it; I mean if you really think about what an economist is
447
00:23:46,774 --> 00:23:50,354
the line between an economist and criminal is terribly thin
448
00:23:50,355 --> 00:23:52,472
-And what about journalists? -Um, no line
449
00:23:53,646 --> 00:23:56,716
Because he can put himself in the shoes of someone
450
00:23:56,717 --> 00:23:59,095
who would behave criminally or who's a cheater
451
00:23:59,096 --> 00:24:02,396
then you can back up the process and reverse engineer it
452
00:24:02,397 --> 00:24:03,765
And that's what you have to do.
453
00:24:03,766 --> 00:24:07,035
Because unless you are in the room with cheaters, it's really hard to catch them
454
00:24:08,033 --> 00:24:11,916
It's not that some people cheat at every second or some people never cheat
455
00:24:11,917 --> 00:24:13,955
We all cheat sometimes and others
456
00:24:13,956 --> 00:24:15,598
Everyone got their own moral encompass
457
00:24:15,599 --> 00:24:17,292
to determine what they'll do and what they won't do
458
00:25:36,838 --> 00:25:41,054
Economic tries to be a pure science in an impure world
459
00:25:41,055 --> 00:25:44,945
Economists imagine men and women are rational actors
460
00:25:44,946 --> 00:25:48,321
In a market place that hides nothing from buyers and sellers
461
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,654
But what happens to market when people cheat?
462
00:25:53,515 --> 00:25:55,537
10 years I've been interested in cheating
463
00:25:55,538 --> 00:25:57,911
and I was in Washington DC
464
00:25:57,912 --> 00:26:00,262
I remember just seeing a little blur in the Washington Post
465
00:26:00,263 --> 00:26:03,800
that said there have been allegations of cheatings in Sumo Wrestling
466
00:26:04,452 --> 00:26:05,810
My view has always been,
467
00:26:05,817 --> 00:26:07,789
if some insiders come forward and say there's cheating,
468
00:26:07,849 --> 00:26:09,351
probably there's something to it
469
00:26:09,875 --> 00:26:14,626
If you had said, where is a sport where you would not find cheating
470
00:26:14,627 --> 00:26:19,635
I'd have said Sumo Wrestling, one's that got 2,000 years of history
471
00:26:19,636 --> 00:26:22,235
it's all about purification, ritual and honor
472
00:26:22,236 --> 00:26:23,714
It's located in a culture,
473
00:26:23,715 --> 00:26:27,900
which on all of the rankings of corruption across the country is really really low
474
00:26:29,901 --> 00:26:34,468
The ancient sport of Sumo Wrestling, is the essence of pure competition
475
00:26:34,469 --> 00:26:38,490
Two naked men, fighting in a sandpit
476
00:26:38,491 --> 00:26:42,203
Under the watchful eyes of a referee, dressed as a Shinto priest
477
00:26:43,965 --> 00:26:46,671
Shinto, means ways of the Gods
478
00:26:46,672 --> 00:26:50,984
A religion that celebrates the purity and harmony of men and nature
479
00:26:53,036 --> 00:26:56,522
In Sumo, you do your ceremonial stuff
480
00:26:56,523 --> 00:26:59,051
One is the clapping of the hands
481
00:26:59,052 --> 00:27:01,760
as to awake the Gods
482
00:27:01,761 --> 00:27:05,981
Two is when we show our hands and flip our hands over and
483
00:27:05,982 --> 00:27:08,645
stuff to show that we have no conceal weapons
484
00:27:08,646 --> 00:27:11,797
You come here and you want to fight fair with your bare hands
485
00:27:11,798 --> 00:27:14,021
and to tell the Gods you're coming in with
486
00:27:14,022 --> 00:27:17,284
a fresh and clean might and heart vessel.
487
00:27:17,828 --> 00:27:23,150
The stomping of the feet in the Shinto religion is to stomp out evil spirits
488
00:27:23,151 --> 00:27:26,906
and throwing of the salt is purify
489
00:27:41,737 --> 00:27:45,222
I think purity is a good mask,
490
00:27:45,223 --> 00:27:49,373
for corruption, perhaps most so it discourages inquiry.
491
00:27:50,183 --> 00:27:55,009
It's true that Sumo might seem to be immune from corruption
492
00:27:55,010 --> 00:27:57,399
because of its purity, history, and so on
493
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,506
On the other hands, the stakes are high
494
00:27:59,507 --> 00:28:04,838
When stakes are high, and when there's an incentive to cheat
495
00:28:04,839 --> 00:28:07,289
A small percentage of people always will
496
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,150
Just as in medieval Japan
497
00:28:15,151 --> 00:28:18,112
The wrestlers, known as Rikshi or strong man
498
00:28:18,113 --> 00:28:20,052
spent years in apprenticeship
499
00:28:20,053 --> 00:28:24,774
Living together around the clock and training in stables or Biar
500
00:28:25,105 --> 00:28:29,632
Subject to strict moral and physical displine
501
00:28:29,633 --> 00:28:32,612
If you're a Sumo Wrestler in the top ranks
502
00:28:32,613 --> 00:28:34,317
Your life is very very good
503
00:28:34,318 --> 00:28:36,197
and you can live like a king
504
00:28:36,753 --> 00:28:39,395
Once you fall belows those ranks or never attained those ranks,
505
00:28:39,396 --> 00:28:40,983
your life is not very good at all
506
00:28:41,712 --> 00:28:43,953
So, it's a very steep pyramid, at the top life is great,
507
00:28:43,954 --> 00:28:47,071
and there's lots of people down below life is not so great
508
00:28:47,072 --> 00:28:48,238
But there are so many of them,
509
00:28:48,239 --> 00:28:51,166
because they're all aspired to get to the top obviously
510
00:28:52,788 --> 00:28:55,900
It's a battle 24/7, being a Sumo Wrestler
511
00:28:55,901 --> 00:28:58,781
It's not just two big fat guy trying to ...
512
00:28:58,782 --> 00:29:01,357
... to kill each other but it's a lot of work to be big
513
00:29:01,358 --> 00:29:03,255
and at the same time active
514
00:29:03,256 --> 00:29:05,520
6 major touraments a year
515
00:29:05,521 --> 00:29:07,188
you have to wrestle with injuries
516
00:29:07,189 --> 00:29:10,548
they throw you in a jungle and see how you can come out alive
517
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,162
The objective of the game is to push your opponent outside of the ring
518
00:29:19,163 --> 00:29:20,736
or pushing him into the ring
519
00:29:23,312 --> 00:29:27,167
But how can you tell if a Sumo Wrestler is cheating?
520
00:29:27,168 --> 00:29:29,456
Is it a slip on purpose?
521
00:29:29,457 --> 00:29:31,898
Is the fall rigged?
522
00:29:31,899 --> 00:29:36,452
It's hard to tell unless you look at patterns over time
523
00:29:37,500 --> 00:29:41,489
People who are actively corrupted always try to cover their trails
524
00:29:41,490 --> 00:29:46,549
So corruption, by its nature is hard to identify, hard to prove
525
00:29:46,550 --> 00:29:48,419
Murders are really great,
526
00:29:48,420 --> 00:29:52,501
cuz almost always when someone is murdered, there's always a corsp
527
00:29:52,502 --> 00:29:55,233
You might say "How would you know someone's cheating?"
528
00:29:55,234 --> 00:29:56,958
and the answer is - look in the data
529
00:29:56,959 --> 00:29:58,568
I don't have to ever seen a sumo match
530
00:29:58,569 --> 00:30:00,214
I can look into data, I can look at it
531
00:30:00,215 --> 00:30:02,668
And I can tell you, with almost complete certainty,
532
00:30:02,669 --> 00:30:04,651
that there's rampage cheating going
533
00:30:08,755 --> 00:30:15,262
In professional Sumo touraments, the wrestler
fights one bout per day for 15 days
534
00:30:15,263 --> 00:30:20,657
If you win 8 out of the 15 matches, you can move up in rank - half a slot
535
00:30:20,658 --> 00:30:25,185
The difference of half a rank can be maybe 5,000 dollars in paychecque a month
536
00:30:25,186 --> 00:30:28,031
The respects you get in the Sumo Association
537
00:30:28,032 --> 00:30:32,600
So when you talk about stuff like that, that 8 win is real critical
538
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:38,485
A Rikshi entering a tourament final 15 match
539
00:30:38,486 --> 00:30:42,245
with a 7 and 7 record, has far more to gain from a victory
540
00:30:42,246 --> 00:30:45,749
than an opponent, say 8 and 6 has to loose
541
00:30:46,684 --> 00:30:50,531
If a wrestler has 8 wins under his belts, he's guaranteed to advance
542
00:30:51,495 --> 00:30:53,601
Even if he looses that last match
543
00:30:53,602 --> 00:30:56,975
So he could afford to take a fall
544
00:30:58,054 --> 00:31:02,257
In Japan, there's a term for match rigging - YAOCHO
545
00:31:02,258 --> 00:31:05,415
Many suspected that Sumo matches might be rigged
546
00:31:05,416 --> 00:31:11,042
But it's nearly impossible to prove, unless you look closely at the numbers
547
00:31:11,043 --> 00:31:14,767
2 wrestlers that I would expect to have an even match
548
00:31:14,768 --> 00:31:17,892
When 1 of them needs the eigth win and the other doesn't
549
00:31:17,893 --> 00:31:20,496
The one who needs it wins 75% at a time
550
00:31:20,497 --> 00:31:21,669
Rather than 50% a time
551
00:31:21,670 --> 00:31:23,619
That's a huge deviation
552
00:31:24,300 --> 00:31:27,981
I (8-6 wrestler) let you (7-7 wrestler)
553
00:31:27,982 --> 00:31:31,302
let you win this deciding match cuz you my friend
554
00:31:31,303 --> 00:31:33,041
gonna fall down the pyramid if you don't
555
00:31:33,042 --> 00:31:36,084
In return, the next time those 2 guys meet
556
00:31:36,085 --> 00:31:39,908
Lo and Behold, the 8-6 wrestler almost always wins those matches
557
00:33:45,737 --> 00:33:51,494
"Honne" is Real Truth and "Tatemae" will be the surface of things, the faced
558
00:33:51,495 --> 00:33:54,677
They are unusually important in Japanese culture
559
00:33:54,678 --> 00:33:56,983
That's why the Japanese have given them names
560
00:33:56,984 --> 00:34:01,135
But being human, living in any society, I think we can all understand
561
00:34:01,136 --> 00:34:02,900
the concepts themselves
562
00:34:02,901 --> 00:34:07,707
That Tatemae's going to be a great spectacle of honest competition
563
00:34:07,708 --> 00:34:11,623
but in the surface of creating that pleasing faced
564
00:34:11,624 --> 00:34:15,743
the actual players are engaging in a form of corruption
565
00:34:17,500 --> 00:34:22,381
To have the "Honne" exposed produces discomfort
566
00:34:22,382 --> 00:34:24,653
When you think of the financial scandals
567
00:34:24,654 --> 00:34:26,771
That have racked America recently
568
00:34:26,772 --> 00:34:30,242
A lot of people who were supposedly to be not just incredibly wise
569
00:34:30,243 --> 00:34:32,930
but incredibly honest, has been exposed as neither
570
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:38,511
Those of us who have looked looked to the self-interest of lending institutions
571
00:34:38,512 --> 00:34:42,111
to protect shareholder's equity, myself especially,
572
00:34:42,112 --> 00:34:45,431
are in the state of shocked disbelief.
573
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,800
That produces a kind of dissolution, in any society that formerly looked
574
00:34:50,801 --> 00:34:52,692
to those people or those institutions ...
575
00:34:52,693 --> 00:34:56,050
... are somehow representatives of what's best in our society
576
00:34:56,051 --> 00:34:58,278
Sumo would be an example of that in Japan
577
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:04,643
While I would not put the Bernie Madoff pre-arrest reputation,
578
00:35:04,644 --> 00:35:07,015
I wouldn't necessarily call that one of purity
579
00:35:07,016 --> 00:35:09,543
The way we would talk about Sumo Wrestling,
580
00:35:09,544 --> 00:35:11,691
or the way we might talk about the Catholic Cleregy
581
00:35:11,692 --> 00:35:14,559
The S.C.C. had an image of this guy -
582
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:18,100
that was almost sacred saint in that he's running the exchange,
583
00:35:18,101 --> 00:35:19,101
he'd been a market maker.
584
00:35:19,102 --> 00:35:24,842
His reputation was so large that it discourages them
585
00:35:24,843 --> 00:35:27,923
from coming in with a bias toward corruption,
586
00:35:27,924 --> 00:35:29,905
and instead, they brought a bias against it.
587
00:35:32,283 --> 00:35:34,237
Mr. Madoff, what do you have to say for yourelf?
588
00:35:34,238 --> 00:35:36,822
What do you have to say to the public, your investors?
589
00:35:40,908 --> 00:35:44,059
The realm of high finance and the world of sumo
590
00:35:44,060 --> 00:35:47,086
both demonstrate the illusion of purity
591
00:35:47,087 --> 00:35:48,087
cannot only hide corruption, it can help to make it possible.
592
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:56,109
In Sumo, when whistle blower step forward to expose corruption
593
00:35:56,110 --> 00:35:58,110
they were not treated kindly.
594
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:05,185
In 1996, two summo vetrans, including a recently retired stable master,
595
00:36:05,186 --> 00:36:10,429
collaborated in a tell-all expos�� that was serialized in the Shukan Post
596
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,800
The Sumo Association dismissed the allegation as lies,
597
00:36:35,900 --> 00:36:38,278
told by a revengeful stable master
598
00:36:38,279 --> 00:36:40,341
seeking to cash in on publicity.
599
00:36:41,750 --> 00:36:45,282
To defend their claims, the whistle blowers decided to hold a press conference.
600
00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:49,900
But two weeks before the press conference, both men died.
601
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,697
In the same hospital, on the same day
602
00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,773
From the same ... myterious respitory illness.
603
00:37:34,731 --> 00:37:39,723
Yet no one questioned the way they died, there were no autopsies
604
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:44,162
The police did not investigate the sudden and simultaneous deaths.
605
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:48,352
"It's a very good hospital", a police spokesman told reporters.
606
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,726
So, there were no grounds for suspecison.
607
00:38:15,500 --> 00:38:20,338
Concerns about the sport resurfaced when another mysterious death haunted Sumo
608
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,675
This time it was a young "Rikichi" in training named Takashi Saito
609
00:38:24,468 --> 00:38:29,734
Whose corpse showed visible signs of assault and multilation.
610
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,600
Hiromasa Saikawa took note of the death of the young wrestler
611
00:39:26,205 --> 00:39:28,688
Sakawa is one of the nation's most vocal critics
612
00:39:28,689 --> 00:39:30,765
of how murders are investigated in Japan.
613
00:39:31,810 --> 00:39:34,171
He quit his post on the Tokyo Police Force
614
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:37,118
When the gap between the "Honne" (the hidden truth)
615
00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:42,241
and the "Tatemae" (the facet propriety) had grown too wide
616
00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:04,961
The job of any police force is to help keep crime at low enough levels
617
00:40:04,962 --> 00:40:05,962
so that society can properly function.
618
00:40:07,765 --> 00:40:11,952
The "Tatemae" of the police force is to be seen doing that
619
00:40:12,532 --> 00:40:17,335
If the police can tell society, we solved 96% of crimes,
620
00:40:17,336 --> 00:40:19,942
they have certainly fulfilled their "Tatemae" function.
621
00:40:19,898 --> 00:40:22,653
In comforting society, making society feel safe.
622
00:40:22,687 --> 00:40:25,433
But to achieve that level of "Tatemae"
623
00:40:25,434 --> 00:40:28,541
The police might select only cases for investigation
624
00:40:28,542 --> 00:40:31,770
that they think they have an extremely high chance of solving
625
00:41:41,756 --> 00:41:43,892
Despite clear evidence of brutality,
626
00:41:43,893 --> 00:41:47,394
the police declared that the young man died of natural causes.
627
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:50,704
And the stable master quickly asked for the young boy's body,
628
00:41:50,705 --> 00:41:52,293
so it can be creamated.
629
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,945
But the angry father of the young man insisted autopsy,
630
00:41:57,665 --> 00:42:00,510
which revealed that he has been burned with cigarettes;
631
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:04,222
and beaten to death with beer bottles and baseball bats.
632
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:09,413
The young boy has died at the hands of fellow wrestlers
633
00:42:09,414 --> 00:42:12,289
who're ordered by the stable master to punished the boy
634
00:42:12,290 --> 00:42:15,608
for trying to run away from the world of Sumo
635
00:42:36,654 --> 00:42:41,043
Sumo counter-criticism with lawsuit against Takeda and his magazine
636
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:45,806
Juries ruled against Takeda in cases where he accused individuals of match rigging
637
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:50,137
But Sumo had no defence against the revelation of violence.
638
00:42:56,000 --> 00:43:00,431
To defend its reputation, the Sumo Association shores up its image
639
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:04,141
By building on notions of purity from Shinto
640
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:08,481
that are essential to be what it means to be Japanese
641
00:43:09,417 --> 00:43:12,356
Publicly, it insists that Yaocho is a myth.
642
00:43:13,490 --> 00:43:16,631
I hope ... there was none of that going on
643
00:43:16,632 --> 00:43:18,385
in the bottom ranks. But
644
00:43:18,386 --> 00:43:22,317
where I was ... No.
645
00:43:40,500 --> 00:43:44,885
A retired Rikshi who wrote to Komosubi - the 4th highest ranked in Sumo.
646
00:43:45,700 --> 00:43:50,161
Keisuke Itai came forward, and publicly admitted to fixing many matches.
647
00:43:50,847 --> 00:43:54,435
And named names of others, who did the same.
648
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,707
In Japanese media, there's a certain form of self-censorship
649
00:45:45,708 --> 00:45:47,336
giving interviews in japanese,
650
00:45:47,337 --> 00:45:50,363
the media will not quote me if I use the word "Daraku"
651
00:45:50,704 --> 00:45:51,809
which is corruption in japanese
652
00:45:51,810 --> 00:45:54,742
and they'll change it instead to something like "Konran" - confusion.
653
00:45:54,743 --> 00:45:57,762
We certainly have the very same thing in America today.
654
00:45:57,763 --> 00:46:01,304
The New York Times, for example, will not use the word TORTURE
655
00:46:01,305 --> 00:46:04,787
to describe anything that's been carried out by Americans ...
656
00:46:04,788 --> 00:46:08,016
... operating in our prison system and the war on terror.
657
00:46:08,017 --> 00:46:12,343
However, if it's the Chinese who've done these things to an American airman,
658
00:46:12,344 --> 00:46:15,909
the NY Times has no compunctions about calling those things TORTURE
659
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:23,535
The only way to combat corruption, to Steven Levitt,
660
00:46:23,536 --> 00:46:26,460
is to change rules to undo corruption incentives
661
00:46:26,900 --> 00:46:28,590
Unleash more investigative reporters
662
00:46:28,591 --> 00:46:31,250
and develop strong protections for whistle blowers.
663
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,611
But that's easier said than done when cultural slogans
664
00:46:34,612 --> 00:46:39,368
in American and Japan that we are honest, straight-forward
665
00:46:39,369 --> 00:46:40,691
and fundamentally good.
666
00:46:41,700 --> 00:46:43,151
Those who expose corruption
667
00:46:43,152 --> 00:46:46,690
are challenging the very nature of who we imagine we're supposed to be
668
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,028
The irony of our Sumo Wrestling
669
00:46:50,029 --> 00:46:53,641
was when it became public, the Sumo Wrestlers stopped cheating.
670
00:46:53,642 --> 00:46:56,111
and they're not for good, they actually stopped cheating for a year or two
671
00:46:56,112 --> 00:46:58,383
and once people stopped thinking about it, they went back to it.
672
00:46:58,384 --> 00:47:02,091
but that I think is the answer how you stopped cheating. Louis Brandeis
673
00:47:02,092 --> 00:47:03,092
said that sunlight was the best disinfantant.
674
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,343
What keeps us from seeing corruptions are our illusions
675
00:47:10,344 --> 00:47:12,528
that our economy is a rational system.
676
00:47:12,529 --> 00:47:14,622
A free market, opened to all
677
00:47:14,623 --> 00:47:18,578
The fact is that rigging markets and matches is good business
678
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:21,608
If the rigging is hidden from all but a few
679
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:24,914
In Shinto, the mirror is an important symbol
680
00:47:24,915 --> 00:47:27,359
reflecting a sense of who we are
681
00:47:28,350 --> 00:47:31,086
In that mirror, the bad heart is a hidden heart
682
00:47:32,113 --> 00:47:34,101
The pure heart is the one that hides nothing
683
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,910
Looking at the numbers and accept what they tell us
684
00:47:37,911 --> 00:47:40,992
is a way of wiping dust away from the mirror
685
00:47:48,780 --> 00:47:49,200
686
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:50,584
Hi there boys and girls
687
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:52,500
this is Captain Kangaroo
688
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:54,759
Say, I like you to meet a friend of mine
689
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,298
say, you know it's a lot and lot of fun to have a pet
690
00:47:57,299 --> 00:47:59,581
that you can run, jump and play with, isn't it?
691
00:47:59,582 --> 00:48:03,116
But did you know there're kids that cannot run, jump and play?
692
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:05,816
It's all because a thing called Polio
693
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:10,953
When I think of bad historical assumptions about
694
00:48:10,954 --> 00:48:13,901
correlations and causeality, I think of Polio 100 years ago.
695
00:48:13,902 --> 00:48:17,736
When it was this horrible mystery that claiming a lot of lives
696
00:48:17,737 --> 00:48:20,179
And it was really scary cuz it mostly struck children.
697
00:48:20,660 --> 00:48:24,989
And there was a strong line of resarch that suggested ice-cream
698
00:48:24,990 --> 00:48:27,818
cause polio, that ice-cream consumption cause Polio.
699
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:32,933
Here comes Mr. Softy, the soft ice-cream man.
700
00:48:37,500 --> 00:48:41,172
The reason that correlation was thought to be causal
701
00:48:41,173 --> 00:48:44,673
was that Polio spiked in the summer time
702
00:48:45,026 --> 00:48:47,784
For reasons, that weren't really understood, but it did.
703
00:48:47,785 --> 00:48:50,154
And ice-cream sales spiked in the summer time.
704
00:48:50,155 --> 00:48:53,208
So, these researchers're seeing that whenever a lot of ice-cream are being sold,
705
00:48:53,209 --> 00:48:55,066
and consumed, there was a lot more Polio.
706
00:48:55,279 --> 00:48:59,455
And that was literally the beginning of ice-cream prosecution
707
00:48:59,456 --> 00:49:02,176
to try to stomp out Polio. And it sounds rediculous,
708
00:49:02,177 --> 00:49:04,072
but you see it all the time now -
709
00:49:04,073 --> 00:49:07,266
people try to fight against or build up something that they're sure
710
00:49:07,267 --> 00:49:09,991
that's connected to something else, but turns out it just isn't.
711
00:49:19,716 --> 00:49:22,324
We have a crime problem that is not out of control
712
00:49:22,325 --> 00:49:24,272
-all over the country -I am pro-choice
713
00:49:25,758 --> 00:49:29,113
extremists bombed more than 30 clinics across the country
714
00:49:29,114 --> 00:49:30,642
People like you allows baby ...
715
00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,248
When I started studying crimes in the early 1990s,
716
00:49:40,249 --> 00:49:41,234
it was rough at its peak
717
00:49:41,235 --> 00:49:43,140
the highest it's ever been in the history of United States
718
00:49:43,141 --> 00:49:45,604
and all the experts expect it to go higher and higher
719
00:49:45,605 --> 00:49:46,952
The warnings are everywhere.
720
00:49:46,953 --> 00:49:50,257
But then, to everyone's surprise, something happened.
721
00:49:58,000 --> 00:49:59,864
I don't know, I guess you're right
722
00:50:00,420 --> 00:50:02,951
Supposed it'd be better off never been born at all.
723
00:50:02,952 --> 00:50:05,739
-What did you say? -I said, "I wish I have never been born."
724
00:50:06,200 --> 00:50:08,641
Homocide rate went up in half of the nation's cities
725
00:50:08,642 --> 00:50:11,181
(Christmas, 1989) 373 homocides last year
726
00:50:11,182 --> 00:50:14,433
up 65.7% over 1987
727
00:50:14,434 --> 00:50:16,342
Murder is a national problem -
728
00:50:16,343 --> 00:50:18,673
up an average 11% across the country.
729
00:50:19,500 --> 00:50:23,095
In Bucharest tonight, the post communist leader Nicolae Ceauseascu
730
00:50:23,096 --> 00:50:24,769
and his wife, had been executed.
731
00:50:24,770 --> 00:50:27,728
Pictures of the former communist dictator lying in state
732
00:50:27,825 --> 00:50:30,330
-excuted by the firing squad -Crime and violence are now
733
00:50:30,331 --> 00:50:32,312
... the top concerns of many Americans.
734
00:50:32,313 --> 00:50:34,780
You've been given a great gift George.
735
00:50:34,781 --> 00:50:38,259
A chance to see what the world would be like without you.
736
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:48,172
As the 1980s drew to a close, law enforcement experts predicted
737
00:50:48,173 --> 00:50:50,529
that the crime rate that has been preceeding decades
738
00:50:50,530 --> 00:50:52,041
would continue to rise.
739
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:55,655
Would be the decade of the mega criminal
740
00:50:57,500 --> 00:51:01,597
There was only one problem ... it didn't happen.
741
00:51:02,389 --> 00:51:03,977
Across America, the crime rate is down.
742
00:51:03,978 --> 00:51:07,502
The FBI has some good news about crime, it's down.
743
00:51:07,503 --> 00:51:11,100
It's clear the numbers are dropping, what's not clear is why.
744
00:51:11,101 --> 00:51:13,410
What's behind this dramatic change?
745
00:51:13,412 --> 00:51:15,445
Primarily it's the Police, the police strategies.
746
00:51:15,446 --> 00:51:18,795
We've incarcerated our criminals and thus taken out the population.
747
00:51:18,796 --> 00:51:20,228
With those people, who did the crimes.
748
00:51:20,229 --> 00:51:24,592
Experts and officials lined up to offer explanations for the drop in crime
749
00:51:25,020 --> 00:51:27,432
Community police officers, better prevention
750
00:51:27,433 --> 00:51:30,700
Their explanation included more innovative policing,
751
00:51:30,722 --> 00:51:33,739
harsher criminal sentences, changes in the crack market,
752
00:51:33,740 --> 00:51:38,631
increase gun control, a strong economy, more police on the streets
753
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,787
But economist Steven Levitt examined these explanations.
754
00:51:42,788 --> 00:51:44,931
Evaluated the most popular ones.
755
00:51:44,932 --> 00:51:46,712
When you looked at the data carefully,
756
00:51:46,713 --> 00:51:50,379
it's just not clear that they really have the impact people suspected.
757
00:51:50,380 --> 00:51:54,354
By ananlyzing the reasons most often cited by those in the press,
758
00:51:54,355 --> 00:51:57,131
Levitt was able to separate the more likely factors
759
00:51:57,132 --> 00:51:58,598
from the less likely ones
760
00:51:59,300 --> 00:52:02,205
The crime drop explanation most often cited
761
00:52:02,206 --> 00:52:04,230
was that innovative policing strategies
762
00:52:04,231 --> 00:52:06,212
had been introduced to some cities.
763
00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:13,703
NY City, for example, implementeded sweeping law enforcement changes
764
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:16,590
from Police Chief Willam Bratton's ComStat System
765
00:52:16,596 --> 00:52:19,961
to Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's crack down on small street crime
766
00:52:19,962 --> 00:52:22,622
The reductions in crime that has been taken place in NY City
767
00:52:22,623 --> 00:52:23,845
are pretty close to miraculous
768
00:52:23,846 --> 00:52:27,195
NY City, had among the biggest declines in crime
769
00:52:27,196 --> 00:52:28,438
of any city in the country.
770
00:52:28,439 --> 00:52:30,388
So, there's an enormous amount of fan fair ...
771
00:52:30,389 --> 00:52:32,833
... given to the strategies of Guliani and Bratton.
772
00:52:33,144 --> 00:52:34,494
But crime felt everywhere,
773
00:52:34,495 --> 00:52:37,483
it's hard to find any city in United States where crime didn't plunge.
774
00:52:37,484 --> 00:52:41,759
And also, crime was down 20-30% before Gulian ever took office.
775
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:43,840
So, a number of things make me suspecious
776
00:52:43,841 --> 00:52:45,591
that it was really the Placing Strategies.
777
00:52:47,500 --> 00:52:49,709
The second reason most cited for the crime drop,
778
00:52:49,710 --> 00:52:52,800
was an increase in reliance on prisons.
779
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:56,911
We've locked up a million more americans since the 1990s
780
00:52:57,000 --> 00:52:58,870
There are now 2 millions americans in prison,
781
00:52:58,871 --> 00:53:00,462
and that's got to reduce crime.
782
00:53:02,030 --> 00:53:05,055
Levitt recognizes that in prison more people will ...
783
00:53:05,056 --> 00:53:07,569
in short term, bring crime rate down.
784
00:53:07,570 --> 00:53:10,780
By my estimate, about 30% of the decline in crime
785
00:53:10,786 --> 00:53:13,409
can be attributed to the fact that we got very tough on crime
786
00:53:13,410 --> 00:53:15,567
in terms of locking up criminals.
787
00:53:16,359 --> 00:53:18,224
This is crack cocaine
788
00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:22,842
The 3rd explanation for the crime drop, most often cited in the press,
789
00:53:22,843 --> 00:53:24,470
were changes in the crack market.
790
00:53:24,471 --> 00:53:28,371
Now experets say, crack cocaine may finally be on the decline.
791
00:53:28,372 --> 00:53:31,656
The peak of the crack epidemics came in at the late 80s and the early 90s
792
00:53:33,652 --> 00:53:36,961
At that time, an enormous amount of the homocide in particular
793
00:53:36,962 --> 00:53:38,042
can be attributed to the crack.
794
00:53:38,043 --> 00:53:39,389
But for various reasons
795
00:53:39,390 --> 00:53:41,567
the amount of violence that has been associated with the crack trade
796
00:53:41,568 --> 00:53:42,600
really faded.
797
00:53:42,601 --> 00:53:43,863
That's not the move no more
798
00:53:43,864 --> 00:53:48,059
So that can explain 15% of the decline in crime.
799
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:51,792
Other possible reasons for the crime drop examined by Levitt include:
800
00:53:51,793 --> 00:53:53,044
tougher gun laws.
801
00:53:53,045 --> 00:53:57,943
the 1990s economic boom and an increase in police nation wide.
802
00:53:58,596 --> 00:54:01,480
So Levitt did not entirely discount these
803
00:54:01,485 --> 00:54:03,992
He sees these only account for a small fraction
804
00:54:03,993 --> 00:54:05,573
of the overall crime drop
805
00:54:05,574 --> 00:54:07,741
There are millions factors that drive crime,
806
00:54:07,742 --> 00:54:10,850
but how do you determine the particular competition?
807
00:54:10,851 --> 00:54:13,563
Overall, what Levitt found from all these reasons
808
00:54:13,564 --> 00:54:18,346
was taken together, they only explain half of 1990s crime drop.
809
00:54:18,700 --> 00:54:21,043
The other half remained a mystery.
810
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:23,100
So what happened?
811
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:25,548
Well, let's remind
812
00:54:25,549 --> 00:54:29,152
to what many Americans may have seen as irrelevant incident
813
00:54:29,153 --> 00:54:30,424
in a far away place.
814
00:54:37,100 --> 00:54:39,708
When Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceausescu
815
00:54:39,709 --> 00:54:43,505
was executed by his own people on Christmas Day 1989,
816
00:54:43,506 --> 00:54:46,703
it marked the end of the brutal totalitarian rein
817
00:54:46,704 --> 00:54:48,804
that has lasted 24 years.
818
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:53,414
In his earliest days, Ceausescu's Romania faces struggling economy
819
00:54:53,415 --> 00:54:56,021
and he sought to vastly increase the workforce.
820
00:54:57,391 --> 00:55:01,880
To achieve this, Ceausescu outlawed abortion in 1966.
821
00:55:01,889 --> 00:55:04,200
Agents known as the Montrose Police
822
00:55:04,207 --> 00:55:06,378
rounded up women to give pregnancy tests
823
00:55:06,379 --> 00:55:08,074
and attacks the infertiles.
824
00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:11,730
Across Romania, women were forced to have children
825
00:55:11,731 --> 00:55:14,896
and they could no longer choose whether it was right to do so.
826
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:17,748
Romania's birthrate doubled.
827
00:55:17,749 --> 00:55:22,733
But more and more births across the country were, not surprisingly unwanted.
828
00:55:22,734 --> 00:55:24,659
And result in trouble up bringing.
829
00:55:25,400 --> 00:55:28,054
Of the infants forcibly born in the first year,
830
00:55:28,055 --> 00:55:31,487
more disenroll school, suffered more job performance,
831
00:55:31,488 --> 00:55:33,672
and with thus more likely to become criminals,
832
00:55:33,673 --> 00:55:35,426
than those born of the previous year.
833
00:55:35,427 --> 00:55:40,126
Even controlling for the aids, income, health and education of the mother
834
00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:44,025
But what do winds in Romania a long time ago,
835
00:55:44,026 --> 00:55:47,118
have to do with crimes in US in 1990s?
836
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:51,224
According to Steven Levitt ... a lot.
837
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:59,539
You've been given a great gift George, a chance to see
838
00:55:59,540 --> 00:56:01,587
what the world would be like without you.
839
00:56:03,100 --> 00:56:05,607
What I believe to be true and the evidence supports it,
840
00:56:05,608 --> 00:56:09,476
is a hypothesis which many people find jarring and disturbing.
841
00:56:09,477 --> 00:56:12,091
But nonetheless, I think it's probably right.
842
00:56:12,092 --> 00:56:16,808
Good evening, in a landmark ruling that Supreme Court today legalize abortions.
843
00:56:16,809 --> 00:56:20,789
In 1973, in a case called "Roe V. Wade"
844
00:56:20,790 --> 00:56:26,167
the Supreme Cort rules that abortion, which has been only legal in 5 US states,
845
00:56:26,168 --> 00:56:28,220
would now be legal nation wide.
846
00:56:28,500 --> 00:56:31,778
Precisely the opposiste of what happened in Romania,
847
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:35,263
The legalized abortions in 1970s,
848
00:56:35,264 --> 00:56:38,313
was one of the prime reason why crime felt in the 1990s.
849
00:56:38,314 --> 00:56:42,958
Because the whole generation of unwanted children were never born,
850
00:56:42,959 --> 00:56:44,375
because of legalization of abortion.
851
00:56:44,376 --> 00:56:46,304
If you fast-forward 20 years
852
00:56:46,305 --> 00:56:49,529
to the point in time when they were going to be their peak crime ages,
853
00:56:49,530 --> 00:56:51,229
they simply weren't there to do the crime.
854
00:56:51,836 --> 00:56:55,279
You see George, you really had a wonderful life.
855
00:56:55,280 --> 00:56:59,333
Don't you see what a mistake it would be to ... throw it away?
856
00:57:00,163 --> 00:57:02,978
The trouble, of course, is that life isn't like the movies.
857
00:57:03,531 --> 00:57:06,514
For so many children who without "Roe V. Wade"
858
00:57:06,515 --> 00:57:08,681
would have been born in 1973,
859
00:57:08,682 --> 00:57:11,381
their lives might not have been a wonderful life
860
00:57:11,382 --> 00:57:15,731
that've been born in a loving family, in yesterday's small town America.
861
00:57:16,350 --> 00:57:19,151
Rather, they'd be a far harder road -
862
00:57:19,152 --> 00:57:22,310
been born into a potentially unwanted household
863
00:57:22,319 --> 00:57:26,010
in American's crumbling little cities, or forsaken heartland.
864
00:57:27,200 --> 00:57:31,618
Levitt's conclusion: "As much as half of the 1990s crime drop,
865
00:57:31,619 --> 00:57:34,901
was an unintended consequence of Roe V. Wade."
866
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:38,350
The theory behind it was quite simple,
867
00:57:38,351 --> 00:57:41,371
Unwanted children, have been shown to be at high risk for crime.
868
00:57:41,372 --> 00:57:44,607
With legalized abortion, fewer unwanted children were born.
869
00:57:44,608 --> 00:57:48,417
Therefore, the theory would be that there'd be less crime in 15-20 years later.
870
00:57:48,418 --> 00:57:51,020
When those quahogs reach their peak crime ages
871
00:57:51,100 --> 00:57:54,786
And the data support that hypothesis,quite strongly.
872
00:57:55,442 --> 00:57:56,799
If you follow the data,
873
00:57:56,800 --> 00:58:00,836
there were 5 states that legalized abortions, 3 years before "Roe Vs. Wade"
874
00:58:00,837 --> 00:58:03,952
and about 15 years later, their crimes begins to fall,
875
00:58:03,953 --> 00:58:05,925
3 years before the rest of the country.
876
00:58:07,138 --> 00:58:10,000
Then if you look at states where abortion was not just legal,
877
00:58:10,049 --> 00:58:12,771
but is available to people who wanna get them ...
878
00:58:12,772 --> 00:58:15,328
... 16, 17 years after "Roe Vs. Wade"
879
00:58:15,329 --> 00:58:16,885
you see a 30% difference
880
00:58:16,886 --> 00:58:20,242
between the states doing a lot of abortions and ones that are doing very few.
881
00:58:21,117 --> 00:58:24,774
Finally, all of the effect we see in a in a diverse in crime,
882
00:58:24,775 --> 00:58:27,978
all of that is concentrated among people under the age of 25.
883
00:58:27,979 --> 00:58:30,535
People young enough to have been exposed to legalized abortion.
884
00:58:30,536 --> 00:58:32,500
People older than 25,
885
00:58:32,503 --> 00:58:34,009
here's no difference whatsoever
886
00:58:34,010 --> 00:58:36,355
between the high abortion state and the low abortion states.
887
00:58:36,500 --> 00:58:38,523
And I think in some way that's the best evidence we have,
888
00:58:38,524 --> 00:58:42,860
that legalized abortions is responsible for a big chunk of the decline in crime.
889
00:58:43,488 --> 00:58:47,740
Levitt's controversal theory has provoked strong reactions among critics.
890
00:58:47,742 --> 00:58:52,621
Is he, for example, avocating abortions as a crime fighting tool.
891
00:58:52,900 --> 00:58:57,506
In no way, would I take this as advocacy in favor of legalized abortion.
892
00:58:58,100 --> 00:59:01,657
I don't think anyone's opinion about whether abortion should be legal or not
893
00:59:01,658 --> 00:59:03,802
should be affected by our result.
894
00:59:03,803 --> 00:59:05,769
Some of Levitt's critics suggested that
895
00:59:05,770 --> 00:59:09,824
his theory holds what might have been classed a racial implications.
896
00:59:11,300 --> 00:59:15,348
He argues though that raising class has nothing to do with the matter.
897
00:59:15,349 --> 00:59:18,016
That his theory targets no specific group,
898
00:59:18,017 --> 00:59:21,209
other than mothers-to-bes of all backgrounds.
899
00:59:21,210 --> 00:59:25,488
And since, as Levitt points out, women who're led to abort
900
00:59:25,489 --> 00:59:29,635
go on to become child bearers consistent
with the general populations.
901
00:59:29,636 --> 00:59:32,750
Levitt's argument could thus be undertood to suggest that
902
00:59:32,751 --> 00:59:35,806
legalized abortion does not so much prevent birth,
903
00:59:35,807 --> 00:59:37,057
as delay it.
904
00:59:37,058 --> 00:59:40,605
This turns an unwanted birth by a too young mother, for example
905
00:59:40,606 --> 00:59:44,548
into a wanted birth by that mother
when she feels more ready.
906
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:49,999
So, if Levitt is not advocating abortion as a crime fighting tool,
907
00:59:50,000 --> 00:59:51,525
what is he advocating?
908
00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:58,514
Well, whether one is pro-life, pro-choice or somewhere in between
909
00:59:58,515 --> 01:00:02,070
there's a meaningful and today unpeached connection
910
01:00:02,071 --> 01:00:04,427
between giving women the right to choose
911
01:00:04,428 --> 01:00:05,827
and the reduction in crime.
912
01:00:46,973 --> 01:00:49,631
We started offin a normal interview post
913
01:00:49,632 --> 01:00:53,006
and now you're lying down, swinging a pillow aaround
914
01:00:53,290 --> 01:00:55,000
What ... What's going on here?
915
01:00:55,001 --> 01:00:58,259
If I give you a slice of juicy fruit, will you say whatever I want
916
01:00:58,828 --> 01:00:59,343
No
917
01:00:59,660 --> 01:01:00,400
No?!
918
01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:04,282
Wait, I heard that you'll do anything for a slice of juicy fruit
919
01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:06,924
No matter how smart you are,
920
01:01:07,500 --> 01:01:08,834
and I kind of think they're pretty smart,
921
01:01:08,835 --> 01:01:11,599
you come up with some incentive scheme that you think is a perfect one
922
01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:13,877
to enties the behavior you have in mind.
923
01:01:13,878 --> 01:01:17,043
And you send an army of people with nothing to do all day
924
01:01:17,044 --> 01:01:18,997
but to figure out how to beat this incentive scheme
925
01:01:18,998 --> 01:01:20,861
-and absolutely it'll be beaten -Well, tell me about ...
926
01:01:20,862 --> 01:01:22,243
... about Amdanda
927
01:01:22,900 --> 01:01:23,858
This is a long story
928
01:01:23,859 --> 01:01:27,334
I'll give you an example, so
929
01:01:27,630 --> 01:01:30,007
We were trying to potty train Amanda
930
01:01:30,008 --> 01:01:34,463
and my wife went books and did all the things you're told to do
931
01:01:34,464 --> 01:01:35,914
Amanda had been potty trained
932
01:01:35,915 --> 01:01:38,991
and she just decided she wouldn't use the toilet ... anymore.
933
01:01:38,992 --> 01:01:41,912
And this went on for months, my wife was frusttrated.
934
01:01:41,913 --> 01:01:46,090
And I said, I'm an economist, I understand I'll take over.
935
01:01:46,091 --> 01:01:49,680
And I got right down on Amanda's level on my knees and I knew what ...
936
01:01:49,681 --> 01:01:51,634
she likes more than anything else, she's about 3 years old, were MMs.
937
01:01:52,643 --> 01:01:56,755
And I said,"If you go pee pee in the potty, I'll give you a bag of MMs."
938
01:01:57,439 --> 01:01:58,797
she said,"Right now?", I said "Yeah".
939
01:01:58,798 --> 01:02:02,000
said,"Ok"; and she hopped on the potty went, went to the bathroom
940
01:02:02,001 --> 01:02:05,228
I turned to my wife and said,"Let the economist handle it, you know."
941
01:02:08,035 --> 01:02:10,261
And indeed, for the next couple of days, it worked to perfection.
942
01:02:10,262 --> 01:02:12,207
And everytime she has to go bathroom, she announced it.
943
01:02:12,208 --> 01:02:14,815
She went to the bathroom, we gave her the MMs.
944
01:02:14,816 --> 01:02:16,190
Everything had gone great.
945
01:02:16,191 --> 01:02:18,676
But 3 days later, she said "I have to go to the bathroom"
946
01:02:19,046 --> 01:02:22,969
She went and took a lot of few drops, I gave her the MMs
947
01:02:22,970 --> 01:02:25,699
She got off, she said "I have to go again"
948
01:02:25,700 --> 01:02:27,203
She sat down the potty,
949
01:02:27,204 --> 01:02:29,054
taking a few more drops, I gave her the MMs.
950
01:02:29,055 --> 01:02:30,252
"Got to go again"
951
01:02:30,253 --> 01:02:34,100
Basically, in 3 days she's gone from someone with no blatter control
952
01:02:34,128 --> 01:02:41,220
to a pro that she can complete control the flow at a whimp
953
01:02:41,221 --> 01:02:45,141
And had a 3 year old had basically come up with
954
01:02:45,142 --> 01:02:46,999
a way to beat the incentive scheme I had developed ...
955
01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:50,104
... within 3 days. In a million years I would never have imagined.
956
01:02:51,212 --> 01:02:55,185
If an economist can't trick a 3 year old for more than 3 days,
957
01:02:55,186 --> 01:03:00,050
What hope does an economist have tricking the whole country for even 3 hours?
958
01:03:01,085 --> 01:03:03,117
So, that's kind of the beauty of incentives
959
01:03:03,118 --> 01:03:06,251
You don't really know what works and government think
960
01:03:06,252 --> 01:03:09,517
they know what works and they spend a huge amount of resources
961
01:03:09,518 --> 01:03:11,343
establishing incentives
962
01:03:11,344 --> 01:03:13,788
and they gonna do all these things seem to make lots of sense
963
01:03:13,789 --> 01:03:16,879
it sounds really great and may work out well in some measure
964
01:03:16,880 --> 01:03:19,826
But they're gonna backfire in so many different ways
965
01:03:19,827 --> 01:03:21,660
That we can't predict yet.
966
01:03:21,661 --> 01:03:25,393
And people will claugh and people will cry. And that's what incentives are.
967
01:03:27,061 --> 01:03:35,500
CAN A 9TH GRADER BE BRIBED TO SUCCEED?
968
01:04:02,500 --> 01:04:06,400
ITE103
969
01:04:09,750 --> 01:04:11,000
What you guys putting in this?
970
01:04:11,750 --> 01:04:14,500
Get it right over there, you wanna do it right now.
971
01:04:14,649 --> 01:04:15,790
Right now you stupid ass.
972
01:04:16,653 --> 01:04:18,157
Clear!
973
01:04:19,694 --> 01:04:22,000
It's going
974
01:04:22,001 --> 01:04:23,172
That was nothing
975
01:04:24,220 --> 01:04:25,171
Make another one.
976
01:04:26,200 --> 01:04:28,525
I know I can do good in school but I don't
977
01:04:28,526 --> 01:04:31,227
I have a reputation of bad child
978
01:04:31,629 --> 01:04:35,004
Parents are way too uptight in kids' business, like ...
979
01:04:35,005 --> 01:04:37,762
Where you gonna go? What you doing? When are you coming home?
980
01:04:38,300 --> 01:04:42,090
It maybe like "Hey you have homework?" and I'll say "No"
981
01:04:42,091 --> 01:04:46,174
or "I forget my books, I'll do it in the morning."
982
01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:48,614
-That works? -Ah huh
983
01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:51,194
Gets them off my dick
984
01:04:52,400 --> 01:04:53,195
What's up?
985
01:04:54,100 --> 01:04:56,090
Hopefully, I'll mkae it to highschool if I fail
986
01:04:56,091 --> 01:04:59,295
I guess I'll try to get a GED through the millitary or something
987
01:04:59,770 --> 01:05:00,760
I have no clue
988
01:05:01,250 --> 01:05:06,200
ITE104
989
01:05:10,500 --> 01:05:13,719
In the modern economy, not graduating from highschool,
990
01:05:13,720 --> 01:05:16,125
is like an economic death sentence.
991
01:05:17,000 --> 01:05:18,485
When you talking about highschool kids,
992
01:05:18,486 --> 01:05:20,270
what matters to them is what happens today,
993
01:05:20,271 --> 01:05:22,663
a month from now or 6 months from now.
994
01:05:23,789 --> 01:05:26,509
You have a very forward looking mindset
995
01:05:28,300 --> 01:05:30,273
I think ... most kids are dull
996
01:05:30,830 --> 01:05:34,219
In designing incentives to help kids get through school,
997
01:05:34,220 --> 01:05:36,472
we've got to have that conundrum in mind
998
01:05:39,700 --> 01:05:44,097
The idea was for the University of Chicago to see if
999
01:05:44,098 --> 01:05:47,961
students could increase their test scores
1000
01:05:47,962 --> 01:05:52,711
simply by giving them a financial ... incentive.
1001
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:59,460
If it works for 1 student, then it's good enough for me because
1002
01:05:59,461 --> 01:06:02,196
we have no stake in it financially.
1003
01:06:02,197 --> 01:06:05,671
The University of Chicago is picking up the tab.
1004
01:06:05,672 --> 01:06:09,577
Why wouldn't we at least try it?
1005
01:06:09,578 --> 01:06:13,564
I'm thinking, it's going to work.
1006
01:06:14,200 --> 01:06:19,327
Opportunity - you'll always miss 100% of the shots you don't take.
1007
01:06:20,128 --> 01:06:22,452
And, that's my message to the students.
1008
01:06:22,453 --> 01:06:25,161
I don't need to put my degrees up on the wall,
1009
01:06:25,162 --> 01:06:26,955
I already have those.
1010
01:06:26,956 --> 01:06:28,430
I want them to get those.
1011
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:37,914
How has it been starting a new school?
1012
01:06:38,600 --> 01:06:40,685
It's actually not that bad, I like it here
1013
01:06:40,686 --> 01:06:44,135
-Yea? -It's really easy -Oh the classes are really easy? -Oh, yea
1014
01:06:44,232 --> 01:06:47,993
Let's see, pull out your report card and see how you're doing right now.
1015
01:06:47,994 --> 01:06:50,038
-So, we can see your grades -Yea, not that good
1016
01:06:50,039 --> 01:06:52,358
Alright, so what do you need to improve on?
1017
01:06:52,733 --> 01:06:53,428
Everything
1018
01:06:53,700 --> 01:06:54,778
Ok, but you know I'm seeing grades go up a lot so ...
1019
01:06:56,779 --> 01:06:59,836
... so you'd probaly wanna know what to get right, if you ...
1020
01:06:59,837 --> 01:07:02,000
do meet the monthly achievement standards?!
1021
01:07:02,001 --> 01:07:04,216
-Sure -Ok, so open up your folder
1022
01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:07,353
Fifty bucks?
1023
01:07:07,354 --> 01:07:10,824
Yea, you get the $50 every month as long as you keep your grades up
1024
01:07:10,825 --> 01:07:11,241
Alright
1025
01:07:11,500 --> 01:07:14,608
I think a lot of people here are gonna do their homeworks then
1026
01:07:14,609 --> 01:07:17,568
-Yea, what about you, why you? -$50 can buy a lot ...ah
1027
01:07:18,332 --> 01:07:21,911
-It can buy -You know, it can pay for my skateboards
1028
01:07:22,400 --> 01:07:27,560
So then I could get sponsored, get free clothse and stuffs.
1029
01:07:27,561 --> 01:07:28,955
Till I graduate
1030
01:07:43,000 --> 01:07:46,168
-How's school today, ok? -Amazing -Good
1031
01:07:49,000 --> 01:07:50,969
Kevin came home from school and says, "Mom ..."
1032
01:07:50,970 --> 01:07:53,304
" ... if I do really good, I can get paid for it."
1033
01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:55,558
Mom, I could really make money.
1034
01:07:56,000 --> 01:07:58,635
I'm like, "Fine, Kevin, go for it."
1035
01:07:58,636 --> 01:08:01,782
I said, "And I'll tell you what, you keep your grades up ..."
1036
01:08:02,700 --> 01:08:07,572
"you're gonna get the money, .... mom will double it."
1037
01:08:09,042 --> 01:08:11,488
Whatever they give you, mom will match it.
1038
01:08:11,489 --> 01:08:13,359
-Alright -Then you'll have double the money.
1039
01:08:13,360 --> 01:08:15,500
-If the grades go up -Right
1040
01:08:16,200 --> 01:08:19,175
A little bit of bribery? What parent doesn't do that?!
1041
01:08:19,400 --> 01:08:21,386
We all bribed our kids one way or another
1042
01:08:23,600 --> 01:08:28,072
-One, two, three, four,five -Bribery works for my kids
1043
01:08:28,500 --> 01:08:29,433
They love to be bribed
1044
01:08:29,434 --> 01:08:32,400
-Eight, nine, ten
1045
01:08:32,491 --> 01:08:35,285
For 50 cents, I can buy whatever I want in my household
1046
01:08:36,000 --> 01:08:38,635
Oh I forgot this dollar
1047
01:08:39,500 --> 01:08:42,838
The closest thing to figurig out habbits is that incentives matter
1048
01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:47,118
Not just financial incentives but social incentives and moral incentives.
1049
01:08:47,119 --> 01:08:48,886
Our goal was to figure out:
1050
01:08:48,887 --> 01:08:54,012
Can we cheaply and quickly move the needle at a school?
1051
01:08:54,013 --> 01:08:57,659
Can we get kids to achieve more as quickly as possible
1052
01:08:57,660 --> 01:08:59,260
with spending very little money.
1053
01:09:06,200 --> 01:09:08,396
There are 900 freshmen in our experiment,
1054
01:09:09,828 --> 01:09:11,991
At the end of every month, we hold a payout event
1055
01:09:11,992 --> 01:09:15,894
where all kids who got all Cs or above receive $50 in cash.
1056
01:09:17,000 --> 01:09:20,868
In addition, those who quality are also elegible for lottery,
1057
01:09:20,869 --> 01:09:22,969
where they can win $500.
1058
01:09:26,000 --> 01:09:26,955
To win the money,
1059
01:09:26,956 --> 01:09:30,102
They have to have no more than 1 unexcused absence
1060
01:09:30,103 --> 01:09:32,171
No all day suspensions
1061
01:09:32,172 --> 01:09:35,300
And all your grades at the end of the month have to be a C or higher
1062
01:09:37,777 --> 01:09:39,933
It's great to give them this financial reward,
1063
01:09:39,934 --> 01:09:42,650
but it's also about having a lot of fanfair around it
1064
01:09:43,190 --> 01:09:48,105
Giving them this big checque, sending them home in a Hummer limo.
1065
01:09:51,500 --> 01:09:53,812
You think, there's definitely a limo effect.
1066
01:09:58,801 --> 01:09:59,999
That is so cool
1067
01:10:00,000 --> 01:10:02,409
Are you serious?! They got to ride in it?!
1068
01:10:02,410 --> 01:10:04,369
Aw, that is so awsome!
1069
01:10:06,400 --> 01:10:12,720
Oh My God! This is awsome!
1070
01:10:13,850 --> 01:10:17,438
Oh yes, yes, you're getting straight As from me.
1071
01:10:17,439 --> 01:10:18,501
Yes!
1072
01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:20,884
There's lot of things I'd do for money I mean
1073
01:10:20,885 --> 01:10:23,095
I work all year round
1074
01:10:23,400 --> 01:10:26,220
Hi, I'm a representative of ....
1075
01:10:26,222 --> 01:10:28,646
we charge $3 for a walkway and $5 for a driveway
1076
01:10:28,647 --> 01:10:30,117
would you like to hire us for our services today?
1077
01:10:30,900 --> 01:10:32,642
Hook, line, and sinker
1078
01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:34,989
They say money doesn't buy happiness,
1079
01:10:34,990 --> 01:10:36,950
and I agree but I disagree.
1080
01:10:37,140 --> 01:10:38,155
Depends how you look at it,
1081
01:10:38,156 --> 01:10:39,668
Because when they say money cannot buy happiness,
1082
01:10:39,669 --> 01:10:42,174
they're saying materials things cannot make a person happy.
1083
01:10:42,148 --> 01:10:43,408
Wanna bet?
1084
01:10:48,226 --> 01:10:53,780
Okay, BPL083, unfortunate that person did not meet the standards this month
1085
01:10:53,781 --> 01:10:55,898
we cannot give them the money.
1086
01:10:56,100 --> 01:10:57,446
You know what you need to do next month, right?
1087
01:10:57,447 --> 01:11:01,350
-Yea -So you think you'll be meeting the standards next month? -Oh yea
1088
01:11:01,490 --> 01:11:03,866
-Alright -I took a look into the limo thing and I was like ...
1089
01:11:03,867 --> 01:11:05,630
Oh, you've seen the limosine outside?
1090
01:11:07,000 --> 01:11:09,121
It was awsome!
1091
01:11:09,122 --> 01:11:11,909
The lights, the way it was layed out ...
1092
01:11:13,323 --> 01:11:17,381
Take us home, Jekins ... it's gonna be so cool!
1093
01:11:17,810 --> 01:11:20,877
These are my halls! These are my halls!
1094
01:11:20,878 --> 01:11:22,951
Cuz I'm a King that's my last name.
1095
01:11:22,952 --> 01:11:24,584
The King~
1096
01:11:28,200 --> 01:11:30,996
-5 or 7 of prime, so that's ... -Write it!
1097
01:11:34,454 --> 01:11:35,583
-Show your work
1098
01:11:36,000 --> 01:11:38,266
-5, you can't break down 5 because it is a prime number
1099
01:11:38,267 --> 01:11:41,175
Show your work ... I need you to ... do
1100
01:11:42,242 --> 01:11:45,270
-I'm gonna do 7 through 12 -No, I said 1 through 6
1101
01:11:46,779 --> 01:11:48,000
You don't get to pick
1102
01:11:50,376 --> 01:11:52,316
It's really important for me for him to finish school,
1103
01:11:52,317 --> 01:11:53,785
because I didn't.
1104
01:11:55,500 --> 01:11:58,063
He's very intelligent, he needs to focus.
1105
01:11:59,800 --> 01:12:01,382
They got to find something to get these kids
1106
01:12:01,383 --> 01:12:03,799
into going to school and get their grades up.
1107
01:12:13,805 --> 01:12:15,089
Hello?
1108
01:12:15,585 --> 01:12:20,043
Hi, my name is Eliah, I'm calling on behalf of the Chicago High School
1109
01:12:20,044 --> 01:12:21,561
Is Guela Lupaia available?
1110
01:12:21,562 --> 01:12:22,562
Is Hector available?
1111
01:12:22,563 --> 01:12:23,563
Is Mark available?
1112
01:12:23,564 --> 01:12:25,360
This is a message for Jessica Richardson,
1113
01:12:25,361 --> 01:12:28,854
wanted to congratulate her on meeting
the monthly achievement this month
1114
01:12:28,855 --> 01:12:31,771
so she's eligible to win $500
1115
01:12:32,791 --> 01:12:36,000
And also, just let you know to have her keep an eye on her
math and biology grades
1116
01:12:36,001 --> 01:12:37,542
cuz they're on a C right now.
1117
01:12:39,374 --> 01:12:42,390
Hi, this is Sally Sladoth from the University of Chicago,
1118
01:12:42,392 --> 01:12:43,485
Is Kevin Muncy there?
1119
01:12:45,067 --> 01:12:46,017
Hi this is Kevin
1120
01:12:46,018 --> 01:12:47,816
Hi Kevin, I'm looking at your grades,
1121
01:12:47,817 --> 01:12:49,328
and it looks like you need to bring some of them up,
1122
01:12:49,329 --> 01:12:51,703
are you doing something to work on bringing up your grades?
1123
01:12:51,704 --> 01:12:57,342
I'm not gonna lie, I haven't done every assignment, so far
1124
01:12:57,999 --> 01:12:59,235
So are you going to your teachers and
1125
01:12:59,236 --> 01:13:01,673
ask if you can make up the missing assignments?
1126
01:13:01,674 --> 01:13:04,362
Ah yeah, they're actually making a list for me right now.
1127
01:13:04,870 --> 01:13:07,210
-That's great, so you gonna try to make those up -Yea
1128
01:13:07,337 --> 01:13:09,514
Cuz the thing is if you can trun in missing assignments,
1129
01:13:09,515 --> 01:13:10,751
you can bring up the grade a lot.
1130
01:13:10,752 --> 01:13:14,019
because you go from having no credit for the assignment,
1131
01:13:14,020 --> 01:13:16,962
to getting some credit or even a lot of credit
1132
01:13:16,963 --> 01:13:20,005
-that'll make your grades bounce up a lot. -Yea
1133
01:13:21,000 --> 01:13:26,314
-So, you going to get the $50 for this month?
1134
01:13:26,802 --> 01:13:28,602
-Are you gonna be doing your best? -Yea
1135
01:13:28,603 --> 01:13:30,687
Alright, that's what I like to hear
1136
01:13:30,688 --> 01:13:33,704
-Alright, take care, have a good day. -Alright, you too, bye. -Bye
1137
01:13:36,615 --> 01:13:38,800
Huh, what? what? what? what?
1138
01:13:44,500 --> 01:13:45,638
Go duct tape him.
1139
01:13:47,277 --> 01:13:50,925
Little drawing over here, chromosomal #21, down syndrome are clear
1140
01:13:50,926 --> 01:13:53,180
So, if you have normal splitting,
1141
01:13:53,181 --> 01:13:55,278
this is what happens, we're making sperm here ....
1142
01:14:05,200 --> 01:14:08,886
-Mr. Garshorn, can you Tyler come help me? -Sure
1143
01:14:09,335 --> 01:14:11,774
You just wanna copy Lindsey's?
1144
01:14:13,642 --> 01:14:14,870
No, just tell her to come back here.
1145
01:14:16,040 --> 01:14:17,632
Lindsey
1146
01:14:18,200 --> 01:14:19,264
Do you have that?
1147
01:14:42,500 --> 01:14:44,444
Congratulations, you met the standards
1148
01:14:45,389 --> 01:14:46,752
Congratulations, you get the $50 this month.
1149
01:14:49,000 --> 01:14:51,976
-Unfortunately, you didn't meet the standards this month -Great
1150
01:14:54,800 --> 01:14:59,327
It's just on the grey category, you need to bring up these ...
1151
01:14:59,328 --> 01:15:01,896
grades to ... to be passing
1152
01:15:01,897 --> 01:15:05,118
So, let's take a look here ... Algebra you're passing that's good
1153
01:15:05,119 --> 01:15:07,781
So, what's going on in Biology and World History?
1154
01:15:07,782 --> 01:15:09,254
Are you missing assignments?
1155
01:15:10,200 --> 01:15:12,605
His history teacher said he should be in his honor class
1156
01:15:12,606 --> 01:15:15,756
but the simple fact that he's not doing the work,
that's why he's not there.
1157
01:15:15,757 --> 01:15:16,703
Have to do the work.
1158
01:15:16,762 --> 01:15:20,237
The trouble between me and my mom is mostly about homework.
1159
01:15:20,238 --> 01:15:25,289
Because, the way it is with her she's always "When I was in school, ... "
1160
01:15:25,290 --> 01:15:26,887
... we have homework everyday."
1161
01:15:26,888 --> 01:15:30,470
And I'm trying to get her to understand it's 21st century.
1162
01:15:30,471 --> 01:15:31,960
That was then and it is now.
1163
01:15:31,965 --> 01:15:38,536
Teachers are now more lenient, and no offence, care less ...
1164
01:15:42,100 --> 01:15:43,388
Ok, so what do we have?
1165
01:15:43,389 --> 01:15:45,330
I think the results are great this month,
1166
01:15:45,331 --> 01:15:47,392
where you see the control at 28,
1167
01:15:47,393 --> 01:15:50,410
then all the treatment at 36-38
1168
01:15:51,600 --> 01:15:52,850
So, that seems great to me, you know ...
1169
01:15:52,914 --> 01:15:55,745
When you go from 28-37,
1170
01:15:56,021 --> 01:15:57,668
-Right -I mean you're talking about ...
1171
01:15:58,000 --> 01:15:59,919
... close to a 30% increase right?
1172
01:16:00,271 --> 01:16:03,282
So, seems like we are taking all the D kids to C
1173
01:16:03,283 --> 01:16:05,242
-and we're not doing anything for the E kids -Right
1174
01:16:06,070 --> 01:16:07,884
The question is the kids moved from D to C this year,
1175
01:16:07,885 --> 01:16:10,016
are they gonna have a better life?
1176
01:16:10,017 --> 01:16:13,634
-Right -I don't think we've the answer to that, overtime we'll find out ...
1177
01:16:13,635 --> 01:16:16,653
But I've definitely been surprised by how important ...
1178
01:16:16,654 --> 01:16:18,522
... how well the parents groups are doing that ...
1179
01:16:18,523 --> 01:16:21,174
... parents still make a difference in 9th grades it looks like.
1180
01:16:23,000 --> 01:16:24,683
Mom, I took a quiz on this book
1181
01:16:24,684 --> 01:16:27,718
the Maken TerryBerry book, I took a quiz on that
1182
01:16:27,719 --> 01:16:28,498
Did you read the book?
1183
01:16:28,499 --> 01:16:29,369
I read the book
1184
01:16:30,170 --> 01:16:30,465
Did you?
1185
01:16:30,466 --> 01:16:33,434
I read the book, I read the book, I read the book but I ...
1186
01:16:33,435 --> 01:16:34,808
-Did you READ the book? -Yes!
1187
01:16:34,809 --> 01:16:37,387
Cuz we have to search and read to find the answers
1188
01:16:37,388 --> 01:16:39,110
we have to read the book to find the answers
1189
01:16:39,111 --> 01:16:40,795
So, stop
1190
01:16:40,796 --> 01:16:44,374
Did you read the book or you just skim over the book?
1191
01:16:44,375 --> 01:16:47,222
... to find the answer to the question that you were looking for?
1192
01:16:47,498 --> 01:16:49,200
Because, there's a difference
1193
01:16:49,201 --> 01:16:51,529
We read it as a class, but when we took the test ...
1194
01:16:51,530 --> 01:16:53,841
he gives out the page and we have to look for the answers.
1195
01:16:54,220 --> 01:16:56,156
Did you read the book without the class?
1196
01:16:56,157 --> 01:17:00,597
Did you read the book from cover to cover?
1197
01:17:01,087 --> 01:17:03,295
-Not from cover to cover -So, you didn't read the book
1198
01:17:03,296 --> 01:17:05,053
-We have ... -You didn't read the book!
1199
01:17:05,864 --> 01:17:08,375
-We didn't ... -You didn't read the book
1200
01:17:08,376 --> 01:17:10,719
You didn't read the book from cover to cover,
1201
01:17:10,720 --> 01:17:14,785
outside of class, with no help, no instructions from your teacher
1202
01:17:14,786 --> 01:17:17,210
along with your classmate, you didn't read the book
1203
01:17:17,211 --> 01:17:18,733
that's why you failed the test.
1204
01:17:33,183 --> 01:17:37,450
Look, I made a tattoo gun out of toothbrush
1205
01:17:37,451 --> 01:17:39,678
and I was giving myself a tattoo in class
1206
01:17:39,679 --> 01:17:42,004
-You have a tattoo? -I'm giving it to myself
1207
01:17:42,382 --> 01:17:44,558
I only did like a little bit
1208
01:17:44,559 --> 01:17:45,982
I got to do it a lot better
1209
01:17:47,000 --> 01:17:49,080
I can't let them see cuz I'll get into trouble, but ...
1210
01:17:49,081 --> 01:17:52,421
I made it out of toothbrush, and then just turn it on
1211
01:17:52,422 --> 01:17:54,771
I made it out of guitar string
1212
01:18:00,000 --> 01:18:03,701
I don't think I'll take money for giving up my social life
1213
01:18:04,200 --> 01:18:05,866
I wanna be the class clown
1214
01:18:07,000 --> 01:18:09,000
I'm doing better cuz I went up 6% to ... almost a D
1215
01:18:25,000 --> 01:18:26,346
He always likes to be the class clown,
1216
01:18:26,347 --> 01:18:30,240
always likes get the laughing; impressing everybody around him
1217
01:18:30,241 --> 01:18:32,319
That could be his incentive
1218
01:18:33,000 --> 01:18:33,958
But you'd think that ...
1219
01:18:33,959 --> 01:18:37,297
to impress everybody around you, your grade will be with that too.
1220
01:18:39,574 --> 01:18:42,362
He's got something in the mail that showed the list of all his grades
1221
01:18:42,363 --> 01:18:43,255
E,E,E,E,E ...
1222
01:18:43,256 --> 01:18:46,500
and I said, oh he's enjoying 9th grade he's doing it again, so ...
1223
01:18:46,585 --> 01:18:48,870
Now what I need to do, is ...
1224
01:18:48,877 --> 01:18:51,983
... whenever he asks me for money now, he's not gonna get it.
1225
01:18:51,984 --> 01:18:53,148
End of story.
1226
01:18:53,149 --> 01:18:56,290
Yea. when the skateboard running out of wheels or getting bad ...
1227
01:18:56,291 --> 01:18:59,975
Well then, just grinding them down, or hit the books or soemthing
1228
01:19:20,000 --> 01:19:24,021
Urail, what does it mean to say a genotype is homozygous
1229
01:19:24,800 --> 01:19:29,064
-When all the "aline" are the same -When all of the Alios are the same
1230
01:19:33,000 --> 01:19:36,309
This is my last chance to win $500
1231
01:19:36,310 --> 01:19:40,214
I'm at the line, I'm splitting ... splitting a hair.
1232
01:19:45,000 --> 01:19:48,639
My brain's been going up and down. There's always something that'd distract me.
1233
01:19:50,000 --> 01:19:50,835
You know what I mean?!
1234
01:19:50,836 --> 01:19:54,945
What's distracting me was ... trying to be cool ...
1235
01:19:54,946 --> 01:19:58,208
... trying to keep up with the Johnsons basically.
1236
01:20:02,583 --> 01:20:05,600
ITE103
1237
01:20:14,500 --> 01:20:17,132
Congratulations, you made the standard achivement for the last month.
1238
01:20:22,000 --> 01:20:26,130
So, here's your report card and the bracelet.
1239
01:20:26,131 --> 01:20:28,018
Here's the front and here's the back.
1240
01:20:29,651 --> 01:20:30,609
Congratulations
1241
01:20:32,000 --> 01:20:33,579
Great grades.
1242
01:20:55,700 --> 01:20:59,273
If I fail, I'm done, I'm dropping out.
1243
01:21:00,500 --> 01:21:07,336
Army, marines, coast guard, go to Iraq or something like that. I've no clue.
1244
01:21:23,164 --> 01:21:25,000
-Urail King -Yes!
1245
01:21:36,600 --> 01:21:39,550
Take us home, Jekins
1246
01:21:44,000 --> 01:21:45,928
What are the final results are like?
1247
01:21:45,929 --> 01:21:52,349
Our program is getting 35-50% more students to pass 9th grade.
1248
01:21:52,350 --> 01:21:55,523
5-7% boost in 9th grade passing rates.
1249
01:21:55,524 --> 01:21:57,987
We sure expect a lot higher rates than that.
1250
01:21:58,815 --> 01:22:00,926
We hope for a lot higher rates than that.
1251
01:22:00,927 --> 01:22:04,354
If we give them $50k ... to pass the 9th grade ...
1252
01:22:05,395 --> 01:22:07,029
what share do you think would pass?
1253
01:22:07,616 --> 01:22:09,923
Would we move 10% of the kids? 20% of the kids?
1254
01:22:10,755 --> 01:22:11,397
All of them?
1255
01:22:11,700 --> 01:22:12,569
I don't know
1256
01:22:12,974 --> 01:22:17,365
I think we need to, attack the problem at a ... much younger age ...
1257
01:22:17,366 --> 01:22:21,024
the dollar will be better spent during the earlier years
1258
01:22:22,800 --> 01:22:23,925
So what are we going to do next year?
1259
01:22:23,926 --> 01:22:26,254
What about preschool, did they find a preschool yet?
1260
01:22:26,255 --> 01:22:30,160
Yea, we've got a few perschools lined up and they seem excited.
1261
01:22:31,076 --> 01:22:32,304
So, we're talking about preschoolers ...
1262
01:22:32,305 --> 01:22:35,025
are we talking about taking parenting out of the hands of parents?
1263
01:22:35,026 --> 01:22:37,636
Or teaching the parents how to parent? Or both?
1264
01:22:37,637 --> 01:22:39,134
It's a little bit of both.
1265
01:22:40,000 --> 01:22:41,248
That could be fun.
1266
01:22:45,800 --> 01:22:47,971
The way I see it, learning is like a virus.
1267
01:22:47,972 --> 01:22:51,494
a virus that most adolesents don't want to catch ...
1268
01:22:51,495 --> 01:22:52,939
... until later on in life.
1269
01:22:54,800 --> 01:22:56,100
Next year, I'm gonna be a sophomore.
1270
01:22:57,200 --> 01:23:00,888
I'm gonna tell you, I'm doing great and I'm getting As and Bs.
1271
01:23:02,200 --> 01:23:04,345
Next year when I'm gonna be a sophomore.
1272
01:23:05,897 --> 01:23:09,291
If not As and Bs then straight Bs ... or Bs and Cs.
1273
01:23:12,000 --> 01:23:14,874
Hey, that's difficult, that's not as easy as it looks.
1274
01:23:18,500 --> 01:23:20,094
I can promise you milk and cookies, but if ...
1275
01:23:20,095 --> 01:23:22,173
... the oven is broken then you just gonna get milk.
1276
01:23:27,350 --> 01:23:28,530
ITE104
1277
01:23:29,200 --> 01:23:33,670
Our incentives, unlike everyone else's, are to be honest ...
1278
01:23:33,671 --> 01:23:38,710
If we build our reputation on, we're honest about this issue, and other issues ....
1279
01:23:38,711 --> 01:23:41,618
... then people will believe us about everything.
1280
01:23:41,619 --> 01:23:44,843
The worst thing we could do, the only way we can ruin our reputation ...
1281
01:23:44,844 --> 01:23:46,897
... is by starting to take sides and fights.
1282
01:23:47,382 --> 01:23:53,958
This peculiar beast, which actually has the right incentives, you just seek the truth.
1283
01:23:54,527 --> 01:23:55,961
And not have an agenda.
1284
01:23:56,349 --> 01:23:59,203
So, I don't think, anything we've ever written or thought is gonna save ...
1285
01:23:59,204 --> 01:24:03,187
any lives really, or ... make people better or smarter anyway. But ...
1286
01:24:03,188 --> 01:24:07,656
... we kind of give people permission to challenge conventional wisdom sometimes ...
1287
01:24:08,000 --> 01:24:10,146
And ask a different kind of questions entirely ...
1288
01:24:10,147 --> 01:24:14,601
and a lot of times the sort of questions you ask his children,
1289
01:24:14,602 --> 01:24:17,823
and ah, people kind of chuckle at you.
1290
01:24:17,824 --> 01:24:19,756
But once in a while, they turn out to be rather good.
1291
01:24:19,757 --> 01:24:25,578
The problem is, as you get older, you ask them as adults in a meeting or friends,
1292
01:24:25,579 --> 01:24:29,061
they'll laugh at you hard and you stop entirely.
1293
01:24:29,062 --> 01:24:31,132
And we just kind of keep doing it.
1294
01:24:31,133 --> 01:24:34,800
We kind of say, what if this thing everybody think is so really isn't.
1295
01:24:35,470 --> 01:24:38,179
What if that didn't cause this, what if this cause it?
1296
01:24:38,673 --> 01:24:42,421
I think that's just need to be a lot more permission for people to think like that
1297
01:24:45,358 --> 01:24:46,856
Total bs, was't it?
1298
01:24:49,620 --> 01:24:51,000
-=End of movie=-
112987
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