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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:05,000 -= Subtitle Created By TreeHH QQ1744114159 =- 2 00:00:41,492 --> 00:00:42,492 So I wanna sell my home 3 00:00:42,493 --> 00:00:44,493 and I put on the market for 300,000 dollars 4 00:00:44,494 --> 00:00:45,494 It's a lovely home you have 5 00:00:47,223 --> 00:00:48,736 I'm the agent 6 00:00:50,171 --> 00:00:51,564 Alright so let me start over, that was my ... i'm sorry 7 00:00:53,914 --> 00:00:55,327 Alright I wanna sell my home 8 00:00:56,832 --> 00:00:59,004 I put on the market for 300,000 dollars 9 00:00:59,005 --> 00:01:02,071 I get an offer today for $290k 10 00:01:02,072 --> 00:01:04,072 The question is if I wait a week 11 00:01:04,073 --> 00:01:06,178 and get the offer for the full $300k 12 00:01:06,390 --> 00:01:08,565 Would I rather wait that week and get the full price? 13 00:01:08,566 --> 00:01:10,746 Or take the offer today for $290k 14 00:01:10,747 --> 00:01:12,049 Ah you want to take it now 15 00:01:12,050 --> 00:01:13,050 I'll be the real estate agent 16 00:01:13,051 --> 00:01:14,882 I'm telling you want to take it right now because 17 00:01:14,883 --> 00:01:18,491 because a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush... The market is starting to really soften up 18 00:01:18,492 --> 00:01:20,699 with these things you just can never tell 19 00:01:20,700 --> 00:01:23,774 If you get a good offer, I really think it's the right thing to take it 20 00:01:23,775 --> 00:01:27,049 And I'm not speaking out of self-interest cuz I'm the real estate agent 21 00:01:27,050 --> 00:01:29,024 and our interests are aligned 22 00:01:29,025 --> 00:01:30,025 cuz I'm getting a commission out of your sales 23 00:01:30,295 --> 00:01:32,006 I want you to get as much as you can for this house 24 00:01:32,007 --> 00:01:32,772 I really do 25 00:01:37,624 --> 00:01:39,209 When you think about the incentives 26 00:01:39,210 --> 00:01:40,652 that the current contract set up 27 00:01:40,653 --> 00:01:42,875 between the home seller and the agent 28 00:01:42,876 --> 00:01:45,100 representing them, they are not well alligned 29 00:01:45,101 --> 00:01:46,592 But can you ever prove that? 30 00:01:47,403 --> 00:01:50,852 Interestingly, if you look at the sales data on real estate agent own homes 31 00:01:50,853 --> 00:01:53,300 It's not their client's home when they sell their own homes 32 00:01:53,301 --> 00:01:56,287 They get more money than they sell the same home for their client 33 00:01:56,288 --> 00:01:58,464 Now why would that be? 34 00:01:58,500 --> 00:02:02,095 What we find in the data is that agent hold out for better price 35 00:02:02,096 --> 00:02:03,949 and leave their own homes on the market for longer 36 00:02:03,950 --> 00:02:05,417 an average for 10 days longer 37 00:02:05,418 --> 00:02:07,145 But when it comes to your house 38 00:02:07,146 --> 00:02:09,819 The agent has the incentive to sell right away 39 00:02:09,820 --> 00:02:13,539 Why? Cuz sometimes that $10k into his or her pocket 40 00:02:13,540 --> 00:02:15,932 -Only $150 -I only get $150 41 00:02:15,933 --> 00:02:19,329 Because if you take that $10k that goes to him 42 00:02:19,330 --> 00:02:22,142 6 percent goes to commission but that gets wacked up 43 00:02:22,143 --> 00:02:24,147 Half goes to the buyer's real estate agent 44 00:02:24,148 --> 00:02:26,190 So I get half of that six percent 45 00:02:26,191 --> 00:02:28,620 But then I have to kick back half of that to my agency 46 00:02:28,621 --> 00:02:30,672 So I only get one and a half percents 47 00:02:30,673 --> 00:02:34,618 So really, in order for me to help him gets the extra $10k 48 00:02:34,619 --> 00:02:36,702 I personally only gets $150 49 00:02:36,703 --> 00:02:38,329 But I have to work for an extra week 50 00:02:38,628 --> 00:02:39,961 I have to buy all the marketing 51 00:02:39,962 --> 00:02:43,039 I could be off to another client trying to get another whole commission on another house 52 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,350 So I have a strong incentive to say to him this is a great offer 53 00:02:46,351 --> 00:02:48,127 It's the best offer you can get 54 00:02:48,128 --> 00:02:49,528 I really think you should take it 55 00:02:49,529 --> 00:02:53,443 So no matter what the real estate agency says 56 00:02:53,444 --> 00:02:54,763 I would rather wait a week 57 00:02:54,764 --> 00:02:57,264 and pick up the extra $10k 58 00:02:57,265 --> 00:02:58,690 The agent wouldn't 59 00:02:58,691 --> 00:03:00,654 It's not that real estate agents are bad 60 00:03:00,655 --> 00:03:04,326 It's just that they're human beings and human beings repsond to incentives 61 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:06,439 If there's only one element 62 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,883 that I say is that almost everything we do 63 00:03:09,884 --> 00:03:11,620 is the idea that incentives matter 64 00:03:11,621 --> 00:03:13,445 and if you can figure out what people's incentives are 65 00:03:13,446 --> 00:03:15,737 you have a good chance to guessing how they're gonna pay it 66 00:04:33,590 --> 00:04:37,496 New prents look at successful families and successful parents 67 00:04:37,497 --> 00:04:39,657 and they just want to copy them and so they try to do the things 68 00:04:39,658 --> 00:04:43,471 they think that they did to get their families so smart and good and whatever 69 00:04:43,472 --> 00:04:47,951 which is really just a ... can be a bad mistake of correlation cuase isolagi 70 00:04:47,952 --> 00:04:53,158 You're gonna take your kid to ... you know ... every mommy and me music class 71 00:04:53,159 --> 00:04:58,067 and you gonna take him to the museum and start looking at all the dreaken roman sculptures 72 00:04:58,068 --> 00:05:02,458 you probably already playing mozart in the worm to get the brain really stimulated 73 00:05:02,459 --> 00:05:05,407 and it turns out; that the best that we can tell 74 00:05:05,408 --> 00:05:09,093 from looking at data of actual parents and children along these dimensions 75 00:05:09,094 --> 00:05:10,761 that that stuffs don't really matters 76 00:05:10,762 --> 00:05:13,924 that it just dones't make your child...better 77 00:05:13,925 --> 00:05:17,660 so it might make you happier, might even make 'em happier, might also make 'em miserable 78 00:05:17,661 --> 00:05:20,609 but it turns out that those are not causo-elements 79 00:05:22,621 --> 00:05:25,072 I always said you can teach a kid just as much as in a grocery store 80 00:05:25,073 --> 00:05:27,175 you can as in a museum, maybe more 81 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,021 My entire academic life 82 00:05:31,022 --> 00:05:35,080 has been devoted to figuring out tricky ways to get a cause-eality 83 00:05:35,081 --> 00:05:37,492 because the world just doesn't offer you a cause-eality 84 00:05:37,493 --> 00:05:39,259 okay, what you see in the world is correlation 85 00:05:39,260 --> 00:05:42,751 So what the world gives you is - things are moving together or they aren't 86 00:05:42,752 --> 00:05:44,895 But to be useful, you need to dive down 87 00:05:44,896 --> 00:05:47,839 be able to strip away what's causing what, what's not causing what 88 00:05:47,840 --> 00:05:49,328 The data we looked at 89 00:05:49,329 --> 00:05:52,714 suggests that, by the time you actually have a kid 90 00:05:52,715 --> 00:05:55,348 most of the choices that you make will make you a good parent 91 00:05:55,349 --> 00:05:56,500 you've already made them. 92 00:05:56,501 --> 00:05:59,126 So if you go to the bookstore and buy 10 parenting books, 93 00:05:59,127 --> 00:06:02,826 It's probably not really gonna help the kid that much 94 00:06:02,827 --> 00:06:04,967 But the fact is that you are the kind of person 95 00:06:04,968 --> 00:06:09,320 who as a parent cares enough to buy 10 parenting books even if you dont' read 'em. 96 00:06:09,325 --> 00:06:10,734 That probably means you are a pretty good parent 97 00:06:10,735 --> 00:06:13,937 Just don't think the books are gonna have a magic effect 98 00:06:34,046 --> 00:06:37,503 Ah parents, we wanna believe so much that everything we do 99 00:06:37,504 --> 00:06:39,756 is going to make a difference in our children's lives. 100 00:06:40,804 --> 00:06:43,861 What they eat, where they go to school, who they hang out with 101 00:06:43,862 --> 00:06:46,410 But before any of that takes place, 102 00:06:46,411 --> 00:06:50,149 parents are confronted wth the one single ominous decision 103 00:06:50,150 --> 00:06:53,669 that could shape the entirety of their children's future 104 00:06:53,670 --> 00:06:57,386 what is going to be their name?! 105 00:07:06,490 --> 00:07:09,922 These days, there's an entire industry devoted to naming your baby. 106 00:07:09,923 --> 00:07:12,165 And business is booming 107 00:07:12,894 --> 00:07:15,460 There's magazines, books, websites 108 00:07:15,461 --> 00:07:18,711 There's even high profile baby naming experts. 109 00:07:18,712 --> 00:07:20,760 I'm a baby name expert 110 00:07:20,761 --> 00:07:24,584 I study names, I ask the parents how they choose names for their children 111 00:07:24,585 --> 00:07:26,552 and I look at how names are changing, 112 00:07:26,553 --> 00:07:29,436 because baby names are changing today faster than ever before. 113 00:07:29,712 --> 00:07:33,778 Names are important, because they have a lot to do with your family, your heritage. 114 00:07:34,035 --> 00:07:37,210 Names represent huge, you know what I mean, street creditbility all of that. 115 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:41,073 Names are definitely a big part of meeting someone 116 00:07:41,370 --> 00:07:44,001 A name can make you popular, and a legend. 117 00:07:44,443 --> 00:07:50,292 Without a name, u're nobody you've got to have a name. It tells your whole identity. 118 00:07:50,293 --> 00:07:52,501 But just how important can name really be? 119 00:07:53,375 --> 00:07:55,286 I mean, unless you're Rockefella or Gates 120 00:07:55,287 --> 00:07:56,287 Can your name have some sort of magical power over your entire destiny? 121 00:08:03,372 --> 00:08:05,720 Not convinced? What about the following stories? 122 00:08:05,721 --> 00:08:08,426 Once upon a time, there was a young mother who thought 123 00:08:08,427 --> 00:08:12,699 she was naming her daughter after her favorite actress on the Cosby show 124 00:08:12,700 --> 00:08:16,542 The smart and firery Tempestt Bledsoe 125 00:08:16,543 --> 00:08:18,899 This is the most humiliating moment of my entire life 126 00:08:18,900 --> 00:08:21,051 and there had been many 127 00:08:21,052 --> 00:08:23,813 But having never seen the way it was spelled 128 00:08:23,814 --> 00:08:27,212 The young mother mistakenly named her new born daughter 129 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:29,307 Temptress 130 00:08:30,854 --> 00:08:33,276 Well, little Ms. Temptress didn't have an easy life growing up 131 00:08:34,164 --> 00:08:36,090 -I don't even know -What do you mean? 132 00:08:37,151 --> 00:08:39,892 As a teenager, she became sexually promiscuous 133 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:43,859 Got into a whole bunch of trouble 134 00:08:43,860 --> 00:08:44,687 Back here you little shit 135 00:08:44,688 --> 00:08:46,517 That's right. I better not let me catch you 136 00:08:49,222 --> 00:08:50,817 And ended up in court 137 00:08:51,300 --> 00:08:52,151 All Rise! 138 00:08:52,832 --> 00:08:54,397 Leaving the judge to ask her mother 139 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:59,108 Is young temptress just living up to the expectation of her name? 140 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:02,153 Was that just one little misplaced 'T' and 'R' 141 00:09:02,154 --> 00:09:05,518 all that stood the life of ease and huxtable success, 142 00:09:05,519 --> 00:09:09,235 verses those long hard days in court ... and 'juvie' 143 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:19,422 Harvard professor Dr. Roland Fryer was determined to find out just that 144 00:09:20,300 --> 00:09:22,218 What happened to Temptress has NOTHING 145 00:09:22,219 --> 00:09:25,772 to do with her name, has everything to do with where she grew up 146 00:09:25,773 --> 00:09:28,857 It turns out, Temptress grew up in a poor black neighborhood 147 00:09:28,858 --> 00:09:31,992 The kind of neighborhood Dr. Fryer has been studying for years 148 00:09:32,827 --> 00:09:35,993 As a world leading renowned economist and an leading expert on race in America 149 00:09:35,994 --> 00:09:38,444 Fryer has been long been interested in what he calls 150 00:09:38,445 --> 00:09:39,944 Cultural Segregation 151 00:09:39,945 --> 00:09:43,155 The gap between White Culture and Black Culture 152 00:09:43,700 --> 00:09:45,242 One embodiment of that culture is 153 00:09:45,243 --> 00:09:46,416 what you name your kid 154 00:09:46,417 --> 00:09:50,760 is probably one of the few cultural items that we can really measure 155 00:09:50,882 --> 00:09:51,400 precisely 156 00:09:51,401 --> 00:09:55,132 What we did was we looked at the effects of your kid's first name 157 00:09:55,133 --> 00:09:56,977 on their life outcomes 158 00:09:56,978 --> 00:10:01,664 Dr. Fryer analyzed the naming records of every baby born in the states of California 159 00:10:01,665 --> 00:10:03,029 over the last forty years 160 00:10:03,030 --> 00:10:05,934 and those names tell an unmistakable story 161 00:10:05,935 --> 00:10:09,711 African American parents are more likely than any other ethnic group 162 00:10:00,987 --> 00:10:11,620 to give their children unique names 163 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:14,147 There is definitely a distinction between names ... 164 00:10:14,148 --> 00:10:16,040 ... for white people and names for black people 165 00:10:16,330 --> 00:10:20,698 Black names will be Molique, JAQuan, NayShan, Naheem 166 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:25,853 -TaSha and Shamika -Shaniqua and NaShan and KayShan 167 00:10:26,071 --> 00:10:28,778 I know this girl, her name is "treasure", TREZURE 168 00:10:28,779 --> 00:10:31,299 struck me as typically that's more like an african american name 169 00:10:31,500 --> 00:10:36,905 I like the names that begin with SHA, like Shaheem, Shahee, Shamur 170 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:38,149 Shakeem, ShaKoor 171 00:10:38,700 --> 00:10:40,275 You know - Oprah. It's popular 172 00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:43,276 It was actually in the fifties 173 00:10:43,277 --> 00:10:45,223 and the early sisties that we saw 174 00:10:45,224 --> 00:10:49,351 huge overlaps in the naming patterns of blacks and whites 175 00:10:49,352 --> 00:10:51,731 So people name their kids John and Michael 176 00:10:51,732 --> 00:10:52,732 and names like that 177 00:10:52,733 --> 00:10:57,829 And what you saw was around 19 ... in the 1968 or so 178 00:10:57,830 --> 00:10:59,639 kind of the black power movement actually 179 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:01,734 you saw distinct biofabrication 180 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:05,404 with black names getting more disctinctively black 181 00:11:05,405 --> 00:11:06,844 and a lot of them are islamic names 182 00:11:06,845 --> 00:11:09,700 Because the black power movement is about identity - who are we? 183 00:11:09,701 --> 00:11:11,586 Who are you? Are you part of us? 184 00:11:12,625 --> 00:11:16,047 It wasn't until the late 80s and 90s that we started to get 185 00:11:16,048 --> 00:11:19,486 you know, kind of the ... made up, concatenated names 186 00:11:19,487 --> 00:11:20,487 that you see now 187 00:11:20,488 --> 00:11:24,701 This is generation today, they saw the change the whole name change concept 188 00:11:24,702 --> 00:11:29,065 they have names that are 30 letters long you know 189 00:11:29,700 --> 00:11:32,623 Everybody try to do something, um ... how do you say, unique 190 00:11:32,624 --> 00:11:35,400 they try to name their kids over something different you know 191 00:11:35,401 --> 00:11:41,982 We had 228 unique versions of the name "Unique" 192 00:11:41,983 --> 00:11:43,516 Again, my favorite was ... 193 00:11:43,517 --> 00:11:45,432 UNEQQEE 194 00:11:45,433 --> 00:11:46,715 another one of my favorite was 195 00:11:46,716 --> 00:11:48,514 UNEEK 196 00:11:48,515 --> 00:11:52,546 ah ... so there are a lot of people trying to be unique 197 00:11:52,547 --> 00:11:55,099 So what happened to all these uniquely named kids? 198 00:11:56,310 --> 00:11:58,361 Kids like poor little temptress 199 00:11:58,362 --> 00:12:02,000 I think it's not the name that's doing the damage to temptress 200 00:12:02,001 --> 00:12:04,484 It's that they grow up in the type of situation 201 00:12:04,485 --> 00:12:06,715 where someone would name their kids Temptress 202 00:12:06,716 --> 00:12:08,739 The person would actually names their kids that 203 00:12:08,740 --> 00:12:10,001 probably has a host of other issues 204 00:12:10,002 --> 00:12:12,734 that are influcing their kids' lifetime outcomes 205 00:12:12,735 --> 00:12:14,197 Not just the name itself 206 00:12:14,198 --> 00:12:15,430 What kinds of issues? 207 00:12:15,431 --> 00:12:18,084 Let's look at a boy with the most studied white name 208 00:12:18,455 --> 00:12:21,706 and a boy with the most studied african american name 209 00:12:21,707 --> 00:12:24,831 The person who gives their kid a distinctively biased name 210 00:12:24,832 --> 00:12:26,636 on average is more likely 211 00:12:26,637 --> 00:12:28,718 to live in poverty 212 00:12:28,719 --> 00:12:32,967 and to be kind of on the lower wrongs of the socio-economic ladder 213 00:12:32,968 --> 00:12:35,552 You see, this is where Jake lives 214 00:12:35,553 --> 00:12:38,108 and this is where Deshawn lives 215 00:12:40,201 --> 00:12:44,694 The schools are not functiong - the teachers in those shcools aren't the same quality 216 00:12:44,695 --> 00:12:46,228 as would be in Jake's neighborhood 217 00:12:46,229 --> 00:12:50,341 In those neighborhoods, 80% of the households are female headed only 218 00:12:50,342 --> 00:12:53,872 and what we found is that, names don't matter so much 219 00:12:53,873 --> 00:12:55,904 they type of mother you have, the type of family you have 220 00:12:55,905 --> 00:12:56,905 the type of community you grow up in 221 00:12:56,906 --> 00:12:58,397 those things matter a lot 222 00:12:58,398 --> 00:13:00,510 but what they name you, just doesn't matter 223 00:13:00,511 --> 00:13:02,409 So name doesn't define your destiny? 224 00:13:04,675 --> 00:13:07,256 Maybe if you name someone destiny, I don't know 225 00:13:07,257 --> 00:13:12,540 But ... No. I mean your name doesn't define your desinty 226 00:13:13,935 --> 00:13:15,411 A name may not define your destiny 227 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:18,014 But it can dictate the ways other people perceive you 228 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,869 Meet Harvard professor Dr. Sendhil Mullainathan 229 00:13:21,870 --> 00:13:23,781 I'm very familiar with Roland Fryer's work 230 00:13:23,782 --> 00:13:26,296 We both worked on the impact of names 231 00:13:26,297 --> 00:13:28,478 I think Roland has emphasized that 232 00:13:28,479 --> 00:13:31,134 people who choose names that are very black are different 233 00:13:31,135 --> 00:13:33,668 from other people that choose names that are not very black 234 00:13:33,669 --> 00:13:36,240 whereas, we emphasize that holding everything else cosntant 235 00:13:36,241 --> 00:13:39,673 that people who end up with very black names are treated very differently 236 00:13:39,674 --> 00:13:42,810 We know that in the data African Americans earn a lot less 237 00:13:42,811 --> 00:13:44,897 We are interested in how much of that earning less 238 00:13:44,898 --> 00:13:46,807 is simply they find it harder to get a job 239 00:13:46,808 --> 00:13:51,080 are all African Americans treated very differently in the labor market than whites 240 00:13:51,081 --> 00:13:53,612 Dr. Mullaninathan conducted his own study 241 00:13:53,613 --> 00:13:55,539 This time in Boston and Chicago 242 00:13:55,540 --> 00:13:58,532 What we did is we made up 5,000 resumes 243 00:13:58,533 --> 00:14:01,555 Half of them we put an African American name, half of them we put a White name 244 00:14:01,556 --> 00:14:04,239 Otherwise, the resumes were the same. And we send them out 245 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:07,164 And we said, which gets callback more? 246 00:14:07,165 --> 00:14:11,558 What we found was that the same resume when it had an African American name 247 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:16,868 was about 33% less likely to get an interview than it had a white name 248 00:14:16,869 --> 00:14:20,386 It means that, if a White person searching for jobs for 10 weeks 249 00:14:20,387 --> 00:14:24,822 an equivalent skilled African American will search for 15 weeks 250 00:14:24,823 --> 00:14:27,269 and those are 5 long weeks if you were unemployed 251 00:14:28,195 --> 00:14:29,581 You can judge somebody by their names 252 00:14:29,582 --> 00:14:31,060 It's not right, but people do it 253 00:14:31,090 --> 00:14:34,215 They assume that, just because your name is Monique 254 00:14:34,216 --> 00:14:36,824 or your name is LaVongue,or Shenanig, or that 255 00:14:36,825 --> 00:14:39,749 that you're African American and you are not qualified because 256 00:14:39,750 --> 00:14:42,767 your name has an ethnicity to it. 257 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,416 One time, there was a girl name LaKeisha talked on the phone 258 00:14:46,417 --> 00:14:50,551 and I thought she was black but when I met her I was totally shocked that 259 00:14:50,552 --> 00:14:52,068 she was a white southern girl 260 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:54,158 When I picture LaShandra, yea she's black 261 00:14:54,613 --> 00:14:58,189 The names we used in our studies were names like Lakisha, Jamal, Tyrone 262 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:00,000 Based on the results, it raises a question 263 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:03,083 I'm an African American parent, I'm thinking naming my child 264 00:15:03,084 --> 00:15:06,338 Tyrone sounds like a very good name, I might have a grand father named Tyrone 265 00:15:06,339 --> 00:15:07,931 Should I name my child Tyrone? 266 00:15:10,378 --> 00:15:14,563 Yes, name your kid Tyrone, you've made it harder for him in the labor market 267 00:15:14,564 --> 00:15:17,468 On the other hand, should you give in to that? 268 00:15:17,469 --> 00:15:20,815 Should I give in to the prevailing norm, or should I express my individuality? 269 00:15:20,816 --> 00:15:22,307 as I want 270 00:15:23,500 --> 00:15:25,200 It's a bit of an ethical quandary 271 00:15:25,301 --> 00:15:28,648 My friend got a drug dealer named Tyrone and I assume it's a black guy 272 00:15:28,990 --> 00:15:32,115 Todd is a white name, Tyrone is a black name 273 00:15:32,420 --> 00:15:34,406 I mean that's sort of how it goes, right? 274 00:15:34,902 --> 00:15:36,713 You might choose a distinctively black name 275 00:15:36,714 --> 00:15:38,942 as a way to signal something about yourself 276 00:15:38,943 --> 00:15:40,822 and about your commitment to the black community 277 00:15:40,823 --> 00:15:45,157 and that's the way to show other African Americans look I am really black 278 00:15:45,158 --> 00:15:48,087 and I think there're distinctively black names already tell you 279 00:15:48,088 --> 00:15:52,143 that there's a cultrual divide at some core, visible, noticeable level 280 00:15:52,144 --> 00:15:54,778 and we see it sometimes in clothings, we see it in names 281 00:15:54,779 --> 00:15:58,344 and in fact that's true, there're quite a few distinctively white names 282 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,678 names like Emily, Brandon, ... ah ... 283 00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:05,862 ... forgetting what those ... if you give me a minute I can count the others 284 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,447 White names are like Sarah, Megan 285 00:16:08,650 --> 00:16:09,688 Mariah, Mary 286 00:16:09,850 --> 00:16:10,400 Billy 287 00:16:10,450 --> 00:16:11,810 Beckys, Johns 288 00:16:11,890 --> 00:16:12,755 Tadd 289 00:16:12,770 --> 00:16:13,750 Joe, Mike 290 00:16:13,751 --> 00:16:15,000 Ryan, Sam 291 00:16:15,100 --> 00:16:15,682 Chester 292 00:16:15,851 --> 00:16:18,167 My brother and I were talking about how we have white sounding names 293 00:16:18,168 --> 00:16:19,626 He's Abner, I'm Harper 294 00:16:19,770 --> 00:16:23,968 Stone, Stone Phillips, that's like perfectly sutited for a white guy 295 00:16:23,969 --> 00:16:25,800 that's the best white guy name you can have. 296 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:29,519 We live in different cultures and your name is largely determined by your culture 297 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:34,300 and the difference in the incident of LaKeysha among African Americans vs. white 298 00:16:34,301 --> 00:16:36,898 might be a good way to understand how truely there are 299 00:16:36,899 --> 00:16:39,837 different culutures African American inhabit and white inhabit 300 00:16:40,649 --> 00:16:43,340 Today, there is more evidence than ever that the cultures we come from 301 00:16:43,341 --> 00:16:45,137 influence the names we choose 302 00:16:45,138 --> 00:16:47,176 Just ask the baby naming expert 303 00:16:47,177 --> 00:16:48,202 More and more today, 304 00:16:48,203 --> 00:16:51,880 you see parents choosing a namealmost as if launching a product 305 00:16:51,881 --> 00:16:54,334 that you're tryint to position a child 306 00:16:54,335 --> 00:16:57,453 for the best chance of success in the global market place 307 00:16:57,894 --> 00:17:00,020 So in an oversaturated market place 308 00:17:00,021 --> 00:17:02,080 which names garner the most attention? 309 00:17:02,081 --> 00:17:04,512 Are some names destined for the top self, 310 00:17:04,513 --> 00:17:06,522 while the others are headed for the bargain basement? 311 00:17:06,523 --> 00:17:09,123 Let's take a look at the two product lines 312 00:17:09,124 --> 00:17:12,710 Turns out, there is a such a thing as a knock off name 313 00:17:14,921 --> 00:17:18,343 The top 5 middle class white girls names from Fryer's studies are: 314 00:17:18,344 --> 00:17:20,144 (in order of popularity) 315 00:17:20,145 --> 00:17:24,948 Ashley, Lauren, Jessica, Emily and Sarah 316 00:17:24,949 --> 00:17:28,036 While the top 5 lower income white girls names are: 317 00:17:28,037 --> 00:17:32,844 Brittney, Samantha, Amanda, Jessica and Ashley 318 00:17:32,845 --> 00:17:35,246 So what happens to Ashleys?! 319 00:17:35,247 --> 00:17:38,052 She's fast loosing popularity in the middle class list 320 00:17:38,053 --> 00:17:41,069 But she's no.1 in the WalMart crowd 321 00:17:41,070 --> 00:17:44,199 As those wealthier folks see their names popping up everywhere 322 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,123 they quickly discard them in favor of less merchandise 323 00:17:47,712 --> 00:17:48,799 And just like that, 324 00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:53,657 Today's high end Ashley, becomes tomorrow's low rent Trashley 325 00:17:56,047 --> 00:17:58,176 On the lower strung of the ladder, 326 00:17:58,177 --> 00:18:00,835 are the names that most signify lower class parents. 327 00:18:01,111 --> 00:18:05,174 Like Misty, Destiny, Bobbi, Brandy or Cyndi 328 00:18:05,697 --> 00:18:07,043 Now if you are over 40 329 00:18:07,044 --> 00:18:10,223 and actually remember a time these names did't belong up here on stage 330 00:18:10,353 --> 00:18:11,234 You're right! 331 00:18:11,235 --> 00:18:14,671 Years ago, these names wouldn't be caught dead in a place like this 332 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,849 But the years have not been kind to a name like Bobbi 333 00:18:18,850 --> 00:18:22,446 And even though she once was at the top of the social-economic ladder 334 00:18:22,447 --> 00:18:25,795 Today, she's just clinging to her former glory 335 00:18:27,977 --> 00:18:30,294 Please don't name your kid Barbie or Bambi or 336 00:18:30,295 --> 00:18:34,528 anything like that, they might end up being a dancer one day because of it 337 00:18:34,529 --> 00:18:34,604 And if you do end up with a name that's bound for stripperdom 338 00:18:34,605 --> 00:18:38,889 at least you can change it 339 00:18:38,890 --> 00:18:41,152 I mean, hey, it works in Hollywood 340 00:18:41,518 --> 00:18:45,997 Think about it, would John Wayne has been as tough if his name is Marion Morrison? 341 00:18:46,592 --> 00:18:50,990 Would we think Marilyn Monroe as beautiful if her name was still Norma Jean? 342 00:18:51,510 --> 00:18:56,219 And would we think as Ice Cube rocking the crowd if his name is still O'Shea Jackson 343 00:18:58,050 --> 00:19:01,299 Actually, I always wanted to change my names to Max Powers 344 00:19:01,300 --> 00:19:06,300 cuz it seems like a name that everybody like once they hear that they're like 345 00:19:06,301 --> 00:19:07,762 this guy must be really cool 346 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,880 I want to change my name when I was younger, I never liked it 347 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:15,210 If my name was, um, Henry O'Barma 348 00:19:15,211 --> 00:19:16,546 You know what I mean? 349 00:19:16,547 --> 00:19:18,583 I think that would mean something to people 350 00:19:18,584 --> 00:19:20,615 and I would have more doors opened for me 351 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,524 I did want to change it but now I'm sort of cool with it 352 00:19:23,525 --> 00:19:24,630 You just sort of like 353 00:19:24,631 --> 00:19:28,352 jumps on your back and rides along with you through life you know 354 00:19:28,900 --> 00:19:32,460 As much as you may hate your name, at least your dad isn't this guy 355 00:19:32,461 --> 00:19:33,771 Meet Robert Lane 356 00:19:33,772 --> 00:19:37,681 He has two sons. He named his first son Winner. 357 00:19:37,682 --> 00:19:42,007 3 years later, he named his next son Loser 358 00:19:43,038 --> 00:19:46,864 So Winner and Loser Lane set off in the world to claim their destinies 359 00:19:46,865 --> 00:19:47,704 And what happened? 360 00:19:47,705 --> 00:19:50,588 Well, Loser went to prep school on a scholarship 361 00:19:50,589 --> 00:19:53,952 Graduated from college, joined the NYPD 362 00:19:53,953 --> 00:19:56,923 and eventually became a detective. And then, a sergeant 363 00:19:56,924 --> 00:19:58,217 He goes by Lou now 364 00:19:58,413 --> 00:19:59,409 And his brother? 365 00:19:59,410 --> 00:20:00,193 Well, the most note worthy achievement of Winner Lane is 366 00:20:00,194 --> 00:20:03,752 the sheer length of his criminal record 367 00:20:03,753 --> 00:20:06,178 Nearly 3 dozen arrests for burglary, 368 00:20:06,179 --> 00:20:09,183 domestic violence, trespassing and other mayhem 369 00:20:09,772 --> 00:20:12,275 Is there one name that you can give a kid that 370 00:20:12,276 --> 00:20:14,114 guaranteer that won't become screwed up? 371 00:20:16,500 --> 00:20:17,025 No 372 00:20:18,518 --> 00:20:21,521 Sorry, there's not one name that you can give a kid that 373 00:20:21,522 --> 00:20:23,140 guaranteer they won't become a screw up 374 00:20:23,149 --> 00:20:26,279 And there's not one name that you can give a kid that 375 00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:27,960 guaranteer they will become a success 376 00:20:27,961 --> 00:20:31,678 You know, it is a crab-shoot when it comes to names 377 00:20:31,690 --> 00:20:32,762 I don't think there's any name 378 00:20:32,763 --> 00:20:35,132 that can guaranteer success, at least none that we found 379 00:20:35,625 --> 00:20:36,574 The world is full of ... 380 00:20:36,575 --> 00:20:39,189 ... excellent people and terrible people with all sorts of names 381 00:20:39,190 --> 00:20:43,237 The vast majority of the reason people choose is left unexplained 382 00:20:43,238 --> 00:20:46,244 It's like, why did you choose your child's name? 383 00:20:46,875 --> 00:20:47,956 Sounded nice 384 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,936 Who really knows what parents are thinking when they choose a name 385 00:20:51,937 --> 00:20:55,095 Maybe your parents went with something traditional 386 00:20:55,601 --> 00:20:57,181 Or something bohemian 387 00:20:57,900 --> 00:20:59,207 Something unique 388 00:20:59,956 --> 00:21:01,722 Or something perfectly trendy 389 00:21:03,098 --> 00:21:05,143 And maybe your parents didn't have the best taste 390 00:21:05,144 --> 00:21:07,175 and you can't stand your names 391 00:21:07,176 --> 00:21:09,546 Or maybe, they got it just right 392 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,297 Actually, my name means intelligent hero 393 00:21:12,298 --> 00:21:15,505 So, that describes me to the fullest 394 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,222 I was actually named after a horse . My dad is a horse trainer. 395 00:21:18,500 --> 00:21:21,611 My middle name is comfort, because an angel came down to comfort my mother 396 00:21:21,612 --> 00:21:23,534 and told her she's gonna have a daughter with dark hair 397 00:21:23,535 --> 00:21:25,600 and blue eyes who would be a great comfort to her 398 00:21:25,701 --> 00:21:29,209 The prophet Mohammed 399 00:21:29,410 --> 00:21:31,296 My name says that I'm named after my grand father 400 00:21:31,297 --> 00:21:33,449 who was named after his great grandfather 401 00:21:33,450 --> 00:21:34,719 that was it says 402 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,843 In the end, most parents just want the best for their children 403 00:21:38,844 --> 00:21:42,555 and if they believe a particular name they give can give their kid the extra edge 404 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:44,323 Then why not?! 405 00:21:44,978 --> 00:21:45,324 I mean who konws? 406 00:21:46,651 --> 00:21:47,873 It just might work 407 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:55,856 CHEATING 408 00:21:55,857 --> 00:22:00,689 As W.C. Fields once said, "A thing worth having, is worth cheating for." 409 00:22:00,690 --> 00:22:02,845 Or as Mark Grace of the Chicago Cubs once said 410 00:22:02,846 --> 00:22:04,729 "If you ain't cheating, you aint trying." 411 00:22:06,545 --> 00:22:10,207 Everybody understands why a kid would want to cheat on SATs right? 412 00:22:10,208 --> 00:22:11,884 They have huge gains of ... 413 00:22:11,885 --> 00:22:16,427 get into Harvard and have a good life as a result of cheating on a test 414 00:22:16,428 --> 00:22:19,109 What's hard to think is why would a teacher cheat? 415 00:22:19,110 --> 00:22:20,153 for a kid on a test 416 00:22:20,154 --> 00:22:23,842 And, when you go to Chicago and goes back a few years ago 417 00:22:23,843 --> 00:22:26,477 We find that lots and lots of teachers were cheating 418 00:22:26,478 --> 00:22:27,478 Why would they cheat? 419 00:22:27,479 --> 00:22:29,597 Well, because there was tremendous pressures on the teachers 420 00:22:29,598 --> 00:22:33,865 to produce high test scores so their schools wouldn't get into troubles 421 00:22:36,282 --> 00:22:40,149 First of all, to a very expedient ... to go to the end of the test 422 00:22:40,150 --> 00:22:42,221 Cuz at the end of the test, a lot of the kids've left them blank 423 00:22:42,222 --> 00:22:44,416 So instead of having to erase something and fill it back in, 424 00:22:44,417 --> 00:22:46,100 you can just fill in the answers 425 00:22:46,101 --> 00:22:47,622 It might look kind offunny 426 00:22:47,623 --> 00:22:49,949 cuz how often would kids take a test 427 00:22:49,950 --> 00:22:52,316 and they answered the first 20 questions, 428 00:22:52,317 --> 00:22:55,888 leave 17 questions blank, and then fill in the last 8 questions 429 00:22:55,889 --> 00:22:57,440 maybe be even a little funnier when 430 00:22:57,441 --> 00:23:00,099 they fill out the last 8 questions and they all all the questions right 431 00:23:00,100 --> 00:23:03,096 and those happens to be the hardest quesitons on the exam 432 00:23:03,097 --> 00:23:04,120 THE EVIDENCE 433 00:23:04,925 --> 00:23:05,121 When I got the data from this guy from public school 434 00:23:05,122 --> 00:23:11,671 I mean we are talking about millions and millions of answers 435 00:23:11,672 --> 00:23:14,469 thousands of kids, over years and years 436 00:23:14,470 --> 00:23:17,231 and I looked at the data, I couldn't see anything. 437 00:23:17,232 --> 00:23:18,595 How can you see anything?! 438 00:23:18,596 --> 00:23:22,306 If you can think like a teacher who cheats, and look again at the sea of data 439 00:23:22,307 --> 00:23:23,982 These patterns come to light 440 00:23:23,983 --> 00:23:28,509 Patterns, which are suttle. Burried under mounts and mounts of data 441 00:23:28,510 --> 00:23:31,431 When looked at through the varied length, suddenly 442 00:23:31,432 --> 00:23:34,176 It just as clear as day. And when you know what to look for 443 00:23:34,177 --> 00:23:36,596 You can't help but say it has to be cheating 444 00:23:36,597 --> 00:23:40,822 What he's really good at, is pretend he's a cheater 445 00:23:40,823 --> 00:23:43,584 a criminal, a thief, a cheat, all these things because 446 00:23:43,585 --> 00:23:46,773 cuz really he's not far from it; I mean if you really think about what an economist is 447 00:23:46,774 --> 00:23:50,354 the line between an economist and criminal is terribly thin 448 00:23:50,355 --> 00:23:52,472 -And what about journalists? -Um, no line 449 00:23:53,646 --> 00:23:56,716 Because he can put himself in the shoes of someone 450 00:23:56,717 --> 00:23:59,095 who would behave criminally or who's a cheater 451 00:23:59,096 --> 00:24:02,396 then you can back up the process and reverse engineer it 452 00:24:02,397 --> 00:24:03,765 And that's what you have to do. 453 00:24:03,766 --> 00:24:07,035 Because unless you are in the room with cheaters, it's really hard to catch them 454 00:24:08,033 --> 00:24:11,916 It's not that some people cheat at every second or some people never cheat 455 00:24:11,917 --> 00:24:13,955 We all cheat sometimes and others 456 00:24:13,956 --> 00:24:15,598 Everyone got their own moral encompass 457 00:24:15,599 --> 00:24:17,292 to determine what they'll do and what they won't do 458 00:25:36,838 --> 00:25:41,054 Economic tries to be a pure science in an impure world 459 00:25:41,055 --> 00:25:44,945 Economists imagine men and women are rational actors 460 00:25:44,946 --> 00:25:48,321 In a market place that hides nothing from buyers and sellers 461 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,654 But what happens to market when people cheat? 462 00:25:53,515 --> 00:25:55,537 10 years I've been interested in cheating 463 00:25:55,538 --> 00:25:57,911 and I was in Washington DC 464 00:25:57,912 --> 00:26:00,262 I remember just seeing a little blur in the Washington Post 465 00:26:00,263 --> 00:26:03,800 that said there have been allegations of cheatings in Sumo Wrestling 466 00:26:04,452 --> 00:26:05,810 My view has always been, 467 00:26:05,817 --> 00:26:07,789 if some insiders come forward and say there's cheating, 468 00:26:07,849 --> 00:26:09,351 probably there's something to it 469 00:26:09,875 --> 00:26:14,626 If you had said, where is a sport where you would not find cheating 470 00:26:14,627 --> 00:26:19,635 I'd have said Sumo Wrestling, one's that got 2,000 years of history 471 00:26:19,636 --> 00:26:22,235 it's all about purification, ritual and honor 472 00:26:22,236 --> 00:26:23,714 It's located in a culture, 473 00:26:23,715 --> 00:26:27,900 which on all of the rankings of corruption across the country is really really low 474 00:26:29,901 --> 00:26:34,468 The ancient sport of Sumo Wrestling, is the essence of pure competition 475 00:26:34,469 --> 00:26:38,490 Two naked men, fighting in a sandpit 476 00:26:38,491 --> 00:26:42,203 Under the watchful eyes of a referee, dressed as a Shinto priest 477 00:26:43,965 --> 00:26:46,671 Shinto, means ways of the Gods 478 00:26:46,672 --> 00:26:50,984 A religion that celebrates the purity and harmony of men and nature 479 00:26:53,036 --> 00:26:56,522 In Sumo, you do your ceremonial stuff 480 00:26:56,523 --> 00:26:59,051 One is the clapping of the hands 481 00:26:59,052 --> 00:27:01,760 as to awake the Gods 482 00:27:01,761 --> 00:27:05,981 Two is when we show our hands and flip our hands over and 483 00:27:05,982 --> 00:27:08,645 stuff to show that we have no conceal weapons 484 00:27:08,646 --> 00:27:11,797 You come here and you want to fight fair with your bare hands 485 00:27:11,798 --> 00:27:14,021 and to tell the Gods you're coming in with 486 00:27:14,022 --> 00:27:17,284 a fresh and clean might and heart vessel. 487 00:27:17,828 --> 00:27:23,150 The stomping of the feet in the Shinto religion is to stomp out evil spirits 488 00:27:23,151 --> 00:27:26,906 and throwing of the salt is purify 489 00:27:41,737 --> 00:27:45,222 I think purity is a good mask, 490 00:27:45,223 --> 00:27:49,373 for corruption, perhaps most so it discourages inquiry. 491 00:27:50,183 --> 00:27:55,009 It's true that Sumo might seem to be immune from corruption 492 00:27:55,010 --> 00:27:57,399 because of its purity, history, and so on 493 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,506 On the other hands, the stakes are high 494 00:27:59,507 --> 00:28:04,838 When stakes are high, and when there's an incentive to cheat 495 00:28:04,839 --> 00:28:07,289 A small percentage of people always will 496 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,150 Just as in medieval Japan 497 00:28:15,151 --> 00:28:18,112 The wrestlers, known as Rikshi or strong man 498 00:28:18,113 --> 00:28:20,052 spent years in apprenticeship 499 00:28:20,053 --> 00:28:24,774 Living together around the clock and training in stables or Biar 500 00:28:25,105 --> 00:28:29,632 Subject to strict moral and physical displine 501 00:28:29,633 --> 00:28:32,612 If you're a Sumo Wrestler in the top ranks 502 00:28:32,613 --> 00:28:34,317 Your life is very very good 503 00:28:34,318 --> 00:28:36,197 and you can live like a king 504 00:28:36,753 --> 00:28:39,395 Once you fall belows those ranks or never attained those ranks, 505 00:28:39,396 --> 00:28:40,983 your life is not very good at all 506 00:28:41,712 --> 00:28:43,953 So, it's a very steep pyramid, at the top life is great, 507 00:28:43,954 --> 00:28:47,071 and there's lots of people down below life is not so great 508 00:28:47,072 --> 00:28:48,238 But there are so many of them, 509 00:28:48,239 --> 00:28:51,166 because they're all aspired to get to the top obviously 510 00:28:52,788 --> 00:28:55,900 It's a battle 24/7, being a Sumo Wrestler 511 00:28:55,901 --> 00:28:58,781 It's not just two big fat guy trying to ... 512 00:28:58,782 --> 00:29:01,357 ... to kill each other but it's a lot of work to be big 513 00:29:01,358 --> 00:29:03,255 and at the same time active 514 00:29:03,256 --> 00:29:05,520 6 major touraments a year 515 00:29:05,521 --> 00:29:07,188 you have to wrestle with injuries 516 00:29:07,189 --> 00:29:10,548 they throw you in a jungle and see how you can come out alive 517 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,162 The objective of the game is to push your opponent outside of the ring 518 00:29:19,163 --> 00:29:20,736 or pushing him into the ring 519 00:29:23,312 --> 00:29:27,167 But how can you tell if a Sumo Wrestler is cheating? 520 00:29:27,168 --> 00:29:29,456 Is it a slip on purpose? 521 00:29:29,457 --> 00:29:31,898 Is the fall rigged? 522 00:29:31,899 --> 00:29:36,452 It's hard to tell unless you look at patterns over time 523 00:29:37,500 --> 00:29:41,489 People who are actively corrupted always try to cover their trails 524 00:29:41,490 --> 00:29:46,549 So corruption, by its nature is hard to identify, hard to prove 525 00:29:46,550 --> 00:29:48,419 Murders are really great, 526 00:29:48,420 --> 00:29:52,501 cuz almost always when someone is murdered, there's always a corsp 527 00:29:52,502 --> 00:29:55,233 You might say "How would you know someone's cheating?" 528 00:29:55,234 --> 00:29:56,958 and the answer is - look in the data 529 00:29:56,959 --> 00:29:58,568 I don't have to ever seen a sumo match 530 00:29:58,569 --> 00:30:00,214 I can look into data, I can look at it 531 00:30:00,215 --> 00:30:02,668 And I can tell you, with almost complete certainty, 532 00:30:02,669 --> 00:30:04,651 that there's rampage cheating going 533 00:30:08,755 --> 00:30:15,262 In professional Sumo touraments, the wrestler fights one bout per day for 15 days 534 00:30:15,263 --> 00:30:20,657 If you win 8 out of the 15 matches, you can move up in rank - half a slot 535 00:30:20,658 --> 00:30:25,185 The difference of half a rank can be maybe 5,000 dollars in paychecque a month 536 00:30:25,186 --> 00:30:28,031 The respects you get in the Sumo Association 537 00:30:28,032 --> 00:30:32,600 So when you talk about stuff like that, that 8 win is real critical 538 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:38,485 A Rikshi entering a tourament final 15 match 539 00:30:38,486 --> 00:30:42,245 with a 7 and 7 record, has far more to gain from a victory 540 00:30:42,246 --> 00:30:45,749 than an opponent, say 8 and 6 has to loose 541 00:30:46,684 --> 00:30:50,531 If a wrestler has 8 wins under his belts, he's guaranteed to advance 542 00:30:51,495 --> 00:30:53,601 Even if he looses that last match 543 00:30:53,602 --> 00:30:56,975 So he could afford to take a fall 544 00:30:58,054 --> 00:31:02,257 In Japan, there's a term for match rigging - YAOCHO 545 00:31:02,258 --> 00:31:05,415 Many suspected that Sumo matches might be rigged 546 00:31:05,416 --> 00:31:11,042 But it's nearly impossible to prove, unless you look closely at the numbers 547 00:31:11,043 --> 00:31:14,767 2 wrestlers that I would expect to have an even match 548 00:31:14,768 --> 00:31:17,892 When 1 of them needs the eigth win and the other doesn't 549 00:31:17,893 --> 00:31:20,496 The one who needs it wins 75% at a time 550 00:31:20,497 --> 00:31:21,669 Rather than 50% a time 551 00:31:21,670 --> 00:31:23,619 That's a huge deviation 552 00:31:24,300 --> 00:31:27,981 I (8-6 wrestler) let you (7-7 wrestler) 553 00:31:27,982 --> 00:31:31,302 let you win this deciding match cuz you my friend 554 00:31:31,303 --> 00:31:33,041 gonna fall down the pyramid if you don't 555 00:31:33,042 --> 00:31:36,084 In return, the next time those 2 guys meet 556 00:31:36,085 --> 00:31:39,908 Lo and Behold, the 8-6 wrestler almost always wins those matches 557 00:33:45,737 --> 00:33:51,494 "Honne" is Real Truth and "Tatemae" will be the surface of things, the faced 558 00:33:51,495 --> 00:33:54,677 They are unusually important in Japanese culture 559 00:33:54,678 --> 00:33:56,983 That's why the Japanese have given them names 560 00:33:56,984 --> 00:34:01,135 But being human, living in any society, I think we can all understand 561 00:34:01,136 --> 00:34:02,900 the concepts themselves 562 00:34:02,901 --> 00:34:07,707 That Tatemae's going to be a great spectacle of honest competition 563 00:34:07,708 --> 00:34:11,623 but in the surface of creating that pleasing faced 564 00:34:11,624 --> 00:34:15,743 the actual players are engaging in a form of corruption 565 00:34:17,500 --> 00:34:22,381 To have the "Honne" exposed produces discomfort 566 00:34:22,382 --> 00:34:24,653 When you think of the financial scandals 567 00:34:24,654 --> 00:34:26,771 That have racked America recently 568 00:34:26,772 --> 00:34:30,242 A lot of people who were supposedly to be not just incredibly wise 569 00:34:30,243 --> 00:34:32,930 but incredibly honest, has been exposed as neither 570 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:38,511 Those of us who have looked looked to the self-interest of lending institutions 571 00:34:38,512 --> 00:34:42,111 to protect shareholder's equity, myself especially, 572 00:34:42,112 --> 00:34:45,431 are in the state of shocked disbelief. 573 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,800 That produces a kind of dissolution, in any society that formerly looked 574 00:34:50,801 --> 00:34:52,692 to those people or those institutions ... 575 00:34:52,693 --> 00:34:56,050 ... are somehow representatives of what's best in our society 576 00:34:56,051 --> 00:34:58,278 Sumo would be an example of that in Japan 577 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:04,643 While I would not put the Bernie Madoff pre-arrest reputation, 578 00:35:04,644 --> 00:35:07,015 I wouldn't necessarily call that one of purity 579 00:35:07,016 --> 00:35:09,543 The way we would talk about Sumo Wrestling, 580 00:35:09,544 --> 00:35:11,691 or the way we might talk about the Catholic Cleregy 581 00:35:11,692 --> 00:35:14,559 The S.C.C. had an image of this guy - 582 00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:18,100 that was almost sacred saint in that he's running the exchange, 583 00:35:18,101 --> 00:35:19,101 he'd been a market maker. 584 00:35:19,102 --> 00:35:24,842 His reputation was so large that it discourages them 585 00:35:24,843 --> 00:35:27,923 from coming in with a bias toward corruption, 586 00:35:27,924 --> 00:35:29,905 and instead, they brought a bias against it. 587 00:35:32,283 --> 00:35:34,237 Mr. Madoff, what do you have to say for yourelf? 588 00:35:34,238 --> 00:35:36,822 What do you have to say to the public, your investors? 589 00:35:40,908 --> 00:35:44,059 The realm of high finance and the world of sumo 590 00:35:44,060 --> 00:35:47,086 both demonstrate the illusion of purity 591 00:35:47,087 --> 00:35:48,087 cannot only hide corruption, it can help to make it possible. 592 00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:56,109 In Sumo, when whistle blower step forward to expose corruption 593 00:35:56,110 --> 00:35:58,110 they were not treated kindly. 594 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:05,185 In 1996, two summo vetrans, including a recently retired stable master, 595 00:36:05,186 --> 00:36:10,429 collaborated in a tell-all expos�� that was serialized in the Shukan Post 596 00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,800 The Sumo Association dismissed the allegation as lies, 597 00:36:35,900 --> 00:36:38,278 told by a revengeful stable master 598 00:36:38,279 --> 00:36:40,341 seeking to cash in on publicity. 599 00:36:41,750 --> 00:36:45,282 To defend their claims, the whistle blowers decided to hold a press conference. 600 00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:49,900 But two weeks before the press conference, both men died. 601 00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,697 In the same hospital, on the same day 602 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:57,773 From the same ... myterious respitory illness. 603 00:37:34,731 --> 00:37:39,723 Yet no one questioned the way they died, there were no autopsies 604 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:44,162 The police did not investigate the sudden and simultaneous deaths. 605 00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:48,352 "It's a very good hospital", a police spokesman told reporters. 606 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,726 So, there were no grounds for suspecison. 607 00:38:15,500 --> 00:38:20,338 Concerns about the sport resurfaced when another mysterious death haunted Sumo 608 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,675 This time it was a young "Rikichi" in training named Takashi Saito 609 00:38:24,468 --> 00:38:29,734 Whose corpse showed visible signs of assault and multilation. 610 00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,600 Hiromasa Saikawa took note of the death of the young wrestler 611 00:39:26,205 --> 00:39:28,688 Sakawa is one of the nation's most vocal critics 612 00:39:28,689 --> 00:39:30,765 of how murders are investigated in Japan. 613 00:39:31,810 --> 00:39:34,171 He quit his post on the Tokyo Police Force 614 00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:37,118 When the gap between the "Honne" (the hidden truth) 615 00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:42,241 and the "Tatemae" (the facet propriety) had grown too wide 616 00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:04,961 The job of any police force is to help keep crime at low enough levels 617 00:40:04,962 --> 00:40:05,962 so that society can properly function. 618 00:40:07,765 --> 00:40:11,952 The "Tatemae" of the police force is to be seen doing that 619 00:40:12,532 --> 00:40:17,335 If the police can tell society, we solved 96% of crimes, 620 00:40:17,336 --> 00:40:19,942 they have certainly fulfilled their "Tatemae" function. 621 00:40:19,898 --> 00:40:22,653 In comforting society, making society feel safe. 622 00:40:22,687 --> 00:40:25,433 But to achieve that level of "Tatemae" 623 00:40:25,434 --> 00:40:28,541 The police might select only cases for investigation 624 00:40:28,542 --> 00:40:31,770 that they think they have an extremely high chance of solving 625 00:41:41,756 --> 00:41:43,892 Despite clear evidence of brutality, 626 00:41:43,893 --> 00:41:47,394 the police declared that the young man died of natural causes. 627 00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:50,704 And the stable master quickly asked for the young boy's body, 628 00:41:50,705 --> 00:41:52,293 so it can be creamated. 629 00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,945 But the angry father of the young man insisted autopsy, 630 00:41:57,665 --> 00:42:00,510 which revealed that he has been burned with cigarettes; 631 00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:04,222 and beaten to death with beer bottles and baseball bats. 632 00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:09,413 The young boy has died at the hands of fellow wrestlers 633 00:42:09,414 --> 00:42:12,289 who're ordered by the stable master to punished the boy 634 00:42:12,290 --> 00:42:15,608 for trying to run away from the world of Sumo 635 00:42:36,654 --> 00:42:41,043 Sumo counter-criticism with lawsuit against Takeda and his magazine 636 00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:45,806 Juries ruled against Takeda in cases where he accused individuals of match rigging 637 00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:50,137 But Sumo had no defence against the revelation of violence. 638 00:42:56,000 --> 00:43:00,431 To defend its reputation, the Sumo Association shores up its image 639 00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:04,141 By building on notions of purity from Shinto 640 00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:08,481 that are essential to be what it means to be Japanese 641 00:43:09,417 --> 00:43:12,356 Publicly, it insists that Yaocho is a myth. 642 00:43:13,490 --> 00:43:16,631 I hope ... there was none of that going on 643 00:43:16,632 --> 00:43:18,385 in the bottom ranks. But 644 00:43:18,386 --> 00:43:22,317 where I was ... No. 645 00:43:40,500 --> 00:43:44,885 A retired Rikshi who wrote to Komosubi - the 4th highest ranked in Sumo. 646 00:43:45,700 --> 00:43:50,161 Keisuke Itai came forward, and publicly admitted to fixing many matches. 647 00:43:50,847 --> 00:43:54,435 And named names of others, who did the same. 648 00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,707 In Japanese media, there's a certain form of self-censorship 649 00:45:45,708 --> 00:45:47,336 giving interviews in japanese, 650 00:45:47,337 --> 00:45:50,363 the media will not quote me if I use the word "Daraku" 651 00:45:50,704 --> 00:45:51,809 which is corruption in japanese 652 00:45:51,810 --> 00:45:54,742 and they'll change it instead to something like "Konran" - confusion. 653 00:45:54,743 --> 00:45:57,762 We certainly have the very same thing in America today. 654 00:45:57,763 --> 00:46:01,304 The New York Times, for example, will not use the word TORTURE 655 00:46:01,305 --> 00:46:04,787 to describe anything that's been carried out by Americans ... 656 00:46:04,788 --> 00:46:08,016 ... operating in our prison system and the war on terror. 657 00:46:08,017 --> 00:46:12,343 However, if it's the Chinese who've done these things to an American airman, 658 00:46:12,344 --> 00:46:15,909 the NY Times has no compunctions about calling those things TORTURE 659 00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:23,535 The only way to combat corruption, to Steven Levitt, 660 00:46:23,536 --> 00:46:26,460 is to change rules to undo corruption incentives 661 00:46:26,900 --> 00:46:28,590 Unleash more investigative reporters 662 00:46:28,591 --> 00:46:31,250 and develop strong protections for whistle blowers. 663 00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,611 But that's easier said than done when cultural slogans 664 00:46:34,612 --> 00:46:39,368 in American and Japan that we are honest, straight-forward 665 00:46:39,369 --> 00:46:40,691 and fundamentally good. 666 00:46:41,700 --> 00:46:43,151 Those who expose corruption 667 00:46:43,152 --> 00:46:46,690 are challenging the very nature of who we imagine we're supposed to be 668 00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,028 The irony of our Sumo Wrestling 669 00:46:50,029 --> 00:46:53,641 was when it became public, the Sumo Wrestlers stopped cheating. 670 00:46:53,642 --> 00:46:56,111 and they're not for good, they actually stopped cheating for a year or two 671 00:46:56,112 --> 00:46:58,383 and once people stopped thinking about it, they went back to it. 672 00:46:58,384 --> 00:47:02,091 but that I think is the answer how you stopped cheating. Louis Brandeis 673 00:47:02,092 --> 00:47:03,092 said that sunlight was the best disinfantant. 674 00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,343 What keeps us from seeing corruptions are our illusions 675 00:47:10,344 --> 00:47:12,528 that our economy is a rational system. 676 00:47:12,529 --> 00:47:14,622 A free market, opened to all 677 00:47:14,623 --> 00:47:18,578 The fact is that rigging markets and matches is good business 678 00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:21,608 If the rigging is hidden from all but a few 679 00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:24,914 In Shinto, the mirror is an important symbol 680 00:47:24,915 --> 00:47:27,359 reflecting a sense of who we are 681 00:47:28,350 --> 00:47:31,086 In that mirror, the bad heart is a hidden heart 682 00:47:32,113 --> 00:47:34,101 The pure heart is the one that hides nothing 683 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,910 Looking at the numbers and accept what they tell us 684 00:47:37,911 --> 00:47:40,992 is a way of wiping dust away from the mirror 685 00:47:48,780 --> 00:47:49,200 686 00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:50,584 Hi there boys and girls 687 00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:52,500 this is Captain Kangaroo 688 00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:54,759 Say, I like you to meet a friend of mine 689 00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,298 say, you know it's a lot and lot of fun to have a pet 690 00:47:57,299 --> 00:47:59,581 that you can run, jump and play with, isn't it? 691 00:47:59,582 --> 00:48:03,116 But did you know there're kids that cannot run, jump and play? 692 00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:05,816 It's all because a thing called Polio 693 00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:10,953 When I think of bad historical assumptions about 694 00:48:10,954 --> 00:48:13,901 correlations and causeality, I think of Polio 100 years ago. 695 00:48:13,902 --> 00:48:17,736 When it was this horrible mystery that claiming a lot of lives 696 00:48:17,737 --> 00:48:20,179 And it was really scary cuz it mostly struck children. 697 00:48:20,660 --> 00:48:24,989 And there was a strong line of resarch that suggested ice-cream 698 00:48:24,990 --> 00:48:27,818 cause polio, that ice-cream consumption cause Polio. 699 00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:32,933 Here comes Mr. Softy, the soft ice-cream man. 700 00:48:37,500 --> 00:48:41,172 The reason that correlation was thought to be causal 701 00:48:41,173 --> 00:48:44,673 was that Polio spiked in the summer time 702 00:48:45,026 --> 00:48:47,784 For reasons, that weren't really understood, but it did. 703 00:48:47,785 --> 00:48:50,154 And ice-cream sales spiked in the summer time. 704 00:48:50,155 --> 00:48:53,208 So, these researchers're seeing that whenever a lot of ice-cream are being sold, 705 00:48:53,209 --> 00:48:55,066 and consumed, there was a lot more Polio. 706 00:48:55,279 --> 00:48:59,455 And that was literally the beginning of ice-cream prosecution 707 00:48:59,456 --> 00:49:02,176 to try to stomp out Polio. And it sounds rediculous, 708 00:49:02,177 --> 00:49:04,072 but you see it all the time now - 709 00:49:04,073 --> 00:49:07,266 people try to fight against or build up something that they're sure 710 00:49:07,267 --> 00:49:09,991 that's connected to something else, but turns out it just isn't. 711 00:49:19,716 --> 00:49:22,324 We have a crime problem that is not out of control 712 00:49:22,325 --> 00:49:24,272 -all over the country -I am pro-choice 713 00:49:25,758 --> 00:49:29,113 extremists bombed more than 30 clinics across the country 714 00:49:29,114 --> 00:49:30,642 People like you allows baby ... 715 00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,248 When I started studying crimes in the early 1990s, 716 00:49:40,249 --> 00:49:41,234 it was rough at its peak 717 00:49:41,235 --> 00:49:43,140 the highest it's ever been in the history of United States 718 00:49:43,141 --> 00:49:45,604 and all the experts expect it to go higher and higher 719 00:49:45,605 --> 00:49:46,952 The warnings are everywhere. 720 00:49:46,953 --> 00:49:50,257 But then, to everyone's surprise, something happened. 721 00:49:58,000 --> 00:49:59,864 I don't know, I guess you're right 722 00:50:00,420 --> 00:50:02,951 Supposed it'd be better off never been born at all. 723 00:50:02,952 --> 00:50:05,739 -What did you say? -I said, "I wish I have never been born." 724 00:50:06,200 --> 00:50:08,641 Homocide rate went up in half of the nation's cities 725 00:50:08,642 --> 00:50:11,181 (Christmas, 1989) 373 homocides last year 726 00:50:11,182 --> 00:50:14,433 up 65.7% over 1987 727 00:50:14,434 --> 00:50:16,342 Murder is a national problem - 728 00:50:16,343 --> 00:50:18,673 up an average 11% across the country. 729 00:50:19,500 --> 00:50:23,095 In Bucharest tonight, the post communist leader Nicolae Ceauseascu 730 00:50:23,096 --> 00:50:24,769 and his wife, had been executed. 731 00:50:24,770 --> 00:50:27,728 Pictures of the former communist dictator lying in state 732 00:50:27,825 --> 00:50:30,330 -excuted by the firing squad -Crime and violence are now 733 00:50:30,331 --> 00:50:32,312 ... the top concerns of many Americans. 734 00:50:32,313 --> 00:50:34,780 You've been given a great gift George. 735 00:50:34,781 --> 00:50:38,259 A chance to see what the world would be like without you. 736 00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:48,172 As the 1980s drew to a close, law enforcement experts predicted 737 00:50:48,173 --> 00:50:50,529 that the crime rate that has been preceeding decades 738 00:50:50,530 --> 00:50:52,041 would continue to rise. 739 00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:55,655 Would be the decade of the mega criminal 740 00:50:57,500 --> 00:51:01,597 There was only one problem ... it didn't happen. 741 00:51:02,389 --> 00:51:03,977 Across America, the crime rate is down. 742 00:51:03,978 --> 00:51:07,502 The FBI has some good news about crime, it's down. 743 00:51:07,503 --> 00:51:11,100 It's clear the numbers are dropping, what's not clear is why. 744 00:51:11,101 --> 00:51:13,410 What's behind this dramatic change? 745 00:51:13,412 --> 00:51:15,445 Primarily it's the Police, the police strategies. 746 00:51:15,446 --> 00:51:18,795 We've incarcerated our criminals and thus taken out the population. 747 00:51:18,796 --> 00:51:20,228 With those people, who did the crimes. 748 00:51:20,229 --> 00:51:24,592 Experts and officials lined up to offer explanations for the drop in crime 749 00:51:25,020 --> 00:51:27,432 Community police officers, better prevention 750 00:51:27,433 --> 00:51:30,700 Their explanation included more innovative policing, 751 00:51:30,722 --> 00:51:33,739 harsher criminal sentences, changes in the crack market, 752 00:51:33,740 --> 00:51:38,631 increase gun control, a strong economy, more police on the streets 753 00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,787 But economist Steven Levitt examined these explanations. 754 00:51:42,788 --> 00:51:44,931 Evaluated the most popular ones. 755 00:51:44,932 --> 00:51:46,712 When you looked at the data carefully, 756 00:51:46,713 --> 00:51:50,379 it's just not clear that they really have the impact people suspected. 757 00:51:50,380 --> 00:51:54,354 By ananlyzing the reasons most often cited by those in the press, 758 00:51:54,355 --> 00:51:57,131 Levitt was able to separate the more likely factors 759 00:51:57,132 --> 00:51:58,598 from the less likely ones 760 00:51:59,300 --> 00:52:02,205 The crime drop explanation most often cited 761 00:52:02,206 --> 00:52:04,230 was that innovative policing strategies 762 00:52:04,231 --> 00:52:06,212 had been introduced to some cities. 763 00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:13,703 NY City, for example, implementeded sweeping law enforcement changes 764 00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:16,590 from Police Chief Willam Bratton's ComStat System 765 00:52:16,596 --> 00:52:19,961 to Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's crack down on small street crime 766 00:52:19,962 --> 00:52:22,622 The reductions in crime that has been taken place in NY City 767 00:52:22,623 --> 00:52:23,845 are pretty close to miraculous 768 00:52:23,846 --> 00:52:27,195 NY City, had among the biggest declines in crime 769 00:52:27,196 --> 00:52:28,438 of any city in the country. 770 00:52:28,439 --> 00:52:30,388 So, there's an enormous amount of fan fair ... 771 00:52:30,389 --> 00:52:32,833 ... given to the strategies of Guliani and Bratton. 772 00:52:33,144 --> 00:52:34,494 But crime felt everywhere, 773 00:52:34,495 --> 00:52:37,483 it's hard to find any city in United States where crime didn't plunge. 774 00:52:37,484 --> 00:52:41,759 And also, crime was down 20-30% before Gulian ever took office. 775 00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:43,840 So, a number of things make me suspecious 776 00:52:43,841 --> 00:52:45,591 that it was really the Placing Strategies. 777 00:52:47,500 --> 00:52:49,709 The second reason most cited for the crime drop, 778 00:52:49,710 --> 00:52:52,800 was an increase in reliance on prisons. 779 00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:56,911 We've locked up a million more americans since the 1990s 780 00:52:57,000 --> 00:52:58,870 There are now 2 millions americans in prison, 781 00:52:58,871 --> 00:53:00,462 and that's got to reduce crime. 782 00:53:02,030 --> 00:53:05,055 Levitt recognizes that in prison more people will ... 783 00:53:05,056 --> 00:53:07,569 in short term, bring crime rate down. 784 00:53:07,570 --> 00:53:10,780 By my estimate, about 30% of the decline in crime 785 00:53:10,786 --> 00:53:13,409 can be attributed to the fact that we got very tough on crime 786 00:53:13,410 --> 00:53:15,567 in terms of locking up criminals. 787 00:53:16,359 --> 00:53:18,224 This is crack cocaine 788 00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:22,842 The 3rd explanation for the crime drop, most often cited in the press, 789 00:53:22,843 --> 00:53:24,470 were changes in the crack market. 790 00:53:24,471 --> 00:53:28,371 Now experets say, crack cocaine may finally be on the decline. 791 00:53:28,372 --> 00:53:31,656 The peak of the crack epidemics came in at the late 80s and the early 90s 792 00:53:33,652 --> 00:53:36,961 At that time, an enormous amount of the homocide in particular 793 00:53:36,962 --> 00:53:38,042 can be attributed to the crack. 794 00:53:38,043 --> 00:53:39,389 But for various reasons 795 00:53:39,390 --> 00:53:41,567 the amount of violence that has been associated with the crack trade 796 00:53:41,568 --> 00:53:42,600 really faded. 797 00:53:42,601 --> 00:53:43,863 That's not the move no more 798 00:53:43,864 --> 00:53:48,059 So that can explain 15% of the decline in crime. 799 00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:51,792 Other possible reasons for the crime drop examined by Levitt include: 800 00:53:51,793 --> 00:53:53,044 tougher gun laws. 801 00:53:53,045 --> 00:53:57,943 the 1990s economic boom and an increase in police nation wide. 802 00:53:58,596 --> 00:54:01,480 So Levitt did not entirely discount these 803 00:54:01,485 --> 00:54:03,992 He sees these only account for a small fraction 804 00:54:03,993 --> 00:54:05,573 of the overall crime drop 805 00:54:05,574 --> 00:54:07,741 There are millions factors that drive crime, 806 00:54:07,742 --> 00:54:10,850 but how do you determine the particular competition? 807 00:54:10,851 --> 00:54:13,563 Overall, what Levitt found from all these reasons 808 00:54:13,564 --> 00:54:18,346 was taken together, they only explain half of 1990s crime drop. 809 00:54:18,700 --> 00:54:21,043 The other half remained a mystery. 810 00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:23,100 So what happened? 811 00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:25,548 Well, let's remind 812 00:54:25,549 --> 00:54:29,152 to what many Americans may have seen as irrelevant incident 813 00:54:29,153 --> 00:54:30,424 in a far away place. 814 00:54:37,100 --> 00:54:39,708 When Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceausescu 815 00:54:39,709 --> 00:54:43,505 was executed by his own people on Christmas Day 1989, 816 00:54:43,506 --> 00:54:46,703 it marked the end of the brutal totalitarian rein 817 00:54:46,704 --> 00:54:48,804 that has lasted 24 years. 818 00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:53,414 In his earliest days, Ceausescu's Romania faces struggling economy 819 00:54:53,415 --> 00:54:56,021 and he sought to vastly increase the workforce. 820 00:54:57,391 --> 00:55:01,880 To achieve this, Ceausescu outlawed abortion in 1966. 821 00:55:01,889 --> 00:55:04,200 Agents known as the Montrose Police 822 00:55:04,207 --> 00:55:06,378 rounded up women to give pregnancy tests 823 00:55:06,379 --> 00:55:08,074 and attacks the infertiles. 824 00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:11,730 Across Romania, women were forced to have children 825 00:55:11,731 --> 00:55:14,896 and they could no longer choose whether it was right to do so. 826 00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:17,748 Romania's birthrate doubled. 827 00:55:17,749 --> 00:55:22,733 But more and more births across the country were, not surprisingly unwanted. 828 00:55:22,734 --> 00:55:24,659 And result in trouble up bringing. 829 00:55:25,400 --> 00:55:28,054 Of the infants forcibly born in the first year, 830 00:55:28,055 --> 00:55:31,487 more disenroll school, suffered more job performance, 831 00:55:31,488 --> 00:55:33,672 and with thus more likely to become criminals, 832 00:55:33,673 --> 00:55:35,426 than those born of the previous year. 833 00:55:35,427 --> 00:55:40,126 Even controlling for the aids, income, health and education of the mother 834 00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:44,025 But what do winds in Romania a long time ago, 835 00:55:44,026 --> 00:55:47,118 have to do with crimes in US in 1990s? 836 00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:51,224 According to Steven Levitt ... a lot. 837 00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:59,539 You've been given a great gift George, a chance to see 838 00:55:59,540 --> 00:56:01,587 what the world would be like without you. 839 00:56:03,100 --> 00:56:05,607 What I believe to be true and the evidence supports it, 840 00:56:05,608 --> 00:56:09,476 is a hypothesis which many people find jarring and disturbing. 841 00:56:09,477 --> 00:56:12,091 But nonetheless, I think it's probably right. 842 00:56:12,092 --> 00:56:16,808 Good evening, in a landmark ruling that Supreme Court today legalize abortions. 843 00:56:16,809 --> 00:56:20,789 In 1973, in a case called "Roe V. Wade" 844 00:56:20,790 --> 00:56:26,167 the Supreme Cort rules that abortion, which has been only legal in 5 US states, 845 00:56:26,168 --> 00:56:28,220 would now be legal nation wide. 846 00:56:28,500 --> 00:56:31,778 Precisely the opposiste of what happened in Romania, 847 00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:35,263 The legalized abortions in 1970s, 848 00:56:35,264 --> 00:56:38,313 was one of the prime reason why crime felt in the 1990s. 849 00:56:38,314 --> 00:56:42,958 Because the whole generation of unwanted children were never born, 850 00:56:42,959 --> 00:56:44,375 because of legalization of abortion. 851 00:56:44,376 --> 00:56:46,304 If you fast-forward 20 years 852 00:56:46,305 --> 00:56:49,529 to the point in time when they were going to be their peak crime ages, 853 00:56:49,530 --> 00:56:51,229 they simply weren't there to do the crime. 854 00:56:51,836 --> 00:56:55,279 You see George, you really had a wonderful life. 855 00:56:55,280 --> 00:56:59,333 Don't you see what a mistake it would be to ... throw it away? 856 00:57:00,163 --> 00:57:02,978 The trouble, of course, is that life isn't like the movies. 857 00:57:03,531 --> 00:57:06,514 For so many children who without "Roe V. Wade" 858 00:57:06,515 --> 00:57:08,681 would have been born in 1973, 859 00:57:08,682 --> 00:57:11,381 their lives might not have been a wonderful life 860 00:57:11,382 --> 00:57:15,731 that've been born in a loving family, in yesterday's small town America. 861 00:57:16,350 --> 00:57:19,151 Rather, they'd be a far harder road - 862 00:57:19,152 --> 00:57:22,310 been born into a potentially unwanted household 863 00:57:22,319 --> 00:57:26,010 in American's crumbling little cities, or forsaken heartland. 864 00:57:27,200 --> 00:57:31,618 Levitt's conclusion: "As much as half of the 1990s crime drop, 865 00:57:31,619 --> 00:57:34,901 was an unintended consequence of Roe V. Wade." 866 00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:38,350 The theory behind it was quite simple, 867 00:57:38,351 --> 00:57:41,371 Unwanted children, have been shown to be at high risk for crime. 868 00:57:41,372 --> 00:57:44,607 With legalized abortion, fewer unwanted children were born. 869 00:57:44,608 --> 00:57:48,417 Therefore, the theory would be that there'd be less crime in 15-20 years later. 870 00:57:48,418 --> 00:57:51,020 When those quahogs reach their peak crime ages 871 00:57:51,100 --> 00:57:54,786 And the data support that hypothesis,quite strongly. 872 00:57:55,442 --> 00:57:56,799 If you follow the data, 873 00:57:56,800 --> 00:58:00,836 there were 5 states that legalized abortions, 3 years before "Roe Vs. Wade" 874 00:58:00,837 --> 00:58:03,952 and about 15 years later, their crimes begins to fall, 875 00:58:03,953 --> 00:58:05,925 3 years before the rest of the country. 876 00:58:07,138 --> 00:58:10,000 Then if you look at states where abortion was not just legal, 877 00:58:10,049 --> 00:58:12,771 but is available to people who wanna get them ... 878 00:58:12,772 --> 00:58:15,328 ... 16, 17 years after "Roe Vs. Wade" 879 00:58:15,329 --> 00:58:16,885 you see a 30% difference 880 00:58:16,886 --> 00:58:20,242 between the states doing a lot of abortions and ones that are doing very few. 881 00:58:21,117 --> 00:58:24,774 Finally, all of the effect we see in a in a diverse in crime, 882 00:58:24,775 --> 00:58:27,978 all of that is concentrated among people under the age of 25. 883 00:58:27,979 --> 00:58:30,535 People young enough to have been exposed to legalized abortion. 884 00:58:30,536 --> 00:58:32,500 People older than 25, 885 00:58:32,503 --> 00:58:34,009 here's no difference whatsoever 886 00:58:34,010 --> 00:58:36,355 between the high abortion state and the low abortion states. 887 00:58:36,500 --> 00:58:38,523 And I think in some way that's the best evidence we have, 888 00:58:38,524 --> 00:58:42,860 that legalized abortions is responsible for a big chunk of the decline in crime. 889 00:58:43,488 --> 00:58:47,740 Levitt's controversal theory has provoked strong reactions among critics. 890 00:58:47,742 --> 00:58:52,621 Is he, for example, avocating abortions as a crime fighting tool. 891 00:58:52,900 --> 00:58:57,506 In no way, would I take this as advocacy in favor of legalized abortion. 892 00:58:58,100 --> 00:59:01,657 I don't think anyone's opinion about whether abortion should be legal or not 893 00:59:01,658 --> 00:59:03,802 should be affected by our result. 894 00:59:03,803 --> 00:59:05,769 Some of Levitt's critics suggested that 895 00:59:05,770 --> 00:59:09,824 his theory holds what might have been classed a racial implications. 896 00:59:11,300 --> 00:59:15,348 He argues though that raising class has nothing to do with the matter. 897 00:59:15,349 --> 00:59:18,016 That his theory targets no specific group, 898 00:59:18,017 --> 00:59:21,209 other than mothers-to-bes of all backgrounds. 899 00:59:21,210 --> 00:59:25,488 And since, as Levitt points out, women who're led to abort 900 00:59:25,489 --> 00:59:29,635 go on to become child bearers consistent with the general populations. 901 00:59:29,636 --> 00:59:32,750 Levitt's argument could thus be undertood to suggest that 902 00:59:32,751 --> 00:59:35,806 legalized abortion does not so much prevent birth, 903 00:59:35,807 --> 00:59:37,057 as delay it. 904 00:59:37,058 --> 00:59:40,605 This turns an unwanted birth by a too young mother, for example 905 00:59:40,606 --> 00:59:44,548 into a wanted birth by that mother when she feels more ready. 906 00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:49,999 So, if Levitt is not advocating abortion as a crime fighting tool, 907 00:59:50,000 --> 00:59:51,525 what is he advocating? 908 00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:58,514 Well, whether one is pro-life, pro-choice or somewhere in between 909 00:59:58,515 --> 01:00:02,070 there's a meaningful and today unpeached connection 910 01:00:02,071 --> 01:00:04,427 between giving women the right to choose 911 01:00:04,428 --> 01:00:05,827 and the reduction in crime. 912 01:00:46,973 --> 01:00:49,631 We started offin a normal interview post 913 01:00:49,632 --> 01:00:53,006 and now you're lying down, swinging a pillow aaround 914 01:00:53,290 --> 01:00:55,000 What ... What's going on here? 915 01:00:55,001 --> 01:00:58,259 If I give you a slice of juicy fruit, will you say whatever I want 916 01:00:58,828 --> 01:00:59,343 No 917 01:00:59,660 --> 01:01:00,400 No?! 918 01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:04,282 Wait, I heard that you'll do anything for a slice of juicy fruit 919 01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:06,924 No matter how smart you are, 920 01:01:07,500 --> 01:01:08,834 and I kind of think they're pretty smart, 921 01:01:08,835 --> 01:01:11,599 you come up with some incentive scheme that you think is a perfect one 922 01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:13,877 to enties the behavior you have in mind. 923 01:01:13,878 --> 01:01:17,043 And you send an army of people with nothing to do all day 924 01:01:17,044 --> 01:01:18,997 but to figure out how to beat this incentive scheme 925 01:01:18,998 --> 01:01:20,861 -and absolutely it'll be beaten -Well, tell me about ... 926 01:01:20,862 --> 01:01:22,243 ... about Amdanda 927 01:01:22,900 --> 01:01:23,858 This is a long story 928 01:01:23,859 --> 01:01:27,334 I'll give you an example, so 929 01:01:27,630 --> 01:01:30,007 We were trying to potty train Amanda 930 01:01:30,008 --> 01:01:34,463 and my wife went books and did all the things you're told to do 931 01:01:34,464 --> 01:01:35,914 Amanda had been potty trained 932 01:01:35,915 --> 01:01:38,991 and she just decided she wouldn't use the toilet ... anymore. 933 01:01:38,992 --> 01:01:41,912 And this went on for months, my wife was frusttrated. 934 01:01:41,913 --> 01:01:46,090 And I said, I'm an economist, I understand I'll take over. 935 01:01:46,091 --> 01:01:49,680 And I got right down on Amanda's level on my knees and I knew what ... 936 01:01:49,681 --> 01:01:51,634 she likes more than anything else, she's about 3 years old, were MMs. 937 01:01:52,643 --> 01:01:56,755 And I said,"If you go pee pee in the potty, I'll give you a bag of MMs." 938 01:01:57,439 --> 01:01:58,797 she said,"Right now?", I said "Yeah". 939 01:01:58,798 --> 01:02:02,000 said,"Ok"; and she hopped on the potty went, went to the bathroom 940 01:02:02,001 --> 01:02:05,228 I turned to my wife and said,"Let the economist handle it, you know." 941 01:02:08,035 --> 01:02:10,261 And indeed, for the next couple of days, it worked to perfection. 942 01:02:10,262 --> 01:02:12,207 And everytime she has to go bathroom, she announced it. 943 01:02:12,208 --> 01:02:14,815 She went to the bathroom, we gave her the MMs. 944 01:02:14,816 --> 01:02:16,190 Everything had gone great. 945 01:02:16,191 --> 01:02:18,676 But 3 days later, she said "I have to go to the bathroom" 946 01:02:19,046 --> 01:02:22,969 She went and took a lot of few drops, I gave her the MMs 947 01:02:22,970 --> 01:02:25,699 She got off, she said "I have to go again" 948 01:02:25,700 --> 01:02:27,203 She sat down the potty, 949 01:02:27,204 --> 01:02:29,054 taking a few more drops, I gave her the MMs. 950 01:02:29,055 --> 01:02:30,252 "Got to go again" 951 01:02:30,253 --> 01:02:34,100 Basically, in 3 days she's gone from someone with no blatter control 952 01:02:34,128 --> 01:02:41,220 to a pro that she can complete control the flow at a whimp 953 01:02:41,221 --> 01:02:45,141 And had a 3 year old had basically come up with 954 01:02:45,142 --> 01:02:46,999 a way to beat the incentive scheme I had developed ... 955 01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:50,104 ... within 3 days. In a million years I would never have imagined. 956 01:02:51,212 --> 01:02:55,185 If an economist can't trick a 3 year old for more than 3 days, 957 01:02:55,186 --> 01:03:00,050 What hope does an economist have tricking the whole country for even 3 hours? 958 01:03:01,085 --> 01:03:03,117 So, that's kind of the beauty of incentives 959 01:03:03,118 --> 01:03:06,251 You don't really know what works and government think 960 01:03:06,252 --> 01:03:09,517 they know what works and they spend a huge amount of resources 961 01:03:09,518 --> 01:03:11,343 establishing incentives 962 01:03:11,344 --> 01:03:13,788 and they gonna do all these things seem to make lots of sense 963 01:03:13,789 --> 01:03:16,879 it sounds really great and may work out well in some measure 964 01:03:16,880 --> 01:03:19,826 But they're gonna backfire in so many different ways 965 01:03:19,827 --> 01:03:21,660 That we can't predict yet. 966 01:03:21,661 --> 01:03:25,393 And people will claugh and people will cry. And that's what incentives are. 967 01:03:27,061 --> 01:03:35,500 CAN A 9TH GRADER BE BRIBED TO SUCCEED? 968 01:04:02,500 --> 01:04:06,400 ITE103 969 01:04:09,750 --> 01:04:11,000 What you guys putting in this? 970 01:04:11,750 --> 01:04:14,500 Get it right over there, you wanna do it right now. 971 01:04:14,649 --> 01:04:15,790 Right now you stupid ass. 972 01:04:16,653 --> 01:04:18,157 Clear! 973 01:04:19,694 --> 01:04:22,000 It's going 974 01:04:22,001 --> 01:04:23,172 That was nothing 975 01:04:24,220 --> 01:04:25,171 Make another one. 976 01:04:26,200 --> 01:04:28,525 I know I can do good in school but I don't 977 01:04:28,526 --> 01:04:31,227 I have a reputation of bad child 978 01:04:31,629 --> 01:04:35,004 Parents are way too uptight in kids' business, like ... 979 01:04:35,005 --> 01:04:37,762 Where you gonna go? What you doing? When are you coming home? 980 01:04:38,300 --> 01:04:42,090 It maybe like "Hey you have homework?" and I'll say "No" 981 01:04:42,091 --> 01:04:46,174 or "I forget my books, I'll do it in the morning." 982 01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:48,614 -That works? -Ah huh 983 01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:51,194 Gets them off my dick 984 01:04:52,400 --> 01:04:53,195 What's up? 985 01:04:54,100 --> 01:04:56,090 Hopefully, I'll mkae it to highschool if I fail 986 01:04:56,091 --> 01:04:59,295 I guess I'll try to get a GED through the millitary or something 987 01:04:59,770 --> 01:05:00,760 I have no clue 988 01:05:01,250 --> 01:05:06,200 ITE104 989 01:05:10,500 --> 01:05:13,719 In the modern economy, not graduating from highschool, 990 01:05:13,720 --> 01:05:16,125 is like an economic death sentence. 991 01:05:17,000 --> 01:05:18,485 When you talking about highschool kids, 992 01:05:18,486 --> 01:05:20,270 what matters to them is what happens today, 993 01:05:20,271 --> 01:05:22,663 a month from now or 6 months from now. 994 01:05:23,789 --> 01:05:26,509 You have a very forward looking mindset 995 01:05:28,300 --> 01:05:30,273 I think ... most kids are dull 996 01:05:30,830 --> 01:05:34,219 In designing incentives to help kids get through school, 997 01:05:34,220 --> 01:05:36,472 we've got to have that conundrum in mind 998 01:05:39,700 --> 01:05:44,097 The idea was for the University of Chicago to see if 999 01:05:44,098 --> 01:05:47,961 students could increase their test scores 1000 01:05:47,962 --> 01:05:52,711 simply by giving them a financial ... incentive. 1001 01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:59,460 If it works for 1 student, then it's good enough for me because 1002 01:05:59,461 --> 01:06:02,196 we have no stake in it financially. 1003 01:06:02,197 --> 01:06:05,671 The University of Chicago is picking up the tab. 1004 01:06:05,672 --> 01:06:09,577 Why wouldn't we at least try it? 1005 01:06:09,578 --> 01:06:13,564 I'm thinking, it's going to work. 1006 01:06:14,200 --> 01:06:19,327 Opportunity - you'll always miss 100% of the shots you don't take. 1007 01:06:20,128 --> 01:06:22,452 And, that's my message to the students. 1008 01:06:22,453 --> 01:06:25,161 I don't need to put my degrees up on the wall, 1009 01:06:25,162 --> 01:06:26,955 I already have those. 1010 01:06:26,956 --> 01:06:28,430 I want them to get those. 1011 01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:37,914 How has it been starting a new school? 1012 01:06:38,600 --> 01:06:40,685 It's actually not that bad, I like it here 1013 01:06:40,686 --> 01:06:44,135 -Yea? -It's really easy -Oh the classes are really easy? -Oh, yea 1014 01:06:44,232 --> 01:06:47,993 Let's see, pull out your report card and see how you're doing right now. 1015 01:06:47,994 --> 01:06:50,038 -So, we can see your grades -Yea, not that good 1016 01:06:50,039 --> 01:06:52,358 Alright, so what do you need to improve on? 1017 01:06:52,733 --> 01:06:53,428 Everything 1018 01:06:53,700 --> 01:06:54,778 Ok, but you know I'm seeing grades go up a lot so ... 1019 01:06:56,779 --> 01:06:59,836 ... so you'd probaly wanna know what to get right, if you ... 1020 01:06:59,837 --> 01:07:02,000 do meet the monthly achievement standards?! 1021 01:07:02,001 --> 01:07:04,216 -Sure -Ok, so open up your folder 1022 01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:07,353 Fifty bucks? 1023 01:07:07,354 --> 01:07:10,824 Yea, you get the $50 every month as long as you keep your grades up 1024 01:07:10,825 --> 01:07:11,241 Alright 1025 01:07:11,500 --> 01:07:14,608 I think a lot of people here are gonna do their homeworks then 1026 01:07:14,609 --> 01:07:17,568 -Yea, what about you, why you? -$50 can buy a lot ...ah 1027 01:07:18,332 --> 01:07:21,911 -It can buy -You know, it can pay for my skateboards 1028 01:07:22,400 --> 01:07:27,560 So then I could get sponsored, get free clothse and stuffs. 1029 01:07:27,561 --> 01:07:28,955 Till I graduate 1030 01:07:43,000 --> 01:07:46,168 -How's school today, ok? -Amazing -Good 1031 01:07:49,000 --> 01:07:50,969 Kevin came home from school and says, "Mom ..." 1032 01:07:50,970 --> 01:07:53,304 " ... if I do really good, I can get paid for it." 1033 01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:55,558 Mom, I could really make money. 1034 01:07:56,000 --> 01:07:58,635 I'm like, "Fine, Kevin, go for it." 1035 01:07:58,636 --> 01:08:01,782 I said, "And I'll tell you what, you keep your grades up ..." 1036 01:08:02,700 --> 01:08:07,572 "you're gonna get the money, .... mom will double it." 1037 01:08:09,042 --> 01:08:11,488 Whatever they give you, mom will match it. 1038 01:08:11,489 --> 01:08:13,359 -Alright -Then you'll have double the money. 1039 01:08:13,360 --> 01:08:15,500 -If the grades go up -Right 1040 01:08:16,200 --> 01:08:19,175 A little bit of bribery? What parent doesn't do that?! 1041 01:08:19,400 --> 01:08:21,386 We all bribed our kids one way or another 1042 01:08:23,600 --> 01:08:28,072 -One, two, three, four,five -Bribery works for my kids 1043 01:08:28,500 --> 01:08:29,433 They love to be bribed 1044 01:08:29,434 --> 01:08:32,400 -Eight, nine, ten 1045 01:08:32,491 --> 01:08:35,285 For 50 cents, I can buy whatever I want in my household 1046 01:08:36,000 --> 01:08:38,635 Oh I forgot this dollar 1047 01:08:39,500 --> 01:08:42,838 The closest thing to figurig out habbits is that incentives matter 1048 01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:47,118 Not just financial incentives but social incentives and moral incentives. 1049 01:08:47,119 --> 01:08:48,886 Our goal was to figure out: 1050 01:08:48,887 --> 01:08:54,012 Can we cheaply and quickly move the needle at a school? 1051 01:08:54,013 --> 01:08:57,659 Can we get kids to achieve more as quickly as possible 1052 01:08:57,660 --> 01:08:59,260 with spending very little money. 1053 01:09:06,200 --> 01:09:08,396 There are 900 freshmen in our experiment, 1054 01:09:09,828 --> 01:09:11,991 At the end of every month, we hold a payout event 1055 01:09:11,992 --> 01:09:15,894 where all kids who got all Cs or above receive $50 in cash. 1056 01:09:17,000 --> 01:09:20,868 In addition, those who quality are also elegible for lottery, 1057 01:09:20,869 --> 01:09:22,969 where they can win $500. 1058 01:09:26,000 --> 01:09:26,955 To win the money, 1059 01:09:26,956 --> 01:09:30,102 They have to have no more than 1 unexcused absence 1060 01:09:30,103 --> 01:09:32,171 No all day suspensions 1061 01:09:32,172 --> 01:09:35,300 And all your grades at the end of the month have to be a C or higher 1062 01:09:37,777 --> 01:09:39,933 It's great to give them this financial reward, 1063 01:09:39,934 --> 01:09:42,650 but it's also about having a lot of fanfair around it 1064 01:09:43,190 --> 01:09:48,105 Giving them this big checque, sending them home in a Hummer limo. 1065 01:09:51,500 --> 01:09:53,812 You think, there's definitely a limo effect. 1066 01:09:58,801 --> 01:09:59,999 That is so cool 1067 01:10:00,000 --> 01:10:02,409 Are you serious?! They got to ride in it?! 1068 01:10:02,410 --> 01:10:04,369 Aw, that is so awsome! 1069 01:10:06,400 --> 01:10:12,720 Oh My God! This is awsome! 1070 01:10:13,850 --> 01:10:17,438 Oh yes, yes, you're getting straight As from me. 1071 01:10:17,439 --> 01:10:18,501 Yes! 1072 01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:20,884 There's lot of things I'd do for money I mean 1073 01:10:20,885 --> 01:10:23,095 I work all year round 1074 01:10:23,400 --> 01:10:26,220 Hi, I'm a representative of .... 1075 01:10:26,222 --> 01:10:28,646 we charge $3 for a walkway and $5 for a driveway 1076 01:10:28,647 --> 01:10:30,117 would you like to hire us for our services today? 1077 01:10:30,900 --> 01:10:32,642 Hook, line, and sinker 1078 01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:34,989 They say money doesn't buy happiness, 1079 01:10:34,990 --> 01:10:36,950 and I agree but I disagree. 1080 01:10:37,140 --> 01:10:38,155 Depends how you look at it, 1081 01:10:38,156 --> 01:10:39,668 Because when they say money cannot buy happiness, 1082 01:10:39,669 --> 01:10:42,174 they're saying materials things cannot make a person happy. 1083 01:10:42,148 --> 01:10:43,408 Wanna bet? 1084 01:10:48,226 --> 01:10:53,780 Okay, BPL083, unfortunate that person did not meet the standards this month 1085 01:10:53,781 --> 01:10:55,898 we cannot give them the money. 1086 01:10:56,100 --> 01:10:57,446 You know what you need to do next month, right? 1087 01:10:57,447 --> 01:11:01,350 -Yea -So you think you'll be meeting the standards next month? -Oh yea 1088 01:11:01,490 --> 01:11:03,866 -Alright -I took a look into the limo thing and I was like ... 1089 01:11:03,867 --> 01:11:05,630 Oh, you've seen the limosine outside? 1090 01:11:07,000 --> 01:11:09,121 It was awsome! 1091 01:11:09,122 --> 01:11:11,909 The lights, the way it was layed out ... 1092 01:11:13,323 --> 01:11:17,381 Take us home, Jekins ... it's gonna be so cool! 1093 01:11:17,810 --> 01:11:20,877 These are my halls! These are my halls! 1094 01:11:20,878 --> 01:11:22,951 Cuz I'm a King that's my last name. 1095 01:11:22,952 --> 01:11:24,584 The King~ 1096 01:11:28,200 --> 01:11:30,996 -5 or 7 of prime, so that's ... -Write it! 1097 01:11:34,454 --> 01:11:35,583 -Show your work 1098 01:11:36,000 --> 01:11:38,266 -5, you can't break down 5 because it is a prime number 1099 01:11:38,267 --> 01:11:41,175 Show your work ... I need you to ... do 1100 01:11:42,242 --> 01:11:45,270 -I'm gonna do 7 through 12 -No, I said 1 through 6 1101 01:11:46,779 --> 01:11:48,000 You don't get to pick 1102 01:11:50,376 --> 01:11:52,316 It's really important for me for him to finish school, 1103 01:11:52,317 --> 01:11:53,785 because I didn't. 1104 01:11:55,500 --> 01:11:58,063 He's very intelligent, he needs to focus. 1105 01:11:59,800 --> 01:12:01,382 They got to find something to get these kids 1106 01:12:01,383 --> 01:12:03,799 into going to school and get their grades up. 1107 01:12:13,805 --> 01:12:15,089 Hello? 1108 01:12:15,585 --> 01:12:20,043 Hi, my name is Eliah, I'm calling on behalf of the Chicago High School 1109 01:12:20,044 --> 01:12:21,561 Is Guela Lupaia available? 1110 01:12:21,562 --> 01:12:22,562 Is Hector available? 1111 01:12:22,563 --> 01:12:23,563 Is Mark available? 1112 01:12:23,564 --> 01:12:25,360 This is a message for Jessica Richardson, 1113 01:12:25,361 --> 01:12:28,854 wanted to congratulate her on meeting the monthly achievement this month 1114 01:12:28,855 --> 01:12:31,771 so she's eligible to win $500 1115 01:12:32,791 --> 01:12:36,000 And also, just let you know to have her keep an eye on her math and biology grades 1116 01:12:36,001 --> 01:12:37,542 cuz they're on a C right now. 1117 01:12:39,374 --> 01:12:42,390 Hi, this is Sally Sladoth from the University of Chicago, 1118 01:12:42,392 --> 01:12:43,485 Is Kevin Muncy there? 1119 01:12:45,067 --> 01:12:46,017 Hi this is Kevin 1120 01:12:46,018 --> 01:12:47,816 Hi Kevin, I'm looking at your grades, 1121 01:12:47,817 --> 01:12:49,328 and it looks like you need to bring some of them up, 1122 01:12:49,329 --> 01:12:51,703 are you doing something to work on bringing up your grades? 1123 01:12:51,704 --> 01:12:57,342 I'm not gonna lie, I haven't done every assignment, so far 1124 01:12:57,999 --> 01:12:59,235 So are you going to your teachers and 1125 01:12:59,236 --> 01:13:01,673 ask if you can make up the missing assignments? 1126 01:13:01,674 --> 01:13:04,362 Ah yeah, they're actually making a list for me right now. 1127 01:13:04,870 --> 01:13:07,210 -That's great, so you gonna try to make those up -Yea 1128 01:13:07,337 --> 01:13:09,514 Cuz the thing is if you can trun in missing assignments, 1129 01:13:09,515 --> 01:13:10,751 you can bring up the grade a lot. 1130 01:13:10,752 --> 01:13:14,019 because you go from having no credit for the assignment, 1131 01:13:14,020 --> 01:13:16,962 to getting some credit or even a lot of credit 1132 01:13:16,963 --> 01:13:20,005 -that'll make your grades bounce up a lot. -Yea 1133 01:13:21,000 --> 01:13:26,314 -So, you going to get the $50 for this month? 1134 01:13:26,802 --> 01:13:28,602 -Are you gonna be doing your best? -Yea 1135 01:13:28,603 --> 01:13:30,687 Alright, that's what I like to hear 1136 01:13:30,688 --> 01:13:33,704 -Alright, take care, have a good day. -Alright, you too, bye. -Bye 1137 01:13:36,615 --> 01:13:38,800 Huh, what? what? what? what? 1138 01:13:44,500 --> 01:13:45,638 Go duct tape him. 1139 01:13:47,277 --> 01:13:50,925 Little drawing over here, chromosomal #21, down syndrome are clear 1140 01:13:50,926 --> 01:13:53,180 So, if you have normal splitting, 1141 01:13:53,181 --> 01:13:55,278 this is what happens, we're making sperm here .... 1142 01:14:05,200 --> 01:14:08,886 -Mr. Garshorn, can you Tyler come help me? -Sure 1143 01:14:09,335 --> 01:14:11,774 You just wanna copy Lindsey's? 1144 01:14:13,642 --> 01:14:14,870 No, just tell her to come back here. 1145 01:14:16,040 --> 01:14:17,632 Lindsey 1146 01:14:18,200 --> 01:14:19,264 Do you have that? 1147 01:14:42,500 --> 01:14:44,444 Congratulations, you met the standards 1148 01:14:45,389 --> 01:14:46,752 Congratulations, you get the $50 this month. 1149 01:14:49,000 --> 01:14:51,976 -Unfortunately, you didn't meet the standards this month -Great 1150 01:14:54,800 --> 01:14:59,327 It's just on the grey category, you need to bring up these ... 1151 01:14:59,328 --> 01:15:01,896 grades to ... to be passing 1152 01:15:01,897 --> 01:15:05,118 So, let's take a look here ... Algebra you're passing that's good 1153 01:15:05,119 --> 01:15:07,781 So, what's going on in Biology and World History? 1154 01:15:07,782 --> 01:15:09,254 Are you missing assignments? 1155 01:15:10,200 --> 01:15:12,605 His history teacher said he should be in his honor class 1156 01:15:12,606 --> 01:15:15,756 but the simple fact that he's not doing the work, that's why he's not there. 1157 01:15:15,757 --> 01:15:16,703 Have to do the work. 1158 01:15:16,762 --> 01:15:20,237 The trouble between me and my mom is mostly about homework. 1159 01:15:20,238 --> 01:15:25,289 Because, the way it is with her she's always "When I was in school, ... " 1160 01:15:25,290 --> 01:15:26,887 ... we have homework everyday." 1161 01:15:26,888 --> 01:15:30,470 And I'm trying to get her to understand it's 21st century. 1162 01:15:30,471 --> 01:15:31,960 That was then and it is now. 1163 01:15:31,965 --> 01:15:38,536 Teachers are now more lenient, and no offence, care less ... 1164 01:15:42,100 --> 01:15:43,388 Ok, so what do we have? 1165 01:15:43,389 --> 01:15:45,330 I think the results are great this month, 1166 01:15:45,331 --> 01:15:47,392 where you see the control at 28, 1167 01:15:47,393 --> 01:15:50,410 then all the treatment at 36-38 1168 01:15:51,600 --> 01:15:52,850 So, that seems great to me, you know ... 1169 01:15:52,914 --> 01:15:55,745 When you go from 28-37, 1170 01:15:56,021 --> 01:15:57,668 -Right -I mean you're talking about ... 1171 01:15:58,000 --> 01:15:59,919 ... close to a 30% increase right? 1172 01:16:00,271 --> 01:16:03,282 So, seems like we are taking all the D kids to C 1173 01:16:03,283 --> 01:16:05,242 -and we're not doing anything for the E kids -Right 1174 01:16:06,070 --> 01:16:07,884 The question is the kids moved from D to C this year, 1175 01:16:07,885 --> 01:16:10,016 are they gonna have a better life? 1176 01:16:10,017 --> 01:16:13,634 -Right -I don't think we've the answer to that, overtime we'll find out ... 1177 01:16:13,635 --> 01:16:16,653 But I've definitely been surprised by how important ... 1178 01:16:16,654 --> 01:16:18,522 ... how well the parents groups are doing that ... 1179 01:16:18,523 --> 01:16:21,174 ... parents still make a difference in 9th grades it looks like. 1180 01:16:23,000 --> 01:16:24,683 Mom, I took a quiz on this book 1181 01:16:24,684 --> 01:16:27,718 the Maken TerryBerry book, I took a quiz on that 1182 01:16:27,719 --> 01:16:28,498 Did you read the book? 1183 01:16:28,499 --> 01:16:29,369 I read the book 1184 01:16:30,170 --> 01:16:30,465 Did you? 1185 01:16:30,466 --> 01:16:33,434 I read the book, I read the book, I read the book but I ... 1186 01:16:33,435 --> 01:16:34,808 -Did you READ the book? -Yes! 1187 01:16:34,809 --> 01:16:37,387 Cuz we have to search and read to find the answers 1188 01:16:37,388 --> 01:16:39,110 we have to read the book to find the answers 1189 01:16:39,111 --> 01:16:40,795 So, stop 1190 01:16:40,796 --> 01:16:44,374 Did you read the book or you just skim over the book? 1191 01:16:44,375 --> 01:16:47,222 ... to find the answer to the question that you were looking for? 1192 01:16:47,498 --> 01:16:49,200 Because, there's a difference 1193 01:16:49,201 --> 01:16:51,529 We read it as a class, but when we took the test ... 1194 01:16:51,530 --> 01:16:53,841 he gives out the page and we have to look for the answers. 1195 01:16:54,220 --> 01:16:56,156 Did you read the book without the class? 1196 01:16:56,157 --> 01:17:00,597 Did you read the book from cover to cover? 1197 01:17:01,087 --> 01:17:03,295 -Not from cover to cover -So, you didn't read the book 1198 01:17:03,296 --> 01:17:05,053 -We have ... -You didn't read the book! 1199 01:17:05,864 --> 01:17:08,375 -We didn't ... -You didn't read the book 1200 01:17:08,376 --> 01:17:10,719 You didn't read the book from cover to cover, 1201 01:17:10,720 --> 01:17:14,785 outside of class, with no help, no instructions from your teacher 1202 01:17:14,786 --> 01:17:17,210 along with your classmate, you didn't read the book 1203 01:17:17,211 --> 01:17:18,733 that's why you failed the test. 1204 01:17:33,183 --> 01:17:37,450 Look, I made a tattoo gun out of toothbrush 1205 01:17:37,451 --> 01:17:39,678 and I was giving myself a tattoo in class 1206 01:17:39,679 --> 01:17:42,004 -You have a tattoo? -I'm giving it to myself 1207 01:17:42,382 --> 01:17:44,558 I only did like a little bit 1208 01:17:44,559 --> 01:17:45,982 I got to do it a lot better 1209 01:17:47,000 --> 01:17:49,080 I can't let them see cuz I'll get into trouble, but ... 1210 01:17:49,081 --> 01:17:52,421 I made it out of toothbrush, and then just turn it on 1211 01:17:52,422 --> 01:17:54,771 I made it out of guitar string 1212 01:18:00,000 --> 01:18:03,701 I don't think I'll take money for giving up my social life 1213 01:18:04,200 --> 01:18:05,866 I wanna be the class clown 1214 01:18:07,000 --> 01:18:09,000 I'm doing better cuz I went up 6% to ... almost a D 1215 01:18:25,000 --> 01:18:26,346 He always likes to be the class clown, 1216 01:18:26,347 --> 01:18:30,240 always likes get the laughing; impressing everybody around him 1217 01:18:30,241 --> 01:18:32,319 That could be his incentive 1218 01:18:33,000 --> 01:18:33,958 But you'd think that ... 1219 01:18:33,959 --> 01:18:37,297 to impress everybody around you, your grade will be with that too. 1220 01:18:39,574 --> 01:18:42,362 He's got something in the mail that showed the list of all his grades 1221 01:18:42,363 --> 01:18:43,255 E,E,E,E,E ... 1222 01:18:43,256 --> 01:18:46,500 and I said, oh he's enjoying 9th grade he's doing it again, so ... 1223 01:18:46,585 --> 01:18:48,870 Now what I need to do, is ... 1224 01:18:48,877 --> 01:18:51,983 ... whenever he asks me for money now, he's not gonna get it. 1225 01:18:51,984 --> 01:18:53,148 End of story. 1226 01:18:53,149 --> 01:18:56,290 Yea. when the skateboard running out of wheels or getting bad ... 1227 01:18:56,291 --> 01:18:59,975 Well then, just grinding them down, or hit the books or soemthing 1228 01:19:20,000 --> 01:19:24,021 Urail, what does it mean to say a genotype is homozygous 1229 01:19:24,800 --> 01:19:29,064 -When all the "aline" are the same -When all of the Alios are the same 1230 01:19:33,000 --> 01:19:36,309 This is my last chance to win $500 1231 01:19:36,310 --> 01:19:40,214 I'm at the line, I'm splitting ... splitting a hair. 1232 01:19:45,000 --> 01:19:48,639 My brain's been going up and down. There's always something that'd distract me. 1233 01:19:50,000 --> 01:19:50,835 You know what I mean?! 1234 01:19:50,836 --> 01:19:54,945 What's distracting me was ... trying to be cool ... 1235 01:19:54,946 --> 01:19:58,208 ... trying to keep up with the Johnsons basically. 1236 01:20:02,583 --> 01:20:05,600 ITE103 1237 01:20:14,500 --> 01:20:17,132 Congratulations, you made the standard achivement for the last month. 1238 01:20:22,000 --> 01:20:26,130 So, here's your report card and the bracelet. 1239 01:20:26,131 --> 01:20:28,018 Here's the front and here's the back. 1240 01:20:29,651 --> 01:20:30,609 Congratulations 1241 01:20:32,000 --> 01:20:33,579 Great grades. 1242 01:20:55,700 --> 01:20:59,273 If I fail, I'm done, I'm dropping out. 1243 01:21:00,500 --> 01:21:07,336 Army, marines, coast guard, go to Iraq or something like that. I've no clue. 1244 01:21:23,164 --> 01:21:25,000 -Urail King -Yes! 1245 01:21:36,600 --> 01:21:39,550 Take us home, Jekins 1246 01:21:44,000 --> 01:21:45,928 What are the final results are like? 1247 01:21:45,929 --> 01:21:52,349 Our program is getting 35-50% more students to pass 9th grade. 1248 01:21:52,350 --> 01:21:55,523 5-7% boost in 9th grade passing rates. 1249 01:21:55,524 --> 01:21:57,987 We sure expect a lot higher rates than that. 1250 01:21:58,815 --> 01:22:00,926 We hope for a lot higher rates than that. 1251 01:22:00,927 --> 01:22:04,354 If we give them $50k ... to pass the 9th grade ... 1252 01:22:05,395 --> 01:22:07,029 what share do you think would pass? 1253 01:22:07,616 --> 01:22:09,923 Would we move 10% of the kids? 20% of the kids? 1254 01:22:10,755 --> 01:22:11,397 All of them? 1255 01:22:11,700 --> 01:22:12,569 I don't know 1256 01:22:12,974 --> 01:22:17,365 I think we need to, attack the problem at a ... much younger age ... 1257 01:22:17,366 --> 01:22:21,024 the dollar will be better spent during the earlier years 1258 01:22:22,800 --> 01:22:23,925 So what are we going to do next year? 1259 01:22:23,926 --> 01:22:26,254 What about preschool, did they find a preschool yet? 1260 01:22:26,255 --> 01:22:30,160 Yea, we've got a few perschools lined up and they seem excited. 1261 01:22:31,076 --> 01:22:32,304 So, we're talking about preschoolers ... 1262 01:22:32,305 --> 01:22:35,025 are we talking about taking parenting out of the hands of parents? 1263 01:22:35,026 --> 01:22:37,636 Or teaching the parents how to parent? Or both? 1264 01:22:37,637 --> 01:22:39,134 It's a little bit of both. 1265 01:22:40,000 --> 01:22:41,248 That could be fun. 1266 01:22:45,800 --> 01:22:47,971 The way I see it, learning is like a virus. 1267 01:22:47,972 --> 01:22:51,494 a virus that most adolesents don't want to catch ... 1268 01:22:51,495 --> 01:22:52,939 ... until later on in life. 1269 01:22:54,800 --> 01:22:56,100 Next year, I'm gonna be a sophomore. 1270 01:22:57,200 --> 01:23:00,888 I'm gonna tell you, I'm doing great and I'm getting As and Bs. 1271 01:23:02,200 --> 01:23:04,345 Next year when I'm gonna be a sophomore. 1272 01:23:05,897 --> 01:23:09,291 If not As and Bs then straight Bs ... or Bs and Cs. 1273 01:23:12,000 --> 01:23:14,874 Hey, that's difficult, that's not as easy as it looks. 1274 01:23:18,500 --> 01:23:20,094 I can promise you milk and cookies, but if ... 1275 01:23:20,095 --> 01:23:22,173 ... the oven is broken then you just gonna get milk. 1276 01:23:27,350 --> 01:23:28,530 ITE104 1277 01:23:29,200 --> 01:23:33,670 Our incentives, unlike everyone else's, are to be honest ... 1278 01:23:33,671 --> 01:23:38,710 If we build our reputation on, we're honest about this issue, and other issues .... 1279 01:23:38,711 --> 01:23:41,618 ... then people will believe us about everything. 1280 01:23:41,619 --> 01:23:44,843 The worst thing we could do, the only way we can ruin our reputation ... 1281 01:23:44,844 --> 01:23:46,897 ... is by starting to take sides and fights. 1282 01:23:47,382 --> 01:23:53,958 This peculiar beast, which actually has the right incentives, you just seek the truth. 1283 01:23:54,527 --> 01:23:55,961 And not have an agenda. 1284 01:23:56,349 --> 01:23:59,203 So, I don't think, anything we've ever written or thought is gonna save ... 1285 01:23:59,204 --> 01:24:03,187 any lives really, or ... make people better or smarter anyway. But ... 1286 01:24:03,188 --> 01:24:07,656 ... we kind of give people permission to challenge conventional wisdom sometimes ... 1287 01:24:08,000 --> 01:24:10,146 And ask a different kind of questions entirely ... 1288 01:24:10,147 --> 01:24:14,601 and a lot of times the sort of questions you ask his children, 1289 01:24:14,602 --> 01:24:17,823 and ah, people kind of chuckle at you. 1290 01:24:17,824 --> 01:24:19,756 But once in a while, they turn out to be rather good. 1291 01:24:19,757 --> 01:24:25,578 The problem is, as you get older, you ask them as adults in a meeting or friends, 1292 01:24:25,579 --> 01:24:29,061 they'll laugh at you hard and you stop entirely. 1293 01:24:29,062 --> 01:24:31,132 And we just kind of keep doing it. 1294 01:24:31,133 --> 01:24:34,800 We kind of say, what if this thing everybody think is so really isn't. 1295 01:24:35,470 --> 01:24:38,179 What if that didn't cause this, what if this cause it? 1296 01:24:38,673 --> 01:24:42,421 I think that's just need to be a lot more permission for people to think like that 1297 01:24:45,358 --> 01:24:46,856 Total bs, was't it? 1298 01:24:49,620 --> 01:24:51,000 -=End of movie=- 112987

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