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We will start out straight with the
price action on the Euro monthly chart,
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you can see.
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If we take the SIP tool to measure the
premium and discount, we
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take the monthly swing high to the
monthly swing low.
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Then we pull the SIP and you can see
that everything above the 0 .5 level
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is the premium, the monthly premium.
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and everything below is the monthly
discount right and as you can see on the
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monthly the first pd array we have is
this monthly value gap
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right here and as you can see we trade
into that monthly value
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gap during april and may and if we then
go down to the
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weekly
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We can also see that we have a volume
imbalance here, and we also have this
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swing high right here.
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But for now, we will focus on this
monthly imbalance right here.
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So, on the weekly, we can see that we
had this weekly swing high, which is the
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buy side right, resting right below this
monthly pay value gap.
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As you can read in the PDF of this
course I talked about swing highs
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resting next to table value gaps.
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So in this example we have the weekly
swing high and the monthly imbalance
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here.
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And we trade through that high and we
tag that or almost tag
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that monthly imbalance and then in the
following weeks we take out the buy side
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once again right so at this point we
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now have our weekly dealing range right
here right we have the swing low right
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here swing high right here and now we
can also pull a whip here to determine
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the premium and discount of this range
right
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If we then go down to the daily time
frame, we
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can see that we, on the daily, we
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have here the weekly high, we take that
high out and then we had this last
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swing low right here, which is also the
swing low which created this last high
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here, which has taken liquidity.
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from this level and you can also see how
we perfectly respect that 0 .5 level of
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this monthly value gap right and if we
then add
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the dxy the dollar index to this chart
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you can see that when when we look
compare the highs of the euro with the
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of the dxy you can see that we
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Made a low here. So we made a lower low
here and the higher higher in euro But
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then once euro made a higher high taking
out Rating the buy side right into this
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pebbly gap You can see that the dollar
index failed to make a lower low. So at
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this point we have an S &T divergence,
right?
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Or at least we can anticipate at this
point an S &T divergence.
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An S &T divergence As I told you, if we
anticipate a market mega model or a
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shift in the order flow at a higher time
frame key level, we can then anticipate
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or we can use S &T as a confluence to
frame a higher time
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frame shift in order flow.
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So at this point we could anticipate an
S &T here.
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But to confirm the FMT we first of all
need a shift in order flow on the daily
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chart here.
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So to confirm a shift in order flow
here, I would like to see a close below
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body or the wick of the last down -close
candle and the swing lure right here.
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So we have FMT here, potential FMT with
a DXY right here and
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then you can see in the following up
days we also get a close below
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this candle and at this point for me the
daily order flow has shifted to the
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bearish side right so we are now in a
bearish order flow and we can look for
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shorts aiming for the for the sell side
of those lows here right
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So, we mark out the higher time frame.
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This is now a breaker block, right? We
make a low, higher high. We break below
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the low, so now this is a breaker.
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And you can see how we respect the lower
half of this pd -array. We always want
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to see a reaction in the lower half of a
bearish pd -array or an inversion pd
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-array in this case.
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We have a daily break -up lock and you
can see how we retrace in the lower half
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of this break -up lock and then we get
displaced into the downside and we have
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pay value gap right here.
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So this pay value gap is being left
open.
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Why? Because this is a break -away gap.
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How can you anticipate a break -away
gap?
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Because we have a range here.
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Price is leaving that range and if price
is leaving a range with this placement
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you can anticipate that the first
failure gap will usually act as a
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gap and will be left untapped.
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Then you can see how we displace lower
again and we also close
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below this order block.
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So those two down -closed candles create
one bullish order block and once we
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close below they turn as well into a
break -up lock, right? So we have a
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-up lock here.
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And if we look on the sell side now of
this curve, right? We have the buy side
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here.
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All of this is the buy side.
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And this is the sell side, right?
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So we have this inversion level, which
is the break -up lock.
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And now we also have on the sell side a
value gap right here.
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And you can see how we on the following
day we trade into that stability gap, we
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respect the breaker, we close with the
lower half of the breaker and then we
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the sell -off and we take out the swing
low here and
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the swing low which is also the first
swing low resting right in the
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discount of this range and we take this
out as well.
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So you could have used this POI here,
the breaker block and the value gap on
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daily to look for lower time frame
trades aiming into those lows right
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How we frame lower time frame trades
according to the daily bias, we will get
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into that soon, but for now I will just
want to give you an idea how we use the
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daily chart to determine order flow and
to get our daily bias.
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which will be the most important thing
going forward when we determine our
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intraday trades and our directional bias
rate.
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So we had the sell -off right here from
this high value gap, taking out the sell
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side right here, and we also trade right
into the discount of this entire range.
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And after we had three expansion candles
to the downside, we then see a
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retracement candle.
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on the daily and also a consolidation
candle.
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So a consolidation candle, why?
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Because you can see the candle body of
this wick is almost at the same price,
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the open price is almost at the same
price as the closing price, right? So
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candle body is relatively small compared
to the other bodies of the daily
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candles, right? So it's a consolidation
daily profile and after the
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consolidation we again get three
expansion candles to the downside right
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then take out the sell side below the
swing low as well right so
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now we can see that we are trading
already in a quite a deep discount of
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range and we now have to consider that
we might see a consolidation and a
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possible reversal happening here and
also if we take a look we have
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a daily order block right here this is a
daily order block, why?
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because this is also a high probability
order block because we have taken
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liquidity we've taken liquidity of this
thing low and this thing low and then
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we had the break of structure above this
high which created the
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impulse to the downside, right? so this
is a high probability order block and
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We ideally, I told you, here we want to
see the lower half being respected.
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In this case you want to see price
respecting the upper half and not
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below the 0 .5 level of this order block
here, right?
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We also have a volume imbalance right
here, which is also aligning with the
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upper half of this daily bullish order
block, right? So we have...
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PDArray alignment here, we have multiple
PDArrays aligning and if we are bullish
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here we might want to use this POI here
as our higher time frame POI to look for
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a potential accumulation happening here
and then we see a reversal and we can
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aim for potentially those equal highs
here and if we go on the weekly again
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we also have a volume imbalance right
here so We mark that out with
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a volume imbalance right here, which is
still unmitigated, right?
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Price has not traded into it besides
here.
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So we also have a weekly swing high. So
we have buy side resting inside of this
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volume imbalance, right?
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So we have the volume imbalance right
here and this buy side right here and
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the equal highs.
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And if we take a look at the weekly, we
are still in a...
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In a bullish order flow we are making
higher highs, higher lows, we break old
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highs making a higher high and now we
want to see if price can make a higher
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right here and then aiming for the buy
side here and eventually the buy side
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resting above the weekly swing high
right here.
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So now what we can see as well, if we
look at the weekly chart, we have an old
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volume imbalance right here.
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And we close below, so this is now an
inverted volume imbalance.
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So if price is trading up here, we
ideally don't want to see a weekly or
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close above this level. And we want to
see price using this level as resistance
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to sell off and trading on the daily
deeper
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into this order block and eventually
into this.
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volume imbalance right here.
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So now if we take a look at the daily
again, the daily chart, we look at the
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sell side of the curve.
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What PDA rates do we have here? So we
have on the sell side, we have this
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inverted volume imbalance and on the
sell side, so the present side of the
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current order flow, we have those two up
-closed candles and if we have a
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bearish order flow, All up -close
candles should act as a resistance in
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and ideally we don't want to see price
closing above the up -close candles.
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Ideally we see a rejection from the
middle or the lower half again of this
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right here.
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So now we have the daily PDAs. We have
the
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daily oil block right here.
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the bearish order block we have this
inverted volume imbalance and we also
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our bullish pd arrays which is this
volume imbalance and this
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bullish daily order block right and as i
told you we now want to look if we can
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frame a possible reversal here and then
taking out or aiming for all of those
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buy side highs here and eventually if we
confirm the bullish order flow and we
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confirm the weekly higher low being
placed here.
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We then will also aim for the equal
highs right here, and as we've also
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out, the weekly buy side right here,
which is resting inside of this
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weekly volume imbalance right.
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We want to see a higher low being formed
here, but on the daily we are still
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being bearish, and now we want to wait.
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If we can see...
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if we can get consolidation here and
then a shift in order flow on the daily
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then look for bullishness on euro right
and how we will do that that will be the
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topic of the following up videos
15939
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