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We will start out straight with the price action on the Euro monthly chart,
you can see.
If we take the SIP tool to measure the premium and discount, we
take the monthly swing high to the monthly swing low.
Then we pull the SIP and you can see that everything above the 0 .5 level
is the premium, the monthly premium.
and everything below is the monthly discount right and as you can see on the
monthly the first pd array we have is this monthly value gap
right here and as you can see we trade into that monthly value
gap during april and may and if we then go down to the
weekly
We can also see that we have a volume imbalance here, and we also have this
swing high right here.
But for now, we will focus on this monthly imbalance right here.
So, on the weekly, we can see that we had this weekly swing high, which is the
buy side right, resting right below this monthly pay value gap.
As you can read in the PDF of this course I talked about swing highs
resting next to table value gaps.
So in this example we have the weekly swing high and the monthly imbalance
here.
And we trade through that high and we tag that or almost tag
that monthly imbalance and then in the following weeks we take out the buy side
once again right so at this point we
now have our weekly dealing range right here right we have the swing low right
here swing high right here and now we can also pull a whip here to determine
the premium and discount of this range right
If we then go down to the daily time frame, we
can see that we, on the daily, we
have here the weekly high, we take that high out and then we had this last
swing low right here, which is also the swing low which created this last high
here, which has taken liquidity.
from this level and you can also see how we perfectly respect that 0 .5 level of
this monthly value gap right and if we then add
the dxy the dollar index to this chart
you can see that when when we look compare the highs of the euro with the
of the dxy you can see that we
Made a low here. So we made a lower low here and the higher higher in euro But
then once euro made a higher high taking out Rating the buy side right into this
pebbly gap You can see that the dollar index failed to make a lower low. So at
this point we have an S &T divergence, right?
Or at least we can anticipate at this point an S &T divergence.
An S &T divergence As I told you, if we anticipate a market mega model or a
shift in the order flow at a higher time frame key level, we can then anticipate
or we can use S &T as a confluence to frame a higher time
frame shift in order flow.
So at this point we could anticipate an S &T here.
But to confirm the FMT we first of all need a shift in order flow on the daily
chart here.
So to confirm a shift in order flow here, I would like to see a close below
body or the wick of the last down -close candle and the swing lure right here.
So we have FMT here, potential FMT with a DXY right here and
then you can see in the following up days we also get a close below
this candle and at this point for me the daily order flow has shifted to the
bearish side right so we are now in a bearish order flow and we can look for
shorts aiming for the for the sell side of those lows here right
So, we mark out the higher time frame.
This is now a breaker block, right? We make a low, higher high. We break below
the low, so now this is a breaker.
And you can see how we respect the lower half of this pd -array. We always want
to see a reaction in the lower half of a bearish pd -array or an inversion pd
-array in this case.
We have a daily break -up lock and you can see how we retrace in the lower half
of this break -up lock and then we get displaced into the downside and we have
pay value gap right here.
So this pay value gap is being left open.
Why? Because this is a break -away gap.
How can you anticipate a break -away gap?
Because we have a range here.
Price is leaving that range and if price is leaving a range with this placement
you can anticipate that the first failure gap will usually act as a
gap and will be left untapped.
Then you can see how we displace lower again and we also close
below this order block.
So those two down -closed candles create one bullish order block and once we
close below they turn as well into a break -up lock, right? So we have a
-up lock here.
And if we look on the sell side now of this curve, right? We have the buy side
here.
All of this is the buy side.
And this is the sell side, right?
So we have this inversion level, which is the break -up lock.
And now we also have on the sell side a value gap right here.
And you can see how we on the following day we trade into that stability gap, we
respect the breaker, we close with the lower half of the breaker and then we
the sell -off and we take out the swing low here and
the swing low which is also the first swing low resting right in the
discount of this range and we take this out as well.
So you could have used this POI here, the breaker block and the value gap on
daily to look for lower time frame trades aiming into those lows right
How we frame lower time frame trades according to the daily bias, we will get
into that soon, but for now I will just want to give you an idea how we use the
daily chart to determine order flow and to get our daily bias.
which will be the most important thing going forward when we determine our
intraday trades and our directional bias rate.
So we had the sell -off right here from this high value gap, taking out the sell
side right here, and we also trade right into the discount of this entire range.
And after we had three expansion candles to the downside, we then see a
retracement candle.
on the daily and also a consolidation candle.
So a consolidation candle, why?
Because you can see the candle body of this wick is almost at the same price,
the open price is almost at the same price as the closing price, right? So
candle body is relatively small compared to the other bodies of the daily
candles, right? So it's a consolidation daily profile and after the
consolidation we again get three expansion candles to the downside right
then take out the sell side below the swing low as well right so
now we can see that we are trading already in a quite a deep discount of
range and we now have to consider that we might see a consolidation and a
possible reversal happening here and also if we take a look we have
a daily order block right here this is a daily order block, why?
because this is also a high probability order block because we have taken
liquidity we've taken liquidity of this thing low and this thing low and then
we had the break of structure above this high which created the
impulse to the downside, right? so this is a high probability order block and
We ideally, I told you, here we want to see the lower half being respected.
In this case you want to see price respecting the upper half and not
below the 0 .5 level of this order block here, right?
We also have a volume imbalance right here, which is also aligning with the
upper half of this daily bullish order block, right? So we have...
PDArray alignment here, we have multiple PDArrays aligning and if we are bullish
here we might want to use this POI here as our higher time frame POI to look for
a potential accumulation happening here and then we see a reversal and we can
aim for potentially those equal highs here and if we go on the weekly again
we also have a volume imbalance right here so We mark that out with
a volume imbalance right here, which is still unmitigated, right?
Price has not traded into it besides here.
So we also have a weekly swing high. So we have buy side resting inside of this
volume imbalance, right?
So we have the volume imbalance right here and this buy side right here and
the equal highs.
And if we take a look at the weekly, we are still in a...
In a bullish order flow we are making higher highs, higher lows, we break old
highs making a higher high and now we want to see if price can make a higher
right here and then aiming for the buy side here and eventually the buy side
resting above the weekly swing high right here.
So now what we can see as well, if we look at the weekly chart, we have an old
volume imbalance right here.
And we close below, so this is now an inverted volume imbalance.
So if price is trading up here, we ideally don't want to see a weekly or
close above this level. And we want to see price using this level as resistance
to sell off and trading on the daily deeper
into this order block and eventually into this.
volume imbalance right here.
So now if we take a look at the daily again, the daily chart, we look at the
sell side of the curve.
What PDA rates do we have here? So we have on the sell side, we have this
inverted volume imbalance and on the sell side, so the present side of the
current order flow, we have those two up -closed candles and if we have a
bearish order flow, All up -close candles should act as a resistance in
and ideally we don't want to see price closing above the up -close candles.
Ideally we see a rejection from the middle or the lower half again of this
right here.
So now we have the daily PDAs. We have the
daily oil block right here.
the bearish order block we have this inverted volume imbalance and we also
our bullish pd arrays which is this volume imbalance and this
bullish daily order block right and as i told you we now want to look if we can
frame a possible reversal here and then taking out or aiming for all of those
buy side highs here and eventually if we confirm the bullish order flow and we
confirm the weekly higher low being placed here.
We then will also aim for the equal highs right here, and as we've also
out, the weekly buy side right here, which is resting inside of this
weekly volume imbalance right.
We want to see a higher low being formed here, but on the daily we are still
being bearish, and now we want to wait.
If we can see...
if we can get consolidation here and then a shift in order flow on the daily
then look for bullishness on euro right and how we will do that that will be the
topic of the following up videos
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