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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:02,570 --> 00:00:08,870 Hello, everyone. Today is January 21st, and this is our third session of the 2 00:00:08,870 --> 00:00:09,910 Wyckoff Trading Course. 3 00:00:11,190 --> 00:00:15,750 Thank you for all of your emails and for all of the comments that I've received 4 00:00:15,750 --> 00:00:19,830 about the first two classes. You could see some of the comments from students 5 00:00:19,830 --> 00:00:21,650 the left side of the slide. 6 00:00:22,090 --> 00:00:27,190 I'm really excited that I hear a lot of excitement from you guys. 7 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:34,900 obviously always energizes me, you know, to go on and to think that this is 8 00:00:34,900 --> 00:00:39,760 going to be a great cycle. And I see how you guys are communicating with me. It 9 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:46,560 took me a few hours to go through the homework. So I've actually was 10 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:51,420 able, you know, today and usually Monday is my preparation day for the course 11 00:00:51,420 --> 00:00:53,460 since the morning. 12 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,940 you know, to go through all of the emails, and there were quite a few. So 13 00:00:57,940 --> 00:00:58,940 you for sending those. 14 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:04,099 Thank you for all of the kind words, by the way, that you sent me, you know, 15 00:01:04,099 --> 00:01:09,340 about the course and, you know, the knowledge that we present in this 16 00:01:09,340 --> 00:01:10,420 I really appreciate that. 17 00:01:12,460 --> 00:01:19,180 I also was somewhat impressed because the first homework 18 00:01:19,180 --> 00:01:21,320 where people sent me their labeling, 19 00:01:22,570 --> 00:01:27,790 It kind of gives me an understanding of what the cycle is going to be and how 20 00:01:27,790 --> 00:01:31,450 people are going to be in this course and so on and so forth. So I was really 21 00:01:31,450 --> 00:01:36,170 impressed with the level of understanding of the material. That's 22 00:01:36,750 --> 00:01:40,150 Secondly, how you guys are picking up the new knowledge and applying this. 23 00:01:40,450 --> 00:01:44,690 Having said this, there are obviously tons of adjustments that we will do, 24 00:01:44,690 --> 00:01:45,850 we will need to do. 25 00:01:48,330 --> 00:01:55,010 Not a finished product yet by any means, so there is a lot of work in front of 26 00:01:55,010 --> 00:01:57,490 us. But still, such a great start. 27 00:01:57,750 --> 00:02:03,670 And today, specifically with the homework, I want to point your attention 28 00:02:03,670 --> 00:02:07,050 identification of phase boundaries. 29 00:02:08,079 --> 00:02:13,100 almost in each of the homeworks, we had something to adjust around the 30 00:02:13,100 --> 00:02:15,020 boundaries of the phases. 31 00:02:15,260 --> 00:02:20,020 And obviously, you know, there's something that I need to give you. So we 32 00:02:20,020 --> 00:02:21,020 will... 33 00:02:21,710 --> 00:02:26,350 We will definitely go through some of the theoretical material where I will 34 00:02:26,350 --> 00:02:31,350 you how to identify phase C, how to identify the boundaries, you know, 35 00:02:31,350 --> 00:02:35,390 different phases and so on and so forth. And then, you know, we'll go through 36 00:02:35,390 --> 00:02:36,610 all the stuff today as well. 37 00:02:36,830 --> 00:02:43,370 Next session is January 28th. We are going to continue with the... 38 00:02:43,610 --> 00:02:44,349 price structure. 39 00:02:44,350 --> 00:02:51,230 So these homeworks are fundamental tools for us to start learning about 40 00:02:51,230 --> 00:02:54,450 phase analysis. So that's going to be our focus. 41 00:02:55,130 --> 00:02:59,230 And we will continue with that on January 28th. 42 00:03:00,730 --> 00:03:05,870 All right. As usual, all of our classes are for educational purposes only. Stop 43 00:03:05,870 --> 00:03:07,550 your video. Read the disclaimer. 44 00:03:10,380 --> 00:03:16,360 And then today, actually, let me do one thing, guys, before I'm realizing that 45 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:23,020 I'm actually slightly unprepared. Do you guys see my screen right now? 46 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:35,760 Okay, yeah, you should not be seeing my screen right now. 47 00:03:37,340 --> 00:03:38,340 Okay. 48 00:03:40,110 --> 00:03:41,110 Okay, great. 49 00:03:41,830 --> 00:03:42,890 Hold on a second. 50 00:03:47,250 --> 00:03:48,270 Okay, awesome. 51 00:03:48,810 --> 00:03:49,810 Okay, great. 52 00:03:52,570 --> 00:03:54,870 And now we should be back. 53 00:03:55,770 --> 00:03:59,790 All right, yes. So we are on the question from Lee. 54 00:04:00,350 --> 00:04:01,350 Okay, awesome. 55 00:04:01,830 --> 00:04:07,270 Thank you, guys. It's just like one minor technical detail that I had to 56 00:04:07,270 --> 00:04:08,270 care of. 57 00:04:09,370 --> 00:04:12,670 This is a question from the student in this class. 58 00:04:14,950 --> 00:04:20,269 Why am I posting this slide here? And why are we discussing this question? I 59 00:04:20,269 --> 00:04:25,230 usually email you guys the instructions about the questions as such. 60 00:04:25,570 --> 00:04:30,990 If you send me a question that requires a lot of explanation, most likely I will 61 00:04:30,990 --> 00:04:33,310 not be able to answer it over the email. 62 00:04:33,650 --> 00:04:37,970 But I really, really would like to answer this email in the classroom 63 00:04:37,970 --> 00:04:42,980 environment. And there is a specific reason of why I want to do this. If I am 64 00:04:42,980 --> 00:04:48,780 spending time answering your email question, and let's say I spent maybe 65 00:04:48,780 --> 00:04:53,440 minutes on that, you know, let's just suppose that this is a big question, 66 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:59,240 what I'm not doing is I'm not explaining the same concepts to other people in 67 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:00,099 the classroom. 68 00:05:00,100 --> 00:05:04,320 So what is the best to do is to have the question. 69 00:05:05,020 --> 00:05:09,260 that is in line with the content that we are covering right now. 70 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,400 So Lee is sending the question that is very close. 71 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:17,080 It's a little bit on the borderline here because we're going to discuss some 72 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:21,320 supply and demand, but I think it's a really good preview for our second month 73 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,520 when we will be diving in into the supply and demand concepts. 74 00:05:24,820 --> 00:05:31,800 Plus, Lee is taking the chart from our class. This is the chart 75 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:32,800 of Yahoo. 76 00:05:34,330 --> 00:05:39,850 Questions like this, sometimes I will subjectively put into the content of the 77 00:05:39,850 --> 00:05:44,650 class. We also will have one session. The last session will all be devoted to 78 00:05:44,650 --> 00:05:49,770 &A. And I know that you have so many questions about the homework right now. 79 00:05:49,770 --> 00:05:54,790 will go through those as well. And usually homework questions, those 80 00:05:54,790 --> 00:06:01,530 need to be addressed during the next class, you know, 81 00:06:01,530 --> 00:06:02,610 with the homework review. 82 00:06:03,370 --> 00:06:10,370 So we've talked about Yahoo, and we were talking about Yahoo in the context of 83 00:06:10,370 --> 00:06:15,550 a change of character. This was the first place where in the trend we saw 84 00:06:15,550 --> 00:06:20,030 the change of character has happened. A much larger reaction to the downside. 85 00:06:20,190 --> 00:06:23,830 There is not a lot of supply that's coming in. It's kind of flat, I would 86 00:06:23,830 --> 00:06:28,430 say. But the result to the downside 87 00:06:28,430 --> 00:06:31,370 has increased. 88 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:33,840 even though supply has not increased. 89 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:35,060 So what can we conclude? 90 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:39,700 Well, we're still thinking that this could lead to a change of character and 91 00:06:39,700 --> 00:06:43,360 therefore a trading range. And then we need to understand what kind of bias 92 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:45,060 we're going to have in that trading range. 93 00:06:45,340 --> 00:06:50,360 As I mentioned to you in the previous class, and this is the way how I 94 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:55,360 my communication, you know, and kind of like my integrity with you guys. 95 00:06:55,840 --> 00:07:00,560 Even here at these two spots, I'm thinking that the bias is still to the 96 00:07:02,190 --> 00:07:08,810 I'm not sure if anybody could persuade me otherwise at this point of time. I 97 00:07:08,810 --> 00:07:13,670 just don't see any increase in the volume signature, maybe slightly more 98 00:07:13,790 --> 00:07:16,550 but the result is even less than the first change of character. 99 00:07:17,250 --> 00:07:22,490 Less supply on the next reaction, only really one day of selling and then just, 100 00:07:22,610 --> 00:07:23,419 you know. 101 00:07:23,420 --> 00:07:28,540 inactivity by sellers and more deterioration on of the volume and the 102 00:07:28,540 --> 00:07:34,560 we still would be thinking that the bias is up here and our position is going to 103 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:38,720 be here i mentioned that probably we would be closing somewhere here on this 104 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:43,880 and this is how we come back into this trading range so and then the question 105 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:49,980 the question is about two spots or two bars or rather you know two places 106 00:07:49,980 --> 00:07:56,360 one and number two So we already see how the price has deteriorated below two 107 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:58,620 levels of the support that were so important. 108 00:07:59,260 --> 00:08:04,740 One of them was in the middle of the range and was still, please note, the 109 00:08:04,740 --> 00:08:06,020 was still to the upside. 110 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:11,460 So now at the failure of this, we have a couple of failures actually. 111 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:16,360 So the first one comes as an upthrust and there is the first failure. The 112 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:17,900 comes back into the range. 113 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:24,430 So at this spot, we're always thinking, A sign of strength rally or an upthrust 114 00:08:24,430 --> 00:08:27,070 situation? And we'll talk about this more. 115 00:08:28,270 --> 00:08:33,070 As the price comes back into the trading range, that becomes a failure, and 116 00:08:33,070 --> 00:08:35,870 therefore we start talking about the upthrust. 117 00:08:36,549 --> 00:08:42,250 An upthrust could be a function, could be a part of the reaccumulation, that's 118 00:08:42,250 --> 00:08:44,530 true, but also an upthrust. 119 00:08:44,830 --> 00:08:46,510 could be a part of the distribution. 120 00:08:46,830 --> 00:08:51,830 So the next thing that we do after the failure is we want to see where the 121 00:08:51,830 --> 00:08:57,870 will go, what kind of price deterioration we will have, and what 122 00:08:57,870 --> 00:09:00,390 character behind this deterioration we're going to see. 123 00:09:00,910 --> 00:09:07,290 So we're seeing that the price is committing below local support, 124 00:09:07,430 --> 00:09:11,530 and by itself, it's a weakness. 125 00:09:12,270 --> 00:09:14,630 at least a short -term weakness for now. 126 00:09:15,930 --> 00:09:20,410 And then we see the increase in the effort behind the increase in the 127 00:09:20,750 --> 00:09:25,590 So that suggests to us that there is some kind of short -term bearish bias 128 00:09:25,590 --> 00:09:27,670 we should be aware of at this point. 129 00:09:28,090 --> 00:09:32,690 The rally, which is going to be an LPSY rally here in the middle of the range, 130 00:09:32,890 --> 00:09:39,670 is very weak. It doesn't even come to one half of the move to the downside 131 00:09:39,670 --> 00:09:40,670 that we've seen. 132 00:09:41,430 --> 00:09:42,750 since the upthrust. 133 00:09:42,970 --> 00:09:48,270 So again, more weakness and then a continuation of that weakness and a 134 00:09:48,270 --> 00:09:50,710 commitment even below the previous support line. 135 00:09:50,950 --> 00:09:54,730 So we are in a sign of weakness type of environment. 136 00:09:55,110 --> 00:09:56,170 Supply is increasing. 137 00:09:56,710 --> 00:10:02,150 And as we go into those two spots, number one and number two, we are 138 00:10:02,150 --> 00:10:08,990 the new trading range that already has some bias that we perceive at this point 139 00:10:08,990 --> 00:10:11,050 as the downside bias. 140 00:10:12,210 --> 00:10:13,210 Why is that? 141 00:10:13,910 --> 00:10:17,230 Well, we've seen a change of character. 142 00:10:18,790 --> 00:10:24,510 This is the largest reaction to the downside than what we've seen before. 143 00:10:25,550 --> 00:10:29,410 And now we are trying to confirm that change of character. How are we 144 00:10:29,410 --> 00:10:35,810 that? Well, we need to have a rally, LPSY rally, last point of supply rally. 145 00:10:36,330 --> 00:10:39,450 that will fail at some point. At which point would it fail? 146 00:10:39,750 --> 00:10:44,190 Well, we want for the distribution, this rally to be so weak that it cannot 147 00:10:44,190 --> 00:10:48,570 overcome one half of the trading range or the height of the trading range. 148 00:10:48,790 --> 00:10:54,930 And we kind of see it here, right? So the price goes up with the enthusiasm to 149 00:10:54,930 --> 00:10:58,350 the upside and comes to this value zone right here. 150 00:11:01,420 --> 00:11:02,600 What do we have here? 151 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:07,640 Acceptance of this level or rejection of this level? Supply coming in at the 152 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:13,200 highs of this resistance or supply is coming in and being observed or supply 153 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:18,600 not coming in? Well, we definitely see that there are some spots, for instance, 154 00:11:18,680 --> 00:11:25,580 like right here, where, first of all, after the short -term break of a trend, 155 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:28,420 we see that supply is actually increasing. 156 00:11:29,150 --> 00:11:34,490 And this, I wonder if, Lee, you have seen this 157 00:11:34,490 --> 00:11:41,330 spread and this increase in the spread as well. Because it's all related 158 00:11:41,330 --> 00:11:47,730 to the other two that you've mentioned. Actually, another one right here. 159 00:11:47,910 --> 00:11:51,270 So let's kind of observe what is happening at this spot. 160 00:11:52,930 --> 00:11:54,190 The first one. 161 00:11:54,710 --> 00:11:56,050 The second one. 162 00:11:57,150 --> 00:11:58,150 Third one. 163 00:11:58,760 --> 00:11:59,900 And then the fourth one. 164 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:05,920 Actually, we could even do this. We could even look at this and this. 165 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:12,760 So one of the things that we notice right away is 166 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:19,600 we want to notice the areas where supply has 167 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:26,360 come and supply has increased and it's started producing either 168 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:33,200 a stopping action, some kind of reversal action, 169 00:12:33,540 --> 00:12:40,300 and then synchronicity with 170 00:12:40,300 --> 00:12:43,600 the increasing result to the downside. 171 00:12:44,500 --> 00:12:48,680 And that's kind of like a sequence of how supply is going to come in. 172 00:12:49,020 --> 00:12:54,580 Supply is not necessarily right away it's going to reverse the whole blast. 173 00:12:55,420 --> 00:12:57,520 It's just impossible because 174 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:05,340 With the uptrend that we have had, there is a specific sentiment that exists 175 00:13:05,340 --> 00:13:10,740 in market participants' minds at this point of time as to what should happen. 176 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:17,040 We should be in the uptrend. We see this from the sentiment we could derive from 177 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:19,460 how the price moves and from the volume signature. 178 00:13:19,900 --> 00:13:21,600 Everybody is on board. 179 00:13:22,420 --> 00:13:25,640 Nobody is getting out of this position. 180 00:13:26,430 --> 00:13:31,750 the first time when we could see a more meaningful getting out of this position 181 00:13:31,750 --> 00:13:37,130 is going to be in this area right here. And this is why, until then, we're still 182 00:13:37,130 --> 00:13:42,270 thinking that we might be in the reaccumulation because the texture for 183 00:13:42,270 --> 00:13:47,090 price and the volume is such that it dictates that the price most likely is 184 00:13:47,090 --> 00:13:48,230 going to continue to the upside. 185 00:13:48,650 --> 00:13:52,430 Now, as it continues to the upside, this is the... 186 00:13:52,670 --> 00:13:56,290 where for the first time we're experiencing some increase of the 187 00:13:57,110 --> 00:14:03,330 And for the first time, it's not only stopping the price from moving further 188 00:14:03,450 --> 00:14:07,010 but it actually synchronized with the result to the downside. 189 00:14:08,090 --> 00:14:14,870 So this is the first area of significant institutional selling that we 190 00:14:14,870 --> 00:14:21,350 see. Now, as we go through the sign of weakness, then we see how supply also 191 00:14:21,350 --> 00:14:22,350 comes 192 00:14:22,650 --> 00:14:24,250 at the lower level. 193 00:14:24,550 --> 00:14:29,190 So we are kind of now in a different value zone. 194 00:14:30,910 --> 00:14:35,630 And this value zone, because we're looking at the distribution, is going to 195 00:14:35,630 --> 00:14:38,550 described as the value zone for weak hands. 196 00:14:38,830 --> 00:14:42,830 This is just a definition of the work of trading course that I created, you 197 00:14:42,830 --> 00:14:44,290 know, for you guys and for myself. 198 00:14:44,650 --> 00:14:46,670 That's how we would define the value zone. 199 00:14:46,910 --> 00:14:50,510 So what is happening here? I'm coming back to this question by Lee. 200 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:56,860 I would like to understand what was actually happening at points number one 201 00:14:56,860 --> 00:14:57,860 two. 202 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:02,420 To understand what's happening at these two points, we need to understand what 203 00:15:02,420 --> 00:15:08,560 happened prior, and we're kind of going to this. So the value zone for weak 204 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:10,960 hands, what does it mean? 205 00:15:12,060 --> 00:15:17,480 It means that at this spot right here and at this spot right here, 206 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:22,840 Weak hands are buyers. 207 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:26,300 And if they are buyers, what do they see? 208 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:29,680 The weak hands are seeing some kind of value. 209 00:15:30,740 --> 00:15:35,380 So that's a very interesting thought. How could they see value at this point 210 00:15:35,380 --> 00:15:36,380 time? 211 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,520 The trend has been broken. 212 00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:42,200 The stock went into the consolidation. 213 00:15:42,420 --> 00:15:44,880 The stock is at the support level. 214 00:15:46,260 --> 00:15:47,840 Wouldn't they feel more fear? 215 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,380 to come in and to establish this position. 216 00:15:50,740 --> 00:15:56,920 It's a very interesting observation about the weak hands because 217 00:15:56,920 --> 00:16:03,180 the weak hands are going to be getting in into the trend either very, very late 218 00:16:03,180 --> 00:16:07,500 and they will be profitable. 219 00:16:07,900 --> 00:16:14,740 So weak hands getting in and they will be profitable at this 220 00:16:14,740 --> 00:16:15,740 point of time. 221 00:16:16,430 --> 00:16:19,690 And then this is going to be the first group of weak hands. 222 00:16:19,910 --> 00:16:26,750 The second group of weak hands is going to be someone who maybe sold their 223 00:16:26,750 --> 00:16:28,130 stock and did not participate. 224 00:16:28,430 --> 00:16:29,430 That's number one. 225 00:16:29,770 --> 00:16:34,530 Secondly, maybe sold their stock, did not participate, but then got out. 226 00:16:35,050 --> 00:16:41,470 And then as the price goes into the consolidation and especially goes back 227 00:16:41,470 --> 00:16:43,510 produces some kind of 228 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:48,340 you know, move to the downside within the confines of the structure. 229 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,440 So this is the structure that we would be looking at at the time. 230 00:16:52,020 --> 00:16:57,280 The weak hands are going to see some value and they're going to say, this was 231 00:16:57,280 --> 00:17:03,020 leadership stock and I didn't really participate. I didn't, you know, 232 00:17:03,020 --> 00:17:08,140 participate in this whole trend. But now that we are at the support, this is 233 00:17:08,140 --> 00:17:09,760 where I'm going to come in and I'm going to buy. 234 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,680 And that's how they see that value at this spot. 235 00:17:14,569 --> 00:17:19,069 They're coming in and they're buying, and because they don't have a lot of 236 00:17:19,069 --> 00:17:24,190 strength behind it, the rally that is being produced is not that great. 237 00:17:25,490 --> 00:17:32,410 And what else is happening, even more importantly, is that into the strength 238 00:17:32,410 --> 00:17:38,250 weekends at this point, when they see that value, institutions are going to 239 00:17:38,250 --> 00:17:39,250 into that strength. 240 00:17:40,570 --> 00:17:43,490 And we are seeing this later on. 241 00:17:43,870 --> 00:17:50,450 in the selling where supply is increasing on increased volume signature 242 00:17:50,450 --> 00:17:56,290 increased down spread look at the spread right here this is the largest spread 243 00:17:56,290 --> 00:18:01,890 on all in this whole rally it just tells us that the rally is done and once the 244 00:18:01,890 --> 00:18:06,130 rally is done you instantly know that this is the high of the rally and then 245 00:18:06,130 --> 00:18:09,950 start making your assessment and deductions as to what kind of 246 00:18:10,700 --> 00:18:14,580 was it in the relationship to the whole formation, to the height of this 247 00:18:14,580 --> 00:18:19,180 formation? And you see that it's only one half of the range that this really 248 00:18:19,180 --> 00:18:22,940 traveled, and then it met so much supply, so much selling. 249 00:18:24,100 --> 00:18:29,260 Okay, well, then we go back into the same area. Again, we can't, thinking 250 00:18:29,260 --> 00:18:35,140 this is the new attempt to go up, that is going to result in the overcoming of 251 00:18:35,140 --> 00:18:36,140 the long -term resistance. 252 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:42,000 And what do we see as we come to the same resistance point? We're seeing how 253 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:43,820 supply is still increasing locally. 254 00:18:44,340 --> 00:18:50,560 And not only that, the downward result is increasing as well. So that becomes a 255 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:54,980 reversal again. And you start questioning, we've done this two times 256 00:18:55,780 --> 00:18:59,900 And every time that we've come to this level, what happens? 257 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:05,440 Some institutions are selling at the resistance point. So what is their bias? 258 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:10,520 Their bias is to the downside if they're selling, right? We see that from the 259 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:16,860 increased volume signature only, you know, usually big institutions will 260 00:19:16,860 --> 00:19:17,900 this type of signature. 261 00:19:18,700 --> 00:19:24,300 So therefore, we are thinking about confirmation of this bias. 262 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:31,600 And as we go down on the next reaction, we're seeing a sign 263 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:32,600 of weakness. 264 00:19:33,020 --> 00:19:34,960 The price commits below. 265 00:19:35,550 --> 00:19:39,110 Yes, it comes back. So there is a spring type of action. 266 00:19:40,750 --> 00:19:46,510 But we know that what's selling here is selling here an ability to overcome one 267 00:19:46,510 --> 00:19:49,130 half of the height of the range and then a sign of weakness. 268 00:19:49,470 --> 00:19:51,090 So this could be just temporary. 269 00:19:51,590 --> 00:19:58,530 And we could be just somewhere still in phase B at this point of 270 00:19:58,530 --> 00:19:59,530 this whole range. 271 00:19:59,950 --> 00:20:04,970 So what do we see next? We see the next attempt, and this is where we're coming 272 00:20:04,970 --> 00:20:07,170 in into one and two, those two points. 273 00:20:08,970 --> 00:20:14,250 And let's see what happens. This is the highest volume signature on this bar, 274 00:20:14,370 --> 00:20:16,570 and this is probably just some kind of event. 275 00:20:17,490 --> 00:20:21,830 And there is a lot of optimism on this bar. 276 00:20:22,610 --> 00:20:26,030 Again, we could see this from the volume signature, and we could see this from 277 00:20:26,030 --> 00:20:28,750 the price signature. This is most likely. 278 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:35,740 and this is the weekly chart, this is most likely some kind of earnings and so 279 00:20:35,740 --> 00:20:41,580 forth. And the biggest question that actually Lee is asking here, somewhere 280 00:20:41,580 --> 00:20:48,120 the description, he's saying that so much movement to the upside, so much 281 00:20:48,120 --> 00:20:51,200 effort, yet what do we do? 282 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:53,900 What is the final result? 283 00:20:54,750 --> 00:21:00,110 And to understand the final result, we need to understand the original intent 284 00:21:00,110 --> 00:21:02,590 intention behind this move. 285 00:21:03,170 --> 00:21:09,130 If there is so much enthusiasm behind it, the intention was to overcome the 286 00:21:09,130 --> 00:21:14,350 previous points of resistance that we were not able to overcome. 287 00:21:16,970 --> 00:21:22,570 And then what do we do with all of this enthusiasm that is even more than what 288 00:21:22,570 --> 00:21:23,570 we've seen before? 289 00:21:24,140 --> 00:21:26,180 we can't even go to the same level. 290 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:33,760 So what looks that this something, this 291 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:40,380 move to the upside with so much strength and optimism, looking so bullish at 292 00:21:40,380 --> 00:21:46,480 this point is actually showing us an ability to repeat the same bullish 293 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:48,660 that we've seen before on the previous rallies. 294 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:51,360 Is this bullish or bearish? 295 00:21:51,850 --> 00:21:53,490 Why didn't it reach resistance? 296 00:21:54,870 --> 00:21:57,310 Maybe this is the correct question to ask. 297 00:21:57,530 --> 00:22:00,190 Why didn't it reach resistance? What do you guys think? 298 00:22:00,990 --> 00:22:05,710 Well, my thought here is that it didn't reach resistance because someone was 299 00:22:05,710 --> 00:22:09,170 selling into the strength. 300 00:22:09,950 --> 00:22:15,870 And if you think about the tactics of the seal here at this spot, at the point 301 00:22:15,870 --> 00:22:16,870 of the resistance, 302 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:21,920 they are selling into the strength of weak hands twice already. 303 00:22:22,540 --> 00:22:27,460 And now they are selling for the third time at the lower level. 304 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:33,620 So this means automatically that the bias is still being confirmed as the 305 00:22:33,620 --> 00:22:34,620 downward bias. 306 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:40,700 and that now the value zone is slightly lower than what we've seen before. 307 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:46,300 So when point number two comes, which seems like a very logical diminishing 308 00:22:46,300 --> 00:22:50,560 volume signature, so we might be thinking that, okay, supply is 309 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,400 here, which is correct as well. 310 00:22:52,740 --> 00:22:59,320 But what's not happening is that we're not going anywhere with all of this 311 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:04,420 increase of what seems to kind of like an amateur eye, a bullish scenario. 312 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:10,540 there is still an attempt to go up, and yet we can't reach even the previous 313 00:23:10,540 --> 00:23:16,080 level. So again, we are just confirming the bias to the downside at this point 314 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:21,880 of time, and we are interpreting the increase of the volume signature as 315 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:28,580 an increase of the supply over 316 00:23:28,580 --> 00:23:30,960 average supply. 317 00:23:34,540 --> 00:23:40,900 And then we see that supply is diminishing over point number one. 318 00:23:41,100 --> 00:23:43,580 And that tells us a different story. 319 00:23:44,940 --> 00:23:50,680 It takes less of the supply to produce more bearish results. 320 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:56,740 And by more bearish results, I mean inability of the price to actually 321 00:23:56,900 --> 00:24:00,940 you know, even the same, to touch the same resistance or create a higher high. 322 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,640 So it's a more bearish result. 323 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:05,700 on less supply. 324 00:24:06,060 --> 00:24:07,320 What does it tell us? 325 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:14,220 It tells us that we don't need so much supply anymore to push the price down. 326 00:24:14,360 --> 00:24:20,920 And at this point of time, demand is so exhausted that all of the next rallies 327 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,380 are not going to be that big. 328 00:24:24,190 --> 00:24:28,370 And we see it with the next rally, with the next rally. And we're seeing how 329 00:24:28,370 --> 00:24:33,690 supply is diminishing even more and yet result to the downside is increasing 330 00:24:33,690 --> 00:24:34,589 even more. 331 00:24:34,590 --> 00:24:41,430 So this tells us that there is a poor demand and diminishing supply 332 00:24:41,430 --> 00:24:46,770 signature on the background where the price 333 00:24:46,770 --> 00:24:50,270 is moving to the downside. 334 00:24:51,950 --> 00:24:53,150 And that... 335 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,940 is ease of movement. 336 00:24:57,900 --> 00:25:03,680 On diminishing supply signature, we are able to move the price down. 337 00:25:04,260 --> 00:25:05,440 Ease of movement. 338 00:25:05,820 --> 00:25:10,680 And that gives us a timing to initiate the position. 339 00:25:12,540 --> 00:25:18,820 Why? Well, because again, demand is so poor, we know that demand is not a 340 00:25:18,820 --> 00:25:19,820 anymore. 341 00:25:20,129 --> 00:25:24,890 And even though supply goes down, the price still goes down. So we're just 342 00:25:24,890 --> 00:25:28,670 to capitulate at some point. And we're usually going to capitulate around the 343 00:25:28,670 --> 00:25:32,470 point of support. So here's that final institutional capitulation. 344 00:25:32,670 --> 00:25:37,350 It doesn't have a lot of supply signature behind it. So that just tells 345 00:25:37,350 --> 00:25:39,010 most likely we're going to stop soon. 346 00:25:39,230 --> 00:25:42,870 We're not going to continue for a long time to the downside. 347 00:25:43,750 --> 00:25:46,450 All right. Well, hopefully this is... 348 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,800 a good explanation for you and for everyone. 349 00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:56,160 So really good question. This is not necessarily the question that I was 350 00:25:56,160 --> 00:26:02,540 expecting at this point, but I'm really encouraged by the, you know, the 351 00:26:02,540 --> 00:26:07,920 questions that are coming and, you know, I'm really happy that we're starting 352 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:12,460 with this. By the way, guys, today's class is going to go until six. We have 353 00:26:12,460 --> 00:26:16,180 lot of material, so I'm kind of already, for the next probably five sessions, 354 00:26:16,360 --> 00:26:20,590 we're going to, go up to 6 o 'clock, unless I have some kind of appointment 355 00:26:20,590 --> 00:26:21,810 arrangements after this. 356 00:26:22,290 --> 00:26:25,150 Lots of material, so we're going to cover a lot today. 357 00:26:26,670 --> 00:26:27,670 Questions. 358 00:26:28,030 --> 00:26:33,570 What about effort in the result if we see accumulation at the right side from 359 00:26:33,570 --> 00:26:39,010 2002, May to September of 2003? Only one year are accumulating. 360 00:26:39,270 --> 00:26:44,810 2003 to 2005, an uptrend, not a powerful effort in an accumulation. 361 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:46,960 Okay. 362 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:54,260 Okay, so let me just begin to understand this question. 363 00:26:57,580 --> 00:26:59,380 So what's the question, Eric? 364 00:27:07,860 --> 00:27:13,180 Okay, so this, 2005, and this. 365 00:27:14,250 --> 00:27:18,110 Yeah, I'm not sure if I understand the question, Eric. Let's just kind of 366 00:27:18,110 --> 00:27:19,790 rephrase it. Let's just think about this. 367 00:27:21,990 --> 00:27:28,810 Okay, meanwhile, small time accumulated. You mean 368 00:27:28,810 --> 00:27:32,030 this area right here as a cause? 369 00:27:33,930 --> 00:27:35,970 Or this as a cause? 370 00:27:37,090 --> 00:27:39,370 Okay. So, well... 371 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,980 We could definitely apply something like, you know, PNF, try to see what 372 00:27:45,980 --> 00:27:49,920 of, you know, objective we're going to see here. We could see if this could 373 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:51,640 match this objective as well. 374 00:27:52,260 --> 00:27:57,240 At this point of time, you know, we're not talking about the PNF. I'm going to 375 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:02,500 give you some references, but, you know, for those of you who are not familiar, 376 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:07,400 you know, with PNF, please go to our website. 377 00:28:08,620 --> 00:28:12,300 A couple of things that you could do on the YouTube channel. 378 00:28:12,740 --> 00:28:17,600 The YouTube channel has two videos right now by Bruce on PNF. 379 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:19,880 Those are basic videos. 380 00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:28,840 So go there. And then after that, go to our website, WyckoffAnalytics .com. 381 00:28:29,020 --> 00:28:31,720 And there are on -demand products. 382 00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:35,340 You could find part one and part two. 383 00:28:40,190 --> 00:28:45,610 of the two courses that we conducted together with Bruce on the PNF. So I 384 00:28:45,610 --> 00:28:46,710 recommend just that path. 385 00:28:47,630 --> 00:28:48,630 Okay, great. 386 00:28:50,310 --> 00:28:57,030 Let's move on and let's just go through the material for today. 387 00:28:57,210 --> 00:29:00,090 So today, what are we going to discuss today? 388 00:29:00,610 --> 00:29:05,690 This is going to be the major work for us today to go through the Home Depot 389 00:29:05,690 --> 00:29:07,270 homework review. 390 00:29:08,110 --> 00:29:13,130 There will be a lot of questions that I will answer. 391 00:29:13,570 --> 00:29:17,930 This is the first, well, not the first time, but this is the time where I'm 392 00:29:17,930 --> 00:29:19,430 expecting a lot of volunteers. 393 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,680 We are going to put on the chart and we're just going to go through your 394 00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:29,820 and then we're going to start adjusting that logic as to how are we viewing the 395 00:29:29,820 --> 00:29:33,820 chart, how are we identifying specific events, how are we thinking about 396 00:29:33,820 --> 00:29:38,040 labeling, and then how do we think about the tactics and where would we be 397 00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:42,380 thinking about opening the position and so on and so forth. So this might take 398 00:29:42,380 --> 00:29:48,000 even two sessions, but we will do this. As we go through the review, I'm going 399 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:53,850 to... After each of the slides, each of the exercises, we're going to have some 400 00:29:53,850 --> 00:29:54,990 kind of theoretical material. 401 00:29:55,290 --> 00:29:59,410 And the main thing that I want you guys to think about, and this is what I see 402 00:29:59,410 --> 00:30:02,490 in your homework, is the phase boundaries. That's number one. 403 00:30:02,970 --> 00:30:04,690 Secondly, phase C identification. 404 00:30:05,270 --> 00:30:08,470 And then everything else, we'll definitely cover everything else. 405 00:30:08,850 --> 00:30:14,630 If we have time, we will talk about the distribution. If we don't have time, I'm 406 00:30:14,630 --> 00:30:15,630 going to give you that. 407 00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:18,020 homework on the distribution. 408 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:20,940 I'm going to give you the slides on the distribution. 409 00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:25,700 Your homework will be to read those slides through, to understand all of the 410 00:30:25,700 --> 00:30:31,820 work of events in the distribution, to know the characteristics of those 411 00:30:32,100 --> 00:30:36,920 and then apply them to the homework. And then we're going to do the review, the 412 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:42,280 same review as we've done with Home Depot, most likely maybe not in session 413 00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,240 number four, but maybe session number five. 414 00:30:46,899 --> 00:30:49,320 So that's going to be the plan for today. 415 00:30:49,820 --> 00:30:56,700 All right. With that, let's start our homework. And I need a volunteer. So say 416 00:30:56,700 --> 00:30:58,300 yes, and I'm going to unmute you. 417 00:31:00,300 --> 00:31:02,920 And let's see how that's going to go. Okay. 418 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:08,940 Let's go to Rami. 419 00:31:09,780 --> 00:31:12,880 Rami. Am I pronouncing your name correctly? 420 00:31:13,900 --> 00:31:15,040 Rama is fine. 421 00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,640 Rama. Okay, Rama. Almost like Roma. 422 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:20,400 My name is Roma, actually. 423 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:25,060 Right. My short name, so Rama. That's very close. Okay, great. 424 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:30,040 All right, so let's look. We have three trading ranges. By the way, guys, if you 425 00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:33,780 haven't noticed, some of you have not noticed, there is another one that I 426 00:31:33,780 --> 00:31:35,480 of wanted you to identify. 427 00:31:36,380 --> 00:31:41,800 And by the way, Rama, before we start doing this, let me guys show you really 428 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:48,780 quickly something that could be helpful to 429 00:31:48,780 --> 00:31:55,180 everyone. So I thought that this idea of having 430 00:31:55,180 --> 00:32:01,880 homework slides as a separate file, that was a suggestion by one of you. I 431 00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:06,740 really appreciate this because I think it saved a lot of time for a lot of you. 432 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:11,200 And I know how difficult it is to do the first homework, especially if you 433 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,500 haven't worked with PowerPoint, 434 00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:25,680 with PDFs and so forth. But I was really pleased to see that everybody 435 00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:28,260 is just kind of like getting a handle on that. 436 00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:32,860 So I want to show you a little bit of what I do. 437 00:32:33,210 --> 00:32:37,770 with power charging and it will be really quick so when you receive a slide 438 00:32:37,770 --> 00:32:42,670 me like this in in powerpoint why am i saying power charging in powerpoint um 439 00:32:42,670 --> 00:32:47,650 you have multiple options here for instance um under the first so you're 440 00:32:47,650 --> 00:32:52,930 to be a home tab and then look at all of these small icons right here so for 441 00:32:52,930 --> 00:32:58,410 instance i could click this icon right here and i could create any type of text 442 00:32:58,410 --> 00:33:04,230 that i want i could move this text and put it you know, anywhere I want. 443 00:33:04,430 --> 00:33:08,250 So for instance, something like this. I'm looking at the up thrust and I'm 444 00:33:08,250 --> 00:33:09,310 saying, this is an up thrust. 445 00:33:09,710 --> 00:33:14,430 You can copy that. You could create the new one. You could change the color of 446 00:33:14,430 --> 00:33:19,550 it. Whatever you guys want to do. Then you have, you know, any type of lines 447 00:33:19,550 --> 00:33:20,690 that you want to create. 448 00:33:21,750 --> 00:33:24,530 You can copy them, paste them. 449 00:33:24,730 --> 00:33:25,950 Here is your trend. 450 00:33:27,250 --> 00:33:28,610 What else? Phases. 451 00:33:28,910 --> 00:33:31,310 So I like to do this for phases. 452 00:33:32,890 --> 00:33:39,670 just to identify where phase is, and then, you know, change 453 00:33:39,670 --> 00:33:45,330 maybe like the weight, and maybe even change the way how it looks, and just 454 00:33:45,390 --> 00:33:51,950 okay, here is maybe like phase A, somewhere here, right? And then just 455 00:33:51,950 --> 00:33:58,590 down here, and I could change the size of it, and so on and so forth. 456 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:04,800 So there are quite a few useful things that you could do here with the 457 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:11,400 PowerPoint. And it's actually quite easy once you get a handle on all of those 458 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:16,980 things. So let's just practice. Let's just kind of like go with this, you 459 00:34:16,980 --> 00:34:18,620 with next homework. 460 00:34:19,219 --> 00:34:25,520 And hopefully it will be easier for you guys to use it. All right. Having said 461 00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:28,260 this, Rama, let's come back to you. 462 00:34:29,690 --> 00:34:32,929 And let's look at trading range number one. 463 00:34:33,750 --> 00:34:35,510 So it's this one right here. 464 00:34:35,770 --> 00:34:42,670 So one of the earliest questions in labeling that I ask students 465 00:34:42,670 --> 00:34:49,330 is, I want them to understand that when you look at the historical chart, 466 00:34:49,590 --> 00:34:56,290 you know already what the 467 00:34:56,290 --> 00:34:57,970 bias of the trading range is. 468 00:34:59,150 --> 00:35:05,370 And at this point in the course, this is exactly what I want you to do. I want 469 00:35:05,370 --> 00:35:09,170 your minds not to think about the bias first. 470 00:35:09,650 --> 00:35:15,570 I want you to understand that we have been in the accumulation and that you 471 00:35:15,570 --> 00:35:17,710 to label accumulation correctly. 472 00:35:17,990 --> 00:35:19,370 This is the first task. 473 00:35:19,890 --> 00:35:26,430 As we progress to month number two, that's when I'm going to start 474 00:35:26,430 --> 00:35:28,330 closing off the chart. 475 00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:35,620 and then moving to the right and unfolding the chart as swings or 476 00:35:35,620 --> 00:35:42,080 bars occur. And then you will have to analyze the bias and the timing and so 477 00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:45,880 and so forth. But for now, this is what we do. We know that this is an 478 00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:46,880 accumulation. 479 00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:53,900 So in accumulation, the biggest question that I have on labeling, what catches 480 00:35:53,900 --> 00:35:56,980 your eye, Rama, that is so distinctive? 481 00:35:57,470 --> 00:36:02,810 distinctively different than anything else that you could identify right away? 482 00:36:05,370 --> 00:36:12,030 The arrest of the descent of the price downwards, the arrest of the downward 483 00:36:12,030 --> 00:36:13,450 movement of the price. 484 00:36:14,010 --> 00:36:15,610 Okay, so what about it? 485 00:36:16,430 --> 00:36:23,110 And the price failing to go below that particular level 486 00:36:23,110 --> 00:36:25,630 and then rising. 487 00:36:26,730 --> 00:36:29,830 from that level onwards, defining the level of support. 488 00:36:30,170 --> 00:36:34,070 Okay. Well, let's take that thought and let's just kind of develop this. So we 489 00:36:34,070 --> 00:36:40,610 were in the downtrend and then we stopped that downtrend at this spot 490 00:36:40,610 --> 00:36:45,090 here. And then after that, we went into the non -consolidating environment. 491 00:36:45,590 --> 00:36:50,410 We've talked about this in the last session. So what is this stop in action? 492 00:36:50,610 --> 00:36:51,910 How would we call it? 493 00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:53,840 How would Wicca call this event? 494 00:36:54,540 --> 00:36:55,640 Selling climax. 495 00:36:56,100 --> 00:36:58,300 Okay, selling climax, SC. 496 00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:05,500 Are there characteristics of the selling climax that we could identify here to 497 00:37:05,500 --> 00:37:07,700 confirm that indeed this was a selling climax? 498 00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:16,520 The range of the price bars, in other words, the spread is wide, 499 00:37:16,660 --> 00:37:19,920 and there are multiple such bars. 500 00:37:21,720 --> 00:37:27,580 which essentially indicates to me that the momentum to the downside 501 00:37:27,580 --> 00:37:34,300 and... Does it look panicky? Does it look 502 00:37:34,300 --> 00:37:37,960 like somebody wants to get rid of their thoughts right away? 503 00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:39,660 Absolutely, yeah. 504 00:37:40,140 --> 00:37:45,060 So there is some kind of climactic run that we are observing. 505 00:37:45,580 --> 00:37:46,580 Okay, great. 506 00:37:47,060 --> 00:37:52,170 We know... that you know from in hindsight that the price has stopped 507 00:37:52,170 --> 00:37:55,690 is the first spot so usually it's going to be associated with that climactic 508 00:37:55,690 --> 00:37:59,690 action with the selling climax okay if this is a selling climax then the next 509 00:37:59,690 --> 00:38:06,410 rally is going to be what automatic rally and then the next low 510 00:38:06,410 --> 00:38:11,970 is going to be what would be a secondary test and that would conclude which 511 00:38:11,970 --> 00:38:14,950 phase phase a and the 512 00:38:15,710 --> 00:38:17,850 Intention behind phase A is what? 513 00:38:19,150 --> 00:38:25,910 The intention is to stop the downward movement and then the beginning of 514 00:38:25,910 --> 00:38:28,070 potential trading range. 515 00:38:28,390 --> 00:38:34,970 Excellent. How else would we be interpreting or calling this automatic 516 00:38:34,970 --> 00:38:41,150 and the subsequent secondary test that is a successful secondary test? 517 00:38:45,039 --> 00:38:50,520 The secondary test and the automatic rally would have 518 00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:56,540 volume signatures that would suggest that it's more likely 519 00:38:56,540 --> 00:38:59,820 to be an evolving trading range. 520 00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:03,520 But also, yes, absolutely. 521 00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:10,760 And here again, we are going from a downtrend environment into a trading 522 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:11,718 range environment. 523 00:39:11,720 --> 00:39:13,900 Something should happen right here. 524 00:39:14,460 --> 00:39:15,620 some kind of change. 525 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:17,220 How are we calling that? 526 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:23,980 That would be the price failing to continue to go upwards. 527 00:39:24,300 --> 00:39:29,540 In other words, the automatic rally being limited by a price level, which 528 00:39:29,540 --> 00:39:30,840 defines the resistance. 529 00:39:31,610 --> 00:39:35,730 Okay, so that's great. That's also another great point. So automatic rally 530 00:39:35,730 --> 00:39:37,750 define an area of the resistance. 531 00:39:38,210 --> 00:39:43,290 I'm sorry, the level of the resistance. And then selling climax will define the 532 00:39:43,290 --> 00:39:45,110 level of the support. 533 00:39:45,430 --> 00:39:50,310 And we would be thinking that the price should consolidate around the mean in 534 00:39:50,310 --> 00:39:52,970 this area and be contained. 535 00:39:53,910 --> 00:39:58,770 Majority of the price should be contained within these two levels. 536 00:39:59,050 --> 00:40:00,050 And it is. 537 00:40:00,430 --> 00:40:01,710 So that's great. 538 00:40:01,990 --> 00:40:08,710 The question that I'm also asking is that switch between the downtrend to 539 00:40:08,710 --> 00:40:10,390 a consolidating environment. 540 00:40:10,650 --> 00:40:15,830 When we look at the rally, even the automatic rally itself, and we could see 541 00:40:15,830 --> 00:40:21,390 even going into the upthrust right here in potential phase B, 542 00:40:21,530 --> 00:40:25,610 is this the largest rally that we've seen so far? 543 00:40:31,170 --> 00:40:37,930 No, on the way down, this is the third such rally that we have seen so far. 544 00:40:38,190 --> 00:40:42,610 I'm not sure about that. So this is the high of this move to the downside, 545 00:40:42,970 --> 00:40:46,910 right? So we have rally number one. We have rally number two. 546 00:40:47,830 --> 00:40:52,150 There are quite a few here, so all of those two. And then look at this rally 547 00:40:52,150 --> 00:40:53,109 right here. 548 00:40:53,110 --> 00:40:57,410 Is this the largest rally out of all of the rallies that I've identified here? 549 00:40:58,010 --> 00:40:59,670 Right. I would agree. 550 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:02,420 So the rally has increased. 551 00:41:03,380 --> 00:41:07,100 The distance of the rally has increased. 552 00:41:07,340 --> 00:41:09,500 And that produced some kind of change. 553 00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:12,380 That's a change of character, yeah. 554 00:41:12,780 --> 00:41:17,520 Yeah, yeah. So this is where I'm kind of like trying to go with you here. So a 555 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:18,560 change of character. 556 00:41:18,780 --> 00:41:25,360 Now we need to confirm it. How do we confirm it? Well, we look at the 557 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:26,360 run. 558 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:32,900 And we are comparing it to the next rally that comes after the change of 559 00:41:32,900 --> 00:41:33,900 character rally. 560 00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:38,840 The next decline that takes place. Yeah, the next decline. And then we see that, 561 00:41:38,940 --> 00:41:42,640 again, the distance is diminishing. 562 00:41:43,240 --> 00:41:46,340 We're seeing how the spread might be diminishing as well. 563 00:41:46,580 --> 00:41:51,440 We're having a higher low right here in this area. So that confirms that change 564 00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:52,238 of character. 565 00:41:52,240 --> 00:41:55,040 And the change of character is going to be all about... 566 00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:59,100 Well, something different happens here in comparison to this or this. 567 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:05,040 Every time we either have a very weak rally and then a break to the downside. 568 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:09,300 Weak rally and then a break to the downside. 569 00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:13,000 Here we have a much better rally. 570 00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:15,720 So something is different. 571 00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:20,440 And then we don't have the next break to the downside. 572 00:42:21,190 --> 00:42:25,170 Or even in some instances, we might have a small break, and then the price will 573 00:42:25,170 --> 00:42:27,430 come back into the trading range. 574 00:42:28,010 --> 00:42:32,950 So this is a change of character. This is where everything changes for the 575 00:42:32,950 --> 00:42:37,150 downtrend, and we might expect a trading range. And it's always going to be 576 00:42:37,150 --> 00:42:41,450 associated on the way in with phase A. 577 00:42:42,650 --> 00:42:43,650 Excellent. 578 00:42:43,890 --> 00:42:50,800 Okay, so now that we know where phase A is, and by the way, So another, you 579 00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:54,140 know, for those of you who are more advanced, you might have a question 580 00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:57,540 and I'm actually very surprised that nobody's asking it right now. 581 00:42:58,700 --> 00:43:01,580 Automatic rally and automatic rally. 582 00:43:01,820 --> 00:43:05,660 Could it be that we could have, you know, this type of labeling? 583 00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:13,640 And I'd say that I would be totally okay with this, right? So because we 584 00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:17,540 have more of this rally and this secondary test. 585 00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:24,600 that is more of the function of the selling climax itself, and then just the 586 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:27,500 continuation of this rally to the upside. 587 00:43:28,540 --> 00:43:33,680 I could label this as an upthrust action right here in phase B, but you could 588 00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:39,780 also label this as a much larger automatic rally, and then your secondary 589 00:43:39,780 --> 00:43:43,480 is going to be somewhere here in this area, and this could be your phase A. 590 00:43:43,940 --> 00:43:49,800 Now, the biggest question here is, well, What does it mean? I mean, like, it 591 00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:51,380 looks like so discretionary. 592 00:43:51,700 --> 00:43:55,220 But the biggest question here is not actually about the labeling. 593 00:43:55,640 --> 00:44:01,180 My biggest question to you, all of you guys at this point is, does it really 594 00:44:01,180 --> 00:44:05,500 matter to your trading how you label phase A? 595 00:44:07,900 --> 00:44:09,520 No. Why? 596 00:44:12,420 --> 00:44:15,320 Because we are just looking at the... 597 00:44:15,690 --> 00:44:19,890 pattern as it is evolving. The patterns, the nature and the pattern of the 598 00:44:19,890 --> 00:44:21,290 rallies and the declines. 599 00:44:21,650 --> 00:44:23,650 Where were you betrayed in Rama? 600 00:44:25,380 --> 00:44:32,260 I would be trading at the phase C or D as 601 00:44:32,260 --> 00:44:37,960 the price gets out of the trading range and the new trend emerges. 602 00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:42,180 That's where I would be trading. So somewhere here in this area, maybe even 603 00:44:42,180 --> 00:44:46,320 more, maybe like somewhere here in this whole area. Why? Because it's always 604 00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:50,340 going to be to the right of the trading range where we're going to originate our 605 00:44:50,340 --> 00:44:55,490 trade. So does it really matter how we label phase A? 606 00:44:55,950 --> 00:45:02,330 No. I see a lot of this kind of like this mental, you know, resistance. 607 00:45:03,210 --> 00:45:05,430 I have to label everything correctly. 608 00:45:05,930 --> 00:45:10,190 You have to trade everything correctly. You don't have to label everything 609 00:45:10,190 --> 00:45:12,910 correctly. I'm going to go even further with this statement. 610 00:45:13,570 --> 00:45:18,610 You have to trade correctly. You don't have to analyze everything correctly. 611 00:45:18,610 --> 00:45:19,950 that is counterintuitive. 612 00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:27,340 Because we always think that by making a good analysis, that will lead to a good 613 00:45:27,340 --> 00:45:33,520 trade. Not necessarily. Sometimes my bad analysis leads me to a much better 614 00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:39,680 trade than the trade that I've analyzed a lot. 615 00:45:40,270 --> 00:45:41,470 Why is this happening? 616 00:45:41,670 --> 00:45:46,030 Well, because markets are unpredictable, and the only thing that you could 617 00:45:46,030 --> 00:45:47,770 really control is just your actions. 618 00:45:48,290 --> 00:45:53,650 So if I see some kind of mistake, analytical mistake that I've made, and 619 00:45:53,650 --> 00:45:58,070 market shows to me right away that you are wrong in your analysis, I could 620 00:45:58,070 --> 00:46:01,170 mentally make a switch and say, I was wrong. 621 00:46:01,410 --> 00:46:04,210 If I was wrong, what is the correct interpretation? 622 00:46:04,750 --> 00:46:07,550 Well, it's different. Could I take a trade on that? 623 00:46:08,140 --> 00:46:13,200 yes, I'm still in that zone where I could take a trade on that. So 624 00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:19,860 you know, you could use it like this, you know, like this mental path. 625 00:46:20,140 --> 00:46:25,640 Okay, so let's assume that we're going to go with the original phase A, 626 00:46:25,860 --> 00:46:30,440 selling climax, automatic rally, secondary test. 627 00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:34,980 Then I already mentioned upthrust action in phase B. 628 00:46:35,980 --> 00:46:38,640 So Rama, let me ask you this question. 629 00:46:39,020 --> 00:46:43,580 What is the next point in this trading range that attracts your attention that 630 00:46:43,580 --> 00:46:47,640 you could identify right away and you can say, I know what this is? 631 00:46:47,940 --> 00:46:49,680 The most obvious thing. 632 00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:57,860 The most obvious thing is a deeper secondary test that occurs 633 00:46:57,860 --> 00:47:02,140 in November. 634 00:47:02,870 --> 00:47:08,250 which is essentially very close to the support level and the behavior of the 635 00:47:08,250 --> 00:47:10,010 price when it reaches that level. 636 00:47:10,450 --> 00:47:12,890 Okay, so what is it? How would we label it? 637 00:47:13,750 --> 00:47:16,410 I would label that as SD. 638 00:47:17,450 --> 00:47:21,190 Okay, great. And there are, by the way, multiple secondary tests. 639 00:47:22,210 --> 00:47:27,850 This is also, guys, another thing that I want you to start thinking about. 640 00:47:28,050 --> 00:47:30,730 And today I'm going to give you so much material. 641 00:47:31,690 --> 00:47:37,230 For those of you who emailed me and you guys said, I watched the video and it 642 00:47:37,230 --> 00:47:43,030 was like an eye -opening watching it for the second or third time. And some of 643 00:47:43,030 --> 00:47:44,610 you watched multiple times. 644 00:47:44,990 --> 00:47:50,690 And I do believe it because going through this, even through this chart, I 645 00:47:50,690 --> 00:47:55,030 already gave you probably like a dozen of concepts that you could make a note 646 00:47:55,030 --> 00:47:59,430 of. So for those of you who have time, watch the recording again. 647 00:47:59,790 --> 00:48:04,210 Make the notes. Send those notes to me. You're going to receive so much value 648 00:48:04,210 --> 00:48:05,290 out of that exercise. 649 00:48:05,870 --> 00:48:08,510 Okay, so what am I talking about here? 650 00:48:08,970 --> 00:48:15,010 We have to understand the texture of the LUT formation, how it forms. 651 00:48:15,490 --> 00:48:20,350 We could see that the selling climax is always going to be associated with the 652 00:48:20,350 --> 00:48:22,090 secondary test, the retest of that. 653 00:48:22,350 --> 00:48:27,210 And then in phase B, Rama has mentioned, you know, this secondary test. 654 00:48:28,080 --> 00:48:30,780 That goes to the support level. 655 00:48:31,300 --> 00:48:37,100 But there are quite a lot of those tests around this area. There are one, two, 656 00:48:37,140 --> 00:48:39,780 three, four, five. Five tests, maybe even six tests. 657 00:48:40,300 --> 00:48:46,940 And you kind of could see from the texture of the price that it's all 658 00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:49,640 It's not just separate tests. 659 00:48:50,060 --> 00:48:55,840 It's the testing that takes some time and produces. 660 00:48:56,780 --> 00:49:02,660 a trading range so when we look into this we usually would be thinking that 661 00:49:02,660 --> 00:49:07,540 should belong to one phase and some instances we would break this but in 662 00:49:07,540 --> 00:49:13,040 case it seems like it should be one uh one test and then one phase so what 663 00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:18,940 would it be all the secondary tests here phase b phase b Yes, we still need to 664 00:49:18,940 --> 00:49:23,100 experience phase B, and we know that phase B is going to be the largest among 665 00:49:23,100 --> 00:49:25,400 three phases, A, B, and C. 666 00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:31,700 Okay, so if this is phase B, then what is the next most obvious thing that you 667 00:49:31,700 --> 00:49:35,200 see in this trading range that you could identify and tell us, I know what this 668 00:49:35,200 --> 00:49:36,200 is? 669 00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:44,180 There are two points I can identify. One is the... 670 00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:50,920 that happens soon after the testing or the support level, and the other one is 671 00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:57,600 the low of the Phase C. 672 00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:00,300 Okay. Those are the two things that stand out. 673 00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:04,420 Okay. So let's deal with Phase C first. So why is this Phase C? 674 00:50:07,240 --> 00:50:11,780 The price action and the price, again, 675 00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:19,460 Unlike the other test in phase B, the price gets much closer 676 00:50:19,460 --> 00:50:25,960 and the spread of the bar narrows. And the 677 00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:28,020 rally that follows that. 678 00:50:28,860 --> 00:50:35,800 for the first time, traverses through the trading range, commits itself above 679 00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:41,540 the resistance level, and then stays above that resistance level. Well, 680 00:50:41,540 --> 00:50:47,340 has been doing a lot of homework and watching a lot of videos, so Rama, good 681 00:50:47,340 --> 00:50:54,040 job. So Rama is giving us a lot of thoughts on how we could identify phase 682 00:50:54,570 --> 00:50:58,630 I'm going to show you this slide and, you know, in a couple of other slides 683 00:50:58,630 --> 00:51:04,150 we have to cover first on how could we identify phase C. This is going to be 684 00:51:04,150 --> 00:51:10,150 of the major kind of shortcuts that I'm going to give you guys. So phase C is 685 00:51:10,150 --> 00:51:16,270 going to be associated with the number three or 686 00:51:16,270 --> 00:51:22,950 last test at the level of the support. 687 00:51:24,590 --> 00:51:26,070 So where is the first test? 688 00:51:26,350 --> 00:51:32,670 Well, naturally, after the climactic action in phase A, that's number one, 689 00:51:32,670 --> 00:51:35,970 that's at the support level, even though it comes so high, but it's still 690 00:51:35,970 --> 00:51:39,490 testing the local stopping action by selling climax. 691 00:51:40,010 --> 00:51:44,510 Test number two, naturally, will happen in phase B. 692 00:51:44,850 --> 00:51:50,550 And this test number two is just too complex because there is a selling 693 00:51:51,660 --> 00:51:55,760 There's a whole formation with the selling climax, automatic rally, 694 00:51:55,760 --> 00:52:02,380 test, phase A, phase B, phase B, even the phase B upthrust, 695 00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:03,600 phase C. 696 00:52:03,780 --> 00:52:08,380 So it has its own trading range. So it's just a complex trading range and a 697 00:52:08,380 --> 00:52:11,860 complex process of testing that we are observing here. 698 00:52:12,180 --> 00:52:13,980 But this is a test number two. 699 00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:19,280 And then phase C always will be a test number three. 700 00:52:20,560 --> 00:52:22,140 at the level of the support. 701 00:52:22,540 --> 00:52:27,920 That's very important because test number four is gonna be at the level of 702 00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:34,900 resistance that was created by phases A and B. We will come back to 703 00:52:34,900 --> 00:52:35,900 this later on. 704 00:52:35,960 --> 00:52:42,720 We also know that phase C is gonna be the lowest low 705 00:52:42,720 --> 00:52:46,580 in the uptrend. 706 00:52:49,070 --> 00:52:55,270 And because we look at the chart where we know what has happened before, where 707 00:52:55,270 --> 00:52:57,130 did uptrend have started? 708 00:52:57,570 --> 00:53:01,810 One might argue that, well, we had the start maybe like somewhere here in 709 00:53:01,810 --> 00:53:07,270 December of 85, and then we have a higher high and a higher low. 710 00:53:07,650 --> 00:53:11,610 One might argue, well, maybe even a low prior to that, November. 711 00:53:12,170 --> 00:53:17,260 But for us, what's important is to understand is that there is still a 712 00:53:17,260 --> 00:53:20,360 range that unfolds. It's a non -trending environment. 713 00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:27,320 So therefore, there is no really a trend until it hits the low of phase C, and 714 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:33,420 only then we would be seeing some kind of uptrend. Now, we'll have some other 715 00:53:33,420 --> 00:53:37,880 different definitions on this subject where we might have even the low in 716 00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:42,680 A, and that would establish the whole trend. But we still would be going 717 00:53:42,680 --> 00:53:44,180 some kind of consolidating. 718 00:53:44,540 --> 00:53:46,940 accumulative actions prior to that. 719 00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:53,140 So the lowest low, when you look at the historical chart, could define phase C 720 00:53:53,140 --> 00:53:54,720 for you really easily. 721 00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:56,680 That's where the trend starts. 722 00:53:56,920 --> 00:54:03,780 We also will talk about a second point of fear in phase C. So that second point 723 00:54:03,780 --> 00:54:07,440 of fear is going to be associated with the increase in the volume signature 724 00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:11,440 where weak hands are going to capitulate. 725 00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:15,880 And that's going to produce that lower low. 726 00:54:16,640 --> 00:54:22,580 Or we could have, you know, like in this instance, a very big distance to the 727 00:54:22,580 --> 00:54:24,920 downside, right? So reaction might increase. 728 00:54:26,660 --> 00:54:33,420 And that could produce, you know, increased selling behaviors by 729 00:54:33,420 --> 00:54:37,560 weak hands, and they will be trying to get out, and there might be some 730 00:54:37,560 --> 00:54:39,340 acceleration around the support here. 731 00:54:40,560 --> 00:54:41,560 What else? 732 00:54:42,700 --> 00:54:49,240 said that there are some characteristics for phase C that we need to understand. 733 00:54:49,720 --> 00:54:55,780 We definitely know that the reaction should have some kind of bullish sign. 734 00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:04,700 And Rama has mentioned those. The downward spread is diminishing relative 735 00:55:04,700 --> 00:55:08,840 what we've seen, let's say, in phase B or on the climactic run in phase A. 736 00:55:09,470 --> 00:55:15,670 We could also see that maybe with this diminishing downspread action, the 737 00:55:15,670 --> 00:55:19,690 is also diminishing. That could be a possibility as well. And kind of a 738 00:55:19,690 --> 00:55:26,590 laborious move to the downside instead of very quick sign of strength type 739 00:55:26,590 --> 00:55:29,030 of move to the downside. So that's the big difference. 740 00:55:29,470 --> 00:55:32,410 Okay, so let's come back to our labeling. 741 00:55:33,450 --> 00:55:36,370 Phase A, phase C. 742 00:55:38,250 --> 00:55:41,350 So everything in between is phase B. 743 00:55:41,710 --> 00:55:48,450 And we see two instances where the price overcomes the previous high in a very 744 00:55:48,450 --> 00:55:53,150 insignificant way. In the first time, it tries to commit to the upside. 745 00:55:53,270 --> 00:55:59,070 Actually, the first time was here in phase B, so off -thrust action in phase 746 00:55:59,150 --> 00:56:02,690 Then the second time, it's just an attempt to commit, and then the return. 747 00:56:02,990 --> 00:56:06,890 And then the third time, there is a commitment, and then a return back. 748 00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:10,420 So all of those instances are going to be up thrust. 749 00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:17,660 There is only one extra definition here that I want you to know. 750 00:56:18,340 --> 00:56:23,120 This rally right here, that looks like a rally in phase D. 751 00:56:23,500 --> 00:56:27,620 And some of you who are more advanced, are probably just thinking, okay, well, 752 00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:32,400 why is he not talking about this? Why is this not a sign of strength rally? 753 00:56:32,660 --> 00:56:35,900 Why is it not identified as phase D? 754 00:56:36,510 --> 00:56:39,670 Well, look at the next reaction that comes after that. 755 00:56:39,970 --> 00:56:45,030 It actually negates almost all of the gains that we've seen on this rally. 756 00:56:45,350 --> 00:56:50,250 And we've just identified phase C low as the low of this reaction. 757 00:56:50,530 --> 00:56:55,510 So, therefore, whatever we're observing, all of this moves to the upside are 758 00:56:55,510 --> 00:56:58,090 most likely a part of phase B. 759 00:56:58,430 --> 00:57:02,510 Now, in phase B, we could have up thrust, and some of them are going to be 760 00:57:02,510 --> 00:57:03,510 significant. 761 00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:09,300 The ones that are showing us some bullish activity and that are going to 762 00:57:09,300 --> 00:57:15,620 like a phase D sign of strength could be labeled as 763 00:57:15,620 --> 00:57:22,540 upthrust action as a minor sign of 764 00:57:22,540 --> 00:57:27,440 strength. Whereas the major sign of strength is still going to come in phase 765 00:57:27,540 --> 00:57:31,500 right? So we could have a major sign of strength as like this rally. 766 00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:38,540 and then a backing up action into the lows of the support that acted before as 767 00:57:38,540 --> 00:57:41,120 the resistance. So this could act as a backing up action. 768 00:57:41,360 --> 00:57:45,760 So this big rally is going to be a major sign of strength. 769 00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:52,720 And then this smaller rally in phase B is going to be an upthrust action as a 770 00:57:52,720 --> 00:57:53,900 minor sign of strength. 771 00:57:54,160 --> 00:57:57,580 And that's that distinction that I want you guys to give. 772 00:57:58,750 --> 00:58:04,190 All right, let me quickly just see what other questions we have. 773 00:58:06,650 --> 00:58:11,970 Isn't phase A important for closing of a position from Philip? Yeah, absolutely. 774 00:58:12,110 --> 00:58:17,390 Here at this point, we're going to be facing a lot of trading decisions that 775 00:58:17,390 --> 00:58:19,370 we're keeping the position if we are correct. 776 00:58:20,140 --> 00:58:22,840 on our buys and if we are in this trade. 777 00:58:23,460 --> 00:58:27,460 Also, some other decisions, not for those of you who are in this position at 778 00:58:27,460 --> 00:58:28,460 this point of time. 779 00:58:28,600 --> 00:58:35,180 Let's say somebody is looking at the stock and identifying maybe some kind of 780 00:58:35,180 --> 00:58:41,020 interest in the stock. So in phase A, what kind of trading decision are we 781 00:58:41,020 --> 00:58:45,800 to have at this point? Most likely not, but that's a decision on its own. 782 00:58:46,180 --> 00:58:49,000 Not to participate is a decision. 783 00:58:50,320 --> 00:58:57,320 not to be involved, not to get your risk exposure at this point of time is a 784 00:58:57,320 --> 00:58:58,320 trading decision. 785 00:58:58,660 --> 00:59:02,380 Doing nothing, sitting on your hands is a trading decision. 786 00:59:03,340 --> 00:59:07,040 So yeah, so those type of decisions are going to be important in phase A. 787 00:59:08,560 --> 00:59:13,240 Is there a sign of strength rally after December secondary test? So we've just 788 00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:14,240 covered this. 789 00:59:14,620 --> 00:59:19,480 Yes, it's a sign of strength rally, but it's a minus sign of strength rally. 790 00:59:20,610 --> 00:59:23,550 in phase B and not in phase D? 791 00:59:25,030 --> 00:59:27,890 Where would you place the trade in phase C? 792 00:59:28,390 --> 00:59:30,450 Okay, good question. That comes from Justin. 793 00:59:31,170 --> 00:59:35,450 So we're looking at how the price moves to the downside and we're looking for 794 00:59:35,450 --> 00:59:41,470 any points of the reversal, right? So move to the downside, no reversal. 795 00:59:42,110 --> 00:59:44,950 Move to the downside, no reversal. 796 00:59:45,310 --> 00:59:48,310 Move to the downside, no reversal. 797 00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:55,700 move to the downside, oops, reversal, which would equal 798 00:59:55,700 --> 00:59:59,900 our point of entry, and that would be our first point of entry. Our second 799 00:59:59,900 --> 01:00:02,580 of entry could be this bar right here. 800 01:00:04,500 --> 01:00:11,360 Our next point of entry will be somewhere in this area where we are 801 01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:12,540 a backing -up action. 802 01:00:13,580 --> 01:00:18,120 And our fourth point of entry is probably going to be somewhere here on 803 01:00:18,120 --> 01:00:19,120 breakout. 804 01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:25,600 This was not the most efficient in this case entry, but still, with your stop 805 01:00:25,600 --> 01:00:29,500 losses, it shouldn't get you out. So all four points of entry, you should just 806 01:00:29,500 --> 01:00:30,500 go through. 807 01:00:31,500 --> 01:00:33,380 Okay, what else? 808 01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:38,200 Is it reasonable to take a trade to upside in early January? 809 01:00:40,549 --> 01:00:43,630 considering reaction looks like a back -and -up action? Yes. 810 01:00:44,570 --> 01:00:50,550 And if you're thinking that this is a back -and -up action, let's say, oh, I 811 01:00:50,550 --> 01:00:52,250 see, right here. Okay, got it. 812 01:00:52,710 --> 01:00:57,130 Okay, yeah, this is a good question, but again, we're coming back into the point 813 01:00:57,130 --> 01:01:01,730 of, you know, how do we actually manage the position, meaning how do we actually 814 01:01:01,730 --> 01:01:03,450 come in into the position, right? 815 01:01:03,670 --> 01:01:07,270 So we need to see some kind of reversal of this initial move to the downside. 816 01:01:07,730 --> 01:01:08,850 There is no reversal. 817 01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:15,980 So there is no entry, and that would save us from entering prematurely and 818 01:01:15,980 --> 01:01:18,820 exposing ourselves, you know, to the remainder of this reaction. 819 01:01:20,820 --> 01:01:24,800 Why is not a backing up action between February and March? 820 01:01:26,060 --> 01:01:28,740 This one right here, yeah, it's a backing up action. 821 01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:35,120 Again, it's just minor, right? And then this is a backing up action, this whole 822 01:01:35,120 --> 01:01:37,820 formation, and it's a major. 823 01:01:40,160 --> 01:01:46,220 So quite a lot of distinctions already, guys, that I've given you. So you have 824 01:01:46,220 --> 01:01:50,960 to take notes and you have to remember those. All right, Ramar. Really quickly, 825 01:01:51,060 --> 01:01:52,460 let's talk about the distribution. 826 01:01:54,020 --> 01:01:58,480 So what is the most obvious thing that you see in this distribution? 827 01:02:00,800 --> 01:02:05,320 In that small area of distribution, the most obvious thing is the... 828 01:02:07,370 --> 01:02:13,150 Price action that almost resembles buying climax, the very first bar. 829 01:02:13,470 --> 01:02:17,050 What are the characteristics of this buying climax that we see? 830 01:02:19,730 --> 01:02:25,770 Widespread rapid rise of the price to a new high when compared to the previous 831 01:02:25,770 --> 01:02:27,230 high. Climax is wrong. 832 01:02:27,570 --> 01:02:34,070 Right. And then it's immediately followed by an automatic 833 01:02:34,070 --> 01:02:35,070 reaction. 834 01:02:39,540 --> 01:02:46,480 And then that is followed by a secondary test, which tests the highs of 835 01:02:46,480 --> 01:02:48,260 previously established highs. 836 01:02:48,700 --> 01:02:52,820 Please note, there are quite a few secondary tests here. The first one is 837 01:02:52,820 --> 01:02:58,000 to be an attempt to retest the buying climax. That would conclude phase A. 838 01:02:58,040 --> 01:03:00,140 let's finish with the buying climax. What else? 839 01:03:00,700 --> 01:03:02,320 Gap. Gap up. 840 01:03:03,070 --> 01:03:08,450 is going to be a part of that, you know, climactic stopping action. Actually, as 841 01:03:08,450 --> 01:03:13,970 you look through this intermediate stopping actions, this is a buying 842 01:03:14,010 --> 01:03:15,030 It's just intermediate. 843 01:03:15,310 --> 01:03:18,450 And look how gap is happening here. Look at the move. 844 01:03:18,870 --> 01:03:20,270 Look at the gaps here. 845 01:03:20,830 --> 01:03:22,270 Also a buying climax. 846 01:03:22,650 --> 01:03:25,710 Also a buying climax. On a very, very small scale. 847 01:03:26,430 --> 01:03:32,030 But we kind of see that this analog repeats over and over and over again. 848 01:03:32,030 --> 01:03:36,090 yeah. A lot of climactic action. And what do you think the volume signature 849 01:03:36,090 --> 01:03:37,090 is? 850 01:03:38,250 --> 01:03:42,490 More likely to be a moderately high volume. 851 01:03:43,210 --> 01:03:48,410 Okay. Something like this. I wonder why moderately. I'm just really curious. 852 01:03:52,430 --> 01:03:58,550 That's because the extent to which the price has moved when compared to 853 01:03:58,550 --> 01:04:01,890 the previous high on the left side around. 854 01:04:02,440 --> 01:04:08,440 just before June, leads me to suspect that the 855 01:04:08,440 --> 01:04:15,320 volume might have been only moderately. If it was climactic volume, I would have 856 01:04:15,320 --> 01:04:17,280 seen the price go a little bit higher. 857 01:04:17,880 --> 01:04:22,420 Interesting. Okay, guys, for those of you who can, quickly find me the volume 858 01:04:22,420 --> 01:04:27,360 signature and maybe send me the picture through the chat or something like this. 859 01:04:27,420 --> 01:04:28,580 I'm now really curious. 860 01:04:30,060 --> 01:04:35,340 My first thought would be that because the next area is the reaccumulation, the 861 01:04:35,340 --> 01:04:38,820 volume signature is going to increase, but probably more locally. 862 01:04:39,500 --> 01:04:40,600 That's number one. 863 01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:47,740 And we probably would be thinking that that would give us just an idea that 864 01:04:47,740 --> 01:04:51,140 we're going to go into the trading range with the bias that is going to be to 865 01:04:51,140 --> 01:04:52,140 the upside. 866 01:04:52,360 --> 01:04:57,140 So therefore, not a lot of supply signature should be there. On the second 867 01:04:57,140 --> 01:05:02,300 thought. You know, looking at all of these buying climaxes, you know, to the 868 01:05:02,300 --> 01:05:08,820 upside, we're seeing that there is a big gap to the upside. So there is some 869 01:05:08,820 --> 01:05:14,240 kind of event here that stops this whole movement. So this event should have, 870 01:05:14,240 --> 01:05:17,320 you know, an increase in the volume signature for sure. 871 01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:19,820 Plus the whole day just goes up. 872 01:05:20,380 --> 01:05:24,240 So that should, you know, have some kind of demand behind it. 873 01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:30,300 especially at the higher levels over the resistance. So I wonder what the volume 874 01:05:30,300 --> 01:05:31,218 signature is. 875 01:05:31,220 --> 01:05:32,700 Okay, we'll come back to this. 876 01:05:32,900 --> 01:05:37,800 So buying climax, automatic rally, secondary test, our phase A is defined. 877 01:05:38,040 --> 01:05:42,260 What is the next phase that could be easily identified right away? 878 01:05:43,760 --> 01:05:50,080 Phase C, again, where the price comes and 879 01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:51,920 tests the support level. 880 01:05:53,230 --> 01:05:59,330 And followed by... We are discussing a distribution, right? So with the 881 01:05:59,330 --> 01:06:06,070 distribution, we're going to have this type of schematic where phase C is going 882 01:06:06,070 --> 01:06:08,650 to be not at the low, but at the high. 883 01:06:09,190 --> 01:06:10,810 Yeah. So where is it? 884 01:06:11,730 --> 01:06:15,430 It's right at the July level. 885 01:06:15,670 --> 01:06:16,670 Yeah. 886 01:06:17,230 --> 01:06:23,010 the price commits temporarily above the point of the uh level of the resistance 887 01:06:23,010 --> 01:06:29,530 so how would we label this then obviously say c yeah 888 01:06:29,530 --> 01:06:36,450 and how would what is this white of event the price commits temporarily 889 01:06:36,450 --> 01:06:39,210 above and then comes back into the trading range 890 01:06:40,460 --> 01:06:44,840 Up thrust. Up thrust, yeah. Because this is distribution after, up thrust after 891 01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:49,500 distribution. Everything between phase C and A is going to be phase B. 892 01:06:49,720 --> 01:06:53,980 In phase B, we're going to say, okay, there is a little bit small up thrust 893 01:06:53,980 --> 01:06:54,980 in phase B. 894 01:06:55,120 --> 01:07:00,240 There is multiple secondary tasks. 895 01:07:00,660 --> 01:07:06,540 And then as the price goes down, and we see that the price has some tail right 896 01:07:06,540 --> 01:07:08,500 here, it's very hard to see. 897 01:07:09,880 --> 01:07:12,900 How would we identify this action? Obviously in phase D now. 898 01:07:14,660 --> 01:07:20,300 So this first at least attempt to commit to the downside, how would you label 899 01:07:20,300 --> 01:07:21,300 it? 900 01:07:23,580 --> 01:07:28,460 That would be labeled as a last point of supply. 901 01:07:29,040 --> 01:07:32,260 Okay, so the rally will be a last point of supply. 902 01:07:32,540 --> 01:07:37,020 But the move to the downside from the high of the upthrust to the low of this 903 01:07:37,020 --> 01:07:38,020 reaction. 904 01:07:38,680 --> 01:07:40,840 This whole move right here, that would be what? 905 01:07:44,640 --> 01:07:51,400 Think about phase C low and accumulation and move to the upside. 906 01:07:51,540 --> 01:07:54,100 The opposite to that, to the downside. 907 01:07:54,740 --> 01:07:55,740 Downside, yeah. 908 01:07:56,620 --> 01:07:57,620 Sign of weakness? 909 01:07:58,240 --> 01:07:59,940 Yeah, sign of weakness, yeah. 910 01:08:00,180 --> 01:08:04,480 Sign of weakness. So it's a little bit condensed here, but here it is. 911 01:08:05,720 --> 01:08:06,720 Sign of weakness. 912 01:08:07,500 --> 01:08:09,780 LPSY, and then off we go to the downside. 913 01:08:10,140 --> 01:08:15,060 Okay, great. So distribution has a very small cause. 914 01:08:16,720 --> 01:08:23,080 So therefore, the downtrend should be also small. 915 01:08:23,800 --> 01:08:30,080 And we kind of see that. Okay, well, then next we'll look at the 916 01:08:30,080 --> 01:08:31,080 range again. 917 01:08:31,340 --> 01:08:35,180 Okay, so what is the most obvious thing that catches your eye, Rama? 918 01:08:37,169 --> 01:08:44,029 The most obvious thing is the price leveling off. 919 01:08:44,109 --> 01:08:51,109 After the sign of weakness and the last point of supply, it establishes a price 920 01:08:51,109 --> 01:08:54,130 from which there's a rally that takes place. 921 01:08:54,550 --> 01:09:01,450 Okay, so we're seeing the low that has been created, and then we're seeing 922 01:09:01,450 --> 01:09:05,470 a move to the upside. Now, this rally, is this... 923 01:09:05,840 --> 01:09:12,040 Is this rally much better than the rallies that we've seen in the down 924 01:09:12,620 --> 01:09:13,620 Yes, 925 01:09:14,020 --> 01:09:17,300 absolutely. So what does this mean to us? Is this a change of character? 926 01:09:17,979 --> 01:09:19,420 Yeah, change of character. 927 01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:23,479 Change of character. At this point of time, a change of character would 928 01:09:23,479 --> 01:09:28,460 that from a downtrend, we're going to go into a non -trending environment and 929 01:09:28,460 --> 01:09:29,899 we're going to look at the trading range. 930 01:09:30,380 --> 01:09:33,920 Trading range. The trading range here, again, the questions that we're going to 931 01:09:33,920 --> 01:09:38,380 address was the trading range, bias, timing, character. 932 01:09:39,319 --> 01:09:46,040 Right. Okay. So, and also, change of character is going to be associated 933 01:09:46,040 --> 01:09:49,680 always on the way into the trading range with phase A. 934 01:09:50,200 --> 01:09:54,640 Okay. So, if this is phase A, then what kind of, you know, phase A Y -class 935 01:09:54,640 --> 01:09:57,780 events do we have? The stop in action is going to be labeled as fail. 936 01:09:59,800 --> 01:10:00,800 Yeah. 937 01:10:01,820 --> 01:10:08,280 It will be labeled as a local selling climax. 938 01:10:08,720 --> 01:10:11,460 Yes, and I like that, you know, local definition. 939 01:10:11,760 --> 01:10:15,080 Okay, great. So selling climax, the first rally. 940 01:10:16,620 --> 01:10:18,620 That would be automatic reaction. 941 01:10:19,280 --> 01:10:24,780 Reaction, and then the next test that's going to test the selling climax is 942 01:10:24,780 --> 01:10:26,720 going to be a secondary test. 943 01:10:27,370 --> 01:10:29,830 And that would define phase A for us. 944 01:10:30,550 --> 01:10:36,430 Okay. So then what is the next most obvious Wyckoff event 945 01:10:36,430 --> 01:10:39,290 that you see here? 946 01:10:41,710 --> 01:10:48,310 A rally that goes above the level of the resistance 947 01:10:48,310 --> 01:10:54,170 and doesn't commit itself to the price level above. 948 01:10:54,780 --> 01:10:59,880 and declines into the trading range. So kind of like this type of action, right? 949 01:10:59,980 --> 01:11:04,040 Like we have this up front and then we come back into the trading range. And it 950 01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:09,280 happens at the same spot, right? So right after phase A. So act a little bit 951 01:11:09,280 --> 01:11:14,640 an analog, you know, to what we're seeing here. So we're seeing up front. 952 01:11:15,140 --> 01:11:21,080 At this point of time, looking at this rally, you're looking at the character 953 01:11:21,080 --> 01:11:22,080 this rally. 954 01:11:22,320 --> 01:11:28,020 Could we say that maybe this rally acts even as kind of like a minor sign of 955 01:11:28,020 --> 01:11:29,020 strength here? 956 01:11:29,300 --> 01:11:31,900 Yes, I would say so, yeah. Yeah, look at the character. 957 01:11:32,140 --> 01:11:34,320 The price moves so quickly to the upside. 958 01:11:34,580 --> 01:11:40,620 It commits on actually multiple closes to the upside. Actually, maybe just one 959 01:11:40,620 --> 01:11:41,619 or two. 960 01:11:41,620 --> 01:11:45,480 Spend some time there. And this is what's interesting. Sometimes upthrust. 961 01:11:45,680 --> 01:11:50,540 Look at this upthrust. Goes up, commits really quickly, and then... By the end 962 01:11:50,540 --> 01:11:53,920 of the session, it already shows some supply, and then the next day it comes 963 01:11:53,920 --> 01:11:55,020 back into the trading range. 964 01:11:55,420 --> 01:11:56,580 This one is different. 965 01:11:57,260 --> 01:12:04,220 This one has three days that goes above the resistance, and then look at the 966 01:12:04,220 --> 01:12:10,580 time that it spends, maybe like two weeks above that point of resistance. 967 01:12:11,140 --> 01:12:15,200 So what does it tell us? It tells us that there is some kind of strength 968 01:12:15,200 --> 01:12:17,460 the price action. 969 01:12:18,089 --> 01:12:19,330 Strength in the background. 970 01:12:19,690 --> 01:12:24,770 Yeah, and the strength, guys, you know, it's not indicative of the timing. 971 01:12:26,390 --> 01:12:31,190 By no means. Think about that, oh my gosh, the strength in early, let's say, 972 01:12:31,250 --> 01:12:36,830 phase A or early phase B, you know, we should go in into this position. Now, 973 01:12:36,950 --> 01:12:42,490 this strength just suggests to you that this is a reaccumulation, but it doesn't 974 01:12:42,490 --> 01:12:43,630 suggest to you the timing. 975 01:12:44,160 --> 01:12:48,580 The phase analysis is going to suggest to you the timing as to when we should 976 01:12:48,580 --> 01:12:49,740 into this position. 977 01:12:50,000 --> 01:12:54,880 But this trend suggests that the bias could be to the upside. 978 01:12:55,100 --> 01:12:58,580 So now you're just looking for the confirmation of this information. 979 01:12:58,940 --> 01:13:03,720 Is it really that the bias is to the upside because we're just still too 980 01:13:03,800 --> 01:13:07,360 We're in early phase B at this point of time. 981 01:13:08,580 --> 01:13:09,580 Okay, great. 982 01:13:10,260 --> 01:13:11,480 So what's next? 983 01:13:11,800 --> 01:13:16,520 By the way, if this is a bias to the upside, we would say that this is an 984 01:13:16,520 --> 01:13:18,560 upthrust action rather than an upthrust. 985 01:13:18,900 --> 01:13:23,060 Okay, well then, what's the next thing that catches your eye? 986 01:13:23,800 --> 01:13:29,540 Right. The next thing that catches my eye is the disconfirmation. That is, up 987 01:13:29,540 --> 01:13:34,100 until this time, the strength of the rally and the commitment of the price to 988 01:13:34,100 --> 01:13:37,500 the level above the resistance for a few days. 989 01:13:39,400 --> 01:13:41,280 tilts my bias to the upside. 990 01:13:41,680 --> 01:13:48,420 But on that bias, I always look forward to see if that is going to be confirmed 991 01:13:48,420 --> 01:13:55,140 by the subsequent price action. In this case, the subsequent price action is 992 01:13:55,140 --> 01:13:56,380 indicative of weakness. 993 01:13:56,800 --> 01:13:59,840 So it comes down, it price declines. 994 01:14:00,160 --> 01:14:02,100 Okay, so we're talking about this. 995 01:14:02,320 --> 01:14:08,000 Right. And then it comes and produces another secondary test. 996 01:14:08,520 --> 01:14:12,620 Okay. Well, let's kind of grab this idea here from Rama. 997 01:14:13,360 --> 01:14:18,740 So he's saying that, you know, to come back into the trading range, which we 998 01:14:18,740 --> 01:14:20,740 would expect, by the way, in Phase B. 999 01:14:21,200 --> 01:14:22,220 We've tested. 1000 01:14:22,960 --> 01:14:24,600 This is a secondary test. 1001 01:14:24,860 --> 01:14:29,960 It's still in Phase A. And this is the first test in Phase B. This is the test 1002 01:14:29,960 --> 01:14:35,720 at the level of the resistance. And we should have a test in Phase B. 1003 01:14:36,720 --> 01:14:39,480 at the level of the support as well. 1004 01:14:40,000 --> 01:14:44,300 Phase B is going to test both resistance and the support. 1005 01:14:44,540 --> 01:14:51,020 And we've seen how Romer has described that there is some supply 1006 01:14:51,020 --> 01:14:56,880 or increase of the supply that we see in the spread, in the download spread, 1007 01:14:57,140 --> 01:15:02,320 that suggests what? That suggests that if supply is increasing, we need some 1008 01:15:02,320 --> 01:15:03,960 kind of retest of that supply. 1009 01:15:05,860 --> 01:15:11,620 Usually, the more supply we have, the more testing we need to be doing. 1010 01:15:12,000 --> 01:15:16,540 And the more testing we need to be doing, that would suggest that we might 1011 01:15:16,540 --> 01:15:20,300 some kind of trading range. And we're already in a trading range here, which 1012 01:15:20,300 --> 01:15:24,080 kind of like thinking that it's going to prolong the trading range. 1013 01:15:24,500 --> 01:15:30,980 Okay, well, if we had one test, which was a 1014 01:15:30,980 --> 01:15:34,620 supposedly up -thrust accident test, 1015 01:15:36,560 --> 01:15:40,620 at the resistance, then the next test is going to be at the support. 1016 01:15:42,300 --> 01:15:44,880 So how would we label this test in phase B? 1017 01:15:46,100 --> 01:15:50,420 I would still label that as a secondary test. 1018 01:15:50,860 --> 01:15:56,980 Yeah, secondary test. We are not overcoming the low that was created in 1019 01:15:57,120 --> 01:15:58,440 so this is a higher low. 1020 01:15:58,660 --> 01:16:05,340 So therefore, the higher low in phase B would be 1021 01:16:05,340 --> 01:16:09,260 labeled as a secondary test at the level of the support. 1022 01:16:10,300 --> 01:16:17,220 And then a lower low in phase B would be labeled as a secondary test as a sign 1023 01:16:17,220 --> 01:16:19,280 of, as a minor sign of weakness. 1024 01:16:22,240 --> 01:16:27,620 Okay, so this is a secondary test, but which one? There are quite a few here. 1025 01:16:27,820 --> 01:16:31,280 I'm looking at this, I'm looking at this, I'm looking at this, I'm looking 1026 01:16:31,280 --> 01:16:32,300 this, I'm looking at this. 1027 01:16:33,160 --> 01:16:40,120 I would say the second one, the one marked where the price 1028 01:16:40,120 --> 01:16:46,040 reaches the lowest point among that cluster of tests. 1029 01:16:46,700 --> 01:16:52,400 Got it. So Rama is saying that this point right here is our secondary test. 1030 01:16:52,820 --> 01:16:59,360 I would probably have an argument here with you, Rama, because 1031 01:16:59,360 --> 01:17:01,520 look into this area again. 1032 01:17:01,920 --> 01:17:03,100 How did we approach it? 1033 01:17:03,360 --> 01:17:08,900 We approached the whole formation as three tests in different phases. 1034 01:17:09,300 --> 01:17:14,160 And that's what I want you guys to start practicing. I want your eyes and your 1035 01:17:14,160 --> 01:17:15,740 minds to see this. 1036 01:17:16,400 --> 01:17:19,200 There are formations that are together. 1037 01:17:20,660 --> 01:17:22,680 And I'm going to highlight this. 1038 01:17:23,460 --> 01:17:27,800 Here is a formation where there is an action and then there is a test. 1039 01:17:28,680 --> 01:17:33,620 There is another formation where there is an action and there is multiple tests 1040 01:17:33,620 --> 01:17:34,620 of this action. 1041 01:17:34,920 --> 01:17:40,140 And then there is a third formation that is an action and multiple tests after 1042 01:17:40,140 --> 01:17:45,520 that. So I want you to start thinking in these terms because we will be 1043 01:17:45,520 --> 01:17:50,760 defining the texture of the whole trading range as the 1044 01:17:50,760 --> 01:17:56,520 construction of smaller pieces. 1045 01:17:57,180 --> 01:18:02,800 that come together, and locally, when we say locally, then we mean that this 1046 01:18:02,800 --> 01:18:08,200 test is local to the selling climax, or this multiple tests are local to the 1047 01:18:08,200 --> 01:18:14,600 climactic action that Rama has identified here, or maybe this test are 1048 01:18:14,600 --> 01:18:18,240 the initial selling climax that we have here. 1049 01:18:19,940 --> 01:18:21,640 Okay, Rama, do you see that? 1050 01:18:22,140 --> 01:18:23,140 Yes. 1051 01:18:23,600 --> 01:18:27,740 Okay, so maybe something, you know, to kind of like work with the next 1052 01:18:27,900 --> 01:18:34,480 just, you know, identifying those areas, different textures, but different 1053 01:18:34,480 --> 01:18:38,180 tests, but, you know, they all create the same structure. Okay, so if we're 1054 01:18:38,180 --> 01:18:42,800 talking about different, you know, textures and structures within the logic 1055 01:18:42,800 --> 01:18:47,940 structure, then as we've identified tests here and identified the phases 1056 01:18:48,060 --> 01:18:53,120 then I could say that if this is test number one, Test number one is going to 1057 01:18:53,120 --> 01:18:54,400 associated with phase A. 1058 01:18:54,820 --> 01:19:01,660 This whole thing is test number two associated with phase B. Then this is 1059 01:19:01,660 --> 01:19:05,160 to be associated with C. 1060 01:19:06,420 --> 01:19:13,200 Okay, and that's how simple it is for us to think 1061 01:19:13,200 --> 01:19:14,200 about this. 1062 01:19:17,200 --> 01:19:20,760 such complex structures that we see, you know, in test number two and number 1063 01:19:20,760 --> 01:19:27,720 three, but they're all actions around the same area, right? They are all 1064 01:19:27,720 --> 01:19:34,720 the tests of the action that we see prior, you know, to testing area. 1065 01:19:35,080 --> 01:19:41,600 Okay, so if this is the case, then let's relabel this. Phase A, then phase B 1066 01:19:41,600 --> 01:19:46,100 probably goes to what? To this point right here, right? Yes, yeah, yeah. 1067 01:19:46,730 --> 01:19:52,970 And then phase C is going to either be concluded here or it's going to be 1068 01:19:52,970 --> 01:19:53,970 concluded here. 1069 01:19:54,210 --> 01:19:56,790 So we have two scenarios here. 1070 01:19:57,090 --> 01:20:03,930 Okay, so how would we, let's say, is there any other labeling that we need 1071 01:20:03,930 --> 01:20:05,510 to do here? Where is our phase D? 1072 01:20:07,250 --> 01:20:11,510 I would consider the second. 1073 01:20:12,060 --> 01:20:16,540 C you have put there as D, more D rather than C. 1074 01:20:16,840 --> 01:20:23,500 And I would consider the first C to be the real phase C because of the 1075 01:20:23,500 --> 01:20:27,880 signs of strength I see. It's making higher lows. 1076 01:20:28,540 --> 01:20:34,340 And that to me is the beginning of the new uptrend. 1077 01:20:35,500 --> 01:20:36,500 Okay. 1078 01:20:37,080 --> 01:20:38,420 Yeah, I like that. 1079 01:20:39,840 --> 01:20:44,880 At the same time, I would say that there are probably two ways of how we could 1080 01:20:44,880 --> 01:20:45,880 label this. 1081 01:20:46,040 --> 01:20:49,840 So let's say phase D labeling at this point. 1082 01:20:50,980 --> 01:20:52,520 Okay, so two ways. 1083 01:20:52,800 --> 01:20:55,940 The first one is exactly what Rama is describing. 1084 01:20:56,460 --> 01:21:01,540 We are in phase C here in the smaller formation. 1085 01:21:01,780 --> 01:21:07,980 Then look at how Rally is committing to the upside over the 1086 01:21:08,490 --> 01:21:10,530 what seems to be an apex formation. 1087 01:21:10,950 --> 01:21:16,010 And we know that in the apex formation, the sign of strength is actually not 1088 01:21:16,010 --> 01:21:17,210 going to be very good. 1089 01:21:17,430 --> 01:21:19,530 It's not going to be extremely distinct. 1090 01:21:19,770 --> 01:21:26,150 But what it's going to show out of the place of uncertainty, where both 1091 01:21:26,150 --> 01:21:32,690 buyers and sellers are inactive, they're just waiting for new information to 1092 01:21:32,690 --> 01:21:35,390 arrive, either to act. 1093 01:21:36,300 --> 01:21:40,920 on the buyers or maybe to add to the buyers or maybe to close the buyers that 1094 01:21:40,920 --> 01:21:41,759 they have. 1095 01:21:41,760 --> 01:21:47,660 So at this point of time, a small sign of strength suggests that there's a 1096 01:21:47,660 --> 01:21:54,080 little bit more buyers and supply is exhausted at this point, so we could 1097 01:21:54,080 --> 01:21:55,860 the price much, much easier. 1098 01:21:56,700 --> 01:22:00,620 So a sign of strength in the apex formation is always going to be that 1099 01:22:00,620 --> 01:22:07,130 thing. And then the backing up action, comes exactly on the second reactionary 1100 01:22:07,130 --> 01:22:10,770 leg to the down slope and the resistance. 1101 01:22:11,170 --> 01:22:15,310 So that acts as a backing up action, and therefore this is phase D. 1102 01:22:15,690 --> 01:22:21,990 So this is what we have, apex, and then a sign of strength that is going to be 1103 01:22:21,990 --> 01:22:23,610 just a little bit small. 1104 01:22:24,890 --> 01:22:31,710 And then the second label in here, which is also acceptable, is going to be more 1105 01:22:31,710 --> 01:22:32,710 about 1106 01:22:33,640 --> 01:22:40,400 a much larger phase D, right? So we could say that this move to the 1107 01:22:40,400 --> 01:22:45,680 upside that overcomes the up thrust action and the buy -in climax of the 1108 01:22:45,680 --> 01:22:46,680 distribution formation. 1109 01:22:48,160 --> 01:22:52,160 is a major sign of strength and by definition the price goes through the 1110 01:22:52,160 --> 01:22:56,740 range commits to the upside and look at the commitment so many closes above so 1111 01:22:56,740 --> 01:23:01,580 this is a really good commitment to the upside spend some time in there and then 1112 01:23:01,580 --> 01:23:07,380 reacts exactly to the area of the support that acted before as the 1113 01:23:07,380 --> 01:23:13,860 therefore we could see a major sign of strength with the major backing up 1114 01:23:16,360 --> 01:23:20,600 And then we would identify this as a minus sign of strength. 1115 01:23:22,000 --> 01:23:25,140 So that labeling is also acceptable. 1116 01:23:25,460 --> 01:23:32,060 Please note that for trading purposes, again, it doesn't really matter. 1117 01:23:32,400 --> 01:23:39,260 Why? Well, because if you're identifying this as your potential phase D, then 1118 01:23:39,260 --> 01:23:43,420 your position in reaccumulation is going to be... 1119 01:23:43,630 --> 01:23:46,470 most likely the first position is going to be opened in phase C. 1120 01:23:47,050 --> 01:23:52,530 Your second position is going to be, and third, your second, third, and fourth 1121 01:23:52,530 --> 01:23:54,150 position are all going to be here. 1122 01:23:54,350 --> 01:23:59,810 So from one to four, all of this is going to be a very active zone for you 1123 01:23:59,810 --> 01:24:00,870 act on. 1124 01:24:01,190 --> 01:24:06,550 And then after the major sign of strength and the major backing up 1125 01:24:06,590 --> 01:24:11,470 that's number five that you would be thinking of opening. So from that 1126 01:24:11,470 --> 01:24:13,170 perspective, it doesn't really matter. 1127 01:24:13,530 --> 01:24:18,650 you will still be operating in this space you know you still will be a 1128 01:24:18,650 --> 01:24:25,550 here all right rama really good really good start i definitely feel um a 1129 01:24:25,550 --> 01:24:32,470 lot of kind of like um knowledge that is already there so a lot of um i also 1130 01:24:32,470 --> 01:24:38,350 hear a lot of correct semantics that are associated with this course you know so 1131 01:24:39,040 --> 01:24:43,560 You know, so a lot of things. So just continue. And for you specifically, I 1132 01:24:43,560 --> 01:24:47,700 would say nuances, details. That's going to be extremely important, right? 1133 01:24:48,400 --> 01:24:53,600 Okay. So just, you know, absorb all of this knowledge and just make notes and, 1134 01:24:53,640 --> 01:24:56,120 you know, concentrate on those details. 1135 01:24:56,940 --> 01:24:59,120 Yeah. All right. Great. Thank you. 1136 01:24:59,720 --> 01:25:00,720 Thank you. 1137 01:25:01,260 --> 01:25:03,780 I'm sorry, Ram. I muted you. Okay. 1138 01:25:05,660 --> 01:25:06,539 All right. 1139 01:25:06,540 --> 01:25:10,720 Let's quickly look at that question that we had, and thank you, Lee, for sending 1140 01:25:10,720 --> 01:25:14,520 this chart. That was really quick and cool, and sometimes I'm going to request 1141 01:25:14,520 --> 01:25:18,640 you guys. I don't want to be distracted, but, you know, you guys could 1142 01:25:18,640 --> 01:25:24,920 definitely quickly find what I'm looking for and email me. So we were looking at 1143 01:25:24,920 --> 01:25:30,640 this spread, and we said that most likely the volume signature is going to 1144 01:25:30,640 --> 01:25:31,640 increase here. 1145 01:25:31,940 --> 01:25:34,060 Why? Well, look at the gap. 1146 01:25:34,540 --> 01:25:38,920 That's number one. So that usually is some kind of event, probably, well, 1147 01:25:39,220 --> 01:25:45,000 definitely overnight event, where institutions have not produced so much 1148 01:25:45,000 --> 01:25:46,260 excitement before. 1149 01:25:46,540 --> 01:25:51,580 Like any other gaps that we see on the way up, they are much smaller, right? 1150 01:25:52,260 --> 01:25:54,760 And this is not a gap. 1151 01:25:55,160 --> 01:25:58,000 And then this is a huge gap. 1152 01:26:00,330 --> 01:26:04,310 And the huge gap is always going to be associated with more interest from 1153 01:26:04,310 --> 01:26:06,710 institutions, and we see a continuation to the upside. 1154 01:26:07,030 --> 01:26:11,410 And actually, I forgot to mention that, you know, this change of character bar 1155 01:26:11,410 --> 01:26:16,730 most likely is going to have also a very high volume signature just because of 1156 01:26:16,730 --> 01:26:20,110 the function of the supply that came on the buying plan itself. 1157 01:26:21,050 --> 01:26:24,850 So that was a really good call. And then also... 1158 01:26:25,290 --> 01:26:29,870 This is going to be one of the exercises that I'm going to give you guys in the 1159 01:26:29,870 --> 01:26:33,510 practical when you're going to graduate to a more advanced level. 1160 01:26:34,230 --> 01:26:41,170 One of the things that we practice in the practical course is reading 1161 01:26:41,170 --> 01:26:47,790 the volume signature of the price and reading price signature of the volume. 1162 01:26:48,890 --> 01:26:54,250 What it does, it kind of opens up the new dimension of understanding. 1163 01:26:54,990 --> 01:27:00,710 as to what do we expect the volume on the price to be on the specific bar, 1164 01:27:00,910 --> 01:27:03,190 whether it's the price or the volume bar. 1165 01:27:03,390 --> 01:27:09,150 And that's exactly what I did here, just kind of like deducing as to what kind 1166 01:27:09,150 --> 01:27:15,130 of volume signature could be at this contextual place with this particular 1167 01:27:16,230 --> 01:27:17,490 All right, great. 1168 01:27:19,070 --> 01:27:23,130 Let's look at some questions really quick. 1169 01:27:33,100 --> 01:27:39,040 What is the difference between labeling secondary test after the selling climax 1170 01:27:39,040 --> 01:27:43,620 or labeling a shakeout, reaccumulation versus shakeout schematic? 1171 01:27:44,140 --> 01:27:45,140 Okay, yeah. 1172 01:27:45,340 --> 01:27:47,480 So this was the question here. 1173 01:27:47,840 --> 01:27:50,660 Selling climax, automatic rally. 1174 01:27:50,880 --> 01:27:53,900 Could we possibly label this as a shakeout? 1175 01:27:54,600 --> 01:27:55,740 Yeah, we can. 1176 01:27:56,120 --> 01:28:01,640 Usually the shakeout in the reaccumulation is something where we 1177 01:28:01,640 --> 01:28:02,640 climax. 1178 01:28:02,830 --> 01:28:09,690 and then we have some kind of shakeout right away we don't have it here we 1179 01:28:09,690 --> 01:28:15,470 have a buying climax and then we have an area of the distribution and that 1180 01:28:15,470 --> 01:28:19,550 usually suggests the distribution usually suggests what there's going to 1181 01:28:19,550 --> 01:28:23,050 kind of downtrend that's going to come and downtrend is going to be 1182 01:28:24,099 --> 01:28:27,940 concluded with the stopping action, which is going to be labeled by us as 1183 01:28:27,940 --> 01:28:28,858 selling climax. 1184 01:28:28,860 --> 01:28:33,380 So my preference in this particular case would be just to label this as a 1185 01:28:33,380 --> 01:28:38,380 selling climax and extend the boundaries, you know, from the selling 1186 01:28:38,380 --> 01:28:40,100 from the automatic reaction. 1187 01:28:40,760 --> 01:28:47,640 or automatic rally, rather, and then in the reaccumulation structures where we 1188 01:28:47,640 --> 01:28:51,540 have a very quick move to the downside without a lot of the distributional 1189 01:28:51,540 --> 01:28:55,720 activity, you know, you could say, like, okay, this could be interpreted as a 1190 01:28:55,720 --> 01:29:01,040 shakeout action. I will keep this in mind, and I will point this maybe on 1191 01:29:01,040 --> 01:29:02,040 slides. 1192 01:29:02,500 --> 01:29:03,820 Okay, next one. 1193 01:29:10,700 --> 01:29:17,380 If we were in September, and I'm assuming what September, 1194 01:29:17,580 --> 01:29:24,020 where this September or and this question comes from Philip or 1195 01:29:24,020 --> 01:29:25,420 this September. 1196 01:29:25,640 --> 01:29:31,640 OK, so probably this one right here. So if we were in September, wouldn't we 1197 01:29:31,640 --> 01:29:32,820 interpret the rally? 1198 01:29:37,680 --> 01:29:44,300 as a phase D with backing up action right before September. This one right 1199 01:29:47,180 --> 01:29:51,140 Okay, and the backing up action to what? To which range? To this one? 1200 01:29:57,480 --> 01:30:03,640 So backing up action should be coming back to 1201 01:30:03,640 --> 01:30:05,300 deformation, right? 1202 01:30:05,900 --> 01:30:07,240 to their original formation. 1203 01:30:07,520 --> 01:30:13,620 So we have, for instance, we could say that here we have a minor backing up 1204 01:30:13,620 --> 01:30:19,820 action, and it's a part of this formation. Then we have a larger backing 1205 01:30:19,820 --> 01:30:26,480 action, major backing up action, and it's a part still of this whole 1206 01:30:28,480 --> 01:30:32,060 You know, if we would have some kind of, you know, 1207 01:30:33,450 --> 01:30:38,290 that would be something like this, where, you know, we've seen that maybe 1208 01:30:38,290 --> 01:30:42,870 whole move is a sign of strength and then this is the backing up action that 1209 01:30:42,870 --> 01:30:47,830 its own trading range, then probably, yes, we could do this. I think it's less 1210 01:30:47,830 --> 01:30:53,430 obvious in this case, Philip. So I probably would be just thinking that, 1211 01:30:53,430 --> 01:30:57,410 know, it's just a trading range on its own. It's a reaccumulation. 1212 01:30:58,400 --> 01:31:02,400 We had an accumulation range, a move up, and now we are just in the 1213 01:31:02,400 --> 01:31:03,400 reaccumulation. 1214 01:31:03,860 --> 01:31:06,620 Okay, but good clarifying question there. 1215 01:31:07,240 --> 01:31:12,600 Is it common that one can identify phases of the larger range with smaller 1216 01:31:12,600 --> 01:31:15,180 ranges within that larger range? 1217 01:31:15,760 --> 01:31:21,820 Yeah, we could definitely do this. One of the things, you know, again, to do is 1218 01:31:21,820 --> 01:31:23,900 that, you know, texture analysis, right? 1219 01:31:24,910 --> 01:31:29,490 If you could instantly see that there are smaller ranges here that could be 1220 01:31:29,490 --> 01:31:33,710 labeled, by the way. I mean, look at this. Cell and climax, automatic rally, 1221 01:31:33,930 --> 01:31:40,710 secondary test, phase A, B, B, C, sign of strength, backing up 1222 01:31:40,710 --> 01:31:45,890 action or LPS, major sign of strength, major backing up action. 1223 01:31:46,370 --> 01:31:52,870 Cell and climax, automatic rally, secondary test, phase A, B, B, C. 1224 01:31:53,840 --> 01:31:58,900 sign of strength, shakeout type of reaction in D, LPS. 1225 01:31:59,560 --> 01:32:00,600 Here we go. 1226 01:32:00,820 --> 01:32:07,220 This one, saline climax, automatic rally, secondary test, phase A, B, C, 1227 01:32:07,360 --> 01:32:10,960 LPS, and so forth. 1228 01:32:11,220 --> 01:32:13,600 So you could see how you could label. 1229 01:32:15,450 --> 01:32:18,670 even smaller structures. And again, you know, we could label this structure 1230 01:32:18,670 --> 01:32:22,410 right here. We could label this structure right here, this structure 1231 01:32:22,430 --> 01:32:23,550 this structure right here. 1232 01:32:24,590 --> 01:32:26,210 Everywhere there are trading ranges. 1233 01:32:26,430 --> 01:32:32,950 If you just get this concept that you look at the market through the prism of 1234 01:32:32,950 --> 01:32:37,670 different structures, whether it's a trend or non -trend, whether it's at the 1235 01:32:37,670 --> 01:32:42,670 higher, larger timeframe, like, you know, a large formation or a smaller 1236 01:32:42,670 --> 01:32:44,210 formation like this three. 1237 01:32:44,620 --> 01:32:47,960 that I've shown you. By the way, here is another range. Here is another range, 1238 01:32:48,120 --> 01:32:54,060 right? So all of those are just ranges between the swings of the trading range. 1239 01:32:54,240 --> 01:32:59,040 If you can understand this concept and it kind of becomes natural to you, you 1240 01:32:59,040 --> 01:33:03,920 will start looking at the market in a different way. And usually during the 1241 01:33:03,920 --> 01:33:07,660 first month, you know, I receive a lot of emails from students that just say 1242 01:33:07,660 --> 01:33:11,080 like, oh my gosh, I look at the markets, I look at these. 1243 01:33:11,440 --> 01:33:16,980 chart and all i see is just all of those formations and it's so much easier for 1244 01:33:16,980 --> 01:33:21,780 me now to interpret the market action you know through those formations so 1245 01:33:21,780 --> 01:33:26,880 hopefully we'll get to this point all right um 1246 01:33:26,880 --> 01:33:32,600 okay what else okay 1247 01:33:32,600 --> 01:33:38,180 so a comment from dog actually um 1248 01:33:42,019 --> 01:33:48,900 Preliminary supply in May and then buying climax in July. 1249 01:33:49,240 --> 01:33:55,580 So what are we looking at? This preliminary 1250 01:33:55,580 --> 01:33:56,800 supply? 1251 01:33:57,640 --> 01:34:03,060 Doug, is this the one? Is this the formation that we look at and buying 1252 01:34:03,060 --> 01:34:04,960 in July like this? 1253 01:34:08,940 --> 01:34:11,280 Was that your interpretation, Doug? 1254 01:34:15,020 --> 01:34:19,100 To the right for, this is the preliminary supply, this. 1255 01:34:23,900 --> 01:34:29,580 Okay, great. Okay, so Doug has suggested, what about this type of 1256 01:34:29,740 --> 01:34:34,920 right? So by in Climax, then obviously we could go with either cell in Climax 1257 01:34:34,920 --> 01:34:39,660 we could go this whole thing with the automatic reaction and then secondary 1258 01:34:39,660 --> 01:34:42,080 test. This could be phase A. 1259 01:34:42,320 --> 01:34:44,240 And then let's say phase B. 1260 01:34:44,750 --> 01:34:51,550 and then phase c uh on the level of trading because 1261 01:34:51,550 --> 01:34:58,470 we will be trading here that doesn't really matter and if you label it like 1262 01:34:58,470 --> 01:35:04,250 that that's fine where i have the problem with this labeling is these two 1263 01:35:04,250 --> 01:35:10,430 right here so i'm gonna redo this a little bit and then you'll see what i 1264 01:35:10,910 --> 01:35:16,090 So, let's say that we're still in the automatic reaction, secondary test, 1265 01:35:16,090 --> 01:35:23,070 A, and then it goes into phase B and phase C. This doesn't really matter to 1266 01:35:23,290 --> 01:35:24,510 But what comes before? 1267 01:35:25,830 --> 01:35:32,710 When we put, let's say, a buy -in climax right here at this point, we're 1268 01:35:32,710 --> 01:35:37,990 basically neglecting the fact that the buy -in climax characteristics happened 1269 01:35:37,990 --> 01:35:38,989 before that. 1270 01:35:38,990 --> 01:35:43,370 And we went through those. A gap, acceleration to the upside, climactic 1271 01:35:43,490 --> 01:35:48,530 acceleration of momentum, extreme volume signature, which just basically screams 1272 01:35:48,530 --> 01:35:55,450 at you and tells you that if it stops on this climactic volume, then most 1273 01:35:55,450 --> 01:35:56,850 likely this is a buying climax. 1274 01:35:57,090 --> 01:36:02,550 So it's the character that does not allow us to say that this is a buying 1275 01:36:02,550 --> 01:36:03,550 climax. 1276 01:36:03,690 --> 01:36:10,240 So therefore, the second point here is that it has its own formation so what is 1277 01:36:10,240 --> 01:36:14,720 the bias of this formation the bias of this formation is the distribution so 1278 01:36:14,720 --> 01:36:19,960 therefore we would be labeling this as an up thrust in phase c so therefore the 1279 01:36:19,960 --> 01:36:25,240 preliminary supply is going to come somewhere here so that's the only thing 1280 01:36:25,240 --> 01:36:30,100 i would redo but everything else again for trading purposes you could say that 1281 01:36:30,100 --> 01:36:35,160 this whole thing is the buying climax so sometimes i would say buying climax 1282 01:36:35,160 --> 01:36:38,870 trading range What does it mean? This means some kind of distribution, local 1283 01:36:38,870 --> 01:36:41,250 formation that would take us down. 1284 01:36:41,970 --> 01:36:48,210 But, you know, I would probably not identify this necessarily as a buying 1285 01:36:48,210 --> 01:36:51,890 climax. So this whole thing, you could say a buying climax trading range. 1286 01:36:52,290 --> 01:36:53,290 All right. 1287 01:36:53,650 --> 01:36:54,930 Great. Thank you, Doug. 1288 01:36:55,390 --> 01:36:56,710 And what else? 1289 01:37:01,000 --> 01:37:06,540 I thought that in phase D, I should search for biggest rally of the whole 1290 01:37:06,540 --> 01:37:10,940 starting from the support level. So the part of the first phase C should be in 1291 01:37:10,940 --> 01:37:13,840 phase D, so from Philip. So we're talking about this spot. 1292 01:37:14,380 --> 01:37:21,200 Okay, so yes, when we look at the horizontal range, we're 1293 01:37:21,200 --> 01:37:26,660 looking at the sign of strength and the backing up action as our change of 1294 01:37:26,660 --> 01:37:29,600 character confirmation. 1295 01:37:30,590 --> 01:37:36,550 And usually the sign of strength rally will be the largest rally in this whole 1296 01:37:36,550 --> 01:37:37,550 trading range. 1297 01:37:38,410 --> 01:37:41,870 And that's in the horizontal formation like this. 1298 01:37:42,230 --> 01:37:44,810 In the apex formation, 1299 01:37:44,970 --> 01:37:51,330 where there is a lot of inactivity 1300 01:37:51,330 --> 01:37:58,030 by market participants, a smaller sign of strength 1301 01:37:58,950 --> 01:38:03,470 could be that timing mechanism that defines a change of character. 1302 01:38:03,790 --> 01:38:10,690 So we would be looking at all of the rallies that occur after the last point 1303 01:38:10,690 --> 01:38:16,770 where supply has increased or supply has produced some kind of downward result 1304 01:38:16,770 --> 01:38:19,850 that was exceeding the result to the downside before. 1305 01:38:20,210 --> 01:38:26,970 And we see that the rally there, this rally, is basically the best rally 1306 01:38:26,970 --> 01:38:27,970 that we see. 1307 01:38:28,080 --> 01:38:29,120 in this formation. 1308 01:38:29,640 --> 01:38:31,780 So it's a little bit of a nuance. 1309 01:38:32,380 --> 01:38:34,320 We'll talk about this later on. 1310 01:38:34,620 --> 01:38:38,720 But I'm so happy that you guys are seeing this, that you're asking the 1311 01:38:38,720 --> 01:38:43,620 questions. Because if you're asking the correct question, this means that the 1312 01:38:43,620 --> 01:38:48,720 logic that we explained before was also good and we just did not cover this. 1313 01:38:48,940 --> 01:38:51,540 So that's great. All right. So really good exercise. 1314 01:38:51,960 --> 01:38:52,960 All right. 1315 01:38:54,080 --> 01:39:00,160 Okay, so with each of these slides for the homework, I'm going to give you guys 1316 01:39:00,160 --> 01:39:06,080 my interpretation, and you could go through this as a homework and just 1317 01:39:06,080 --> 01:39:12,700 all of the labeling that I've done here in these boxes, gray boxes, and 1318 01:39:12,700 --> 01:39:17,840 identifying changes of character, and so on and so forth. 1319 01:39:22,250 --> 01:39:26,930 Hopefully that's helpful. Now let's talk about phase boundaries. So this is that 1320 01:39:26,930 --> 01:39:30,470 theoretical slide that we're going to have, and we're talking about 1321 01:39:30,470 --> 01:39:31,470 here. 1322 01:39:32,430 --> 01:39:36,510 So how do we define phase boundaries? It's extremely important for us to 1323 01:39:36,510 --> 01:39:39,090 understand where we put the boundary. 1324 01:39:39,310 --> 01:39:45,490 And sometimes it becomes so subjective that as I was receiving so many 1325 01:39:45,490 --> 01:39:50,550 from students, I realized that I need to kind of like, you know, stop all of the 1326 01:39:50,550 --> 01:39:55,670 discretionary talk as to where we are putting the batteries and that just to 1327 01:39:55,670 --> 01:40:00,690 define exactly where we would put that border between phases. 1328 01:40:01,210 --> 01:40:05,610 So let's go through this. And we're going to start with something slightly 1329 01:40:05,610 --> 01:40:10,970 different. The first thing, and this is one of the most important things right 1330 01:40:10,970 --> 01:40:14,270 now at this point of the course that I want you to remember. 1331 01:40:14,550 --> 01:40:15,930 I want you to... 1332 01:40:16,400 --> 01:40:22,560 Remember by heart the sequence of Wyckoff events throughout all of the 1333 01:40:22,560 --> 01:40:23,860 accumulation and the distribution. 1334 01:40:24,720 --> 01:40:29,560 And therefore, I just want you to remember that phase A is going to start 1335 01:40:29,560 --> 01:40:30,660 the preliminary support, 1336 01:40:31,600 --> 01:40:36,740 going to the stop in action by the selling climax, change of character as 1337 01:40:36,740 --> 01:40:40,260 automatic rally, and confirmation of that change of character as a secondary 1338 01:40:40,260 --> 01:40:43,300 test. That secondary test is going to be a local test. 1339 01:40:43,840 --> 01:40:45,800 and test number one to the tailwind climax. 1340 01:40:48,000 --> 01:40:54,380 Phase B is going to have in the accumulation either a secondary test 1341 01:40:54,380 --> 01:40:59,940 at the support level or an upthrust action 1342 01:40:59,940 --> 01:41:06,520 at the resistance level. So these two are mechanisms 1343 01:41:06,520 --> 01:41:07,800 of testing. 1344 01:41:08,120 --> 01:41:10,820 Testing what? Testing both supply and demand. 1345 01:41:11,340 --> 01:41:17,640 at the support and the resistance level in in the instances when the price is 1346 01:41:17,640 --> 01:41:22,120 going to overcome the resistance we're going to say that we're looking at the 1347 01:41:22,120 --> 01:41:28,520 thrust action sometimes i label it as up thrust action like this uta and 1348 01:41:28,520 --> 01:41:33,780 then if we're going to have a lower low then we're going to label it as a 1349 01:41:33,780 --> 01:41:39,040 secondary test as a sign of weakness as a minor sign of weakness actually yeah 1350 01:41:39,200 --> 01:41:40,940 Some small corrections here are needed. 1351 01:41:41,840 --> 01:41:46,660 Phase C is going to have either a high -low, and we're going to label it as a 1352 01:41:46,660 --> 01:41:51,420 last point of support, or it's going to have a low -low, and then we will be 1353 01:41:51,420 --> 01:41:54,060 talking about either a spring or a shake -out. 1354 01:41:54,900 --> 01:42:01,620 Phase C also could have a test, not necessarily a secondary test, but a 1355 01:42:01,620 --> 01:42:05,040 local test to a spring or a shake -out. 1356 01:42:09,150 --> 01:42:11,690 Last point of support, 1357 01:42:12,450 --> 01:42:16,590 sign of strength bar, sign of strength rally, and the backing up action. 1358 01:42:17,010 --> 01:42:21,630 Usually phase D will be discussed mostly around sign of strength rally and the 1359 01:42:21,630 --> 01:42:22,630 backing up action. 1360 01:42:22,690 --> 01:42:28,350 The sign of strength bar has been added, you know, to the methodology by me 1361 01:42:28,350 --> 01:42:30,190 just, you know, for the class purposes. 1362 01:42:30,750 --> 01:42:36,170 This is the spot where in the middle of the range we're identifying emergence of 1363 01:42:37,429 --> 01:42:40,670 institutional urgency to buy, to be in this position. 1364 01:42:40,930 --> 01:42:46,210 And this is one of the points of entry for us in accumulation on the way up. 1365 01:42:46,370 --> 01:42:47,710 We'll talk about this more. 1366 01:42:47,990 --> 01:42:53,330 Last point of support are going to be all of the reactionary lows on the sign 1367 01:42:53,330 --> 01:42:56,250 strength rally that present some kind of buying opportunity. 1368 01:42:56,570 --> 01:43:01,270 Those are going to be short -term weakness situations where we're going to 1369 01:43:01,270 --> 01:43:04,130 that the long -term bias is to the upside. 1370 01:43:04,680 --> 01:43:07,560 But the short -term bias has some kind of weakness, 1371 01:43:07,900 --> 01:43:14,860 bearish bias behind it. And those are going to be 1372 01:43:14,860 --> 01:43:19,180 the spots that are going to be associated with establishing or adding 1373 01:43:19,180 --> 01:43:20,180 position. 1374 01:43:21,440 --> 01:43:25,340 Then we've talked about two changes of character in the rate accumulation. 1375 01:43:26,060 --> 01:43:32,120 And originally, again, I've talked about this. 1376 01:43:32,940 --> 01:43:38,700 Originally, when I was studying Wyckoff Method and Hank was introducing me to 1377 01:43:38,700 --> 01:43:42,300 this concept, Hank had a concept of the change of behavior. 1378 01:43:42,640 --> 01:43:46,160 He never actually specifically talked about the change of character. 1379 01:43:46,440 --> 01:43:52,960 So change of behavior was basically identified in late 1380 01:43:52,960 --> 01:43:59,120 Phase B and in Phase C and in Phase D. 1381 01:43:59,440 --> 01:44:02,380 And what Hank was talking about is 1382 01:44:03,690 --> 01:44:10,510 So a change in behavior as behavior on the rally could become 1383 01:44:10,510 --> 01:44:12,390 more bullish. 1384 01:44:14,610 --> 01:44:19,370 And then behavior on the reaction at some point could become more bullish as 1385 01:44:19,370 --> 01:44:24,370 well. So for instance, when we look at the chart and we look, let's say, maybe 1386 01:44:24,370 --> 01:44:30,170 at this reaction right here. For the first time, reaction creates a high and 1387 01:44:30,170 --> 01:44:32,490 low. So that's a change of behavior. 1388 01:44:33,160 --> 01:44:38,280 It's not necessarily a change of structure because a change of character 1389 01:44:38,280 --> 01:44:43,460 change of structure. But the change of behavior is not necessarily a change of 1390 01:44:43,460 --> 01:44:50,120 structure per se, you know, where we are confirming the best rally, 1391 01:44:50,260 --> 01:44:54,960 the sequence between the best rally and the best reaction, right? So here's that 1392 01:44:54,960 --> 01:44:59,160 sequence, the best rally and then the best reaction. 1393 01:44:59,520 --> 01:45:00,540 So here it is. 1394 01:45:01,240 --> 01:45:02,640 throughout this whole range. 1395 01:45:03,280 --> 01:45:08,620 So that is a change of character. But change of behavior could be just a 1396 01:45:08,620 --> 01:45:14,860 rally and then the reaction is still bearish or usual rally and then a better 1397 01:45:14,860 --> 01:45:17,860 reaction. So that would be a change of behavior. 1398 01:45:18,640 --> 01:45:20,920 There are two changes of character that I mentioned. 1399 01:45:21,300 --> 01:45:25,260 Our first change of character is going to be associated with phase A. 1400 01:45:26,620 --> 01:45:29,700 So it's the change of character in... 1401 01:45:30,110 --> 01:45:35,010 into the trading range and it's going to be defined as the rally between a 1402 01:45:35,010 --> 01:45:39,830 selling climax and automatic rally and it's going to be confirmed by the 1403 01:45:39,830 --> 01:45:46,810 secondary test and then the second change of character is going to be on 1404 01:45:46,810 --> 01:45:51,890 out of the trading range in phase d and that's going to be a rally between phase 1405 01:45:51,890 --> 01:45:57,690 c low and sign of strength rally high so here's the high here's the low here's 1406 01:45:57,690 --> 01:46:01,870 that change of character And it's being confirmed by the backing up action after 1407 01:46:01,870 --> 01:46:02,870 that. 1408 01:46:05,250 --> 01:46:06,250 Phase boundaries. 1409 01:46:06,410 --> 01:46:07,910 So this is very important. 1410 01:46:08,330 --> 01:46:13,370 This is something that I was looking at in all of your homework today. 1411 01:46:14,410 --> 01:46:17,070 So let's go through this. How do we define the boundaries? 1412 01:46:17,370 --> 01:46:22,230 So let's talk about the boundary between phase A and phase B. 1413 01:46:22,570 --> 01:46:26,870 Well, what do we have to see there? So we want to... 1414 01:46:28,080 --> 01:46:32,600 identify a secondary test as the conclusion of phase A. 1415 01:46:33,300 --> 01:46:38,120 And then it's around this area, this is where we would be looking for the 1416 01:46:38,120 --> 01:46:39,120 reversal. 1417 01:46:39,660 --> 01:46:43,860 Once we identify this reversal, this is where we're going to put the boundary 1418 01:46:43,860 --> 01:46:49,260 between phase A and phase B. So why would we do it like this? 1419 01:46:49,520 --> 01:46:54,700 Well, obviously we want to include all of the points of phase A, which is 1420 01:46:54,700 --> 01:46:55,820 preliminary supply. 1421 01:46:56,720 --> 01:47:01,240 silent climax, automatic rally, secondary test. 1422 01:47:01,620 --> 01:47:07,980 And then we want to identify the ending of secondary test. 1423 01:47:08,260 --> 01:47:10,700 And secondary test is just a reaction. 1424 01:47:10,960 --> 01:47:16,000 So we want to find the reversal of a downswing 1425 01:47:16,000 --> 01:47:22,940 that acts as a secondary test. And once we find this 1426 01:47:22,940 --> 01:47:28,780 bar, that's where We're going to put the boundary between 1427 01:47:28,780 --> 01:47:33,300 phases A and B. 1428 01:47:35,220 --> 01:47:41,740 We're going to do the same with the boundary between phase C 1429 01:47:41,740 --> 01:47:47,540 and phase D. And in this case, it's a little bit easier because we do have 1430 01:47:47,540 --> 01:47:48,540 another test. 1431 01:47:49,200 --> 01:47:52,840 And that test is also just a downswing. 1432 01:47:54,220 --> 01:47:57,260 So for this down swing, we're going to look for the reversal. 1433 01:47:57,800 --> 01:48:04,320 And the reversal bar is going to be our boundary between phases C and 1434 01:48:04,320 --> 01:48:06,200 D. So it's somewhere here. 1435 01:48:08,380 --> 01:48:15,280 And then the boundary between phases B and C is the... By 1436 01:48:15,280 --> 01:48:17,480 the way, let's just do phase D as well. 1437 01:48:17,790 --> 01:48:22,130 right away so kind of the same concept right so backing up action is going to 1438 01:48:22,130 --> 01:48:29,070 a reaction so in the reaction we want to to look for the reversal so here it's a 1439 01:48:29,070 --> 01:48:33,450 little bit more complex like it was here as well so we see the stopping action 1440 01:48:33,450 --> 01:48:38,710 and then we see a minor test so it's out of this minor test that the boundary 1441 01:48:38,710 --> 01:48:44,530 would occur we see here a reaction and the test to this reaction so it's out of 1442 01:48:44,530 --> 01:48:49,100 the you know that test on the reversal of that test. This is where the boundary 1443 01:48:49,100 --> 01:48:50,100 is going to be created. 1444 01:48:50,260 --> 01:48:55,560 Now the boundary between phase B and phase C is a little bit more 1445 01:48:56,200 --> 01:49:01,860 Because basically we need to understand the intention behind phase C, which is 1446 01:49:01,860 --> 01:49:02,940 what? Which is testing. 1447 01:49:03,600 --> 01:49:06,640 This is the final test at the support level. 1448 01:49:07,020 --> 01:49:13,960 So therefore from this definition, as this is the test, we need to find 1449 01:49:13,960 --> 01:49:15,660 the place in phase... 1450 01:49:15,950 --> 01:49:22,830 see where the the first attempt to test uh the support level and we usually 1451 01:49:22,830 --> 01:49:29,710 look into phase b loads and we are saying okay where is the first time when 1452 01:49:29,710 --> 01:49:36,170 loads of phase b were tested so somewhere here in this area so and we 1453 01:49:36,170 --> 01:49:41,390 put the boundary exactly on this level where the test has happened for phase b 1454 01:49:42,170 --> 01:49:47,170 So this is how we define the boundaries for all of the phases. I really, guys, 1455 01:49:47,230 --> 01:49:52,850 would like you to stop here, you know, stop the recording, make some notes, 1456 01:49:52,970 --> 01:49:58,870 think about this, maybe take a chart to go through that, and just to think about 1457 01:49:58,870 --> 01:50:00,710 how you put in those boundaries. 1458 01:50:02,070 --> 01:50:03,070 All right, great. 1459 01:50:05,030 --> 01:50:09,810 Let's go to the next slide. So we are at 10 to 5, so we have still... 1460 01:50:10,160 --> 01:50:12,460 maybe an hour and 10 minutes. 1461 01:50:13,000 --> 01:50:16,720 All right. So say yes if you would like to volunteer. 1462 01:50:16,940 --> 01:50:17,879 Who's next? 1463 01:50:17,880 --> 01:50:18,880 All right. 1464 01:50:19,120 --> 01:50:21,120 Just going to go with the first one, Philip. 1465 01:50:22,060 --> 01:50:23,420 You have to unmute yourself. 1466 01:50:26,700 --> 01:50:27,700 Philip? 1467 01:50:31,700 --> 01:50:32,700 How are you doing? 1468 01:50:33,440 --> 01:50:35,220 Do you hear me? 1469 01:50:35,460 --> 01:50:37,620 Yes. Just speak up a little bit. 1470 01:50:38,480 --> 01:50:39,480 Okay, sorry. 1471 01:50:39,600 --> 01:50:41,560 Yeah, closer to the microphone. Okay, great. 1472 01:50:41,820 --> 01:50:44,520 All right. Am I pronouncing your name correctly, Philip? 1473 01:50:45,080 --> 01:50:46,480 Yeah, thank you. Okay. 1474 01:50:47,300 --> 01:50:49,160 So let's look at the first trading range. 1475 01:50:50,140 --> 01:50:51,660 What is catching your eye? 1476 01:50:53,620 --> 01:50:55,940 Well, probably the selling climax. 1477 01:50:56,200 --> 01:50:57,840 Which is where? The large swings. 1478 01:50:58,140 --> 01:51:02,920 So let's label this for you. Point number one, point number two, 1479 01:51:03,100 --> 01:51:06,960 three, and four. 1480 01:51:07,390 --> 01:51:08,990 Okay, which one is the selling climax? 1481 01:51:10,190 --> 01:51:15,270 Number two, the first would be the preliminary support, I think. 1482 01:51:15,610 --> 01:51:19,270 Okay, so let's start with the preliminary support, selling climax. 1483 01:51:19,590 --> 01:51:21,910 So let's go through the logic of this labeling. 1484 01:51:22,350 --> 01:51:29,030 So we know that selling climax has to be the stop in action, right? And then 1485 01:51:29,030 --> 01:51:33,410 after the stop in action, what should happen next? 1486 01:51:36,839 --> 01:51:37,839 Automatic rally. 1487 01:51:38,260 --> 01:51:42,060 Next is going to be automatic rally. And automatic rally is going to be 1488 01:51:42,060 --> 01:51:44,480 associated with what else? 1489 01:51:44,860 --> 01:51:50,240 With what kind of change of behavior, change of character? 1490 01:51:50,600 --> 01:51:53,520 I'm kind of giving it out to you, right? 1491 01:51:53,860 --> 01:51:59,500 So a change of character, right? Yeah. So a change of character is going to 1492 01:51:59,500 --> 01:52:00,980 like what? 1493 01:52:02,700 --> 01:52:07,420 Why is it called a change of character? What would we see on this rally that is 1494 01:52:07,420 --> 01:52:09,700 going to be so different than what we've seen before? 1495 01:52:10,480 --> 01:52:17,300 Well, maybe a bigger price swing than in the rally before and 1496 01:52:17,300 --> 01:52:19,860 maybe a little bit of bigger volume. 1497 01:52:20,300 --> 01:52:24,400 Okay, great. And specifically maybe in this case, because this is an 1498 01:52:24,400 --> 01:52:28,560 accumulation after the downtrend, demand signature is going to go up, right? So 1499 01:52:28,560 --> 01:52:31,380 the distance of the rally could increase. 1500 01:52:31,800 --> 01:52:36,980 the volume would go up, the demand is going to increase, the upspread is going 1501 01:52:36,980 --> 01:52:43,780 to increase, right? So where for the first time do we 1502 01:52:43,780 --> 01:52:49,920 see this type of price action and volume action as well? 1503 01:52:53,460 --> 01:52:57,580 Well, maybe between one and two. 1504 01:52:57,900 --> 01:53:00,100 Yeah, this first rally, right? 1505 01:53:00,480 --> 01:53:02,940 From this low to this high? 1506 01:53:03,400 --> 01:53:07,800 Yeah. That looks like that rally that you've just described is a change of 1507 01:53:07,800 --> 01:53:08,800 character. Why is that? 1508 01:53:09,160 --> 01:53:13,500 Well, the distance for the rally has increased, right? Looking at the 1509 01:53:13,500 --> 01:53:14,960 attempts to rally, where is it? 1510 01:53:15,340 --> 01:53:16,318 Oh, here's one. 1511 01:53:16,320 --> 01:53:22,940 Here's another one. And this is the high of that downswing. So this is the 1512 01:53:22,940 --> 01:53:25,260 largest reaction to the upside. 1513 01:53:26,000 --> 01:53:27,000 Look at the spread. 1514 01:53:27,100 --> 01:53:30,760 It's increasing as well. What can we say about the volume signature, by the way, 1515 01:53:30,800 --> 01:53:31,800 Philip? 1516 01:53:32,600 --> 01:53:36,340 Just looking at the spread itself, what do you think the volume is doing here? 1517 01:53:39,940 --> 01:53:40,940 Increasing, hopefully. 1518 01:53:41,520 --> 01:53:43,460 Okay, and why do you think it's increasing? 1519 01:53:47,400 --> 01:53:54,040 Well, because it looked like there was a fight between where the ending 1520 01:53:54,040 --> 01:53:55,040 price will be. 1521 01:53:55,370 --> 01:54:02,330 and the difference between the range of the tick of the wicks 1522 01:54:02,330 --> 01:54:05,870 and the ending prices, I think. Yes, absolutely. 1523 01:54:06,410 --> 01:54:08,330 And what is this fight? 1524 01:54:08,550 --> 01:54:09,970 How would we call this fight? 1525 01:54:10,350 --> 01:54:17,230 It's the fight of volatility, right? So there is a climactic run to the downside 1526 01:54:17,230 --> 01:54:19,550 that increases the supply tremendously. 1527 01:54:20,190 --> 01:54:21,450 I mean, we're seeing how... 1528 01:54:22,010 --> 01:54:25,870 It's a general capitulation here. It's not institutional. It's not public 1529 01:54:25,870 --> 01:54:28,230 capitulation. Everyone is capitulating here. 1530 01:54:28,650 --> 01:54:32,730 There is a gap to the downside, big spread to the downside. The first 1531 01:54:32,730 --> 01:54:34,850 momentum is to the downside. 1532 01:54:35,610 --> 01:54:39,410 So the day on the intraday level is going to look like this. 1533 01:54:39,770 --> 01:54:40,770 Previous close. 1534 01:54:42,590 --> 01:54:43,610 Maybe open. 1535 01:54:45,410 --> 01:54:50,110 I'm sorry. Open is going to be at the low here. So this is open. 1536 01:54:51,340 --> 01:54:54,200 And then momentum is going to carry us down first. 1537 01:54:54,940 --> 01:54:58,560 That's going to be my first initialized option. Then we're going to have the 1538 01:54:58,560 --> 01:55:03,160 rally. And then it's going to carry us to the close of the previous day. 1539 01:55:04,020 --> 01:55:08,020 So that's how the action would look like. So supply has increased. 1540 01:55:08,360 --> 01:55:09,940 Then demand has increased. 1541 01:55:11,100 --> 01:55:13,240 And then supply has increased again. 1542 01:55:13,460 --> 01:55:17,080 So there is a lot of volatility during this intraday action. 1543 01:55:17,790 --> 01:55:22,870 which brings basically the volume signature increase and then most likely 1544 01:55:22,870 --> 01:55:28,010 kind of spike on that day. So therefore, a fight between the buyers and sellers 1545 01:55:28,010 --> 01:55:34,810 creates volatility, which volatility and volume is just so connected together, 1546 01:55:35,010 --> 01:55:40,970 and increasing the volume suggests that there is a potential increase in 1547 01:55:40,970 --> 01:55:41,970 volatility. 1548 01:55:42,110 --> 01:55:45,950 Okay, great. So if now... 1549 01:55:46,270 --> 01:55:52,090 If this is a change of character, then where is our selling climax and 1550 01:55:52,090 --> 01:55:53,090 rally? 1551 01:55:53,890 --> 01:56:00,170 Okay. Well, so the selling climax should be the lowest point of this. Okay. 1552 01:56:00,290 --> 01:56:04,570 Yeah. Automatic rally. And then the next move to the downside is going to be 1553 01:56:04,570 --> 01:56:05,570 what? 1554 01:56:07,110 --> 01:56:08,029 Secondary test. 1555 01:56:08,030 --> 01:56:11,870 Secondary test. Could the secondary test be a low, low? 1556 01:56:15,210 --> 01:56:19,330 Yes, it could be. Yes, it could be. It could be a high low. It could be at the 1557 01:56:19,330 --> 01:56:20,750 same level. It could be a low low. 1558 01:56:21,330 --> 01:56:26,590 The key is if this is a low low, does the price come back into the trading 1559 01:56:26,590 --> 01:56:32,630 or not? Because if it doesn't, then it's not a stopping action. It's just a 1560 01:56:32,630 --> 01:56:33,950 continuation of the downtrend. 1561 01:56:34,270 --> 01:56:36,930 We could have a low low for the secondary test. 1562 01:56:37,330 --> 01:56:38,330 Okay, great. 1563 01:56:38,350 --> 01:56:42,650 So this concludes Phase A. What's the intention behind Phase A? 1564 01:56:45,160 --> 01:56:46,580 The change of character. 1565 01:56:46,880 --> 01:56:52,160 Yes, the change of character and to stop the downtrend from going further down, 1566 01:56:52,220 --> 01:56:56,320 right? So stopping the trend and then change the character with which the 1567 01:56:56,320 --> 01:57:02,260 unfolds. Okay, phase A. And then what catches your eye next? 1568 01:57:04,200 --> 01:57:10,860 Well, the two weeks which are at the bottom of the 1569 01:57:10,860 --> 01:57:11,860 range. 1570 01:57:12,520 --> 01:57:14,260 Yeah, the two ends are free. 1571 01:57:14,920 --> 01:57:20,920 Okay. So kind of like quite a few tests here, right? So smaller test, 1572 01:57:21,320 --> 01:57:22,600 bigger test. 1573 01:57:23,260 --> 01:57:27,520 So if we would be talking about tests, the magnitude of tests, probably we 1574 01:57:27,520 --> 01:57:32,460 say secondary test number one, that was a local test, you know, to 1575 01:57:32,460 --> 01:57:35,980 sell in Climax. 1576 01:57:37,660 --> 01:57:40,380 Test to sell in Climax. 1577 01:57:41,020 --> 01:57:42,020 And then... 1578 01:57:42,300 --> 01:57:46,920 These two tests look like the same magnitude, but they are dimension and 1579 01:57:47,180 --> 01:57:51,220 which basically tells us that two and three 1580 01:57:51,220 --> 01:57:55,860 in the downward distance 1581 01:57:55,860 --> 01:58:00,620 that is dimension is a bullish sign. 1582 01:58:01,560 --> 01:58:07,680 And then look how high they are relative to the selling climax and relative to. 1583 01:58:08,040 --> 01:58:14,260 anything in phase A. So that's an almost like extra bullish sign that we have. 1584 01:58:14,400 --> 01:58:15,920 So that's all about bias. 1585 01:58:16,480 --> 01:58:17,780 Okay, so that's great. 1586 01:58:18,260 --> 01:58:23,340 But then how would we label those two tests? 1587 01:58:25,100 --> 01:58:31,860 Yeah, well, I would have trouble distinguishing which will be the test in 1588 01:58:31,860 --> 01:58:36,940 I think it should be the last one. 1589 01:58:38,879 --> 01:58:42,940 And what's the logic? I mean, this is the correct answer, but what's the logic 1590 01:58:42,940 --> 01:58:43,940 behind it? 1591 01:58:43,960 --> 01:58:50,540 Well, if in any trading range there should be like three major tests, and 1592 01:58:50,540 --> 01:58:56,240 we have no tests after the three, so the last one has to be the test in C. 1593 01:58:56,560 --> 01:59:02,420 Yeah, and this is, again, third test is 1594 01:59:02,420 --> 01:59:05,020 going to be our phase C. 1595 01:59:05,470 --> 01:59:11,030 Second test is going to be phase B. So if this is third test, this is from 1596 01:59:11,030 --> 01:59:12,370 the trend should start. 1597 01:59:13,010 --> 01:59:16,930 And even though there is already a definition of the higher highs, higher 1598 01:59:17,150 --> 01:59:19,830 this is a conventional TA definition of the uptrend. 1599 01:59:20,290 --> 01:59:24,130 You know, you could argue with me that we're already in the uptrend here. Yes, 1600 01:59:24,170 --> 01:59:28,250 we are, but we're still in the consolidate information. It's just 1601 01:59:29,030 --> 01:59:33,350 Then if this is a consolidation and it's just upsloping information, then we 1602 01:59:33,350 --> 01:59:34,730 need to identify phase C. 1603 01:59:35,340 --> 01:59:40,140 So Philip is talking about the test. This is great. Looks like phase C. 1604 01:59:41,240 --> 01:59:45,560 How else could we check and confirm that this is phase C? Well, what happens 1605 01:59:45,560 --> 01:59:50,780 next? Where is the actual uptrend that doesn't have the same type of the 1606 01:59:50,780 --> 01:59:53,940 reactions that's in the trading range? It's in this area right here. 1607 01:59:54,180 --> 01:59:58,700 So here is our kind of like pure uptrend that we were looking for. 1608 01:59:59,040 --> 02:00:03,700 So if this is an uptrend, then the low that precedes that uptrend, it would be 1609 02:00:03,700 --> 02:00:04,568 phase C. 1610 02:00:04,570 --> 02:00:05,570 And it does. 1611 02:00:06,190 --> 02:00:11,450 So that's great. Another confirmation that we could have is after phase C, 1612 02:00:11,590 --> 02:00:13,710 Philip, what should happen? Which phase? 1613 02:00:15,210 --> 02:00:16,089 Phase D. 1614 02:00:16,090 --> 02:00:20,390 Phase D. And phase D is going to be associated with the major sign of 1615 02:00:20,390 --> 02:00:26,070 and with the major backing up action, right? So we could say that in this 1616 02:00:26,090 --> 02:00:31,050 and I forgot who was asking me about that backing up action, that could it 1617 02:00:31,150 --> 02:00:35,940 you know, much larger. Well, in this case, If we would extend the resistance 1618 02:00:35,940 --> 02:00:42,140 level, you know, we could see how this formation is resting on the resistance 1619 02:00:42,140 --> 02:00:45,380 level that has been projected, you know, as an upsloping resistance. 1620 02:00:45,660 --> 02:00:49,200 So, yes, this is a major back -and -up action that has its own trading range. 1621 02:00:49,760 --> 02:00:54,420 Now, let's quickly talk about alternative labeling here. 1622 02:00:54,660 --> 02:00:59,620 You could label this as phase A, and then I've seen that some of you said, 1623 02:00:59,700 --> 02:01:02,900 this is a test in phase B, and then this is it. 1624 02:01:03,100 --> 02:01:09,780 phase C. Phase B is still the largest among three, so that actually is good. 1625 02:01:09,980 --> 02:01:13,780 Then you have a sign of strength in D and a backing up action. 1626 02:01:14,640 --> 02:01:19,640 Now, I actually, I'm totally okay with this labeling. Why? 1627 02:01:19,860 --> 02:01:25,080 Because if you would be thinking that this is an accumulation and your goal is 1628 02:01:25,080 --> 02:01:28,960 going to be to establish a high probability trait, which is going to be 1629 02:01:28,960 --> 02:01:31,860 phase C, but in phase D, then you... 1630 02:01:32,080 --> 02:01:36,380 kind of opening the position at the same time as the trader who would label it 1631 02:01:36,380 --> 02:01:41,700 as phase C and would try, you know, on the elements of strength just to get in 1632 02:01:41,700 --> 02:01:43,480 in phase D on the way up. 1633 02:01:43,680 --> 02:01:46,600 So for trading purposes, it doesn't really matter. 1634 02:01:47,380 --> 02:01:52,040 But I want you guys to kind of understand and see that we have to have 1635 02:01:52,040 --> 02:01:55,020 test, second test, third test. 1636 02:01:56,120 --> 02:01:59,760 trend is going to start at the lows of phase C and so on and so forth. So there 1637 02:01:59,760 --> 02:02:03,760 are quite a few things here that I would be thinking that this labeling is 1638 02:02:03,760 --> 02:02:04,760 probably better. 1639 02:02:05,200 --> 02:02:08,940 All right, Philippe, what about the second trading range? 1640 02:02:09,240 --> 02:02:14,680 What is the most obvious thing in this consolidation? 1641 02:02:18,540 --> 02:02:23,100 So the first two points, which defines the trading range, probably. 1642 02:02:23,680 --> 02:02:27,020 Okay, so I see it like as these two points. What is the first point? 1643 02:02:28,060 --> 02:02:29,160 How would we label it? 1644 02:02:30,460 --> 02:02:31,460 Buying climax? 1645 02:02:31,660 --> 02:02:33,220 Okay, why is this a buying climax? 1646 02:02:35,920 --> 02:02:38,420 Well, because it's the end of the uptrend. 1647 02:02:39,800 --> 02:02:46,200 But I do not see the... Yeah, and there is a gap between the 1648 02:02:46,200 --> 02:02:50,910 last bullish take, so maybe that's... That's one indicator. 1649 02:02:51,310 --> 02:02:51,929 Okay, so gap. 1650 02:02:51,930 --> 02:02:55,070 What else? What about the spread increase, right? 1651 02:02:55,930 --> 02:03:00,510 Look at how the price moved prior to that, and look at this bar right here. 1652 02:03:00,650 --> 02:03:03,890 Something is different, the way how it moves now. 1653 02:03:04,570 --> 02:03:06,370 Faster. Much faster. 1654 02:03:06,650 --> 02:03:13,170 So momentum increase, velocity increase, spread increase, gap to the 1655 02:03:13,170 --> 02:03:15,230 upside, and then it stops. 1656 02:03:15,470 --> 02:03:16,810 It's a stopping action. 1657 02:03:17,200 --> 02:03:21,360 So all of these elements are elements of the climactic action, in this case, the 1658 02:03:21,360 --> 02:03:22,219 buying climate. 1659 02:03:22,220 --> 02:03:28,280 Okay, well, what's interesting is the next reaction, right? So we see that 1660 02:03:28,280 --> 02:03:33,160 there's really not a lot of reaction. That's number one. Secondly, there is 1661 02:03:33,160 --> 02:03:39,600 really, after the climactic run, there is no trading range that would define 1662 02:03:39,600 --> 02:03:42,900 some kind of... 1663 02:03:44,500 --> 02:03:48,020 causality for the price to move down. And that's why the move down is just so 1664 02:03:48,020 --> 02:03:51,060 small. This, by the way, is just a preliminary supply. 1665 02:03:51,580 --> 02:03:53,020 You know, this range right here. 1666 02:03:53,680 --> 02:03:58,720 And it's in these cases where we could say that because there is not a lot of 1667 02:03:58,720 --> 02:04:03,580 distributional activity here at the buying climax itself, we could label 1668 02:04:03,580 --> 02:04:06,140 move to the downside as a shakeout first. 1669 02:04:06,980 --> 02:04:11,080 Or we could label it, you know, so this will be more alternative labeling. 1670 02:04:12,170 --> 02:04:16,010 And then a more conventional would be just a regular automatic reaction. 1671 02:04:17,770 --> 02:04:20,370 So whatever you guys did, that's fine. 1672 02:04:20,710 --> 02:04:26,110 The only thing here is if you're labeling this as a shakeout, a salient 1673 02:04:26,510 --> 02:04:29,730 then the next rally is going to be labeled how, Philip? 1674 02:04:31,670 --> 02:04:33,210 Automatic reaction. 1675 02:04:33,910 --> 02:04:38,570 Rally, okay, and then secondary test. And that would be your phase A. 1676 02:04:38,990 --> 02:04:41,090 Okay, in the... 1677 02:04:41,839 --> 02:04:48,200 alternatively in the more conventional labeling right so you'll have bind 1678 02:04:48,200 --> 02:04:54,260 automatic reaction and then the secondary test and that would conclude 1679 02:04:54,260 --> 02:04:58,860 phase a and that would be the only difference I want you guys to see this. 1680 02:04:58,860 --> 02:05:02,500 studied this in the previous class. I gave you the slides on the 1681 02:05:02,940 --> 02:05:06,080 Some of the reaccumulations are going to have the structure where they're going 1682 02:05:06,080 --> 02:05:09,900 to have a distribution range, and we've seen this in the previous slide. Then 1683 02:05:09,900 --> 02:05:14,740 the price goes down, so you're going to have a selling climax, and then your 1684 02:05:14,740 --> 02:05:16,400 labeling is going to be the same. 1685 02:05:18,720 --> 02:05:23,480 And then in another formation where you have a buying climax, and then you have 1686 02:05:23,480 --> 02:05:24,600 just a sharp reaction, 1687 02:05:25,390 --> 02:05:30,030 that defines the boundary of the range, then you could, in some instances, say 1688 02:05:30,030 --> 02:05:35,390 that this is a shakeout, and then you kind of start it over as just a regular 1689 02:05:35,390 --> 02:05:39,390 accumulation. So this will be an alternative labeling. 1690 02:05:41,330 --> 02:05:47,990 And YN Climax automatic reaction secondary test, this would be 1691 02:05:47,990 --> 02:05:48,990 conventional. 1692 02:05:51,210 --> 02:05:53,170 Please take notes of this. 1693 02:05:53,900 --> 02:05:55,920 because this question repeats itself. 1694 02:05:56,260 --> 02:06:00,460 All right. Well, Filip, how would you like to label it? Okay, buying Climax. 1695 02:06:01,900 --> 02:06:06,840 Then let's just go with the conventional. Automatic reaction, 1696 02:06:07,200 --> 02:06:08,200 phase A. 1697 02:06:08,860 --> 02:06:12,680 Okay, so then what is the next thing that catches your eye? 1698 02:06:15,000 --> 02:06:20,040 Yeah, and now I'm not sure because if the secondary test is the test to the 1699 02:06:20,040 --> 02:06:22,220 upside, I'm not sure what's the... 1700 02:06:24,110 --> 02:06:28,530 decline to the support level. But what catches your eye? 1701 02:06:29,310 --> 02:06:34,310 Instead of thinking what comes next and the problem associated with the labeling 1702 02:06:34,310 --> 02:06:40,830 there, what is catching your eye? And by that I mean, are there any 1703 02:06:40,830 --> 02:06:45,750 extremes or extreme behaviors that you see in the trading range that catches 1704 02:06:45,750 --> 02:06:46,750 your eye? 1705 02:06:46,770 --> 02:06:50,690 Yeah, the nice rally from the top to the bottom of the support. 1706 02:06:51,340 --> 02:06:53,920 Okay, let's come back to this later on. What else? 1707 02:06:56,500 --> 02:06:58,040 Yeah, and then this rally. 1708 02:06:58,660 --> 02:07:05,480 I thought the decline from the secondary tests to the 1709 02:07:05,480 --> 02:07:06,520 bottom of the range. 1710 02:07:07,680 --> 02:07:08,680 Yeah, this one. 1711 02:07:10,180 --> 02:07:11,400 Okay, what about it? 1712 02:07:13,500 --> 02:07:19,700 That's the first thing. And yeah, then the last time that happened again. 1713 02:07:20,730 --> 02:07:21,730 Okay. 1714 02:07:22,130 --> 02:07:27,030 Well, when I ask you guys this question, what catches your eye, obviously I'm 1715 02:07:27,030 --> 02:07:33,450 trying for you to identify either extreme behavior or just extremes, 1716 02:07:33,450 --> 02:07:34,450 what are the extremes? 1717 02:07:34,490 --> 02:07:40,290 The extremes are going to be all this, 1718 02:07:40,470 --> 02:07:42,990 right? So these are the extremes. 1719 02:07:43,650 --> 02:07:50,460 So like, for instance, this extreme right here, this rally off the low. 1720 02:07:50,860 --> 02:07:52,600 What do you think this rally is? 1721 02:08:00,080 --> 02:08:01,080 I'm not sure. 1722 02:08:02,080 --> 02:08:07,600 Okay, that's fine. So we see what happens after this rally. 1723 02:08:07,840 --> 02:08:12,160 We have some kind of backing up action and then a continuation. 1724 02:08:13,470 --> 02:08:18,870 to the upside, right? So we are in the uptrend environment right here. So we 1725 02:08:18,870 --> 02:08:22,970 leaving the trading range and then we are going into the uptrend. There is 1726 02:08:22,970 --> 02:08:27,390 another formation here. But what phase would we be doing this and what kind of 1727 02:08:27,390 --> 02:08:31,250 Wyckoff events would conclude the trading range in this manner? 1728 02:08:32,330 --> 02:08:33,870 It's probably spring. 1729 02:08:35,150 --> 02:08:36,150 Where? 1730 02:08:37,030 --> 02:08:40,730 From the beginning of the uptrend. 1731 02:08:41,820 --> 02:08:43,180 Give me a timestamp. 1732 02:08:43,980 --> 02:08:44,980 September. 1733 02:08:45,620 --> 02:08:47,080 Okay, so this one right here? 1734 02:08:47,700 --> 02:08:52,020 Yeah. Okay, yeah. So at the low, we probably have a spring. Why is this a 1735 02:08:52,020 --> 02:08:53,020 spring, by the way? 1736 02:08:55,040 --> 02:09:01,280 Because it's from the support level, and it goes right through 1737 02:09:01,280 --> 02:09:06,360 the whole trading range and with increasing speed. 1738 02:09:06,620 --> 02:09:07,840 Okay, but then... 1739 02:09:08,160 --> 02:09:14,300 Also, a spring is going to be a lower low, right? A spring is going to be a 1740 02:09:14,300 --> 02:09:20,620 temporary either attempt or 1741 02:09:20,620 --> 02:09:27,060 commitment below the support. 1742 02:09:28,840 --> 02:09:30,640 That's how we would look at the spring. 1743 02:09:30,880 --> 02:09:34,240 And that's the definition of spring. So look at this, guys. 1744 02:09:34,670 --> 02:09:39,110 how this bar is trying to commit to the downside on the intraday basis, does not 1745 02:09:39,110 --> 02:09:44,890 commit, only has a tail here on the daily, and then returns quickly back 1746 02:09:44,890 --> 02:09:45,890 the trading range. 1747 02:09:46,610 --> 02:09:50,090 So it's an upthrust, only reversed, in reverse. 1748 02:09:50,650 --> 02:09:53,190 And then it has some kind of local path here. 1749 02:09:53,390 --> 02:09:58,630 Okay, great. So which phase is going to have a sprint in it? 1750 02:10:01,770 --> 02:10:03,410 The beginning, it's... 1751 02:10:03,660 --> 02:10:04,559 In phase C? 1752 02:10:04,560 --> 02:10:10,060 Phase C, absolutely. Okay, so if this is phase C, then everything in between 1753 02:10:10,060 --> 02:10:12,820 phase A and phase C is phase B. 1754 02:10:13,020 --> 02:10:17,980 We want to check that phase B is the largest among the three. 1755 02:10:19,300 --> 02:10:23,920 This is where the cause is being created. This is where supply and demand 1756 02:10:23,920 --> 02:10:30,060 interacting with the very, very volatile events and behaviors. 1757 02:10:31,060 --> 02:10:33,160 Okay, let's come back to... 1758 02:10:33,550 --> 02:10:38,570 Phase B really quickly. The test at the support level, how would we label that 1759 02:10:38,570 --> 02:10:39,570 in Phase B? 1760 02:10:46,110 --> 02:10:51,230 Secondary test? Secondary test, yeah. And then the high that overcomes 1761 02:10:51,230 --> 02:10:52,710 resistance points in Phase B. 1762 02:10:53,210 --> 02:10:54,330 Sign of strength. 1763 02:10:55,270 --> 02:10:58,490 An upthrust action. Upthrust action. 1764 02:10:58,870 --> 02:11:02,050 As a minor sign of strength. 1765 02:11:03,340 --> 02:11:08,060 And the reason why we're saying a minus sign of strength is because the price 1766 02:11:08,060 --> 02:11:10,260 commits significantly to the upside. 1767 02:11:10,520 --> 02:11:13,240 It doesn't just commit a little bit. 1768 02:11:14,260 --> 02:11:19,280 It just commits quite significantly. Look at three closes above, and then the 1769 02:11:19,280 --> 02:11:23,820 price spends so much time above here before it actually commits below. 1770 02:11:24,960 --> 02:11:31,130 So that's why a minus sign of strength. Not every rally in phase B are going to 1771 02:11:31,130 --> 02:11:35,690 have characteristics of a minus sign of strength. This is going to be more of 1772 02:11:35,690 --> 02:11:40,270 the exception rather than a norm. 1773 02:11:41,150 --> 02:11:47,990 Okay, great. Can I just quickly ask you, if I have a buying climax, 1774 02:11:48,030 --> 02:11:53,630 which is tested by the secondary test, the first one, so the secondary test is 1775 02:11:53,630 --> 02:11:55,870 to the upside, can I... 1776 02:11:56,120 --> 02:12:01,640 also mark a secondary test as something that tests the support level, like in 1777 02:12:01,640 --> 02:12:02,640 the different directions. 1778 02:12:02,860 --> 02:12:09,660 Yeah, and that was kind of like my biggest issue with the labeling 1779 02:12:09,660 --> 02:12:16,300 that I've seen in the reaccumulation, where basically this sequence 1780 02:12:16,300 --> 02:12:18,300 does not make a lot of sense to me. 1781 02:12:18,780 --> 02:12:20,560 I would rather... 1782 02:12:21,700 --> 02:12:27,940 sequence this in a different way. I would rather say bind climax and then 1783 02:12:27,940 --> 02:12:32,660 out type of action and then just say automatic rally and then secondary 1784 02:12:33,200 --> 02:12:38,480 But sometimes it doesn't work like this. There is not really enough room for 1785 02:12:38,480 --> 02:12:44,160 phase B and then we could see that from the behaviors, what is this rally? It is 1786 02:12:44,160 --> 02:12:47,760 a test. It is a test of the climactic action right there. 1787 02:12:48,200 --> 02:12:53,620 I saw that in the conventional way, I started thinking that. Okay, so pass at 1788 02:12:53,620 --> 02:12:55,860 the resistance, pass at the support. 1789 02:12:56,120 --> 02:12:58,040 And phase B is going to be like that. 1790 02:12:58,280 --> 02:13:02,400 We also could label even this upthrust right here as a secondary test. 1791 02:13:02,840 --> 02:13:09,360 Actually, this whole upthrust action in phase B has been added, 1792 02:13:09,480 --> 02:13:10,760 you know, in this course. 1793 02:13:11,420 --> 02:13:13,160 We have never used it before. 1794 02:13:13,500 --> 02:13:17,920 You know, upthrust always has been associated with three things. 1795 02:13:18,780 --> 02:13:21,640 usually has been associated with the distribution. 1796 02:13:22,160 --> 02:13:26,620 You know, and Hank kind of like, you know, was always on me about this, you 1797 02:13:26,620 --> 02:13:28,520 know, like adding something new to the methodology. 1798 02:13:28,800 --> 02:13:30,640 But it made sense to me to do that. 1799 02:13:30,900 --> 02:13:36,260 So upthrust was associated first with the upthrust in phase B of the 1800 02:13:36,260 --> 02:13:41,000 distribution and then upthrust after distribution in phase C. 1801 02:13:41,380 --> 02:13:46,080 It also was associated with the upward thrust. 1802 02:13:48,970 --> 02:13:55,570 in the uptrend. And we would use this as a momentum tool, where the momentum 1803 02:13:55,570 --> 02:13:58,010 increases or decreases on the rally. 1804 02:13:59,330 --> 02:14:05,590 So when I realized that this upthrust right here has the same type of 1805 02:14:05,590 --> 02:14:12,450 action as just the regular upthrust and distribution, it made sense to 1806 02:14:12,450 --> 02:14:16,810 label this as an upthrust action rather than an upthrust itself. 1807 02:14:17,370 --> 02:14:19,830 I'm going to have a slide for you on this. 1808 02:14:20,390 --> 02:14:27,390 I think David Wise, Gary Follett, Gary Dayton are much better with 1809 02:14:27,390 --> 02:14:30,970 identification of those upfront actions everywhere. 1810 02:14:31,670 --> 02:14:35,570 And sometimes when I listen to them or I conduct sessions with them together. 1811 02:14:36,440 --> 02:14:39,220 It just kind of amazes me how they see this. 1812 02:14:39,540 --> 02:14:43,980 So there is a lot of value in that type of work and that type of knowledge, and 1813 02:14:43,980 --> 02:14:47,480 I would highly recommend for those of you who are not familiar with the names 1814 02:14:47,480 --> 02:14:49,360 that I've pronounced, go check them out. 1815 02:14:50,740 --> 02:14:53,720 I'm actually extremely open to... 1816 02:14:54,699 --> 02:14:58,800 cooperation with all of the Wyckoff teachers. You know, for those of you 1817 02:14:58,800 --> 02:15:03,000 who are not new, you guys know that I've conducted so many classes with all 1818 02:15:03,000 --> 02:15:08,200 three of them, you know, and obviously I like to teach with other teachers, with 1819 02:15:08,200 --> 02:15:08,999 other people. 1820 02:15:09,000 --> 02:15:14,700 All right. So let's conclude this really quick. So after phase C, the rally up 1821 02:15:14,700 --> 02:15:15,700 is going to be what? 1822 02:15:17,720 --> 02:15:18,720 Spring. 1823 02:15:20,909 --> 02:15:25,210 With Spring, Spring is always going to be a lower load to support. 1824 02:15:25,510 --> 02:15:26,910 It's not going to be a rally. 1825 02:15:27,130 --> 02:15:31,170 And by the way, I've seen, guys, that some of you would put like Phase C 1826 02:15:31,170 --> 02:15:34,050 somewhere here or like a part of the rally. 1827 02:15:34,390 --> 02:15:40,910 No, Phase C intention. What is the intention, Philip, for Phase C? 1828 02:15:44,270 --> 02:15:48,590 It establishes the new trend and changes the character. 1829 02:15:49,280 --> 02:15:50,760 It's the final test. 1830 02:15:52,340 --> 02:15:58,420 Final test of supply at the support level. 1831 02:15:59,340 --> 02:16:01,520 That's what Phase C is all about. 1832 02:16:01,880 --> 02:16:03,980 So it cannot be a rally. 1833 02:16:05,200 --> 02:16:07,000 Phase C is basically the test. 1834 02:16:07,420 --> 02:16:12,280 Phase C is not the rally. So for those of you who are kind of mistakenly 1835 02:16:12,280 --> 02:16:16,460 thinking that Phase C could be a part of the rally, no. 1836 02:16:17,250 --> 02:16:22,170 Phase C is the test, and the test only comes in the accumulation as a reaction 1837 02:16:22,170 --> 02:16:23,710 and not as a rally. 1838 02:16:23,990 --> 02:16:29,770 Okay, so we concluded the sprint. What is the rally that comes after the sprint 1839 02:16:29,770 --> 02:16:30,770 in Phase D? 1840 02:16:34,389 --> 02:16:36,270 Maybe an upthrust action? 1841 02:16:37,150 --> 02:16:38,250 I'm not sure. 1842 02:16:38,730 --> 02:16:42,530 Sorry. Quick help here. Write it down, guys. What is this rally? 1843 02:16:43,230 --> 02:16:47,090 After phase C and phase D, a sign of strength. That's correct. 1844 02:16:47,410 --> 02:16:53,790 A major sign of strength. Okay, and then the reaction after that is going to be 1845 02:16:53,790 --> 02:16:56,590 a backing up action. Correct as well. 1846 02:16:56,990 --> 02:17:02,950 So that would conclude phase D, but we have a much 1847 02:17:02,950 --> 02:17:09,750 bigger formation here. So look at how one formation is on the top of 1848 02:17:09,750 --> 02:17:12,010 another. So we are seeing here. 1849 02:17:12,650 --> 02:17:17,070 has sell in climax as a stop in action in their original range. 1850 02:17:17,370 --> 02:17:22,790 Then we see a buy in climax as a stop in action for the reaccumulation. 1851 02:17:27,930 --> 02:17:32,690 And then we're seeing another formation, which is reaccumulation as well, and it 1852 02:17:32,690 --> 02:17:38,930 starts also with the buy in climax, but on the higher 1853 02:17:40,360 --> 02:17:44,740 magnitude level, that was a major sign of strength that we've just discussed. 1854 02:17:45,180 --> 02:17:52,040 So this whole formation here is just basically a major backing 1855 02:17:52,040 --> 02:17:58,719 up action that starts with the buying climax, with the stopping action, 1856 02:17:58,940 --> 02:18:01,299 and then what would be the first reaction? 1857 02:18:01,520 --> 02:18:02,760 How would we label this, Philip? 1858 02:18:04,080 --> 02:18:05,139 Automatic reaction. 1859 02:18:05,500 --> 02:18:08,000 Automatic reaction. Okay, the next rally. 1860 02:18:09,610 --> 02:18:13,129 Secondary test. Secondary test concludes our phase A. 1861 02:18:13,950 --> 02:18:14,950 Okay. 1862 02:18:15,670 --> 02:18:21,410 Look at the character with which this rally and this reaction moves. 1863 02:18:22,170 --> 02:18:27,389 How would we label those? Is this the best rally so far in this smaller 1864 02:18:27,389 --> 02:18:28,389 range? 1865 02:18:28,790 --> 02:18:29,950 Yeah, it is. 1866 02:18:30,290 --> 02:18:34,809 So when would we experience the best rally in the trading range that commits 1867 02:18:34,809 --> 02:18:36,510 above the resistance? 1868 02:18:37,330 --> 02:18:43,190 sustains that progress, stays above, and then comes exactly to the support level 1869 02:18:43,190 --> 02:18:45,570 which acted before as a resistance. 1870 02:18:48,809 --> 02:18:51,170 I'm sorry, I'm not sure what you're asking. 1871 02:18:51,670 --> 02:18:56,209 Oh, okay. So look at how the spread here on this rally, right, increasing. 1872 02:18:57,129 --> 02:18:59,870 So it's much better than what we've seen before. 1873 02:19:00,250 --> 02:19:04,129 Here, here, right? So this is the best rally. 1874 02:19:05,480 --> 02:19:06,500 in the trading range. 1875 02:19:06,799 --> 02:19:10,920 We know that the best rally in the trading range probably is going to be 1876 02:19:10,920 --> 02:19:14,040 associated with the change of character, especially on the way out. 1877 02:19:14,299 --> 02:19:19,660 And a change of character on the way out is going to happen in which phase? In 1878 02:19:19,660 --> 02:19:23,379 phase D. In phase D. And phase D is going to be associated with which wagon 1879 02:19:23,379 --> 02:19:24,379 point? 1880 02:19:26,010 --> 02:19:31,809 Sign of strength, backing up action. Yes, those are the main... Last point. 1881 02:19:32,010 --> 02:19:35,549 last point of support and also sign of strength bar. 1882 02:19:36,049 --> 02:19:38,709 Okay, well, we are not concerned about this, too. 1883 02:19:38,969 --> 02:19:43,410 But we definitely want to identify a sign of strength rally and the backing 1884 02:19:43,410 --> 02:19:46,629 action. So does it look like a sign of strength rally? 1885 02:19:48,070 --> 02:19:51,030 Yes, definitely. Yeah, the character... 1886 02:19:51,530 --> 02:19:56,830 with which the sign of strength really occurs, is going to be such where the 1887 02:19:56,830 --> 02:20:00,170 spread to the upside is increasing, the volume signature is increasing. 1888 02:20:00,490 --> 02:20:06,070 And by the definition of the sign of strength, we need a commitment staying 1889 02:20:06,070 --> 02:20:09,610 above and then backing up exactly to the level of the support. 1890 02:20:09,830 --> 02:20:13,470 So that's exactly what's happening right there. 1891 02:20:15,510 --> 02:20:20,030 So this looks like a sign of strength and a backing up action. 1892 02:20:20,480 --> 02:20:23,680 If this is a sign of strength in the back -and -up action, then the previous 1893 02:20:23,680 --> 02:20:24,680 is what? 1894 02:20:25,580 --> 02:20:27,920 It's the test in C. 1895 02:20:28,580 --> 02:20:30,100 Excellent. C. 1896 02:20:30,400 --> 02:20:34,120 Then everything in between A and C is B. 1897 02:20:35,600 --> 02:20:39,900 And then sign of strength rally in the back -and -up action is our phase B. 1898 02:20:41,020 --> 02:20:42,020 Okay. 1899 02:20:43,760 --> 02:20:48,460 And here it is. Here is our labeling for all three trading ranges with the 1900 02:20:48,460 --> 02:20:49,460 changes of character. 1901 02:20:52,530 --> 02:20:55,470 with all of these, you know, points that we've discussed. 1902 02:20:56,590 --> 02:21:03,530 Philip, okay, so the main task right now for you individually, personally, is 1903 02:21:03,530 --> 02:21:08,490 to remember the sequence of all of the Y -configurants that happen in the 1904 02:21:08,490 --> 02:21:09,489 trading. 1905 02:21:09,490 --> 02:21:15,010 So I want, this is kind of like a very individualized task for you right now. 1906 02:21:15,010 --> 02:21:18,410 I'll start with that and then go to the homework, next homework. 1907 02:21:18,630 --> 02:21:19,419 All right? 1908 02:21:19,420 --> 02:21:21,200 Okay, thank you. Sounds great. 1909 02:21:23,100 --> 02:21:24,920 All right, good progress. 1910 02:21:25,480 --> 02:21:29,320 So let me see what kind of questions we have on this slide. 1911 02:21:33,220 --> 02:21:37,340 Is there any difference between momentum and velocity from lean? 1912 02:21:38,020 --> 02:21:43,620 Yeah, there is definitely a big difference between momentum and 1913 02:21:43,620 --> 02:21:46,720 is not something that I want to go in right now. 1914 02:21:49,320 --> 02:21:55,180 This is more of the advanced studies, and I would prefer to talk about this in 1915 02:21:55,180 --> 02:22:01,040 practicum. But, you know, at the minimum, Lim, you could just even 1916 02:22:01,040 --> 02:22:06,220 Google definitions on the momentum and velocity, and it doesn't matter that, 1917 02:22:06,220 --> 02:22:09,680 know, you're going to get them from, like, physics, but there is a difference 1918 02:22:09,680 --> 02:22:10,680 there. 1919 02:22:11,540 --> 02:22:17,120 But we'll talk about this in a slightly different context later on. 1920 02:22:17,870 --> 02:22:19,470 It's just a big discussion there. 1921 02:22:20,750 --> 02:22:21,750 Okay. 1922 02:22:22,910 --> 02:22:27,550 How can you tell the difference of the first accumulation and the second? And 1923 02:22:27,550 --> 02:22:28,950 what would be that difference, Joe? 1924 02:22:29,530 --> 02:22:33,850 You know, what do you mean by the difference when you might be looking for 1925 02:22:33,850 --> 02:22:34,890 back -and -up action? Okay. 1926 02:22:37,450 --> 02:22:43,430 So I think that the biggest problem here with the back -and -up action is 1927 02:22:43,430 --> 02:22:46,670 actually somewhat of a... 1928 02:22:46,990 --> 02:22:49,270 not very distinct sign of strength. 1929 02:22:50,410 --> 02:22:55,350 Because when we look at this area right here, and especially taking the sale, we 1930 02:22:55,350 --> 02:22:58,170 might say that there is not really a commitment to the upside here. 1931 02:22:58,370 --> 02:23:02,030 But remember, this already acts as a minus sign of strength. 1932 02:23:02,530 --> 02:23:06,890 So if the price is going to come to the same level, that's at the minimum 1933 02:23:06,890 --> 02:23:08,210 already a minus sign of strength. 1934 02:23:08,590 --> 02:23:12,110 But we have a much better commitment if the... 1935 02:23:12,330 --> 02:23:17,090 highest commitment was here, then the highest commitment for the second rally 1936 02:23:17,090 --> 02:23:24,030 higher. It just definitely shows that there is not much better commitment, 1937 02:23:24,170 --> 02:23:25,990 but a better commitment to the upside. 1938 02:23:26,610 --> 02:23:31,270 Now, the next problem that we have here is the backing up action itself. 1939 02:23:31,590 --> 02:23:37,350 The backing up action actually looks very normal. There is no increased 1940 02:23:37,350 --> 02:23:41,850 spread to the downside that we see here, which is great. 1941 02:23:42,300 --> 02:23:44,660 That tells us that supply is going lower. 1942 02:23:45,780 --> 02:23:50,620 It actually comes to the level of the buying climax and then stops there and 1943 02:23:50,620 --> 02:23:53,380 acts as a spring, comes back into the trading range. 1944 02:23:53,620 --> 02:23:58,540 So everything looks normal. And I would be actually initiating my position right 1945 02:23:58,540 --> 02:23:59,940 on this bar right here. 1946 02:24:00,360 --> 02:24:07,260 This would be my last point, my next to last point of entry here just based 1947 02:24:07,260 --> 02:24:10,000 on this. The first one is going to be spring itself. 1948 02:24:11,290 --> 02:24:18,090 reversal off the spring, sign of strength bar, and then you have to stop 1949 02:24:18,090 --> 02:24:19,650 of the resistance level. 1950 02:24:19,890 --> 02:24:25,110 And then the next one is going to be, so this is one, two, three, point number 1951 02:24:25,110 --> 02:24:30,190 four, right of the backing up action. So I would be already fully committed into 1952 02:24:30,190 --> 02:24:36,030 this position based on how the price has developed at this point of time. And it 1953 02:24:36,030 --> 02:24:38,970 still would be profitable, right? So we're profitable right away. 1954 02:24:39,500 --> 02:24:42,240 We are profitable throughout this whole formation. 1955 02:24:42,740 --> 02:24:49,460 Now, what happens here is here we are losing the momentum, and that suggests 1956 02:24:49,460 --> 02:24:50,480 some kind of reaction. 1957 02:24:50,720 --> 02:24:56,220 The reaction is actually somewhat healthy. It doesn't prolong for a long 1958 02:24:56,380 --> 02:24:58,700 It doesn't have a big difference to the downside. 1959 02:24:59,060 --> 02:25:04,280 The spread does not increase significantly, but it's still somewhat 1960 02:25:04,280 --> 02:25:09,070 than, let's say, this action right here. It has some gaps to the downside, 1961 02:25:09,270 --> 02:25:10,410 actually two of them. 1962 02:25:10,910 --> 02:25:16,030 It has some kind of volatility associated with this. So that requires 1963 02:25:16,030 --> 02:25:20,350 test. So at this point of time, you know that there's going to be a test of this 1964 02:25:20,350 --> 02:25:25,670 area. And you might even just say, if there's going to be a test, then if I 1965 02:25:25,670 --> 02:25:27,990 decide to enter somewhere here, it's going to be inefficient. 1966 02:25:28,550 --> 02:25:29,750 Why it's going to be inefficient? 1967 02:25:30,090 --> 02:25:34,850 Well, just because if the test requires time, 1968 02:25:36,890 --> 02:25:38,830 then it's going to take some time. 1969 02:25:39,850 --> 02:25:43,310 So therefore, we are waiting for the test of the test. 1970 02:25:43,530 --> 02:25:45,490 And it comes on the next reaction. 1971 02:25:45,710 --> 02:25:49,950 We see how different this reaction from the previous one. That's going to be our 1972 02:25:49,950 --> 02:25:52,130 point of entry number five. 1973 02:25:52,910 --> 02:25:58,790 And then from here, I mean, I've talked to Philip and we identified that the 1974 02:25:58,790 --> 02:26:01,470 character of this rally is different than anything before. 1975 02:26:02,160 --> 02:26:06,620 in this range so therefore a sign of strength and then the back nap action is 1976 02:26:06,620 --> 02:26:11,560 kind of shallow so again you could add to the position here you could also add 1977 02:26:11,560 --> 02:26:17,880 on this bar so that's number five that's number six number four three 1978 02:26:17,880 --> 02:26:24,880 two one and then after that you're going to be thinking that either this or 1979 02:26:24,880 --> 02:26:31,400 this is going to be your uh seven and eight So there are quite a few points of 1980 02:26:31,400 --> 02:26:35,040 entry. And by the way, for those of you who are campaign investors, and by the 1981 02:26:35,040 --> 02:26:40,120 way, we have quite a lot in this class. So I will be pointing those things out a 1982 02:26:40,120 --> 02:26:43,680 lot, you know, campaign points of entry. 1983 02:26:44,400 --> 02:26:50,280 Look at this. In the original accumulation, you want to enter on the, 1984 02:26:50,280 --> 02:26:55,620 this is a high or low, you know, this is your, these are your points of entry 1985 02:26:55,620 --> 02:26:56,620 here. 1986 02:26:57,040 --> 02:26:58,080 And then this one. 1987 02:26:58,670 --> 02:27:05,550 So this is going to be a minus four, minus three, minus two, 1988 02:27:05,690 --> 02:27:06,690 minus one. 1989 02:27:07,130 --> 02:27:10,910 So those are the points of entry that you're going to have in each of the 1990 02:27:10,910 --> 02:27:11,649 trading ranges. 1991 02:27:11,650 --> 02:27:17,550 And please note, for the long -term investor, we are campaigning 1992 02:27:17,550 --> 02:27:21,050 from one trading range to another. 1993 02:27:21,510 --> 02:27:23,510 Our goal is to... 1994 02:27:25,330 --> 02:27:28,790 Establish the position at the correct timing with the correct buys. 1995 02:27:29,090 --> 02:27:33,830 So here is our regional positions that we're opening. And then open them at the 1996 02:27:33,830 --> 02:27:40,630 high price level at the point where phase C is happening and 1997 02:27:40,630 --> 02:27:41,630 nothing else. 1998 02:27:43,710 --> 02:27:49,350 And then in the next formation, we're doing the same. Phase C and then all of 1999 02:27:49,350 --> 02:27:50,990 the other entries in phase D. 2000 02:27:52,040 --> 02:27:58,280 So every time you scale in and you increase your position size, you are 2001 02:27:58,280 --> 02:28:02,880 this at the higher level and you're doing this in such a way that defines 2002 02:28:02,880 --> 02:28:06,100 timing of when the price leaves the trading range. 2003 02:28:06,780 --> 02:28:10,700 I mean, obviously, maybe it was an exception of this point of entry. 2004 02:28:12,400 --> 02:28:17,080 The goal for the long -term investor and the way how I view my long -term 2005 02:28:17,080 --> 02:28:18,080 campaigns. 2006 02:28:18,370 --> 02:28:25,010 is to be in the correct stock that is going to have a very prolonged 2007 02:28:25,010 --> 02:28:30,930 cyclical move to the upside where I could hold on to this position beyond 2008 02:28:30,930 --> 02:28:33,370 gear. That's number one. That's number one goal. 2009 02:28:33,650 --> 02:28:39,750 My second goal is to stay in this position until it's done, until this 2010 02:28:39,750 --> 02:28:44,850 run is done. So we have to have a significant change of character to 2011 02:28:44,850 --> 02:28:45,850 ending of the campaign. 2012 02:28:46,360 --> 02:28:50,320 There are certain characteristics to the ending of the campaign that we would be 2013 02:28:50,320 --> 02:28:52,580 thinking about. 2014 02:28:54,320 --> 02:29:01,200 And also, when I'm in the correct position as a long 2015 02:29:01,200 --> 02:29:07,060 -term campaign position, I want to be aggressive with my next points of 2016 02:29:07,060 --> 02:29:08,920 because the trend is defined. 2017 02:29:09,340 --> 02:29:13,200 And now I just know that it's all up to me to define the correct timing. 2018 02:29:14,070 --> 02:29:19,810 on the next stepping stone pre -accumulation range and to define the 2019 02:29:19,810 --> 02:29:25,250 entry and to scale in more to create a substantial position. 2020 02:29:25,570 --> 02:29:29,530 So when it comes to the conclusion on the climactic run, which is going to be 2021 02:29:29,530 --> 02:29:35,390 the terminal climactic run, I have a lot of money there built in as unrealized 2022 02:29:35,390 --> 02:29:40,250 gain and I'm going to take the profits at that point of time or scale out. 2023 02:29:40,690 --> 02:29:44,280 So when you're right, Be a pig. 2024 02:29:45,120 --> 02:29:46,140 Don't be scared. 2025 02:29:47,040 --> 02:29:54,000 And, you know, I'm saying be a pig. Obviously, I'm referring to George Soros 2026 02:29:54,000 --> 02:29:59,460 specifically his trade in 1992 when he shorted British pound. 2027 02:30:00,060 --> 02:30:04,480 So I was reading about this trade and you can get his book and he talks about 2028 02:30:04,480 --> 02:30:05,480 this trade. 2029 02:30:06,060 --> 02:30:12,120 He exposed his fund to 4 % of risk on this trade. 2030 02:30:13,290 --> 02:30:18,570 So, and, you know, working with institutional clients, you know, I might 2031 02:30:18,570 --> 02:30:23,210 that 4%, you know, for them could be a substantial risk. 2032 02:30:23,630 --> 02:30:28,950 But your source is not a very necessarily kind of like your typical 2033 02:30:28,950 --> 02:30:30,030 institutional type. 2034 02:30:30,990 --> 02:30:35,730 Here's what I call, and this is very close to me because I trade the same 2035 02:30:35,890 --> 02:30:39,770 more of the concentrated portfolio investor. 2036 02:30:40,590 --> 02:30:45,070 Whenever he sees opportunity and it works in his favor, he could add to the 2037 02:30:45,070 --> 02:30:48,890 position and go beyond your regular risk parameters. 2038 02:30:49,310 --> 02:30:51,270 And that's what I'm suggesting here. 2039 02:30:52,010 --> 02:30:58,230 You know, if you're at the advanced level and you feel comfortable with all 2040 02:30:58,230 --> 02:31:03,150 these concepts and with trading in general, you could be aggressive at 2041 02:31:03,150 --> 02:31:06,730 spots with the specific stock, with the specific pattern. 2042 02:31:07,030 --> 02:31:08,830 This is a pattern right here. 2043 02:31:09,210 --> 02:31:12,930 that could have that type of aggression for us that we could call. 2044 02:31:13,270 --> 02:31:14,330 All right, great. 2045 02:31:14,570 --> 02:31:16,330 We'll talk more about this later. 2046 02:31:17,370 --> 02:31:23,370 As you guys could see, there are quite a few, you know, things that are still 2047 02:31:23,370 --> 02:31:24,370 ahead. 2048 02:31:30,230 --> 02:31:33,770 Okay. Are cerebral reaccumulation close to... 2049 02:31:34,030 --> 02:31:39,190 Each other sign of very strong bullish move yet to come. All of these 2050 02:31:39,190 --> 02:31:45,690 reaccumulations are more stacked on top of each other with bias towards upside 2051 02:31:45,690 --> 02:31:47,870 from knowledge. 2052 02:31:48,470 --> 02:31:51,530 Okay, so I might be misinterpreting the name again. 2053 02:31:53,290 --> 02:31:54,290 Mispronouncing. 2054 02:31:55,050 --> 02:31:58,550 There is a logic in what is being said here. 2055 02:31:59,950 --> 02:32:03,450 It's slightly different as to how I would explain this. 2056 02:32:03,950 --> 02:32:10,890 Our first accumulation range is not necessarily a part of the formation that 2057 02:32:10,890 --> 02:32:17,370 comes later on, but it has a very logical continuation of 2058 02:32:17,370 --> 02:32:22,610 why we have so many trading ranges after the original accumulation. 2059 02:32:23,070 --> 02:32:24,810 So think about the original accumulation. 2060 02:32:25,270 --> 02:32:26,890 What is happening here? 2061 02:32:27,410 --> 02:32:28,710 Why is this? 2062 02:32:29,020 --> 02:32:33,940 accumulation, why is this range has this type of structure where we're seeing 2063 02:32:33,940 --> 02:32:35,340 higher highs and higher lows? 2064 02:32:35,960 --> 02:32:37,200 What do you guys think? 2065 02:32:38,420 --> 02:32:39,840 What does this represent? 2066 02:32:40,440 --> 02:32:47,420 And what kind of behavior by institutions could be observed through 2067 02:32:47,420 --> 02:32:48,420 structure? 2068 02:32:48,720 --> 02:32:54,960 Okay, now I'm just saying urgency to buy, lots of value, still establishing a 2069 02:32:54,960 --> 02:32:58,420 position from Joe. Yes, all three are correct. 2070 02:32:58,890 --> 02:33:00,710 And I would concentrate on the first two. 2071 02:33:01,190 --> 02:33:08,090 Because it's an extreme oversold condition that creates 2072 02:33:08,090 --> 02:33:12,070 extreme value proposition for institutions. 2073 02:33:12,350 --> 02:33:17,010 And this extreme value proposition, both long -term and short -term, 2074 02:33:17,990 --> 02:33:21,010 that's what creates that urgent buy. 2075 02:33:22,860 --> 02:33:27,000 which we've seen a lot, by the way, lately with the way how the market has 2076 02:33:27,000 --> 02:33:32,460 behaving. And in some of the cases, you see a lot of oversold conditions. 2077 02:33:33,340 --> 02:33:38,180 And from that oversold condition, you take a stock like Apple 2078 02:33:38,180 --> 02:33:45,140 or other leadership type of stocks, and then they decline so 2079 02:33:45,140 --> 02:33:50,180 much in such a short period of time, but they're still within the secular 2080 02:33:50,180 --> 02:33:51,740 structure of their campaign. 2081 02:33:52,360 --> 02:33:56,040 So how do you think institutions are going to look at this? Think about their 2082 02:33:56,040 --> 02:33:58,000 fundamental macro perspective. 2083 02:33:58,280 --> 02:34:03,700 If a macro money manager thinks that the markets are short, 2084 02:34:03,720 --> 02:34:10,460 vulnerable, and weak, but they present an opportunity within the 2085 02:34:10,460 --> 02:34:15,800 secular uptrend structure, then he or she is going to come in and just buy 2086 02:34:15,800 --> 02:34:20,320 whatever the selection is available to them based on the parameters of their 2087 02:34:20,320 --> 02:34:21,320 system. 2088 02:34:22,060 --> 02:34:26,660 And that's going to be their goal. The fundamental money managers are going to 2089 02:34:26,660 --> 02:34:31,780 do the same. They're going to see some value in the stock like Apple, you know, 2090 02:34:31,780 --> 02:34:36,920 and they could say that I'm just based on the fundamentals. I see the value. So 2091 02:34:36,920 --> 02:34:41,260 I'm going to come in and buy. So this extreme oversold, extreme value 2092 02:34:41,260 --> 02:34:46,620 proposition here creates urgency to buy, you know, at the lows and throughout 2093 02:34:46,620 --> 02:34:47,680 all of the rallies. 2094 02:34:48,120 --> 02:34:50,840 And that's why, you know, this urgent. 2095 02:34:51,200 --> 02:34:53,240 buy -in creates this type of structure. 2096 02:34:54,100 --> 02:34:56,320 So then think about what happens next. 2097 02:34:56,520 --> 02:35:02,600 Let's say that the CEO bought the position that they needed at this point 2098 02:35:02,600 --> 02:35:08,600 time. Because supply drastically went down, the price goes up at this point. 2099 02:35:09,200 --> 02:35:13,740 And I would even argue that this move to the upside, and you could go and find 2100 02:35:13,740 --> 02:35:18,000 this chart, but this is my assumption here, just looking at how the price 2101 02:35:18,000 --> 02:35:21,320 and looking at that CEO has established this position. 2102 02:35:21,800 --> 02:35:26,340 CEO is inactive on this rally. 2103 02:35:26,620 --> 02:35:33,100 And I doubt that institutional trend followers following hands also are 2104 02:35:33,100 --> 02:35:36,960 extremely active. They might be active more at the beginning of the rally, but 2105 02:35:36,960 --> 02:35:38,560 then everything else is kind of... 2106 02:35:38,840 --> 02:35:45,280 diminishes as we see momentum going down, the spread decreasing, more 2107 02:35:45,280 --> 02:35:46,280 moves to the upside. 2108 02:35:46,620 --> 02:35:51,880 So we're probably seeing that demand is going down and then the volume signature 2109 02:35:51,880 --> 02:35:55,360 in general is going to be lower than in this area right here. 2110 02:35:55,900 --> 02:36:01,320 So as they are in the position and they have some profit, what do they do? Well, 2111 02:36:01,400 --> 02:36:02,560 they might come in on some... 2112 02:36:02,780 --> 02:36:05,880 points of the volatility and, you know, add to the position. 2113 02:36:06,280 --> 02:36:11,960 But it's not necessarily going to be a very extreme, you know, big position 2114 02:36:11,960 --> 02:36:12,960 they're going to establish. 2115 02:36:13,000 --> 02:36:16,980 I would see even more that maybe on the rally like this, we're going to see a 2116 02:36:16,980 --> 02:36:21,100 lot of increase of the demand signature. And that's going to be some kind of 2117 02:36:21,100 --> 02:36:27,900 value or trend following type of institution that's going to create 2118 02:36:27,900 --> 02:36:30,800 this type of the position. And they're just going to say, wow. 2119 02:36:32,160 --> 02:36:33,800 This has confirmed the trend. 2120 02:36:37,220 --> 02:36:42,940 And then there is some short -term value that I see here. So I'm going to come 2121 02:36:42,940 --> 02:36:43,739 in and buy. 2122 02:36:43,740 --> 02:36:46,540 But the way how they're buying, they're not buying just one day. 2123 02:36:47,100 --> 02:36:50,020 They could be buying multiple days, multiple weeks. 2124 02:36:50,240 --> 02:36:51,760 So that's what creates this rally. 2125 02:36:52,320 --> 02:36:56,880 So this is just a buying wave in the middle of the trading range by some of 2126 02:36:56,880 --> 02:36:59,640 institutions because, again, short -term value. 2127 02:37:00,170 --> 02:37:02,710 and long -term value still, and long -term bias. 2128 02:37:03,410 --> 02:37:10,290 And then imagine that CO got in right here, and then value 2129 02:37:10,290 --> 02:37:14,830 proposition for some of the institutions at this spot, maybe somewhere here. 2130 02:37:15,450 --> 02:37:21,110 Then the rest of this move is just going to have the signature where we're going 2131 02:37:21,110 --> 02:37:27,810 to still see some consistent signature of the decline. 2132 02:37:28,510 --> 02:37:34,830 So something like this, and then decline, decline, decline. 2133 02:37:35,070 --> 02:37:40,930 So you're going to have some pockets of volume increase throughout this whole 2134 02:37:40,930 --> 02:37:47,110 slide here, but generally your highest volume signature is going to be here. 2135 02:37:48,450 --> 02:37:54,330 This is the area where out of the oversold condition there was so much 2136 02:37:54,330 --> 02:37:56,350 institutions, and then it's just going to go down. 2137 02:37:57,160 --> 02:37:58,760 And it's going to go down like this. 2138 02:37:59,400 --> 02:38:03,680 And then just different pockets where locally the volume signature is going to 2139 02:38:03,680 --> 02:38:08,320 increase. So CO bought here and then CO is inactive. 2140 02:38:10,420 --> 02:38:16,140 And that's unfortunately not exactly how we were taught. We were taught that CO 2141 02:38:16,140 --> 02:38:19,600 is operating in each of the trading ranges. And this is not true. 2142 02:38:20,680 --> 02:38:25,000 Once they establish the position, you know, and they just go to other stocks 2143 02:38:25,000 --> 02:38:26,040 establish positions there. 2144 02:38:26,570 --> 02:38:29,350 They might add on the way up, but not necessarily. 2145 02:38:29,950 --> 02:38:33,670 It's going to be more a function of other institutions seeing, you know, 2146 02:38:33,710 --> 02:38:38,450 establishment of the trend, some short -term value, and then definitely, you 2147 02:38:38,450 --> 02:38:39,930 know, just going through this whole thing. 2148 02:38:40,790 --> 02:38:41,790 All right. 2149 02:38:42,110 --> 02:38:43,110 Sounds good. 2150 02:38:43,250 --> 02:38:44,250 What else? 2151 02:38:51,720 --> 02:38:56,160 Why are you calling the event last point of support in phase C instead of the 2152 02:38:56,160 --> 02:38:57,500 spring right here? 2153 02:38:58,240 --> 02:38:59,720 So this is a high or low. 2154 02:38:59,920 --> 02:39:03,360 So definitely going to be a last point of support. 2155 02:39:03,700 --> 02:39:06,240 You could call this an attempt to spring. 2156 02:39:06,560 --> 02:39:11,800 But look at this bar right here. So it comes down, comes below the support. So 2157 02:39:11,800 --> 02:39:13,480 it's still a high or low. So that's why. 2158 02:39:13,860 --> 02:39:18,480 We could also be calling a spring something that would go below. 2159 02:39:19,280 --> 02:39:23,360 more of the local support, so maybe something like this, then we could say 2160 02:39:23,360 --> 02:39:28,120 this is a spring relative to this low and still a higher low or less point of 2161 02:39:28,120 --> 02:39:29,940 support relative to this low. 2162 02:39:31,680 --> 02:39:33,260 Okay, good question. 2163 02:39:35,600 --> 02:39:40,000 All right, so let's see where we are. So we have like 20 minutes or so. 2164 02:39:40,580 --> 02:39:43,620 All right, so let's talk about identification of phase C. 2165 02:39:46,080 --> 02:39:51,720 How do we identify faith? We kind of went through this, and this is just a 2166 02:39:51,720 --> 02:39:56,560 shortcut that, again, I've created for myself and for my students. 2167 02:39:57,100 --> 02:40:01,900 This is not necessarily in the methodology, and that's why, you know, 2168 02:40:01,900 --> 02:40:03,460 started calling these Romanisms. 2169 02:40:03,880 --> 02:40:08,580 So I'm okay with this. I'm kind of like, when I say that this is a Romanism, so 2170 02:40:08,580 --> 02:40:13,740 you instantly should be thinking, you know, not in the method, something that, 2171 02:40:13,840 --> 02:40:15,020 you know, kind of like, 2172 02:40:16,080 --> 02:40:21,060 more proprietary to this course, but still it's going to be based on the 2173 02:40:21,060 --> 02:40:22,580 of Wyckoff ideas. 2174 02:40:23,060 --> 02:40:28,600 So I've talked about three tests at the support level, right? So the first test 2175 02:40:28,600 --> 02:40:34,740 is going to be a local test of the climactic action. Second test, in phase 2176 02:40:34,740 --> 02:40:38,780 the laws of the saline climax and the secondary test. So in phase B, we're 2177 02:40:38,780 --> 02:40:41,300 basically testing the previous tests. 2178 02:40:41,860 --> 02:40:47,930 In phase C, At the support level, this is the last test, the final test of the 2179 02:40:47,930 --> 02:40:50,470 supply at that support level. 2180 02:40:50,730 --> 02:40:54,670 And then our test number four is going to be a back -nup action. 2181 02:40:55,830 --> 02:41:02,010 And it kind of is logical to me that the initial tests are going to be at the 2182 02:41:02,010 --> 02:41:06,190 support level, and then the last test is going to be at the next value zone. 2183 02:41:06,970 --> 02:41:10,630 So they've observed the supply at the lows. 2184 02:41:11,440 --> 02:41:15,740 That pushes the price up into the new highs. 2185 02:41:15,960 --> 02:41:20,560 In this case, not necessarily new highs, but new highs relative to the highs in 2186 02:41:20,560 --> 02:41:23,800 phases A and B. So kind of like in the same zone. 2187 02:41:24,400 --> 02:41:30,220 As it comes back to this area, we are going to experience some kind of mean 2188 02:41:30,220 --> 02:41:32,440 reversion trade by professionals. 2189 02:41:33,860 --> 02:41:39,060 That's going to bring us to the increased supply signature, change of 2190 02:41:39,720 --> 02:41:43,660 of the backing up action and therefore we're going to have some kind of test 2191 02:41:43,660 --> 02:41:50,400 there so a test is the test number four at this 2192 02:41:50,400 --> 02:41:55,100 level that we would say that it's going to be a backup action in phase d and 2193 02:41:55,100 --> 02:41:59,960 it's being confirmed it confirms the change of character the conclusion of 2194 02:41:59,960 --> 02:42:04,180 formation of the change of character and then once the resumption of this test 2195 02:42:04,180 --> 02:42:10,680 happens then we're going to continue with the uptrend Another identification 2196 02:42:10,680 --> 02:42:15,480 phase C that is very valuable to us is the second point of fear. 2197 02:42:15,840 --> 02:42:20,900 So the points of fear are all going to be discussed within the context of the 2198 02:42:20,900 --> 02:42:27,280 sentiment. Our first sentiment, bearish sentiment, that we could find is going 2199 02:42:27,280 --> 02:42:30,860 to end there. Therefore, the first point of fear is going to be in phase A. It's 2200 02:42:30,860 --> 02:42:33,120 going to be associated with the selling climax. 2201 02:42:33,800 --> 02:42:38,080 Why this point of fear develops this way? Well, I think I've mentioned this 2202 02:42:38,080 --> 02:42:39,080 times. 2203 02:42:39,420 --> 02:42:46,340 We are experiencing a capitulation by 2204 02:42:46,340 --> 02:42:47,340 weekends. 2205 02:42:48,300 --> 02:42:54,140 And in this instance, it's more of a terminal capitulation. 2206 02:42:54,520 --> 02:42:59,060 And therefore, I sometimes call it a general. 2207 02:42:59,610 --> 02:43:05,110 that would have both institutions and public behind this capitulation. 2208 02:43:05,490 --> 02:43:07,110 And what is a capitulation? 2209 02:43:07,470 --> 02:43:08,890 It's just basically panic. 2210 02:43:10,230 --> 02:43:16,070 People at this point of time are experiencing a lot of emotional pain 2211 02:43:16,070 --> 02:43:17,069 the losses. 2212 02:43:17,070 --> 02:43:21,690 And they can't withstand this pain anymore and they're giving up on their 2213 02:43:21,690 --> 02:43:27,720 positions and they're saying, get me out at any point of price time, but just 2214 02:43:27,720 --> 02:43:31,420 get me out. I cannot bear this anymore. 2215 02:43:31,720 --> 02:43:36,740 So therefore, this type of activity is going to be associated with a lot of 2216 02:43:36,740 --> 02:43:41,860 selling, and a lot of selling is going to produce technical characteristics as 2217 02:43:41,860 --> 02:43:48,240 increasing the momentum, increasing the velocity, increasing the downspread, 2218 02:43:48,500 --> 02:43:50,980 increasing the distance to the downside. 2219 02:43:52,110 --> 02:43:57,630 that we see increase in the volume signature and specifically increase in 2220 02:43:57,630 --> 02:44:04,530 supply signature by weak hands and increase of the demand signature 2221 02:44:04,530 --> 02:44:06,510 by strong hands. 2222 02:44:08,410 --> 02:44:10,410 So first point of fear. 2223 02:44:11,610 --> 02:44:16,370 The second point of fear is not necessarily going to be in phase B. 2224 02:44:17,090 --> 02:44:20,990 It could be in phase C. Why is that? 2225 02:44:21,360 --> 02:44:25,760 Well, think about the sentiment of weak hands. They just sold here, and then the 2226 02:44:25,760 --> 02:44:29,300 price went up. What do you think they feel at this point? 2227 02:44:29,700 --> 02:44:32,820 This is definitely a regret that they have. 2228 02:44:33,160 --> 02:44:34,700 So what are they going to do? 2229 02:44:37,500 --> 02:44:38,500 They're going to buy. 2230 02:44:39,500 --> 02:44:45,620 If they're regretful that they didn't hold on to this, and the price went up 2231 02:44:45,620 --> 02:44:49,640 like this, they're going to buy here, and they're going to buy here, and 2232 02:44:49,640 --> 02:44:50,640 going to buy somewhere here. 2233 02:44:51,760 --> 02:44:57,220 Now, if the price goes down in phase B into another test, what do you think 2234 02:44:57,220 --> 02:44:58,220 they're going to do now? 2235 02:45:01,080 --> 02:45:05,440 They're probably going to say, well, I gave up my position on the selling 2236 02:45:05,440 --> 02:45:07,420 climax, and that was a mistake. 2237 02:45:08,700 --> 02:45:13,560 So this time, I'm going to hold on to this position. 2238 02:45:14,040 --> 02:45:15,300 Have you guys done this? 2239 02:45:16,160 --> 02:45:18,720 Well, I definitely have done this before. 2240 02:45:20,920 --> 02:45:24,960 I'm just happy I'm not doing this anymore, but that was the sentiment. 2241 02:45:25,320 --> 02:45:28,780 That's how we trade when we are amateurs. 2242 02:45:29,220 --> 02:45:34,220 We trade on our behaviors, on our emotions. 2243 02:45:35,160 --> 02:45:37,240 We cannot control those yet. 2244 02:45:37,780 --> 02:45:42,980 So they are holding on to this position, and when the price goes down, they're 2245 02:45:42,980 --> 02:45:44,980 still saying it will go up. 2246 02:45:45,440 --> 02:45:47,760 And as it goes up, what do they feel? 2247 02:45:48,480 --> 02:45:53,800 They feel happiness, right? So they feel happy because the price goes by and 2248 02:45:53,800 --> 02:45:59,800 they think that was a good decision to buy here, hold on to the stock, and now 2249 02:45:59,800 --> 02:46:02,400 the price is back almost into the same area. 2250 02:46:04,000 --> 02:46:07,760 And they feel happy. So they're holding on to the position and they might be 2251 02:46:07,760 --> 02:46:12,660 even adding to the position, maybe somewhere at this spot right here. 2252 02:46:14,240 --> 02:46:16,920 So imagine what happens next when the price... 2253 02:46:17,200 --> 02:46:22,340 gets down and has some kind of, you know, or goes down just a little bit. 2254 02:46:23,400 --> 02:46:25,720 What do you think they're going to experience then? 2255 02:46:27,440 --> 02:46:34,060 I mean, they've been through this ups and downs, emotional ups and downs, up 2256 02:46:34,060 --> 02:46:38,380 the phase C point, and they're so exhausted. 2257 02:46:39,560 --> 02:46:42,460 They are extremely exhausted emotionally. 2258 02:46:43,340 --> 02:46:47,000 And they're just saying at this point, when the price goes down into phase C 2259 02:46:47,000 --> 02:46:49,580 low, they're saying like, get me out. 2260 02:46:52,280 --> 02:46:54,960 And this time, they make a promise. 2261 02:46:57,240 --> 02:47:00,220 What is that promise, by the way, guys? Could you think of one? 2262 02:47:00,980 --> 02:47:05,760 Well, that promise is to never trade this stock again. 2263 02:47:11,140 --> 02:47:12,580 Or at least for the time being. 2264 02:47:13,080 --> 02:47:18,360 It's an emotional withdrawal from emotional pain that is based on just 2265 02:47:18,360 --> 02:47:21,080 inexperience, no knowledge, no skill. 2266 02:47:22,080 --> 02:47:28,960 And unfortunately, that's how weak hands, that's their pattern, 2267 02:47:29,060 --> 02:47:30,060 that's their cycle. 2268 02:47:30,200 --> 02:47:34,620 They will go to the next dog and they will experience the same things over and 2269 02:47:34,620 --> 02:47:38,460 over. It could be a different contextual interpretation of the sentiment of how 2270 02:47:38,460 --> 02:47:44,150 it happens. But basically, on the very primal level, of how we experience 2271 02:47:44,150 --> 02:47:46,250 emotions. It's going to be the same. 2272 02:47:46,530 --> 02:47:52,850 So that's why this is going to be the second time where weak 2273 02:47:52,850 --> 02:47:55,170 hands are going to capitulate. 2274 02:47:57,850 --> 02:48:04,350 Now this is going to be a less of capitulation just because, 2275 02:48:04,470 --> 02:48:09,030 and it's going to be more public capitulation. 2276 02:48:10,460 --> 02:48:16,740 than institutional. Why? Because institutional weak hands, they are much 2277 02:48:16,740 --> 02:48:21,840 learners. They are much more adaptive because if they don't adapt quicker, 2278 02:48:22,040 --> 02:48:24,220 they're going to lose their job, they're going to lose their salaries. 2279 02:48:25,100 --> 02:48:28,660 Money management is based on the performance matrix. 2280 02:48:29,600 --> 02:48:33,880 So if you don't perform, you don't get the money, you don't get the salary, you 2281 02:48:33,880 --> 02:48:34,880 don't have a job. 2282 02:48:34,980 --> 02:48:38,120 So it's much stricter there than with the public. 2283 02:48:38,500 --> 02:48:39,500 So therefore, 2284 02:48:40,080 --> 02:48:44,740 institutions hopefully learn much faster, at least what I see, working 2285 02:48:44,740 --> 02:48:49,860 and working with the public retail trader. So therefore, the second point 2286 02:48:49,860 --> 02:48:53,120 fear is going to be more associated with public than with institutions. 2287 02:48:53,600 --> 02:48:57,960 And if that's the case, usually the volume signature on this is going to 2288 02:48:57,960 --> 02:49:03,720 increase locally of phase B, 2289 02:49:03,820 --> 02:49:07,660 but it's going to decrease 2290 02:49:14,140 --> 02:49:20,780 relative to phase A law, relative to selling climax, 2291 02:49:21,040 --> 02:49:26,040 where we have both institutions and public capitulating at the same time. 2292 02:49:27,880 --> 02:49:31,520 That's a very small nuance, but it's a very, very big point. 2293 02:49:31,960 --> 02:49:35,540 Because if you could see this logic through the chart, 2294 02:49:36,460 --> 02:49:40,940 And you could understand that with the public capitulating here, going into 2295 02:49:40,940 --> 02:49:45,440 phase C, and we're seeing that on the technical picture, the price goes down, 2296 02:49:45,460 --> 02:49:47,020 but then quickly comes back. 2297 02:49:47,400 --> 02:49:52,440 You might be thinking this is the last time when public capitulates, and where 2298 02:49:52,440 --> 02:49:56,300 institutions, the last time at the support level, are actually buying a 2299 02:49:56,300 --> 02:49:57,460 meaningful position. 2300 02:49:58,120 --> 02:50:00,860 And they add them to the position that they already have. 2301 02:50:02,200 --> 02:50:04,960 Therefore, this last... 2302 02:50:06,860 --> 02:50:12,960 Public supply is observed at this level, and therefore, what's going to happen 2303 02:50:12,960 --> 02:50:19,060 after that? There is only one thing. The price will go up. As supply has been 2304 02:50:19,060 --> 02:50:26,020 observed at the support level, those last pieces on last public capitulation 2305 02:50:26,020 --> 02:50:32,860 into Phase C, that absorption leads to the rise to the sign 2306 02:50:32,860 --> 02:50:33,860 of strength. 2307 02:50:34,120 --> 02:50:36,740 And then this is where mean reversion trades happen. 2308 02:50:38,480 --> 02:50:43,720 So it's kind of funny, you know, at some point when you understand, you know, 2309 02:50:43,720 --> 02:50:49,680 the mechanics of it as to what happens next with weak hands. They said, never, 2310 02:50:49,740 --> 02:50:53,460 never, never will I get into this position again, into this stock. 2311 02:50:53,760 --> 02:50:58,560 And they are missing this whole rally right here. And once it overcomes and it 2312 02:50:58,560 --> 02:51:00,340 becomes a CNBC item. 2313 02:51:01,610 --> 02:51:04,310 And everybody is screaming, it's in the uptrend. 2314 02:51:05,170 --> 02:51:06,990 They're saying, I got to go in. 2315 02:51:07,430 --> 02:51:09,950 So they're establishing the position right here again. 2316 02:51:10,170 --> 02:51:13,830 And they're saying, I said that I'm not going to go in into this position, but 2317 02:51:13,830 --> 02:51:15,090 this is the time now. 2318 02:51:15,610 --> 02:51:21,230 And then the first time the price goes down into the backing up action, they 2319 02:51:21,230 --> 02:51:27,750 so already conditioned on all of these reactions and all of this. 2320 02:51:28,400 --> 02:51:32,920 you know, attempts to go up and failure, attempts to go up and failure, attempt 2321 02:51:32,920 --> 02:51:37,820 to go up and then the beginning of the failure in their rise, what do you think 2322 02:51:37,820 --> 02:51:38,820 they're going to do here? 2323 02:51:38,920 --> 02:51:44,200 They're going to sell their position again with the loss and they're going to 2324 02:51:44,200 --> 02:51:49,040 say, well, now for sure, I'm not going to go into this position. I should write 2325 02:51:49,040 --> 02:51:53,300 just, you know, a book for kids about this, you know, just explain to them in 2326 02:51:53,300 --> 02:51:55,820 such simplistic terms, you know, how their psychology. 2327 02:51:56,730 --> 02:52:02,810 uh you know unfold so they are like uh i'm selling with the loss and now i'm 2328 02:52:02,810 --> 02:52:08,230 going to go in into this position and they are missing the whole trip so now 2329 02:52:08,230 --> 02:52:12,170 imagine if this is a distribution somewhere here really quickly and then 2330 02:52:12,170 --> 02:52:18,850 stop maybe here if this is a distribution they you know on the way up 2331 02:52:18,850 --> 02:52:21,310 like what did i do why did i close this position 2332 02:52:25,480 --> 02:52:30,980 And then as they go into the next consolidation, which is the 2333 02:52:30,980 --> 02:52:33,000 they're seeing a change of character. 2334 02:52:33,500 --> 02:52:40,180 So they're seeing what? They're seeing reaction, which creates value for them, 2335 02:52:40,240 --> 02:52:41,240 short -term value. 2336 02:52:41,480 --> 02:52:42,940 And I'm talking about weekends. 2337 02:52:44,160 --> 02:52:47,260 In this case, not just public, but institutions as well. 2338 02:52:48,140 --> 02:52:50,900 And they're saying, like, I've got to go in and buy. 2339 02:52:51,740 --> 02:52:53,040 So they're buying here. 2340 02:52:53,580 --> 02:52:55,560 On the secondary test, they feel great. 2341 02:52:55,820 --> 02:53:00,560 On the next reaction to the downside, they're saying, I made this stupid 2342 02:53:00,560 --> 02:53:05,840 here at the original accumulation to get out of the position. And every time it 2343 02:53:05,840 --> 02:53:09,140 was going up after I got out. So I'm going to hold on to this. 2344 02:53:09,800 --> 02:53:11,920 Okay, well, holding on. 2345 02:53:12,640 --> 02:53:14,480 And what happens in the distribution? 2346 02:53:15,100 --> 02:53:19,200 Obviously not what happened with Apple at this time, but I'm just giving you an 2347 02:53:19,200 --> 02:53:20,200 example here. 2348 02:53:20,520 --> 02:53:22,760 All right, so they accumulate, they accumulate. 2349 02:53:23,020 --> 02:53:25,080 The price goes up into the upthrust. 2350 02:53:25,580 --> 02:53:28,920 This becomes a second point of excitement for them. 2351 02:53:30,120 --> 02:53:34,120 The first one was on the buying climax. This is where they will be, you know, 2352 02:53:34,120 --> 02:53:35,120 buyers as well. 2353 02:53:36,420 --> 02:53:39,800 And they are saying like, this time I'm just going to hold on to this. 2354 02:53:40,020 --> 02:53:45,200 As the price goes down into this excitement with them adding to the 2355 02:53:45,380 --> 02:53:48,360 institutions are going to sell, sell. 2356 02:53:49,800 --> 02:53:55,520 sell on the change of character, sell in phase B, sell on the way down, and then 2357 02:53:55,520 --> 02:54:00,940 capitulate on the way down. And throughout this whole formation, weak 2358 02:54:00,940 --> 02:54:07,440 going to hold on and they're going to capitulate relative to the emotional 2359 02:54:07,440 --> 02:54:12,340 that they have that they can withstand and to the knowledge and skill that they 2360 02:54:12,340 --> 02:54:16,770 have. So some of them are going to capitulate some way here, and usually 2361 02:54:16,770 --> 02:54:19,650 area is going to be associated with the largest volume signature. 2362 02:54:19,970 --> 02:54:24,590 And some of them are going to capitulate maybe some way here. So depending on, 2363 02:54:24,650 --> 02:54:29,790 you know, the system for institutions and depending on the emotional pain for 2364 02:54:29,790 --> 02:54:30,790 the public. 2365 02:54:31,850 --> 02:54:35,950 Doug is saying, been there, done that, great description. 2366 02:54:36,870 --> 02:54:38,830 Yes, we all have done that. 2367 02:54:39,750 --> 02:54:41,910 We all have experienced that pain. 2368 02:54:42,440 --> 02:54:44,840 This is the reason why you are in this class. 2369 02:54:45,100 --> 02:54:50,560 Going through your emails, reading those, and reading who you are as 2370 02:54:50,560 --> 02:54:53,880 right now and who you've been as traders and your inspirations. 2371 02:54:54,420 --> 02:55:00,320 The majority of students in this class are here for the right reason. 2372 02:55:01,720 --> 02:55:08,560 You guys are trying to figure out how to make money in the market by... 2373 02:55:08,890 --> 02:55:13,130 having the knowledge, developing the skill, developing the system, and being 2374 02:55:13,130 --> 02:55:19,410 able to control your own behaviors in a different way than how you've done 2375 02:55:19,410 --> 02:55:21,170 before or what you're doing right now. 2376 02:55:21,670 --> 02:55:27,790 And I'm just showing you how you could interpret the chart in such a way that 2377 02:55:27,790 --> 02:55:34,670 would be systematic, logical, and that would elevate your emotional pain 2378 02:55:34,670 --> 02:55:35,670 you will know. 2379 02:55:36,110 --> 02:55:39,990 at which points you need to act. You will know at which points you need to 2380 02:55:39,990 --> 02:55:42,630 in, to get out, to add, to scale out. 2381 02:55:43,630 --> 02:55:48,030 It's just going to take some time, but it's going to be valuable. 2382 02:55:48,710 --> 02:55:52,750 And that's kind of like the message to all of your emails that I've seen today 2383 02:55:52,750 --> 02:55:53,750 from you guys. 2384 02:55:54,270 --> 02:55:57,850 All right. I think this is a good point for us to stop. 2385 02:55:58,830 --> 02:56:00,590 Right? So it's almost six. 2386 02:56:01,370 --> 02:56:05,030 And let's go through the homework. 2387 02:56:06,320 --> 02:56:10,060 I'm still going to give you the homework, so let me just do this. 2388 02:56:11,660 --> 02:56:15,520 Okay, you should not be able to see anything. 2389 02:56:19,200 --> 02:56:24,340 And, okay, now you should be able to see the homework slide. 2390 02:56:26,360 --> 02:56:32,280 Okay, so what do we do next? Well, first of all, I would like you to continue 2391 02:56:32,280 --> 02:56:39,100 with, you know, if you have a lot of time, And there are some of you who told 2392 02:56:39,100 --> 02:56:42,820 me, I'm here to gain as much knowledge from you as possible. 2393 02:56:43,020 --> 02:56:46,660 I'm going to do anything to gain that skill. 2394 02:56:47,440 --> 02:56:53,040 I'm passionate about this. I have time for this. So for those of you who are 2395 02:56:53,040 --> 02:56:59,640 like that, so your task is, so I'm going to put this as an optional task. 2396 02:57:06,220 --> 02:57:09,320 Your task is to watch this session again. 2397 02:57:12,460 --> 02:57:15,000 Your second task, make notes. 2398 02:57:16,740 --> 02:57:17,940 Send those to me. 2399 02:57:21,600 --> 02:57:28,480 Your third task is going to be go through 2400 02:57:28,480 --> 02:57:31,100 HD homework again. 2401 02:57:32,920 --> 02:57:34,680 The one that we've covered. 2402 02:57:35,470 --> 02:57:41,310 And kind of go through your chart and then my labeling. 2403 02:57:42,690 --> 02:57:43,730 And compare. 2404 02:57:44,230 --> 02:57:46,870 And ask yourself one question. 2405 02:57:47,470 --> 02:57:48,470 Why? 2406 02:57:49,150 --> 02:57:51,410 Why did he label it like this? 2407 02:57:52,770 --> 02:57:59,170 So this type of questioning will bring more questions that we could answer 2408 02:57:59,170 --> 02:58:00,170 on. 2409 02:58:00,890 --> 02:58:03,950 But what it does is it makes you think. 2410 02:58:04,410 --> 02:58:08,790 One of the things that I'm also noticing, and I'm not saying this about 2411 02:58:08,790 --> 02:58:14,090 group in particular or anybody in particular, but we as people tend to 2412 02:58:14,090 --> 02:58:18,870 thinking. You know, we kind of sometimes think that we know everything. 2413 02:58:19,550 --> 02:58:22,930 That's not the case. I mean, like, I've been teaching this material for quite 2414 02:58:22,930 --> 02:58:27,590 some time. You know, and even some people that say, yeah, I've taken 2415 02:58:27,590 --> 02:58:31,490 from this and this. I've read these books. I've read these articles. I know 2416 02:58:31,490 --> 02:58:33,730 methodology. They come to this class. 2417 02:58:34,270 --> 02:58:38,090 And they feel how much they don't know. 2418 02:58:38,630 --> 02:58:45,250 And that's just because the market is much more than anything that we've 2419 02:58:45,250 --> 02:58:47,310 started, you know, in our lifetime. 2420 02:58:47,610 --> 02:58:52,030 You know, it's just such a complex pattern. It's such a complex, you know, 2421 02:58:52,030 --> 02:58:54,890 algorithm and system that we're playing with. 2422 02:58:55,090 --> 02:59:01,750 So you have to always be, you know, educating yourself. 2423 02:59:01,910 --> 02:59:02,910 And the best... 2424 02:59:03,130 --> 02:59:07,910 Education, I think, you know, going through this course is always asking the 2425 02:59:07,910 --> 02:59:08,910 question of why. 2426 02:59:09,170 --> 02:59:10,490 Why is this happening? 2427 02:59:11,810 --> 02:59:15,770 So that's an extremely important question. So this is for those of you 2428 02:59:15,770 --> 02:59:21,270 time and who want, you know, more of the, 2429 02:59:21,410 --> 02:59:24,890 more assignments, right? 2430 02:59:25,110 --> 02:59:27,250 But then for everyone else, 2431 02:59:28,590 --> 02:59:32,710 Regular assignment is just going to be the same assignment that we've done with 2432 02:59:32,710 --> 02:59:34,550 Home Depot, but on the distribution. 2433 02:59:35,070 --> 02:59:38,950 So I'm going to give you the slides with the distributional patterns. You know 2434 02:59:38,950 --> 02:59:42,090 that this is a distribution, and then you just have to label this. 2435 02:59:42,530 --> 02:59:47,130 Now, I'm also going to give you some slides on the distribution and WICA 2436 02:59:47,130 --> 02:59:51,050 and the events and the changes of character in the distribution pattern 2437 02:59:51,370 --> 02:59:55,390 So you will have to kind of like go through those slides, read those, read 2438 02:59:55,390 --> 02:59:57,050 characteristics, and so on and so forth. 2439 02:59:57,820 --> 03:00:00,620 But that's the only homework that I want you to do. 2440 03:00:01,080 --> 03:00:03,460 Watching the recording, again, is optional. 2441 03:00:03,700 --> 03:00:08,920 I totally understand when somebody emails me and says, well, I've got a 2442 03:00:08,920 --> 03:00:12,000 five job. It's very demanding. And then I have a family. 2443 03:00:12,660 --> 03:00:19,140 Guys, I totally hear you. And to those of you who are in this situation, 2444 03:00:19,420 --> 03:00:20,720 go at your own pace. 2445 03:00:21,700 --> 03:00:26,080 You know, you don't have to put so much pressure on yourself right away. 2446 03:00:26,650 --> 03:00:28,590 But just listen to the recordings. 2447 03:00:28,830 --> 03:00:30,150 That could be one thing to do. 2448 03:00:30,390 --> 03:00:33,850 Then if you have time, do the homework, send it to me. 2449 03:00:34,410 --> 03:00:39,110 Then if you have more time, well, then rewatch the recording. But if you can't 2450 03:00:39,110 --> 03:00:40,410 rewatch the recording, don't worry. 2451 03:00:41,310 --> 03:00:45,710 Just go through the course this one time. You will have the recordings after 2452 03:00:45,710 --> 03:00:49,150 course. Go through the course again by yourself. 2453 03:00:49,750 --> 03:00:54,530 Or you can sign up for the course again at the alumni rate and then go through 2454 03:00:54,530 --> 03:00:55,910 the live sessions again with me. 2455 03:00:56,280 --> 03:00:59,780 A lot of people, actually. A lot of alumni in this class right now. 2456 03:01:00,740 --> 03:01:03,060 Because, again, so much material. 2457 03:01:03,280 --> 03:01:05,920 Three hours today and I gave you so much. 2458 03:01:06,140 --> 03:01:08,900 I probably have given you over 100 concepts. 2459 03:01:09,620 --> 03:01:13,540 You know, those small details that you have to go through. So it just takes 2460 03:01:13,540 --> 03:01:15,540 time. So it's all understandable. 2461 03:01:15,820 --> 03:01:18,300 So let's look at the slides for this homework. 2462 03:01:18,860 --> 03:01:19,860 Here's one. 2463 03:01:20,280 --> 03:01:21,360 Callaway Golf. 2464 03:01:22,960 --> 03:01:23,960 Netflix. 2465 03:01:27,340 --> 03:01:28,540 Apple, Nasdaq, 2466 03:01:29,660 --> 03:01:33,060 Alexian Pharmaceutical, and Yahoo. 2467 03:01:33,420 --> 03:01:40,260 So Yahoo is going to be your, probably Alexian Pharmaceutical and Yahoo are 2468 03:01:40,260 --> 03:01:42,140 going to be the two hardest charts. 2469 03:01:42,480 --> 03:01:46,780 Everything else should be quite easy if you follow the schematics. 2470 03:01:47,080 --> 03:01:50,920 And then I'm going to give you this material, but we will go through this 2471 03:01:50,920 --> 03:01:54,620 material hopefully next time, but this is something that you should be 2472 03:01:55,080 --> 03:01:56,160 before you do the homework. 2473 03:01:56,460 --> 03:02:02,260 So the like of events, the phases, characteristics of those events, 2474 03:02:02,360 --> 03:02:07,480 again, that I want you to go through to remember, and different 2475 03:02:07,480 --> 03:02:11,460 schematics on how distribution could unfold. 2476 03:02:11,860 --> 03:02:16,080 Again, this is something that we will be covering in the next class. 2477 03:02:17,860 --> 03:02:18,860 All right, guys. 2478 03:02:19,290 --> 03:02:21,870 Well, that's it for today. Good session. 2479 03:02:22,150 --> 03:02:26,350 I would be expecting that the next session is going to be as intense as 2480 03:02:26,350 --> 03:02:27,289 one. 2481 03:02:27,290 --> 03:02:32,830 So please be prepared that we're going to go to the third hour, to the end of 2482 03:02:32,830 --> 03:02:37,630 the third hour, and we're going to finish first the homework on Home Depot. 2483 03:02:37,630 --> 03:02:42,750 still very crucial for us to go through that. And then hopefully next class, but 2484 03:02:42,750 --> 03:02:46,830 if not, then the class after that, we're going to go through the homework on the 2485 03:02:46,830 --> 03:02:47,830 distribution. 2486 03:02:48,170 --> 03:02:52,370 And after that, once we conclude our structural analysis, that's when we're 2487 03:02:52,370 --> 03:02:54,030 going to switch to supply and demand. 2488 03:02:54,750 --> 03:02:55,669 All right. 2489 03:02:55,670 --> 03:02:58,770 I'm going to be expecting your emails with your homework. 2490 03:02:59,490 --> 03:03:02,430 Good job, everybody, you know, with the homework. 2491 03:03:02,750 --> 03:03:08,650 I really liked it. Good job today with all of the volunteers. And you guys have 2492 03:03:08,650 --> 03:03:11,090 been writing a lot. I see a lot of comments. 2493 03:03:11,350 --> 03:03:15,390 So this is great. This is exactly the way how I want to conduct this class. 2494 03:03:15,650 --> 03:03:20,370 This is exactly the... type of interactivity that I want to have with 2495 03:03:20,370 --> 03:03:25,510 that, happy trading for this week. I'll see you next Monday. Thank you, guys. 2496 03:03:25,730 --> 03:03:26,730 Bye -bye. 224711

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