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Hello, everyone. Today is January 21st, and this is our third session of the
Wyckoff Trading Course.
Thank you for all of your emails and for all of the comments that I've received
about the first two classes. You could see some of the comments from students
the left side of the slide.
I'm really excited that I hear a lot of excitement from you guys.
obviously always energizes me, you know, to go on and to think that this is
going to be a great cycle. And I see how you guys are communicating with me. It
took me a few hours to go through the homework. So I've actually was
able, you know, today and usually Monday is my preparation day for the course
since the morning.
you know, to go through all of the emails, and there were quite a few. So
you for sending those.
Thank you for all of the kind words, by the way, that you sent me, you know,
about the course and, you know, the knowledge that we present in this
I really appreciate that.
I also was somewhat impressed because the first homework
where people sent me their labeling,
It kind of gives me an understanding of what the cycle is going to be and how
people are going to be in this course and so on and so forth. So I was really
impressed with the level of understanding of the material. That's
Secondly, how you guys are picking up the new knowledge and applying this.
Having said this, there are obviously tons of adjustments that we will do,
we will need to do.
Not a finished product yet by any means, so there is a lot of work in front of
us. But still, such a great start.
And today, specifically with the homework, I want to point your attention
identification of phase boundaries.
almost in each of the homeworks, we had something to adjust around the
boundaries of the phases.
And obviously, you know, there's something that I need to give you. So we
will...
We will definitely go through some of the theoretical material where I will
you how to identify phase C, how to identify the boundaries, you know,
different phases and so on and so forth. And then, you know, we'll go through
all the stuff today as well.
Next session is January 28th. We are going to continue with the...
price structure.
So these homeworks are fundamental tools for us to start learning about
phase analysis. So that's going to be our focus.
And we will continue with that on January 28th.
All right. As usual, all of our classes are for educational purposes only. Stop
your video. Read the disclaimer.
And then today, actually, let me do one thing, guys, before I'm realizing that
I'm actually slightly unprepared. Do you guys see my screen right now?
Okay, yeah, you should not be seeing my screen right now.
Okay.
Okay, great.
Hold on a second.
Okay, awesome.
Okay, great.
And now we should be back.
All right, yes. So we are on the question from Lee.
Okay, awesome.
Thank you, guys. It's just like one minor technical detail that I had to
care of.
This is a question from the student in this class.
Why am I posting this slide here? And why are we discussing this question? I
usually email you guys the instructions about the questions as such.
If you send me a question that requires a lot of explanation, most likely I will
not be able to answer it over the email.
But I really, really would like to answer this email in the classroom
environment. And there is a specific reason of why I want to do this. If I am
spending time answering your email question, and let's say I spent maybe
minutes on that, you know, let's just suppose that this is a big question,
what I'm not doing is I'm not explaining the same concepts to other people in
the classroom.
So what is the best to do is to have the question.
that is in line with the content that we are covering right now.
So Lee is sending the question that is very close.
It's a little bit on the borderline here because we're going to discuss some
supply and demand, but I think it's a really good preview for our second month
when we will be diving in into the supply and demand concepts.
Plus, Lee is taking the chart from our class. This is the chart
of Yahoo.
Questions like this, sometimes I will subjectively put into the content of the
class. We also will have one session. The last session will all be devoted to
&A. And I know that you have so many questions about the homework right now.
will go through those as well. And usually homework questions, those
need to be addressed during the next class, you know,
with the homework review.
So we've talked about Yahoo, and we were talking about Yahoo in the context of
a change of character. This was the first place where in the trend we saw
the change of character has happened. A much larger reaction to the downside.
There is not a lot of supply that's coming in. It's kind of flat, I would
say. But the result to the downside
has increased.
even though supply has not increased.
So what can we conclude?
Well, we're still thinking that this could lead to a change of character and
therefore a trading range. And then we need to understand what kind of bias
we're going to have in that trading range.
As I mentioned to you in the previous class, and this is the way how I
my communication, you know, and kind of like my integrity with you guys.
Even here at these two spots, I'm thinking that the bias is still to the
I'm not sure if anybody could persuade me otherwise at this point of time. I
just don't see any increase in the volume signature, maybe slightly more
but the result is even less than the first change of character.
Less supply on the next reaction, only really one day of selling and then just,
you know.
inactivity by sellers and more deterioration on of the volume and the
we still would be thinking that the bias is up here and our position is going to
be here i mentioned that probably we would be closing somewhere here on this
and this is how we come back into this trading range so and then the question
the question is about two spots or two bars or rather you know two places
one and number two So we already see how the price has deteriorated below two
levels of the support that were so important.
One of them was in the middle of the range and was still, please note, the
was still to the upside.
So now at the failure of this, we have a couple of failures actually.
So the first one comes as an upthrust and there is the first failure. The
comes back into the range.
So at this spot, we're always thinking, A sign of strength rally or an upthrust
situation? And we'll talk about this more.
As the price comes back into the trading range, that becomes a failure, and
therefore we start talking about the upthrust.
An upthrust could be a function, could be a part of the reaccumulation, that's
true, but also an upthrust.
could be a part of the distribution.
So the next thing that we do after the failure is we want to see where the
will go, what kind of price deterioration we will have, and what
character behind this deterioration we're going to see.
So we're seeing that the price is committing below local support,
and by itself, it's a weakness.
at least a short -term weakness for now.
And then we see the increase in the effort behind the increase in the
So that suggests to us that there is some kind of short -term bearish bias
we should be aware of at this point.
The rally, which is going to be an LPSY rally here in the middle of the range,
is very weak. It doesn't even come to one half of the move to the downside
that we've seen.
since the upthrust.
So again, more weakness and then a continuation of that weakness and a
commitment even below the previous support line.
So we are in a sign of weakness type of environment.
Supply is increasing.
And as we go into those two spots, number one and number two, we are
the new trading range that already has some bias that we perceive at this point
as the downside bias.
Why is that?
Well, we've seen a change of character.
This is the largest reaction to the downside than what we've seen before.
And now we are trying to confirm that change of character. How are we
that? Well, we need to have a rally, LPSY rally, last point of supply rally.
that will fail at some point. At which point would it fail?
Well, we want for the distribution, this rally to be so weak that it cannot
overcome one half of the trading range or the height of the trading range.
And we kind of see it here, right? So the price goes up with the enthusiasm to
the upside and comes to this value zone right here.
What do we have here?
Acceptance of this level or rejection of this level? Supply coming in at the
highs of this resistance or supply is coming in and being observed or supply
not coming in? Well, we definitely see that there are some spots, for instance,
like right here, where, first of all, after the short -term break of a trend,
we see that supply is actually increasing.
And this, I wonder if, Lee, you have seen this
spread and this increase in the spread as well. Because it's all related
to the other two that you've mentioned. Actually, another one right here.
So let's kind of observe what is happening at this spot.
The first one.
The second one.
Third one.
And then the fourth one.
Actually, we could even do this. We could even look at this and this.
So one of the things that we notice right away is
we want to notice the areas where supply has
come and supply has increased and it's started producing either
a stopping action, some kind of reversal action,
and then synchronicity with
the increasing result to the downside.
And that's kind of like a sequence of how supply is going to come in.
Supply is not necessarily right away it's going to reverse the whole blast.
It's just impossible because
With the uptrend that we have had, there is a specific sentiment that exists
in market participants' minds at this point of time as to what should happen.
We should be in the uptrend. We see this from the sentiment we could derive from
how the price moves and from the volume signature.
Everybody is on board.
Nobody is getting out of this position.
the first time when we could see a more meaningful getting out of this position
is going to be in this area right here. And this is why, until then, we're still
thinking that we might be in the reaccumulation because the texture for
price and the volume is such that it dictates that the price most likely is
going to continue to the upside.
Now, as it continues to the upside, this is the...
where for the first time we're experiencing some increase of the
And for the first time, it's not only stopping the price from moving further
but it actually synchronized with the result to the downside.
So this is the first area of significant institutional selling that we
see. Now, as we go through the sign of weakness, then we see how supply also
comes
at the lower level.
So we are kind of now in a different value zone.
And this value zone, because we're looking at the distribution, is going to
described as the value zone for weak hands.
This is just a definition of the work of trading course that I created, you
know, for you guys and for myself.
That's how we would define the value zone.
So what is happening here? I'm coming back to this question by Lee.
I would like to understand what was actually happening at points number one
two.
To understand what's happening at these two points, we need to understand what
happened prior, and we're kind of going to this. So the value zone for weak
hands, what does it mean?
It means that at this spot right here and at this spot right here,
Weak hands are buyers.
And if they are buyers, what do they see?
The weak hands are seeing some kind of value.
So that's a very interesting thought. How could they see value at this point
time?
The trend has been broken.
The stock went into the consolidation.
The stock is at the support level.
Wouldn't they feel more fear?
to come in and to establish this position.
It's a very interesting observation about the weak hands because
the weak hands are going to be getting in into the trend either very, very late
and they will be profitable.
So weak hands getting in and they will be profitable at this
point of time.
And then this is going to be the first group of weak hands.
The second group of weak hands is going to be someone who maybe sold their
stock and did not participate.
That's number one.
Secondly, maybe sold their stock, did not participate, but then got out.
And then as the price goes into the consolidation and especially goes back
produces some kind of
you know, move to the downside within the confines of the structure.
So this is the structure that we would be looking at at the time.
The weak hands are going to see some value and they're going to say, this was
leadership stock and I didn't really participate. I didn't, you know,
participate in this whole trend. But now that we are at the support, this is
where I'm going to come in and I'm going to buy.
And that's how they see that value at this spot.
They're coming in and they're buying, and because they don't have a lot of
strength behind it, the rally that is being produced is not that great.
And what else is happening, even more importantly, is that into the strength
weekends at this point, when they see that value, institutions are going to
into that strength.
And we are seeing this later on.
in the selling where supply is increasing on increased volume signature
increased down spread look at the spread right here this is the largest spread
on all in this whole rally it just tells us that the rally is done and once the
rally is done you instantly know that this is the high of the rally and then
start making your assessment and deductions as to what kind of
was it in the relationship to the whole formation, to the height of this
formation? And you see that it's only one half of the range that this really
traveled, and then it met so much supply, so much selling.
Okay, well, then we go back into the same area. Again, we can't, thinking
this is the new attempt to go up, that is going to result in the overcoming of
the long -term resistance.
And what do we see as we come to the same resistance point? We're seeing how
supply is still increasing locally.
And not only that, the downward result is increasing as well. So that becomes a
reversal again. And you start questioning, we've done this two times
And every time that we've come to this level, what happens?
Some institutions are selling at the resistance point. So what is their bias?
Their bias is to the downside if they're selling, right? We see that from the
increased volume signature only, you know, usually big institutions will
this type of signature.
So therefore, we are thinking about confirmation of this bias.
And as we go down on the next reaction, we're seeing a sign
of weakness.
The price commits below.
Yes, it comes back. So there is a spring type of action.
But we know that what's selling here is selling here an ability to overcome one
half of the height of the range and then a sign of weakness.
So this could be just temporary.
And we could be just somewhere still in phase B at this point of
this whole range.
So what do we see next? We see the next attempt, and this is where we're coming
in into one and two, those two points.
And let's see what happens. This is the highest volume signature on this bar,
and this is probably just some kind of event.
And there is a lot of optimism on this bar.
Again, we could see this from the volume signature, and we could see this from
the price signature. This is most likely.
and this is the weekly chart, this is most likely some kind of earnings and so
forth. And the biggest question that actually Lee is asking here, somewhere
the description, he's saying that so much movement to the upside, so much
effort, yet what do we do?
What is the final result?
And to understand the final result, we need to understand the original intent
intention behind this move.
If there is so much enthusiasm behind it, the intention was to overcome the
previous points of resistance that we were not able to overcome.
And then what do we do with all of this enthusiasm that is even more than what
we've seen before?
we can't even go to the same level.
So what looks that this something, this
move to the upside with so much strength and optimism, looking so bullish at
this point is actually showing us an ability to repeat the same bullish
that we've seen before on the previous rallies.
Is this bullish or bearish?
Why didn't it reach resistance?
Maybe this is the correct question to ask.
Why didn't it reach resistance? What do you guys think?
Well, my thought here is that it didn't reach resistance because someone was
selling into the strength.
And if you think about the tactics of the seal here at this spot, at the point
of the resistance,
they are selling into the strength of weak hands twice already.
And now they are selling for the third time at the lower level.
So this means automatically that the bias is still being confirmed as the
downward bias.
and that now the value zone is slightly lower than what we've seen before.
So when point number two comes, which seems like a very logical diminishing
volume signature, so we might be thinking that, okay, supply is
here, which is correct as well.
But what's not happening is that we're not going anywhere with all of this
increase of what seems to kind of like an amateur eye, a bullish scenario.
there is still an attempt to go up, and yet we can't reach even the previous
level. So again, we are just confirming the bias to the downside at this point
of time, and we are interpreting the increase of the volume signature as
an increase of the supply over
average supply.
And then we see that supply is diminishing over point number one.
And that tells us a different story.
It takes less of the supply to produce more bearish results.
And by more bearish results, I mean inability of the price to actually
you know, even the same, to touch the same resistance or create a higher high.
So it's a more bearish result.
on less supply.
What does it tell us?
It tells us that we don't need so much supply anymore to push the price down.
And at this point of time, demand is so exhausted that all of the next rallies
are not going to be that big.
And we see it with the next rally, with the next rally. And we're seeing how
supply is diminishing even more and yet result to the downside is increasing
even more.
So this tells us that there is a poor demand and diminishing supply
signature on the background where the price
is moving to the downside.
And that...
is ease of movement.
On diminishing supply signature, we are able to move the price down.
Ease of movement.
And that gives us a timing to initiate the position.
Why? Well, because again, demand is so poor, we know that demand is not a
anymore.
And even though supply goes down, the price still goes down. So we're just
to capitulate at some point. And we're usually going to capitulate around the
point of support. So here's that final institutional capitulation.
It doesn't have a lot of supply signature behind it. So that just tells
most likely we're going to stop soon.
We're not going to continue for a long time to the downside.
All right. Well, hopefully this is...
a good explanation for you and for everyone.
So really good question. This is not necessarily the question that I was
expecting at this point, but I'm really encouraged by the, you know, the
questions that are coming and, you know, I'm really happy that we're starting
with this. By the way, guys, today's class is going to go until six. We have
lot of material, so I'm kind of already, for the next probably five sessions,
we're going to, go up to 6 o 'clock, unless I have some kind of appointment
arrangements after this.
Lots of material, so we're going to cover a lot today.
Questions.
What about effort in the result if we see accumulation at the right side from
2002, May to September of 2003? Only one year are accumulating.
2003 to 2005, an uptrend, not a powerful effort in an accumulation.
Okay.
Okay, so let me just begin to understand this question.
So what's the question, Eric?
Okay, so this, 2005, and this.
Yeah, I'm not sure if I understand the question, Eric. Let's just kind of
rephrase it. Let's just think about this.
Okay, meanwhile, small time accumulated. You mean
this area right here as a cause?
Or this as a cause?
Okay. So, well...
We could definitely apply something like, you know, PNF, try to see what
of, you know, objective we're going to see here. We could see if this could
match this objective as well.
At this point of time, you know, we're not talking about the PNF. I'm going to
give you some references, but, you know, for those of you who are not familiar,
you know, with PNF, please go to our website.
A couple of things that you could do on the YouTube channel.
The YouTube channel has two videos right now by Bruce on PNF.
Those are basic videos.
So go there. And then after that, go to our website, WyckoffAnalytics .com.
And there are on -demand products.
You could find part one and part two.
of the two courses that we conducted together with Bruce on the PNF. So I
recommend just that path.
Okay, great.
Let's move on and let's just go through the material for today.
So today, what are we going to discuss today?
This is going to be the major work for us today to go through the Home Depot
homework review.
There will be a lot of questions that I will answer.
This is the first, well, not the first time, but this is the time where I'm
expecting a lot of volunteers.
We are going to put on the chart and we're just going to go through your
and then we're going to start adjusting that logic as to how are we viewing the
chart, how are we identifying specific events, how are we thinking about
labeling, and then how do we think about the tactics and where would we be
thinking about opening the position and so on and so forth. So this might take
even two sessions, but we will do this. As we go through the review, I'm going
to... After each of the slides, each of the exercises, we're going to have some
kind of theoretical material.
And the main thing that I want you guys to think about, and this is what I see
in your homework, is the phase boundaries. That's number one.
Secondly, phase C identification.
And then everything else, we'll definitely cover everything else.
If we have time, we will talk about the distribution. If we don't have time, I'm
going to give you that.
homework on the distribution.
I'm going to give you the slides on the distribution.
Your homework will be to read those slides through, to understand all of the
work of events in the distribution, to know the characteristics of those
and then apply them to the homework. And then we're going to do the review, the
same review as we've done with Home Depot, most likely maybe not in session
number four, but maybe session number five.
So that's going to be the plan for today.
All right. With that, let's start our homework. And I need a volunteer. So say
yes, and I'm going to unmute you.
And let's see how that's going to go. Okay.
Let's go to Rami.
Rami. Am I pronouncing your name correctly?
Rama is fine.
Rama. Okay, Rama. Almost like Roma.
My name is Roma, actually.
Right. My short name, so Rama. That's very close. Okay, great.
All right, so let's look. We have three trading ranges. By the way, guys, if you
haven't noticed, some of you have not noticed, there is another one that I
of wanted you to identify.
And by the way, Rama, before we start doing this, let me guys show you really
quickly something that could be helpful to
everyone. So I thought that this idea of having
homework slides as a separate file, that was a suggestion by one of you. I
really appreciate this because I think it saved a lot of time for a lot of you.
And I know how difficult it is to do the first homework, especially if you
haven't worked with PowerPoint,
with PDFs and so forth. But I was really pleased to see that everybody
is just kind of like getting a handle on that.
So I want to show you a little bit of what I do.
with power charging and it will be really quick so when you receive a slide
me like this in in powerpoint why am i saying power charging in powerpoint um
you have multiple options here for instance um under the first so you're
to be a home tab and then look at all of these small icons right here so for
instance i could click this icon right here and i could create any type of text
that i want i could move this text and put it you know, anywhere I want.
So for instance, something like this. I'm looking at the up thrust and I'm
saying, this is an up thrust.
You can copy that. You could create the new one. You could change the color of
it. Whatever you guys want to do. Then you have, you know, any type of lines
that you want to create.
You can copy them, paste them.
Here is your trend.
What else? Phases.
So I like to do this for phases.
just to identify where phase is, and then, you know, change
maybe like the weight, and maybe even change the way how it looks, and just
okay, here is maybe like phase A, somewhere here, right? And then just
down here, and I could change the size of it, and so on and so forth.
So there are quite a few useful things that you could do here with the
PowerPoint. And it's actually quite easy once you get a handle on all of those
things. So let's just practice. Let's just kind of like go with this, you
with next homework.
And hopefully it will be easier for you guys to use it. All right. Having said
this, Rama, let's come back to you.
And let's look at trading range number one.
So it's this one right here.
So one of the earliest questions in labeling that I ask students
is, I want them to understand that when you look at the historical chart,
you know already what the
bias of the trading range is.
And at this point in the course, this is exactly what I want you to do. I want
your minds not to think about the bias first.
I want you to understand that we have been in the accumulation and that you
to label accumulation correctly.
This is the first task.
As we progress to month number two, that's when I'm going to start
closing off the chart.
and then moving to the right and unfolding the chart as swings or
bars occur. And then you will have to analyze the bias and the timing and so
and so forth. But for now, this is what we do. We know that this is an
accumulation.
So in accumulation, the biggest question that I have on labeling, what catches
your eye, Rama, that is so distinctive?
distinctively different than anything else that you could identify right away?
The arrest of the descent of the price downwards, the arrest of the downward
movement of the price.
Okay, so what about it?
And the price failing to go below that particular level
and then rising.
from that level onwards, defining the level of support.
Okay. Well, let's take that thought and let's just kind of develop this. So we
were in the downtrend and then we stopped that downtrend at this spot
here. And then after that, we went into the non -consolidating environment.
We've talked about this in the last session. So what is this stop in action?
How would we call it?
How would Wicca call this event?
Selling climax.
Okay, selling climax, SC.
Are there characteristics of the selling climax that we could identify here to
confirm that indeed this was a selling climax?
The range of the price bars, in other words, the spread is wide,
and there are multiple such bars.
which essentially indicates to me that the momentum to the downside
and... Does it look panicky? Does it look
like somebody wants to get rid of their thoughts right away?
Absolutely, yeah.
So there is some kind of climactic run that we are observing.
Okay, great.
We know... that you know from in hindsight that the price has stopped
is the first spot so usually it's going to be associated with that climactic
action with the selling climax okay if this is a selling climax then the next
rally is going to be what automatic rally and then the next low
is going to be what would be a secondary test and that would conclude which
phase phase a and the
Intention behind phase A is what?
The intention is to stop the downward movement and then the beginning of
potential trading range.
Excellent. How else would we be interpreting or calling this automatic
and the subsequent secondary test that is a successful secondary test?
The secondary test and the automatic rally would have
volume signatures that would suggest that it's more likely
to be an evolving trading range.
But also, yes, absolutely.
And here again, we are going from a downtrend environment into a trading
range environment.
Something should happen right here.
some kind of change.
How are we calling that?
That would be the price failing to continue to go upwards.
In other words, the automatic rally being limited by a price level, which
defines the resistance.
Okay, so that's great. That's also another great point. So automatic rally
define an area of the resistance.
I'm sorry, the level of the resistance. And then selling climax will define the
level of the support.
And we would be thinking that the price should consolidate around the mean in
this area and be contained.
Majority of the price should be contained within these two levels.
And it is.
So that's great.
The question that I'm also asking is that switch between the downtrend to
a consolidating environment.
When we look at the rally, even the automatic rally itself, and we could see
even going into the upthrust right here in potential phase B,
is this the largest rally that we've seen so far?
No, on the way down, this is the third such rally that we have seen so far.
I'm not sure about that. So this is the high of this move to the downside,
right? So we have rally number one. We have rally number two.
There are quite a few here, so all of those two. And then look at this rally
right here.
Is this the largest rally out of all of the rallies that I've identified here?
Right. I would agree.
So the rally has increased.
The distance of the rally has increased.
And that produced some kind of change.
That's a change of character, yeah.
Yeah, yeah. So this is where I'm kind of like trying to go with you here. So a
change of character.
Now we need to confirm it. How do we confirm it? Well, we look at the
run.
And we are comparing it to the next rally that comes after the change of
character rally.
The next decline that takes place. Yeah, the next decline. And then we see that,
again, the distance is diminishing.
We're seeing how the spread might be diminishing as well.
We're having a higher low right here in this area. So that confirms that change
of character.
And the change of character is going to be all about...
Well, something different happens here in comparison to this or this.
Every time we either have a very weak rally and then a break to the downside.
Weak rally and then a break to the downside.
Here we have a much better rally.
So something is different.
And then we don't have the next break to the downside.
Or even in some instances, we might have a small break, and then the price will
come back into the trading range.
So this is a change of character. This is where everything changes for the
downtrend, and we might expect a trading range. And it's always going to be
associated on the way in with phase A.
Excellent.
Okay, so now that we know where phase A is, and by the way, So another, you
know, for those of you who are more advanced, you might have a question
and I'm actually very surprised that nobody's asking it right now.
Automatic rally and automatic rally.
Could it be that we could have, you know, this type of labeling?
And I'd say that I would be totally okay with this, right? So because we
have more of this rally and this secondary test.
that is more of the function of the selling climax itself, and then just the
continuation of this rally to the upside.
I could label this as an upthrust action right here in phase B, but you could
also label this as a much larger automatic rally, and then your secondary
is going to be somewhere here in this area, and this could be your phase A.
Now, the biggest question here is, well, What does it mean? I mean, like, it
looks like so discretionary.
But the biggest question here is not actually about the labeling.
My biggest question to you, all of you guys at this point is, does it really
matter to your trading how you label phase A?
No. Why?
Because we are just looking at the...
pattern as it is evolving. The patterns, the nature and the pattern of the
rallies and the declines.
Where were you betrayed in Rama?
I would be trading at the phase C or D as
the price gets out of the trading range and the new trend emerges.
That's where I would be trading. So somewhere here in this area, maybe even
more, maybe like somewhere here in this whole area. Why? Because it's always
going to be to the right of the trading range where we're going to originate our
trade. So does it really matter how we label phase A?
No. I see a lot of this kind of like this mental, you know, resistance.
I have to label everything correctly.
You have to trade everything correctly. You don't have to label everything
correctly. I'm going to go even further with this statement.
You have to trade correctly. You don't have to analyze everything correctly.
that is counterintuitive.
Because we always think that by making a good analysis, that will lead to a good
trade. Not necessarily. Sometimes my bad analysis leads me to a much better
trade than the trade that I've analyzed a lot.
Why is this happening?
Well, because markets are unpredictable, and the only thing that you could
really control is just your actions.
So if I see some kind of mistake, analytical mistake that I've made, and
market shows to me right away that you are wrong in your analysis, I could
mentally make a switch and say, I was wrong.
If I was wrong, what is the correct interpretation?
Well, it's different. Could I take a trade on that?
yes, I'm still in that zone where I could take a trade on that. So
you know, you could use it like this, you know, like this mental path.
Okay, so let's assume that we're going to go with the original phase A,
selling climax, automatic rally, secondary test.
Then I already mentioned upthrust action in phase B.
So Rama, let me ask you this question.
What is the next point in this trading range that attracts your attention that
you could identify right away and you can say, I know what this is?
The most obvious thing.
The most obvious thing is a deeper secondary test that occurs
in November.
which is essentially very close to the support level and the behavior of the
price when it reaches that level.
Okay, so what is it? How would we label it?
I would label that as SD.
Okay, great. And there are, by the way, multiple secondary tests.
This is also, guys, another thing that I want you to start thinking about.
And today I'm going to give you so much material.
For those of you who emailed me and you guys said, I watched the video and it
was like an eye -opening watching it for the second or third time. And some of
you watched multiple times.
And I do believe it because going through this, even through this chart, I
already gave you probably like a dozen of concepts that you could make a note
of. So for those of you who have time, watch the recording again.
Make the notes. Send those notes to me. You're going to receive so much value
out of that exercise.
Okay, so what am I talking about here?
We have to understand the texture of the LUT formation, how it forms.
We could see that the selling climax is always going to be associated with the
secondary test, the retest of that.
And then in phase B, Rama has mentioned, you know, this secondary test.
That goes to the support level.
But there are quite a lot of those tests around this area. There are one, two,
three, four, five. Five tests, maybe even six tests.
And you kind of could see from the texture of the price that it's all
It's not just separate tests.
It's the testing that takes some time and produces.
a trading range so when we look into this we usually would be thinking that
should belong to one phase and some instances we would break this but in
case it seems like it should be one uh one test and then one phase so what
would it be all the secondary tests here phase b phase b Yes, we still need to
experience phase B, and we know that phase B is going to be the largest among
three phases, A, B, and C.
Okay, so if this is phase B, then what is the next most obvious thing that you
see in this trading range that you could identify and tell us, I know what this
is?
There are two points I can identify. One is the...
that happens soon after the testing or the support level, and the other one is
the low of the Phase C.
Okay. Those are the two things that stand out.
Okay. So let's deal with Phase C first. So why is this Phase C?
The price action and the price, again,
Unlike the other test in phase B, the price gets much closer
and the spread of the bar narrows. And the
rally that follows that.
for the first time, traverses through the trading range, commits itself above
the resistance level, and then stays above that resistance level. Well,
has been doing a lot of homework and watching a lot of videos, so Rama, good
job. So Rama is giving us a lot of thoughts on how we could identify phase
I'm going to show you this slide and, you know, in a couple of other slides
we have to cover first on how could we identify phase C. This is going to be
of the major kind of shortcuts that I'm going to give you guys. So phase C is
going to be associated with the number three or
last test at the level of the support.
So where is the first test?
Well, naturally, after the climactic action in phase A, that's number one,
that's at the support level, even though it comes so high, but it's still
testing the local stopping action by selling climax.
Test number two, naturally, will happen in phase B.
And this test number two is just too complex because there is a selling
There's a whole formation with the selling climax, automatic rally,
test, phase A, phase B, phase B, even the phase B upthrust,
phase C.
So it has its own trading range. So it's just a complex trading range and a
complex process of testing that we are observing here.
But this is a test number two.
And then phase C always will be a test number three.
at the level of the support.
That's very important because test number four is gonna be at the level of
resistance that was created by phases A and B. We will come back to
this later on.
We also know that phase C is gonna be the lowest low
in the uptrend.
And because we look at the chart where we know what has happened before, where
did uptrend have started?
One might argue that, well, we had the start maybe like somewhere here in
December of 85, and then we have a higher high and a higher low.
One might argue, well, maybe even a low prior to that, November.
But for us, what's important is to understand is that there is still a
range that unfolds. It's a non -trending environment.
So therefore, there is no really a trend until it hits the low of phase C, and
only then we would be seeing some kind of uptrend. Now, we'll have some other
different definitions on this subject where we might have even the low in
A, and that would establish the whole trend. But we still would be going
some kind of consolidating.
accumulative actions prior to that.
So the lowest low, when you look at the historical chart, could define phase C
for you really easily.
That's where the trend starts.
We also will talk about a second point of fear in phase C. So that second point
of fear is going to be associated with the increase in the volume signature
where weak hands are going to capitulate.
And that's going to produce that lower low.
Or we could have, you know, like in this instance, a very big distance to the
downside, right? So reaction might increase.
And that could produce, you know, increased selling behaviors by
weak hands, and they will be trying to get out, and there might be some
acceleration around the support here.
What else?
said that there are some characteristics for phase C that we need to understand.
We definitely know that the reaction should have some kind of bullish sign.
And Rama has mentioned those. The downward spread is diminishing relative
what we've seen, let's say, in phase B or on the climactic run in phase A.
We could also see that maybe with this diminishing downspread action, the
is also diminishing. That could be a possibility as well. And kind of a
laborious move to the downside instead of very quick sign of strength type
of move to the downside. So that's the big difference.
Okay, so let's come back to our labeling.
Phase A, phase C.
So everything in between is phase B.
And we see two instances where the price overcomes the previous high in a very
insignificant way. In the first time, it tries to commit to the upside.
Actually, the first time was here in phase B, so off -thrust action in phase
Then the second time, it's just an attempt to commit, and then the return.
And then the third time, there is a commitment, and then a return back.
So all of those instances are going to be up thrust.
There is only one extra definition here that I want you to know.
This rally right here, that looks like a rally in phase D.
And some of you who are more advanced, are probably just thinking, okay, well,
why is he not talking about this? Why is this not a sign of strength rally?
Why is it not identified as phase D?
Well, look at the next reaction that comes after that.
It actually negates almost all of the gains that we've seen on this rally.
And we've just identified phase C low as the low of this reaction.
So, therefore, whatever we're observing, all of this moves to the upside are
most likely a part of phase B.
Now, in phase B, we could have up thrust, and some of them are going to be
significant.
The ones that are showing us some bullish activity and that are going to
like a phase D sign of strength could be labeled as
upthrust action as a minor sign of
strength. Whereas the major sign of strength is still going to come in phase
right? So we could have a major sign of strength as like this rally.
and then a backing up action into the lows of the support that acted before as
the resistance. So this could act as a backing up action.
So this big rally is going to be a major sign of strength.
And then this smaller rally in phase B is going to be an upthrust action as a
minor sign of strength.
And that's that distinction that I want you guys to give.
All right, let me quickly just see what other questions we have.
Isn't phase A important for closing of a position from Philip? Yeah, absolutely.
Here at this point, we're going to be facing a lot of trading decisions that
we're keeping the position if we are correct.
on our buys and if we are in this trade.
Also, some other decisions, not for those of you who are in this position at
this point of time.
Let's say somebody is looking at the stock and identifying maybe some kind of
interest in the stock. So in phase A, what kind of trading decision are we
to have at this point? Most likely not, but that's a decision on its own.
Not to participate is a decision.
not to be involved, not to get your risk exposure at this point of time is a
trading decision.
Doing nothing, sitting on your hands is a trading decision.
So yeah, so those type of decisions are going to be important in phase A.
Is there a sign of strength rally after December secondary test? So we've just
covered this.
Yes, it's a sign of strength rally, but it's a minus sign of strength rally.
in phase B and not in phase D?
Where would you place the trade in phase C?
Okay, good question. That comes from Justin.
So we're looking at how the price moves to the downside and we're looking for
any points of the reversal, right? So move to the downside, no reversal.
Move to the downside, no reversal.
Move to the downside, no reversal.
move to the downside, oops, reversal, which would equal
our point of entry, and that would be our first point of entry. Our second
of entry could be this bar right here.
Our next point of entry will be somewhere in this area where we are
a backing -up action.
And our fourth point of entry is probably going to be somewhere here on
breakout.
This was not the most efficient in this case entry, but still, with your stop
losses, it shouldn't get you out. So all four points of entry, you should just
go through.
Okay, what else?
Is it reasonable to take a trade to upside in early January?
considering reaction looks like a back -and -up action? Yes.
And if you're thinking that this is a back -and -up action, let's say, oh, I
see, right here. Okay, got it.
Okay, yeah, this is a good question, but again, we're coming back into the point
of, you know, how do we actually manage the position, meaning how do we actually
come in into the position, right?
So we need to see some kind of reversal of this initial move to the downside.
There is no reversal.
So there is no entry, and that would save us from entering prematurely and
exposing ourselves, you know, to the remainder of this reaction.
Why is not a backing up action between February and March?
This one right here, yeah, it's a backing up action.
Again, it's just minor, right? And then this is a backing up action, this whole
formation, and it's a major.
So quite a lot of distinctions already, guys, that I've given you. So you have
to take notes and you have to remember those. All right, Ramar. Really quickly,
let's talk about the distribution.
So what is the most obvious thing that you see in this distribution?
In that small area of distribution, the most obvious thing is the...
Price action that almost resembles buying climax, the very first bar.
What are the characteristics of this buying climax that we see?
Widespread rapid rise of the price to a new high when compared to the previous
high. Climax is wrong.
Right. And then it's immediately followed by an automatic
reaction.
And then that is followed by a secondary test, which tests the highs of
previously established highs.
Please note, there are quite a few secondary tests here. The first one is
to be an attempt to retest the buying climax. That would conclude phase A.
let's finish with the buying climax. What else?
Gap. Gap up.
is going to be a part of that, you know, climactic stopping action. Actually, as
you look through this intermediate stopping actions, this is a buying
It's just intermediate.
And look how gap is happening here. Look at the move.
Look at the gaps here.
Also a buying climax.
Also a buying climax. On a very, very small scale.
But we kind of see that this analog repeats over and over and over again.
yeah. A lot of climactic action. And what do you think the volume signature
is?
More likely to be a moderately high volume.
Okay. Something like this. I wonder why moderately. I'm just really curious.
That's because the extent to which the price has moved when compared to
the previous high on the left side around.
just before June, leads me to suspect that the
volume might have been only moderately. If it was climactic volume, I would have
seen the price go a little bit higher.
Interesting. Okay, guys, for those of you who can, quickly find me the volume
signature and maybe send me the picture through the chat or something like this.
I'm now really curious.
My first thought would be that because the next area is the reaccumulation, the
volume signature is going to increase, but probably more locally.
That's number one.
And we probably would be thinking that that would give us just an idea that
we're going to go into the trading range with the bias that is going to be to
the upside.
So therefore, not a lot of supply signature should be there. On the second
thought. You know, looking at all of these buying climaxes, you know, to the
upside, we're seeing that there is a big gap to the upside. So there is some
kind of event here that stops this whole movement. So this event should have,
you know, an increase in the volume signature for sure.
Plus the whole day just goes up.
So that should, you know, have some kind of demand behind it.
especially at the higher levels over the resistance. So I wonder what the volume
signature is.
Okay, we'll come back to this.
So buying climax, automatic rally, secondary test, our phase A is defined.
What is the next phase that could be easily identified right away?
Phase C, again, where the price comes and
tests the support level.
And followed by... We are discussing a distribution, right? So with the
distribution, we're going to have this type of schematic where phase C is going
to be not at the low, but at the high.
Yeah. So where is it?
It's right at the July level.
Yeah.
the price commits temporarily above the point of the uh level of the resistance
so how would we label this then obviously say c yeah
and how would what is this white of event the price commits temporarily
above and then comes back into the trading range
Up thrust. Up thrust, yeah. Because this is distribution after, up thrust after
distribution. Everything between phase C and A is going to be phase B.
In phase B, we're going to say, okay, there is a little bit small up thrust
in phase B.
There is multiple secondary tasks.
And then as the price goes down, and we see that the price has some tail right
here, it's very hard to see.
How would we identify this action? Obviously in phase D now.
So this first at least attempt to commit to the downside, how would you label
it?
That would be labeled as a last point of supply.
Okay, so the rally will be a last point of supply.
But the move to the downside from the high of the upthrust to the low of this
reaction.
This whole move right here, that would be what?
Think about phase C low and accumulation and move to the upside.
The opposite to that, to the downside.
Downside, yeah.
Sign of weakness?
Yeah, sign of weakness, yeah.
Sign of weakness. So it's a little bit condensed here, but here it is.
Sign of weakness.
LPSY, and then off we go to the downside.
Okay, great. So distribution has a very small cause.
So therefore, the downtrend should be also small.
And we kind of see that. Okay, well, then next we'll look at the
range again.
Okay, so what is the most obvious thing that catches your eye, Rama?
The most obvious thing is the price leveling off.
After the sign of weakness and the last point of supply, it establishes a price
from which there's a rally that takes place.
Okay, so we're seeing the low that has been created, and then we're seeing
a move to the upside. Now, this rally, is this...
Is this rally much better than the rallies that we've seen in the down
Yes,
absolutely. So what does this mean to us? Is this a change of character?
Yeah, change of character.
Change of character. At this point of time, a change of character would
that from a downtrend, we're going to go into a non -trending environment and
we're going to look at the trading range.
Trading range. The trading range here, again, the questions that we're going to
address was the trading range, bias, timing, character.
Right. Okay. So, and also, change of character is going to be associated
always on the way into the trading range with phase A.
Okay. So, if this is phase A, then what kind of, you know, phase A Y -class
events do we have? The stop in action is going to be labeled as fail.
Yeah.
It will be labeled as a local selling climax.
Yes, and I like that, you know, local definition.
Okay, great. So selling climax, the first rally.
That would be automatic reaction.
Reaction, and then the next test that's going to test the selling climax is
going to be a secondary test.
And that would define phase A for us.
Okay. So then what is the next most obvious Wyckoff event
that you see here?
A rally that goes above the level of the resistance
and doesn't commit itself to the price level above.
and declines into the trading range. So kind of like this type of action, right?
Like we have this up front and then we come back into the trading range. And it
happens at the same spot, right? So right after phase A. So act a little bit
an analog, you know, to what we're seeing here. So we're seeing up front.
At this point of time, looking at this rally, you're looking at the character
this rally.
Could we say that maybe this rally acts even as kind of like a minor sign of
strength here?
Yes, I would say so, yeah. Yeah, look at the character.
The price moves so quickly to the upside.
It commits on actually multiple closes to the upside. Actually, maybe just one
or two.
Spend some time there. And this is what's interesting. Sometimes upthrust.
Look at this upthrust. Goes up, commits really quickly, and then... By the end
of the session, it already shows some supply, and then the next day it comes
back into the trading range.
This one is different.
This one has three days that goes above the resistance, and then look at the
time that it spends, maybe like two weeks above that point of resistance.
So what does it tell us? It tells us that there is some kind of strength
the price action.
Strength in the background.
Yeah, and the strength, guys, you know, it's not indicative of the timing.
By no means. Think about that, oh my gosh, the strength in early, let's say,
phase A or early phase B, you know, we should go in into this position. Now,
this strength just suggests to you that this is a reaccumulation, but it doesn't
suggest to you the timing.
The phase analysis is going to suggest to you the timing as to when we should
into this position.
But this trend suggests that the bias could be to the upside.
So now you're just looking for the confirmation of this information.
Is it really that the bias is to the upside because we're just still too
We're in early phase B at this point of time.
Okay, great.
So what's next?
By the way, if this is a bias to the upside, we would say that this is an
upthrust action rather than an upthrust.
Okay, well then, what's the next thing that catches your eye?
Right. The next thing that catches my eye is the disconfirmation. That is, up
until this time, the strength of the rally and the commitment of the price to
the level above the resistance for a few days.
tilts my bias to the upside.
But on that bias, I always look forward to see if that is going to be confirmed
by the subsequent price action. In this case, the subsequent price action is
indicative of weakness.
So it comes down, it price declines.
Okay, so we're talking about this.
Right. And then it comes and produces another secondary test.
Okay. Well, let's kind of grab this idea here from Rama.
So he's saying that, you know, to come back into the trading range, which we
would expect, by the way, in Phase B.
We've tested.
This is a secondary test.
It's still in Phase A. And this is the first test in Phase B. This is the test
at the level of the resistance. And we should have a test in Phase B.
at the level of the support as well.
Phase B is going to test both resistance and the support.
And we've seen how Romer has described that there is some supply
or increase of the supply that we see in the spread, in the download spread,
that suggests what? That suggests that if supply is increasing, we need some
kind of retest of that supply.
Usually, the more supply we have, the more testing we need to be doing.
And the more testing we need to be doing, that would suggest that we might
some kind of trading range. And we're already in a trading range here, which
kind of like thinking that it's going to prolong the trading range.
Okay, well, if we had one test, which was a
supposedly up -thrust accident test,
at the resistance, then the next test is going to be at the support.
So how would we label this test in phase B?
I would still label that as a secondary test.
Yeah, secondary test. We are not overcoming the low that was created in
so this is a higher low.
So therefore, the higher low in phase B would be
labeled as a secondary test at the level of the support.
And then a lower low in phase B would be labeled as a secondary test as a sign
of, as a minor sign of weakness.
Okay, so this is a secondary test, but which one? There are quite a few here.
I'm looking at this, I'm looking at this, I'm looking at this, I'm looking
this, I'm looking at this.
I would say the second one, the one marked where the price
reaches the lowest point among that cluster of tests.
Got it. So Rama is saying that this point right here is our secondary test.
I would probably have an argument here with you, Rama, because
look into this area again.
How did we approach it?
We approached the whole formation as three tests in different phases.
And that's what I want you guys to start practicing. I want your eyes and your
minds to see this.
There are formations that are together.
And I'm going to highlight this.
Here is a formation where there is an action and then there is a test.
There is another formation where there is an action and there is multiple tests
of this action.
And then there is a third formation that is an action and multiple tests after
that. So I want you to start thinking in these terms because we will be
defining the texture of the whole trading range as the
construction of smaller pieces.
that come together, and locally, when we say locally, then we mean that this
test is local to the selling climax, or this multiple tests are local to the
climactic action that Rama has identified here, or maybe this test are
the initial selling climax that we have here.
Okay, Rama, do you see that?
Yes.
Okay, so maybe something, you know, to kind of like work with the next
just, you know, identifying those areas, different textures, but different
tests, but, you know, they all create the same structure. Okay, so if we're
talking about different, you know, textures and structures within the logic
structure, then as we've identified tests here and identified the phases
then I could say that if this is test number one, Test number one is going to
associated with phase A.
This whole thing is test number two associated with phase B. Then this is
to be associated with C.
Okay, and that's how simple it is for us to think
about this.
such complex structures that we see, you know, in test number two and number
three, but they're all actions around the same area, right? They are all
the tests of the action that we see prior, you know, to testing area.
Okay, so if this is the case, then let's relabel this. Phase A, then phase B
probably goes to what? To this point right here, right? Yes, yeah, yeah.
And then phase C is going to either be concluded here or it's going to be
concluded here.
So we have two scenarios here.
Okay, so how would we, let's say, is there any other labeling that we need
to do here? Where is our phase D?
I would consider the second.
C you have put there as D, more D rather than C.
And I would consider the first C to be the real phase C because of the
signs of strength I see. It's making higher lows.
And that to me is the beginning of the new uptrend.
Okay.
Yeah, I like that.
At the same time, I would say that there are probably two ways of how we could
label this.
So let's say phase D labeling at this point.
Okay, so two ways.
The first one is exactly what Rama is describing.
We are in phase C here in the smaller formation.
Then look at how Rally is committing to the upside over the
what seems to be an apex formation.
And we know that in the apex formation, the sign of strength is actually not
going to be very good.
It's not going to be extremely distinct.
But what it's going to show out of the place of uncertainty, where both
buyers and sellers are inactive, they're just waiting for new information to
arrive, either to act.
on the buyers or maybe to add to the buyers or maybe to close the buyers that
they have.
So at this point of time, a small sign of strength suggests that there's a
little bit more buyers and supply is exhausted at this point, so we could
the price much, much easier.
So a sign of strength in the apex formation is always going to be that
thing. And then the backing up action, comes exactly on the second reactionary
leg to the down slope and the resistance.
So that acts as a backing up action, and therefore this is phase D.
So this is what we have, apex, and then a sign of strength that is going to be
just a little bit small.
And then the second label in here, which is also acceptable, is going to be more
about
a much larger phase D, right? So we could say that this move to the
upside that overcomes the up thrust action and the buy -in climax of the
distribution formation.
is a major sign of strength and by definition the price goes through the
range commits to the upside and look at the commitment so many closes above so
this is a really good commitment to the upside spend some time in there and then
reacts exactly to the area of the support that acted before as the
therefore we could see a major sign of strength with the major backing up
And then we would identify this as a minus sign of strength.
So that labeling is also acceptable.
Please note that for trading purposes, again, it doesn't really matter.
Why? Well, because if you're identifying this as your potential phase D, then
your position in reaccumulation is going to be...
most likely the first position is going to be opened in phase C.
Your second position is going to be, and third, your second, third, and fourth
position are all going to be here.
So from one to four, all of this is going to be a very active zone for you
act on.
And then after the major sign of strength and the major backing up
that's number five that you would be thinking of opening. So from that
perspective, it doesn't really matter.
you will still be operating in this space you know you still will be a
here all right rama really good really good start i definitely feel um a
lot of kind of like um knowledge that is already there so a lot of um i also
hear a lot of correct semantics that are associated with this course you know so
You know, so a lot of things. So just continue. And for you specifically, I
would say nuances, details. That's going to be extremely important, right?
Okay. So just, you know, absorb all of this knowledge and just make notes and,
you know, concentrate on those details.
Yeah. All right. Great. Thank you.
Thank you.
I'm sorry, Ram. I muted you. Okay.
All right.
Let's quickly look at that question that we had, and thank you, Lee, for sending
this chart. That was really quick and cool, and sometimes I'm going to request
you guys. I don't want to be distracted, but, you know, you guys could
definitely quickly find what I'm looking for and email me. So we were looking at
this spread, and we said that most likely the volume signature is going to
increase here.
Why? Well, look at the gap.
That's number one. So that usually is some kind of event, probably, well,
definitely overnight event, where institutions have not produced so much
excitement before.
Like any other gaps that we see on the way up, they are much smaller, right?
And this is not a gap.
And then this is a huge gap.
And the huge gap is always going to be associated with more interest from
institutions, and we see a continuation to the upside.
And actually, I forgot to mention that, you know, this change of character bar
most likely is going to have also a very high volume signature just because of
the function of the supply that came on the buying plan itself.
So that was a really good call. And then also...
This is going to be one of the exercises that I'm going to give you guys in the
practical when you're going to graduate to a more advanced level.
One of the things that we practice in the practical course is reading
the volume signature of the price and reading price signature of the volume.
What it does, it kind of opens up the new dimension of understanding.
as to what do we expect the volume on the price to be on the specific bar,
whether it's the price or the volume bar.
And that's exactly what I did here, just kind of like deducing as to what kind
of volume signature could be at this contextual place with this particular
All right, great.
Let's look at some questions really quick.
What is the difference between labeling secondary test after the selling climax
or labeling a shakeout, reaccumulation versus shakeout schematic?
Okay, yeah.
So this was the question here.
Selling climax, automatic rally.
Could we possibly label this as a shakeout?
Yeah, we can.
Usually the shakeout in the reaccumulation is something where we
climax.
and then we have some kind of shakeout right away we don't have it here we
have a buying climax and then we have an area of the distribution and that
usually suggests the distribution usually suggests what there's going to
kind of downtrend that's going to come and downtrend is going to be
concluded with the stopping action, which is going to be labeled by us as
selling climax.
So my preference in this particular case would be just to label this as a
selling climax and extend the boundaries, you know, from the selling
from the automatic reaction.
or automatic rally, rather, and then in the reaccumulation structures where we
have a very quick move to the downside without a lot of the distributional
activity, you know, you could say, like, okay, this could be interpreted as a
shakeout action. I will keep this in mind, and I will point this maybe on
slides.
Okay, next one.
If we were in September, and I'm assuming what September,
where this September or and this question comes from Philip or
this September.
OK, so probably this one right here. So if we were in September, wouldn't we
interpret the rally?
as a phase D with backing up action right before September. This one right
Okay, and the backing up action to what? To which range? To this one?
So backing up action should be coming back to
deformation, right?
to their original formation.
So we have, for instance, we could say that here we have a minor backing up
action, and it's a part of this formation. Then we have a larger backing
action, major backing up action, and it's a part still of this whole
You know, if we would have some kind of, you know,
that would be something like this, where, you know, we've seen that maybe
whole move is a sign of strength and then this is the backing up action that
its own trading range, then probably, yes, we could do this. I think it's less
obvious in this case, Philip. So I probably would be just thinking that,
know, it's just a trading range on its own. It's a reaccumulation.
We had an accumulation range, a move up, and now we are just in the
reaccumulation.
Okay, but good clarifying question there.
Is it common that one can identify phases of the larger range with smaller
ranges within that larger range?
Yeah, we could definitely do this. One of the things, you know, again, to do is
that, you know, texture analysis, right?
If you could instantly see that there are smaller ranges here that could be
labeled, by the way. I mean, look at this. Cell and climax, automatic rally,
secondary test, phase A, B, B, C, sign of strength, backing up
action or LPS, major sign of strength, major backing up action.
Cell and climax, automatic rally, secondary test, phase A, B, B, C.
sign of strength, shakeout type of reaction in D, LPS.
Here we go.
This one, saline climax, automatic rally, secondary test, phase A, B, C,
LPS, and so forth.
So you could see how you could label.
even smaller structures. And again, you know, we could label this structure
right here. We could label this structure right here, this structure
this structure right here.
Everywhere there are trading ranges.
If you just get this concept that you look at the market through the prism of
different structures, whether it's a trend or non -trend, whether it's at the
higher, larger timeframe, like, you know, a large formation or a smaller
formation like this three.
that I've shown you. By the way, here is another range. Here is another range,
right? So all of those are just ranges between the swings of the trading range.
If you can understand this concept and it kind of becomes natural to you, you
will start looking at the market in a different way. And usually during the
first month, you know, I receive a lot of emails from students that just say
like, oh my gosh, I look at the markets, I look at these.
chart and all i see is just all of those formations and it's so much easier for
me now to interpret the market action you know through those formations so
hopefully we'll get to this point all right um
okay what else okay
so a comment from dog actually um
Preliminary supply in May and then buying climax in July.
So what are we looking at? This preliminary
supply?
Doug, is this the one? Is this the formation that we look at and buying
in July like this?
Was that your interpretation, Doug?
To the right for, this is the preliminary supply, this.
Okay, great. Okay, so Doug has suggested, what about this type of
right? So by in Climax, then obviously we could go with either cell in Climax
we could go this whole thing with the automatic reaction and then secondary
test. This could be phase A.
And then let's say phase B.
and then phase c uh on the level of trading because
we will be trading here that doesn't really matter and if you label it like
that that's fine where i have the problem with this labeling is these two
right here so i'm gonna redo this a little bit and then you'll see what i
So, let's say that we're still in the automatic reaction, secondary test,
A, and then it goes into phase B and phase C. This doesn't really matter to
But what comes before?
When we put, let's say, a buy -in climax right here at this point, we're
basically neglecting the fact that the buy -in climax characteristics happened
before that.
And we went through those. A gap, acceleration to the upside, climactic
acceleration of momentum, extreme volume signature, which just basically screams
at you and tells you that if it stops on this climactic volume, then most
likely this is a buying climax.
So it's the character that does not allow us to say that this is a buying
climax.
So therefore, the second point here is that it has its own formation so what is
the bias of this formation the bias of this formation is the distribution so
therefore we would be labeling this as an up thrust in phase c so therefore the
preliminary supply is going to come somewhere here so that's the only thing
i would redo but everything else again for trading purposes you could say that
this whole thing is the buying climax so sometimes i would say buying climax
trading range What does it mean? This means some kind of distribution, local
formation that would take us down.
But, you know, I would probably not identify this necessarily as a buying
climax. So this whole thing, you could say a buying climax trading range.
All right.
Great. Thank you, Doug.
And what else?
I thought that in phase D, I should search for biggest rally of the whole
starting from the support level. So the part of the first phase C should be in
phase D, so from Philip. So we're talking about this spot.
Okay, so yes, when we look at the horizontal range, we're
looking at the sign of strength and the backing up action as our change of
character confirmation.
And usually the sign of strength rally will be the largest rally in this whole
trading range.
And that's in the horizontal formation like this.
In the apex formation,
where there is a lot of inactivity
by market participants, a smaller sign of strength
could be that timing mechanism that defines a change of character.
So we would be looking at all of the rallies that occur after the last point
where supply has increased or supply has produced some kind of downward result
that was exceeding the result to the downside before.
And we see that the rally there, this rally, is basically the best rally
that we see.
in this formation.
So it's a little bit of a nuance.
We'll talk about this later on.
But I'm so happy that you guys are seeing this, that you're asking the
questions. Because if you're asking the correct question, this means that the
logic that we explained before was also good and we just did not cover this.
So that's great. All right. So really good exercise.
All right.
Okay, so with each of these slides for the homework, I'm going to give you guys
my interpretation, and you could go through this as a homework and just
all of the labeling that I've done here in these boxes, gray boxes, and
identifying changes of character, and so on and so forth.
Hopefully that's helpful. Now let's talk about phase boundaries. So this is that
theoretical slide that we're going to have, and we're talking about
here.
So how do we define phase boundaries? It's extremely important for us to
understand where we put the boundary.
And sometimes it becomes so subjective that as I was receiving so many
from students, I realized that I need to kind of like, you know, stop all of the
discretionary talk as to where we are putting the batteries and that just to
define exactly where we would put that border between phases.
So let's go through this. And we're going to start with something slightly
different. The first thing, and this is one of the most important things right
now at this point of the course that I want you to remember.
I want you to...
Remember by heart the sequence of Wyckoff events throughout all of the
accumulation and the distribution.
And therefore, I just want you to remember that phase A is going to start
the preliminary support,
going to the stop in action by the selling climax, change of character as
automatic rally, and confirmation of that change of character as a secondary
test. That secondary test is going to be a local test.
and test number one to the tailwind climax.
Phase B is going to have in the accumulation either a secondary test
at the support level or an upthrust action
at the resistance level. So these two are mechanisms
of testing.
Testing what? Testing both supply and demand.
at the support and the resistance level in in the instances when the price is
going to overcome the resistance we're going to say that we're looking at the
thrust action sometimes i label it as up thrust action like this uta and
then if we're going to have a lower low then we're going to label it as a
secondary test as a sign of weakness as a minor sign of weakness actually yeah
Some small corrections here are needed.
Phase C is going to have either a high -low, and we're going to label it as a
last point of support, or it's going to have a low -low, and then we will be
talking about either a spring or a shake -out.
Phase C also could have a test, not necessarily a secondary test, but a
local test to a spring or a shake -out.
Last point of support,
sign of strength bar, sign of strength rally, and the backing up action.
Usually phase D will be discussed mostly around sign of strength rally and the
backing up action.
The sign of strength bar has been added, you know, to the methodology by me
just, you know, for the class purposes.
This is the spot where in the middle of the range we're identifying emergence of
institutional urgency to buy, to be in this position.
And this is one of the points of entry for us in accumulation on the way up.
We'll talk about this more.
Last point of support are going to be all of the reactionary lows on the sign
strength rally that present some kind of buying opportunity.
Those are going to be short -term weakness situations where we're going to
that the long -term bias is to the upside.
But the short -term bias has some kind of weakness,
bearish bias behind it. And those are going to be
the spots that are going to be associated with establishing or adding
position.
Then we've talked about two changes of character in the rate accumulation.
And originally, again, I've talked about this.
Originally, when I was studying Wyckoff Method and Hank was introducing me to
this concept, Hank had a concept of the change of behavior.
He never actually specifically talked about the change of character.
So change of behavior was basically identified in late
Phase B and in Phase C and in Phase D.
And what Hank was talking about is
So a change in behavior as behavior on the rally could become
more bullish.
And then behavior on the reaction at some point could become more bullish as
well. So for instance, when we look at the chart and we look, let's say, maybe
at this reaction right here. For the first time, reaction creates a high and
low. So that's a change of behavior.
It's not necessarily a change of structure because a change of character
change of structure. But the change of behavior is not necessarily a change of
structure per se, you know, where we are confirming the best rally,
the sequence between the best rally and the best reaction, right? So here's that
sequence, the best rally and then the best reaction.
So here it is.
throughout this whole range.
So that is a change of character. But change of behavior could be just a
rally and then the reaction is still bearish or usual rally and then a better
reaction. So that would be a change of behavior.
There are two changes of character that I mentioned.
Our first change of character is going to be associated with phase A.
So it's the change of character in...
into the trading range and it's going to be defined as the rally between a
selling climax and automatic rally and it's going to be confirmed by the
secondary test and then the second change of character is going to be on
out of the trading range in phase d and that's going to be a rally between phase
c low and sign of strength rally high so here's the high here's the low here's
that change of character And it's being confirmed by the backing up action after
that.
Phase boundaries.
So this is very important.
This is something that I was looking at in all of your homework today.
So let's go through this. How do we define the boundaries?
So let's talk about the boundary between phase A and phase B.
Well, what do we have to see there? So we want to...
identify a secondary test as the conclusion of phase A.
And then it's around this area, this is where we would be looking for the
reversal.
Once we identify this reversal, this is where we're going to put the boundary
between phase A and phase B. So why would we do it like this?
Well, obviously we want to include all of the points of phase A, which is
preliminary supply.
silent climax, automatic rally, secondary test.
And then we want to identify the ending of secondary test.
And secondary test is just a reaction.
So we want to find the reversal of a downswing
that acts as a secondary test. And once we find this
bar, that's where We're going to put the boundary between
phases A and B.
We're going to do the same with the boundary between phase C
and phase D. And in this case, it's a little bit easier because we do have
another test.
And that test is also just a downswing.
So for this down swing, we're going to look for the reversal.
And the reversal bar is going to be our boundary between phases C and
D. So it's somewhere here.
And then the boundary between phases B and C is the... By
the way, let's just do phase D as well.
right away so kind of the same concept right so backing up action is going to
a reaction so in the reaction we want to to look for the reversal so here it's a
little bit more complex like it was here as well so we see the stopping action
and then we see a minor test so it's out of this minor test that the boundary
would occur we see here a reaction and the test to this reaction so it's out of
the you know that test on the reversal of that test. This is where the boundary
is going to be created.
Now the boundary between phase B and phase C is a little bit more
Because basically we need to understand the intention behind phase C, which is
what? Which is testing.
This is the final test at the support level.
So therefore from this definition, as this is the test, we need to find
the place in phase...
see where the the first attempt to test uh the support level and we usually
look into phase b loads and we are saying okay where is the first time when
loads of phase b were tested so somewhere here in this area so and we
put the boundary exactly on this level where the test has happened for phase b
So this is how we define the boundaries for all of the phases. I really, guys,
would like you to stop here, you know, stop the recording, make some notes,
think about this, maybe take a chart to go through that, and just to think about
how you put in those boundaries.
All right, great.
Let's go to the next slide. So we are at 10 to 5, so we have still...
maybe an hour and 10 minutes.
All right. So say yes if you would like to volunteer.
Who's next?
All right.
Just going to go with the first one, Philip.
You have to unmute yourself.
Philip?
How are you doing?
Do you hear me?
Yes. Just speak up a little bit.
Okay, sorry.
Yeah, closer to the microphone. Okay, great.
All right. Am I pronouncing your name correctly, Philip?
Yeah, thank you. Okay.
So let's look at the first trading range.
What is catching your eye?
Well, probably the selling climax.
Which is where? The large swings.
So let's label this for you. Point number one, point number two,
three, and four.
Okay, which one is the selling climax?
Number two, the first would be the preliminary support, I think.
Okay, so let's start with the preliminary support, selling climax.
So let's go through the logic of this labeling.
So we know that selling climax has to be the stop in action, right? And then
after the stop in action, what should happen next?
Automatic rally.
Next is going to be automatic rally. And automatic rally is going to be
associated with what else?
With what kind of change of behavior, change of character?
I'm kind of giving it out to you, right?
So a change of character, right? Yeah. So a change of character is going to
like what?
Why is it called a change of character? What would we see on this rally that is
going to be so different than what we've seen before?
Well, maybe a bigger price swing than in the rally before and
maybe a little bit of bigger volume.
Okay, great. And specifically maybe in this case, because this is an
accumulation after the downtrend, demand signature is going to go up, right? So
the distance of the rally could increase.
the volume would go up, the demand is going to increase, the upspread is going
to increase, right? So where for the first time do we
see this type of price action and volume action as well?
Well, maybe between one and two.
Yeah, this first rally, right?
From this low to this high?
Yeah. That looks like that rally that you've just described is a change of
character. Why is that?
Well, the distance for the rally has increased, right? Looking at the
attempts to rally, where is it?
Oh, here's one.
Here's another one. And this is the high of that downswing. So this is the
largest reaction to the upside.
Look at the spread.
It's increasing as well. What can we say about the volume signature, by the way,
Philip?
Just looking at the spread itself, what do you think the volume is doing here?
Increasing, hopefully.
Okay, and why do you think it's increasing?
Well, because it looked like there was a fight between where the ending
price will be.
and the difference between the range of the tick of the wicks
and the ending prices, I think. Yes, absolutely.
And what is this fight?
How would we call this fight?
It's the fight of volatility, right? So there is a climactic run to the downside
that increases the supply tremendously.
I mean, we're seeing how...
It's a general capitulation here. It's not institutional. It's not public
capitulation. Everyone is capitulating here.
There is a gap to the downside, big spread to the downside. The first
momentum is to the downside.
So the day on the intraday level is going to look like this.
Previous close.
Maybe open.
I'm sorry. Open is going to be at the low here. So this is open.
And then momentum is going to carry us down first.
That's going to be my first initialized option. Then we're going to have the
rally. And then it's going to carry us to the close of the previous day.
So that's how the action would look like. So supply has increased.
Then demand has increased.
And then supply has increased again.
So there is a lot of volatility during this intraday action.
which brings basically the volume signature increase and then most likely
kind of spike on that day. So therefore, a fight between the buyers and sellers
creates volatility, which volatility and volume is just so connected together,
and increasing the volume suggests that there is a potential increase in
volatility.
Okay, great. So if now...
If this is a change of character, then where is our selling climax and
rally?
Okay. Well, so the selling climax should be the lowest point of this. Okay.
Yeah. Automatic rally. And then the next move to the downside is going to be
what?
Secondary test.
Secondary test. Could the secondary test be a low, low?
Yes, it could be. Yes, it could be. It could be a high low. It could be at the
same level. It could be a low low.
The key is if this is a low low, does the price come back into the trading
or not? Because if it doesn't, then it's not a stopping action. It's just a
continuation of the downtrend.
We could have a low low for the secondary test.
Okay, great.
So this concludes Phase A. What's the intention behind Phase A?
The change of character.
Yes, the change of character and to stop the downtrend from going further down,
right? So stopping the trend and then change the character with which the
unfolds. Okay, phase A. And then what catches your eye next?
Well, the two weeks which are at the bottom of the
range.
Yeah, the two ends are free.
Okay. So kind of like quite a few tests here, right? So smaller test,
bigger test.
So if we would be talking about tests, the magnitude of tests, probably we
say secondary test number one, that was a local test, you know, to
sell in Climax.
Test to sell in Climax.
And then...
These two tests look like the same magnitude, but they are dimension and
which basically tells us that two and three
in the downward distance
that is dimension is a bullish sign.
And then look how high they are relative to the selling climax and relative to.
anything in phase A. So that's an almost like extra bullish sign that we have.
So that's all about bias.
Okay, so that's great.
But then how would we label those two tests?
Yeah, well, I would have trouble distinguishing which will be the test in
I think it should be the last one.
And what's the logic? I mean, this is the correct answer, but what's the logic
behind it?
Well, if in any trading range there should be like three major tests, and
we have no tests after the three, so the last one has to be the test in C.
Yeah, and this is, again, third test is
going to be our phase C.
Second test is going to be phase B. So if this is third test, this is from
the trend should start.
And even though there is already a definition of the higher highs, higher
this is a conventional TA definition of the uptrend.
You know, you could argue with me that we're already in the uptrend here. Yes,
we are, but we're still in the consolidate information. It's just
Then if this is a consolidation and it's just upsloping information, then we
need to identify phase C.
So Philip is talking about the test. This is great. Looks like phase C.
How else could we check and confirm that this is phase C? Well, what happens
next? Where is the actual uptrend that doesn't have the same type of the
reactions that's in the trading range? It's in this area right here.
So here is our kind of like pure uptrend that we were looking for.
So if this is an uptrend, then the low that precedes that uptrend, it would be
phase C.
And it does.
So that's great. Another confirmation that we could have is after phase C,
Philip, what should happen? Which phase?
Phase D.
Phase D. And phase D is going to be associated with the major sign of
and with the major backing up action, right? So we could say that in this
and I forgot who was asking me about that backing up action, that could it
you know, much larger. Well, in this case, If we would extend the resistance
level, you know, we could see how this formation is resting on the resistance
level that has been projected, you know, as an upsloping resistance.
So, yes, this is a major back -and -up action that has its own trading range.
Now, let's quickly talk about alternative labeling here.
You could label this as phase A, and then I've seen that some of you said,
this is a test in phase B, and then this is it.
phase C. Phase B is still the largest among three, so that actually is good.
Then you have a sign of strength in D and a backing up action.
Now, I actually, I'm totally okay with this labeling. Why?
Because if you would be thinking that this is an accumulation and your goal is
going to be to establish a high probability trait, which is going to be
phase C, but in phase D, then you...
kind of opening the position at the same time as the trader who would label it
as phase C and would try, you know, on the elements of strength just to get in
in phase D on the way up.
So for trading purposes, it doesn't really matter.
But I want you guys to kind of understand and see that we have to have
test, second test, third test.
trend is going to start at the lows of phase C and so on and so forth. So there
are quite a few things here that I would be thinking that this labeling is
probably better.
All right, Philippe, what about the second trading range?
What is the most obvious thing in this consolidation?
So the first two points, which defines the trading range, probably.
Okay, so I see it like as these two points. What is the first point?
How would we label it?
Buying climax?
Okay, why is this a buying climax?
Well, because it's the end of the uptrend.
But I do not see the... Yeah, and there is a gap between the
last bullish take, so maybe that's... That's one indicator.
Okay, so gap.
What else? What about the spread increase, right?
Look at how the price moved prior to that, and look at this bar right here.
Something is different, the way how it moves now.
Faster. Much faster.
So momentum increase, velocity increase, spread increase, gap to the
upside, and then it stops.
It's a stopping action.
So all of these elements are elements of the climactic action, in this case, the
buying climate.
Okay, well, what's interesting is the next reaction, right? So we see that
there's really not a lot of reaction. That's number one. Secondly, there is
really, after the climactic run, there is no trading range that would define
some kind of...
causality for the price to move down. And that's why the move down is just so
small. This, by the way, is just a preliminary supply.
You know, this range right here.
And it's in these cases where we could say that because there is not a lot of
distributional activity here at the buying climax itself, we could label
move to the downside as a shakeout first.
Or we could label it, you know, so this will be more alternative labeling.
And then a more conventional would be just a regular automatic reaction.
So whatever you guys did, that's fine.
The only thing here is if you're labeling this as a shakeout, a salient
then the next rally is going to be labeled how, Philip?
Automatic reaction.
Rally, okay, and then secondary test. And that would be your phase A.
Okay, in the...
alternatively in the more conventional labeling right so you'll have bind
automatic reaction and then the secondary test and that would conclude
phase a and that would be the only difference I want you guys to see this.
studied this in the previous class. I gave you the slides on the
Some of the reaccumulations are going to have the structure where they're going
to have a distribution range, and we've seen this in the previous slide. Then
the price goes down, so you're going to have a selling climax, and then your
labeling is going to be the same.
And then in another formation where you have a buying climax, and then you have
just a sharp reaction,
that defines the boundary of the range, then you could, in some instances, say
that this is a shakeout, and then you kind of start it over as just a regular
accumulation. So this will be an alternative labeling.
And YN Climax automatic reaction secondary test, this would be
conventional.
Please take notes of this.
because this question repeats itself.
All right. Well, Filip, how would you like to label it? Okay, buying Climax.
Then let's just go with the conventional. Automatic reaction,
phase A.
Okay, so then what is the next thing that catches your eye?
Yeah, and now I'm not sure because if the secondary test is the test to the
upside, I'm not sure what's the...
decline to the support level. But what catches your eye?
Instead of thinking what comes next and the problem associated with the labeling
there, what is catching your eye? And by that I mean, are there any
extremes or extreme behaviors that you see in the trading range that catches
your eye?
Yeah, the nice rally from the top to the bottom of the support.
Okay, let's come back to this later on. What else?
Yeah, and then this rally.
I thought the decline from the secondary tests to the
bottom of the range.
Yeah, this one.
Okay, what about it?
That's the first thing. And yeah, then the last time that happened again.
Okay.
Well, when I ask you guys this question, what catches your eye, obviously I'm
trying for you to identify either extreme behavior or just extremes,
what are the extremes?
The extremes are going to be all this,
right? So these are the extremes.
So like, for instance, this extreme right here, this rally off the low.
What do you think this rally is?
I'm not sure.
Okay, that's fine. So we see what happens after this rally.
We have some kind of backing up action and then a continuation.
to the upside, right? So we are in the uptrend environment right here. So we
leaving the trading range and then we are going into the uptrend. There is
another formation here. But what phase would we be doing this and what kind of
Wyckoff events would conclude the trading range in this manner?
It's probably spring.
Where?
From the beginning of the uptrend.
Give me a timestamp.
September.
Okay, so this one right here?
Yeah. Okay, yeah. So at the low, we probably have a spring. Why is this a
spring, by the way?
Because it's from the support level, and it goes right through
the whole trading range and with increasing speed.
Okay, but then...
Also, a spring is going to be a lower low, right? A spring is going to be a
temporary either attempt or
commitment below the support.
That's how we would look at the spring.
And that's the definition of spring. So look at this, guys.
how this bar is trying to commit to the downside on the intraday basis, does not
commit, only has a tail here on the daily, and then returns quickly back
the trading range.
So it's an upthrust, only reversed, in reverse.
And then it has some kind of local path here.
Okay, great. So which phase is going to have a sprint in it?
The beginning, it's...
In phase C?
Phase C, absolutely. Okay, so if this is phase C, then everything in between
phase A and phase C is phase B.
We want to check that phase B is the largest among the three.
This is where the cause is being created. This is where supply and demand
interacting with the very, very volatile events and behaviors.
Okay, let's come back to...
Phase B really quickly. The test at the support level, how would we label that
in Phase B?
Secondary test? Secondary test, yeah. And then the high that overcomes
resistance points in Phase B.
Sign of strength.
An upthrust action. Upthrust action.
As a minor sign of strength.
And the reason why we're saying a minus sign of strength is because the price
commits significantly to the upside.
It doesn't just commit a little bit.
It just commits quite significantly. Look at three closes above, and then the
price spends so much time above here before it actually commits below.
So that's why a minus sign of strength. Not every rally in phase B are going to
have characteristics of a minus sign of strength. This is going to be more of
the exception rather than a norm.
Okay, great. Can I just quickly ask you, if I have a buying climax,
which is tested by the secondary test, the first one, so the secondary test is
to the upside, can I...
also mark a secondary test as something that tests the support level, like in
the different directions.
Yeah, and that was kind of like my biggest issue with the labeling
that I've seen in the reaccumulation, where basically this sequence
does not make a lot of sense to me.
I would rather...
sequence this in a different way. I would rather say bind climax and then
out type of action and then just say automatic rally and then secondary
But sometimes it doesn't work like this. There is not really enough room for
phase B and then we could see that from the behaviors, what is this rally? It is
a test. It is a test of the climactic action right there.
I saw that in the conventional way, I started thinking that. Okay, so pass at
the resistance, pass at the support.
And phase B is going to be like that.
We also could label even this upthrust right here as a secondary test.
Actually, this whole upthrust action in phase B has been added,
you know, in this course.
We have never used it before.
You know, upthrust always has been associated with three things.
usually has been associated with the distribution.
You know, and Hank kind of like, you know, was always on me about this, you
know, like adding something new to the methodology.
But it made sense to me to do that.
So upthrust was associated first with the upthrust in phase B of the
distribution and then upthrust after distribution in phase C.
It also was associated with the upward thrust.
in the uptrend. And we would use this as a momentum tool, where the momentum
increases or decreases on the rally.
So when I realized that this upthrust right here has the same type of
action as just the regular upthrust and distribution, it made sense to
label this as an upthrust action rather than an upthrust itself.
I'm going to have a slide for you on this.
I think David Wise, Gary Follett, Gary Dayton are much better with
identification of those upfront actions everywhere.
And sometimes when I listen to them or I conduct sessions with them together.
It just kind of amazes me how they see this.
So there is a lot of value in that type of work and that type of knowledge, and
I would highly recommend for those of you who are not familiar with the names
that I've pronounced, go check them out.
I'm actually extremely open to...
cooperation with all of the Wyckoff teachers. You know, for those of you
who are not new, you guys know that I've conducted so many classes with all
three of them, you know, and obviously I like to teach with other teachers, with
other people.
All right. So let's conclude this really quick. So after phase C, the rally up
is going to be what?
Spring.
With Spring, Spring is always going to be a lower load to support.
It's not going to be a rally.
And by the way, I've seen, guys, that some of you would put like Phase C
somewhere here or like a part of the rally.
No, Phase C intention. What is the intention, Philip, for Phase C?
It establishes the new trend and changes the character.
It's the final test.
Final test of supply at the support level.
That's what Phase C is all about.
So it cannot be a rally.
Phase C is basically the test.
Phase C is not the rally. So for those of you who are kind of mistakenly
thinking that Phase C could be a part of the rally, no.
Phase C is the test, and the test only comes in the accumulation as a reaction
and not as a rally.
Okay, so we concluded the sprint. What is the rally that comes after the sprint
in Phase D?
Maybe an upthrust action?
I'm not sure.
Sorry. Quick help here. Write it down, guys. What is this rally?
After phase C and phase D, a sign of strength. That's correct.
A major sign of strength. Okay, and then the reaction after that is going to be
a backing up action. Correct as well.
So that would conclude phase D, but we have a much
bigger formation here. So look at how one formation is on the top of
another. So we are seeing here.
has sell in climax as a stop in action in their original range.
Then we see a buy in climax as a stop in action for the reaccumulation.
And then we're seeing another formation, which is reaccumulation as well, and it
starts also with the buy in climax, but on the higher
magnitude level, that was a major sign of strength that we've just discussed.
So this whole formation here is just basically a major backing
up action that starts with the buying climax, with the stopping action,
and then what would be the first reaction?
How would we label this, Philip?
Automatic reaction.
Automatic reaction. Okay, the next rally.
Secondary test. Secondary test concludes our phase A.
Okay.
Look at the character with which this rally and this reaction moves.
How would we label those? Is this the best rally so far in this smaller
range?
Yeah, it is.
So when would we experience the best rally in the trading range that commits
above the resistance?
sustains that progress, stays above, and then comes exactly to the support level
which acted before as a resistance.
I'm sorry, I'm not sure what you're asking.
Oh, okay. So look at how the spread here on this rally, right, increasing.
So it's much better than what we've seen before.
Here, here, right? So this is the best rally.
in the trading range.
We know that the best rally in the trading range probably is going to be
associated with the change of character, especially on the way out.
And a change of character on the way out is going to happen in which phase? In
phase D. In phase D. And phase D is going to be associated with which wagon
point?
Sign of strength, backing up action. Yes, those are the main... Last point.
last point of support and also sign of strength bar.
Okay, well, we are not concerned about this, too.
But we definitely want to identify a sign of strength rally and the backing
action. So does it look like a sign of strength rally?
Yes, definitely. Yeah, the character...
with which the sign of strength really occurs, is going to be such where the
spread to the upside is increasing, the volume signature is increasing.
And by the definition of the sign of strength, we need a commitment staying
above and then backing up exactly to the level of the support.
So that's exactly what's happening right there.
So this looks like a sign of strength and a backing up action.
If this is a sign of strength in the back -and -up action, then the previous
is what?
It's the test in C.
Excellent. C.
Then everything in between A and C is B.
And then sign of strength rally in the back -and -up action is our phase B.
Okay.
And here it is. Here is our labeling for all three trading ranges with the
changes of character.
with all of these, you know, points that we've discussed.
Philip, okay, so the main task right now for you individually, personally, is
to remember the sequence of all of the Y -configurants that happen in the
trading.
So I want, this is kind of like a very individualized task for you right now.
I'll start with that and then go to the homework, next homework.
All right?
Okay, thank you. Sounds great.
All right, good progress.
So let me see what kind of questions we have on this slide.
Is there any difference between momentum and velocity from lean?
Yeah, there is definitely a big difference between momentum and
is not something that I want to go in right now.
This is more of the advanced studies, and I would prefer to talk about this in
practicum. But, you know, at the minimum, Lim, you could just even
Google definitions on the momentum and velocity, and it doesn't matter that,
know, you're going to get them from, like, physics, but there is a difference
there.
But we'll talk about this in a slightly different context later on.
It's just a big discussion there.
Okay.
How can you tell the difference of the first accumulation and the second? And
what would be that difference, Joe?
You know, what do you mean by the difference when you might be looking for
back -and -up action? Okay.
So I think that the biggest problem here with the back -and -up action is
actually somewhat of a...
not very distinct sign of strength.
Because when we look at this area right here, and especially taking the sale, we
might say that there is not really a commitment to the upside here.
But remember, this already acts as a minus sign of strength.
So if the price is going to come to the same level, that's at the minimum
already a minus sign of strength.
But we have a much better commitment if the...
highest commitment was here, then the highest commitment for the second rally
higher. It just definitely shows that there is not much better commitment,
but a better commitment to the upside.
Now, the next problem that we have here is the backing up action itself.
The backing up action actually looks very normal. There is no increased
spread to the downside that we see here, which is great.
That tells us that supply is going lower.
It actually comes to the level of the buying climax and then stops there and
acts as a spring, comes back into the trading range.
So everything looks normal. And I would be actually initiating my position right
on this bar right here.
This would be my last point, my next to last point of entry here just based
on this. The first one is going to be spring itself.
reversal off the spring, sign of strength bar, and then you have to stop
of the resistance level.
And then the next one is going to be, so this is one, two, three, point number
four, right of the backing up action. So I would be already fully committed into
this position based on how the price has developed at this point of time. And it
still would be profitable, right? So we're profitable right away.
We are profitable throughout this whole formation.
Now, what happens here is here we are losing the momentum, and that suggests
some kind of reaction.
The reaction is actually somewhat healthy. It doesn't prolong for a long
It doesn't have a big difference to the downside.
The spread does not increase significantly, but it's still somewhat
than, let's say, this action right here. It has some gaps to the downside,
actually two of them.
It has some kind of volatility associated with this. So that requires
test. So at this point of time, you know that there's going to be a test of this
area. And you might even just say, if there's going to be a test, then if I
decide to enter somewhere here, it's going to be inefficient.
Why it's going to be inefficient?
Well, just because if the test requires time,
then it's going to take some time.
So therefore, we are waiting for the test of the test.
And it comes on the next reaction.
We see how different this reaction from the previous one. That's going to be our
point of entry number five.
And then from here, I mean, I've talked to Philip and we identified that the
character of this rally is different than anything before.
in this range so therefore a sign of strength and then the back nap action is
kind of shallow so again you could add to the position here you could also add
on this bar so that's number five that's number six number four three
two one and then after that you're going to be thinking that either this or
this is going to be your uh seven and eight So there are quite a few points of
entry. And by the way, for those of you who are campaign investors, and by the
way, we have quite a lot in this class. So I will be pointing those things out a
lot, you know, campaign points of entry.
Look at this. In the original accumulation, you want to enter on the,
this is a high or low, you know, this is your, these are your points of entry
here.
And then this one.
So this is going to be a minus four, minus three, minus two,
minus one.
So those are the points of entry that you're going to have in each of the
trading ranges.
And please note, for the long -term investor, we are campaigning
from one trading range to another.
Our goal is to...
Establish the position at the correct timing with the correct buys.
So here is our regional positions that we're opening. And then open them at the
high price level at the point where phase C is happening and
nothing else.
And then in the next formation, we're doing the same. Phase C and then all of
the other entries in phase D.
So every time you scale in and you increase your position size, you are
this at the higher level and you're doing this in such a way that defines
timing of when the price leaves the trading range.
I mean, obviously, maybe it was an exception of this point of entry.
The goal for the long -term investor and the way how I view my long -term
campaigns.
is to be in the correct stock that is going to have a very prolonged
cyclical move to the upside where I could hold on to this position beyond
gear. That's number one. That's number one goal.
My second goal is to stay in this position until it's done, until this
run is done. So we have to have a significant change of character to
ending of the campaign.
There are certain characteristics to the ending of the campaign that we would be
thinking about.
And also, when I'm in the correct position as a long
-term campaign position, I want to be aggressive with my next points of
because the trend is defined.
And now I just know that it's all up to me to define the correct timing.
on the next stepping stone pre -accumulation range and to define the
entry and to scale in more to create a substantial position.
So when it comes to the conclusion on the climactic run, which is going to be
the terminal climactic run, I have a lot of money there built in as unrealized
gain and I'm going to take the profits at that point of time or scale out.
So when you're right, Be a pig.
Don't be scared.
And, you know, I'm saying be a pig. Obviously, I'm referring to George Soros
specifically his trade in 1992 when he shorted British pound.
So I was reading about this trade and you can get his book and he talks about
this trade.
He exposed his fund to 4 % of risk on this trade.
So, and, you know, working with institutional clients, you know, I might
that 4%, you know, for them could be a substantial risk.
But your source is not a very necessarily kind of like your typical
institutional type.
Here's what I call, and this is very close to me because I trade the same
more of the concentrated portfolio investor.
Whenever he sees opportunity and it works in his favor, he could add to the
position and go beyond your regular risk parameters.
And that's what I'm suggesting here.
You know, if you're at the advanced level and you feel comfortable with all
these concepts and with trading in general, you could be aggressive at
spots with the specific stock, with the specific pattern.
This is a pattern right here.
that could have that type of aggression for us that we could call.
All right, great.
We'll talk more about this later.
As you guys could see, there are quite a few, you know, things that are still
ahead.
Okay. Are cerebral reaccumulation close to...
Each other sign of very strong bullish move yet to come. All of these
reaccumulations are more stacked on top of each other with bias towards upside
from knowledge.
Okay, so I might be misinterpreting the name again.
Mispronouncing.
There is a logic in what is being said here.
It's slightly different as to how I would explain this.
Our first accumulation range is not necessarily a part of the formation that
comes later on, but it has a very logical continuation of
why we have so many trading ranges after the original accumulation.
So think about the original accumulation.
What is happening here?
Why is this?
accumulation, why is this range has this type of structure where we're seeing
higher highs and higher lows?
What do you guys think?
What does this represent?
And what kind of behavior by institutions could be observed through
structure?
Okay, now I'm just saying urgency to buy, lots of value, still establishing a
position from Joe. Yes, all three are correct.
And I would concentrate on the first two.
Because it's an extreme oversold condition that creates
extreme value proposition for institutions.
And this extreme value proposition, both long -term and short -term,
that's what creates that urgent buy.
which we've seen a lot, by the way, lately with the way how the market has
behaving. And in some of the cases, you see a lot of oversold conditions.
And from that oversold condition, you take a stock like Apple
or other leadership type of stocks, and then they decline so
much in such a short period of time, but they're still within the secular
structure of their campaign.
So how do you think institutions are going to look at this? Think about their
fundamental macro perspective.
If a macro money manager thinks that the markets are short,
vulnerable, and weak, but they present an opportunity within the
secular uptrend structure, then he or she is going to come in and just buy
whatever the selection is available to them based on the parameters of their
system.
And that's going to be their goal. The fundamental money managers are going to
do the same. They're going to see some value in the stock like Apple, you know,
and they could say that I'm just based on the fundamentals. I see the value. So
I'm going to come in and buy. So this extreme oversold, extreme value
proposition here creates urgency to buy, you know, at the lows and throughout
all of the rallies.
And that's why, you know, this urgent.
buy -in creates this type of structure.
So then think about what happens next.
Let's say that the CEO bought the position that they needed at this point
time. Because supply drastically went down, the price goes up at this point.
And I would even argue that this move to the upside, and you could go and find
this chart, but this is my assumption here, just looking at how the price
and looking at that CEO has established this position.
CEO is inactive on this rally.
And I doubt that institutional trend followers following hands also are
extremely active. They might be active more at the beginning of the rally, but
then everything else is kind of...
diminishes as we see momentum going down, the spread decreasing, more
moves to the upside.
So we're probably seeing that demand is going down and then the volume signature
in general is going to be lower than in this area right here.
So as they are in the position and they have some profit, what do they do? Well,
they might come in on some...
points of the volatility and, you know, add to the position.
But it's not necessarily going to be a very extreme, you know, big position
they're going to establish.
I would see even more that maybe on the rally like this, we're going to see a
lot of increase of the demand signature. And that's going to be some kind of
value or trend following type of institution that's going to create
this type of the position. And they're just going to say, wow.
This has confirmed the trend.
And then there is some short -term value that I see here. So I'm going to come
in and buy.
But the way how they're buying, they're not buying just one day.
They could be buying multiple days, multiple weeks.
So that's what creates this rally.
So this is just a buying wave in the middle of the trading range by some of
institutions because, again, short -term value.
and long -term value still, and long -term bias.
And then imagine that CO got in right here, and then value
proposition for some of the institutions at this spot, maybe somewhere here.
Then the rest of this move is just going to have the signature where we're going
to still see some consistent signature of the decline.
So something like this, and then decline, decline, decline.
So you're going to have some pockets of volume increase throughout this whole
slide here, but generally your highest volume signature is going to be here.
This is the area where out of the oversold condition there was so much
institutions, and then it's just going to go down.
And it's going to go down like this.
And then just different pockets where locally the volume signature is going to
increase. So CO bought here and then CO is inactive.
And that's unfortunately not exactly how we were taught. We were taught that CO
is operating in each of the trading ranges. And this is not true.
Once they establish the position, you know, and they just go to other stocks
establish positions there.
They might add on the way up, but not necessarily.
It's going to be more a function of other institutions seeing, you know,
establishment of the trend, some short -term value, and then definitely, you
know, just going through this whole thing.
All right.
Sounds good.
What else?
Why are you calling the event last point of support in phase C instead of the
spring right here?
So this is a high or low.
So definitely going to be a last point of support.
You could call this an attempt to spring.
But look at this bar right here. So it comes down, comes below the support. So
it's still a high or low. So that's why.
We could also be calling a spring something that would go below.
more of the local support, so maybe something like this, then we could say
this is a spring relative to this low and still a higher low or less point of
support relative to this low.
Okay, good question.
All right, so let's see where we are. So we have like 20 minutes or so.
All right, so let's talk about identification of phase C.
How do we identify faith? We kind of went through this, and this is just a
shortcut that, again, I've created for myself and for my students.
This is not necessarily in the methodology, and that's why, you know,
started calling these Romanisms.
So I'm okay with this. I'm kind of like, when I say that this is a Romanism, so
you instantly should be thinking, you know, not in the method, something that,
you know, kind of like,
more proprietary to this course, but still it's going to be based on the
of Wyckoff ideas.
So I've talked about three tests at the support level, right? So the first test
is going to be a local test of the climactic action. Second test, in phase
the laws of the saline climax and the secondary test. So in phase B, we're
basically testing the previous tests.
In phase C, At the support level, this is the last test, the final test of the
supply at that support level.
And then our test number four is going to be a back -nup action.
And it kind of is logical to me that the initial tests are going to be at the
support level, and then the last test is going to be at the next value zone.
So they've observed the supply at the lows.
That pushes the price up into the new highs.
In this case, not necessarily new highs, but new highs relative to the highs in
phases A and B. So kind of like in the same zone.
As it comes back to this area, we are going to experience some kind of mean
reversion trade by professionals.
That's going to bring us to the increased supply signature, change of
of the backing up action and therefore we're going to have some kind of test
there so a test is the test number four at this
level that we would say that it's going to be a backup action in phase d and
it's being confirmed it confirms the change of character the conclusion of
formation of the change of character and then once the resumption of this test
happens then we're going to continue with the uptrend Another identification
phase C that is very valuable to us is the second point of fear.
So the points of fear are all going to be discussed within the context of the
sentiment. Our first sentiment, bearish sentiment, that we could find is going
to end there. Therefore, the first point of fear is going to be in phase A. It's
going to be associated with the selling climax.
Why this point of fear develops this way? Well, I think I've mentioned this
times.
We are experiencing a capitulation by
weekends.
And in this instance, it's more of a terminal capitulation.
And therefore, I sometimes call it a general.
that would have both institutions and public behind this capitulation.
And what is a capitulation?
It's just basically panic.
People at this point of time are experiencing a lot of emotional pain
the losses.
And they can't withstand this pain anymore and they're giving up on their
positions and they're saying, get me out at any point of price time, but just
get me out. I cannot bear this anymore.
So therefore, this type of activity is going to be associated with a lot of
selling, and a lot of selling is going to produce technical characteristics as
increasing the momentum, increasing the velocity, increasing the downspread,
increasing the distance to the downside.
that we see increase in the volume signature and specifically increase in
supply signature by weak hands and increase of the demand signature
by strong hands.
So first point of fear.
The second point of fear is not necessarily going to be in phase B.
It could be in phase C. Why is that?
Well, think about the sentiment of weak hands. They just sold here, and then the
price went up. What do you think they feel at this point?
This is definitely a regret that they have.
So what are they going to do?
They're going to buy.
If they're regretful that they didn't hold on to this, and the price went up
like this, they're going to buy here, and they're going to buy here, and
going to buy somewhere here.
Now, if the price goes down in phase B into another test, what do you think
they're going to do now?
They're probably going to say, well, I gave up my position on the selling
climax, and that was a mistake.
So this time, I'm going to hold on to this position.
Have you guys done this?
Well, I definitely have done this before.
I'm just happy I'm not doing this anymore, but that was the sentiment.
That's how we trade when we are amateurs.
We trade on our behaviors, on our emotions.
We cannot control those yet.
So they are holding on to this position, and when the price goes down, they're
still saying it will go up.
And as it goes up, what do they feel?
They feel happiness, right? So they feel happy because the price goes by and
they think that was a good decision to buy here, hold on to the stock, and now
the price is back almost into the same area.
And they feel happy. So they're holding on to the position and they might be
even adding to the position, maybe somewhere at this spot right here.
So imagine what happens next when the price...
gets down and has some kind of, you know, or goes down just a little bit.
What do you think they're going to experience then?
I mean, they've been through this ups and downs, emotional ups and downs, up
the phase C point, and they're so exhausted.
They are extremely exhausted emotionally.
And they're just saying at this point, when the price goes down into phase C
low, they're saying like, get me out.
And this time, they make a promise.
What is that promise, by the way, guys? Could you think of one?
Well, that promise is to never trade this stock again.
Or at least for the time being.
It's an emotional withdrawal from emotional pain that is based on just
inexperience, no knowledge, no skill.
And unfortunately, that's how weak hands, that's their pattern,
that's their cycle.
They will go to the next dog and they will experience the same things over and
over. It could be a different contextual interpretation of the sentiment of how
it happens. But basically, on the very primal level, of how we experience
emotions. It's going to be the same.
So that's why this is going to be the second time where weak
hands are going to capitulate.
Now this is going to be a less of capitulation just because,
and it's going to be more public capitulation.
than institutional. Why? Because institutional weak hands, they are much
learners. They are much more adaptive because if they don't adapt quicker,
they're going to lose their job, they're going to lose their salaries.
Money management is based on the performance matrix.
So if you don't perform, you don't get the money, you don't get the salary, you
don't have a job.
So it's much stricter there than with the public.
So therefore,
institutions hopefully learn much faster, at least what I see, working
and working with the public retail trader. So therefore, the second point
fear is going to be more associated with public than with institutions.
And if that's the case, usually the volume signature on this is going to
increase locally of phase B,
but it's going to decrease
relative to phase A law, relative to selling climax,
where we have both institutions and public capitulating at the same time.
That's a very small nuance, but it's a very, very big point.
Because if you could see this logic through the chart,
And you could understand that with the public capitulating here, going into
phase C, and we're seeing that on the technical picture, the price goes down,
but then quickly comes back.
You might be thinking this is the last time when public capitulates, and where
institutions, the last time at the support level, are actually buying a
meaningful position.
And they add them to the position that they already have.
Therefore, this last...
Public supply is observed at this level, and therefore, what's going to happen
after that? There is only one thing. The price will go up. As supply has been
observed at the support level, those last pieces on last public capitulation
into Phase C, that absorption leads to the rise to the sign
of strength.
And then this is where mean reversion trades happen.
So it's kind of funny, you know, at some point when you understand, you know,
the mechanics of it as to what happens next with weak hands. They said, never,
never, never will I get into this position again, into this stock.
And they are missing this whole rally right here. And once it overcomes and it
becomes a CNBC item.
And everybody is screaming, it's in the uptrend.
They're saying, I got to go in.
So they're establishing the position right here again.
And they're saying, I said that I'm not going to go in into this position, but
this is the time now.
And then the first time the price goes down into the backing up action, they
so already conditioned on all of these reactions and all of this.
you know, attempts to go up and failure, attempts to go up and failure, attempt
to go up and then the beginning of the failure in their rise, what do you think
they're going to do here?
They're going to sell their position again with the loss and they're going to
say, well, now for sure, I'm not going to go into this position. I should write
just, you know, a book for kids about this, you know, just explain to them in
such simplistic terms, you know, how their psychology.
uh you know unfold so they are like uh i'm selling with the loss and now i'm
going to go in into this position and they are missing the whole trip so now
imagine if this is a distribution somewhere here really quickly and then
stop maybe here if this is a distribution they you know on the way up
like what did i do why did i close this position
And then as they go into the next consolidation, which is the
they're seeing a change of character.
So they're seeing what? They're seeing reaction, which creates value for them,
short -term value.
And I'm talking about weekends.
In this case, not just public, but institutions as well.
And they're saying, like, I've got to go in and buy.
So they're buying here.
On the secondary test, they feel great.
On the next reaction to the downside, they're saying, I made this stupid
here at the original accumulation to get out of the position. And every time it
was going up after I got out. So I'm going to hold on to this.
Okay, well, holding on.
And what happens in the distribution?
Obviously not what happened with Apple at this time, but I'm just giving you an
example here.
All right, so they accumulate, they accumulate.
The price goes up into the upthrust.
This becomes a second point of excitement for them.
The first one was on the buying climax. This is where they will be, you know,
buyers as well.
And they are saying like, this time I'm just going to hold on to this.
As the price goes down into this excitement with them adding to the
institutions are going to sell, sell.
sell on the change of character, sell in phase B, sell on the way down, and then
capitulate on the way down. And throughout this whole formation, weak
going to hold on and they're going to capitulate relative to the emotional
that they have that they can withstand and to the knowledge and skill that they
have. So some of them are going to capitulate some way here, and usually
area is going to be associated with the largest volume signature.
And some of them are going to capitulate maybe some way here. So depending on,
you know, the system for institutions and depending on the emotional pain for
the public.
Doug is saying, been there, done that, great description.
Yes, we all have done that.
We all have experienced that pain.
This is the reason why you are in this class.
Going through your emails, reading those, and reading who you are as
right now and who you've been as traders and your inspirations.
The majority of students in this class are here for the right reason.
You guys are trying to figure out how to make money in the market by...
having the knowledge, developing the skill, developing the system, and being
able to control your own behaviors in a different way than how you've done
before or what you're doing right now.
And I'm just showing you how you could interpret the chart in such a way that
would be systematic, logical, and that would elevate your emotional pain
you will know.
at which points you need to act. You will know at which points you need to
in, to get out, to add, to scale out.
It's just going to take some time, but it's going to be valuable.
And that's kind of like the message to all of your emails that I've seen today
from you guys.
All right. I think this is a good point for us to stop.
Right? So it's almost six.
And let's go through the homework.
I'm still going to give you the homework, so let me just do this.
Okay, you should not be able to see anything.
And, okay, now you should be able to see the homework slide.
Okay, so what do we do next? Well, first of all, I would like you to continue
with, you know, if you have a lot of time, And there are some of you who told
me, I'm here to gain as much knowledge from you as possible.
I'm going to do anything to gain that skill.
I'm passionate about this. I have time for this. So for those of you who are
like that, so your task is, so I'm going to put this as an optional task.
Your task is to watch this session again.
Your second task, make notes.
Send those to me.
Your third task is going to be go through
HD homework again.
The one that we've covered.
And kind of go through your chart and then my labeling.
And compare.
And ask yourself one question.
Why?
Why did he label it like this?
So this type of questioning will bring more questions that we could answer
on.
But what it does is it makes you think.
One of the things that I'm also noticing, and I'm not saying this about
group in particular or anybody in particular, but we as people tend to
thinking. You know, we kind of sometimes think that we know everything.
That's not the case. I mean, like, I've been teaching this material for quite
some time. You know, and even some people that say, yeah, I've taken
from this and this. I've read these books. I've read these articles. I know
methodology. They come to this class.
And they feel how much they don't know.
And that's just because the market is much more than anything that we've
started, you know, in our lifetime.
You know, it's just such a complex pattern. It's such a complex, you know,
algorithm and system that we're playing with.
So you have to always be, you know, educating yourself.
And the best...
Education, I think, you know, going through this course is always asking the
question of why.
Why is this happening?
So that's an extremely important question. So this is for those of you
time and who want, you know, more of the,
more assignments, right?
But then for everyone else,
Regular assignment is just going to be the same assignment that we've done with
Home Depot, but on the distribution.
So I'm going to give you the slides with the distributional patterns. You know
that this is a distribution, and then you just have to label this.
Now, I'm also going to give you some slides on the distribution and WICA
and the events and the changes of character in the distribution pattern
So you will have to kind of like go through those slides, read those, read
characteristics, and so on and so forth.
But that's the only homework that I want you to do.
Watching the recording, again, is optional.
I totally understand when somebody emails me and says, well, I've got a
five job. It's very demanding. And then I have a family.
Guys, I totally hear you. And to those of you who are in this situation,
go at your own pace.
You know, you don't have to put so much pressure on yourself right away.
But just listen to the recordings.
That could be one thing to do.
Then if you have time, do the homework, send it to me.
Then if you have more time, well, then rewatch the recording. But if you can't
rewatch the recording, don't worry.
Just go through the course this one time. You will have the recordings after
course. Go through the course again by yourself.
Or you can sign up for the course again at the alumni rate and then go through
the live sessions again with me.
A lot of people, actually. A lot of alumni in this class right now.
Because, again, so much material.
Three hours today and I gave you so much.
I probably have given you over 100 concepts.
You know, those small details that you have to go through. So it just takes
time. So it's all understandable.
So let's look at the slides for this homework.
Here's one.
Callaway Golf.
Netflix.
Apple, Nasdaq,
Alexian Pharmaceutical, and Yahoo.
So Yahoo is going to be your, probably Alexian Pharmaceutical and Yahoo are
going to be the two hardest charts.
Everything else should be quite easy if you follow the schematics.
And then I'm going to give you this material, but we will go through this
material hopefully next time, but this is something that you should be
before you do the homework.
So the like of events, the phases, characteristics of those events,
again, that I want you to go through to remember, and different
schematics on how distribution could unfold.
Again, this is something that we will be covering in the next class.
All right, guys.
Well, that's it for today. Good session.
I would be expecting that the next session is going to be as intense as
one.
So please be prepared that we're going to go to the third hour, to the end of
the third hour, and we're going to finish first the homework on Home Depot.
still very crucial for us to go through that. And then hopefully next class, but
if not, then the class after that, we're going to go through the homework on the
distribution.
And after that, once we conclude our structural analysis, that's when we're
going to switch to supply and demand.
All right.
I'm going to be expecting your emails with your homework.
Good job, everybody, you know, with the homework.
I really liked it. Good job today with all of the volunteers. And you guys have
been writing a lot. I see a lot of comments.
So this is great. This is exactly the way how I want to conduct this class.
This is exactly the... type of interactivity that I want to have with
that, happy trading for this week. I'll see you next Monday. Thank you, guys.
Bye -bye.
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