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Hi and welcome back and in this video I want to talk about trading with the
trend and why a lot of people get this wrong. So there are two main reasons
people get this wrong. The first is that they are concentrating on a lower time
frame and therefore they might be participating in this move here which
appear to be a downward move on a lower time frame but actually when you scale
out you can see it's very clearly just the pullback of the upward move so
there are a lot of cells within this move itself you can if you get in too
down the move get caught in a trade that's going to hit a stop loss because
is due to go back up again so that is why it is very very important to be
of market structure on higher time frames
In addition to that, another mistake that people often make is that they will
not zoom out far enough. So let me just show you what I mean by this. We look at
a 30 minute chart.
Obviously, on a 30 minute chart, you've got a very limited amount of data.
So you may look at this and think, oh, well, we're clearly in a down move here.
But actually, if you scroll out, what you'll see is that, yes, we are in a
temporary down move, but actually.
that pull down move is just the retrace or the pullback of this upward move.
And so with that in mind, it is important to make sure that you are
timeframes above the one that you're trading to make sure that if you are
trading counter trend, that you're only going to trade it to an area that is
realistic. Because the chances are, if you're trading an upward trend
in a sell, that you're going to get stopped out because at some point that's
going to continue so as i was saying this is currently an upward trend but
it is a downward pullback of an upward trend so when we've talked about you
supply and demand zones what you can do is to come onto your chart on your
higher time frames and say okay where potentially could this end
So we take some rectangles. Obviously, there's going to be a zone here, which
you can see that price is currently wicked into and rejected. So it could be
that price is going to start and turn around again and go up. What you've also
got is another area down here.
So as part of the current swing leg on the daily chart, we have two potential
zones that could.
create a turnaround in price and continue that uptrend obviously if it
this low here then potentially it could be starting to swap to a
bearish market however right now we're still within bullish structure we're
doing a bit of a retrace so if we were trading cells we would want these areas
marked up so that we knew that potentially when price reaches these
there could be another turnaround to the upside so you can use those as exits
within your cells so supply and demand isn't only useful for entries it's also
useful for you to know the limitations of your counter trend trades that's
important to bear in mind.
So let's say that you had got into a sell move, you'd met some criteria here
you'd got into a sell move up here and you were selling and selling and selling
and all of a sudden you see that price comes down to this zone and it's tested
it once here and came out of it and then it's wicked out of it a second time.
It's probably not worth staying in that trade because it's now starting to give
you signals that it doesn't particularly want to stay in that area.
And that doesn't mean to say that it won't, but it is starting to give you...
you some information and right now that is all of the information we have so
it's a case of you know reading what the market's telling you it doesn't always
work out we're not always going to get it right but if you were in a sell trade
here because of a lower time frame trend downwards then you might think actually
it's time to exit that trade it doesn't particularly like this area that could
be an area to create a turnaround back to the upside That's where I'll exit my
trade. So the reason that most people get the trend wrong is that they're
on lower timeframes and therefore they are looking at a trend on say 15
minute like this, but actually not realizing that that is part of an upward
trend or they are only looking at a small section of price. So for example,
you were to come onto your daily chart and let's just say that none of this has
happened yet.
and you kind of looked at this you could say oh well price is coming down it's
just made a low high clearly it is in a downward move but actually if you scroll
out farther you can see the bigger picture of what's going on so those are
two tips when it comes to establishing your trend mark your structure out make
sure that you're checking the higher time frames and i would even go so far
the weekly chart possibly even the monthly chart to so that you can see
what's happening and make sure that you're looking at a big snapshot of the
market not just the small area of it so I hope that that's been helpful and I'll
see you in another video
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