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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:05,200 Hello everyone and welcome to the first session of project risk management. 2 00:00:05,780 --> 00:00:10,160 In this session, we will build a broad understanding of what risk means in 3 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:14,640 projects, why managing risk is important, and we will take an initial 4 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:18,080 some of the tools and strategies we will be using throughout this course. 5 00:00:25,620 --> 00:00:29,720 In this part of session one, we will focus on the basic concepts of risk 6 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:34,760 management. We'll explore what risk really means, how it relates to 7 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:38,760 and why every project naturally involves some level of risk. 8 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:43,440 This understanding will form the foundation for everything we will cover 9 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:44,440 course. 10 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:51,040 And before we dive into today's content, please take a moment to watch this 11 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:51,959 short video. 12 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:56,560 It is a fun and engaging way to introduce some of the key concepts we 13 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,940 discussing today about the risk management. 14 00:00:59,580 --> 00:01:04,180 you can access this video by clicking on the link provided on this slide or 15 00:01:04,180 --> 00:01:09,760 simply go to the related page on canvas and watch the video once you're done we 16 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:16,620 will move forward with exploring some of the main ideas together now that you 17 00:01:16,620 --> 00:01:21,660 watch the video it's time to talk a little bit more about risk Risk is 18 00:01:21,660 --> 00:01:27,140 officially defined as an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, can 19 00:01:27,140 --> 00:01:32,160 provide a negative or even positive impact on one or more project 20 00:01:32,460 --> 00:01:37,020 That's why every project inherently involves risk, because outcomes are 21 00:01:37,020 --> 00:01:38,020 fully predictable. 22 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:44,040 Uncertainty is simply the lack of complete knowledge about issues, events, 23 00:01:44,300 --> 00:01:45,860 paths, or solutions. 24 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:53,160 Have you ever wondered if the level of risk increases as projects become more 25 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:54,360 modern and complex? 26 00:01:54,980 --> 00:01:58,740 Well, modern projects usually face higher levels of risk. 27 00:01:59,340 --> 00:02:04,440 They tend to be more complex, subject to more frequent change, and operate in 28 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:05,900 fast evolving environments. 29 00:02:06,340 --> 00:02:11,660 On top of that, they often have to perform with limited funding, staffing, 30 00:02:11,660 --> 00:02:14,720 equipment, making risk management even more critical. 31 00:02:17,710 --> 00:02:22,990 As a project moves forward through its lifecycle, the number of newly 32 00:02:22,990 --> 00:02:24,130 risks decreases. 33 00:02:24,450 --> 00:02:29,490 However, cost of addressing any risks that do emerge becomes higher. 34 00:02:29,890 --> 00:02:35,090 That's why identifying risks early in the project is key to saving time, 35 00:02:35,170 --> 00:02:36,170 and effort. 36 00:02:37,630 --> 00:02:40,150 And now let's talk about risk and information. 37 00:02:40,650 --> 00:02:43,710 Risk and information are inversely related. 38 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:48,700 At the start of a project, when we have limited information, the risk is higher. 39 00:02:48,900 --> 00:02:53,680 As we gather more data and understanding over time, risks tend to decrease. 40 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:58,140 Risk management helps bridge that initial information gap. 41 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:05,340 Now let's look at some of those real -world examples and explore the risks 42 00:03:05,340 --> 00:03:06,900 can threaten their objectives. 43 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:12,380 In a bridge construction project, typical risks include delays in 44 00:03:12,380 --> 00:03:18,060 permits, Bad weather disrupting construction, increasing in material 45 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:23,420 safety hazards for workers, and design changes that are usually requested by 46 00:03:23,420 --> 00:03:26,700 client during the execution or even after execution. 47 00:03:27,780 --> 00:03:33,240 By contrast, in a mobile application development project, risk could include 48 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:37,680 changing customer requirements, unexpected technical problems, 49 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,480 team members being unfamiliar with new technologies. 50 00:03:42,390 --> 00:03:48,010 Delays in delivering prototypes and user dissatisfaction with the final product. 51 00:03:48,310 --> 00:03:53,450 So as you can see, the risk can be different from one project to another 52 00:03:53,450 --> 00:03:59,010 based on the scope and activities that are in those projects. 53 00:04:01,580 --> 00:04:04,740 And what about organizing an international conference? 54 00:04:05,060 --> 00:04:08,860 Do you think that there are risks associated with those types of the 55 00:04:09,060 --> 00:04:11,540 Well, of course, yes. The answer is always yes. 56 00:04:12,100 --> 00:04:18,640 These projects also have some problems like key speaker cancellation at the 57 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:23,760 moment, visa or travel issues for international participants, technical 58 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:29,280 like Internet outage, the outbreak of diseases that could cancel the event. 59 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:35,020 What a low turnout of participants, Bill. That one is the worst one, 60 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:41,240 And how about launching a new production 61 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,880 in a factory? 62 00:04:44,700 --> 00:04:50,180 So risks here might include delays in delivery of machinery, installation and 63 00:04:50,180 --> 00:04:55,800 setup if used, the need of retained staff to use new technology, unexpected 64 00:04:55,800 --> 00:05:00,560 increase in operational costs, and failure to meet the planned production 65 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:01,560 capacity. 66 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:09,380 Now that you have some general insights about different projects and risks that 67 00:05:09,380 --> 00:05:12,660 associate with each of them, let's think about these questions together. 68 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:18,260 Do different projects or industries deal with the same kind of the risks? 69 00:05:18,420 --> 00:05:19,420 Obviously not. 70 00:05:19,700 --> 00:05:24,400 Is it possible to completely prevent the negative consequences of the risks? 71 00:05:24,860 --> 00:05:30,280 And if not, what are strategies or methods can be used in order to manage 72 00:05:30,280 --> 00:05:32,560 effectively and mitigate the outcomes? 73 00:05:33,220 --> 00:05:37,180 Well, that's why we need to increase our knowledge about project risk 74 00:05:37,180 --> 00:05:38,180 management. 75 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:44,880 When it comes to international projects, the risks are even greater and more 76 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:50,380 complicated. This table highlights the top risk factors that can impact 77 00:05:50,380 --> 00:05:55,860 international projects. And as you can see, those risks are categorized into 78 00:05:55,860 --> 00:05:56,860 groups. 79 00:05:57,300 --> 00:05:58,900 Resources, regulations, 80 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:03,540 crisis, insurance, science and health, and digital. 81 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:07,460 Each category presents unique challenges. 82 00:06:08,140 --> 00:06:13,200 such as supply chain disruptions, political transitions, financial crisis, 83 00:06:13,580 --> 00:06:15,440 insurance market instability, 84 00:06:16,420 --> 00:06:20,220 public health threats, and even cybersecurity risks. 85 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:27,100 As a project manager, being aware of these risks can help you better 86 00:06:27,100 --> 00:06:31,140 challenges and prepare more effective risk management strategies. 87 00:06:32,620 --> 00:06:37,060 Additionally, different industries face different types of risks. 88 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:43,600 For example, oil and gas, heavy equipment manufacturing, 89 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:50,080 telecommunications, construction, software, banking, and insurance, each 90 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:54,360 have their own unique challenges that could be different from other 91 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:55,600 challenges. 92 00:06:57,080 --> 00:07:01,060 Alright, now let's focus on the elements of a risk. 93 00:07:01,340 --> 00:07:06,780 Risk can be understood as a product of two factors, the probability of an 94 00:07:07,230 --> 00:07:11,810 That will occur and then the consequence of it if it really happens. 95 00:07:12,250 --> 00:07:18,330 Another way to look at it is a function of hazards and safeguards. There are 96 00:07:18,330 --> 00:07:23,730 hazards of source of potential harm and safeguards are measures taken to prevent 97 00:07:23,730 --> 00:07:25,970 or reduce the impact of those hazards. 98 00:07:28,190 --> 00:07:33,110 Surprisingly, not all risks necessarily lead to negative outcomes. 99 00:07:33,740 --> 00:07:39,300 In some cases, risks, when managed well, they can turn into opportunities that 100 00:07:39,300 --> 00:07:41,460 can positively impact project objectives. 101 00:07:41,860 --> 00:07:47,220 For example, completing a construction project ahead of schedule or using 102 00:07:47,220 --> 00:07:51,860 innovative techniques to lower costs can provide significant benefits. 103 00:07:53,100 --> 00:07:58,400 In the bridge construction project, opportunities might include finishing 104 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:00,600 construction earlier than planned, 105 00:08:01,550 --> 00:08:05,730 And this allows for earlier traffic flow and revenue generation. 106 00:08:06,430 --> 00:08:11,930 Or using new construction techniques could lower material and labor costs and 107 00:08:11,930 --> 00:08:16,150 successfully completing the project could boost the company's public 108 00:08:16,230 --> 00:08:19,010 And all of these are definitely opportunities. 109 00:08:20,110 --> 00:08:25,390 Now, can you think of a few potential opportunities for the other project 110 00:08:25,390 --> 00:08:27,230 examples that we discussed earlier? 111 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:32,659 For instance, what opportunities might arise during mobile application 112 00:08:32,659 --> 00:08:38,220 development project or those for international conference organization 113 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:45,040 There are generally three types of opportunities in projects. 114 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:49,120 First, opportunities that are related to deliverable choices. 115 00:08:49,770 --> 00:08:51,510 like selecting better technology. 116 00:08:51,710 --> 00:08:58,150 And these types of opportunities usually happen due to our choices and decisions 117 00:08:58,150 --> 00:08:59,790 in initiating phase. 118 00:09:00,130 --> 00:09:06,090 Second, opportunities that emerge during planning and execution phases, like 119 00:09:06,090 --> 00:09:09,110 optimizing workflows to save time or cost. 120 00:09:09,430 --> 00:09:13,550 And then finally, the third one belongs to opportunities that come from 121 00:09:13,550 --> 00:09:18,270 uncertainties in project activities, like completing tasks earlier than 122 00:09:18,270 --> 00:09:19,270 expected. 123 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:27,440 Now let's focus on the risk management in PMBOK 6th edition and 7th editions. 124 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:34,540 While the 6th edition focuses more on defined processes, the 7th edition 125 00:09:34,540 --> 00:09:38,520 border view of uncertainty and performance in dynamic environment. 126 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:43,980 We will explore concepts from both editions throughout the course wherever 127 00:09:43,980 --> 00:09:44,980 necessary. 128 00:09:46,990 --> 00:09:52,550 And the seventh edition of PMBOK introduces a broader perspective, 129 00:09:52,550 --> 00:09:57,790 that projects operate in uncertain, complex, and rapidly changing 130 00:09:58,410 --> 00:10:02,830 Managing uncertainty effectively is a key component of modern project risk 131 00:10:02,830 --> 00:10:03,830 management. 132 00:10:04,330 --> 00:10:07,870 Okay, let's focus on project risk management. 133 00:10:08,270 --> 00:10:11,690 Project risk management involves a series of processes. 134 00:10:12,300 --> 00:10:17,480 planning risk management, identifying risks, performing qualitative and 135 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:22,800 quantitative risk analysis, planning risk responses, implementing those 136 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:25,940 responses, and monitoring risks throughout the project. 137 00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:31,480 Together, these steps help ensure risks are managed proactively rather than 138 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:32,480 reactively. 139 00:10:35,980 --> 00:10:39,080 Effective risk management brings many benefits. 140 00:10:39,790 --> 00:10:44,070 It helps lower overall project costs and reduces chaos. 141 00:10:44,690 --> 00:10:50,350 It improves the chance of meeting project objectives, increases project 142 00:10:50,350 --> 00:10:52,150 and management support. 143 00:10:52,570 --> 00:10:57,670 It helps balance high -risk and low -risk projects in an organization. 144 00:10:58,470 --> 00:11:03,410 It strengthens communication within the team and justifies the need for schedule 145 00:11:03,410 --> 00:11:04,690 and budget reserves. 146 00:11:08,270 --> 00:11:13,030 Risk management mainly focuses on schedule and cost -based risks. 147 00:11:13,310 --> 00:11:18,210 However, today's projects, specifically those involving advanced technologies, 148 00:11:18,490 --> 00:11:21,450 have shifted the focus toward technical risks. 149 00:11:21,830 --> 00:11:25,110 Questions like, can we design and build this product? 150 00:11:25,370 --> 00:11:30,450 Or will this technology become outdated soon? Are among those most frequently 151 00:11:30,450 --> 00:11:33,730 questions that usually asked by the project manager. 152 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:41,480 Projective risk management is always preferred over crisis management, but 153 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:43,100 are the differences between these two? 154 00:11:43,580 --> 00:11:48,580 Waiting until a problem becomes a crisis usually means using more resources, 155 00:11:48,860 --> 00:11:52,520 taking longer to recover, and dealing with greater disruption. 156 00:11:52,860 --> 00:11:57,480 That's why early and continuous risk management is so critical to project 157 00:11:57,480 --> 00:11:58,480 success. 158 00:11:59,980 --> 00:12:05,580 Now that we have got our brains warmed up with risk and uncertainty, it is time 159 00:12:05,580 --> 00:12:09,400 to flash back to the definition of uncertainty that we discussed at the 160 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:10,720 beginning of today's lesson. 161 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:16,720 According to the PMBOK 7th edition, uncertainty can be broken down into 162 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:17,720 different aspects. 163 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:22,980 Risk refers to uncertain events that could impact the project, specifically 164 00:12:22,980 --> 00:12:24,220 project outcomes. 165 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:30,440 Ambiguity is about unclear causes or multiple possible outcomes. 166 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:36,700 Complexity arises from dynamic system and human behavior. 167 00:12:37,140 --> 00:12:44,100 And finally, volatility represents rapid and unpredictable change. 168 00:12:44,860 --> 00:12:49,660 Understanding the difference between these aspects can help us manage 169 00:12:49,660 --> 00:12:50,660 more effectively. 170 00:12:54,030 --> 00:12:58,670 okay and i think that should be enough for part a of today's session part b and 171 00:12:58,670 --> 00:13:02,910 c are really easy not that much detail but please make sure that you will take 172 00:13:02,910 --> 00:13:07,090 some time to review the materials that are listed for you here 173 00:13:07,090 --> 00:13:13,950 here are your tasks and activities for this session first make 174 00:13:13,950 --> 00:13:18,760 sure to participate in discussion board one by posting your response Then 175 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:21,420 complete quiz one, which covers the syllabus content. 176 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:26,460 And finally, please watch case study one, which focuses on the Panama Canal 177 00:13:26,460 --> 00:13:31,120 project. These activities will help reinforce the key concepts we've 178 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:32,120 today. 179 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:38,780 And this wraps up our first session's overview of project risk management. 180 00:13:39,220 --> 00:13:44,180 If you have any questions, thoughts, or ideas you'd like to share about what 181 00:13:44,180 --> 00:13:46,900 we've discussed today, feel free to reach out. 182 00:13:47,290 --> 00:13:49,150 thank you very much for watching this video 16922

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