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NARRATOR: Every day, thousands of
Syrians risk their lives trying to
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flee the war that has ravaged their
country for more than a decade.
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With more than six million Syrians
seeking refuge in other
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nations, one of the most devastating
humanitarian crises in modern
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history has unfolded... and one
image perhaps more than any other
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has come to symbolize that crisis.
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In 2015, the body of a
three-year-old Syrian boy,
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Aylan Kurdi, was found
washed-up on a Turkish beach.
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Aylan, his mother and brother had
drowned trying to reach
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Greece from Turkey.
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The image spread around the world,
making the true desperation
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of the Syrian conflict visible.
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- A decade of civil war, an
intervention from multiple
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foreign countries has devastated
Syria, and has had a chilling
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effect upon its civilians.
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- Only the top 2% are living
a good life in Syria.
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- Life in Syria at the moment is
really, really tough for
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ordinary people.
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NARRATOR: But what are the interests
of foreign powers behind this
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war that has devastated
the lives of Syrians?
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- The Syrian war can be seen as a
war against the people,
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against their freewill, against
their vision to have the
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state that they envisage, and
they want themselves.
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And this is not a new order.
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This is a 100 years old war.
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(tense music)
(indistinct radio chatter)
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(crowd ambience)
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NARRATOR: Syria: a country home
to fertile plains, high
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mountains and vast deserts.
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Nestled in Western Asia, the region
is home to some of the oldest
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continuously inhabited
cities in the world.
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After decades of existence under a
French mandate, in 1946,
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Syrian independence was
internationally recognized
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under the government of Arab
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nationalist, Shukri Al-Quwatli.
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The following year, in 1947,
the Ba'ath Party - the
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Arab Socialist Renaissance Party
- was born.
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This was a secular political
grouping steeped in the
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doctrine of pan-Arab
socialist values.
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It coexisted in the 1940s with other
political parties such as the
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National Party, to which
Al-Quwatli belonged, and the
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Syrian National Socialist Party.
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In time, however, it would
out-grow them all.
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During the first years of its
independence, Syria seemed to
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be beginning a new democratic era
crowned by a new constitution.
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But it was short-lived.
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- That was beautiful.
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The sad part is, it was only
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empowered for three years, because
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very quickly, Syria fell into an
endless cycle of military coups.
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NARRATOR: In 1949, a coup d'etat
put an end to the democratic
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government of Shukri Al-Quwatli.
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For the next two decades, political
instability would reign in
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the country.
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- Sadly, there was a lot of elite
struggles during that period
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in Syria. One coup d'etat after the
other, after the other.
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So, we had 11 military
coups in 21 years.
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- The Ba'ath Party had come to
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power initially in 1963, but in
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1966, a left leaning group which
Hafez Al-Assad was part of,
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had taken power, and they had
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orchestrated quite a few
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radical left wing policies
including land redistribution,
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nationalization of industry, and
that was unpopular in many
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quarters, it was seen as too
extreme and too fast.
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Certainly, the most left wing
government that Syria had
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ever experienced.
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NARRATOR: In need of a patron and
protector, Baathist-led Syria sought
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to establish ties with new, hardline
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Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev.
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The support was instantaneous:
Moscow reached out to the
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Syrian government to strengthen the
position of the USSR in the
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Middle East as a bulwark
against US-backed Israel.
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- The Soviet Union, indeed, helped
building the Syrian army,
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equipping, funding the Syrian army
and they tried to build it
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around the Red Army model.
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NARRATOR: The main beneficiary of
this Soviet patronage was
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Syria’s Minister of Defence,
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Hafez al-Assad.
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Throughout the 1960s, as tensions
escalated within the Ba’ath
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party, Al-Assad was carefully
positioning himself to take
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power when the time came.
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The tensions at the top of the
Party finally exploded at the
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beginning of the next decade.
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- In 1970, the most two important
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men in Syria were Nureddin al
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Atassi, the Syrian President,
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and Salah Jadid, the Deputy
Secretary of the Ba'ath party.
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They had a very big fallout with
Hafez Al- Assad, who was back then
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the Minister of Defence, and with
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his Chief of Staff, Mustafa Tlass.
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Assad, although he didn't have the
full control of the Ba'ath
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party, he and Tlass had
control of the army.
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So they launched a military coup
d'etat against Nureddin Atassi.
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They put him and Salah Jadid in
prison with all their allies.
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NARRATOR: The rise of Hafez Al-Assad
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marked the end of the
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Ba’ath Party’s infighting and
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instability within the country.
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He would rule with an iron fist
and establish a network of
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alliances within the army, his
party, and the Syrian wealth
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creators, that would allow him to
remain in power for three decades.
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A strong opposition to his secular
rule began to emerge in the
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shape of The Muslim Brotherhood, a
radical Islamic fundamentalist
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movement with origins in Egypt,
which determined to take a
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stand against apostate secular
regimes in the region.
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In 1976, they took up
arms against Assad.
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- They launched a series of
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events, what they call the
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Muslim Brotherhood uprising,
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and these operations were,
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of course, met by violence by the
civil regime and violence was used
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by both sides against civilians
and against armed factions.
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And the epicentre of this was in
the city of Hama; that was
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culminated with the
massacre of Hama in 1982.
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- A massacre of 10 to 20,000 people
which very much was the moment
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of shift under Hafez Al-Assad;
after this point, a much darker
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Hafez Al-Assad regime emerged, one
where everyone was very aware
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that if you step out of line,
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you could be killed,
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your family could be killed,
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you could be detained,
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life won't be worth living.
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NARRATOR: The regime interrogated
those they thought were
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behind the Brotherhood’s attacks.
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But despite some people falsely
admitting their guilt to try
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and save their families, Assad’s men
would not spare their lives
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and invariably executed entire
families as a warning to any
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who dared to challenge the regime.
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- My grandmother was watching,
she saw all of this with her
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daughter in law and all the other
women in the family and at
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the end, they just killed them all.
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So my grandmother was watching her
husband, her two sons, her
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other relatives just being shot at
and they were all screaming,
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you know, collapsing, but there's
nothing they could do...
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And they were not the only ones.
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There are so many others who just
died because the regime
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couldn't take the idea that
someone could say, ‘No’.
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NARRATOR: Having brutally suppressed
the Muslim Brotherhood in 1980,
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to further cement its hold on power
and ensure a supply of armaments,
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the Al-Assad government signed a
treaty of friendship and cooperation
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with the USSR, further strengthening
its ties with the communist giant.
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As long as it had the patronage of
the Soviet Union, Al-Assad
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could keep his power base together.
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But in 1989 the Berlin Wall fell and
Assad spied an opportunity.
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He began to pivot towards new
friends in the West.
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- He saw the winds of change blowing
and he knew the Soviet Union
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is going to collapse.
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So, he started turning to the west.
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And indeed, the Gulf War was
the opportunity.
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NARRATOR: Supporting the Americans
and sending troops to fight
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alongside them in the 1991
Gulf War, would help the Syrian
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government improve its
relations with Washington.
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But it would be Hafez Al-Assad’s
last roll of the dice.
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With the arrival of a new
millennium, a new era began
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in Syria.
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On the 10th of June 2000, at the age
of 69, Hafez Al-Assad died.
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A month later Bashar Al-Assad, the
dictator's third son, took
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over the Syrian leadership.
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He was the sole candidate
in the election.
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It was a coronation, rather than
anything remotely resembling
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a democratic process.
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But many onlookers were surprised
that the softly-spoken third son
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had supplanted his older brother and
uncle to become his father’s heir.
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Bashar had studied in Damascus and,
in his 20s, went to London to
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specialise in ophthalmology.
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After the death of his eldest
brother, Basil, in a car
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accident in 1994, Bashar came back
to his country and started a
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military and political career.
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The international community believed
that the new president would
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break with his father's
authoritarian tradition.
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He was young, educated, and had
close ties with the West, due
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partly to his studies there and
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partly due to his Anglo-Syrian wife,
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Asma, whom he had met in London and
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married shortly after taking office.
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But those hoping for a more liberal
and enlightened regime in
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Syria were to be disappointed.
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The government of Bashar Al-Assad
repressed all activism for
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political reform.
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- That was because of the realities
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of the old guard still being
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in power, all his father's main
people were still there and
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they all advised him against it.
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And he came to realize that maybe
their approach was better.
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NARRATOR: Following his father’s
example, Bashar Al-Assad
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tightened relations with Russia and
Iran; countries that would
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help guarantee his permanence in
power a decade later.
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Tunis, December 2010.
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A young fruit seller sets himself
on fire in protest at the
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confiscation of his goods and
mistreatment by the authorities.
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(chanting)
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His death sparked a wave of
demonstrations that led
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Tunisian dictator Zine El Abidine
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Ben Ali to resign in January 2011.
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The protests would ignite the fire
of freedom in other Arab
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nations and in February,
long-time Egyptian dictator,
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Hosni Mubarak, was forced to resign.
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Demonstrations spread against
the governments of
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Ali Abdullah Saleh in Yemen and
Muammar Gaddafi in Libya.
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The Arab Spring had begun and the
Syrian government was waiting
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for it to arrive on her shores.
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Secret Syrian government documents,
leaked through a former
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senior official, confirm that
Al-Assad had a strategy ready
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to deal with the protestors.
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- What these documents reveal is
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that the regime's plan was to
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meet protests head on with force
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with the aim to disperse the
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crowds and prevent the sort of
fate that Assad had witnessed
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occur to his fellow strong men in
Tunisia, Egypt and Libya.
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NARRATOR: By the time the protests
arrived, Al-Assad knew what
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00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:27,840
their tactics would be and from
whence the threat would come.
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Al-Assad gave orders to crush the
demonstrations and prevent
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them from reaching
Damascus at all costs.
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But whilst initially successful,
this crackdown would not
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entirely extinguish the
flames of revolution.
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(shouting)
(dramatic music)
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- Eventually, all of this led to
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very genuine spontaneous
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series of uprisings in
Syria in March 2011.
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They started in Daraa, then Homs
echoed that, and then other
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Syrian cities.
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And then in April, they called for
the (speaks Arabic),
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‘the Friday of Anger’.
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(chanting)
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- I was in the country when the
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first deaths were announced
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and I remember thinking, my
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goodness, that is now going
to- that's the turning point.
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Each week that went by more and
more people were shot just for
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peacefully protesting because the
regime was frightened, and
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the only way it knew how to
react was to squash it.
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NARRATOR: Assad was determined to
meet fire with fire and to
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deploy military force at the
least excuse or provocation.
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The killing of demonstrators sparked
the desertion of many members
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of the armed forces, who together
with mercenaries and other
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rebel groups, formed the
Free Syrian Army.
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00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:15,320
Their main objective was to
overthrow al-Assad and they
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00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:19,680
were well supported by allies in the
region and further afield.
241
00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:29,080
The Free Syrian Army began training
in Istanbul, which was the
242
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:33,080
base of the Syrian opposition in
exile, and was advised
243
00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:38,720
by Turkey, Jordan, Saudi Arabia,
Kuwait and Qatar.
244
00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:51,840
- In August 2011, a lot of Western
leaders, most importantly,
245
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:56,480
Obama, Cameron, the French
president, the German, the
246
00:16:56,640 --> 00:17:00,600
head of EU, all of them, including
with the Saudi King, in one day
247
00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:05,920
in an orchestrated move, they came
out and said, Assad lost legitimacy.
248
00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:07,760
He should step down.
249
00:17:09,120 --> 00:17:12,000
NARRATOR: But Bashar Al-Assad’s
government had a powerful
250
00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:17,240
ally, eager to flex his muscles and
to contest American influence
251
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:18,600
in the region.
252
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:24,400
- Bashar Assad turned to the
historical ally, to Russia.
253
00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:28,280
And this time, they found great
opportunity to have a strong
254
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:32,840
comeback to the Middle East, to
institutions they built, they
255
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:34,640
knew more than anyone else.
256
00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:37,360
It was their territory, they
considered Syria as their
257
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:41,440
territory, the country that was
built alongside their model.
258
00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:45,920
And of course, they didn't want this
model to be defeated or to collapse.
259
00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:47,600
- They were unwilling to see their
260
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:49,880
man in Syria overthrown.
261
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:54,560
Syria is a major purchaser
of Russian arms.
262
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:58,200
It's also a key anti American ally.
263
00:17:58,360 --> 00:18:02,080
But particularly important for the
Russians is their strategic
264
00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:06,880
placement of the Tartus naval
base, which is Russia's only
265
00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,360
Mediterranean port and the home
of the Black Sea Fleet.
266
00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:16,240
NARRATOR: In its efforts to crush
the Free Syrian Army, the
267
00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:20,960
Syrian regime was also supported
by Iran and Hezbollah.
268
00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:28,680
- There are key geopolitical reasons
for Iran to want the Assad
269
00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:30,720
regime to remain in power in Syria.
270
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,480
Iran has a major regional rivalry
271
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,280
with Israel.
272
00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:39,840
It has supported the creation of
Hezbollah in Lebanon since
273
00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:46,120
the 1980s, and it uses Hezbollah to
pressure Israel militarily by
274
00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,160
launching attacks on Israel.
275
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,040
Hezbollah gets its rockets and
its weaponries from Iran
276
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:53,240
through Syria.
277
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:57,760
So losing Syria from that supply
line would be absolutely
278
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:02,400
catastrophic for Iran's
relationship with Hezbollah and,
279
00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:07,440
by extension, its ability to put
pressure on Israel.
280
00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,640
NARRATOR: Military support for the
Al-Assad regime meant that,
281
00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:15,320
by February 2012, the death toll in
the conflict had exceeded
282
00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:19,360
7,500 civilians and
continued rising.
283
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,800
- Foreign powers became involved in
284
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,280
the Syrian civil war because
285
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:26,960
in the West, at least, they wanted
286
00:19:27,120 --> 00:19:29,040
to support moderate rebels in
287
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,840
their fight against
President Al-Assad.
288
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:36,600
But when it came down to the broader
intentions in the area, then
289
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,960
you start to see that a
proxy war emerges.
290
00:19:40,120 --> 00:19:44,760
The Russians and the Iranians on one
side supporting Assad, and on
291
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:49,160
the other, you have the Turkish, the
Israelis and the US and their
292
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:53,400
coalition, which is seeking to try
and stop that Russian and
293
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:56,400
Iranian interference in the area.
294
00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:57,560
(shouting)
295
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,280
NARRATOR: With armed opposition
groups multiplying throughout
296
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,880
Syria and foreign powers
becoming more involved in the
297
00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:11,080
conflict, Bashar Al-Assad was facing
his toughest challenge yet.
298
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:20,960
By the second half of 2012, several
of Syria’s main cities were
299
00:20:21,120 --> 00:20:26,720
under siege and Assad’s regime was
under ever greater pressure.
300
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:31,440
Advancing inch by inch, some
opposition factions managed
301
00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:35,920
to take part of Aleppo, the second
most important city in the country
302
00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:41,160
and by far their biggest strategic
gain yet, if they could hold it.
303
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,320
- It looked like they were going
to be very successful.
304
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:49,640
However, they were a newly formed
group, they did not plan as
305
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,400
effectively for capturing
the whole city.
306
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:56,000
And pretty quickly, their lines of
supply ran out and they
307
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,240
weren't able to complete
the conquest.
308
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,720
NARRATOR: The more territory the
opposition gained, the more
309
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:04,520
divided they became.
310
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,720
Lacking a unified leadership or
sense of common purpose,
311
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,000
opposition forces stalled.
312
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:13,680
- As that infighting grew,
313
00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,200
the outside world started to see
314
00:21:16,360 --> 00:21:17,920
the splintering and the fragmenting
315
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,640
as well, then other
funding evaporated.
316
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:26,800
And that, of course, left no
effective opposition to the
317
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:28,560
Assad regime.
318
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:34,080
- In the meantime, the Assad regime
fought back, and they fought
319
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:35,880
the rebels to a standstill.
320
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:39,280
Effectively, what happened at that
point was the city of Aleppo
321
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:40,880
was divided.
322
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:45,240
NARRATOR: At this critical
juncture, another force entered the
323
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:50,600
fray, known for its divisiveness and
brutality, which was every bit
324
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:55,840
as dangerous to the opposition as it
was to the Syrian dictatorship.
325
00:21:56,000 --> 00:22:00,840
ISIS, the Islamic State of Iraq
and Syria, was a branch of
326
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,200
Al-Qaeda born in Iraq.
327
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:10,000
- It's very important to understand
that only nought point naught
328
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,840
nine percent of the Syrian
population joined ISIS.
329
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,480
ISIS has nothing to do with Syria.
330
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:23,160
It's just grown there as the perfect
environment for like a germ
331
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:27,960
put into a dish of agar jelly at
the perfect environment in
332
00:22:28,120 --> 00:22:30,040
which to multiply.
333
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:34,440
And it's used Syria, as that
perfect environment, the lawless
334
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,480
vacuum that it needed to
get started.
335
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,960
NARRATOR: In 2011, with opposition
forces advancing on all
336
00:23:00,120 --> 00:23:04,760
fronts, Bashar Al-Assad made a
highly dangerous and deeply
337
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,160
divisive decision.
338
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:10,960
Into this cauldron of military
conflict, he released
339
00:23:11,120 --> 00:23:15,720
jihadist prisoners from Syrian jails
to play a destabilizing role
340
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,960
against the opposition forces.
341
00:23:19,120 --> 00:23:20,680
- Bashar Al Assad released these
342
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,320
people knowing that they
343
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,000
would cause a bit of dissension and
344
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,760
that would feed his narrative
345
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,920
of all these opposition
people are terrorists.
346
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,880
But I think even he never dreamt
that they would go on to form
347
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:37,760
the monster that became ISIS.
348
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:42,400
Nobody foresaw what would become.
349
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:43,840
NARRATOR: According to US
350
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:49,400
intelligence, ISIS had around 5,000
militants by 2013, many of
351
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:51,680
them foreigners.
352
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,600
The organization chose Raqqa as
their capital, an area
353
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,560
considered by many to be a
provincial backwater in the
354
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:03,680
country but which, in fact, was a
vital strategic resource hub.
355
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:10,560
- ISIS by sitting there in Raqqa on
the Euphrates River, that
356
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:14,840
gave it control of the entire water
network of Syria, with the
357
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:19,600
Assad dam, and all the hydroelectric
power that came with that.
358
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:24,920
So, they had a kind of stranglehold
and Syria’s oil and gas fields are
359
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:29,240
in that part of the country as well,
so they could put a stranglehold
360
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,280
on that, which is how they then
started to sell the regime's
361
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:38,000
own oil and gas to the regime
because they controlled it all.
362
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,080
NARRATOR: The agricultural wealth
of that part of the country
363
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:45,440
meant ISIS had a monopoly on
wheat production, too.
364
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:49,800
Unable to feed its population, the
Assad regime had to turn to
365
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:53,840
Russia for large quantities of
bread and wheat, which took a
366
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,160
further toll on its resources.
367
00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,720
With its grip on the country’s
resources and allegiance to
368
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:06,000
no-one but itself, ISIS became
the enemy of all sides.
369
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:12,800
But, for the moment, they were
not Assad’s main concern.
370
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,720
Instead, he continued to take the
fight to the moderate
371
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,640
opposition groups in central
and northern Syria.
372
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,640
- It did make sense to actually
373
00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:25,440
leave the radical Islamists
374
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,280
alone for a while, while he was
taking on the more moderate
375
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,880
forces, because that would
justify his narrative.
376
00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,160
If he could get rid of the more
moderate forces and the only
377
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,120
people that were left were these
radical Islamists, then he did
378
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,200
have proof that actually he was
fighting a radical Islamist
379
00:25:39,360 --> 00:25:40,600
jihadist organization.
380
00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,760
So, ISIS did certainly serve a
purpose for him.
381
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,520
NARRATOR: With most of the country
devastated, the economy
382
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:52,720
destroyed, poverty widespread and
in the midst of a wave of
383
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,760
violence, the likes of which
they’d never seen before, the
384
00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:01,480
Syrians still had yet to face
their worst nightmare.
385
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:09,920
On the 21st of August 2013, Ghouta,
an area near Damascus controlled
386
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:16,320
by the opposition, was attacked by
government forces with sarin gas.
387
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:21,160
- At least 1,400 people were
killed, many of them civilians,
388
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,840
rather than rebel fighters,
including many children.
389
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,800
When this happened, fingers
immediately pointed to Assad
390
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,840
and everyone said, this must be
Assad who has done this, he's
391
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,280
the one that has the
chemical weapons.
392
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,400
NARRATOR: Assad never acknowledged
responsibility for the
393
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,760
attacks and continued to
blame the opposition.
394
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:44,200
The attack gave the governments of
the United States, France and the
395
00:26:44,360 --> 00:26:48,840
United Kingdom the perfect pretext
to intervene in the conflict.
396
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:54,400
For President Obama in particular,
there was every reason to get
397
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,800
involved in the conflict, to
demonstrate the effectiveness
398
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,960
of his much praised humanitarian
foreign policy.
399
00:27:02,120 --> 00:27:03,760
- I've spoken to the leaders of two
400
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:05,440
of our closest allies, France
401
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:07,280
and the United Kingdom, and we will
402
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:08,920
work together in consultation
403
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,080
with Russia and China to put
forward a resolution at the
404
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,600
UN's Security Council requiring
Assad to give up his chemical
405
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:19,440
weapons and to ultimately destroy
them under international control.
406
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,400
- First, is that there is an
407
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:24,760
international prohibition on
408
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,320
the use of chemical weapons,
409
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,000
they are an illegal weapon of war
410
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,360
and therefore any employment of
them is in itself a war crime.
411
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:35,560
Secondly, however, they triggered a
particular national security
412
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:40,400
response from the United States
known as the 3 Ts Nexus,
413
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,280
a term coined by
414
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,400
Bill Clinton's National Security
415
00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,400
Adviser Anthony Lake in the 1990s.
416
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:51,200
The three Ts are terrorists,
tyrants and technology.
417
00:27:51,360 --> 00:27:54,680
And the idea that once you have a
tyrant unbound by international
418
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:59,640
law, and the will of his people in
control of the technology of
419
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,960
weapons of mass destruction, in
an area where non state
420
00:28:04,120 --> 00:28:07,720
terrorists are functioning, the
ultimate fear of the United States
421
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:12,760
is that that tyrant might provide
that technology to those terrorists.
422
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,680
NARRATOR: The senseless slaughter
of hundreds of innocent
423
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:19,360
civilians through the use of
expressly prohibited chemical
424
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:23,560
weapons should have been more than
sufficient to incite a major
425
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,080
military intervention by the West.
426
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:31,840
Ultimately, however, despite the
tough talk and moral outrage,
427
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,920
America and the West were
found wanting.
428
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:37,440
- They weren't going to repeat those
429
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,560
same mistakes as they saw it
430
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:43,280
of getting involved in
Afghanistan and Iraq.
431
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:49,720
NARRATOR: Instead, without a UN
resolution in place or even
432
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:54,560
the approval of the US Congress,
Obama was forced to fall back
433
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,520
on covert interference by his
intelligence agencies and
434
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:04,600
military to try and achieve his aims
and topple the Assad regime.
435
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:09,440
The US put in place a clandestine
CIA effort codenamed
436
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:11,920
Timber Sycamore.
437
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:17,680
- Timber Sycamore was a multibillion
dollar CIA-Pentagon operation
438
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:22,360
under the Obama administration,
aimed at the vetting and
439
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:27,360
arming and deployment of rebels to
fight both the Assad regime
440
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:31,360
and also to combat the spread of
ISIS that was moving across
441
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:36,320
the border from Iraq and capturing
large swathes of territory in Syria.
442
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:41,080
- Timber Sycamore was approved by
President Obama in 2013.
443
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:46,760
This involved the supply of funds,
of weapons and of training for
444
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,320
those forces so they can continue
to battle and take on Assad.
445
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,480
- But the problem was how to
446
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,480
identify which groups within
447
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:56,560
the Free Syrian Army
448
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,560
deserved support.
449
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:03,720
And it was a genuinely difficult
problem to work out.
450
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,760
NARRATOR: With chemical disarmament
unresolved, tensions between the
451
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:13,280
United States and Russia escalating
and no suitable alternative
452
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:19,120
to the Syrian government in sight,
in September 2013, it was Vladimir
453
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,400
Putin who would make the first move
454
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,320
to try and diffuse the situation.
455
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,080
- What then happened was a slightly
456
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,720
controversial affair whereby
457
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:36,400
a deal was cut between Russia and
America, whereby rather than
458
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:41,800
Assad be attacked as a punishment
for using these chemical weapons.
459
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:45,640
He would agree, under Russian
supervision, to give up his
460
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:51,480
chemical weapons arsenal in exchange
for America not attacking him.
461
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,600
NARRATOR: For Obama this was a
potentially ideal face-saving
462
00:30:55,760 --> 00:31:00,280
solution: it meant that he could
claim a win without having
463
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,120
had to intervene militarily.
464
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,360
For the oppressed Syrian peoples
and their supporters in the
465
00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:12,040
region, however, it was an
unmitigated disaster.
466
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:17,400
- For the other regional powers
involved, it changed their
467
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,320
calculus of what was
happening in Syria.
468
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,280
For a lot of countries like Turkey
and Qatar and Saudi Arabia,
469
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:28,920
who for a long time had supported
the anti-Assad opposition on the
470
00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:33,080
presumption that eventually America
would come in to topple Assad
471
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:36,560
in the same way they had topped
Gaddafi in Libya and Saddam Hussein
472
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:40,400
in Iraq, they realized actually
Americans weren't going to come.
473
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:41,880
And that changed their approach.
474
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:44,920
They began supporting slightly more
radical groups, for example,
475
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,040
because they hadn't supported them
before because they knew the
476
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:49,880
Americans wouldn't like them.
477
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,760
NARRATOR: Whilst the violence in
Syria was escalating
478
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:58,920
day-by-day, Putin and the Russians
now had the greenlight to
479
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:03,640
funnel arms and support to Assad
to their heart’s content.
480
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:09,720
The fate of the Syrian opposition
and the Free Syrian Army was
481
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:11,760
now sealed.
482
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:15,320
Assad had what he wanted, for now.
483
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,160
But he still had ISIS to deal
with...
484
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:28,360
In June 2014, ISIS declared
itself a caliphate.
485
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,600
Putin’s Russia had helped Assad
destroy the moderate
486
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,680
opposition, but he now needed new
allies to drive out the
487
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,880
Islamic extremists... and
he found them.
488
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:45,280
Three months later, in September
2014, the United States and a
489
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:50,040
coalition of Arab countries came to
the rescue of Assad and began
490
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:54,560
a bombing campaign against their
common enemy: the Islamic State.
491
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:07,480
In May 2015, ISIS outraged the
entire world as it seized the
492
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,200
historic Syrian city of Palmyra.
493
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:15,600
The world watched the cold-blooded
execution of more than 300
494
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:21,440
people and the destruction of the
city’s priceless cultural heritage.
495
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:25,160
As a consequence, another foreign
power entered the conflict
496
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,920
militarily - the United Kingdom.
497
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,600
- The UK's official involvement in
the Syrian war is known as
498
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:37,120
Operation Shader and on paper, this
involves logistical support
499
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:41,600
for American forces and other NATO
allies, as well as airstrikes
500
00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:46,160
conducted by Typhoons and Tornadoes
and remote drone strikes
501
00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:48,680
using the RAF’s Reaper drones.
502
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:52,080
In addition to this, covertly,
British special forces have
503
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:56,800
been operating on the ground in
Syria; but have also been
504
00:33:56,960 --> 00:34:01,360
tracking down jihadi networks and
arms exchanges between the
505
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:05,560
likes of Libya and Tunisia as well.
506
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,400
NARRATOR: For the first time in
history, a British Prime Minister
507
00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:12,200
officially authorized the killing of
508
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:16,000
British citizens on foreign soil.
509
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:19,600
These were British citizens who
had chosen to fight for the
510
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,640
Islamic State.
511
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,680
- The official reason given for
the strike was to pre-empt a
512
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,520
terrorist attack that the two
individuals, both known members
513
00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:34,480
of ISIS, were trying to orchestrate
remotely in British territory.
514
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,040
The controversy comes from the fact
that at that point, Britain
515
00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:41,120
was officially at war in
Iraq, but not in Syria.
516
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:42,600
The problem with this method is that
517
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,720
it lacks transparency, it is
518
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,280
on the fringes of legality and it
519
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,720
also locks the country into a
520
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:54,960
cycle of violence where suspected
threats emerge and lethal
521
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,840
force is used to nullify that.
522
00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:03,040
It's essentially a whack a mole
game that has no clear end.
523
00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:08,320
NARRATOR: The open involvement of
foreign powers in the Syrian
524
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,200
conflict and the dangerous advance
of ISIS in the country,
525
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,680
intensified the fighting between
the remaining factions.
526
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:21,800
After more than four years of civil
war, Syrians still saw no
527
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:26,840
hope of peace and the West’s failure
to act decisively had played
528
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:28,800
into Assad’s hands.
529
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:50,320
In 2015, following the ISIS
siege and massacre at
530
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:55,280
Palmyra, Russia decided to
re-engage in the Syrian conflict.
531
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:59,040
Her munitions and support had
helped Assad gain ground in the
532
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:02,800
fight against the moderate
opposition and the Free Syrian Army.
533
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:04,000
(chanting in Arabic)
534
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,720
But Putin had been happy to let
America and the West take the
535
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:13,440
lead in the fight against ISIS.
536
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:17,840
Now, however, he decided the moment
was right to re-enter the
537
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:22,520
fray to ensure Russia’s post war
influence in the region.
538
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:26,280
He ordered airstrikes on
opposition-held areas and
539
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:30,440
despite having publicly pledged not
to put boots on the ground,
540
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:34,080
the Russians instead sponsored
mercenary groups to go and
541
00:36:34,240 --> 00:36:37,440
fight alongside Assad’s
forces and Hezbollah.
542
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,600
- The Wagner Group are not quite
543
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,680
your textbook military
544
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,880
contractors or private military
545
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:46,680
contractors, PMCs.
546
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:51,280
PMCs are all about doing a nation
state's bidding for them and
547
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,400
being brought in to perhaps help
with some behind the scenes
548
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:58,920
and logistics work or in some cases
to take on a frontline fight.
549
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:02,800
But when it comes down to the Wagner
group, well you start to see
550
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,720
how directly linked they are to the
Russian state, to Russian
551
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,160
intelligence and to the fulfilment
of Russian
552
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,640
national security objectives.
553
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,520
Put simply, wherever you see the
Wagner group, you see Russian
554
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:17,120
state interests.
555
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,480
NARRATOR: The retrieval of
Palmyra from ISIS by Syrian
556
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:26,200
government forces in March 2016,
assisted by the Wagner Group
557
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:30,320
and Russian airstrikes, turned the
eyes of the world on to Putin
558
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:34,720
as he staged an extraordinary and
flagrant demonstration of
559
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:36,960
Russian influence in the region.
560
00:37:38,640 --> 00:37:40,280
- And from that moment,
561
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,520
he really succeeded, Putin,
562
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:46,120
in taking charge
of the Syrian narrative.
563
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,560
And he was seen at that stage,
obviously, by Bashar Al Assad
564
00:37:49,720 --> 00:37:51,640
in particular, as the
saviour of Syria.
565
00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:57,200
NARRATOR: With Russian help, the
Assad regime was regaining
566
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:01,040
nearly all its lost territory and
consolidating its control
567
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,360
over most of the country.
568
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:07,920
And in doing so, they managed to
relegate America and the West
569
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,920
to bit-part players, who had been
suckered in to fight ISIS and
570
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:17,280
the Islamic extremists whom Assad
had released from his own prisons.
571
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:24,600
Obama and the West had been well and
truly played by Putin and Assad.
572
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:31,200
In Aleppo, the fighting
went on for years.
573
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,120
- At one point it did look as if
574
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:35,280
the rebels were going to be
575
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:37,400
successful, at the points when
576
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:38,600
the Assad regime was at its
577
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:44,240
weakest in 2013, 2014, the rebels
did make a push to capture
578
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:48,600
all of Aleppo, including
the western half.
579
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:53,000
And for a long time the western half
was effectively cut off from
580
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:55,000
the rest of Assad controlled Syria.
581
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:59,120
But eventually the tide was
turned, and ultimately Assad
582
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:05,200
was able to recapture all of Aleppo
and expel the rebels from the
583
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:09,520
eastern half. And this was done with
considerable help from the outside,
584
00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:14,840
from Russia, from Iran, and from the
Lebanese militia Hezbollah, and
585
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:21,000
by the end of 2016, all of Aleppo
was recaptured by the Assad regime.
586
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,960
NARRATOR: By the time the fighting
finally ended, the country's
587
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:31,920
previously second largest city and
economic heartbeat lay in
588
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:36,560
ruins, with more than 35,000
buildings destroyed.
589
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:46,360
After Obama's departure from power
at the beginning of 2017,
590
00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:48,960
the new US President Donald Trump
591
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:50,760
announced the cancellation of
592
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:55,520
the covert program in Syria
implemented by his predecessor.
593
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,920
He declared that the main US
objective defeating the
594
00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:03,000
Islamic State had been achieved
and that it was now time to
595
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:06,240
retreat and leave the country
to rebuild itself.
596
00:40:08,240 --> 00:40:13,720
In 2018, Washington's new stance on
Syria and Russian support for
597
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:18,080
Al-Assad allowed the regime to
recapture Damascus and its
598
00:40:18,240 --> 00:40:22,360
strategic suburbs for the
first time in 7 years.
599
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:28,160
Even without having neutralized
the opposition entirely, the
600
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:31,080
Assad regime is trying to make a
start on the country’s
601
00:40:31,240 --> 00:40:36,680
reconstruction, a titanic task in an
impoverished country, which
602
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:40,560
lies in ruins and whose
spirit is broken.
603
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:44,960
Despite the aid offered by the
international community,
604
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:49,240
Syria still does not have enough
resources to recover after
605
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:51,560
more than ten years of war.
606
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,960
The fighting has displaced more
than six million people
607
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:02,040
internally, and another six million,
a third of whom at least are
608
00:41:02,200 --> 00:41:05,520
children, have moved to neighbouring
countries, where they live in
609
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:07,880
camps in precarious conditions.
610
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:11,800
- Syria has been, if you like,
611
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,880
a refuge state where so many
612
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:19,360
people, other people have come to
find sanctuary in Syria and
613
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:23,520
it's one of those awful ironies of
history that now Syria finds
614
00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:27,920
itself, you know, half the
population displaced and so
615
00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:31,960
many refugees forced out and
regarded as a pariah state.
616
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:38,720
NARRATOR: The crimes and horrors
of the Assad regime have
617
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:44,360
resulted in a humanitarian disaster
of an unimaginable scale.
618
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:48,600
The pain and suffering of the
Syrians continue unabated to
619
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:53,720
this day. And even after all the
horrors the Syrian people
620
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:58,080
have endured, they are left with the
same political dictatorship that
621
00:41:58,240 --> 00:42:02,080
they had when the war started.
622
00:42:02,240 --> 00:42:07,160
- Right now, we have nothing, we
have absolutely nothing.
623
00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:08,960
The economy is in the ruins.
624
00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:10,760
There is no electricity,
625
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:13,040
most families, including upper
626
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:16,640
middle class, can't even put bread
on the table for their children.
627
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:21,920
So there is daily, daily, permanent
suffering, there isn't one
628
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:23,200
place to escape.
629
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:28,040
- Over half the population
displaced, a third of the
630
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:33,800
housing stock destroyed, 90% of the
population below the poverty line.
631
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,520
It was not as bad as that
before the revolution.
632
00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:43,960
- Strategically and tactically,
the other nations that are
633
00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:45,600
involved have achieved their goals.
634
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:47,360
Russia has maintained its
635
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,120
Mediterranean naval base,
636
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:53,040
the United States dismantled the
core territory
637
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:55,280
of the ISIS organization.
638
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:58,400
Although it still exists there, it
no longer has a clear safe
639
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,760
haven from which it can
regularly project attacks.
640
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:07,800
Iran was able to ensure that its
ally, Syria, did not become a
641
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:09,240
pro-American democracy.
642
00:43:10,240 --> 00:43:14,160
And Hezbollah was able to train and
recruit additional recruits
643
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:18,360
and prepare itself for further
conflict with Israel.
644
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:21,360
Ultimately, however, caught in the
midst of this, are the people
645
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:25,560
of Syria who have suffered and will
continue to suffer at the
646
00:43:25,720 --> 00:43:28,160
costs of these other nations' games.
647
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,960
- The society is very weak.
648
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:38,520
A very weak society means very, very
little hope for a better future.
649
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:16,080
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