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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:03,280 --> 00:00:07,280 NARRATOR: Every day, thousands of Syrians risk their lives trying to 2 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:11,200 flee the war that has ravaged their country for more than a decade. 3 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,720 With more than six million Syrians seeking refuge in other 4 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:23,320 nations, one of the most devastating humanitarian crises in modern 5 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:28,840 history has unfolded... and one image perhaps more than any other 6 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,520 has come to symbolize that crisis. 7 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:37,640 In 2015, the body of a three-year-old Syrian boy, 8 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:41,680 Aylan Kurdi, was found washed-up on a Turkish beach. 9 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,760 Aylan, his mother and brother had drowned trying to reach 10 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,240 Greece from Turkey. 11 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,720 The image spread around the world, making the true desperation 12 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,160 of the Syrian conflict visible. 13 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,200 - A decade of civil war, an intervention from multiple 14 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:02,480 foreign countries has devastated Syria, and has had a chilling 15 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:04,400 effect upon its civilians. 16 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:11,520 - Only the top 2% are living a good life in Syria. 17 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:16,920 - Life in Syria at the moment is really, really tough for 18 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:18,800 ordinary people. 19 00:01:18,960 --> 00:01:22,320 NARRATOR: But what are the interests of foreign powers behind this 20 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,960 war that has devastated the lives of Syrians? 21 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:31,240 - The Syrian war can be seen as a war against the people, 22 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,360 against their freewill, against their vision to have the 23 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,280 state that they envisage, and they want themselves. 24 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:38,760 And this is not a new order. 25 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:41,640 This is a 100 years old war. 26 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,320 (tense music) (indistinct radio chatter) 27 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:52,760 (crowd ambience) 28 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:21,240 NARRATOR: Syria: a country home to fertile plains, high 29 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,920 mountains and vast deserts. 30 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:28,200 Nestled in Western Asia, the region is home to some of the oldest 31 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:31,480 continuously inhabited cities in the world. 32 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:43,160 After decades of existence under a French mandate, in 1946, 33 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:46,360 Syrian independence was internationally recognized 34 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:48,120 under the government of Arab 35 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,520 nationalist, Shukri Al-Quwatli. 36 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:56,160 The following year, in 1947, the Ba'ath Party - the 37 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,640 Arab Socialist Renaissance Party - was born. 38 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,880 This was a secular political grouping steeped in the 39 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:05,800 doctrine of pan-Arab socialist values. 40 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:11,680 It coexisted in the 1940s with other political parties such as the 41 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,040 National Party, to which Al-Quwatli belonged, and the 42 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,640 Syrian National Socialist Party. 43 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:21,800 In time, however, it would out-grow them all. 44 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,640 During the first years of its independence, Syria seemed to 45 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:31,840 be beginning a new democratic era crowned by a new constitution. 46 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:34,280 But it was short-lived. 47 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:35,720 - That was beautiful. 48 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:37,680 The sad part is, it was only 49 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:39,760 empowered for three years, because 50 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:45,000 very quickly, Syria fell into an endless cycle of military coups. 51 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:50,640 NARRATOR: In 1949, a coup d'etat put an end to the democratic 52 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,440 government of Shukri Al-Quwatli. 53 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,200 For the next two decades, political instability would reign in 54 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:58,560 the country. 55 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:02,240 - Sadly, there was a lot of elite struggles during that period 56 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:06,160 in Syria. One coup d'etat after the other, after the other. 57 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:11,160 So, we had 11 military coups in 21 years. 58 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:12,720 - The Ba'ath Party had come to 59 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,840 power initially in 1963, but in 60 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:20,920 1966, a left leaning group which Hafez Al-Assad was part of, 61 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,040 had taken power, and they had 62 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,040 orchestrated quite a few 63 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:29,160 radical left wing policies including land redistribution, 64 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,240 nationalization of industry, and that was unpopular in many 65 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,680 quarters, it was seen as too extreme and too fast. 66 00:04:34,840 --> 00:04:37,040 Certainly, the most left wing government that Syria had 67 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,720 ever experienced. 68 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:44,200 NARRATOR: In need of a patron and protector, Baathist-led Syria sought 69 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:46,760 to establish ties with new, hardline 70 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,160 Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev. 71 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:53,960 The support was instantaneous: Moscow reached out to the 72 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,400 Syrian government to strengthen the position of the USSR in the 73 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:01,720 Middle East as a bulwark against US-backed Israel. 74 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:06,120 - The Soviet Union, indeed, helped building the Syrian army, 75 00:05:06,280 --> 00:05:09,840 equipping, funding the Syrian army and they tried to build it 76 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:14,440 around the Red Army model. 77 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:17,840 NARRATOR: The main beneficiary of this Soviet patronage was 78 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:19,960 Syria’s Minister of Defence, 79 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:22,120 Hafez al-Assad. 80 00:05:22,280 --> 00:05:26,240 Throughout the 1960s, as tensions escalated within the Ba’ath 81 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:30,400 party, Al-Assad was carefully positioning himself to take 82 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:32,440 power when the time came. 83 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:37,520 The tensions at the top of the Party finally exploded at the 84 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,160 beginning of the next decade. 85 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,800 - In 1970, the most two important 86 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:46,840 men in Syria were Nureddin al 87 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:48,240 Atassi, the Syrian President, 88 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:53,000 and Salah Jadid, the Deputy Secretary of the Ba'ath party. 89 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:58,440 They had a very big fallout with Hafez Al- Assad, who was back then 90 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:00,240 the Minister of Defence, and with 91 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,160 his Chief of Staff, Mustafa Tlass. 92 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:08,040 Assad, although he didn't have the full control of the Ba'ath 93 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:10,720 party, he and Tlass had control of the army. 94 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,720 So they launched a military coup d'etat against Nureddin Atassi. 95 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:19,880 They put him and Salah Jadid in prison with all their allies. 96 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,040 NARRATOR: The rise of Hafez Al-Assad 97 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:24,360 marked the end of the 98 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:26,040 Ba’ath Party’s infighting and 99 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:28,280 instability within the country. 100 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:31,840 He would rule with an iron fist and establish a network of 101 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:35,960 alliances within the army, his party, and the Syrian wealth 102 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:41,520 creators, that would allow him to remain in power for three decades. 103 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:48,360 A strong opposition to his secular rule began to emerge in the 104 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:52,640 shape of The Muslim Brotherhood, a radical Islamic fundamentalist 105 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,720 movement with origins in Egypt, which determined to take a 106 00:06:56,880 --> 00:07:00,600 stand against apostate secular regimes in the region. 107 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:04,960 In 1976, they took up arms against Assad. 108 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:08,840 - They launched a series of 109 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:11,120 events, what they call the 110 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:12,800 Muslim Brotherhood uprising, 111 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:14,560 and these operations were, 112 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:20,360 of course, met by violence by the civil regime and violence was used 113 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:26,000 by both sides against civilians and against armed factions. 114 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,920 And the epicentre of this was in the city of Hama; that was 115 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:35,520 culminated with the massacre of Hama in 1982. 116 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:42,440 - A massacre of 10 to 20,000 people which very much was the moment 117 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:49,200 of shift under Hafez Al-Assad; after this point, a much darker 118 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:53,560 Hafez Al-Assad regime emerged, one where everyone was very aware 119 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,040 that if you step out of line, 120 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:56,440 you could be killed, 121 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:57,680 your family could be killed, 122 00:07:57,840 --> 00:07:59,000 you could be detained, 123 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:00,480 life won't be worth living. 124 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:04,880 NARRATOR: The regime interrogated those they thought were 125 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:07,160 behind the Brotherhood’s attacks. 126 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,760 But despite some people falsely admitting their guilt to try 127 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:15,800 and save their families, Assad’s men would not spare their lives 128 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:20,840 and invariably executed entire families as a warning to any 129 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:23,960 who dared to challenge the regime. 130 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:27,280 - My grandmother was watching, she saw all of this with her 131 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,480 daughter in law and all the other women in the family and at 132 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:32,720 the end, they just killed them all. 133 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:37,560 So my grandmother was watching her husband, her two sons, her 134 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:42,160 other relatives just being shot at and they were all screaming, 135 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:44,640 you know, collapsing, but there's nothing they could do... 136 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:46,120 And they were not the only ones. 137 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:50,600 There are so many others who just died because the regime 138 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:56,000 couldn't take the idea that someone could say, ‘No’. 139 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:02,520 NARRATOR: Having brutally suppressed the Muslim Brotherhood in 1980, 140 00:09:02,680 --> 00:09:07,760 to further cement its hold on power and ensure a supply of armaments, 141 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:12,280 the Al-Assad government signed a treaty of friendship and cooperation 142 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:17,800 with the USSR, further strengthening its ties with the communist giant. 143 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:23,400 As long as it had the patronage of the Soviet Union, Al-Assad 144 00:09:23,560 --> 00:09:25,880 could keep his power base together. 145 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:35,600 But in 1989 the Berlin Wall fell and Assad spied an opportunity. 146 00:09:36,680 --> 00:09:40,520 He began to pivot towards new friends in the West. 147 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:45,480 - He saw the winds of change blowing and he knew the Soviet Union 148 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:47,040 is going to collapse. 149 00:09:47,200 --> 00:09:49,360 So, he started turning to the west. 150 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,280 And indeed, the Gulf War was the opportunity. 151 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,240 NARRATOR: Supporting the Americans and sending troops to fight 152 00:09:56,400 --> 00:10:00,680 alongside them in the 1991 Gulf War, would help the Syrian 153 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:04,080 government improve its relations with Washington. 154 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,760 But it would be Hafez Al-Assad’s last roll of the dice. 155 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,920 With the arrival of a new millennium, a new era began 156 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,040 in Syria. 157 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:26,440 On the 10th of June 2000, at the age of 69, Hafez Al-Assad died. 158 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:34,680 A month later Bashar Al-Assad, the dictator's third son, took 159 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,200 over the Syrian leadership. 160 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,920 He was the sole candidate in the election. 161 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:43,520 It was a coronation, rather than anything remotely resembling 162 00:10:43,680 --> 00:10:45,280 a democratic process. 163 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,880 But many onlookers were surprised that the softly-spoken third son 164 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:54,920 had supplanted his older brother and uncle to become his father’s heir. 165 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:05,080 Bashar had studied in Damascus and, in his 20s, went to London to 166 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:07,080 specialise in ophthalmology. 167 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:12,120 After the death of his eldest brother, Basil, in a car 168 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:17,440 accident in 1994, Bashar came back to his country and started a 169 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:19,560 military and political career. 170 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:26,240 The international community believed that the new president would 171 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:30,120 break with his father's authoritarian tradition. 172 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:34,920 He was young, educated, and had close ties with the West, due 173 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:36,960 partly to his studies there and 174 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,840 partly due to his Anglo-Syrian wife, 175 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:42,320 Asma, whom he had met in London and 176 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:44,360 married shortly after taking office. 177 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:49,440 But those hoping for a more liberal and enlightened regime in 178 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,480 Syria were to be disappointed. 179 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:56,920 The government of Bashar Al-Assad repressed all activism for 180 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:58,760 political reform. 181 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:00,680 - That was because of the realities 182 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:03,480 of the old guard still being 183 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:08,880 in power, all his father's main people were still there and 184 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,280 they all advised him against it. 185 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:16,240 And he came to realize that maybe their approach was better. 186 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,840 NARRATOR: Following his father’s example, Bashar Al-Assad 187 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:26,080 tightened relations with Russia and Iran; countries that would 188 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:30,400 help guarantee his permanence in power a decade later. 189 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:51,720 Tunis, December 2010. 190 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,520 A young fruit seller sets himself on fire in protest at the 191 00:12:55,680 --> 00:12:58,840 confiscation of his goods and mistreatment by the authorities. 192 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:00,000 (chanting) 193 00:13:01,560 --> 00:13:05,200 His death sparked a wave of demonstrations that led 194 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:07,520 Tunisian dictator Zine El Abidine 195 00:13:07,680 --> 00:13:11,120 Ben Ali to resign in January 2011. 196 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:18,240 The protests would ignite the fire of freedom in other Arab 197 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:22,120 nations and in February, long-time Egyptian dictator, 198 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:25,240 Hosni Mubarak, was forced to resign. 199 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,440 Demonstrations spread against the governments of 200 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:35,360 Ali Abdullah Saleh in Yemen and Muammar Gaddafi in Libya. 201 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:43,080 The Arab Spring had begun and the Syrian government was waiting 202 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:45,520 for it to arrive on her shores. 203 00:13:48,680 --> 00:13:52,240 Secret Syrian government documents, leaked through a former 204 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:57,000 senior official, confirm that Al-Assad had a strategy ready 205 00:13:57,160 --> 00:13:59,400 to deal with the protestors. 206 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:02,280 - What these documents reveal is 207 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:03,920 that the regime's plan was to 208 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,800 meet protests head on with force 209 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:08,640 with the aim to disperse the 210 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:12,640 crowds and prevent the sort of fate that Assad had witnessed 211 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:17,400 occur to his fellow strong men in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya. 212 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:23,000 NARRATOR: By the time the protests arrived, Al-Assad knew what 213 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:27,840 their tactics would be and from whence the threat would come. 214 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:32,400 Al-Assad gave orders to crush the demonstrations and prevent 215 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:36,000 them from reaching Damascus at all costs. 216 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:41,440 But whilst initially successful, this crackdown would not 217 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:43,920 entirely extinguish the flames of revolution. 218 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:45,520 (shouting) (dramatic music) 219 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:54,280 - Eventually, all of this led to 220 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:56,640 very genuine spontaneous 221 00:14:56,800 --> 00:15:02,240 series of uprisings in Syria in March 2011. 222 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:06,160 They started in Daraa, then Homs echoed that, and then other 223 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:07,360 Syrian cities. 224 00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:11,960 And then in April, they called for the (speaks Arabic), 225 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,160 ‘the Friday of Anger’. 226 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:16,920 (chanting) 227 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:24,320 - I was in the country when the 228 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,280 first deaths were announced 229 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:28,680 and I remember thinking, my 230 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,240 goodness, that is now going to- that's the turning point. 231 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:37,280 Each week that went by more and more people were shot just for 232 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:40,560 peacefully protesting because the regime was frightened, and 233 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:45,560 the only way it knew how to react was to squash it. 234 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:51,400 NARRATOR: Assad was determined to meet fire with fire and to 235 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:55,920 deploy military force at the least excuse or provocation. 236 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:03,560 The killing of demonstrators sparked the desertion of many members 237 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,320 of the armed forces, who together with mercenaries and other 238 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:11,040 rebel groups, formed the Free Syrian Army. 239 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:15,320 Their main objective was to overthrow al-Assad and they 240 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:19,680 were well supported by allies in the region and further afield. 241 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:29,080 The Free Syrian Army began training in Istanbul, which was the 242 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:33,080 base of the Syrian opposition in exile, and was advised 243 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:38,720 by Turkey, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar. 244 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:51,840 - In August 2011, a lot of Western leaders, most importantly, 245 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:56,480 Obama, Cameron, the French president, the German, the 246 00:16:56,640 --> 00:17:00,600 head of EU, all of them, including with the Saudi King, in one day 247 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:05,920 in an orchestrated move, they came out and said, Assad lost legitimacy. 248 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:07,760 He should step down. 249 00:17:09,120 --> 00:17:12,000 NARRATOR: But Bashar Al-Assad’s government had a powerful 250 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:17,240 ally, eager to flex his muscles and to contest American influence 251 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:18,600 in the region. 252 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:24,400 - Bashar Assad turned to the historical ally, to Russia. 253 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:28,280 And this time, they found great opportunity to have a strong 254 00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:32,840 comeback to the Middle East, to institutions they built, they 255 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:34,640 knew more than anyone else. 256 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:37,360 It was their territory, they considered Syria as their 257 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:41,440 territory, the country that was built alongside their model. 258 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:45,920 And of course, they didn't want this model to be defeated or to collapse. 259 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:47,600 - They were unwilling to see their 260 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:49,880 man in Syria overthrown. 261 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:54,560 Syria is a major purchaser of Russian arms. 262 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:58,200 It's also a key anti American ally. 263 00:17:58,360 --> 00:18:02,080 But particularly important for the Russians is their strategic 264 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:06,880 placement of the Tartus naval base, which is Russia's only 265 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,360 Mediterranean port and the home of the Black Sea Fleet. 266 00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:16,240 NARRATOR: In its efforts to crush the Free Syrian Army, the 267 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:20,960 Syrian regime was also supported by Iran and Hezbollah. 268 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:28,680 - There are key geopolitical reasons for Iran to want the Assad 269 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:30,720 regime to remain in power in Syria. 270 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,480 Iran has a major regional rivalry 271 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,280 with Israel. 272 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:39,840 It has supported the creation of Hezbollah in Lebanon since 273 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:46,120 the 1980s, and it uses Hezbollah to pressure Israel militarily by 274 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,160 launching attacks on Israel. 275 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,040 Hezbollah gets its rockets and its weaponries from Iran 276 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:53,240 through Syria. 277 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:57,760 So losing Syria from that supply line would be absolutely 278 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:02,400 catastrophic for Iran's relationship with Hezbollah and, 279 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:07,440 by extension, its ability to put pressure on Israel. 280 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,640 NARRATOR: Military support for the Al-Assad regime meant that, 281 00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:15,320 by February 2012, the death toll in the conflict had exceeded 282 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:19,360 7,500 civilians and continued rising. 283 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,800 - Foreign powers became involved in 284 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,280 the Syrian civil war because 285 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:26,960 in the West, at least, they wanted 286 00:19:27,120 --> 00:19:29,040 to support moderate rebels in 287 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,840 their fight against President Al-Assad. 288 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:36,600 But when it came down to the broader intentions in the area, then 289 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,960 you start to see that a proxy war emerges. 290 00:19:40,120 --> 00:19:44,760 The Russians and the Iranians on one side supporting Assad, and on 291 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:49,160 the other, you have the Turkish, the Israelis and the US and their 292 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:53,400 coalition, which is seeking to try and stop that Russian and 293 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:56,400 Iranian interference in the area. 294 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:57,560 (shouting) 295 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,280 NARRATOR: With armed opposition groups multiplying throughout 296 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,880 Syria and foreign powers becoming more involved in the 297 00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:11,080 conflict, Bashar Al-Assad was facing his toughest challenge yet. 298 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:20,960 By the second half of 2012, several of Syria’s main cities were 299 00:20:21,120 --> 00:20:26,720 under siege and Assad’s regime was under ever greater pressure. 300 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:31,440 Advancing inch by inch, some opposition factions managed 301 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:35,920 to take part of Aleppo, the second most important city in the country 302 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:41,160 and by far their biggest strategic gain yet, if they could hold it. 303 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,320 - It looked like they were going to be very successful. 304 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:49,640 However, they were a newly formed group, they did not plan as 305 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,400 effectively for capturing the whole city. 306 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:56,000 And pretty quickly, their lines of supply ran out and they 307 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,240 weren't able to complete the conquest. 308 00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,720 NARRATOR: The more territory the opposition gained, the more 309 00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:04,520 divided they became. 310 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,720 Lacking a unified leadership or sense of common purpose, 311 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,000 opposition forces stalled. 312 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:13,680 - As that infighting grew, 313 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,200 the outside world started to see 314 00:21:16,360 --> 00:21:17,920 the splintering and the fragmenting 315 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,640 as well, then other funding evaporated. 316 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:26,800 And that, of course, left no effective opposition to the 317 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:28,560 Assad regime. 318 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:34,080 - In the meantime, the Assad regime fought back, and they fought 319 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:35,880 the rebels to a standstill. 320 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:39,280 Effectively, what happened at that point was the city of Aleppo 321 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:40,880 was divided. 322 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:45,240 NARRATOR: At this critical juncture, another force entered the 323 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:50,600 fray, known for its divisiveness and brutality, which was every bit 324 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:55,840 as dangerous to the opposition as it was to the Syrian dictatorship. 325 00:21:56,000 --> 00:22:00,840 ISIS, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, was a branch of 326 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,200 Al-Qaeda born in Iraq. 327 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:10,000 - It's very important to understand that only nought point naught 328 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,840 nine percent of the Syrian population joined ISIS. 329 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,480 ISIS has nothing to do with Syria. 330 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:23,160 It's just grown there as the perfect environment for like a germ 331 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:27,960 put into a dish of agar jelly at the perfect environment in 332 00:22:28,120 --> 00:22:30,040 which to multiply. 333 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:34,440 And it's used Syria, as that perfect environment, the lawless 334 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,480 vacuum that it needed to get started. 335 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,960 NARRATOR: In 2011, with opposition forces advancing on all 336 00:23:00,120 --> 00:23:04,760 fronts, Bashar Al-Assad made a highly dangerous and deeply 337 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,160 divisive decision. 338 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:10,960 Into this cauldron of military conflict, he released 339 00:23:11,120 --> 00:23:15,720 jihadist prisoners from Syrian jails to play a destabilizing role 340 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,960 against the opposition forces. 341 00:23:19,120 --> 00:23:20,680 - Bashar Al Assad released these 342 00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,320 people knowing that they 343 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,000 would cause a bit of dissension and 344 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,760 that would feed his narrative 345 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,920 of all these opposition people are terrorists. 346 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,880 But I think even he never dreamt that they would go on to form 347 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:37,760 the monster that became ISIS. 348 00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:42,400 Nobody foresaw what would become. 349 00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:43,840 NARRATOR: According to US 350 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:49,400 intelligence, ISIS had around 5,000 militants by 2013, many of 351 00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:51,680 them foreigners. 352 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,600 The organization chose Raqqa as their capital, an area 353 00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,560 considered by many to be a provincial backwater in the 354 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:03,680 country but which, in fact, was a vital strategic resource hub. 355 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:10,560 - ISIS by sitting there in Raqqa on the Euphrates River, that 356 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:14,840 gave it control of the entire water network of Syria, with the 357 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:19,600 Assad dam, and all the hydroelectric power that came with that. 358 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:24,920 So, they had a kind of stranglehold and Syria’s oil and gas fields are 359 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:29,240 in that part of the country as well, so they could put a stranglehold 360 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,280 on that, which is how they then started to sell the regime's 361 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:38,000 own oil and gas to the regime because they controlled it all. 362 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,080 NARRATOR: The agricultural wealth of that part of the country 363 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:45,440 meant ISIS had a monopoly on wheat production, too. 364 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:49,800 Unable to feed its population, the Assad regime had to turn to 365 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:53,840 Russia for large quantities of bread and wheat, which took a 366 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,160 further toll on its resources. 367 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,720 With its grip on the country’s resources and allegiance to 368 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:06,000 no-one but itself, ISIS became the enemy of all sides. 369 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:12,800 But, for the moment, they were not Assad’s main concern. 370 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,720 Instead, he continued to take the fight to the moderate 371 00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,640 opposition groups in central and northern Syria. 372 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,640 - It did make sense to actually 373 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:25,440 leave the radical Islamists 374 00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,280 alone for a while, while he was taking on the more moderate 375 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,880 forces, because that would justify his narrative. 376 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,160 If he could get rid of the more moderate forces and the only 377 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,120 people that were left were these radical Islamists, then he did 378 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,200 have proof that actually he was fighting a radical Islamist 379 00:25:39,360 --> 00:25:40,600 jihadist organization. 380 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,760 So, ISIS did certainly serve a purpose for him. 381 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,520 NARRATOR: With most of the country devastated, the economy 382 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:52,720 destroyed, poverty widespread and in the midst of a wave of 383 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,760 violence, the likes of which they’d never seen before, the 384 00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:01,480 Syrians still had yet to face their worst nightmare. 385 00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:09,920 On the 21st of August 2013, Ghouta, an area near Damascus controlled 386 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:16,320 by the opposition, was attacked by government forces with sarin gas. 387 00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:21,160 - At least 1,400 people were killed, many of them civilians, 388 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,840 rather than rebel fighters, including many children. 389 00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,800 When this happened, fingers immediately pointed to Assad 390 00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,840 and everyone said, this must be Assad who has done this, he's 391 00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,280 the one that has the chemical weapons. 392 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,400 NARRATOR: Assad never acknowledged responsibility for the 393 00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,760 attacks and continued to blame the opposition. 394 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:44,200 The attack gave the governments of the United States, France and the 395 00:26:44,360 --> 00:26:48,840 United Kingdom the perfect pretext to intervene in the conflict. 396 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:54,400 For President Obama in particular, there was every reason to get 397 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,800 involved in the conflict, to demonstrate the effectiveness 398 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,960 of his much praised humanitarian foreign policy. 399 00:27:02,120 --> 00:27:03,760 - I've spoken to the leaders of two 400 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:05,440 of our closest allies, France 401 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:07,280 and the United Kingdom, and we will 402 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:08,920 work together in consultation 403 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,080 with Russia and China to put forward a resolution at the 404 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,600 UN's Security Council requiring Assad to give up his chemical 405 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:19,440 weapons and to ultimately destroy them under international control. 406 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,400 - First, is that there is an 407 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:24,760 international prohibition on 408 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,320 the use of chemical weapons, 409 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,000 they are an illegal weapon of war 410 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,360 and therefore any employment of them is in itself a war crime. 411 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:35,560 Secondly, however, they triggered a particular national security 412 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:40,400 response from the United States known as the 3 Ts Nexus, 413 00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,280 a term coined by 414 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,400 Bill Clinton's National Security 415 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,400 Adviser Anthony Lake in the 1990s. 416 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:51,200 The three Ts are terrorists, tyrants and technology. 417 00:27:51,360 --> 00:27:54,680 And the idea that once you have a tyrant unbound by international 418 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:59,640 law, and the will of his people in control of the technology of 419 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,960 weapons of mass destruction, in an area where non state 420 00:28:04,120 --> 00:28:07,720 terrorists are functioning, the ultimate fear of the United States 421 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:12,760 is that that tyrant might provide that technology to those terrorists. 422 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,680 NARRATOR: The senseless slaughter of hundreds of innocent 423 00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:19,360 civilians through the use of expressly prohibited chemical 424 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:23,560 weapons should have been more than sufficient to incite a major 425 00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,080 military intervention by the West. 426 00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:31,840 Ultimately, however, despite the tough talk and moral outrage, 427 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,920 America and the West were found wanting. 428 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:37,440 - They weren't going to repeat those 429 00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,560 same mistakes as they saw it 430 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:43,280 of getting involved in Afghanistan and Iraq. 431 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:49,720 NARRATOR: Instead, without a UN resolution in place or even 432 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:54,560 the approval of the US Congress, Obama was forced to fall back 433 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,520 on covert interference by his intelligence agencies and 434 00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:04,600 military to try and achieve his aims and topple the Assad regime. 435 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:09,440 The US put in place a clandestine CIA effort codenamed 436 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:11,920 Timber Sycamore. 437 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:17,680 - Timber Sycamore was a multibillion dollar CIA-Pentagon operation 438 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:22,360 under the Obama administration, aimed at the vetting and 439 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:27,360 arming and deployment of rebels to fight both the Assad regime 440 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:31,360 and also to combat the spread of ISIS that was moving across 441 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:36,320 the border from Iraq and capturing large swathes of territory in Syria. 442 00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:41,080 - Timber Sycamore was approved by President Obama in 2013. 443 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:46,760 This involved the supply of funds, of weapons and of training for 444 00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,320 those forces so they can continue to battle and take on Assad. 445 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,480 - But the problem was how to 446 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,480 identify which groups within 447 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:56,560 the Free Syrian Army 448 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,560 deserved support. 449 00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:03,720 And it was a genuinely difficult problem to work out. 450 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,760 NARRATOR: With chemical disarmament unresolved, tensions between the 451 00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:13,280 United States and Russia escalating and no suitable alternative 452 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:19,120 to the Syrian government in sight, in September 2013, it was Vladimir 453 00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,400 Putin who would make the first move 454 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,320 to try and diffuse the situation. 455 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,080 - What then happened was a slightly 456 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,720 controversial affair whereby 457 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:36,400 a deal was cut between Russia and America, whereby rather than 458 00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:41,800 Assad be attacked as a punishment for using these chemical weapons. 459 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:45,640 He would agree, under Russian supervision, to give up his 460 00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:51,480 chemical weapons arsenal in exchange for America not attacking him. 461 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,600 NARRATOR: For Obama this was a potentially ideal face-saving 462 00:30:55,760 --> 00:31:00,280 solution: it meant that he could claim a win without having 463 00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,120 had to intervene militarily. 464 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,360 For the oppressed Syrian peoples and their supporters in the 465 00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:12,040 region, however, it was an unmitigated disaster. 466 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:17,400 - For the other regional powers involved, it changed their 467 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,320 calculus of what was happening in Syria. 468 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,280 For a lot of countries like Turkey and Qatar and Saudi Arabia, 469 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:28,920 who for a long time had supported the anti-Assad opposition on the 470 00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:33,080 presumption that eventually America would come in to topple Assad 471 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:36,560 in the same way they had topped Gaddafi in Libya and Saddam Hussein 472 00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:40,400 in Iraq, they realized actually Americans weren't going to come. 473 00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:41,880 And that changed their approach. 474 00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:44,920 They began supporting slightly more radical groups, for example, 475 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,040 because they hadn't supported them before because they knew the 476 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:49,880 Americans wouldn't like them. 477 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,760 NARRATOR: Whilst the violence in Syria was escalating 478 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:58,920 day-by-day, Putin and the Russians now had the greenlight to 479 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:03,640 funnel arms and support to Assad to their heart’s content. 480 00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:09,720 The fate of the Syrian opposition and the Free Syrian Army was 481 00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:11,760 now sealed. 482 00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:15,320 Assad had what he wanted, for now. 483 00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,160 But he still had ISIS to deal with... 484 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:28,360 In June 2014, ISIS declared itself a caliphate. 485 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,600 Putin’s Russia had helped Assad destroy the moderate 486 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,680 opposition, but he now needed new allies to drive out the 487 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,880 Islamic extremists... and he found them. 488 00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:45,280 Three months later, in September 2014, the United States and a 489 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:50,040 coalition of Arab countries came to the rescue of Assad and began 490 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:54,560 a bombing campaign against their common enemy: the Islamic State. 491 00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:07,480 In May 2015, ISIS outraged the entire world as it seized the 492 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,200 historic Syrian city of Palmyra. 493 00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:15,600 The world watched the cold-blooded execution of more than 300 494 00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:21,440 people and the destruction of the city’s priceless cultural heritage. 495 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:25,160 As a consequence, another foreign power entered the conflict 496 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,920 militarily - the United Kingdom. 497 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,600 - The UK's official involvement in the Syrian war is known as 498 00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:37,120 Operation Shader and on paper, this involves logistical support 499 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:41,600 for American forces and other NATO allies, as well as airstrikes 500 00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:46,160 conducted by Typhoons and Tornadoes and remote drone strikes 501 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:48,680 using the RAF’s Reaper drones. 502 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:52,080 In addition to this, covertly, British special forces have 503 00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:56,800 been operating on the ground in Syria; but have also been 504 00:33:56,960 --> 00:34:01,360 tracking down jihadi networks and arms exchanges between the 505 00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:05,560 likes of Libya and Tunisia as well. 506 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,400 NARRATOR: For the first time in history, a British Prime Minister 507 00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:12,200 officially authorized the killing of 508 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:16,000 British citizens on foreign soil. 509 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:19,600 These were British citizens who had chosen to fight for the 510 00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,640 Islamic State. 511 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,680 - The official reason given for the strike was to pre-empt a 512 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,520 terrorist attack that the two individuals, both known members 513 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:34,480 of ISIS, were trying to orchestrate remotely in British territory. 514 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,040 The controversy comes from the fact that at that point, Britain 515 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:41,120 was officially at war in Iraq, but not in Syria. 516 00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:42,600 The problem with this method is that 517 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,720 it lacks transparency, it is 518 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,280 on the fringes of legality and it 519 00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,720 also locks the country into a 520 00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:54,960 cycle of violence where suspected threats emerge and lethal 521 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,840 force is used to nullify that. 522 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:03,040 It's essentially a whack a mole game that has no clear end. 523 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:08,320 NARRATOR: The open involvement of foreign powers in the Syrian 524 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,200 conflict and the dangerous advance of ISIS in the country, 525 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,680 intensified the fighting between the remaining factions. 526 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:21,800 After more than four years of civil war, Syrians still saw no 527 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:26,840 hope of peace and the West’s failure to act decisively had played 528 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:28,800 into Assad’s hands. 529 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:50,320 In 2015, following the ISIS siege and massacre at 530 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:55,280 Palmyra, Russia decided to re-engage in the Syrian conflict. 531 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:59,040 Her munitions and support had helped Assad gain ground in the 532 00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:02,800 fight against the moderate opposition and the Free Syrian Army. 533 00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:04,000 (chanting in Arabic) 534 00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,720 But Putin had been happy to let America and the West take the 535 00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:13,440 lead in the fight against ISIS. 536 00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:17,840 Now, however, he decided the moment was right to re-enter the 537 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:22,520 fray to ensure Russia’s post war influence in the region. 538 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:26,280 He ordered airstrikes on opposition-held areas and 539 00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:30,440 despite having publicly pledged not to put boots on the ground, 540 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:34,080 the Russians instead sponsored mercenary groups to go and 541 00:36:34,240 --> 00:36:37,440 fight alongside Assad’s forces and Hezbollah. 542 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,600 - The Wagner Group are not quite 543 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,680 your textbook military 544 00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,880 contractors or private military 545 00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:46,680 contractors, PMCs. 546 00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:51,280 PMCs are all about doing a nation state's bidding for them and 547 00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,400 being brought in to perhaps help with some behind the scenes 548 00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:58,920 and logistics work or in some cases to take on a frontline fight. 549 00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:02,800 But when it comes down to the Wagner group, well you start to see 550 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,720 how directly linked they are to the Russian state, to Russian 551 00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,160 intelligence and to the fulfilment of Russian 552 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,640 national security objectives. 553 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,520 Put simply, wherever you see the Wagner group, you see Russian 554 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:17,120 state interests. 555 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,480 NARRATOR: The retrieval of Palmyra from ISIS by Syrian 556 00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:26,200 government forces in March 2016, assisted by the Wagner Group 557 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:30,320 and Russian airstrikes, turned the eyes of the world on to Putin 558 00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:34,720 as he staged an extraordinary and flagrant demonstration of 559 00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:36,960 Russian influence in the region. 560 00:37:38,640 --> 00:37:40,280 - And from that moment, 561 00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,520 he really succeeded, Putin, 562 00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:46,120 in taking charge of the Syrian narrative. 563 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,560 And he was seen at that stage, obviously, by Bashar Al Assad 564 00:37:49,720 --> 00:37:51,640 in particular, as the saviour of Syria. 565 00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:57,200 NARRATOR: With Russian help, the Assad regime was regaining 566 00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:01,040 nearly all its lost territory and consolidating its control 567 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,360 over most of the country. 568 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:07,920 And in doing so, they managed to relegate America and the West 569 00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,920 to bit-part players, who had been suckered in to fight ISIS and 570 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:17,280 the Islamic extremists whom Assad had released from his own prisons. 571 00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:24,600 Obama and the West had been well and truly played by Putin and Assad. 572 00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:31,200 In Aleppo, the fighting went on for years. 573 00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,120 - At one point it did look as if 574 00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:35,280 the rebels were going to be 575 00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:37,400 successful, at the points when 576 00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:38,600 the Assad regime was at its 577 00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:44,240 weakest in 2013, 2014, the rebels did make a push to capture 578 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:48,600 all of Aleppo, including the western half. 579 00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:53,000 And for a long time the western half was effectively cut off from 580 00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:55,000 the rest of Assad controlled Syria. 581 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:59,120 But eventually the tide was turned, and ultimately Assad 582 00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:05,200 was able to recapture all of Aleppo and expel the rebels from the 583 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:09,520 eastern half. And this was done with considerable help from the outside, 584 00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:14,840 from Russia, from Iran, and from the Lebanese militia Hezbollah, and 585 00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:21,000 by the end of 2016, all of Aleppo was recaptured by the Assad regime. 586 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,960 NARRATOR: By the time the fighting finally ended, the country's 587 00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:31,920 previously second largest city and economic heartbeat lay in 588 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:36,560 ruins, with more than 35,000 buildings destroyed. 589 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:46,360 After Obama's departure from power at the beginning of 2017, 590 00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:48,960 the new US President Donald Trump 591 00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:50,760 announced the cancellation of 592 00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:55,520 the covert program in Syria implemented by his predecessor. 593 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,920 He declared that the main US objective defeating the 594 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:03,000 Islamic State had been achieved and that it was now time to 595 00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:06,240 retreat and leave the country to rebuild itself. 596 00:40:08,240 --> 00:40:13,720 In 2018, Washington's new stance on Syria and Russian support for 597 00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:18,080 Al-Assad allowed the regime to recapture Damascus and its 598 00:40:18,240 --> 00:40:22,360 strategic suburbs for the first time in 7 years. 599 00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:28,160 Even without having neutralized the opposition entirely, the 600 00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:31,080 Assad regime is trying to make a start on the country’s 601 00:40:31,240 --> 00:40:36,680 reconstruction, a titanic task in an impoverished country, which 602 00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:40,560 lies in ruins and whose spirit is broken. 603 00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:44,960 Despite the aid offered by the international community, 604 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:49,240 Syria still does not have enough resources to recover after 605 00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:51,560 more than ten years of war. 606 00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,960 The fighting has displaced more than six million people 607 00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:02,040 internally, and another six million, a third of whom at least are 608 00:41:02,200 --> 00:41:05,520 children, have moved to neighbouring countries, where they live in 609 00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:07,880 camps in precarious conditions. 610 00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:11,800 - Syria has been, if you like, 611 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,880 a refuge state where so many 612 00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:19,360 people, other people have come to find sanctuary in Syria and 613 00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:23,520 it's one of those awful ironies of history that now Syria finds 614 00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:27,920 itself, you know, half the population displaced and so 615 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:31,960 many refugees forced out and regarded as a pariah state. 616 00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:38,720 NARRATOR: The crimes and horrors of the Assad regime have 617 00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:44,360 resulted in a humanitarian disaster of an unimaginable scale. 618 00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:48,600 The pain and suffering of the Syrians continue unabated to 619 00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:53,720 this day. And even after all the horrors the Syrian people 620 00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:58,080 have endured, they are left with the same political dictatorship that 621 00:41:58,240 --> 00:42:02,080 they had when the war started. 622 00:42:02,240 --> 00:42:07,160 - Right now, we have nothing, we have absolutely nothing. 623 00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:08,960 The economy is in the ruins. 624 00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:10,760 There is no electricity, 625 00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:13,040 most families, including upper 626 00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:16,640 middle class, can't even put bread on the table for their children. 627 00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:21,920 So there is daily, daily, permanent suffering, there isn't one 628 00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:23,200 place to escape. 629 00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:28,040 - Over half the population displaced, a third of the 630 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:33,800 housing stock destroyed, 90% of the population below the poverty line. 631 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,520 It was not as bad as that before the revolution. 632 00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:43,960 - Strategically and tactically, the other nations that are 633 00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:45,600 involved have achieved their goals. 634 00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:47,360 Russia has maintained its 635 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,120 Mediterranean naval base, 636 00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:53,040 the United States dismantled the core territory 637 00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:55,280 of the ISIS organization. 638 00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:58,400 Although it still exists there, it no longer has a clear safe 639 00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,760 haven from which it can regularly project attacks. 640 00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:07,800 Iran was able to ensure that its ally, Syria, did not become a 641 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:09,240 pro-American democracy. 642 00:43:10,240 --> 00:43:14,160 And Hezbollah was able to train and recruit additional recruits 643 00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:18,360 and prepare itself for further conflict with Israel. 644 00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:21,360 Ultimately, however, caught in the midst of this, are the people 645 00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:25,560 of Syria who have suffered and will continue to suffer at the 646 00:43:25,720 --> 00:43:28,160 costs of these other nations' games. 647 00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,960 - The society is very weak. 648 00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:38,520 A very weak society means very, very little hope for a better future. 649 00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:16,080 Subtitles by Sky Access Services 57779

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