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- It's in a sense risky to try
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to change the entire narrative.
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When I show up for an
appearance, it's like walking
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into the lion's den.
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But because I've done it
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so many times,
I get a good response.
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It depends a little bit
how much time they give me.
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If they give me 45 minutes,
it's a little tougher.
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If they give me an
hour and a half,
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I can almost
convince the whole crowd.
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With two hours,
everybody's pretty comfortable
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with the ideas.
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So much of the public
discourse, it's like we're going
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through life with one
eye shut and one eye open
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and we're only
getting half the picture.
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And then somebody like me comes
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in and says, "Well, let's make
sure we see the full picture."
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For as long back as
I can remember
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there's been this drumbeat
of a narrative.
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When politicians talk
about spending more money
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on healthcare for all,
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inequality, housing,
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or our climate crisis,
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the first question they're
usually confronted with is,
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how in the world could
we possibly spend more?
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We're already trillions
in the hole.
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And people point to the
size of the national debt.
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- We must begin to make some
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payments on our enormous
national debt if we are to avoid
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passing on to our children an
impossible burden of debt.
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- New worries today over
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the exploding federal debt.
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- Already the
national debt is at record high.
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- We wanna lift this crushing
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burden of debt off of our
children and grandchildren.
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- The national debt is
exactly the opposite of what
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the orthodox story tells us.
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- An unconventional economic
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theory is gaining some traction.
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Modern Monetary Theory, MMT.
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- And one of
its leading proponents
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is Professor Stephanie Kelton.
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- One of the
most influential
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and indeed controversial
economists in America today.
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- In conventional wisdom,
surpluses are good,
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deficits are bad.
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- Deficit spending should not
be a feature of our budget.
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- They think of the federal
government like a household.
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Government deficits are
completely different.
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- We must bring
those deficits down.
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If we don't, we will leave
an unconscionable burden
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of national debt
for our children.
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- The government debt is
not a burden on anyone.
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00:03:20,001 --> 00:03:22,904
- We're borrowing trillions
of dollars from China.
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- Does the government
have to borrow dollars?
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No, of course not.
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The federal government is
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where the money comes from.
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- When a fringe economic
theory goes mainstream,
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you better pay attention.
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- Six presidents have
come before you to warn
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of the damage deficits
pose to our nation.
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- We owe it to our children
and grandchildren to act now.
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- To make sure we aren't buried
under a mountain of debt.
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- It is very difficult
to reverse a paradigm.
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- We will address
the catastrophic
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crisis of climate change.
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- How do we pay for
climate mitigation?
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- How are we gonna pay for it?
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- You're asking the
wrong question.
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Finding the money
is the easy part.
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- They don't find the
money they create it.
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- The true story of money is not
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the story that I've been told.
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- That's beautiful.
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I love stuff like this because
how can you have more fun
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on Twitter to be honest?
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I would like to work
on my book project
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and I know that my publisher
would like me working
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on my book project and
spending less time on Twitter,
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but I think I have to engage
in these battle of ideas.
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People don't make
the connection that the
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national debt is nothing
but all these safe assets.
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It's just our savings.
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You could take the national
debt clock that scares everyone
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and just rename it the
US dollar savings clock.
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And I think everybody
would have a very different
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kind of reaction.
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And so I think 95%
of the problems
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that we have getting better
policy is probably down
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to the words we use to describe
what's actually happening.
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- Thanks everyone for coming.
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Tonight we have with us,
Stephanie Kelton.
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She is a professor
at Stony Brook
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She's also an economic advisor
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to the Bernie Sanders campaign.
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You've probably heard
in the news
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about Modern Monetary Theory.
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- Modern Monetary Theory.
- Modern Monetary Theory.
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00:06:26,687 --> 00:06:28,022
- You have this Modern Monetary
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00:06:28,122 --> 00:06:29,389
- What do you think of that idea
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Because it's being bruited
as a way to spend more money
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on infrastructure on
the Green New Deal.
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- What is MMT about
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and why has it
suddenly sort of exploded?
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MMT starts with
the understanding
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that the federal government
is the issuer of the currency.
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- Every dollar that exists was
created by the US government.
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- We issue the US dollar.
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The federal government
can issue more dollars
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at any time it likes.
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00:07:01,722 --> 00:07:03,157
People like Alan Greenspan
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or Ben Bernanke have said the
same things we|re saying.
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- There's nothing to prevent
the federal government
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from creating as much
money as it wants
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and paying it to somebody.
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- We simply use the
computer to mark up the size
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of the account that
they have with the Fed.
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- We won't run out of money.
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00:07:19,874 --> 00:07:21,943
- But usually
the narrative
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goes something like this.
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- A national debt of
$11 trillion dollars
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At what point
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do we run outta money?
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- Well, we're outta money now.
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You know, we're operating
in deep deficits.
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- We're broke. America's broke.
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- The federal government
is broke!
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- We're bankrupting our country.
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- We have no savings account.
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Congress has spent all the money
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- What MMT is trying to say is,
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of course, the US
has its own currency.
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00:07:48,836 --> 00:07:50,504
Of course it can't
run out of money.
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00:07:50,604 --> 00:07:52,840
Of course it can't end up broke.
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00:07:55,409 --> 00:07:58,279
- In her talk, Professor Kelton
will cast a different light
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on the ongoing fueds
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over the budget deficit,
arguing that Democrats
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00:08:02,283 --> 00:08:05,353
and Republicans are both
missing the bigger picture
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00:08:05,453 --> 00:08:07,054
when it comes to
paying for our future.
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Thank you. Thank you very much
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What can we afford?
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If we have all of these
ambitious things
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that we as a nation
might like to do,
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the really important debate
is do we have the resources
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to do it?
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Because the US
government is never going
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to run out of the US dollar.
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- Hi everyone. Thank you
so much for joining us.
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- Congress holds the
power of the purse.
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00:08:31,479 --> 00:08:33,581
They don't need to
come to the rest of us
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to get dollars in order to
be able to spend dollars.
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They're the source
of the US currrency.
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Yeah, in a real sense,
it is as simple as that,
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but you have to be able
to trace through all
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of the implications
of that observation
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and that's where the
story gets much richer.
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- Today, I nominate
Jared Bernstein. An old
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friend who's been with me a
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long time, a brilliant thinker.
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00:09:01,008 --> 00:09:02,209
- White
House economic advisor,
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00:09:02,309 --> 00:09:04,545
Jared Bernstein joins us
now from the White House.
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00:09:04,645 --> 00:09:05,579
- Thanks so much.
164
00:09:06,547 --> 00:09:07,615
The US government can't go
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barnkrupt because we can
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print our own money.
167
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- It obviously begs the question
168
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why exactly are we borrowing
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in a currency that
we print ourselves?
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00:09:17,224 --> 00:09:20,394
I'm waiting for someone
to stand up and say,
171
00:09:20,494 --> 00:09:23,764
"Why do we borrow our own
currency in the first place?"
172
00:09:24,698 --> 00:09:25,766
- Like you said, they
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print the dollar, so why
174
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does the government even borrow?
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- Well, um, the uh,
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- So the, I mean, again,
177
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some of this stuff gets,
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Some of the language
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and concepts are just confusing.
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00:09:43,350 --> 00:09:44,418
I mean, the government
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definitely prints money. And it
182
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definitely lends that money.
183
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which is why, um, the government
184
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definitely prints money
185
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and then it lends that money
186
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by uh, by selling bonds.
187
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Uh, is that what they do?
188
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They, they um
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They yeah they, they um,
190
00:10:01,602 --> 00:10:02,903
They sell bonds.
191
00:10:03,003 --> 00:10:04,638
Yeah, they sell bonds, right?
192
00:10:04,738 --> 00:10:05,473
Since they sell bonds
193
00:10:05,574 --> 00:10:06,407
and people buy the bonds
194
00:10:06,508 --> 00:10:07,374
and lend them the money.
195
00:10:07,475 --> 00:10:10,811
Yeah, so a lot of times,
196
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at least to my ear with MMT,
197
00:10:12,746 --> 00:10:13,914
the language
198
00:10:14,181 --> 00:10:16,750
and the concepts can be kind
of unnecessarily confusing,
199
00:10:16,851 --> 00:10:19,787
but there is no question that
the government prints money
200
00:10:19,887 --> 00:10:22,591
and then it uses that
money to um,
201
00:10:22,690 --> 00:10:24,158
uh...
202
00:10:26,460 --> 00:10:28,696
So, um...
203
00:10:28,796 --> 00:10:31,665
let|s see, uh...
204
00:10:31,765 --> 00:10:35,636
Yeah, they print money and
they use that money to...
205
00:10:35,936 --> 00:10:36,804
Um.
206
00:10:37,572 --> 00:10:39,508
They sell bonds, they borrow.
207
00:10:39,608 --> 00:10:40,774
Um.
208
00:10:40,875 --> 00:10:43,277
Yeah, I guess I|m just,
I can't really talk.
209
00:10:43,377 --> 00:10:44,278
I don't get it.
210
00:10:44,378 --> 00:10:45,980
I don't know what
they're talking about like
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00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:50,885
'cause it's like, the government
clearly prints money.
212
00:10:50,985 --> 00:10:53,622
It does it all the time
and it clearly borrows
213
00:10:53,721 --> 00:10:55,189
otherwise we wouldn't
be having this debt
214
00:10:55,289 --> 00:10:56,591
and deficit conversation.
215
00:10:56,724 --> 00:11:00,027
So I don't think there's
anything confusing there.
216
00:11:03,931 --> 00:11:08,169
- We were always asking
ourselves the question,
217
00:11:08,637 --> 00:11:12,373
do conventional
economists understand
218
00:11:12,473 --> 00:11:19,548
what we're speaking of, but
yet not talking about it?
219
00:11:19,947 --> 00:11:24,151
Or is it that they
actually don't understand?
220
00:11:26,020 --> 00:11:28,355
- I believe some of the
things that are preventing us
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00:11:28,455 --> 00:11:31,825
from taking bolder action
are really just myths
222
00:11:31,926 --> 00:11:34,461
and misunderstandings about
how our monetary system works.
223
00:11:58,953 --> 00:12:00,754
- It's an honor to be here
224
00:12:00,854 --> 00:12:04,959
in the presence of future
Senators and Congresspeople.
225
00:12:05,059 --> 00:12:06,961
I grew up in the Middle East.
226
00:12:07,061 --> 00:12:09,029
This is what the map
looks like in the summer
227
00:12:09,129 --> 00:12:10,931
when they show the
weather forecast.
228
00:12:12,499 --> 00:12:16,270
Within my lifetime, the Middle
East will be uninhabitable
229
00:12:16,370 --> 00:12:18,038
within the summer months,
230
00:12:18,138 --> 00:12:20,040
which means hundreds of millions
231
00:12:20,140 --> 00:12:23,877
of climate refugees will be
moving across the planet.
232
00:12:25,012 --> 00:12:27,815
A Green New Deal was
proposed as an ambitious set
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00:12:27,915 --> 00:12:31,653
of policies to improve
everyday Americans| wellbeing
234
00:12:31,785 --> 00:12:34,421
and prosperity
while we transform
235
00:12:34,522 --> 00:12:36,290
and decarbonize the economy.
236
00:12:37,891 --> 00:12:39,193
The planet is on fire.
237
00:12:39,293 --> 00:12:41,663
Millions of people want to
work and can't find work,
238
00:12:41,762 --> 00:12:43,732
and yet we're told,
239
00:12:43,831 --> 00:12:45,499
"There's nothing we can do.
240
00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:46,433
It's too expensive.
241
00:12:46,534 --> 00:12:47,434
We can't afford this.
242
00:12:47,535 --> 00:12:49,136
We're broke. The government
doesn't have money.
243
00:12:49,236 --> 00:12:51,472
We have to borrow from China."
244
00:12:51,573 --> 00:12:52,906
- Democrats unveiling their
245
00:12:53,007 --> 00:12:54,108
radical, extreme
246
00:12:54,208 --> 00:12:55,610
Green New Deal today to address
247
00:12:55,710 --> 00:12:57,177
catastrophic climate change.
248
00:12:57,278 --> 00:12:58,279
- The Green
New Deal has
249
00:12:58,379 --> 00:12:59,547
an estimated price tag
250
00:12:59,648 --> 00:13:01,015
of $7 trillion.
251
00:13:01,115 --> 00:13:02,416
- Where's the money coming from?
252
00:13:02,517 --> 00:13:03,951
- It's gonna mean big time taxes
253
00:13:04,051 --> 00:13:04,852
- It is unrealistic.
254
00:13:04,952 --> 00:13:06,086
- How do you pay for it?
255
00:13:06,186 --> 00:13:09,624
- I can't 'cause there's
no way to pay for it.
256
00:13:09,724 --> 00:13:11,660
- MMT goes, "Hang on, hold up."
257
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,161
The question that
we should all be asking
258
00:13:14,261 --> 00:13:16,564
of a currency issuing
government, is not
259
00:13:16,665 --> 00:13:17,931
how are we gonna pay for it?
260
00:13:18,032 --> 00:13:20,134
We should replace
that question with
261
00:13:20,234 --> 00:13:22,202
how are we going to resource it?
262
00:13:22,303 --> 00:13:25,339
Not the financial resources,
but the real resources.
263
00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:28,610
- How did we pay for
World War II?
264
00:13:28,710 --> 00:13:31,879
World War II came right
after the Great Depression.
265
00:13:31,979 --> 00:13:34,148
- This was a time of desperation
266
00:13:34,948 --> 00:13:37,918
Uncle Sam didn't take
his hat off and go around
267
00:13:38,018 --> 00:13:39,521
to the population in the depths
268
00:13:39,621 --> 00:13:41,188
of the Depression asking people
269
00:13:41,288 --> 00:13:43,792
to chip in just a little bit.
270
00:13:44,358 --> 00:13:47,227
This is when the economist,
John Maynard Keynes wrote
271
00:13:47,328 --> 00:13:50,699
that little book and he called
it "How to Pay for the War".
272
00:13:50,799 --> 00:13:52,933
And just judging by
the title of the book
273
00:13:53,033 --> 00:13:55,035
you would think, oh,
it's gonna tell me
274
00:13:55,135 --> 00:13:56,738
where the government
got all the money
275
00:13:56,837 --> 00:13:58,472
to pay for World War II.
276
00:13:58,573 --> 00:14:01,208
And it turns out it has
nothing to do with that.
277
00:14:01,308 --> 00:14:04,845
It wasn't about
how to pay for the war,
278
00:14:04,945 --> 00:14:07,414
where to get the money,
it was about
279
00:14:07,515 --> 00:14:11,051
how are we gonna spend all
of this money to win the war
280
00:14:11,151 --> 00:14:12,821
without causing inflation?
281
00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,356
That's what the whole
book is about.
282
00:14:15,456 --> 00:14:17,224
- So where did the
money come from?
283
00:14:17,324 --> 00:14:19,159
The federal government
has the authority
284
00:14:19,259 --> 00:14:21,563
to spend money into existence.
285
00:14:21,663 --> 00:14:24,898
The federal government is the
only issuer of the currency.
286
00:14:24,998 --> 00:14:27,067
- Since war production
began, we've had more money
287
00:14:27,167 --> 00:14:28,837
than there were things
to spend it on.
288
00:14:28,936 --> 00:14:31,071
- The war started and
we start spending money
289
00:14:31,171 --> 00:14:34,942
into existence like crazy
to build for the war effort.
290
00:14:35,042 --> 00:14:36,644
- The government was
gonna spend a lot
291
00:14:36,745 --> 00:14:38,145
of money, hire a lot of people.
292
00:14:38,245 --> 00:14:39,547
- By the end of the war,
they tell me
293
00:14:39,647 --> 00:14:42,883
that we Americans will have
billions of dollars saved up.
294
00:14:42,983 --> 00:14:44,385
- So if you
wanted, you'll be going out
295
00:14:44,485 --> 00:14:46,621
on a shopping spree and
bidding up car prices
296
00:14:46,721 --> 00:14:48,556
and home prices, you'll
be causing inflation.
297
00:14:48,656 --> 00:14:50,057
- And the government was
like, "Wait a minute.
298
00:14:50,157 --> 00:14:51,959
I don't want you trying
to spend a lot of money
299
00:14:52,059 --> 00:14:53,160
at the same time."
300
00:14:54,161 --> 00:14:55,229
- Step two.
301
00:14:55,329 --> 00:14:57,264
The government started
selling freedom bonds
302
00:14:57,364 --> 00:14:58,867
or war bonds.
303
00:14:58,966 --> 00:14:59,900
- The war bonds weren't
304
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:03,772
about financing the
government spending.
305
00:15:03,872 --> 00:15:05,239
They understood really well
306
00:15:05,339 --> 00:15:07,809
the purpose of the war bonds.
307
00:15:07,908 --> 00:15:08,942
- There are things we
308
00:15:09,042 --> 00:15:11,646
as individuals can do right now.
309
00:15:11,746 --> 00:15:13,581
First, continue to save
our money.
310
00:15:13,681 --> 00:15:17,451
To buy and hold all the
war bonds we can afford.
311
00:15:17,552 --> 00:15:18,686
- Do me a favor.
312
00:15:18,787 --> 00:15:20,822
Delay your consumption.
313
00:15:20,921 --> 00:15:23,190
Wait until after we win the war.
314
00:15:23,290 --> 00:15:24,925
- Buy only
what we really need.
315
00:15:25,025 --> 00:15:27,961
And pay no more
than ceiling prices.
316
00:15:28,061 --> 00:15:29,396
- Economists understood,
317
00:15:29,496 --> 00:15:31,265
the government can't
run outta money.
318
00:15:31,365 --> 00:15:36,771
They were focused like a
laser on finding the resources
319
00:15:37,037 --> 00:15:39,607
and releasing resources
from other uses
320
00:15:39,707 --> 00:15:42,443
so that we could build the
tanks and the fighter planes.
321
00:15:44,011 --> 00:15:46,681
- The city of Detroit was
completely transformed.
322
00:15:46,781 --> 00:15:50,852
Detroit didn't produce any
new cars between '42 and '45.
323
00:15:50,951 --> 00:15:52,654
To solve climate change, we need
324
00:15:52,754 --> 00:15:55,289
to move probably
around 10% of GDP
325
00:15:55,389 --> 00:15:57,525
or the nation's production,
326
00:15:57,625 --> 00:16:02,597
to decarbonize transportation,
energy, agriculture, housing.
327
00:16:03,598 --> 00:16:04,632
- We've done this before.
328
00:16:04,732 --> 00:16:08,435
- We had to move 50% of
the nation's production
329
00:16:08,536 --> 00:16:09,470
to fight the war.
330
00:16:09,571 --> 00:16:11,205
We did it.
331
00:16:11,506 --> 00:16:14,642
- So the experts tell us that
we have less than a decade
332
00:16:14,742 --> 00:16:17,612
if we're gonna avert the worst
impacts of climate change.
333
00:16:18,713 --> 00:16:20,013
The clock is ticking.
334
00:16:21,783 --> 00:16:25,319
Do we have the resources to
do what needs to be done?
335
00:16:25,419 --> 00:16:28,656
Finding the money
is the easy part.
336
00:16:28,756 --> 00:16:31,926
That's the simplest part
of this whole conversation.
337
00:16:32,025 --> 00:16:33,528
Where will the money come from?
338
00:16:33,628 --> 00:16:39,567
What matters is whether
any proposed new spending
339
00:16:39,834 --> 00:16:42,169
carries heightened
inflation risk.
340
00:16:42,269 --> 00:16:45,172
What doesn't matter is
whether it adds to the deficit
341
00:16:45,272 --> 00:16:47,742
or whether it increases
the size of the debt.
342
00:16:54,414 --> 00:16:55,517
- Well, the hottest debate
343
00:16:55,617 --> 00:16:56,183
in the economics world
344
00:16:56,283 --> 00:16:58,318
right now is over MMT
345
00:16:58,418 --> 00:17:00,788
or Modern Monetary Theory.
346
00:17:00,889 --> 00:17:02,422
Many economists have pushed back
347
00:17:02,524 --> 00:17:05,325
on some of MMT's core ideas,
including Larry Summers
348
00:17:05,425 --> 00:17:07,194
formerly Treasury Secretary and
349
00:17:07,294 --> 00:17:09,162
an advisor to President Obama.
350
00:17:09,263 --> 00:17:11,231
- I think MMT is today's
351
00:17:11,331 --> 00:17:13,968
version of voodoo economics.
352
00:17:14,067 --> 00:17:17,204
It promises a free lunch.
353
00:17:17,304 --> 00:17:19,206
- This crackpot
Modern Monetary Theory idea.
354
00:17:19,306 --> 00:17:21,576
- Most Republicans rightly
lampoon this quackery.
355
00:17:21,676 --> 00:17:23,845
- The weird thing about MMT
is I still can't figure out
356
00:17:23,945 --> 00:17:24,946
what it actually is.
357
00:17:25,045 --> 00:17:26,079
- The last thing we need
358
00:17:26,179 --> 00:17:27,916
is some harebrained theory
359
00:17:28,016 --> 00:17:28,816
that basically says
360
00:17:28,917 --> 00:17:29,984
there's a free lunch.
361
00:17:30,083 --> 00:17:31,853
You don't need to worry about it
362
00:17:32,152 --> 00:17:35,222
- First they ignore you,
then they ridicule you,
363
00:17:35,322 --> 00:17:36,456
then they fight you,
364
00:17:36,558 --> 00:17:37,692
and then you win.
365
00:17:41,161 --> 00:17:43,130
Previous years
we were taking off.
366
00:17:43,230 --> 00:17:44,398
The wind was at our backs.
367
00:17:44,498 --> 00:17:46,366
Now it's more like a hurricane.
368
00:17:46,466 --> 00:17:47,434
Okay. Hi.
369
00:17:47,569 --> 00:17:49,202
It's more interviews
than I can keep up with.
370
00:17:49,303 --> 00:17:50,404
Nice to meet you.
371
00:17:50,505 --> 00:17:52,607
Thanks everybody.
Nice to talk with you.
372
00:17:52,707 --> 00:17:53,641
- Thank you.
- Okay.
373
00:17:53,808 --> 00:17:55,743
And it's a lot of work
because with each new day
374
00:17:55,843 --> 00:17:58,012
there's some people
who encounter the ideas
375
00:17:58,111 --> 00:17:59,446
for the very first time.
376
00:18:01,549 --> 00:18:04,351
- So what
is the role of taxation?
377
00:18:04,451 --> 00:18:07,922
- So in MMT, we don|t
think about taxation
378
00:18:08,022 --> 00:18:10,390
as providing the
government with revenue.
379
00:18:10,490 --> 00:18:14,394
A government that issues its
own currency clearly does
380
00:18:14,494 --> 00:18:17,865
not need to tax me in
order to get the dollar.
381
00:18:17,966 --> 00:18:19,701
They|re the issuer of the dollar
382
00:18:28,241 --> 00:18:30,110
Next one is here? Okay.
383
00:18:30,210 --> 00:18:31,478
- Thank you so much.
- You are so welcome.
384
00:18:31,579 --> 00:18:32,747
- Thank you so much.
- Thank you very much.
385
00:18:32,847 --> 00:18:33,313
- Thank you so much
386
00:18:33,413 --> 00:18:34,481
- Okay, I'm so sorry.
387
00:18:34,582 --> 00:18:35,683
- No problem.
- You|re my third.
388
00:18:35,783 --> 00:18:37,184
Come on in.
389
00:18:37,284 --> 00:18:38,753
There's a lot of confusion
390
00:18:38,853 --> 00:18:40,722
and sometimes opposition to MMT,
391
00:18:40,822 --> 00:18:42,189
which I actually understand
392
00:18:42,289 --> 00:18:45,292
because when I first
came across these ideas,
393
00:18:45,392 --> 00:18:46,728
I was skeptical too.
394
00:18:48,029 --> 00:18:48,997
- So the story
I'm writing
395
00:18:49,097 --> 00:18:51,666
I want to introduce
the concept of MMT,
396
00:18:51,766 --> 00:18:53,868
and also trace the
intellectual origins of it.
397
00:18:53,968 --> 00:18:55,135
- Where do I start?
398
00:18:55,235 --> 00:18:56,504
At the beginning?
- Yeah.
399
00:18:56,604 --> 00:18:57,572
- Warren Mosler.
400
00:18:57,672 --> 00:19:01,042
That's where MMT I think
really in a sense is born.
401
00:19:12,854 --> 00:19:14,555
I was a graduate student
402
00:19:14,656 --> 00:19:16,858
at Cambridge University,
the first time
403
00:19:16,958 --> 00:19:19,761
that I remember hearing
Warren Mosler's name.
404
00:19:21,796 --> 00:19:24,999
It was 1996 and Warren
was getting active
405
00:19:25,099 --> 00:19:27,068
on this listserv,
We called it the PKT,
406
00:19:27,167 --> 00:19:29,671
the Post Keynesian Thought list.
407
00:19:29,771 --> 00:19:31,204
Mat Forstater was there,
408
00:19:31,304 --> 00:19:32,907
and Randy Wray.
409
00:19:33,007 --> 00:19:38,278
- And this guy named Warren
Mosler started posting comments.
410
00:19:38,546 --> 00:19:39,479
- He starts floating
these ideas
411
00:19:39,580 --> 00:19:41,214
and he starts saying things like
412
00:19:41,314 --> 00:19:42,784
- The government doesn't
need your dollars
413
00:19:42,884 --> 00:19:44,317
to be able to spend.
414
00:19:44,418 --> 00:19:45,887
- "It's not the
government that needs
415
00:19:45,987 --> 00:19:47,021
the dollars.
416
00:19:47,287 --> 00:19:49,023
It's the rest of you
that need the dollars."
417
00:19:49,123 --> 00:19:51,793
And everybody's like,
"Wait, what?"
418
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:56,164
- I did not fully
understand everything
419
00:19:56,263 --> 00:19:58,599
that Warren was
talking about on day one.
420
00:19:58,700 --> 00:20:05,405
It took me quite a while before
it seeped all the way in.
421
00:20:06,708 --> 00:20:10,078
- Warren Mosler
wasn't trained as an economist.
422
00:20:10,178 --> 00:20:12,279
He worked in finance.
423
00:20:12,379 --> 00:20:13,848
He was a bond trader.
424
00:20:13,948 --> 00:20:15,382
So financial markets
425
00:20:15,482 --> 00:20:18,820
and monetary operations
were his bread and butter.
426
00:20:19,587 --> 00:20:21,455
- For me, the story
starts in college.
427
00:20:21,556 --> 00:20:25,059
- One of my students,
Pavlina Tcherneva
428
00:20:25,159 --> 00:20:27,294
- I was looking for
an internship.
429
00:20:27,394 --> 00:20:29,897
I went to work with Warren.
430
00:20:29,997 --> 00:20:32,365
He would come in
and he would say,
431
00:20:32,466 --> 00:20:33,868
- Here you've got these
Congressmen saying they need
432
00:20:33,968 --> 00:20:38,139
to get dollars first by
taxing or by borrowing
433
00:20:38,238 --> 00:20:40,108
in order to spend them.
434
00:20:40,208 --> 00:20:41,909
- That's the only story
I'd ever heard.
435
00:20:42,009 --> 00:20:43,945
- In fact, it's the reverse.
436
00:20:44,377 --> 00:20:46,279
The government, which is
the issuer of the currency,
437
00:20:46,379 --> 00:20:49,717
has to spend first before
it can collect taxes.
438
00:20:49,817 --> 00:20:53,353
- Immediately, it sparks
a lot of debate.
439
00:20:54,589 --> 00:20:57,191
It sounds too easy in a sense.
440
00:20:57,592 --> 00:21:00,762
I remember thinking, "This
has got to be wrong,"
441
00:21:00,862 --> 00:21:03,463
but I couldn't quite
figure out why,
442
00:21:03,564 --> 00:21:06,134
and I couldn't let go of it.
443
00:21:06,234 --> 00:21:08,703
So I told Randy
it can't be right.
444
00:21:08,803 --> 00:21:11,304
- It was all
a little bit puzzling
445
00:21:11,404 --> 00:21:13,406
- And Randy said, "You
should write a paper.
446
00:21:13,508 --> 00:21:15,176
You should write it up
because if he's wrong,
447
00:21:15,275 --> 00:21:16,744
he would wanna know it."
448
00:21:19,147 --> 00:21:23,416
- It's not obvious from just
watching from a distance,
449
00:21:23,518 --> 00:21:25,285
but it's fairly simple
450
00:21:25,385 --> 00:21:27,655
if you think of the
government from the beginning.
451
00:21:34,729 --> 00:21:37,231
- In the American colonies,
452
00:21:37,330 --> 00:21:40,034
colonial paper notes
were widely used.
453
00:21:41,602 --> 00:21:43,237
Colonial governments collected
454
00:21:43,336 --> 00:21:46,439
their taxes in these notes.
455
00:21:46,541 --> 00:21:50,477
But where did the notes come
from in the first place?
456
00:21:51,779 --> 00:21:55,315
Americans didn't have
colonial currency.
457
00:21:55,415 --> 00:21:59,587
and they couldn't have
colonial currency,
458
00:21:59,687 --> 00:22:04,659
until that currency was
spent into the economy.
459
00:22:07,460 --> 00:22:09,030
- The government
didn't collect taxes
460
00:22:09,130 --> 00:22:10,832
before they spent.
461
00:22:10,932 --> 00:22:13,234
- Governments have to
spend first.
462
00:22:13,333 --> 00:22:16,204
How can you tax money
463
00:22:16,304 --> 00:22:18,105
that no one has?
464
00:22:20,107 --> 00:22:22,977
- Then people would pay their
taxes with the paper money.
465
00:22:24,812 --> 00:22:27,982
When the paper money
came back in,
466
00:22:29,584 --> 00:22:31,219
once those notes are
returned to them,
467
00:22:31,319 --> 00:22:32,987
they burn 'em.
468
00:22:33,087 --> 00:22:35,189
They burn all of them.
469
00:22:41,128 --> 00:22:45,199
I don't know if that's gonna
bother people to find out
470
00:22:45,299 --> 00:22:46,399
that when they pay their taxes,
471
00:22:46,499 --> 00:22:48,035
the government just burns it.
472
00:22:51,205 --> 00:22:53,507
But we'll come back to that.
473
00:22:56,510 --> 00:22:57,278
- All right.
474
00:22:57,377 --> 00:22:58,713
You wanna go work?
475
00:22:59,981 --> 00:23:00,815
Warren always said
476
00:23:00,915 --> 00:23:03,684
he wasn|t proposing
a new way of doing things.
477
00:23:03,784 --> 00:23:05,920
He was just trying to explain
478
00:23:06,020 --> 00:23:09,290
accurately how the monetary
system works today.
479
00:23:09,389 --> 00:23:11,592
The one we have already.
480
00:23:11,993 --> 00:23:14,362
But it all felt really
backwards to me.
481
00:23:14,461 --> 00:23:16,230
So I sat down and I thought
482
00:23:16,330 --> 00:23:20,067
that I was gonna do this more
carefully than Warren had.
483
00:23:20,167 --> 00:23:22,803
I spent most of the year reading
484
00:23:22,904 --> 00:23:26,607
Treasury and Fed manuals, really
digging into the mechanics
485
00:23:26,707 --> 00:23:28,509
of the federal budgeting process
486
00:23:28,609 --> 00:23:30,745
and the clearing of payments
and all the balance sheets,
487
00:23:30,845 --> 00:23:32,613
and just the how it all works.
488
00:23:33,848 --> 00:23:35,049
I started getting on the phone
489
00:23:35,149 --> 00:23:37,952
and talking to people
at Treasury, at Fed.
490
00:23:39,887 --> 00:23:42,657
- Modern Monetary Theory,
even the proponents admit
491
00:23:42,757 --> 00:23:44,392
that it's not
necessarily a theory
492
00:23:44,491 --> 00:23:46,627
as much as it is a
description of reality
493
00:23:46,727 --> 00:23:48,062
of how things appear to work.
494
00:23:49,429 --> 00:23:52,033
The US government is
not like a household.
495
00:23:53,167 --> 00:23:54,735
The government creates the money
496
00:23:54,936 --> 00:23:56,469
You don't have to
ask the question of
497
00:23:56,570 --> 00:23:57,538
where do you get the money.
498
00:23:57,638 --> 00:23:59,307
These are factually
correct statements
499
00:23:59,407 --> 00:24:01,542
so it's very hard to
argue against them.
500
00:24:01,742 --> 00:24:05,713
- Then I started writing,
the title of the paper was
501
00:24:05,813 --> 00:24:09,984
"Do Taxes and Bonds Finance
Government Spending?"
502
00:24:10,084 --> 00:24:12,452
Naturally, I thought
the answer was yes.
503
00:24:12,553 --> 00:24:15,289
That's what I had been
taught to believe.
504
00:24:15,389 --> 00:24:18,592
And I didn't know when
I started this paper
505
00:24:18,693 --> 00:24:19,961
where it was gonna end up.
506
00:24:21,162 --> 00:24:24,198
I just let the story take me
wherever it's gonna take me,
507
00:24:25,333 --> 00:24:26,534
and when I worked out all
508
00:24:26,634 --> 00:24:30,504
of the operational
mechanics,I ended up
509
00:24:30,604 --> 00:24:32,907
at exactly the same place
where Warren ended up.
510
00:24:34,875 --> 00:24:38,112
The government does have
to spend before it can tax.
511
00:24:39,714 --> 00:24:42,984
Going through the mechanics,
although it flips your world
512
00:24:43,084 --> 00:24:47,621
upside down, makes
everything seem more clear.
513
00:24:56,464 --> 00:24:59,166
- Hey everybody,
this is Barack Obama.
514
00:24:59,266 --> 00:25:02,903
I've got my chief economist,
Jason Furman here.
515
00:25:03,004 --> 00:25:05,673
- I mean, Modern Monetary
Theory is not something
516
00:25:05,773 --> 00:25:07,041
we teach our students.
517
00:25:07,141 --> 00:25:09,610
It's not something that's
in our textbooks.
518
00:25:09,710 --> 00:25:10,778
I think the biggest issue is
that sometimes
519
00:25:10,878 --> 00:25:13,347
Modern Monetary Theory
seems to play a word game.
520
00:25:13,447 --> 00:25:15,750
where it says, oh, we don't need
to worry about the deficit
521
00:25:15,850 --> 00:25:19,020
for this reason, but actually we
do need to worry about it
522
00:25:19,120 --> 00:25:21,222
for some other reason,
like inflation.
523
00:25:21,322 --> 00:25:24,358
Well, all of those get you
to roughly the same place
524
00:25:24,458 --> 00:25:26,961
in your thinking about
budget deficits.
525
00:25:27,061 --> 00:25:29,663
- No, I mean the difference
is not a trivial one.
526
00:25:29,764 --> 00:25:31,198
It changes everything.
527
00:25:31,298 --> 00:25:36,871
- It changes our view
of the nature of money.
528
00:25:40,141 --> 00:25:42,910
- What is money
and what gives money value?
529
00:25:44,378 --> 00:25:49,016
- Money is what you use for
transactions and it has value
530
00:25:49,116 --> 00:25:52,586
because we all believe
it has value.
531
00:25:52,686 --> 00:25:53,988
If suddenly we decided
532
00:25:54,088 --> 00:25:56,690
that it didn't have value,
it would not have value.
533
00:25:58,959 --> 00:26:00,861
- Money is this really important
534
00:26:00,961 --> 00:26:03,898
mode of interacting economically
535
00:26:03,998 --> 00:26:06,300
so we don't have to barter.
536
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:10,004
I don|t, you know, I think if
you drill too far down into some
537
00:26:10,104 --> 00:26:13,207
of these questions, I feel
like you lose the thread.
538
00:26:15,209 --> 00:26:16,277
- Didn't they tell you?
539
00:26:17,912 --> 00:26:21,015
You never touch
the money question.
540
00:26:23,484 --> 00:26:27,321
When Paul Krugman was a
student at MIT, one of his peers
541
00:26:27,421 --> 00:26:30,758
in graduate school was an
economist named Bernard Lietaer.
542
00:26:30,858 --> 00:26:33,562
- Paul Krugman,
told me personally
543
00:26:33,661 --> 00:26:35,930
- And Lietaer wanted
to talk about money.
544
00:26:36,030 --> 00:26:37,798
- "Didn't they tell you?"
545
00:26:37,898 --> 00:26:39,633
- Never touch the money system.
546
00:26:39,733 --> 00:26:41,235
You can touch everything else.
547
00:26:42,636 --> 00:26:44,004
- There's a theory that says we
548
00:26:44,105 --> 00:26:46,474
should not be looking
too closely at money
549
00:26:46,575 --> 00:26:48,876
or almost even talking
about money too much.
550
00:26:48,976 --> 00:26:52,581
- What is money and where
does money come from?
551
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:54,583
- We could rip off the
veil of this thing
552
00:26:54,682 --> 00:26:55,950
and openly look at how it works,
553
00:26:56,050 --> 00:26:58,520
but maybe that would lead
us to some dangerous places.
554
00:26:58,619 --> 00:27:00,888
- It's just best to let that be.
555
00:27:03,124 --> 00:27:05,893
- When I wrote the first
book on MMT,
556
00:27:05,993 --> 00:27:08,996
I wrote a letter to Robert
Heilbroner and asked him
557
00:27:09,096 --> 00:27:11,198
if he would write
a blurb for the book.
558
00:27:11,298 --> 00:27:16,137
and he said, "I can't
because the topic is money
559
00:27:16,237 --> 00:27:19,707
and your book is going
to scare the hell out
560
00:27:19,807 --> 00:27:22,243
of everyone, okay?"
561
00:27:22,343 --> 00:27:23,210
And he was right.
562
00:27:23,310 --> 00:27:24,712
- There are two words that
563
00:27:24,812 --> 00:27:26,548
scare the pants off of people.
564
00:27:26,647 --> 00:27:28,249
They are the national debt
565
00:27:28,349 --> 00:27:29,683
and the deficit.
566
00:27:29,783 --> 00:27:33,622
- We don't talk about
finance, banking, debt, money.
567
00:27:33,754 --> 00:27:36,190
These are questions that
will put you on a path
568
00:27:36,290 --> 00:27:39,460
that leads you to Siberia.
569
00:27:39,561 --> 00:27:40,828
- You don't wanna step out
570
00:27:40,928 --> 00:27:45,132
and contradict the entire
underlying principles
571
00:27:45,232 --> 00:27:46,167
of your profession.
572
00:27:46,333 --> 00:27:49,737
It's a very dangerous
kind of lonely place to be.
573
00:27:49,837 --> 00:27:52,039
- You're killing
yourself academically
574
00:27:52,139 --> 00:27:53,874
if you touch the money system.
575
00:27:53,974 --> 00:27:57,077
- We coalesced at the University
of Missouri in Kansas City
576
00:27:57,178 --> 00:27:59,813
where Fadhel and Lua
were students of ours,
577
00:27:59,914 --> 00:28:03,585
but for many years
we felt ignored.
578
00:28:03,918 --> 00:28:05,085
This is what Bernard
Lietaer said.
579
00:28:05,186 --> 00:28:07,221
He said they took
all the MMT people,
580
00:28:07,321 --> 00:28:09,456
and they put them in the
equivalent of Siberia
581
00:28:10,958 --> 00:28:13,562
because MMT starts with
the money question,
582
00:28:13,662 --> 00:28:15,462
the question you're
not supposed to raise.
583
00:28:33,047 --> 00:28:35,382
- The first kind
of business was barter,
584
00:28:37,851 --> 00:28:40,655
but what would you trade
in a hardware store
585
00:28:40,788 --> 00:28:42,557
for a gallon of paint?
586
00:28:42,657 --> 00:28:44,858
Money has evolved
from an age old search
587
00:28:44,959 --> 00:28:47,662
for a satisfactory
medium of exchange.
588
00:28:47,761 --> 00:28:49,797
Money should be
something of value.
589
00:28:49,897 --> 00:28:51,600
Gold and silver emerged
590
00:28:51,700 --> 00:28:55,135
as the most durable,
most satisfactory money.
591
00:28:55,236 --> 00:28:57,972
For greater convenience,
men started eking out gold
592
00:28:58,072 --> 00:29:00,908
and silver coins with
values imprinted on them.
593
00:29:01,008 --> 00:29:02,142
Later, governments took
594
00:29:02,243 --> 00:29:04,378
over the exclusive
function of coining money.
595
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:11,118
- Everything is
wrong with that story.
596
00:29:13,655 --> 00:29:16,725
- If you look at any
economics textbook
597
00:29:16,824 --> 00:29:19,760
it's almost exactly
always the same story.
598
00:29:22,229 --> 00:29:27,201
- The barter story fits into
the mainstream ideology.
599
00:29:28,936 --> 00:29:32,306
They want to start with the
market, the private market
600
00:29:32,406 --> 00:29:34,375
with no government, and then
601
00:29:34,475 --> 00:29:37,311
much later in their story, the
government comes along.
602
00:29:37,411 --> 00:29:40,682
- To use some of that
money like the rest of us.
603
00:29:40,781 --> 00:29:43,817
- The problem with that story,
604
00:29:43,917 --> 00:29:46,186
number one, when was
there ever this barter market?
605
00:29:46,420 --> 00:29:48,889
- Money has existed for
thousands of years
606
00:29:48,989 --> 00:29:51,158
before markets were developed.
607
00:29:52,493 --> 00:29:57,732
And rather than gold for most
of time people have used clay,
608
00:29:57,998 --> 00:30:01,835
or sticks or shells or paper.
609
00:30:01,935 --> 00:30:04,639
Things that don't have
apparent intrinsic value.
610
00:30:04,739 --> 00:30:06,340
Why?
611
00:30:12,012 --> 00:30:14,815
There are monies that
you will not even see
612
00:30:14,915 --> 00:30:16,450
in physical form.
613
00:30:19,186 --> 00:30:24,559
If we take ancient Egypt, the
Deben never changed hands.
614
00:30:26,126 --> 00:30:28,329
It was simply a virtual record,
615
00:30:32,801 --> 00:30:36,370
and the reason is because
money is not a physical object.
616
00:30:36,470 --> 00:30:37,871
It's a unit of measure.
617
00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:45,012
And it's a record of a
social debt relationship.
618
00:30:45,979 --> 00:30:47,381
The earliest forms of money
619
00:30:47,481 --> 00:30:50,884
that we find are
Mesopotamian clay tablets.
620
00:30:52,052 --> 00:30:54,321
- It appears that
in the very beginning,
621
00:30:54,421 --> 00:30:57,692
the authorities would
impose taxes
622
00:30:57,792 --> 00:31:02,664
in kind, say two goats
or maybe one cow.
623
00:31:02,797 --> 00:31:04,699
- You could think
of money much the way we think
624
00:31:04,799 --> 00:31:08,936
of centimeters, inches, pounds.
625
00:31:09,403 --> 00:31:12,239
- The development
of a money unit of account
626
00:31:12,339 --> 00:31:14,375
is conceptually
a bit more difficult.
627
00:31:14,475 --> 00:31:17,846
Because you can use
it to value things
628
00:31:17,945 --> 00:31:20,914
that have apparently
nothing in common.
629
00:31:21,014 --> 00:31:23,384
A bushel of wheat versus a goat.
630
00:31:25,185 --> 00:31:26,588
- Ancient Mesopotamia
631
00:31:26,721 --> 00:31:30,324
had complex social organization
structure, production systems,
632
00:31:30,424 --> 00:31:34,529
and like every society, they
had to keep track of things.
633
00:31:36,163 --> 00:31:39,233
The clay tablets were
accounting records.
634
00:31:39,333 --> 00:31:41,402
They were like little ledgers.
635
00:31:42,604 --> 00:31:43,838
- In fact, these are
636
00:31:43,937 --> 00:31:45,906
the earliest records of writing.
637
00:31:46,006 --> 00:31:48,242
So writing wasn't
invented by poets,
638
00:31:48,342 --> 00:31:50,545
it was invented by accountants.
639
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:53,715
- To solve
the problem of producing
640
00:31:53,815 --> 00:31:56,116
and distributing real resources
641
00:31:57,117 --> 00:32:00,053
like bread, labor,
642
00:32:00,154 --> 00:32:01,556
livestock, beer.
643
00:32:03,858 --> 00:32:08,863
- Money is not itself
a real resource.
644
00:32:09,296 --> 00:32:14,034
Money is a tool invented
by political authorities
645
00:32:14,134 --> 00:32:18,573
to organize and mobilize
real resources.
646
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:38,125
I was not originally
interested in economics,
647
00:32:39,561 --> 00:32:41,629
but many of the issues
648
00:32:41,729 --> 00:32:45,767
that I was concerned about,
poverty, unemployment,
649
00:32:45,867 --> 00:32:50,471
environmental sustainability,
came down to economics.
650
00:32:50,572 --> 00:32:53,608
But I didn't know
the terminology,
651
00:32:53,708 --> 00:32:56,611
so I couldn't argue against it.
652
00:32:57,144 --> 00:33:01,081
Joan Robinson famously
remarked, "We study economics
653
00:33:01,181 --> 00:33:04,652
so as not to be
fooled by economists.
654
00:33:05,085 --> 00:33:08,923
I, early on, a young
assistant professor
655
00:33:09,022 --> 00:33:13,093
and still trying to
grasp the ideas myself,
656
00:33:13,193 --> 00:33:18,131
I would observe Warren
explaining these issues
657
00:33:18,232 --> 00:33:22,035
and see how people reacted,
the questions
658
00:33:22,135 --> 00:33:23,505
that they would ask.
659
00:33:24,672 --> 00:33:29,476
For example, if government
can create the money,
660
00:33:29,577 --> 00:33:32,647
then why do we
have to pay taxes?
661
00:33:42,322 --> 00:33:44,324
- Let's say a colonial
government wants
662
00:33:44,424 --> 00:33:46,694
to hire people to build roads.
663
00:33:48,362 --> 00:33:51,131
They have a new colonial
currency and they offer people
664
00:33:51,231 --> 00:33:55,435
so much a day to come
work building roads.
665
00:33:55,537 --> 00:33:57,104
- But the people looked
at their currency
666
00:33:57,204 --> 00:33:59,373
and they say, "Why
would we work hard
667
00:33:59,473 --> 00:34:01,576
in order to get your money?
668
00:34:01,676 --> 00:34:03,778
What would we do with that?"
669
00:34:03,878 --> 00:34:08,315
- In fairly short order, they
were like, "Oh wait, taxes."
670
00:34:09,584 --> 00:34:13,721
- They impose a
tax that is only payable
671
00:34:13,821 --> 00:34:15,890
in the colonial currency.
672
00:34:15,990 --> 00:34:18,225
- We only take this
special thing.
673
00:34:18,325 --> 00:34:20,528
We only take this money thing.
674
00:34:20,628 --> 00:34:23,831
- Now everyone
has to obtain that money
675
00:34:23,932 --> 00:34:25,432
to pay their tax
676
00:34:25,533 --> 00:34:27,401
or go to jail.
677
00:34:29,737 --> 00:34:34,174
- Suddenly they had a
demand for the currency.
678
00:34:36,143 --> 00:34:39,413
What do you get?
Folks who need the thing
679
00:34:39,514 --> 00:34:42,249
that the sovereign is
demanding in payment.
680
00:34:50,725 --> 00:34:52,794
The government did
not need the money.
681
00:34:53,595 --> 00:34:56,931
What the government wanted
and what they needed
682
00:34:57,031 --> 00:35:02,202
for their purposes was for
the people to need the money.
683
00:35:05,506 --> 00:35:07,307
- Now the
authority can go out
684
00:35:07,407 --> 00:35:11,646
and purchase the goods or
labor it wants, when it wants.
685
00:35:14,247 --> 00:35:16,618
- The tax is that motor,
686
00:35:16,718 --> 00:35:19,787
that engine of transferring
those resources.
687
00:35:21,089 --> 00:35:22,757
Money is really the vehicle.
688
00:35:31,065 --> 00:35:33,433
- It is the
taxation system
689
00:35:33,534 --> 00:35:38,506
that gets the whole monetary
system going to begin with.
690
00:36:13,041 --> 00:36:14,809
- The federal deficit
is on track
691
00:36:14,909 --> 00:36:17,545
to exceed $1 trillion next year.
692
00:36:17,645 --> 00:36:19,080
The deficit is the difference
693
00:36:19,179 --> 00:36:19,814
between the amount the
694
00:36:19,914 --> 00:36:21,015
government takes in
695
00:36:21,115 --> 00:36:22,050
often through taxes,
696
00:36:22,150 --> 00:36:24,118
and what it spends.
697
00:36:24,418 --> 00:36:26,688
- If you total each
of these yearly deficits
698
00:36:28,255 --> 00:36:30,390
over the history
of the United States,
699
00:36:32,359 --> 00:36:34,394
we call that the national debt.
700
00:36:35,763 --> 00:36:37,565
- Our nation's out
of control debt.
701
00:36:37,665 --> 00:36:39,232
- The debt is the biggest threat
702
00:36:39,332 --> 00:36:40,333
to our economy.
703
00:36:40,434 --> 00:36:42,103
- Those debts get
passed on to our kids.
704
00:36:42,202 --> 00:36:43,303
- I refuse to leave our children
705
00:36:43,403 --> 00:36:45,006
with a debt that
they cannot repay.
706
00:36:45,106 --> 00:36:48,843
- We have piled deficit upon
deficit, mortgaging our future
707
00:36:48,943 --> 00:36:49,844
and our children's future.
708
00:36:49,944 --> 00:36:50,745
- We are mortgaging our future.
709
00:36:50,845 --> 00:36:53,681
We're mortgaging
our children's future.
710
00:36:53,781 --> 00:36:54,816
- I need more coffee.
711
00:36:57,185 --> 00:36:58,553
Nice to meet you.
- Nice to meet you too.
712
00:36:58,653 --> 00:36:59,453
- Absolutely.
713
00:36:59,587 --> 00:37:00,555
- So I'm
at the New York Times
714
00:37:00,655 --> 00:37:02,924
and I'm working on a
piece about budget deficits.
715
00:37:03,024 --> 00:37:04,092
Do you mind if I record you?
716
00:37:04,192 --> 00:37:05,392
- No.
717
00:37:05,492 --> 00:37:07,595
- All right.
There we go.
718
00:37:07,695 --> 00:37:09,429
- If someone said, what's
the strength of MMT?
719
00:37:09,530 --> 00:37:11,364
It's monetary operations.
720
00:37:11,465 --> 00:37:12,567
No question about it.
721
00:37:12,667 --> 00:37:15,002
It's how it all actually works.
722
00:37:15,103 --> 00:37:17,605
People will sometimes say
MMT is the school of thought
723
00:37:17,705 --> 00:37:19,006
that says deficits don't matter.
724
00:37:19,107 --> 00:37:20,440
Obviously that's wrong.
725
00:37:20,541 --> 00:37:22,210
Deficits do matter.
726
00:37:22,309 --> 00:37:23,945
They can be too big,
they can be too small.
727
00:37:24,045 --> 00:37:26,748
So if the government is
running a budget deficit,
728
00:37:26,848 --> 00:37:29,517
it just means they're
spending more
729
00:37:29,617 --> 00:37:31,418
into the economy than
they're taking out, right?
730
00:37:31,519 --> 00:37:33,855
That's all the deficit is.
731
00:37:41,328 --> 00:37:42,630
It's like we're going
through life
732
00:37:42,730 --> 00:37:44,899
with one eye shut
and one eye open.
733
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,636
Well, let's make sure
we see the full picture.
734
00:37:52,507 --> 00:37:55,042
- Please join me in
welcoming Dr. Stephanie Kelton
735
00:37:55,143 --> 00:37:56,010
to the stage.
736
00:37:58,679 --> 00:38:00,948
- First, what is the deficit?
737
00:38:01,048 --> 00:38:03,951
People naturally think,
"Wait, government deficit bad.
738
00:38:04,051 --> 00:38:04,919
This is a negative thing.
739
00:38:05,019 --> 00:38:05,953
Let's stop this right now."
740
00:38:06,053 --> 00:38:09,090
And I say, "Hang on,
let's open the other eye."
741
00:38:09,190 --> 00:38:13,460
So I want us to suppose that
I'm the federal government.
742
00:38:13,561 --> 00:38:14,829
If I'm government and I
743
00:38:14,929 --> 00:38:16,230
spend a hundred dollars
744
00:38:16,329 --> 00:38:17,665
into the economy...
745
00:38:18,766 --> 00:38:20,500
The government spends a hundred
746
00:38:20,601 --> 00:38:23,638
into the economy,
taxes 90 back out.
747
00:38:25,372 --> 00:38:27,241
We record on the
government's ledger
748
00:38:27,340 --> 00:38:29,510
a budget deficit of 10.
749
00:38:31,045 --> 00:38:32,680
Minus 10, government deficit.
750
00:38:32,780 --> 00:38:35,348
But we forget that on the
other side of the ledger.
751
00:38:36,416 --> 00:38:37,852
Guess what?
752
00:38:37,952 --> 00:38:39,520
When they spend a hundred in
753
00:38:39,620 --> 00:38:41,556
and they only tax 90 out,
754
00:38:41,656 --> 00:38:43,658
somebody gets left with 10,
755
00:38:45,458 --> 00:38:47,360
that's your surplus.
756
00:38:47,460 --> 00:38:51,632
Their deficit is your surplus.
757
00:38:51,732 --> 00:38:53,568
Oh, right, you got your surplus
758
00:38:53,668 --> 00:38:55,169
from the government's deficit
759
00:38:55,269 --> 00:38:57,538
and all of a sudden
they start realizing
760
00:38:57,638 --> 00:38:59,941
that they've been missing
part of the story.
761
00:39:03,311 --> 00:39:07,548
That's when I show the sector
balance graph to audiences.
762
00:39:07,648 --> 00:39:10,685
It's the most important
chart in the world.
763
00:39:11,085 --> 00:39:14,522
Government deficits are
almost always seen
764
00:39:14,622 --> 00:39:19,527
in a negative light, nothing
but a sea of worrying red ink.
765
00:39:19,694 --> 00:39:21,529
That's not how I look at it.
766
00:39:21,629 --> 00:39:23,231
Here's what I see.
767
00:39:23,331 --> 00:39:26,701
I see what's happening
on the other side
768
00:39:26,801 --> 00:39:28,401
of the government's ledger.
769
00:39:28,501 --> 00:39:29,837
On the other side
770
00:39:29,937 --> 00:39:33,406
of the government's deficit
is a non-government surplus.
771
00:39:33,507 --> 00:39:36,043
Their minus 10 is matched
by a plus 10 on
772
00:39:36,143 --> 00:39:38,012
somebody else's balance sheet.
773
00:39:39,412 --> 00:39:43,184
So my red ink is your black ink.
774
00:39:43,618 --> 00:39:45,586
That graph is really the
one that when I show it
775
00:39:45,686 --> 00:39:48,756
to audiences,
it changes everything.
776
00:39:49,757 --> 00:39:52,425
So when you see
a headline like this one.
777
00:39:52,526 --> 00:39:56,230
"Trillion Dollar Deficits Could
Be The New Normal."
778
00:39:56,330 --> 00:39:59,667
This is meant to
shock and frighten,
779
00:39:59,767 --> 00:40:02,169
but take a breath
and read it this way.
780
00:40:02,270 --> 00:40:03,170
Watch the word deficit.
781
00:40:04,705 --> 00:40:06,040
Don't you feel better?
782
00:40:07,041 --> 00:40:08,309
Don't you feel better?
783
00:40:08,408 --> 00:40:09,510
Trillion dollar surpluses
784
00:40:09,610 --> 00:40:11,946
to the private sector
could be the new normal.
785
00:40:12,046 --> 00:40:14,181
Oh, all right. I'm down.
786
00:40:28,763 --> 00:40:30,131
- We were trying to figure out
787
00:40:30,231 --> 00:40:32,566
how to communicate these ideas
788
00:40:32,667 --> 00:40:35,069
and Warren came up
with the suggestion
789
00:40:35,169 --> 00:40:39,540
that our department
create our own currency.
790
00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:41,242
So welcome everyone,
791
00:40:41,342 --> 00:40:44,211
back to principles
of macroeconomics.
792
00:40:44,312 --> 00:40:46,280
Around 2000, we decided
793
00:40:46,380 --> 00:40:49,083
to organize our
community service program
794
00:40:49,183 --> 00:40:52,653
through a monetary system.
795
00:40:52,753 --> 00:40:55,089
We decided to impose a tax
796
00:40:55,189 --> 00:40:59,293
of 20 Buckaroos
per student per semester,
797
00:40:59,393 --> 00:41:00,928
or you don't get your grades.
798
00:41:01,028 --> 00:41:03,597
And that was enough
to enforce it.
799
00:41:04,497 --> 00:41:07,134
Here's the Buckaroo
because we here
800
00:41:07,234 --> 00:41:11,906
at UMKC are the kangaroos
or the Roos, right?
801
00:41:12,106 --> 00:41:13,874
There were so many things
802
00:41:13,975 --> 00:41:16,677
that you could
explain through this.
803
00:41:16,777 --> 00:41:19,647
For example, it was impossible,
804
00:41:19,747 --> 00:41:21,315
from the very beginning,
805
00:41:21,415 --> 00:41:23,551
for the UMKC
Economics Department
806
00:41:23,651 --> 00:41:26,287
to run a surplus.
807
00:41:26,387 --> 00:41:30,992
Suppose that you perform 10
hours of community service.
808
00:41:31,092 --> 00:41:33,894
Okay, 10 Buckaroos.
809
00:41:33,995 --> 00:41:38,632
Now the economics department
is running a deficit
810
00:41:38,733 --> 00:41:43,537
of 10 and the student
population has a surplus of 10.
811
00:41:45,473 --> 00:41:50,344
I can collect 10 Buckaroos back
at the end of the semester,
812
00:41:50,444 --> 00:41:55,282
but I cannot collect back 11.
813
00:41:55,750 --> 00:41:58,886
How can you collect more
in taxes than you've spent
814
00:41:58,986 --> 00:42:00,654
into the economy?
815
00:42:00,755 --> 00:42:02,156
It's impossible.
816
00:42:03,357 --> 00:42:08,562
So if you all the students
want to save any Buckaroos
817
00:42:08,662 --> 00:42:13,234
for a future semester or
in case you would get sick,
818
00:42:13,334 --> 00:42:18,406
if the currency issuer
does not run a deficit,
819
00:42:18,507 --> 00:42:22,810
then people cannot
save in that currency.
820
00:42:24,678 --> 00:42:29,617
So the normal situation
for a currency issuer is
821
00:42:29,717 --> 00:42:32,186
to be in deficit.
822
00:42:42,663 --> 00:42:44,432
- Tonight I come before
you to announce
823
00:42:44,533 --> 00:42:49,504
that the federal deficit
will be simply zero.
824
00:42:52,173 --> 00:42:55,076
Now we are on course
for budget surpluses
825
00:42:55,176 --> 00:42:58,312
for the next 25 years.
826
00:43:01,550 --> 00:43:03,217
- During the late nineties
827
00:43:03,317 --> 00:43:05,719
and early 2000s, most economists
828
00:43:05,820 --> 00:43:08,322
to them, this looked like
a Goldilocks economy.
829
00:43:08,422 --> 00:43:09,957
- We ran a
surplus for four years
830
00:43:10,057 --> 00:43:12,093
and I was Comptroller
General then, ok.
831
00:43:12,193 --> 00:43:15,062
We paid down
debt two of those four years.
832
00:43:15,162 --> 00:43:16,097
My name's Dave Walker.
833
00:43:16,197 --> 00:43:19,233
I think I may have the record
for the most testimonies
834
00:43:19,333 --> 00:43:20,601
in Congress by an individual.
835
00:43:20,701 --> 00:43:22,636
I've got about 350.
836
00:43:23,771 --> 00:43:25,306
- I recognize
David Walker
837
00:43:25,406 --> 00:43:27,675
the former head of the
Government Accounting Office.
838
00:43:27,775 --> 00:43:30,244
- After nearly 30
years of deficits,
839
00:43:30,344 --> 00:43:31,946
the combination of hard choices
840
00:43:32,046 --> 00:43:34,148
and remarkable economic growth
841
00:43:34,248 --> 00:43:35,916
has led to a budget surplus.
842
00:43:36,016 --> 00:43:38,886
- A lot of people missed what
was going on at the time.
843
00:43:38,986 --> 00:43:40,855
- You know, we had a surplus
when Bill Clinton was president.
844
00:43:40,955 --> 00:43:42,990
- That means extra money.
- Extra money.
845
00:43:45,159 --> 00:43:47,862
- The government sector
is in red in this graph,
846
00:43:47,962 --> 00:43:49,697
and except for the Clinton
years, it is always
847
00:43:49,797 --> 00:43:52,166
in deficit below the line.
848
00:43:52,266 --> 00:43:53,701
Private sector is blue.
849
00:43:53,801 --> 00:43:55,803
It's almost always
in surplus except
850
00:43:55,903 --> 00:43:58,339
for the decade after 1996.
851
00:43:58,439 --> 00:43:59,608
- It was the private sector
852
00:43:59,707 --> 00:44:01,475
that was spending
more than its income.
853
00:44:01,576 --> 00:44:03,545
We were running the deficits.
854
00:44:03,644 --> 00:44:05,646
- The sectoral balances approach
855
00:44:05,746 --> 00:44:08,015
means every time
you say the government
856
00:44:08,115 --> 00:44:10,284
should run a surplus,
you are saying
857
00:44:10,384 --> 00:44:13,555
that everybody else should
collectively run a deficit.
858
00:44:13,654 --> 00:44:15,624
- This is an accounting identity
859
00:44:15,756 --> 00:44:19,160
The total spending has
to equal the total income
860
00:44:19,260 --> 00:44:21,428
because every dollar
spent is received
861
00:44:21,530 --> 00:44:23,197
by somebody as income.
862
00:44:23,297 --> 00:44:26,000
It doesn't end up on
Mars or something yet.
863
00:44:26,100 --> 00:44:28,202
So it has to be here somewhere.
864
00:44:34,441 --> 00:44:36,410
- No. Never seen it before.
865
00:44:36,511 --> 00:44:38,078
Never heard of it.
866
00:44:38,179 --> 00:44:39,980
You know, doesn't
make sense to me.
867
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,050
- Nobody could possibly
disagree because just a fact.
868
00:44:43,150 --> 00:44:44,451
- I'm in the Accounting
Hall of Fame
869
00:44:44,553 --> 00:44:46,655
and it isn't common knowledge.
870
00:44:46,754 --> 00:44:49,456
- If the government
runs a budget surplus,
871
00:44:49,558 --> 00:44:53,662
it will be reducing our income.
872
00:44:53,761 --> 00:44:55,095
- Go and look at
the United States.
873
00:44:55,196 --> 00:44:59,534
How often have we put the
government's budget in surplus?
874
00:44:59,634 --> 00:45:02,369
Seven times in
our nation's history.
875
00:45:02,469 --> 00:45:05,172
We did it from 1817 to 1821.
876
00:45:05,272 --> 00:45:06,541
What happened?
877
00:45:06,641 --> 00:45:09,611
Had a depression
that started in 1819.
878
00:45:09,710 --> 00:45:10,978
We did it again.
879
00:45:11,111 --> 00:45:15,149
Depression, depression,
not recession, depression.
880
00:45:15,249 --> 00:45:18,719
The last time we did it was
under President Bill Clinton.
881
00:45:18,819 --> 00:45:21,556
Randy could see
the writing on the wall.
882
00:45:21,656 --> 00:45:23,625
- We knew
the private sector
883
00:45:23,724 --> 00:45:25,359
was vastly over-indebted.
884
00:45:25,459 --> 00:45:27,027
By 1998,
885
00:45:27,127 --> 00:45:30,364
we were predicting
a big crash would come.
886
00:45:30,965 --> 00:45:32,266
- What happened?
887
00:45:32,366 --> 00:45:34,301
The economy went
into recession in 2001,
888
00:45:34,401 --> 00:45:36,737
and we ended up with the great
recession just a handful
889
00:45:36,837 --> 00:45:38,339
of years later.
890
00:45:39,273 --> 00:45:41,408
- Because it's actually
not possible
891
00:45:41,509 --> 00:45:45,946
for the government sector to
be saving, running a surplus
892
00:45:46,046 --> 00:45:48,449
and the private sector
to be saving,
893
00:45:48,550 --> 00:45:49,984
that is running a surplus.
894
00:45:50,084 --> 00:45:52,520
This is not possible
for the United States.
895
00:45:52,621 --> 00:45:53,588
- If you're not thinking
896
00:45:53,688 --> 00:45:56,857
about it, you can
be led into mistakes.
897
00:45:56,957 --> 00:46:01,395
- The idea that when the
government ran a surplus,
898
00:46:01,495 --> 00:46:04,798
that that was negative
for the private sector,
899
00:46:07,034 --> 00:46:09,136
uh, I don't get it.
900
00:46:11,939 --> 00:46:13,974
- If you put the
budget in surplus
901
00:46:14,074 --> 00:46:15,943
it means you're drawing down
902
00:46:16,043 --> 00:46:17,811
the non-government surplus.
903
00:46:17,911 --> 00:46:18,979
That's what it means.
904
00:46:20,314 --> 00:46:22,617
- It doesn't mean the
government is looking around
905
00:46:22,717 --> 00:46:26,220
and successfully finding more
dollar bills out in the world
906
00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:29,456
so that it has a bigger pile
of dollars that it can spend.
907
00:46:31,025 --> 00:46:33,093
- Because money, it's
not something we dig out
908
00:46:33,193 --> 00:46:35,563
from the ground, we create it.
909
00:46:37,632 --> 00:46:41,035
It's an accounting device.
910
00:46:41,135 --> 00:46:44,405
And money always has two sides.
911
00:46:51,145 --> 00:46:54,448
- Most people think
in medieval Europe,
912
00:46:54,549 --> 00:46:58,452
that kings collected gold
coins in tax payment.
913
00:47:00,020 --> 00:47:02,156
In reality, most of the spending
914
00:47:02,256 --> 00:47:05,326
and taxing was
done in tally sticks.
915
00:47:07,094 --> 00:47:09,764
Tally sticks were hazelwood,
916
00:47:09,863 --> 00:47:12,466
and first they would
put score marks on it.
917
00:47:13,802 --> 00:47:16,604
Then they would
split the stick in two.
918
00:47:17,971 --> 00:47:20,007
Into stock and stub.
919
00:47:21,275 --> 00:47:24,178
The king would purchase a wagon
920
00:47:24,278 --> 00:47:26,514
by issuing half of a tally stick
921
00:47:28,015 --> 00:47:29,183
You will take the stick
922
00:47:29,283 --> 00:47:31,519
if you can use
that to pay your taxes.
923
00:47:32,386 --> 00:47:37,191
And the treasury would
keep the stub or debt half.
924
00:47:39,828 --> 00:47:41,862
So when tax time came,
the kings would send
925
00:47:41,962 --> 00:47:44,098
out the tax collectors.
926
00:47:44,198 --> 00:47:46,400
They would match
the stock and stub
927
00:47:46,500 --> 00:47:48,536
to make sure nobody
had counterfeited.
928
00:47:50,070 --> 00:47:51,872
Once you had
delivered back your half
929
00:47:51,972 --> 00:47:54,408
of the tally stick,
your taxes were paid.
930
00:47:56,243 --> 00:47:58,580
So although most of the
revenue was in the form
931
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:00,515
of tally sticks,
there's no reason
932
00:48:00,615 --> 00:48:02,383
to collect them and save 'em.
933
00:48:02,483 --> 00:48:05,152
Once the stock and
stub were matched,
934
00:48:05,252 --> 00:48:07,054
they were always burned.
935
00:48:15,830 --> 00:48:17,398
- And still today,
936
00:48:17,498 --> 00:48:22,771
when the government
receives tax dollars,
937
00:48:22,871 --> 00:48:25,540
they are destroyed.
938
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:28,041
- That's the nature of IOUs.
939
00:48:28,142 --> 00:48:32,279
When they come back to the
issuer, they're just destroyed.
940
00:48:44,425 --> 00:48:46,226
- Imagine a
group of people living
941
00:48:46,326 --> 00:48:48,929
in an organized community.
942
00:48:49,029 --> 00:48:51,766
They decide everyone
should contribute weekly chores
943
00:48:51,866 --> 00:48:54,268
like gardening,
cooking, or cleaning.
944
00:48:54,702 --> 00:48:58,138
So doing your chores
is like paying your taxes.
945
00:48:58,573 --> 00:49:00,742
The Community Center,
like a government,
946
00:49:00,842 --> 00:49:04,178
could record when each
person finished their chores.
947
00:49:04,378 --> 00:49:07,147
Or the Center could
pay chore credits.
948
00:49:10,184 --> 00:49:12,887
Say each adult needs to
turn in 10 chore credits a week
949
00:49:12,986 --> 00:49:15,690
to meet their obligation.
950
00:49:15,790 --> 00:49:18,492
Some might choose to earn
more credits than they need.
951
00:49:18,593 --> 00:49:20,961
So they could use the
credits to pay other members
952
00:49:21,061 --> 00:49:24,298
for special things they
produce, like baskets.
953
00:49:25,332 --> 00:49:27,501
Those members can
then pay their own tax
954
00:49:27,602 --> 00:49:29,136
with the chore credits.
955
00:49:30,839 --> 00:49:32,507
The value of the chore currency
956
00:49:32,607 --> 00:49:35,075
is determined by what you
have to do to get it.
957
00:49:35,175 --> 00:49:38,479
For example, one chore
credit for one hour of labor.
958
00:49:39,814 --> 00:49:43,450
The chore credit would be an
I.O.U. of the Community Center
959
00:49:44,151 --> 00:49:46,119
It says I owe you
960
00:49:46,220 --> 00:49:48,756
a reduction in your
chore obligation account.
961
00:49:50,057 --> 00:49:52,025
The currency is simultaneously
962
00:49:52,125 --> 00:49:53,895
a credit and debt relationship
963
00:49:53,994 --> 00:49:55,128
based on a two sided
964
00:49:55,229 --> 00:49:57,331
accounting ledger.
965
00:49:57,431 --> 00:49:59,333
The Center tallies a liability
966
00:49:59,433 --> 00:50:00,802
when they create their I.O.U.
967
00:50:00,902 --> 00:50:05,472
the chore credit, and it
circulates around the community.
968
00:50:05,773 --> 00:50:07,207
whenever the I.O.U.|s come back
969
00:50:07,307 --> 00:50:08,810
from any member to be
970
00:50:08,910 --> 00:50:11,311
redeemed for tax payment,
971
00:50:11,411 --> 00:50:12,780
the credit debt relationship
972
00:50:12,881 --> 00:50:14,114
is complete.
973
00:50:15,415 --> 00:50:16,618
The numbers on the balance sheet
974
00:50:16,718 --> 00:50:17,785
go back down,
975
00:50:19,386 --> 00:50:20,655
and the credits and debits
976
00:50:20,755 --> 00:50:22,155
disappear.
977
00:50:24,692 --> 00:50:27,529
Government spending
operates exactly the same way.
978
00:50:29,898 --> 00:50:32,232
Currency is the government's IOU
979
00:50:35,235 --> 00:50:38,138
The US dollar is a US tax credit
980
00:50:42,175 --> 00:50:44,712
Money always has two sides
981
00:50:45,279 --> 00:50:49,149
and so the currency itself
is the government's debt.
982
00:50:52,319 --> 00:50:56,123
That green piece of paper,
we call it the dollar bill,
983
00:50:56,223 --> 00:50:59,192
that is a debt of our Fed.
984
00:51:09,136 --> 00:51:11,204
- Nobody can
hold a financial asset
985
00:51:11,305 --> 00:51:13,741
unless somebody
has issued a debt.
986
00:51:18,211 --> 00:51:20,882
- I don't think so, no.
987
00:51:20,982 --> 00:51:22,082
- That's just
plain wrong
988
00:51:22,182 --> 00:51:23,818
Anyone can look at
the Fed's balance sheet
989
00:51:26,020 --> 00:51:28,255
and reserves are
on the liability side.
990
00:51:30,157 --> 00:51:31,593
- Currency notes
991
00:51:31,693 --> 00:51:34,394
are a liability.
992
00:51:35,128 --> 00:51:37,599
What is the Fed liable for?
993
00:51:38,900 --> 00:51:40,902
- They're liable
for redeeming the government|s
994
00:51:41,002 --> 00:51:42,704
outstanding tax credits.
995
00:51:43,871 --> 00:51:45,573
- Once these come
back to the government,
996
00:51:45,673 --> 00:51:48,241
they're not assets
to the government.
997
00:51:48,977 --> 00:51:49,777
- It's not that the
998
00:51:49,877 --> 00:51:51,244
government gets something
999
00:51:51,345 --> 00:51:53,180
when you pay taxes.
1000
00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:54,716
It's just that you have fewer
1001
00:51:54,816 --> 00:51:56,618
credits on your account.
1002
00:51:58,385 --> 00:51:59,887
- The government
is no longer in debt
1003
00:51:59,988 --> 00:52:03,190
when it receives back its I.O.U.
1004
00:52:03,290 --> 00:52:06,426
so it burns it.
1005
00:52:09,363 --> 00:52:11,633
- So federal
reserves and cash, are those
1006
00:52:11,733 --> 00:52:12,867
recorded as a liability
1007
00:52:12,967 --> 00:52:14,368
on the Fed's balance sheet?
1008
00:52:14,468 --> 00:52:16,771
- Yes. They're again accounting.
1009
00:52:19,874 --> 00:52:22,142
- It's accounted for by the Fed,
1010
00:52:22,242 --> 00:52:25,412
but it's not an asset
or a liability, okay?
1011
00:52:25,847 --> 00:52:29,349
- Money is always a
two-sided relationship.
1012
00:52:29,449 --> 00:52:31,819
- It's a medium. It's a medium.
1013
00:52:31,919 --> 00:52:33,353
- And so that's what most people
1014
00:52:33,453 --> 00:52:34,722
are probably not understanding.
1015
00:52:34,822 --> 00:52:37,859
They're thinking of physical
notes changing hands.
1016
00:52:37,959 --> 00:52:40,094
- I'm talking about the
currency notes, okay?
1017
00:52:40,193 --> 00:52:41,996
A means of exchange.
1018
00:52:42,096 --> 00:52:45,633
- Which I think goes
back to the myth of barter.
1019
00:52:45,733 --> 00:52:47,467
- Gold and
silver emerged
1020
00:52:47,568 --> 00:52:50,337
as the most satisfactory
medium of exchange.
1021
00:52:50,437 --> 00:52:55,143
- The media of exchange
is relatively unimportant.
1022
00:52:55,242 --> 00:52:58,278
Money has always been
the debt of the issuer.
1023
00:52:59,681 --> 00:53:03,417
The only thing that has
changed is the technology used
1024
00:53:03,518 --> 00:53:06,554
to store and transfer records
1025
00:53:06,654 --> 00:53:10,457
of the debts and the credits.
1026
00:53:10,558 --> 00:53:12,160
- For greater
convenience, men started
1027
00:53:12,259 --> 00:53:15,897
eking out gold and silver coins
with values imprinted on them.
1028
00:53:15,997 --> 00:53:20,868
- The oldest coins never
had a value stamped on them
1029
00:53:20,968 --> 00:53:23,571
and the issuer would
often change the value.
1030
00:53:23,671 --> 00:53:27,008
Just announce a
new value for the coins.
1031
00:53:27,108 --> 00:53:30,277
They were worth whatever the
emperor said they were worth
1032
00:53:30,377 --> 00:53:31,979
in payment of taxes.
1033
00:53:34,015 --> 00:53:37,985
So even the gold coin was a
debt of the king that issued it
1034
00:53:39,554 --> 00:53:42,957
because there is no such
thing as money without debt.
1035
00:54:00,373 --> 00:54:02,076
- The hearing
will come to order.
1036
00:54:02,176 --> 00:54:03,778
- I will emphasize that debt is
1037
00:54:03,878 --> 00:54:04,846
on an unsustainable course
1038
00:54:04,946 --> 00:54:06,446
in CBO's projections.
1039
00:54:08,883 --> 00:54:12,687
- Mr. Hall, what are the
consequences of high debt?
1040
00:54:12,787 --> 00:54:15,489
- The most important is
that if people start asking
1041
00:54:15,590 --> 00:54:18,659
for a premium
to lend the government money
1042
00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:21,428
to run the government, interest
rates could be much higher
1043
00:54:21,529 --> 00:54:24,031
than we project at the moment.
1044
00:54:24,132 --> 00:54:25,032
- When the government runs
1045
00:54:25,133 --> 00:54:26,433
a budget deficit,
1046
00:54:26,534 --> 00:54:29,036
it pushes interest rates up.
1047
00:54:29,137 --> 00:54:30,370
That's because the government's
1048
00:54:30,470 --> 00:54:32,372
trying to borrow more money
1049
00:54:32,472 --> 00:54:34,307
and interest rates
are like the price.
1050
00:54:34,407 --> 00:54:36,811
And whenever people
want more of something,
1051
00:54:36,911 --> 00:54:38,679
the price of it goes up.
1052
00:54:38,780 --> 00:54:41,716
There's a big debate as to
how much interest rates go up,
1053
00:54:41,816 --> 00:54:44,786
but that's definitely
the direction they go.
1054
00:54:44,886 --> 00:54:47,054
- How can he he say that?
1055
00:54:47,155 --> 00:54:49,223
How can he say it knowing
1056
00:54:49,322 --> 00:54:51,959
what we have been
doing for decades?
1057
00:54:52,059 --> 00:54:53,127
- As our debt has risen
1058
00:54:53,261 --> 00:54:55,428
in recent years, interest
rates have fallen
1059
00:54:55,530 --> 00:54:56,764
to historic lows.
1060
00:54:56,864 --> 00:54:59,167
- The national debt
goes like this,
1061
00:54:59,267 --> 00:55:01,434
and the interest rate
the whole entire time,
1062
00:55:01,536 --> 00:55:03,004
decade after decade.
1063
00:55:03,104 --> 00:55:04,839
- What is the reason for that?
1064
00:55:04,939 --> 00:55:07,241
Well, I don't know.
1065
00:55:07,340 --> 00:55:08,643
What is shocking though is
1066
00:55:08,743 --> 00:55:12,847
that even expert economists
can't really explain it either.
1067
00:55:12,947 --> 00:55:13,848
Here is the former chief
1068
00:55:13,948 --> 00:55:16,684
of the IMF basically
admitting as much.
1069
00:55:16,784 --> 00:55:19,520
- Interest rates on bonds
have come down steadily
1070
00:55:19,620 --> 00:55:20,588
since the mid eighties.
1071
00:55:20,688 --> 00:55:22,523
It's a very long trend.
1072
00:55:22,623 --> 00:55:25,325
And we have no explanation.
1073
00:55:25,425 --> 00:55:30,264
- Yeah, economists really
have no fucking idea.
1074
00:55:30,363 --> 00:55:32,465
- Why did we have near
zero interest rates?
1075
00:55:32,567 --> 00:55:36,103
Why does Japan have near zero
interest rates for 25 years?
1076
00:55:36,204 --> 00:55:38,639
It's because the central
bank sets the interest rate.
1077
00:55:38,739 --> 00:55:39,941
It's wherever the central bank
1078
00:55:40,041 --> 00:55:42,009
wants it to be.
1079
00:55:42,109 --> 00:55:44,344
It's not set by the market.
1080
00:55:45,445 --> 00:55:46,446
- What they're
talking about is
1081
00:55:46,581 --> 00:55:49,150
something called the
loanable funds model.
1082
00:55:49,250 --> 00:55:52,186
There's this finite
supply of savings.
1083
00:55:52,286 --> 00:55:54,387
- So when the
government is borrowing,
1084
00:55:54,487 --> 00:55:57,959
it's borrowing part of that
pool of private savings.
1085
00:55:59,260 --> 00:56:01,863
That means there's
less private savings
1086
00:56:01,963 --> 00:56:02,997
for other things.
1087
00:56:03,097 --> 00:56:05,465
- When the government
spends money on something
1088
00:56:05,566 --> 00:56:10,004
some business or private
person has less money to spend.
1089
00:56:10,104 --> 00:56:12,006
- It is exactly the opposite.
1090
00:56:13,875 --> 00:56:15,543
- The reality is,
1091
00:56:15,643 --> 00:56:17,011
it is the budget deficit
1092
00:56:17,111 --> 00:56:19,881
that increases the
private sector's saving,
1093
00:56:19,981 --> 00:56:21,115
dollar for dollar.
1094
00:56:22,717 --> 00:56:25,653
- Deficits don't shrink
the supply of savings.
1095
00:56:25,753 --> 00:56:30,591
It's augmenting, It's adding
to private saving, you see?
1096
00:56:30,691 --> 00:56:32,226
It's exactly the opposite
1097
00:56:32,326 --> 00:56:35,029
of what the orthodox
story tells us.
1098
00:56:41,636 --> 00:56:44,105
- We owe the Chinese
massive amounts of money.
1099
00:56:44,205 --> 00:56:46,707
- We're borrowing trillions
of dollars from China.
1100
00:56:46,807 --> 00:56:48,075
- Like America's in so much debt
1101
00:56:48,175 --> 00:56:49,810
at this point, I'm waiting
for China to pull up
1102
00:56:49,911 --> 00:56:51,812
and just tow one
of the states away.
1103
00:56:51,913 --> 00:56:53,446
Just gonna be like,
"Yeah, you didn|t pay.
1104
00:56:53,547 --> 00:56:54,982
We're repoing this, man."
1105
00:56:55,082 --> 00:56:59,053
- No, the US government is not
borrowing dollars from China.
1106
00:57:02,256 --> 00:57:03,624
- Okay, all right.
1107
00:57:03,724 --> 00:57:05,559
So let's start with trade.
1108
00:57:05,660 --> 00:57:10,698
China holds all this US
government debt, right?
1109
00:57:10,798 --> 00:57:13,968
And people get
anxious about that.
1110
00:57:14,068 --> 00:57:15,269
- It could impoverish future
1111
00:57:15,369 --> 00:57:16,604
generations because they would
1112
00:57:16,704 --> 00:57:18,471
need to pay back monies to
1113
00:57:18,572 --> 00:57:20,741
the foreigners we borrowed from.
1114
00:57:20,841 --> 00:57:24,512
- So why does China have
all of these US Treasuries?
1115
00:57:24,612 --> 00:57:26,414
Where did they get them?
1116
00:57:26,514 --> 00:57:29,050
They bought them. Using what?
1117
00:57:31,319 --> 00:57:32,653
US dollars.
1118
00:57:32,753 --> 00:57:34,388
Where did they get the dollars?
1119
00:57:34,487 --> 00:57:36,691
- It's 'cause we buy
stuff from China.
1120
00:57:36,791 --> 00:57:40,361
We buy more from China
than China buys from us.
1121
00:57:40,460 --> 00:57:42,330
- They end up with US dollars.
1122
00:57:42,430 --> 00:57:44,532
So when Donald Trump
talks about trade,
1123
00:57:44,632 --> 00:57:46,801
how does he think about trade?
1124
00:57:46,901 --> 00:57:49,370
- When was the last time anybody
1125
00:57:49,469 --> 00:57:52,606
saw us beating let's say China?
1126
00:57:52,707 --> 00:57:53,841
China's killing us.
1127
00:57:53,941 --> 00:57:55,475
- When he says China's
killing us.
1128
00:57:55,576 --> 00:57:56,410
- And if you look at China.
1129
00:57:56,510 --> 00:57:57,645
- And Japan is killing us,
1130
00:57:57,745 --> 00:57:58,679
- You look at Japan.
1131
00:57:58,779 --> 00:58:00,014
- And Mexico's killing us.
1132
00:58:00,114 --> 00:58:00,948
- And if you look at Mexico,
1133
00:58:01,048 --> 00:58:01,782
they're killing us.
1134
00:58:01,882 --> 00:58:04,185
Every country we lose money with
1135
00:58:04,285 --> 00:58:06,620
- The dollars are going out
to the rest of the world.
1136
00:58:06,721 --> 00:58:07,989
What is he missing?
1137
00:58:10,758 --> 00:58:14,362
So when I was watching the
debates with my son who was nine
1138
00:58:14,462 --> 00:58:17,497
at the time, and there is
Donald Trump and he's saying...
1139
00:58:17,598 --> 00:58:21,102
- They send their cars
over by the millions.
1140
00:58:21,202 --> 00:58:24,205
- Japan is sending us all
these cars and what do we get?
1141
00:58:24,305 --> 00:58:29,243
And my son turns to me
and he goes, "The cars?"
1142
00:58:29,343 --> 00:58:31,645
And I said,
"That's right, Bradley."
1143
00:58:31,746 --> 00:58:33,214
The cars, right?
1144
00:58:33,314 --> 00:58:34,715
This is the piece he's missing.
1145
00:58:34,815 --> 00:58:36,617
There's stuff that's coming in.
1146
00:58:39,687 --> 00:58:42,857
- If you look at what your
real wealth is as a nation,
1147
00:58:42,957 --> 00:58:46,227
you can consider your real
wealth your pile of stuff.
1148
00:58:46,327 --> 00:58:49,130
Your imports add to your
pile of stuff that you have
1149
00:58:49,230 --> 00:58:51,532
and your exports lower it.
1150
00:58:51,632 --> 00:58:54,301
Our policy makers have
this completely backwards.
1151
00:58:54,735 --> 00:58:56,437
- Why did China end up
with so many dollars?
1152
00:58:56,537 --> 00:58:58,606
cause they sent us so much stuff
1153
00:58:58,706 --> 00:59:01,575
So they end up with effectively
1154
00:59:01,675 --> 00:59:03,844
a checking account at the Fed.
1155
00:59:03,944 --> 00:59:08,849
- Then usually the Central
Bank of China will ask the Fed,
1156
00:59:08,949 --> 00:59:11,986
"We would like to have some
government bonds instead
1157
00:59:12,086 --> 00:59:15,556
of reserves because we would
like to earn some interest."
1158
00:59:15,656 --> 00:59:18,259
It's like a checking account
and a savings account.
1159
00:59:19,493 --> 00:59:22,396
- Debit their checking
account at the Fed
1160
00:59:22,496 --> 00:59:24,098
and credit their
securities account.
1161
00:59:24,198 --> 00:59:25,332
We've borrowed from China.
1162
00:59:26,634 --> 00:59:29,270
- China doesn't create
any US dollars.
1163
00:59:29,370 --> 00:59:33,607
Every dollar that China
got came from the US.
1164
00:59:34,775 --> 00:59:38,946
And all that happens when
they buy a bond, it's not
1165
00:59:39,046 --> 00:59:40,549
that they're lending
to the government
1166
00:59:40,648 --> 00:59:43,484
so Uncle Sam can
spend in America,
1167
00:59:43,584 --> 00:59:46,020
it|s that we|re allowing them
1168
00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:48,089
to transfer funds from
their checking account
1169
00:59:48,189 --> 00:59:51,592
to savings account and they
get to earn some interest.
1170
00:59:51,692 --> 00:59:54,061
- That's all it means
to borrow from China.
1171
01:00:08,709 --> 01:00:10,545
- We can't keep borrowing
and borrowing.
1172
01:00:10,644 --> 01:00:12,847
- We are borrowing from
the American future.
1173
01:00:12,947 --> 01:00:17,651
- We should not even
use the term borrowing.
1174
01:00:17,751 --> 01:00:20,522
- We refer to the government
1175
01:00:20,621 --> 01:00:23,491
selling Treasuries as borrowing.
1176
01:00:23,592 --> 01:00:25,259
But here's what's
really happening.
1177
01:00:27,928 --> 01:00:29,463
The government says, "Okay,
1178
01:00:29,564 --> 01:00:33,000
whenever I run a deficit,
I "borrow".
1179
01:00:33,100 --> 01:00:35,903
I did $10 worth
of deficit spending
1180
01:00:36,003 --> 01:00:38,405
so I have to sell
this $10 Treasury.
1181
01:00:38,507 --> 01:00:39,707
Who wants it?"
1182
01:00:39,807 --> 01:00:41,942
And sure enough, there's
someone in the economy
1183
01:00:42,042 --> 01:00:45,279
that's holding $10 in cash,
1184
01:00:45,713 --> 01:00:47,982
it was put there by
the government's deficit.
1185
01:00:49,283 --> 01:00:52,086
So the reason we don't
wanna call it "borrowing" is
1186
01:00:52,186 --> 01:00:55,322
because the government is
first putting the money in
1187
01:00:55,422 --> 01:00:58,225
and then taking the money
back out and replacing it
1188
01:00:58,325 --> 01:00:59,293
with a bond.
1189
01:00:59,426 --> 01:01:03,864
So the $10 comes out and
a $10 bond replaces it.
1190
01:01:03,964 --> 01:01:06,635
That's just interest
bearing currency.
1191
01:01:06,734 --> 01:01:08,702
That's part of
someone's financial wealth,
1192
01:01:08,802 --> 01:01:10,639
part of their savings.
1193
01:01:11,038 --> 01:01:13,774
- The bonds you
buy, they're an obligation
1194
01:01:13,874 --> 01:01:17,111
of the government in the
same way as a dollar bill
1195
01:01:17,211 --> 01:01:21,849
in your pocket, but with
special privileges.
1196
01:01:21,949 --> 01:01:23,884
- You can name
someone in the family
1197
01:01:23,984 --> 01:01:26,621
to own it with you, which means
1198
01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:28,590
that you both own the bond
1199
01:01:28,689 --> 01:01:31,025
like a joint savings account.
1200
01:01:36,363 --> 01:01:38,699
- But we call that borrowing
1201
01:01:38,799 --> 01:01:41,468
and we label the bonds,
the national debt.
1202
01:01:41,570 --> 01:01:44,238
And that's where everything
starts to go haywire.
1203
01:01:44,338 --> 01:01:46,173
- What's
the national debt?
1204
01:01:46,273 --> 01:01:47,609
It's a monster.
1205
01:01:47,708 --> 01:01:48,842
♪ School House Rock ♪
1206
01:01:49,009 --> 01:01:50,144
- Reporting
from the debt clock
1207
01:01:50,244 --> 01:01:51,011
in New York City,
1208
01:01:51,111 --> 01:01:52,413
- You know we're already 14 and
1209
01:01:52,514 --> 01:01:54,114
a half trillion dollars in debt.
1210
01:01:54,215 --> 01:01:55,816
- The national debt
is now $15 trillion.
1211
01:01:55,916 --> 01:01:56,850
- I want you to take
your attenttion
1212
01:01:56,951 --> 01:01:58,085
to these debt clocks
that are here.
1213
01:01:58,185 --> 01:01:59,286
- When I began this campaign,
1214
01:01:59,386 --> 01:02:00,254
it said it was 15 trillion.
1215
01:02:00,387 --> 01:02:02,022
- Our debt just crossed
the $20 trillion mark
1216
01:02:02,122 --> 01:02:02,890
and it ain't stopping.
- Now we're gonna have
1217
01:02:02,990 --> 01:02:04,358
21 trillion in debt.
1218
01:02:04,458 --> 01:02:05,660
We don't have any money.
1219
01:02:05,759 --> 01:02:07,361
- We're now at 27 trillion.
- We're about
1220
01:02:07,461 --> 01:02:09,196
$28 trillion in debt.
1221
01:02:09,296 --> 01:02:12,199
- 2024, $45 trillion.
1222
01:02:12,299 --> 01:02:13,267
- Wow.
1223
01:02:13,367 --> 01:02:15,302
So what I would
like this afternoon
1224
01:02:15,402 --> 01:02:18,239
to be is essentially a
form of group therapy
1225
01:02:18,339 --> 01:02:20,274
because we need it, okay?
1226
01:02:22,109 --> 01:02:27,281
The national debt is nothing
more than a historical record
1227
01:02:27,582 --> 01:02:31,452
of all of the times the US
government spent more dollars
1228
01:02:31,553 --> 01:02:35,155
than it took out, and those
dollars got transformed
1229
01:02:35,256 --> 01:02:36,524
into US Treasuries
1230
01:02:37,925 --> 01:02:40,794
Whether bonds or cash,
1231
01:02:40,894 --> 01:02:42,896
they're both our assets.
1232
01:02:45,266 --> 01:02:46,400
- Under my proposal,
1233
01:02:46,500 --> 01:02:49,136
the national debt will
be completely eliminated
1234
01:02:49,236 --> 01:02:49,937
by the year 2012.
1235
01:02:50,037 --> 01:02:51,405
- We're saying let's get back to
1236
01:02:51,506 --> 01:02:52,641
a path of paying the debt off.
1237
01:02:52,741 --> 01:02:54,709
a debt-free nation
for your children.
1238
01:02:54,808 --> 01:02:58,145
- The US government
debt that we're leaving
1239
01:02:58,245 --> 01:03:01,782
to our grandchildren is
their financial wealth.
1240
01:03:01,882 --> 01:03:03,117
- That's absolutely correct.
1241
01:03:03,217 --> 01:03:05,319
It turns out that all that debt
1242
01:03:05,419 --> 01:03:08,657
on that debt clock, it's
also private sector wealth.
1243
01:03:08,757 --> 01:03:09,890
So that debt clock may
1244
01:03:09,990 --> 01:03:12,793
as well just say
private sector wealth.
1245
01:03:12,893 --> 01:03:14,962
- Now that you know what
the national debt is,
1246
01:03:15,062 --> 01:03:17,532
You can look at that debt clock
and watch the name.
1247
01:03:18,733 --> 01:03:21,902
It becomes the
US dollar savings clock.
1248
01:03:23,103 --> 01:03:24,838
So now we don't have
to get so anxious
1249
01:03:24,938 --> 01:03:26,807
because it doesn't have
the word debt any longer.
1250
01:03:26,907 --> 01:03:29,076
Now we know it's just
recording all of the dollars
1251
01:03:29,176 --> 01:03:32,179
that are currently being
held as somebody's savings.
1252
01:03:32,279 --> 01:03:34,014
So now don't you feel better?
1253
01:03:35,316 --> 01:03:38,185
If you can get people
to that understanding,
1254
01:03:38,285 --> 01:03:41,790
this thing is not a
monster, it's not a cancer,
1255
01:03:41,889 --> 01:03:43,558
it's not a threat to
future generations,
1256
01:03:43,658 --> 01:03:44,892
it's not immoral.
1257
01:03:44,992 --> 01:03:46,994
It's just our savings.
1258
01:03:47,094 --> 01:03:49,196
Then you start getting people
1259
01:03:49,296 --> 01:03:51,065
focused on the things
that matter.
1260
01:03:52,366 --> 01:03:54,902
We're still gonna have
disagreements about the best way
1261
01:03:55,002 --> 01:03:57,404
to use the deficit,
1262
01:03:57,938 --> 01:04:00,974
but at least we would be
having the right debate.
1263
01:04:01,075 --> 01:04:03,377
What can we afford?
1264
01:04:03,477 --> 01:04:05,946
The question isn't, will
it increase the deficit?
1265
01:04:06,046 --> 01:04:09,316
The question is, will it
increase inflationary pressures?
1266
01:04:11,653 --> 01:04:15,889
At that point, I'm gonna
take a deep breath, huge sigh
1267
01:04:15,989 --> 01:04:18,392
of relief and I'm gonna go
spend some time with my kids
1268
01:04:18,492 --> 01:04:21,195
because I'll know
we finally did it.
1269
01:04:43,317 --> 01:04:45,653
All right, good boy, let's go.
1270
01:04:51,526 --> 01:04:53,193
That's how he sleeps.
1271
01:04:53,360 --> 01:04:54,928
I don't know if it's the breed
1272
01:04:55,028 --> 01:04:57,998
or if this is just a
particularly weird dog.
1273
01:05:05,707 --> 01:05:07,241
Whoa baby.
1274
01:05:09,544 --> 01:05:11,478
- Thank you so
much Professor Kelton
1275
01:05:11,579 --> 01:05:13,180
for joining us here today.
1276
01:05:13,981 --> 01:05:15,115
I wanna ask,
1277
01:05:15,282 --> 01:05:17,384
why is it that we're
letting everybody, you know,
1278
01:05:17,484 --> 01:05:19,052
continue with this
misunderstanding
1279
01:05:19,153 --> 01:05:20,421
of how things work?
1280
01:05:21,422 --> 01:05:24,091
- You know, who's
gonna align with you,
1281
01:05:24,191 --> 01:05:26,226
if you step out first?
1282
01:05:30,565 --> 01:05:32,065
You're gonna be a target.
1283
01:05:32,166 --> 01:05:33,934
Those ideas are
gonna be a target.
1284
01:05:35,837 --> 01:05:39,139
But MMT it|s always
been a group of us
1285
01:05:39,239 --> 01:05:43,277
that sacrificed a lot to make
the professional decision
1286
01:05:43,377 --> 01:05:45,880
to say things that
are so different from
1287
01:05:45,979 --> 01:05:47,582
what everyone else is saying.
1288
01:05:49,149 --> 01:05:51,753
Knowing that you're gonna
be not just challenged
1289
01:05:51,853 --> 01:05:56,758
but ridiculed along the way,
you gotta have some thick skin
1290
01:05:56,858 --> 01:05:58,459
to get through it.
1291
01:05:59,694 --> 01:06:01,930
But if you're convinced
1292
01:06:02,029 --> 01:06:03,631
that the work that
you're doing is important
1293
01:06:03,731 --> 01:06:06,433
and that the ideas will
hold up to scrutiny,
1294
01:06:06,534 --> 01:06:09,269
then you just keep
pushing forward.
1295
01:06:17,377 --> 01:06:19,514
- I wanna talk about
Modern Monetary Theory,
1296
01:06:19,614 --> 01:06:20,849
which basically states
1297
01:06:20,949 --> 01:06:22,817
that countries can
finance their operations
1298
01:06:22,917 --> 01:06:24,819
by continuously printing money
1299
01:06:24,919 --> 01:06:26,788
without really the
fear of inflation.
1300
01:06:26,888 --> 01:06:28,188
- We can print as much money
1301
01:06:28,288 --> 01:06:29,490
as we want and we can spend
1302
01:06:29,591 --> 01:06:30,625
as much money as we want,
1303
01:06:30,725 --> 01:06:32,059
and there are no consequences.
1304
01:06:32,159 --> 01:06:33,494
That's crazy.
1305
01:06:33,595 --> 01:06:34,863
- That's not what we say.
1306
01:06:34,963 --> 01:06:36,096
We would say,
1307
01:06:36,330 --> 01:06:38,165
sure, Congress can always
authorize the spending,
1308
01:06:38,265 --> 01:06:41,134
but if they authorize too
much, you'll get inflation.
1309
01:06:41,235 --> 01:06:42,236
It's at the center.
1310
01:06:42,336 --> 01:06:44,772
It's inflation is the constraint
1311
01:06:44,873 --> 01:06:46,306
We're not removing the limits.
1312
01:06:47,274 --> 01:06:48,843
- The true constraints
1313
01:06:48,943 --> 01:06:53,213
on government spending are the
resources that are available.
1314
01:06:53,313 --> 01:06:54,883
- Our people, our land,
1315
01:06:54,983 --> 01:06:58,385
water and agriculture, our
factories, our infrastructure
1316
01:06:58,485 --> 01:07:00,087
and transportation, education
1317
01:07:00,187 --> 01:07:02,222
and technology, our healthcare.
1318
01:07:03,156 --> 01:07:04,358
All of us recognizing
1319
01:07:04,458 --> 01:07:06,661
that we don't want
punishing inflation.
1320
01:07:06,761 --> 01:07:08,696
We don't want inflation
to get outta control.
1321
01:07:08,796 --> 01:07:10,297
And the MMT position is
1322
01:07:10,397 --> 01:07:14,401
that the best defense against
inflation is a good offense.
1323
01:07:14,501 --> 01:07:17,005
It's to think about
it ahead of time.
1324
01:07:17,104 --> 01:07:19,574
It's to consider
before you allow a vote.
1325
01:07:19,674 --> 01:07:23,210
If you wanna do $2 trillion
of infrastructure investment,
1326
01:07:23,310 --> 01:07:25,880
what are the real resources
that we're going to need?
1327
01:07:25,980 --> 01:07:27,515
Where are you
gonna get the contractors
1328
01:07:27,615 --> 01:07:28,983
and the architects,
the engineers,
1329
01:07:29,082 --> 01:07:31,351
the steel, the concrete,
the machines?
1330
01:07:31,451 --> 01:07:34,589
Show me that you have
access to the real resources
1331
01:07:34,689 --> 01:07:36,891
or are you gonna have
to compete for those?
1332
01:07:36,991 --> 01:07:40,494
And that tells me that you're
gonna be bidding up prices.
1333
01:07:42,129 --> 01:07:43,263
If they say,
1334
01:07:43,363 --> 01:07:45,365
if you do this trillion dollars
1335
01:07:45,465 --> 01:07:49,269
without raising taxes,
inflation will go to 3.5%.
1336
01:07:49,369 --> 01:07:50,972
Then you go, "Whoa, okay.
1337
01:07:51,071 --> 01:07:54,107
I need some offsets
before we vote on this."
1338
01:07:54,207 --> 01:07:56,376
You do it before the vote.
1339
01:07:56,476 --> 01:07:57,845
And that's why it's so important
1340
01:07:57,946 --> 01:07:59,681
to have a careful evaluation.
1341
01:07:59,781 --> 01:08:01,181
And economists can do this.
1342
01:08:02,182 --> 01:08:03,116
- You have to analyze
1343
01:08:03,216 --> 01:08:06,054
where the economy is
at the moment.
1344
01:08:06,153 --> 01:08:08,121
If we're in a
recession with lots
1345
01:08:08,221 --> 01:08:10,959
of unemployed people
and resources, and factories,
1346
01:08:11,059 --> 01:08:12,827
the government
can spend a lot more,
1347
01:08:14,394 --> 01:08:16,564
no matter the size of the debt.
1348
01:08:17,865 --> 01:08:19,399
Whereas if we're in a boom
1349
01:08:19,499 --> 01:08:22,235
when the economy is already
close to full capacity,
1350
01:08:23,470 --> 01:08:26,139
the government needs to
be much more careful about
1351
01:08:26,239 --> 01:08:29,142
how much and what they spend on.
1352
01:08:29,242 --> 01:08:31,613
- Some kinds of
spending will be inherently
1353
01:08:31,713 --> 01:08:34,849
more inflationary than
other kinds of spending.
1354
01:08:37,685 --> 01:08:39,754
- But private
banks also create money
1355
01:08:40,855 --> 01:08:42,422
that can add to inflation too.
1356
01:08:46,861 --> 01:08:49,463
- Banks create bank money.
1357
01:08:50,464 --> 01:08:53,668
They create it every
time they make a loan.
1358
01:08:56,871 --> 01:08:59,172
- But this isn't
in the textbooks either.
1359
01:09:01,475 --> 01:09:03,845
- This mainstream
textbook reads,
1360
01:09:03,945 --> 01:09:08,315
"A primary job of banks is
to take in deposits from
1361
01:09:08,415 --> 01:09:12,120
people who want to save and use
these deposits to make
1362
01:09:12,219 --> 01:09:14,421
loans to people who
want to borrow."
1363
01:09:15,455 --> 01:09:16,991
- No, it's not correct.
1364
01:09:17,091 --> 01:09:20,227
Banks don't lend
other people's money.
1365
01:09:20,327 --> 01:09:22,030
- If they operated that way,
1366
01:09:22,130 --> 01:09:25,399
we wouldn't get
global financial crises.
1367
01:09:25,499 --> 01:09:30,038
We would not get speculative
bubbles in housing.
1368
01:09:30,138 --> 01:09:33,708
- I would have my students rip
that chapter out of the book
1369
01:09:33,808 --> 01:09:36,309
and then I would teach
them how banking works.
1370
01:09:37,277 --> 01:09:39,747
If you walk into a
bank and you sit down
1371
01:09:39,847 --> 01:09:42,817
with a loan officer, the loan
officer doesn't look to see
1372
01:09:42,917 --> 01:09:45,285
if they have money
available to lend to you.
1373
01:09:45,385 --> 01:09:48,056
They look at you. They
look at your employment
1374
01:09:48,156 --> 01:09:49,423
and your income,
1375
01:09:49,524 --> 01:09:52,492
and if a bank thinks you're
a good credit-worthy customer
1376
01:09:52,593 --> 01:09:55,663
and I can make money by
granting this loan to you,
1377
01:09:55,763 --> 01:09:57,197
then the loan officer
1378
01:09:57,297 --> 01:09:58,566
acquires the loan.
1379
01:09:58,666 --> 01:10:00,400
That is, they put
it on the asset side
1380
01:10:00,500 --> 01:10:02,335
of their balance sheet and they
say, "This is now my asset.
1381
01:10:02,436 --> 01:10:06,239
$50,000 loan to Mr. X."
1382
01:10:06,339 --> 01:10:10,243
And Mr. X on the other hand
has his own balance sheet
1383
01:10:10,343 --> 01:10:12,245
and he's just taken out a loan.
1384
01:10:12,345 --> 01:10:15,983
So he's added a liability
to the liability side
1385
01:10:16,084 --> 01:10:16,851
of his balance sheet.
1386
01:10:16,951 --> 01:10:19,854
$50,000 has been added in debt.
1387
01:10:19,954 --> 01:10:22,523
And they put $50,000 in
1388
01:10:22,623 --> 01:10:24,759
the customer's bank account.
1389
01:10:24,859 --> 01:10:28,930
They simply change the numbers
in Mr. X's bank account.
1390
01:10:29,362 --> 01:10:32,499
That's on the liability side
of the bank's balance sheet.
1391
01:10:33,433 --> 01:10:35,203
Balance sheets have to balance,
1392
01:10:35,302 --> 01:10:38,005
so both of their balance
sheets are in balance.
1393
01:10:40,041 --> 01:10:42,744
Where do the banks get the
money that they loan out?
1394
01:10:42,844 --> 01:10:45,880
They get it from their
chartered authority
1395
01:10:45,980 --> 01:10:47,347
to issue deposits.
1396
01:10:47,447 --> 01:10:49,150
That's where it comes from.
1397
01:10:49,249 --> 01:10:51,251
Got the money from the keyboard.
1398
01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:57,424
- Your checking account
deposit is your bank's I.O.U.
1399
01:10:57,525 --> 01:11:00,327
That is their liability or debt.
1400
01:11:00,427 --> 01:11:03,765
And when you repay the loan,
1401
01:11:03,865 --> 01:11:05,933
just like the I.O.U.s,
1402
01:11:06,033 --> 01:11:08,536
the money disappears.
1403
01:11:11,304 --> 01:11:12,673
Because they have this ability
1404
01:11:12,774 --> 01:11:16,677
to create money, banks
need to be regulated.
1405
01:11:16,778 --> 01:11:20,347
They can make good loans
and they can make bad loans.
1406
01:11:20,447 --> 01:11:24,317
In the lead up to the crisis,
Wall Street financed all
1407
01:11:24,417 --> 01:11:28,623
of these fraudulent mortgages,
trillions of dollars
1408
01:11:28,723 --> 01:11:31,759
of bad loans that went bad.
1409
01:11:35,763 --> 01:11:39,133
- We start 2009 in
the midst of a crisis
1410
01:11:39,233 --> 01:11:42,537
unlike any we have
seen in our lifetime.
1411
01:11:42,637 --> 01:11:46,007
Many businesses cannot
borrow or make payroll.
1412
01:11:46,473 --> 01:11:50,410
Many families cannot pay
their bills or their mortgage.
1413
01:11:50,845 --> 01:11:54,081
Many workers are watching
their life savings disappear.
1414
01:11:55,315 --> 01:11:57,285
- In the 2000s,
1415
01:11:57,384 --> 01:12:01,255
I was a lawyer at
a really big law firm.
1416
01:12:01,354 --> 01:12:02,523
I'm on Wall Street.
1417
01:12:02,623 --> 01:12:05,293
The task that I got was
1418
01:12:05,425 --> 01:12:08,162
to explain how did
this financial crisis
1419
01:12:08,262 --> 01:12:09,997
that we've been
plunged into happen?
1420
01:12:11,866 --> 01:12:14,001
Millions of people
lost their jobs.
1421
01:12:14,101 --> 01:12:15,002
It was horrible.
1422
01:12:16,304 --> 01:12:18,840
The deficit and debt
automatically go up
1423
01:12:18,940 --> 01:12:21,676
as people are thrown
into unemployment.
1424
01:12:22,310 --> 01:12:23,544
- This past weekend,
1425
01:12:23,678 --> 01:12:26,614
the federal debt passed
the $12 trillion mark.
1426
01:12:26,714 --> 01:12:29,183
- At the beginning
of 2010, in the midst
1427
01:12:29,283 --> 01:12:33,855
of this terrible deep
recession, Obama's team pivoted
1428
01:12:33,955 --> 01:12:35,056
to the deficit.
1429
01:12:35,156 --> 01:12:38,526
- We will not be adding
more to the national debt.
1430
01:12:38,626 --> 01:12:40,427
Because in these hard times,
1431
01:12:40,528 --> 01:12:43,531
we have to do what families
across America are doing.
1432
01:12:43,631 --> 01:12:46,667
Save where we can so that
we can afford what we need.
1433
01:12:46,767 --> 01:12:48,202
- And I think it's a fair bet
1434
01:12:48,302 --> 01:12:50,004
that the United States
will default.
1435
01:12:50,104 --> 01:12:51,005
- If foreign lenders lose
1436
01:12:51,105 --> 01:12:52,173
confidence in our ability to
1437
01:12:52,273 --> 01:12:53,241
put our government's financial
1438
01:12:53,341 --> 01:12:54,275
house in order,
1439
01:12:54,374 --> 01:12:55,943
we could experience a dramatic
1440
01:12:56,043 --> 01:12:57,211
increase in interest rates.
1441
01:12:57,311 --> 01:12:58,546
- That's what he was hearing.
1442
01:12:58,646 --> 01:13:00,447
- You know, Greece was
borrowing at relatively low
1443
01:13:00,548 --> 01:13:01,448
rates until it wasn't.
1444
01:13:01,549 --> 01:13:02,316
A debt crisis.
1445
01:13:02,415 --> 01:13:03,751
A ruinous debt crisis.
1446
01:13:03,851 --> 01:13:06,020
- Fiscal policy turned negative.
1447
01:13:06,120 --> 01:13:09,891
- We're trying to cut the
deficit by $4 trillion dollars
1448
01:13:09,991 --> 01:13:10,925
over the next decade.
1449
01:13:11,025 --> 01:13:13,895
- This freeze will require
painful cuts.
1450
01:13:13,995 --> 01:13:15,462
- This was a time
when bank money was
1451
01:13:15,563 --> 01:13:17,164
rapidly disappearing.
1452
01:13:17,265 --> 01:13:18,532
Because households were trying
1453
01:13:18,633 --> 01:13:21,501
to pay back unsustainable
private debts.
1454
01:13:21,602 --> 01:13:23,771
And banks weren't
making many new loans,
1455
01:13:23,871 --> 01:13:25,873
as jobs, income,
1456
01:13:25,973 --> 01:13:26,874
and prices were down.
1457
01:13:26,974 --> 01:13:29,510
Spending was in
a downward spiral.
1458
01:13:30,745 --> 01:13:33,114
- Good afternoon. My name
is Reverend Delman Coates.
1459
01:13:33,214 --> 01:13:35,883
I'm the senior pastor of
Mount Ennon Baptist Church
1460
01:13:35,983 --> 01:13:37,484
in Clinton, Maryland.
1461
01:13:37,585 --> 01:13:39,620
Prince George's County, where
I pastor leads the state
1462
01:13:39,720 --> 01:13:41,689
of Maryland in foreclosures.
1463
01:13:42,590 --> 01:13:44,625
I would have these sessions here
1464
01:13:44,725 --> 01:13:48,296
at the church and we'd have
thousands of people here.
1465
01:13:48,396 --> 01:13:49,496
- At the height of the
Great Recession,
1466
01:13:49,597 --> 01:13:54,368
800,000 Americans were
losing their jobs each month.
1467
01:13:54,467 --> 01:13:55,670
Our factories weren't operating
1468
01:13:55,770 --> 01:13:57,972
anywhere near their
full capacity.
1469
01:13:58,072 --> 01:13:58,773
Machines were lying idle.
1470
01:13:58,873 --> 01:14:00,374
We had a housing bubble burst
1471
01:14:00,473 --> 01:14:02,743
so we had all these
contractors and engineers
1472
01:14:02,843 --> 01:14:05,079
and architects and electricians.
1473
01:14:05,179 --> 01:14:06,714
All these people are outta work.
1474
01:14:06,814 --> 01:14:08,983
We have lots of people who
know how to build stuff.
1475
01:14:09,083 --> 01:14:12,954
The US easily could
have spent $2 trillion
1476
01:14:13,054 --> 01:14:14,755
into the US economy,
1477
01:14:15,623 --> 01:14:18,192
repairing, modernizing America|s
1478
01:14:18,292 --> 01:14:20,528
third world infrastructure,
1479
01:14:20,628 --> 01:14:22,563
with no new taxes,
1480
01:14:22,863 --> 01:14:25,199
because we had all
the slack in the economy
1481
01:14:25,299 --> 01:14:27,635
to absorb that spending,
1482
01:14:27,735 --> 01:14:30,137
without the risk of inflation.
1483
01:14:32,039 --> 01:14:33,140
- We have work to do
1484
01:14:33,240 --> 01:14:36,577
in society, work to address
our greatest existential threat
1485
01:14:36,677 --> 01:14:39,580
right now, which is
climate change.
1486
01:14:39,714 --> 01:14:42,650
The federal government has
the power of the public purse
1487
01:14:42,750 --> 01:14:44,218
to put every American
1488
01:14:44,318 --> 01:14:46,020
who desires a dignified job
1489
01:14:46,486 --> 01:14:47,955
to work.
1490
01:14:49,123 --> 01:14:51,459
- But people
were the most worried
1491
01:14:51,559 --> 01:14:54,328
about the national debt
at precisely the time
1492
01:14:54,428 --> 01:14:57,565
when the federal government
could have spent more than
1493
01:14:57,665 --> 01:15:00,134
at any time since
the Great Depression.
1494
01:15:01,569 --> 01:15:04,905
- That was a disastrous
missed opportunity
1495
01:15:05,006 --> 01:15:09,610
to employ those
resources to benefit the country
1496
01:15:12,780 --> 01:15:14,648
That was a tragic mistake.
1497
01:15:17,718 --> 01:15:19,854
But Stephanie Kelton
was not speaking to
1498
01:15:19,954 --> 01:15:22,623
Obama at this stage of history.
1499
01:15:31,732 --> 01:15:33,868
- You know, I have a computer
screen, I have a phone,
1500
01:15:33,968 --> 01:15:35,936
I have an iPad,
and I have a laptop.
1501
01:15:36,037 --> 01:15:39,907
So without being on Twitter,
I can be aware of Twitter.
1502
01:15:42,843 --> 01:15:44,011
- For several years
1503
01:15:44,278 --> 01:15:47,415
after the financial crisis,
the MMT people had a lot
1504
01:15:47,516 --> 01:15:48,616
of small victories,
1505
01:15:48,716 --> 01:15:50,918
but they didn't really
have a major breakthrough.
1506
01:15:52,620 --> 01:15:54,088
- You know, we were
writing and publishing
1507
01:15:54,188 --> 01:15:55,756
and we were largely ignored.
1508
01:15:56,824 --> 01:15:59,994
We wanted to have a voice
in the policy debates.
1509
01:16:00,094 --> 01:16:02,897
And the way to do that is not
to write a journal article
1510
01:16:02,997 --> 01:16:05,800
that goes under review and two
years later gets published,
1511
01:16:05,900 --> 01:16:08,569
that doesn't get you
kind of in the debate.
1512
01:16:08,669 --> 01:16:11,639
You had to thrust your
way in somehow.
1513
01:16:11,739 --> 01:16:13,140
I remember going to Randy
1514
01:16:13,240 --> 01:16:16,210
and saying, "I'd like to start
a blog, will you contribute?"
1515
01:16:16,310 --> 01:16:18,112
And he said, "What's a blog?"
1516
01:16:18,212 --> 01:16:20,214
- The blogosphere, that's
where I came across it.
1517
01:16:21,182 --> 01:16:23,117
- And it was fun.
1518
01:16:23,217 --> 01:16:25,820
- Hey, what's that new
group over there that|s
1519
01:16:25,920 --> 01:16:27,321
saying something different?
1520
01:16:28,889 --> 01:16:31,560
We were making
some pretty big calls,
1521
01:16:31,659 --> 01:16:34,128
and what people
call finance Twitter
1522
01:16:34,228 --> 01:16:35,796
they paid attention first.
1523
01:16:38,567 --> 01:16:40,401
- Wall Street seems
very receptive,
1524
01:16:40,501 --> 01:16:42,803
more so than the
economics profession.
1525
01:16:42,903 --> 01:16:44,805
- They just wanna
get their bets right.
1526
01:16:45,773 --> 01:16:46,807
That made people pay
1527
01:16:46,907 --> 01:16:48,843
a little bit of attention.
1528
01:16:48,943 --> 01:16:51,178
And then they
started laughing at us.
1529
01:16:51,278 --> 01:16:54,315
- Modern Monetary Theory,
kinda like a kid coming up
1530
01:16:54,415 --> 01:16:58,652
with a modern dietary
theory that says it's okay
1531
01:16:58,752 --> 01:17:00,855
to eat cookies for every meal.
1532
01:17:00,955 --> 01:17:02,189
- And we sort of celebrated
1533
01:17:02,289 --> 01:17:04,825
because we said, "Okay, well,
we left the first stage.
1534
01:17:04,925 --> 01:17:06,694
We're not ignored anymore.
1535
01:17:06,794 --> 01:17:09,130
Now we're to the, 'then
they ridicule you stage.'"
1536
01:17:09,230 --> 01:17:10,798
So that was actually
moving on up.
1537
01:17:10,898 --> 01:17:12,233
That felt kind of good.
1538
01:17:37,224 --> 01:17:38,726
- No, you know,
this is the thing.
1539
01:17:38,826 --> 01:17:41,596
It's a matter of
emphasis and rhetoric.
1540
01:17:41,695 --> 01:17:43,330
You can look
at the pronouncements
1541
01:17:43,430 --> 01:17:44,865
of people like Stephanie Kelton
1542
01:17:44,965 --> 01:17:46,601
saying "Look,
we keep repeating
1543
01:17:46,700 --> 01:17:48,302
that real resource constraints
1544
01:17:48,402 --> 01:17:50,539
are what really matter."
1545
01:17:50,639 --> 01:17:53,508
The modern monetary
theorists do say
1546
01:17:53,608 --> 01:17:56,243
there's ultimately
scarcity of resources.
1547
01:17:56,343 --> 01:18:00,714
But too often they treat the
world as if the norm is one
1548
01:18:00,814 --> 01:18:04,885
of generally unemployed
resources and plenty of 'em.
1549
01:18:04,985 --> 01:18:07,121
But I must say in
the last 20 years
1550
01:18:07,221 --> 01:18:10,057
of course, since 2008,
there've been more times
1551
01:18:10,157 --> 01:18:13,360
when we haven't been
constrained than when we have.
1552
01:18:13,460 --> 01:18:15,462
But the question is, all right,
1553
01:18:15,564 --> 01:18:18,199
what do they think we should do
1554
01:18:18,299 --> 01:18:23,370
to actually control
inflation when it's upon us?
1555
01:18:23,605 --> 01:18:24,738
- Breaking news on the economy.
1556
01:18:24,838 --> 01:18:25,906
At any moment now,
1557
01:18:26,006 --> 01:18:27,908
the Federal Reserve is expected
1558
01:18:28,008 --> 01:18:29,076
to raise interest rates
1559
01:18:29,176 --> 01:18:31,345
for the sixth time this year.
1560
01:18:31,445 --> 01:18:32,479
- The Fed's goal to tamp down
1561
01:18:32,581 --> 01:18:33,615
inflation which is now
1562
01:18:33,714 --> 01:18:35,316
at a 40 year high.
1563
01:18:36,016 --> 01:18:37,017
- Americans
are paying more
1564
01:18:37,117 --> 01:18:39,820
for gas, food,
clothing, and cars.
1565
01:18:44,491 --> 01:18:47,895
- In the US, Congress has
given the Fed a dual mandate.
1566
01:18:47,995 --> 01:18:51,131
We want full employment,
we want low inflation.
1567
01:18:51,232 --> 01:18:51,999
Go get 'em, tiger.
1568
01:18:52,099 --> 01:18:53,867
We say to the Fed,
"It's your job."
1569
01:18:53,968 --> 01:18:55,637
They have one tool.
1570
01:18:55,736 --> 01:18:56,437
One tool.
1571
01:18:56,538 --> 01:18:57,905
The overnight interest rate.
1572
01:18:58,005 --> 01:19:00,007
Find the magic interest rate
1573
01:19:00,107 --> 01:19:03,944
that puts the whole
US economy in balance.
1574
01:19:04,044 --> 01:19:06,847
- The Fed cannot tax,
the Fed cannot spend.
1575
01:19:06,947 --> 01:19:08,382
The Fed can only
set interest rates.
1576
01:19:08,482 --> 01:19:11,385
Interest rate
policy's a very blunt tool.
1577
01:19:11,485 --> 01:19:12,587
- I mean, you have to understand
1578
01:19:12,687 --> 01:19:16,591
what the driver
of the inflation is.
1579
01:19:16,691 --> 01:19:18,459
- When you have a water
leak flooding your basement,
1580
01:19:18,560 --> 01:19:21,696
you better identify the
correct source of the leak
1581
01:19:21,795 --> 01:19:23,931
if you wanna solve the problem.
1582
01:19:24,031 --> 01:19:26,934
Is the inflation coming
from an increase in demand?
1583
01:19:27,034 --> 01:19:29,436
Or a decrease in the supply
1584
01:19:29,537 --> 01:19:31,472
of goods and real resources?
1585
01:19:31,573 --> 01:19:33,140
- Perhaps from a global
1586
01:19:33,240 --> 01:19:36,343
that disrupted factories,
workers going to work,
1587
01:19:36,443 --> 01:19:38,312
supply chains and shipping.
1588
01:19:38,412 --> 01:19:41,181
Perhaps its severe flooding
that cut food production
1589
01:19:41,282 --> 01:19:43,150
in a country by 90%.
1590
01:19:44,485 --> 01:19:45,486
Or is it OPEC
1591
01:19:45,587 --> 01:19:49,123
or an oil embargo increasing
the cost of energy?
1592
01:19:49,223 --> 01:19:51,358
- In 1973, the price
1593
01:19:51,458 --> 01:19:54,161
of oil jumped four times
higher than before.
1594
01:19:55,863 --> 01:19:58,299
- So what policies
can address inflation
1595
01:19:58,399 --> 01:20:00,834
by targeting where
it's coming from?
1596
01:20:00,934 --> 01:20:04,038
If it's coming from a
shortage in the energy sector.
1597
01:20:04,138 --> 01:20:07,074
- We can reduce
our consumption of oil
1598
01:20:07,174 --> 01:20:10,177
with policies to conserve,
drive less, fly less, no fees
1599
01:20:10,277 --> 01:20:14,381
for public transit, work from
home, shorter work weeks.
1600
01:20:14,481 --> 01:20:17,719
And we can also increase
the capacity of that sector
1601
01:20:17,818 --> 01:20:19,320
to relieve some of the
1602
01:20:19,420 --> 01:20:21,221
pressure and bottlenecks.
1603
01:20:21,322 --> 01:20:23,290
- You can
actually spend money
1604
01:20:23,390 --> 01:20:26,226
and reduce
inflationary pressures
1605
01:20:26,327 --> 01:20:29,997
- Money that builds new
capacity, building mass transit
1606
01:20:30,097 --> 01:20:32,833
and converting to a hundred
percent renewable energy.
1607
01:20:33,934 --> 01:20:34,968
So healthcare,
1608
01:20:35,069 --> 01:20:36,538
education, housing,
1609
01:20:36,638 --> 01:20:38,439
and energy and transportation.
1610
01:20:38,540 --> 01:20:41,810
The Green New Deal includes
those areas specifically not
1611
01:20:41,909 --> 01:20:43,143
because it's the favorite
shopping list
1612
01:20:43,243 --> 01:20:44,945
of the progressive movement.
1613
01:20:45,045 --> 01:20:46,748
Well, because these are
the sources of inflation.
1614
01:20:46,847 --> 01:20:48,382
We|re gonna include them
in the Green New Deal
1615
01:20:48,482 --> 01:20:51,485
because that's how you increase
availability, reduce cost.
1616
01:20:54,288 --> 01:20:56,624
- Or are corporations
taking advantage
1617
01:20:56,725 --> 01:20:58,158
of a natural disaster, war,
1618
01:20:58,258 --> 01:20:59,193
or pandemic,
1619
01:20:59,293 --> 01:21:00,762
to mark up prices much higher
1620
01:21:00,861 --> 01:21:02,863
than the cost of production?
1621
01:21:03,297 --> 01:21:06,500
In World War II, they didn't
just leave it to the market or
1622
01:21:06,601 --> 01:21:08,803
the Federal Reserve's one tool
1623
01:21:08,902 --> 01:21:10,371
of raising interest rates,
1624
01:21:10,471 --> 01:21:11,706
to manage inflation
1625
01:21:11,806 --> 01:21:14,041
and allocate scarce resources.
1626
01:21:14,141 --> 01:21:15,409
That would never have worked
1627
01:21:15,510 --> 01:21:17,344
to prevent real shortages
1628
01:21:17,444 --> 01:21:18,713
or rising prices.
1629
01:21:18,813 --> 01:21:21,348
- Don't grab for
more than your share.
1630
01:21:22,817 --> 01:21:25,419
- But what if we want to
increase government spending
1631
01:21:25,520 --> 01:21:28,389
and the economy is
already at full capacity?
1632
01:21:28,790 --> 01:21:33,494
- Then the resources have
to be freed up or created.
1633
01:21:33,595 --> 01:21:34,962
How do you do that?
1634
01:21:35,462 --> 01:21:38,833
- We can first look at
where are we wasting resources?
1635
01:21:38,932 --> 01:21:40,735
- You know, I think
of Medicare for All
1636
01:21:40,835 --> 01:21:43,404
as a huge opportunity
in this respect.
1637
01:21:43,504 --> 01:21:45,973
We have the biggest, most
expensive healthcare system
1638
01:21:46,073 --> 01:21:50,110
in the entire world,
roughly 18% of US GDP.
1639
01:21:50,210 --> 01:21:51,478
If we were to transition
1640
01:21:51,579 --> 01:21:56,283
to a leaner, more efficient
form of healthcare delivery,
1641
01:21:56,383 --> 01:21:58,753
it's gonna save us
a lot of resources.
1642
01:21:58,853 --> 01:22:00,555
You know,
eliminating the middleman.
1643
01:22:01,321 --> 01:22:03,691
- If you want to fight inflation
1644
01:22:03,792 --> 01:22:07,127
you need to release resources.
1645
01:22:07,227 --> 01:22:10,130
- Defense, the
military industrial complex,
1646
01:22:10,230 --> 01:22:14,702
and we have this behemoth
of a finance sector.
1647
01:22:14,803 --> 01:22:16,170
- We got like
1648
01:22:16,270 --> 01:22:17,906
over 20 million people
tied up in this stuff
1649
01:22:18,005 --> 01:22:19,173
that could be doing
something else.
1650
01:22:19,273 --> 01:22:21,275
They could have
cured cancer, built out
1651
01:22:21,375 --> 01:22:23,578
all the green infrastructure.
1652
01:22:25,946 --> 01:22:27,481
- And remember, private
banks create money
1653
01:22:27,582 --> 01:22:30,117
that adds to spending
pressure as well.
1654
01:22:31,118 --> 01:22:33,588
Banks have a special
banking license
1655
01:22:33,688 --> 01:22:35,657
that allows them to issue credit
1656
01:22:35,757 --> 01:22:39,293
and that license was given to
them by the federal government
1657
01:22:39,393 --> 01:22:41,495
for a specific public purpose.
1658
01:22:41,596 --> 01:22:43,631
But over time, we forgot
about the public purpose
1659
01:22:43,731 --> 01:22:45,499
and we just let them loose.
1660
01:22:45,600 --> 01:22:47,602
Government spending
on bricks and mortar
1661
01:22:47,702 --> 01:22:50,437
to build hospitals is
not more inflationary
1662
01:22:50,538 --> 01:22:54,308
than private spending on bricks
and mortar to build casinos.
1663
01:22:54,408 --> 01:22:56,143
If we're really at full capacity
1664
01:22:56,243 --> 01:22:57,444
we have to prioritize
1665
01:22:57,545 --> 01:22:59,313
how do we use
the physical capacity?
1666
01:22:59,413 --> 01:23:01,381
Like we did during World War II.
1667
01:23:01,482 --> 01:23:04,151
And that means reregulating
the kinds and quality
1668
01:23:04,251 --> 01:23:06,019
of loans that banks create.
1669
01:23:06,119 --> 01:23:08,690
Do we really need 20
more casinos this year?
1670
01:23:08,790 --> 01:23:11,425
Maybe we should have 20
more hospitals instead.
1671
01:23:17,665 --> 01:23:19,834
- But the ultimate
inflationary pressure in front
1672
01:23:19,934 --> 01:23:22,336
of us is climate change itself.
1673
01:23:24,104 --> 01:23:26,574
So we will need to very
carefully manage our real
1674
01:23:26,674 --> 01:23:30,043
resources, while we
decarbonize the economy
1675
01:23:30,143 --> 01:23:32,780
if we wanna keep prices
stable in the future.
1676
01:23:50,665 --> 01:23:53,066
MMT doesn't solve
all our problems.
1677
01:23:54,702 --> 01:23:58,171
Being able to create money
doesn't solve all our problems.
1678
01:23:59,841 --> 01:24:01,676
But finding the money is often
1679
01:24:01,776 --> 01:24:03,645
the least important challenge.
1680
01:24:04,512 --> 01:24:06,948
The real challenge
revolves around
1681
01:24:07,047 --> 01:24:10,384
how we can organize our
collective resources
1682
01:24:10,885 --> 01:24:14,589
to allow humanity and the rest
of the living world to thrive,
1683
01:24:14,689 --> 01:24:16,658
within planetary boundaries.
1684
01:24:21,228 --> 01:24:24,331
If we have a vision for
a better future, money is
1685
01:24:24,431 --> 01:24:27,835
not the scarce resource
we need to go out and find
1686
01:24:27,936 --> 01:24:29,571
before we can start building it.
1687
01:24:31,405 --> 01:24:34,474
Money is the organizing
tool we can use
1688
01:24:34,576 --> 01:24:38,580
to mobilize our people
and real resources to make
1689
01:24:38,680 --> 01:24:40,414
that vision a reality.
1690
01:24:50,390 --> 01:24:54,461
So what role does the
government play in the economy?
1691
01:24:54,562 --> 01:24:56,496
- The textbooks tell you
1692
01:24:56,598 --> 01:24:59,634
that money originates
in private markets.
1693
01:25:00,735 --> 01:25:02,070
- And then later, much later
1694
01:25:02,169 --> 01:25:03,938
in history, governments came in.
1695
01:25:04,038 --> 01:25:05,238
- Later, governments
1696
01:25:05,372 --> 01:25:07,775
took over the exclusive
function of coining money.
1697
01:25:07,875 --> 01:25:09,443
- But when you actually
1698
01:25:09,544 --> 01:25:11,311
look at the historical record.
1699
01:25:11,411 --> 01:25:14,448
- What comes first is law
1700
01:25:14,549 --> 01:25:19,821
and a decision to organize the
social provisioning process
1701
01:25:20,088 --> 01:25:23,290
through this
mechanism called money.
1702
01:25:23,390 --> 01:25:25,994
- Only later did markets develop
1703
01:25:26,094 --> 01:25:30,297
and markets could really only
develop after you had money.
1704
01:25:33,300 --> 01:25:37,504
- Now why does it matter
that we tell the right story?
1705
01:25:37,605 --> 01:25:39,807
- Because this
story is the basis
1706
01:25:39,907 --> 01:25:41,809
of free market ideology.
1707
01:25:42,877 --> 01:25:44,646
- The state is not some force
1708
01:25:44,746 --> 01:25:47,147
that steps into
market relationships
1709
01:25:47,247 --> 01:25:49,316
that disrupts the
market mechanism.
1710
01:25:50,317 --> 01:25:52,820
Markets don't spring
up on their own.
1711
01:25:52,920 --> 01:25:54,756
- They need laws enforcing
1712
01:25:54,856 --> 01:25:58,458
and protecting private
property in order to operate.
1713
01:25:58,559 --> 01:26:00,762
- There has never
been a market economy
1714
01:26:00,862 --> 01:26:02,295
with no government.
1715
01:26:03,263 --> 01:26:06,000
- But we have been
tricked into believing
1716
01:26:06,100 --> 01:26:09,202
that the government shouldn't
have anything to do with it.
1717
01:26:09,302 --> 01:26:14,008
- Economics originally was
called moral philosophy.
1718
01:26:14,108 --> 01:26:18,146
The reason why
economics tries to claim
1719
01:26:18,245 --> 01:26:21,716
that it is a science
studying natural laws is
1720
01:26:21,816 --> 01:26:23,584
because they want to pretend
1721
01:26:23,685 --> 01:26:26,654
that they're not
making moral judgements.
1722
01:26:26,754 --> 01:26:28,589
- These are the
laws of the economy
1723
01:26:28,690 --> 01:26:31,358
and they produce these
outcomes, inequality,
1724
01:26:31,458 --> 01:26:35,096
and we make people believe
that that's just nature.
1725
01:26:35,195 --> 01:26:36,931
Then people will just accept
1726
01:26:37,031 --> 01:26:38,132
there's nothing you
can do about it.
1727
01:26:38,231 --> 01:26:43,671
- If money is natural, who has
the money is natural as well.
1728
01:26:43,771 --> 01:26:47,441
- The economy is extremely
complex, but it's important
1729
01:26:47,542 --> 01:26:50,645
to understand that it's
a human creation, guided
1730
01:26:50,745 --> 01:26:52,479
by rules and laws.
1731
01:26:52,580 --> 01:26:55,215
We can change
those rules and laws.
1732
01:27:01,689 --> 01:27:05,526
- Bernie called two weeks
before Christmas, 2014.
1733
01:27:06,894 --> 01:27:09,797
- It was definitely a pivotal
moment when Bernie Sanders
1734
01:27:09,897 --> 01:27:12,667
contacted Stephanie
Kelton to offer her the job as
1735
01:27:12,767 --> 01:27:15,435
chief economist of the
Senate Budget Committee.
1736
01:27:15,870 --> 01:27:18,206
I think the first
question he asked me was,
1737
01:27:18,305 --> 01:27:20,942
"What would you
do if you were me?"
1738
01:27:21,042 --> 01:27:24,779
And so I just immediately
said, "Second Bill of Rights."
1739
01:27:24,879 --> 01:27:26,647
- A second bill of rights.
1740
01:27:26,748 --> 01:27:30,250
The right to a useful
and remunerative job.
1741
01:27:30,350 --> 01:27:34,088
The right of every
family to a decent home.
1742
01:27:34,188 --> 01:27:36,524
The right to adequate
medical care.
1743
01:27:36,624 --> 01:27:40,161
- Saying that people have
rights to a job, rights
1744
01:27:40,260 --> 01:27:42,830
to housing, rights to healthcare
1745
01:27:42,930 --> 01:27:44,364
It's very powerful language.
1746
01:27:44,464 --> 01:27:47,068
- We must take up the unfinished
1747
01:27:47,168 --> 01:27:48,936
business of the New Deal
1748
01:27:49,036 --> 01:27:51,438
and carry it to completion.
1749
01:27:54,008 --> 01:27:56,944
And two weeks later, I
had an apartment in DC.
1750
01:27:59,881 --> 01:28:01,916
- Bernie
Sanders last night on Fox
1751
01:28:02,016 --> 01:28:03,684
laying out his policy proposals.
1752
01:28:03,785 --> 01:28:06,386
But how much would those
plans actually cost?
1753
01:28:06,486 --> 01:28:08,122
- All the
presidential candidates
1754
01:28:08,222 --> 01:28:10,158
want to spend much more
of your money.
1755
01:28:10,258 --> 01:28:12,093
- You know, whose
money are we spending?
1756
01:28:12,193 --> 01:28:14,494
And the simple
answer is: your money.
1757
01:28:14,595 --> 01:28:17,364
The government is not some
entity that has its own money.
1758
01:28:17,464 --> 01:28:21,202
The government only has money
because people pay taxes.
1759
01:28:21,301 --> 01:28:22,804
- He's just absolutely wrong.
1760
01:28:22,904 --> 01:28:26,808
- Government spends
by creating money,
1761
01:28:26,908 --> 01:28:32,246
and when it taxes,
it destroys money.
1762
01:28:32,345 --> 01:28:35,850
- Really making absolutely clear
1763
01:28:35,950 --> 01:28:41,756
that the government does
not need your money to act.
1764
01:28:57,038 --> 01:29:00,274
- Our next
speaker is Stephanie Kelton.
1765
01:29:00,808 --> 01:29:03,277
- We believe the government
has no money of its own.
1766
01:29:03,376 --> 01:29:05,847
That's what Margaret
Thatcher told us.
1767
01:29:05,947 --> 01:29:08,549
- There is no such
thing as public money.
1768
01:29:08,649 --> 01:29:11,085
- There is
only taxpayer money.
1769
01:29:11,185 --> 01:29:12,286
- She told us.
1770
01:29:12,385 --> 01:29:14,555
The only way government
can fund programs is
1771
01:29:14,655 --> 01:29:17,258
if it can "find the money".
1772
01:29:17,357 --> 01:29:20,094
So naturally you have
to go where the money is
1773
01:29:20,194 --> 01:29:22,663
and that means tax the rich.
1774
01:29:22,763 --> 01:29:27,268
Without them, we can't
afford to feed a hungry kid,
1775
01:29:27,367 --> 01:29:32,006
care for our planet,
meet the imminent threat
1776
01:29:32,106 --> 01:29:33,541
of climate change.
1777
01:29:33,641 --> 01:29:36,277
None of these things can
be accomplished unless
1778
01:29:36,376 --> 01:29:39,881
and until we get your money.
1779
01:29:39,981 --> 01:29:42,482
You people are nice,
you're lovely,
1780
01:29:42,583 --> 01:29:45,086
but the truth is,
we don't need you.
1781
01:29:45,186 --> 01:29:46,320
We don't need you.
1782
01:29:46,419 --> 01:29:48,556
- We don't need the
rich people's money.
1783
01:29:48,656 --> 01:29:51,626
We need to tax the rich people
because they're too rich.
1784
01:29:51,726 --> 01:29:53,227
- We don't want an oligarchy.
1785
01:29:53,327 --> 01:29:57,365
We don't want a world where
a smaller and smaller number
1786
01:29:57,464 --> 01:29:59,901
of people have a larger
and larger concentration
1787
01:30:00,001 --> 01:30:01,969
of the wealth and income.
1788
01:30:02,069 --> 01:30:04,805
It screws up the
functioning of our economy
1789
01:30:04,906 --> 01:30:08,743
and it screws up the
functioning of our democracy.
1790
01:30:08,843 --> 01:30:11,411
- But how much should we tax?
1791
01:30:11,512 --> 01:30:14,515
- It's not that they're not
paying their fair share.
1792
01:30:14,615 --> 01:30:15,950
It's that they're taking more
1793
01:30:16,050 --> 01:30:20,254
than their fair share, much
more than their fair share.
1794
01:30:20,354 --> 01:30:24,325
- So you have to decide,
what is too rich?
1795
01:30:24,424 --> 01:30:26,694
What threatens democracy?
1796
01:30:26,794 --> 01:30:30,463
And you remove that and
then you leave the rest.
1797
01:30:30,564 --> 01:30:33,868
And it's not because Uncle
Sam needs the money, okay?
1798
01:30:33,968 --> 01:30:36,837
You don't stop when
you get enough revenue.
1799
01:30:36,938 --> 01:30:40,141
If we get revenue from them,
we're gonna burn it anyway.
1800
01:30:46,380 --> 01:30:48,249
Our air
1801
01:30:48,349 --> 01:30:49,817
- We are
the generation
1802
01:30:49,917 --> 01:30:53,321
that will lead
international action.
1803
01:30:53,421 --> 01:30:55,156
- Now!
1804
01:30:55,389 --> 01:30:57,490
- We demand
a Green New Deal.
1805
01:30:59,961 --> 01:31:03,998
When I say save
you say Earth. Save. Earth.
1806
01:31:05,599 --> 01:31:08,636
- Change is coming
whether they like it or not.
1807
01:31:14,642 --> 01:31:16,711
- And then this debate blew up.
1808
01:31:16,811 --> 01:31:19,680
And MMT got fired at from
all angles by everybody.
1809
01:31:19,780 --> 01:31:22,249
- Bill Gates recently
took exception
1810
01:31:22,350 --> 01:31:24,118
with MMT, calling it crazy talk.
1811
01:31:24,218 --> 01:31:25,353
- That's garbage.
1812
01:31:25,453 --> 01:31:26,887
- Trash, garbage.
1813
01:31:26,988 --> 01:31:28,789
- This theory
is complete nonsense.
1814
01:31:28,889 --> 01:31:30,157
I don't even think it's a theory
1815
01:31:30,257 --> 01:31:31,392
- Free money for everyone.
1816
01:31:31,491 --> 01:31:32,593
- We already know
it doesn't work.
1817
01:31:32,693 --> 01:31:35,029
- And so we|re in the
"fight you stage".
1818
01:31:35,129 --> 01:31:36,964
- They defy the laws
of arithmetic.
1819
01:31:37,064 --> 01:31:37,865
- A bunch of malarkey.
1820
01:31:37,965 --> 01:31:39,800
- So do I think we're gonna win?
1821
01:31:41,302 --> 01:31:44,972
I won't say no, but it's
gonna be a hell of a fight.
1822
01:31:53,547 --> 01:31:57,752
- We should not be
servants of money.
1823
01:31:57,852 --> 01:32:00,721
Money is fundamentally
a public utility.
1824
01:32:00,821 --> 01:32:02,790
- The true story of money
1825
01:32:02,890 --> 01:32:07,361
makes it a political
decision, a political choice.
1826
01:32:07,728 --> 01:32:10,931
- We have to shift from
their money to our money.
1827
01:32:11,032 --> 01:32:12,299
Money belongs to us.
1828
01:32:12,400 --> 01:32:14,035
It's the people's money.
1829
01:32:14,135 --> 01:32:15,569
Our money.
- Our power.
1830
01:32:15,669 --> 01:32:17,505
- Our money.
- Our power.
1831
01:32:17,605 --> 01:32:19,774
- In a democratic
society, we get to
1832
01:32:19,874 --> 01:32:21,776
decide what the priorities are
1833
01:32:21,876 --> 01:32:24,945
for the national
provisioning of resources.
1834
01:32:25,046 --> 01:32:27,648
- In Dr. King's words, "We
deserve an economic bill
1835
01:32:27,748 --> 01:32:30,785
of rights." Good jobs
promoting the public good,
1836
01:32:30,885 --> 01:32:33,254
restoring our neighborhoods
and our ecosystems.
1837
01:32:33,354 --> 01:32:35,189
- What do we want?
- Jobs.
1838
01:32:35,289 --> 01:32:36,090
- When do we want 'em?
1839
01:32:36,190 --> 01:32:37,526
- MMT economists come in
1840
01:32:37,625 --> 01:32:40,728
and show you what kind
of a world is possible.
1841
01:32:40,828 --> 01:32:43,798
- What can we do to improve
our educational system?
1842
01:32:43,898 --> 01:32:46,667
What can we do to improve
our healthcare system?
1843
01:32:46,767 --> 01:32:49,470
- Money is a tool and we
need to figure out how
1844
01:32:49,570 --> 01:32:51,806
to deploy that tool.
1845
01:32:51,906 --> 01:32:54,141
- I just want
to empower people
1846
01:32:54,241 --> 01:32:57,478
to fight back against all
of the kinds of things
1847
01:32:57,578 --> 01:32:58,846
that stand in our way
1848
01:32:58,946 --> 01:33:01,148
of building a better future,
building a better world.
1849
01:33:01,248 --> 01:33:03,984
And many of the reasons that
we've been told we can't build
1850
01:33:04,085 --> 01:33:07,988
what we would like to build
are not legitimate obstacles.
1851
01:33:08,089 --> 01:33:10,624
- One of the biggest
obstacles is this idea
1852
01:33:10,724 --> 01:33:13,727
that the government simply
can't find the money.
1853
01:33:13,828 --> 01:33:16,664
Once we drive a stake through
the heart of this myth,
1854
01:33:16,764 --> 01:33:20,434
then we open up the
possibilities for public policy
1855
01:33:20,535 --> 01:33:22,770
that can deliver
the public good.
1856
01:33:23,804 --> 01:33:25,507
- There's a famous quote of
1857
01:33:25,606 --> 01:33:28,409
Keynes, I'll have to paraphrase.
1858
01:33:28,510 --> 01:33:32,880
He says,
when I find new evidence
1859
01:33:33,548 --> 01:33:35,483
I change my mind.
1860
01:33:35,584 --> 01:33:37,084
What do you do?
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