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On the Tokmak direction, tough
close fighting continues at the
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first position of the enemy's main defense line.
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The flank counterattacks of the Russians, to
all appearances, are running out of steam....
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But the enemy seeks to reduce this
wedging at any cost and in recent
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days has been forced to move from
flank attacks to frontal attempts
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to push the advanced Ukrainian units
from the "top" of the wedging....
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But the enemy failed to create a
real threat to the AFU strike group.
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Moreover, the Russian side has to "tense up"
quite noticeably to prevent further advancement
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of the advanced units of the AFU already on
the first position of its main defense line.
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And now it is not the Ukrainian command
that has to remove some of its forces and
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means from the "top" of its wedging into the
enemy's defense and move them to the flanks
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to repel the enemy's flank counterattacks.
And the enemy itself is compelled to move
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some of its units to the flanking directions
at the spearhead of the Ukrainian advance...
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Obviously, the Russian command hoped for
a completely different result - at least
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the pushing back of the AFU advanced
units from the northern outskirts of
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Novoprokopivka towards Robotyne, but
it turned out the other way around....
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However, it would be wrong to assume
that the enemy will stop trying to
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stop the Ukrainian offensive by its
stubborn flanking counterattacks.
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As long as his flank groups retain a sufficient
level of combat capability to conduct active
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assaults, he will certainly do so. Because his
command obviously believes that this is the best
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way to contain the Ukrainian offensive behind
the first position of his main line of defense.
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The recent unsuccessful attempt by the
enemy to counterattack north of Verbove
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towards road 0803 in the direction of
Mala Tokmachka, only confirms this....
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On the opposite flank, the enemy tried
many times to break through to the western
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outskirts of Robotyne throughout
the past week, but without success.
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So, several important things are
evident in the Tokmak direction.....
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The effect that the Russian commanders managed
to achieve in this direction, in the form of
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temporary slowing down of the Ukrainian offensive,
was achieved at an obviously quite expensive price
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for them - the Guards Air Assault Division thrown
in for this purpose suffered tangible losses...
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Their offensive capabilities during the
last week have significantly "sagged",
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and the scope and level of intensity
of their counterattacks have fallen....
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The fact is that the desire to "attack", caused
by the "outrageous" aggressiveness of the enemy's
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airborne assault formations, under any
conditions and under any circumstances,
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"wears them down" much faster than
the banal "mobilized infantry"....
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But the level of combat effectiveness of
units and subdivisions of the defending in
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the Ukrainian offensive strip also raises
many questions. Some of its motorized
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rifle regiments find it quite difficult to
defend on their own, despite reinforcements.
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Otherwise, the Russian command would not
have had to bring into the battle in its
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defense zone some units of airborne
assault divisions initially moved
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to the Tokmak direction for a
completely different purpose.
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With a high degree of probability, additional
reserves of operational level will be moved to
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the enemy's grouping of troops "Zaporizhzhya"
in the near future, but it still will not help
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to stop the offensive. As I said earlier,
they are only able to slow it down a bit.
5333
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