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On the front, things are going well, not
at the pace that the sofa warriors wanted,
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but at a pace that corresponds to the
offensive's capabilities at the moment.
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The Russians are bogged down in the north, the
Ukrainians have liberated Rabotino and are now
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moving along the Kopani-Verbove line to expand
the breakthrough zone and avoid flank attacks.
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The occupation troops held on to
Robotino tooth and claw, and no wonder.
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Robotino was, in fact, a stronghold on the border
between the first and second line of defense.
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His loss to the enemy is the exit of Ukrainian
forces on the route 0408 to break through the
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second line of defense, despite the fact that
on the flanks were already hammered wedges.
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In fact, now, in this very location, the Russian
defense in the Zaporizhzhya region, which is
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cracking at the seams, is starting to crack the
loudest, although, it would seem, why should it?
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After all, the Zaporizhzhya group of
troops "East", numbering about 100
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thousand personal composition, is 3 or more
times larger than the advancing Ukrainian forces.
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In addition, the second line of
defense in depth of 15-20 km,
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while the first line of defense on average
had a depth of 5 km. Does the Russian command
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really have anything to worry about, having
a defense line three times deeper than the
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one that Ukraine's assault forces have been
breaking through for two and a half months?
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Yes, and here's why.
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The first line of defense is the most difficult
obstacle of all for the advancing forces.
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Largely because these are minefields, dotted
with trenches and ditches under enemy fire.
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Minefields and enemy positions impede
the advance of the attacking forces,
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while artillery provides additional support.
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In the second line of defense, the number
of minefields is many times less, but there
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is a concentration of mechanized component:
tanks, Armoured fighting vehicles, artillery.
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And it is with this component
the offensive side has no less
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problems than with the minefields of
the first line, but there is a nuance.
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Now along the route 0408 Russian troops
have concentrated an incredible number
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of units to counter the breakthrough
of the Ukrainian Liberation Forces.
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They are paratroopers, marines, artillerymen,
intelligence and territorial troops.
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In general, the mass is impressive, but shabby
and, as of now, critically understaffed.
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In other words, they simply do not
have the required amount of equipment
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to meet the needs and characteristics
of holding the second line of defense.
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Back at the beginning of the year, when
describing the situation with the enemy's
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manning of bridgeheads, I noted that in the
south they are in one of the worst positions.
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After two and a half months of active fighting,
the situation has deteriorated even more.
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That is, they will not be able
to fully hold the second line.
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And now, faced with a situation where
the main resource that should hold back
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the enemy along the second line of defense is
simply not available in sufficient quantity,
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the Russian command continues to panic.
And after all, it was only Robotino that
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was liberated, not Staromlynivka,
which is just around the corner.
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Imagine a defensive line that breaks
through in two places at once.
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Breaking apart in a way that even plugging a
single breach with forces is simply not enough.
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But the most interesting thing in this situation
is that it can break in one more place.
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But we'll talk about that later, but
for now, we're watching autobahn 0408.
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