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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,920 This narrow stretch of water is all that separates 2 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:16,800 the People's Republic of China, ruled by the Communist Party, 3 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:21,480 from Taiwan, one of Asia's most successful democracies. 4 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:30,920 What happens out here in the Taiwan Strait 5 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:33,880 isn't just about Taiwan and China, 6 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:37,040 it's got the potential to spark a global conflict 7 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,200 that could threaten all of us. 8 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:48,800 Certainly, the Taiwan Strait right now is one of the most dangerous 9 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:52,720 and unstable flash points that is facing our world today 10 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:54,320 and for years to come. 11 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:56,320 Taiwan is a cork in a bottle. 12 00:00:56,320 --> 00:01:00,960 Whoever controls Taiwan controls the cork in that bottle. 13 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,360 China says it's time for its breakaway province 14 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,520 to return to the motherland. 15 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:15,120 But Taiwan is standing up to China. 16 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,000 This is a mission impossible. 17 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,040 This is a mission, if it is done or executed, 18 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:23,160 that may lead directly to Armageddon. 19 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:30,600 I've been reporting on conflicts in the Pacific region for decades, 20 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:35,160 but now this could just be the most dangerous place on earth. 21 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:40,440 You have two nuclear powers, the US and China. 22 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,600 There could be a disaster for the region, 23 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:45,360 even for the whole world. 24 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:28,280 2016. Tsai Ing-wen is elected president. 25 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,760 CHEERING 26 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:36,640 She's the first woman to run Taiwan. 27 00:02:36,640 --> 00:02:38,280 A new era begins. 28 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,520 Her election is unprecedented in another way. 29 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:46,200 She openly refuses to accept the idea 30 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:49,200 that Taiwan is a province of China. 31 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,080 For her, this is an independent country. 32 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,080 In China, the reaction is swift. 33 00:02:56,080 --> 00:02:59,480 President Xi Jinping cuts relations. 34 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:24,000 The desire of the Taiwanese for a more independent future 35 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,040 reverberates across the world. 36 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,520 One China, one Taiwan! 37 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:31,960 Taiwan's a country! This is my country! 38 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:33,880 Yeah! Yeah! 39 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:37,560 Taiwan is Taiwan and China is China. Yes. 40 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:40,320 Young people voted overwhelmingly for Tsai Ing-wen 41 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:43,040 and her Democratic Progressive Party. 42 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:04,320 UNTRANSLATED SINGING 43 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,640 Fire EX. played at the president's inauguration. 44 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:16,440 UNTRANSLATED SINGING 45 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,400 The band put politics at the heart of their music. 46 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:57,360 # Tonight we celebrate our love... # 47 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:02,120 The danger had already been made clear during the election campaign. 48 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,280 A Taiwanese star from the K-Pop group TWICE 49 00:05:05,280 --> 00:05:07,800 appeared on an international TV show 50 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:10,480 waving Taiwan's, not China's flag. 51 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:18,600 Chou Tzu-yu didn't mean it as a political statement, 52 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:20,520 but under pressure from China, 53 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,920 the show's organisers forced her to apologise. 54 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:28,160 If it was meant to frighten those considering voting for Tsai Ing-wen, 55 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:29,680 then it backfired. 56 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:54,400 The new president promised there would be no more such apologies. 57 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:18,440 CHEERING AND APPLAUSE 58 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:26,400 I've had a chance to get to know her quite well personally. 59 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:32,640 As a woman in a predominantly male political environment, 60 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,120 she faced a number of challenges, 61 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,760 but she was able to put her foot down. 62 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:38,320 She has a strong personality. 63 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:40,400 And Taiwan's way of life, 64 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:42,040 its democracy, 65 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:45,480 which is now universally embraced by people here in Taiwan, 66 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:48,720 is something that is simply non-negotiable. 67 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,880 Tsai Ing-wen and her inner circle are always careful 68 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:55,120 not to call publicly for independence. 69 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:58,720 First of all, we emphasise that Taiwan has been 70 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:02,840 an independent country, so there's no need now 71 00:07:02,840 --> 00:07:05,520 to declare again the independence of Taiwan. 72 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:09,480 But we understand and we emphasise that the people in Taiwan 73 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,400 should have the final say about the solution 74 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:14,720 to the so-called "Taiwan problem". 75 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:22,040 The "Taiwan problem" began in 1949. 76 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:24,000 The Communists, under Mao Tse-tung, 77 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:26,880 forced the nationalist government out of China. 78 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:31,120 ARCHIVE: One stronghold after another 79 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,240 has fallen to the advancing Reds. 80 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,800 General Chiang Kai-shek fled to the neighbouring island, 81 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:39,760 taking over a million people with him. 82 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,560 ARCHIVE: War of one kind or another has been their lot 83 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:45,040 pretty well all their lifetime. 84 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:49,000 He declared Taiwan, just 100 miles off the mainland, 85 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,480 the Independent Republic of China. 86 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:00,960 Today, it's only officially recognised as a sovereign nation 87 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:03,320 by 13 countries. 88 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:05,520 Victor Gao, a former diplomat, 89 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:09,160 is regarded as a spokesman for the Chinese government. 90 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:13,400 From the very beginning, in 1949, 91 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:19,080 China has always been calling for the reunification of Taiwan. 92 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:23,040 There is only one China and Taiwan is part of China. 93 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:27,480 And people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait are Chinese people. 94 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:32,240 Same blood, same civilisation, same culture, same people. 95 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:45,600 23 million people live in Taiwan, 96 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:49,520 one of the richest and most dynamic democracies in the world. 97 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:51,520 Its high-tech industries have made it 98 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,640 one of the most digitally connected societies, too. 99 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,440 China seized advantage of that 100 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:02,200 when Tsai Ing-wen moved into the presidential palace 101 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:03,920 in the capital, Taipei. 102 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:05,920 From the moment she was first elected, 103 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:10,000 the president and her government became a thorn in the side of China 104 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,240 and the Chinese Communist Party. 105 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:13,880 Their reaction? 106 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:18,720 A campaign of misinformation, intimidation and dirty tricks. 107 00:09:32,680 --> 00:09:37,880 Puma Shen and his team investigate attacks and disinformation online. 108 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:59,400 They've identified disinformation like this - 109 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:02,240 claims farmers are being bankrupted 110 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,080 because Tsai's election damaged trade with China. 111 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:24,920 As soon as social media sites close down the accounts, 112 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:26,360 new ones pop up. 113 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,640 UNTRANSLATED SPEECH 114 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,160 The barrage is relentless. 115 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:39,240 UNTRANSLATED SPEECH 116 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:46,160 And where is most of this disinformation coming from? 117 00:11:05,560 --> 00:11:10,800 President Tsai got Taiwan's digital community involved in the fightback. 118 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:14,680 No country is an island in cyberspace, not even Taiwan. 119 00:11:14,680 --> 00:11:16,960 So we stand ready. 120 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:22,800 Audrey Tang, a former hacker and Taiwan's first trans minister, 121 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:26,880 is battling the online attacks from communist China. 122 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:32,560 I think the main strategic goal is to undermine people's trust 123 00:11:32,560 --> 00:11:34,800 in democratic institutions. 124 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:36,880 There is a narrative going on 125 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:40,200 that says only authoritarian, top-down systems 126 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:44,200 is able to tackle systemic challenges - 127 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:47,680 trying to say that democracy only leads to chaos. 128 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:54,640 Billion Lee, a student, became one of Audrey's digital warriors. 129 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,760 Is a lot of this coming from China? 130 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,400 Billion and her friends created this site, 131 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:17,680 where thousands of facts can be checked automatically by bots. 132 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:28,840 100,000 facts? 133 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,360 Billion was angry about what she saw online. 134 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,760 Posts undermining Tsai's government's proposal 135 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,680 to make same-sex marriage legal. 136 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:09,760 This is one such post. 137 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:11,440 AIDS patients from abroad 138 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:14,920 purportedly taking advantage of Taiwan's health system. 139 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,640 There were false claims that Tsai's government 140 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:25,000 spent millions on gay pride parades. 141 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:39,840 And disinformation exploiting the fact the president isn't married. 142 00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:01,640 Why did you decide to fight back against the disinformation 143 00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:03,760 you were seeing on the internet? 144 00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:25,120 It wasn't just fake news online. 145 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:30,520 Inside Taiwan, China's supporters were using other tactics, too. 146 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:33,040 DRUMS PLAY 147 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:38,640 Chang An-lo's been campaigning for reunification with China 148 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,600 for 20 years. 149 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,240 He was also a leader of a criminal gang here. 150 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:49,720 He has deep connections with one of the main Triads, 151 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:52,880 organised crime in Taiwan, known as the Bamboo Union. 152 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:59,720 Mr Chang spent years in a US prison on drug trafficking charges, 153 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,880 then had to flee Taiwan to mainland China. 154 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:07,400 The Bamboo Union has been implicated in recent years 155 00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:10,800 in at least one assassination attempt against a Beijing critic 156 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:12,320 here in Taiwan. 157 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,960 And the authorities here in Taiwan were able to trace the money 158 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,120 for that particular operation back to the PRC. 159 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:28,560 Hi.Good afternoon. 160 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:30,280 Mr Chang. 161 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:34,320 Known as the White Wolf, Mr Chang now heads a political party 162 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:37,560 calling for unification with China. 163 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:02,360 Mr Chang is accused of receiving money directly 164 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:06,360 from the People's Republic of China to carry out his activities. 165 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:11,120 Are you funded by China? Is your party funded by China? 166 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:30,760 Mr Chang's followers turn up 167 00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:34,320 when people gather to defend Taiwan's independence. 168 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:36,720 UPBEAT GLAM ROCK MUSIC PLAYS 169 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:41,640 In 2017, a Chinese talent show staged at Taiwan University 170 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:44,080 sparked a student protest. 171 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,960 So, I realised there is a group of students. 172 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,200 So they actually trying to boycott the show. 173 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:51,760 They rush in 174 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,440 and basically they walk up the stage 175 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:55,840 and say, "Stop". 176 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:02,240 The event was staged by Chinese TV from the mainland. 177 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:05,520 The students said it was a cultural influence operation 178 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,760 by the Communist Party. 179 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,880 Nolan Wu was just walking by. 180 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:14,640 And then I realised there is someone arguing 181 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:17,240 and I think they are getting kind of physical. 182 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,040 SCREAMS 183 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:22,760 A group of men arrived to confront the student protestors. 184 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:30,120 Mr Chang and his son Chang Wei are keen to show me footage 185 00:17:30,120 --> 00:17:31,480 taken that day. 186 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:34,080 So, who's this? Who's this there? This person. 187 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,640 These are your people. But they've got big sticks. 188 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,480 SHOUTING 189 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,840 Amongst the fray, one man holds a baseball bat. 190 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,880 Chang Wei rushes out of a car towards the students. 191 00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:02,880 SHOUTING 192 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:06,720 He throws a punch and the other man hits out with the bat. 193 00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:15,560 So I got hit with a fist here, 194 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:19,680 and then I got hit at my back with a baseball bat. 195 00:18:24,360 --> 00:18:25,600 That's you, Chang Wei, there. 196 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:29,960 Did you use violence? Did you hit anybody? 197 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,280 So what happened in the end? 198 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,160 Four students were taken to hospital. 199 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:54,320 Nolan was one of them. 200 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,080 I was really, really scared. 201 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,000 I was really, really like, 202 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:00,800 "This should not happen here in Taiwan." 203 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:03,760 Chang Wei and the man with the bat 204 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,360 received detention orders for assault, 205 00:19:06,360 --> 00:19:07,920 later reduced to fines. 206 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,720 Mr Chang still insists he's just a politician 207 00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:16,640 who believes in reunification. 208 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:25,640 Do you think that one day there will be peaceful unification 209 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:27,520 between China and Taiwan? 210 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:48,120 Two years on from her election victory, 211 00:19:48,120 --> 00:19:52,600 it's 2018 and President Tsai's facing her first big test - 212 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,840 midterm parliamentary elections. 213 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:14,560 As the campaign progressed, her political opponents 214 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:16,960 began to push a story. 215 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,760 They claimed Tsai had fabricated her PhD 216 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,040 from the London School of Economics. 217 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:27,960 A journalist even tried to find her thesis in the library there. 218 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:32,320 I can try the author if you want me to search by author? 219 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:34,280 Yeah. T-S-A-I. 220 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,280 Hmm. It's not coming up by author either. 221 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,600 China spotted an opportunity. 222 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:16,080 Finally, the LSE confirmed she had earned her PhD there. 223 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:22,080 Tsai's fortunes were at an all-time low. 224 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,120 Her party lost the election, 225 00:21:24,120 --> 00:21:25,960 though she remained the president. 226 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:36,920 China was winning the war for hearts and minds without firing a shot. 227 00:21:54,360 --> 00:21:56,520 SOLDIERS CHANT 228 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,600 Meanwhile, China was building up its military too, 229 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,840 though President Xi said he wanted peaceful reunification. 230 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,160 I think President Xi Jinping has the full support 231 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,640 of the 1.4 billion Chinese people, 232 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:21,480 as well as the soldiers 233 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,200 and the officers of the People's Liberation Army. 234 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:27,960 Does anyone really expect that President Xi Jinping 235 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,160 will abandon the One China policy? 236 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:34,560 Absolutely not. 237 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,800 China's assertive stance alarmed America, 238 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:46,280 Taiwan's closest and most powerful ally. 239 00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:48,360 Taiwan is a cork in a bottle. 240 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,720 Whoever controls Taiwan 241 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,680 controls the cork in that bottle. 242 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:58,880 It's important geographically, 243 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:02,720 it's important technically because of the industry... 244 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,000 ..and it's important because it's a significant 245 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:08,600 and vibrant democracy. 246 00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:14,200 America supplies Taiwan with weapons, but has always 247 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,760 been careful not to openly support its independence. 248 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,800 It's called strategic ambiguity. 249 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,280 What strategic ambiguity is about 250 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:26,720 is being unclear 251 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:30,120 as to what American actions would be 252 00:23:30,120 --> 00:23:34,080 should Beijing move with force on Taiwan. 253 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:38,960 It blurs the calculus that Beijing would have to deal with. 254 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:44,800 The United States is illogical, illegitimate, illegal, in a sense, 255 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:48,880 and it is very much misleading the whole world. 256 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:54,360 I think it's absolutely absurd for the United States to be so-called 257 00:23:54,360 --> 00:23:57,080 ambiguous about the Taiwan situation. 258 00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,760 They need to come up with clarity as to what exactly they want. 259 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:16,760 Taiwan's close links with the US military has made it a target 260 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,360 for Chinese espionage. 261 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,600 Captain Lu says he was approached with an offer 262 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,600 of an all-expenses-paid trip to the mainland. 263 00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:02,920 He says he refused the offer, but Chinese agents have wined and dined, 264 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,640 and turned, dozens of military officers. 265 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:24,200 Chinese intelligence services have used honey traps 266 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:25,960 to snare their prey. 267 00:25:49,360 --> 00:25:53,000 China has even targeted President Tsai herself, 268 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,560 infiltrating her innermost protection ring. 269 00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:58,880 Two officers from her security detail 270 00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:00,920 were found guilty of spying on her. 271 00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:28,480 Chinese spying operations have taken their toll. 272 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:31,440 Our military is one of the targets that China 273 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,080 has been trying to influence. 274 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:36,080 So, of course, we have counter-intelligence, 275 00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,720 countermeasures to deal with the problem. 276 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:43,800 But I have to say, it's not 100% that we can defend ourselves 277 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:45,880 from that kind of penetration. 278 00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:51,920 Though the Chinese mainland is just across the water, 279 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,720 the People's Liberation Army would find it difficult 280 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,720 to invade Taiwan. 281 00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:01,480 The island has a spine of high and rugged mountains. 282 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:07,480 It's only when you get up here in the mountains that you realise 283 00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:12,280 what an incredible natural geographical defensive position 284 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:15,880 Taiwan has, even though it's one of the most densely populated 285 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:17,600 countries in the world. 286 00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,880 Taiwan is building up a bristling array of formidable weapons, 287 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:40,240 all part of what they call their Porcupine Strategy. 288 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,840 Taiwan may have these advanced weapons, 289 00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:01,000 but Chinese forces are 12 times bigger. 290 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,160 Taiwan has been slow to arm itself. 291 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,800 It still depends heavily on America for advanced weapons. 292 00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:30,200 The idea is to begin to take advantage of the technology 293 00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:35,320 that's available today, to be able to put in place small numbers 294 00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:40,520 of weapon systems that, for want of a better term, could shred 295 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,600 an invading force that wanted to come across the beaches. 296 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,440 After her party's poor election showing, President Tsai 297 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,320 is under pressure. 298 00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:01,400 President Xi is about to show Taiwan he means business. 299 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,320 CROWD CHANTS 300 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,960 Taiwan watched as China took back control 301 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,680 of another wayward territory. 302 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,640 Hong Kong. 303 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:29,040 A pro-democracy movement was ruthlessly put down there. 304 00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,840 So what's this, Kasey? 305 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,320 Performance artist Kasey Wong 306 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,600 was amongst the protesters in Hong Kong. 307 00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:42,520 That's you dressed as the policeman? 308 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:43,800 That's right. 309 00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,680 And what's the meaning? 310 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,840 The Chinese government try to treat the Hong Kong citizens 311 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,680 as if they are the Chinese citizens 312 00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:54,080 and send the Hong Kong people 313 00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:57,320 to mainland for unfair trial. 314 00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:00,320 So I want to express that. 315 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:04,280 Kasey fled to Taiwan, like many others from Hong Kong. 316 00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:10,920 He's holding an exhibition in an old jail in Taipei. 317 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,960 Chiang Kai-shek locked up political prisoners here 318 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,640 during years of martial law. 319 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:20,600 It's a reminder to people of the fragility of their democracy. 320 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,720 I kind of know the future of Hong Kong is doomed. 321 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:27,600 Why I decided to come to Taiwan? 322 00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:32,160 Because I know the next battlefield will become Taiwan. 323 00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:36,400 China had promised Hong Kong it could still remain a democracy, 324 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,400 though it would be part of communist China. 325 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,200 The same offer was also made to Taiwan. 326 00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,800 I think the Taiwan people sees what happened to Hong Kong 327 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:48,320 could happen to their own city. 328 00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:52,440 One country, two systems happened to Hong Kong, and see what happened? 329 00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:54,800 It become one country, one system. 330 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,880 And I don't think the people of Taiwan will buy that. 331 00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:01,400 BAND PLAYS 332 00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:10,240 The events in Hong Kong revived President Tsai's fortunes 333 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:15,040 just in time. She was reaching the end of her four-year term in office 334 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:17,880 and was now campaigning for re-election. 335 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:33,160 China has been selling the so-called one country, two system model 336 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:37,160 to Taiwan, and they try to show that it's workable 337 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:41,560 or it's working in Hong Kong, so it should be applicable to Taiwan. 338 00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:44,560 But, you know, it turned out not to be the case. 339 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:48,800 So it becomes a very difficult product 340 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:51,240 for Beijing to sell to the people in Taiwan. 341 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:56,120 The future of Taiwan will never be decided by the 23 million people 342 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:57,720 in Taiwan themselves. 343 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:03,160 The future of Taiwan will be decided by the more than 1.4 billion people 344 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:06,040 on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. 345 00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,680 The President already had the support of the younger 346 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:19,920 generation, but Hong Kong changed views across Taiwanese society. 347 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,240 In the parks here, older residents gather 348 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,800 for their daily dancing sessions. 349 00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:31,760 Many of them, or their parents, came from mainland China. 350 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:49,080 This generation didn't used to be strongly 351 00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:52,400 in favour of independence. It's different now. 352 00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:19,160 China's heavy-handed approach to Taiwan, as we've seen in places 353 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,440 like Hong Kong as well, has actually backfired. 354 00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,240 So rather than win the hearts and minds of the Taiwanese, 355 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:28,520 it ends up alienating them and further compounding a desire 356 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,640 among the Taiwanese to defend their way of life and their democracy. 357 00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,640 CROWD CHEERS 358 00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:37,120 PERSON SHOUTS OVER MICROPHONE 359 00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:42,680 After the events in Hong Kong, in 2020 Tsai Ing-wen wins her second 360 00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,640 presidential term with a landslide. 361 00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:06,280 In the weeks following the election result, Taiwan was hit with a series 362 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:11,280 of cyber attacks. Petrol stations across the land were disabled - 363 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,280 people couldn't use their cards to pay, 364 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:18,320 sparking fears China was targeting vital services here. 365 00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:22,280 What they have achieved is just very shallow on the surface. 366 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,280 But information manipulation, the disinformation, 367 00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:28,240 tries to exaggerate it and say that, 368 00:34:28,240 --> 00:34:31,080 "Oh, we've taken over critical infrastructure," and so on, 369 00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:32,320 which was not the case. 370 00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:39,320 And we also think that a lot of it is about getting people's, uh, 371 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:44,320 like, anxiety level high so that even though they only achieve 372 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,520 a little bit, they get amplified 373 00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:49,800 so that people feel very anxious all the time. 374 00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:56,160 That year, the pandemic - which began in China - 375 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:57,640 added to the anxiety. 376 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:03,920 Taiwan had one of the lowest death rates in the world. 377 00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:08,400 But a new wave of disinformation was directed at its citizens. 378 00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:18,760 There have been false claims on social media of a mass outbreak 379 00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:21,520 of Covid here. Even fake news 380 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:25,840 the President herself had been infected and it was covered up. 381 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:29,320 All attempts to discredit Taiwan's strong performance 382 00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:30,800 during the pandemic. 383 00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:02,320 China's campaign to undermine their government was affecting 384 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,240 how Taiwanese people see their identity. 385 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:11,600 Traditional houses in the mountains specialise in the tea ceremony. 386 00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:15,600 People still value their Chinese heritage, but polls suggest 387 00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:18,840 that attitudes to reunification are changing. 388 00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:24,360 The desire of the Taiwanese people to have political union with China 389 00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,920 is at an all-time low, under 10%. 390 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:32,280 The majority of people just want things to stay as they are. 391 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:36,680 But the numbers in favour of independence are growing. 392 00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:41,480 A third of the population believe they're both Taiwanese and Chinese, 393 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:45,240 but nearly two thirds now say they're Taiwanese only. 394 00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:01,720 Language has become important in forging a separate identity. 395 00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:05,000 HE SINGS IN TAIWANESE 396 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:12,400 Fire EX. mostly sing in Taiwanese, not Mandarin - 397 00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,720 the main language of China imposed on the population 398 00:37:15,720 --> 00:37:17,200 by Chiang Kai-shek. 399 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:39,120 As the gap between the generations narrows, it becomes harder for China 400 00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:40,880 to win hearts and minds. 401 00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,920 In Taiwan's National Museum, children learn 402 00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,040 about their Chinese heritage. 403 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:26,720 We have great paintings and calligraphy and ceramics. 404 00:38:26,720 --> 00:38:30,920 So over here, you see a Qing dynasty jade cabbage. 405 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,760 Jadeite cabbage, to be specific. 406 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:35,640 It's beautiful. 407 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:39,240 This sculpture came from the palace of the Chinese Emperor 408 00:38:39,240 --> 00:38:41,880 in Beijing's Forbidden City. 409 00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:46,240 Chiang Kai-shek brought it to Taiwan with thousands of other treasures, 410 00:38:46,240 --> 00:38:48,440 and China wants them all back. 411 00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:54,640 That's why our collection never travels, and is never publicly 412 00:38:54,640 --> 00:39:01,440 displayed in countries without immunity from legal seizure. 413 00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:04,480 Because of China's desire to have them back again? 414 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,560 Yes. Yes, that's the fear. 415 00:39:09,240 --> 00:39:12,960 Late last year, it was discovered three porcelain pieces 416 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,120 in the collection were broken. 417 00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:19,520 The museum had known for a while, but hadn't admitted it. 418 00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:22,840 The breakages were seized on by the Chinese government, 419 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,440 who slammed the Taiwan authorities. 420 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:27,640 In a state newspaper, they said, 421 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:31,160 "Only under reunification can national treasures be better 422 00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:36,360 "protected and better play their role in passing on the bloodline 423 00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:38,640 "of the Chinese civilisation." 424 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:44,000 In museum work, incidents like this are not very rare 425 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:47,120 because sometimes, due to structural... 426 00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:50,520 Um, due to the composition of the object, due to age, 427 00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,200 objects would deteriorate. Yes. 428 00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:56,640 But China's been able to use it to say the museum is not capable 429 00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:59,680 of looking after the treasures - they should go back to China. 430 00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:01,960 SHE CHUCKLES 431 00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:01,960 Right. 432 00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:05,320 What I say represents my personal opinion, 433 00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:09,800 but I do think here we take great care 434 00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:13,520 of this cultural heritage passed on to us 435 00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:17,840 that belongs to people around the world. 436 00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:28,080 After Tsai Ing-wen is re-elected, China steps up its military activity 437 00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:29,640 in the Taiwan Strait. 438 00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,400 Xi Jinping repeats his warning. 439 00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:46,600 Tsai responds on Taiwan's National Day. 440 00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:12,320 America sends warships through the Strait. 441 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,840 Strategic ambiguity now becomes a firm pledge 442 00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:19,400 to come to Taiwan's defence if China attacks. 443 00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:26,160 The stalemate in the Taiwan Strait continues... 444 00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:29,360 It's happened before, in the 1950s. 445 00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:32,280 Batteries on Red China's mainland have almost sealed off 446 00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:34,320 the island from help. 447 00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:38,560 When Chinese artillery bombarded Taiwanese islands closest 448 00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,200 to the mainland, America stepped in. 449 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,480 Kinmen was one of those islands, 450 00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:50,040 only a few miles from China in the Taiwan Strait. 451 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:01,520 You can see the mainland and the skyscrapers of a Chinese city 452 00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:03,120 from Kinmen's beaches. 453 00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:10,760 This place has borne the brunt of war with its neighbour for decades. 454 00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:14,320 These rusting relics hold memories of an earlier conflict 455 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:17,160 that people here hoped they'd never see again. 456 00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,760 Kinmen's still on the front line. 457 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,800 Councillor Tung Sen-Pao knows everyone here. 458 00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:28,200 What do people here feel about China? 459 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:30,120 It's so close, just over the water. 460 00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:45,200 Local people are ambivalent about their relationship 461 00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:46,440 with China today. 462 00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:08,880 Wu Tseng-Dong grew up under fire. 463 00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:39,320 Now he makes his living turning old shells into knives 464 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:42,480 for sale to Chinese tourists from the mainland. 465 00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:56,480 In the local market, 466 00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,600 memories of the last war with China are still strong. 467 00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:05,720 But there are also close family and economic ties with the mainland. 468 00:44:07,240 --> 00:44:10,120 And more support here for reunification. 469 00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,000 SHOUTS ORDERS, THEY CHANT 470 00:44:47,160 --> 00:44:50,880 Chinese tourists are trickling back to wartime sites here 471 00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:52,680 after the pandemic. 472 00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:55,720 They're a vital economic lifeline for the island, 473 00:44:55,720 --> 00:44:59,040 which now capitalises on its troubled history. 474 00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:02,400 SHOUTS 475 00:45:02,400 --> 00:45:04,440 LOUD BANG 476 00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:08,280 In Kinmen, they still feel like a pawn between the superpowers. 477 00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:33,120 China doesn't treat any of the Strait 478 00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,320 as Taiwan's territorial water. 479 00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:40,760 Out there in the sea is the median line, 480 00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:44,720 the invisible boundary between Taiwan and China. 481 00:45:44,720 --> 00:45:46,760 It was defined by America, 482 00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:49,640 but has never been recognised by China. 483 00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:55,720 There are massive Chinese dredgers here digging up sand to build 484 00:45:55,720 --> 00:45:58,600 infrastructure on the mainland. 485 00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:02,480 They also create new islands and military outposts in the Pacific. 486 00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:08,560 These dredgers are stretching almost as far as I can see. 487 00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:10,400 I'm counting more than a dozen, 488 00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:11,960 and there are more up ahead. 489 00:46:13,720 --> 00:46:15,000 SIREN WAILS 490 00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:20,520 UNTRANSLATED 491 00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:23,600 In just three years, the number of dredgers expelled 492 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:28,440 by the Taiwanese coastguard has gone up from 600 to nearly 4,000. 493 00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:39,120 Dredgers have damaged internet cables on the seabed 494 00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:41,880 connecting Taiwan with the rest of the world. 495 00:46:43,080 --> 00:46:44,880 SPEAKS OVER RADIO 496 00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:53,080 China is accused of using vessels like this in a campaign 497 00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:55,040 of grey-zone warfare. 498 00:46:55,040 --> 00:47:01,680 What Beijing is doing is creating an environment where they can be 499 00:47:01,680 --> 00:47:05,320 much more aware of everything that is moving above, 500 00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:08,240 on and under the water, which would give them 501 00:47:08,240 --> 00:47:12,200 tremendous advantage should there be a conflict in the Strait. 502 00:47:18,720 --> 00:47:21,640 An invasion, a naval blockade, 503 00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:24,640 destruction of global communication links - 504 00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:27,320 a lot's at stake here. 505 00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:31,520 If there were to be war in the Taiwan Strait, 506 00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:36,720 the impact, if only in economic terms, would be in the trillions 507 00:47:36,720 --> 00:47:39,120 of dollars for the first year. 508 00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,840 Not to mention the fact that the Chinese would then access 509 00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:48,360 the world's key producer of the most advanced semiconductors 510 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,000 that now fuel the entire global economy. 511 00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:01,440 90% of advanced semiconductors - 512 00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:05,880 the chips we all use in our digital devices - are made in Taiwan. 513 00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:11,320 America's racing to build chip factories in Arizona 514 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:15,000 with Taiwanese partners, but it will take years. 515 00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:39,200 China's top priority is to develop its own high-end chip industry. 516 00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:43,200 There have been accusations of dirty tricks here, too. 517 00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,520 So there was human espionage. 518 00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:49,200 They have recruited individuals, offered them large sums of money 519 00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:54,120 to be employed in semiconductor firms back in China, but also 520 00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:57,280 with them in their luggage would carry hard drives 521 00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,880 that contain plans for a semiconductor, 522 00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:03,360 and try to replicate that back in China. 523 00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:08,120 But China still relies heavily on Taiwan's advanced technology. 524 00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:12,560 This science park near Taipei, full of semiconductor companies, 525 00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:15,360 is Taiwan's jewel in the crown. 526 00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:19,560 Some see it as a silicon shield because it's just too valuable 527 00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:21,080 to damage or destroy. 528 00:50:03,480 --> 00:50:08,240 China ramps up its military activity in the Taiwan Strait in 2022. 529 00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:13,680 In February, there's a wake-up call. 530 00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,760 The Russian invasion of Ukraine 531 00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:19,720 alarmed a lot of people in Taiwan. 532 00:50:19,720 --> 00:50:21,840 And in other words, 533 00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,280 war is not unthinkable. 534 00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:28,360 So people begin to believe that we should prepare ourselves 535 00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:30,560 for the worst-case scenario. 536 00:50:30,560 --> 00:50:32,800 That's one lesson we learned from the Ukrainian war. 537 00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:37,640 Taiwan's young people are realising they, too, 538 00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:40,080 may have to defend their homeland. 539 00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:46,360 This is Camp 66, a civilian defence training unit. 540 00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:54,120 They're drawing lessons here from what happened in Ukraine. 541 00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:58,640 A citizen force galvanised into action against an invader, 542 00:50:58,640 --> 00:51:01,280 and holding fast against all expectations. 543 00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:25,880 The number of people paying to come to private camps like this 544 00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:28,400 quadrupled in the past year. 545 00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,480 Compulsory military service has been increased 546 00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:34,240 from four to 12 months. 547 00:51:34,240 --> 00:51:36,360 I hope that I don't need these skills. 548 00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:38,600 I hope I don't ever need to do this at all. 549 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:41,320 But when it comes to it, I need to be prepared. 550 00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:42,880 You're determined to fight? 551 00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:46,040 I think so. This is my home. This is my family. Yeah. 552 00:51:46,040 --> 00:51:47,600 I should. 553 00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:56,040 Ukraine taught Taiwan it was vital to stay connected 554 00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:58,120 in the event of war. 555 00:51:58,120 --> 00:52:00,720 They're developing their own satellite network 556 00:52:00,720 --> 00:52:02,840 to keep communications going. 557 00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:07,440 We're quite similar in the sense that we're both, 558 00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,760 well, in the front line, standing firm 559 00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:12,120 in the face of authoritarian expansionism. 560 00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:17,000 If, for example, we didn't have the broadcasting, 561 00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:19,520 the daily addresses from Kyiv and so on, 562 00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:22,400 then of course the information manipulators, 563 00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:25,280 the deepfakes and so on, will probably win the day. 564 00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:36,680 As tension increased in the Strait last summer, a top US politician, 565 00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:39,920 Nancy Pelosi, made a controversial visit to Taiwan. 566 00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:47,920 During her visit, there was another wave of cyber attacks. 567 00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:52,080 Electronic boards at train stations and thousands of convenience stores 568 00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:56,520 were hijacked. She was branded a witch, a warmonger. 569 00:52:56,520 --> 00:53:00,840 Nancy Pelosi's illegitimate visit to Taiwan 570 00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:04,600 was only serving one purpose and one purpose only. 571 00:53:04,600 --> 00:53:07,480 She was encouraging Taiwan independence. 572 00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:14,000 The visit coincided with emerging signs of instability in China, 573 00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:18,040 a slowing economy, and a Xi Jinping who was seeking a third term 574 00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:19,840 later in the year as well. 575 00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:24,560 So anything that appeared as a slap in the face, that undermined his 576 00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:27,120 hardline position on Taiwan, was also something 577 00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:29,000 that was deemed provocative. 578 00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:34,000 Nancy Pelosi is playing with fire - 579 00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:36,280 with the lives of the American soldiers, 580 00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:38,400 with the lives of the American people, 581 00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:42,880 with the lives of the Chinese people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. 582 00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:54,960 Hours after Nancy Pelosi left, China launched live fire exercises, 583 00:53:54,960 --> 00:53:57,280 unprecedented in recent history. 584 00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:02,840 11 missiles landed in Taiwan's territorial waters 585 00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:07,200 and flew over the island eastwards, towards Japan. 586 00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:10,720 SHOUTS 587 00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:15,000 Was it wise for her to come? 588 00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:18,440 Wasn't it just antagonising China unnecessarily? 589 00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:22,160 I think China just used that as a pretext 590 00:54:22,160 --> 00:54:27,520 to justify its military exercises in the region. 591 00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:32,480 China would do it with or without Nancy Pelosi's visit. 592 00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:34,880 They just used that as an excuse. 593 00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:41,120 Chinese jets crossed the invisible boundary in the Taiwan Strait... 594 00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:45,800 ..to show it would never deter them. 595 00:54:45,800 --> 00:54:49,920 This was psychological warfare aimed at the Taiwanese to punish them, 596 00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:53,160 to try also to demonstrate that the Taiwanese military does not 597 00:54:53,160 --> 00:54:56,920 have the ability to counter these activities very close 598 00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,200 to Taiwanese-controlled waters. 599 00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:05,080 China has demonstrated to the United States that China 600 00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:11,000 has the military capabilities to completely encircle Taiwan, 601 00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:15,600 to cutting off its connection by sea or by air, if necessary, 602 00:55:15,600 --> 00:55:17,240 with the rest of the world. 603 00:55:17,240 --> 00:55:22,120 And China has the political will as well as military capabilities 604 00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:26,560 to achieve national reunification by force if it is necessary. 605 00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:40,560 Life goes on here, though China keeps ratcheting up the threat. 606 00:55:40,560 --> 00:55:41,720 BELL DINGS 607 00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:49,280 President Tsai is in the last year of her final term, 608 00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:51,280 and many people are fearful. 609 00:56:05,320 --> 00:56:09,160 Fire EX. still play the song they wrote nearly a decade ago. 610 00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:17,480 They believe their fight for independence 611 00:56:17,480 --> 00:56:19,200 is even more vital today. 612 00:56:33,240 --> 00:56:37,840 Sam, if there was military action by China, even an invasion, 613 00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:39,880 would you fight for Taiwan? 614 00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:41,000 Sure. 615 00:56:51,080 --> 00:56:54,080 ECHOEY MUSIC PLAYS 616 00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:58,680 On Kinmen Island, propaganda songs played during the war in the '50s 617 00:56:58,680 --> 00:57:01,520 still drift across the Strait at night. 618 00:57:06,560 --> 00:57:11,400 A ghostly echo of the unfinished business between China and Taiwan. 619 00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:21,280 You have two nuclear powers, the US and China. 620 00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:25,200 So it's not just a war between Taiwan and China. 621 00:57:25,200 --> 00:57:28,720 There could be a disaster for the region, 622 00:57:28,720 --> 00:57:30,880 even for the whole world. 623 00:57:30,880 --> 00:57:34,120 How likely is that, do you think, from where we sit now? 624 00:57:34,120 --> 00:57:37,760 Well, again, the ball is not in our court. 625 00:57:39,080 --> 00:57:41,760 The ball is in Beijing's court. 626 00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:46,800 How can any power in the world of today really believe 627 00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:51,640 they have the wherewithal to take Taiwan away from China? 628 00:57:51,640 --> 00:57:53,560 This is a mission impossible. 629 00:57:53,560 --> 00:57:57,160 This is a mission, if it is done or executed, 630 00:57:57,160 --> 00:58:00,000 may lead directly to Armageddon. 631 00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:13,280 The last seven years have turned most Taiwanese against reunification 632 00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:17,360 with the mainland. China is running out of options 633 00:58:17,360 --> 00:58:20,680 to solve its Taiwan problem peacefully. 65101

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